Eco 101, Introduction to Macroeconomics Fall 2014 Prof. Michael Dohan HWK 3: Benefit-Cost Analysis of Air Pollution Control in Beijing, China BACKGROUND: Beijing, China has one of the highest levels of air pollution of any major city in the world, so high that some diplomats refuse to be posted to this beautiful capital of China. The Chinese leadership has decided that they are committed to spending as much as a trillion dollar on a crash program to reduced air pollution in Beijing and Shanghai, the second largest commercial city in China. The pollution comes mostly from burning coal and oil to generate electricity to heat or cool buildings, burning coal and oil to power factories and offices and using gasoline and diesel in the cars, trucks, motorized bicycles, etc. To keep the problem simple, let us assume that the Chinese government is only concerned about health benefits which not only affect the inhabitants, increases health care costs, and reduces tourism but also lowers the productivity of the laborers in the factories, transport, and stores. After some careful economic research and engineering estimates along with meteorologists and engineers in each city, the experts come up with the following costs and benefits (total for each city) in the table on page two Policy Decisions and MB> or = to MC. The basic principle of cost benefit analysis, ceteris paribus, is to spend resources on reducing air pollutant as long as the marginal benefits from one more unit (dollar, yuan) is greater than the marginal costs (assuming that the total benefits are greater than the total cost You have been brought in by the World Environment Congress at the invitation of China, Your objective is to spend your resources so that the last yuan spent in each city yields the greatest benefits for its inhabitants and workers by controlling pollutants, especially the particulate smaller than 2.5 mm as well as sulfur dioxide (Sox). Nitrous Oxides (NOx) and hydrocarbons, all when heated in the sun, produces smog and eye-burning ozone. Your Problem Beijing and Shanghai, however, are different and require different policies. Beijing has lots of power plants, traffic and factories and the air is often stagnant over the capital region. And it has more pollution to start with. So the ambient air pollution is high enough to cause a large number of excess deaths per year Shanghai has as much pollution from power plant sources and automobiles and heating as Beijing and they experience some health problems too. But the climate in Shanghai dissipates the pollutions from the air more quickly so that in general it has a lot less than pollution than Beijing (but a lot more the New York City). Questions Using the table on the next page. 1. On the same graph, plot the marginal cost of controlling each “level” of air pollution and the marginal benefit received from controlling each level of air pollution in the Beijing region. Show on the graph the optimal level and explain it in words. On a second small graph, do the same thing for Shanghai. 2. What is the optimal level of air pollution control in Beijing. Why don’t we want “clean” air? Should we at this point in time control any air pollution in Shanghai? Why or why not? Explain in words. HWK 3: Benefit-Cost Analysis of Air Pollution Control in Beijing, China Table I Example of Optimal Air Pollution Control Policy Using two Cities in China Data are representative of the actual situation and selected to mke the problem more challenging. Marginal Emission Total Emission of Fine Particles Total Marginal Benefit Control of Fine benefit Cost of cost of < 2.5 mm Policy Particles of of attaining attaining In the Shanghai Region Where the < 2.5 mm attaining attaining each each MC of each each Marginal Marginal level of level of controlling Beijinglevel of level of Cost of Benefit Tianjincontrol control the last control control Level of attaining attaining Hebei in in ton from in in Fine each level each Beijing Beijing Region each Beijing Beijing Particles of control level of region region source is 1,000,000 region region < 2.5 in 10 control equalized tons 10 10 mm billion in 10 10 10 for each billion billion yuan billion billion billion level. yuan yuan yuan yuan yuan 5 I 10 1 1 4 4 11 10 II 9 3 2 6 2 3 5 4 III 8 6 3 9 3 2 6 0 IV 7 9 3 12 4 1 7 0 V 6 14 5 14 2 VI 5 20 6 15 1 VII 4 30 10 15 NA VIII 3 45 15 15 NA IX 2 65 20 15 NA