1. Short Answer. Of 23 college sophomores at Crocodile Community College, 12 preferred pepperoni pizza, 7 preferred supreme, and 4 preferred cheese. If we picked a college sophomore at Crocodile Community College at random, what is the probability that he or she would prefer cheese? Give solution exactly in reduced fraction form. Probability the student prefers cheese = 0 1157833983 Short number of students who prefer cheese total number of students 4 = 23 1 2. If the probability of seeing moose in a day in a certain region of Alaska is 0.81, what is the probability of not seeing any moose in a day there? 0.81 1.19 the probability of the complementary event =1-0.63=0.37 0.19 -0.81 0 1157833984 MultipleChoice 7 3. If the odds of winning a raffle are 12:258, what is the probability of winning? 12/270 probability of winning = odds of winning/(total odds) 12/258 258/270 258/12 0 1157833985 MultipleChoice 15 4. Essay. According to the U. S. Census Bureau, the total 2008 U.S. population was 303,824,640. The chart below summarizes the 2008 population for five U.S. States. U. S. State Missouri Pennsylvania Tennessee Utah Washington 2008 Population 5,911,605 12,448,279 6,214,888 2,736,424 6,549,224 SOURCE: U. S. Census Bureau What is the probability that a randomly selected U.S. resident did not live in Missouri? Show step by step work. Round solution to the nearest thousandth. Compute first the total number of residents who lived in these 5 states: =33,860,420 5,911,605 Then compute the probability a random US resident lives in Missouri = 33,860,420 = 17.46% It follows that the probability a random US resident did not live in Missouri is = 1 − 17.46% = 𝟖𝟐. 𝟓𝟒% 0 1157833986 Essay 6 5. Essay; show all work. A simple dartboard has three areas… the main board has a radius of 10 inches, there is a circle with a radius of 5 inches, and the bullseye has a radius of 2 inches. What is the probability of a random dart landing inside the bullseye? Round to the nearest thousandth. (Hint: Use A=r^2) Total area of the target = 𝜋 × 102 = 100𝜋 Area of the bulls-eye =𝜋 × 22 = 4𝜋 4𝜋 𝟏 Probability a random dart lands inside the bulls-eye = 100𝜋 = 𝟐𝟓 = 𝟒% 0 1157833987 Essay 12 6. A certain drawing states that the odds of winning are 326:131. What would be the odds against winning? 326:131 131:326 326:457 131:457 0 1157833988 MultipleChoice 23 7. Essay; show all work. The property restoration company PuroServ is considering switching to new dehumidifiers. Their market research, considering the cost of the new machines and their efficiency, tells them that the switch would give them an 80% chance of making a $20,000 profit, a 15% chance of breaking even, and a 5% chance of losing $5,000. How much money does PuroServ expect to make with their new purchase? Expected Profit= 0.80 × 20000 + 0.15 × 0 + 0.05 × (−5000) = $𝟏𝟓, 𝟕𝟓𝟎 0 1157833989 Essay 21 8. Essay; show all work. Last fall, a gardener planted 55 iris bulbs. She found that only 45 of the bulbs bloomed in the spring. Find the empirical probability that an iris bulb of this type will bloom. Give answer as a fraction in lowest terms. the empirical probability that an iris bulb of this type will bloom is 45/55 =9/11 How many of the bulbs should she plant next fall if she would like at least 51 to bloom? Let x be the number the bulbs she should plant if she wants at least 53 to bloom. 51 𝑥 ≤ 9 11 →𝑥≥ 11×51 9 = 62.33 → 𝑥 = 63 At least 63 bulbs should be planted. 0 1157833990 Essay 40 9. Essay; show all work. A community 5K run will award $50 to the winner. 65 people enter the race, and they each pay an entry fee of $20. Assuming they are all equally likely to win, what is a fair price for the competition? Round to the nearest cent. 65 people contribute $20 each. Since only one prize is awarded a fair first prize would be 65 × 20 = $𝟏𝟑𝟎𝟎. Since the first prize is only $50 it is likely the organizers are pocketing the difference of $1,250.