Discussions about the differences in agricultural land use in Brazilian states Changes in agricultural land use varied across the study region from 1996 to 2008. In Rio Grande do Sul the most significant changes occurred for temporary crops and pastures. Whereas the area used for pastures decreased, the area used for temporary crops increased. It is assumed in this study that pastures probably have been converted into planted forests and temporary crops. In this state, the areas with soybean and wheat increased in the considered time period, whereas areas with maize decreased (Tab 5 and 6). Rice was a temporary crop whose area presented a significant increase, from 868,578 ha in 1996 to 1,065,633 ha in 2008 (Data are not presented in Tab 5 and 6). Tab 5. Evolution of the area of various crops in LPB between 1996 and 2008 State RS SC PR SP MG GO MT MS ---- Coffee ---1996 2008 111 69 236 186 266 355 2 5 1 0 1 2 Area (1000 ha) ---- Soybean ---- ---- Maize ---1996 2008 1996 2008 1,469 1,869 708 475 130 263 526 433 2,197 3,647 2,241 2,742 525 501 1,080 930 323 636 419 564 560 1,344 499 605 635 888 182 352 832 1,731 451 988 -- Sugarcane -1996 2008 14 14 5 7 238 523 2,430 4,443 62 208 53 131 79 139 82 253 ---- Wheat ---1996 2008 325 477 61 86 1,004 997 18 79 0 0 7 9 0 0 51 46 Note: The symbol “ – “ indicates no availability of data at IBGE platform at the time of the survey. Tab 6. Changes in land areas with soybean, sugarcane and maize in Brazilian LPB from 1996 to 2008 State GO MT MS MG SP PR SC RS Total LPB ------ Soybean area ----------- Sugarcane area ------------ Maize area --------1996 2008 Increment 1996 2008 Increment 1996 2008 Increment --- 1000 ha --% --- 1000 ha --% --- 1000 ha --% 560 1,344 140.0 53 131 147.2 499 605 21.2 635 888 39.8 79 139 75.9 182 352 93.4 832 1,731 108.1 82 253 208.5 451 988 119.1 323 636 96.9 62 208 235.5 419 564 34.6 525 501 -4.6 2,430 4,443 82.8 1,080 930 -13.9 2,197 3,647 66.0 238 523 119.7 2,241 2,742 22.4 130 263 102.3 5 7 40.0 526 433 -17.7 1,469 1,869 27.2 14 14 0.0 708 475 -32.9 6,671 10,879 63.1 2,963 5,718 93.0 6,106 7,089 16.1 In Santa Catarina, it was also observed a significant decrease in the land area with pastures and an increase in the land area with temporary crops and forests. The increase in the area for temporary crops is due to soybean and wheat crops. However, there was a more consistent conversion to forests, whose total area increased 7% in Santa Catarina. The increase of natural forests can be resultant from the advancement of forest succession in the lands previously used for shifting cultivation. But there was also a clear increase in the area reforested mainly with Pinus and Eucalyptus species for timber and paper production. Southern Brazil presents 77% of the total area planted with Pinus and Eucalyptus in Brazil and increases have been observed in this region during the last years (ABRAF, 2009). Tree plantations of Pinus and Eucalyptus increased in many places through the conversion of natural grassland, as in Santa Catarina and Rio Grande do Sul. The increasing rate of this conversion is raising concern, since it may also threaten the expansion of cropland to attend the growing demand on food, as well as the maintenance in these states of traditional systems of beef cattle and sheep raising. Land use change in Paraná was subtle: the area used with pastures and forests decreased slightly from 1996 to 2008, while it was observed slightly increases of permanent and temporary crops. The increase in the area with permanent crops is related mostly to orange cultivation (from 9,471 ha in 1996 to 19,900 ha in 2008), while for temporary crops the increase is due to soybean, sugarcane and maize expansion (Tab 5). Temporary crops and pasture increased in São Paulo in the same time period. New areas cultivated with sugarcane are the main cause of the increase for temporary crops. The decrease in areas for permanent crops was due mainly to the reduction of coffee and maize (Tab 5) and orange cultivation (from 719,735 to 592,568 ha). In Minas Gerais, a traditional livestock grower in Brazil, areas occupied with pastures decreased significantly, mostly replaced with temporary and permanent crops as well as with natural forests. Over the years, agriculture has occupied the space that was previously used for livestock, first moving into the areas of degraded pastures. However, from 2002 to 2004 soybean and sugarcane reached high prices, becoming an important factor driving the land use change. Moreover, the high costs of livestock production and the low prices for beef in the internal market during this period were factors that contributed for the decrease of pasture areas (EMBRAPA, 2005). As the price of meet boomed again since 2008, these trends are yet to be confirmed in the next years. Coffee, soybean, sugarcane and maize presented significant increases of the planted areas in Minas Gerais during the period from 1996 to 2008. However, when compared to other states in Brazil, the total amount of land cultivated with these crops is low. In Goiás, pasture areas decreased while the areas for temporary crops increased substantially. Moreover, an increase in the land area with forests can be also observed. Soybean, sugarcane and maize were the major crops that caused the increase in the areas for temporary crops in this state. Pasture and natural forest areas decreased significantly in Mato Grosso, while an expansion in areas for temporary and permanent crops and planted forests were observed in the considered time period. Soybean, sugarcane and maize have gained importance in land used in Mato Grosso. In this state, cotton is also an important crop, whose cultivated area jumped from 55,155 ha to 539,586 ha. The increase in the cultivated areas occurred at the expense of pastures and natural forests, characterizing this state as the frontier of agricultural expansion in the region. Land use in Mato Grosso do Sul presented an increase for temporary crops and decrease for pasture areas. Cattle raising is the most important agricultural activity. A small replacement of pasture by soybean, sugarcane and maize was the observed from 1996 to 2008. In the late 1960s, the expansion of agriculture caused a significant change in land use in Brazilian LPB. Until 1990, most cultivated areas in Paraná, Minas Gerais, and São Paulo were used for coffee. However, large areas of these plantations were destroyed by fire, causing major financial losses (World Water Assessment Programme, 2007). Subsequently, annual crops such as maize and soybean replaced coffee in these areas. As a result, the land area occupied by coffee in Paraná decreased approximately 41,000 ha from 1996 to 2008, and 50,000 ha in São Paulo in the same period. But this trend was not observed in Minas Gerais, where the land area used for coffee increased 89,000 ha from 1996 to 2008. According to the Agricultural and Livestock Secretary of Minas Gerais State (www.agricultura.mg.gov.br. Last access: October 5, 2010), coffee is the main product for exportation and it represents around 55% of the agribusiness sector, explaining the increase observed for this crop in the considered time period. Soybean presented a significant expansion in Brazilian LPB from 1996 to 2008, going from 6,671,000 ha in 1996 to 10,879,000 ha in 2008. Research incentives from the Brazilian Government and from the agribusiness sector have supported the development of genetically modified soybean varieties which are more tolerant to diseases and to extreme climatic events (Toledo et al., 2004, Oya et al., 2004). Some other factors that contributed to the expansion of soybean areas in Brazil were the advances on developing new management technologies simultaneously with high prices in the international trade markets, adequate climate conditions to plant growth and the improvement of soils by fertilization and liming. Sugarcane areas also increased in Brazilian LPB from 1996 to 2008, particularly in São Paulo. Climate, soils and the development of new technologies are favorable factors responsible for high sugarcane yields in Brazil. Policies launched by the Brazilian Government in recent years also promoted the increase in sugarcane areas (Campelo and Michels, 2009). As an illustration, whereas in December 2007 there were only 11 sugarcane mills operating in Mato Grosso do Sul, 76 new plants were installed by the beginning of 2008, representing an expressive increase in the production of processed sugarcane until 2015, when they reach their full capacity (Campelo and Michels, 2009). Maize areas increased significantly in Paraná, Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso do Sul, Minas Gerais and Goiás. However, decreases were observed in São Paulo, Santa Catarina, and Rio Grande do Sul. Maize and soybean together contribute with 80% of the grains produced in Brazil. It is worth mentioning that soybean and maize are usually planted in crop rotation aiming at obtaining maximum efficiency of the productive capacity of the soil. Whereas maize is destined to the internal market, soybean is mainly a commodity traded in the international market (EMBRAPA, 2000). Increases in poultry production were observed for all states within LPB (Table 5), being a factor that pushed the increase of areas cultivated with maize in most Brazilian LPB. Decreases observed in São Paulo probably resulted from the expansion of sugarcane areas, while in Santa Catarina and Rio Grande do Sul soybean probably replaced maize cultivation due to droughts that severely affected maize production from 2003 to 2008 (CEPA, 2009). The dynamics of land use with wheat presented different trends, as has been identified in this study. The two most important wheat producers in Brazil are Paraná and Rio Grande do Sul, respectively. Although was observed a decrease of 7,000 ha in the area with this crop in Paraná, increases were observed in São Paulo (61,000 ha), Santa Catarina (25,000 ha) and Rio Grande do Sul (152,000 ha). The adaptation of wheat to the weather and soil conditions in Brazil has been an important research subject for plant breeding programs and seed companies (EMBRAPA, 2006). As a result, some cultivars with high yield potential have been developed, making this crop attractive for farmers in the southern Brazilian states, besides the increase in the prices of wheat in the last years. While maize occupies a good share of agricultural lands in Brazilian LPB, areas cultivated with soybean and sugarcane presented expressive increments of 63% and 93%, respectively (Tab 6). Sixty percent of the sugarcane produced in Brazil is located in São Paulo, Paraná and Mato Grosso do Sul, and according to the Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Supply (www.agricultura.gov.br/vegetal. Last access: October 27, 2011), the country is the world leader in ethanol production from sugarcane, being responsible for supplying more than half of the sugar traded in the world. It is expected a further increase in sugarcane production in the next years due to the availability of arable land and the technology employed for the production. In the last three decades, soybean production increased expressively in Brazil, accounting 49% of the cropland area and Brazilian industry converts 30.7 million tons of soybeans per year, producing 5.8 million tons of edible oil and 23.5 million tons of protein bran, according to the Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Supply (www.agricultura.gov.br/vegetal. Last access: October 27, 2011). Increasing yields are associated to technological advances and to the management and efficiency of farmers, and also to the international trade market, since soybean is an important commodity for Brazilian economy. Significant increases in poultry production were observed from 1996 to 2008 in Brazilian LPB, especially in Paraná, Santa Catarina, Goiás and São Paulo (Table 7). In Brazil, the industrial poultry production started in the middle of 1950s in São Paulo, expanding later to other Southern states. The exportation of chicken has increased since 2000, when it reached one billion dollars in exchange revenue in the mentioned year (ABEF, 2010). According to ABEF (2010), the domestic per capita consumption of chicken jumped from 22 kg per year in 1996 to 39 kg per year in 2008, characterizing an important change in the alimentary habits of Brazilian population. Since the beginning of the industrial poultry in Brazil, the production chain has been modernized to reduce costs and increase the productivity, becoming one of the most profitable activities in the Brazilian economy. Tab 7. Livestock production in 1996 and 2008 in the Brazilian LPB State PR MT MS SC GO RS MG SP ------- Cattle ------1996 2008 8,841 8,414 5,245 6,998 20,756 22,196 1,773 1,812 8,251 9,463 6,286 5,651 5,236 5,494 12,342 11,285 Number of animals (x1000) ------- Swine ------1996 2008 3,399 4,272 209 450 540 953 3,072 4,594 653 1,092 1,461 1,735 581 1,458 1,793 1,669 ------- Poultry ------1996 2008 85,908 204,538 9,781 16,361 11,884 23,841 53,601 101,117 15,327 48,106 12,916 14,837 17,267 24,798 134,147 207,853 Intensive transformations remarked Brazilian cattle production in the last decades, resulted mainly from the application of modern production techniques (such as pasture rotation management, improvement of animal disease prevention and control, recovery of soil fertility in degraded pasture areas) aiming to keep this activity being profitable in face of the expansion of poultry production. In Brazilian LPB, increases in cattle production occurred in Minas Gerais, Goiás, Mato Grosso, and Mato Grosso do Sul. Swine production in Brazil is an important economic activity mostly in the southern part of the country. However, in the last decade swine production has expanded rapidly to other states, such as Goiás, Mato Grosso and Mato Grosso do Sul. Besides this expansion, the structure for swine production has changed dramatically in the last three decades from a small and subsistence model to a large and concentrated range of operations for animal feeding. This trend intended to reduce the cost of production and logistics for farmers and meat processors. The increases in maize and soybean production in Brazil and the investment in new technologies are the major factors driving swine production and decreasing the costs comparing to other countries, such as China and the United States (Gonçalves and Palmeira, 2006). The presented data clearly show that the expansion of animal production have impacted on the dynamics of land use change in Brazilian LPB. It is also worth mentioning that this expansion and its magnitude are important aspects to be considered when evaluating their significance for the climate system since they might contribute to global warming through the emission of greenhouse gases, particularly nitrous oxide, from the disposal of waste.