Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola THE UNITED STATES INTERESTS IN THE EBOLA OUTBREAK IN WEST AFRICA SHEKIRA RAMDASS U.S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE The Ebola outbreak in West Africa is one of the world’s deadliest health crises. It has claimed the lives of more than 24,000 people by March 2015. Highly concentrated in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone, the virus caused devastating fear and insecurity within the region and international community at large. Ebola Affected West African Nations Source: PBS Frontline January 2015 The purpose of this research project is to understand the importance of U.S. involvement in preventing the escalation of global health crises, such as the Ebola epidemic. As one of the world’s dominant superpowers, the United States has a social and moral obligation to advance the welfare and prosperity of all people by focusing on the importance of global health. This project will therefore evaluate the need for U.S. participation and specific reasons why the U.S. should play a vital role in the Ebola crisis. What are the U.S. strategic interests in preventing the proliferation of the Ebola virus in West Africa? The United States has several strategic interests in preventing the proliferation of the Ebola virus in West Africa. Firstly, the Ebola crisis poses a severe global security threat to the United States and its allies. Due to the outbreak’s close proximity to terrorist groups such as 221 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola Boko Haram and Al-Qaeda, affected West African nations become vulnerable to terrorist invasions and takeovers. This can ultimately lead to civil unrest and political instability, which in turn can further pave the way to violence and war. In addition, the Ebola crisis raises great economic concerns for the United States. In relation to global trade and business, the outbreak has the potential to affect the supply and demand of commercial goods such as cocoa, cashews, iron, and oil. Further, as a global leader, the United States has a social responsibility to provide humanitarian assistance to victims of the Ebola crisis. Should the disease persist, West African nations have the potential to succumb to persistently weak and economically lagging nations,and ultimately, their emergence as failed states. Therefore, it is imperative for the United States to assist in containing the epidemic in order to enhance peace, maintain economic stability, and ensure global security. Methodology Qualitative research was performed to analyze and understand reasons why the United States has an interest in the Ebola Outbreak in West Africa. Several journals and reports from the White House Press, UN, WHO, CDC, U.S. Institute of Peace, and Somatosphere served as primary references for the paper. Articles from the popular press including: CNN, BBC, Times, Foreign Policy, Aljazeera, Washington Post, and Foreign Affairs. Furthermore, an in-depth interview with African Affairs specialist, Dr. Cara Jones, took place in order to gain additional insight into the potential impact of the Ebola crisis on West African nations and the international community at large. Background To understand the vitality of the disease it is important to provide a medical analysis of Ebola. The Ebola Virus disease (EVD), formerly known as the Ebola haemorrhagic fever, is a severe, often fatal illness in humans. Common symptoms of EVD, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), include the following: high fever, vomiting, unexplained hemorrhage (bleeding and bruising), diarrhea, muscle pain, and severe headaches.1 These particular symptoms may appear anywhere from two to twenty one days after exposure to Ebola, although the average is roughly eight days. EVD is commonly transmitted through human to human transmission via direct contact with bodily fluids (blood, saliva, mucus, urine, or vomiting) of a person who is dead or alive.2 It is important to note that an asymptomatic person is not contagious. Therefore, an asymptomatic person who is treating or caring for an Ebola victim, even if he or she is infected, would not be contagious.3 CDC reports that the average 1 Drazen, Jeffrey, Rupa Kanapathipillai, and Edward Campion. "Ebola and Quarantine." New England Journal of Medicine. October 27, 2014. Accessed October 28, 2014. doi:10.1056/NEJMe1413139. 2 Ibid 3 Asymptomatic: showing not symptoms of the Ebola virus 222 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola EVD case fatality rate is 50%. However, in past outbreaks, fatality rates have varied between 25% to 90%.4 There are many reasons why the Ebola outbreak has severely affected several West African nations. Weak health systems and a lack of health infrastructure in the region, for example, serve as the main reasons for EVD diffusion. Experiencing years of conflict within the last few decades, West African nations have witnessed destruction of their medical infrastructure, including hospitals, clinics, and medical schools. Liberia, for example, has suffered from a decimated health care system due to a civil war that ended roughly ten years ago. The ongoing war destroyed an estimated 354 of Liberia’s 550 medical facilities, thus leaving the nation with poor quality health service and care.5 This devastation has ultimately left the population with limited access to trained health care professionals, health equipment and medical supplies and protective gear. As a result, the local communities in West Africa are left dangerously vulnerable to health crises such as the current Ebola outbreak. Poor health infrastructure in the region also prevents affected nations from engaging in basic medical interventions, which when used early, can significantly improve an Ebola victim’s chance of survival. In addition, traditional West African cultural practices have contributed greatly to the spread of EVD. According to West African medical anthropologist, Sharon Alan Abramowitz, Africans traditionally are presumed to believe in spirits and witchcraft as the main causes for diseases.6 These beliefs have encouraged cultural behaviors and customs in the West African region which are responsible for the initial Ebola outbreak and have further facilitated its spread. For example at funerals, deceased people are washed and clothed by a family member, typically with bare hands, before presenting the corpse to mourners for a final touch and kiss.7 Practiced by Christians, Muslims, and several West African ethnic groups such as Kissi, the Mende, the Sherbro, and the Kona, the burial ritual is considered sacred and spiritually important to maintain peaceful bonds between the living and the dead. Such practice, however, increases the chance for a person to contract Ebola. Doctors Without Borders mentions that the highest risk of infection occurs when a person dies. As a result, locals present at the funerals or involved in the burial ritual are at risk of contamination. Although locals are aware of the avenues for Ebola transmission, West African families continue to perform such practice. Medical anthropologist Dr. Ann Kelly mentions that failure to perform burial rites puts the community in danger, thus causing harm and illness to the family by the deceased person’s spirit (Tibo).8 As a result, people 4 CDC. "2014 Ebola Outbreak in West Africa - Outbreak Distribution Map." Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. January 27, 2015. Accessed February 01, 2015. http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/outbreaks/2014-westafrica/distribution-map.html. Ricks, Alan, and Micheal Murphy. "Ebola Outbreak: Liberia’s Health Care Infrastructure Is Underdeveloped - The Boston Globe." BostonGlobe.com. September 17, 2014. Accessed February 01, 2015. 5 6 WHO. "Sierra Leone: A Traditional Healer and a Funeral." WHO. September 2014. 7 Ibid 8 Thomas, Kate. "Fighting Ebola with Anthropology." Ebola Deeply. October 2014. 223 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola refuse to take Ebola infected family members to medical facilities because it would be regarded as a “death sentence.” Furthermore, locals have a strong connection with traditional healers, whose knowledge and “special powers” have been used to cure diseases for centuries. Many people trust traditional practitioners because treatment is much cheaper and sensitive to cultural beliefs. However, the unique treatments offered to cure diseases have caused people to suffer greatly. Traditional remedies, such as bathing, cutting and applying infected blood to the skin have been common high risk practices which have contributed significantly to the spread of EVD.9 In addition, traditional healers have influenced locals to believe Ebola is nonexistent and the sickness is caused by evil spirits. These false ideas have influenced the emergence of several conspiracy theories about Ebola which have further discouraged victims to seek proper health treatment. Getting health advice from traditional healers in West Africa has complicated efforts for the Ministry of Health in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone, ultimately preventing the region from controlling EVD. Lastly, bush meat consumption is a traditional African practice that has influenced the spread of Ebola. Triggering the outbreak in Guinea, bush meat consumption has claimed the lives of Patient Zero and many others who hunt, slaughter, and eat raw bush meat.10 Serving as a source of dietary protein, many people in West African nations consume bush meat out of desperation and food scarcity. 80%-90% of Liberians, for example, consume game meat, and 55% of Sierra Leonean households consider it a staple food.11 This cultural practice, however, is the likely origin of the Ebola virus. According to the New England Journal of Medicine, Ebola is a zoonotic disease transmitted between vertebrate animals and humans. Certain animals such as the straw-coloured fruit bat, which is often hunted and eaten in West Africa, carry zoonotic pathogens, which can spread to humans through bites, scratches, and bodily fluids.12 Continued interaction with game meat increases the likelihood of Ebola transmission in the West African region. Brief Ebola Outbreak Timeline The Ebola virus was first identified in 1976 in the Sub-Saharan African region, notably in the DRC and Uganda.13 According to the CDC, fewer than 500 cases were reported each year since the first outbreak. The current Ebola crisis in West Africa is the 26th outbreak and is considered the most severe and devastating outbreak historically noted. The outbreak began in Guinea in December 2013 after the virus infected a 2-year old Guinean boy (patient zero) who 9 Thomas, Kate. "Fighting Ebola with Anthropology." Ebola Deeply. October 2014. 10 Patient Zero: First person who contracted Ebola 11 Restif, Olivier. "Understanding the Bushmeat Market: Why Do People Risk Infection from Bat Meat?" University of Cambridge. October 09, 2014. Accessed February 18, 2015. 12 Karluki, Dr. Jullus G., ed. "Bushmeat and The Future of Protein in West Africa." The African Center for Economic Transformation, no. 4 (2014): 1-16. 13 Ebola Outbreak. Directed by Frontline. PBS Frontline. September 9, 2014. 224 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola lived in Meliandou village.14 Several months later, Liberia reported several Ebola cases which was later followed by Sierra Leone’s confirmation of Ebola diffusion beginning on March 25, 2014.15 By the beginning of August 2014, the death count from the outbreak reached 1,000, while the number of total cases crossed 2,000. After the World Health Organization declared the current health crisis an “international public health emergency,” two American missionary workers become infected, and later recovered from Ebola.16 A month later, Thomas Eric Duncan, a Liberian national, became the first patient diagnosed with Ebola in the United States who later died of the disease. Eight American citizens, including seven healthcare workers, were later infected with Ebola, but survived. By January 15, 2015, CDC reported more than 19,000 people have been infected, and more than 8,000 have died.17 Ebola has reached at least nine nations— Guinea, Liberia, Sierra Leone, Nigeria, Senegal, the United States, Spain, Mali, and Scotland. The CDC warns that the number of Ebola cases may rise significantly before the virus is controlled.18 A Brief Timeline of U.S. Response to the Ebola Outbreak in West Africa Under the direct leadership of the U.S. State Department and USAID, the United States has been involved in providing diplomatic, development and humanitarian assistance to affected Ebola countries in West Africa. Working closely with the international community and nongovernmental organizations including Doctors without Borders, the United Nations,World Health Organization, and countries such as the United Kingdom, France and Canada; the United States has focused on mobilizing a global response to counter the Ebola epidemic. Beginning in early August 2014, the USAID office of U.S. Foreign Disaster Assistance (OFDA) deployed a Disaster Assistance Response Team (DART) to Guinea, Liberia, Sierra Leone, and Mali to lead the on the ground U.S. response to the crisis.19 Besides USAID, DART is comprised of other government entities including CDC, DOD and U.S. Forest Service. On 11 August 2014, days following the first DART deployment, the United Stated ordered family members of U.S. embassy employees to leave Liberia.20 Much of the U.S. active response toward the outbreak, however, took place in early September—six months after the Ebola epidemic began. After receiving an appeal for aid on September 13, 2014, from Liberian President Ellen Johnson 14 Ibid 15 CDC. "2014 Ebola Outbreak in West Africa - Outbreak Distribution Map." Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. January 27, 2015. 16 Ibid 17 CDC. "2014 Ebola Outbreak in West Africa - Outbreak Distribution Map." Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. January 27, 2015. 18 Ibid 19 White House. "FACT SHEET: Progress in Our Ebola Response at Home and Abroad." The White House: Office of the Press Secretary. February 11, 2015. 20 Ibid 225 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola Sirleaf, the United States outlined a strategy to address the outbreak.21 On September 16, 2014, the White House released a fact sheet detailing the U.S. response to containing and eliminating the epidemic at its source, while also taking precautions domestic measures.22 The ongoing U.S.led international response includes: deployment of key medical and expert personnel, increasing DOD presence in the region, providing financial support, community outreach and safe burial practices, building health infrastructure, and Ebola treatment Unit development. Following the release of the White House fact sheet, President Obama delivered a video statement about the Ebola outbreak and announced his decision to remove all American Peace Corps volunteers from most heavenly affected countries.23 Days later, the United States convened a special session with the U.N. Security Council calling on international support to fight the outbreak. On September 24, 2014, Secretary of State John Kerry named Nancy J. Powell, former ambassador to India, to head the Ebola coordination Unit, which focuses on leading DOS outreach to international partners.24 By early October 2014, U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM) established a Joint Force Command headquarters in Monrovia, Liberia, led by Major General Volesky.25 Weeks later the United States deployed over 3,000 military troops to provide regional support to U.S. military activities and facilitate coordination with U.S. government and international relief efforts. The U.S. continues to play a proactive role in the fight against Ebola, but more work needs to be done in order to ensure that there are zero-related Ebola deaths in West Africa. Social Responsibility As a global leader in the international community, the United States has a social responsibility to ensure that people, families, and communities worldwide live healthy and productive lives. Such obligation does not focus on U.S. personal interests, but rather serves as the right thing to do. The expectation of a major superpower, like the United States, to provide humanitarian support is deeply rooted in Peter Singer’s utilitarian idea of a good samaritan. In Singer’s essay Famine, Affluence, and Morality, he argues that everyone has an obligation of humanitarian assistance to help others in need, if the cost or burden is minimal.26 The current estimated cost to control the Ebola outbreak, according to the UN is 1 billion USD.27 This cost is relatively small to the United States, but even more trivial to West African nations affected with the disease. According to the World Bank, Sierra Leone’s GDP in 2014 was 6 billion USD and it 21 White House. "FACT SHEET: Progress in Our Ebola Response at Home and Abroad." The White House: Office of the Press Secretary. February 11, 2015. 22 Ibid 23 Ibid 24 LaFranchi, Howard. "Ebola Crisis: Why Obama Is Involving the US (+video)." The Christian Science Monitor. September 16, 2014. 25 Ibid 26 Singer, Peter. Famine, Affluence, and Morality. Report. 1st ed. Vol. 1. 1972. Accessed March 24, 2015. http://www.utilitarian.net/singer/by/1972----.htm. 27 Ibid 226 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola had a public debt worth 31.9% of its GDP.28 The World Bank also reports that Liberia’s GDP in 2014 was 1.95 billion USD, which represents less than 0.01% of the world’s economy.29 Unlike the United States, the affected West African nations are among the poorest in the world and their economies are extremely underdeveloped. Thus, these West African nations are themselves financially incapable of handling the Ebola outbreak. The United States, however, is a high income nation with an annual GDP of $17, 711 trillion USD in 2014. Internationally recognized as having the largest national economy, the United States is financially able to provide humanitarian assistance to fight the Ebola crisis. $1 billion USD needed to contain the Ebola outbreak is a minimal cost to the U.S. compared to the immense financial burden it is on Liberia, Guinea, and Sierra Leone. Moreover, according to Lisa Monaco, who is the Homeland Security and Chief Counterterrorism Advisor for President Obama, the United States has the specialists and proper containment strategies needed to help fight the Ebola outbreak in West Africa.30 Skilled medical and public health workers, infrastructure capabilities, and specialized physicians, for example, are in abundance in the United States, and can serve as valuable tools to help suffering Ebolaaffected nations, without sacrificing much. Under these circumstances, the United States government has a social responsibility to act and help deter the spread of Ebola in West Africa. If, however, the United States fails to do so, the nation risks criticism and social stigmatization from the global community. In addition, the United States also has a social responsibility to advance and protect human security around the world, especially during health crises. According to the U.N. Trust Fund for Human Security, “human security aims at ensuring the survival, livelihood, and dignity of people in response to current and emerging threats.”31 As a member of the U.N. General Assembly, the U.S. Government acknowledges the importance of human security and the social responsibility for global leaders to provide immediate action to prevent, detect, and rapidly respond to health crises. As a result, the United States established the Global Health Security Agenda (GHSA) in February 2014, which places global health intervention and security at the forefront of the nation’s foreign policy agenda. The mission of GHSA is to advance a “world safe and secure from infectious disease threats”, and to respond collectively with other nations to establish commitments to improve global health security.32 Therefore, in the midst of a health disaster, such as the Ebola outbreak, the United States has a commitment, based on the nation’s 28 World Bank. "Ebola: Economic Impact Could Be Devastating." World Bank: Africa. September 2014. Accessed March 23, 2015. 29 World Bank. "Ebola: Economic Impact Could Be Devastating." World Bank: Africa. September 2014. Accessed March 23, 2015. 30 LaFranchi, Howard. "Ebola Crisis: Why Obama Is Involving the US (+video)." The Christian Science Monitor. September 16, 2014. 31 Deloffre, Maryam Z. "Human Security in the Age of Ebola: Towards People-centered Global Governance." EInternational Relations. October 2014 32 DOS-Office of the Historian. "Founding of Liberia, 1847 - 1830–1860 - Milestones - Office of the Historian." Founding of Liberia, 1847 - 1830–1860 - Milestones - Office of the Historian. Accessed March 29, 2015. 227 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola GHSA to support West African nations affected by the epidemic. The current outbreak further demonstrates the urgency for immediate action by the U.S. government to respond to Ebola on the basis of the outbreak being a threat to human security. In addition, the United States has a unique social responsibility to help Liberia, in particular, with the Ebola outbreak. As the only African country founded by the United States, Liberia serves as the “closest thing America ever has as a colony in Africa.”33 Also known as “another America,” Liberia is a country established by freed slaves in 1847 who named their capital, Monrovia, after James Monroe. Sharing a close historical connection, the United States has an obligation to help Liberia contain Ebola and prevent the disease from ruining the nation’s prosperity and wellbeing. The United States has the opportunity to demonstrate global leadership by fulfilling its responsibility to save and improve the quality of lives for millions in the region. By taking an active role in the Ebola outbreak, the United States accomplishes its role as an international leader and global super power; ultimately enhancing America’s prestige, respect, and recognition around the world. U.S. Social Responsibility Response The United States has taken several actions in order to fulfill its social responsibility to help West African Ebola affected nations. Financially, the United States has contributed roughly $861.4 million USD and pledges to provide an additional US $45 million to contain the outbreak.34 Currently serving as the top humanitarian aid donor followed by the United Kingdom ($305 million USD), Germany ( $160.4 million USD), and the World Bank( $117.4 million USD), the United States has allocated humanitarian funding to deliver medical and relief supplies to Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Liberia.35 Under the control of USAID, the United States has delivered roughly 2,200 rolls of heavy duty plastic sheeting, which was used in constructing Ebola treatment units across the region. The U.S. has also sent 140,000 sets of protective equipment such as medical gloves, goggles, coveralls, face shields, and other personal protective supplies.36 USAID has also provided more than 10, 000 Ebola kits to the Liberian Institute of Biological Research and to the Kenema Government Hospital in Sierra Leone.37 In addition to providing essential medical equipment, the United States has organized safe burial teams in order to prevent Ebola transmission due to unsafe burial practices. U.S. partners such as the Medical Teams International(MTI), have established and operated over 190 burial teams in West 33 Ibid 34 Brady, James S. "Press Briefing on Government Response to the Ebola Epidemic in West Africa, 10/3/2014." The White House. October 2014. Accessed March 23, 2015. 35 Ibid 36 Ibid 37 Ibid 228 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola Africa—seventy in Liberia, fifty in Sierra Leone, and seventy in Guinea.38 Furthermore, the United States has organized community outreach campaigns and social mobilization in Liberia, Sierra Leone, and Guinea to educate the public about the virus, and learn safe and appropriate ways to treat and prevent the spread of EVD. Furthermore, under the leadership of USAID, the United States has mobilized volunteers to go door-to-door in each village, passing out life-saving information and speaking with locals about prevention measures. Additionally, CDC has worked closely with community members from affected countries reaching out to community leaders, religious leaders, journalists, and celebrities in order to spread accurate and consistent information about Ebola to the locals. Using community members to foster health education campaigns also encourages the public to seek medical assistance if a neighbor is symptomatic or ill. Moreover, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) has developed an experimental Ebola vaccine known as Zmapp, which was created as a potential treatment for the Ebola virus.39 Thus far, phase one clinical trials have taken place in Liberia, but more research is underway to ensure that Zmapp is a reliable and sustainable drug to fight Ebola. Economic Concerns: Before the Ebola outbreak took place, affected West African nations were making remarkable economic progress in the region. Liberia and Sierra Leone, especially, experienced rapid economic growth in recent years after overcoming decades of civil strife. In 2013, both nations ranked second and sixth, respectively, among the top countries with the highest GDP growth in the world.40 Guinea, although it was growing at a much slower past in 2013, had high expectations for future growth as a result of prosperous economic projects with international investors. However, the emergence of the Ebola outbreak in the West African has the potential to negatively influence economic development and progress in the region, ultimately reversing economic gains. According to the president of Sierra Leone, Ernest Bai Koroma, the Ebola crisis causes an “ economic blockage” for many West African nations because it can affect key economic sectors that make up the majority of revenue for Liberia, Guinea, and Sierra Leone.41 These sectors include agriculture, mining, and trade. Agriculture is the largest sector in many African economies, which account for a very large portion of crop production and employment. Liberia, Guinea, and Sierra Leone, especially, have a very high percentage of employed farmers who depend on agricultural development for basic survival and overall economic growth. In Sierra Leone farmers make up 66% of the overall 38 Ibid 39 White House. "FACT SHEET: Progress in Our Ebola Response at Home and Abroad." The White House: Office of the Press Secretary. February 11, 2015. 40 Copley, Amy, and Amadou Sy. "Understanding the Economic Effects of the 2014 Ebola Outbreak in West Africa." The Brookings Institution. October 01, 2014. 41 Copley, Amy, and Amadou Sy. "Understanding the Economic Effects of the 2014 Ebola Outbreak in West Africa." The Brookings Institution. October 01, 2014. 229 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola population, according to the World Bank.42 Most of the cities, including Kailahun in Sierra Leone, are the nation’s most productive food-producing area, yet it is also the epicenter of the Ebola virus. The emergence of Ebola has caused many farmers in West Africa to abandon their agricultural responsibilities because they have either contracted the disease or fear possible infection. As a result, production yield for many West African staple crops such as rice, maize, and cassava has decreased. This is a major concern because agriculture production accounts for 57% of Sierra Leone’s GDP, 39% of Liberia’s GDP, and 20% of Guinea’s GDP.43 As West African nations witness a decrease in the supply of crops, there remains a high demand in crops for domestic consumption, thus food prices rise. As of September 2014, Ebola affected West African nations have suffered from an increase in the price of staple crops. According to the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO), prices of staple crops have doubled. Empirical observation performed by the United Nations Population Fund in the Red Light Market, one of the largest and popular market places in Monrovia, Liberia, revealed a major increase in staple food prices and commodities in November 2014.44 Cassava, for example, rose by 150%, palm oil by 53%, plantains by 66%, and fresh peppers by 133%.45 An increase in food prices can cause an immense financial burden on locals, and worse, forces many to remain hungry. Moreover, an increase in food prices in West Africa has the potential to lead to inflation. According to the International Monetary Fund, nations such as Liberia have already witnessed an increase in inflation. The IMF reports that Liberia inflation rose to 13.1% in 2014 from a solid 7.7% before the outbreak in 2013. 46 The trade sector has also been impacted by the Ebola outbreak, which places an immense burden on the West African economies. In order to contain the spread of Ebola, affected nations have imposed quarantines and have closed borders. West African neighboring nations such as Senegal and the Ivory Coast have also imposed restrictions on the movement of people and goods. Such actions, as a result, have negatively affected regional trade. Cross-border trade has been the most impacted from August- November 2014, disturbing the import and export trade flow of goods from Sierra Leone, Guinea and Liberia.47 According to the World Food Programme, Guinea relies on local rice and ginger imports from Sierra Leone, and Liberia and Sierra Leone both rely on palm oil exports from Guinea. Trade flows also take place with Mali, Senegal, and Nigeria in exchange for livestock, nuts, and additional staple foods. With the emergence of Ebola, however, import prices of goods have risen roughly 30%, according to the 42 The World Bank. "Reviving Agriculture in Ebola-hit Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone." The World Bank. February 2015. 43 Bridges. "FAO: Ebola Outbreak Putting West African Trade, Food Security in Jeopardy." International Center for Trade and Sustainable Development. September 2014. 44 Bridges. "FAO: Ebola Outbreak Putting West African Trade, Food Security in Jeopardy." International Center for Trade and Sustainable Development. September 2014. 45 Ibid 46 Endsor, Mick. "Ebola in West Africa: A Growing Economic and Humanitarian Crisis | ROM Economics." ROM Economics. 47 Konneh, Amara. "The Economics of Ebola." WSJ. August 2014. 230 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola World Food Programme, which has caused a reduction in food trade.48 This ultimately has the potential to reduce food availability in local markets, thus increasing market prices for crops because the demand of crops is greater than the supply. The mining sector is another economic booster from many affected West African nations which has been affected by the Ebola virus. The World Bank reports that the mining sector in Liberia, for example, accounts for 17% of the nation’s GDP and 56% of the $559 million USD worth of exports in 2013.49 In Sierra Leone, mining accounts for 85% of the nation’s industry and 20% of the economy.50 However, with emergence of the Ebola outbreak, mining activity has been reduced significantly, thus threating West African nations economic development. Two major iron ore mining companies, ArcelorMittal and China Union, in Liberia, for example, have cancelled mining investment projections that focused on the extraction of gold, diamonds, bauzite, and rutile. Due to the reduction of major economic activities in the West African region, affected West African actions have suffered from fiscal challenges, which ultimately decrease economic stability. Liberia’s economy, for example, has declined $113 million USD (5.1% of GDP) for 2014, as a result of the Ebola crisis.51 Further, Sierra Leone’s economy has declined by $95million USD and Guinea’s has declined by $120 million USD.52 The economic decline in the affected nations and the rise of Ebola poses a huge economic concern to the United States and allies for many reasons. Firstly, it impacts global trade of cash crops such as cocoa, which currently serves as a $12 billion USD global market good.53 60% of the world’s cocoa production neighbors nations currently affected by the Ebola outbreak— Nigeria, Ghana, and Ivory Coast. West African Cocoa Suppliers 48 Konneh, Amara. "The Economics of Ebola." WSJ. August 2014. 49 The World Bank. "The Economic Impact of the 2014 Ebola Epidemic." The World Bank Group. 2014. Accessed March 2015. 50 Ibid 51 Bridges. "FAO: Ebola Outbreak Putting West African Trade, Food Security in Jeopardy." International Center for Trade and Sustainable Development. September 2014. 52 Ibid 53 Wexler, Alexandra. "Cocoa Prices Surge on Ebola Fears." WSJ. September 19, 2014. Accessed March 24, 2015. 231 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola Source: Politico October 2014 As the West African region witnesses a declining economy and rising Ebola cases, the supply of cash crops decreases and thus the global price of crops increases. The United Nations reported that international cocoa prices increased by 18.5% in October 2014 due to the drop in production as a result of the outbreak.54 This negatively impacts U.S. chocolate companies such as The Hershey Company and Tootsie Roll Industrial Inc., who gather cocoa supplies from West Africa. The Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) predicts an increase in trading prices from $2,000 per ton to a high of $ 3,400 per ton, if the Ebola virus is not contained. This is a major concern for the U.S. companies.55 In addition, the rising Ebola crises makes nations vulnerable to becoming persistently weak and economically lagging nations, as a result of the economic declines West African nations are facing. This is a significant concern to the United States because it has the potential to lead to an increase in food shortages in the region. According to the Food and Agricultural Organization, food insecurity could affect over 470,000 people in Guinea, 300,000 in Liberia, and 280,000 in Sierra Leone by April 2015.56 Food insecurity can further increase the amount of people living in poverty in the affected West African region. The World Bank estimates that the percentage of people living in poverty can increase up to 22% if Ebola is not contained.57 This is a major concern for the United States because poverty places a huge pressure on governments and threatens economic stability, which can ultimately lead to failed states or failing states in West Africa. 54 Konneh, Amara. "The Economics of Ebola." WSJ. August 2014. 55 Bridges. "FAO: Ebola Outbreak Putting West African Trade, Food Security in Jeopardy." International Center for Trade and Sustainable Development. September 2014. 56 Ibid 57 The World Bank. "The Economic Impact of the 2014 Ebola Epidemic." The World Bank Group. 2014. Accessed March 2015. 232 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola National Security Economic concerns posed by the Ebola crisis have the potential to create failed states or failing states, which pose a severe global security threat, especially toward the United States. Affected Ebola nations such as Liberia and Sierra Leone have warned the international community of their vulnerability to becoming failed states. According to African affairs specialist Dr. Cara Jones, the Ebola crisis “is making economic and political recovery even more difficult for West African nations.” 58 Liberia and Sierra Leone, countries that are struggling to recover from over a decade of civil war, see the Ebola outbreak as a pushback to national development. This ultimately can lead to civil unrest, political instability, weak governmental institutions, corruption, and immense poverty. As a result, the West African region could witness destabilization which could cause an increase in transitional crime and terrorist activity, thus threating security and peace for Americans in the region and at home. In regards to transnational crime, West African nations affected by Ebola may encounter an increase in maritime piracy off their coast, especially in the Gulf of Guinea. According to the International Chamber of Commerce’s Commercial Crime and Services, several areas in the region including Lagos and Bonny River in Nigeria the Guinean capital, Conakry; and the Douala Outer Anchorage in Cameroon, are currently piracy prone areas located relatively close to affected Ebola nations.59 If the Ebola outbreak continues to weaken governmental institutions in Guinea, for example, there will be a lack of law enforcement, governmental authority, and surveillance to monitor and control piracy attacks in the area. As a result, African pirates can use the opportunity to engage in oil theft and other criminal activities for political and economic gain. This in turn will reduce safety for American allies in the region and American citizens who are near pirate-prone areas. In addition, failing and failed states in West Africa as a result of the Ebola outbreak can increase the trafficking of firearms in the region. Rebel groups and African terrorists can easily buy or rent weapons from corrupt police and military official who are desperate for economic survival in Liberia, Sierra Leone, and Guinea. These weapons can further be used to attack American citizens in the area and impose authority within the failing states in West Africa. In addition, rebels can use borders within affected Ebola nations to have access to more routes to smuggle weapons to neighboring terrorists groups in Nigeria, Mali, Burkino Faso, and Guinea Bissau.60 Furthermore, the Ebola outbreak has the potential to expand and increase the flow of illicit drugs, thus increasing America’s fear of the creation of “narco-states” in the region. West Africa in recent decades has emerged as main transit points for drug cartel activity, in particular cocaine, heroin, and methamphetamine, from Latin American nations to Europe. According to Senate Subcommittee on African Affairs, Colombian and Venezuelan drug traffickers, for example, have cultivated strong relationships with African criminals in the West 58 "U.S. Interest in the Ebola Outbreak." Interview with Cara Jones. February 2015. 59 Mason, Jeff, and James Harding Giahyue. "Citing Security Threat, Obama Expands U.S. Role Fighting Ebola." Reuters. September 16, 2014. 60 Luna, David. "Trans-African Security: Combating Illicit Trafficking Along the Crime-Terror Continuum." U.S. Department of State. February 26, 2014. 233 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola African region.61 As drug criminals in the region seek new routes of drug transmission and replacement routes for those that no longer exist, emerging failed states such as Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone can become substitutions. Guinea, in particular, is highly at risk because the nation is located near Highway 10 – the current shortest route across the Atlantic that is used to smuggle cocaine from Latin America.62 The rising threat of drug activity in the West African region due to Ebola further increases political instability, violence by drug gangs, and civil wars with neighboring West African counties. This in turn weakens peace and regional security for American citizens in the area. Furthermore, emerging failed states and failing states due to the Ebola outbreak can lead to an expansion of terrorist activity. Ebola affected nations in West Africa are in close proximity to several anti-American terrorist groups. Boko Haram (meaning “Western education is forbidden”) located in Nigeria, for example, is an African Jihadist group that has recently pledged allegiance to the anti-American terrorist group ISIS.63 Mourabitounes, Ansar Al Sunnah, and the Movement for Unity and Jihad in West Africa(MUJAO) are additional African Jihadist groups located in Mali, Niger and Libya, neighboring nations of Ebola affected countries. The United States fears that terrorist groups in the region could take full advantage of Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone, if they emerge as failed or failing states. Terrorist Groups in Africa 61 Ibid 62 Ibid 63 Mason, Jeff, and James Harding Giahyue. "Citing Security Threat, Obama Expands U.S. Role Fighting Ebola." Reuters. September 16, 2014. 234 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola Source: The Economist September 2013 Terrorist groups have the opportunity to spread power and authority over weak Ebola affected nations, thus increasing their presence and strength in the region. This possibility increases America’s regional and domestic vulnerability to terrorist threats or attacks. American citizens such as U.S. ambassadors, Foreign Service officers, and Peace Corps representatives in affected Ebola nations, for example, are at high-risk. According to Department of State spokeswoman, Jen Psaki, terrorist groups “are calling for more attacks and kidnappings on westerns.”64 If terrorists get a hold of additional West African nations as a result of Ebola, the chances of additional tortures, kidnappings, and beadings of U.S. citizens are likely. Attacks on U.S. embassies in Liberia, Sierra Leone, and Guinea are also possible. In addition, the potential terror risk posed by Ebola as a bioterrorist weapon has brought immense concern to the U.S. Department of Defense. Terrorists in the West African region or terrorist affiliates of ISIS can turn the Ebola virus into a powerful weapon of mass destruction. Cara Jones mentioned that bioterrorist activity can threaten U.S. national security both domestically and abroad.65 Islamic extremists and other Jihadist terror groups can take full advantage of the Ebola outbreak to increase terrorist casualties at very low cost. There are several methods to spread Ebola in a way that will maximize the number of anti-ISIS victims. Firstly, terrorists in the region could perform suicide missions in which they could purposely infect themselves with Ebola and quickly leave West Africa heading to the U.S. before becoming symptomatic. Terrorists also have the ability to weaponize Ebola by preparing Ebola bombs or spraying agents which can be transported into luggage bound to the West. Once the biological agent arrives to the United States, it can be sprayed or exploded in crowded subways, sport facilities, recreational parks, etc. Captain Al Shimkus, professor of national security affairs at the U.S. Naval War College, mentioned that such a scenario is plausible.66 The idea of using Ebola as a bioterrorist weapons has been a topic of discussion for many Jihadist groups. The Middle East Media Research Institute (MEMRI) reported talks by Jihadist social media and online chatter websites about the possibility of using “Ebola as a weapon against the U.S. and West.”67 A member of the Jihadi Media Platform, Mata Al-Sa’a, was one of many ISIS members who has threatened to use the virus against ISIS enemies. MEMRI quotes Mata Al-Sa’a saying “it is enough to carry a Pepsi bottle in your briefcase and transport it from Africa to America.[ Once there,] you open the bottle in one of the air ducts, or place it at the tip of public drinking water pipelines, and doors of elevators, and the air and water will take care of the rest.”68Similar threats were also discussed in September 2014 by ISIS media company, Al-Furqan. 64 Roulo, Claudette. "United States Department of Defense." Defense.gov News Article: DoD Releases Breakdown of Ebola Response Effort. January 08, 2015. 65 "U.S. Interest in the Ebola Outbreak." Interview by Cara Jones. February 2015. 66 Maron, Dina F. "Weaponized Ebola: Is It Really a Bioterror Threat?" Scientific American Global RSS. September 2014. 67 TRAC. "Movement for the Unity and Jihad in West Africa (MUJAO)." Terrorism Research & Analysis Consortium. 2011. 68 Ibid 235 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola The United States is well aware of the national security risks associated with the Ebola outbreak in West Africa. The potential of emerging failed states, which could further increase transitional crime and terrorist activities, including weaponizing Ebola towards America, are concerns that have influenced the United States decision to respond to the Ebola crisis. U.S. National Security Response The United States has framed the Ebola outbreak as a matter of national security that requires a military response. As a result, the United States African Command (AFRICOM) has played a key role in providing assistance to control the outbreak. AFRICOM’s mission, according to the Department of Defense (DOD), is to “deter and defeat transnational threats [such as the Ebola crisis] in order to advance U.S. interests and promote regional security, stability, and prosperity.”69 Thus far, AFRICOM, with the support of an additional 3,000 U.S. troops, has accomplished many tasks in order to respond to the devastating outbreak. Building isolation and treatment facilities, for example, has been a U.S. military priority in West Africa, primarily in Liberia. Over 15 Ebola treatment units and 17 treatment centers with roughly 100 beds have been constructed in the region, helping to safely isolate and treat hundreds of Ebola patients.70 The U.S. military has also built a special medical hospital in Liberia called the Monrovia Medical Unit (MMU) in order to treat Ebola infected healthcare workers.71 In addition, DOD has provided transportation services in order to airlift U.S. health workers and medical supplies into West Africa more quickly and efficiently. The U.S. military has also provided mobile laboratories to reduce the time of Ebola diagnosis from days to hours. Moreover, DOD has trained more than 1,500 health workers to enable them to provide safe medical care to Ebola patients.72 In addition to helping affected West Africa nations, DOD has also taken measures to deter the spread of Ebola in the United States. For example, DOD and CDC have worked closely with Customs and Border Protection at international airports to perform routine check-ups to identify travelers who show Ebola symptoms. DOD and CDC are also assisting with exit screening in West Africa to prevent sick travelers from boarding planes to the U.S. Efforts by the United States to contain the Ebola outbreak not only reduce the number of causalities and the potential of emerging failed states, but also reduce the opportunity for terrorists to use Ebola as a bioterror weapon against the United States. Additional Actions the United Stated Should Consider 69 McDaniel, Erin, Kim Yi Dionne, and Laura Seay. "AFRICOM's Ebola Response and the Militarization of Humanitarian Aid." Washington Post. September 2014. 70 White House. "FACT SHEET: Progress in Our Ebola Response at Home and Abroad." The White House: Office of the Press Secretary. February 11, 2015. 71 Ibid 72 Ibid 236 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola The United States has made significant efforts to fight the Ebola outbreak and ensure that the epidemic does not progress into neighboring nations and abroad. Affected nations such as Liberia, Guinea, and Sierra Leone are receiving support with health equipment, infrastructure development, and monitoring systems in order to reduce the amount of Ebola cases and properly treat victims that are infected with the virus. Despite the efforts of the United States, however, more work needs to be done in order to ensure a complete end to the health crisis and to prevent future Ebola outbreaks from reappearing. The most significant action forward that will be most beneficial to deterring the spread of Ebola is addressing stigma associated with the disease. On a much broader scale, the United States must continue to work collaboratively with international partners and the affected West African nations to educate and inform communities about Ebola transmission and prevention. The United States should take a leading role in organizing community volunteers and healthcare workers who can routinely work at the grassroots level to promote Ebola stigma reduction. Such measures should continue to take place now, as the Ebola crisis remains, and also when it deters. The United States should further help to empower surviving victims of Ebola so they have the ability to deal with social stigma they face as they return to their villages and local communities. Working closely with the ministries of health in Liberia, Sierra Leone, and Guinea, the United States can help develop strategies that could reduce Ebola-related stigma. Counseling, promoting public contact with people who have had Ebola, and training of coping skills, would be valuable strategies to consider. Furthermore, the United States must work in the cultural context of affected Ebola communities in order to ensure an end to the outbreak. It is important for the United States to be more culturally sensitive to traditional practices in West Africa, especially in relation to the role of traditional healers and cultural burial practices. The United States must work closely with medical anthropologists who can provide cultural recommendations that would be useful to medical workers and the local people. Suggesting alternative ways to engage in mourning practices, for example, would allow locals to feel closer to the decease, and would also prevent Ebola from spreading from one person to another.73 Medical anthropologists could also ensure a proper balance between resistance from locals and the need to bring Ebola under control. For example, encouraging international medical workers to use the term “treatment centers”, rather than “isolation centers”, would eliminate anxiety and fear, which could potentially allow more people to seek help and treatment.74 Furthermore, the U.S. medical response team should work closely with traditional healers in West Africa allowing them to have a more powerful and influential role in the fight against Ebola. With the help of medical anthropologists, traditional healers can serve as ambassadors in the community by conveying the right messages and advice about Ebola treatment and prevention which would be influential to locals who have deep respect 73 Abramowitz, Sharon. "Somatosphere." Somatosphere Ten Things That Anthropologists Can Do to Fight the West African Ebola Epidemic Comments. September 26, 2014., pg 15 74 Alland, Alexander, Jr. "Biocultural Adaptation and Medical Anthropology." Medical Anthropology Quarterly 4, no. 3 (September 1990): 342-44. 237 Virginia Review of Asian Studies Volume 17 (2015): 221-245 Ramdass: Ebola and admiration for them. This would ultimately lessen the chances of Ebola contraction and encourage people to seek medical help if they have EVD symptoms. Moreover, the United States must create a West African “Marshall Plan” that would focus specifically on rebuilding the shattering economy and redeveloping the healthcare system from the ground up.75 Building hospitals, investing in long term training of specialized medical workers, increasing medial staff in each village, and providing sanitation and water services would allow West African nations to better respond to future Ebola outbreaks. Implementation of these initiatives allows the United States to remain an active international supporter in the fight against Ebola. 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