Expert Meeting on Biometeorological and Bioclimatic Forecasts, Havana, Cuba. 30 November to 2 December 2015 Third Announcement Expert Meeting for the implementation of bioclimatic and biometeorological forecasts in Latin America and the Caribbean November 30 to December 2, 2015 Organized by the International Society of Biometeorology and the Cuban Meteorological Society With the participation of: 1 Havana, 13 July of 2015 Dear Colleagues, The Cuban Meteorological Society and the International Society of Biometeorology have been working in the organization of an international expert meeting for the implementation of biometeorological and bioclimatic forecasts in Latin America and the Caribbean, to be held in the city of Havana, Cuba, among 30 November to 2 December of 2015. The meeting will be part to the celebration of the VIII Cuban Congress of Meteorology and the same travel and accommodation facilities during the congress will be available for the participants in the expert meeting. The presentations in the meeting should express the characteristics and observed impacts of actual bioclimatic and biometeorological forecasts services, considering the needs, priorities and projections of international organizations related with the broad spectrum of biometeorology, in the fields of humans, animal health and agrometeorology (phenology), as well as the feasibility for development a regional project oriented to offer bioclimatic advisories and biometeorological alerts to the health authorities of selected case study countries in the region of Latin America and the Caribbean. The meeting also will promote the interdisciplinary interaction between experts from the different areas of biometeorology (humans, animals, plants), trying to make easier a common methodological approach for the application of biometeorological and bioclimatic services, to assure the validation within the user´s community of the service outputs and to implement known best practices in managing efficiently and seamlessly the interaction among the international and national partners involved, the meteorological services, the mass media and the general public. The specific objectives of the meeting are: To review the recent results of monthly and seasonal bioclimatic advisories, short-range biometeorological forecasts and the monitoring of meteor-tropic effects at regional and national levels. Address the need for development and validation of bioclimatic advisories and biometeorological forecasts services in the region of Latin America and the Caribbean through some national case studies. To recommend best practices and best strategies for the adequate application and interpretation of bioclimatic and biometeorological forecasts within the different user´s areas and the general public. To prepare the scientific fundament for a cooperated interdisciplinary project oriented to make easier the implementation of bioclimatic advisories and biometeorological forecasts at national and regional level into the region, and To recommend a follow-up mechanism for the continuous implementation, upgrade and improvement of bioclimatic advisories, biometeorological forecasts and the monitoring of meteor-tropic effects at regional scale. The General Program is still under development. Special focus will be given to improve communication between specialist from the different areas of biometeorology and the user´s community. The sessions will be conducted in English or Spanish with simultaneous translation to both languages. Morning and afternoon coffee/tea breaks during the meeting sessions will be provided. The congress staff will guarantee all the necessary conditions for the meeting success and fruitful discussions, and the city of Havana will offer to the participants his cultural diversity, beautiful places and squares, open spaces near the sea and the warm hospitality and the friendship tradition of the Cuban people. The Organizing Committee 2 Local Organizing Committee Andrés H. Planas Lavié President Cuban Meteorological Society (Sometcuba) President Pro Tempore Latin American and Iberian Federation of Meteorological Societies (Flismet) Phone: (537) 867-0711 and 868-6689 Cel: (537) 5306-0167 Mail: andres.planas@insmet.cu Luis B. Lecha Estela Counselor for Latin America and the Caribbean International Society of Biometeorology Phone: (53) 4222-8686 / 4227-1165 Mail: luis.lecha@gmail.com, lecha@cesam.vcl.cu Date and Place The Workshop will be held from 30 November to 2 December 2015 as part of the activities of the VIII Cuban Congress of Meteorology. The Venue will be the Tryp Habana Libre Hotel in Havana, Cuba, located at 23 Ave. and L Street, Vedado County, Havana. Visa/Entry requirement All visitors to Cuba are required to have valid passports and tourist visa. Participants are kindly requested to inquire about visa requirements from the nearest Embassy/Consulate of Cuba in their respective countries. If required, the host can provide a letter of invitation in support of the visa application; participants are requested to directly contact the host for this purpose. Registration of participants Registration of participants will start on Monday 30 November 2015 from 8:00 AM to 9:30 AM at the Venue. Participants will receive at the time of registration identification cards, some office supplies and documents for the meeting sessions. The payment for the accreditation fee will be assumed by the International Society of Biometeorology such as especial contribution to the meeting success. Opening/Closure The meeting will open on Monday 30 November 2015 at 9:30 AM. Next day at 19:00 hours, all participants are invited to the general Congress Welcome Reception. The meeting will finish on Wednesday 2 December 2015 at 17:00 hours. Documents for the Expert Meeting It is planned to distribute some documents to participants prior to the meeting by e-mail. Any late documents will be available at the time of the expert meeting. The technical reports, papers and presentations during the meeting must be written following the rules and format accepted for publication by the International Journal of Biometeorology http://www.springer.com/environment/journal/ . Accommodation Accommodation at an agreed special rate of USD 70.00 (single room) or USD 90.00 (double room), with breakfast included, has been arranged for all foreign participants at the Tryp Habana Libre hotel, located in the known intersection of 23th Ave. and L street, Vedado County, Havana. Cheapest options 3 are often available in *** hotels and private guest houses. November is the beginning of the tourist season in Cuba. It is recommended to assure the hotel reservation as early as possible. In order to take advantage of the special rate, participants must confirm attendance by the end of October 2015 at the latest (even if final travel itinerary is not available yet), so that the Local Organizing Committee can send a required letter to the hotel. Each participant will pay his/her hotel room upon check out. The hotel can provide internet connection and 24-hour free wireless access to the internet in each room and common areas. Transportation to Cuba and between Airport – Hotel OFFICIAL TRYP AGENCY: CUBATUR (www.cubatur.cu) COPA AIRLINES is the official air carrier for the participants. A discount of 10 % in the air fares will be in effect for the participants and the accompanying person. To make this Discount effective, the passenger should present a document crediting his (her) participation emitted by the organizing committee or the organizing institution of the event and the voucher of Copa Airlines. Also, tickets may be purchased directly through the website www.copa.com applying the special discount code for the congress (B6066). Taxis are available any time at the Havana´s airport. The taxi cost airport – venue hotel is approximately 20.00 CUC. Currency The official currencies are the Cuban Convertible Peso (CUC) and the Cuban Peso (CUP). Foreign currency can be exchanged at the airports (24-hours), local banks and exchange offices in downtown Havana. However, these are available only from 8 AM to 6 PM. The usual rate is 1 USD = 0.91895 CUC and 1 CUC = 24.00 CUP. Free money exchange in the streets is not recommended. For further information on the conversion of currency CUC, visit the Web site of the Metropolitan Bank: www.bancometropolitano.com Local Weather and Clothing: Casual and light attire will be appropriate. Climate conditions for late November in Havana: Mean Maximum temperature 27.8°C Mean temperature 24.6°C Mean Minimum temperature 21.4°C Mean Humidity 81 % Mean monthly Precipitation 61.4 mm 4 Optional tours Optional tours to beautiful places near Havana city will be available for the participants and their companions, previous reservation in the Havana Tour office at the hotel. GENERAL PROGRAM (under development up to 13 July 2015) Dates Hours 08:00 to 09:30 09:30 to 10:00 10:00 to 13:00 10:00 to 10:30 10:30 to 11:00 11:00 to 11:15 11:15 to 11:45 Monday November 30 11:45 to 12:15 12:15 to 12:45 12:45 to 13:00 13:00 to 14:30 14:30 to 17:30 14:30 to 17:30 08:00 to 08:30 08:30 to 13:00 08:30 to 09:15 09:15 to 10:00 Tuesday December 1 10:00 to 10:15 10:15 to 10:30 10:30 a 11:00 11:00 a 11:30 11:30 to 11:50 11:50 to 13:00 Activities Expert Meeting Registration and coffee welcome Opening of the Workshop Session A: Biometeorological forecast services for human health. Development of HWWS in big cities of the United States, Canada and China. Larry S. Kalkstein, Miami Univ., USA The individual prevention of meteor-tropic effects and feedback through “PronBiomet” cellular-phone application. Pablo Fernández de Arróyabe Hernáez, ISB, Spain COFFEE BREAK The air quality regional forecast for South America Saulo R. Freitas, CPTEC, Brazil The Universal Thermal Index as fundament for biometeorological forecasts. Not confirmed. Gerd Jendritzky, Freiburg University, Germany Monitoring and forecasting meteor-tropic effects in Latin America and the Caribbean Luis B. Lecha Estela, CESAM, Cuba Session Discussion LUNCH BREAK Session B: Experiences from the medical side during the application of biometeorological forecasts for human health. Presentations, Round Table and discussions with specialists from the National Institute of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Microbiology on their user´s experiences applying biometeorological forecasts. Coffee welcome Session C: Development of bioclimatic forecast and climate services for human health Actual results and perspectives of the WMO World Climate Services Program (preliminary tittle). Not confirmed. Joy Shumake-Guillemot, WMO, Switzerland Which kind of bio-forecasts and climate services are needed for the epidemiological surveillance? Not confirmed. Kim Knowlton, NRDC, USA Discussion on previous presentations COFFEE BREAK A new approach for the monthly and seasonal forecast of complex bioclimatic variables. Paulo L. Ortíz Bultó, INSMET, Cuba The offer of bioclimatic products and services from the National Climate Center of Cuba. Vladimir Guevara Moreno, INSMET, Cuba Discussion on previous presentations Presentations and Round Table with specialist from the Cuban 5 15:00 to 15:30 Institute of Meteorology on the prevention of air pollution and solar radiation effects in the health of the Cuban´s population. LUNCH BREAK Session D: Impacts of bioclimatic forecasts in the Cuban surveillance system of transmissible diseases. Is it possible a regional epidemiological surveillance system for Latin America and the Caribbean? Not confirmed. WHO/PAHO Representative in Cuba Presentations, Round Table and discussions with specialists from the Institute of Tropical Medicine “Pedro Kourí” on the impact of bioclimatic forecast services in the prevention of transmissible diseases. Welcome Reception to the congress participants Coffee welcome Session E: Phenological researches and biometeorological forecasts for animal health and agrometeorology. The “state of the art” in phenological researches. Mark D. Schwartz, Univ. of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, USA New perspectives for products and services in agricultural meteorology. Simone Orlandini, Univ. of Florence, Italy COFFEE BREAK Lecture Title John Gaughan, Univ. of Queensland, Australia Impact of hot climate on health and productivity of dairy cows Nicola Lacetera, Univ. of Viterbo, Italy Discussion on previous presentations Presentations, Round Table and discussion with specialists from INSMET and MINAGRI on the impacts of agrometeorological services in the food production and plant diseases prevention. LUNCH BREAK Session F: The role of adaptation facing the climate and weather impacts on living organisms. How to improve animal and plant adaptation to climate and weather variability? A speaker on this item is desirable. Still free… 15:30 to 16:00 Still free… 16:00 to 16:30 16:30 to 17:00 LONG COFFEE BREAK Resume of the agreements and recommendations from previous sessions. CONCLUSIONS AND CLOSURE 13:00 to 14:30 14:30 to 17:30 14:30 to 15:00 15:00 to 17:30 19:00 to 22:00 08:00 to 08:30 08:30 to 13:00 08:30 to 09:15 09:15 to 10:00 10:00 to 10:15 10:15 to 11:00 11:00 to 11:45 Wednesday December 2 11:45 to 12:00 12:00 to 13:00 13:00 to 14:30 14:30 to 17:30 14:30 to 15:00 17:00 to 17:30 FINAL NOTE: The participation in the expert meeting is still open to all interested person with field experiences or practical results in the application of biometeorological or bioclimatic forecast services. You may contact directly with Luis B. Lecha Estela before 31 August 2015 at: lecha@cesam.vcl.cu or luis.lecha@gmail.com. We hope to see you in Havana! 6