Climate Modelling User Group - Ensembles

advertisement
Document Ref.: D6.1Science Exploitation Report Draft v0.2
CMUG Deliverable
Number:
Due date:
Submission date:
Version:
D6.1
April 2015
June 2015
0.2
Climate Modelling User Group
Deliverable 6.1
Scientific Exploitation Report
Centres providing input: MOHC
Version
Date
Comment
0.2
10 June 2015
First draft for ESA comment
1 of 15
Document Ref.: D6.1Science Exploitation Report Draft v0.2
CMUG Deliverable
Number:
Due date:
Submission date:
Version:
D6.1
April 2015
June 2015
0.2
Contents
1 Introduction
3
2 Outreach and engagement
4
2.1 Key outreach channels and activities
4
2.2 CMUG website
5
2.3 CMUG data forum
7
2.4 Meetings and workshops
10
2.5 Documents and publications
11
2.6 Other reports
11
Annex A
12
- Meetings attended by CMUG
13
- Publications with CMUG input and results
14
- Report of CMUG Integration Meetings 3 and 4
15
2 of 15
Document Ref.: D6.1Science Exploitation Report Draft v0.2
CMUG Deliverable
Number:
Due date:
Submission date:
Version:
D6.1
April 2015
June 2015
0.2
CMUG Scientific Exploitation Report
1
Introduction
The CMUG project has been running since 2012 and includes outreach and engagement activities for
an audience including the climate research community (including reanalysis, climate impact studies and
climate modelling), international coordinating bodies, scientific press, the general public and others with
a general interest in the Earth climate system. This report provides a record of these activities and their
outcomes/success, and supplements CMUG deliverables 4.2 and 4.3 (Scientific Exploitation Report,
and Promotion Package, respectively). The CMUG has delivered outreach and engagement activities
as described the outreach plans for Phase 1 (D4.1 v2, below) and Phase 2 (D6.1 v1).
5. Plans for outreach (from Phase 1 D4.1 Scientific Exploitation Plan v2)
The following channels are being exploited to make the users aware of the new CCI CDRs.
1. Presentations on the planned and sample ESA CCI datasets at meetings during phase 1 of the
CCI.
2. Continued development of the CMUG web site to make the community aware of the CCI datasets
planned and available.
3. Set up a CMUG newsgroup where important announcements about the CCI datasets are sent out
to registered users when CCI datasets become available.
4. High level awareness of the CMUG activities at the CMUG partner institutes.
5. Working level interactions with key scientists in climate modelling and reanalysis centres through
the scientists in the CMUG institutes and invitations to CCI/CMUG meetings.
6. Lobby to include CCI datasets in appropriate IPCC reviews, CMUG partners contribute to the IPCC
reviews and are in a good position to promote this.
7. Ensure some of the CCI datasets are available from the Obs4MIPS site.
8. Link with GCOS activities through GCOS project office and AOPC.
9. Link with relevant EU projects which require CCI data as input. The CMUG has a wide involvement
with such projects (e.g. IS-ENES, CHARMe, Core-CLIMAX, SPECS, …)
10. Attendance at key climate modelling, reanalysis and satellite data meetings by CMUG staff to
promote the CCI datasets (e.g. CMIP5, WCRP Science conference, EUMETSAT Meteorological
Satellite Conference, etc)
11. Give inputs to the WCRP GEWEX scientific steering group and sub-groups (e.g. WDAP, WGCM)
as appropriate.
12. Publication of article in Bulletin of American Meteorological Society or similar.
13. Co-ordinate outreach with individual CCI projects to ensure consistent message is given
14. Advertise early use of CCI datasets in CMUG partner institutes.
15. Organise a workshop to promote and inform users about the available CCI datasets. Invite key
scientists to attend and offer them travel and subsistence if necessary.
16. By working with the CCI projects ensure that the CDRs (and associated observation operators) are
easy to access and ingest in commonly used formats. In addition their error characteristics must be
provided along with the datasets. Providing the datasets on the Earth System Grid will be a key
objective.
17. Links to EUMETSAT’s proposed activities on climate monitoring – need to ensure complementarity
and avoid any duplication of effort, etc.
3 of 15
Document Ref.: D6.1Science Exploitation Report Draft v0.2
CMUG Deliverable
Number:
Due date:
Submission date:
Version:
D6.1
April 2015
June 2015
0.2
2
Outreach and engagement
2.1
Key outreach channels and activities
CMUG outreach and engagement activities to the climate modelling and reanalysis communities (the
CMC) and others (international bodies, scientific press, and the general public) were active throughout
the Phase 1 and have become more focused in Phase 2 now that the ECV datasets are available and
have been assessed by CMUG and other research groups.
The main source of communication to audiences of interest outside the CCI is the project website
(Figure 1) and the newly created data forum. These sites provide outreach material (newsletters,
science summary documents, presentations, deliverables, posters, flyers etc.) as well as information
about past and future meetings with a significant CMUG input. CMUG website outreach channels and
their impact are described in section 2.1.
CMUG attendance at national and international climate research events (conferences, unions,
symposia, etc.) are another key channel through which information about the CCI reaches the scientific
community and a wider set of stakeholders (scientific press, policymakers, ‘interested’ public). This
work is supported by a range of media, (oral presentations, poster sessions, flyers, newsletters)
including the recently produced CCI visualisations. Activity in this arena, and its outcomes are
described in section 2.2
The last key channel through which CMUG research results are disseminated is via papers in peerreviewed journals, and articles in programme bulletins. This is a specialist route as its reach is only to
the climate science research community and the scientific press. Activity in this arena, and its outcomes
are described in section 2.4
Formal communication on CMUG outreach and engagement activities has been recorded in monthly
and quarterly management reports and presented at CMUG management meetings and annual
progress meetings with ESA.
4 of 15
Document Ref.: D6.1Science Exploitation Report Draft v0.2
CMUG Deliverable
Number:
Due date:
Submission date:
Version:
2.2
D6.1
April 2015
June 2015
0.2
CMUG website
The CCI CMUG website (Figure 1) has been kept up to date with project deliverables, descriptions of
scientific exploitation of CCI data, media outputs, and forthcoming events. The CMC has been kept
informed of CMUG news via electronic newsletters and information emails (for example giving notice of
CMUG presentations at international conferences).
The website provides latest news on forthcoming meetings and events. It includes pages for CMUG
deliverables, project outputs, forthcoming events, posters, flyers, and significant reports and
presentations. It also includes links to the ESA CCI programme, individual ECV pages, and partner
organisations. The website uses a common style with other CCI websites for easy navigation by users,
and is updated on a weekly basis. In Phase 2 the CMUG website has been supplemented by the
CMUG data forum which aims to provide an online discussion and information dissemination forum for
the CCI. Such material disseminated through the forum includes short summaries of CMUG
assessments of individual ECV datasets, key information about CCI datasets, a blog, and if there is
sufficient interest a discussion forum.
Figure 1: CCI CMUG front page screenshot (June 2015).
5 of 15
Document Ref.: D6.1Science Exploitation Report Draft v0.2
CMUG Deliverable
Number:
Due date:
Submission date:
Version:
D6.1
April 2015
June 2015
0.2
Website traffic: A new apache (AWStats) system was put in place in April 2015 recording the number
of visits (to CMUG addresses) by visitors’ country, referrals etc. Early statistics (Figure 2 and Table 1)
suggest that most traffic appears to be from China, followed by European countries. The statistics will
be more valuable over a longer accumulation period.
Figure 2: CMUG website traffic by month.
Country
Pages
Bandwidth
MB
China
3354
6033
Germany
168
507
Other European
countries
107
329
United States
58
185
Belgium
64
103
Great Britain
215
102
Netherlands
18
21
Sweden
27
18
Unknown
371
164
Other
677
1570
Total
5059
9031
Table 1: CMUG_CCI website traffic May 2015 by country.
6 of 15
Document Ref.: D6.1Science Exploitation Report Draft v0.2
CMUG Deliverable
Number:
Due date:
Submission date:
Version:
D6.1
April 2015
June 2015
0.2
Google Analytics was added on 1st May which provides an indicator of the number of visits and referrals
etc. and show most (72%) traffic is new visitors (Figure 3).
Figure 3: ESA-CCI website traffic by new and returning visitor.
2.3
CMUG data forum
A data forum was set up to provide access to key CCI CMUG data-sets, and a forum for CCI data users
to interact and record user experience. The web page went live in September 2014, and includes links
to individual CMUG-CCI web pages, validation documents, data products and metadata (Figure 4). The
Data Forum will complement the 3-year CCI Open Data Portal which commenced on May 1st by
providing an open forum for user discussion and feedback on CCI datasets.
7 of 15
Document Ref.: D6.1Science Exploitation Report Draft v0.2
CMUG Deliverable
Number:
Due date:
Submission date:
Version:
D6.1
April 2015
June 2015
0.2
Figure 4: Screenshot from CCI CMUG Data Forum.
Forum visitor statistics (Figure 5) show a total of over 5600 hits in 2015. Visits increased steadily from
September last year with the number of visitors and the quantity of data downloaded peaking in
February this year. Traffic has been steady in March & April.
8 of 15
Document Ref.: D6.1Science Exploitation Report Draft v0.2
CMUG Deliverable
Number:
Due date:
Submission date:
Version:
D6.1
April 2015
June 2015
0.2
Figure 5: CMUG data forum visitor statistics by month.
Most hits were from the UK, followed by Ukraine, Netherlands and France (Figure 6). Detailed daily and
annual reports on site usage are also available by page visited, data downloaded, referrals from other
sites, and individual user url.
9 of 15
Document Ref.: D6.1Science Exploitation Report Draft v0.2
CMUG Deliverable
Number:
Due date:
Submission date:
Version:
D6.1
April 2015
June 2015
0.2
Figure 6: Forum visits by country.
2.4
Meetings & Workshops
CMUG has organised or participated in a large range of significant meetings and workshops, and for
convenience these are listed in chronological order in Annex A.
Most recently, the 5th Integration meeting was held on 26-28 May 2015 in Norrkoping, Sweden. The
aims of the integration meeting were to review CCI progress and current status, to assess the CCI data
products, and steer Phase 2 technical direction. The meeting was attended by 65 scientists, and the
outputs include detailed scientific presentations which are available on the CMUG website. Details of
this and previous integration meetings are included in Annexe A.
There are annually a number of international climate conferences (e.g. EGU, AGU, EC funded project
meetings) at which science research is presented and discussed. CMUG scientists have attended and
presented at these, and other public events and conferences with a climate or Earth observation theme,
for example the Darmstadt Climate Symposium (13-17 Oct 2014) where CMUG science lead Roger
Saunders (Met Office) co-chaired the CCI Session, and the SPECS (FP7 project) general assembly
where CMUG results were presented by Alex Loew.
International coordinating bodies and programmes (WMO, WCRP, GRUAN, WOAP, EUMETSAT) hold
regular meetings where CMUG scientists have presented programme information and results, either as
members of these bodies, or by invitation as experts. CMUG scientists also gave presentations about
the programme to international research projects which will have an interest in the CCI, for example
Obs4MIPs and IS-ENES2 in 2014.
10 of 15
Document Ref.: D6.1Science Exploitation Report Draft v0.2
CMUG Deliverable
Number:
Due date:
Submission date:
Version:
D6.1
April 2015
June 2015
0.2
CMUG attended technical workshops on Uncertainty in Exeter (Nov 2014), and the ESMValTool
Workshop at LMU-München in March 2015. These workshops enabled CMUG scientists to share
expertise and steer further technical developments e.g. for the ESMValTool to handle ESA CCI
datasets and to produce performance metrics.
2.5
Documents and publications
The following documents for use in outreach and scientific engagement have been produced over the
last 2 years:






CMUG newsletters (Sep 2013, June 2015)
User Requirements Report (December 2014)
Scientific Impacts Report (April 2015)
Technical Report on Product Assessment (June 2015)
Data Quality Assessment Report (June 2014)
Technical Note on Obs4MIPs
The number of peer reviewed journal articles has increased from 30 to nearly 200 since 2012,
demonstrating the significant contribution being made by CCI-CMUG datasets to climate science. They
include diverse papers on remote-sensing, satellite observations and climate science from a wide range
of institutions and countries. Publications since 2013 are listed in Annex A.
2.6 Other reports
In the course of the CMUG project other documents were generated with a specific role or audience in
mind. These are communication products which are not formal deliverables, and thus not submitted to
ESA for contractual acceptance. This document provides an archive for such material. These
documents (meeting reports, publications, etc) are found in Annex A.
11 of 15
Document Ref.: D6.1Science Exploitation Report Draft v0.2
CMUG Deliverable
Number:
Due date:
Submission date:
Version:
D6.1
April 2015
June 2015
0.2
Annex A
Contents
- Meetings attended by CMUG
- CMUG Peer reviewed publications since 2013
- Details of CMUG Integration Meeting 4 & 5
12 of 15
Document Ref.: D6.1Science Exploitation Report Draft v0.2
CMUG Deliverable
Number:
Due date:
Submission date:
Version:
D6.1
April 2015
June 2015
0.2
Meetings attended by CMUG
This list describes the CCI programme and external science meetings attended by CMUG since
August 2013 (when outreach activities were last reported) to which there was a contribution by the
CMUG team. It excludes CCI ECV project meetings which are part of the CCI and are also
attended by CMUG team members as they are concerned more with science research than
outreach.
Date
Meeting
29 Sep-1 Oct
2015
21-25 Sept
2015
4-7 Aug 2015
CCI Colocation 6
13-15 Jul 2015
Location
2015
ESRIN, Italy
EUMETSAT Met Satellite Conference
Communications action by CMUG
CCI project meeting
Abstract accepted
NOAA CDR-CCI
Toulouse,
France
Asheville, USA
UK Space Conference
Liverpool, UK
26-28 May
2015
11-May-15
CMUG 5th integration meeting
SMHI, Sweden
Presentation of CCI and CMUG
results
CCI project meeting
MACC-III Copernicus User Workshop
3-4 Mar2015
ESMVal workshop
UNICEF,
Rome
Munich
18-20 Nov 2014
SST user workshop on uncertainties
Exeter, UK
CMUG participation
20-22 Oct 2014
CCI Colocation 5
ESRIN
CCI project meeting
13-17 Oct 2014
Darmstadt
CMUG session
13-Jun-14
EUMETSAT climate research from
space
CCI Press event at the Royal Society
London, UK
CMUG participation
2-4 June 2014
CMUG Fourth integration meeting
Exeter, UK
CCI project meeting
12-13 May
2014
29 April-3 May
2014
27 April-2 May
2014
4-6 Feb 2014
IS-ENES2 infrastructure for Earth
System Models
Obs4MIPs
De Bilt,
Netherlands
California
CMUG interaction
EGU
Vienna
CMUG participation
CCI Colocation 4
ESRIN
CCI project meeting
CCI-NOAA science meeting
CMUG Participation
CMUG Participation
2014
CMUG presentation
2013
15-16 Oct 2013
SPECS General Assembly
Netherlands
CMUG presentation
16-20 Sept
2013
10-11 Sept
2013
EUMETSAT and American Met. Soc
Vienna
CMUG presentation
ESA Living Planet
Edinburgh
CMUG presentation
13 of 15
Document Ref.: D6.1Science Exploitation Report Draft v0.2
CMUG Deliverable
Number:
Due date:
Submission date:
Version:
D6.1
April 2015
June 2015
0.2
CMUG Peer reviewed publications since 2013
Ford, D. A., K. P. Edwards, D. Lea, R. M. Barciela, M. J. Martin, and J. Demaria: Assimilating
GlobColour ocean colour data into a pre-operational physical-biogeochemical model Ocean
Sci. Discuss., 9, 687-744, 2012.
Hollmann, R., Merchant, C. J., Saunders, R., Downy, C., Buchwitz, M., Cazenave, A., … Wagner,
W. (2013). The ESA Climate Change Initiative: satellite data records for essential climate
variables. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 130313072241002.
doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00254.1
Lean, K. and R. Saunders, 2013: Validation of the ATSR Re-processing for Climate (ARC)
dataset using data from drifting buoys and a three-way error analysis. Journal of Climate.
Loew, A. (2013). Terrestrial satellite records for climate studies: how long is long enough? A test
case for the Sahel. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 1–14. doi:10.1007/s00704-013-08806. http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/3523/2013/hess-17-3523-2013.html
Loew, A., Stacke, T., Dorigo, W., de Jeu, R., & Hagemann, S. (2013). Potential and limitations of
multidecadal satellite soil moisture observations for selected climate model evaluation studies.
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17(9), 3523–3542. doi:10.5194/hess-17-3523-2013
Merchant, C. J., Embury, O., Rayner, N. A., Berry, D. I., Corlett, G. K., Lean, K., … Saunders, R.
(2012). A 20 year independent record of sea surface temperature for climate from Along-Track
Scanning Radiometers. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117(C12), C12013.
doi:10.1029/2012JC008400
14 of 15
Document Ref.: D6.1Science Exploitation Report Draft v0.2
CMUG Deliverable
Number:
Due date:
Submission date:
Version:
D6.1
April 2015
June 2015
0.2
4th & 5th CCI CMUG Project Integration Meetings
The 4th CCI CMUG Project Integration Meeting was held 2-3 June 2014 at the Met Office Hadley
Centre in Exeter, UK. The meeting showcased the gridded climate observation datasets produced in
Phase 1 of the CCI programme and demonstrated their usefulness to the climate modelling, reanalysis
and climate research communities. Keynote presentations were given by Julia Slingo (Chief Scientist,
Met Office), Pietro Ceccato (IRI, University of Columbia), Michael Zemp (Dir.World Glacier Monitoring
Service, University of Zurich), Francisco Doblas Reyes (Head of Climate Forecasting at IC3), and
Chris Jones, Head of Earth System and Mitigation Science at the Met Office.
The 5th Project Integration Meeting was held on 26-28th May at SMHI in Sweden. It was attended by
64 scientists and examined the current gridded climate observation datasets of the CCI programme,
their validation by the CMUG climate modelling teams, their application in climate research, and their
potential use in Copernicus Climate Change Services. It included keynote presentations by Peter
Thorne (Maynooth University), Malcolm Roberts (Met Office), and Erik Kjellström (SMHI). The
meeting explored current applications of CCI data, the ECV data quality assessment, and data quality
for climate data services (e.g. GAIA-CLIM, FIDUCIO, CORE-CLIMAX and the ESA Data Portal).
Presentations are on the CMUG website.
15 of 15
Download