Investigating Wind Energy in the Southwest Washington Coastal Region Energy Systems and Climate Change – E.J. Zita The Evergreen State College Fall 2011 – Winter 2012 By: Zach Baugher Introduction: Having been in Washington for most of my life, I’ve come to recognize much of what we as inhabitants of this place are so lucky to have. Many of these things, resources in particular, have long been misused by our citizenry and outsiders alike, yet some invaluable ones exist under-utilized to this day. This is the case over and over, across our nation and others. Resources are finally being reassessed for broader outlooks and those who know the scale of the climate change problem understand that the time is now for concerted action. In our efforts to mitigate climate change, a highly versatile approach has proven more effective both in adapting to the future climate and making the most of what we have now with the least negative impact. I’ve stood witness to the boon of wind-energy in central Washington over the latter half of the past decade; from memories of the now defunct Darrieus (eggbeater) turbine whirring in the dusty hills to the chains of monolithic generators sprouting up along the I-90 corridor. Now, having the opportunity to investigate the topic via this Energy Systems and Climate Change program, I’m faced with a multi-faceted question and a bit of starting direction. The direction is inspired in particular by the research of one John Dabiri, a graduate from the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena. His findings, presented to The Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy in his paper titled Potential order-of-magnitude enhancement of wind farm power density via counter-rotating vertical-axis wind turbine arrays changed my understanding of the conventional wind farm fundamentally [1]. Formerly, I kept a lot of interest in the evolution of towering horizontal-axis wind turbines (HAWTs) like those in eastern Washington, finding their ever-increasing size and capability highly impressive. I completely respect the engineering marvels these machines represent, but we must avoid tunnel-vision in solving our energy needs. New understanding of spacing requirements, particularly among larger windmills, is a product of the relatively new practice of large scale farm simulation in computational fluid dynamics (CFD) software. These analyses show the spacing in wind farm layouts were, in many cases insufficient to achieve 90% performance of an unobstructed turbine, a standard in array efficiency [5]. As the title of Dabiri’s report alludes to, his experiments showed order-of-magnitude improvements in Watts generated per m-2 over conventional wind farms using far-smaller vertical-axis wind turbines (VAWTs, like the Darrieus) arranged in counter-rotating patterns for aerodynamic efficiency [1]. Not surprisingly, wind farms have grown up faster than the science around them, multiplying capacities nationwide in just a few years. Understanding of large-scale aerodynamics, primarily the effect of turbulence both on and as a result of massive HAWTs, is a particularly shocking void as this means existing arrays were installed on generous investment (of cash and materials) prior to access to sufficient software simulation and analysis even existed [5]. This is not to say thought and investigation wasn’t invested in these installations, but as our knowledge improves and our means improve, our approach must evolve before we find out we’ve done too little, too late. Being a designer at heart, issues of efficiency put fire in my belly and in this case I’m led to a surprisingly unanswered question: What is the wind-energy potential along our coastline, and what is the best approach to capturing that energy given new means and methods? After investigating what kind of a resource coastal wind can be, it is the prerogative of my work to answer a larger question. By what factor might an efficiently designed coastal VAWT array outperform some of Washington’s existing HAWT installations in Watts/m-2 and overall cost in $/MWh produced? Project Description: I intend to break my research into three distinct portions, each feeding off of the last to move toward a more complete understanding of wind-energy’s future on (and perhaps off) of our coastline. My initial focus will be gathering all relevant wind data to establish a baseline for wind energy potential in the Long Beach region. From this localized analysis I hope to determine an accessible locale showing consistently strong winds, where I can collect my own data on-site for cross analysis. This would allow me to adjust for ‘realization’ of the actual wind energy potential for a broad area at varying points (directly on-shore [levee], directly off-shore [barge/boat mounted], and off-shore [pylon, platform]). Currently I’ve located datasets from the National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL), USGS, Windwatch.org (an online windsurfing community with years of localized coastal wind data), AMS, local municipal archives and I will be taking anemometer readings of my own to cross-examine these data [8][10][12]. After creating wind-roses for all of my collected wind data begins an investigation of the various VAWT designs, focusing on apparatuses particularly well-suited for coastal installations. Currently, there are multiple sea-worthy VAWTs with power capabilities exceeding 3MWe, while smaller designs provide incredible diversity and strength –able to collect the slightest breezes at ground level or just above [6]. Part of the motivation here is the frustration in seeing how much material is invested into getting a rareearth metal-intensive 3MW conventional turbine hundreds of feet off the ground [13]. The same materials would go a long way toward building an array of vertical axis wind turbines. Combined with evidence that the global wind power available 30 feet off the ground is greater than the world's energy needs several times over, this approach is accessible, smaller and more productive/m2, at a lower operating cost than any horizontal turbine array in the northwest [1]. By gaining an understanding of the wind resource our coast provides, a calculation can be done to describe what it would take to offset the electrical consumption of the entire coastal region using wind as an on-site, renewable resource [6]. Combining data for potential VAWT array productivity and the necessary offset should result in a reasonable scenario for achieving net-zero consumption on the coastline. Such a project, carried out to capacity, would create hundreds of local jobs in the short term and energy-stability over the long term for the coastal region and beyond [3]. Bridging the gap between these analyses of energy potential and the people who have the means to act on this information is a primary deliverable of my research. A demonstration table will act as a scale, topographically-accurate representation of some site with various turbine arrangement possibilities (See rendering below). A key part of this display is an adjustable laminar-air fan (also pictured) mounted at one end blowing across the scene. This fan more accurately represents inbound sea winds before becoming highly turbulent from surface friction, whereas a circular fan creates an unnatural ‘pulsing’ of air which may well negate my study of turbine airfoil interaction at the scale level. After replicating conditions for the directly on-shore site using the demonstration table, a platform with similar adjustability will be mounted to a scale barge to test the effect of waves (pitch and yaw) on VAWT efficiency in a wave tank. My means for measuring turbine rotation rates at scale will be comprised of a counting-sensor array hooked up to a simple digital display. By constructing this platform, wired in such a way to allow ‘plug & play’ adjustment for testing, I will have also created an interactive educational tool. Part experiment, part visual aid; one display for this project is the scale test bed, made accessible for all to experience-directly the effect of changing turbine placement on array efficiency. A further level of investigation would be carrying out my own CFD analysis for entire-array efficiency, basing the models on the arrangements proving most-efficient in scale testing. I would like to put my experience with CAD and simulation software to use and I believe a CFD representation either confirming or contradicting my scale findings would tell me a lot about the effectiveness of my scale testing method. The only way to test my method further would be a ‘boots on the ground’ installation and analyses of full-scale VAWT arrays on location, collecting substantial data over time. As this does not fall within the realm of possibility during a three month program, combining scale and simulated results shall provide evidence confirming my hypothesis: Wind energy along the Pacific coast is under-utilized. New evidence shows potential order-of-magnitude improvements in W/m-2 over conventional wind arrays using increasingly effective vertical axis wind turbines. This technology thrives in low-altitude gusty winds providing megawatts with minimal visual and environmental impact, perfect for tourismreliant coastal towns. Following the conclusion of scale and simulation work, I will coalesce my findings into a useful, searchable excel datasheet providing combined wind data and placement efficiencies. This will also be a time to refine my working test bed into a more user-friendly learning apparatus. This will be accompanied by instructions and explanation of my research findings in the form of a poster board. As a critical element of the academic program my findings will be presented at the Evergreen Science Fair and before any funding committees. Additionally, throughout each stage of research I will post follow- up slidecasts on our program webpage, providing access to my progress along the way. I also intend to send slidecasts and information about my research to the Washington State Department of Commerce Energy Office, The Washington Bureau of Land Management, and the American Wind Energy Association, in the hopes of receiving guidance and assistance in bringing this capability, by whatever means a single citizen can achieve, to the windy coast. This project’s coordination with Energy Systems and Climate Change will conclude upon final presentation before my peers of all research/investigative findings and visual displays, prior to March 9th. Impact on my Educational Career: This research will equate to the Capstone project of my undergraduate career. While even as a senior I can’t say exactly what direction my degree from Evergreen will take me in the coming years, I predict that undertaking this project will, like many college experiences, tell me plenty about what I can do with my newfound knowledge. I have a tremendous interest in Architecture and the history of dwellings and as a primary contributor to CO2 emissions, building sciences have a long way to go, meaning plenty of research and experimentation for the willing. What I hope to prove with this project is that I have honed my investigative mind, both capable of coming to a new understanding of how something works and describe that something effectively to the bystander. This is why Capstone describes well the undertaking I’m dedicating myself to for three months, to expand what I do know and to erase another chunk of what I do not. Project Significance: Beyond the significance for me and for this program, the ultimate legacy of such a research project would be to set in motion a series of events needed to bring wind energy here before climate change pushes the ocean into vast swaths of the same coastal lowlands that wind as a clean resource could help to protect. In my humble opinion, the unbridled potential of continued research on the topic really could lead to a coastline with net-zero electrical consumption. I hope to find taking on such a task both a wise economic and ecological decision for growing Washington’s wind energy portfolio. By combining research detailing one order-of-magnitude improvement with the advantage in wind energy density our coast has over the eastern Washington plains (along with the inherent benefits of vertical-axis wind turbines) I believe the case will be made clear for acting on the data. As nations worldwide begin to literally test the waters of coastal wind power, Washington may have no reason not to follow suit and progress our nation towards sustainable existence. Proposed Timeline: Week 9th-13th Jan. 16th-20th Jan. 23rd-27th Jan. 30th Jan. - 3rd Feb. 6th-10th Feb. 13th-17th Feb. 20th-24th Feb. 27th Feb. – 2nd March. 5th-9th March Follow-up Tasks Collect data Devise means for data analysis Final revisions CEC prop. Data Analysis Recognize potential sites Research VAWTs Slidecast 1 Apply for funding Data analysis Data collection Research VAWTs Construction of test bed Investigate sensor setup Complete data analysis Construct test bed Construct scale turbines Finish test bed construction Purchase laminar fan Construct scale turbines Install sensor array Set up wave-tank analysis Slidecast 2 Scale testing + wave Conduct simulated analyses Begin final PowerPoint and visual aids Finish simulations Evaluate & continue scale testing Presentation materials Convert test bed into vis. aid Complete all presentation materials Submit/present findings to CEC/others. Slidecast 3 Final Presentation Evergreen Science Carnival (Late May) Send findings and requests for assistance in furthering my research and my cause Notes Key Deliverables: Final Research Proposal (This document) A series of Slidecasts following progress Searchable excel wind/power potential-database Scale test bed/interactive visual aid Final Report to involved parties, class Share results, petition State for action Primary Materials: Item Use Quantity Source/$ each Anemometer Wind-speed meter 2 Lab Stores 1 Lab Stores 12 Potentially lab stores Wave tank Counting sensor Wave-generating test bed Micro-sensor for counting rotations/min 3/16” mill Al sheeting 3’x3’ Blade construction 1 $21.98 Homedepot.com oak dowel 1/4” x 3’ Turbine shafts 8 $.98 Homedepot.com 1/4” Plywood 4’ x 8’ Table, Topography construction 4 $24.42 Homedepot.com 2” x 2” x 8’ Furring strip Table legs, supports 4 $1.52 Homedepot.com Dyson Air Multiplier tower fan Laminar wind source 1 $449.00 Homedepot.com Digital counter Data assimilation 1 Lab Stores? Digital Display Data Display 2 Lab Stores? Estimated Total $600 Annotated Bibliography: [1] ScienceDaily Wind-turbine placement produces tenfold power increase, researchers say. at http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/07/110713092153.htm This article provides a foundation for one important facet of my research, which is to make the most energy per unit of land area. Research has shown that will careful arrangement these vertical axis wind turbines (VAWTs) can have an order of magnitude higher Watt/meter^2 electrical generation over conventional, horizontal axis wind farms. I’ve sourced the original article, presented in the Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy in order to extract the game-changing organizational strategies for use in my own experiments. This information seems highly reliable and substantive toward my research goals. Link to journal article source: Dabiri, J.O. Potential order-of-magnitude enhancement of wind farm power density via counter-rotating vertical-axis wind turbine arrays. Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy 3, 043104 (2011). [2] Janet L. Sawin and Eric Martinot & Martinot, J.L.S. and E. Renewable Energy World. Renewables Bounced Back in 2010, Finds REN21 Global Report (2011).at http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2011/09/renewables-bounced-back-in-2010finds-ren21-global-report This is an article reviewing the state of multiple fields of renewable energy after a tremendous bounceback in 2010. It shows that multiple sectors are growing worldwide, giving evidence for the seriousness with which countries and major corporations are approaching the energy crisis and climate change in general. The wind sector grew the most last year, by nearly 39GW of added capacity, three times the growth experienced just five years prior. Clearly wind has caught the eye of investors and policymakers alike. The information for this article was collaborated from the REN21 Global Report, something I would assume to be fairly impartial and factual about the changes in renewables fields. [3] SeaRoc to provide two Meteorological Masts to Forewind on Round 3 offshore wind farm, Dogger Bank | Natural Power. at http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/partner/naturalpower/news/article/2011/10/searoc-to-provide-two-meteorological-masts-to-forewind-on-round-3offshore-wind-farm-dogger-bank This is an article providing some basic background information on the sea-wind industry, helping me to understand the various complexities of such an endeavor. [4] Offshore Wind Energy | Offshore Wind Farms. at http://www.oceanenergycouncil.com/index.php/Offshore-Wind/Offshore-Wind-Energy.html This resource has a broad spectrum of useful information and sources for my research. One particularly enticing tidbit, the site states that “Few studies have been carried out to determine the total global marine current resource, although it is estimated to exceed 450 GW (Blue Energy, 2000).” Perhaps a lot has changed in the field, but clearly there are resources out there yet to be investigated and understood, something I intend to achieve through research. [5] Optimizing large wind farms. at <http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/11/101123174322.htm> The article from November of 2010 reviews the findings of researchers from Johns Hopkins University and Leuven University in Belgium, who did some of the earliest large-scale wind-farm CFD analyses and found that the conventional spacing of 5-7 rotor diameters between turbines was less than half of what their findings recommended as optimal. Instead at least 15 rotor diameters is often required to achieve equivalent efficiency to an unobstructed turbine. Because the findings are computationally based, and the methods for CFD are well-known (just immature in multi-turbine testing), I find no evidence discrediting the information given. [6] Aspects when installing a wind turbine Wind energy - NTNU. at <http://www.ivt.ntnu.no/offshore2/?page_id=291> This website has a number of useful pages giving everything from the pros and cons of HAWT and VAWT systems to the math behind wind energy. Mostly scientifically-based information, trustworthy source. [7] Better turbine spacing for large wind farms. at <http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/01/110120111332.htm> Another article that recites much of the information from source [5], but being from 2011 this includes some useful new facts and findings, as well as details a scale testing model similar to what I intend to create, only theirs replicate HAWTs in a wind tunnel. What is hard to represent, and interesting to note, is the fact that large wind turbines are able to tap into the strong upper wind currents by the act of causing turbulence, literally dragging more fast-moving air down. Their ability to do this only seems to complicate, yet with great reward, the act of siting one of these turbines. All information seems credible, just provides an interesting insight into the inner working of large wind farms. [8] National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) Home Page. at <http://www.nrel.gov/> An excellent resource for all things renewable energy! I made specific use of the wind data maps they provide, though their data is for the 50-90m range, which I must still determine to be be useful towards calculating surface wind speeds from the coast seaward. Being a governmental lab, and division of the U.S. Department of Energy, I’ve found the information given valuable and highly reliable. Maps available directly at http://www.windpoweringamerica.gov/wind_maps.asp [9] Global warming won’t harm wind energy production, climate models predict. at <http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/05/110502151355.htm> This is a really important and useful report by a pair of Indiana University Bloomington scientists who analyzed output from several regional climate models to assess future wind patterns in the lower 48. Alluding again to the infancy of wind energy science, one author said "We decided it was time someone did a thorough analysis of long term-patterns in wind density," and "There are a lot of myths out there about the stability of wind patterns, and industry and government also want more information before making decisions to expand it." Intriguing and potentially useful information, especially considering their finding that wind energy density just east of the Cascades will likely fall somewhere between 5 and 10 percent between 2000 and around 2050. I have to take this one with a grain of salt though, as anything based off climate models is inherently subject to some margin of error. [10] Wind Energy | Oregon/Washington | Bureau of Land Management (BLM) | US Department of the Interior. at <http://www.blm.gov/or/energy/windenergy/index.php> While I have yet to fully get what I want out of this page, that being wind roses for Washington cities, I can figure out how to make them for Oregon cities, which leads me to believe that, with more time scouring the site I will be able to find some highly useful data. Wind roses for coastal cities would provide hard data for calculating average wind speed at lower altitude as these are based off of historical data collected from weather stations on rooftops and the like. [11] The Home Depot website. at <http://www.Thehomedepot.com> Perhaps my favorite source, and greatly improved since last I found myself on its pages, the Home Depot has a vast online warehouse listing prices for every last nut and bolt, making project costing a breeze. While some prices are ‘online only’ the option to show only what’s available in your local warehouse lets you know whether or not you’ll have to go to Lowes ;-) [12] WindAlert.com homepage. at <http://www.windalert.com> A Windsurfer’s resource, the site has localized wind data dating back to 2007, I just need to verify the source of individual location data so I can verify what altitude readings were taken, as I presume will be a particular difficulty in finding qualitative wind record data. [13] Northwest Mining Association informational PDF. at <http://www.nwma.org/pdf/Wind_Power_Needs_American_Minerals%20%282%29.pdf> While the exact validity of this data is perhaps questionable, even as estimates this document points out both the necessity of mined materials and our reliance on imports for continued windmill installation, an undeniable fact given current technology.