Harvard Year 1 Accomplishments for Geoinformatics: Community Computational Platforms for Developing Three-Dimensional Models of Earth Structure, Phase II We have developed a first-generation California statewide Unified Structural Representation (USR) that incorporates the latest faults from the SCEC Statewide Community Fault Model and major basin structures. The USR will be used in 3D waveform tomographic inversions to refine our understanding of crust and upper mantle velocity structure and facilitate improved strong ground motion forecasting. The model includes a new description of the Central Valley (San Joaquin and Sacramento Basin), components from the USGS San Francisco Bay Area Model (Brocher et al., 2005), the SCEC southern California Community Velocity Model (CVM-H v. 15.1) (Shaw et al., 2015). This new USR include tens of thousands of direct velocity and density measurements that span scales from decimeter borehole observations to 100 km long basin structures. Thus, careful attention has been paid to preparing and integrating these data into compatible model components. One of the goals of our project is to extend numerical wave propagation studies to higher frequencies (> 2 Hz), which requires that we enhance the new velocity models using statistical descriptions of fine-scale velocity heterogeneities. These heterogeneities can be strong in sedimentary basins and have spatially anisotropic statistical distributions (Magistrale et al., 1996; Süss and Shaw, 2003; Brocher, 2005). While we have local measures of fine-scale velocity structure (down to meter scales) along boreholes with sonic logs, there is not a sufficient density of such samples to facilitate the development of a deterministic regional model. Thus, in collaboration with SCEC investigators we have developed a statistical description of fine-scale velocity structure, informed by more than one million measurements in borehole sonic logs and geological correlations. Specifically, we have defined the Vp and Vs variability (≈ 6.5 and 7.6 %, respectively) present in the well data but not represented in the basin models, and established vertical (80 m) and horizontal (2000 m) correlation lengths for fine-scale velocity structures using wells across the LA basin as well as in tightly clustered oil fields. We anticipate using these results in year two of our study to develop a statistical representation of fine scale wave speed structure as an enhancement to the new Statewide USR. Finally, we have developed new data and metadata standards for the representation and delivery of the various geological and geophysical constraints used to develop these models. These datasets include borehole measurements of Vp, Vs, or density, stacking velocity measurements, and constraints on geological interfaces such as the top of crystalline basement or Moho. These metadata structures will enable the direct comparison of perturbations from seismic tomography with the original data coverages used to parameterize the starting model. Such comparisons can determine if large perturbations from the inversions correspond to regions of rich or poor data constraints in the original models, thereby helping to assess the validity of the inversion results. Ultimately, we anticipate that waveform tomography will directly consider these constraints in the inversions, weighting values in the starting models based on the degree to which they are directly constrained. This will help to focus perturbations from the inversions in areas where the starting models are less certain, likely yielding improvements in the resolved velocity structures. We plan to disseminate these new models and their data and metadata components through the UCVM framework. References Brocher, T.M., R.C. Jachens, R. W. Graymer, C. W. Wentworth, B. Aagaard, and R. W. Simpson, 2005, A new community 3D seismic velocity model for the San Francisco bay Area: USGS Bay Area Velocity Model 05.00, SCEC Annual Meeting, Proceedings and Abstracts, Volume XV, p. 110. Brocher, T.M., 2005, A regional view of urban sedimentary basins in Northern California based on oil industry compressional-wave velocity and density logs, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, vol.95, no.6, pp.2093-2114. Magistrale, H., S. Day, R. W. Clayton, and R. Graves (2000), The SCEC Southern California Reference Three-Dimensional Seismic Velocity Model Version 2, BSSA 90, S65-S76. Süss, P., and J. H. Shaw, P wave seismic velocity structure derived from sonic logs and industry reflection data in the Los Angeles basin, California, JGR 108(B3), doi:10.1029/2001JB001628. Shaw, J. H., A. Plesch, C. Tape, M. P. Suess, T. H. Jordan, G. Ely, E. Hauksson, J. Tromp, T. Tanimoto, R. Graves, K. Olsen, C. Nicholson, P. J. Maechling, C. Rivero, P. Lovely, C. M. Brankman, J. Munster, 2015, Unified Structural Representation of the southern California crust and upper mantle, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 415, 1–15. Broader Impacts This work directly addresses the goal of improving seismic hazards assessment by advancing the methodology for defining regional 3D fault systems and seismic velocity structure. These models are used as the starting point for 3D seismic waveform inversions, which further refine our understanding of wave speed structure and therefore help to improve the accuracy of strong ground motion predictions. Our goal is to develop model development workflows, data structures, and computational platforms that can be used to address seismic hazards in earthquake prone regions worldwide. Publications Shaw, J. H., A. Plesch, C. Tape, M. P. Suess, T. H. Jordan, G. Ely, E. Hauksson, J. Tromp, T. Tanimoto, R. Graves, K. Olsen, C. Nicholson, P. J. Maechling, C. Rivero, P. Lovely, C. M. Brankman, J. Munster, 2015, Unified Structural Representation of the southern California crust and upper mantle, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 415, 1–15. Abstracts Gill, D., P. Small, P. Maechling, T. Jordan, J.H. Shaw, A. Plesch, P. Chen, E. Lee, R. Taborda, K. Olsen, S. Callaghan, 2014, UCVM: Open Source Software for Understanding and Delivering 3D Velocity Models, IN23D-3752, AGU Annual Meeting, San Francisco, CA. Nicholson, C., A. Plesch, C. Sorlien, J.H. Shaw, and E. Haukson, 2014, The SCEC 3D Community Fault Model (CFM-v5): An updated and expanded fault set of oblique crustal deformation and complex fault interaction for southern California T31B-4584, AGU Annual Meeting, San Francisco, CA. Plesch, A., C. Nicholson, C. Sorlien, J. H. Shaw, and E. Hauksson, 2014, SCEC Community Fault Model Version 5.0, SCEC Annual Meeting, Palm Springs, CA. Plesch, A., Shaw, J. H., Song, X., Jordan, T. H., 2014, Stochastic Descriptions of FineScale Basin Velocity Structure from Well Logs and the SCEC Community Velocity Model (CVMH), SSA Annual Meeting, Alaska, p431. Song, X., T.H. Jordan, A. Plesch, J.H. Shaw, 2014, Stochastic Descriptions of SmallScale, Near-Surface Velocity Variations in the Los Angeles Basin for Modeling Earthquake Ground Motions, T33A-4649, AGU Annual Meeting, San Francisco, CA. Personnel This grant support Senior Research Associate Andreas Plesch. Dr. Plesch is the chief developer of the SCEC Statewide CFM and CVM-H, and played a leading role in constructing the Statewide USR. Dr. Plesch also worked collaboratively with the PI’s (Jordan, Shaw) to examine the velocity variability with the goal of developing a stochastic representation of fine scale velocity structure. Travel None Additional Collaborators The Harvard group works closely with various groups in the energy industry and software developers that have contributed datasets and applications that contributed to this project. Figure Perspective view of the California Statewide USR, including components from the SCEC Statewide Community Fault Model (SCFM). Basin structures are outlined in red, and include a new Central Valley basin model, the USGS Bay Area Model, and basins from the latest generation SCEC southern California USR.