ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 1 Calibrating Process and Outcome Accountability Systems in the Workplace to Meet Fairness and Efficiency Goals William T. Self University of Missouri, Berkeley Philip E. Tetlock University of Pennsylvania Barbara A. Mellers University of Pennsylvania Gregory Mitchell University of Virginia J. Angus D. Hildreth University of California, Berkeley ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 2 Abstract This experiment explores the impact of process and outcome accountability on racial and gender biases in a simulated hiring task. The data revealed the risks of over-correction of traditional biases when organizations implement outcome-accountability systems in workplaces with two properties: (a) managers endorse egalitarian or pro-minority attitudes; (b) managers recruit from labor markets with human-capital deficits among disadvantaged groups. By contrast, processaccountability systems led to more meritocratic decisions—and also did not trigger negative reactions observed under outcome accountability. We conclude by discussing the perils of onesize-fits-all debiasing prescriptions and the need to calibrate recommendations to specific conditions. Keywords: process accountability, outcome accountability, calibration, hiring decisions, bias ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 3 The United States is approaching the fiftieth anniversary of the landmark Civil Rights Act of 1964. In response to tectonic shifts in public opinion on the acceptability of discrimination (Campbell, 1947; Dovidio & Gaertner, 1986), changes in labor force demographics, and political and legal pressure (Dobbin, 2009; Edelman, 2004), Fortune 500 companies routinely spend substantial sums on anti-discrimination and diversity programs and have implemented a wide array of measures designed to promote equal employment opportunity (EEO), from rank-and-file diversity training to creation of executive-level diversity officers. Although the societal stakes are obviously high and the issues far from new (e.g., Campbell, 1947), we still know little about the relative effectiveness of many recommended strategies to debias employment decisions, and less still about the interactions among these strategies (Dobbin, Kalev & Kelly, 2007; Paluck & Green, 2009). The list of proposed remedies is long and includes encouraging cooperative equal-status contact across group boundaries (Binder, Zagefka, Brown, Funke, Kessler, Mummendey, Maquil, Demoulin & Leyens, 2009; Crisp & Turner, 2009; Turner, Hewstone, Voci & Vonofakou, 2008), promoting cross-cultural friendships (Page-Gould, Mendoza-Denton & Tropp, 2008), acknowledging race rather than engaging in “strategic colorblindness” (Apfelbaum, Sommers & Norton, 2008; Norton, Sommers, Apfelbaum, Pura, & Ariely 2006; Correll, Park, & Smith, 2008), confronting offenders (Czopp, Monteith & Mark, 2006), training or practicing techniques to reduce biased reactions (Kawakami, Dovidio, Moll, Hermsen & Russin, 2000; Plant, Peruche & Butz, 2005; Stewart & Payne, 2008; Olson & Fazio, 2006), reducing in-group identification (Crisp & Beck, 2005), taking the perspective of others (Vorauer, Martens & Sasaki, 2009), and even giving people sugary drinks (Gailliot, Peruche, Plant & Baumeister, 2008). ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 4 Most organizations adopt policies designed to create EEO accountability pressures inside the company via multiple routes, including anti-discrimination sanctions, affirmative action programs, and holding managers responsible for following structured decision-making processes aimed at reducing bias. As with many other interventions (Paluck & Green, 2009), there is a paucity of evidence on the conditions under which these policies have their intended effect of checking bias against historically disadvantaged groups as well as on the conditions under which such policies may have unintended effects (Kalev, Kelly, & Dobbin, 2006; Bisom-Rapp, 1999; Krawiec, 2003). Research within the flexible-correction framework (Wegener & Petty, 1995, 1997) underscores how difficult it can be to calibrate debiasing solutions to avoid errors of both undercorrection (failing to correct sufficiently for the original bias) and over-correction (creating a new bias in the opposite direction). Calibration in employment decisions can be particularly difficult for two reasons: (1) we cannot always predict what form bias will take in any given population or context; (2) we do not know the consequences of different accountability systems (e.g., process versus outcome accountability) on the manifestation of bias. This article addresses this knowledge deficit by exploring the efficacy of process versus outcome accountability interventions in checking race and sex bias in hiring decisions. Key questions examined here include: Which type of accountability is the more effective debiasing tool, reducing bias without simply inducing reverse-discriminatory biases in the opposite direction? How robust are these results across variation in the difficulty of the personnel decisions (the degree to which the decisions require balancing offsetting strengths and weaknesses in job-relevant qualifications)? How do individual differences in ideological ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 5 attitudes regarding equality and in motivations to achieve equality goals in hiring affect reactions to accountability pressure? Accountability Interventions to Correct For Biases in Hiring Decisions Accountability research grew out of famous research demonstrations, such as the work of Solomon Asch on conformity (1951) and Stanley Milgram on obedience (1963), of just how far people are often willing to go to avoid disapproval and seek approval (Tetlock, 1985, 1992). People often go to great lengths to bring their public attitudes and actions into compliance with local norms, especially when under accountability scrutiny (Cialdini & Trost, 2010). Furthermore, when people cannot easily guess the views of those to whom they feel accountable, they often shift into a more self-aware mindset in which they try to anticipate objections that reasonable others might raise to how they go about making decisions (Tetlock, 1983). This mode of thinking, known as pre-emptive self-criticism, has in many studies checked judgment and decision-making problems related to personnel decisions, such as over-confidence, the halo effect, in-group favoritism, and belief perseverance (Lerner & Tetlock, 1999; Ford, Gambino, Lee, Mayo & Ferguson, 2004; Ruscher & Duval, 1998). However, it is not clear how larger accountability interventions in diversity programs would affect bias, particularly with the known difficulty of calibrating such efforts. Not all accountability pressures look the same. Specifically, researchers have differentiated process from outcome accountability. Outcome accountability – pressure to make the targeted demographic numbers – is a special case of accountability to an audience with known views that should motivate decision makers to conform (demonstrate public compliance with numerical goals) but have little effect on the rigor of underlying judgment-and-choice processes (Tetlock, 1992). In this view, although equality might be achieved, it may be at some ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 6 expense of job-relevant qualifications (Ferris, Frink, Bhawuk, Zhou & Gilmore, 1996). It will also create some risk of reverse-discrimination claims (e.g., Ricci v. DeStefano, 2009), particularly in a situation where outcome accountability attempts to increase representation of a group with human capital deficits: in order to “make the numbers,” decision makers would have to let inclusion trump ability. When the tradeoff between group membership and job qualifications is zero and there is no correlation between group membership and job qualification, the undesired side-effects of outcome accountability may be minimal. But as the correlation becomes increasingly negative (i.e., as disparities in human capital between groups grow, perhaps due to educational or other historical forms of structural discrimination), reverse discrimination will become more difficult to avoid. By contrast, process accountability – pressure to justify one’s decision process – should focus on individual qualifications and the match between ability and job requirements and distract them from bias-susceptible non-job-related factors. Although this form of accountability may check stereotyping and other cognitive biases that cause disparate treatment, it will fail to address historical effects of systemic discrimination unless affirmative pro-female or prominority factors are built into the decision process. Because of this weakness regarding redressing systemic discrimination, many scholars approach process-accountability correctives with skepticism and have argued that strong outcome-accountability components are essential if corporate policies are to check bias and encourage greater diversity and fairness in the workplace (e.g., Konrad & Linnehan, 1995). For instance, Bielby (2008) recommended that companies implement a series of measures that combine both process and outcome accountability: (1) “managerial equal employment opportunity (EEO) accountability” that includes explicit evaluations for each manager’s ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 7 contributions to meeting EEO goals, (2) “human resource process accountability” that links managerial compensation to regular audits of whether managers are following detailed and specific guidelines for personnel decisions, (3) “organizational EEO assessment” that involves periodic monitoring for group disparities in hiring, pay, promotion, performance assessment, and turnover, and (4) “workplace climate assessment” in which employees are surveyed regularly on perceived barriers to career advancement and assessments of racial or gender disparities in complaints. An organization that adopts such a program demonstrates its commitment to EEO, but this program may have unintended effects because we do not have a good understanding of the interactive effects of the program’s components. Given the uncertainty about the effects of process accountability and dearth of data examining the effects of process accountability on personnel processes, an emphasis on outcome accountability is understandable: the elimination of disparities via outcome checks is, by definition, guaranteed to increase the presence of women and minorities within an organization. Of course, an emphasis on outcome checks and greater identity-consciousness within humanresource practices may have unintended effects. By setting identity-conscious variables on “high” to avoid one form of discrimination, companies may trigger reverse-discrimination effects (Matheson, Warren & Foster, 2000), perceptions of distributive and procedural injustice (Cropanzano, Slaughter & Bachiochi, 2005; Richard & Kirby, 1998), self-doubt among beneficiaries of the identity-conscious measures (Unzueta, Gutierrez & Ghavami, 2010; Heilman & Alcott, 2001), leniency bias in performance ratings of females and minorities (Harber, 1998), backlash reactions to diversity initiatives and remedial policies (Aberson & Haag, 2003; Kidder, Lankau, Chrobot-Mason, Mollica & Friedman, 2004), and stereotypes regarding the ability of disadvantaged groups to achieve on their own (Heilman & Welle, 2006). ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 8 Relative to outcome accountability, process accountability should lead to more rigorous decision-making strategies, forcing individuals to (1) remain conscious of potential biases, (2) make slower and more deliberate decisions, and (3) weight job-relevant characteristics more heavily to ensure that sex and race do not enter the decision. Outcome accountability, by contrast, may result in less rigorous decision-making strategies. The emphasis on an objective outcome – “making the numbers” – may simplify employment decisions by giving decision makers normative permission to resolve close calls in favor of traditionally disadvantaged groups. Because of divergence in decision-making rigor, process and outcome accountability have different implications for the risk of triggering over-correction. Process accountability is more likely to correct traditional bias without triggering a mirror-image bias in the opposite direction because it focuses attention on carefully weighing individual-level qualifications. By contrast, outcome accountability is more likely to trigger over-correction of traditional biases, especially in labor pools in which traditionally disadvantaged groups have human-capital deficits, because it sets up a situation in which outcome targets and numerical goals can be used to justify choices that minimize the role of merit. Hypothesis 1a: Both process and outcome accountability will reduce bias against women and minorities, but outcome accountability will risk over-correcting in the form of bias against white males. Additionally, these different risks of over-correction associated with process and outcome accountability can affect the quality of candidates selected. Relative to outcome accountability, process accountability will motivate more in-depth processing, leading decision makers to more ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 9 carefully weight job-relevant characteristics, and will lead to the selection of more objectively qualified candidates. Outcome accountability will check bias by shifting evidentiary thresholds for preferring applicants with different category membership, resulting in the selection of less objectively qualified candidates. Hypothesis 1b: Process and outcome accountability will produce differences in the quality of selected candidates, with process accountability producing more qualified candidates than outcome accountability. Individual Differences in Responses to Accountability Pressures It is important to remember that people do not all share the same attitudes toward fair treatment – and these attitudinal differences could translate into differential responses to accountability pressures. Of special relevance here is work done by Dunton and Fazio (1997) showing that individuals differ in their motivation to inhibit prejudiced responses to minorities. The motivation-to-control-prejudiced-reactions (MCP) scale is designed to measure individual desires to be seen as unbiased. The MCP has also recently been found even to predict how susceptible people are to unconscious or implicit biases. Low scorers are more likely to display unconscious-bias effects, whereas high scorers are less likely to show unconscious biases even when under no situational pressure to be fair – and sometimes show over-correction for biases when under such pressure (Greenwald, Poehlman, Uhlmann & Banaji, 2009; Hausman & Ryan, 2004; Maddux, Barden, Brewer & Petty, 2005; Olson & Fazio, 2004). Additionally, the MCP has been shown to predict ratings of minority job candidates and hiring decisions (Plant & Devine, 2001) and to moderate the effect of cognitive depletion on unintended discrimination (Park, Glaser & Knowles, 2008; Glaser & Knowles, 2008). ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 10 Individuals who endorse equality goals and try harder to inhibit biases should be more responsive to accountability pressures that encourage such aims. The flexible-correction model (Wegener & Petty, 1995) posits that individuals often can be sensitized to biases with the potential to sway their decisions and be motivated to “correct” their decisions in order to eliminate those biases. From a flexible-correction perspective, strong egalitarians may be able to identify and inhibit their biases, leading to hiring decisions free from traditional sex or racebased discrimination; however, to the extent that they over-estimate their susceptibility to bias in a given situation, they may over-correct and favor female or black candidates over male or white candidates, particularly when encouraged by strong accountability pressures that legitimate those efforts. In effect, some people are more likely to exchange one bias for another. Hypothesis 2a: Insofar as those who are unsympathetic to egalitarian goals under-estimate their propensity to bias, they will be more likely to under-correct their employment decisions, favoring male and white candidates over female and black candidates. Hypothesis 2b: Insofar as those who strongly endorse egalitarian goals over-estimate their propensity to bias, they will be more likely to over-correct their employment decisions, favoring female and black candidates over male and white candidates. Organizational Consequences of Accountability-Promoting Policies Accountability pressures – particularly strong forms of outcome accountability – may also influence how decision makers feel about their company. Schoorman, Mayer, and Davis (2007) argued that control systems – which include accountability policies – can be effective ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 11 means of managing organizational risk. However, they cautioned that control systems perceived to be too strong can impair trust between organizations and employees by limiting employee decisions and creating a situation where trustworthy behavior could be attributed to the controls rather than to the employee. Personnel decision makers may perceive strong (outcomeconstraining) forms of accountability as implying that they are incapable of or unwilling to make fair hiring decisions, thus eroding trust (e.g., Bartlett, 2009; McEvily, Perrone & Zaheer, 2003; Sitkin & George, 2005). Hypothesis 3: Policies that create strong outcome accountability pressures will lead to lower feelings of trust among those making hiring decisions. Method Participants Two hundred and ninety-seven undergraduate business students participated in a laboratory experiment in exchange for nominal payment. Of those participants, eight were eliminated for not following instructions. Two participants declined to report their sex and race; 84 of the remaining participants were male (29 percent), 203 were female (71 percent), 70 were white (24 percent), and 186 were Asian (65 percent). Experiment Design and Procedure Participants were asked to assume the role of a human-resources manager at a large company. They were informed that part of their job involved screening potential candidates for position openings at the company: they were to determine which candidates would be invited to interview for open positions. In the study task, participants were told they would review ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 12 summaries of 75 applicants for an open position as an entry-level manager at a regional office. No other information about the organization or position was provided. The experimental design was based on models of motivated reasoning (e.g., Dovidio & Gaertner, 2000; Kunda, 1990), which posit that, even though most people embrace EEO norms in principle, they often make judgments that disadvantage women and minorities when they have discretion in weighting complex decision cues. Additionally, the experimental task was created to as closely as possible mirror the sorts of triage activities in which human resource professionals and hiring managers engage when screening resumes (see Messner, Wänke, & Weibel, 2011, for a similar methodology). Previous research suggests that screening large numbers of applications to make interview decisions represents the key challenge for personnel decision makers – and getting past that screening represents the key challenge for applicants (e.g., Brown & Campion, 1994). Furthermore, the research confirms that decision makers juggle diverse and multi-faceted information they receive about applicants – some job-relevant and some not – and use it to varying extents in making triage decisions (e.g., McKinney, Carlson, Macham, D’Angelo, & Connerley, 2003). Accordingly, participants were given numerous details about each candidate, ranging from innocuous identifiers to job-relevant qualifications to potentially bias-provoking demographic traits: participants saw (1) a name for each candidate (pre-screened to be perceived as equally common and desirable and unassociated with any specific racial or socio-economic group), randomly assigned to candidates for each participant; (2) a medium-sized California city from which the candidate originated, randomly assigned to candidates for each participant; (3) the number of years of work experience, ranging from three to six years, randomly assigned to candidates for each participant; (4) scores on separate tests of technical skills and teamwork ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 13 skills, consisting of “excellent,” “very good,” “good,” “average,” “poor,” “very poor,” or “unsatisfactory” for each test, both of which they were told were important skills for the position; (5) a photo identifying the candidate’s sex and race (extensively pre-screened to be perceived as of comparable age, equally attractive and professional, and clearly black or white and male or female), randomly assigned to candidates for each participant (although a given candidate remained in the same sex and race category for all participants, the specific photograph attached to the candidate was randomly assigned for each participant). The study task consisted of sorting the 75 candidates into seven interview categories, following a Q-sort methodology used to force distinctions between candidates (Block, 1961) and replicate the way actual human-resource managers triage candidates: (1) “definitely interview” (eight candidates allowed), (2) “very likely to interview” (ten candidates allowed), (3) “likely to interview” (12 candidates allowed), (4) “possibly interview” (15 candidates allowed), (5) “unlikely to interview” (12 candidates allowed), (6) “very unlikely to interview” (ten candidates allowed), (7) “definitely not interview” (eight candidates allowed). Following this task, participants completed a questionnaire about the experience. Accountability Manipulation Along with the task instructions, participants received one of three accountability manipulations. All participants were told that the interview decisions were theirs to make and that “your boss is leaving it up to you to decide how much weight to give each factor.” In the no-accountability condition, participants additionally were told, “Your judgments will be completely anonymous and in no way traceable to you.” In the process-accountability condition, participants were told that they would have to explain in detail the process by which they made their decisions to an experimenter “who ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 14 suspects that discrimination remains a serious problem in workplaces and who will be checking to ensure that each candidate was judged consistently and fairly and that the principles of equal employment opportunity are respected.” Finally, in the outcome-accountability condition, participants were told that they would have to justify their decisions to an experimenter “who suspects that discrimination remains a serious problem in workplaces and who will be comparing the ratio of women and minorities to be interviewed to the female and minority applicants in the overall labor pool – in this case 60%. The experimenter will scrutinize decisions especially closely when the decisions produce fewer female and minority interviews than the target goal number.” Additionally, in order to make the accountability instructions believable, the experimenter-to-subject ratio never exceeded 1:2. Labor-Pool Manipulation The reality of personnel decisions is that context matters, particularly with regard to how job-related qualifications (applicants’ and potential applicants’ human capital) are distributed within the labor market and the degree to which they are correlated with membership in various demographic groups (Heckman, 1993; Heckman, 1999; Sackett, Schmidt, & Kabin, 2001). It is one thing to ask organizations to achieve representation targets when all demographic groups are equally qualified; that task becomes more onerous when qualified candidates are overrepresented in some groups and scarce in other. Although specific hypotheses regarding the effect of labor pools were not offered earlier, in the interest of realism and external validity we examine the effects of accountability both in labor markets where qualifications are equally distributed across all demographic groups and in labor markets where white, male candidates are disproportionately more qualified. ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 15 In order to achieve these conditions, the 75 candidates were divided into four demographic groups: 30 white men, 15 white women, 15 black men, and 15 black women. Each candidate was systematically assigned one of seven technical-skill scores and one of seven teamwork-skill scores (see Figures 1 and 2). The middle three scores for each ability dimension (“good,” “average,” and “poor”) represent a “common set” of candidates that remained the same across all experimental conditions for analytical purposes (e.g., Mellers & Hartka, 1988). This common set of candidates consisted of 24 white men, nine white women, nine black men, and nine black women – identical for all participants – and was used for most analyses. In the equal-advantage condition, the non-common-set candidates – six candidates from each of the four demographic groups – were assigned technical-skill and teamwork-skill scores in such a way that each sex and race had equal scores on average (correlation of 0 between sex/race and technical/teamwork-skill scores) (see Figure 1). In other words, no sex or race possessed a performance advantage in the aggregate. [Insert Figure 1 about here] In the majority-advantage condition, the non-common-set candidates were assigned technical-skill and teamwork-skill scores in such a way that the male candidates and the white candidates had higher scores on average than did the female candidates and the black candidates (correlation of .21 between sex/race and technical/teamwork-skill scores) (see Figure 2). In this condition, male candidates and white candidates possessed a performance advantage over female candidates and black candidates in aggregate. Note that the scores of the common-set candidates remained unchanged in each condition, such that any labor-pool differences resulted from the existence of a larger skewed labor pool and not from differences in the abilities of the candidates included in an analysis. ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 16 [Insert Figure 2 about here] Egalitarianism Scale At least a day before participating in the experiment, participants completed an online survey. From this survey, we created an Egalitarianism Scale, derived from four component scales. First, participants completed a six-item (α=.78) scale that included questions about how they make tradeoffs between equality-maximization goals and merit-rewarding goals (see Table 1). Participants who scored high on this scale weighed merit more heavily than equality in making selection decisions. [Insert Table 1 about here] Second, participants completed the Motivation to Control Prejudiced Reactions Scale (17 items, α=.79) (Dunton & Fazio, 1997). Participants who scored high on this scale were more motivated to control the expression of prejudice in general and race-based prejudice in particular. Third, participants completed the Modern Sexism Scale (8 items, α=.80) (Swim, Aikin, Hall, & Hunter, 1995). Participants scoring high on this scale are more likely to acknowledge ongoing discrimination against women and to endorse support for policies that advance women. Finally, participants completed a one-item question about their libertarian ideological tendencies – “How libertarian do you consider yourself to be?” – on a 1-7 Likert-type response scale (1= “not at all;” 7= “extremely”). Participant scores from the four measures were entered into a factor analysis. Table 2 reports the results of a Varimax rotation of the principal-components solution. Based on these results, we computed regression factor scores for each participant, standardized to a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1, to represent scores on a combined Egalitarianism Scale. ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 17 [Insert Table 2 about here] Dependent Variables Interview-decision ratings Participants assigned each of 75 candidates to one of the seven interview-decision categories explained above. This gave each candidate an interview-decision score on a scale from 1 (“definitely interview”) to 7 (“definitely not interview”). Trust perceptions Participants responded to five items (α=.59) measuring the extent to which they felt trusted by the company to make good and fair decisions (7-point scale: 1=strongly disagree and 7=strongly agree): (1) “I felt trusted to select the best candidate for the position;” (2) “I felt overly constrained in choosing between the candidates” (reverse coded); (3) “Management did not trust me to review the candidates fairly” (reverse coded); (4) “I was not given enough credit that I would fairly choose between candidates” (reverse coded); (5) “Management would support any interview decision I made.” Results To explore the effects of accountability and labor pool (between-subjects Accountability (3) x Labor Pool (2)) on the same set of candidates, we initially focused on interview decisions about candidates with technical and teamwork-skill scores that were common to all six conditions. This set of candidates was based on a within-subjects factorial design of Sex (2) x Race (2) x Technical Score (3) x Teamwork Score (3). Technical and teamwork-skill scores included three levels each: “good,” “average,” and “poor.” There were more white males (either 2 or 4) than minority-group members in each cell of this common set, so we averaged over identically-qualified white male candidates. After this averaging, there were four candidates ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 18 (one from each combination of race and sex) in each of the nine combinations of technical and teamwork skills. Preliminary Data Analysis In all six combinations of labor pool and accountability, candidates with higher technicalskill scores were more likely to be interviewed than those with lower scores (p < .01 for every combination) and candidates with higher teamwork-skill scores outperformed those with lower scores (p < .01 for every combination). This pattern indicates that, across all conditions, participants attended to and were guided by job-relevant attributes. Second, we looked at whether bias existed in this population’s decisions. In the equaladvantage labor-pool, participants preferred female candidates (mean = 4.00, sd = .02) over male candidates (mean = 4.05, sd = .01; F(1,30) = 5.85, p < .05, η2 = .16). Although there was no significant main effect of race in the equal-advantage labor pool, there was a significant threeway interaction among candidate’s race, technical skills, and teamwork skills (F(4,120) = 3.73, p < .01, η2 = .11). Participants assigned better ratings to black candidates than to equally-qualified white candidates when teamwork and technical scores were inconsistent. Black candidates with good technical scores but poor teamwork scores (or with poor teamwork scores but good technical scores) received better ratings than white candidates with the same objective qualifications. This strategy suggests that, consistent with the symbolic anti-racism hypothesis (1b), blacks received more “benefit of the doubt” in more ambiguous cases (see also Norton, Vandello & Darley, 2004). In the majority-advantage labor pool, female candidates in the common set received marginally higher interview ratings than equally-qualified males. The means for females and ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 19 males were 3.98 (sd = .02) and 4.03 (sd = .01), respectively (F(1,31) = 3.83, p < .10, η2 = .11). There were no significant effects due to race (F(1,31) = .48, n/s). Hypothesis 1: The Influence of Process and Outcome Accountability Hypothesis 1a stated that both process and outcome accountability would reduce antifemale and anti-minority bias but that outcome accountability would be more likely to trigger over-correction. We examined this hypothesis by comparing the minority groups to white males under different accountability conditions. Figures 3 and 4 show the differential treatment of the minority groups relative to white males for the common set of candidates in the equal-advantage labor pool on the left and the majority-advantage labor pool on the right. For purposes of comparison, blue bars show noaccountability conditions, red bars show process-accountability conditions, and green bars show conditions with outcome accountability. Figure 3 presents the percentage of times a minority candidate was preferred to equally-qualified white males out of fifteen comparisons in the equaladvantage labor pool and nine comparisons in the majority-advantage labor pool. If it was equally likely that the minority group candidate was favored, percentages of pro-minority ratings would be 50%. [Insert Figure 3 and Figure 4 about here] In the process-accountability condition, there were no significant differences in the treatment of each minority group relative to equally-qualified white males in either of the two labor pools. All six comparisons did not differ from 50%. However, in the outcomeaccountability conditions, all three groups of minority candidates in the equal-advantage labor pool and two of the three minority-group candidates in the majority-advantage labor pool were significantly more likely to be selected over equally-qualified white males. Binomial ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 20 probabilities were .04, .0005, and .003 for white females, black females, and black males in the equal-advantage pool and .002, .002, and .07 for the same three groups in the majority-advantage pool. Consistent with Hypothesis 1a, process accountability greatly reduced inequalities without triggering a mirror-image bias against white males, whereas outcome accountability triggered over-correction. Figure 4 examines average differences in the size of the pro-minority advantage. This analysis differs from the previous analysis because it focuses on the magnitude of a minority group’s advantage or disadvantage (not the frequency) relative to white males. With process accountability, there were no significant differences in either labor pool between interview ratings of each of the three minority groups relative to equally-qualified white males. However, under outcome accountability, all three minority groups received higher average ratings than white males in the equal-advantage labor pool (t(14) = 4.31, 4.73, and 3.25 for black females, black males, and white females, respectively) and in the majority-advantage labor pool (t(8) = 10.35, 2.16, and 4.51 for black females, black males, and white females, respectively). Outcome accountability led to over-correction across labor-pool conditions. Hypothesis 1b posited that accountability would have consequences for the quality of candidates selected by participants. Process accountability was expected to induce more indepth processing and result in the selection of better-qualified candidates, while outcome accountability was predicted to shift attention toward demographic characteristics and away from job-relevant qualifications. We tested this hypothesis by computing the average ability score for each candidate in each interview category (since we did not specify that either score was more important than the other, we treated scores as equally important). Better candidates were those with higher average ability scores, and more advantageous interview categories are represented ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 21 by smaller numbers. Comparisons were made between outcome and process accountability within a given labor pool (in which qualifications of minorities and majorities were held constant) but not across labor pools. Support for Hypothesis 1b would be found in higher average ability scores in the smaller categories (1, 2, and 3), and lower average ability scores in larger categories (5, 6, 7) for process accountability. That is, Hypothesis 1b posits that, relative to outcome accountability, process accountability will result in higher-qualified candidates being more likely to be interviewed and less-qualified candidates less likely to be interviewed. Results are displayed in Table 3. In several interview categories, there were no significant changes in qualities of candidates due to accountability. However, when significant differences in abilities emerged, results were consistent with Hypothesis 1b. When majority and minority candidates had the same advantages in the labor pool, process accountability resulted in better-qualified candidates being placed in category 2 and worse-qualified candidates being placed in category 6. When majority candidates had the advantage in the labor pool, process accountability led to better-qualified candidates being placed in category 2. In sum, participants held accountable for the process (versus the outcome) gave better-qualified candidates a greater chance of being interviewed and worse-qualified candidates a lower chance of being interviewed. [Insert Table 3 about here] Hypothesis 2: Individual Differences and Hiring Decisions A pro-female advantage emerged as the most persistent form of bias, arising across every level of accountability and labor-pool conditions, except when participants were held accountable for their process of selection in the majority-advantage labor pool. Hypothesis 2 predicted that low egalitarians would prefer male and white candidates over female and black ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 22 candidates (hypothesis 2a) and high egalitarians would prefer female and black candidates over male and white candidates (hypothesis 2b). To explore the causal drivers of the observed profemale bias and to test Hypothesis 2, we used a regression analysis to predict interview ratings from participants’ egalitarianism score, candidate sex, and the interaction between these variables, controlling for accountability condition, labor pool, candidate race, and candidate technical and teamwork-skills scores. The interaction between candidate sex and egalitarianism score was a significant predictor of the participant’s interview rating. High-egalitarian participants rated female candidates more positively than male candidates, and low-egalitarian participants rated male and female candidates roughly the same (β = -.02, t = -2.01, p < .05),1 providing partial support for Hypothesis 2b (relative to the pro-female bias that emerged in the study). The form of this interaction (Figure 5) is displayed using the method suggested by Cohen, Cohen, West and Aiken (2003) to plot the predicted effects on interview ratings for high egalitarians (one standard deviation above the mean) and low egalitarians (one standard deviation below the mean) with male (0) and female (1) candidates. [Insert Figure 5 about here] An alternative explanation for the emergence of pro-female bias is suggested by research on in-group preference (Brewer, 1979; Tajfel, 1982): female participants prefer female candidates over male candidates and, because there were more female participants in our sample, there was a bias in favor of female candidates. To test this idea, we predicted interview ratings from participant sex, candidate sex, and the interaction, again controlling for accountability condition, labor pool condition, candidate race, and candidate technical and teamwork-skills scores. Neither participant sex (β=.00, t=.45, n/s) nor the interaction between participant sex and 1 The regression analysis confirmed that female candidates received better ratings than male candidates (β = -.03, t = -4.77, p < .01), and there was not a significant main effect for participant egalitarianism score (β = .01, t =.99, n/s). ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 23 candidate sex (β=-.01, t=-1.14, n/s) significantly predicted placement of candidates into interview categories, contrary to an in-group-bias explanation for the pro-female bias found in the experiment. Hypothesis 3: Accountability and Trust Hypothesis 3 stated that strong outcome-accountability pressures would lead to lower feelings of trust among those making decisions. Consistent with Hypothesis 3, participants felt less trusted under outcome accountability (mean = 4.76, sd = .10) than under no accountability (mean = 5.06, sd = .10; F(1,123) = 4.28, p < .05, η2 = .03). This result held true in the majorityadvantage labor pool (F(1,123) = 3.97, p < .05, η2 = .03) but not in the equal-advantage labor pool (F(1,123) = .91, n/s). Trust levels under process accountability (mean = 4.99, sd = .10) did not differ from those under no accountability (mean = 5.06, sd = .10) overall (F(1,122) = .23, n/s) nor with respect to the equal-advantage labor pool (F(1,122) = .00, n/s) or the majorityadvantage labor pool (F(1,122) = .45, n/s). Discussion Our findings shed new light on the risks and benefits of alternative accountability systems for debiasing personnel decisions and achieving alternative political conceptions of equal-employment opportunity and social justice (Tetlock & Mitchell, 2009). First, under outcome accountability, participants over-corrected in their biases more than under process accountability or no accountability, creating bias against white-male candidates. This bias became especially pronounced in the experimental condition in which traditionally disadvantaged minority groups suffered from human-capital deficits. Second, the pro-minority biases under outcome accountability resulted in the selection of less-qualified candidates across labor pools. These results are consistent with research suggesting that outcome accountability ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 24 results in more cursory information processing and a shift in attention from job-relevant qualifications to job-irrelevant demographic characteristics. Also, participants reacted negatively to strong accountability instructions, reporting feeling less trusted in the outcome-accountability condition. These results suggest that strong accountability pressures can carry a social cost for organizations. For organizations seeking to debias personnel processes rather than achieve hiring targets, process accountability is likely to provide a more effective intervention. Our processaccountability condition resulted in better calibrated bias mitigation, reducing bias without prompting over-correction. This calibration had performance advantages with process accountability yielding a better-qualified pool of selected candidates. Additionally, unlike under outcome accountability, process accountability did not create a sense of distrust. Our study was designed to examine the basic relation of accountability and trust rather than to identify the nature of that relation; it may be that outcome-accountability pressure is aversive because it signals organizational views of the decision-maker or because it violates meritocracy-grounded views of informational and interactional justice (Colquitt & Rodell, 2011). . These findings build upon our understanding of flexible correction by isolating several factors that determine the success of accountability as a debiasing intervention. Among other things, we need to know how strong the informational and normative components of the outcome-accountability pressures will be, how pervasive the predispositions to discriminate against particular demographic groups are, and how large the pre-existing demographic-group differences in human capital are. Limitations and Future Directions ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 25 Although this study advances our understanding of how different accountability interventions affect bias in personnel hiring, there are a few study limitations that should be considered when interpreting our findings. First, we utilize a student population rather than human resource professionals, hiring managers, or other people with experience making the sort of interview-triage decisions our participants were asked to make. Future researchers may wish to replicate our experimental paradigm using such working populations in order to understand whether expertise – or at least experience – with the task alters the results. We predict that the pattern of results would be robust to participant populations; however, the magnitude and direction of bias is likely to change with organizational context, legal climate, and applicant mix. Likewise, accountability research suggests a high level of generalizability in the ways in which people are influenced by accountability pressure, making it unlikely that a student sample would be affected in a substantially different way by the study conditions. Finally, our student population included a wide range of individual differences along the egalitarianism dimension – as would be expected in the wider public – to identify ways in which person-by-situation interactions influenced responses to debiasing interventions and task conditions. Second, we recognize that it is possible to agree about the need to study the consequences of debiasing interventions but still have concerns about the particular laboratory experiment presented here. Critics could argue, for instance, that although the current research paradigm may satisfy the logical requirements for testing aversive bias theories, it does not satisfy the psychological requirements. In this vein, they could maintain that it is too easy for participants in complex repeated-measures designs of the current sort to figure out which hypotheses are being tested – and to position themselves in a socially desirable light. According to this logic, participants in our control condition were only fair-minded because many were already ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 26 predisposed to be egalitarian and virtually all were aware of ambient egalitarian institutional norms and aware they were making judgments under a behavioral-science microscope. In this view, we need to create a tougher series of tests that draw on more representative samples of participants, that rely on between-subjects rather than on repeated-measures designs, and perhaps that give participants an opportunity, prior to making simulated personnel decisions, to demonstrate their "moral credentials" (Monin & Miller, 2001), thereby further reducing the level of evaluation apprehension arguably present even in control conditions. Unfortunately for managers seeking guidance, there is no objectively right answer to the question of how difficult it should be to “pass” laboratory experiments or organizational training exercises. One can defend the current paradigm on mundane-realism grounds by arguing that: (1) personnel decision-makers in large companies live in a largely repeated-measures world similar to that of the current study where they focus their attention on a set of particular jobrelevant factors measured in more and less objective ways; (2) a significant fraction of our participants had low, not high, scores on our individual difference measure of egalitarianism; (3) personnel decision-makers typically go about their work without previously being exposed to moral-credentialing manipulations. The only conclusion we can draw here with reasonable certainty is that no single paradigm will suffice for the multifaceted challenge of assessing the degree to which subjective personnel decision-making is untainted by factors outside of legitimate, job-related qualifications. Practical Considerations The practical import of the current findings is the need to calibrate debiasing manipulations to the types of personnel decisions that managers are making and to the types of populations from which both managers and employees are drawn. If companies are operating in ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 27 a labor pool in which there are large human-capital deficits in traditionally disadvantaged communities, if the companies' managers score high on indicators of egalitarian values (and display little or no baseline bias against traditionally disadvantaged groups), and if the companies embrace outcome accountability, our data suggest that these companies will pay a potentially high price in workforce qualifications and potential efficiency – as well as a price in employee dissatisfaction. And if such companies assume that outcome accountability is moving them into a zone of optimal self-correction, a meritocratic world in which decisions are based solely on job-relevant qualifications, the companies are making a miscalculation. Conversely, if companies are operating in labor pools in which there are not significant human-capital differences across groups, if the companies' managers unapologetically subscribe to the implicit theory that there are large human-capital deficits across groups, and if the companies embrace only perfunctory process accountability, these companies risk the opposite mistake – and getting the worst of both worlds in the efficiency-equality tradeoff. It is unfortunate that so little of the scientific literature on debiasing judgment has found its way into the actual practices of personnel decision-making and that we know so little about the effectiveness of debiasing interventions (Cohen, 2007). As noted at the outset, large companies in North America and Western Europe are under sustained legal and social pressure to demonstrate that they have created EEO workplaces. Unfortunately, there is a mismatch between the societal accountability pressures operating on organizations and our understanding of the individual accountability pressures facing hiring managers that are essential for establishing and maintaining genuine equal-employment opportunity. Companies embrace interventions with the laudable goal of reducing bias and ensuring fairness but with little evidence about what works and about the unintended consequences (e.g., over-correction). 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Majority-advantage Labor Pool Wm 7 Bm Wm Wf Wm Wf 2Wm Wf 2Wm Wf 4Wm Wf Wm Wf 6 Bm 5 TECHNICAL Wm Bm Bf Bm Bf Bm Bf Wf 2Wm Wf 4Wm Wf 2Wm Wf Wm 4 Bf Bm Bf Bm Bf Bm Bf Bm 4Wm Wf 2Wm Wf 2Wm Wf 3 Bm Bf Bm Bf Bm Bf Bm Bf Wf 2 Bm Bf Bm Bf Bf Wf 1 Bf 1 2 3 4 TEAMWORK 5 6 7 ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 36 Table 1. Merit-Equality Tradeoff Scale 1. I believe the right thing to do is to make sure people are selected for positions based on merit. 2. I support judging people on merit alone, even if it leads to the under-representation of certain groups. 3. The most qualified person should always be selected for a position. 4. I believe it is important to consider the need for equal representation from all groups when selecting people for positions. (R) 5. In order to remedy past discrimination and to prevent future discrimination, I support establishing numerical goals for selecting people for positions. (R) 6. It is important to me that groups be equally represented in a position, even if it means the best-qualified person is not always selected. (R) ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 37 Table 2. Varimax factor loadings of Egalitarianism Scale Measure Merit-Equality Tradeoff Scale Motivation to Control Prejudiced Reactions Scale Modern Sexism Scale Libertarian Ideology Factor -.69 .69 .62 -.48 ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 38 Percentage of Times Minority Favored Figure 3. Frequency of pro-minority advantage 1.20 1.00 Equal-Advantage Majority-Advantage 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 White Female Black Black Male Female White Female Black Black Male Female Minority Group No accountability Process accountability Outcome accountability ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 39 Figure 4. Size of pro-minority advantage 0.2 Average Pro-Minority Effect Equal-Advantage Majority-Advantage 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 -0.05 White Female Black Female No accountability Black Male White Female Minority Group Process accountability Black Female Black Male Outcome accountability ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 40 Table 3. Averages of teamwork and technical scores (with standard deviations in parentheses) for candidates in each interview-rating category. (Higher ability averages mean better qualified.) RATING EQUAL ADVANTAGE Process 1 Best 2 3 4 5 6 7 Worst 5.49 (.51) 4.97 (.14) 4.49 (.26) 3.98 (.24) 3.51 (.26) 3.06 (.23) 2.51 (.52) Outcome t-stat MAJORITY ADVANTAGE Process Outcome t-stat 5.47 5.92 .51 (.52) (.69) 4.92 5.01 ** 3.49 (.23) (.27) 4.51 4.50 -.82 (.32) (.32) 3.98 3.97 -.37 (.27) (.25) 3.49 3.51 1.16 (.31) (.36) 3.13 3.00 -2.83** (.39) (.37) 2.51 2.12 .08 (.50) (.68) ** p<.01; * p<.05 5.92 (.71) 4.95 (.34) 4.53 (.31) 3.97 (.25) 3.54 (.33) 3.01 (.32) 2.08 (.67) -.03 2.18* -1.42 -.11 -1.20 -.21 .64 ACCOUNTABILITY SYSTEMS 41 Figure 5. Predicted regression effects showing the interaction between participant egalitarianism and candidate sex. -0.04 High Egals Predicted Effect -0.03 -0.02 Low Egals -0.01 0 0.01 Male Candidates Female Candidates