The Visual Display of Information Hartford, CT Homicides—unsolved cases Only 27% of homicides were solved in Hartford CT in 2009. Using statistics, probability theory and statistical thinking what information could you offer the Department? RE: “Police Seek Help in Solving Homicides.” The Hartford Courant, March 2, 2011. Is Hartford a safe city? Location Map with Frequency Distribution Interactive map: http://www.courant.com/community/hartford/hc-hartfordhomicides-2010,0,1258139.mapgallery Activity 1. 2. 3. 4. Have your group log on to the interactive map above Can you discern a pattern to the crimes? How could statistics help in solving homicides? How does this pattern compare to British Murder stats (below): a. Use the spreadsheet (Homicide) to calculate the Homicide Rate (Offenses per 100,000 of population) and compare it to London and Gloucestershire. b. Which is the safer city measured by the Homicide rate? 5. What strategies could the Hartford police use in homicide prevention, given the data above? 6. How do Hartford trends compare to UK? Murder rate: the trends that solve the crimes 619 murders were recorded in England and Wales in 2009/10, see the stats that help to solve crimes • Get the data o o Share12 o o Comments (5) Murder rates detailed: click image for graphic. Illustration: Mark McCormick for the Guardian Statistics on homicide are vitally important as they aid investigations into hard-to-solve and unsolved murders. Given the characteristics of the victim and the offence, the statistics can help police narrow down a suspect group in the hunt for a murderer. The Home Office publish an extensive "Homicides, Firearm Offences and Intimate Violence " report. The data in this report describes the recorded crimes in England and Wales over the past 50 years. The Home Office figures tell us that last year 619 deaths were recorded as homicide in England and Wales. As Simon Rogers previously posted the mortality statistics, we can see that 318 deaths were caused by assault. That accounts for about half of murders in 2009. Now what extra detail does the homicide report show? Two-thirds of homicide victims (68%) were male. Female victims were more likely to be killed by someone they knew. Around three-quarters of female victims knew the main suspect, compared with half (50%) of male victims. Just over half of female victims aged 16 or over had been killed by their partner, ex-partner or lover (54%, 94 offences) The most common method of killing for both male and females continues to be by sharp instrument. In 2009/10, as in each of the last eight years, male and female victims were both more likely to be killed by a sharp instrument than any other method. The second most common method for male murders involves hitting or kicking (113 homicides, or 27%) The second most common method for females murder was strangulation or asphyxiation (41 homicides, or 21%). There were 41 shooting homicide victims in 2009/10. In terms of reoffender rates, two homicide offences recorded in 2009/10 were committed by a suspect who had been convicted of a homicide on a previous occasion. Below is more detailed regional breakdown of murders by police force area. Let us know what you think. Data summary Homicides England and Wales Click heading to sort Police force area Number of recorded homicide in 2005/06 Number of recorded homicide in 2009/10 Offences per million of population 2009/10 source: Homicides, Firearm Offences and Intimate Violence report published by the Home Office. Cleveland 5 6 10.7 Durham 8 10 16.5 Northumbria 16 14 9.9 North East Region 29 30 11.6 Cheshire 14 8 8 Cumbria 2 - 0 Gtr Manchester 50 35 13.5 Lancashire 12 26 18 Merseyside 26 21 15.5 North West Region 104 90 13 Humberside 10 13 14.2 North Yorkshire 4 6 7.5 South Yorkshire 21 12 9.1 West Yorkshire 33 32 14.4 Yorkshire and the Humber Region 68 63 12 Homicides England and Wales Click heading to sort Police force area Number of recorded homicide in 2005/06 Number of recorded homicide in 2009/10 Offences per million of population 2009/10 Derbyshire 6 2 2 Leicestershire 6 13 13.2 Lincolnshire 4 6 8.6 Northamptonshire 10 5 7.3 Nottinghamshire 14 15 13.9 East Midlands Region 40 41 9.2 Staffordshire 10 13 12.2 Warwickshire 8 11 20.6 West Mercia 5 15 12.6 West Midlands 49 27 10.2 West Midlands Region 72 66 12.2 Bedfordshire 9 6 9.9 Cambridgeshire 10 8 10.3 Essex 20 10 5.8 Hertfordshire 9 6 5.5 Norfolk 11 7 8.2 Suffolk 5 10 14 East of England Region 64 47 8.2 City of London3 2 2 .. Metropolitan 168 120 15.5 London Region 170 122 15.7 Hampshire 9 19 10.2 Kent 15 16 9.6 Surrey 10 8 7.2 Sussex 13 13 8.3 Thames Valley 19 14 6.3 South East Reqion 66 70 8.3 Homicides England and Wales Click heading to sort Police force area Number of recorded homicide in 2005/06 Number of recorded homicide in 2009/10 Offences per million of population 2009/10 Avon and Somerset 9 16 10 Devon and Cornwall 12 16 9.6 Dorset 2 5 7 Gloucestershire 2 4 6.8 Wiltshire 7 4 6.1 South West Region 32 45 8.6 Dyfed-Powys 3 2 4 Gwent 4 18 32.1 North Wales 6 7 10.3 South Wales 9 16 12.8 Wales 22 43 14.3 British Transport Police4 42 2 * ENGLAND AND WALES 709 619 11.3 Download the data