EMBARGOED—NOT FOR PUBLIC RELEASE BEFORE: Monday, April 20, 2015 3:00 PM US Eastern Daylight Time 7:00 PM Greenwich Mean Time Tuesday, April 21, 2015 4:00 AM Japanese Standard Time 6:00 AM Australian Eastern Time Pressure dynamics in carbon sequestration aquifers Changing pressure dynamics during geologic CO2 injection for the typical range of values of properties of the storage aquifer and overlying caprock may make earthquakes an unlikely consequence of CO2sequestration, according to a study. The prospect of sequestering CO2 in deep saline aquifers has raised concerns that injection of CO 2 could increase fluid pressures and possibly trigger seismic activity that could release stored CO2. Victor Vilarrasa and Jesus Carrera calculated how the stresses on storage aquifers and overlying caprocks evolve during CO2 injection. The authors report that sedimentary rocks, in which CO2would likely be stored, are softer than crystalline basement rocks and are rarely under critical geologic stress. Further, pressure dynamics during CO2 injection suggest that the least stable state of the aquifer may occur at the beginning of the injection, making aquifer overpressures manageable. Overpressure will likely decrease over time as CO2 dissolves into the aquifer brine due to its high solubility. Even if CO2injection led to reactivation of faults, the high clay content typical of caprocks would likely seal the fault zone. The results suggest that properly sited and managed geological CO2 storage sites are unlikely to experience strong induced seismicity, a finding consistent with the observed behavior of natural CO2reservoirs, according to the authors. Article #14-13284: “Geologic carbon storage is unlikely to trigger large earthquakes and reactivate faults through which CO2 could leak,” by Victor Vilarrasa and Jesus Carrera. MEDIA CONTACTS: Victor Vilarrasa, Earth Sciences Department, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, CA; tel: +41 76 361 6190; e-mail: <victor.vilarrasa@upc.edu>; Jesus Carrera, Institute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research, Spanish National Research Council, Barcelona, SPAIN; tel: +34 690 05 8239; e-mail: <jesus.carrera.ramirez@gmail.com> An image accompanying this article is available. http://www.eurekalert.org/jrnls/pnas/14-13284.htm