EPPL 612 – Bitto & Goff Ooo R U, A? ____________________ Salty Seas Lab Activity: Five Different Methods for Estimating Salinity Nothing impacts life in an estuary so much as the ever-shifting salinity of the water. Salinity is the concentration of dissolved ions in the water, especially Sodium (Na+) and Chloride (Cl-) from the ionic compound NaCl (table salt), but also other ions like potassium (K+), Calcium (Ca2+), Magnesium (Mg2+), and Sulfate (SO42-). Salinity is usually measured in parts per thousand (ppt), which is just the percent salt multiplied by ten. Quite a few methods exist for estimating the total salinity of seawater. Your Mission: Estimate the salinity of a sample of seawater using five different methods - hydrometer, refractometer, titration, evaporation, and conductivity - and evaluate the accuracy and handiness of each. Procedure Your teacher will create a single solution of seawater of unknown salinity. Travel with your partner(s) to each of the five salinity stations around the room, and make five independent estimates of the sample’s salinity. Find instructions for each method on the colored sheets at each station. It doesn’t matter what order you go in. When you finish a station, just hit the next one available. Record your own estimates of the salinity in the first row of the Data Table below. Later you will record the estimates made by your classmates. Titration Your Estimates Classmate Estimates #1 Classmate Estimates #2 Classmate Estimates #3 Classmate Estimates #4 Classmate Estimates #5 Classmate Estimates #6 Classmate Estimates #7 Evaporation Hydrometer Refractometer Conductivity EPPL 612 Epistemology – How Do We Kow What We Know? Bitto & Goff Analysis & Interpretation: Descriptive Statistics Whenever you collect a set of numerical data, you will want to “describe” them quantitatively using a handful of standard mathematical “statistics.” Descriptive Statistics fall into two categories: (1) Measures of Central Tendency and (2) Measures of Dispersion. Some of these, like the “mean” and “range” will already be familiar to you. Others may not. Descriptive Statistics can provide powerful insight into the meaning of empirical data, and in this class we will employ them quite often. In what follows, please take time not only to do the calculations, but to understand them. The better you grasp these now, the happier you’ll be down the road …PROMISE!!! Measures of Central Tendency Usually when you take samples from a population and collect numerical data, you will find that most of the values are clustered near the middle of the overall range. Measures of Central Tendency describe this “middleness” in the data. The most important measure of central tendency is the Mean, or average. The mean is simply the SUM of all the data values, divided by the SAMPLE SIZE (n). In the box below, calculate the mean salinity estimate by the Titration Method for the entire class. Show your work (yes, I know you can do it all on a calculator, but humor me here and write it all out just this once!). Round off to the first decimal place. Another common (though less useful) measure of central tendency is the Median. This is the CENTERMOST value in your range of data, with an equal number of measurements above and below it. For the entire class, what is the median salinity by the Titration Method (if you have an even number of measurements, find the middle two values and split the difference)? Often, but not always, the median and the mean are nearly identical. Are they in this case? One final measure of central tendency is the Mode. This is the MOST COMMON value in the data set. If you round all the estimates off to the nearest whole number, what is the modal salinity by the Titration Method? -2 - Epistemology – How Do We Kow What We Know? EPPL 612 Bitto & Goff Measures of Dispersion To “disperse” something is to spread it out. Measures of Dispersion reflect the “spreadout-ness” in a set of data. They reflect the how widely the actual data values are spread around the mean, median, and mode. Put differently, they reflect the variability or “noise” in the data. The simplest Measure of Dispersion is the Range, which is just the maximum value minus the minimum. What is the range of class salinity estimates by the Titration Method? Another important Measure of Dispersion is the Variance, which reflects how “spread out” the data is around the mean. It’s a bit trickier to calculate, but hey, give it a whirl! …here’s how: a) For the Titration Method, write down all your raw values in the first column of the table below. Then in the second column record the mean over and over again. b) Now subtract each of the raw values from the mean. Do this in column #3. Thus you will have a handful of new numbers, each reflecting a certain distance, or deviation, from the average. c) Next, to give us a sense of the spread-out-ness of the data around the mean, we’d like to sum up all those deviations. But there’s a problem: the sum of the deviations is simply going to add up to zero, because all the negative deviations are going to cancel out all the positive deviations! So to get rid of those negative numbers, simply square all the deviations. Now you have a new set of numbers, all positive, called squared deviations. List the squared deviations in column #4. d) Now add them up to get the sum of squares (next to last cell). e) Finally, as when you calculated the average, you want to divide by the sample size. But there’s a small catch, here. When figuring the variance, you actually divide by the sample size minus one. For example, if the class made 8 salinity estimates with the Titration Method, divide by 7 instead of 8 (Why??? …don’t ask! It’s a li’l rule you can learn about someday in Stats class…). This, at last, is your Variance. Salinity Estimates by Titration Raw Data Mean Deviation from the Mean Sum of Squares Variance -3 - Squared Deviations EPPL 612 Epistemology – How Do We Kow What We Know? Bitto & Goff Notice that the Variance reflects how “spread out” your data is above and below the mean. It reflects how much the data values “deviate” from the mean. However, to get rid of all the negatives, we had to square those deviations. That transformed our salinity units from parts-perthousand to parts-per-thousand-squared! Usually, now, a scientist will “reverse” this act of squaring by taking the square root of the final variance. The result is called the Standard Deviation, another common Measure of Dispersion. What is the standard deviation of the class salinity estimates by Titration? Use a calculator, but show your work. Now calculate (by hand or by calculator) all the Descriptive Statistics for the class salinity estimates by the Evaporation Method. No shortcuts! Do the math step by step! Scribble down your work in the big empty space below. Mean: ______________ Range: ______________ Median: ______________ Variance: ______________ Mode: ______________ Standard Deviation: ______________ -4 - Epistemology – How Do We Kow What We Know? EPPL 612 Bitto & Goff Of course, there’s a much easier way to calculate Descriptive Statistics …just let Microsoft Excel or some other computer program do the math for you! Mean (“AVERAGE”), Variance (“VAR”), and Standard Deviation (“STDEV”) are all standard functions in Excel. Go get on a computer, load up Excel, and use it to help you quickly fill in the table below (you’ve already done the first two columns). Instructions below. Titration Evaporation Hydrometer Refractometer Conductivity Mean Median Mode Range Variance Standard Deviation How to get Excel to do your Descriptive Stats for you: For each salinity method, enter raw data down any column. Now click on any empty cell, then type the “=” sign. Select the function that you want (AVERAGE, VAR, or STDEV) from the drop-down box to the left of the formula window upstairs. If you don’t see the one you want, go to More Functions… All… (Alternatively, you can hit the fx icon beside the formula window; a list of “Most Recently Used” functions will appear; if the one you seek is not there, hit the dropdown arrow and select “All”) Excel will now ask you to specify the range of cells containing the raw data. To select these cells manually, first click the red, white, & blue icon to the right. This frees you to go back to the spreadsheet and manually select the data cells by clicking and dragging. Enter. Enter. Et voilà!!! C’est tout!!! -5 - EPPL 612 Epistemology – How Do We Kow What We Know? Bitto & Goff Analysis & Interpretation Part Two: Evaluation of the Methods Have a good look at all your and your classmates estimates of the salinity. What’s the true salinity of our seawater sample? (this is a trick question) Even though everyone in class was working with the same sample of seawater and using the same five methods for estimating salinity, no single Salinity emerges. Offer several possible explanations for this dispersion (“noise”) in the data. Precision refers to the consistency of results yielded by a method of measurement. The less “noisy” the results, the more “precise” it is. Which method seemed to yield the most “noisy” data? Which method yielded the least noisy data? Justify your answers with descriptive statistics. Accuracy is how close one’s estimate of something comes to the “true” value. Which method do you think renders the most “accurate” estimates? Based on what? …but is it possible to know for sure which method is most accurate??? Why or why not? Is it possible for a method to be highly precise yet inaccurate???!!! Explain. Which method(s) is most convenient? Which is most cumbersome? On a rocking boat, which methods would be most difficult to employ? Why? Overall, in terms of accuracy, precision, and convenience, which method do you think is best for estimating salinity in the field. Defend your position. -6 -