Section 6.9 solutions 1) The data shows the cooling temperatures of a freshly brewed cup of coffee after it is poured from the brewing pot into a serving cup. The brewing pot temperature is approximately 180º F. Time 0 (minutes) Temperature 179.5 (Fahrenheit) 5 8 11 15 18 22 25 30 34 164 154 149.2 141.7 134.6 125.4 123.5 120 118.5 1a) plot the data using a graphing calculator 1b) Decide the type of regression model that is appropriate This looks like exponential decay. The data is not really linear as it starts to flatten out at the end. I will use Exponential regression. (ExpReg on my TI-84) Answer: Exponential Regression 1c) Find the appropriate regression equation, and write it in the form P(t) = P0ekt expReg with my TI-84 gives the equation: y = 172.544(.988x) , the x stands for time, so I will change the x to t to make the next steps easier to follow y = 172.454(.988t) I need to rewrite this equation in the form P(t) = P0ekt to do this I need to find values for P0 and k. These are the formal steps to rewrite the equation in the desired form. Step 1: find a value for P0 Set the calculator equation equal to the desired equation 172.544(.988)t = P0ekt If we let t = 0 we can solve for P0 172.544(.988)0 = P0ek*0 172.544(1) = P0e0 172.544(1) = P0(1) 172.544 = P0 We can now change the P0 in equation marked * P(t) = 172.544ekt Step 2 find a value for k Set the calculator equation equal to the desired form with the correct P0 172.544(.988)t = 172.544ekt (divide by 172.544 to get .988t = ekt (this must be true for all values of t, so now let t = 1) .9881 = ek*1 .988 = ek (take ln of each side) Ln(.988) = ln ek -.012 = k Desired equation P(t) = 172.544e-.012t Answer: P(t) = 172.544e-.012t There are shortcuts that can be used to find the P0 and k. Shortcut method: Step 1: find the value of P0 P0 equals the value of a from the exponential regression equation obtained on my calculator. P0 = 172.454 Step 2: k equals ln(b), where b is the value from the exponential regression obtained on my calculator k = ln(.988) k = -.012 1d) Predict when the coffee temperature will be 115 degrees Fahrenheit. Replace the P(t) with 115 and solve for t. 115 = 172.544e-.012t (divide by 172.544 and round to 3 decimals) .666 = e-.012t (take ln of each side) Ln(.666) = ln e-.012t (use power to product rule) Ln(.666) = -.012t(ln e) (ln e = 1_ Ln(.666) = -.012t 33.87 Answer: 33.87 minutes Section 6.9: Building Exponential and Logarithmic models 3) The following is a table comparing the number of people who got sick after exposure to a certain virus. Days 1 after exposure Number 21 of people sick 2 3 4 5 6 45 96 208 450 971 3a) Plot the data using a graphing calculator 3b) Decide the type of regression model that is appropriate This looks like an exponential growth function Answer: exponential regression 3c) Find the appropriate regression equation Calculator answer: y = 9.696(2.154t) (a = 9.696 and b = 2.154) I want to write this in the form P(t) = P0ekt I will use the shortcut approach P0 = k (so P0= 9.696) k = ln(b) (so k = ln(2.154) = .767) Answer: P(t) = 9.696e.767t 3d) Predict when 2000 people will be sick Replace P(t) with 2000 and solve for t. 2000 = 9.696e.767t (divide by 9.696) 206.271 = e.767t (take ln of each side) Ln(206.271) = ln e.767t (use power to product rule) Ln(206.271) = .767t(ln e ) Ln(206.271) = .767t ln(206.271) .767 =𝑡 Answer: 6.95 days 5) A chemist has a 50-gram sample of a radioactive material. He records the amount of radioactive material present every week for 6 weeks and obtains the following data week Weight (grams) 0 50 1 44 2 38 3 33 4 29 5 26 6 23 5a) Plot the data using a graphing calculator 5b) Decide the type of regression model that is appropriate The data almost looks linear. However, I know that the exponential regression is appropriate for radioactive decay problems. The linear regression might by okay. Answer: exponential regression 5c) Find the appropriate regression equation y = 49.616(.878t) now use shortcut to find P0 and k P0 = a = 49.616 k = ln(b) = ln(.878) = -.130 Answer: P(t) = 49.616e-.130t 5d) Predict when there will be 10 grams of the material left. 10 = 49.616e-.130t (divide by 49.616) .202 = e-.130t Ln(.202) = ln(e-.130t) Ln(.202) = -.130t(ln e) Ln (.202) = -.130t ln(.202) −.130 =𝑡 Answer: 12.30 weeks 7) The data below show the average growth rates of 12 Weeping Higan cherry trees planted in Washington, D.C. At the time of planting, the trees were one year old and were all 6 feet in height. Age of tree in years height in feet 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 6 9.5 13 15 16.7 17.5 18.5 19 19.5 19.7 7a) Plot the data using a graphing calculator 7b) Decide the type of regression model that is appropriate This is not exponential in nature, logarithmic regression is appropriate Answer: logarithmic regression 7c) Find the appropriate regression equation Answer: y = 5.946 + 6.286ln(t) or P(t) = 5.946 + 6.286ln(t) 7d) Predict when the trees will be 20 feet in height. 20 = 5.946 + 6.286ln(t) (subtract 5.946 from each side) 14.054 = 6.286ln(t) (divide by 6.286) 2.236 = ln (t) 2.236 = loge(t) e2.236 = t Answer: 9.36 years