Abstract Extended Spectrum Beta-Lactamase-producing Enterobacteriaceae (ESBL-PE) are an emerging concern in public health. Antimicrobial use, hospitalization and foreign travel are associated with human carriage of ESBL-PE. Duration of carriage with ESBL-PE can vary. The main objective of this thesis is to provide an overview of the current scientific knowledge on persistence of ESBL carriage in humans. In addition, risk factors for duration of ESBL carriage will be described. After a literature search, 14 studies met the criterion that duration of ESBL-PE was assessed. Eight studies were conducted in patients, two in NICU patients, and four in non-patients (travelers, adopted children, medical students). Approximately half of adult (hospitalized) patients carried ESBL-PE after 6 months (range 33-53%). After 12 months, this percentage was around 25%. Median carriage time was reported from 98 days till more than 9 months. For a minority of patients carriage time was more than three years. Prolonged carriage with ESBL-PE was associated with outpatient oral use of antibiotics, urine catheters, chronic wounds, immobility and percutaneous gastrostomy, E. coli phylogroup B2, and CTX-M group 9. In NICU patients, median carriage time was 12.5 months, but carriage persisted after 12 months for 5% of individuals. Prolonged duration was observed for K. pneumonia or K. oxytoca species compared to S. marcensens, antibiotic treatment and caesarian section. Of travelers, 24% carried ESBL-producing E. coli after 3-8 months. Mean carriage time for 22 adopted children from Mali was 9 months. Out of 41 Chinese medical students, 68% remained colonized for 4 months. Results vary greatly and are hard to compare or generalize for many reasons such as small sample size, different definitions for duration, persistence and clearance, absence of molecular information, selection bias, and global differences. A longer duration of carriage with ESBL-PE might influence the risk of carriage with ESBL-PE for the patient itself and transmission to household members and the general population. Routine screening and/or contact restriction is suggested for previously ESBL-PE positive patients. Perhaps focus should be more on prevention of transmission than on clearance, because clearance is hard to accomplish. To estimate duration of carriage with ESBL-PE in the general population, large studies are needed. 1 Introduction Infections with antimicrobial resistant bacteria are associated with high mortality, morbidity, and health care costs (1). Antimicrobial use is generally regarded as one of the main reasons for selection and transmission of antimicrobial resistant bacteria (2). Beta-lactam antimicrobials are widely used in human medicine. Bacterial resistance to beta-lactams is attributable to at least three mechanisms: inaccessibility of drugs to their target (penicillin-binding proteins), alterations of the drug target, and/or inactivation of the drugs by beta-lactamases. The predominant mechanism of beta-lactam resistance in Gram-negative bacteria is the production of (Extended-Spectrum) Beta-Lactamases, which inactivate beta-lactams by hydrolysis (3). Enterobacteriaceae that produce Extended Spectrum Beta-Lactamases (ESBL) are an emerging concern in public health. The major ESBL-producing Enterobacteriaceae (ESBLPE) involved in human infections are Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumonia (4). ESBLs cause resistance to different beta lactam antimicrobials, including penicillins and cephalosporins (5). Most regularly observed ESBL genes belong to the TEM, SHV, and CTX-M groups (6). Occurrence of CTX-M group, specifically CTX-M-15 and CTX-M-14, has increasingly been reported over the past decade (7). The genes encoding for ESBLs are often located on plasmids, which can be transferred within and between different bacterial species. Furthermore, coexistence with other types of antimicrobial resistance occurs (1). Besides antimicrobial use, hospitalization and foreign travel are known risk factors for human carriage of ESBL-PE (8, 9). In addition, ESBL-PE have been reported in healthy and diseased companion animals (10, 11), wildlife (12), vegetables (13), drinking water (14), and sewage (13). Apart from the complex dynamics on how humans can become carriers of ESBL-PE, the duration and persistence of human ESBL carriage can vary greatly (15, 16). Until now, determinants influencing the duration and persistence of carriage are not well understood. Although some research has been pursued on duration and persistence of ESBL carriage and the influence of different risk factors, most of the results are not comparable due to different definitions of persistent carrier ship and nongeneralizable study populations. Once a person carries ESBLs, duration of ESBL carriage is not only important for assessing the risk of infection, but very likely also for the risk of transmission of ESBLs from high risk groups into the general population as well. Guidelines on surveillance regarding ESBL carriage should be made on extended knowledge, including the duration of ESBL carriage. The aim of this thesis is to provide an overview of the current scientific knowledge on persistence and duration of ESBL carriage in humans. In addition, risk factors for persistence and duration of ESBL carriage will be described as well. Consequently, the gaps in the literature for obtaining a proper estimate for the duration of ESBL carriage 2 under different circumstances will be explored and recommendations for future research will be addressed. 3 Overview of literature Literature was searched in Pubmed and Scopus. Keywords were (combinations of) ESBL, Extended-Spectrum Beta-Lactamase, duration, colonization, persistence, carriage, fecal, stool, long-term, after outbreak, after discharge, antimicrobial resistant. Reference lists from studies found were also screened for additional relevant publications. Duration of ESBL-PE had to be assessed as a criterion for inclusion. After this literature search, 14 studies met the criterion. Several studies have been conducted with the purpose to estimate the duration of colonization with ESBL-PE. Some other studies had a different main objective, but also assessed the duration of ESBL-PE. Since hospitalization is a major risk factor for acquiring ESBL-PE (8), the majority of these studies is focusing on hospital patients (n=10) (including Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) (n=2)). Duration was assessed during hospitalization, after discharge or at readmission. Another important risk factor is international travel (9), therefore some included studies were exploring duration in travelers (n=2) or adopted children (n=1). Another study was conducted on medical students and potentially also of higher risk due to contact with colonized patients (n=1) (17, 18). The main findings regarding duration of ESBL-PE and potential risk factors for prolonged duration are described for the different subpopulations. Adult patients Most studies focusing on duration of carriage with ESBL-PE were performed in (former) hospitalized patients. A study by Papst et al. (2012) showed that after three months, 22 out of 33 hospital patients (66.7%) were still positive for ESBL-producing E. coli and K. pneumoniae (rectal swab, urine and throat). After six months, 17 out of 33 patients (51.5%) were still positive (19). Titelman et al. (2014) found that fecal carriage was common 12 months after clinical infection with ESBL-PE. Carriage was observed in 51 out of 61 patients (84%) after 1 month, 36 out of 61 (55%) after 3 months, 31 out of 61 (51%) after 6 months and 26 out of 61 (43%) after 12 months. At 12 months, 5 out of 26 carriers had previous negative samples. In 17 out 61 patients, ESBL was found in another species or strain than originally found (20). In a study by Zahar et al. (2010) in 62 readmitted patients, 50% was still positive for ESBL-PE at readmission. Median duration time of fecal carriage was 132 days (range 65-228). Within 3 months, 21 patients were readmitted of which 13 (62%) were still positive. Of 19 patients readmitted after 3-6 months, 10 patients (53%) were positive. Seven out of 14 patients (50%) were positive when readmitted between 6-12 months and only 1 out of 8 patients (13%) readmitted after 12 months (21). All above three studies described around half of the patients still colonized with ESBL-PE after 6 months. Apisarntharnarak et al. (2008) found somewhat different results. From 24 patients, 8 patients (33%) remained 4 colonized with E. coli or K. pneumoniae after 6 months. Median duration of outpatient colonization was 98 days (range 14-182) (22). Since sample sizes were small, the differences found might be due to power issues. In a study to determine the prevalence of ESBL-PE in high-risk units, 54 colonized patients were screened with a rectal swab at a subsequent hospital admission. Out of 40 patients readmitted within one year after the initial positive culture, 15 (37.5%) was still colonized. After one year, 2 out of 14 patients (14.3%) were positive when screened again (23). In 14-year retrospective study in readmitted patients, 448 previously ESBLPE positive patients were tested at readmission of which 180 (40%) tested positive again for ESBL-PE. Median time to clearance was 6.6 months (range 3.4-13.4 months). After one year, 115 out of 448 patients (25.6%) were still carrier. After two years, 40 out of 448 patients (8.9%) still carried ESBL-PE (15). Zahar et al. (2010) and Reddy et al. (2007) reported 13-14% of patients still positive for ESBL-PE after 12 months, while Titelman et al. (2014) reported a percentage of 43%. However, the latter study is conducted in solely patients with a clinical infection with ESBL-PE. Birgand et al. (2013) found 25.6% still carrier after one year. This seems the most reliable estimate, since sample size was large (n=448). Another estimate sometimes used in assessing the persistence and duration of carriage with ESBL-PE is median carriage time. After an outbreak in Sweden, carriage time was screened in faeces and/or urine in 42 older patients (of which 27 patients related to the outbreak) for approximately 5 years or until they presented three consecutive negative cultures. Out of 39 patients, 16 died carrying ESBL-PE (median carriage time: 9 months (range:0-38)). Median carriage time was 7.5 months (range 0-39) for 18 out of 39 patients (41%). (24). Apisarntharnarak et al. (2008) and Zahar et al. (2010) reported shorter median duration time with 98 and 132 days respectively in both younger patient populations. Kola et al. (2007) investigated the role of surveillance and contact isolation in case of ESBL-producing Enterobacteriacea. Also, 123 hospital patients were screened for persistent ESBL-PE until 3 consecutive negative clinical and/or peri-rectal samples (one week or more apart) were obtained in the absence of an antibiotic therapy directed against ESBL-PE. Only 10 out of 123 patients (6.8%) were cleared from ESBL-PE. During the 3-year follow-up period some patients remained positive throughout (25). This is consistent with findings by Alsterlund et al. (2012), who reported that 5 out of 39 patients carried ESBL-PE for more than 3.5 years. PFGE revealed identical or closely related isolates at the beginning and end of this period (24). Several risk factors associated with prolonged carriage or clearance were described, although all in small studies. Outpatient oral use of antibiotics was associated with longer duration of colonization in one study (22). However, Alsterlund et al. (2012) did 5 not find this association. The remaining patient studies did not include quantitative data on the use of antibiotics. Urine catheters, chronic wounds, immobility and percutaneous gastrostomy were associated with carriage after 6 months (19). While another study found no associations with clinical characteristics, type of micro-organism, severity or illnesses (22). Carriage after 12 months was associated with E. coli phylogroup B2 and CTX-M group 9 (20). Clearance was associated with having the first positive culture on a screening sample only (no positive clinical sample) and having the first sample in a later time span (2005-2011 vs 1997-2004). Species and whether the ESBL-PE seemed to be imported or hospital-acquired was not associated with clearance (15). There were quite some conditions which could have led to over- or underestimation of carriage duration. Perirectal or rectal sampling could have led to under-detection because of low sensitivity or incorrect (self-)sampling (20, 23, 25). In some studies clearance was defined as three consecutive negative samples (24, 25). Negative samples do not necessarily imply that clearance has occurred, since Titelman et al. (2014) found carriers after 12 months with one or several negative previous samples. This might be due to low numbers of ESBL resistant species present in the gut compared to susceptible Enterobacteriaceae. And possibly ecological disturbances, resulting from the use of antibiotics, might promote overgrowth which causes again a positive sample (20). This could all have led to underestimation of duration. Overestimation also could have occurred since sometimes intervals between discharge and readmission can be long (15, 21). In most of the described studies in patients no typing of genes, strains or plasmids has been performed. Therefore it is unclear if ESBL-PE is persistent or newly acquired. Another possibility is that more types and/or strains are present throughout. This missing information is decreasing the reliability of the duration estimates. Since admission of positive patients might introduce and disseminate ESBL-PE in health care settings, several studies suggest routine screening and/or isolation procedures for readmitted patients previously positive for ESBL-PE (15, 19, 21, 25). Caution is still needed when samples are negative during screening (20). Retaining focus on antimicrobial stewardship is also recommended (26). NICU patients Prevalence of ESBL-PE can be high in the NICU. Also, several outbreaks of ESBL-PE have been described (27). Duration of fecal ESBL carriage was determined in 25 colonized NICU patients 1,2,4,6,9, and 12 months after discharge in a Austrian Medical University Hospital (28). Overall, 39% still carried the same ESBL producing strain (primary strain) after 1 month, 16% after 6 months and 5% after 12 months. These percentages were higher when additional strains, which were found in one third of the NICU patients, were included. Since no plasmid typing has been performed, it cannot be ascertained whether 6 these strains were newly acquired or resulting from horizontal transfer of ESBL harboring plasmids. A shorter duration of carriage was seen with Serratia marcescens compared to carriage of K. pneumonia or Klebsiella oxytoca. Several household members were sampled as well, they showed shorter duration of carriage. Lohr et al. (2013) found an on average longer carriage time with CTX-M-15 producing K. pneumonia after discharge from a NICU with an outbreak (29) (also when comparing to only Klebsiella spp. in the Austrian study (28)). Measured every 1-3 months after discharge in 51 colonized NICU patients up to 36 months, median carriage length was 12.5 months. Carriage length for household members was also significantly shorter (2.5 months) than described by Strenger et al. (2013). Both studies were similar in sampling method (fecal) and both were conducted in NICU patients after discharge. However, comparing results of these two studies results in different levels of persistence of carriage, characterized by duration of carriage in NICU patients. This might be the result of power issues, since sample sizes are modest to small in both studies. Lohr et al (2013) found antibiotic treatment and caesarian section to be associated to long-term fecal carriage. In the study by Strenger et al (2013) they did assess potential risk factors like antibiotic treatment and feeding, but the sample size was too low to estimate possible associations. Fecal carriage might be prolonged in infants due to their developing intestinal flora (28). Besides, different circumstances such as antibiotic treatment, parenteral feeding and caesarian section might alter the flora and therefore vulnerable to prolonged carriage of ESBL-producing bacteria (29). Strenger et al. (2013) recommends intensified hygiene precautions at readmission because of the possible long carriage time. Although these studies give relevant insight in the carriage duration in NICU patients, it is hard to draw any conclusions about median carriage time in the general population since the study participants were so specific. Underlying health issues might be of influence. Non-patient studies Prevalence of carriage with ESBL-PE can differ greatly over the world (30). In many countries it is a major clinical concern. High prevalence is reported in especially Asia and South America (30-32). Foreign travel is a risk factor for acquiring ESBL-PE. In a study by Tängdén et al (2010), to determine foreign travel as a risk factor for acquisition of ESBL producing Enterobacteriaceae, 21 healthy travelers which became colonized during international travel were followed. After 6 months, 5 out of 21 (24%) travelers still carried ESBL producing E. coli. None of the participants reported clinical infection or antibiotic treatment (9). Tham et al (2012) reported similar results; 10 out of 41 (24%) international travelers still carried ESBL-producing E. coli after 3-8 months (16). After 3 years, 4 out of 41 (10%) were still carriers. Approximately half of the persistent carriers 7 carried the same E. coli strain at the different follow-up points as in the beginning. It is unclear whether other E. coli strains are newly acquired or a result from transfer trough plasmids. If newly acquired, clearance of the primary strain may be assumed. This would have resulted in overestimation of rate and duration of persistent colonization. Unfortunately, sample size in both studies is small and there were only one or two follow-up times. However, these studies imply that persistent colonization with ESBL-PE in patients who have been traveling internationally does occur. This is of importance for guidelines regarding traveling history in health care. More research is needed to establish a proper time interval in which traveling is a concern in case of hospitalization, especially in countries with a relatively low prevalence of ESBL-PE. As international adoption is associated with higher carriage of ESBL-PE (33, 34), Tande et al (2010) performed research on intrafamilial transmission of ESBL-producing E. coli and Salmonella enterica Babelsberg among families of adopted children from Mali (35). Adopted children were screened monthly till three consecutive negative samples. Mean carriage time for 22 colonized children was 9 months (range 1-15 months). The authors suggested routine screening for adopted children and their families. The risk of transmission into health care settings can be present for a longer period of time, since colonization can persist for more than one year. In a Chinese study, duration of ESBL producing E. coli stool colonization of healthy medical students was assessed (36). They were followed for 4 months and provided fecal samples every 2 weeks. The median duration of colonization was 59 days (range 14112). Out of 41 medical students, 28 (68%) remained colonized during the 4 month follow-up time. No association with gender or antibiotic treatment, which was used by 10 students during follow-up, were found. Since ESBL types and E. coli strains are not known, duration time might be overestimated. Transmission from patient to student or student to student might have occurred. 8 Discussion For adult hospital patients, most studies reported that approximately half of them still carried ESBL-PE after 6 months (range 33-53%) (19-22). After 12 months, a study by Birgand et al. (2013) with a large sample size (n=448) reported 25.6%(15). Other studies with considerable smaller sample sizes (n=33-62) found percentages from 13 till 43% (20, 21, 23). Median carriage time was reported from 98 days till more than 9 months, as where the latter was found in elderly people dying carrying ESBL-PE (21, 22, 24). Both Alsterlund et al. (2012) and Kola et al. (2007), although for a minority of patients, reported carriage time for more than three years. Prolonged carriage with ESBL-PE was associated with outpatient oral use of antibiotics, urine catheters, chronic wounds, immobility and percutaneous gastrostomy, E. coli phylogroup B2, and CTX-M group 9 (19, 20, 22). However, these associations were not consistently found throughout the different studies. Clearance was associated with having the first positive culture on a screening sample only (no positive clinical sample) and having the first sample in a later time span (2005-2011 vs 1997-2004) (15). Two studies with relatively small sample sizes (n=25, n=51) were available for NICU patients. Median carriage time was 12.5 months by Lohr et al. (2013), while Strenger et al. (2013) reported 5% carriage after 12 months. Prolonged duration was associated with K. pneumonia or K. oxytoca compared to S. marcensens, antibiotic treatment and caesarian section (28, 29). Of travelers, 24% carried ESBL-producing E. coli after 3-8 months (9, 16). Mean carriage time for 22 adopted children from Mali was 9 months (range 1-15 months) (35). Out of 41 Chinese medical students, 28 (68%) remained colonized for 4 months. There is great variation in duration of carriage with ESBL-PE described by the different studies. There are various reasons to consider for these differences found. In several studies, sample size was small. This have led to uncertainty in the estimates found due to power issues. Also, persistence and duration was determined by different definitions and criteria. Sometimes intervals between first sampling and follow-up were really long, which could have led to overestimation. Measurements below detection level, or errors in sampling might have led to underestimation of the carriage period. Intermittent carriage has also been reported. Strain typing was mostly absent in the majority of studies and therefore it is unknown, when persistent carriage with ESBL-PE occurred, and whether the same strain was detected. In many studies it cannot be excluded that a primary strain was lost and that a new ESBL-producing strain might have been acquired. On the other hand, when strain information is present results are still hard to interpret. If a secondary strain but no primary strain was detected at follow-up, different scenarios have to be considered illustrating the complexity of ESBL epidemiology. First, both 9 strains could have been present from the beginning, but not picked up consistently due to the detection level. Second, plasmid transfer might have occurred from the primary to the secondary strain. Third, the secondary strain could have been newly acquired. Plasmid typing could have given some clearance on these issues, but this information is unfortunately mostly absent. Shorter follow-up intervals could also give more insight in the dynamics of the ESBL-PE strain present. Most studies were conducted in hospital patients. Due to underlying conditions, such as (chronic) illnesses and the use of antibiotics, duration might be prolonged compared to non-patients. When results were originating from non-patient populations, there might still be a higher risk for prolonged duration since other risk factors like international traveling or contact with patients were present. Studies were conducted in different countries with different circumstances. Policy regarding carriage with ESBL-PE might differ from country to country, but also from hospital to hospital. Thus, study populations were really specific and therefore hard to compare with each other, and also difficult to generalize to the general population. Patients with ESBL-PE colonization are at increased risk of ESBL-PE infection (23, 3739). A longer duration of carriage with ESBL-PE might influence the risk of carriage with ESBL-PE for the patient itself, since infection from original gut colonization can occur for a longer time span. In addition, within household transmission is often described (28, 29, 35, 40, 41). Duration of ESBL-PE carriage might also affect these dynamics. Routine screening and/or contact restriction is suggested for previously ESBL-PE positive patients. Surveillance during hospital stay might not be a feasible strategy, because patients remain colonized for periods that surpasses the average duration of hospitalization. Also, clearance does not seem as a common event. It seems more relevant to focus on prevention of transmission instead on clearance, because clearance is hard to accomplish. It is clear that carriage with ESBL-PE can occur for a long period of time within patients. 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