ECO435 Public Utilities Economics Syllabus Spring, 2015 Dr. Adrienne Ohler Office: Stevenson 426F Phone: 438-7892 E-mail: aohler@ilstu.edu Office Hours: 10 -12 Tuesdays and Thursdays and by Appointment REQUIRED TEXT: Sandford V. Berg and John Tschirhart, Natural Monopoly Regulation: Principles and Practice (Cambridge University Press, 1988). Recommended Text: Johnathan A. Lesser and Leonardo R. Giacchino, Fundamentals of Energy Regulation, (Public Utilities Report, Vienna, Virginia, 2007). ATTENDANCE POLICY: Attendance is required. PREREQUISITES: ECO 335 and ECO 440 COURSE GRADE: There will be two midterm exams and a final. Seven presentations will be given throughout the semester. A paper will be due towards the end of the semester. The topic must be approved by the instructor in advance. Every student is required to present an oral report during the semester. Guidelines and due dates on the paper and oral presentation are provided below. Students are expected to attend the Institute for Regulatory Policy Studies' Spring Conference. Transportation and more information will be provided later. The final grade will be based on the following point scheme: Midterm #1 100 points Midterm #2 100 points Presentations 50 points Class Presentation 50 points Paper 100 points Final 100 points The following point scale will be used to evaluate your performance: Grade Total Points A 450 or above B 400 or above C 350 or above D 300 or above F less than 300 COURSE GOAL AND OBJECTIVES: This course covers the theoretical literature of the regulation of natural monopoly and selected empirical applications of the theoretical models and techniques. Students will also learn the actual institutions and methods of public utility regulation with a special ECO435 Public Utilities Economics Syllabus Spring, 2015 emphasis on the recent regulatory and structural changes in the electricity, natural gas and telecommunications industries MISSING AND LATE POLICY: All assignments are due by 5pm on Friday. Paper assignments are due electronically. No credit will be given for late assignments. Make-up exams may be given to those only in EXTREME circumstance who discuss the emergency with me before the exam date. POLICY ON CELL PHONES AND OTHER ELECTRONIC DEVICES: Cell phones must be turned off before you enter the classroom. I will not tolerate the use of cell phones, e.g., voice or text messaging, during class under any circumstances. EXTRA CREDIT: No additional extra credit will be offered. Please don’t ask. Disability Resource Accommodation: Reasonable accommodations are available for students who have a documented disability. Please notify the instructor the first week of class of any accommodations needed for the course. Late notification may cause the requested accommodations to not be available. Any student needing to arrange a reasonable accommodation for a documented disability should contact Disability Concerns at 350 Fell Hall, 309-438-5853, or visit the website at http://disabilityconcerns.illinoisstate.edu/ Academic Honesty: Cheating, plagiarism, collusion, abuse of resource materials, and their consequences are defined and described in ISU Undergraduate Catalog 2008-2010, Section: Academic Policies and Practices, Article: Academic Integrity (Page 57) and Code of Student Conducts under X.C. Disciplinary Bodies And Procedures -- Academic Honesty Cases. Disclaimer: This syllabus is subject to change to facilitate instructional and/or student needs. COURSE OUTLINE Week Date Material 1 1/12 Introduction and Overview - Chapter 1 Why We Regulate. 1/14 The Natural Monopoly – Chapter 2 Testing for natural monopolies and competition 2 1/19 MLK, Jr.’s Day – No Class 1/21 Second Best Linear Pricing -Sections 3.1, 3.2 and 3.5 3 4 5 1/26 1/28 2/2 2/4 2/9 Presentations 1 – Industry At A Glance Presentations 1 – Industry At A Glance Fully Distributed Cost Pricing – Section 3.6 Second Best Non-linear Pricing - Sections 4.1, 4.2 Two-Part Tariff Model Presentations 2 – Testing for subadditivity, Testing for Economies of Scale, MC pricing Action Items Paper Proposal Due 1/23 Presentation Presentation Paper Intro Due 2/6 Presentation ECO435 2/11 6 2/16 2/18 Public Utilities Economics Syllabus Presentations 2 – Testing for subadditivity, Testing for Economies of Scale, MC pricing Pareto-superior two-part tariff, Multi-part pricing - Section 4.5, 4.6 Presentations 3 – Second Best Pricing 2/23 2/25 3/2 3/4 3/9 3/11 3/16 3/18 3/23 3/25 Presentations 3 – Second Best Pricing 12 3/30 13 4/1 4/6 Rate-of-Return Regulation - Sections 8.2, 8.3 and 9.1 Stochastic Demand - Section 6.1 Presentations 6 – Rate of Return OR Real Time Pricing Presentations 6 – Rate of Return OR Real Time Pricing Alternative to Regulation and Deregulation Sections 12.1, 12.2 Exam 2 Presentations 5 or 7 – Current Industry Problems or Incentive Regulation, Deregulate, Why Regulate? Presentations 5 or 7 – Current Industry Problems or Incentive Regulation, Deregulate, Why Regulate? Presentations Presentations 7 8 9 10 11 4/8 14 4/13 15 4/15 4/20 4/22 16 17 4/27 4/29 TBD Exam 1 Spring Break Spring Break Peak Load Pricing – Chapter 5 Peak Load Pricing – Chapter 5 Presentations 4 – Peak Load Pricing Presentations 4 – Peak Load Pricing Spring, 2015 Presentation Presentation, Paper Outline Due 2/21 Presentation Paper Rough Draft Due 3/7 Presentation Presentation, In Class Feedback Due Presentation Presentation, Paper Revisions #1 Due 4/11 Presentation Presentation Final Paper Due 5/8 I. Presentation 1 - An Overview of the Traditional Utility Industries and Restructuring Loomis (2008), “The Telecommunications Industry” in Hossein Bidgoli (ed.) The Handbook of Computer Networks, Volume 1, Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons Steinhurst (2011), “The Electricity Industry At a Glance,” NRRI Discussion Paper Costello (2010) “The Natural Gas Industry at a Glance,” NRRI Discussion Paper Denig-Chakroff (2008) “The Water Industry at a Glance,” NRRI Discussion Paper ECO435 Public Utilities Economics Syllabus Spring, 2015 Hempling, Scott (2009) “Multi-Utility Issues at a Glance,” NRRI Discussion Paper II. Presentation 2 – Testing for Subadditivity and Marginal Cost Pricing Shin and Ying (1992), "Unnatural Monopolies in Local Telephone," Rand Journal of Economics, 23: 171-183. Gilsdorf (1995), "Testing for Subadditivity of Vertically Integrated Electric Utilities," Southern Economic Journal, 62:126-138. Sing, Merrile (1987), “Are Combination Gas and Electric Utilities Multiproduct Natural Monopolies?” The Review of Economics and Statistics 69 (3): 392-398. Fetz, Aurelio, and Massimo Filippini (2010) “Economies of vertical integration in the Swiss electricity sector.” Energy Economics 32 (6): 1325-1330. Davis, Lucas and Erich Muehlegger. (2010) “Do Americans consume too little natural gas? An empirical test of marginal cost pricing.” RAND Journal of Economics 41.4: 791-810. Christensen, Laurits, and William Greene (1976) “Economies of Scale in U.S. Electric Power Generation” The Journal of Political Economy 84 (4): 655-676 Carlin, Alan, and R.E. Park (1970) “Marginal Cost Pricing of Airport Runway Capacity.” The American Economic Review 60.3: 310-319 Renzetti, Steven (1999) “Municipal Water Supply and Sewage Treatment: Costs, Prices, and Distortions”, The Canadian Journal of Economics 32.3: 688-704 III. Presentation 3 - Second-Best Pricing: Ramsey Pricing and Fully Distributed Cost Pricing Kim, H. Youn (1995) “Marginal Cost and Second-Best Pricing for Water Services” Review of Industrial Organization. 10: 323-338 Sherman, R. and George, A. (1979) “Second-Best Pricing for the US Postal Service.” Southern Economic Journal. 45 (3): 685-695. Oum, T.H. and Tretheway, M.W. (1988) “Ramsey Pricing in the Presence of Externality Costs.” Journal of Transport Economics and Policy. 22 (3): 307-317. Matsukawa, Isamu, Seishi Madono, and Takako Nakashima. (1993) “An Empirical Analysis of Ramsey Pricing in Japanese Electric Utilities.” Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 7: 256-276. Hakimov, Rustamdjan, and Juergen Mueller. "Charges of uncongested German airports: Do they follow Ramsey pricing scheme?." Research in Transportation Economics 45 (2014): 57-65. Morrison, Steven A. "The structure of landing fees at uncongested airports: an application of Ramsey pricing." Journal of Transport Economics and Policy(1982): 151-159. ECO435 Public Utilities Economics Syllabus Spring, 2015 Ross, Thomas W. "Uncovering regulators' social welfare weights." The RAND Journal of Economics (1984): 152-155. DeLorme Jr, Charles D., David R. Kamerschen, and Herbert G. Thompson Jr. "Pricing in the nuclear power industry: Public or private interest?." Public Choice 73.4 (1992): 385-396. Garcia, Serge, and Arnaud Reynaud. "Estimating the benefits of efficient water pricing in France." Resource and energy economics 26.1 (2004): 1-25. IV. Presentation 4 – Two-Part Tariffs Calem, Paul and Daniel Spulber. (1984) “Multiproduct Two Part Tariffs” International Journal of Industrial Organization. 2: 105-115. Oi (1971), "A Disneyland Dilemma: Two-Part Tariffs for a Mickey Mouse Monopoly," Quarterly Journal of Economics, 85:77-96. Borenstein, Severin and Lucas W. Davis (2010) “The Equity and Efficiency of Two-Part Tariffs in the U.S. Natural Gas Markets” NBER Working Paper Naughton, Michael. (1989) “Regulatory Preferences and Two-Part Tariffs: The Case of Electricity.” Southern Economic Journal 55 (3): 743-58. Klein, Christopher C., and George H Sweeney. "Regulator preferences and utility prices: evidence from natural gas distribution utilities." Energy Economics 21.1 (1999): 1-15. Schefter, John E., and Elizabeth L. David. "Estimating residential water demand under multi-part tariffs using aggregate data." Land Economics (1985): 272-280. Nauges, Céline, and Alban Thomas. "Privately operated water utilities, municipal price negotiation, and estimation of residential water demand: the case of France." Land Economics (2000): 68-85. V. Presentation 5 – Current Industry Problems Lim, Seul-Ye, and Seung-Hoon Yoo. (2013) “The Impact of Electricity Pricing Changes on Industrial Prices and the General Price Level in Korea.” Energy Policy 61: 1551-55. Webster, Allan, and Sukanya Ayatakshi. (2013) “The Effect of Fossil Energy and Other Environmental Taxes on Profit Incentives for Change in an Open Economy: Evidence from the UK.” Energy Policy 61: 1422-31. Heeter, Jenny and Lori Bird (2013) “Including Alternative Resources in State Renewable Portfolio Standards: Current Design and Implementation Experience.” Energy Policy 61: 1388-89. Puller, Steven L. "Efficient retail pricing in electricity and natural gas markets."The American Economic Review 103.3 (2013): 350-355. Chermak, Janie M., et al. "Moving forward by looking back: comparing laboratory results with ex ante market data." Economic Inquiry 51.1 (2013): 1035-1049. ECO435 Public Utilities Economics Syllabus Spring, 2015 Beecher, Janice A., and Jason A. Kalmbach. "Structure, regulation, and pricing of water in the United States: A study of the Great Lakes region." Utilities Policy 24 (2013): 32-47. Huang, Ming-Yuan, et al. "Is the choice of renewable portfolio standards random?." Energy Policy 35.11 (2007): 5571-5575. Any paper from Energy Policy, the Electricity Journal, or the Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy after 2010 related to the three industries we are studying. Presentation 6 – Peak Load Pricing Models and Real Time Pricing OR Rate-of-Return Regulation Wenders, John T. (1976) “Peak Load Pricing in the Electric Utility Industry.” The Bell Journal of Economics 7 (1): 232-241. VI. Hausman, J.A. et al (1979) “A Two-Level Electricity Demand Model: Evaluation of the Connecticut Time-of-Day Pricing Test.” Journal of Econometrics 10 (3): 263-289. Herriges, Joseph A. et al (1993) “The Response of Industrial Customers to Electric Rates Based Upon Dynamic Marginal Costs.” The Review of Economics and Statistics 75 (3): 446-454. Matsukawa, Isamu. "Household response to optional peak-load pricing of electricity." Journal of Regulatory Economics 20.3 (2001): 249-267. Faruqui, Ahmad, and Sanem Sergici. "Household response to dynamic pricing of electricity: a survey of 15 experiments." Journal of Regulatory Economics38.2 (2010): 193-225. Di Cosmo, Valeria, Sean Lyons, and Anne Nolan. "Estimating the impact of time-of-use pricing on Irish electricity demand." (2012). Joskow, Paul (1972) “The determination of the allowed rate of return in a formal regulatory hearing” Bell Journal of Economics, 3.2: 632-644. Hayashi, Paul and John Trapani. (1976) “Rate of Return Regulation and the Regulated Firm's Choice of Capital-Labor Ratio: Further Empirical Evidence on the Averch-Johnson Model” Sourthern Economic Journal 42.3: 384-398. Hayashi, Paul, Melanie Sevier, and John Trapani. (1985) “Pricing Efficiency under Rate-of-Return Regulation: Some Empirical Evidence for the Electricity Utility Industry.” Southern Economic Journal. 51 (3): 776-792 Courville, Leon. (1974) “Regulation and Efficiency in the Electric Utility Industry.” The Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science. 5(1): 53-74. Ohler, Adrienne (2013) “Behavior of the Firm under Rate-of-Return Regulation with Two Capital Inputs.” The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance ECO435 Public Utilities Economics Syllabus Spring, 2015 Spann, Robert M. "Rate of return regulation and efficiency in production: An empirical test of the Averch-Johnson thesis." The Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science (1974): 38-52. Sherman, Roger. "The Averch and Johnson analysis of public utility regulation twenty years later." Review of Industrial Organization 2.2 (1985): 178-193. Tahvanainen, Kaisa, et al. "Experiences of modern rate of return regulation in Finland." Utilities Policy 21 (2012): 32-39. Crew, Michael A., and Rami S. Kahlon. "Guaranteed return regulation: a case study of regulation of water in California." Journal of Regulatory Economics46.1 (2014): 112-121. VII. Presentation 7 – Incentive Regulation, Deregulate, Why Regulate? i) Incentive Regulations Joskow and Schmalensee (1986), "Incentive Regulation for Electric Utilities," Yale Journal on Regulation, 4: 1-49. Vogelsang, Ingo (2002), “Incentive Regulation and Competition in Public Utility Markets: A 20 Year Perspective,” 22 (1): 5-27 Braeutigam, Ronald R., and John C. Panzar. "Effects of the change from rate-of-return to price-cap regulation." The American Economic Review (1993): 191-198. Liston, Catherine. "Price-cap versus rate-of-return regulation." Journal of Regulatory Economics 5.1 (1993): 25-48. ii) Deregulation Kwoka, John. (2008) “Restructuring the U.S. Electric Power Sector: A Review of Recent Studies.” Review of Industrial Organization 32:165-196. Brennan, Timothy, Karem Palmer, and Salvador Martinez. (2002) “Implementing Electricity Restructuring.” Environmental and Resource Economics 22: 99-132. Borenstein, Severin. (2002) “The Trouble with Electricity Markets: Understanding California’s Restructuring Disaster.” The Journal of Economic Perspectives. 16(1): 191211. iii) Why Regulate? Demsetz, Harold. (1968) “Why Regulate Utilities?” Journal of Law and Economics 11(1): 55-65 Joskow, Paul. (1981) “Regulation in Theory and Practice: An Overiew” Studies in Public Regulation MIT Press: 1-78. Smyth Russel. (2010) “Public interest versus regulatory capture in the Swedish electricity market.” Journal of Regulatory Economics. 38:292-312.