Murray-Darling Basin Salinity Management Strategy Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report © The State of Victoria Department of Environment, Land, Water & Planning 2015 This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International licence. You are free to re-use the work under that licence, on the condition that you credit the State of Victoria as author. The licence does not apply to any images, photographs or branding, including the Victorian Coat of Arms, the Victorian Government logo and the Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning (DELWP) logo. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ ISSN 2204-907X Accessibility If you would like to receive this publication in an alternative format, please telephone the DELWP Customer Service Centre on 136186, email customer.service@delwp.vic.gov.au or via the National Relay Service on 133 677 www.relayservice.com.au. This document is also available on the internet at www.delwp.vic.gov.au Disclaimer This publication may be of assistance to you but the State of Victoria and its employees do not guarantee that the publication is without flaw of any kind or is wholly appropriate for your particular purposes and therefore disclaims all liability for any error, loss or other consequence which may arise from you relying on any information in this publication. 2 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 3 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Contents Statement of Compliance 6 Executive Summary 12 Abbreviations 17 1 Introduction 19 1.1 20 2 General Review of Salinity Management The nine elements of the BSMS 22 2.1 22 Developing capacity 2.1.1 Victoria 22 2.1.2 North East 24 2.1.3 Goulburn Broken 25 2.1.4 North Central 29 2.1.5 Wimmera 30 2.1.6 Victorian Mallee 31 2.2 34 Identifying values and assets at risk 2.2.1 North East 34 2.2.2 Goulburn Broken 35 2.2.3 North Central 38 2.2.4 Wimmera 40 2.2.5 Victorian Mallee 41 2.3 44 Setting salinity targets 2.3.1 Victoria 44 2.4 47 Managing trade-offs 2.4.1 North East 47 2.4.2 Goulburn Broken 47 2.4.3 North Central 48 2.4.4 Wimmera 49 2.4.5 Victorian Mallee 50 2.5 52 Implementing plans 2.5.1 Victoria 52 2.5.2 North East 53 2.5.3 Goulburn Broken 54 2.5.4 North Central 55 2.5.5 Wimmera 57 2.5.6 Victorian Mallee 57 2.6 60 Redesigning farming systems 2.6.1 North East 60 2.6.2 Goulburn Broken 61 2.6.3 North Central 62 4 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 3 4 5 2.6.4 Wimmera 64 2.6.5 Victorian Mallee 65 2.7 66 Targeting reforestation and vegetation management 2.7.1 North East 66 2.7.2 Goulburn Broken 67 2.7.3 North Central 68 2.7.4 Wimmera 68 2.7.5 Victorian Mallee 69 2.8 70 Constructing salt interception works 2.8.1 Operations 70 2.8.2 Construction 71 2.9 71 Basin-wide accountability 2.9.1 Monitoring 71 2.9.2 Salinity registers 75 2.9.3 Five-year reviews 76 Valley report cards 80 3.1 Introduction 80 3.2 Recorded stream salinities in 2013/14 81 3.3 Flow and salinity plots 83 Response to Independent Audit Group Salinity 87 4.1 87 Response to the recommendations of the 2012/13 audit References Appendix A. 90 Acknowledgements 93 Appendix B. Shepparton Irrigation Region calculation assumptions 94 B.1 Assumptions regarding the progressive total salinity debits 94 B.2 Assumptions regarding salinity debits by program component 94 Appendix C. Salinity impact of new irrigation development Victorian Mallee 96 Appendix D. 97 Confidence rating for Register A entries 5 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Statement of Compliance Victoria remains compliant with Schedule B to the Murray-Darling Basin Agreement (Schedule 1 to the Water Act 2007). The Murray-Darling Basin Authority (MDBA) 2013 Salinity Register A (as at 9/09/2013) endorsed by the Murray-Darling Basin Ministerial Council is the starting point of Victoria’s salinity accountability reporting for 2013/14. Victoria’s final report reflects the MDBA Register figures as at 25 September 2014 as reviewed by the Independent Audit Group for Salinity. All Accountable Action changes from 2013/14 are contained in this report. Credits Based on the 2013 MDBA Register A (as at 9/09/2013) Victoria’s salinity credits equalled a salinity effect of -45.4 EC, and a salinity cost effect of $9.447 million/yr. In 2013/14, an additional credit associated with the Reduced Irrigation Salinity Impact (Stage 2) register entry of -4.7 EC was endorsed by the Basin Salinity Management Advisory Panel and included on the MDBA 2014 Register. Victoria also gained additional credits with the commissioning of two salt interception schemes (SIS) and inclusion of the associated salinity benefits on the 2014 MDBA Register: Upper Darling SIS – with an estimated credit of -0.8 EC for Victoria, and cost effect of $241,000 per year; and Murtho SIS – with an estimated credit of -2.8 EC for Victoria, and cost effect of $529,000 per year. Overall, salinity credits for Victoria increased by -8.5 EC and as at 30 June 2014, were -53.9 EC or a salinity cost effect of $11.329 million/yr (Table S-1). Debits Based on the 2013 MDBA Register A (as at 9/09/2013) Victoria’s salinity debits equalled a salinity effect of 18.7 EC, and a salinity cost effect of -$4.577 million/yr. During the 2013/14 reporting year salinity debits in Victoria increased by 1.4 EC as a result of new irrigation development in the Nyah to the South Australian Border Salinity Management Plan (SMP) area, located in the Victorian Mallee. Therefore, salinity debits for Victoria, as at 30 June 2014, increased by 1.4 EC to a total salinity effect of 20.1 EC or a salinity cost effect of -$4.915 million/yr. 6 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Net Balance Victoria’s net balance of salinity credits equalled -33.8 EC, or $6.414 million/yr, which remain unutilised (Table S- 1). Table S- 1 Victoria’s Register A balance sheet summary Balance at 9 September 2013 Salinity Effect (EC at Morgan) Salinity Cost Effect ($/yr) Change in 2013/14 Reporting Period Salinity Effect (EC at Morgan) Salinity Cost Effect ($/yr) Balance at 30 June 2014 Salinity Effect (EC at Morgan) Salinity Cost Effect ($/yr) Credits -45.4 9,447,000 8.5 1,882,100 -53.9 11,329,100 Debits 18.7 -4,577,000 1.4 -336,304 20.1 -4,915,304 Total -26.7 4,870,000 9.9 1,545,796 -33.8 6,413,796 There are five Catchment Management Authorities (CMAs) located within the Victorian Murray-Darling Basin. For internal management purposes, Victoria allocates salinity credits to CMAs to implement Land and Water Management Plans. Salinity credits are not allocated to the Wimmera or North East CMAs as there are no Accountable Actions in these regions. The salinity credit allocations to Victorian CMAs with accountable actions on the MDBA Register A comprise: -8.90 EC allocated to the Goulburn Broken CMA for the Shepparton SMP; -10.12 EC allocated to the North Central CMA for Woorinen Irrigation District Excision, the Campaspe West SMP and the Kerang Lakes/Swan Hill SMP; and -20.22 EC allocated to the Mallee CMA for the Nangiloc-Colignan SMP and the Nyah to South Australian Border SMP, which includes an additional credit allocation of 3.29 EC in 2013/14. Total allocated salinity credits against total salinity debits to date, for the Goulburn Broken, North Central, and Mallee CMAs are summarised in Table S- 2. 7 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Table S- 2 Victorian Register A salinity credit allocation and salinity debits Salinity Effect (EC at Morgan) CMA region Government allocation of salinity credits (EC) Goulburn Broken Salinity debits over 2013/14 reporting period2 Salinity debits by region in 2013 MDBA Register1 (EC) Salinity debits at 30 June 20143 Allocated salinity credit balance (EC) (EC) (EC) -8.90 1.4 0 1.4 -7.50 North Central -10.12 2.9 0 2.9 -7.22 Mallee -20.22 14.2 1.4 15.6 -4.62 Total -39.24 18.5 1.4 19.9 -19.34 Table S-2 shows that of the total credits Victoria has allocated to the CMAs (-39.24 EC), 19.34 EC credits are allocated but unutilised by the CMAs. In total, Victoria has -33.8 EC salinity credits unutilised, of which only -14.66 EC salinity credits are unallocated (Table S- 3). Table S- 3 Summary of Register A salinity credits for Victoria as at 30 June 2014 Physical EC Total Available (From Table S-1) -53.9 Total Allocation (From Table S-2) 39.24 Unallocated salinity credits -14.66 Table S- 4 and Table S- 5 show the breakdown of Victoria’s salinity credits and debits by MDBA Register A line entries, as anticipated based on actions in 2013/14. Table S- 4 Victoria's Credit Balance Sheet based on MDBA Salinity Register (as at 25/09/2014) plus 2013/14 changes Physical Impact (EC) Salinity Cost Effect ($/yr) Woolpunda Salt Interception Scheme (SIS) -8.9 729,000 Improved Buronga and Mildura/Merbein SIS -0.6 140,000 New Operating Rules for Barr Creek Pumps -0.9 225,000 Waikerie SIS -2.4 198,000 Changed MDBC River Operations 1988 to 2000 -0.3 150,000 Mallee Cliffs SIS -2.1 512,000 Waikerie SIS Phase 2A -1.5 113,000 Register A Entry Joint Works and Measures Salinity and Drainage Strategy 1 Based on MDBA Register A as at 09/09/2013 increase in irrigation development in 2013/14 for Nyah to SA Border Salinity Management Plan 3 Based on MDBA Register A dated 25/1/2014 2 Reflects 8 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Physical Impact (EC) Salinity Cost Effect ($/yr) Changed MDBC River Operations 2000 to 2002 -0.3 -139,000 Sub-Total Basin Salinity Management Strategy -17.0 1,928,000 Changed MDBC River Operations after 2002 -0.0 21,000 Pyramid Creek SIS -0.8 230,000 Bookpurnong Joint SIS -1.8 207,000 Improved Buronga SIS -0.1 21,000 Loxton SIS -1.8 206,000 Waikerie Lock 2 SIS -1.7 115,000 Upper Darling SIS -0.8 241,000 Murtho SIS -2.8 529,000 Sub-Total Basin Salinity Management Strategy -9.8 1,570,000 Permanent Trade Accounting Adjustment - NSW to Victoria -0.04 100 Barmah-Millewa Forest Operating Rules -1.0 188,000 Sub-Total Shared Schemes -1.0 188,100 Barr Creek Catchment Strategy -7.7 1,963,000 Psyche Bend -2.1 237,000 Permanent Trade Accounting Adjustment - Victoria to SA -0.7 184,000 Sunraysia Drains Drying up -2.2 637,000 Lamberts Swamp -3.0 625,000 Church's Cut Decommissioning -0.3 97,000 Mallee Drainage Bore Decommissioning a -0.3 57,000 Reduced Irrigation Salinity Impact Victoria (Stage 1) -5.4c 1,249,000 Reduced Irrigation Salinity Impact Victoria (Stage 2) -4.7 1,051,000 0 1,600,000 -26.1 7,643,000 -53.9 11,329,100 Register A Entry Basin Salinity Management Strategy Shared Schemes Victorian Measures Victorian S&DS Commitment Adjustment Sub-Total Victorian Measures TOTAL a provisional salinity credit and cost effect. Further details are provided in Section 2.9.3 b TOTAL c CREDITS b does not include provisional salinity credits and cost effect 0.2 EC increase from previous year due to interpolation in 2013/14 9 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Table S- 5 Victoria's Debit Balance Sheet MDBA Salinity Register (as at 25/09/2014) plus 2013/14 changes Register A Entry Physical Impact (EC) Salinity Cost Effect ($/yr) 0.2 -146,000 Joint Works and Measures Salinity and Drainage Strategy Changed Operation of Menindee and Lower Darling Basin Salinity Management Strategy None 0 0 0.2 -146,000 0 0 0 0 Tragowel Plains Drains at 2002 level 0.2 -22,000 Shepparton SMP 1.4 -383,000 Nangiloc-Colignan SMP 0.4 -102,000 Nyah to SA Border SMP - Irrigation Development 15.2 -3,586,304 Kerang Lakes/Swan Hill SMP 1.6 -370,000 Campaspe West SMP 0.3 -77,000 Woorinen Irrigation District Excision 0.8 -229,000 Sub-Total Victorian Measures 19.9 -4,769,304 TOTAL DEBITS 20.1 -4,915,304 Sub-Total Joint Works and Measures Shared Schemes None Sub-Total Shared Schemes Victorian Measures Valley report cards Salinity and salt loads in 2013/14 at End-of-Valley Target (EOVT) sites were compared to salinity targets, which are assessed over the benchmark period. The median salinity in the Ovens, Kiewa, Goulburn, Broken, Loddon and Wimmera (see Table S- 6) was below the end-of-valley median target during the 2013/14 reporting year. The median salinity for the Campaspe River was slightly above the median target during 2013/14. The data for some of these rivers was incomplete due to conditions outside of the instrumentation threshold, interference to monitoring infrastructure and faulty instrumentation. Typically, periods of incomplete data could be addressed using interpolation techniques. However, there was insufficient data to estimate salt loads for the Avoca River due to low flows, with flow data only recorded for approximately four months over 2013/14. While it is not possible to monitor salinity levels during cease to flow periods, it could be assumed that the total salt load from the Avoca River to the Murray River was low given the low flows. Salt loads for Kiewa, Ovens and Wimmera rivers (t/yr) were below the median target for 2013/14. All other Victorian EOVT sites do not have salt load targets. 10 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Table S- 6 Assessment against end-of-valley targets in the 2013/14 reporting period End-of-Valley Targets (as absolute value) Region Valley Reporting site AWRC Site Number Salinity (EC µS/cm) 2013/14 Salt Load (t/yr) Salt Load4 (t/yr) Salinity (EC µS/cm) Median (50 %ile) Peak (80%ile) Mean Median (50%ile) Peak (80%ile) Total Ovens Ovens River @ Peechelba-East 403241 72 100 54,540 54^ 73^ 39,200^ Kiewa Kiewa River @ Bandiana 402205 47 55 19,000 40 48 15,300^ Goulburn River @ Goulburn Weir 405259 99 - - 61^ 100^ 30,400^# Broken Broken Creek @ Casey's Weir 404217 141 - - 126## 141## 10,400# Avoca Avoca River @ Quambatook 408203 2,096 - - No data^ No data^ No data^ Loddon Loddon River @Laanecoorie 407203 711 - - 675^ 799^ 22,700^ Campaspe Campaspe River @ Campaspe Weir 406218 412 - - 490^** 511^ 19,100^# Wimmera Wimmera Wimmera River @ Horsham Weir 415200 1,380 1,720 31,000 1,042^ 1,449^ 13,100^ Mallee Vic Mallee Zone River Murray @ Lock 6 426200 +15EEC5 - - North East Goulburn Goulburn Broken North Central Guide to table: ^ Missing data due to instrument damage or conditions outside of instrumentation threshold – where feasible data is interpolated using available data for salt load calculation; # Salt load calculated using flow and salinity (EC) from downstream gauging station; ## Salinity data from downstream gauging station;** Salinity slightly above median target; ^^The target relates to Victoria’s contribution to river salinity throughout the entire Mallee zone. This contribution is assessed using the EM2 model, rather than modelled surface water salinity. 4 5 Where flow and/or EC data is missing, salt load calculations for EOVTs has required interpolation of available data. Equivalent electrical conductivity – refer to Basin Salinity Management Strategy Operation Protocols Version 2.0 Murray-Darling Basin Commission. Figure 4, pg 100. 11 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Executive Summary General Review of Salinity Management The General Review of Salinity Management in the Murray-Darling Basin was a key focus for Victoria during 2013/14. The Review was initiated by the MDBA Basin Officials Committee to give a contemporary understanding of salinity risk within the Basin and provide direction for the next phase of joint effort to continue to manage the risk. Victoria participated in an inter-jurisdictional steering committee advising the Review and provided technical and policy input. Throughout the process, the Victorian Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning (DELWP), formerly the Department of Environment and Primary Industries (DEPI) and regional partners collaborated extensively to provide a consolidated state perspective to the Review. In consideration of the findings and recommendation of the Review, the Murray-Darling Basin Ministerial Council supported the development of an updated salinity management program, Basin Salinity Management 2030 during 2014/15. BSMS Element 1 - Developing capacity Victoria manages its Basin Salinity Management Strategy (BSMS) obligation to keep the total number of salinity credits in excess or equal to the total number of salinity debits (Clause 16:1(a), Schedule B) through allocating salinity credits to Victorian Catchment Management Authorities (CMAs). It is the responsibility of the CMAs to ensure that the salinity debits in their regions do not exceed their salinity credit allocations. The CMAs can influence State decisions on the allocation of salinity credits, and Victoria’s compliance with the BSMS, through membership on the two groups established to advise the State – the Victorian Salt Disposal Working Group and the Victorian Salt Disposal Advisory Group. This approach means that the CMAs are active partners in the implementation of activities to support the BSMS in Victoria. At the regional level, the CMAs manage BSMS responsibilities through Boards of Directors and Implementation Committees, consistent with their Land and Water Management Plans (LWMPs). There is a strong theme of community involvement and consultation in the implementation of LWMPs. CMAs also actively communicate and educate their communities about salinity issues through engagement activities, such as regional workshops and information sessions. During the 2013/14 reporting period, CMAs did a number of research and investigation projects to enhance State and regional capacity to manage salinity in the Murray-Darling Basin. The Shepparton Irrigation Region Salt and Water Balance Project developed a Salinity Risk Management System (SRMS) concept to be implemented as an interactive online portal for use by farmers and Government. The SRMS will provide targeted and up-to-date information 12 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report and analysis to optimise the management of salinity threats and sub-surface drainage through groundwater pumping and re-use. The SRMS is scheduled for completion in 2015. Victoria also contributed to a review of MSM BIGMOD which is the daily flow and salinity model for the Murray River, and the Stage 1 Review of the Salinity Impact Rapid Assessment Tool (SIMRAT). BSMS Element 2 - Identifying values and assets at risk The summary of values and assets at risk in the Victorian Murray-Darling Basin remained largely unchanged from previous annual reports. Water table trends were variable across the region. Across the Mallee region most groundwater bores continued to show a declining trend in groundwater levels. Since the higher than average rainfall and flooding during 20102012, shallow groundwater levels generally remained elevated in the Shepparton Irrigation Region (SIR) compared to the low levels experienced during the drought. Groundwater levels in the North Central region stabilised or reduced marginally over the last year. BSMS Element 3 - Setting salinity targets Victoria’s salinity targets were unchanged from the previous BSMS Annual Report. BSMS Element 4 - Managing trade-offs Victoria strives to balance options to achieve salinity targets with other catchment health targets and social and economic needs as part of the process to implement Regional Catchment Strategies, and the subordinate LWMPs. A number of tools have been developed to assist the CMAs to do this, including regulating high and low salinity impact zones and developing investment frameworks. The Mallee CMA’s five-year review of the Nyah to South Australia Border SMP established that the salinity impacts associated with irrigation development in the Mallee region are being over-estimated. This is due to the inherent conservatism within the analytical model and salinity impact zoning approach used to predict potential impacts from irrigation. Therefore the need to cap annual use limits in Salinity Impact Zones L3 and L4 to manage future irrigation development was not considered necessary. Victoria provided the Mallee CMA 3.29 EC of salinity credits to balance irrigation development until a new modelling approach is developed. Refinement to the modelling approach for estimating the salinity impacts of the Nyah to South Australia Border SMP is expected to result in a reduction in the register debit entry for the next five-year review. BSMS Element 5 - Implementing plans CMAs continued to implement their Land and Water Management Plans and Regional Catchment Strategies in 2013/14. The RCS provide an overarching framework for natural resource management and actions to combat land degradation. The Regional Catchment Strategies were updated in 2012/13 following extensive community and stakeholder consultation. 13 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Victoria also continued to implement salinity management actions in the Northern Region Sustainable Water Strategy (DSE, 2009). During 2013/14, the CMAs developed Regional Waterway Strategies (RWS) in consultation with regional agencies, local communities and stakeholders. The RWS will provide a single planning document for river, estuary and wetland management in each region and a highlevel work program to guide investment over an eight-year period Draft strategies were released for public consultation in 2013/14 and will be finalised in 2014/15. In the Mallee, new irrigation development occurred and its impacts were accounted for under the Nyah to South Australian Border SMP Accountable Action. In addition, there was a small adjustment to the 2011 salt loads for this accountable action based on the recommendations of the five-year review. BSMS Element 6 - Redesigning farming systems Victorian CMAs continued to provide financial support to landholders to develop whole farm plans, implement drainage reuse systems, conduct soil salinity surveys and undertake other activities to improve farming practices (see Table ES - 1). Table ES - 1 Activities undertaken in 2013/14 to improve farming practices in the Victorian MurrayDarling Basin Salinity Management Activity Area (ha) North East Goulburn Broken North Central Wimmera Mallee Irrigation 686 ha Irrigation: 8,627 ha Irrigation: 8,288 ha 0 Dryland: 67,103 ha Irrigation 228 ha Landforming 0 6,671 ha 2,449 ha 0 0 Reuse Systems 0 3,840 ha 2,792 ha 0 0 Soil Salinity Surveys 0 0 3,650 ha 0 0 0 37 ha plus 194 ha improved irrigation management Whole Farm Plans Irrigation System Upgrades 0 7,330 ha 4,625 ha BSMS Element 7 - Targeting reforestation and vegetation management Table ES - 2 summarises the reforestation and vegetation management activities completed in the Victorian Murray-Darling Basin in 2013/14. Table ES - 2 Victorian Murray-Darling Basin dryland salinity management activities completed in 2013/14 Salinity Management Activity North East Goulburn Broken North Central Wimmera Mallee TOTAL 327 ha 1,219 ha 0 0 35,456 ha 37,002 ha 0 1,211 ha 0 0 Recharge Management Native Vegetation Protected High Density Tree Est. 14 1,211 ha Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Salinity Management Activity North East Goulburn Broken North Central Wimmera Mallee TOTAL Low Density Tree Est. 0 0 0 207 ha 544 ha 751 ha Perennial Pasture Establishment and Lucerne 0 0 0 0 0 0 Improved Cropping Practices 0 0 0 650 ha 62,888 ha 63,538 ha 15,185 ha 0 0 0 0 15,185 ha Native Vegetation Reestablishment 55 ha 0 0 0 0 55 ha Salt Tolerant Pastures Establishment 0 0 0 0 0 0 Engineering Works (e.g. groundwater pumping) 0 0 0 0 0 0 Improved Grazing Regime Discharge Management BSMS Theme 8 - Constructing salt interception works During 2013/14, Victoria continued to operate existing salt interception schemes (SIS) using agreed operating rules, with the exception of the Mildura-Merbein SIS which was being refurbished and therefore not operating in 2013/14. Table ES-3 shows the amount of salt intercepted in 2013/14. Table ES - 3 Tonnes of salt intercepted by Salt Interception Schemes in Victoria in 2013/14 Scheme Salt Intercepted (tonnes) Pyramid Creek 29,241 Barr Creek Drainage Diversion 24,165 Mildura Merbein 0 Total 53,406 BSMS Theme 9 - Basin-wide accountability During the 2013/14 reporting year, Victoria progressed a number of rolling five-year reviews of State Accountable Actions. The five year Register A review of the Nyah to the South Australian Border SMP was completed and endorsed by the Basin Salinity Management Advisory Panel (BSMAP) in December 2013. The Mallee submitted a business case for additional salinity credits associated with modelled salinity benefits from improved irrigation practices in the Karadoc/Mallee Cliffs region. As with the original Reduced Irrigation Salinity Impact (RISI) claim, this case was developed in collaboration with the MDBA and NSW. The additional credit associated 15 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report with the RISI entry was endorsed by BSMAP for inclusion in the MDBA 2014 Register. This is in the order of -4.7 EC and will be included on the final Victorian Register subject to the Independent Audit Group Salinity Register process and MDBA approval. In 2013/14, Victoria also progressed work on potential new actions: Initial investigations were undertaken in 2013/14 into projects covered by the MurrayDarling Basin Sustainable Diversion Limit offset program. Three works and measures proposals in the North Central CMA region and seven in the Mallee CMA are being developed, with potential salinity impacts being investigated as a part of the business cases. The final package of works and measures will be considered for approval to further develop detailed designs in 2015. The North Central and Goulburn Broken CMAs worked with the Goulburn-Murray Water Connections Project to identify and work on options to address salinity impacts resulting from irrigation modernisation across northern Victoria through a multi-agency working group (Salinity Technical Advisory Committee). In 2014/15 Victoria will progress work to assess the following salinity impacts: A project to assess the salinity impacts of the Victorian Mid-Murray Storages for entry on the BSMS registers and the impacts of associated accountable actions. This will use the upgraded salinity component of the Kerang Lakes Resource Allocation Model (REALM). The project will require consultation with other jurisdictions as the Victorian Mid-Murray Storages is an action under The Living Murray initiative and accounting for Living Murray Initiative actions on the registers is still to be resolved. Goulburn-Murray Water will revise preliminary assessments for the Goulburn-Murray Water Connections Project Stage 1 and Stage 2 during 2014/15 to incorporate the current level of implementation of the project. More detailed assessments of the project's salinity impacts will be undertaken in conjunction with five-year reviews of existing State accountable actions. While Victoria will continue to work toward providing a comprehensive assessment of the salinity impacts of the Connections Project, the States and Commonwealth are yet to resolve accountability for salinity impacts associated with the Basin Plan. 16 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Abbreviations AUL Annual Use Limit BSMS Basin Salinity Management Strategy BSMAP Basin Salinity Management Advisory Panel CMA Catchment Management Authority DEDJTR Department of Economic Development, Jobs, Transport and Resources DELWP Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning DEPI Department of Environment and Primary Industries (now DELWP) DPI Department of Primary Industries (now DEDJTR) DSE Department of Sustainability and Environment (now DELWP) EC Electrical Conductivity (µS/cm) EEC Equivalent Electrical Conductivity EMAP Environmental Management Action Planning (Mallee) EOVT End-of-valley target EVC Ecological Vegetation Class G-MW Goulburn-Murray Water GSMP Groundwater and Salt Management Plan Ha Hectares HIZ High Salinity Impact Zone IAG Independent Audit Group ILMP Improving Land Management Practices INFFER Investment Framework For Environmental Resources KM Kilometre LIZ Low Salinity Impact Zone L1, L2, L3, L4 LIZ 1 (lowest impact) to 4 (highest impact) LMW Lower Murray Water LoH Legacy of History LWAC Land and Water Advisory Committee (Mallee) LWMP Land and Water Management Plan MAR Maximum Application Rate MDBA Murray-Darling Basin Authority (established Dec 2008) MDBC (Former) Murray-Darling Basin Commission MDBMC Murray-Darling Basin Ministerial Council ML Megalitre MSM-BIGMOD MSM– BIGMOD, the daily flow and salinity model for the Murray River NRSWS Northern Region Sustainable Water Strategy 17 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report NRMC Natural Resource Management Committee PCF Policy Choice Framework (North Central) R&I Research and Investigation RCS Regional Catchment Strategy REALM Resource Allocation Model RISI Reduced Irrigation Salinity Impact SAAC Salinity Accountability Advisory Committee (Victorian Mallee) SIMRAT Salinity Impacts Rapid Assessment Tool SEED Schools Environmental Education Directory SKM Sinclair Knight Merz SIPAG Sustainable Irrigation Program Advisory Group SIR Shepparton Irrigation Region SIRIC Shepparton Irrigation Region Implementation Committee SIRCIS Shepparton Irrigation Region Catchment Implementation Strategy SIRSWBP Shepparton Irrigation Region Salt and Water Balance Project SIS Salt Interception Scheme SIZ Salinity Impact Zone SMP Salinity Management Plan SSDP Sub-Surface Drainage Program SWMS Surface Water Management System TAC Technical Advisory Committee (Mallee) VSDAG Victorian Salt Disposal Advisory Group VSDWG Victorian Salt Disposal Working Group VSHS Victorian Soil Health Strategy VWR Victorian Water Register WUL Water Use Licence 18 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 1 Introduction Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report documents Victoria’s accountability and compliance under the Murray-Darling Basin Salinity Management Strategy (BSMS) 2001-2015 (MDBMC, 2001). Schedule B to the Murray-Darling Basin Agreement (Schedule 1 to the Water Act 2007) maps out the method for implementation of the BSMS. The Annual Report structure has followed the standardised Table of Contents for BSMS annual reporting, endorsed by the BSMS Register Task Force on 19 August 2008. Chapter 2 describes Victoria’s implementation of the strategy over the 2013/14 financial year in accordance with the nine intervention themes of the BSMS. Information is presented for each Catchment Management Authority (CMA) region within the Victorian MurrayDarling Basin: North East; Goulburn Broken; North Central; Wimmera; and Victorian Mallee. Figure 1-1 displays the location of the CMA regions within the Victorian Murray-Darling Basin. Chapter 3 provides salinity and flow information for the 2013/14 reporting year, for each Victorian valley for which an end-of-valley target (EOVT) has been adopted. Chapter 4 provides a summary of Victoria’s response to the comments of the Independent Audit Group for Salinity made in 2012/13. The report was compiled by the former Department of Environment and Primary Industries (DEPI) with input from the Victorian Salt Disposal Working Group6. The CMAs, GoulburnMurray Water, and the former DEPI worked in partnership to provide the information. The names and organisations of information providers are in Appendix A. As of 1 January 2015, DEPI was divided between two new government departments, the Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning (DELWP) and the Department of Economic Development, Jobs Transport and Resources (DEDJTR). For the purpose of this report, which is to reflect on the 2013/14 year, the department referred to throughout this report is the former DEPI. Throughout the report, all Murray River salinity effects, salinity credits, and salinity debits are reported in units of average electrical conductivity (EC, µS/cm) of flow in the Murray 6 Consistent with the VSDWG Terms of Reference 19 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report River at Morgan, South Australia. Salinity cost effects are reported in units of dollar cost per year. Figure 1-1 Victorian CMA regions within the Victorian Murray-Darling Basin 1.1 General Review of Salinity Management The General Review of Salinity Management in the Murray-Darling Basin, and strategic direction for salinity management following the conclusion of the BSMS, was a key focus for Victoria during 2013/14. Victoria participated in an inter-jurisdiction steering committee providing advice on the conduct of the Review and technical and policy input. There was extensive collaboration between DEPI and regional partners to assist in providing a consolidated State perspective to the Review. This included a Partners Salinity Planning workshop involving CMAs, Goulburn-Murray Water, Lower Murray Water and DEPI, a number of discussion papers, and feedback from the Victorian Salt Disposal Working Group on material produced through the course of the Review. The General Review was initiated by the MDBA Basin Officials Committee to provide a contemporary understanding of salinity risk within the Basin and provide direction on the next phase of joint effort in continuing to successfully manage this risk. An important driver for the Review was the potential dilution benefits of Basin Plan environmental water on salinity levels in the Murray River. Initial findings and recommendations of the Review were presented to the Murray-Darling Basin Ministerial Council highlighting: 20 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report the success of collaborative inter-jurisdiction action through the BSMS in significantly improving salinity levels in the Murray River; advances in understanding the magnitude and distribution of salinity risk across the Basin and the need to revise the application of the EOVT framework particularly for dryland areas. Improved knowledge of groundwater systems indicated that while localised salinity impacts still require management, the threat from increasing dryland salinity to the shared water resources was less than predicted in 2001; dilution benefits of environmental flows provided opportunity to reduce costs in salinity management. However, technical investigations and modelling undertaken in the Review indicated substantial SIS capacity would still be needed to control salinity in the River, especially to manage salinity in low flow conditions and drought when dilution flows were not available; and strong accountability and governance arrangements needed to continue, while still identifying areas where effort could be reduced to improve efficiency in the delivery of a future salinity management program. The Ministerial Council considered the key findings and recommendations of the Review, and supported the development of an updated salinity management program, Basin Salinity M2030 to be completed during 2014/15. 21 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 2 The nine elements of the BSMS Victoria implemented the BSMS over the 2013/14 financial year in accordance with the nine elements of the strategy: Developing capacity; Identifying values and assets at risk; Setting salinity targets; Managing trade-offs; Implementing plans; Redesigning farming systems; Targeting reforestation and vegetation management; Constructing salt interception works; and Basin-wide accountability. 2.1 Developing capacity Descriptions of the nine elements of the BSMS are taken from the Murray-Darling Basin Ministerial Council report (MDBMC, 2001, p. iii): The [former] Commission and partner Governments will administer a comprehensive ‘knowledge generation’ program to support Basin and within valley planning and implementation. The partner Governments will assist catchment communities to implement national, Basin and State initiatives by improving access to and use of the knowledge and decision tools generated by investigations and salinity research and development. This process will be supported by further capacity building for catchment planning, including communication and education. During the 2013/14 reporting year Victoria carried out numerous tasks to develop State and regional capacity for managing salinity in the Murray-Darling Basin. Additionally, Victoria contributed to reviews of the MDBA models MSM-BIGMOD and SIMRAT which are used in the implementation of the BSMS. MSM-BIGMOD is the key model for the salinity register entries. SIMRAT is primarily used as rapid assessment tool for irrigation development in the South Australian and NSW Mallee. 2.1.1 Victoria In Victoria, the CMAs are provided with regional waterway, floodplain, drainage and environmental water reserve management powers under the Victorian Water Act 1989. Although DELWP coordinates the State’s implementation of the BSMS, the CMAs are often 22 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report the bodies that initiate Accountable Actions as part of the implementation of their LWMPs. For example, surface and subsurface drainage activities are initiated at a regional level. Victoria manages its BSMS obligation to keep the total of salinity credits in excess of, or equal to, the total of any salinity debits to it in Register A (Clause 16(1) (a) Schedule B) by allocating salinity credits to the CMAs. It is the responsibility of the CMAs to ensure that the salinity debits in their region do not exceed their salinity credit allocation. The CMAs can influence State decisions on the allocation of salinity credits, and Victoria’s compliance with the BSMS, through membership on the two groups established to advise the State – the Victorian Salt Disposal Working Group and the Victorian Salt Disposal Advisory Group. Victorian Salt Disposal Working Group The Victorian Salt Disposal Working Group advises the DELWP Deputy Secretary Water and Catchments Group on the management of Victoria’s salt credits and provides advice on Victoria’s compliance with the BSMS (Victorian Salt Disposal Working Group Terms of Reference, DSE, April 2011). Victorian Salt Disposal Advisory Group The Victorian Salt Disposal Advisory Group includes the Chairs and Chief Executive Officers of the Mallee, North Central, and Goulburn Broken CMAs. It is chaired by the DELWP Executive Director Rural Water Programs, with executive support provided by the Convenor of the Victorian Salt Disposal Advisory Group. The purpose of the Victorian Salt Disposal Advisory Group is to advise the Victorian Minister for Water on the generation, allocation, and management of Victoria’s salinity credits and to ensure the cooperative and coordinated statewide management of the salinity credits (Victorian Salt Disposal Advisory Group Terms of Reference, DSE, April 2011). CMAs are active partners in the implementation of activities to support the BSMS in Victoria. The CMAs provide a valuable contribution each year during the meeting with the Independent Audit Group for Salinity. The Auditors have commended Victoria’s partnership approach on many occasions. Dryland salinity In 2013/14, programs within the Murray-Darling Basin dryland areas were undertaken to monitor, and analyse groundwater and salinity trends, provide extension and training to landholders, and support on-ground works. The work involved collaboration of state and regional agencies, universities, landcare groups and landholders. Specific areas of dryland salinity research and development activities undertaken in 2013/14 to support the BSMS included: Collation, storage and analysis of the dryland salinity bore network information. 23 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Providing dryland salinity bore information to the Victorian Water Measurement Information System, Bureau of Meteorology, and Landcare and landholder regional collectors. Re-mapping soil salinity at selected regional discharge sites to better understand salinity manifestation at these locations. Revisiting previous discharge to establish if the sites had become sites of active erosion when the groundwater levels fell. Developing test web pages for high priority salinity provinces, a statewide summary, and 10 CMA region pages. The pages were expected to go “live” in mid- 2014/15 (www.depi.vic.gov.au/vro). Investigating remote sensing by DELWP to allow the efficacy of past salinity treatments across the landscape to be determined. Determining recharge rates relative to “average” for selected sites around the state. They showed recharge was likely to be average or less than average in the west and north-east of the State. Starting a project with collaborators to refine advanced geostatistical mapping techniques to allow more efficient and accurate time-series watertable maps for the State. The above information helped DELWP and the CMAs to update their priorities, projects and actions through an improved understanding of dryland salinity within Victoria. 2.1.2 North East Governance arrangements The North East CMA and its Board are responsible for developing and implementing the North East Regional Catchment Strategy 2013, which provides an overarching framework to guide natural resource management actions for the region. Service Level Agreements between the CMA and DELWP allow the CMA Board to manage arrangements associated with salinity management. Communication activities Community Education: Salinity education in schools throughout North East Victoria is delivered through the Schools Environment Education Directory project. The strategic direction is guided by a Committee of Management, consisting of the North East CMA, NevRwaste and North East Water. Three Schools Environment Education Directory days were run during 2013/14, reaching approximately 500 school children. Professional development programs were also offered to schools to assist them to understand how the Schools Environment Education Directory can help them integrate environmental sustainability into their curriculum. Teachers, students and environment staff had access to the Schools Environment Education Directory 24 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report website to allow easy access to a range of education resources, including salinity education. DELWP staff provided specific advice on the salinity education modules for the curriculum. Community Engagement and Consultation: A total of 20 sustainable agriculture workshops were held for dryland farming, with more than 400 land managers covering 315 farming entities attending. The workshops focused on maintaining and improving groundcover, maintaining and improving soil structure and improving soil health over more than 2100 ha of farm land. In addition, eight dryland farming entities conducted field trials over 160 ha. The trials piloted local farmland management solutions with the aim of encouraging adoption of sustainable agriculture practices with a focus on soil and vegetation heath. Four irrigation field days were held for irrigation land managers in the North East CMA region in 2013/14, attracting 45 participants. Waterwatch in the North East continued to increase community awareness and understanding of water quality issues including salinity by providing education and training. More than 60 trained adult volunteers monitored salinity levels and other water quality parameters at over 90 sites across the North East region. Waterwatch held 21 training days for volunteers and students in the North East to learn how to use monitoring equipment and measure water quality. The publication “IrriGate” focused on irrigation management issues in the North East and the Goulburn Broken catchments, and was circulated three times a year by direct mail to more than 1,000 landholders. 2.1.3 Goulburn Broken Governance arrangements The Goulburn Broken CMA Board is advised by a number of advisory groups established under the provisions of section 122C of the Victorian Water Act 1989 and section 19J of the Catchment and Land Protection Act 1994. The Land and Biodiversity Implementation Forum, the Landcare Networks and the Sustainable Irrigation Program Advisory Group play a vital role in effective land and water management in the Goulburn Broken Catchment by engaging stakeholders within their communities and providing conduits to the Goulburn Broken CMA and its Board of Directors. Eight skills based community representatives on the Sustainable Irrigation Program Advisory Group were appointed by the Board and receive strategic and administrative support from non- voting members of partner agencies: Goulburn Broken CMA, DEPI and GoulburnMurray Water. Sustainable Irrigation Program Advisory Group had a number of working groups to further engage people with relevant skills and networks of the Catchment community. Surface Water Management, Farm and Environment, and Groundwater and Salinity Management working groups were made up of Sustainable Irrigation Program Advisory Group members, additional community members with an interest in the particular program, and agency staff 25 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report with relevant skills and responsibilities. The Sustainable Irrigation Program Advisory Group was also supported by a strong technical process involving agency staff. The various community engagement groups provided a community perspective into the annual integrated natural resource management programs within their areas of interest. Their role included feedback and advice to the organisation on the delivery and priorities of the programs. They also provided oversight of the delivery of projects by the Goulburn Broken CMA and partner organisations notably DEPI, Goulburn-Murray Water, Landcare Groups, other community groups, natural resource based industries and local government. Communication activities Community engagement and consultation was a priority activity of the Goulburn Broken CMA. The Sustainable Irrigation Program Advisory Group had a Stakeholder Engagement Plan which demonstrated to stakeholders and partners how it was connecting with all the major political, economic, market, competitive and social influences which could impact on the successful implementation of the Regional Catchment Strategy. During the 2013/14 period, the key communication activity was the first stage of engagement for the proposed revision of the LWMP to align with the new Regional Catchment Strategy. The engagement process included broad representation from community, industry, local government, and environmental groups. The process aimed for a high level plan to reflects the region’s needs, new challenges, opportunities and responses. Regional connection and broader community support had been crucial to the development process and will continue in the next phase. Regional Partners attendance and presentation of the “MDBA to Farm Scale salinity management case study” at the 3rd International Salinity Conference at Riverside in California was a broader communication opportunity. The Goulburn Broken CMA will build the messages from the conference into communication and planning for the future. The messages included reflecting on importance of partnerships, the criticality of salinity management and Goulburn Broken CMA’s competitive advantage in salinity management. Broader communication activities related to the benefits flowing on from the on-farm irrigation efficiency program delivered by Goulburn Broken CMA (the Farm Water Program). The activities highlighted the renewed need for managing salinity as a threat in the SIR, the knowledge that improved irrigation efficiency was not enough to manage salinity, and that an integrated response and new communication tools were required. In the SIR, water table maps were still seen as being highly successful to raise community awareness and communicate the need for action against high water tables. The total area monitored for water table depth covered 560,000 ha and used data from over 1400 community observation bores. The water table map for August 2013 (see Figure 2-1) showed the areas where water tables were near the natural surface and were a potential salinity risk. 26 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Figure 2-1 Shepparton Irrigation Region August 2013 water table map The following graph was developed to demonstrate the groundwater level response resulting from the drought and the post-drought conditions (see Figure 2-2). Annual reports were undertaken for the Groundwater and Salt Management Program, implementation of the Irrigation Drainage Memorandum of Understanding, Drain Phosphorus and Nitrogen Loads and the SIR Groundwater Management Plan. Figure 2-2 Communication graph demonstrating regional water table response to climate and catchment management actions 27 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Research and investigations The Shepparton Irrigation Region Salt and Water Balance Project (SIRSWBP): The key objective of the SIRSWBP is to recommend policies and strategies and provide a management framework and tools to assist the mitigation of salinity by managing shallow groundwater in the SIR. The framework was designed to accommodate the combined impacts of unpredictable climate, land use change and reduced recharge resulting from the transfer of water entitlements and the modernisation of farm and regional irrigation infrastructure. The SIRSWBP’s major output for 2013/14 was the development of the Salinity Risk Management System (SRMS) concept to be implemented as an interactive online portal for use by farmers and Government. The SRMS concept was developed to improve landholder and Goulburn-Murray Water capacity to manage groundwater in the shallow aquifer over a wide range of climatic conditions and to better match the level of public and private pumping to the fluctuating hydraulic loading of the shallow aquifer. The SRMS aims to ensure the sub-surface drainage threats are understood and appropriately managed and that sub-surface drainage infrastructure is appropriately located and operated. The SRMS is also intended to enable the development of regional scale salinity risk maps on a regular basis, the prioritisation of actions and targeted communication, the ability to generate "real time" user-friendly groundwater hydrographs, support for a salinity threat mitigation advice service for farmers, reporting of public groundwater pump operation, provide a linkage hub for catchment management information and a portal for Basin, Murray River and regional salinity and groundwater information. The second phase of the SRMS is due to be completed in 2015 and will involve further detailed design and specification, web interface development, road testing and refinement, identification of aspirational functionality and the preparation of an implementation and operation guide. The SIRSWBP also implemented a number of other initiatives, including: a "low intensity" management approach for SIR shallow groundwater. The initiative, involved revocation of the SIR groundwater statutory management plan by the Victorian Minister for Water in October 2013. In its place a simpler, more adaptable and less costly local management plan was being developed. The local management plan aimed to reduce the costs associated with groundwater licences and provide incentive to farmers to keep their groundwater licences and retain the ability to pump and manage their own salinity risk from shallow groundwater levels; an adaptive management approach for public groundwater pumps; and rationalisation of groundwater level and extraction monitoring. 28 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 2.1.4 North Central Governance Arrangements The North Central CMA Board oversees the development and implementation of the North Central Regional Catchment Strategy. The Regional Catchment Strategy sets the direction for managing natural resource assets within the region. The role of the board is to consider the views of the community, scientific input, government policy and management in delivering the Regional Catchment Strategy. The board makes decisions and recommendations in the best interest of the region as a whole. The North Central CMA Board is supported by the Natural Resource Management Committee (NRMC), a sub-committee to the board, whose membership consists of community members from north central Victoria. The fundamental role of the NRMC is to provide a community perspective to the functions of the North Central CMA. Communication activities The North Central CMA was involved in strengthening the capacity of people in the North Central CMA region to manage salinity through: The North Central CMA Board and NRMC engaging regularly in salinity management issues. These committees form a key role in signing off on BSMS obligations on behalf of the regional community. Active organisational management participation in the agency based Victorian Salt Disposal Working Group and independent audit of Victoria’s BSMS annual reports. Providing technical input as a partner in the Farm Water Project and Goulburn-Murray Water Connections Project Salinity Technical Advisory Committee. These focused on best practice farm irrigation, including irrigation impact reduction on the environment specifically through water use efficiency, reducing off site impacts of irrigation water, and reducing groundwater accessions. Research and Investigations In 2013/14 the North Central CMA undertook the following research and investigation projects: Stage 2 of the Kerang Lakes REALM Model upgrade project was progressed. A project will commence in 2014/15 to use the updated model to simulate the operation of the Victorian Mid-Murray Storage and estimate salinity within the Torrumbarry system and in the Murray River. The upgraded version Kerang Lakes REALM model will be submitted to the MDBA for consideration as fit-for-purpose for use in the assessment of a new accountable action incorporating the operation of the Mid Murray Storages. Monitoring and analysis of the Lower Loddon and Campaspe catchment water tables to understand ground water trends. The trends will be remapped in 2014/15 to provide an indication of areas most at risk of land salinisation. This will be communicated as deemed appropriate. 29 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 2.1.5 Wimmera Governance arrangements Wimmera CMA is governed by a Minister appointed skill-based Board consisting of nine community members (The Wimmera CMA Board). The Wimmera CMA Board sets the organisation’s strategic direction and ensures that the Wimmera CMA meets its statutory and financial responsibilities under the Victorian Water Act 1989 and Catchment and Land Protection Act 1994 and that its activities reflect community values and expectations. The Board has delegated responsibility for some functions to the Board sub-committees which meet on an as-needs basis, depending on the delegated responsibility. The Committees include: Finance Audit and Risk management Committee, Human Resource committee, the Inter-Catchment advisory group and the Business and Planning Committee. The Board is responsible for developing, implementing and monitoring the Wimmera Regional Catchment Strategy 2013-2019, and for endorsing strategies for its implementation. The Board has five advisory committees to provide advice on strategies to implement the Regional Catchment Strategy. These advisory committees are set around five asset classes including: soils; rivers and streams; wetlands; native vegetation; and threatened plants and animals. Annual independent internal and external audits ensure there are robust control processes in place providing investors with assurance that funds are properly and effectively allocated towards agreed outcomes. Investors conduct their own audits from time to time. Communication activities A focus on multiple benefit outcomes within our planning approaches allowed Wimmera CMA to target salinity outcomes within broader investment outcomes. However, during 2013/14 no projects were specifically funded and designed to strengthen capacity to manage salinity in the Murray-Darling Basin. Wimmera CMA’s programs were targeted towards the protection and management of priority natural assets. The condition of each asset has been identified together with threats to the condition of each asset, including salinity and documented in the revised Regional Catchment Strategy in consultation with community groups, partners and the broader community. Community engagement was achieved through property management planning and mentoring under the Regional Delivery and Landcare Support projects. Regional Delivery 30 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report facilitated planning for large-scale change within the catchment and saw mentoring activities involving 30 farmers in the Vectis, Rupanyup, Nhill and Murtoa districts. A total of 151 people participated in three workshops designed to improve capacity to manage natural resource challenges in the region including salinity. The Perennial Pasture Systems group was supported to coordinate and strengthen farmer networks in the upper Wimmera region, impacting salinity the length of the Wimmera River. The support helped the group increase its membership and property coverage in 2013/14 to 104 enterprises and 112,000 ha. Research and Investigations Salinity investigations were carried out through monitoring water quality in the Wimmera River, assessing the success of environmental flows and management actions designed to improve the health of the Wimmera River. Wimmera CMA has contributed to reporting on salinity in Wimmera groundwater systems through participation in the West Wimmera Groundwater Committee. 2.1.6 Victorian Mallee Governance arrangements The Mallee CMA has established the Salinity Accountability Advisory Committee (SAAC formerly the Mallee Salt Disposal Entitlement Finance Committee) as a formal subcommittee of the Mallee CMA’s Board of Directors. The prime responsibility of the SAAC is to provide advice to the Board on all salinity management obligations under Schedule B of the MurrayDarling Basin Agreement at the regional level. The SAAC oversees the management and maintenance of the Mallee Regional Salinity Register and administration of the levied funds, which are collected to offset salinity impacts of irrigation development under the Nyah to South Australian Border SMP (MCMA, 1993). The Committee also advises the Board, through the Executive Officer, on matters relating to the region’s BSMS reporting functions. Communication activities Community engagement and consultation about salinity issues within the region is primarily conducted through the Mallee CMA Land and Water Advisory Committee (LWAC). Technical support to the Mallee CMA’s programs is provided by various Technical Advisory Committees (TAC). Project specific groups provide further consultation and advice on salinity issues and are formed as needed to address specific issues. During the first half of the 2013/14 irrigation season, irrigation areas in the Mallee experienced exceptionally high evapotranspiration rates arising from high temperatures (Figure 2-3), with rainfall deficiencies (Figure 2-4) occurring in parallel. This resulted in a higher than normal water usage observed by water corporations on irrigation properties. In accordance with the Ministerial Determination of Standard Water-Use Conditions, the Mallee CMA, Lower Murray Water and DEPI investigated whether the extreme climate conditions warranted the need to declare a seasonal adjustment of Annual Use Limits (AUL) across the region. Analysis of the weather data indicated that an AUL adjustment was justified for the 2013/14 season. Technical advice was sought from Charles Thompson 31 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report (RMCG) and Mark Wood (Woodwater). The consultation process, including Mallee CMA community and technical representatives (LWAC and TAC members) and the Lower Murray Water customer consultative committee, culminated in the Minister for Water announcing a 25 per cent adjustment of AUL for all Mallee irrigators for the 2013/14 season in March 2014. This was the second year in a row that a seasonal AUL adjustment has been made in the Mallee region. Figure 2-3 Victorian Temperature Deficiencies (1 August 2013 to 31 January 2014) Figure 2-4 Victorian Rainfall Deficiencies (1 August 2013 to 31 January 2014) 32 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Community Education Community education activities included school demonstrations using the Mallee CMA Waterwatch trailer and a diorama (three-dimensional representation) of the land uses and regional salt processes. Displays at the Mildura Horticultural Field Days in May, 2014 promoted Mallee CMA water use efficiency programs. A series of six irrigator ‘shed’ meetings were held promoting irrigation best management practice as well as natural resource management issues within the Mallee region. In 2014, the shed meetings engaged 41 private diverters from Piangle, Boundary Bend, Robinvale, Wemen, Yelta and Lindsay Point. The Farm Based Environmental Management Action Planning (EMAP) program continued to be a targeted forum providing private land managers with information on both salinity processes and mitigation strategies, in conjunction with other NRM management issues. In 2013/14, the EMAP program engaged 31 participants, representing 67,103 ha of land. Participants identified seven ha of salinity control actions for implementation within their environmental plans. Since commencing in 2005, the EMAP program has engaged some 528 farm businesses, covering 1.2 million hectares of land. Salinity based fact sheets and technical bulletins were circulated through targeted dissemination and the Mallee CMA website. Salinity related publications released over the past year included the Technical Bulletin No. 33 Dryland Salinity Drivers and Processes. Research and investigations In 2013/14, Mallee CMA invested in a number of salinity investigations and research, including: Regional policy development for annual use limits on water use licences: The Mallee CMA worked collaboratively with DEPI, Lower Murray Water and Victorian CMAs in the Murray Darling Basin to attain an additional 3.29 EC salinity credits from the State’s pool of salinity credits to meet current and future irrigation development requirements. These additional salinity credits were calculated to meet the recent increase in demand for AUL in the Nangiloc Colignan (L4) area. This approach superseded the requirement to set a cap on total AUL in salinity impact zones L3 and L4 (an Action from the Northern Region Sustainable Water Strategy (NRSWS)). Transfer mechanisms enabling exchange of existing AUL between willing water use licence holders were taken up by those seeking to expand operations in order to utilise existing AUL and minimising the requirement to seek new AUL. Improving the Seasonal AUL adjustment process: In 2013/14, the Mallee CMA commissioned RMCG to complete a study with the aim of improving the AUL seasonal adjustment process by capturing lessons learnt from the 2012/13 AUL seasonal adjustment. A survey of irrigators completed to understand why irrigators were coming close to breaching their AULs indicated that most AUL breaches, or near breaches, were due to a miss-match between crop type and AUL holdings or due to irrigation efficiency issues. The survey also identified a limited understanding about AULs, their purpose and mechanisms that are available to change AUL holdings. Further investigation into the process for seasonal AUL adjustments 33 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report identified a need to review the timing of announcements so irrigators can better prepare seasonal water budgets and AUL budgets. The final project report included recommendations to consider individual seasonal adjustments and to develop and enact a communication strategy on AULs. Maximum water application rates: Current AUL calculations are based on a set of maximum application rates (MARs) as listed in Schedule 2 of the Ministerial Determination on Standard Water-Use Conditions. Schedule 2 contains a list of MARs for nine of the most common crops grown in the Mallee. For crops other than those listed, Schedule 2 states that the MAR will be “agreed in writing by DEPI after consultation with relevant water authorities and the Mallee CMA”. In 2012/13, the Mallee CMA commissioned a study with the aim of developing a method for determining MARs for crops other than those listed in Schedule 2. For crops grown using conventional management systems the study recommended that MARs be calculated using existing crop coefficients published by Rural Solutions South Australia coupled with climate data from the Bureau of Meteorology’s Mildura airport weather station. Using this method an extensive list of MARs was calculated and documented. Furthermore, the study proposed an approach that could be used to develop crop coefficients for new crops or innovative management systems and outlined a means of further calibrating crop coefficients into the future. This project was finalised in 2012/13 and the Mallee CMA presented the proposed approach to the LMW Board in 2013/14. It is currently being considered for implementation by LMW. 2.2 Identifying values and assets at risk The partner Governments will work with catchment communities to identify important values and assets throughout the Basin at risk of salinity, and the nature and timeframe of risk. This Strategy emphasises the triple-bottom line approach, requiring a balance between economic, environmental and social values. It necessarily recognises that living with salinity is the only choice in some situations. The following sections identify values and assets at risk of salinity of the five CMA regions of the Victorian Murray-Darling Basin. 2.2.1 North East The North East CMA region covers an area of 19,800 km2 (1.98 million ha) or approximately nine per cent of the area of Victoria. The major catchments within the North East region are the Ovens, Kiewa and Upper Murray catchments. Landforms vary across the region from the Victorian Alps in the Great Dividing Range, to the Riverine Plains in the lower catchments. Approximately 55 per cent of the North East region consists of public land including National Parks, State Forests, wilderness areas, nature reserves, plantations and plantation forests (on long term lease for softwood production), crown land and Alpine resorts. The remaining 34 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report land is largely privately owned, much of which is cleared of native vegetation and used for farmland. Land Resources The main cause of dryland salinity in the region is believed to be the clearing and loss of deep-rooted native vegetation since European settlement. This has led to increased groundwater recharge, which has the potential to lead to shallow water tables and land salinisation. There is a large area of land in low parts of the landscape threatened by rising water tables and potential salinity. The North East Regional Catchment Strategy (2013) acknowledges soil health problems, including dryland salinity, which have been exacerbated in areas by land clearing and inappropriate land use and management practices. Several management plans have been implemented in an attempt to mitigate the problem, particularly in high recharge areas. Water Quality Any gradual rise in water tables mobilises salt to the land surface and eventually to the river system. Without intervention, the salinity of rivers, streams and water bodies in the North East and downstream catchments will increase, with associated social, economic and environmental impacts. Whilst the salinity concentration of water in the North East is very low, it is estimated that over 180,000 tonnes of salt is exported annually from the region (North East Salinity Strategy, 1997). Other water quality issues in the North East include nutrient enrichment, sedimentation, eutrophication and turbidity of surface water and groundwater. In general, water is of a very high quality in the forested areas of the North East. There is a trend for water quality to deteriorate in the lower catchments in response to changing land use. Groundwater extraction for stock and domestic use continues to be an important source of water across the region. Biodiversity This asset is generally defined as flora, fauna and terrestrial ecosystems. Defining the impact that salinity has on each species of flora and fauna within the catchments is not possible. It is possible, however, to consider the impacts that rising groundwater, saline water and discharge areas have on the structure and composition of at-risk vegetation within the catchment. Vegetation management activities for salinity control have been focused on high groundwater recharge areas, also providing biodiversity improvements. 2.2.2 Goulburn Broken The Goulburn Broken region covers about 2.4 million hectares (or about 11 per cent of Victoria), has a population of over 200,000 people and supports major agricultural, food processing, forestry and tourism industries. The region covers two per cent of the MurrayDarling Basin and generates 11 per cent of the Basin’s water resources. 35 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Land resources – Goulburn Dryland Within the Goulburn Broken CMA there are two distinct dryland regions: the Upper Goulburn region, comprising approximately 10,500 km2 (1.05 million ha); and the Mid-Goulburn and Broken region, comprising approximately 8,500 km2 (0.85 million ha). The Upper Goulburn region is the source of 80 per cent of the total salt load for the entire Goulburn-Broken catchment. Dryland salinity in the Goulburn Broken is highly localised. It occurs mainly throughout the interface between the plains and the uplands, from Warrenbayne through to Seymour, in localised areas of the southwest Goulburn region south of Seymour, and along sections of the Goulburn River valley. The nature of the topography and soils makes these at risk areas prone to water logging. However, the anticipated rise in water tables (MDBMC, 1999) have not been realised to date (DPI, 2012). Land Resources – Shepparton Irrigation Region (SIR) The SIR is a highly productive irrigation area located in the northern Victorian Riverine Plains and covers approximately 5,000 km2 (500,000 ha), of which approximately 3,000 km2 (300,000 ha) is irrigated. Due to high water tables, salinisation is a major threat to the region. Rising watertables and associated salinity risk were the focus of the Shepparton Land and Water Salinity Management Plan developed in the late 1980s. An assessment of watertable levels in the SIR has been conducted in August each year since 1982. Watertable levels have varied from year to year depending on seasonal conditions. A rapidly rising trend was observed until 1995 when 47 per cent of the study area had watertable levels within two metres of the surface. By 1995, the predicted watertable levels for the year 2000 in the land and water SMP had been surpassed and modelling had predicted that without active management, 65 per cent of the SIR would have a high watertable by 2020. The previous drought coupled with Shepparton Irrigation Region Catchment Implementation Strategy (SIRCIS) salinity works led to a reduction in watertables across the irrigation region. Higher than average rainfall from 2010 to 2012 resulted in a general rise in shallow groundwater levels and subsequently an increase in salinity risk (refer to Figure 2-2). The effective communication of the rate of return is critical to manage the risk. Continual management and monitoring of watertables is required as there is still potential for severe widespread salinisation, resulting in significant loss to economic assets and irreversible degradation of most major wetlands in the area. Biodiversity – Goulburn-Broken Dryland The major threat posed by groundwater discharge is stream water quality, and to the associated aquatic and riparian biodiversity. There is little information on the link between changing salinity regimes and the biotic health of streams. It may be that the salinity of waterways and wetlands is a second-order threat behind the reduction in fresh water flows. Most of the remnant vegetation communities across the Riverine Plains are severely 36 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report depleted. Remnant vegetation on the lower-lying parts of the landscape (on the floodplains, in wetlands, and along waterways) is particularly at risk from potentially rising watertables, as groundwater levels bounce back from lower levels experienced during the recent dry phase. Revegetation efforts in the Goulburn-Broken dryland area will continue to focus on areas that combine the likelihood of reasonable salinity outcomes with biodiversity outcomes. Therefore most of the revegetation efforts will be focussed along the plains-upland interface and higher in the catchment. Increasingly, large-scale revegetation is being completed to enhance biodiversity values across this region. Biodiversity – SIR The magnitude and potential extent of the salinity problem in the SIR has the potential to have major impacts on the biodiversity of the areas which are most at risk in the catchment. Unmanaged, the threat could potentially lead to a reduction in the complexity, diversity and functions of ecosystems. Many of the types of remnant vegetation across the Riverine Plains are severely depleted. Remnant vegetation on the lower-lying parts of the landscape (on the floodplains, in wetlands, and along waterways) is especially at risk from high watertables, which will affect stream condition and further accelerate the degradation of aquatic habitats. Further loss of vegetation and biodiversity in the plains zone will degrade the capacity of the natural ecosystem to support essential landscape functions. Planning controls are in place through local government and regional agencies to protect or alternatively replace any tree or remnant vegetation impacted by development. Water quality The waterways at greatest risk are those on the Riverine Plains, those flowing through the Plains-Upland interface along the foot of the Strathbogie Ranges, and those in the south west Goulburn area. These are the areas where the risk of dryland salinity is highest. Many of the streams in this zone already suffer from seasonally high salinities. It is not known whether streams become more saline as base flow becomes more dominant, or whether base flow ceases to be a significant component of an increasingly intermittent stream flow. Further investigation is required to understand the impacts shifts in timing of flows have on aquatic ecosystems and stream condition. The region covers part of two major groundwater basins – the Murray Basin and the Highlands Basin. Groundwater is an important resource for many towns and water users within the region and is a major contributor to the base flow of streams within the catchment. In the SIR more than 800 bores are currently licensed to pump approximately 210,000 ML of shallow groundwater per year. 37 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Community infrastructure The SIR is recognised as an important food producing area in the Murray-Darling Basin. The main primary industries are horticulture, dairying, cropping, viticulture and grazing (sheep and beef). Agricultural industries are becoming more efficient and more intensive. The SIR supports a large fruit and vegetable food processing industry with value-adding in other commodities such as milk, wine grapes and meats. Of that total, the SIR produces approximately $5.9 billion across all sectors of its economy. The dryland area of the Goulburn Broken catchment contributes approximately $1.9 billion (ABS, 2010). The catchment’s combined total production is the most significant contribution of any nonmetropolitan catchment in Victoria, and the capital investment in food processing assets is growing. The success of Goulburn-Murray Water’s Connections Project is critical to the future of the SIR where the irrigated footprint is expected to reduce over the next few years while water saved will return to both irrigators and the environment. Rapid development and rural living dominate land use change trends in the southern areas of the Goulburn-Broken dryland. This places land use demands on areas potentially at risk from salinisation, accelerates problems of effluent and waste disposal, and increases demands for improved water security. Rural development poses opportunities and risks for biodiversity. 2.2.3 North Central The North Central CMA region covers almost 3 million hectares including the Campaspe, Loddon, Avoca and Avon Richardson river catchments. The region has been transformed significantly since European settlement; its native vegetation cover has been highly modified and the type and distribution of the region’s wetlands has changed considerably. The North Central CMA region is dominated by agricultural landscapes which sustain the region’s economic and social prosperity. Salinity continues to pose a significant threat to regional biodiversity, water resources, economic and social assets. Land Resources The North Central CMA region supports a diverse range of agricultural enterprises including cropping, mixed farming, dairying and horticulture. Historically, significant areas of the North Central CMA region have been affected by salinity. For example, almost 32,000 hectares had been mapped as affected by dryland salinity and during the 1990s over 80 per cent of the Loddon Campaspe Irrigation Region had groundwater levels within two metres of the surface. Protracted drought from the mid-1990s until 2010 saw the loss of water table seasonality and a general condition of groundwater recession. By the end of the drought, groundwater in the land subject to salinity across most of the northern plains had fallen to depths of 3.5 metres or more. The drought ended in 2010/2011 with some of the biggest rainfall and flooding events on record. In most instances watertables sprang back to within half a metre of the land surface. 38 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report The rapid response, however, was limited to the water table aquifer. Deeper regional aquifers did not recover in the same way. Some of the head lost in the drought recession was reinstated, but it was not sufficient to return to pre-drought pressures. Drought conditions returned in the spring of 2012 and prevailed through the summer and autumn months of 2013. Watertables fell sharply and reached depths of two metres or more. The winter of 2013 brought wetter conditions and some shallow groundwater tables increased in height. The winter of 2014 however, was drier and water tables either stabilised or reduced marginally. Irrigation water allocations have been reasonably high over the past two seasons and usage by irrigators has matched allocations. Biodiversity Prior to European settlement, the North Central CMA region contained a diverse range of native flora and fauna, and hydrological and salt balances were maintained entirely by native vegetation and processes. The loss of native vegetation, its replacement by agriculture and urban development, and the introduction of irrigation are largely responsible for the salinity problems within the region. The remaining remnant vegetation covers less than 20 per cent of the region’s landmass and is under threat from habitat fragmentation, declining water quality, salinity, urban and agricultural development, and increases in pest plants and animals. Almost 40,000 hectares of high conservation value native vegetation and habitat for almost 200 species of threatened native flora and fauna are threatened by shallow watertables (less than two metres) and salinity. The most threatened ecosystems are highly fragmented and located lower in the landscape (i.e. mid and lower catchment areas). Wetlands, riparian zones, floodplains and aquatic communities are considered to be most at risk. Wetlands and Waterways The condition of waterways and wetlands in the region remains poor to moderate. Factors limiting continued improvement in condition include altered hydrology (via extraction and regulation), which results in poor physical form and degraded in-stream habitat. Nutrients and salinity continue to be the major water quality issues. The region has a diverse and highly significant range of wetlands supporting many rare and threatened flora and fauna species. Wetlands within the North Central CMA region are listed under the Ramsar Convention as wetlands of international importance, wetlands of national importance and wetlands listed on the Register of National Estates. Wetlands by their nature sit low in the landscape and continue to be at risk from salinity. Community Infrastructure Rural townships and transport networks within the region are all potentially at threat from shallow watertables and dryland salinity. Based on the Victorian component of the National Dryland Salinity Assessment, the length of road traversing shallow watertables could increase from around 860 km at present to over 1,240 km in 2020, and 2,800 km in 2050. These changes would be expected to significantly increase the costs of road maintenance. 39 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 2.2.4 Wimmera The Wimmera CMA region, located in western Victoria, encompasses an area of 2.4 million ha and includes Horsham Rural City Council and Hindmarsh, West Wimmera, Yarriambiack and the Northern Grampians Shire Councils. It also includes areas of Ararat, Pyrenees and Buloke Shire Councils. Eighty per cent of land in the Wimmera CMA region is used for agriculture. Dryland livestock and cropping are the main agricultural activities in the Wimmera region. Wheat, canola, legumes and pulses are the main crops, and sheep are raised for both wool and meat production. A vibrant viticulture industry has been established in the upper Wimmera. There is significant irrigation in the West Wimmera supplied by groundwater (Murray Group Limestone Aquifer), supporting small seed (white clover), lucerne and vegetable production. In addition, there are two small irrigated areas near Horsham and Murtoa that support mixed farming (mainly sheep and dairy cattle, although they have been without or did not use their water allocations in recent years). The irrigators that have previously been supplied through the channel system recently agreed to sell their allocations to the Australian Government under its buyback program. The Wimmera region is not connected by surface water processes to the Murray River, however it is included as part of the Murray-Darling Basin and the BSMS due to its groundwater connection. The Wimmera region is an important recharge area for the Parilla Sands aquifer which ultimately discharges to the Murray River. However, the ability of recharge management (or other salinity management activities) in the Wimmera to impact on the salinity levels in the Murray River is considered insignificant in terms of generally accepted timeframes for salinity control. Nevertheless the salinisation of land and water resources is an issue, in part, of the Wimmera region itself. Values at risk The revised Wimmera Regional Catchment Strategy identified the following assets as the being the most at risk from salinity: Wetlands and streams including the terminal lakes of the Wimmera River Basin (Lake Hindmarsh and Lake Albacutya); Agricultural soils; and Native vegetation. Land Resources Past land use practices in the area have resulted in environmental issues such as erosion, soil structure decline and salinity. Almost 25,000 ha or just over one per cent of the Wimmera region is visibly effected to some degree by salinity. This includes almost 6,000 ha of severely impacted land. The current cost of lost agricultural production is estimated to be $2.3 million per annum on the basis of gross margins forgone (WCMA, 2005). 40 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Biodiversity Over 80 per cent of the region has been cleared for agriculture and the distribution of native vegetation in the region has subsequently declined to 16 per cent of the area it covered prior to European occupation. It is estimated that nine per cent of the regions’ threatened flora species and 11 per cent of its threatened fauna species are in areas with shallow watertables (NLWRA, 2008). Water Quality Previous studies indicated that the quality of surface water in Wimmera’s rivers and streams is generally rated as fair to poor (WCMA, 2005). Past average flow-weighted stream salinity levels ranged between 490 and 680 µS/cm. Examples of the magnitude of reported salinity effects in the region include: 17,000 tonnes of salt pass Horsham in the Wimmera River each year. A further 14,000 tonnes of salt enter the river between Horsham and Lochiel, and another 17,000 tonnes are estimated to enter the river between Lochiel and Lake Hindmarsh. 110,000 tonnes of salt is generated or imported into the Wimmera River system each year. Many wetlands in the Douglas Depression were naturally saline at pre-European settlement, but there are now many in the Edenhope area that have become more saline as a result of changed land management practices since European settlement. An example of an affected wetland is Brickies Swamp, south of Edenhope (WCMA, 2005). Salinity in waterways throughout the catchment varies substantially. Very low salinity occurs in many headwater streams but in lower reaches of the Wimmera River salinity is high although variable depending upon the flow regime. There are various upper catchment tributaries within modified landscapes that also exhibit very high salinity. These include Heiffer Station and Concongella Creek. Community Infrastructure National Land and Water Resources Audit data indicates that almost 650 km of roads in the region are currently within areas with watertables at less than two metres. In particular, local ground water flow systems in low relief but deeply weathered granite are thought to be contributing to early signs of urban salinity around the township of Stawell (NLWRA, 2008). 2.2.5 Victorian Mallee The Victorian Mallee region has a semi-arid climate, where annual potential evaporation can be as much as seven times higher than the average annual rainfall of 291 mm per year. Of the 3.99 million hectares in the Mallee CMA region, 38 per cent is public land and 62 per cent is private land under agricultural production. In any given year, private land supports approximately 2.4 million hectares of dryland cropping (approximately 90 per cent cereals and 10 per cent legumes and oilseeds). There are approximately 2,415 rural land holdings involving both the dryland and irrigation industries. 41 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Mallee Irrigated horticulture occupies less than two per cent of the Victorian Mallee, but contributes significantly to Victoria’s gross value of irrigated agricultural production. In 2011/12 the irrigation areas in the Mallee generated 79 per cent of Victoria’s gross value of irrigated agricultural production (GVIAP) for grapes, and 23 per cent of Victoria’s GVIAP for fruit (ABS, 2013). The Mallee currently has approximately 72,450 hectares (SunRISE 21, 2012) of irrigable land with water sourced from the Murray River, the majority of which is permanent horticultural plantings. Of this area, approximately 17,570 hectares (SunRISE 21, 2012) are included in the established pumped irrigation districts of Merbein, Mildura, Red Cliffs, Robinvale and Nyah. Private diverters along the Murray River corridor from Nyah to the South Australian border comprise the balance of 54,880 ha. The combined effects of variable climatic conditions, reduced water allocations, poor economic returns and Australian Government water purchasing (e.g. Small Irrigator Block Exit Grant), have resulted in a decrease in the total area being irrigated over recent years. For example in the five pumped irrigation districts there are 17,570 hectares of land that can be irrigated with established irrigation infrastructure. In 2013/14, approximately 4,518 hectares remain dried off from irrigation representing around 26 per cent of the total irrigable area. With the return of higher water allocations, reduced water costs and some improvement in economic returns, these dried off areas are being returned to production. In the pumped irrigation districts, the area dried off from irrigation fell 3 per cent; from 29 per cent in 2011/12 to 26 per cent in 2013/14 (Mallee CMA, 2014). Land Resources Salt is a natural part of the landscape with approximately 40,000 to 88,000 ha of land being salinised through regional groundwater discharge processes prior to European settlement. Recent investigations have identified that 3.8 per cent (142,206 ha) of the region currently has saline (surface) soils and that 39 per cent (55,460 ha) of these saline surfaces were induced by land use change (DPI, 2009). The area of land where groundwater levels are found within five metres of the soil surface have reduced from 4.8 per cent (188,494 ha) of the total area in 2007 (SKM, 2008) to 2.5 per cent (97,437 ha) of the total area in 2010 (SKM, 2010). Refinement in the re-forecasting of groundwater trends in the Mallee region predict a reduction in the area subject to groundwater levels within 0 to 5 metres of the soil surface under an average climate scenario (SKM, 2010). Forecast trends for 2050, under average climate scenarios, estimate approximately 76,748 hectares, or 1.9 per cent of the total area, will have groundwater levels within 0 to 5 metres of the soil surface (SKM, 2010). While the average climate scenarios predict an overall downward trend for groundwater levels, low-lying areas such as those found in dryland farming areas around Ouyen, Manangatang and Underbool, will continue to be affected by salinisation as a result of oscillating wet and dry climate conditions. These low lying areas of salinisation readily expand in response to localised rainfall events. Modern dryland management strategies target these discharge areas to minimise any future salinity risk. 42 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Biodiversity The Mallee consists of diverse land systems and vegetation types. While the temporal and spatial impacts of salinisation are not fully understood, it is unlikely that the impacts will be evenly distributed throughout the region. In 2005 estimates predicted that 3,855 ha (8.5 per cent) of endangered Mallee Ecological Vegetation Classes (EVCs), 47,234 ha (14 per cent) of vulnerable Mallee EVCs and 55,190 ha (17 per cent) of depleted EVCs will be subject to groundwater levels within 0 to 5 metres of the soil surface by 2050 (REM, 2005). A vegetation condition and species composition survey was undertaken in 2011/12 using existing monitoring sites previously established under the Land Conservation Council (LCC - six sites assessed between 1985 to 1986) and the Mallee mandatory monitoring program (3MP – six sites assessed between 1995 and 2007). The survey showed that the removal of grazing – a key recommendation of the Land Conservation Council Review (LCC, 1989) into the use of Public Land in the Mallee – has been a major influence on improving vegetation condition at four sites. Large cumulative rainfall totals in the period leading up to the 2011 survey was also attributed to an improvement in vegetation condition at most LCC sites. The decline in vegetation condition observed at six sites was attributed to increased soil salinity associated with localised groundwater level rise. Increased soil acidity at four sites was shown to have the greatest influence on vegetation change (Ogyris, 2012). The areas expected to be most at threat have a low topographic elevation in the Mallee landscape. The watertable has been identified as being closely connected to the surface level in several broad areas (SKM, 2008). These areas are: the Tyrrell Basin; land surrounding Ouyen; Lake Agnes; the immediate surrounds of the Pink Lakes; the Raak Plains and Hattah Kulkyne National Park; Morkalla; and the general floodplain of the Murray River. There are many sites of very high conservation value within these areas. For example, there are more than 13 wetlands of national or international significance in the Mallee, which are considered to be threatened by salinisation. Water Quality River levels observed in the Murray River as measured at Euston (streamflow gauge number 414203C) were lower than previous years, with summer flows reaching a maximum of 25,970 ML/day (September 2013) and autumn and winter flows oscillating between 5,000 43 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report and 10,000 ML/day. The minimum flow rate at Euston was 3,250 ML/day observed in May 2014. No black water events, fish mortality or Blue Green Algae outbreaks were recorded during this period (MDBA, 2013). Murray River salinity readings at Euston remained below 240 EC for the past 12 months. The total annual rainfall recorded from 1 July 2013 to 30 June 2014 was 302 mm (compared to 190 mm in 2012/13), was above the mean annual rainfall of 291 mm as recorded at Mildura airport (rainfall gauge 076031, BOM 2013). Subsurface drains servicing irrigation areas produced flow volumes comparable to those observed last year despite the higher rainfall. Groundwater levels have continued the declining trend for 65 per cent of bores that were sampled in both 2013 and 2014. Groundwater salinity levels decreased in 54 per cent of bores sampled in both years (AWE, 2013). Community Infrastructure The regional townships of Ouyen, Manangatang, Underbool and the City of Mildura are all potentially at threat from the effects of salinisation. The costs associated with this potential threat have not been quantified. However, in essence, the capital cost would involve the construction and maintenance of infrastructure to a specified, safe level/standard. 2.3 Setting salinity targets The Council will adopt end-of-valley targets to protect values and assets while providing for targets to be revised, as new information becomes available. The partner Governments will empower catchment management organisations to advise on end-of-valley targets and determine within-valley targets and monitoring arrangements, under salinity and catchment management plans. 2.3.1 Victoria Summary of end-of-valley targets The former MDBC endorsed Victoria’s EOVTs (Table 2-1) on 30 August 2005. EOVTs for the Wimmera and North East regions were not directly assessed at that time. Interim targets for these regions will be re-assessed as part of on-going salinity management planning. Activities carried out in the 2013/14 reporting year The findings of the Phase 1 and 2 reports from the MDBA-led review of EOVTs (SKM, 2013 (a) and 2013 (b)) have been further considered in 2013/14 through the General Review of Salinity Management. Victoria has participated in the Review as a member of the inter-jurisdictional steering committee. The draft General Review report notes that the inclusion of state EOVTs within the BSMS was largely a response to projections made in the 1990’s of increasing threat from dryland salinity. Improved knowledge since this period indicates that future salt loads emerging from dryland catchments (for most valleys) do not pose a significant threat to the shared water resources. The Review “raises questions as to whether some of the state end-of-valley 44 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report targets provide a practical and effective contribution to the accountability framework”, and identifies the establishment of the future role of state EOVTs as a key matter in the development of the proposed updated salinity management strategy (BSMS2030) during 2014/15. The role of EOVTs will also need to be considered in the context of Basin Plan policy and the development of regional water resource plans, and the need to mitigate the effects of salinity on local assets. 45 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Table 2-1 End-of-valley targets for Victoria (SKM, 2005) Baseline Conditions (1 Jan 2000) Region Valley Salinity (EC µS/cm) Median Peak (50%ile) (80%ile) Ovens 72 100 Kiewa 47 Goulburn End-of-Valley Targets (as percentage of Baseline) Salt Load (t/yr) Salinity (EC µS/cm) End-of-Valley Targets (as absolute value) Salt Load (t/yr) Median Peak (50%ile) (80%ile) 54,000 100% 100% 55 19,000 100% 99 150 166,000 Broken 104 130 Avoca 2,060 Loddon Salinity (EC µS/cm) Salt Load (t/yr) Valley Reporting Site AWRC Site Number Median Peak (50%ile) (80%ile) 101% 72 100 54,540 Ovens River @ Peechelba-East 403241 100% 100% 47 55 19,000 Kiewa River @ Bandiana 402205 100% - - 99 - - Goulburn River @ Goulburn Weir 405259 15,000 136% - - 141 - - Broken Creek @ Casey's Weir 404217 5,290 37,000 102% - - 2,096 - - Avoca River @ Quambatook 408203 750 1,090 88,000 95% - - 711 - - Loddon River @ Laanecoorie 407203 Campaspe 530 670 54,000 78% - - 412 - - Campaspe River @ Campaspe Weir 406218 Wimmera* Wimmera 1,380 1,720 31,000 100% 100% 100% 1,380 1,720 31,000 Wimmera River @ Horsham Weir 415200 Victorian Mallee Vic Mallee Zone 380 470 1,300,000 - - - +15EEC - - River Murray@ Lock 6 426200 Mean Mean Mean North East* Goulburn Broken North Central *Interim targets only. 46 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 2.4 Managing trade-offs The States will analyse and review the best mix of land management, engineering, river flow, and living with salt options to achieve salinity targets while meeting other catchment health targets and social and economic needs. The States will assist communities to understand and agree the options with affected groups, industries and people through best practice planning processes. Victoria balances options to achieve salinity targets with other catchment health targets and social and economic needs as part of the process to develop Regional Catchment Strategies and the subordinate LWMPs. 2.4.1 North East The Carbon and Biodiversity Project, funded by the Australian Government, is a partnership between North East CMA and Trust For Nature (TFN). The project provided financial incentives during 2013/14 for landholders to protect and enhance bush land, or to rehabilitate their properties with strategic vegetation works. Additional benefits to biodiversity included better control of salinity issues and improved water quality, amongst others. Vegetation management activities for salinity control have focused on high recharge areas in priority groundwater flow systems as identified by salinity mapping, groundwater flow system mapping completed in 2005, and 2Csalt modelling by DEPI Rutherglen in 2006. Whole farm planning and integrated extension activities funded through the DEPI “Land Health Program” have been used to complement activities and maximise outcomes achieved with landholders through this project. The Sustainable Agriculture program has conducted 20 sustainable agriculture workshops for dryland farming in 2013/14. 315 farming entities comprising more than 400 land managers attended these workshops. These workshops managed trade-offs by focusing on management strategies that aimed to maintain and improve groundcover, soil structure and soil health for more than 2100 ha of farm land. The North East Sustainable Irrigation Action Plan (2009) also managed trade-offs associated with irrigation and negative off site impacts such as salinity. The focus of this work has been to encourage better irrigation practice through system upgrades and better water use efficiency. 2.4.2 Goulburn Broken In the SIR, the Surface Water Management Program has been prioritised by a multi-criteria analysis using the following factors: social (20 per cent), economic (55 per cent) and environmental (25 per cent). Subsurface drainage program works are confined to areas with high watertables, and public sub-surface works are limited to areas with demonstrated production losses due to salinity 47 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report and high watertables. A process based on rolling five-year average water table depth prioritises the implementation program for groundwater investigations. Public works are considered only where privately owned works are not viable. Landholder support is required, and groups of landholders get priority for private site investigations before individuals. Current priority areas are still Muckatah, Deakin or Harston, Mosquito, Campaspe and Murray Valley catchments. The public pump expansion program is considered a low priority relative to the private pumps program, however due to a lack of sufficient funding, both programs have been suspended. The Shepparton Irrigation Region Salt and Water Balance Project (refer to Section 2.1.3) once completed will recommend policies and strategies, and provide tools that will assist in the future mitigation of salinity. This will be achieved by managing shallow groundwater in the SIR with an understanding of the impacts froma variable climate and reduced recharge from the transfer of water entitlements and the modernisation of farm and irrigation infrastructure. 2.4.3 North Central Investment Framework for Environmental Resources (INFFER) The North Central CMA utilised the Investment Framework for Environmental Resources (INFFER) in the development of the Regional Catchment Strategy and related projects. The North Central CMA utilises INFFER to assist in making investment decisions for the region’s high value environmental assets. INFFER builds on the previous work undertaken through the development of the Salinity Investment Framework 3. For instance, the use of INFFER has identified feasible farming system options for the protection of the York Plains wetlands in the Avon Richardson Catchment. Implementation of this project began in 2008/09 and continued until June 2014. Funding has also been secured to continue salinity mitigation works for the protection of these wetlands in 2014/15. Policy Choice Framework (PCF) The Loddon Campaspe Irrigation Region Land and Water Management Plan has incorporated the Policy Choice Framework (PCF) into natural resource management prioritisation. The PCF is intended to assist decision makers in the field of natural resource policy to choose between policy instruments when the focus of the policy is on changing the behaviour of agricultural landholders. PCF, combined with INFFER, offers a variety of approaches to aid in different stages of natural resource management across the plan region with the aim of improving the transparency and robustness of investment decision-making. The PCF and INFFER have been integrated into the Plan’s Healthy Productive Irrigated Landscape Framework (HPILF) to enable a process for combining information from the region’s overarching NRM strategies (e.g. Regional Condition Targets) with known reality (e.g. GIS maps) to guide how regional assets are protected and responding to new and emerging challenges. 48 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report North Central CMA continue to see the benefits of employing INFFER as a decision making tool when considering investment in high value assets that are subject to local influences. However, the management of catchment-based dryland salinity issues influencing stream salt loads, requires a more considered approach that involves further investment in knowledge development in-sync with community-based programs that focus on achieving sustainable agriculture outcomes. Improving the management of trade-offs Despite moving to an asset-based approach, North Central CMA recognises that ongoing management towards reducing the overall threat of salinity is still required. The focus in the North Central region is to work with the community to develop low-cost, profitable interventions for the broader landscape. By focusing on the solutions, it is likely that broader farming system changes will occur and ensure that salinity management interventions remain sustainable into the future. On-going monitoring and evaluation will continue to be undertaken to fully understand the likely benefits of changes in farming practices on groundwater levels, salt movement and end-of-valley export as projects are implemented. The initial development stages of the North Central Region Sustainable Agriculture Strategy were undertaken in 2013/14. The strategy will aim to describe the land asset in terms of soil types and distribution, the threats and risks to the asset including salinity and the viable options available in terms of agricultural production and ecosystem services that improved soil health can provide to land uses in the catchment. 2.4.4 Wimmera The priority groundwater flow systems for recharge control that are identified by the Wimmera Salinity Action Plan (2005) are all located in the Upper Wimmera River catchment area. This is also the area where much of the river’s flow is derived from. The major initiative to implement revegetation in these groundwater flow systems is the Grampians to Pyrenees Biolink project run in conjunction with Project Platypus. This focuses on enhancing the connectivity, resilience, management and condition of remnant vegetation in the upper Wimmera Catchment. In 2011/12 Wimmera CMA undertook a study that investigated the impacts of land-use change on surface water flows and ecology in the upper Wimmera River catchment. Hydrologic modelling from the study indicates that large scale revegetation may adversely affect flow regime and aquatic processes. The results from the project continue to be integrated with other studies and information to help identify optimal revegetation locations that will balance the needs of salinity mitigation, surface water hydrology and biodiversity. Elsewhere in the Wimmera catchment, salt affected land and paddocks that continually make no financial returns have been planted with saltbush. Saltbush establishes groundcover and protects these areas from erosion. 49 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report The revised Regional Catchment Strategy prioritises management measures to be implemented to address threats to natural assets, including the threat of salinity. The Wimmera CMA vision which underpins the Regional Catchment Strategy is for “a healthy Wimmera Catchment where a resilient landscape supports a sustainable and profitable community”. This vision is driven by a triple bottom line approach, where the aim is to improve the environment while providing the greatest social and economic benefits. An ongoing Rural Landholder Survey conducted by Charles Sturt University in consultation with the Wimmera CMA is aimed at understanding the important social and economic factors influencing landholder decision making in the Wimmera region. This includes assessment of whether dryland salinity is affecting long-term productive capacity of landholders. This information, along with the asset strategies, helps guide the implementation of the Regional Catchment Strategy. Comparison of the 2011 survey results with previous 2002 and 2007 survey information identify trends in important influences on landholder decisions over time. The next iteration of the survey is scheduled for 2016. 2.4.5 Victorian Mallee The Mallee CMA has a three pronged approach to managing salinity and achieving salinity objectives and other catchment health targets, and social and economic needs by: 1) Addressing the impacts of historical irrigation through a suite of projects that encourage efficient water use practices and improved technologies on farm. This is achieved through a combination of training and incentives directed towards matching water use with soil type and crop requirements thereby restricting the amount of drainage to the underlying aquifer. The region has developed a salinity impact assessment tool based on a model that predicts the reduction of salt pushed into the river resulting from onfarm water use efficiency (WUE) activities. This allows a prioritisation process to be applied to incentive applicants. In effect, those with the greatest salinity gains are given the highest priority. This is important as demand over the past five years has consistently exceeded available incentives. 2) Actively collaborating with MDBA and NSW in the planning, investigation and implementation of salt interception schemes adjacent to the Murray River to benefit the broader Mallee region. Locally, a “no borders approach” is adopted for salinity management. 3) Guiding new irrigation developments away from areas of high salinity impact and ensuring best practice in design and operation of irrigation systems where development occurs. This is implemented through the Mallee Region Irrigation Development Guidelines. In 1993, just prior to the introduction of trade in water entitlements, the Victorian Government, in partnership with the community, initiated a zoning system designed to minimise the river salinity impact of future irrigation developments in the Mallee. The Salinity Impact Zoning (SIZ) system was a key part of the community-developed Nyah to the South Australian Border Salinity Management Plan (SMP). For the past twenty years, the 50 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report potential for any new irrigation developments to push extra salt into the river has been managed through a system of SIZ. The system implemented under the Nyah to South Australian Border SMP initially consisted of two zones, a ‘High Impact Zone’ (HIZ) and a ‘Low Impact Zone’ (LIZ). These zones were based on a comprehensive hydrogeological assessment and the idea was to guide new irrigation developments to areas of least impact to the River by a system of salinity levies. The levy was set at a level that covered the estimated cost of offsetting the additional impact on the river salinity of the new development. In 2002, to improve the accuracy of the system and further drive development to areas of least impact, the zones were revised and the Low Impact Zone was divided into seven subLow Impact Zones (LIZ 1-7) which better reflected the scale of salinity impacts based on best knowledge at the time. New development was not permitted to occur in the High Impact Zone (HIZ) unless water could be purchased for that use from within the HIZ. Recent work undertaken by the Mallee CMA has demonstrated that the zoning approach has been very effective, with a substantial portion of AUL being issued in the two lowest impact zones since unbundling (Figure 2-5). Salinity offsetting charges are collected from irrigation developers to invest in works and measures to generate new salinity credits and/or support operations and maintenance of existing salinity credit and debit items as recorded in the Mallee Region Salinity Register. Figure 2-5 Sum of annual use limits (per thousand megalitre) issued within each salinity impact zone in the Victorian Mallee 51 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 2.5 Implementing plans This Strategy acknowledges gains made by existing plans, but requires that actions in existing and new plans, or the plans themselves, will need to be assessed and reported against the end-of- valley and Basin targets and recorded on Salinity Registers. The partner Governments will continue and enhance support for Land and Water Management Plans in irrigation regions. The partner Governments will enhance support for development and implementation of Integrated Catchment Management Policy-compliant salinity and catchment management plans in dryland regions. 2.5.1 Victoria In 2013/14, Victoria has continued to implement actions for the management of salinity in the Murray-Darling Basin from the NRSWS (DSE, 2009). The Strategy identified threats to water availability and quality over the next 50 years, including climate, population growth and land use change. It forecast that sufficient water would not be available to meet all the requirements of the environment and consumptive users, and that trade-offs would be needed now and in the future. Actions specific to salinity in the NRSWS progressed in 2013/14 include: Action 6.3: Salinity Accounting and Reporting – this action relates to establishing processes to estimate salinity impacts of water use in irrigation through water-use licences and associated AUL. This action also relates to the development of procedures to account for salinity impacts of environmental water and modernisation projects. The Manual for Victoria’s Salinity Accountability in the Murray-Darling Basin (DSE, 2011) documents procedures for large-scale water projects to account for salinity impacts under the BSMS. Under the framework established in the Manual, a preliminary assessment of the salinity impact of the Goulburn-Murray Water Connections Project - Stage 1 and 2 was carried out in 2010/11. Update of this assessment will commence in 2014/15 by GoulburnMurray Water to reflect the current level of implementation of the project. The approach will apply a similar methodology to that used for the Connections Project business cases. A more detailed assessment of the project’s salinity impacts will be undertaken in conjunction with five-year reviews of existing State accountable actions. While Victoria will continue to work toward providing a comprehensive assessment of the salinity impacts of the Connections Project, the States and Commonwealth are yet to resolve accountability for salinity impacts associated with the Basin Plan. Action 6.4: Capping salinity impacts – this action relates to establishing caps for the Low Salinity Impact Zones 3 and 4 in the Sunraysia region, extending salinity impact zones east of Nyah and to investigate further refinements on the management of salinity impact zones. 52 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Following completion of the Mallee CMA’s 5-year review of the Nyah to South Australia Border SMP, it was established that the salinity impacts associated with irrigation development in the Mallee region are over-estimated. Therefore the need to cap annual use limits in SIZ L3 and L4 to manage future irrigation development was not considered necessary. In the short to medium term, the Mallee CMA was provided 3.29 EC of salinity credits to balance irrigation development until a new modelling approach is developed. The new model is likely to result in a reduction in the register debit entry through the next five-year review. CMAs continued implementation of their Regional Catchment Strategies. These were revised in 2012/13 and cover the period 2013-19. The Regional Catchment Strategies are the primary integrated planning framework for land, water and biodiversity management in each of the 10 management regions of Victoria. They provide the overarching strategic framework for action, under which are found a range of sub-strategies and action plans for each region to address land degradation and manage land and water resources. In addition to these activities at a state level, the five CMAs within the Victorian MurrayDarling Basin all continued to carry out salinity management activities in 2013/14 as part of the planned implementation of their Regional Catchment Strategies, LWMPs and SMPs. 2.5.2 North East Land and water management plan The North East Sustainable Irrigation Action Plan – Land and Water Management Plan (2009) highlights the threats irrigation poses to other assets, defines the seriousness of these threats and suggests management actions to address the threats. Salinity has been defined as one of these threats. The Sustainable Irrigation Action Plan is currently due for review and renewal. The North East Salinity Action Plan (2007) guides the actions in relation to salinity management using an asset-threat based approach. The degree to which individual assets are threatened varies accordingly to their location in the landscape. The asset classes of land, biodiversity and inland waters are of particular concern. The potential impact on built infrastructure has also been identified as an emerging threat. The vision of the plan is ‘To manage salinity in the North East Region for the benefit of the environment, local communities and downstream users.’ Government allocation of salinity credits No salinity credits have been allocated to the North East region. Accountable Actions undertaken in 2012/13 There were no Accountable Actions undertaken in the North East region. Progressive total of works implemented Not applicable. 53 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 2.5.3 Goulburn Broken Land and water management plan The salinity management plans within the Goulburn and Broken catchments include the Shepparton Irrigation Region Catchment Implementation Strategy (SIRCIS) (formerly the SIR Land and Water SMP) and the Goulburn Broken Dryland Landscape Strategy (formerly the Goulburn Dryland Salinity Management Plan). Both original plans were developed to manage the salinity of land and water resources in the region and were endorsed by the Victorian Government in June 1990. The SIRCIS was developed by the regional community in partnership with the Victorian Government and agencies to tackle rising watertables, and is part of the wider Goulburn Broken Regional Catchment Strategy. The programs of the SIRCIS target the mitigation of salinity and waterlogging, and include re-use of pumped groundwater, surface-water management, farm planning, surface drainage re-use, biodiversity protection and enhancement, and community education. The SIRCIS is currently being reviewed in line with Goulburn Broken’s Regional Catchment Strategy’s resilience approach under the auspice of the Agricultural Floodplains Social Ecological System. The review is due to be completed in 2014/15.In 2008, due to significant changes to the operating environment, a high level mid-term review of the Subsurface Drainage Plan (SDP) was conducted. This resulted in a change of name to the Groundwater & Salt Management Program, and to the vision, mission and objectives of the program. One main outcome of this was to increase the focus on protection of high value environmental assets within the SIR at risk from groundwater and salinity. The SIR Surface Water Management Strategy was reviewed in 1995, 2000, 2005 and again in 2009 as part of the Victorian Irrigation Drainage Program Review. Government allocation of salinity credits The Victorian Government allocation of salinity credits to the SIRCIS is 8.9 EC. Accountable Actions undertaken in 2013/14 No Accountable Actions were undertaken in 2013/14. A summary of each of the Goulburn Broken programs is provided below. Groundwater and Salinity Management Program Groundwater investigations – No investigations were undertaken. Shallow groundwater pumps – No new private pumps were completed. Surface Water Management Program: Primary surface water management systems – No drains were constructed or commissioned. 54 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Community surface water management schemes - No drains were constructed. Significant progress continues to be made in reducing drain outfalls through the implementation of drain management plans and improved farm water management. Over the period from July 2013 to June 2014, there was no change in salinity debits at Morgan, based on estimated salinity impacts from accountable actions in the region. Progressive total of works implemented Estimates of progressive total salinity debits in the Goulburn Broken CMA region, as a result of drainage works implemented in the SIR, are listed below in Table 2-2. The table includes allowances for works implemented prior to July 1991, for which no clear records are available. The progressive uptake of salinity debits in the SIR is 1.42 EC, as shown in Table 2-2. This estimate was calculated using ready reckoners based on the assessment of previous review data (SKM, 2006), and not the current salinity impact found in the MDBA BSMS Register A. Further explanation is provided in Appendix B.1. Due to the limited development of the drainage network and pump infrastructure, as outlined above, the Goulburn Broken CMA did not incur any additional salinity debits in 2013/14 (see Table 2-2). Table 2-2 Progressive total of salinity debits in the SIR to June 2014 Accountable Action components of the Shepparton Salinity Management Plan Salinity debits (EC) Up to 2012/13 Surface Water Management Systems Public Groundwater Pumps Horticultural Sub-surface Drainage -0.58 1.83 0.17 1.42 Total Incurred in 2013/14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 Total to 2013/14 -0.58 1.83 0.17 1.42 There were no opportunities to operate the public salinity control pumps during the 2013 winter-spring period due to insufficient flows in the Murray River. 2.5.4 North Central Land and water management plan The Loddon Campaspe Irrigation Region LWMP (NCCMA, 2011) builds on the Loddon Murray LWMP, which combined the five regional salinity management plans (developed during the late 1980s and early 1990s) and regional development strategy, Loddon Murray 2000 Plus. Building on the success of the previous salinity management plans, the scope of land and water management across the Loddon Campaspe Irrigation Region was broadened to address the new challenges and issues facing the regional community. The focus of the plan is to improve the management of land, water and biodiversity across the Loddon Campaspe 55 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report irrigation region. The plan seeks to build the capacity of the region’s individuals and communities to meet many of the natural resource management challenges they will face during the next decade. The LWMP continues to deal with reducing the impact of salinity on the natural assets of the region and identifies salinity management as a priority. The priority projects of surface water management, sustainable agriculture and salt management all contribute to minimising the impact of salinity. This includes the delivery of cost-share incentives for whole farm plans, saline soil rehabilitation, soil salinity surveys and irrigation tailwater re-use systems. The Loddon Campaspe Irrigation Region LWMP was updated and endorsed as a regional investment prospectus in October 2011 to accommodate the contemporary natural resource issues, such as climate change and water reform. The North Central CMA no longer has a formal regional Dryland SMP that specifically addresses the pervasive threat of salinity. Instead, dryland salinity is managed at a local level specific to the immediate protection of discrete environmental assets. Government allocation of salinity credits The Victorian Government allocation of salinity credits to the North Central CMA region is 10.12 EC. This includes a preliminary estimate of 6.5 EC for debits incurred through the GoulburnMurray Water Connections Project and Victorian Mid-Murray Storages. The preliminary estimate will be substantiated once salinity accountability for recovery, transfer and use of water recovery projects is resolved through consultation with the Commonwealth and the Basin states. The allocation of salt credits to the North Central CMA did not change in 2013/14. Accountable Actions undertaken in 2013/14 No Accountable Actions were carried out in the 2013/14 reporting year. The status of North Central CMA region’s Accountable Actions for 2013/14 (see Table 2-4) is based on the MDBA Register as signed off in September 2013. Construction of the Benwell Surface Water Management System (SWMS), designed to provide 4,840 hectares of surface water management in the Loddon Campaspe Irrigation Region, remains partially complete. Full completion will be subject to future funding. Benwell SWMS will become an accountable action once commissioned. 56 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Table 2-3 North Central Accountable Actions in the MDBA Register A MDBA Register A (Accountable Actions) Salinity Debits (EC) Balance as at 30 October 2013 Incurred in 2013/14 Total in 2013/14 Tragowel Plains Drains at 2002 Level 0.20 0.0 0.20 Kerang Lakes/Swan Hill SMP 1.60 0.0 1.60 Campaspe West SMP 0.30 0.0 0.30 Woorinen Irrigation District Excision 0.80 0.0 0.80 TOTAL 2.90 0.0 2.90 2.5.5 Wimmera Land and water management plan Wimmera CMA does not have a LMWP related to irrigation. Salinity management has been directed by the Wimmera Regional Salinity Action Plan (WCMA, 2005). The Wimmera Waterway Strategy was updated in 2013/14 and is due to be signed off by the Minister for Water in 2014/15. This Strategy is an eight-year action plan for managing the values and threats to the region’s rivers, streams, lakes and wetlands. It is intended at a minimum to maintain, and where possible improve waterway condition, and build on a number of existing strategies and plans. It provides the wider community with a targeted, long-term action plan outlining what can be done across the region to secure waterway values for this and future generations. The document strategically aligns with the Wimmera Regional Catchment Strategy 2013-2019 and provides the Action Plan for maintaining and improving rivers, streams and wetlands as natural assets. This strategy also fulfils the Wimmera CMA’s obligations under the Victorian Waterway Management Strategy in terms of developing a new waterway strategy for the region and is a legislated requirement under the Victorian Water Act 1989. In developing the actions, community input, local knowledge and scientific information were used to identify the values, threats and the most effective actions required to maintain and improve priority waterways. Government allocation of salinity credits No salinity credits have been allocated to the Wimmera region. Accountable Actions undertaken in 2012/13 There were no Accountable Actions undertaken in the Wimmera region. Progressive total of works implemented Not applicable. 2.5.6 Victorian Mallee Land and water management plans The Mallee Regional Catchment Strategy received Ministerial endorsement in February 2013. The Mallee Regional Catchment Strategy sets the priorities for the future management 57 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report of land, water and biodiversity in the Mallee and will inform the development of detailed plans to address specific natural resource management (NRM) issues, such as salinity, by protecting and enhancing our natural and cultural landscapes. Irrigation: Salinity management in the irrigation areas of the Victorian Mallee has been guided since the early 1990s by the following three community-driven plans: Nangiloc-Colignan Salinity Management Plan (1991); Sunraysia Salinity Management Plan (1992); and Nyah to the South Australian Border Salinity Management Plan (1993). The Mallee CMA has renewed and merged the three plans into the Victorian Mallee Irrigation Region Land and Water Management Plan, which was endorsed by the Victorian Minister for Water in 2012. The renewed Plan builds upon the successes of previous plans with no major changes to direction of salinity management within the region. Associated with the renewed Plan are two important companion documents: The Mallee Salt Procedures Manual (SKM, 2011) – This manual complements the Manual for Victoria’s Salinity Accountability in the Murray Darling Basin (DSE 2010), providing details on regional salinity management for irrigation areas in the Mallee and describes regional implementation of the BSMS. The Victorian Mallee Irrigation Development Guidelines – The guidelines were renewed in 2010/11 and endorsed by water corporations to better reflect the Ministerial Determinations released in 2007. They include a risk assessment approach which determines when the guidelines are required for redevelopment scenarios. Dryland: The Victorian Soil Health Strategy (VSHS) was endorsed by the Victorian Government July 2012 (DSE 2012) and provides a state-wide framework for the effective management of soils on public and private land for environmental value. Under this framework a regional soil health plan will be developed addressing Mallee specific risks to soil health. One priority identified in the VSHS pertaining to the Mallee region includes salt affected soils that decrease agriculture productivity and leak salt into downstream waterways. Mallee Waterway Strategy: The Draft Mallee Waterway Strategy (MWS) 2014-22 was developed in consultation with regional agencies, local communities and stakeholders and was released for public consultation in May 2014. The draft MWS identifies priority waterways in the Mallee, including the Murray River and floodplain wetlands, southern Mallee creeks, and fresh and saline dispersed inland wetlands. Comprehensive work plans have been developed for each waterway to improve water regimes and water quality together with riparian and aquatic habitat. Groundwater monitoring will provide important information in demonstrating positive response of these work plans on waterway health. 58 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report The Draft MWS will be finalised in 2014/15 pending Mallee CMA Board approval and Ministerial endorsement. Government allocation of salinity credits The Victorian Government allocation of salinity credits to the Victorian Mallee increased by 3.29 EC in 2013/14, with the regional total equal to 20.22 EC. Accountable Actions undertaken in 2012/13 The 2013/14 estimation of salinity impact from new irrigation development against the Nyah to the South Australian border was 1.43 EC (Table 2-4). Calculations were undertaken using the methodology described in SKM (2011). A corrected data set of salt loads determined for 2010/11 were forwarded to the MDBA due to reporting inconsistencies identified in the recent five-year review (finalised December 2013). The salt load omission in Reach 2, equated to 8.32 tonnes per year, and is predicted to increase the EC impact for 2010/11 by 0.003 EC (from 0.654 to 0.657 EC). Calculations were undertaken using the methodology described in Appendix C. Table 2-4 Salinity impact of accountable change in AUL in 2013/14 in the Low Impact Zone of the Mallee CMA region EC impact per 1,000 ML Change in AUL (ML) Salinity Impact at Morgan (EC) 2013/14 2013/14 LI 1 - L 1 0.00 15,084 0.000 LI 2 - L 1 0.02 6,194 0.124 LI 3 - L 2 0.05 3,662 0.183 LI 4 - L 3 0.07 86 0.006 LI 5 - L 3 0.10 0 0.000 LI 6 - L 4 0.15 3,852 0.578 LI 7 - L 4 0.20 2,672 0.534 31,550 1.425 Salinity Impact Zone (SIZ) Total Change in AUL Progressive total of works implemented Based on the MDBA BSMS Register A (updated 09/09/2013), the progressive total of salinity debits since 1993 in the Mallee is 14.2 EC (Table 2-5). The salinity impact for Nyah to SA Border SMP – Irrigation Development, based on calculations using the agreed and accredited model (SKM, 2001), should be increased in the order of 1.428 EC to account for irrigation development in 2013/14 (1.425 EC) and corrections to 2010/11 salt loads (0.003 EC) as recommended in the five-year review. This results in a total balance of salinity credit uptake for the Mallee region of 15.628 EC. Aligning MSM-BigMod and the Nyah to SA Border salinity accounting arrangements While the regional Mallee salinity estimates have been calculated using the agreed and accredited model (SKM, 2001) as presented in Table 2-5, it is anticipated that the salinity impact estimate based on MDBA updated ready reckoners for the Nyah to the SA Border 59 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report irrigation development would be 1.88 EC compared to the 1.425 EC calculated using the accredited model. This would result in a higher progressive salinity debit total for the Mallee region in the order of 16.08 EC. This misalignment between the MDBA model and the accredited and agreed model (SKM, 2001) has occurred due to the evolution of the MSM-BigMod model over time. Table 2-5 Mallee summary of salinity credit uptake to 30-June-2014with changes over 2013/14 based on the accredited model Physical salinity (EC at Morgan) Balance on BSMS Register as at 9 September 2013a Change in 2013/14a Balance as at 30 June 2014 Nangiloc-Colignan SMP 0.4 0 0.4 Nyah to SA Border SMP 13.8 1.428 15.228 Mallee Total 14.2 1.428 15.628 a Change in 2013/14 impact for Nyah to SA Border SMP includes 2013/14 irrigation development based on accredited model (SKM, 2001) and corrections to 2010/11 salt loads as recommended in the five-year review 2.6 Redesigning farming systems The partner Governments will coordinate and enhance research and development into new farming and forestry systems that deliver improved control of groundwater recharge in the high rainfall grazing, winter rainfall cropping, and summer rainfall cropping zones. Over and above current programs, the [former] Commission will enhance research and development into new industries based on salinised resources, such as broadacre saltland agronomy, saline aquaculture, and salt harvesting. During the 2013/14 reporting year, the five CMAs within the Victorian Murray-Darling Basin all undertook works to improve farming practices in their regions. 2.6.1 North East Table 2-6 presents a summary of the farm works carried out in the North East CMA region during the 2013/14 reporting year. Note all of the works in Table 2-6 were funded through the North East Regional Catchment Investment Plan and not specifically funded by salinity programs. Table 2-6 Summary of farm works undertaken during the 2013/14 reporting year in the North East CMA region Item Works carried out - Dryland Works carried out - Irrigation Whole Farm Plans N/A 14 Whole Farm Plans (686 ha and 515 ML in water savings) Landforming N/A N/A Reuse Systems N/A N/A Soil Salinity Surveys N/A N/A 60 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Item Works carried out - Dryland Works carried out - Irrigation Irrigation system upgrades N/A This occurs as part of implementing whole farm plans Education activities 20 sustainable agriculture workshops, which attracted 400 land managers relating to over 2100 ha 8 farming entities conducted field trials over 160 ha Four Irrigation field days attracting 45 participants. Three newsletters sent out per annum. 3 SEED days 21 Waterwatch field days 2 improved grazing regime workshops for landholders, with total of 15,185 ha Other Achievements 218 bores monitored 59 stream sites monitored 14 irrigation performance checks (261 ha, 104 ML in water savings) 6 soil monitoring installations and irrigation scheduling tools - 129 ha, 52 ML saved. 5 new Irrigation Development Referral requests. N/A – Activity not undertaken 2.6.2 Goulburn Broken Table 2-7 presents a summary of the farm works undertaken in the Goulburn Broken CMA region during the 2013/14 reporting year. The Farm Water Program Consortium, led by Goulburn Broken CMA, is providing coinvestment opportunities to irrigators in the GMID to achieve water savings by modernising their on-farm irrigation infrastructure. During 2013/14, funding allocated under the Victorian On-Farm Priority Project and the Victorian Farm Modernisation Project has secured in excess of $200 million in State and Commonwealth Government investment into the program. The roll out of the program is progressing well with 379 projects completed to the end of the financial year (Rounds 1 and 2 are now complete). There is an estimated total of 480 onfarm projects to be funded through the program until 2019, which are expected to transfer 30 GL in water savings to the environment. In addition, research and development also continued on the Salt Water Balance Project and the review of the Gravity Irrigation Border Check Irrigation system flow rates (formerly known as the high flow irrigation review)." Table 2-7 Summary of farm works undertaken during the 2013/14 reporting year in the Goulburn Broken CMA region Item Works carried out – Dryland Works carried out – Irrigation Whole Farm Plans NA Whole farm plans on 79 properties covering 8,627 hectares were completed, including 35 ‘revised or modernised’ plans, bringing the total number of whole farm plans under this incentive to 4,247 covering 307,041 hectares or 67.2 per cent of the area covered by a water use licence within the SIR. Landforming N/A An estimated area or 6,671 ha has been landformed during 2013/14. 61 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Item Works carried out – Dryland Works carried out – Irrigation Reuse Systems N/A 64 reuse systems draining 3,840 ha were installed. Soil Salinity Surveys N/A N/A Irrigation system upgrades N/A Education activities N/A 7,330 ha of irrigation systems were improved through the Sustainable Irrigation Program; this included areas laser graded, placed under pressurised irrigation, serviced by reuse systems and/or served by automatic irrigation systems. N/A N/A – Activity not undertaken 2.6.3 North Central Land use in the North Central region is changing rapidly due to highly variable climatic conditions that have been much more prevalent since the mid-1990s. Regional soils continue to be threatened by salinity but susceptibility is increasing due to wind erosion and reduced soil carbon. The altered climate presents enormous challenges for farmers as they struggle to identify and adopt new farming practices to manage the risks associated with climate variability and maintaining agricultural productivity. The North Central CMA is currently undertaking projects that work with regional communities to build knowledge on improved farming practices based on experiences, lessons learnt and success stories. With this knowledge, a plan to achieve enhanced regional viability, agricultural production and environmental sustainability that integrates the pervasive threats of salinity in the catchment will be proposed. Three projects- Farming for Sustainable Soils, Adopting Sustainable Farming Practices, and the Innovative Farming Implementation Plan- are taking an integrated approach of working with farmers, service providers and learning institutions to understand the necessary changes to farming systems to achieve a sustainable future. As each project is considering best practice land and water use, the results from each project will be utilised, as appropriate, to enhance farming systems across the catchment. 62 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Table 2-8 presents a summary of the farm works undertaken in the North Central CMA region during the 2013/14 reporting year which are deliverables of funded projects. It must be noted that works undertaken through private investment or projects that are not managed and reported through the North Central Catchment Management Authority or DEPI cannot be included in this report. It is estimated that there are more privately funded works than funded activities. 63 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Table 2-8 Summary of farm works undertaken during the 2013/14 reporting year in the North Central CMA region Item Works carried out – Irrigation Whole Farm Plans 59 properties surveyed covering 8,614.4 ha completed 64 property management plans (designs) covering 8287.61 ha completed Land forming 2,449.39 ha Reuse Systems 43 irrigation tailwater reuse systems were installed servicing 2792.59 ha Approximately 3,225 ML of water saved annually Soil Salinity Surveys 29 salinity investigations undertaken covering 3,650ha Irrigation system upgrades 68 properties, covering 4,625 ha, undertook irrigation modernisation upgrades through the Farm Water Program Education activities 5 community groups involving about 70 individuals supported Increased social capacity of 30 regional agency representatives 92 irrigator applications were managed for the Farm Water Round 3 Victorian Farm Modernisation Project 9 New Irrigation Guideline referrals received 378 groundwater bores were monitored to continue the understanding of watertable trends. Other Achievements 2.6.4 Wimmera Table 2-9 presents a summary of the farm works undertaken in the Wimmera CMA region during the 2013/14 reporting year. Table 2-9 Summary of farm works undertaken during the 2013/14 reporting year in the Wimmera CMA region Item Works carried out - Dryland Whole Farm Plans N/A Landforming N/A Reuse Systems N/A Soil Salinity Surveys N/A Irrigation system upgrades N/A Education activities Mentoring activities involving 30 farmers in the Vectis, Rupanyup, Nhill and Murtoa districts. A total of 151 landholders attended soils management training and awareness events, involving discussion related to salinity. Perennial Pasture Systems group support educated 104 enterprises covering 112,000ha in the Upper Wimmera catchment. Other Achievements N/A N/A – Activity not undertaken 64 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 2.6.5 Victorian Mallee Research and development to improve farming systems in the Mallee CMA includes: Irrigation incentives offered in 2013/14 continue to encourage growers to improve water use efficiency. Demand for irrigation incentives exceeded the available funds with irrigators seeking to re-invigorate land after an extended dry period prior to 2010. The irrigation incentives program targeting ‘historical irrigation’ resulted in the development and implementation of irrigation drainage management plans covering 26 hectares, irrigation system checks on 1260 hectares, system upgrades on 37 hectares and 194 hectares of improved irrigation management through the installation of modern scheduling equipment. On-ground research and demonstration trials were established in 2013/14 to identify and promote dryland farming systems and management practices, which will deliver improved control of groundwater recharge in the region including investigations on: - growth and forage potential of perennial shrubs in alternative grazing systems; - benefits of incorporating break crops into no-till cropping systems; and - weed management strategies for sustained no-till cropping systems. Table 2-10 presents a summary of farm works undertaken during the 2013/14 reporting year in the Mallee CMA region. Table 2-10 Summary of farm works undertaken during 2013/14 reporting year in the Mallee CMA region Item Works carried out - Dryland Works carried out – Irrigation Whole Farm Plans 31 participants in the EMAP program (managing 67,103 ha) developed Environmental Plans and associated Action plans for their properties. Case management and training support was provided to 464 ‘EMAP graduates’ (managing 1,100,000 ha) to facilitate the implementation of priority actions/works identified in Environmental Plans. Irrigation drainage management plans were developed for 228 hectares and implemented, pertaining to both historic and new developments. Water use efficiency farm plans were developed encompassing 6,089 hectares across the region. . Landforming N/A N/A Reuse Systems N/A N/A Soil Salinity Surveys N/A N/A Irrigation system upgrades N/A 65 With the aid of irrigation incentives, 6 growers have upgraded irrigation systems covering 37 hectares, while 15 growers improved irrigation Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Item Works carried out - Dryland Works carried out – Irrigation management through the installation of modern scheduling equipment covering 194 hectares. Education activities Other Achievements Workshops, field walks and case management support delivered to facilitate the development of skills / knowledge required for implementation of alternative land use options. Delivery of tenders to private land managers Provision of grants to community groups, together with technical support, to implement salinity control works. 19 Landcare groups reviewed and renewed landscape scale Environmental Plans and associated Action Plans for the identification of threat mitigation works. Four irrigation training courses targeting Mallee irrigators were held involving 39 participants and one field day. N/A – Activity not undertaken 2.7 Targeting reforestation and vegetation management The partner Governments recognise the necessity for landscape change specifically targeted at salinity control. In order to facilitate such targeted change, where changed farming systems are not adequate, the [former] Commission will further develop the concept of a vegetation bank to have the capacity to finance extension of forestry outside of traditional forestry areas. The partner Governments will further consider the financing of native vegetation management, rehabilitation and land stewardship, and the commercialisation of short rotation tree crops, particularly for the wheatbelt. During the 2013/14 reporting year, the North East, Goulburn Broken, Wimmera and Mallee CMAs within the Victorian Murray-Darling Basin undertook reforestation and revegetation works for dryland salinity management in their regions. Based on State funding alone, approximately 2,000 ha of revegetation was established within the Basin catchments during 2013/14. 2.7.1 North East Table 2-11 is a summary of reforestation and revegetation management works undertaken in the North East CMA region during the 2013/14 reporting year, and target works for the 2014/15 reporting year. 66 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Table 2-11 Reforestation and revegetation for dryland salinity management in the North East CMA region Salinity Management Activity 2013/14 Implementation 2014/15 Target Native Vegetation Protected (by physical works and/or covenants) 327 ha 385 ha High Density Tree Establishment N/A N/A Low Density Tree Establishment N/A N/A Perennial Pasture Establishment N/A N/A Lucerne Establishment N/A N/A Improved Cropping Practices N/A N/A 15,185 ha 2,000 ha Native Vegetation Re-establishment 55 ha 15 ha Salt Tolerant Pastures Establishment N/A N/A Recharge Management Improved Grazing Regime Discharge Management N/A – Activity not undertaken 2.7.2 Goulburn Broken Table 2-12 is a summary of reforestation and revegetation management works undertaken in the Goulburn Broken CMA region during the 2013/14 reporting year, and target works for the 2014/15 reporting year. Table 2-12 Reforestation and revegetation for dryland salinity management in the Goulburn Broken CMA region Salinity Management Activity 2013/14 Implementation 2014/15 Target 1,219 ha 565 ha Low Density Tree Establishment 1,211 ha N/A 778 ha N/A Perennial Pasture Establishment N/A N/A Lucerne Establishment N/A N/A Improved Cropping Practices N/A N/A Native Vegetation Re-establishment N/A N/A Salt Tolerant Pastures Establishment N/A N/A Engineering Works (e.g. groundwater pumping) N/A N/A Recharge Management Native Vegetation Protected (by physical works and/or covenants) High Density Tree Establishment Discharge Management N/A – Activity not undertaken 67 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 2.7.3 North Central There were no reforestation or revegetation activities completed in 2013/14 specifically contributing to salinity management in the North Central CMA region as there is no longer a dryland salinity management plan for the region. Priority asset project works are undertaken as an integrated approach to restore or enhance a given asset. 2.7.4 Wimmera Table 2-13 is a summary of reforestation and revegetation management works undertaken in the Wimmera CMA region during the 2013/14 reporting year, and target works for 2014/15. Table 2-13 Reforestation and revegetation for dryland salinity management in the Wimmera CMA region Salinity Management Activity 2013/14 Implementation 2014/15 Target Native Vegetation Protected (by physical works and/or covenants) N/A N/A High Density Tree Establishment N/A N/A Recharge Management Low Density Tree Establishment 18,000 trees planted on four private properties (30 ha) through Project Hindmarsh 150 people helped revegetate 12 ha at the Yarrilinks community planting weekend. Project Platypus revegetated 165 ha. Approximately 30,000 trees, mid-storey and under-storey plants Perennial Pasture Establishment N/A N/A Lucerne Establishment N/A N/A Improved Cropping Practices The North West Land Health Project involved 244 landholders and 36 service providers to undertake farm planning, workshops, and field days, to improve cropping practices over 650 ha. N/A Discharge Management Native Vegetation Reestablishment N/A Salt Tolerant Pastures Establishment N/A Engineering Works (e.g. groundwater pumping) N/A N/A – Activity not undertaken 68 N/A Approximately 50 ha of private land N/A Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 2.7.5 Victorian Mallee Groundwater recharge is the key process that affects salt mobilisation and salt accumulation in the Mallee dryland. Changes to land use, or climate, leads to a change in root zone drainage and groundwater recharge. Continued below average rainfall and high summer temperatures marked the beginning of the 2013/14 season in the Victorian Mallee. This may have impacted on the crop biomass and therefore effective ground cover protection over summer months. Generally, reduced soil moisture levels resulted in cereals being favoured over canola, although this may have also been influenced by widespread canola establishment failures in the previous season. During April 2014 some of the highest rainfalls in over 30 years were experienced and this allowed farmers to complete cereal sowing (ABARES, 2013 and 2014). An annual land management survey is undertaken across the Mallee region to monitor changes in dryland practices. Further information on this monitoring program is provided in Section 2.9.1. Table 2-14 is a summary of reforestation and revegetation management works undertaken in the Mallee CMA region during the 2013/14 reporting year, and target works for the 2014/15 reporting year. Table 2-14 Reforestation and revegetation for dryland salinity management in the Mallee CMA region Salinity Management Activity 2013/14 Implementation 2014/15 Target Native Vegetation Protected (by physical works and/or covenants) 35,546 ha 29,544 ha High Density Tree Establishment N/A N/A Low Density Tree Establishment 544 ha 150 ha Perennial Pasture Establishment N/A N/A Lucerne Establishment N/A N/A 62,888 ha 56,600 ha Native Vegetation Re-establishment N/A N/A Salt Tolerant Pastures Establishment 0 ha 136 ha Engineering Works (e.g. groundwater pumping) N/A – Activity not undertaken N/A N/A Recharge Management Improved Cropping Practices Discharge Management 69 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 2.8 Constructing salt interception works The [former] Commission will construct and operate new joint (partner Government funded) salt interception works to protect Basin-wide assets and values, including the shared water resources of the Murray and Darling Rivers. This will provide protection beyond the benefits from simply meeting end-of-valley targets, based upon agreed cost sharing and benefit allocation principles. The benefits will continue to include salt disposal entitlements to offset the impacts of future actions that aggravate salinity. Victoria continues to support the BSMS Strategy through the operation, investigation and construction aspects of salt interception programs. However it should be noted that with the implementation of the Basin Plan a considerable volume of water is becoming available for environmental flows and this will have a significant long-term dilution benefit for the River. Current SIS capacity may be surplus to requirements and MDBA is looking at opportunities to save costs through reducing the size of the current SIS program. 2.8.1 Operations A summary of Victoria’s salt interception works is provided below and in Table 2-15. Barr Creek Drainage Diversion Scheme: The Barr Creek Drainage Diversion Scheme has once again been effective in reducing base salt loads in the Murray River by diverting drainage flows and intercepted saline groundwater from the Barr Creek catchment to the Tutchewop Disposal Basins. The 2013/14 period has seen the scheme operate according to the agreed rules, diverting 5,486 ML of drainage water containing approximately 24,165 tonnes of salt to the disposal basins. Mildura-Merbein Salt Interception Scheme: The original Mildura-Merbein SIS was built in the 1970s and 1980 to intercept groundwater discharge to the Murray River caused by local groundwater mounds that developed as a result of irrigation practices and associated drainage water management practices. This scheme was officially decommissioned in 2012. Mildura-Merbein SIS has now been refurbished, and will commence operation in 2014/15 (see section 2.8.2 for details of the refurbishment). Pyramid Creek Groundwater Interception Scheme: The Pyramid Creek Groundwater Interception Scheme intercepts saline groundwater that would have otherwise discharged to the Pyramid Creek. Previously this salt caused significant negative impacts upon the North Central Region’s agricultural production, the environmental attributes of the Ramsar listed Kerang Lakes, and downstream Murray River water users. 1,155 ML of groundwater with a corresponding salt load of 29,241 tonnes was intercepted in 2013/14. These flows were diverted to constructed drainage basins from which salt is harvested by a private operator. 70 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Table 2-15 Summary of Victorian Salt Interception Schemes Salt Interception Scheme Volume Pumped (ML) 1,155 5,486 0 Pyramid Creek Barr Creek Mildura-Merbein 2.8.2 Salt Load Diverted (Tonnes) 29,241 24,165 0 Average Salinity (EC) µS/cm) 40,971 7,003 0 Construction Mildura-Merbein Salt Interception Scheme Refurbishment The proposed refurbishment of Mildura-Merbein was to be constructed in two stages and involved the expansion of the SIS with the construction of 17 bores. The stage one proposal was restructured, with the aim of having a functioning system that will meet Victoria’s and the Commonwealth’s current salinity reduction obligations. This work has been completed, with activities undertaken in 2013/14 resulting in the: completion of the construction of the interception scheme, including nine production bores; refurbishment of the Lake Ranfurly West pump station (with new pump); outfall of the disposal main into Lake Ranfurly (and pumping of groundwater to the Wargan Basins); and commissioning of the scheme. Nine of the bore investigation sites will be developed into fully operational pump bores and This configuration will become the “revised” scheme until further decisions are made on funding and disposal. 2.9 Basin-wide accountability The partner Governments will demonstrate accountability by reporting to the [former] Commission and Council through State end-of-valley Report Cards and [the former] Commission Salinity Registers that record the salinity effects of actions, including salt interception schemes and salinity and catchment management plans. The Council will receive audits every five years for each valley and [the former] Commission Register entry, assessing impacts on river salinity and progress towards targets, with the provision to require further action as necessary. 2.9.1 Monitoring The groundwater bore monitoring network established by DEPI in the mid-1980s continues to be an important source of long-term groundwater data for the region and is used to inform policy and program development. For example, DEPI integrates the data into landholder extension packages delivered across the catchment. 71 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report All regions continue to invest in groundwater and surface water monitoring. However, adjustments to monitoring programs have been made across the State, to reflect the reduced funding (cessation of the National Action Plan for Salinity and Water Quality) and changing management arrangements (the new role of the Bureau of Meteorology). North Central and Goulburn Broken CMAs have completed a strategic review and rationalised their monitoring networks. The outcomes of the review will input into Victoria’s development of a monitoring program to support the implementation of the Murray-Darling Basin Plan. In 2013/14, Victoria invested approximately $2.7 million through DEPI on programs within the Murray-Darling Basin dryland areas to monitor, model and analyse groundwater and salinity trends, undertake research and investigations into dryland salinity, provide extension and training to landholders, and support on-ground works. This funding went to state and regional agencies, universities, landcare groups and landholders. North East The groundwater bore monitoring network established by the then Department of Primary Industries (DPI) in the mid 1980’s continues to be an important source of long term groundwater data for the region. The data is integrated into landholder extension packages delivered across the catchment and also to inform policy and program development. There are 18 bores monitored monthly and 200 bores are monitored quarterly. In addition, surface water monitoring is undertaken at 59 stream sites. The data is used to gain a regional perspective of the regions surface water salinity and is used to target areas for on-ground works. Goulburn Broken Regional surface water and groundwater monitoring across the region continued. Within the SIR 17 surface drainage sites and around 1,600 shallow groundwater bores are monitored. Water monitoring within the Goulburn Broken region is adaptive and is managed in response to climatic conditions and changing needs. Systems have been developed to utilise the monitoring information collected to adaptively manage mitigation activities. For example the operation of the Public Salinity Control groundwater pumps, which are a component of the Shepparton Salinity Management Plan Register A entry The monitoring is also being used to assess the salinity impacts from modernising the Goulburn-Murray Irrigation District. North Central Regional surface water and groundwater monitoring across the region continued. In the Loddon-Campaspe Irrigation Region of northern Victoria, data was collected from 378 groundwater bores and 26 surface water monitoring sites across the region. The data obtained from these sites feed into the BSMS modelling process. Wimmera Wimmera CMA conducts regular water quality monitoring at 26 long-term monitoring locations through the catchment. Further hydrologic data and continuous electrical conductivity data is derived though the Authorities participation in the Northern Monitoring 72 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Partnership. Wimmera CMA also conducts groundwater monitoring throughout the catchment and analyses groundwater level trends annually. The cumulative impacts of the various threats facing the Wimmera River are most keenly felt as the river winds its way to its terminal lakes, Hindmarsh and Albacutya. Water quality is typically very poor, whether due to erosion and salinity issues upstream or from saline groundwater intrusions into the river channel itself. Streamflows are crucial in terms of diluting the salt and nutrients in the water as well as providing sufficient volumes to fill the terminal lakes. Monitoring of streamflow and salinity data through the Wimmera catchment provides ongoing information to better understand the nature of potential impacts. Complementing Wimmera CMA monitoring, Jeparit Waterwatch has been in existence for well over a decade and the long record of water quality monitoring tells a important story that supplements the formal monitoring program. Poor water quality readings were measured during the drought, when salinity levels were talked about in terms of multiples of seawater salinity. These high salinity levels are too high to support a diverse fish population, with only a few species of very hardy macro-invertebrates able to persist. More recently, improved salinity levels have been observed as a result of wetter conditions and increased environmental water releases. Despite this, water quality will continue to be an issue, and ongoing monitoring is an important management tool. Victorian Mallee The Mallee continues to monitor the salinity of ground water and depths below ground surface together with irrigation drainage water salinity and drain flows through established monitoring programs that inform Mallee CMA program objectives, one of which is meeting BSMS obligations. Eleven data loggers, installed in response to the high rainfall event experienced in 2010/11 continued to monitor strategic groundwater bores in the irrigation/floodplain and dryland areas. These loggers aim to better distinguish irrigation-induced groundwater responses from those of rainfall. This will assist in gaining a better understanding of the salt mobilisation process and inform future reviews of the Eastern Mallee models and RISI credit claim. Significant local investment has been made to repair and upgrade irrigation drainage monitoring sites to ensure on-going high quality data collection to inform future BSMS fiveyear reviews. This includes a repairs and maintenance program initiated in partnership between Mallee CMA and LMW for a number of sites that support BSMS accountable actions such as the Mallee Drainage Bore Decommissioning & re-use scheme. Telemetry units have been installed at target irrigation drainage sites to assist with real-time operation of these diversion schemes. These sites have been included in the state regional water quality monitoring partnership contract now totalling 21 continuously monitored sites in the Mallee. 73 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Annual land management survey of Mallee dryland Monitoring annual change in dryland practice provides an indication of potential change in groundwater recharge. The soil erosion and land management survey undertaken in spring 2012 by the Department of Primary Industries (DPI; Drendel 2012) showed a higher percentage (16.3 per cent) of sites in chemical fallow compared to the previous five years. During these previous five years, chemical fallow during spring was consistently recorded at less than 10 per cent of sites. There has also been an increase in the number of sites sown to legumes or oil seeds. The percentage of sites sown to cereal crops was at a six-year-low of only 43 per cent compared with the previous six years which had>60 per cent of sites being sown to cereals. Future monitoring will determine if this observation is due to seasonal influences or a long-term change in management practice (Drendel, 2012). Environmental watering of Psyche Bend Lagoon and Woorlong Wetlands Commonwealth and State government funding delivered environmental water in April 2014 as part of a three year watering project to target floodplain areas within Woorlong Wetland and Psyche Bend Lagoon. Environmental objectives for this watering activity include: refreshing lagoon waters; improving vegetation health of surrounding Black Box community; and improving water quality and opportunity for Murray Hardyhead relocation for Psyche Bend Lagoon. As Psyche Bend is the subject of an existing accountable action, a preliminary salinity impact assessment was undertaken before the watering event occurred in order to model and predict the potential saline discharge response in the river as a result of the environmental watering activity. The assessment considered both long term impacts as defined under the Basin Salinity Management Strategy (BSMS) as well as Basin Plan salinity operation targets. Because the environmental watering activity proposed to discharge saline water from the lagoon an operation plan was developed in consultation with key stakeholders to describe control measures that would be employed to minimise the impact on downstream users during the event. These protocols were supported with the formation of a discharge operations group (DOG) with representation from key stakeholders include MDBA river operations, water authorities and NSW and South Australian government agencies. The intention of this group was to provide a formal feedback mechanism between stakeholders providing daily information on river flows and river salinity response, to inform the discharge operations. An extensive monitoring program was implemented prior to the event and collected baseline information to compare against surface water and groundwater response during the event. This data will be used to quantify the tonnes of salinity exported from Psyche Bend Lagoon as a result of the environmental watering activity as previously done for flushing events in high river scenarios. This information will inform the five-year review of the BSMS Psyche Bend Drainage Disposal Accountable Action scheduled for 2015/16. 74 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 2.9.2 Salinity registers North Central Stage 2 of the Kerang Lakes REALM Model upgrade project was progressed. A project will commence in 2014/15 to use the updated model to simulate the operation of the Victorian Mid-Murray Storage and estimate salinity within the Torrumbarry system and in the Murray River. The upgraded version Kerang Lakes REALM model will be submitted to the MDBA for consideration as fit-for-purpose for use in the assessment of a new accountable action incorporating the operation of the Mid Murray Storages. Initial investigations into projects covered by the Murray Darling Basin Sustainable Diversion Limit offset program began in 2013/14. Three projects in the North Central region covering the upper Gunbower Forest and the Benwell and Guttrum Forests have been initiated with detailed designs for environment infrastructure works and measures to be developed by the end of the 2014 calendar year. The potential salinity impacts of these projects are being investigated and assessed as part of the business cases. If these projects do cause a Murray River salinity impact then there needs to be coverage provided by the responsible authority for these salinity impacts. The North Central CMA worked closely with Goulburn-Murray Water Connections project to identify irrigation modernisation options to achieve best possible economic, social and environmental outcomes in the current context. Salinity issues have been specifically addressed through a multi-agency working group that has identified, and is working through, options to address salinity impacts resulting from irrigation modernisation across northern Victoria. Goulburn Broken In 2013/14, the Goulburn Broken CMA continued to work closely with the North Central CMA and the Goulburn-Murray Water Connections project as part of the multi-agency working group, STAC. The working group addresses and works through salinity issues associated with irrigation modernisation in northern Victoria, such as the impacts of disposal of surface and groundwater back into modernised irrigation channels, which is an ongoing and significant issue for the Goulburn Broken region. In 2014/15, the preliminary salinity assessments for the Goulburn-Murray Water Connections Project - Stage 1 and Stage 2 will be revised to incorporate the current level of implementation of the project. More detailed assessments of the project's salinity impacts will be undertaken in conjunction with five-year reviews of existing State accountable actions, including the next five-year review of the Shepparton Salinity Management Plan, due in 2016. Victoria will continue to work toward providing a comprehensive assessment of the salinity impacts of the Connections Project, and working with the States and Commonwealth on resolving how to account for salinity impacts associated with the Basin Plan. 75 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Victorian Mallee The Mallee CMA together with Lower Murray Water and DEPI improved the accounting methodology for salinity reporting and progressed on investigations into potential future accountable actions as follows: AUL application reports are now a routine report generated from the Victorian Water Register. Improved functionality within the VWR provides a running tally of AUL issued for each SIZ enabling real-time tracking by water corporations. Improvements to the VWR and new business rules have streamlined the reporting process by identifying only those applications that result in a change to AUL or SIZ. This significantly reduces the number of transactions required to be reviewed during the reporting process. The methodology to identify accountable increases and decreases in WUL-AUL and generate salinity impact estimations for 2013/14 is the same a previously applied (SKM, 2011). The Mallee regional salt register has been updated with revised salinity impact calculations and associated documentation to June 2014. A business case for additional salinity credits associated with modelled salinity benefits from improved irrigation practices within the Karadoc/Mallee Cliffs region was prepared and submitted to the MDBA for approval and inclusion into the BSMS Register. As with the original Reduced Irrigation Salinity Impact (RISI) claim (5.2 EC for Victoria 2010), the business case was developed as a joint credit claim in collaboration with NSW. The salinity benefit has been quantified through the refinement of the Eastern Mallee (EM) model and equates to an additional -4.7 EC of salinity benefit to Victoria (3.7 EC benefit for NSW). The salinity credit claim will provide capacity to meet Victoria’s regional development needs, including the Nyah to the South Australian Border Salinity Management Plan. Initial investigations were undertaken in 2013/14 into projects covered by the Murray Darling Basin Sustainable Diversion Limit offset program. Three works and measures proposals in the North Central CMA region and seven works and measures in the Mallee CMA are being developed, with potential salinity impacts being investigated as a part of the business cases. The final package of works and measures will be considered for approval to further develop detailed designs in 2015. 2.9.3 Five-year reviews Table 2-16 is a summary of the status of rolling five-year reviews of Victorian State Accountable Actions as stated on the BSMS Register A as at 9 September 2013. This table also includes a summary of review activities undertaken in the 2013/14 and/or due to be undertaken in the 2014/15 reporting period. 76 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Table 2-16 Status of BSMS Register A rolling five-year reviews of Victorian State Accountable Actions in 2013/14 Last Review Review Due Barr Creek Catchment Strategy 2013 2018 Review not due until 2018. Tragowel Plains Drains at 2002 level 2013 2018 Review not due until 2018. Shepparton SMP 2008 2016 Victoria requested to delay the review until 2016. Nangiloc-Colignan SMP 2013 2018 Review not due until 2018. Nyah to SA Border SMP - Irrigation Development 2013 2018 Review completed and endorsed February 2014. Victorian State works and measures Status Kerang Lakes/Swan Hill SMP 2010 2015 This 5-year review is due to commence in 2014/15 and will be considered alongside the assessment of the new Mid-Murray Storages Register A entry. Campaspe West SMP 2010 2015 Review due in 2015. Psyche Bend 2011 2016 Review not due until 2016. Permanent Trade Accounting Adjustment - Victoria to SA 2005 N/A One off adjustment. Five-year review not required. Woorinen Irrigation District Excision 2010 2015 This 5-year review is due to commence in 2014/15 and will be considered alongside the assessment of the new Mid-Murray Storages Register A entry. Mallee Drainage Bore Decommissioning 2013 2018 Review not due until 2018. Sunraysia Drains Drying up 2011 2016 Review not due until 2016. Lamberts Swamp 2011 2016 Review not due until 2016. Church’s Cut Decommissioning 2010 2015 Review not due until 2015. RISI-- Stage 1 Vic 2010 2015 Review due to commence in 2014/15. Goulburn Broken In 2011/12 Victoria applied to the MDBA to extend the next Register A five-year review of the Shepparton SMP, due in 2013, until 2016 based on the following reasons: unresolved tailwater accounting – Victoria and NSW are due to begin work on the Irrigation Salinity Accountability Framework, which will address inconsistencies in tailwater accounting between the States; large scale footprint change in catchment conditions due to modernisation – accredited models will need to be revised to capture irrigation system reconfiguration however, supply system modernisation will not be complete until 2018; and the Shepparton SMP is recorded on Register A as a low risk entry. 77 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Victorian Mallee Recommendations from five-year reviews undertaken in 2012/13 were further progressed in 2013/14 in consideration of the MDBA Independent Peer Review (IPR). The three BSMS Register A entries under review in 2012/13 relevant to the Mallee included: 1) Nangiloc-Colignan (NC) Salinity Management Plan (SMP); 2) Mallee Drainage Bore Decommissioning; and 3) Nyah to SA Border SMP. Nangiloc-Colignan SMP: The IPR deemed the five-year review to be “fit for purpose” and supported the recommendations therein. Victoria provided to MDBA the time series of drain flow and salinity to the Murray River for 1988 at the current levels of development. This data for the ‘Nangiloc-Colignan Salinity Management Plan’ Accountable Action was run through MSM-BIGMOD during the update of the MDBA Register A (September 2013). The Register entry remains without change with a salinity impact of 0.4 EC and a confidence rating of “high”. Mallee Drainage Bore Decommissioning Register Entry: The IPR recommended to reset this item to 0.0 EC, due to the absence of monitored drain flow data to support the original claim. However the Basin Salinity Management Advisory Panel (BSMAP) recommended that the Mallee Drainage Bore Decommissioning credit item remain in Register A at -0.2 EC with changes to the entry being “provisional” and “low confidence”. Recommendations from the five-year review to re-instate the monitoring equipment for the reuse systems constructed as part of the bore drainage decommissioning have been enacted with five additional continuously monitored stations incorporated (June 2014) into the Northern Regional Water Quality monitoring partnership. The partnership is managed under contract with the DEPI. Lower Murray Water has also consulted with reuse owners to reestablish these arrangements. This will provide reliable drainage data to aid future five-year review assessments to confirm the salinity impact of the re-use schemes. Nyah to SA Border SMP: The five-year review for Nyah to SA Border SMP was completed in December 2013. Results showed that the analytical model and salinity impact zoning approach provides a conservative estimate of salt loads for two of the six numerical groundwater models employed to cross check the analytical approach. A minor error was identified in the calculation of salt loads for 2010/11. A correction was forwarded to the MDBA on submission of the five-year review report to enable the MDBA Register entry to be amended accordingly. The IPR deemed the five-year review to be “fit for purpose” and supported the findings and recommendations. The IPR further recommended a range of additional modelling tasks to confirm the acceptability of the full suite of numerical models developed for the purpose of quantifying the impacts of irrigation development. The IPR also 78 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report recommended that the confidence rating of the Register A entry for this Accountable Action be amended to “medium”, and that the following note be inserted in the Register A comments: "There is high confidence that the quantum of the debit entry signifies the upper bound of the salinity impact caused by this action". The BSMAP meeting (February 2014) endorsed this recommendation. The recommended changes to the MDBA BSMS Register A are yet to be enacted as the annual update process was finalised before the five-year review was completed. The additional model refinement tasks are scheduled to be undertaken in 2014/15. Register B Five-Year Reviews Victoria is up-to-date with Register B five-year reviews. Five-year reviews of the Victoria Mallee Legacy of History—Dryland and Victoria Mallee Legacy of History—Irrigation entries are scheduled to commence in 2014/15. 79 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 3 Valley report cards This Chapter provides salinity and flow information for the 2013/14 reporting year, for each Victorian valley for which an end-of-valley target (EOVT) has been adopted. 3.1 Introduction The BSMS annual reporting requirements are outlined in Schedule B to the Murray-Darling Basin Agreement and also the BSMS Operational Protocols Version 2.0 (MDBC, 2005). Each year, a Valley Report must be prepared for each valley for which an EOVT has been adopted. Table 3-1 compares Annual Valley Report card content and content provided in this annual report. Table 3-1 Annual Valley Report card content (as per the Operational Protocols, MDBC, 2005, p. 47) and content provided in this annual report Annual Valley Report card content Content provided in this Annual Report End-of-valley salinity assessed salt load and flow regimes under baseline conditions and modelled over the benchmark period. End-of-valley salinity assessed salt load and flow regimes under baseline conditions are reported in Table 2-1(in Section 2.3 – Setting salinity targets). A description of expected delayed salinity impacts on salinity, salt loads and flow and the EOVT site for the years 2015, 2050 and 2100, assuming that the land and water management regime as at 1-Jan-2000 continues indefinitely into the future. See Section 2.3 for information on the status of EOVT review. See Section 2.9.3 for status of delayed salinity impacts five-year review. The agreed EOVT for salinity and salt load. The agreed EOVT for salinity and salt load are also reported in Table 2-1(in Section 2.3 – Setting salinity targets). A report on the progress achieved in the implementation of the Program of Actions designed to meet the adopted EOVT. Not available. See Section 2.3. Details of any reviews that have taken place during the year. The last review of Victoria’s EOVT was conducted in 2011. Victoria’s EOVT are due for review, however Victoria does not intend to commence this process until the new salinity strategy (BSM2030) and the parallel process to review and update Schedule B has been completed. The need to reconsider the future role of state EOVTs was raised in the General Review of Salinity Management (Section 2.3.1) as a matter to be addressed as part of the development of BSM2030 during 2014/15. The role of EOVTs will need to be considered in the context of Basin Plan policy, the development of 80 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Annual Valley Report card content Content provided in this Annual Report regional water resource plans, and the need to mitigate the effects of salinity on local assets. 3.2 Recorded stream salinities in 2013/14 Salinity and salt loads in 2013/14 at EOVT sites were compared to salinity targets, which are assessed over the benchmark period. The available information (presented in Table 3-2 and Figure 3-1 to Figure 3-8) indicates that the median salinity in the Ovens, Kiewa, Goulburn, Broken, Loddon and Wimmera was below the end-of-valley median target during the 2013/14 reporting year. The median salinity for the Campaspe River was slightly above the median target for 2013/14. The streamflow and salinity data for some of these rivers was incomplete due to conditions outside of the instrumentation threshold, interference to monitoring infrastructure and faulty instrumentation. These periods of poor quality data were typically of short duration and were infilled using interpolation techniques. However, at the Avoca EOVT reporting site there were extended periods with little or no flow. It is not possible to monitor salinity levels during these cease to flow periods, and it can be concluded that the total salt load from the Avoca River to the Murray River was low given the low flows. Salt loads for Kiewa, Ovens and Wimmera rivers (t/yr) were below the median target for 2013/14. Median salinity levels in the Ovens and Wimmera have declined compared to 2012/13 observations. The salt loads for the Ovens, Goulburn, Broken, Loddon, Campaspe and Wimmera declined compared to 2012/13, reflecting the combined influence of salinity and flow conditions on this metric. 81 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Table 3-2 Compliance against end-of-valley targets in the 2013/14 reporting period End-of-Valley Targets (as absolute value) Region Valley Reporting site AWRC Site Number Salinity (EC µS/cm) 2013/14 Salinity (EC µS/cm) Salt Load (t/yr) Compliance Salt Load (t/yr) Salt Load7 Salinity (EC µS/cm) Median (50%ile) Peak (80%ile) Mean Median (50%ile) Peak (80%ile) Total Median (50%ile) (t/yr) Peak (80%ile) Total Ovens Ovens River @ Peechelba-East 403241 72 100 54,000 54^ 73^ 39,200^ Compliant Kiewa Kiewa River @ Bandiana 402205 47 55 19,000 40 48 15,300^ Compliant Compliant Compliant Goulburn River @ Goulburn Weir 405259 99 - - 61^ 100^ 30,400^# Compliant - - Broken Broken Creek @ Casey's Weir 404217 141 - - 126## 141## 10,400# Compliant - - Avoca Avoca River @ Quambatook 408203 2,096 - - No data^ No data^ No data^ N/A N/A N/A Loddon Loddon River @ Laanecoorie 407203 711 - - 675^ 799^ 22,700^ - - Campaspe Campaspe River @ Campaspe Weir 406218 412 - - 490^* 511^ 19,100^# Compliant - - Wimmera Wimmera Wimmera River @ Horsham Weir 415200 1,380 1,720 31,000 1,042^ 1,449^ 13,100^ Compliant Compliant Compliant Mallee Vic Mallee Zone River Murray @ Lock 6 426200 +15EEC8 - - North East Goulburn Goulburn Broken North Central Compliant Compliant Compliant ^^ Guide to table: ^ Missing data due to instrument damage or conditions outside of instrumentation threshold- where feasible, data is interpolated using available data for salt load calculations; # Salt load calculated using flow and salinity (EC) from downstream gauging station; ## Salinity data from downstream gauging station; * Salinity slightly above median target, ^^ The target relates to Victoria’s contribution to river salinity throughout the entire Mallee zone. This contribution is assessed using the EM2 model, rather than modelled surface water salinity. 7 8 Where flow and/or EC data is missing, salt load calculations for EOVTs has required interpolation of available data. Equivalent Electrical Conductivity – refer to Basin Salinity Management Strategy Operational Protocols Version 2.0, Murray-Darling Basin Commission, Figure 4, pg 100. 82 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 3.3 Flow and salinity plots Figure 3-1 Available flow and salinity record for Kiewa River @ Bandiana, 1 July 2013 to 30 June 2014 Figure 3-2 Available flow and salinity record for Ovens River @ Peechelba-East, 1 July 2013 to 30 June 2014 83 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Figure 3-3 Available flow and salinity record for Broken Creek @ Casey’s Weir 9, 1 July 2013 to 30 June 2014 Figure 3-4 Available flow and salinity record for Goulburn River @ Goulburn Weir 10, 1 July 2013 to 30 June 2014 9 Broken Creek EOVT site (404217) does not measure EC; EC data was sourced from a downstream gauge (404224). Goulburn River EOVT site (405259) does not measure daily flow. Annual flow data was sourced from a downstream gauge (405200). 10 84 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Figure 3-5 Available flow and salinity record for Avoca River @ Quambatook11, 1 July 2013 to 30 June 2014 Figure 3-6 Available flow and salinity record for Campaspe River @ Campaspe Weir12, 1 July 2013 to 30 June 2014 11 Avoca River EOVT site (408203) does not measure daily salinity. Salinity data was sourced from downstream gauge 408209 at Sandhill Lake Road 12 Campaspe River EOVT site (406218) does not measure daily flow. Flow data was sourced from a downstream gauge (406202). 85 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Figure 3-7 Available flow and salinity record for Loddon River @ Laanecoorie, 1 July 2013 to 30 June 2014 Figure 3-8 Available flow and salinity record for Wimmera River @ Horsham Weir, 1 July 2013 to 30 June 2014 86 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 4 Response to Independent Audit Group Salinity 4.1 Response to the recommendations of the 2012/13 audit Victoria’s responses to the Independent Audit Group (IAG) 2012/13 are documented in Table 4-1. Table 4-1 Victoria’s response to the IAG 2012/13 recommendations IAG Recommendation Victoria’s Response IN ASCENDING ORDER OF PRIORITY Recommendation 1: BSMS Review In regards to the General Review of Salinity Management, the IAG–Salinity considers that the following features should be continued in the future salinity management arrangements: The Basin Salinity Target at Morgan is a target connected to assets at risk and agreed actions are implemented to ensure the target is met. There is a Basin–wide focus for salinity management as a major water quality issue for the Basin. The data and knowledge of the system continually improves and supports good decision making. The knowledge of the system and the models are upgraded every seven years through ‘fit–for– purpose’ model development providing increasing surety about the outcome. The intent of Schedule B in providing the register system is maintained given that it focuses the management of salinity and provides for trade–offs that cater for changing circumstances in each jurisdiction. The SISs provide surety in meeting the salinity target at Morgan. The governance arrangements for the BSMS have worked well i.e. annual reviews, the joint jurisdictional programs and advisory group, the midterm review and the independent audit of the registers and activities. There are areas of the BSMS that could not deliver as originally expected and need further consideration: The upstream EoVT were unrelated to upstream assets and were set as targets relevant to the Morgan target. However, there was little upstream community ownership or agreed management actions in the catchments to achieve those targets. The broad–acre agriculture and re–vegetation elements, while delivering local benefits, have not provided joint outcomes at Basin–scale that could be accounted for at Morgan. Victoria supports this recommendation. The BSMS elements listed in the first part of this recommendation and the coordinated effort by the jurisdictions have clearly contributed toward achieving water and natural resource management objectives for the Basin and should be retained as part of any future salinity management arrangements. Salt Interception Schemes have proven key to meeting the BSMS target at Morgan particularly in low flow conditions. It is important that any decisions about the extent of future SIS capacity is made in full cognisance of the ongoing challenges in meeting water quality objectives under the highly variable flow and groundwater regimes of the Basin. The governance arrangements of the BSMS, including the register and annual reporting process, have provided assurance to the wider community that the jurisdictions are held accountable for assessing, managing and mitigating salinity impacts. Victoria supports the reconsideration of the End-of-valley Target (EoVT) framework as a key issue to be progressed through the General Review and the Schedule B Review during 2014. The EoVT review has highlighted that this aspect of the BSMS was over-emphasised particularly in relation to the original projections of future salinity risk and increasing salt loads emanating from upland catchments. Predictions of the scale of this threat were downgraded during the course of delivering the BSMS as understanding of upland groundwater systems improved. While there is still a need to manage and monitor the salinity threat associated with the uplands, the level of effort should reflect the risk being managed. Furthermore, there is now a better appreciation as to the practicalities and economic feasibility of achieving some of the broad-acre agriculture and re-vegetation elements associated with the EoVT framework under the climatic regimes across the Basin. 87 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report IAG Recommendation Victoria’s Response Recommendation 2: Environmental Water a) Three new register items should be added to the registers with notional values to cover: i. Environmental Water Recovery ii. Use of Water for Environmental Purposes iii. Environmental Works and Measures (covering initially the TLM works). b) The policy principles for environmental watering and use of environmental works should be evaluated through modelled scenarios of salinity and dilution impacts and be undertaken by the Commonwealth Environmental Water Office (CEWO), the Basin States/Territory and the MDBA. c) The Basin–wide plan and policy framework for managing impacts and responsibility for reporting the accountable actions from environmental watering and use of environmental works as required under Schedule B be settled between the Commonwealth, the MDBA and the operating jurisdictions. Victoria supports the establishment of preliminary register entries to capture current understanding of the magnitude and distribution of salinity impacts associated with environmental watering. It is important that the register is maintained to include all accountable actions to enable informed decision-making about salinity management across the Basin. This work will require the resolution of accountability arrangements and agreement as to how both the credits and debits arising from the different actions associated with environmental watering will be allocated. Victoria remains supportive of the second and third parts of this recommendation that were raised in last year’s IAG report. While further policy work and assessment is required to fully represent the impacts of environmental watering on the register, it is important that signatories recognise and are held accountable for actions that they undertake which have may a significant effect on salinity consistent with Schedule B. In addition to long-term salinity impacts, it is also important that the policy framework sets out how the episodic salinity risk associated with individual environmental watering events will be managed. Recommendation 3: Monitoring Reviews a) In reviews of monitoring sites conducted by jurisdictions, the reviews: Need to be made available to the IAG–Salinity. Show they meet the jurisdictional BSMS reporting obligations. Be based on a risk approach to match the management regime for data collection and improvement in models. Adopt a scientific approach to minimise the loss of information content in the monitoring network. b) The agreed protocols for collecting salinity data need to be updated and adopted. c) Queensland has salinity hazards arising from CSG and irrigation and requires a better combined monitoring network if it is to analyse them. Victoria supports items (a) and (b) of this recommendation. Processes and decisions about rationalising monitoring should be transparent and documented to enable external review and should ensure that adequate data continues to be collected to support computer modelling and reviews of salinity impacts. It is also important that investment of public funds in salinity monitoring is proportionate to the magnitude of the risk being managed. A key driver for jurisdictions in reviewing monitoring networks is ensuring monitoring remains targeted. Significant change in the use of water across the landscape is occurring as the irrigation footprint changes and environmental watering is implemented and this is resulting in changes to monitoring networks. Victoria has no comments on item (c) of this recommendation. Recommendation 4: CSG water in Queensland a) Queensland adequately monitors salinity hazards arising through CSG and associated irrigation which will require a better combined monitoring database. b) The potential cumulative impacts of CSG and any associated irrigation in Queensland needs to be assessed to determine if it is a threat to the Basin salinity program. Victoria has no comments on this recommendation. Recommendation 5: End-of-Valley Target a) In the future salinity arrangements, catchment Endof-Valley Targets should be based on requirements of upstream and downstream assets (as detailed in the End–of–Valley Target Review). On this basis targets should be representative of the salinity regime that will impact on the agreed assets, which should not be constrained to the threshold and exceedance percentiles. This will assist in making the link between targets and community driven management of potential asset impacts. b) Salt load requirements should only be required as part of End-of-Valley Targets where they are relevant to assets. Victoria supports consideration of the requirements of upstream and downstream assets as an input to setting Endof-Valley Targets (EoVT). The EoVT Review has made a series of wide-ranging recommendations relevant to both the role and form of the EoVT framework post the current BSMS which include the aspects raised in the above recommendations. The Schedule B Review provides the MDBA and jurisdictions an opportunity to evaluate the recommendations of the EoVT Review in their entirety, as a basis for developing a shared policy position about the application of EoVTs in future salinity management arrangements. 88 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report IAG Recommendation Victoria’s Response Recommendation 6: Outstanding Register Items c) Queensland should provide written evidence to the MDBA of the low salinity risk catchments that will not impact on the Morgan target and do not require any further work to assess them for a register entry. d) Queensland, with the assistance from the MDBA, should undertake an analysis to determine at what level of salinity threat the Border Rivers catchment would need to be to consider it as a significant item for the salinity register purposes. e) NSW should formally advise the Murray–Darling Basin Authority of its schedule for its upcoming salinity register reviews. Not applicable to Victoria. Recommendation 7: Modelling f) By the end of the BSMS, the MDBA should assess how closely the benchmark period matched the 2000– 2015 actual climate (on average), and the magnitude of the difference between recorded and dynamically modelled Morgan salinity. g) A risk-based approach should be applied to model improvement as part of the seven year review process with the principle that further investment in model development should be driven by the salinity risk and the level of data available. h) That priority be given to understanding and modelling physical linkages between river, floodplains and groundwater. Victoria supports the three recommendations on modelling and a risk-based approach to the use of modelling should be clearly articulated in salinity management arrangements post the current BSMS. The Schedule B Review would provide an appropriate opportunity to consider the potential to improve assessment of salinity impacts through extending the benchmark period to reflect the longer record of flow and climatic data which is now available. 89 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report 5 References ABARES (2013), Australian crop report, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences, Canberra, June, CC BY 3.0. ABARES (2014), Australian crop report, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences, Canberra, February, CC BY 3.0. ABS (2010), 4610.0.55.008 - Gross Value of Irrigated Agricultural Production, 2009-2010. ABS (2011), 75030DO002_200910. Value of Agricultural Commodities Produced, Australia, 2009–10. ABS (2012), 4610.0.55.008 - Gross Value of Irrigated Agricultural Production, 2010-11. ABS (2013), 4610.0.55.008 - Gross Value of Irrigated Agricultural Production, 2011-12. AWE (2013), Mallee Groundwater Monitoring 2013. Final report to Mallee Catchment Management Authority, Mildura. BOM (2013), http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/data/. Website accessed 15/08/2013. DEPI (2013) Victorian Resources Online: www.depi.vic.gov.au/vro. DPI (2008), North East Sustainable Irrigation Action Plan (Draft). Victorian Government, Department of Primary Industries for North East Catchment Management Authority. DPI (2009), AVS Mapping the Mallee Saline Land Stage 3, Classifying Mapped Salinity 2009. Victorian Government, Department of Primary Industries. DPI (2012), Goulburn Broken Catchment Legacy of History Salt Impacts, 2011 Register B- Five-year Review, Victorian Government, Department of Primary Industries, Melbourne. Drendel, H. (2012), Mallee Soil Erosion and Land Management Spring 2012. Unpublished report for the Department of Primary Industries, Hopetoun, Victoria. DSE (2009), Northern Region Sustainable Water Strategy. Victorian Government, Department of Sustainability and Environment, Melbourne. DSE (2011), Manual for Victoria’s Salinity Accountability in the Murray Darling Basin. Victorian Government, Department of Sustainability and Environment, Melbourne. DSE (2012), Soil Health Strategy. Protecting Soil Health for Environmental Values on Public and Private Land. Victorian Government, Department of Sustainability and Environment, pp 33. LCC (1987), Report on the Mallee Area Review. Land Conservation Council, pp 465. Mallee CMA (2014), Mallee Irrigation Status report 2013-14. Mallee Catchment Management Authority, Mildura pp32. Mallee CMA (1993), Nyah to the South Australian Border Salinity Management Plan. Mallee Catchment Management Authority. Mallee CMA (2012), Mallee Salinity Workshop Papers. Mallee Catchment Management Authority (http://www.malleecma.vic.gov.au/resources/salinity). MDBA (2013), http://riverdata.mdba.gov.au/sitereports/414203c/mdba_414203c_site_report.html Website accessed 16/08/2013. MDBC (2005), Basin Salinity Management Strategy Operational Protocols Version 2.0. Murray-Darling Basin Commission. MDBMC (1999), The Salinity Audit of the Murray-Darling Basin: A 100 year Perspective, MurrayDarling Basin Ministerial Council. MDBMC (2001), Basin Salinity Management Strategy 2001-2015, Murray-Darling Basin Ministerial Council. MDBMC (2009), Basin Salinity Management Strategy 2007-08 Annual Implementation Report. 90 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Canberra, Murray-Darling Basin Ministerial Council, Murray-Darling Basin Authority. NCCMA (2002), Loddon-Murray Land and Water Management Strategy. North Central Catchment Management Authority, Bendigo. NCCMA (2007), Loddon Campaspe Irrigation Region Land and Water Management Plan. North Central Catchment Management Authority. NCCMA (2011), Loddon Campaspe Irrigation Region Land and Water Management Plan. North Central Catchment Management Authority, Bendigo. NECMA (1997), North East Salinity Strategy. North East Catchment Management Authority. NECMA (2001), Ovens Basin Water Quality Strategy. North East Catchment Management Authority. NECMA (2002), Upper North East Water Quality Strategy. North East Catchment Management Authority. NECMA (2007), North East Salinity Action Plan. North East Catchment Management Authority. NECMA (2009), North East Sustainable Irrigation Action Plan. North East Catchment Management Authority. NECMA (2013), North East Regional Catchment Strategy. North East Catchment Management Authority. NLWRA (2008), National Land and Water Resources Audit. Australian Government (http://www.nlwra.gov.au). NSW Office of Environment and Heritage, DustWatch Report Series, January 2013 – July 2014 Ogyris (2012), Trends in native vegetation condition: an assessment of two long term Mallee environmental datasets. Unpublished report, Mallee Catchment Management Authority. August 2012. REM (2005), Identification of key environmental assets of groundwater threats, Mallee CMA region, Final, Resource and Environmental Management. Mallee Catchment Management Authority. RMCG and Cummins, T (2012), Mallee CMA Operation maintenance and monitoring plans to support Basin Salinity Management Strategy Accountable Actions. Final report for the Mallee Catchment Management Authority, August 2012. RPS Aquaterra (2013), Psyche Bend Lagoon – flushing analysis (2011/2012 events). Final report for the Mallee CMA, March 2013. SKM (2001), Mallee Region Salt Impact of Water Trade. A Proposed Method for Accounting for the EC Impacts of Water Trade in the Victorian Mallee. Final report by Sinclair Knight Merz for Department of Natural Resources and Environment. SKM (2005), End of Valley Salinity Targets for Victoria. Sinclair Knight Merz for the Department of Sustainability and Environment. SKM (2006), Shepparton Irrigation Region Salinity Audit. Audit Report. Final, Sinclair Knight Merz for Goulburn-Murray Water (SKM Job No. WT01910.104). SKM (2008), Reforecast Groundwater Trends in the Mallee Region for 2030 and 2050. Final report to the Mallee Catchment Management Authority, July 2008. SKM (2010a), Dryland Salinity Contribution to the Murray. Refinement of the reforecast groundwater trends in the Mallee region for 2030 and 2050. Final report to the Mallee Catchment Management Authority, December 2010. SKM (2010b), Risk assessment of policy and accounting for assessing salinity impacts in the Mallee. Final report to the Mallee Catchment Management Authority, December 2010. SKM (2011), Victorian Mallee Salt Procedures Manual. Final report for Mallee Catchment Management Authority, May 2011. 91 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report SKM (2013a), Review of Murray Darling Basin End-of-Valley Targets, Phase 1 report, Final report to the Murray Darling Basin Authority, October 2013. SKM (2013b), Review of Murray Darling Basin End-of-Valley Targets, Phase 2 report, Final report to the Murray Darling Basin Authority, October 2013. SPPAC (1989), Shepparton Land and Water Salinity Management Plan. Victorian Government, Salinity Pilot Program Advisory Council. SunRISE 21 (2012), Irrigated Horticulture Crop Report. Final report to the Mallee Catchment Management Authority, July 2012. WCMA (2005), Wimmera Regional Salinity Action Plan 2005-2010. Wimmera Catchment Management Authority, Horsham, Victoria. 92 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Appendix A. Acknowledgements Table 5-1 Key information providers to Victoria’s BSMS Annual Report 2013/14 Region Contact name and organisation North East Natalie Dando North East CMA, Wodonga Goulburn Broken Carl Walters Goulburn Broken CMA, Tatura James Burkitt Goulburn-Murray Water, Tatura North Central Tim Shanahan and Joel Spry North Central CMA, Huntly Wimmera Joel Boyd Wimmera CMA, Horsham Mallee Deidre Jaensch Mallee CMA, Mildura Salt Interception Works Paul Saunders Goulburn-Murray Water, Kerang Land Health Dugal Wallace Anja George Department of Environment and Primary Industries Sustainable Irrigation Maggie Xipolitos and Susan Ryan Department of Environment and Primary Industries 93 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Appendix B. Shepparton Irrigation Region calculation assumptions B.1 Assumptions regarding the progressive total salinity debits The following are comments that should be noted regarding the current MDBA BSMS Register A entry for the Shepparton Salinity Management Plan (SMP) line item: The current Register A entry (MDBA Salinity Register as at 9/9/2013) of 1.4 EC impact represents the level of implementation at 30 June 2008. It does not include impacts of works installed since then. Winter disposal from private groundwater pumps was ceased in 2007 and was endorsed by BSMAP for removal as a component of the Shepparton SMP action in 2011. This reduced the register entry to 1.4 EC based on 2007/08 levels of development. Given that the scenarios used for the 2007/08 levels of development assessment did not allow for a breakdown of the individual activities/components of the SSMP, a proportioning approach was used, as the assumptions used were not changed since the previous fiveyear review. Estimates for the progressive total salinity debits in the Goulburn Broken CMA region presented in this Annual Report were obtained using the ready reckoners determined during the previous SKM (2006) assessment of review data. This assessment indicated that there is a net credit impact due to the installation of primary and community surface drains. The impacts estimated for this Annual Report include the works installed since 30 June 2008. B.2 Assumptions regarding salinity debits by program component Surface-Water Management Schemes – Primary and Community The SKM (2009) data indicates that the surface water management program has an impact of -0.58 EC as at June 2009. This was previously recorded as 0.51 EC prior to the SKM (2006) review. As such, it is now a credit and not a debit. Subsequently salinity credits are allocated to completed works based on an estimated impact of -0.00084 EC per kilometre of primary or community drain constructed. Note that a primary drain only appears on the asset register when ownership is transferred from the CMA to G-MW. Public Groundwater pumps The SKM (2009) data estimated the cost of the public groundwater pumps to be 1.83 EC as at June 2009. The salinity debits created by public groundwater pumps is calculated assuming that 75 per cent of the groundwater pumped ‘in season’ is re-used, and all ‘out of season’ pumping (if river flow flows are sufficient for disposal to occur) reaches the Murray River. 94 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report The salinity debit of the public pump program has been estimated using: The actual flow rate and groundwater salinity for each pump; The estimated proportion of pumped groundwater that reaches the river; and An impact relationship of 1 EC at Morgan for every 5,260 tonnes per year of salt disposed to the river. Private Horticulture Protection Works The SKM (2009) data estimated the cost of the private horticultural protection works to be 0.17 EC as at June 2004. Salt credits are allocated to low yielding private groundwater pumps and tile drainage systems that have been installed for the protection of horticultural crops. Owners pump to the regional drainage system to lower water tables that would otherwise threaten crops. A disposal salt load for each system is calculated based on the estimated volume that needs to be pumped during a wet season and the groundwater salinity. All of the groundwater pumped is assumed to reach the Murray River, and credit uptake is estimated using an impact relationship of 1 EC at Morgan for every 5,700 tonnes per year of salt disposed to the river. NOTE: The cost of the Shepparton program is conservatively estimated at $240,000/EC. 95 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Appendix C. Salinity impact of new irrigation development in the Victorian Mallee Appendix C can be found at http://www.depi.vic.gov.au/rural-water-and-irrigation/salinity 96 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Appendix D. Confidence rating for Register A entries Table D-1 Confidence Rating Approach for Victoria’s Register A entries (see Table D- for explanatory notes) Model Assessment Register Entry Salinity debits* Assessment Method Type &/or Name Model Status Length & Quality of Data Record Confidence in Assumptions Surface Drainage -0.58 Modelling Approved Good High Sub-surface Drainage 2.00 Modelling Simplified Physical Process Model “SIR Salt Disposal Audit Model” Approved Good High Allocated Salinity Credits Last Reviewed Comment Confidence Rating Confidence Rating Impact Low Low Low Low Goulburn Broken CMA 8.9 Sub Total 8.90 1.42 * As recorded on BSMS Register as at 25/09/2014 97 Complete d in 2006/07, relates to 2003/04 Reasonable certainty in magnitude of estimate, and likely to be conservative. An interim review was undertaken in 2011 and the five-year review is now due for submission in 2016. Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Model Assessment Register Entry Allocated Salinity Credits Salinity debits* Assessment Method Type &/or Name Model Status Length & Quality of Data Record Confidence in Assumptions Last Reviewed High 2013 Comment Confidence Rating Confidence Rating Impact High Low High Low High Low High Low North Central CMA Tragowel Plains Drainage Woorinen Irrigation District Excision Kerang Lakes/Swan Hill SMP (Lake Charm Flushing) Campaspe West SMP (Subsurface Drainage & Groundwater Disposal) Sub Total 10.12 Good for flow and salinity, Poor re spatial distribution of changed irrigation water use 0.2 Modelling Multiple Linear Analysis 0.8 Modelling using 25 year Kerang Lakes Model, and Murray River Model Kerang Lakes REALM Model (1975-2000) Approved Good (to Excellent) High 2010 The Kerang Lakes REALM model is being updated to include new operating conditions. The updated model will be used in the next 5-year review. 1.6 Modelling using 25 year Kerang Lakes Model, and Murray River Model Kerang Lakes REALM Model (1975-2000) Approved Excellent High 2010 Refer to Woorinen comments 0.30 Monitoring and inputs into MDBA Murray River Model N/A Approved (MDBA Murray River Model) Excellent High (to Medium) 2010 Approved 2.9 * As recorded on BSMS Register as at 25/09/2014 98 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Model Assessment Register Entry Allocated Salinity Credits Salinity debits* Assessment Method Type &/or Name Model Status Length & Quality of Data Record Confidence in Assumptions Last Reviewed 0.6 - Modelling Constant average salt load Approved Good Medium Sunraysia Drains Drying Up 0 - Modelling Hydrogeolo gical Modelling – Monthly Time Step Approved Good Lamberts Swamp 0 - Modelling Hydrogeolo gical Modelling – Monthly Time Step Approved Reduced Irrigation Salinity Impact 0 - Modelling MODFLOW model Eastern Mallee Model version 2.3 (EM2.3) Mallee Drainage Bore Decommissioning 0 0 Modelling Tol Tol and Bumbang MODFLOW & Boundary Bend – Hydrogeolo gical Modelling Comment Confidence Rating Confidence Rating Impact 2011 Medium Low Medium 2010 Medium Low Good High 2010 High Low Approved Good Medium N/A New entry to register in 2010 Medium Low Approved Poor Low 2013 The absence of sufficient monitored drain flow data in the last 5-year review resulted in a change to the status of the entry to “provisional” and “low confidence”. The provisional status will remain until Low Low Mallee CMA Psyche Bend Lagoon 99 Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Model Assessment Register Entry Allocated Salinity Credits Salinity debits* Assessment Method Type &/or Name Model Status Length & Quality of Data Record Confidence in Assumptions Last Reviewed Comment Confidence Rating Confidence Rating Impact High Low Medium Medium monitoring has been reinstated. Nangiloc-Colignan SMP - Drainage 1.69 0.4 Modelling Observation of historic records and statistical modelling Approved Excellent High 2013 Nyah to South Australian border SMP – irrigation development 15.93 13.8 Modelling HIZ/LIZ method underpinne d by analytical groundwate r model Approved Excellent data updated to 2013 High 2013 100 The last 5-year review compared the approved analytical model against a numerical model which indicated that the salinity impact recorded on the register is over conservative. Mallee CMA will consider developing a new model for assessing irrigation development in the region which will more accurately estimate impacts and result in a reduced debit. Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Model Assessment Register Entry Allocated Salinity Credits Salinity debits* Assessment Method 2.0 0 In developmen t Sub Total 20.22 14.2 Total 35.95 18.02 Lindsay Island – river operations13 Type &/or Name Model Status Length & Quality of Data Record N/A N/A * As recorded on BSMS Register as at 25/09/2014 13 Not yet an accountable action on the BSMS Register 101 Confidence in Assumptions Last Reviewed Comment State allocation against the changed river operations at Lindsay Island of 2EC are to be preserved until further modelling is undertaken. Confidence Rating N/A Confidence Rating Impact N/A Victoria’s 2013/14 Annual Report Table D-2 Explanatory notes for Confidence rating for Register A entries Column Name Options Comment Assessment Method Modelling Monitoring Refers to the method used to make the most recent assessment of impacts. Modelling Assessment - The four columns under this heading are provided to allow a description of the modelling process. An N/A should be placed in these columns where monitoring is used to assess the impact of the entry. Type &/or Name Examples only: GAM/Multi-variable regression Refers to the type or classification of model and if appropriate the common name by which the model is recognised Model Status Approved Pending Not Approved Refers to whether the model has been considered by the BSMS IWG and received approval as being fit for purpose, or is going through this process. Length & Quality of Data Record Excellent Good Poor None High Medium Low Refers to availability, quality and length of record of flow and salinity data for model calibration and testing. Excellent: 20 yrs of both data sets; Good: 5 to 15 years of both data sets; Poor: Limited records of one/both data sets available; None: No data available. Last Reviewed - Date of last review Comment - Add any additional/explanatory information that significantly impacts on overall confidence rating Confidence Rating High Medium Low High Medium Low High: The magnitude of the entry is known with a high degree of certainty Medium: Some uncertainty exists with respect to the magnitude of the entry Low: The magnitude of the entry is uncertain High: Uncertainty associated with the entry is likely to impact on Victoria’s available EC credits Medium: Uncertainty associated with the entry may impact on Victoria’s available EC credits Low: Uncertainty associated with the entry is unlikely to impact negatively on Victoria’s available EC credits Confidence in Assumptions Impact of confidence rating High: In general the impact of assumptions are known to be conservative Medium: There is some uncertainty about the impact of assumptions Low: The impact of assumptions is largely unknown 102