Homework 3 GEOG 313/513, Global Climate Change, Fall 2014 Due Tuesday, October 21, 2014 (beginning of class) Your name: ___________________________________________________ Please answer the following questions in a different font (like this) to help me find your answers. You may work in a group, but your answers and words must be your own (do not copy!). Turn in a print out of your homework in class. Your homework is due at the beginning of class. If you turn it after that, you will incur late penalties (see syllabus). 1. Explain why “loading the dice” (or replacing the face with one dot with six dots on a die) is an analogy for the link between climate change and extreme events like heat waves or superstorms. (5 points) 2. Carbon cycle and paleoclimatology. a. Why are “fossil fuels” called that? (2 points) b. Your acquaintance from above points out that changes in CO2 “lagged” (followed) changes in temperature during the Pleistocene (2 million to 12,000 years before present), and therefore even if humans are emitted CO2, it isn’t having an effect on climate. How would you respond? (5 points) 3. Estimate your carbon footprint. A carbon footprint is a “measure of the impact human activities have on the environment in terms of the amount of greenhouse gases produced, measured in units of carbon dioxide”. Your personal carbon footprint is defined by the total actions your personally are accountable for over the course of one year, and their equivalent in terms of kilograms of carbon dioxide. For this exercise, you will be estimating your direct emissions (typically from home energy usage and transportation). This value represents about one quarter of your total carbon footprint, as other activities include indirect consumption and emission of carbon dioxide. As a second part of this exercise you will be asked to think of your indirect carbon dioxide emissions, and means by which you can reduce both your indirect and direct carbon footprint. Finally, food choices may be important from a monetary and health perspective. However, food choices also have ramifications in terms of carbon emissions. You will examine how your favorite food indirectly contributes to anthropogenic emissions of greenhouses gases. Part I. Calculate Your Personal CO2 Emissions (20 points) To estimate your personal emissions you will need to gather a few pieces of data. Please show your work in computing your estimated CO2 emissions! Sources for emission factors: http://www.epa.gov/cleanenergy/energy-resources/refs.html, http://www.carbonfund.org/how-we-calculate. A. CO2 emissions at home I. Electricity. You will need to estimate the number of kilowatt hours (kWh) used annually (check a recent electricity bill) and divide by the number of people in your household. If you happen to live on campus, then assume 1500kWh per year. Next, we must consider where our electricity comes from. In Idaho we rely almost solely on hydroelectric power generation, which lowers our emission of CO2 per kWh of electricity. Find Idaho’s emission factor for electricity usage here: http://www.eia.gov/oiaf/1605/eefactors.html for (metric tons CO2/MWh, which equals kg CO2/kWh). Monthly Usage (kWh) II. Multiply by 12 Divide by People Per Household Multiply by emission factor for Idaho from above (i) Natural Gas Estimate your monthly gas bill using the same method as above. If you are in a dorm assume 0 emissions. The carbon dioxide emission factor for natural gas is 5.3 kg CO2 per therm. Monthly Usage Multiply by 12 Divide by People Per Household Multiply by 5.3 kg CO2/therm (ii) Add (I+II) together to get your annual direct emissions from household use. _____________ (I) B. Transportation i) Personal Automobile How many miles do you drive in a car each year : _________________ (A) Average number of people in car (including you) : _________________ (B) Average number of miles per gallon (MPG) : _________________ (C) (look up your fuel usage efficiency on web at http://www.fueleconomy.gov/) To convert between fuel consumption in gallons and carbon dioxide emissions, you need to consider that roughly 8.9 kg CO2 are emitted for each gallon of fuel. That is 20 lbs of carbon dioxide per gallon (yes, a gallon of gas weighs about 7 lbs…see why it results in 20 lbs of carbon dioxide at http://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/co2.shtml). Annual Miles Driven (A) Divide by Average People in Car (B) Divide by MPG (C) Multiply by 8.9 kg CO2/gallon (II) ii) Public transit (excluding air travel) Number of miles traveled per year : Multiply by 0.107 kg CO2 /mile Annual CO2 usage from public transit : _____________________ x 0.107 kg CO2/mile ____________________ (III) iii) Air Travel Number of miles traveled per year Multiply by 0.22 kg CO2/mile Annual CO2 usage from air transit : ___________________ x 0.22 kg CO2/mile ____________________ (IV) Cumulative CO2 from Transportation (II+III+IV) : ____________________ (V) Direct CO2 Emissions (I+V) : ____________________ (VI) C. Indirect emissions Typical CO2 emissions calculated in Part I (excluding extraordinary air travel) represent only about 25% of your total CO2 emissions (for the US in general). Indirect emissions are notorious challenging to quantify given the “life-cycle” of material goods. Estimate your indirect emissions by clicking on the “Secondary” tab from the following site: http://www.carbonfootprint.com/calculator.aspx. Remember to convert to kg CO2e. Estimated indirect CO2 emissions : ____________________ (VII) Estimated total annual CO2 emissions (VI+VII) : ____________________ (VIII) Part II. Answer the following questions a. What is your carbon footprint per year equivalent to in terms of (see http://www.epa.gov/cleanenergy/energy-resources/calculator.html): (6 points) i. passenger vehicles ii. miles/year by average passenger vehicle iii. gallons of gasoline iv. homes’ energy use for one year v. tree seedlings grown for 10 years b. Use the following web page to answer the below questions: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_carbon_dioxide_emissions (use 2010 emissions; note that the units are metric tons (“t”; 1000 kg), so convert to kg). (6 points) i. How does your C footprint compare with the average person (per capita) in the US? ii. In the “World” (see entry in list)? iii. What country is your carbon footprint closest to? c. What realistic changes in your lifestyle would result in the largest reductions in your carbon footprint? Subtract the difference from your total (show your work). What country would you be closest to then? (5 points) d. Electrical power is an important aspect of CO2 emissions. Redo the calculations using the below values and add the difference to your totals (show your work). (4 points) i. the US average of 0.69 kg CO2/kWh. ii. the value for Wyoming (0.973 kg CO2/kWh). Graduate student question a. Using the global carbon budget figure from the IPCC AR5 Working Group I (shown in class), calculate the percentage of human-caused emissions relative to the total amount of inputs to the atmosphere. (4 points) b. Given this, how can human emissions be causing any climate change? (5 points)