Supplementary Figure 1. Difference of two experiments (expB-expA) over time period
2071-2100 for soil moisture [%] in JJA (left; domain: 150W:160E, 20N:60N) and DJF
(right; domain: 120W:160E, 60S:15N). Top row: Multi-model mean computed as
average of 5 model experiments (same as Fig. 2a,b); regions in which at least 4 out of 5
models agree on the sign of change are hatched. 2nd to 6th row: results for CESM, ECEARTH, GFDL, IPSL, and MPI-ESM models, respectively. Note that a different scale is
used for the multi-model mean and the single models.
Supplementary Figure 2. Difference of two experiments (expB-expA) over time period
2071-2100 for latent heat flux [W/m2] in JJA (left; domain: 150W:160E, 20N:60N) and
DJF (right; domain: 120W:160E, 60S:15N). Top row: Multi-model mean computed as
average of 5 model experiments (same as Fig. 2c,d); regions in which at least 4 out of 5
models agree on the sign of change are hatched. 2nd to 6th row: results for CESM, ECEARTH, GFDL, IPSL, and MPI-ESM models, respectively. Note that a different scale is
used for the multi-model mean and the single models.
Supplementary Figure 3. Difference of two experiments (expB-expA) over time period
2071-2100 for sensible heat flux [W/m2] in JJA (left; domain: 150W:160E, 20N:60N)
and DJF (right; domain: 120W:160E, 60S:15N). Top row: Multi-model mean computed
as average of 5 model experiments (same as Fig. 2e,f); regions in which at least 4 out of 5
models agree on the sign of change are hatched. 2nd to 6th row: results for CESM, ECEARTH, GFDL, IPSL, and MPI-ESM models, respectively. Note that a different scale is
used for the multi-model mean and the single models.
Supplementary Figure 4. Difference of two experiments (expB-expA) over time period
2071-2100 for Tmean [K] in JJA (left; domain: 150W:160E, 20N:60N) and DJF (right;
domain: 120W:160E, 60S:15N). Top row: Multi-model mean computed as average of 5
model experiments (same as Fig. 3a,b); regions in which at least 4 out of 5 models agree
on the sign of change are hatched. 2nd to 6th row: results for CESM, EC-EARTH, GFDL,
IPSL, and MPI-ESM models, respectively. Note that a different scale is used for the
multi-model mean and the single models.
Supplementary Figure 5. Difference of two experiments (expB-expA) over time period
2071-2100 for Tmax [K] in JJA (left; domain: 150W:160E, 20N:60N) and DJF (right;
domain: 120W:160E, 60S:15N). Top row: Multi-model mean computed as average of 5
model experiments (same as Fig. 3c,d); regions in which at least 4 out of 5 models agree
on the sign of change are hatched. 2nd to 6th row: results for CESM, EC-EARTH, GFDL,
IPSL, and MPI-ESM models, respectively.
Supplementary Figure 6. Difference of two experiments (expB-expA) over time period
2071-2100 for Tmax95 [K] in JJA (left; domain: 150W:160E, 20N:60N) and DJF (right;
domain: 120W:160E, 60S:15N). Top row: Multi-model mean computed as average of 5
model experiments (same as Fig. 3e,f); regions in which at least 4 out of 5 models agree
on the sign of change are hatched. 2nd to 6th row: results for CESM, EC-EARTH, GFDL,
IPSL, and MPI-ESM models, respectively. Note that a different scale is used for the
multi-model mean and the single models.
Supplementary Figure 7. Difference of two experiments (expB-expA) over time period
2071-2100 for Pmean [mm/d] in JJA (left; domain: 150W:160E, 20N:60N) and DJF (right;
domain: 120W:160E, 60S:15N). Top row: Multi-model mean computed as average of 5
model experiments (same as Fig. 3g,h); regions in which at least 4 out of 5 models agree
on the sign of change are hatched. 2nd to 6th row: results for CESM, EC-EARTH, GFDL,
IPSL, and MPI-ESM models, respectively. Note that a different scale is used for the
multi-model mean and the single models.
Supplementary Figure 8. Difference of two experiments (expB-expA) over time period
2071-2100 for P95 [mm/d] in JJA (left; domain: 150W:160E, 20N:60N) and DJF (right;
domain: 120W:160E, 60S:15N). Top row: Multi-model mean computed as average of 5
model experiments (same as Fig. 3i,j); regions in which at least 4 out of 5 models agree
on the sign of change are hatched. 2nd to 6th row: results for CESM, EC-EARTH, GFDL,
IPSL, and MPI-ESM models, respectively. Note that a different scale is used for the
multi-model mean and the single models.
Supplementary Figure 9. Number of models with statistically significant differences
(expB-expA, over time period 2071-2100; left: JJA, right: DJF) computed from Wilcoxon
rank sum test (for details, see Supplementary Discussion 3). (a,b) Tmean [K]; (c,d) Tmax
[K]; (e,f) Tmax95 [K]; (g,h) Pmean [mm/d]; (i,j) P95 [mm/d].
Supplementary Figure 10. Relative difference [%] of two experiments [(expBexpA)/expB] over time period 2071-2100 for Pmean (a,b) and P95 (c,d) in JJA (left;
domain: 150W:160E, 20N:60N) and DJF (right; domain: 120W:160E, 60S:15N). The
panels display the multi-model mean of this quantity computed as average of the 5 model
experiments. Regions in which at least 4 out of 5 models agree on the sign of change are
hatched.