POLS 5435: Presidential Elections Fall 2015 Office Hours: 11:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m. Monday, Wednesday 10:00 a.m. – 11:00 a.m. Friday & by appointment ? Jim King 327 A&S 766-6239 jking@uwyo.edu This course explores one of the most significant events in American politics: the selection of a new chief executive. Few events are more important, more complicated, and understood less than presidential elections. Of general concern are the democratic requirements for successful elections and how effectively our current elections meet those criteria. Specific topics of concern are campaign finance; the roles of presidential primaries, caucuses, and conventions; campaign techniques; media coverage of campaigns; citizen participation; the electoral college; and proposed reforms of the presidential selection process. Texts The required text for the course is: Stephen J. Wayne, Road to the White House, 2016. New York: Cengage Learning, 2016. ISBN: 978-1-285-86525-6 Additional readings (indicated by on the list of topics) are available on WyoCourses page for the class. Students are also expected to follow developments in the current presidential contest in the media. I recommend newspapers, which tend to offer greater breadth and depth in their coverage of political affairs. The New York Times is available free Monday through Friday at several campus locations. Other newspapers with substantial coverage of the presidential election, such as The Washington Post and Wall Street Journal, are available online. 1 Grading Grades will be based on two essay examinations and a set of short, out-of-class essays on various aspects of presidential elections. These assignments will be weighted in computation of final grades as follows: Midterm exam (October 21) 25% Final exam (December 16) 30% Analytic essays (2 @ 10%) 20% Research paper (December 2) 25% Daily class attendance and participation will be taken into account for resolving borderline grade cases. The analytic essays are designed to have students consider a specific aspect of the presidential selection process. Each comprises 10% of graduate students’ grades and involves analyzing data/information from a given source or reacting to an assigned reading. Details of each assignment will be distributed at least one week before the due date. Graduate students are expected to submit a research paper on some aspect of presidential elections. Each student should schedule a meeting early in the semester to discussed possible topics. The paper should be 12-15 pages in length. A “Guide to Writing” is available on the WyoCourses page for POLS 4435. Included are various expectations concerning grammar, capitalization, word use, and sentence structure that will be applied when grading essays. Ignore this information at your peril. Attendance There is no formal attendance policy in this course. All students are assumed capable of making choices concerning what they want to learn in this course and their grades. As noted above, daily class attendance and participation will be taken into account in resolving borderline grade cases. The examinations will be structured to draw upon both reading assignments and in-class activities. Students will be held responsible for all class material. Disabilities A student with a disability that requires special accommodation in class or for assignments, exams or any other task should see me by the second week of class. You will need to register with and provide documentation of your disability to University Disability Support Services (UDSS) in SEO, room 330 Knight Hall, 766-6189, TTY: 766-3073. For information regarding disabilities and accommodations that the University can make for you see http://uwadmnweb.uwyo.edu/UDSS/facultyandstaff/. 2 Academic Dishonesty Students are expected to be aware of and to abide by the university’s policy regarding academic dishonesty as specified in UNIREG 802, Revision 2 (www.uwyo.edu/legal/Uniregs/ur802.htm), which governs all class assignments and activities. My policy is to enforce UNIREG 802 to the fullest extent. A student found in violation of UNIREG 802 will receive a grade of “F” for the course and will have a formal charge of academic dishonesty filed against him/her. If sustained, the charge of academic dishonesty becomes part of the student’s permanent UW record. Additional punishment, including loss of scholarships and suspension from the university, can be imposed by UW officials. Final thoughts Many aspects of the political process evoke strong opinions. Class discussion will be conducted on a professional basis. All students are expected to discuss elections, candidates, and the presidency as political scientists, not as partisans. Additionally, others’ opinions, either intellectual or political, are to be respected. Be respectful of others and they will be respectful of you. Be disrespectful of others and you will have to deal with me. 3 Schedule of Topics and Readings ( Available on WyoCourses page for POLS 4435/5435) Note: Exam dates are firm and will not change unless extraordinary circumstances arise. There will be some flexibility concerning class topics and dates. August 31 Introduction September 2-4 Overview Wayne, Road to the White House, chapters 1 and 3. September 9 Modern campaigns – polling September 11 Modern campaigns – media use September 14-16 Modern campaigns – finance Wayne, Road to the White House, chapter 2. Dino P. Christenson and Corwin D. Smidt, “Following the Money: Super PACS and the 2012 Presidential Nomination,” Presidential Studies Quarterly 44 (September 2014): 410-430. September 18 Who runs? Barry C. Burden, “United States Senators as Presidential Candidates,” Political Science Quarterly 117 (Spring 2002): 81-102. September 21-23 Primaries, caucuses, & strategy I Wayne, Road to the White House, chapter 4. Emmett H. Buell, Jr., “The Invisible Primary,” in In Pursuit of the White House: How We Choose our Presidential Nominees, edited by William G. Mayer (Chatham, NJ: Chatham House Publishers, 1996), pp. 1-43. September 25-30 Primaries, caucuses, & strategy II Wayne, Road to the White House, chapter 5. D. Jason Berggren, “Two Parties, Two Types of Nominees, Two Paths to Winning a Presidential Nominations, 1972-2004,” Presidential Studies Quarterly 37 (June 2007): 203-227. October 2-7 Class exercise I October 9-12 Vice presidents & Conventions Wayne, Road to the White House, chapter 6. October 14-19 Reforming the nomination process 4 October 21 Midterm exam October 23 No class October 26 Do Fall campaigns matter? Wayne, Road to the White House, pp. 244-250. October 28 Fall campaign: Strategic considerations Wayne, Road to the White House, chapter 7. Oct. 30-Nov. 2Presidential debates Wayne, Road to the White House, pp. 219-225. Theodore White, “Round Two: The Television Debates,” from The Making of the President 1960 (New York: Antheneum, 1961), pp. 279-295. Dan Balz, “Debacle in Denver,” from Collision 2012: The Future of Election Politics in a Divided America (New York: Penguin Books, 2013), chapter 24. November 4 Media coverage Wayne, Road to the White House, chapter 8. John Allen Hendricks, “The New-Media Campaign of 2012,” in The 2012 Presidential Campaign: A Communication Perspective, edited by Robert E. Denton, Jr. (Lanham, MD: Rowan & Littlefield, 2014), pp. 133-156. November 6-9 Voter turnout & choice Wayne, Road to the White House, pp. 244-267. David B. Holian and Charles Prysby, “Candidate Character Traits in the 2012 Presidential Election,” Presidential Studies Quarterly 44 (September 2015): 484-505. November 11-13 Class exercise II November 16 Election Night Media Coverage Wayne, Road to the White House, pp. 250-255. November 18-23 Electoral college Jack Rakove, “Presidential Selection: Electoral Fallacies,” Political Science Quarterly 119 (Spring 2004): 21-38. Judith Best, “Presidential Selection: Complex Problems and Simple Solutions,” Political Science Quarterly 119 (Spring 2004): 39-59. November 30 Does a president-elect receive a mandate? 5 Wayne, Road to the White House, pp. 268-271. Robert Dahl, “Myth of the Presidential Mandate,” Political Science Quarterly 105 (Autumn 1990): 355-372. December 2-4 Presidential transitions Wayne, Road to the White House, pp. 272-273. Charles O. Jones, “‘The Biggest Mistake’ and Other Lessons,” Passages to the Presidency: From Campaigning to Governing (Washington, DC: Brookings, 1998), pp. 173-197. December 7-11 Reforming the election process Wayne, Road to the White House, chapter 10. James Bryce, “Why Great Men Are Not Chosen Presidents,” from The American Commonwealth, Volume I, new edition (New York: MacMillan Company, 1912 [original edition, 1893]), pp. 77-84. December 16 Final exam (1:15 p.m.) 6 Entries for the 2016 Run for the Rose Garden (in order of entrance; strikethrough indicates the candidate has withdrawn) Democratic Dance Entry date State Prior political experience (italicized if currently in office) Hillary Clinton April 12, 2015 New York Secretary of State, U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders April 30, 2015 Vermont U.S. Senator and Representative (both as Independent), Mayor Martin O’Malley May 30, 2015 Maryland Governor, Mayor Lincoln Chaffee June 3, 2015 Rhode Island Governor (as Independent), U.S. Senator (as Republican), Mayor Jim Webb July 2, 2015 Virginia U.S. Senator, Secretary of the Navy Republican Rendition Entry date State Prior political experience (italicized if currently in office) Ted Cruz March 23, 2015 Texas U.S. Senator, state government official Rand Paul April 7, 2015 Kentucky U.S. Senator Marco Rubio April 13, 2015 Florida U.S. Senator, state legislator Ben Carson May 3, 2015 Maryland none Carly Fiorina May 4, 2015 California none Mike Huckabee May 5, 2015 Arkansas Governor, Lt. Governor Rick Santorum May 27, 2015 Pennsylvania U.S. Senator, U.S. Representative George Pataki May 28, 2015 New York Lindsey Graham June 1, 2015 So. Carolina U.S. Senator, U.S. Representative, state legislator Rick Perry June 4, 2015 Texas Governor, Lt. Governor, state government official Jeb Bush June 15, 2015 Florida Governor, state government official Governor, state legislator 7 Republican Rendition Entry date State Prior political experience (italicized if currently in office) Donald Trump June 16, 2015 New York none Bobby Jindal June 24, 2015 Louisiana Governor, U.S. Representative, state government official Chris Christie June 30, 2015 New Jersey Governor, U.S. attorney, local government official Scott Walker July 13, 2015 Wisconsin Governor, local government official, state legislator John Kasich July 21, 2015 Ohio Governor, U.S. Representative, state legislator Jim Gilmore July 29, 2015 Virginia Governor, state government official Teasers’ Tango Party State Prior political experience Joe Biden Democratic Delaware Vice President, U.S. Senator Andrew Cuomo Democratic New York Governor, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development 8