1 Evaluating BRT and LRT in the San Diego’s Mid-Coast Corridor Region A research proposal submitted to the Urban Studies and Planning Program University of California, San Diego Jennifer Chang USP187 Jwc009@ucsd.edu January 31st, 2011 Abstract On July 23rd, 2010, the San Diego Association of Governments (SANDAG) reconfirmed the Mid-Coast Corridor Transit Project. It will extend the already existing Light Rail Transit (LRT) system from Old Town Transit Center to University City, passing through major stops such as the University of California, San Diego and University Town Center (UTC). The purpose of this research is to examine if the Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) system is a better alternative form of public transportation than the proposed LRT solution. By comparing the operation and capital costs, fare, ridership and economic development of the Light Rail Transit and Bus Rapid Transit through transit plans, case studies, surveys and interviews, I found that not only is the Bus Rapid Transit system more economically feasible, it is also easier to implement and more flexible than the Light Rail Transit system. Through these findings, it shows that the Bus Rapid Transit system is indeed a better alternative method than the trolley extension of the Mid-Coast Corridor Transit Project. Key terms: bus rapid transit, light rail transit, demographics, economically feasible Introduction An efficient and widely used public transit system is one of the main things that our beautiful city of San Diego desperately lacks. Transit coverage is patchy, service is slow, and the 2 daily use of personal automobiles is considered to be the most efficient way to travel around the city. The MTS Trolley, serving mainly downtown and Mission Valley, is San Diego’s main attempt at combating this attitude towards public transit and providing a mode that is comfortable and user-friendly to the people. SANDAG, the creator of the trolley, is now planning an expansion along the mid-coast corridor region in order to connect the trolley to the UCSD/UTC area. Several alternatives to this idea have been proposed, and the goal of this research is to determine the best way to connect this region to the rest of San Diego’s regional public transit system. Questions that surfaced: Would ridership needs in the area of the MidCoast Corridor Transit Project be better served by the implementation of a Bus Rapid Transit system or an expansion of the trolley system? SANDAG has predetermined a single route that they have planned the expansion for, but this research will look beyond the route at the potential of a larger and more efficient public transit system. Conceptual Framework and Literature Review SANDAG chose to expand the trolley by adding the Mid-Coast Corridor line from downtown San Diego to UCSD/UTC area, but is it really the best public transit option that the city of San Diego could have? Could a Bus Rapid Transit system be the better and more feasible option? As has been noted by several scholars, a definitive empirical study of the land-use impacts brought by different modes of mass transportation has yet to be published (Knight and Trygg 1977, Wright 2003). Bus rapid transit, or BRT, is more of a collection of best practices learned from public transit rather than a strict definition (Wright 2003). Although many cities have busways and or exclusive lanes, the true notion of BRT comes from extensive transportation networks and 3 systems that work cohesively to move people efficiently from one place to the next (Wright 2003). Light rail transit, or LRT, is a relatively new promising concept for moving passengers around metropolitan areas quickly and efficiently. Like BRT, LRT lines are segregated from the other means of transportation, which gives them exclusive right-of-way (Wright 2003). However, LRT is seen as more practical for the wealthier communities. Because the costs of constructing LRT have spiraled upward, many local officials in smaller cities began to question the cost-effectiveness of constructing LRT lines (Sislak, 2000). In Sislak’s research, he stated that “Bus rapid transit (BRT) may be a rational and cost-effective way to implement significant transit improvements in smaller cities, and it may cost 40 to 70 percent less than current LRT construction estimates” (Sislak, 2000). Without sacrificing on efficiency or comfort, BRT systems can be as effective in attracting passengers as heavy and light rail (Currie 2005). The question of permanence also plays an important role in the decision between BRT and LRT. Although the BRT system is not as permanent as rail systems, it can actually work as an advantage. Rather than locking into a 40 year system, BRT systems are afforded the opportunity to have vehicle technology amortized over shorter time periods more typical of the 12-year average life span. Thus, changes in amenities, safety, accessibility, propulsion system efficiency and cleanliness, and other features can be updated on a more meaningful and more frequent basis (Polzin, Baltes 2002). The non-permanent nature of the BRT system also makes changing routes and adding new transit stops easier than the LRT system, giving BRT system the ability to provide a closer and more sufficient destination-to-destination service for its riders. The resulting flexibility makes BRT a candidate for consideration in many rapid transit applications. The flexibility is especially important in North America with its wide diversity of urban land 4 development patterns and modest capacity requirements (Levinson, Zimmerman, Clinger, Rutherford 2002). Light rail transit (LRT) theoretically offers greater capacity. But experience has shown that not only can busways carry just as many passengers, they actually can carry more riders per mile of guideway because busways can be shorter in length and still provide a good level of service (Biehler 1989). Not only can BRT carry the same amount of capacity, if not more than LRT, the research by O’Sullivan strongly indicates that people walk farther to reach an LRT station than a bus stop. Using bus walking standards would result in an underestimate of LRT walking distances by about half (O’Sullivan 1996). By using BRT, it could help attract commuters from single occupancy vehicles, ultimately contributing to a reduction in traffic congestion on the corridor where it is implemented (Miller, Buckley 2000). Buckley and Miller states that Bus Rapid Transit also has the potential to have significant benefits in such roadway transportation problem areas as safety, air quality, and fuel consumption. “It could provide the opportunity for improved transit services to serve the needs of people and markets other than automobile owners and drivers” (Miller, Buckley 2000). A Bus Rapid Transit system has so many advantages as a public transit system. If BRT benefits cities such as San Diego, it will also benefit other American cities that are in the same condition. Research Strategy In order to determine if the Bus Rapid Transit system is a more suitable public transportation system for the Mid-Coast Corridor Region than the trolley expansion, I broke down my research into four main categories. 5 1. How does a BRT system operate differently from a Trolley system? 2. Is there a precedent support picking BRT over the trolley? 3. Does transportation demand in area of the planned North San Diego trolley expansion support the conclusion that BRT will be a better choice than the trolley? 4. Is BRT a more economically feasible option than the trolley for the study area? To answer these questions, my research utilized a number of different sources of information, both qualitative and quantitative. I compared between the operation costs and capital costs of the Bus Rapid Transit system and the Light Rail Transit system. Since our state is on a tight budget due to the recession of the economy, the overall cost of each system became an important deciding factor on the implementation of such project. The demographics of the study area are also important deciding factors. I utilized Census Data from the American FactFinder database to look at age, income, car ownership, travel time and population density of the selected region and the city of San Diego. The factors of household income, age and car ownership are especially critical to consider when planning and deciding on a public transit system. Age is an important factor because a large portion of public transit users are youth, students and seniors, due to the fact that these groups contain the largest numbers of people unable to drive. Car ownership is also an important factor because people without a car are much more reliant on public transportation than those with a private vehicle. Household income is another important factor for consideration because many people who are in poverty can only afford to travel by using public systems. By looking at all these data, I was able to pinpoint the ridership need of the Mid-Coast Corridor Region and have a more thorough analysis on which transportation system, BRT or the trolley expansion, will be the better choice for this selected region. I also utilized Geographic Information System (GIS) to provide maps of these factors in order to have a better visual presentation on the demographics of the study area. 6 I used evaluations and quantitative data from a number of case studies on BRT and LRT systems published in the last ten years. The case study of BRT often cited as most comparable to San Diego is that of Brisbane, Queensland, Australia. Brisbane is a metropolitan area of 2.25 million people, similarly to San Diego with a population of approximately 3 million; in addition, the city has a similar layout and similar land use patterns to San Diego (Hoffman 45). Another important case study is The City of Los Angeles. It is a unique case study because it has both light rail systems and bus rapid transit systems. The people of Los Angeles have similar attitudes towards public transit and private automobiles as the residents of San Diego, and although the LA region is much larger than San Diego, both have very spread out land use and multiple centers, thus making it a good case study. OPERATION & CAPITAL COST RIDERSHIP FARE LIGHT RAIL TRANSIT BUS RAPID TRANSIT I looked at the SANDAG’s Mid-Coast Corridor Region Transit Plan and United States General Accounting Office. I looked at the Census data, SANDAG’s Mid-Coast Corridor Region Transit Plan and already existing data on the Trolley system in San Diego. I looked at the already existing Trolley system in San Diego. I looked at the i-15 bus rapid transit plan and the Bus Rapid Transit Guideline I looked at the Census data, Bus Rapid Transit Guideline and the Case Studies of Brisbane, Australia and Los Angeles, California. I looked at the Case Study in Los Angeles, California, the i-15 bus rapid transit plan and MTS Fares and Day passes from the SDMTS website. 7 ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT I looked at the SANDAG’s Mid-Coast Corridor Region Transit Plan, the already existing data on the Trolley system in San Diego and other researches and articles on the LRT system. I looked at Alan Hoffman’s “Advanced Network Planning for Bus Rapid Transit”, the Case Study of Los Angeles, California, United States General Accounting Office and other researches and articles on the BRT system. Lastly, I conducted interviews with Caltrans District 11 Project Management Director Joel Haven, SANDAG Mid-coast Corridor Project Development Program Manager Leslie Blanda and author of the San Diego FastPlan Alan Hoffman for additional information on the Trolley and Bus Rapid Transit system. Findings and Analysis Case Study: BRT in Brisbane, Australia The case study of BRT often cited as most comparable to San Diego is that of Brisbane, Queensland, Australia. Brisbane is a metropolitan area of 2.25 million people, similarly to San Diego with a population of approximately 3 million; in addition, the city has a similar layout and similar land use patterns to San Diego (Hoffman 45). Brisbane’s Southeast Busway opened in April 2001. By 2002, patronage on core bus services was up by 45% compared to the year previous to its opening. Property values along the busways have also risen substantially since the system’s opening, despite the fact that property values have not risen anywhere else in the city during the same period (Wright 10). One of the central features of Brisbane’s BRT system is the development of a network of grade-separated “Quickways” (Hoffman 29). These, much like the tracks of a light rail system, 8 allow the bus to operate in its own, separate lane, unhindered by traffic that may occur in normal vehicle lanes. Previous to implementing its BRT system, Brisbane also had a commuter rail system that operated in a similar way to light rail. Although this system served to bring people into and out of the city, many people who lived between stations and outside of the city did not have effective access to the rail system (Hoffman 30). Aside from grade-separated Quickways, there are many other elements of Brisbane’s system that attract ridership and allow for efficiency. Much effort has been put into creating high quality stations that give a ‘first class’ feel and allow for quick and easy transfers. Intelligent transportation systems such as sophisticated traffic signaling and passenger information systems are also used. There are several types of services within the bus system: spine services, which operate frequently and stop at all stops, CityXpress services, which offer express buses from the outside of the city to the core, and Rockets, which are similar to CityXpress except operate on a more direct route to the city core and then stop at major office buildings (Hoffman 40). One of the key elements of a successful BRT system is flexibility, which Brisbane’s system has taken full advantage of. In growing areas, BRT services can change over time, moving into new neighborhoods or centers. In established cities, BRT services can evolve as the system begins to attract additional types of users. Like rail transit stations, BRT stations are fixed infrastructure, offering the stability needed for transit oriented development, and the flexibility of routes that can adjust over time to better serve the population. Case Study: BRT vs. Light Rail in Los Angeles The City of Los Angeles is unique in the United States because it has both light rail systems and bus rapid transit systems. The people of Los Angeles have similar attitudes towards 9 public transit and private automobiles as the residents of San Diego, and although the LA region is much larger than San Diego, both have very spread out land use and multiple centers, thus making it a good case study. LA has implemented two different types of BRT: Metro Rapid and the Orange Line. Metro Rapid relies on simplified route design and signal priority in order to reduce travel times; buses are frequent and stations are widely separated. Metro Rapid runs along Wilshire Boulevard and Ventura Boulevard, both extremely dense areas. In addition, Metro Rapid also offers a ‘super express’ service, a bus that only stops at every 4-5 stops (Hoffman 53). Travel times were reduced by 29% and overall ridership rose by a substantial amount (GAO 27). In fact, the Wilshire-Whittier line is the busiest BRT line in the United States, carrying an average of 32,500 passengers per day, which is more than LA’s Blue Line Light Rail which carries an average of 29,000 passengers per day and has the highest ridership of any LRT line in the United States (GAO 26). The Orange Line, on the other hand, uses grade-separated corridors and is a full attempt to replicate a light rail-style service using buses. It parallels Ventura Boulevard in an abandoned rail corridor and carries an average of 23,814 passengers per day, which greatly exceeds the Gold Line LRT. The Orange Line brands itself as a rapid bus; it uses off-board fare collection, express bus service, Intelligent Transportation Systems to let passengers know when the next bus is arriving, and signal priority at traffic crossings. LA provides a perfect example of how the flexibility of BRT is advantageous over the permanency of LRT: the western portion of the LA Light Rail Green Line was built to provide mass transit to workers in the defense production industry, but by the time the line had opened, 10 the facility had closed (GAO 28). In addition, the operating costs of BRT are much lower than LRT in Los Angeles: in 1999, for one vehicle revenue mile LRT cost $13.72, while BRT cost only $3.95. Per revenue hour, LRT cost $434 and BRT cost only $56 (GAO 22). The capital cost for Blue Line LRT in LA cost $43.39 million per mile to build, while BRT cost $11.57 million per mile. The cost of each system, whether it is a Bus Rapid Transit or a Light Rail Transit, is an important deciding factor when cities and neighborhoods are trying to implement a new transit system. Funding Bus Rapid Transit and Light Rail Transit are both funded by the Federal Transit Authority (FTA). Under FTA, the primary program that funds the construction of new transit systems or improvements of existing systems is the Federal Transit New Start Program. After passing the Transportation Equality Act for 21st Century, $6 billion dollars of funding are guaranteed for New Start transit projects over the next six years; however not only is Bus Rapid Transit competing with Light Rail Transit over funding, it is also competing against Heavy Rail and Commuter Railroad. Federal Transit Urbanized Area Formula Grant Program also provides funding to both Bus Rapid Transit and Light Rail Transit projects, while Bus Capital Program only provide funding for bus related projects and improvements. Capital Costs The capital cost of Bus Rapid Transit includes cost of roadway (bus ways or bus-HOV lanes), station structures, park-and-ride facilities, communications, improved traffic signal systems, and vehicles. The capital cost of Light Rail Transit includes stations, structures, signal systems, power systems, utility relocation, right-of-way, maintenance facilities, transit vehicles, 11 and project oversight. On average, the capital cost per mile for Bus Rapid Transit bus ways is $13.5 million dollars, Bus Rapid Transit bus-HOV lanes is $9 million dollars, and Bus Rapid Transit arterial streets is $680,000 dollars; the average capital cost per mile for Light Rail Transit is $34.8 million dollars. When comparing between the three different types of Bus Rapid Transits and Light Rail Transit, the capital costs for Bus Rapid Transits are all significantly lower than Light Rail Transit on a cost-per-mile basis. FIG 1 Capital Cost Per Mile for Light Rail and Bus Rapid Transit Dollars in millions 34.79 13.49 8.97 0.68 Light Rail Busways Bus on HOV Lanes Bus on Arterial Operating Costs However, when comparing between the operating costs of Bus Rapid Transit and Light Rail Transit, the results varied. There are three categories under operating costs, cost per vehicle per hour, cost per vehicle revenue per mile, and cost per passenger trip. The operating cost of Bus Rapid Transit includes driver’s salaries, fuel, vehicle maintenance, bus way or HOV lane maintenance, daily enforcement, and lane restrictions. The operating cost of Light Rail Transit 12 includes driver’s salaries, electricity, vehicle maintenance, track systems maintenance, repair facility, and specialized maintenance staff. According to the United States General Accounting Office (GAO), Bus Rapid Transit had lower cost per vehicle per hour in five out of the six cities that were studied; Bus Rapid Transit had lower cost per vehicle per mile in all six cities; and four out of six cities had lower cost per passenger trip from Bus Rapid Transit than Light Rail Transit. Because both Bus Rapid Transit and Light Rail Transit can have different routes, tracks, amount of ridership, and types of services or systems in different cities, they can all affect the total cost of each individual project, which explains the mixed results in operating costs. FIG 2 Operating Cost Per Vehicle Revenue Mile, 1999 Light Rail Bus Rapid Transit 15.6 13.72 12.68 12.54 11.72 8.52 4.2 3.86 3.95 1.74 Dallas 3.45 2.24 Denver Los Angeles Pittsburg San Diego San Jose After reviewing difference case studies on both Bus Rapid Transit and Light Rail Transit, the Bus Rapid Transit system seemed like a more economically feasible option than the Light Rail Transit system in the region of Northern San Diego. While both types of transit systems 13 have similar performances, ridership and speed, Bus Rapid Transit is not only cheaper on capital costs, it also has potential to be cheaper on operating costs as well. Demographic Analysis The most successful BRT and LRT systems are located in cites with dense urban centers; these are most often found in European or Asian cities rather than in American cities. Because of the spread-out nature of American cities, it is difficult to implement an efficient public transit system. San Diego is a primary example of such American city because it is surrounded by sprawl. The trolley in downtown San Diego and nearby areas works well because it is around the urban center of San Diego. The mid-coast corridor’s proposal to extend the MTS trolley system to the La Jolla/UCSD/UTC area might not bring the same benefits to this area because it is less dense than downtown. The implementation of a light rail system in the mid-coast corridor is not the best system to implement because the northern end of the proposed trolley lines ends in La Jolla, where, aside from the student population of UCSD, almost everyone else is in a highincome group and thus very unlikely to take public transit. FIG 3 14 Forecasting for the future is an important part of city and transportation planning. The current population of San Diego is 1,333,617 people and in ten years is projected to be 1,542,528 people. This increase in population will require improvement of the current transit system to allow for the increase in ridership. In the next ten years, the number of people in the age group 20-39 years old will increase to 435,692, far larger than any other age groups. This age group tends to be the least attracted to public transit because of their ability to drive and their need to get to school and work in a timely manner. 15 FIG 4 Expansion of public transit systems is always encouraged, but the expansion mode is also important to consider. In the case of mid-coast corridor, a trolley expansion may not be the most efficient means of expansion. Having a LRT run through neighborhoods suburbs and residential areas, which part of the mid-coast corridor runs through, is not going to improve the connectivity of the transit system. LRT must follow a track which may not be feasible in some areas that 16 desperately need public transit connections. A BRT system, on the other hand, would better serve these communities because the routes can be changed more easily than LRT routes. BRT can also runs through areas in which LRT may not be able to. The forecasted growth of the San Diego region will cause people to be spread out even further and the need of connections will be greater. Because of the changing demographics and growth in the San Diego region, a flexible BRT system rather than an LRT system with limited connectivity would be a more efficient way to serve people and connect the many neighborhoods of the San Diego region. Conclusion Through reading different researches, articles and case studies from Los Angeles, California and Brisbane, Australia, there appears to be many reasons in favor of the creation of a Bus Rapid Transit system in San Diego: BRT is flexible, easy to implement in already built-up areas because it utilizes existing infrastructure, and is more economically feasible to build than a light rail system. The current coverage of San Diego’s public transit coverage is patchy at best, and always inefficient in terms of time and accessibility. Expansion of the trolley to UCSD will allow efficient transit from UCSD to downtown, however it fails to link to the other main points of interest in San Diego such as Pacific Beach, Ocean Beach, Convoy, Mira Mesa, Hillcrest and Fashion Valley. Although the trolley attempts to make the trip fast to major stops such as Old Town and Qualcomm Stadium, riders will still have to make transfers to slower city buses to get to their final destination. A bus rapid transit system would not only allow busses to go directly to 17 these smaller areas without transfers, but it could also be done in a way that is just as comfortable and “classy” as if one were riding a trolley. In addition, because BRT is extremely flexible, services could be added, rapid lines could be created and routes could changed based on regional growth and demand. 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