TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK TVWD’s Emergency Preparedness Framework Michael J. Britch Portland State University 1 TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 2 Abstract This paper provides an important framework to address a catastrophic natural disaster facing our region and a critical resource to the society needed to minimize the impacts of this event when it occurs. The event is the Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) earthquake, which was last occurred 315 years ago. The CSZ fault is located off the Oregon coast extending 800 miles from the northern California to British Columbia. It is expected to release a magnitude 9.0 earthquake, similar to the one that devastated Tohoku, Japan in 2011. Water is a critical resource for the community, essential for life and the economic viability of a region. This paper explores what is known in the rapidly developing area of emergency preparedness and water systems. The Tualatin Valley Water District (District), serving over 200,000 people in Washington County, Oregon, is taking proactive steps to prepare itself to be more resilient for this type of event, thereby minimizing the effects of it when it occurs. This paper explores current literature on the topic, includes the result of a survey conducted to identify the current state of the District’s preparedness, and presents a proposed emergency preparedness framework for the District to ready for this kind of significant natural disaster. Keywords: Cascadia subduction zone earthquake, water systems, emergency preparedness, resiliency, framework. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 3 Introduction Water is a critical resource. “The minimum amount of water required for survival varies based on current weather conditions. The World Health Organization estimates that the basic requirement for survival is 2 to 4 gallons per day per person, which accounts for drinking and food, basic hygiene, and basic cooking need. In extreme situations, people require approximately 1 gallon per person per day” (DHS, 2015b). Without water there can be no life. It is essential. Adequate and reliable water supplies are also a necessary component to help support a vibrant economy. As the second largest water provider in the State of Oregon, serving approximately 200,000 people in Washington County which is part of the Portland Metropolitan area, providing safe, reliable water to its customers is of vital concern to the Tualatin Valley Water District (TVWD, District). Disruption of safe drinking water supplies can have a profound impact on a community or a region. This paper explores some of the kinds of events that can impact this supply, including one of paramount importance to our region, the Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) earthquake. This paper begins by describing the purpose of this work followed by the background and significance of the kinds of events that can impact water systems and based on that, then key related research questions for this paper are described. Next the paper describes the research methods used as part of this work. Then the findings from the research are discussed. Finally a conclusion is provided. Purpose The focus of this capstone project pertains to an extremely large earthquake that will someday affect our region, the Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquake. This capstone project focuses on understanding this event and as well as natural disaster preparedness and response for TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 4 utilities. Based on this it develops an emergency preparedness framework for a municipal water agency and its related water infrastructure, such that if implemented, would result in a much lower impact of the earthquake on the community and a shorter period of recovery with respect to the water supply and distribution to the community. This capstone work also identifies the estimated current level of preparedness for the District, which also serves as a preliminary gap analysis with respect to complete preparedness for this event. Oregon is located at the western edge of the North American tectonic plate. This continental plate intersects several tectonic plates off the Oregon coast including the Juan de Fuca, Gorda, and Explorer Plates. These plates intersect the North American Plate at a location identified as the Cascadia Subduction Zone. Recent research indicates this fault ruptures on a somewhat repeatable pattern. The recent research further suggests that a magnitude (M) 9 earthquake could be expected at any time (Wang, Raskin and Wolf, 2013). Awareness of the Cascadia Subduction Zone Earthquake is a relatively new phenomenon with researchers only beginning to understand the zone’s potential to release a devastating earthquake in the 1980s. As described by the Oregon Resilience Plan it may take one month to one year for water infrastructure to recover in the Valley and between one to three years along the coast (Wang, Raskin and Wolf, 2013). The Cascadia Subduction Zone fault extends eight hundred miles from Northern California to British Columbia. It is expected to release M9 earthquakes at regular intervals with the last occurring approximately 300 years ago, but with an average frequency of 500 years, and a range of between as few as 200 years to as many as 1,000 years between major events. The estimated economic impact for Oregon and Washington combined is $81 billion. Besides from the prolonged ground shaking itself, damage can also occur from liquefaction, earthquake induced landslides, and lateral spreading (DOGAMI, 2010). FEMA is currently TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 5 planning for the event. The key attributes of the event that is being planned for is illustrated in Figure 1 (FEMA, 2014). Figure 1. FEMA CSZ Earthquake Planning Scenario Background and Significance Many events can impact water systems, natural and manmade. Examples of some of these and their impacts on water systems and the affected communities are described below. The kinds of events described below include hurricanes like Sandy and Katrina, flooding in Colorado, chemical spills such as what happened in West Virginia, and toxic algae blooms like the event experienced in Toledo, Ohio. Another category of natural disasters can have an even more devastating impact on water systems is earthquakes. This category of natural disasters is of regional significance given the proximity of the Cascadia Subduction Zone fault that lies off the coast of Oregon extending from northern California to British Columbia. This CSZ earthquake TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 6 is the focus of preparedness in this paper. When this fault ruptures again, it will have a profound impact on the region, the likes of which has not been witnessed in recent times. However, experts believe that it may be similar to the magnitude 9.0 earthquake that occurred in Tohoku, Japan on March 11, 2011. Because of the length of the fault, the CSZ earthquake could have an even more far reaching impact. The effects of Hurricane Sandy illustrate some interdependencies between water systems and other supporting infrastructure systems like transportation and the energy sector where refueling generators became an issue. “During Hurricane Sandy in 2012, some parts of Long Island, New York, lost their water supply due to a loss of electric power. Emergency generators provided power to a majority of the water system on Long Island” (DHS, 2015a). Hurricane Sandy was a major natural disaster that hit the northeastern part of the United States in October 2012. It included major flooding and destruction. It resulted in dozens of deaths. It became the second most expensive natural disaster in the United States at roughly $68 billion, second only to Hurricane Katrina that caused roughly $125 billion in destruction. Some of the lessons learned included the need to have improvements in transportation, power, and communication systems. It also raised the need to better address aging infrastructure and highlighted the need to be cost effective in developing risk reduction strategies and to plan to implement improvements over time (Hill, 2014). Hurricanes can cause large metropolitan areas to experience wide spread outages of water service. “After Hurricane Katrina in 2005, portions of New Orleans went without water for a period of 2 months” (DHS, 2015b). In the aftermath and after $14 billion being spent on upgrades to the levee system around New Orleans by the Corp of Engineers, a number of lessons were learned. Some of these included the need to employ a risk reduction strategy when TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 7 deciding on which improvements to implement; an appropriate design standard needs to be implemented coupled with a much better understanding of the disaster event; protection systems must be designed to operate in union rather than as a conglomerate of disjointed projects; and that rebuilding efforts can be significantly streamlined by using an expedited environmental review process to address the requirements of the National Environmental Policy Act (Reid, 2013). Flooding can also render water systems and source water unusable. In 2013 Colorado experienced significant flooding that severely impacted water system including damage to treatment plants and water mains. (DHS, 2015b). The Colorado flooding resulted in extensive damage to areas of Colorado from what’s now recognized as a 1,000-year flood. Throughout a period of six days, 17-20 inches of rainfall was recorded for Colorado’s Front Range. The damage resulted in 10 deaths, 19,000 homes damaged, hundreds of miles of roads closed and $2 billion in property damage. Some of the key lessons learned include that due to the destruction of roads, access to areas requiring repair of its infrastructure was hindered; emergency water connections to other systems is important; controlling how accurate information is provided to the public is important as inaccurate information was being put out on Facebook postings and with tweets; that there was a huge benefit to having multiple supply sources for some communities; and that good maintenance, good records, and having emergency response plans are vital (Buehrer, 2013). Manmade events also contaminate sources for drinking water as well, rendering the water unusable. This was demonstrated recently by the chemical release in 2014 that affected 300,000 West Virginia residents (AWWA, 2014). This was a result of the release of a toxic chemical, TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 8 methylcyclohexane spill that led to a “do-not-drink” orders in the Charleston West Virginia area (DHS, 2015b). Eutrophication, cyanobacteria blooms caused by agricultural land run-off or releases of sewage into source waters can also create problems related to source water for drinking water. This occurring in Toledo, Ohio in 2014 that resulting in a “do-not-use water” order. In particular, “toxic algae blooms from Lake Erie entered the Toledo, Ohio water system in the summer of 2014,” affecting more than 400,000 customers (DHS, 2015b). Of all types of natural disasters or other events that can impact water systems, perhaps the most significant are earthquakes. Earthquakes and their impacts on water systems is the primary focus of this capstone paper. For large earthquakes, their impact can be far reaching and thus their impact on water system and the related communities can be significant. For Oregon and the broader Pacific Northwest region, this is the kind of significant earthquake that has occurred in the past and will be expected in the future. Earthquakes impact water systems in many ways include damaging the associated pipelines, pump stations, storage reservoirs and water treatment plants. “For example, a 7.2magnitude earthquake in Baja, California, damaged two water treatment plants due to the water oscillating in storage tanks… During the 1994 Northridge earthquake in southern California, three major transmission systems, which provide over three-quarters of the water to the City of Los Angeles, were disrupted as a result of pipe damage in more than 1,000 locations” (DHS, 2015a). A reliable water supply is also a vital element in firefighting. The lack of this reliability was demonstrated by the 1906 San Francisco Earthquake that also resulted in extensive fire damage to the city. Firefighting capabilities during that event were rendered useless due to the significant failures of the water system infrastructure (CREW, 2013). The San TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 9 Francisco Public Utility Commission is currently completing a $4.6 billion Water System Improvement Program to significantly improve the resiliency of its water infrastructure for a system that includes multiple active fault crossings (Landers, 2014). Research Questions The Tualatin Valley Water District is the State’s second largest water utility serving much of Washington County. Its mission is to provide quality water and customer service. It provides safe, reliable drinking water to a service area population over 200,000; large industrial customers like Intel, Maxim Integrated Products, Nike, and Resers Fine Foods; and two large regional hospitals, St. Vincent and Kaiser Permanente. All of these industries and critical customers are heavily reliant on having large supplies of water. Water is a vitally important resource for a healthy and robust community. “Washington County is one of the economic engines for the State, and that engine runs on water” (Duyck, 2013). This capstone work proposes that there is no adequate framework specific to the needs of the District for emergency preparedness that addresses all the elements for the District to truly develop itself into a resilient water agency that is prepared to meet the needs of the community it serves related to providing one of the most critical resources and human needs, safe drinking water. There are two questions posed by this research. The first is what areas need to be addressed for the District to be prepared for a major earthquake? The second research question is what is the District’s current state of preparedness? These research questions relate to how a public water utility can be effectively prepared for earthquakes, other natural disasters and emergencies. This capstone work includes developing a framework to allow the District to be a more prepared and resilient agency. While the proposed resiliency framework is being TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 10 developed to address this most significant natural disaster, it is also intended to be scalable and applicable to lesser events. Research Methods This subject area is not only broad, but the understanding around it is in a state of development. As such multiple research methods were employed, the second of which involved multiple parts. The first research method involved literature review. A variety of sources were available related to this issue. Many of the most recent, relevant documents were incorporated into this work. Because of the importance of the broader emergency preparedness and disaster recovery topic, there are many more references that could be reviewed, however, they are older documents and less relevant to the specifics of the topic. Because this information on this topic is growing rapidly, it was the intent to try to limit the literature to the most current sources, one of which was still in draft form (NIST, 2015). There were two parts to the data collection, the first relates to obtaining expert input and the second relates to a survey that was developed and administered. Again, because of the complexity of this issues, multiple sources of information were needed. This is a multidisciplinary subject area. As part of this element of data collection, input from multiple experts in different subject areas was obtained. This included experts in emergency preparedness and response, key stakeholders in the District’s service area, water industry experts, and various District staff who are the subject matter experts (SMEs) in a particular area of the District’s operations. The second part of data collection research method involved developing and administering a survey. The survey included two parts based on the emergency preparedness framework that was developed. For each of the framework elements that are discussed later in this paper, District staff with knowledge of a particular element’s subject matter were asked to TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 11 assess the current state of the District’s preparedness and then to prioritize next steps for various sub-elements of the preparedness framework. The key information ascertained from the literature review and the data collection methods are described in greater detail below. This includes a compilation of the key research documents contributing to this capstone work. It includes the highlights of data collection of the various expert input to the capstone work. The survey that was developed and administered as part of the research methods is described in greater detail. Finally this section concludes by describing the limitations associated with the research methodology. Literature review. A literature review was used to understand the current top thinking of the industry related to emergency preparedness frameworks for water agencies and to aid in the development of the survey instrument used. The goal of this research is to elevate the overall understanding of natural disasters in general as well as earthquakes and their impacts on water systems. This allowed for the preparation and implementation of appropriate measures and means to reduce the risks and overall impact of the event on the local region, and in particular its water infrastructure, resulting in less overall impact and a more expedient recovery. All the primary literature is relatively recent, within the last four years. Most of the literature is used is very current, within the last two years. One document reviewed (NIST, 2014) was still in draft form. Documents that pertain to the subject of this capstone work pertain cross multiple disciplines. As such the relevant literature needed to complete this research comes from many sources and covers several topic categories. For this purposes of this literature review and related discussion, the key literature is grouped and discussed in four separate, but related categories. The first category of literature relates to those documents that serve in some way to TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 12 provide the authoritative direction for the development of emergency preparedness like what this capstone work presents. The second category includes a variety of documents that relate to the issue of emergency preparedness, response, and recovery at the national level. The third category includes key literature pertaining to emergency preparedness, response, and recovery at the regional level. And finally, the fourth category pertains to key recent literature that addresses water infrastructure and related recommendations for preparedness for earthquakes. The key literature that was reviewed as part of this capstone work is discussed below, grouped according to the four categories identified above. Directives for preparedness. There are several authoritative documents that provide directives towards the issue of emergency preparedness and the topic of resiliency for infrastructure. These include documents and/or directives that come at the national, state, and District level. At the national level Presidential Policy Directive (PPD) 21 which was released on February 12, 2013, provides direction for agencies to focus on critical infrastructure security and resilience. It was intended to “advance[ ] a national unity of effort to strengthen and maintain secure, functioning, and resilient critical infrastructure” (Obama, 2013). It states that “it is the policy of the United States to strengthen the security and resilience of its critical infrastructure against both physical and cyber threats.” PPD-21 provides a definition for resiliency which it describes as “the ability to prepare for and adapt to changing conditions and withstand and recover rapidly from disruptions. Resilience includes the ability to withstand and recover from deliberate attacks, accidents, or naturally occurring threats or incidents” (Obama, 2013). This document provides an important foundational guidance directive for this capstone work. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 13 At the state level is an important foundational document that provides direction regionally for the advancement of emergency preparedness and the development of greater resiliency. This document is the Oregon Resilience Plan which was released in February, 2013. Activities related to this plan were initiated by House Resolution 3 which “won unanimous support… on April 18, 2011” in the Oregon Legislature following the M9.0 earthquake in Tohoku, Japan (ORP, 2013, p. iii). House Resolution 3 “directed the Oregon Seismic Safety Policy Advisory Commission to lead the planning effort” (ORP, 2013, p. vii). The plan focuses on addressing issues related to the earthquake hazard for Oregon due to an active off-shore subduction zone fault. The goal of the plan is to improve overall infrastructure resiliency and preparedness for this hazard thereby minimizing the impact immediately following the event as well as potential long-term impacts. The Oregon Resilience Plan “maps a path of policy and investment priorities for the next fifty years. The recommendations offer Oregon’s Legislative Assembly and Governor immediate steps to begin a journey along that path. The plan and its recommendations build on the solid foundation laid over the past quarter century by some of Oregon’s top scientists, engineers, and policy makers” (Wang, Raskin and Wolf, 2013, p. viii). This document at a regional level provides important guidance, particularly related to level of service goals for water infrastructure resiliency, that are important to framework developed as part of this capstone work. Finally, at the District level as part of its 2015 - 2017 initiatives, is one that directly relates to this work, “Develop & Implement District Resiliency Policy & Program.” This initiative has not yet been developed, but its purpose is to provide the foundational elements needed for the District to meet its emergency preparedness or resiliency goals, identify elements that are necessary to reach those goal, and the establish a plan through which the goals within TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 14 each element can be achieved. The framework developed through this capstone work will serve as the important foundational source for the District to begin formally addressing this issue. National emergency preparedness, response and recovery documents. At the national level, many recent documents pertain to the subject of emergency preparedness, response, and recovery. These documents tend to have a broad perspective on the subject, although they do contribute to the overall understanding related to the relevant issues to a certain degree. These national level documents include ones by FEMA, the Department of Homeland Security, and the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). A final document though not truly developed at the national level, Resilience by Design, was included in this category of the literature review because of the importance of the broad level of understanding that it contributes to understanding the significance of the impacts of these kinds of major events. The key literature reviewed under this category is described below including its relevance to this capstone work. FEMA prepared an important document related to this work, the National Disaster Recovery Framework (NDRF). It provides “a guide to promote effective recovery, particularly for those incidents that are large-scale or catastrophic” (FEMA, 2011, p. 1). This document provides a good and comprehensive broad framework for natural disaster recovery. It touches on a number of elements contained within the emergency preparedness framework described later in this paper. It also includes a number of framework elements contained in other reference documents. The document provides an overall discussion of the timeline associated with disaster recover, the importance of coordination and liaison activities, public communications, the psychology and emotional recovery associated with disasters, and then proceeds to describe the different elements of its framework. While this document presents a good overall framework TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 15 and parts of it are transferable to the proposed framework described later in this paper, it falls short in providing the level of detail needed for the District to achieve its emergency preparedness and resiliency goals. Its focus is more targeted at the federal government level. The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) released two documents very recently that relate to this subject, one in February and one in March. The first reference (DHS, 2015a) provided a general overview for policymakers on this issues associated with water system infrastructure to provide “a baseline understanding of how water and wastewater systems function and are managed.” While much of this material was generic in nature, there was one section that was particularly useful that discusses dependencies between “critical infrastructure sectors”. The second DHS document focuses on the effects and consequences of extended water outages (DHS, 2015b). Understanding these impacts are important to developing a comprehensive emergency preparedness framework that more fully addresses the needs of the community served. It describes expands on the time-related impacts on water system outages (as do other references). Finally, it identifies the importance of having redundancy with water systems. The DHS document says, “Many water systems, but not all have redundancy in the water supply and distribution. These include redundant sources (e.g., multiple lakes, groundwater, and interconnections), redundant treatment capacity (e.g. multiple treatment plants), and redundant distribution components (e.g. pumps and pipes)” (DHS, 2015b, p.6). Redundancy is an important consideration that has been incorporated into several of the proposed emergency preparedness framework elements and sub-elements. While these documents provide limited coverage of the related subject area, they do contribute to the broader understanding of the issues related to preparedness and elements that need to be incorporated into the District’s emergency preparedness framework. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 16 The National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) is completing a framework for community disaster resilience. In relation to this activity, a 75% draft “Disaster Resilience Framework” (NIST, 2015) has been reviewed as part of this work. The document provides a variety of information useful to this work including that related to the social and community context for disasters and the interdependencies related to critical infrastructure systems (referred to as the “built environment” by NIST) including water systems. The document provides a framework to achieve community resilience as well as describes a methodology as to conduct a gap analysis related to understanding the current state of an agency’s resiliency. The most significant contribution that the NIST document offers related to this work is the thorough development of the social context for disasters and a proposed methodology to implement resiliency which is described in the Implementation Plan section of this paper. While this document provides significant useful information related to critical infrastructure resiliency and related emergency preparedness, it does not provide adequate detail nor is properly focused to address the needs of the District as contained in the proposed emergency preparedness framework presented later in this paper. Out of all the national level documents reviewed, this document seemed to contain the most useful and relevant information to support the preparation of the District’s emergency preparedness framework. The final document I’ve included in the category of national level literature reviewed, Resilience by Design, is not actually a national level document as I described earlier, but it does include important broad related concepts and thus I included its discussion in this section. This recent document is a report prepared for the mayor of Los Angles, Eric Garcetti, under the guidance of Dr. Lucile Jones, a seismologist with the US Geological Survey, to address key areas of seismic risk for the city. One of these key areas that the report focuses on is the water TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 17 infrastructure. This document provided important background on the impact of major natural disasters on cities. Two of key points it makes relates to the impact on the economy of an area impacted by a natural disaster citing Hurricane Katrina and the long-term economic impacts. It also cites the 1906 San Francisco Earthquake and the impact on the population of a region. In short, the economy suffers and people will leave the region if they don’t have a sufficient reason to stay. The document states that “Lack of water would impede recovery and the long-term loss of water could lead to business failure and even mass evacuation,” highlighting the two points above (Jones, 2014, p. 6). These are really important foundational concepts that should be considered as part of a planning for emergency preparedness, response, and recovery for any major natural disaster. This thinking helped shape the development of the District’s emergency preparedness framework and the thinking related to service area coverage. Regional emergency preparedness, response and recovery documents. At the regional level, there were two but related documents that were identified and reviewed for the purposes of this capstone work. The first is the previously identified Oregon Resilience Plan and the second is a document developed by the Cascadia Region Earthquake Workgroup (CREW). The Oregon Resilience Plan (ORP) is an important foundational document supporting the proposed emergency preparedness framework (ORP, 2013). It provides an overall understanding of the Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquake. It provides a thorough description of the how the population will likely be impacted by the event and critical elements of systems that support community needs and describes the functional requirements to lessen the impact. It also describes the interconnectedness of critical infrastructure systems. Finally, it provides important target level of service goals for water systems (and other critical utility systems) to strive for, helping to provide methodology to achieve resiliency. It does provide a definition for resiliency, TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 18 however, for the purposes of this work, the definition of resiliency establish by Presidential Policy Directive/PPD-21 is used. The CREW document provided supplemental information to the Oregon Resilience Plan (ORP), providing a condensed synopsis of the Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquake with complementary information to the ORP. It states that the “economic impacts would be significant [if the earthquake happened today]: for Washington, Oregon, and California, the losses have been estimated at upwards of $70 billion. While this is not as high as Japan’s staggering $309 billion in estimated losses, the potential consequences of the great Cascadia quake are sobering” (CREW, 2013, p. 8). While this document provides some good supplemental information for additional context for the CSZ earthquake event, it still falls short in providing an overall framework for emergency preparedness and seismic resiliency. Water infrastructure documents. There were three documents that were identified and reviewed that helped inform the development of the District’s emergency preparedness framework related to different aspects of the water infrastructure itself. One of these, Resilience by Design, was previously discussed and it is not elaborated on further here related to the actual water infrastructure, although its materials were considered in the development of relevant portions of the framework. The two other water infrastructure documents are described below. Although they do primarily focus on the related infrastructure portions of the emergency preparedness framework, they also provide information that helped inform other sections of the framework as well. The Water Research Foundation released a recent relevant document related to water infrastructure, Recent Earthquakes: Implications for U.S. Water Utilities. This document produced provides some good information and recommendations for both water infrastructure TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 19 itself and the importance of establishing level of service goals for policy makers. The document provides a thorough recap of recent earthquakes and their related impacts on water systems. It identifies methodologies to assess risks to water systems. It provides useful information related to prioritization of improvements. The document addresses importance of outside resources and provides some practical guidance stating, “An emergency response plan should provide for a major increase in work crews, via outside contractors and/or mutual aid. The faster the crews are available, the shorter the water outage times. For practical purposes, assume no more than about a 100% increase in normal work crew size, unless the water utility has the ability to manage a much larger crew size” (Eidinger and Davis, 2012, p. 23). This document provides useful information that has been considered as part of the emergency preparedness framework presented later in this paper. The other water infrastructure related document pertains to the resiliency of the water system in Charleston, South Carolina. This document provided a good overview of considerations related to the water system infrastructure and critical water service locations. It states that “With several critical facilities such as hospitals located in the study area, it is imperative to improve the resiliency of critical lifeline systems such as water to advert devastating consequences of an earthquake” (Piratla et al, 2014, p. 1222). The Charleston area “is vulnerable to strong ground shaking, liquefaction-induced ground failures and other earthquake hazards. In August 1886, an earthquake with moment magnitude (Mw) of ~ 7 and centered about 30 km northeast of downtown Charleston caused major damage throughout the region.” The impacts would likely be similar to the Portland Metro area. This document primarily focuses on the specific water system infrastructure vulnerabilities and related hazards and doesn’t go into other aspects required for an emergency preparedness framework. It does TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 20 however contribute to the understanding applied to the infrastructure portion of the District’s emergency preparedness framework. Data collection – expert input. Five areas of experts that provided input are described below. These include those involved with emergency preparedness and response, key stakeholders in the District’s service area, water industry experts, and various District staff who are the subject matter experts (SMEs) in a particular area of the District’s operations as well a family member who experienced a similar earthquake. Their input was essential to establishing a more comprehensive understanding of the nature of disasters and the needs of the community and the District. Emergency preparedness and response expert input. There were two key opportunities I participated in over the last 14 months where I received tremendous input from a variety of emergency preparedness experts that significantly contributed to the development of the District’s emergency preparedness framework. They were particularly instrumental in understanding the issues around resiliency and supporting the preparation of the proposed emergency response framework. The first was a training exercise I attended at FEMA’s National Emergency Training Facility. The other was a two-day workshop sponsored by NIST. Each of these and their relevance to the District’s emergency preparedness framework is described below. FEMA training. I participated in a week-long training at FEMA’s national emergency training facility in Emmitsburg, MD from April 14 – 18, 2014. The title of the training event was “Community-Specific Integrated Emergency Management Course (CS IEMC) - Earthquake Hazard”. It included class instruction, a life-like earthquake response training exercise, and afforded a tremendous opportunity to network and develop relationships with approximately 70 TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 21 individuals from various Washington County, Oregon agencies. Many of them I’d likely interact with in a real event. One of the key takeaways is the importance of building relationships with potential natural disaster co-responders and critical stakeholders. This element was incorporated in the District’s emergency preparedness framework. This concept was also emphasized in the Presidential Directive, PPD-21. NIST workshop. The National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) held a workshop on February 18-19, 2015 in San Diego, California that I participated in. The workshop was titled, “Disaster Resilience Workshop”, and focused on community resilience. The purpose was review and provide feedback on a 75% draft “Disaster Resilience Framework” (NIST, 2015). The workshop included different presentations related to the different sections of the draft framework including those related to the social and community context for disasters, interdependencies related to critical infrastructure systems (referred to as the “built environment” by NIST), and then various presentations on the different elements of the build environment including water systems. The workshop also included breakout sessions focused on each of the areas of the framework. I was able to participate and contribute as part of the sessions focused on water systems. One of the important elements of that included my ability to dialogue with important leaders in the recent thinking related to resiliency including Dr. Lucy Jones who was responsible for the recent Resilience by Design document (Jones, 2014) and Dr. Craig Davis who is responsible for the Los Angles water system and co-author in another one of my key literature resources that I reviewed related to water systems and resiliency (Eidinger and Davis, 2012). Discussions with these individuals as well as with other participants helped inform my thinking on the topic of my capstone work and provided invaluable information. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 22 Key stakeholder expert input. Over the last 18 months the District has been working on updating its water master plan. For the first time this document included a specific focus on resiliency of the water infrastructure system. Through the course of the development of the water master plan as part of an effort to understand the critical needs of the community in the context of a natural disaster, I met with several key stakeholders that operate within the District’s service area that provide vital services that are essential following a major natural disaster. This included four meetings with the Tualatin Valley Fire & Rescue District (TVFR), three meetings with Washington County emergency planning staff, and a meeting with staff of an essential health care provider within the District (St. Vincent Hospital). All of these meeting were extremely valuable in understanding the needs of these key stakeholders related to a major natural disaster, helping to inform the development of the District’s emergency preparedness framework. These key stakeholders all have different needs and recognize the need for adequate water supply. Water industry expert input. Recently at the American Water Works Association (AWWA) Pacific Northwest Section (PNWS) Conference I actively solicited input from the audience on a presentation that I gave covering this material. Specifically the information I solicited their input on was a draft version of the framework developed as part of this capstone work.1 My presentation was one of many focused on emergency preparedness for water agencies. Following my presentation, two individuals offered two minor suggestions that I incorporated into my framework. Based on the limited response and in consideration of other elements that were presented (both at this and other conferences and training events I’ve attended) I believe that my proposed framework is one of the most comprehensive and complete “TVWD’s Emergency Preparedness Framework”, presented at PNWS Conference in Bellevue, Washington on April 27, 2015. 1 TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 23 with respect to water agency emergency preparedness and resiliency. The feedback from this group of experts related to the capstone topic was valuable to test a draft framework with colleagues in the water industry and make refinements based on their comments. District SME input. Several interviews with District subject matter experts were conducted as part of the research. This includes interviewing District staff to ascertain feedback on the preliminary presentation materials presented at the PNWS conference and review of the preliminary framework materials with consultants with expertise in the area, These interviews were conducted in person at various times during April, 2015. Because the proposed emergency preparedness framework covers many disciplines and aspects of the District’s operations, input by many of the District’s staff that have expertise in a given area was essential. Their review and feedback was useful to help refine and validate the appropriateness of this framework. Family member input. I interviewed a family member over the phone who went through the 1964 M9.2 Alaska earthquake. This interview contributed to my understanding of what a major earthquake is like and how it impacts an area. It also served to inform my greater understanding of the psychological impacts of this kind of event on the community as well. The interview was conducted in April, 2015. This interview provided useful information and context that helped with the development the emergency preparedness framework. Data collection – survey. A survey instrument was administered as part of the data for the proposed research. The specific survey instrument was developed for each of the elements of the emergency preparedness framework. The survey that was done following the recommendations from NIST and the Oregon Resilience Plan to complete a gap analysis. The survey was administered in person on May 5-6, 2015. The survey was done as a preliminary gap analysis pertaining to the current estimated level of emergency preparedness compared to where TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 24 one would want to be. Three District staff completed each of the surveys for the different seven elements of the proposed framework. The seven elements included a total of 26 sub-elements. A total of 11 different respondents participated in the survey. Respondents were asked to first identify between zero and 100, in increments of 5, the current level of emergency preparedness for each sub-element of the framework. There were then asked to rank the order of the subelements related to the priority of what area to focus on first and then subsequently in what order to work on other sub-elements. The three scores were average to represent an estimate of each response. Limitations of methodology. Due to time limitations, I did not focus on any one part of the overall emergency preparedness goal in any great detail. It was not the intent of this capstone effort to delve into any one element of the proposed framework or anyone of their sub-elements. The primary focus was to establish and overall emergency preparedness framework that captures and illustrates the overall key functional elements that must be focused on for an agency to be truly resilient. Also, this work is solely focused on the District and its specific conditions of operations, characteristics, and the environment for which it operates in. As such, the findings of this work may or may not be entirely suitable for other agencies seeking to achieve the same outcome and resiliency results. For example, the District does not currently operate its own water treatment plant. Thus, those water agencies with treatment plants will likely have other emergency preparedness elements that must be addressed. Research Findings There are three main components that are discussed in relation to this work. Each of them is important to form a broader and more complete understanding of the topic of natural disasters and related emergency preparedness and response for the water sector, though many are equally applicable to other infrastructure sectors. NIST states that “Disaster resilience planning TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 25 must eventually include in depth understanding of a community’s interwoven social, political, and economic systems; how they are supported by the built environment; a clear understanding of their vulnerability and damage expected hazard events; and how any damage will impact community recovery” (NIST, 2015, p. ES3). The first discussion area relates to the complexity of the issue. This includes things such as interdependencies between sectors. The second relates to the social context for disasters. As a service provider of a critical resource to the community, it is important to have an understanding of the needs of the individuals and the community we serve. Finally, the last section presents a proposed emergency preparedness that addresses the first two sections as it lays out a compressive framework to serve as a model for water system emergency preparedness and disaster response activities. Each of these three sections are described in detail below. Complexity of issue. The literature that has been reviewed, the training that I’ve participated, as well as discussions I’ve had with colleagues all reinforce the notion of the complexity of this issue. The DHS does a particularly good job illustrating the water sector interdependence with other critical infrastructure sectors. This is illustrated below in Figure 2. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 26 Figure 2. Water Sector Interdependencies (source DHS, 2015a) The Oregon Reliance Plan (ORP) and NIST documents communicate similar sentiments about the complexity and interdependence of these critical infrastructure systems. The ORP describes the interdependence between sectors such as transportation, energy, communications and water and wastewater infrastructure. NIST likewise communicates these interdependencies as well as others like internal and external dependencies, cascading failures, time dependency, space dependency, and source dependency (NIST, 2015, Chapter 4). The final complicating factor is the last CSZ earthquake reported occurred at 9:00 pm on January 26, 1700, 315 years ago (ORP, 2013, pp. viii, 5). While we can look around the world and witness the effect of other earthquakes like the M9.0 in Tohoku Japan on March 11, 2011or more recently in Nepal, our region has no first-hand knowledge or experience related to these kinds of events. “Many scientists believe that the Cascadia subduction zone event will be the mirror image of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake that hit Japan” (ORP, 2013, p. 116). Furthermore, the exact timing of the next event is unknown. These factors contribute to cause one to either not take the required preparedness seriously and/or not want to support the expenditures needed to be TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 27 prepared as a community. A final interesting consideration is that the world’s population in 1700 was approximately 610 million people2. Currently, the world’s population is estimated at 7.3 billion people. There shear increase in the world’s population and the large-scale impacts for these events further escalates the criticality of these events and the need for thorough preparedness3. Social context for disasters. As a service provider for a critical utility that serves a communities basic and essential needs, it is crucial to understand those needs beyond strictly rate payer perspective. In terms of a disaster, the environment that the service is provided for will change depending on the nature of the event. To assist in the ability to be able to adequately provide the necessary delivery of water for the community and to support the overall viability of a community, it is important to have a broader understanding of the social context for disasters. Understanding this broader social context “provides communities with a methodology to plan for resilience by prioritizing buildings and infrastructure systems based on their importance in supporting the social and economic functions in the community. [These] social and economic functions of the community drive the requirements of the built environment” (NIST, 2013, Ch.2, p.1). This section describes this social context in greater detail including understanding human needs, psychological impacts of disasters, critical needs of the community, the long-term impacts of disasters on communities, and impacts of disasters and recovery. Human needs. As disasters become more severe, human needs can become more basic. Chapter 2 of the NIST document discusses the social context for community resilience. It World History Site. (2006). World population site. Retrieved from http://www.worldhistorysite.com/population.html 3 Worldometers. (2015, May 9). Current world population. Retrieved from http://www.worldometers.info/world-population/ 2 TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 28 presents these human needs based on Maslow’s hierarchy of need that reflect the psychology of human needs. Maslow depicts this with different levels of needs as shown in Figure 3. Figure 3. Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs (NIST, 2015, Ch.2, p.2) At its base are those needs associated with survival. “Survival includes physical requirements, such as air, water, food, shelter, and clothing. If these needs are not met, the human body cannot sustain life – people cannot live longer than 5 days without water and 6 weeks without food” (NIST, 2015, Ch.2, p.2). The second level of Maslow’s hierarchy relates to safety and security and “includes all aspects of personal, financial (economic) security, and health and well-being… They also must know their families and friendship networks are secure. Individuals need financial safety (e.g. job security, a consistent income, savings accounts, insurance policies, savings accounts, insurance policies, and other types of financial safety nets” (NIST, 2015, Ch.2, p.2). The Oregon Resilience Plan commenting on what it takes for recovery of the regional economy states that TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 29 “households must have their basic needs satisfied” (ORP, 2013, p. 21). Schools play an import part related to the second level of Maslow’s hierarchy, safety and security. It is important for families to know their children are safe. “Schools are primarily important as a place where workers’ children can spend their days, thus freeing up parents to return to work” (ORP, 2013, p. 26). For there to be economic recovery, people need to go back to work. For people to go back to work, they need to know their children are safe. The third level of Maslow’s hierarchy of needs relates to a sense of belonging within communities to various groups including “family, friends, school groups, sports teams work colleagues, religious congregation, [ ] or belonging to a place or a location” (NIST, 2015, Ch.2, p.3). These affiliations with these various groups and the related interconnectedness within the community constitute the social networks of the individuals. With regard to the third level of Maslow’s hierarchy of needs, NIST describes communities as “places where people live, work, play, and build their futures. Each community has its own identity based on its location, history, leadership, available resources, and the people who live and work there. Successful communities provide their members with the means to meet essential needs as well as pursue their interests and aspirations” (NIST, 2015, Ch. 1, p.1). The fourth level of Maslow’s hierarch of needs at the top relates to growth and achievement. “Humans need to feel a sense of achievement and that they are respected in society” (NIST, 2015, Ch.2, p.3). Completion of this capstone work would be an example of this level for me in helping to achieve greater community resiliency related to a critical resource like safe drinking water. Psychological impacts. My family experienced the March 27, 1964 M9.2 Alaska earthquake. “This earthquake is the second largest earthquake ever recorded in the world after a TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 30 M9.5 earthquake in Chile in 1960. The duration of rupture lasted approximately 4 minutes” (AEIC, 2002). The earthquake occurred on Good Friday at 5:36 pm. My mother who was in Anchorage when the event occurred stated that “everyone went outside and sat down on the ground. They watched the telephone poles sway back and forth” (Britch, 2015). She said the event was scary. One of my sisters reportedly kept her coat and boots on for a week following the event. Finally, my mother told me about the tragic story of an area in town where the ground had liquefied. She said, “the ground opened up, two small boys fell in, and then the ground closed.” These comments point to the fact of the intense psychological impacts of this kind of event that is contained in Maslow’s hierarchy of needs. Critical needs of community. Healthcare facilities are one of the highest and most critical elements of a community and must be treated as one of the most important facilities to be served. “Essential healthcare facilities are critical for the life safety of the entire population” (ORP, 2013, p. 87). “The health care institution primarily meets the survival, and safety and security needs of Maslow’s hierarchy… Each community must assess health care services provided to its members and assign priority to those services rated as most critical” (NIST, 2015, Ch.2, pp.8-9). Police, fire, and other emergency response service providers as well as other essential critical infrastructure systems must also be considered a top priority in terms of resilience planning. “The importance of emergency operating centers, police stations, and fire stations to the post-earthquake response and recovery is widely recognized” (ORP, 2013, p. 80). “[E]mergency operation centers and police, fire, and EMS stations… play and elevated role…during the response and recovery phases of a disaster” (NIST, 2015, Ch.2, p.13). Following the disaster, people will need to resupply food and medications. “It is unlikely that a large proportion of the population currently stores more than a few days’ worth of food – TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 31 and probably stores even less water – in their homes” (ORP, 2013, p. 30). The availability of goods that support survival (e.g. food and water) is critical during the response phase, suggesting the importance of functioning stores, and the means to access them” (NIST, 2015, Ch2, p.13). Banking will be important for people to be able to purchase goods. “The resupply of food is dependent on a functioning banking system” (ORP, 2013, p. 31). These two sectors, key retail areas and banking, are areas that should be considered as priorities related to the supporting critical infrastructure after the more urgent needs of society and the community are met. “Supermarkets, pharmacies, some big-box retail stores, and banks comprise a subset of buildings that will be relied upon heavily following a disaster. The importance of having an ample supply of basic provisions – such as food, water, medical supplies, and money – in affected areas after a natural disaster has been underscored by many previous events” (ORP, 2013, p. 74). Figure 4 shows a prioritized list of critical building clusters by recovery phase. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 32 Figure 4. Buildings and Facilities in Clusters by Recovery Phase (NIST, 2015, Ch.3, p.9) Long-term impacts. Long-term impacts include having the population leave and prolonged economic impacts. The Oregon Resilience Plan states “Experience tells us that if a business cannot reoccupy its offices within a month, it will either relocate, or dissolve. Reoccupation of a business’s workspace depends on three principal factors: the building’s structure must be safe; the workforce must be able to get to the workplace; and, the building’s mechanical and utility systems must be up and running… When things break, they can no longer be used to support economic activity” (ORP, 2013, pp. 17-19). Population is an important consideration following a natural disaster. “Studies of disasters during the recovery phase show that people are likely to relocate to another community TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 33 in search of new employment and/or economic gain (e.g. higher wages), or because they lost access to their non-liquid assets” (NIST, 2015, Ch.2, p.2). “Research into disaster recovery shows that the likelihood of people leaving a community increase when social networks are lost, showing the importance of a sense of belonging within a community” (NIST, 2015, p.3). Following the 1964 Alaska earthquake my mom said that “people left the state” (Britch, 2015). In New Orleans, “the population is at approximately 75% of the pre-Katrina levels after 10 years [ ] and it may be decades before New Orleans fully recovers from the event. (NIST, 2015, p. ES2). The long-term economic impact to a region can mean that during its recovery that it doesn’t achieve the growth it would have normally expected to achieve. “Damage inflicted by the disaster may ripple through the economy reducing population, output, income, and employment over both the short and long run [ ]. Several recent case studies suggest that, in the 15 years following a major disaster, outcomes (population, employment, or income) fell 10 – 15 percent below levels they might otherwise have reached in the absence of the disaster (ORP, 2013, p. 26). An unprepared community often faces decades of recovery and may never achieve full restoration” (NIST, 2015, p. ES1). “The economy is a mechanism by which most human needs are satisfied. While not all needs are provided for, the economy produces goods and services that fulfil some element of survival, safety and security, belonging, and growth and achievement through Maslow’s hierarchy. Some needs are met through the direct consumption of goods and services (e.g. food and shelter). Other needs are satisfied as the result of a functioning economy” (NIST, 2015, Ch.2, p.5). “The built environment is integral to the [ ] economy… Disruptions to individual components of the built environment have the potential to ripple through the economy… [P]laces of employment are vital during the recovery phase by TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 34 keeping the labor force in place while maintaining the tax base.” (NIST, 2015, Ch2, p.13). The Oregon Resilience Plan states following the expected Cascadia event that the recovery will be complicated by “the resulting reduction in the tax base [which] will make recovery efforts more difficult” (ORP, 2013, p. 63). Impact and recovery. NIST describes the resiliency of a community in terms of functionality and recovery time. “Functionality is a measure of how well a building or infrastructure system is able to operate and perform at its intended purpose. Recovery time provides a measure of how long a building or system function is unavailable or is operating at a reduced capacity. Recovery time also provides and indirect measure of pre-event condition of the system, the performance of the system during the event, and the level of damage sustained” (NIST, 2015, Ch. 1, p.4). How NIST depicts this is shown in Figure 5. Figure 5. Resilience in Terms of Functionality and Recovery Time The Oregon Resilience Plan highlights this with its recommendations “that Oregon start now on a sustained program to reduce the vulnerability and shorten the recovery time to achieve resilience before the next Cascadia earthquake inevitably strikes our state” (ORP, 2013, p. xvii). Greater preparedness and resilience means there’s less damage and fewer impacts to the TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 35 population. “The availability of food, water, medical supplies, and money will be critical to the speed of the recovery of the communities affected by the seismic event” (ORP, 2013, p. 76). “The basic principle of the resilience triangle is that the smaller the triangle, the higher the resilience. Higher resilience requires minimal reductions in critical lifeline services after a disaster, speedy recovery of those services, and an overall improved service level as a result of rebuilding damaged systems and implementing better systems” (ORP, 2013, p. 185). NIST states that “All communities recover, but the length of recovery and ultimate outcome depends on planning, preparedness, mitigation, response, and facilitation of the recovery. A disaster resilient community recovers quickly and to a better state than before the event occurred” (NIST, 2015, p. ES1). Emergency preparedness framework. This section of the research findings specifically addresses the first research question, “What areas need to be addressed for the District to be prepared for a major earthquake?” This emergency preparedness framework was developed with a thorough understanding of the Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquake and the impacts of natural disasters on communities and related water system impacts. The framework represents a proposed plan for preparedness that recognizes the multidisciplinary aspects of this kind of event as well as the societal needs of the community. It represents a new way of thinking about earthquake preparedness and a new, detailed framework to achieve it that currently doesn’t exist in the industry or related literature. There are several documents and models that exist that provide sound recommendations for emergency preparedness. These include the Oregon Resilience which also identifies others such as the “ongoing earthquake resilience planning from San Francisco, California (SPUR, 2009) and the State of Washington (Washington Seismic Safety Committee, 2012) as good TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 36 models to follow” (ORP, 2013, p. 2). The NIST framework that is currently under development is also an excellent resource related to emergency preparedness and resiliency planning (NIST, 2013). These models and frameworks, however, fall short with respect to addressing the specific resiliency needs of the District which are directly influence by its business practices and circumstances of its systems, environment, and operations. As such, a framework specifically focused on the direct emergency preparedness and resiliency needs is required for the District to achieve its desired emergency preparedness and resiliency goals. The following sections present the framework which should serve as the model for the District to use to achieve its emergency preparedness and resiliency goals. The proposed emergency preparedness framework for the District is shown below in Figure 6. It includes seven main elements. These include policy & liaison, business systems, infrastructure, resource planning, communications, finance, and response planning. The elements of the emergency preparedness framework are intended to represent different areas of that the District that must address to achieve its resiliency goals. Each of these elements along with their corresponding sub-elements are described below. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 37 District Resiliency Policy & Program Policy & Liaison Business Systems Infrastructure Resource Planning Commun -ications Finance Response Planning Governance Software Planning Human Capital Procedures & Protocols Capital for Ongoing Operations Training & Preparations Resiliency Policies Hardware Design Standards Critical Inventory Community Engagement Insurance Operations Formal & Informal Agreements Enterprise Architecture Condition Assessment Key Stockpile Locations Long-term Financial Planning Emergency Response Plan Building Relationships Internet Connectivity Redundancy Vulnerability /Risk Assessments Security & Public Safety Level of Service Goals Delegated Authority Figure 6. Proposed District Emergency Preparedness Framework TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 38 Policy & liaison. This element of the framework pertains to broader governance, policy and relational aspects of emergency preparedness. It includes six sub-elements, governance, resiliency policies, formal and informal agreements, building relationships, level of service goals, and delegated authority. Each of these are further described below. Governance. Governance relates to established overall hierarchical structure of the agency and how well it operates. The District was established under Oregon Revised Standards (ORS) 264. ORS 264 provides the requirements associated with its governance including Board members, establishing eminent domain authority, and other powers bestowed on it by the State (State of Oregon, 2011). The District has a five member elected Board, a Chief Executive Officer, and five department managers. A well-defined and well-operating internal governance system is necessary for a resilient agency. NIST states that “Community resilience requires governance structure that sets direction and provides services” (NIST, 2015, ES2). Resiliency policies. Policies are required for emergency preparedness and resiliency extend beyond the norm of typical operations. As such, even identifying what policies are needed for critical operational conditions can be a challenge, but their establishment is essential. Their development requires ongoing planning to understand what will be needed during periods of emergency operations. Examples of policy topics (excluding level of service goals which is described further below) include seismic valves on reservoirs and to what extent will water be treated as a regional resource in the event of a major natural disaster. With first, seismic valves, some of the issues that need to be considered include things like “is it okay to deliberately shut off portions of our water system?”, “will you do this only on certain reservoirs?”, and “what are the issues and risks associated with shutting off water in certain areas?” In regard to the second example, water being shared as a regional resource, this is one that we have not yet discussed. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 39 This policy issue came to mind during the FEMA training exercise that I participated in in April, 2014 in Emmitsburg, MD. The question is should all the regional water agency resources be managed to serve the overall highest priorities of the region rather than each water agency focusing solely on their respective needs. This policy issue has not been addressed and undoubtedly will be a difficult one to solve. NIST states that “precious resources can be allocated based on a community-wide evaluation that prioritizes needed improvements (NIST, 2015, Ch.1, p. 2). Formal and informal agreements. Having both formal and informal agreements are important to being prepared to respond to natural disasters. Examples of formal agreements include those for mutual aid with other agencies, agreements for service professionals and contractors to provide assistance following a natural disaster, and those related to the use of interties between different water systems. Related to broader agreements, the Oregon Resilience Plan states that “Oregon needs to form cooperative agreements (by a specific timeframe) with other states before the earthquake disaster” (ORP, 2013, p. 163). Recently, the District has operated several interties with a neighboring utility to provide an enhanced source of water to their service area while their main water supply was out of service due to a construction project. To be able to contractually provide them with water during this period, it required an intergovernmental agreement to be in place that was approved both by our Board and their mayor. Informal agreements can be like the ones we have other area water partners or utility agencies like Clean Water Services whose operations facility is across the street from our location where we provide assistance and/or use of equipment from time to time as needed. The informal relationships also involve sharing information and lessons learned. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 40 Building relationships. Relationships are crucial to successful emergency response as I learned during my FEMA training in April, 2014. What I realized was that if you know the person on the other end of the phone during a crisis, you have much greater assurance that the information you are getting is credible and that they will do what they say they will do. The discussion provided by DHS (DHS, 2015a) indicates that having strong relationships with coresponding agencies is important. The Oregon Resilience Plan recommends that the Oregon Office of Emergency Management utilize its “public-private sector position to help ensure coordinated planning, information sharing, and interoperability among critical organizations and agencies. The position will also ensure that work being performed by this entity and its partners helps provide public education and outreach to local, county, and state agencies and organizations” (ORP, 2013, p. 175). PPD-21 states that “effective partnerships with critical infrastructure owners and operators … are imperative to strengthen the security and resilience of the Nation’s critical infrastructure” (Obama, 2013). Level of service goals. Level service goals are important for preparedness as they serve to provide the vision for the desired operational state during a disaster event. They are truly a policy sub-element as well because they should formally be adopted by elected officials. However, due to their importance they are treated separated from other emergency preparedness policies. The District has recently adopted preliminary level of service goals related to the desired operational state and key priorities of water distribution through the development of its 2014 Water Master Plan. These goals are being developed consistent with the guidelines established by the Oregon Resilience Plan and with a 50 year goal for implementation. NIST and the Water Research Foundation Web Report #4408 also stress the importance of level of service goals. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 41 Delegated authority. The final sub-element relates to delegated authority. During an emergency, a response should follow an established emergency response structure. The District uses the Incident Command System (ICS) which is what firefighters and other emergency response professionals use. This structure provides the framework for different positions within the response structure, their roles and responsibilities, and the delegated lines of authority. To be prepared, an agency must be adept in the use of these systems and have established lists of trained personnel who can fill in the various roles. This is further important because this structure is the common system that will likely be used across the event. Business systems. This element includes the various information technology (IT) systems; control systems including supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA); financial systems; and other hardware, software, and database systems necessary for the District to function. Four sub-elements have been identified and are described below. Software. All of the District’s business and information systems require software that is functional, but also that can be integrated into an overall operational emergency response. As PPD-21 indicates, resiliency pertains to both natural and manmade threats like cyber terrorism. As such, software systems must be robust and resilient on many layers. Without this it would be impossible to conduct normal water system operations and controls, financial transactions, customer services as well as other vital services. All of the District’s informational systems like GIS, AutoCAD, and related mobile solutions all require effective software. Without functional information systems and operational software, emergency response and recovery activities will be severely hampered. Hardware. Having robust and resilient hardware like servers, desktop and laptop computers, mobile devices, and instruments that provide critical operational information are TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 42 equally as important as software. The two go hand and hand. Additionally, electrical gear at operational facilities must also be resilient. Recently with changing codes, electrical gear must now be certified by shake tests in laboratories to be considered seismically resilient. Enterprise architecture. The enterprise architecture structure that relates both software and hardware and the related connectivity through the internet must also be resilient. The information technology (IT) realm is an ever changing environment. Functionality and resiliency must be addressed in light of current IT best business practices. Recently the District completed its own IT Master Plan to assess the current state of its IT infrastructure, potential vulnerabilities, and to establish a proposed enterprise architecture to provide greater reliability and resiliency. Internet connectivity redundancy. With business systems even more reliant on internet connectivity, for example with web-hosted solutions and cloud-based storage of data, maintaining and having access to the internet is even more important for disaster response and recovery activities. Having redundant and/or contingency connectivity to the internet is important, otherwise recovery efforts may be hampered. Infrastructure. This element includes those activities related to the development of resilient infrastructure. It includes items such as design standards that address seismic issues; programs that address existing aging infrastructure that is necessary to support critical operation of portions of the District’s transmission, storage, and distribution system; condition assessment work related to critical District infrastructure; and planning and design associated the overall infrastructure resiliency. Chapter 8 of the Oregon Resilience Plan, Water and Wastewater Systems, is particularly important to the Infrastructure element of the overall emergency TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 43 preparedness framework (ORP, 2013, pp. 203-240). The related sub-elements are described below. Planning. Planning is important to be able to identify the key locations where water is most important to be delivered to following a disaster. This requires, as it did with the District, discussions with other key stakeholders like hospitals, fire and emergency responders, and County emergency planning stakeholders. Planning also allows an agency to have discussions with staff, management, and elected officials to establish the desired state of the infrastructure (related to establishing level of service goals as previously discussed). Another valuable opportunity that the District discovered through the planning activity is that it provided an opportunity to think about how it might be useful to have the its system operate differently during in response to a disaster and plan for that future functionality through new infrastructure. The final part of this sub-element is to develop the prioritized list of infrastructure projects that can be implanted as part of a long-term capital improvement plan (CIP). Design standards. New standards are needed for both new and existing infrastructure to achieve the desired state of resiliency. For new standards, some of this has been articulated in literature, some of which has been reviewed as part of the literature review for this capstone project. Much of this, however, is still an evolving effort. The District through its efforts and efforts associated with its new regional water supply along with its supply partners is attempting to advance portions of infrastructure seismic design standards. Most of the infrastructure that the District will rely upon in the future exists today. As such, design standards are also required to address gaps in resiliency of existing infrastructure once the condition of the existing infrastructure is known to a level that supports identification of deficiencies. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 44 Condition assessment. As indicated above, if the condition of existing infrastructure is unknown, its resiliency is unknown. Thus the ability to predict whether or not the established level of service goals can be met is uncertain. As such, substantial investments will be required by the District conduct investigations of its infrastructure to ascertain its condition. Once this is known, prioritized improvements can to take place harden the infrastructure. This can also be phased in with other capital improvement projects. Vulnerability/risk assessments. To assist in the effort to providing water to critical customers following a natural disaster, it is important to understand where the vulnerabilities to the infrastructure and risks to the overall system exist. This can be done both at specific facilities or more globally as the District has done through GIS with soils hazard maps prepared by DOGAMI. Using this information along with attributes of the District’s pipeline infrastructure in GIS, a fragility analysis of its system was conducted recently as part of its Water Master Plan work using procedures established by the American Lifelines Alliance (ALA). The results of these type of analyses can be used in conjunction with identified critical customers and critical infrastructure to help better focus prioritization of projects. The Oregon Resiliency Plan state that “Oregon needs to mobilize on vulnerability assessments of pre-disaster inventories and systems” (ORP, 2013, p. 163). Resource planning. This element includes identification of critical resources needed for the District to meet its level of service goals following a natural disaster or other emergency event. These resources include staff and other critical human capital; required critical inventory of materials, parts, equipment, and fuel. This element also includes the planning and implementation related to stockpiling materials at critical locations within the District as well as addressing security and public safety issues. Sub-elements are described below. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 45 Human capital. For the agency to respond to natural disasters, adequate staff and other human resources with the requisite skill sets are required. For the District, this requires staff across all business lines, however, those with planning, engineering, operations, and construction skill sets may be more critical immediately following an earthquake. Critical inventory. To make repairs following and earthquake adequate physical resources, equipment, tools, and parts are required. If one contemplates the potential regional magnitude of this event (see Figure 1) and consider the lead-time needed to secure certain parts and inventory during times of normal operations, it is readily apparent that establishing certain levels of critical inventory is paramount to improving the response and recovery effort. Key stockpile locations. Considering the transportation interdependencies discussed previously and in consideration of the multiple bridges and overpasses that must be traversed even in Washington County (notwithstanding the likely downed poles, power lines, and other debris in the roads that will occur as the result of a major earthquake), having stockpiles of critical inventory at key locations is considered strategically important to successful response and recovery activities. Security and public safety. This sub-element is one of the items identified as feedback by one of the members in the audience when I presented on this topic at the PNWS Conference in April.4 There are several aspects of this element that would be relevant to the proposed framework including security related to District facilities, procedures to keep staff and assisting resource safe, and the means to confirm the safety of the water supply itself for public consumption as portions of the water system are being brought back online. This last part 4 Feedback provided by Ed Parry, P.E., Regional Engineer for the Washington Department of Health, Office of Drinking Water. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 46 requires sampling of water, available testing labs, and related qualified staffing to conduct the testing. Communications. FEMA has indicated that communications “is one of the most common types of failures during disasters” (FEMA, 2014). This element includes the development of established procedures, protocols and systems necessary for both sharing information with District staff, external parties, as well as the collection of reliable information related to the condition of the District’s transmission, storage, and distribution systems. A second sub-element pertains to community engagement. There are two sub-elements which are described below. Procedures and protocols. Having established procedures, protocols, and pre-established communication materials and systems (e.g. use of GIS to create mapping) are vitally important to successful communications in response to various events. The District staff has found this to be true. This is also supported in the literature. There are a number of potential audiences for these communications including staff, key stakeholders and regional partners, elected officials, customers, and the media. “The media institution, at all levels meets many of Maslow’s hierarchy of needs [including] safety and security needs, by providing information, interpretation and surveillance to the masses” (NIST, 2015, Ch.2, p.11). Furthermore, good communications are necessary to support effective recovery efforts, system diagnosis, and repairs by staff and assisting resources. Community engagement. This was the other sub-element identified as feedback by another member in the audience during my PNWS Conference presentation.5 The feedback received related to a program the Eugene Water & Electric Board is using to develop community resiliency with other critical partners in the area like the American Red Cross and the United 5 Feedback provided by Jill Hoyenga, Planner III with the Eugene Water & Electric Board (EWEB). TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 47 Parcel Service. This community engagement program was described the next day in a presentation by Jill Hoyenga (Hoyenga, 2014). Finance. This element includes those activities necessary for the collection, processing, and disbursement of funds and associated systems,6 procedures, and policies. The sub-elements are described below. Capital for ongoing operations. Capital for ongoing operations is essential. Staff and various vendors must be paid. One agency found following a moderate earthquake that disrupted power several days, that it was desirable to have an adequate amount of cash on hand as the business systems typically employed and normal banking services were not available.7 Once systems have been restored and staff is available to return to normal duties, customer billing can resume. An important part of this sub-element pertains to reimbursement and receiving disaster relief funds from FEMA. Once a presidential disaster has been declared, FEMA can provide financial disaster relief funds up to 75% of the incurred costs (FEMA, 2014). For these funds to be obtained, the requests must be processed using the appropriate tracking, procedures, and forms that FEMA requires. Thus being competent with this this is essential to receive significant federal financial reimbursement. Insurance. The District is insured through the Special District’s Association of Oregon (SDAO) and insurance coverage they provide. The areas of coverage by insurance should be compared against could be provided by FEMA, the State of Oregon, or potentially other sources. The goal is to have optimize covered to the desired level and to the extent that coverage is affordable. 6 Software and hardware systems covered separately above as part of the Business Systems element of the emergency preparedness framework. 7 Personal communications. Comments provided by Dave DiSera from EMA Inc., consultant to the District for the development of an IT Master Plan, May 6, 2015. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 48 Long-term financial planning. As described previously as part of two separate subelements, level of service goals and planning, certain long-term objectives for the system are desired. As such, the related infrastructure must be planned for both in terms of the actual infrastructure but also its affordability and the timing of its implementation. This requires sound long-term planning that considers demands on scarce financial resources as well as impacts on rates. Response planning. This element includes those activities needed to train and prepare staff (and their families) for emergency response. Items associated with this element include training and other preparations, operational activities, and the development of an emergency response plan. Sub-elements are described below. Training and preparations. There are various important aspects of this sub-element. One is that staff and other key partners and stakeholders regularly are trained to a variety of training exercises of different size and levels of complexity. In relation to 9/11, Rudolph Giuliani said you have to have “relentless preparation”.8 He said that they didn’t specifically have a plan for 9/11, but that they were still prepared by training for a variety of different scenarios had similar elements. It is also important that staff are trained on using critical equipment (e.g. satellite phones), ICS procedures, forms, checklists, etc… Finally your staff and their families need to be prepared. Referring back to Maslow’s hierarchy of needs, people will not want to come back to work without knowing that their families are safe. Thus both staff and their families need to be prepared. The Oregon Resilience Plan states that “Post-earthquake response can also be impeded if emergency responders must first devote time to finding shelter and safety for their own families before they are available to help others” (ORP, 2013, p. 90). 8 Rudolph Guiliani, Keynote speech, American Water Works Association (AWWA) Annual Conference and Exposition, Boston, MA, June 9, 2014. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 49 Operations. Training around a variety of operational activities is also vitally important, especially with systems as complex as the District’s system. These include things like testing and operating interties with neighboring water agencies and operating the system in alternate ways that provide greater flexibility. Finally, it is recommended that agencies fully understand the logic that is programmed into their instrumentation, controls, and SCADA systems. Based on recent operational events, this last part became evident following an operational event that occurred that made staff aware question if the current status of the controls and logic reflect what may be desired to achieve emergency preparedness and resiliency goals. Emergency response plan. There are several important aspects related to an emergency response plan. One is that prior to an event, staff in conjunction with other emergency responders should compare notes on what the priorities should be identified. Secondly plans and associated resources needed for damage assessment should be planned for. Finally, there is a plethora of standard operating procedures (SOPs) that should developed and then practiced to enhance their effectiveness during an emergency response. Survey results. This section of the research findings specifically addresses the second research question, “What is the District’s current state of preparedness?” This was accomplished through the use of the survey instrument that was developed and administered for this capstone project. The survey instrument that was administered had two areas of information that it sought to provide initial insight on. The first is an initial emergency preparedness gap analysis. The second is an initial prioritization of work element. The results pertaining to each of these is described below. Initial gap analysis. One of the key goals of the Oregon Resilience Plan is to “identify steps needed to eliminate the gap separating current performance from resilient performance” TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 50 (ORP, 2013, p. x). The first step is to identify a current level of preparedness relative to where one would want to be. This survey conducted as part of this work provides a first glimpse through a self-assessment by District staff as to the current level of preparedness. The average responses for emergency preparedness for the seven different elements of the framework are shown in Figure 7. POLICY & LIAISON 63% BUSINESS SYSTEMS 52% INFRASTRUCTURE 53% RESOURCE PLANNING 38% COMMUNICATIONS 63% FINANCE 76% RESPONSE PLANNING 53% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Response Average Figure 7. Estimated Current Level of Preparedness Prioritized Work Elements. Within each of the elements of the emergency preparedness framework, prioritization of the work on each of the sub-elements was also established through the survey instrument that was administered. The highest priority sub-elements that should be focused on first are shown below: Policy & liaison: Level of service goals. Business systems: Hardware. Infrastructure: Condition assessment. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 51 Resource planning: Key stockpile locations. Communications: Establish procedures and protocols. Finance: Capital for ongoing operations. Response planning: Training & preparations and emergency response plan (tied). Implementation plan. An implementation plan will be developed following approval of the proposed emergency preparedness framework by the District. It would include the identification for each of the different elements of the framework a specific list of activities, timelines and overall schedule for implementation of the framework, and required resources to accomplish the work. It serves as an overall work plan for implementation of the framework. One of the first steps it to conduct a more elaborate gap analysis with greater participation by District staff. The Oregon Resilience Plan identifies target levels of functionality and corresponding recovery times for each of the different critical infrastructure systems. NIST states that “Understanding the gaps between desired and actual performance are determined for specific clusters of buildings and infrastructure systems and can then inform short and long term solutions. In the short term, the gaps can be addressed with interim plans for emergency response and temporary actions. In the long term, new construction can be designed to the designated performance goals and the existing infrastructure can be retrofit as appropriate” (NIST, 2015, p. ES6). NIST proposes in a flow chart that includes the elements and sequence of steps to achieve community resilience. Figure 8 depicts NIST’s proposed framework to achieve community resilience. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 52 Figure 8. Flowchart for Developing Community Resilience Plan (NIST, 2015, ES 4). With regards to implementing the emergency preparedness framework, it is proposed that the methodology illustrated in the NIST flowchart be applied to the implementation of the overall framework and its elements and sub-elements as well. Conclusion This research project proposed to answer two research questions, “What areas need to be addressed for the District to be prepared for a major earthquake?” and “What is the District’s current state of preparedness?” These questions were both clearly answered by this capstone work. Answering the first resulted in the development of an emergency preparedness framework that is described in the research findings section of the paper, a detailed framework addressing the multidisciplinary aspects and societal needs associated with an earthquake. The second question, also described in the research findings section of the paper, establishes a clear TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 53 identification of the District’s current level of preparedness and identifies key areas within the framework elements to focus on first. Water is essential for life. Without it humans cannot survive. Nor can a region experience economic viability without it. Safe, reliable water is conveyed to the community through an essential network of infrastructure including pipelines, pump stations, storage reservoirs, and treatment plants. All of this infrastructure is a risk in our region due to a catastrophic natural disaster known as the Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) earthquake. It is expected to release a magnitude 9.0 earthquake, similar to what occurred in Tohoku, Japan in 2011. The last time it occurred was 315 years ago. Water systems are necessary for a variety of essential life safety elements following a natural disaster. Essential healthcare facilities can’t operate and firefighting can’t occur without it. The impacts of loss of water to a region has been experienced in a devastating way with the 1906 San Francisco earthquake where much of the city burned because of broken water infrastructure. More recently natural disasters like hurricanes Katrina and Sandy have had devastating impacts on their respective regions including impacts to the water systems. The Presidential Policy Directive/PPD-21 calls for improved resiliency of our nation’s infrastructure to natural disasters as well as manmade threats. The Oregon Resilience Plan specifically focuses on what it would take for Oregon to be more prepared for the CSZ earthquake. The industry and its approach to natural disasters like earthquakes is rapidly evolving based on its understanding from recent events as well as growing attention at the federal, state, and local level to be prepared for these types of catastrophic events. However, there is no clear nor concise document that would prepare a water agency for the specific steps it would need to follow to be prepared for this type of event. Addressing the issue can be overwhelming. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 54 Voltaire, a French philosopher in the late 1600’s and early 1700’s, said, “Don't let the perfect be the enemy of the good.” It is important to begin work to improve system resiliency and to do it now. Einstein said, “We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.” The kind of thinking it takes to address the issue of a major natural disaster like the CSZ earthquake, in particular related to water systems, needs to be different than the thinking that was used when the systems were originally designed and constructed. The Tualatin Valley Water District (District) is working to significantly improve the resiliency of its agency and the services it provides to be prepared for this kind of event. This includes the development of target level of service goals to meet the needs of the community following this kind of event. The stakes are high. Minimizing the loss of functionality and the length of recovery time following a major earthquake is critical. Doing so will benefit not only individuals, but the community as a whole and the economic viability of the region. To do this, an emergency preparedness framework has been developed to identify all the different elements of the District that need to be addressed for it to be resilient for this kind of natural disaster as well as lessor events. This framework encompasses different aspects of recommendations for preparedness from the current industry thinking while being tailored to the unique characteristics of the District and its service environment. If successfully followed and implemented, the generation that experiences the next CSZ earthquake and the generations that follow will reap the benefits of this critical thinking and preparedness. TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 55 Supporting Materials This section contains the results of the survey that was administered for the different elements of the emergency preparedness framework. Summary of survey emergency preparedness results. Element Response Planning Finance Communications Resource Planning Infrastructure Business Systems Policy & Liaison Response Average High 68% 83% 73% 50% 75% 62% 88% Low 45% 62% 53% 28% 15% 30% 45% 53% 76% 63% 38% 53% 52% 63% Gap 47% 24% 37% 62% 47% 48% 37% Policy & liaison survey results. Framework Sub-element Initials Estimated Level of Resiliency (%) 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 Governance Resiliency Policies Formal & Informal Agreements Building Relationships Level of Service Goals Delegated Authority NK MJ MB NK MJ MB NK MJ MB NK MJ MB NK MJ MB NK MJ MB X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 5 0 Priority Rank 3 6 6 2 3 3 4 4 4 6 5 5 1 2 1 5 1 2 TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 56 Business systems survey results. Framework Sub-element Initials Estimated Level of Resiliency (%) 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 Software Hardware Enterprise Architecture Internet Redundancy PM LO MB PM LO MB PM LO MB PM LO MB 5 0 5 0 5 0 X X X X X X X X X X X X Priority Rank 3 2 3 2 1 1 1 4 2 4 3 4 Infrastructure survey results. Framework Sub-element Initials Estimated Level of Resiliency (%) 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 Planning Design Standards Condition Assessment Vulnerability/Risk Assessments PB RS MB PB RS MB PB RS MB PB RS MB X X X X X X X X X X X X Priority Rank 3 2 3 4 4 4 1 1 1 2 3 2 Resource planning survey results. Framework Sub-element Initials Estimated Level of Resiliency (%) 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 Human Capital Critical Inventory Key Stockpile Locations Security & Public Safety NK MJ MB NK MJ MB NK MJ MB NK MJ MB X X X X X X X X X X X X Priority Rank 1 1 1 3 4 2 2 2 3 4 3 4 TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 57 Communications survey results. Framework Sub-element Initials Estimated Level of Resiliency (%) 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 Establish Procedures & Protocols Community Engagement FR MM MB FR MM MB 5 0 5 0 5 0 X X X X X X Priority Rank 1 1 1 2 2 2 Finance survey results. Framework Sub-element Initials Estimated Level of Resiliency (%) 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 Capital for Ongoing Operations Insurance Long-Term Financial Planning PM JC MB PM JC MB PM JC MB X X X X X X X X X Priority Rank 1 2 1 2 3 3 3 1 2 Response planning survey results. Framework Sub-element Initials Estimated Level of Resiliency (%) 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 Training & Preparations Operations Emergency Response Plan MJ TV MB MJ TV MB MJ TV MB X X X X X X X X X Priority Rank 2 1 1 3 3 3 1 2 1 TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 58 Bibliography AEIC. (2002, November). The great Alaska earthquake of 1964. Retrieved from http://www.aeic.alaska.edu/quakes/Alaska_1964_earthquake.html AWWA. (2014, January 10). Chemical leak in West Virginia source water [Electronic mailing list message]. Britch, R. (2015, April 22). Interview by Mike Britch [Personal Interview]. 1964 Alaska earthquake. Buehrer, J. (2013). Colorado floods test endurance, skill of utility personnel. Opflow, 39(12), 1015. CREW. Cascadia Region Earthquake Workgroup, (2013). Cascadia subduction zone earthquakes: A magnitude 9.0 earthquake scenario Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industries Open-File Report 0-13-22. DHS. Department of Homeland Security, Infrastructure Sector Assessment. (2015a). Infrastructure system overview: Water systems Office of Cyber and Infrastructure Analysis. DHS. Department of Homeland Security, Infrastructure Sector Assessment. (2015b). Extended water outage: Infrastructure system overview Office of Cyber and Infrastructure Analysis. DOGAMI. (2010). Coming to terms with seismicity. Cascadia, Winter, 3. Retrieved from www.OregonGeology.org Duyck, A. TVWD Board Meeting. Beaverton, OR. 15 May 2013. Public Testimony. Eidinger, J and Davis, C. (2012). Recent earthquakes: Implications for U.S. water utiliites, Web Report #4408, Water Research Foundation, Denver, CO. FEMA. U.S. Department of Homeland Security, Federal Emergency Management Agency. (2011). National disaster recovery framework. Washington DC: FEMA. (2014, April). In Scott Porter (Chair). Cascadia subduction zone earthquakes: A magnitude 9.0 earthquake scenario. Emergency Management Institute Communityspecific integrated emergency management course, Emmitsburg, MD. Hill, D. (2014). Fighting back. Civil Engineering, 84(1), 49-55. Hoyenga, J. (2105, April). Resilient Lane County: A partnership to cultivate a culture of preparedness. Awwa Pacific Northwest section conference, Bellevue, Washington. Jones, L. City of Los Angeles, (2014). Resiliency by design. Los Angeles. Landers, J. (2014). San Francisco nears start of last pipeline improvement project. Civil Engineering, 84(1), 27-28. NIST. (2015, February). The social context for community resilience. Disaster resilience framework: 75% draft for San Diego, CA workshop, San Diego, CA. Obama, B. The White House, Office of the Press Secretary. (2013). Presidential policy directive/ppd-21 TVWD’S EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS FRAMEWORK 59 Priatla, K., Fisher, K., Andrus, R., Simonson, L., & Farahmandfar, Z. (2014). Evaluating the Resiliency of the Water System in Charleston, South Carolina against Liquefaction Hazard Through the Use of Seismic Hazard Maps. ASCE Pipelines 2014, 1217-1228. Reid, R. (2013). Defending New Orleans. Civil Engineering, 83(11), 48-67,83. State of Oregon, “Oregon Revised Statutes Chapter 264 — Domestic Water Supply Districts." Last modified 2011. Accessed September 21, 2013. http://www.leg.state.or.us/ors/264.html. Wang, Y., Raskin, J., & Wolf, E. Oregon Seismic Safety Policy Commission (OSSPAC), (2013). The Oregon resilience plan: Reducing risk and improving recovery for the next Cascadia earthquake and tsunami. Retrieved from website: http://www.oregon.gov/omd/oem/pages/osspac/osspac.aspx