Australian International School Model United Nations Forum: The Security Council Issue: The Situation in Ukraine Student Officer: Michael Leung Position: Chair of the Security Council Introduction Late November 2013 marked the beginning of numerous demonstrations by Ukrainian civilians, who voiced opposition against former President Yanukovych’s abandonment of an agreement promising closer ties with the European Union. Since then, escalated tensions have fuelled violent clashes between Ukrainian protestors and the police, and the Autonomous Republic of Crimea is under dispute. The current situation in Ukraine is extremely volatile, and it is crucial that the humanitarian crisis and the political strife present are addressed. Definition of Key Terms Crimea The Autonomous Republic of Crimea is located south of the Ukrainian mainland and west of Russia. Its territorial rights are currently in dispute between Russia and Ukraine. Agreement on the Settlement of Crisis in Ukraine A document signed by former Ukrainian President Yanukovych and Opposition leaders agreeing to “refrain from the use of violence” following months of demonstrations which have turned violent, and to “withdraw from administrative and public buildings for the normalisation of life in the cities and villages”. Crimean Status Referendum The referendum regarding Crimea’s secession from Ukraine and joining the Russian Federation, which was voted in favour of from 97% of voters on March 16, 2014. Following the announcement of the referendum results, Russia recognised Crimea as a sovereign state. The referendum is not formally recognised by the United Nations. AISMUN Research Report | Page 1 of 5 Australian International School Model United Nations General Overview History and causes of the conflict Demonstrations were held right after President Ukrainian Yanukovych announced his abandonment cabinet’s of a trade agreement with the European Union (EU) which was under negotiation in favour of closer ties with Russia. Violent Caption #1: A map of Ukraine, Crimea and its main cities clashes between protestors and police broke out, resulting in the deaths and arrests of many. An agreement was reached between the demonstrators and the government in mid-February, where both parties agreed to cease all violent activity. Following the escalated conflicts sparked from demonstrations in Kiev and all over Ukraine, unidentified gunmen began to seize control of key government buildings in Crimea; provoking the Russian parliament to authorise President Putin’s requests to deploy Russian troops into Crimea to “protect Russian civilians”. Numerous sources have claimed the Russian military to have advanced even further into Crimea; however this has not been validated yet. Stakeholders Ukraine Paramilitary activity has increased profusely in the Eastern regions of Ukraine, which has forced the Ukrainian government to deploy troops to such regions and to the border of Crimea as preventive against measures the militants. Caption #2: 2010 Ukraine presidential elections vote distribution AISMUN Research Report | Page 2 of 5 Australian International School Model United Nations Ukraine has sought the backing of other parties such as NATO the United States for further military support. There is a general divide in the views of Ukrainians on the issue, which could be seen in the 2010 presidential vote distributions throughout the country (see above); with Yanukovych supporters considered to be aligned with Russia’s views, and Tymoshenko voters considered to be pro-EU. Yanukovych won the election with the majority of his support from those in the Eastern regions, with most regions in the West favouring Tymoshenko. This is a possible explanation for the increased occurrence of pro-Russian demonstrations in Eastern Ukraine, however this has not been validated. Many pro-Russian rallies in several Ukrainian cities outside Crimea have been held; such as in Kharkiv, where numerous people were injured from clashes between pro- and anti-Russian protestors during their demonstrations. Russia Russia intense has pressure Ukrainian concerning placed on the government the territorial rights of Crimea, to cut off the supply of gas and oil to the country. This has negative impacts for other European countries such as France and Italy, who share the same gas pipelines from Russia as Caption #3: A map of Russia’s main gas pipelines to Europe which run Ukraine (as seen in the map through Ukraine to the left). Russia has also frozen a $15 billion package promised to Ukraine for rejecting the trade agreement with the EU. Russia has existing military relationships with Crimea, and stations its Black Sea fleet in Sevastopol – a city off the South coast of Crimea. The results of the Crimean status referendum have also been openly accepted by Russia. The international community The international community is actively aware of the current situation in Ukraine and urged for democratic and non-violent ways of reaching an agreement. Some members of the international community have also imposed sanctions on certain individuals and government ministers; and some others have halted economic talks with Russia and/or Ukraine AISMUN Research Report | Page 3 of 5 Australian International School Model United Nations temporarily due to the conflict. The EU is currently negotiating a free trade agreement with Ukraine to show their support for Ukraine in the crisis. EU leaders have also made attempts to reduce their energy dependence on Russia, after threats were made by them to cut off gas to Ukraine, effectively cutting off supply to the rest of the EU as well. Other organisations such as NATO have also shown major interest in putting an end to the conflict. The international community has been hindered by the fact that in the Security Council, no resolutions on the issue have been passed to this day, one due to a vote against by Russia. The international community has expressed deep concern over the exacerbated tensions between Russia, Ukraine and other involved nations; which could lead to detrimental consequences in the future if no measures are taken to prevent the possibility of armed conflict. Timeline of Events Date Description of event November 21, 2013 President Yanukovych cancels a trade agreement with the EU November 24, 2013 December 17, 2013 February 21, 2014 February 22, 2014 March 1, 2014 March 15, 2014 March 16, 2014 An estimated 100,000 people attend a demonstration in Kiev, police fire tear gas at crowd and arrest 35 Russian President Vladimir Putin agrees to buy $15 billion of Ukrainian debt and reduce the prices of gas supplies to Ukraine by about 30% President Yanukovych and opposition leaders sign an Agreement on the Settlement of Crisis in Ukraine President Yanukovych flees Kiev for Kharkiv and protestors take control of major government buildings Russian parliament approves troop deployment into Crimea Russia vetoes a US-drafted resolution which challenged the validity of the Crimean status referendum Crimean Status Referendum held, 97% of voters voted in favour of secession from Ukraine AISMUN Research Report | Page 4 of 5 Australian International School Model United Nations UN Involvement, Relevant Resolutions, Treaties and Events A draft resolution was presented to the Security Council that declared the Crimean status referendum on its secession from Ukraine illegal; which was vetoed by Russia. In further response, the UN General Assembly passed a non-binding resolution which does not recognise “any alteration of the status of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea” by vote of 100 in favour, 11 against and 58 abstentions. Bibliography BBC. (2014). Timeline of Ukraine Crisis. Retrieved from http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middleeast-26248275 BBC. (2014). Huge Ukraine Rally Over EU Agreement Delay. Retrieved from http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-25078952 CNN. (2014). A Divided Ukraine. Retrieved from http://edition.cnn.com/interactive/2014/02/world/ukraine-divided/ Evans-Pritchard, A. (2014). Europe Braces for Gas Showdown with Russia, Helped by Japan’s Nuclear Restart. Retrieved from http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/energy/oilandgas/10781229/Europe-braces-forgas-showdown-with-Russia-helped-by-Japans-nuclear-restart.html Tisdall, S. (2014). Ukraine Shows Restraint Even as Fightback against Russia Begins. Retrieved from http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/apr/08/ukraine-restraint-fightback-russia-moscow-kiev United Nations. (2014). Backing Ukraine’s Territorial Integrity, UN Assembly Declared Crimea Referendum Invalid. Retrieved from http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=47443&Cr=ukraine&Cr1=#.U1ZPXPmSyT0 AISMUN Research Report | Page 5 of 5