THE RENEWABLE NATURAL RESOURCES SECTOR ADAPTATION PLAN OF ACTION (SAPA) 30 April 2013 Page 1 Table of Content Acronyms .................................................................................................... 4 Executive Summary .................................................................................... 5 1.0 Introduction ......................................................................................... 6 1.1 Climate ........................................................................................................ 6 1.2 Renewable Natural Resources Sector ........................................................ 6 1.2.1 Agriculture and Food Security ............................................................................ 7 1.2.2 Water Resources ................................................................................................ 7 1.2.3 Forest and Biodiversity ....................................................................................... 7 2.0 Policies and Legal Framework........................................................... 8 2.1 Agriculture and Food Security ..................................................................... 8 2.2 Water Resources ......................................................................................... 9 2.3 Forest and Biodiversity ................................................................................ 9 3.0 The Need for a RNR-Sectoral Adaptation Plan of Action ................. 9 3.1 Potential Adaptation Options ........................................................................ 10 3.2 Existing Gaps in Understanding and Addressing Climate Change Impacts 11 3.2.1 Data and Knowledge ........................................................................................ 11 3.2.2 Convergence of Policy and Practice ................................................................. 11 3.2.3 Capacity in Addressing Climate Change .......................................................... 12 4.0 Climate Trend and Projection .......................................................... 12 4.1 Temperature Trend Change ...................................................................... 12 4.2 Rainfall Pattern .......................................................................................... 13 4.3 Community Observations on Climate Parameters .................................... 14 4.4 Climate Projection......................................................................................... 15 5.0 Climate Risk and Vulnerability......................................................... 15 5.1 Agriculture and Food Security ................................................................... 16 5.1.1 Loss of Production (Crops and Livestock) to Biotic and Abiotic Stresses ..... 17 5.1.2 Emissions of Green House Gases from Farming ......................................... 17 5.1.3 Focus on a few main Crops and Decreasing Crop and Product Diversity .. 18 5.1.4 Increasing Scarcity of Water and Its impact on Crop and Livestock Production ................................................................................................................. 18 5.1.5 Increased Hardship and loss of livelihoods of Farming Communities .......... 18 5.1.6 Increased Soil and Nutrient Losses .............................................................. 19 Page 2 5.1.7 Lack of Adequate Pest and Disease Surveillance System for Crops and Livestock ................................................................................................................... 19 5.2 Water Resources ....................................................................................... 19 5.2.1 Loss of Wetland Ecosystem ......................................................................... 19 5.2.2 Increased Run-Off ........................................................................................ 20 5.2.3 Reduction in Water Yield and Deterioration of Quality ................................. 20 5.2.4 Landslide Triggered By Cloud Burst ............................................................. 20 5.2.5 Water Induced Health Hazards .................................................................... 20 5.2.6 Sustainability of Water Intensive Industries .................................................. 20 5.3 Forest and Biodiversity ............................................................................. 21 5.3.1 Disturbance of Ecosystem and Ecosystem Services.................................... 21 5.3.2 Loss of Plant Species, Animal Breeds and Agro-Biodiversity. ...................... 22 5.3.3 Increased Incidences of Pests and Diseases ............................................... 22 5.3.4 Increased Establishment of Invasive Species .............................................. 22 5.3.5 Increasing Risk of Forest Fire ...................................................................... 23 5.3.6 Loss of Livelihoods, Traditional Knowledge and Practices ........................... 23 6.0 Adaptation Plan of Action ................................................................ 23 6.1 Adaptation Action Plan for Agriculture and Food Security............................ 24 6.2 Adaptation Action Plan for Water Resources .............................................. 24 6.3 Adaptation Action Plan for Forest and Biodiversity ..................................... 24 7.0 Implementation Mechanism ............................................................. 38 7.1 Organisation, Management and Administration ........................................... 38 7.1.1 Programme Management ................................................................................. 38 References................................................................................................. 48 Page 3 Acronyms AAA BAP CC CBD CITES CORRB FAO FYP GCCA GDP GHG GLOF ICIMOD IPNM masl M&E MoAF NAPA NWFP NEC PLAMS. RGoB REDD+ RNR SAPA SLM UNFCC UNCCD : Adaptation Action Areas : Biodiversity Action Plan : Climate Change : Convention on Bio-Diversity : Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Flora and Fauna : Council for Renewable Natural Resources Research of Bhutan : Food and Agriculture Organization : Five Year Plan : Global Climate Change Alliance : Gross Domestic Products : Green House Gas : Glacial Lake Outburst Flood : International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development : Integrated Plant and Nutrient Management : Meters above sea level : Monitoring and Evaluation : Ministry of Agriculture and Forests : National Adaptation Program of Action : Non-wood Forest Products : National Environment Commission : Planning and Monitoring System : Royal Government of Bhutan : Reduced Emission from Deforest action and Forest Degradation : Renewable Natural Resource : Sectoral Adaptation Plan of Action : Soil and Land Management : United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change : United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification Page 4 Executive Summary Climate Change (CC) refers to changes of the earth's atmosphere leading to changes in the climate system, such as climate warming and more frequent and intensive extreme weather events. The consequences of climate change are numerous, for instance changes in rainfall and snow, melting of icecaps and glaciers, more frequent and severe flooding, rising in temperatures and more intensive and prolonged droughts. These outcomes directly affect people and in particular the poorest, making livelihoods and living conditions more vulnerable. This Renewable Natural Resources (RNR) Sector Adaptation Plan of Action (SAPA) is coping and dealing with the consequences of CC. It is important to understand that there is a great deal that is not known about the consequences of CC for instance how much the temperature will affect the glaciers, how much rainfall patterns will be affected, and how much such changes will affect livelihoods and the natural ecosystems that sustain these livelihoods. As a mountainous country the climate in Bhutan is characterized by high topographic and climatic variability, and the resolution of current climate models is insufficient to capture this topographic variation. Climate projections and scenarios are uncertain, and addressing climate change requires an ability to take into account a range of possible futures. The SAPA serves as the strategic plan for climate change adaptation mainstreamed into the Vision 2020, the RNR 11th FYP and coincides with the objectives of the Bhutan National Adaptation Programme of Action (NAPA 2012). SAPA is prepared through extensive stakeholder consultations in order to integrate climate adaptation options into sectoral programs and sub-programs of the MoAF. The purpose of SAPA is: To implement RNR adaptation plans that are vibrant for responding to changing and uncertain climatic conditions; To inform and facilitate RNR Sectoral programs working towards the integrated approaches among various programs and sub-programs; and To create awareness among the communities in understanding the changing futures climatic conditions and engage them effectively in the process of developing adaptation activities Section 1 of this Sector Adaptation Plan of Action describes the general background, climate and the Renewable Natural Resources Sector in Bhutan; Section 3 provides the Policy and Legal Framework for Climate Change and the RNR Sector in Bhutan and section 4 presents potential adaptation options for the sector. Section 4 is analyzing climate trends and projections, and section 5 climate risks and vulnerability. The Project Action Areas identified in Section 6 are supported by the Global Climate Change Alliance (GCCA) and the selection and short-listing of project proposals will be guided by selection criteria developed by the technical committees in the RNR stakeholders' workshop (February 2013) and annexed in annex 1 & 2. The final section 7 is presenting the planned implementation mechanism, involvement of focal persons, scientific and technical groups as well as the Action Plan for the SAPA. Page 5 1.0 Introduction Bhutan is a small mountainous landlocked country located in the Eastern Himalayas between the Tibetan region of China in the north, and India to the east, south and west of Bhutan. It has a geographical area of 38,394 square km and a population of 745,600 people. The country is characterized by fragile mountainous ecosystem with elevations ranging from about 100 m in the foothills to over 7500 m towards the north all within a range 170 km from the northern to the southern border. The most dominant land cover is forest, making up 72.46% of the land area while shrubs account for 10.43%, cultivated agricultural land and meadows account for 2.93% and 4.10% respectively. Snow cover constitutes 7.44% while bare areas constitute 3.20%. Degraded areas, water bodies, built up areas, marshy areas and non-built up areas constitute less than 1% each. 1.1 Climate The climate in Bhutan varies substantially from one place to another due to changes in the topography, elevation and altitude. Bhutan’s location at the northern periphery of the tropical circulation is an important feature that determines the country’s climate. Bhutan has three climatic zones: The southern belt is made up of the Himalayan foothills with an altitude ranging from under 200m to about 2000m. It has a typical subtropical climate characterized by high humidity and heavy rainfall. In this climatic zone, the temperature ranges from 150 C to 300C all year round. The central belt consists of the main valleys with altitude ranging from about 2000 m to 4000 m and is characterized by cool winters, hot summers with moderate rainfall. The temperature ranges from 150 C to 260 C during the monsoon season (June through September) and -40C to 150C during the winter season, and The high region in the north encompasses snow-capped peaks and alpine meadows above 4000 m with cold winter and cool summers. Around 70% of the precipitation in Bhutan is generated by the monsoons while premonsoon activities generate about 20% of the precipitation. The summer monsoons last from late June through late September. The annual precipitation ranges widely in various parts of the country. The northern region gets about 40 mm of annual precipitation, mostly in the form of snow. 1.2 Renewable Natural Resources Sector The Renewable Natural Resources sector comprises agriculture, livestock, forestry and water resources which are closely integrated at the farm level. This sector supports the livelihood of over 69 % of the population which are mostly rural based and provides employment to over 56 % of the total population. The current share of the Gross Domestic product (GDP) of the RNR Sector is 11.6% as compared to 22% in 2005. Another vital role of the sector is the management and conservation of natural environment and in maintaining the health of the eco-system. A wide range of agriculture and horticulture crops is grown round the year in the agroecological zones from the wet-subtropical (150-600 masl) with a mean annual rainfall of 2500-5500 mm to temperate zones (2500-3500 masl) of mean annual rainfall of about 500-1,000 mm. The major crops are rice, wheat, barley, maize, millet and buck wheat Page 6 which are cultivated predominantly in the rain-fed dry land. The sector has diversified traditional cropping systems by growing cash crops such as apples, oranges and cardamom. Animal husbandry plays an integral part in the farming system and is the major livelihood of the highland farmers who dwell above 3000 m where agriculture is limited to few short season crops. Forest is the primary source of fuel wood, timber, food and other ecosystem services. 1.2.1 Agriculture and Food Security Bhutan is characterized as “agriculture-based society” with nearly 69% of the population directly depending on it for their livelihoods. Agriculture is dominated by smallholder subsistence farmers who occupy the majority of the arable land and produce most of the crop and livestock products. The key long-standing challenge of the smallholder farmers are low productivity stemming from poor agriculture practices, unproductive farm land, lack of access to markets, credit, and technology, further compounded by pests and diseases, wildlife encroachment and natural calamities influenced by global warming. Livestock is an important component of food security with the potential to increase domestic production of livestock commodities -milk/milk products, eggs and meat in the country and boost the rural economy by switching the traditional livestock farming to semi-commercial and commercial ventures. 1.2.2 Water Resources Water for a Buddhist is more an element of life than a mere infinite renewable resource. In Bhutan, buddhists believe that the nature is composed of four elements (jung-wa-zhi) which are revered: soil (sa), water (chu), fire (mey) and air (luung) (RSPN, 2006). As a revered abundant renewable resource, water has not only helped the nation to sustain its cultural heritage but also helped in earning much needed capital for nation building, a true lifeline for Bhutan. Thus water has an explicit significance to ecological, social, cultural, economic and political spheres of Bhutan. The World Resource Institute estimated the renewable freshwater resource in Bhutan at 43,214 m3 per person signifying its richness, compared to per capita availability of 1822 m3 in India, 8703 m3 in Nepal, 8444 m3 in Bangladesh and 1384 m3 in Pakistan (Earth Trends, 2003). To reiterate, among all the natural resources, water surpasses all in terms of the benefit the country derives from. Currently with four hydropower plants working around 86% of electricity generated in Bhutan is exported to India which is around 60% of the annual export earning making it the highest ranked export commodity. 1.2.3 Forest and Biodiversity Bhutan has 72.46 percent of the total area under forest cover and 51.32 percent, managed as protected areas and biological corridors. Bhutan is home to a diverse array of flora and fauna including 5603 species of vascular plants, 400 lichens, 200 mammals and about 700 birds. These serve not only as rich repositories of biodiversity but also indirectly as long-term stores of carbon which mitigate the adverse impacts of climate change. The protected areas encompass a continuum of representative samples of all major ecosystems found in the country, ranging from the tropical/sub-tropical forests in the southern foothills through temperate forests in the central mountains and valleys to alpine meadows in the northern high mountains. Bhutan also has an extensive network of Page 7 river systems and well–preserved forests that are shaped by high precipitation, numerous glaciers and lakes resulting in the upstream and downstream benefits such as water and other ecosystem services. Bhutan is rich in agricultural bio-diversity with around 80 species of agricultural crops cultivated across the country. Several crop species with unique landraces have evolved as an adaptation to the micro-environment created by altitudinal and climatic variations. For instance, there are some 350 rice varieties, 47 of maize, 24 of wheat, and 30 of barley. Several of the crop varieties represent adaptations to some of the highest tand introduced cereal and horticultural crops (BAP, 2009) 2.0 Policies and Legal Framework The Constitution of the Kingdom of Bhutan provides the overriding policy and legal framework for enacting legislations and acts which is then passed by the National Assembly of Bhutan. For the RNR sector, the most notable clause is the maintenance of a minimum forest cover of 60 percent for perpetuity (the Constitution 2008). The Vision 2020, a long term vision document for the country, the Land Act of Bhutan (2007), Biodiversity Act of Bhutan 2003, the Biodiversity Action Plan (BAP, 2009, 2002, 1998) provide the key policy and legal framework for planning and developing programs in the RNR Sector. At the international front, Bhutan is a party to the United Nations Convention on Biological Diversity (UNCBD), United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCC), United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD), and United Nations Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Flora and Fauna (CITES). Most recently, Bhutan committed to remain carbon neutral during the United Nations Climate Change Conference, COP 15 at Copenhagen. Under CBD, Bhutan acceded to Cartagena Protocol on Biosafety to ensure safe transfer, handling and use of Living modified Organisms (LMOs). Bhutan has also designated focal points for IPPC (International Plant Protection Convention), OIE (World Organization for Animal Health), CAC (Codex Alimentarius Commission), and WTO SPS Agreement. Being a party to these international conventions, the national policies and other legal instruments are steered towards addressing the international commitments. Second National Communication Report is the official communication to the UNFCCC and provides comprehensive reports on actions taken by the parties as required under the convention including the vulnerabilities, capacity and technology needs. National Adaptation Program of Action (NAPA 2012) is a report of prioritised adaptation activities/actions that are needed to address the impacts of climate change. The more sector specific policies are developed by relevant sectors and these are discussed under each of them. 2.1 Agriculture and Food Security To ensure food and nutrition availability, accessibility and utilization through production and imports the existing enabling policies are the National Irrigation Policy (2012), Draft Food and Nutrition Policy (2012) Bio security Policy (2010), and the Draft National Livestock Development Policy (2012), the RNR Research Policy (2012), the Seed Act (2000) and the Plant Quarantine Act (1993) ), Livestock Act (2001), Food Act (2005), Bio safety Bill (draft submitted), Pesticide Act (2000), Livestock Development Policy and Page 8 Strategy, 1995. These policies ensure food security through increased production and diversification as well as providing increased investment in commercialization of agriculture and specialization in horticulture export, non-wood forest products (NWFPs) and niche organic products. 2.2 Water Resources There are many policies and acts which have been enacted to conserve, develop and manage the water resources in the country. These include Bhutan Water Policy (2011), Bhutan Water Act (2011), Local Governance Act (2009), Irrigation Related Legislations, Electricity Act (2001), The Irrigation Master-plan, The Environment Assessment Act (2000),The Environmental Protection Act (2007), Forest and Nature Conservation Act of Bhutan (1995),The National Environmental Strategy (1997), The National Forest Policy (1974), and the Cooperatives Act of Bhutan - Amendment (2009). 2.3 Forest and Biodiversity While the national and international policies mentioned above provides the overall guidelines for forest and biodiversity management, there are many specific policy documents and action plans that have already been developed such as the National Forest Policy (1974, 2011), Forest and Nature Conservation Act of Bhutan 1995 and the National Environment Strategy for Bhutan 1998. 3.0 The Need for a RNR-Sectoral Adaptation Plan of Action Bhutan has made a commitment to the international community to adapt to Climate Change by ratifying the three Rio-Conventions namely: The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC); The United Nations Convention on Bio-Diversity (CBD); and The United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) Accordingly, the National Adaptation Program of Action (NAPA) was prepared to enhance the implementation of these conventions. As NAPA provides the umbrella strategies, the need for Sectoral Adaptation Plan of Actions specifically for the RNR sector was felt necessary as the sector directly supports the livelihood of 69% of the population and is considered as the most vulnerable sector to the impacts of climate change. Emanating from NAPA and the RNR sector 11th FYP Plan (draft), SAPA provides a broad framework for channelling interventions and funding to enhance resilient capacity of the sector to the impacts of the climate change. The RNR sector is perceived to be affected more than other sectors as a result of the impact of climate change and climate induced disasters (Draft MoAF 11th FYP Plan 2013). Consequently, the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (MoAF) plans to focus on climate smart RNR programs that will entail on development of research technologies and use of traditional and local knowledge to ensure increased productivity even during the incidences of severe drought, erratic rainfalls and pressure from new pests and diseases. Soil fertility management can be improved through promotion of farm yard manure; up-scaling of sustainable land management practices, increasing cropping intensity, and increasing the area under organic farming are other interventions. Livestock and grazing management needs to be improved to reduce enteric fermentation by reducing population of scrub livestock and improvement of breeds, pasture and fodder. Page 9 The forestry sector will focus on adoption of strategies and practices such as sustainable forest management, sustainable harvesting of non-wood forest products, watershed management, community forestry and use of land and water resources. 3.1 Potential Adaptation Options The following are proposed potential adaptation activities as identified in the 2006 NAPA document and supplemented with additional activities during an update in 2012. Table 1: Potential Adaptation Options by Sector (from NAPA, 2012) Sector Forestry & Bio-diversity Agriculture/ Food Security Adaptation Options Promote community-based forest management and afforestation projects in ways to conserve land, water resources and wood production; Develop a socio-economic system that ensures that society is in harmony with the natural environment; Conduct research in tree species that are fast growing and more resistant to insect damages, diseases and natural phenomena like fires; Develop appropriate database for natural resources, in context of climate change as well as to support other development strategy; Maintain the ban on export of raw timber to sustain forest cover; and Expand and improve sediment and water quality monitoring stations Develop and introduce resistant crop and livestock varieties with greater adaptations to limited arable land and extreme temperature and rainfall events; Promote agro-forestry or agro-silvo–pastoral systems to reduce soil erosion and run-off on steep slopes; also to mitigate heat stress and respiration problems; Improve food security for marginal farmers; Terracing and contour bonding; Convert wetland to dry land (from risks of: prolonged rain and flood ); Change cropping patterns; Create more off-farm or cash earning job opportunities (weaving, constructions, road labor, etc.) for farmers who are affected by crop loss due to climate change effects (early/late rains, pest damage, frosts, hail storms or droughts); Improve or upgrade storage facilities to store and have access to food grains as an insurance against crop loss or damage or bad yields; Scaling up of Sustainable Land Management (SLM) Technologies to promote soil and water conservation for sustainable food production and addressing livestock issues among vulnerable communities; Development of climate resilient farm technologies and risk preparedness to climate change; Improve weather and seasonal forecasting for farmers(agrometeorology); Enhancing the national capacity to demonstrate resistant crop varieties to pest and diseases; Enhancing national capacity to develop and implement emergency Page 10 Sector Water Resources (and Renewable Energy) Adaptation Options response mechanism zoonotic diseases in livestock; Enhancing weather and climate monitoring and issues advisory; Agro-climatic outlooks; Agro-meteorological pest and disease forecasting; Research and development on water use efficiency, resistant crop varieties, water harvesting; and Rainwater harvesting Raise community awareness on sustainable use of water resources; Improve land use planning in degraded water catchment areas to promote afforestation; Improve watershed management; Extend, improve and maintain water supply infrastructure; Provide technological and financial support to harness hydropower potential, including transmission and distribution; Conduct research for other renewable energy alternatives including solar power; Enhance the Power Master Plan; Optimization in design of installed capacity of existing as well future hydropower plants; Assessment of GLOF threat in hydropower projects; Performance of religious rituals (indigenous methods for bringing about timely rain, adequate water for irrigation, ward off pests and diseases and usher good harvests); and Expand and improve hydro-meteorological monitoring stations 3.2 Existing Gaps in Understanding and Addressing Climate Change Impacts 3.2.1 Data and Knowledge Areas of research to assess the impacts of climate change on agriculture& food security, water resources and biodiversity, will need basic data on these different systems, all of which are poorly documented or have not been documented. The specific research agenda to address effects of climate change on agriculture and food security is inadequate. In forest and biodiversity, the knowledge on the state of forest, ecosystems and ecosystem services as well as on species in the face of climate change is little known. Similarly, inventory of water resources has been conducted and the information on water resources is very basic. Meteorological observation data is limited to temperature, rainfall and humidity for less than two decades from stations that are concentrated in the mid valleys and the southern belt. Such data is inadequate to draw conclusions for climate change analysis and acts as an impediment in developing and implementing proper adaptation measures 3.2.2 Convergence of Policy and Practice There are a number of policies and legislations (c.f. this document Section 2) in the country addressing the issues of forests and biodiversity, food security and water resources. However, these policies are not coherent in the face of climate change and the efforts made by various Departments and Agencies are in piecemeal, rendering Page 11 implementation ineffective. With the threats from the impacts of climate change, it has become necessary to mainstream climate change into the sectoral plans and programs that will lead to implementation of effective climate adaptation actions. 3.2.3 Capacity in Addressing Climate Change There is a lack of national capacity in terms of institutional, infrastructure, human, and technical capacity across the board in dealing with climate change and its effects on forest and biological diversity, food security and water resources. In general, there is poor or no understanding on impacts of climate change on agriculture and food security, water resources and forest and biodiversity at all levels in terms of climate change on awareness and education. The specific areas of capacity that need to be addressed include research and assessment, monitoring, extension and training, and policy development. Concerted efforts must be made into educating the people on the impacts of climate change on agriculture and food security, water resources and forest and biodiversity. This will ensure the country’s preparedness to reduce vulnerability against the impacts of climate change through awareness and strengthened capacities of all stakeholders. 4.0 Climate Trend and Projection As a mountainous country the climate in Bhutan is characterized by high topographic and climatic variability. The resolution of current climate models is insufficient to capture this topographic variation. Equally, there are few hydro-meteorological stations, and the amount, quality, and historical availability of data records are mostly inadequate for climate trend analysis. Thus there is a high degree of uncertainty about the future direction and magnitude of change, and this need to be taken into account when planning for adaptation. 4.1 Temperature Trend Change The global mean surface temperature has increased by 0.6°C (0.4-0.8°C) over the last 100 years (Gitay et al, 2002). The analysis of climate parameters of the Eastern Himalayas have shown that the Eastern Himalayan regions mean annual temperature is increasing at the rate of 0.01oC per year or more (Chettri et al, 2010). The analysis of surface air temperature data in Bhutan from 1985 to 2002 has shown a warming trend of about 0.5°C, mainly during the non-monsoon season (Tse-ring et al, 2010). Page 12 Figure 1 : Summer temperature (2000-2009) Deviation from average 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 Zone1(Dochula) 0.00 Zone2(Khasadrupchu) -0.50 Zone3(Wangdeu:RNRRC) -1.00 Zone4(Sibsoo) -1.50 -2.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year Deviation from average Fig. 2 : Winter temperature (2000-2009) 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 -0.50 -1.00 -1.50 -2.00 Zone1(Dochula) Zone2(Khasadrupchu) Zone3(Wangdeu:RNRRC) Zone4(Sibsoo) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year An analysis of surface air temperature data for the last 10 years ( 2000-2009) from four representative eco-floristic zones, shows that summer and winter mean temperature trend had increased in the past 10 years. However, at present with the short time-series data on temperature, it is difficult to estimate as to by how many 0 Celsius temperature is increasing annually. 4.2 Rainfall Pattern Unlike temperature, throughout the Eastern Himalayan region, the precipitation shows no consistent spatial trends. The changes in annual precipitation are variable, increasing at one site and decreasing at a nearby site (Tse-ring et al, 2010). In Bhutan too, rainfall pattern fluctuates with no systematic change detectable on either annual or monthly scale (Tse-ring 2003). Also, an analysis of rainfall data from 2000 to 2009 across four representative eco-floristic zones of Bhutan shows that the annual rainfall fluctuation within the country does not show any detectable trend (Figure 3). Page 13 4.3 Community Observations on Climate Parameters There is no systematic record of data and observation on temperature and precipitation including snow cover, frost and fog. The climate impact survey 2010 (N=417) showed that, the community’s understanding on climate and climate change was poor. However, the majority of the respondents reported to have observed some changes in climate parameters such as rising temperature, erratic rainfall pattern, less snowfall incidence and early flowering of some plants and trees (fig.4). Respondents ( %) Fig. 4 :People Perception on Temperature , Rainfall and Snowfall Source : Climate Impact Perception Survey (2010) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Temperature Rainfall Pattern Snowfall Uncertain 11.5 15.8 4.8 No Change 7.2 12.2 13.6 Change 81.3 91.9 81.6 Storms generally start in March and are extremely unpredictable, frequent and intense. In a survey on impacts and vulnerability to climate change in Trashi Yangtse and Pema gatshel districts in Eastern Bhutan (ICIMOD, 2011) almost all communities and farmers saw windstorms as the greatest weather-related hazard and respondents felt that storms had increased over the past years, causing increasing damage to property and crops. Page 14 The most observable change seemed to be the increased unpredictability and variability of weather patterns leading to unpredictable harvests. The communities did not have access to river water and were dependent on rainfall, which limited the production when rains did not arrive in the expected amount at the expected times. Although the households in the survey area are mostly food sufficient, yields are affected by changes in rain patterns, temperature, and storms; disturbance from wildlife; and lack of labour. 4.4 Climate Projection It is more difficult to study and understand climatic characteristics in the mountains than in the plains due to the complexity of the topography features. Existing knowledge of the climatic characteristics of the Eastern Himalayas, including Bhutan is limited by both lack of long term observation data and the limited theoretical studies done to understand complex interaction of spatial scales in weather and climate phenomena in mountains. Few studies done in the Eastern Himalayas provide an exclusive and comprehensive analysis of the climate projection in the region including Bhutan (Table 2). Table 2 Climate change projections* for Bhutan under SRE scenarios Scenarios Temperature (°C) A1 A2 B1 B2 Rainfall change (mm) A1 A2 B1 2020s Annual 1.917 1.107 1.039 B2 1.103 61.339 57.559 26.660 28.918 2030s Annual 1.859 1.785 1.461 1.672 98.908 80.951 40.393 44.924 2040s Annual 2.642 2050s Annual 3.412 2.597 2.000 2.448 143.857 110.812 59.153 63.849 3.321 2.561 3.157 183.986 141.903 76.290 82.443 * Based on PRECIS RCM experiments; country level area-averages, Source: Tse-ring (2003) The projection for Bhutan indicates that surface air temperature will increase with the greater change in the west, gradually decreasing towards the east. The projected surface warming will be more pronounced during the pre-monsoon than during the summer monsoon season. The temperature increase will be higher in the inner valleys than in the northern and southern parts of the country. The model predicts peak warming of about 3.5°C by the 2050s in Bhutan (Tse-ring et al, 2010). In general, Bhutan is expected to experience a significant overall increase in precipitation, but with an appreciable change in the spatial pattern of winter and summer monsoon precipitation, including a 20 to 30% decrease in winter precipitation, over the north-east and south-west parts of Bhutan for the 2050s (Tse-ring et al, 2010 5.0 Climate Risk and Vulnerability The NAPA taskforce with representatives from a wide range of stakeholders has reported on key vulnerabilities (NAPA 2006 and 2012) due to climate change within the Forestry & Biodiversity, Agriculture and Water Resources sectors. The sector vulnerability assessment findings as shown in the following table are the final results of group Page 15 meetings, field consultation workshops, discussions among the NAPA Taskforce members and all concerned stakeholders. Table 3 Sector Vulnerability Assessment (from NAPA 2006) Sector Forestry & Bio-diversity Food Security /Agriculture Water Resources (and Energy) 5.1 Vulnerabilities Drought in combination with increased lightning risks triggering forest fires; Change in phenological characters of plants/ loss of endemic species; and Change in migratory pattern of the trans-boundary wildlife, (all resulting in loss/degradation of forest ecosystem and reduction of alpine range lands. Furthermore, possible increase of vector-borne disease in wildlife due to warming) Crop yield instability. Loss of production and quality (due to variable rainfall, temperature, etc.). Decreased water availability for crop production. Increased risk of extinction of already threatened crop species (traditional crop varieties); Loss of soil fertility due to erosion of top soil and runoff. Loss of fields due to flash floods, landslides and rill & gully formations. Soil nutrient loss through seepage; Crop yield loss (flowers & fruit drop) to hailstorms. Deteriorated produce quality (fruit & vegetables) by untimely incessant heavy rains and hailstorms; Delayed sowing (late rainfall). Damage to crops by sudden early (paddy) and late spring (potato) frost (ref. seasons shifting); Outbreak of pests and diseases in the fields and during storage where they were previously unknown; and Damages to road infrastructures (food security) – also related to Natural Disaster & Infrastructure sector. Temporal & spatial variation in flow, affecting notably electricity production/exports due to disruption of average flows for optimum hydropower generation; Increased sedimentation of rivers, water reservoirs and distribution network, affecting notably irrigation schemes’ productivity/ agricultural crop yields; Reduced ability of catchment areas to retain water/increased runoffs with enhanced soil erosion (deterioration of environment); and Deterioration of (drinking) water quality - also related to Health sector Agriculture and Food Security The food security programs that encompass availability, access, utilization, and nutrition (WFS, 1996) have to consider all the four aspects in addressing the food security. Household food security of Bhutanese farmer’s hinges around domestic food production, livestock rearing, Non Wood Forest Products (NWFP) collected from the natural forest and off farm works. In Bhutan food security is mostly equated with enhancing food availability through increased production and import. A survey in 2007 reported that about 35% of the respondents faced food shortage during the year, and of this figure, 51% Page 16 faced food shortage for more than 4 months while 49 % had inadequate food for 3 months or less. The subsistence nature of farming, smallholder farmers who farm on small land holdings, the rugged terrain and remoteness, low productivity of crops and animals and dependency on seasonal monsoon makes the farming communities most food insecure. The overall self-sufficiency of rice, the most preferred staple through domestic production is only about 50%. The country annually imports 45-50% of the domestic rice requirement from India and other countries. The projected climate change scenarios could further impact the agriculture and livestock sectors due the scarcity of water, incidence of pest and diseases and temperature extremes. Another primary threat to the household food security is the soaring food prices and the shortfall of Indian Rupees that is already limiting the access to food. This will be further elevated by the rapid increase in population, economic growth, scare resources and rising demand for food and livestock products. In livestock production system, the major threat of climate change will be on the degradation of natural resource base supporting livestock production. Such degradations will reduce feed, fodder and water availability which could ultimately impact livestock production that remains as the key component of food security. Floods and landslides due to extreme weather have been causing the loss of livestock and for rural communities losing livestock assets could lead to poverty and loss of livelihood. 5.1.1 Loss of Production (Crops and Livestock) to Biotic and Abiotic Stresses Loss of production of both crops and livestock to unusual outbreaks of pest and diseases, erratic rainfalls, windstorms, droughts and flash floods and landslides are increasing annually. In crops diseases like rice blast, Gray Leaf Spot in maize, citrus greening and diseases in cardamom and ginger have become very serious problems. In animals, with the increase in temperature and rainfall, incidences of vector borne diseases like piroplasmosis could increase and expand into cooler areas. The variation in temperature and humidity can have a significant effect on helminthes infections. At present there are very limited climate resilient varieties of crops and fodder. Selection and adaptation of crop and fodder varieties resistant to biotic and abiotic stress are limited. Farmers continue to depend on traditional varieties that are highly vulnerable to pest and disease, drought and heat stress. The changes in crop and livestock farming system could produce effects on the distribution and impact of Malaria and Schistosomiasis. 5.1.2 Emissions of Green House Gases from Farming Farming emits Green House Gas (GHG) like methane and nitrous oxide but if managed well, it may be reduced considerably. The use of chemical fertilizers is increasing as a mean to accelerate food production. There is also a major emphasis to enhance rice production which is the primary source of methane. The livestock production system contributes to climate change directly through the production of GHG emissions and indirectly through the destruction of biodiversity and degradation of land and water and air pollution. In light of this, there is a need to develop and promote good agriculture practices like proper management of manure and chemical fertilizers, promotion of agroforestry in the farming system, adopt proper husbandry practices and management strategies for livestock to reduce GHG. The promotion of Organic program should be pursued strongly to reduce dependency on external inputs. Page 17 5.1.3 Focus on a few main Crops and Decreasing Crop and Product Diversity The natural variability in altitudes and local climate has allowed the Bhutanese farmers to cultivate a wide range of food crops, vegetables and fruits. However farmers normally practice mono-cropping and cultivate major cereals like rice and maize. Many farmers, of late, have started to switch over from cereal crops like wheat, barley, and buckwheat and millet production to horticulture crops. With the increase in the numbers of small poultry and dairy farms, demand for feed and fodders have also increased in those areas that are connected by road networks As a result of decreasing crop diversity nutritional requirements of children are often not met. Increasing farm level diversity will be an important means to adapt to the impact of climate change as well as address nutritional security. 5.1.4 Increasing Scarcity of Water and Its impact on Crop and Livestock Production The irrigated land in the country is less than 18 % of the total arable land and it is mostly focused on rice cultivation. There are 1307 exiting irrigation schemes mostly of conventional open canal (gravity fed) where water seepage and evaporation rates are very high resulting with conveyance efficiency of only 30 to 40 %. The seepage of water and poor paddy field tail water management are also identified as one of the main causes of landslides and soil erosions. The water demand is increasing for consumption and irrigation. Options of improved conveyance and efficient means to irrigate crops are not explored. Programs on water harvesting, efficient conveyance system, water storage structures, use of groundwater, and modern irrigation technologies (drip, sprinkler) are at infancy. In livestock, the shortage of water will have a major impact on change in feed resources manifested in the form decrease in fodder production, degradation of pasture and rangelands which will significantly impact livestock productivity, carrying capacity of rangelands, the buffering ability of the ecosystems and their sustainability. The primary productivity of crops, forage and rangelands could change depending on location, system and species. Lack of water could lead to degradation of nutrient of different plant species which will then influence consumption and digestibility. 5.1.5 Increased Hardship and loss of livelihoods of Farming Communities Rugged terrain and remoteness cause difficulties to deliver agricultural inputs like seed, fertilizers and extension services. Seed is the single most important input for crop production. Over 95% of the seed requirement is met from the farm saved seed. High quality seed and planting materials of cereals, horticulture crops and fodder species if made available to the farmers at the right time can help avert many production constraints. The current seed storage facilities are poor and inefficient. Seed is the single most important input for crop production. Over 95% of the seed requirement is met from the farm saved seed. High quality seed and planting materials of cereals, horticulture crops and fodder species if made available to the farmers at the right time can help avert many production constraints. The current seed storage facilities are poor and inefficient. It is more challenging during the monsoon. Disruption in communication has a huge impact on the food distribution and stability dimensions of food security. Improving accessibility will help farming communities to improve their livelihood and food security which could be accelerated by climate change. Page 18 5.1.6 Increased Soil and Nutrient Losses More than 31% of agriculture land is on slopes greater than 50% slope, and sheet erosions that contribute to sediment loads of rivers are a perpetual problem in the Bhutanese farming system. Fodder trees and grasses promoted along sloping farmland as hedges provide animal feed, and minimize sheet erosions. The loss of soils has been reduced by half through the introduction of the hedgerow systems, and also helps to build up carbon stock in soil organic matter. The extreme weather patterns could further enhance soil loss and erosion due to runoff, landslides and lack of cover crops. 5.1.7 Lack of Adequate Pest and Disease Surveillance System for Crops and Livestock In general, the institutional capacity of the institution involved in pest surveillance and management is limited. Several outbreaks of new pests and diseases are reported both in crops and livestock due to increasing temperature and humidity. Outbreaks of diseases and pest usually localized in lower elevations are now being reported in cooler areas. In order to provide rapid response during such outbreaks which could be more frequent, it is essential to strengthen the institution capacity for pest and disease surveillance 5.2 Water Resources Based on ICIMOD study (Mool et al., 2001), it is reported that there are 677 glaciers and 2674 glacial lakes covering an area of 1317 km 2 and 107 km2 respectively. The glacier forms a mighty ice reserve of 127 km3 which is a perpetual and crucial source of water for most river systems in the country and downstream in India and Bangladesh. From the mosaic of numerous sub-watersheds, broadly nine main watersheds can be defined running west to east (FAO, 1999). The perpetual stock of water in the form of glaciers in the Northern part and 72% of forest cover ensure healthy watershed status. The Amo Chhu the Wang Chhu the Punatsang Chhu and the Drangme Chhu form four major river basins. All the river systems originate within the country except three rivers viz. Amo Chhu, Gongri and Kuri Chhu all of which originate in the southern part of the Tibetan Plateau. The north-south rivers are the larger rivers running from the highest mountains of the country down to the lowlands near the Indian border. The second category of rivers, designated as the east-west tributaries, include all the minor streams that flow as tributaries into the north-south rivers. These minor streams are mainly rainfed. In terms of water supplies to both the rural and urban areas, the east-west tributaries are of greater importance. Water users draw water from three distinctly different source groups: namely, the main stem rivers; tributary streams and rivers; and sub-surface water. At the present, the demand of water is for hydropower generation, municipal use, domestic use, irrigation, industrial use, and livestock rearing and production. The risks on the water resources due to climate change would be on the following areas: 5.2.1 Loss of Wetland Ecosystem Wetlands and fresh water ecosystems such as lakes, marshes and rivers may also be damaged due to change in climate. The quality of water will also deteriorate due to increase in temperature and there will be negative impacts on aquatic organisms with the possibility of some species becoming extinct. Further, resilience of many ecosystems will Page 19 also be threatened by an unprecedented combination of climate change, associated disturbances like flooding and drought. 5.2.2 Increased Run-Off Mountain regions provide more than 50% of the global river runoff, and more than onesixth of the Earth‘s population relies on glaciers and seasonal snow for their water supply. In Bhutan, climate change induced glacial melt could seriously affect thousands of people who depend on glacial melt for their water supply. The current trends in glacial melt suggest that the low flow will become substantially reduced as a consequence of climate change. The effect of this on food production and economic growth is likely to be unfavourable. The situation may appear to be normal in the region for several decades to come, and even with increased amounts of water available to satisfy dry season demands. However, when the shortage arrives, it may happen abruptly, with water systems going from plenty to scarce in perhaps a few decades or less. Some areas may run out of water during the dry season if the current warming and glacial melting trends continue for several more decades resulting in drought like situation. 5.2.3 Reduction in Water Yield and Deterioration of Quality The prominent negative impacts of climate change on water, sanitation and hygiene from the national perspective are (i) damage of water supply and sanitation infrastructures from increased flooding or landslide, debris flow, GLOF etc. (ii) Increased operation and maintenance costs for treatment of water due to degradation of water quality input (iii) Pollution induced by overwhelming capacity of low cost surface water protection system, including pathogen loading, water borne diseases propagation (iv) water borne diseases Increased by dry spells / droughts and degradation of quality of shallow water, ponds and marshes (v) possible drying up of spring and stream sources in remote areas. 5.2.4 Landslide Triggered By Cloud Burst In the mid-mountains a landslide triggered by cloudburst often falls into a river, damming it temporarily and creating an impoundment in the upstream reach. The steeper the slopes, the greater are the possibility of formation of a landslide dam. In narrow valleys, massive slope landslides can completely block the path of a river, impounding a huge quantity of water. When the dam breaks after it is over-topped or when it fails to withstand water pressure, a sudden flood is created. Such events occur randomly and cannot be predicted precisely. 5.2.5 Water Induced Health Hazards Climate change has more subtle and sustained impacts on human health by affecting the three basic elements of life namely air, water and food. The impact of climate change on health conditions of direct impacts are of drought, heat waves, and flash floods, while indirect effects are economic dislocation, decline, conflict, crop failure, and associated malnutrition and hunger. 5.2.6 Sustainability of Water Intensive Industries Most of the industries are located in the young, fragile and geologically unstable southern foothills that are prone to natural soil erosion and landslides. The industries that are heavily dependent on water are distilleries, agro industries, breweries, beverage industries, food industries and metallurgical industries that require a continuous flow of water for the cooling process. Water supplies for most of the existing industries are Page 20 currently met from the local tributaries, but some are served from the associated municipal water supply. The water need for these water intensive industries are tapped from the springs and streams. There are reported cases of drying up of water and dwindling of water yield at the sources. This is even more frightening since the availability of an alternate source was never ascertained. 5.3 Forest and Biodiversity Bhutan’s rich forests and agro-biodiversity serve not only as rich repositories of biodiversity but also as long-term stores of carbon which mitigate the adverse impacts of climate change. However, the resilience of forests and biodiversity can be threatened by a combination of climate change, associated disturbances (e.g. flooding, drought, wildfire, insects-pests) and other change drivers (e.g. land use change, pollution, fragmentation of natural systems). Several modelling studies indicate that climate change can cause shift in forest boundaries, alter ecosystems, change composition of forests, and loss of species, that can lead to changes in the ecosystem functions and services. In Bhutan forest and biodiversity are vulnerable to the following risks due to climate change: 5.3.1 Disturbance of Ecosystem and Ecosystem Services The climate impact survey 2010 indicated that Juniper scrub forests in the Alpine ecosystem (above 4000 masl) are increasing in area while the availability of alpine plants is decreasing. Fire suppression in the forestry management practices may have attributed to an increase in scrub forest coverage. Local communities also reported that the discontinuation of the use of fire in rangeland management regimes, has led to the acceleration of the incursion by woody species. It is likely that with the increasing upward movement of conifer scrub forest could result in habitat encroachment of medicinal plants such as Picorrhiza spp, Ophiocordyceps sinensis Gentiana urnula and Rhodiola spp. This could result to alteration of alpine meadows habitat, leading to disappearance of ecologically sensitive and economically important species The tree line shifts in the forest ecosystems has been observed and fir forests (Abies densa) on the mountain tops declined in the 1980s due to moisture stress (Gratzer et al, 1997). With rising temperature, and increasing incidences of moisture stresses, the vulnerability of fir forests is high and the upper limit of Abies, Tsuga and Juniperus may shift higher up or may even extinct from the area. Blue pine (Pinus wallichiana) encroachment into spruce/maple/birch forests is observed. The distribution of evergreen broad-leaved species along the altitudinal slope of dry valley mid-hills is limited by winter temperature (coldest month’s mean temperature) of minus one degree Celsius which coincides at 2900 masl. (Wangda & Ohsawa 2006a). With the increasing trend of winter temperatures over the past ten years, according to unpublished meteorological data of the Research and Development Centre (RDC), Yusipang, there is a probability of increasing the upper limit of evergreen broad-leaved species from 2900 m (current) to higher altitudes in future. Therefore, the montane cloud forests which occur around 2500 m in the valley slopes of Dochula-Bajo series (Wangda & Ohsawa, 2010) and around 2000 m along the mid hills of Gedu-Darla series (Wangda et al, in press) are vulnerable to this change. This could lead to habitat loss for some important relic plant species like Taxus, Magnolia, Tetracentron and endangered bird species such as hornbills. Climate change combined anthropogenic activities may also accelerate the damage to wetlands and fresh water ecosystems, such as lakes, marshes and rivers. For instance, Page 21 the wetlands of Phobjikha, which is the habitat of the black-necked cranes, is threatened to become unsuitable the birds due to intensive agriculture, continuous grazing and encroachment by blue pine forests ( The climate impact survey 2010). 5.3.2 Loss of Plant Species, Animal Breeds and Agro-Biodiversity. Climate change will impact species mainly through changes in distribution and population status. It will also affect phenology, which in turn could affect the plant-pollinator interactions and prey-predator dynamics (Campbell et al, 2009). These observations raise concerns for Bhutan to about 105 endemic plants and a number of globally threatened species. Also, there could be potential loss of restricted Himalayan endemics such as the pygmy hog, Himalayan field mouse, and flying squirrel and high altitude medicinal/endemic plant species. In addition, the existence of large predators such as the tiger and the snow leopard are already threatened by shrinking or fragmented habitats making them more vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The principal factors that could lead to reduced agro-biodiversity are the prevailing rise in temperature and changes in precipitation leading to increased incidence of extreme weather events (Chettri et al, 2010). This in turn could lead to low yield, higher incidences of pests and diseases, and disappearance of some species, varieties and breeds. The rice blast in 1995 caused by a fungus Pyricularigrisea, occurred on an epidemic scale in the high altitude warm temperate rice growing areas causing as high as 71 percent yield loss and loss of traditional rice varieties. In maize, a new maize disease Gray Leaf Spot (GLS) caused by the fungus Cercospora zeaemaydis that was never reported in Bhutan, devastated the entire maize growing area in the east affecting about 3835 households. Adaptability of the existing livestock breeds will change. Local and rare breeds will become extinct as a result of climate change, disease epidemics and changing farming systems. 5.3.3 Increased Incidences of Pests and Diseases Recent moderate warming has been linked to improved forests productivity, but these gains are expected to be offset by the effects of increasing drought, fire and insect outbreaks as a result of further warming (Campbell et al, 2009). Rising temperature and erratic dry and moist periods leads to drought like condition including drying up of soil moisture. In the past several incidences of pine die-backs were observed (1994, 1999, 2001, 2003 & 2008) along the Paachu-Wangchu valley. These entire die back of pine was strongly correlated with higher temperature and lower rainfall. The productivity of conifer forests (Abies densa, Pinus wallichiana, Picea ) and oak forests (Quercus glauca and Quercus griffithii) suffered set-backs due to periodic diebacks and insect attacks. 5.3.4 Increased Establishment of Invasive Species The threat to biodiversity due to alien invasive species is considered only second to that of habitat loss. Climate change will expedite the colonization of some areas by invasive species in both terrestrial as well as fresh water ecosystems, which will have severe ramifications on native species (Campbell et al, 2009, CBD, 2009). A significant increase in the diversity of invasive species such as Mikaniami carantha.,Parthenium spp., Opuntia spp., Eupatorium ordoratum, Lantana camara, Commelina, Galinsoga and Phyllanthus are reported. Such increase of noxious invasive species may result in the decline of native species diversity in addition to lowering the production of agricultural crops and forest productivity and environmental services Page 22 5.3.5 Increasing Risk of Forest Fire Forest fires are considered to be one of the key threats to coniferous forests in the country with 526 incidents of forest fire, affecting over 70,000 ha of forest between 1999/2000 to 2007/2008 (BAP, 2009). The rising temperature and long spells of drought are likely to increase the risk of forest fires resulting in further reduction and degradation of forest resources. However, forest fires are also an essential part of the natural process in the functioning of many ecosystems. Effective biodiversity conservation therefore requires allowing fire to play their role in maintaining ecosystem functioning, without posing a threat to biodiversity or human well-being (CBD, 2009). 5.3.6 Loss of Livelihoods, Traditional Knowledge and Practices The Bhutanese have always lived in harmony with nature and have used biodiversity for many purposes from fuel-wood, food, fibre, shelter, medicine, household implements, and handicrafts to several other purposes. Bhutan has a rich tradition which is closely linked to biodiversity. For example, the use of Dru Na Ngu (nine important food crops) in offerings and rituals signifies the sacred role of biodiversity in culture and traditions. If climate and land-use change lead to losses in agro-biodiversity, including discontinuation of traditional practices, the culture of local communities will be adversely affected. Local livelihoods of traditional farming are already made vulnerable by human-wildlife conflicts. It is possible that the situation will be exacerbated with climate change due to the effects on behaviours and habitats of wild animals. There are reports of change in the movement and feeding patterns of the wild boar, bear, elephants and monkeys, leading to more conflicts with farmers. 6.0 Adaptation Plan of Action In line with NAPA, SAPA is prepared through extensive stakeholder consultations in order to integrate climate adaptation options into Sectoral programs and sub-programs of the MoAF. The purpose of SAPA is: To implement RNR adaptation plans that are vibrant for responding to changing and uncertain climatic conditions, To inform and facilitate RNR Sectoral programs working towards the integrated approaches among various programs and sub-programs To create awareness among the communities in understanding the changing futures climatic conditions and engage them effectively in the process of developing adaptation activities. The RNR-SAPA document consolidates and integrates the climate change adaptation related programs, themes and actions of the RNR sector as proposed in the 11 th FYP Plan. The three core themes in RNR-SAPA are Agriculture and Food Security, Forest and Biodiversity and Water Resources. In order to make the Plan of Action focused and relevant, a set of seven Adaptation Action Areas (AAA) for each RNR theme are proposed. The seven AAA are: 1. Food Security and Poverty Alleviation; 2. Forest and Biodiversity Conservation; 3. Governance and Sustainability; Page 23 4. 5. 6. 7. Forest and Ecosystem; Natural Disasters and Infrastructure Research, Education & Advocacy. and Water Resources Use, Access and Management Actions identified in the above seven AAA thematic areas : are arranged according to following 3 6.1 Adaptation Action Plan for Agriculture and Food Security Main adaptation actions for Agriculture and Food Security are to (i) Develop and promote biotic and Abiotic stress tolerant crop and fodder varieties (ii) Improve local breeds & traditional crops that have adapted to local climatic stress and feed resources (iii) Strengthen in-situ and ex-situ conservation of crop and livestock resources (iii) Institutionalize surveillance and forecasting system and containment mechanism for emerging plant and animal diseases (iv) Diversify and integrate livestock and crop production and (v) Developing and pilot climate smart RNR Program. The detailed actions based on the gaps, risks and vulnerabilities are given in Table .4 6.2 Adaptation Action Plan for Water Resources Actions of main concerns for Water Resources are in the areas of (i) Watershed Management Planning and implementation of activities in the critical watersheds (ii) Conservation and use of forest and wetland ecosystem for enhancing livelihoods (iii) Comprehensive water resources inventory; mapping, assessment of the quality and quantity of the major water sources for various uses (iii) Rain water harvesting to prevent water shortages during dry periods and irregularities during the monsoons and (iv) Traditional knowledge and local perspectives in adapting to the changing climate . The detailed actions based on the gaps, risks and vulnerabilities are given in Table 5 6.3 Adaptation Action Plan for Forest and Biodiversity Focused actions for Forest and Biodiversity are (i) to ensure ensure sustainable management and utilization of biodiversity (ii) to Improve and strengthen forest fire management program (iii) to conserve biodiversity (Plant and Animal) (iv)to develop livelihood options and adaptation strategies for forestry and ecosystem services and (v) to enhance understanding of climate change impacts on biodiversity and ecosystem services. The detailed actions based on the gaps, risks and vulnerabilities are given in Table 6. Page 24 Table 4: Adaptation Action Plan for Agriculture and Food Security Agriculture and Food Security Gaps, Risks and Vulnerabilities Actions Broad Action Areas (AAA) Biodiversity Loss of Production (Crops and Conservation and Animals) to Biotic and Abiotic Management Stresses Increased Soil and Nutrient Losses 11th FYP NAPA Sustainable management of rangeland MoAF/04 and highland animals √ Develop and demonstrate IPNM in selected cropping system including SLM technologies Strengthen in-situ and ex-situ conservation of crop and livestock germplasm Promote adaptation measures to conserve natural aquatic habitats and species Sustainable management and utilization of fish and aquatic animal species in riverine and natural water bodies Develop and promote biotic and Abiotic stress tolerant crop and fodder varieties √ Loss of Production (Crops and Animals) to Biotic and Abiotic Stresses Loss of Production (Crops and Animals) to Biotic and Abiotic Stresses Loss of Production (Crops and Animals) to Biotic and Abiotic Stresses Food Security and Loss of Production (Crops and Poverty Alleviation Animals) to Biotic and Abiotic Stresses Increased hardship and loss of Improving local breeds & traditional livelihoods of Farming crops that have adapted to local climatic Communities stress and feed resources MoAF/05 MoAF/02 MoAF/14 MoAF/01 MoAF/04 √ MoAF/01 MoAF/04 √ Focus on A Few Main Crops and Increase agriculture biomass through Decreasing Crop and Product sustainable crop and livestock Diversity intensification and diversification (including horticulture crops and other Page 25 Broad Action Areas (AAA) Agriculture and Food Security Gaps, Risks and Vulnerabilities Actions 11th FYP NAPA cereals) Lack of capacity in addressing Strengthen the capacity of the MoAF/01 climate change national seed programs (crop and livestock) for enhancing rural accessibility Increased Soil and Nutrient Optimize use of limited available natural MoAF/04 Losses resources and reduce resource conflicts and competition between sectors through prioritizing land use system based on cost benefit analysis Develop and promote improved MoAF/04 pastures, plantations, by-product enrichment and ensiling technologies including local feed resources Develop and promote aquaculture for enhancing livelihoods New food safety parameters may Capacity building in food safety arise with the effect of climate measures (including drinking water) change on food chain consisting of inspection, analysis and certification components Forests and Focus on A Few Main Crops and Integrate eco-tourism, agro-tourism Ecosystem Services Decreasing Crop and Product including sport fishing in sustainable Diversity community development. MoAF/11 (Biosecurity n Food Safety Programme) Governance Sustainability MoAF/01 and Increased hardship and loss of Promote the use of minor cereals livelihoods of Farming √ Page 26 Broad Action Areas (AAA) Agriculture and Food Security Gaps, Risks and Vulnerabilities Actions 11th FYP NAPA Communities Lack of convergence of policy and Enhance livestock productivity practice MoAF/04 Lack of capacity and awareness in Developing and piloting climate smart MoAF/01 addressing climate change RNR programs MoAF/04 MoAF/05 Focus on A Few Main Crops and Promotion of organic farming Decreasing Crop and Product Diversity MoAF/01 MoAF/02 Emissions of Green House Gases Promotion of manure management and MoAF/04 from Farming utilization e.g. bio gas √ Focus on A Few Main Crops and Develop Mechanism for Payment of MoAF/07 Decreasing Crop and Product environmental services (PES) to Diversity pastoral communities in high altitude areas Lack of capacity and awareness in Strengthening the local level institutions addressing climate change for enhancing production, management and marketing eg farmers group Natural Disasters Lack of capacity and awareness in Strengthen infrastructures to maintain and Infrastructure addressing climate change food reserve Lack of Adequate Pest and Institutionalize surveillance and MoAF/04 Disease Surveillance System for forecasting system and containment Crops and Livestock mechanism for emerging plant and animal diseases √ Page 27 Broad Action Areas (AAA) Agriculture and Food Security Gaps, Risks and Vulnerabilities Actions Lack of capacity and awareness in Enhance Bio-security addressing climate change animals and plants 11th FYP facilities NAPA for MoAF/13 Lack of capacity and awareness in Improve accessibility for marketing and MoAF/02 addressing climate change food distribution MoAF/08 Lack of capacity and awareness in Improve accessibility for marketing and MoAF/02 addressing climate change food distribution MoAF/08 Emergence and spread of pests and diseases, and introduction of invasive alien species of plants and animals Stepping up of risk assessment, management and communication for effective regulation of pests and diseases, and invasive alien species of agricultural crops and livestock. MoAF/11 (Biosecurity n Food Safety Programme) Strengthening of post entry quarantine facilities for effective bio-security measures MoAF/11 (Biosecurity n Food Safety Programme) MoAF/11 (Biosecurity n Food Safety Programme) MoAF/01 √ MoAF/02 MoAF/04 Enhance analytical and certification capacity for agricultural and livestock goods and food commodities, for local and export market. Research, Education Lack of comprehensive data and Introduce/develop new breeds & crop and Advocacy knowledge varieties that are adapted to climate stress Page 28 Broad Action Areas (AAA) Agriculture and Food Security Gaps, Risks and Vulnerabilities Actions Focus on A Few Main Crops and Diversification, intensification or/or Decreasing Crop and Product integration of pasture management Diversity including silvo pastoral system, livestock and crop production Lack of Adequate Pest and Develop IPM packages for important Disease Surveillance System for crops Crops and Livestock 11th FYP MoAF/01 NAPA √ MoAF/04 MoAF/01 MoAF/02 √ Lack of comprehensive data and Study impacts of climate change on MoAF/10 knowledge livestock and agriculture √ Lack of capacity and awareness in Extension technologies/messages MoAF/15 addressing climate change prepared for climate smart technologies Lack of capacity and awareness in addressing climate change Create awareness on balanced diet MoAF/11 Lack of capacity and awareness in Sustaining national initiatives on MoAF/11 addressing climate change Climate Change through school youths Lack of comprehensive data and Study the Impact of Climate change on MoAF/10 knowledge crop and cropping systems √ Lack of comprehensive data and Assessment of agriculture land use MoAF/10 knowledge capability to enhance utility of land in view of climate change Lack of capacity and awareness in Developing web-based portal to MoAF/15 addressing climate change disseminate information on climate change initiatives √ Page 29 Broad Action Areas (AAA) Agriculture and Food Security Gaps, Risks and Vulnerabilities Actions Lack of capacity and awareness in Awareness on climate change and addressing climate change issues through AV Awareness on RNR Acts ant its Rules & Regulations Inadequate information system on Strengthen plant and animal bio-security agriculture and livestock and food safety information system to biosecurity and on food safety enhance e governance (G2G, G2C, and G2B) Inadequate public awareness and Prioritize on public awareness and advocacy activities on legislations advocacy of legislations and their and their administrations implementation 11th FYP NAPA MoAF/15 MoAF/11 (Biosecurity n Food Safety Programme) MoAF/11 (Biosecurity n Food Safety Programme) Increasing Scarcity of Water and Reconstruction of irrigation systems MoAF/01 √ Its Impact on Crop and Livestock (lining, better maintenance) to reduce MoAF/02 water loss (by as much as 50%) and Water Resources Production apply advanced water-saving methods Use, Access and of irrigation Management Reduction in Water Yield and Improve water management for MoAF/01 √ Deterioration of Quality agriculture and livestock Table 5: Adaptation Action Plan for Water Resources Water Resources Broad Action Areas Gaps, Risks and Vulnerabilities (AAA) Biodiversity Loss of Wetland Ecosystem Conservation and Management Food Security and Loss of Wetland Ecosystem Poverty Alleviation Actions 11 FYP Valuation of freshwater and terrestrial MoAF/06 ecosystems for conservation and adaptation to cc and development Conservation and improved management of MoAF/10 Forest and Wetland Ecosystem to MoAF/06 NAPA √ Page 30 Water Resources Broad Action Areas (AAA) Gaps, Risks and Vulnerabilities Actions 11 FYP NAPA enhancing livelihoods Forests and Loss of Wetland Ecosystem Management of wetlands and riverine ecosystem services ecosystem Governance and Lack of capacity and awareness in Watershed Management Planning and Sustainability addressing climate change implementation of activities in the critical watersheds Natural Disasters and Infrastructure Research, Education Lack of comprehensive data and Comprehensive water resources inventory; and Advocacy knowledge mapping, assessment of the quality and quantity of the major water sources for various uses Loss of Wetland Ecosystem Inventory of all wetlands in the river basins and significant wetlands identified Lack of comprehensive data and Past-present-future Monsoon variability knowledge revealed by stable water isotopes: combining observations and climate models to assess its impacts on Bhutan Lack of comprehensive data and Climate variability and its impact on knowledge hydropower/agriculture/biodiversity/water/he alth Lack of comprehensive data and General hydrologic responses to changes in knowledge different forest types MoAF/06 MoAF/06 √ MoAF/06 MoAF/06 √ MoAF/05 √ MoAF/05 Lack of comprehensive data and Impacts of interacting factors on water MoAF/05 knowledge quality and flow regime √ Page 31 Water Resources Broad Action Areas (AAA) Gaps, Risks and Vulnerabilities Actions 11 FYP NAPA Reduction in Water Yield and Climate change impact on water scarcity for MoAF/05 Deterioration of Quality drinking & irrigation Lack of capacity and awareness in Awareness, advocacy and outreach addressing climate change program on water resources management including water Lack of capacity and awareness in Community involvement in Watershed/ addressing climate change catchment protection and in decision making processes Lack of comprehensive data and Traditional knowledge and local knowledge perspectives in adapting to the changing climate Increased Run-Off Regular monitoring of lake levels, both manually and through the satellite. Increased Run-Off Rehabilitation and restoration of silted lakes Limited knowledge on the climate trends and the history of glaciers in Bhutan Water Resources Reduction in Water Yield and Use, Access and Deterioration of Quality Management Reduction in Water Yield and Deterioration of Quality MoAF/05 √ MoAF/05 √ √ MoAF/05 MoAF/05 MoAF/05 Glacial History reconstruction in Bhutan Himalayas Impounding reservoirs for drinking water MoAF/05 supply in both urban and rural areas Rain Water harvesting to prevent water MoAF/03 shortages during dry periods and irregularities during the monsoons √ Page 32 Table 6 : Adaptation Action Plan for Forest and Biodiversity Forest and Biodiversity Adaptation Action Gaps, Risks and Vulnerabilities Actions 11 FYP Areas (AAA) Biodiversity Loss of Plant Species, Animal Breeds Ensure sustainable management and MoAF/014 Conservation and and Agro-Biodiversity. utilization of biodiversity Management Loss of Plant Species, Animal Breeds Conserve agro-biodiversity to promote MoAF/014 and Agro-Biodiversity. adaptation to CC NAPA √ Increased Establishment of Invasive Develop and implement measures to MoAF/014 Species protect natural ecosystems and agriculture production against invasive species. Loss of Plant Species, Animal Breeds Strengthen species conservation and MoAF/05 and Agro-Biodiversity. management program to adapt to the changing climate Loss of Plant Species, Animal Breeds Strengthen regulatory risk assessment, MoAF/011 and Agro-Biodiversity. management for trade of endangered species and related restricted goods. Increased Establishment of Invasive Enhance bio-security system and facilities MoAF/011 Species necessary for prevention of introduction of invasive alien species of plants and animals into the environment Food Security and Loss of Livelihoods, Poverty Alleviation Knowledge and Practices Traditional Enhance resilience of local community MoAF/05 towards CC and improvement of rural livelihood through increased income from sustainable use of Natural resources and ecosystem services √ Page 33 Adaptation Action Areas (AAA) Forest and Biodiversity Gaps, Risks and Vulnerabilities Actions Loss of Livelihoods, Knowledge and Practices Traditional Enhance analytical and certification capacity for Non-Timber Forest Products (NTFPs) for phyto-sanitary/organic status and food safety Lack of capacity and awareness in Establishment of Crop and Livestock addressing climate change Insurance Schemes Loss of Livelihoods, Traditional Develop livelihood options and adaptation Knowledge and Practices strategies for forestry and forestry ecosystems Forests and Increased Incidences of Pests and Control and manage increased incidences Ecosystem Services Diseases of pests and diseases Disturbance of Ecosystem and Prepare and implement REDD+ Ecosystem Services Mechanisms (REDD+ Policy & Strategy Dev.) Disturbance of Ecosystem and Reforestation and rehabilitation of Ecosystem Services degraded forest and critical watersheds Increased Incidences of Pests and Enhance biosecurity measures for Diseases prevention of introduction of exotic pests, diseases of plants and animals into the environment. Governance Sustainability and Disturbance of Ecosystem Ecosystem Services Increasing Risk of Forest Fire 11 FYP NAPA MoAF/011 √ MoAF/05 √ MoAF/05 √ MoAF/06 MoAF/05 √ MoAF/011 and Strengthen the functionality and MoAF/06 management of protected area systems and biological corridors under changing climate. Improve and strengthen forest fire MoAF/07 management program, taking into account the changing climatic conditions. √ √ Page 34 Adaptation Action Areas (AAA) Forest and Biodiversity Gaps, Risks and Vulnerabilities Actions Lack of capacity and awareness in Promote good governance in forestry and addressing climate change sustainable Forest Management through participatory and science based approach in the face of climate change Lack of convergence of policy and Enhance Co-ordination among various practice sectors/agencies for sharing Technical and infrastructural facilities for NRM Lack of comprehensive data and Document and mainstream community knowledge based IKS (indigenous knowledge system) on CC adaptation and mitigation Lack of capacity in addressing climate Develop and establish national forest change monitoring systems( National Forest Inventory and MRV of REDD Mechanisms Lack of comprehensive data and Assessment and monitoring of Carbon knowledge Stock for Bhutan Loss of Livelihoods, Knowledge and Practices 11 FYP MoAF/07 NAPA √ MoAF/07 MoAF/14 MoAF/05 MoAF/05 Traditional Strengthen community practices in natural MoAF/14 resource management Natural Disasters and Lack of capacity and awareness in Develop appropriate infrastructures for MoAF/05 Infrastructure addressing climate change better responding to CC disasters √ Lack of capacity and awareness in Increase/strengthen community seed bank MoAF/14 addressing climate change to address disaster related to CC Page 35 Adaptation Action Areas (AAA) Forest and Biodiversity Gaps, Risks and Vulnerabilities Actions 11 FYP NAPA Lack of capacity and awareness in Develop rapid response system for MoAF/11 addressing climate change containment of pandemic outbreak of pests and diseases in plant and animals and zoonitic diseases Research, Education Lack of comprehensive data and Study the mountain phenology and the MoAF/05 and Advocacy knowledge effects of climate change Lack of comprehensive knowledge data and Gather comprehensive data and information on biological diversity and climate parameters Lack of capacity and awareness in Establishment and monitoring of Climate addressing climate change stations ( data loggers) , and permanent sampling plots along major ecological zone Lack of comprehensive data and Reconstruction of Fire history and knowledge Monsoon Climate through tree ring analysis Lack of comprehensive data and To enhance understanding of climate knowledge change impacts on biodiversity and ecosystem services. Lack of capacity and awareness in Adaptation of commercial trees and addressing climate change important NWFPs in the face of climate change Lack of comprehensive data and Assess Forest vulnerability and knowledge Adaptability to Climate Change MoAF/05 √ MoAF/07 √ MoAF/06 MoAF/06 √ MoAF/06 √ MoAF/06 √ Lack of capacity in addressing climate Awareness on climate change and issues MoAF/14 change through AV (documentary, MTV, radio programs, penal discussion and debates) √ Page 36 Adaptation Action Areas (AAA) Forest and Biodiversity Gaps, Risks and Vulnerabilities Actions Lack of comprehensive knowledge data 11 FYP NAPA and Study on the impact of CC on native MoAF/14 endemic and threatened plants Lack of capacity in addressing climate To establish and maintain a pests and change diseases surveillance and monitoring systems in both plants and animals Lack of capacity in addressing climate To enhance effects of climate change on change dynamics of pests and diseases in animals and plants Water Resources Lack of capacity and awareness in Watershed Management Planning and Use, Access and addressing climate change implementation of activities in the critical Management watersheds Loss of Wetland Ecosystem Conserve wetlands in the headwater catchment areas as continual source of pure water, habitat for biodiversity, spiritual and cultural asset and for other ecosystem services Loss of Wetland Ecosystem Ramsar declaration and development of management plan MoAF/11 MoAF/11 MoAF/06 √ MoAF/06 √ MoAF/06 Page 37 7.0 Implementation Mechanism 7.1 Organisation, Management and Administration 7.1.1 Programme Management General Organisation and Management Climate Change mainstreaming has been one of the key policy directives for the 11th FYP. The sector being the custodian of the country’s Natural resources, there will be increasing obligations for the sector to pursue mitigation and adaptation initiatives. Consequently, there will be increased climate change related planning and implementation at both local and national levels. In this context the RNR SAPA which consolidates interventions proposed in the 11th Plan serves as the strategy to mainstream climate change mitigation and adaptation for the 11th Plan and beyond. Recognizing the need to establish proper coordination for effectively implementing the RNR-SAPA, the Council for RNR Research of Bhutan (CoRRB) as the apex body of RNR research and as the coordinating agency for the climate change initiatives is aptly placed to facilitate implementation of RNR SAPA. Management and Coordination The implementation framework for RNR SAPA is schematically represented in Figure 4. As the coordinating agency for climate change initiatives, CoRRB will be the overall lead to coordinate with all stakeholders to facilitate the implementation of the RNR SAPA. While the sector specific actions under the RNR SAPA will be implemented by the relevant departments/agencies, relevant cross sectoral actions like for instance awareness campaigns will be implemented by the CoRRB. Page 38 Figure 4: RNR SAPA Planning and Implementation Framework Page 39 7.1.2 Fund sourcing and management CoRRB with the concurrence of MoAF and GNHC, will access different windows for donor funding to implement SAPA plan of actions. The efforts for support will be sought both on thematic and cross-thematic basis. While the supports will be channelled as sector support program, project modes of interventions will also be an option. CoRRB will communicate the clearance of the project proposal and fund to the proponents, who will then include in the annual budget proposal of respective agency. The accountability for utilization of the approved fund will rest on the recipient agency. 7.1.3 Project development, submission and screening All the stakeholders within the approved 11th plan and RNR SAPA will develop specific projects and submit through respective directorate to CORRB (Refer Project proposal format Annexure 2) 3 months prior to annual budgeting exercise. The proposal will be screened by SAPA -TC following the screening criteria (Annex 1.) and communicate the decision within a week to the proponent (department). 7.1.4 Monitoring and evaluation, progress reporting and reviews CoRRB within the PLAMS framework will modulate the planning, monitoring and evaluation of climate change actions by the recipient agencies. A quarterly reporting system will be used which the designated focal persons will update the coordinating agency. CoRRB in consultation with the stakeholders will also organize monitoring visits to actually see the actions in the field and document the progress. In parallel, CoRRB will also request SAPA -TC to make rapid appraisals of some of the action areas and propose the way forward as and when required. CoRRB based on the quarterly reports will prepare the comprehensive report and submit to MoAF for further circulation to the government and the donor. Given that climate change challenges are evolving with time, there is a need to identify and implement adaptation actions in tandem. Therefore, the SAPA -TC will review and update the RNR SAPA on an annual basis. Page 40 Annex 1: Criteria and Questionnaire for screening the Project proposal No. Criteria 1 Relevance to Climate Change 2 Linkage to SKRAs (11th FYP) 3 Linkage to SAPA 4 Base of Beneficiaries 5 Implementation Capacity 6 Expected Impact on the Project Objectives 7 Time frame 8 Size of Budget Questionnaire for Screening the Proposal No Criteria 1*) 2 3 4*) 1 Relevance to Will not climate change contribute to reduce negative impact of climate change Do not know Will contribute to reduce negative impact of climate change 1 Will have no linkage with SKRAs ( 11th FYP) 1 Will have no linkage with SAPA 2 Do not know Will not have any appreciable contribution to reduce negative impact of climate change 3 Will have some linkages 4 Will have strong linkages 2 Do not know 3 Will have some linkages 4 Will have strong linkages 1 Will have no benefits to the stakeholders/ population 2 Do not know on the impact on stakeholders/ population 4 Will have positive impact on the stakeholders/ population 1 Do not have any implementing capacity 1 Will not have any impact on the objectives 2 Do not know 3 Will not have any appreciable impact on the stakeholders/ population 3 Have some implementing capacity 4 Have adequate implementing capacity 3 Will not have any appreciable impact on the 4 Will have positive impact on the objectives 2 Linkages SKRAs FYP) 3 Linkage SAPA to (11th with 4 Base of Beneficiaries 5 Implementation Capacity 6 Expected Impacts on the Project's Objectives 2 Do not know Page 41 1 Will go beyond 3-4 years 1 8 Size of Budget Budget very high in relation to the expected outputs 1=Lowest 4=Highest 7 Time frame 2 Do not know 2 Do not know objectives 3 Will not go beyond 34years 3 Budget slightly higher in relation to the expected outputs 4 Will end in 3-4 years 4 Budget in line to the expected outputs Page 42 Annex 2: Project proposal Format PP1 (a) Project Proposal On “XYZ” For GCCA Funding ‘Thematic Area title: Adaptation Action Area title’ Prepared by XYZ Month and Year Page 43 1 (a) wherein 1 would be PCN thematic area (1 Food Code Number : Security, 2 Forests and Biodiversity, 3 Water Security) (a) Would be sequencing of the projects under each theme A. General: Climate Change Highlight the CC issue/concern (example below) Issue/concern Inadequate human resources capacity in the areas of climate change adaptation for ensuring food security National Strategy for Highlight the National strategy (example below) Climate Change Capacity building for climate change adaptation Adaptation Link to National Key The project is expected to contribute to : Result Areas (list the relevant NKRAs) Sector Programme for Name of the programme (this should be in Sync with the Climate Change 11FYP) Adaptation (it is proposed that the title of the relevant thematic area can be reproduced here) Link to Sector Key The Project is linked to : Result Areas (list the SKRAs) Thematic Area under the SAPA Broad Adaptation Action Area under the SAPA Title of the Project B. Project Details: Project Title Thematic Area Priority Area Beneficiaries Total Cost of the Project [in Nu.] Duration of the Project (in months) Page 44 Project’s Purpose Define the purpose of the Project. (proposed for a word limit of 300-500 words) Project’s Rationale/Justification Define Project Rationale or Justification. (Proposed for a word limit of 300-500 words) Project Objectives and Outcomes List the Objectives and specify the broad outcomes (maintain link to RNR 11FYP and the RNR SAPA) Project Outputs Outline the Project outputs (ensure linkage to the 11FYP and SAPA) Project Activities List the key activities Beneficiaries List the beneficiaries (example below) (i) Primary Beneficiaries: Small and marginal farmers of resource poor areas and agricultural labourers. (ii) Secondary Beneficiaries (Relevant Stakeholders and other Beneficiaries): The impact of such activities is likely to have effect on the farmers of neighbouring areas, researchers, extension workers, workers of other development departments, research and extension institutions, development partners etc. Page 45 Major Risks and Assumptions Define the major risks and assumptions Project Log Frame NARRATIVE SUMMARY OBJECTIVELY VERIFIABLE INDICATOR (OVI) MEANS OF VERIFICATIO N (MOV) IMPORTANT RISKS AND ASSUMPTIONS Goal: Purpose: Outputs: List the outputs (one in each cell) 1. 2. 3. 4. (add cells based on the number of outputs) Activities: List down the major activities in conjunction with the above outputs. 1.1, 1.2,1.3 … (for output 1) 2.1, 2.2, 2.3 … (for output 2) and so on. Estimates of Costs by Activity (if possible present a summary of project cost estimates) Page 46 Time Line of the Project by Activity Activity I Year II Year 1.1 X X 1.2 X X 2.1 X X III Year IV Year X 2.2 X X X 3.1 X X X 3.2 X X 4.1 X X 4.2 X X Budget Details of the Project by RGOB budget heads Project Activities RGOB Budget heads Budget Amount (mil. Nu) Recurrent Capital Total by Budget Category Total Budget (recurrent + Capital) Page 47 References Biodiversity Action Plan (BAP), 2009. Ministry of Agriculture, Royal Government of Bhutan. Campbell, A., Kapos, V., Scharlemann, J.P.W., Bubb, P., Chenery, A., Coad,L., Dickson, B., Doswald, N., Khan, M.S.I., Kershaw, F., and Rashid, M., 2009. Review of literature on the Links between Biodiversity and Climate Change: Impacts, Adaptation and Mitigation. Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity, Montreal. Technical Series No.42. Chettri, N, Sharma, E., Shakya, B., Thapa, R., Bajracharya, B., Uddin, K., Oli, K.P., & Choudhury, D. 2010: Biodiversity in the Eastern Himalayas; Status, Trends and Vulnerability to Climate Change: Climate Change Impact and Vulnerability in the Eastern Himalayas- Technical Report 2, ICIMOD. Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) Secretariat, 2009. Connecting Biodiversit and Climate change mitigation and adaptation; Report of the 2ndAdhoc Technical Expert Group on Biodiversity and Climate change, Montreal, Technical Series No. 41. FAO. 2011. Biodiversity for Food and Agriculture: Contributing to food security and sustainability in a changing world. Gitay, H., Suarez A., Watson, R.T., Dokken, D.J., (eds.), 2002. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Technical paper V. Gratzer, G., Rai, P.B., and Glatzel, G. 1997 Ecology of the Abiesdensa forests in IFMP Ura, Bhutan. ICIMOD 2011. Climate Variability and Change in the Himalayas. Community perceptions and responses IPCC 2007. Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. RGoB (2008) The Constitution of Bhutan, Royal Government of Bhutan, Thimphu Tse-ring, K. 2003. Constructing future climate scenario of Bhutan in Project report on climate change vulnerability and adaptation study for rice production in Bhutan for Project: Climate Change studies in Bhutan, Activity No. www 094505-But.2. Thimphu: Ministry of Agriculture. Tse-ring, K., Sharma, S., Chettri, N., & Shrestra, A. (eds), 2010. Climate Change Vulnerability of Mountain Ecosystems in the Eastern Himalayas; Climate Change impact and Vulnerability in the Eastern Himalayas- Synthesis Report., ICIMOD. Wangda, P. & Ohsawa, M. 2010. Temperature and humidity as determinants of the transition from dry pine to humid cloud forests in the Bhutan Himalaya. In L. A. Bruijnzeelet al. ed. Tropical Montane Cloud Forests: International Hydrology Series, Cambridge University Press. 156-163. Wangda, P., & Ohsawa, M. 2006a. Forest pattern analysis along the topographical and climatic gradient of the dry west and humid east slopes of Dochula, western Bhutan. Journal of Renewable Natural Resources Bhutan. 2 (1): 1-17. Page 48 Wangda, P., & Ohsawa, M. 2006b. Gradational forest change along the climatically dry valley slopes of Bhutan in the midst of humid eastern Himalaya. Plant Ecology. 186: 109World Bank (2008) World development Report 2008: Agriculture for Development, Washington DC. Referred National Documents MoAF (2011) Bhutan Climate Summit 2011 Impacts of Climate Change on Food Security, a country Paper for Bhutan Climate Summit 2011, Ministry of Agriculture and Forests, Ministry of Agriculture and Forests, Thimphu MoAF (2011) National Action Plan Biodiversity Persistence and climate change – a country paper for Bhutan Climate summit 2011, Ministry of Agriculture and Forests, Thimhu NEC (2011) Securing the Natural Freshwater systems of the Bhutan - Climate Change and Adaptation measures -Water Resources in Bhutan a country paper for climate summit 2011m. National Environment Commission, Royal Government of Bhutan NEC (2012) National Adaptation Programme of Action (NAP): Update of Projects and Profiles 2012 National Environment Commission, Royal Government of Bhutan Page 49