Annual Conference Of the NIGERIAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION Theme: STATISTICS FOR GOOD GOVERNANCE Venue: Multipurpose Hall, Local Government Service Commission, Osun State Secretariat, Osogbo Date: Wednesday, 9th – Friday, 11th September, 2015 NATIONAL ANTHEM Arise o campatriots Nigerians call obey To serve our father’s land With Love and Strength and Faith Thy labour of our hero’s past Shall never be in vain To serve with heart and might One nation bound with freedom Peace and Unity NATIONAL PLEDGE I pledge to Nigeria my Country To be faithful. Loyal and honest To serve Nigeria with all my strength To defend her unity And uphold her honour and glory So help me God NSA ANTHEM The Nigerian Statistical Association A galaxy of professional Statisticians Our task is herculean But we are undaunted Enamoured by the efficacy of our Tools And Methodology REFRAIN We match on steadfastly Bringing statistical reasoning to bear As we reason, as we reason In the realm of uncertainty Our tools are simply scientific We infer from empirical observations Come, oh come our country Nigeria Imbibe our culture that promotes standards In the comity of Nations SCIENTIFIC PROGRAMME WEDNESDAY, 9TH SEPTEMBER, 2015 SCIENTIFIC SESSION I APPLIED/METHODS THEORY/METHODS CHAIRMAN MR. C. M. OKAFOR (FNSA) PROF. B. A. OYEJOLA (FNSA) TIME TOPIC/AUTHOR TOPIC/AUTHOR 10:00 – 10:50 1) A01 The Roles Of Statistics In Sustainable Development And Good Governance In The Nigeria 7th Republic 1) T01 Forecasting Bivariate Time Series With AR(1) Error Terms Adenomon, M.O. &Oyejola, B.A. Abatan Sunday Matthew 2) A02 Infrastructure Investment As A Panacea For Sustainable Economic Growth In Nigeria: A Pairwise Granger Causality And Bounds Test Approaches Abur, C.C. and Torruam, J.T. 3) A03 Exchange Rate Dynamics: Influence Of Medium And Large Economies On Nigeria Exchange Rate, A Co Integration Approach 2) T02 The Transmuted Exponentiated Pareto Distribution With Application To Remission Time Of Cancer Adepoju, K.A., Chukwu, A.U. & Shittu, O.I. 3) T03 Comparison Of Estimate On Two Occasions Involving Stratification Using Successive Sampling Adebile, O. A. and Ibraheem, A. G. 4) A04 A Statistical Approach To Decision Making Under Uncertainty Apantaku, F.S., Olayiwola O. M. and Ajayi, A.O Adesanya, K. Oladejo, A.M. &Odesola, A.S. 5) A05 Statistics, Agripreneurship/ Agribusiness And Nigeria’s Agricultural Transformation Agenda George. O. Adewoye 4) T04 Kepler’s Problem: An Explicit Solution Aribike Emmanuella Ehui 5) T05 A Bayesian Analysis Of A Non-Linear Longitudinal Data Ariyo, O.S, Adeleke, M.A, Yusuff, K.M and Wale-Orojo, O.A 11:50 – 11:00 DISCUSSION DISCUSSION 11:00 – 11:50 1) A06 Structural Analysis: An Application To Government Expenditure And Economic Growth In Nigeria 1) T06 Construction Of Optimal Connected Designs Using Minimal Replicates Akingbade, A.A, Iyaniwura, J.O, Ayoola F. J, & Badmus, N.I. Adijat Bukola Aiyelabegan1 and Reuben Adeyemi Ipinyomi2 2) A07 Forecasting The Volatility Of Nigerian Inflation Rates Using Artificial Neural Networks And ARIMA Models 2) T07 Emperical Investigation of Type 1 Error Rate of Some Normality Test Statistics. Akintunde M. O., Olalude A.G & Agbona A.A Ayinde, K., Kuranga, O.J. and Solomon, G.S. 3) A08 National Information Technology Policy Implementation In Nigeria: A Comparison Among Organizational Sectors 3) T08 Maximum Likelihood Estimation Of Generalized Weighted Exponential Distribution Akinwale, A. M. Badmus, N. I, Bamiduro, T. A, Akingbade, A. A and Amusa, S. O. 4) A09 Democracy And Good 4) T09 Some Improved Ridge Governance: A Discriminant Analysis Of Parameter Estimation Techniques The Buhari Announcement Effect Okegbadem A. Ibukun, Kayode Ayinde and Adewale F. Lukman, Ako, R. M. 5) A10 Regression Type Estimator For Pupils Population In Public Primary Schools Aliyu Usman & Jibril Abubakar 11:50 – 12:00 DISCUSSION 5) T10 Maximum Likelihood Estimation Of The Kumaraswamy Exponential Distribution With Applications Chukwu, A.U, & Adepoju, K.A DISCUSSION CHAIRMAN PROF. J. C. NWABUEZE (FNSA) PROF. O. S. ADEGBOYE (FNSA) 12:00 – 12:50 1) A11 Time Series Analysis Of The Umudike Monthly Solar Radiation Rate 1) T11 Application Of Multiple Linear Regression Parameters Via Jackknife And Bootsrap Resampling Methods Ononogbu. A. C., Okereke, O.E. & Omekara C.O Ekezie Dan Dan And Opara, Jude 2) A12 Analysis On The Propensity To Vote In Gubernatorial Elections In Nigeria Aronu, C. O., Ebuh, G. U., Okoli, C. N., Adjekukor, J.A., Ogbogbo, G. O., & Mayor, A 3) A13 Evaluation Of Team Composition Activities Amongst Health Workers In Nigeria Using Logistic Regression Analysis Adjekukor, J.A., Aronu, C. O., Ogbogbo, G. O. & Mayor, A. 4) A14 Comparative Analysis Of West Africa Economy Awopeju K. A. & Ebuh, G. U. 5) A15 A15 On Panel Data Analysis Of Factors On Economic Advances In Some African Countries Ayoola F. J., & Balogun, K.O. 12:50 – 1:00 DISCUSSION 1:00 – 1:50 1) A16 Statistics For Sustainable Democracy In Nigeria: Voting Pattern Of 2015 Presidential Election. BELLO A. Ojutomori, UMAR S. S. and Obomeghie M. A. 2) A17 The Age And Sex Structures Of Nigeria (A Case Study Of The 1991 And 2006 Census Figures) 2) T12 Sample Selection Procedure In Probability Proportional To Size Sampling Without Replacement Dawodu, O. O. and Adewara, A. A. 3) T13 The Distribution Of The Average Run Length Of The Multivariate Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart Using The Markov Chain Approach Edokpa Idemudia Waziri &Salisu Shehu Umar 4) T14 Performance Of Robust Linear Classifier With Multivariate Binary Variables. Egbo, I. and Egbo, M. 5) T15 The Combinatorial Generation And The Matrix Elimination Model For The Long-Run Diagnostic Stability Of An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model Eguasa, O. and Mbegbu, J.I. DICUSSION 1) T16 Jackknife Algorithm On Simple Linear Regression Estimation Esemokumo, Perewarebo Akpos & Opara, Jude 2) T17 Randomized Response Techniques For Two Sensitive Characters With Equal Probability Ewemooje, O.S and Amahia, G.N. Bamigbade T.K, Salako R.J, Forunso, 3) T18 Structural Equation Modeling I.O. Of The Determinants Of Non 3) A18 Modeling Capacity Utilization In Compliance To Anti Tuberculosis Nigeria: A Theory And Discriminant Analysis Treatment Among Patient Attending Dot Clinics In Ibadan, Oyo State Rose Mbatomon AKO Folorunso S. A. , Adejumo N. A. Okunlola O. A. & Hamzat Z. T. 4) T19 A Monte Carlo Comparison Of Entropy Estimators 4) A19 Production And Utilisation Of Social Statistics In Osun East Senatorial District Of Osun State: Implications For Good Governance Mbanefo Solomon Madukaife A New Approach To Data Smoothing Solanke, B.L. & Abe, J.O. 5) A20 Infrastructure Investment As A Panacea For Sustainable Economic Growth In Nigeria: A Pairwise Granger Causality And Bounds Test Approaches. Cyprian Clement Abur, Japheth Terande Torruam 1:50 – 2:00 DISCUSSION 2:00 – 3:00 LUNCH Adebola, F. B. And Ehigie, O. T. 5) T20 Modeling Stock Returns With The Transmuted Maxwell Distribution Adepoju, K.A and Shittu, O.I, DISCUSSION SCIENTIFIC SESSION II CHAIRMAN 3:00 – 3:50 MR. O. O. NWOKE (FNSA) PROF. J. I. MBEGBU 1) A21 Statistical Approaches To Safe Public Data Sharing Under The Nigerian Freedom Of Information Act 1) T21 Transmuted Gompertz Mekaham And Its Applications Chukwu, A.U, & Ogunde A.A Nicholas P. Dibal, Ray Okafor & Hamadu Dallah 2) A22 A Survey On Attitude Of Mothers Towards Immunization Of Their Children Danjuma, H., Akeyede, I., Babalola, O.A and Bature, T. A. 3) A23 The Impact Of Prevention Of Mothers-To-Child Transmission 2) T22 Analysis Of Three-Way Contingency Tables (A Comparative Study) Oladugba A. V. & Umegwuagu, C. N. 3) T23 Effects Of Multicollinearity And Correlation Between The Error Terms On Some Estimators In A (PMPCT) On Child Survival And The Need For Women Empowerment In Cross River State. (A Case Study Of UCTH: Calabar 2005-2011) Ekpa Margaret Udeme 4) A24 Study Of Multicollinearity On The Effect Of Climatic Conditions On Oil Palm Yield Using Ridge Regression Model. Esiovwa, A. and Danbaba, A. 5) A25 Stepwise Regression As A Counter Measure Against Multicollinearity Esiovwa, A. and Danbaba, A. System Of Regression Equation. Olanrewaju .S.O 4) T24 restricted and unrestricted methods of bootstrap data generating processes Acha Chigozie K & Nwabueze Joy C. 5) T25 On The Performances Of Classical Var And Sims-Zha Bayesian Var Models In The Presence Of Collinearity And Autocorrelation Error Terms Adenomon, M. O; Michael, V. A. & Evans, O. P. 3:50 – 4:00 DISCUSSION DISCUSSION 4:00 – 4:50 1) A26 The Growth Effect Of Foreign Direct Investment On Nigeria Economic Growth: An Econometric Analysis Perspective 1) T26 A Simple Application Of The Gibbs Sampling Algorithm In The Normal Linear Regression Model Olubusoye, O.E. & Ogbonna, A.E. Folorunso, I. A., Adegbite, I.O. & 3 Ayinde, L. A. 2) A27 The Cox Regression Model With Application To Predict Admission Lifetime Of Female Genital Cancer 2) T27 On The Consequence Of Using The Arithemic Mean As Opposed To The Blue For The Estimation Of The Mean Of Correlated Random Variables Folorunso, S. A., Chukwu, A. U. And Oluwasola, T.A. Iwueze, I.S., Okereke, O.E.,, Nwosu, C.R. & Anate S. U 3) A28 Comparative Study Of Nigeria Economic Performance Under The Military And Civilian Governments From 1985 – 2010 3) T28 Comparison Of The Zouaoui Estimator With Some Of The Commonly Used Estimators Of Weibull Distribution Ikegwu E. M.; Okorafor U.; Badmus N. I.; Ajiboye Y. O.; Fadiji A. A.; Ayodeji A. A.; 4) A29 Intra – National Variations In Fertility Levels And Trend In Nigeria Opatokun, K. A. & Ajiboye A.S. 4) T29 On Methods Of Estmating The Parameters Of Linear Mixed Effects Models And Their Implications For National Policy On Population For Sustainable Development E. C. Nwogu, C. H. Izunobi & V. U. Nlebedim 5) A30 Statistical Analysis On Poverty Prevalence In Ajibode Area Of Ibadan.(A Multistage Sampling Approach) W. B. Yahya, I. A. Adeniyi & M. R. Olayemi 5) T30 The Distribution(S) Of Departing Connectivity In Biological Networks. O. D. Odunsi, A. Chukwu & O. A. WaleOrojo Ayoola, F.J., Olufolabo, O.O. and Balogun, K.O. 4:50 – 5:00 DISCUSSION DISCUSSION THURSDAY, 10TH SEPTEMBER, 2015 SCIENTIFIC SESSION III APPLIED/METHODS THEORY/METHODS CHAIRMAN PROF. E. T. JOLAYEMI (FNSA) PROF. E. C. NDUKA (FNSA) TIME TOPIC/AUTHOR TOPIC/AUTHOR 8:30 – 9:00 Invited Paper Prof. S.M. Ogbonmwon 9:00 – 9:50 1) A31 Some New Formulas For Computing Some Descriptive Statistics O. S. Adegboye 1) T31 Issues Relating To Modeling Binary Response Data B. H. Lawal 2) A32 Robust Estimates Of Pupils Population In Public Primary Schools Through The Method Of Ratio Estimation Aliyu Usman & Jibril Abubakar 2) T32 Two Factors Exponential Type Estimator For Population Mean Under Single Phase Sampling Scheme A. Ahmed & H. Lawal 3) A33 A Logistic Regression Model Of Students’ Academic Performance In University Of Maiduguri, Nigeria 3) T33 Bayesian Approach To Parameter Estimation Of Linear Regression Models With First-Order Sule, B.O. and Saporu, F.W.O. Autoregressive 4) A34 Analysis Of Basic Mathematics Skills And Course Performance In Statistics: A Multivariate Model Approach Oseni B. A. & Olubusoye E.O. Ekerikevwe, I.K, Ozokeraha, C.F.R, Adjekukor, A. J and Ikpere, O.C 5) A35 Fitting A Normal Curve To The Age Distribution Of Admitted Students Into Nigerian Polytechnics. ( A Case Study Of Delta State Polytechnic, Ozoro 2013/2014 Academic Session) Itiveh, F.E. & Aguzue, I.H. 4) T34 Data Structure Performances In Between Node Heterogeneity Decision Tree Via Competing Risk Modeling K. A. Dauda & W. B. Yahya 5) T35 Modified Regression Estimator With Stratified MultiAuxiliary Variables For Double Sampling Olayiwola, O.M., Wale-Orojo O.A &Popoola R.A. 9:50 – 10:00 DISCUSSION DISCUSSION 10:00 – 10:50 1) A36 Effect Of Financial Deepening Indicators On Economic Growth In Nigeria: A Var Cointegration Appraoch 1) T36 Analysis Of Simple Power Exponential Regression Model H. A. Chamalwa and H. R. Bakari 2) A37 Analysis Of Exchange Rate Return And Volatility Comovements: Case Of The Nigerian Naira Adepoju, K.A 2) T37 Alternative Least Absolute Deviation Estimator Of Linear Regression Model Parameters Using Equation Of Lines Isenah, M. G. and Olusanya, E. O. S. O. Ogundele, J. I. Mbegbu & H.O. Obiora-Ilouno 3) A38 Forecasting Real Economic Growth From Relative Strength Of Financial Deepening In Nigeria: A Multivariate Framework Approach 3) T38 Comparison Of Two Methods For Estimating Two-Parameter Exponential Distribution Lawal G.O., Aweda N.O., Oyeyemi G.M. & Arowolo O.T. Ogunwole, B.A., Oyejola, B.A. & Adegbite, I. O. a 4) A39 Forecasting Real Economic Growth From Relative Strength Of Financial Deepening And Stock Market Liquidity: A Case Of Nigeria Nurudeen Aweda 4) T39 Zellner’s Informative G-Prior In Bayesian Model Averaging With Bayesian Model Sampling Ogundeji R.K., Okafor R. &Adeleke, I.A. 5) A40 The Impact Of Needs On Inflation Rate In Nigeria: An Intervention Analysis Okereke O.E., Ire K. I., Omekara C. O. 5) T40 Non-Inferiority Tests Between Two Independent Binomial Proportions: A Comparison Of Bayesian And Frequentist Techniques W. B. Yahya, C. P. Ezenweke., O. R. Olaniran & I. A. Adeniyi 10:50- 11:00 DISCUSSION DISCUSSION CHAIRMAN MR. A. U. LIMAN (FNSA) PROF. S. M. OGBONMWON (FNSA) 11:00 – 11:50 1) A41 Statistical Governance And Federal Character In Nigeria 1) T41 Effect Of Multicollinearity On The Estimated Regression Parameters Of The Ordinary Least Squares Estimator Okeke, A.U., Emeka, O.E., Okonkwo, E.N. & Obi, J. 2) A42 Statistics And Good Governance: Nigeria Experience. Abuh Musa, Ajibade Bright. F 3) A43 Statistics A Necessary Tool For Good Governance V. A. Okolobah & A. Adeagbo 4) T44 The Relevance Of Statistics Under Nigeria’s Democratic Dispensation Odior, K.A; Obisue, I.E & Orighoyegha, M.G 2) T42 23 Factorial Design Using Aligned Rank Transformation A. Ibrahim & O. E. Asiribo 3) T43 Efficiency Of Split-Plot Response Surface Designs In The Presence Of Missing Observations A. U. Chukwu & Y. Yakubu 4) T44 Test Statistic Using Mixture Models In Categorical Data Analysis Sanni. H. Taiwo 5) T45 Reducing Cost Of Governance: A Panacea For Socio-Economic Development Owolawase, C.O. S.S. Abdulkadir, J. S. Olumoh & A.A.Akinrefon 5) T45 The Effect Of The Significance Level On The Decision Rule For The Four Test Statistic Used In The Multivariate Analysis Of Variance (Manova) Nwosu, D. F., Osuji, G. A., Ekeh, C. 11:50 – 12:00 DISCUSSION 12:00 – 12:50 1) T46 Democratic Rule And Good Governance: The Mediating Role Of Statistics N., O. D. & Ajibade, B. F. DISCUSSION 1) T46 Kalman Based State Space And Time-Varying Approaches For Modelling And Forecasting Daily Average Wind Speed M. U. Olugu & N. O. Obaji 2) T47 The Role Of Statistics And Ict Integration Towards Good Governance In Nigeria I. L. Kane & D. Usman 1) T47 Improving The Performance Of Cusum Control Chart With Autocorrelation Olowo S.E, Olujosun E.A & Ajayi S.O. A. U. Farouk & D. Usman 3) T48 Econometrics Analysis On The Impact Of Unemployment On The Nigeria Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 3) T48 Multivariate Geometric Autoregressive And Autoregressive Moving Average Models B.O. Onyegbuchulem, C.A. Onyegbuchulem. B.C Aharanwa & O. V. Nwakaji S.U. Gulumbe & S.M. Umar 4) A49 Statistics As A Catalyst For Sustainable Women Empowerment 4) T49 Prior Elicitation In Bayesian Model Averaging Approach To Normal Linear Regression Model M. U. Olugu &B. C. Obiekwe O. E. Olubusoye & O. B. Akanbi 5) A50 Empirical Analysis Of Women Unemployment And Macroeconomic Determinants In Nigeria 5) T50 The Use Of Dummy Variable And Its Application In Regression Analysis A. O. Olawale & D. A. Agunbiade Sani Salihu Abubakar 12:50 – 1:00 DISCUSSION DISCUSSION CHAIRMAN DR. G. O. ADEWOYE (FNSA) PROF. S. U. GULUMBE (FNSA) 1:00 – 1:50 1) A51 Predicting Exchange Rate Volatility In The Nigerian Financial Market Using Artificial Neural Network Technology 1) T51 A Multivariate Statistical Analysis Of Crime Rates In Nigerian Cities With Sparse Principal Component Analysis S.Suleiman, S.U. Gulumbe, B.K. Asare & M. Abubakar K. O. Olorede & W. B. Yahya 2) A52 Models For Forecasting Nigeria Population Census In The Year 2020. U.P. Ogoke & E.C. Nduka. 3) A53 Fitting The Best Arima Model For Forecasting Crude Oil Price In Nigeria S. Suleiman, I. Suleman, U. Adamu & N. Shehu 4) A54 Determinant Of Values Added In Nigerian Economic Growth: A Multivariate Approach Iwuagwu, C. E., Nwosu, M. O. & Ajibade, F. B. 5) A55 A Vector Autoregressive Analysis Of Key Components Of The Nigerian Financial Market Okorafor, U., Lawal, G. O., Olufolabo, A. A., Ikegwu, E. M. & Ashang, M. 1:50 – 2:00 DISCUSSION 2:00 – 3:00 LUNCH 3:00 – 5:00 SPECIAL SESSION 2) T52 Comparative Study Of Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average And Fourier Models In Modeling Rainfall Data. A Case Of Akwa Ibom State. Usoro, Anthony Effiong 3) T53 Statistical Analysis On The Trend Of Crime In Katsina State. A. A. Osi and 2M. Usman 4) T54 A Stochastic Model Of Indigenous Language Extinction In Nigeria N. A. Ikoba & E. T. Jolayemi 5) T55 On The Suitability Of The Principal Component Analysis And Completely Randomized Design In Analyzing Crime Data In Nigeria Osowole, Oyedeji I DISCUSSION FRIDAY, 11TH SEPTEMBER, 2015 SCIENTIFIC SESSION IV CHAIRMAN APPLIED/METHODS THEORY/METHODS DR. G. O. ADEWOYE (FNSA) PROF. S. U. GULUMBE (FNSA) TIME 8:00 – 8:50 TOPIC/AUTHOR TOPIC/AUTHOR 1) A56 Statistics And ICT Integration: A Veritable Tools In Research Towards National Development. 1) T56 Method Of Estimating The Number Of Clusters In A Low And High Dimensional Data Sets Olowo S.E. Ahmed .M. Olujosun E.A. D. Usman & A. U. Farouk 2) A57 On Panel Data Analysis Of Factors On Economic Advances In Some African Countries Ayoola F. J. & Balogun, K.O. 3) A58 Statistics: A Key For Integrating Nuclear Energy In Nigeria Energy Market Ja’afaru Yahaya Bawa, Sani Alhaji Abubakar & Usman Bukar Sudais 4) A59 Statistics: The Future Solutions Of Integrating And Rebuilding Nigeria’s Electricity Generation Strengths Ja’afaru Yahaya Bawa, Sani Alhaji Abubakar & Usman Bukar Sudais 5) A60 Air Transport Statistics And Development Of Aviation Industry In Nigeria. 2) T57 A Review On CaptureRecapture Methods For Two Samples Danjuma Jibasen 3) T58 On The Alternative Selection Procedures For Horvitz-Thompson Estimator Adepoju, K.A 4) T59 Logistic Regression Modelling Using Fractional Polynomials Of Grouped Continuous Covariates M.U. Muhammad, O.E. Asiribo, H.G. Dikko 5) T60 A Class Of Product Strategies With Unknown Weight For Finite Population Mean In Sampling Survey A. Ahmed and R.V.K. Singh, 8:50 – 9:00 O.O. Nwoke DISCUSSION DISCUSSION CHAIRMAN DR. S. I. DOGUWA (FNSA) PROF. P. OSANAYE (FNSA) 1) A61 Discriminant Analysis Of Agricultural Produce In The Six Geopolitical Zones In Nigeria 1) T61 Generalized Ridge Regression Estimator As Alternative To Conventional Estimators Of Simultaneous Equation Model 9:00 – 9:50 Oguagbaka, S. K. &Awopeju, K. A. 2) A62 A Statistical Analysis Of Technical Efficiency Of Ginger Production In Four Selected Local A. Olatunji, K. Ayinde & A. F. Lukman, 2) T62 An Asymptotic Distribution Government Area In Southern Kaduna, Kaduna State, Nigeria Of AIC In Classical Normal Linear Regression Models Mangbon, T.A., Ola, O.B., Nlemchi R. N. & Chintem, D.G.W W. B. Yahya, O. R. Olaniran & S. F. Olaniran 3) A63 Ecological Models For Evaluating Wildlife Population Lawal M and Obisesan K.O. 4) A64 Oil Palm Yield Modeling Using Agrometeorological Data A.A. Edokpayi, M.K. Garba, E. A. Iguodala and G.N. Edegbe 5) A65 Comparison Between Infant And Adult (Male And Female) Mortality Rate For Year 2010- 2013 {A Case Study Of Lagos University Teaching Hospital} 3) T63 On The Sensitivity Of The Posterior Mean On The Prior Assumptions: An Application Of The Ellipsoid Bound Theorem O. E. Olubusoye & O. O. Oluwaseun 4) T64 Comparison Of Methods Of Estimating Missing Values In Descriptive Time Series I. S. Iwueze, E. C. Nwogu, V. U. Nlebedim & U. I. Nwosu Okorafor, U., Lawal, G. O., Ikegwu E. M., Temitope L., Fadiji A. A., Yemisi, Y.O. and Babalola A. D. 5) T65 On Generating Mechanisms And Detection Of Outliers In Multivariate Time Series 9:50 – 10:00 DISCUSSION Olufolabo.O.O, Shittu O.I & Adepoju .K DISCUSSION 10:00 – 10:50 1) A66 Forecast Of The Availability Of Essential Drugs Using Markov Chain (A Case Study Of Adamawa State Essential Drug Programme) Muhammad, J. S. A. & Jibasen, D. 1) T66 On The Paradox Of The Duality Of Autoregressive And Moving Average Processes I. S. Iwueze, E. C. Nwogu & O. Elechi 2) A67 Survival Analysis Of Tuberculosis Patients At Usmanu Danfodiyo University Teaching Hospital, Sokoto From 2012-2014 2) T67 Robustness Of Hyperbolic Monomolecular Growth Model In Height-Diameter Growth Of Pines (Pinus Caribaea) And Gmelina Arborea Nurudeen, A.A. Abdulfatai L. Ajibade F.B. & Adegbite I.O. Chukwu, A.U. & Oyamakin, S. O. 3) A68 Survival Times Of Tuberculosis Patients Using Cox Proportional Hazards M. Mustapha & A. Lawal 3) T68 Specification And Misspecification Of Generalized Autoregressive Score Models: Monte Carlo Simulations And Real Life 4) A69 Reducing The Waiting Time In General Outpatient Department Of General Hospital: Queuing Network Perspective E.E. Nwezza 5) A70 Mixture Modelling And Its Application To Malaria Epidemic Areas In Nigeria. S. S. Abdulkadir Examples O. S. Yaya, O. T. Babatunde & O. E. Olubusoye 4) T69 Efficient Self-Similar Generators Of Internet Traffic Packets For Non-Gaussian Processes W. B. Yahya1, J. Popoola, R. A. Ipinyomi And O.R. Olaniran 5) T70 PLS And LASSO-Based Methods For Simultaneous Feature Selection And Classification With High-Dimensional Microarray Data 10:50- 11:00 DISCUSSION K. O. Olorede and W. B. Yahya DISCUSSION CHAIRMAN MR. M. OGUNTIMEHIN (FNSA) PROF. PROF. K. S. ADEKEYE 11:00 – 11:50 1) T71 Analysis Of Variance When 1) A71 The Determinants Of Stock Market Normality Assumptions Are Violated Development In Emerging Economies; Is Using Trimmed Mean Nigeria Different? Sokoya, M.I. &Ewemooje, O.S Nwabueze, J. C., George, U. &Eluwa, C. G. 2) T72 On The Use Of Auto 2) A72 Weather Shocks And The Regressive Integrated Moving Variation Of Births In North-West Average(Arima) Intervention Time Nigeria Series Analysis: An Application To Nigerian Stock Exchange Market. ONWUKA, G. I., DANBABA, A. & GULUMBE, S. U. Lasisi, T.A. & Oseni, B.A. 3) A73 The Use Of Markov Chain To Study The State Of Human Relationship (Trust) 3) T73 Exponential Ratio Estimator In Stratified Ranked Set Sampling Olarinoye S.B. & Agboola O. A. Olayiwola, O.M., Adewara, A.A. & Ayeleso, T.O 4) A74 Determining The Expected Length Of Stay Of Academic Staff In Various Grade Levels In A Polytechnic Institution In Nigeria Using A Markov Chain Approach 4) T74 Modeling Customer Relationships as Hidden Markov Chains Ogbogbo, G. O., Ebuh, G. U., Aronu, C. O., Adjekukor, J.A., Okoli, C. N., Mayor, A. & Bilesanmi A. O. 5) T75 Application Of Bayes Factor For Model Comparison 5) A75 Multivariate Bootstrap Control Chart For Process Monitoring And Interpreting Out Of Control Signal Nkemnole, E. B. & Nwaokoro, E. O. E. Olubusoye & B. A. Samuel Ikpotokin O. & Ishiekwene C.C 11:50- 12:00 DISCUSSION DISCUSSION 12:00 – 12:50 1) A76 The Effect Of Correlation On Univariate And Multivariate Quality Control Charts Using Response Surface Methodology Ali Adamu 2) A77 Multivariate Volatility Modelling Of Naira Exchange Rates 1) T76 Comparison Of Spurious Correlation Methods Using Some Probability Distributions And Proportion Of Rejecting A True Null Hypothesis O. S. Yaya , O. T. Babatunde & D. M. Akinlana 3) A78 Specification, Estimation And Evaluation Of Smooth Transition-Garch Model For Nigerian Bank Share Prices O. S. Yaya , O. T. Babatunde, D. M. Akinlana & O. I. Shittu 4) A79 Exchange Rate Volatility Of Nigeria Naira And South Africa Rand: An Application Of Bivariate Garch Models Y. Musa & T. Musa 5) A80 Investigating The Causal Relationship Between Crime Level And Some Selected Macroeconomic Variables In Nigeria: Evidence From Cointegration And Causality Analysis. Kuhe, D. A., Chiawa, M. A. & Kwen, Alfa, A.M. & Danbaba, A. 2) T77 On The Use Of Principal Component Analysis In Sugarcane Cone Selection Ong’ala, Mutai, Nuani 3) T78 Statistical Analysis Of The Sales Checkout Operation In A Service Center Using Queuing Simulation Onuoha, D. O., Nwosu, F. D. Eke, C. N. & Ibe, A. 4) T79 A Binary Regression Estimation Of Response Probability And Block Correlation: An Application To Malaria Data. J. S. Olumoh & O. O. Ajayi 5) T80 Application Of Word Length Distributions Using Students’ E. T. Research Projects 11:50- 1:00 DISCUSSION Opara J., Esemokumo P. A. & Onyegbuchulem B.O DISCUSSION 1:00 – 1:50 1) A81 What’s Your Hipec ? Aku Musa Ambi 2) A82 Principal Components As A Tool In Statistical Quality Control: A Case Study Of Sokoto Portland Cement Zoramawa A. B. & Y. Musa 3) A83 Statistical Quality Optimization Of Borehole Water Quality Parameters Through Multi-Response Surface Methodology: The Desirability Function Approach. Yusuff K. M., Wale-Orojo O, A. Ariyo O. S. & Lawal M. 4) A84 A Monotonic Decrease Of Age Heaping In Patients’ Age Reporting From Rural-Urban Areas 1:50- 2:00 2:00 - 3:00 1) T81 Using Discriminant Analysis To Forecast Crime Rate In Nigeria Popoola, O.P, Oyejola, B.A, Olayiwola, M.O, Rafiu, A.A,and Ayanrinde,W.A 2) T82 Bayesian Hetero-Elasticnet [A Gibbs Sampling Approach] I. Oloyede & W.B. Yahaya, 3) T83 The Enrolment Figures In Nomadic Schools In Zaria Local Government, Kaduna State M. Usman, A. A. Osi, S. S. Sani & U. S. Ojo 4) T84 A New Algorithm For Arima Model Identification In The Box And Jenkins Methodology Yusuf Bello O. O. Awe 5) A85 A Combined Model Approach For Forecasting Electricity Load In Nigeria 5) T85 On Non-Linear Mixed Effects Pharmacokinetics Models: Overview Of Bayesian And Frequentist Methods Victor Akpevwe Okolobah W. B. Yahya and I. A. Adeniyi DISCUSSION DISCUSSION LUNCH 3:00 – 4:00 GENERAL MEETING 3:00 - 4:00 CLOSING CEREMONY