Ischaemic Heart Disease (IHD) A Pathway to Prioritisation March 2014 1 Executive Summary In Strategic Overview: Cardiovascular Disease in New Zealand, the National Health Committee (NHC) identified Ischaemic Heart Disease (IHD) as a cardiovascular disease in which there exists a significant potential to improve health outcomes and efficiency. This report explores the pathway of care for Ischaemic Heart Disease (IHD) to identify areas within the pathway that may require investment, targeting, or service reconfiguration to deliver health and efficiency gains. The report maps out the pathway of care for IHD including health system indicators, costs and flows of patients. A horizon scan of IHD technologies is presented along with results from a survey of stakeholders on options to improve the pathway of care. Our preliminary analysis suggests a discussion may be required around access to IHD services for Māori and highly deprived populations. Horizon scanning has thus far yielded more than 80 options for change (investment, targeting, and reconfiguration) to improve the pathway of care. Our survey of stakeholder’s views yielded 50 options for improvement (with some overlap). Ultimately, the NHC only has capacity to consider up to five interventions for assessment. Where the NHC executive does not have the capacity to advance a promising assessment, it will endeavour to share information, where appropriate, with relevant decision makers, such as the Ministry of Health and PHARMAC. Table of Contents 1 Executive Summary ............................................................................................................ 1 2 Purpose............................................................................................................................... 3 3 Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 3 4 Background ......................................................................................................................... 4 5 Overview of IHD health outcomes and cost ......................................................................... 5 6 IHD Pathway of Care........................................................................................................... 8 7 Interventions...................................................................................................................... 14 8 Health Innovation Partnership IHD Expression of Interest Assessment ............................. 26 9 NHC Executive Perspective .............................................................................................. 26 10 Limitations ..................................................................................................................... 31 Appendix 1: Cost Tables .......................................................................................................... 32 Low-deprivation Non-Māori ...................................................................................................... 34 Appendix 2: Full Methodology .................................................................................................. 34 2 Purpose The purpose of this report is to explore the pathway of care for IHD patients and identify potential areas for investment, targeting, or service reconfiguration to deliver better health outcomes and improved efficiency. 3 Introduction The National Health Committee (NHC) is tasked with improving health outcomes whilst maintaining or reducing costs through the prioritisation of the most cost effective new and existing health technologies. It does this by assessing ‘value for money’ in terms of health outcomes and cost to the health sector. The NHC’s goal is to improve health outcomes and health sector sustainability through better investment and targeting of technologies and service reconfiguration. With this goal in mind, the NHC identified cardiovascular disease as a priority area as it affects a large number of people and results in a significant spend in Vote: Health – the Government’s health expenditure. In October 2013, the NHC published Strategic Overview: Cardiovascular Disease in New Zealand.(1) That document explored the burden of cardiovascular disease from a prevalence/incidence, health outcomes, utilisation and cost perspective in order to identify which cardiovascular disease the NHC should focus further work on in 2013/14. Based on the evidence presented in that report, the NHC identified Ischaemic Heart Disease (IHD) as fitting best with its decision-making criteria and has agreed to conduct further assessment as per its tiered assessment approach. This report takes a pathway of care approach to assessing where value may be added to the care of IHD patients. This report maps out the pathway of care for IHD including health outcomes, health system indicators, costs and flows of patients. Advice from a cardiovascular working group and a survey of sector representatives is incorporated to derive a short list of five interventions for further assessment. 4 Background 4.1 4.1.1 IHD description and overview of management Description IHD is a condition in which there is insufficient blood and oxygen flow to heart muscle (myocardium), as a result of a mismatch between supply and demand (ischaemia). This is most commonly a result of coronary artery disease (CAD) due to atherosclerosis (the process of inflammation, lipid deposition and progressive narrowing of medium to large blood vessels) reducing the blood supply to the myocardium. These narrowings are called atheroscheloric plaques. IHD is more common in males and in Māori. The mortality rate due to IHD has been steadily declining across all subgroups since a peak in the 1960s and 1970s (2). 4.1.2 Risk factors and symptoms A number of societal and individual risk factors contribute to the development of IHD, including tobacco smoking, western diet, diabetes mellitus, high cholesterol, obesity, hypertension, chronic renal failure and a family history of IHD. Sufferers will most often have symptoms resulting from lack of oxygen to the myocardium. This can begin with breathlessness, sweating and chest discomfort associated with exertion (angina pectoris) but may progress until these symptoms are present on minimal exertion or at rest. Alternatively sufferers may present with a sudden onset of prolonged symptoms at rest indicating myocardial infarction (MI), the death of myocardium due to lack of blood supply. This is usually due to the sudden formation of a blood clot over existing vulnerable atheroschlerotic plaque in a specific coronary artery. If sufficient cardiac muscle dies, or if there is an accumulation of damage over time, this can lead to heart failure through the process of left-ventricular (LV) remodelling. Areas of myocardial scar tissue or Ischaemic myocardium may also act as a substrate for electrical disturbances of the heart (arrhythmia), particularly ventricular tachycardia (VT), and may even lead to cardiac arrest from ventricular fibrillation (VF). Other arrhythmias such as atrial fibrillation and conduction block may also occur as a consequence of IHD. 4.1.3 Prevention Primary prevention of IHD is partially through public health measures to increase awareness, reduce smoking, encourage exercise, and improve diet. Prevention also includes the targeting of individuals to treat modifiable factors, such as hypertension and high cholesterol, with appropriate medications to pre-specified targets. The identification of high-risk individuals allows aggressive preventative strategies to be implemented early. These measures seek to prevent, slow or reverse the changes associated with IHD. 4.1.4 Diagnosis The diagnosis of IHD is made based on clinical findings, the 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG), cardiac stress testing/imaging, and coronary angiography/CT coronary angiography. There are different types of stress test used in routine clinical practice with varying sensitivity for stable IHD; ECG-based exercise tolerance testing, exercise/dobutamine stress echocardiography and stress-perfusion cardiac MRI. Also in a few centres around NZ, nuclear stress imaging is performed. CT coronary angiography allows direct tomographic imaging of the coronary arteries but at lower resolution than traditional angiography. Coronary angiography remains the gold standard investigation to diagnose and delineate the severity of stable or unstable coronary disease. In those that have unstable symptoms or symptoms at rest, measurement of troponin T or I in the blood facilitates the diagnosis of MI (3). 4.1.5 Treatment Once IHD is established, treatment is aimed at reducing symptoms, lengthening life and preventing complications of the disease. Anti-anginal medications such as nitrates, calciumchannel blockers and beta-blockers are used for managing symptoms. Statins and antiplatelet agents are commenced to prevent disease progression and future events such as MI. If there are severe narrowings on angiography, an attempt to either open or bypass the diseased vessel can be made. This is done through percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or by surgical coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). Following PCI, antiplatelet agents are introduced to maintain stent patency and prevent myocardial infarction (MI). After MI, medications such as beta-blockers and angiotensin-converting-enzyme (ACE) inhibitors are commenced to prevent ventricular remodelling and progression to heart failure. Cardiac rehabilitation programmes are important to educate patients and reinforce lifestyle changes that are important to maximise recovery after a cardiac event. 5 Overview of IHD health outcomes and cost Before examining the IHD pathway of care (Figure 5) it is worth viewing IHD in its wider health and cost context. The wider health context is that mortality rates for IHD have been steadily declining in New Zealand since their peak in the late 1960’s largely due to reductions in three risk factors – systolic blood pressure, total blood cholesterol and cigarette smoking (4) . Age- standardised IHD mortality rates decreased by over two-thirds (69.5 percent) between 1980 and 2010 (5). In 2010, however, IHD remained the second largest cause of death, behind cancer, accounting for 18.8 percent of deaths. Significant disparities remain with Māori males having the highest age-standardised IHD mortality rate in 2010, being 55.6 percent higher than the rate for non-Māori males. The rate for Māori females was nearly twice as high (99.0 percent) as the rate for non-Māori females (5). Rates of IHD are higher in more deprived areas, with about seven percent of people living in the most deprived areas (quintile 5) being diagnosed with IHD, compared with a little over four percent in the least deprived areas (quintile 1) (6) . After adjusting for age, sex and ethnic group, people in the most deprived areas are 1.9 times more likely to have been diagnosed with IHD compared to people in the least deprived areas. Māori have 1.8 times the rate of diagnosed IHD (age-standardised) compared with non-Māori (6). Overall we estimate that the cost of IHD to the health system is about $287 million per annum. Cost is largely driven by hospitalisations, accounting for about 65 percent of total cost. Pharmaceuticals account for 18 percent of cost, followed by general practice and out-patient and emergency department expenditure, accounting for about eight percent of total cost respectively (Figure 1). Figure 1: IHD Cost by Service Area 2011/12 Total IHD Cost Pallitive 0.0% Troponin 0.1% Angiography 0.3% Pharmaceuticals 18.0% GPs 8.3% Hospitalisations 65.0% Outpatient ED 8.2% Source: 2014 NHC analysis of 2011/12 New Zealand Health Tracker data Hospitalisation costs have grown significantly since 2001. Between 2001/02 and 2012/13 nominal IHD hospitalisation costs nearly doubled to $184 million. At the same time IHD hospital admissions declined 13 percent (Figure 2). Figure 2: IHD Hospitalisation Costs and Volumes of Admissions 2001/02 - 2012/13Error! Reference source not ound. Hospital admissions 27000 $200,000,000 $180,000,000 $160,000,000 $140,000,000 $120,000,000 $100,000,000 $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 26000 25000 24000 23000 22000 21000 IHD Hospitalisation Cost 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 20000 Volume of hospital admissions Source: 2014 NHC analysis of 2011/12 New Zealand Health Tracker data In 2011/12 84 percent of IHD patients did not have a hospital admission, and accounted for less than a third (28 percent) of total cost (Figure 3). By contrast nine percent of patients had at least one hospitalisation and accounted for nearly two-thirds (64 percent) of total cost. Seven percent of IHD patients died, accounting for eight percent of total cost. Figure 3: Costs and Flows of IHD Patients 2011/12 Persons with IHD 2011/12 Hospitali sed IHD 9% IHD Costs 2011/12 Death 7% Death 8% Nonhospitalis ed IHD 84% Nonhospitalis ed IHD 28% Hospitali sed IHD 64% Source: 2014 NHC analysis of 2011/12 New Zealand Health Tracker data Disparities in health outcomes are reflected in a greater average cost of treatment for Māori compared to Non-Māori and a greater average cost for high deprivation patients compared with lower deprivation patients (Figure 4). Overall, the average cost of treating Māori IHD patients is about 18 percent greater than treating Non-Māori IHD patients. The average cost of treating high deprivation IHD patients is about 22 percent greater than low deprivation patients. Figure 4: Average Cost of Treating IHD Patients by Ethnicity and Deprivation Level 2500 $/patients 2000 1500 Maori 1000 Non-Maori 500 Total 0 High Deprivation (Quintile 5) Moderate Deprivation (Quintile 2-4) Low Deprivation (Quintile 1) Total Source: 2014 NHC analysis of 2011/12 New Zealand Health Tracker data Lastly, the pathway of care presented in Figure 5 below does not communicate the important effect on health outcomes or cost of comorbidities. To estimate this effect would be a major statistical exercise. Nevertheless, excluding IHD, we found that nearly two-thirds (65 percent) of IHD patients have one of thirteen comorbidities we have looked at (lung cancer, colorectal cancer, (female) breast cancer, prostate cancer, other cancer/s, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, ever-hospitalised stroke, anxiety and/or depression (past 12 months), dementia, gout, diabetes, heart failure.) Thirty-five percent of these patients had one comorbidity, 20 percent had two, 8 percent had three, 2 percent had four and less than 1% had five or more comorbidities. 6 IHD Pathway of Care Figure 5 depicts a simplified pathway of care for IHD. The pathway provides a general picture of IHD care, but not every patient will travel through it in the same way nor will they receive the same interventions along the pathway of care. It presents a static picture rather than a dynamic model of a patient’s experience. The pathway has been condensed into five phases progressing from prevention, early management of IHD, non-hospitalised IHD, to hospitalised IHD and lastly death. Further information on how these phases have been defined is provided in Appendix 2. Due to an absence of useful data some important components of the pathway of care are missing. For example, the pathway does not include diagnosis indicators for a number of significant interventions, and we have limited access to primary care data. The pathway maps IHD prevalence, primary outcomes, modifiable risk factors, health targets, secondary care indicators, significant IHD interventions, and the costs and flows of patients. Primary outcomes include Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALY) lost to IHD and IHD mortality. Modifiable risk factors include the percentage of adults (aged over 15) who are daily smokers, the percentage of obese adults (Body Mass Index, BMI, greater than 30), the percentage of adults with medicated high blood pressure, and the percentage of adults with medicated high cholesterol. Of these risk factors high blood cholesterol, high systolic blood pressure, and tobacco use account for at least 70 percent of the burden of IHD (7) . Health targets include the ‘support for smokers to quit’ target, and the ‘heart and diabetes checks’ target. The secondary care indicators are MI mortality rate at 30 days, MI readmission rate at 30 days, and IHD hospital discharges per 100 IHD population. The IHD interventions mapped include the percentage of adults on triple therapy (defined as taking aspirin or other antiplatelet/anticoagulant agent, a beta blocker and a statin), age standardised rate of coronary artery bypass grafts (CAGB), and age standardised rate of angioplasty. Figure 5: IHD Pathway of Care Prevention Early Management Non-hospitalised IHD Hospitalised IHD Death IHD Prevalence Health Target: Heart and diabetes checks Triple Therapy Triple Therapy IHD Mortality (Age Standardised) • 4.9% 2012/13 (5.3% in 2006/07) • 69% of eligible pop had cardiovascular risk assessed in past 5 years Q1 2013/14 • Māori 1.8 times prevalence • 46% of non-hospitalised IHD patients on triple therapy 2011/12 • 75% of hospitalised IHD patients were on triple therapy • In 2010 IHD accounted for 5389 deaths, or about 19 percent of all deaths. • 49% had been assessed in Q4 2011/12 • IHD Mortality rates declined 71% between 1980 and 2010. • 89,000 DALYs lost : 9.3% of total DALYs lost in 2006 • 70-80% is avoidable. Risk Factors (Age Standardised) Costs and flows Costs and flows MI Indicators (Age Standardised) • 15.5% of adults daily smokers 2012/13 (18.3% in 2006/07) • 81,000 people diagnosed • 145,000 patients or 84% of identified people with IHD • MI mortality rate at 30 days = 3.0 % of MI discharges • 36% of Māori smoke 2012/13 • Total cost (troponin, community referred tests, cardiology first referrals and angiographies): $46 million • Average cost = $550 per person • MI readmission rate at 30 days = 1.2 % of MI discharges • 14,000 DALYs lost from smoking attributable to IHD in 2006 • 31.3% of adults had a BMI > 30 in 2012/13 (26.5% 2006/07) • 28,000 DALYs lost from BMI > 30 attributable to IHD in 2006 • 48% of Māori & 68% Pacific 2012/13 • 15.9% of adults had (medicated) high blood pressure in 2012/13 • 39,000 DALYs lost from high BP attributable to IHD in 2006 • 11% of adults had (medicated) high cholesterol in 2012/13 (8.4% 2006/07) • 28,000 DALYs lost from high cholesterol attributable to IHD 2006 • Average cost $570 per person • Total Cost = $80 million • Māori men have 1.5 times age standardised mortality rate non-Māori. Mortality rates for Māori women are about twice as high as Non-Māori women. • No significant difference Māori/Non-Māori for either Hospital discharges (Age Standardised) Costs and flows • Discharges per IHD prevalent population = 16% • 12,000 people or 7% of identified people with IHD • Māori = 14%, Non-Māori = 17% • Average cost = $1,900 per person • Total cost = $22 million Procedures (Age Standardised) • CABG per MI discharges = 13 % • Māori = 9%, Non-Māori = 14% Health Target: Support for Smokers to quit • Angioplasty per MI discharges = 66% • 60% of patients are offered advice and support to quit Q1 2013/14 • 34% in Q4 2011/12 • Māori = 39%, Non-Māori = 67% Costs and flows Costs and flows • 240,000 people screened or receiving pharmaceuticals for at-risk patients • Average cost = $132 per person • Total cost = $32 million • 15,000 patients or 8.6% of identified people with IHD • Average cost $12,600 per person • Total cost = $185 million Source: MoH. NZ Health Survey: Annual update of key findings 2012/13. 2013; MoH. NZ Burden of Disease, Injuries and Risk Factors Study, 2006-2016. 2013; MoH. Mortality and Demographic Data 2010. 2013.; MoH. Health Targets. 2014. Costs and flows data, discharges data, and procedures data derived from NHC analysis of the 2011/12 New Zealand Health Tracker, Pharmaceutical Collection, National Minimum Dataset, and 2010 Mortality Collection. The costs and flows data provide an estimate of the number of people at each phase of the pathway, the average cost of interventions, and the total cost to the health system. Here price has been used as a proxy for cost as it is more readily available and is correlated with the cost of the services being summarised. Cost has been measured over the 12 month period 2011/12 and thus does not reflect the expected costs of individual patients as they transition through disease states. With the exception of the early management phase, the phases presented are mutually exclusive. The diagnostic costs contained in the early management phase are also counted in the later phases. Further information on the costs and flows data are contained in Appendix 2. 6.1 Prevention For adults aged over 15 the pathway shows an improvement from 2006/07 to 2012/13 in IHD prevalence (5.3 percent to 4.9 percent), smoking rates (18.3 percent to 15.5 percent), and greater support for patients to quit smoking (8-10) . The target sits across the pathway of care but is included in early management for ease of illustration. The target is for 90 percent of Primary Health Organisation (PHO) enrolled patients who smoke to be seen by a health practitioner in general practice and offered brief advice and support to quit smoking, and for 95 percent of hospitalised patients to be offered advice by a health practitioner in public hospitals. The target also includes 90 percent of pregnant women (who identify as smokers at the time of confirmation of pregnancy in general practice or booking with Lead Maternity Carer) being offered advice and support to quit. Obesity rates have increased since 2006/07 (26.5 percent) with nearly a third (31.3 percent) of New Zealand adults obese in 2012/13. Obesity rates have also increased for children aged 2-14 years from eight percent in 2006/07 to 10 percent in 2011/12 (11). Obesity rates are higher among Māori (17%) and Pacific (23 %) children, and children living in the most deprived areas (19%). If not addressed a higher obesity rate in children may lead to a rise in heart disease in the future. Māori have nearly twice the IHD prevalence of Non-Māori; more than double the smoking rate, and almost half of Māori adults are obese (8). About 16 percent of adults have medicated high blood pressure, and 11 percent have medicated high blood cholesterol. IHD was responsible for the loss of 89,000 DALYs in 2006, or about 9.3 percent of total DALYs lost (5) . About 39,000 DALYs were lost from high blood pressure attributable to IHD. Approximately 28,000 DALYs were lost from high cholesterol and an equivalent number of DALYs were lost from obesity attributable to IHD. About 14,000 DALYs were lost due to smoking attributable to IHD1. Note the lost DALYs from the IHD risk factors are not mutually exclusive and thus not additive. We estimate that about 240,000 people were subject to primary prevention for IHD in 2011/12. The primary prevention population is estimated based on the ‘at-risk’ group defined by the Primary Health Care Handbook cardiovascular risk assessment criteria (12) ; or anyone taking three IHD related pharmaceuticals including a statin and an antiplatelet or anticoagulant who has not been included in the IHD prevalent population. We estimate the total cost of this ‘at-risk’ population is about $32 million per annum or $132 per person. 6.2 Early management Sixty-nine percent of the eligible population had had their cardiovascular risk assessed in the past 5 years in the first quarter of 2013/14 was 49 percent (9) . In quarter 4 of 2011/12 the corresponding figure (13) . The national target is to achieve 90 percent coverage. We estimate that about 81,000 people had an IHD diagnostic test in 2011/12, with an average cost of about $570 per person and total cost of $46 million per annum, some of these tests were for monitoring purposes, rather than initial diagnoses, and some of them did not result in any IHD diagnosis. 6.3 Non-hospitalised IHD We estimate that there were about 145,000 people with IHD who did not have a hospital admission in 2011/12. Nearly half (46 percent) of non-hospitalised IHD patients were on triple therapy in 2011/12. This estimate corroborates reasonably well with the Health Quality and Safety Commissions estimate of CVD patients on triple therapy. We estimate that 47 percent of all IHD patients receive triple therapy, while the HQSC atlas of variation estimates that 53.5 percent of CVD patients receive triple therapy (14) . Average costs for non-hospitalised patients were about $550 per patient, or a total of $80 million per annum. 6.4 Hospitalised IHD We estimate that there were about 15,000 people with IHD who had at least one hospital admission in 2011/12. The average cost per patient was $12,600 with a total cost of $185 million per annum. The national MI mortality rate at 30 days of hospital discharge was 3.0 per 100 MI discharges. The MI readmission rate at 30 days of hospital discharge was 1.2 per 100 MI discharges. There was no significant2 difference between Māori and Non-Māori in these 1 The DALYs lost from Smoking is unpublished NZ Burden of Disease data obtained from the Ministry of Health Health and Disability Intelligence Unit. 2 Significant differences in this report refer to statistical significance to the 5% level. Ninety-five percent confidence intervals have been calculated for the data presented. They are not presented as data collection anomalies rates, and no clear correlation with deprivation. Nationally there were 16 hospital discharges per 100 IHD prevalent population. Māori had a significantly lower rate of hospital discharge at 14 compared with Non-Māori at 17 per 100 IHD prevalent population, again, however, there is no clear pattern relating to deprivation. Three quarters of hospitalised IHD patients were on triple therapy in 2011/12. Age standardised rates of Coronary Artery Bypass Graft (CABG) surgery and angioplasty stand at 13 and 66 per 100 MI patients respectively. Overall Māori have significantly lower rates of CABG (8.7 vs 13.7) and Angioplasty (38.4 vs 66.9) than Non-Māori (Figure 6). Figure 6: Age standardised Rates of CABG and Angioplasty by ethnicity and deprivation ASR CABG per 100 MI discharges 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Maori Non-Maori Total ASR Angioplasty per 100 MI discharges 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Deprivation quintile Maori Non-Maori Total Deprivation quintile Source: 2014 NHC analysis of 2011/12 New Zealand Health Tracker data Māori have 1.8 times the rate of diagnosed IHD (age-standardised) compared with non-Māori (6) . After adjusting for age, sex and ethnic group, people in the most deprived areas are 1.9 times more likely to have been diagnosed with IHD compared to people in the least deprived areas. Given this and assuming equivalent drivers for admission and procedures, we might expect to see higher age-standardised rates of hospital discharge, CABG and angioplasty than illustrated for Māori and the least deprived. (which can emerge in later investigation) are not accounted for in confidence intervals which can distort summary statistics giving the reader a false impression of accuracy. 6.5 Death About 12,000 people with IHD died in 2011/12, with the average cost per patient about $1,900 per patient and a total cost of $22 million. IHD mortality, including myocardial infarction, has declined more than 70 percent since 1980 and accounted for 19 percent of all deaths in 2010 (5). The age standardised mortality rate is 88 per 100,000 population for men and 47.5 per 100,000 population for women. Māori men have 1.5 times the age standardised mortality rate of nonMāori. Mortality rates for Māori women are about twice as high as Non-Māori women. 7 Interventions The NHC executive undertook a review of the Cochrane systematic review database and the HealthPACT database to identify technologies and models of care to improve the pathway of care for IHD patients. The search was supplemented by numerous other papers relating to IHD known to the NHC executive. Appendix 3 contains more than 80 IHD Investment, Targeting or Service Reconfiguration options. This horizon scan was subsequently shared with stakeholders in a two phase engagement process to elicit options to improve the IHD pathway of care. Stakeholders included: 1. Ambulance New Zealand 2. The National Heart Foundation 3. The Royal New Zealand College of General Practitioners 4. The Pharmaceutical Society of New Zealand 5. The PHO Service Agreement Amendment Protocol Group 6. The New Zealand College of Public Health Medicine 7. The National Nursing Organisations 8. The Royal Australasian College of Physicians 9. The Royal Australasian College Surgeons 10. DHB Planning and Funding (representative) 11. DHB Chief Operating Officer (representative) The NHC executive requested a representative from each body to undertake an online survey eliciting options to improve the IHD pathway of care, and the same or a different representative to sit on a cardiovascular working group (CWG). The CWG was established to provide the NHC executive with a realism lens on the state of IHD care, provide technical feedback on specific interventions, and offer general advice on where the NHC might add the most value in its assessments. The online survey elicited options for: Better service configuration Better targeting of existing technologies and services Better investment in cost-effective technologies Service configuration, targeting and investment are explained in Figure 7 as articulated to stakeholders. Elicited options from the survey were incorporated in an earlier draft of this document, which was then discussed at the first Cardiovascular Working Group (CWG) meeting in February 2014. Full results from the survey are presented below (see Table 1). Figure 7: Terminology - Service Configuration, Targeting, Investment Better service configuration Options for better service configuration involve thinking about where there may be hold-ups in existing services and opportunities for better management of a patients care. Cues for better service configuration include: Over-reliance on inpatient care due to insufficient focus on an earlier phase of a patients care pathway including preventative care. Unexplained variation in patient care pathways across regions, or outdated or poorly adhered to patient care pathways. Poor quality patient outcomes including mortality, quality of life, and patient experience through the health system. Better Targeting Options for better targeting involve thinking about the relative value of current technologies and services for patients. Cues for better targeting opportunities include: Safety – is a commonly used and/or high cost intervention’s safety profile unacceptable in some patient groups? Effectiveness – does a commonly used and/or high cost intervention deliver little or no benefit in some patient groups? Or is there little evidence to justify its use? Cost-effectiveness – is a commonly used and/or high cost intervention cost-ineffective in some patient groups? Do, for example, alternative cost-effective interventions exist that render the intervention obsolete? Indication creep – has a commonly used and/or high cost intervention expanded into areas of practice where there is little evidence base? Alternatively, does an emerging technology in the health system require evidence based leadership to contain potential indication creep? Unexplained variation – is there large regional variation in a commonly used and/or high cost intervention which cannot be explained by variation in need? Similarly, are we over supplying certain health services relative to other developed countries? Better Investment Options for better investment involves thinking about where most value for money can be gained from the next dollar spent on IHD patients. Cues for better investment opportunities include: Safety and effectiveness – Is the technology safe and effective for the population group for which it is proposed? Cost effectiveness and budgetary impact – Is the technology affordable and does it represent value for money in a fiscally constrained environment 7.1 CWG options for improving IHD care The CWG indicated priority for the following assessment options: 1. Investment into cardiac rehabilitation to prevent hospital readmission. The evidence base is already well established for cardiac rehabilitation, so this option may be more about implementation than evidence assessment. There may be opportunity, especially in smaller DHBs, to combine cardiac rehabilitation with pulmonary rehabilitation3. 2. Management of chest pain pathways for: a. ‘low risk’ patients with an accelerated pathway. This may be a case of rolling out models currently available in the NZ health system rather than exhaustive HTA. b. ‘intermediate risk’ patients with CT angiography. 3. Implantable Cardiac Defibrillators (ICD), possibly including an assessment of the Microvolt t-wave alternans (MTWA) for better targeting of patients suitable. It was recommended that the NHC approach NZPEG (cardiac electrophysiology) for their perspective on ICDs. 4. Avoiding unnecessary interventions - The CWG agreed that it was important to avoid unnecessary interventions, and several options were discussed. It was agreed that further discussion was warranted with the health sector. Here it was suggested the NHC either go to the National Cardiac Network for endorsement of a set of internationally recognised, evidence based, unnecessary interventions, or run an additional survey of the sector of things doctors/patients should think twice about (i.e. a Choosing Wisely style approach4). It was noted that nothing on the UK National Institute for Health and Care Excellence Do-Not-Do list relating to IHD were common practice in New Zealand except ECG-based stress testing to diagnose or exclude stable angina for people without known coronary artery disease5. 3 The NHC is also investigating opportunities for assessment in the area of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, COPD. 4 The Choosing Wisely Initiative was established by the American Board of Internal Medicine to focus on encouraging physicians, patients and other health care stakeholders to think and talk about medical tests and procedures that may be unnecessary, and in some instances can cause harm. The initiative is voluntary and medical speciality society led, it centres on the formation of short lists of five tests or procedures doctors and patients should think twice about before choosing: http://www.choosingwisely.org/ 5 http://www.nice.org.uk/usingguidance/donotdorecommendations/ Table 1: Summary of feedback on investment, targeting and service reconfiguration options for the pathway of care in IHD Option Type of Option Description / Evidence National Nursing Organisation Cardiac Rehabilitation Investment Current investment is limited; increasing the uptake of ’gold standard’ cardiac rehabilitation has the potential to reduce cardiac-related readmissions and deliver significant financial savings. Nurse-led services/clinics Investment New Zealand cardiology departments have been slow to respond in recognising the value of nurse led services outside the CCU/ICU. The funding at a national level to support nurses and cardiologists to develop new models of care for New Zealand would be minimal but would have a significant impact on waiting times and patient outcomes. Ambulance Association Lifenet (from Physio Control) Investment Allows live transmission of the 12-lead ECG from the patient's location to the cardiologist in the case of ST elevation myocardial infarction to alert and prepare hospital staff for percutaneous coronary intervention or thrombolysis in the field. Nationwide Destination policies Service reconfiguration In the Wellington Region, patient’s suffering ST-elevation myocardial infarction are fast-tracked to the regional cardiac centre, by-passing district hospitals (with the exception of North Wairarapa). This has markedly reduced time to percutaneous coronary intervention in these patients. The ambulance sector would like to extend this system more widely but destination policies would need to be in place nationwide. Cardiac conditions appropriate for treatment at local hospitals should be agreed. Management of Narrow complex Tachycardia Service reconfiguration St John ambulance has implemented a national guideline allowing paramedics to treat selected patients with supraventricular tachycardia to be treated on scene with adenosine. In the absence of complicating factors, the patient can be left at home when the treatment is successful. This guideline should be extended nationwide. Apart from patient benefit, transport to hospital is avoided in many cases. DHB COO Process of care Investment There is a very sound evidence base for most of the interventions currently available to prevent, detect and manage IHD at each level. Work is underway in the sector in each of these areas to improve practice and outcomes eg tobacco control, CVD risk assessment and smoking cessation advice and management (national targets), work by cardiac networks to increase intervention rates. Smoking cessation Investment Despite the apparently excellent (hospital) and improving (primary care) target results we are probably not taking smoking cessation seriously enough. Unchecked Obesity Investment NHC assessment of what works for obesity management / prevention. Option Type of Option Description / Evidence Rapid Diagnosis and Retrieval Service reconfiguration Extending the ambulance/helicopter rapid diagnosis and retrieval system in place for example in the Wellington/Hutt/Kapiti for primary angioplasty patients to the Wairarapa/Manawatu sub region to support more timely access to care and better outcomes. Intervention rates Service reconfiguration Continue to support regional DHBs with below target intervention rates with support staff, frequent rate reporting and education. Acute patient referral system Service reconfiguration / investment Constructing a region-wide web-based acute patient referral system visible to all referrers to improve wait-time visibility access and overall communication. Chest pain pathways Service reconfiguration Development and Introduction of standardised chest pain pathways to expedite the assessment and diagnosis of IHD in the community and therefore appropriate management in the right setting. Anti-Platelet therapy Target Continuing to reduce the administration of high cost anti-platelet therapy (iv abciximab) in the acute patient Thrombolysis Target Continuing to move away from thrombolysis (1.5 percent risk of cerebral haemorrhage) to primary angioplasty Referral to angiography Target Minimising delay from referral to angiography (currently well within 72 hour target) Shared Care Record Investment Reduce clinical risk by having access to most recent patient information as well as history IT Training Opportunities Online and or via CME/CNE with CME points attached Investment Increase provider IT knowledge to support identification and management of patients. Increase training and awareness of Decision Support tools to identify at risk patients. Asynchronous online training Investment Training Opportunities for clinicians to facilitate information sharing outside the constraints of time and place among a network of people. Point of Care Testing Investment Easy to use technology is available for patients to self-monitor within the General Practice environment. Increase availability and education to utilise this equipment where appropriate and clinically indicated. Increase self-awareness and self-management in an appropriate environment without cost implications for patient. Reduce burden of routine screening at General Practice. Improve Health Literacy and Prevention Service reconfiguration Identify the different needs of populations, whether they be rural, urban, low socio-economic, high prevalence and cater to the specific needs of the community. What do the patients say they need? Can we afford to provide that? Can we afford not to provide that? Programmes targeted at Service reconfiguration / More support for Rheumatic Fever programmes. Smoking - Option Type of Option Description / Evidence youth Investment needs to be non-affordable. Empower children to make healthy choices around food and activity. For example, get all school children to grow a garden and educate on how to eat the food they grow, and the benefits of healthy eating. Obesity management Service reconfiguration Ban super sizing of meals. Increase involvement of dieticians - both for one on one and selfmanagement groups. Improve access to services f or urgent care. Service reconfiguration Closer to home care for the acutely ill as transportation delays care. GP's and nurses need to be on site and skilled in the use of Streptokinase (or other treatment as indicated) and advanced resuscitation. Rural proofing services Investment / Service reconfiguration DHB GM Planning and Funding Renal denervation Investment For control of resistant hypertension. Hypertension one of the major risk factors that is poorly treated. This procedure advances health care in this field Split DHBs would benefit from one service two site model Service reconfiguration Blenheim's traditional approach of insisting that all cardiology FSA are assessed by general physicians rather than a cardiologist (as occurs with Nelson patients) leads to unnecessary FSA activity and unnecessary utilization of investigations. Blenheim's model is justifiable if it is geographically isolated but not when 1.5h away from Nelson. Increased use of specialised nurse practitioners in primary care Service reconfiguration Unnecessary patient follow up occurs on secondary care especially with heart failure due to an inability of primary care to adequately meet this demand. Specialist nurses that facilitate ongoing follow up drug titration and advanced care planning would reduce unnecessary FU and readmissions. Increased movement of patients around networks to meet critical time lines Service reconfiguration If an angiogram needs to occur within 72 h why can’t patients move between DHBs on a Network model to allow the patient to receive the earliest treatment? Royal Australasian College of Physicians Wider use of rapid access nurse led chest pain clinics Investment 1) Chest pain referrals >50 percent elective cardio referrals 2) Development of clear community chest pain assessment pathways to guide GP referrals Option Type of Option Description / Evidence 2) Rapid access to Cardiac Nurse Specialist (CNS) led chest pain clinics for immediate assessment, exercise testing and cardiac imaging if fitting the protocol 3) Plethora of literature from the UK since 2000. Established in the NICE guidelines. 4) Practised to various degrees within the NZ environment but emphasis still on basic treadmill testing and escalation to physician clinics defeats the purpose. The physician is likely to request an imaging test which if the population is carefully selected could have been done by the CNS 5) Net result is to reduce waiting time, improve access to definitive tests, free up specialist assessment resource f or more complex management issues. Virtual Specialist Clinics Investment If GPs do not feel the community pathways are adequate in helping them decide on patient management there should be a virtual clinic access to specialist advice. This is done informally by GP's "phoning for advice" but can be streamlined with dedicated specialist time to receive such queries. Hypertension clinics Investment 1) Hypertension is undertreated (NZ and worldwide data) 2) Every 10mmHg drop in BP halve CVS risk including stroke 3) 8000 strokes each year in NZ at $50,000 per stroke and only 1/3 alive and independent at 12 months (NZ data, stroke foundation) 4) GP's treat hypertension very w ell, but issues with patient attendance (cost and compliance) 5) Some hypertension can be refractory (5 percent) and needs specialist hypertension services (choice of drugs and regimens) 6) Very limited models of care in NZ: most extensive is a WDHB established through the renal department with success over the last 5 years: average 4 visits with nurse specialist and physician input. Promoting Day Case angioplasty Service reconfiguration 1) Plenty of literature on safety 2) Variably practised in NZ 3) Unnecessary overnight admission 4) Can be used f or a select few on case by case basis Length of stay after uncomplicated myocardial infarction and successful stenting could be standardised as far as Service reconfiguration / targeting 1) Varies between 3-5 days 2) The evidence is predates wide use of primary PCI 3) Guideline support f or the shorter 3 days Option Type of Option Description / Evidence Stress testing after myocardial infraction to guide treatment of further severe disease could be abolished Targeting 1) variable practice in NZ Encouraging Nurse-cardiac technologist led general clinics Service Reconfiguration possible 2) some would keep the patient for a few days then perform a stress test pre discharge that may be repeated a few weeks later before a decision is made on treating the non-infract related artery (wasteful) 2) enough evidence to treat the severe lesions without this delay (shortens hospital stay and reduces testing) 1) Specialist-GP development of community assessment of heart failure, palpitations and murmurs 2) Rapid access to CNS led cardiac testing (echo, holter, event monitors) (echo, arrhythmia testing) in favour of specialist clinics 3) Open access from community to echo for instance proved to have a low pick up rate (8-30 percent newly diagnosed heart failure). Patient selection through established pathways and brief assessment by CNS may streamline such services 4) selective referral to secondary assessment by specialist 5) Again multiple studies with varying results from the UK since 2000 National Guidelines for secondary care Service Reconfiguration / targeting 1) There are numerous international guidelines on the management of all CV conditions 2) There are no simple agreements for example on frequency of reviews for heart failure or echo follow up of stable valve disease (3 vs 6 monthly vs yearly vs guided by symptoms) 3) may be helpful to rationalize these pathways locally and nationally Indication creep: Renal Sympathetic Denervation Investment / Targeting 1) Required f or <5 percent of severe hypertension 2) Recent randomized trail Simplicity HTN3 contradicts HTN1 and 2. Data not available 3) Needs critical appraisal (limited availability in NZ) Indication creep: Structural heart disease devices Investment / Targeting All useful but need close monitoring to ensure appropriate patient selection f or the most benefit 1) Left atrial appendage occluders: limited availability in NZ 2) Mitraclip for severe mitral valve regurgitation (mixed results): not available in NZ yet 3) Transcutaneous aortic valves 4) PFO closure New Zealand College of Public Health Medicine Option Type of Option Population disease register with clinical action indicators/ reminders that is electronically integrated with primary and secondary care IT system Description / Evidence Papers provided to the NHC Use of MOH data to provide feedback to reduce clinical variations Service reconfiguration / targeting Highlighting potential treatment gaps. Updating the current CVD guidelines to lower treatment thresholds (with a view f or electronic implementation) Service reconfiguration / targeting Jackson R, Marshall R, Kerr A, Riddell T, Wells S. QRISK or Framingham f or predicting cardiovascular risk? BMJ 2009;339:115 Paper noted based on Framingham equation: For men: 50 percent of CVD events in 10 years would come from people with high risk, and for women only 17 percent would come from high risk, indicating there is scope to lower threshold, and a potential number of events could be prevented if the treatment threshold is lower. This may be an reasonable option to explore, as CVD medicine is of very low cost, and the side-effects are well tolerated. In order to improve usability of the guidelines, the guidelines should incorporate common associated conditions such as metabolic syndrome, and common co-morbidities. The development of the guidelines should be informed by local NZ data as well as latest cost effectiveness data. Electronic implementation of such guidelines (with autopopulation), and supported by clinical actionable data from the whole of system, (primary and secondary and MOH admin data, local regional repository). Pharmaceutical Society of New Zealand Pharmacist-led services Investment There is considerable evidence demonstrating pharmacist-led services or in collaboration with general practitioners or nurses improves management of CVD risk factors in the primary care setting. Services have included medication adherence and education, CVD risk screening, smoking cessation, optimisation of medication therapy (in collaboration with prescribers), identification & prevent of drug related problems and treatment plan optimisation (with prescribers), pharmacological and nonpharmacological education and advice. Some of these (eg. medication adherence services) are beginning to be funded by some DHBs in New Zealand but to varying degrees. Service functions could be expanded to assist burden on primary care. Option Type of Option Description / Evidence Health literacy interventions Investment There is building evidence health literacy significantly impacts on health outcomes. Pharmacists have a key role in patient's understanding of the purpose of their medications, how to take these, and how to identify and manage drug-related problems. How poor health literacy impacts on the assessment and treatment of our populations needs to be addressed. Improve secondaryprimary care sharing of medication plans Service reconfiguration Notification of medication changes to community pharmacy and general practice at discharge. Adherence and education support for a pharmacist to reconcile and synchronise patient medications following discharge with removal of discontinued/changed medications from the patient's home. To improve medication management and reduce drug errors. CV risk screening/monit oring by pharmacies integrated with general practice Service reconfiguration Greater collaboration for pharmacies to conduct CVD screening and monitoring - linking information into the general practice. Currently occurs in an uncoordinated and isolated manner. Evidence of collaborative screening improving management of risk factors. Health literacy Targeting / Investment Need to target those populations with poor health literacy to better understand cardiovascular disease prevention and its nonpharmacological and pharmacological management - to improve effectiveness of these interventions. The Royal New Zealand College of General Practice Review model of care at specialist/ GP interface Service reconfiguration Synchronous specialist advice/virtual clinics. -CME/CQI/pathway development -Direct access to diagnostics in accordance with agreed patient pathways (echo/nurse led exercise ECG/holter/event monitor). -Where appropriate change terminology from refer to “consult with” Shift towards more patient centric approaches Investment / service reconfiguration - Cardiopulmonary rehab. - Consultation skills training to promote shared decision making - Patient centred decision support (eg Option Grids). - Change terminology primary care guidelines/secondary care guidelines to “guideline for care of patients with.....” - Advanced care planning / palliative care services Set some quality expectations Investment / service reconfiguration - Quality of communication between providers. - Access to care / maximum wait times - Providers given & review their data /patient outcome measure Enhance the capacity and capability of the General Investment / service reconfiguration - Promote continuity of care and teamwork - Invest in education / CME / CQI Option Practice medical home Type of Option Description / Evidence - Invest in change management to improve the way we work. Source: 2014 NHC Survey Monkey Results for IHD 8 Health Innovation Partnership IHD Expression of Interest Assessment The Health Innovation Partnership (HIP) was created 2013 between the Health Research Council and the NHC to support a coordinated investment in translational research for health and disability related technologies. It is anticipated that research supported through this partnership will gather evidence to inform the NHC’s recommendations regarding the cost effectiveness and prioritisation of new and existing technologies. Research will also identify the conditions and/or knowledge translation strategies that would be needed to support implementation of findings and ways to restructure existing investment to optimise patient outcomes. The HIP conducted an Expression of Interest (EOI) process for translational research into IHD in late 2013. The first round was concluded in January 2014, with 6 of 10 contenders invited to submit full research applications. In addition to the IHD EOI process the CWG is able to make recommendations for HIP research through the NHC. No assessments where recommended to HIP in the first meeting of the CWG. 9 NHC Executive Perspective The NHC executive’s current view, subject to revision with ongoing engagement and research, is that there is potential value in five assessments. These are: 1. Cardiac rehabilitation 2. Management of low and intermediate risk chest pain pathways 3. Avoiding unnecessary interventions 4. Elective angioplasty with same day discharge 5. Early extubation and discharge of low risk patients for CABG In addition we include below a possible assessment of Implantable Cardiac Defibrillators, but it is the executive’s assessment that this option is less likely to be landed in timely fashion (and more the domain of PHARMAC) than the other options presented. Investment into cardiac rehabilitation to prevent hospital readmission The benefits of a cardiac rehabilitation programme have been extensively documented (15) ; however, overall uptake by the sector has been variable and many patients do not attend rehabilitation programmes. The CWG noted that current New Zealand guidelines from 2002 require updating. They considered current investment to be limited, where increasing the uptake of ’gold standard’ cardiac rehabilitation has the potential to improve medication adherence, reduce cardiac-related readmissions and improve health outcomes for IHD patients. It was suggested there may be opportunity, especially in smaller DHBs, to combine cardiac rehabilitation with pulmonary rehabilitation. From a brief review of the literature, factors that could be improved include free transportation to programme venue, increasing the number of programmes available and putting more resources into disadvantaged/special groups. Apart from symptomatic benefit, cardiac rehabilitation has been shown to reduce mortality, decrease recurrent MI and the requirement for revascularisation procedures (16, 17) - thus reallocation of resources into this area is likely to result in material health gain. An assesment performed by the NHC may be valuable in documenting cardiac rehabilitation uptake, identifying a comprehensive set of barriers to rehabilitation and making recommendations for improving the uptake of this service. Management of chest pain pathways for “low risk” patients with an accelerated chest pain pathway. Chest pain is one of the most frequent presentations to the emergency department and places a significant cost burden on existing services(18) . Current strategies for managing acute chest pain often necessitate hospital admission even though a significant proportion of patients do not have an important medical cause for their symptoms (19) . The Accelerated Diagnostic Pathway (ADP) developed by Dr Martin Than at Christchurch Hospital uses the TIMI score and troponin I at 0 and 2 hours to risk-stratify patients presenting with possible acute coronary syndrome (ACS) . Those who are deemed “low risk” are discharged at two hours without further (20) investigation. The pathway has been used in an observational study (the ADAPT study) a randomised controlled trial (21) (20) and which compared the ADP with standard care. Numerous other accelerated chest pain pathways have been developed overseas (22) . A standardised national guideline could be developed to target patients at low risk of ACS if the NHC were to undertake further assessment of this intervention in collaboration with the sector. Early discharge plans for low risk chest pain patients were discussed in some depth by the CWG. A new model at Waitemata DHB was noted where low risk patients are directed to come back the next day for a booked test such as treadmill test, stress echo or CT coronary angiography (CTCA). It was noted that some patients appearing at hospital with chest pain might be better managed in the community by GPs. The CWG noted that identification of low risk patients may be done using a risk screening algorithm but close attention is required to the algorithm’s sensitivity, specificity and negative predicative value. We were advised that regional differences in workforce capability and resources need to be accounted for regarding the roll out of any low risk chest pain pathway. Management of chest pain pathways for ‘intermediate risk’ patients with CT angiography. The CWG suggested that this option be combined with the ‘low risk’ option above. Another important area is the management of patients who are at intermediate risk of ACS, without biomarker or ECG changes. The recent development of computed tomography coronary angiography (CTCA) provides a high spatial and temporal resolution imaging technique to evaluate the coronary arteries non-invasively. The CWG saw CTCA as a good tool that may be underutilised in the health system with regional inequity in access. Nationally some CT scanners lack the “cardiac package” needed for CT-angiography – including the necessary software and technical support. The test is recognised by the American Heart association to have a high diagnostic accuracy and negative predictive value in many populations; however its application in the emergency department setting has been limited (23). A Korean study looked at the application of this method to real world patients in the emergency department and found that it had a 96.6 percent negative predictive value (24). Further systematic assessment of this imaging technique may be helpful in identifying its role in acute chest pain management in the NZ setting and assessing whether further investment in this technology is desirable. Implantable Cardiac Defibrillators (ICD), possibly including an assessment of the Microvolt t-wave alternans (MTWA) for better targeting of patients suitable. Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a devastating consequence of both Ischaemic and nonIschaemic cardiomyopathy. ICD implantation is well established in reducing SCD and thus indications for ICD implantation are growing and, in parallel, the economic burden of these devices (25). Our brief assessment of cost data shows that ICDs are a rapid area of growth, growing consistently above 14 percent per annum (compounding) over the past decade - where annual cost now exceeds $15 million. A cursory review of cost-effectiveness studies shows ICDs are cost-ineffective by standard measures. New and more costly ICD devices are coming to market. The CWG advised that any assessment of ICDs would require careful engagement with stakeholders, specifically the New Zealand Pacing and Electrophysiology Group. The CWG were more focused on ICDs than the MTWA test, judiciously so as the test is not a major cost pressure but ICDs are. The MTWA test has been shown in a recently published meta-analysis to be a useful technology to risk-stratify those who are at greatest risk of SCD (26) . In combination with abnormal heart rate turbulence (HRT), the predictive performance in patients with left ventricular ejection fraction less than 40 percent after acute MI was strengthened markedly (27). So, it appears from a cursory review of the literature, that this may be a promising technology to help target patients who would most benefit from ICD implantation after an Ischaemic event. If after systematic and sector review, the use of MTWA and HRT is found to be a reliable technology for risk stratification of patients after acute MI, there could be an overall cost-benefit. The costs of investing in this technology could be outweighed by a reduction in ICD implantation. ICDs are likely to be PHARMAC’s business longer term, but there may be an opportunity for the NHC to get a relatively short term return on investment through an assessment of ICD use in New Zealand, including the MTWA test. Avoiding unnecessary interventions The CWG recommended that the NHC further engage with the sector to identify unnecessary interventions. Several interventions where raised through the CWG and online survey (Table 1 above) as potential candidates for improved targeting including: Abolition of stress testing after myocardial infraction to guide treatment of further severe disease. Stop doing ECG-based stress testing to diagnose or exclude stable angina for people without known coronary artery disease Continuing to move away from thrombolysis (1.5 percent risk of cerebral haemorrhage) to primary angioplasty. Continuing to reduce the administration of high cost anti-platelet therapy (iv abciximab) in acute patients. Elective angioplasty with same-day discharge Historically, prolonged bed rest after femoral sheath removal and monitoring for complications have been key drivers for overnight hospital stays after PCI. The vast majority of patients in NZ undergo transradial PCI, and during the past decade there have been rapid advances that have dramatically improved safety and reduced complications in the literature (29, 30) (28) . There is now prospective evidence to suggest that same day discharge is a safe and feasible option for a carefully selected group of patients. Criteria that have been proposed in the trials are extensive and include (30): Pre-procedure factors: 5. Aged under 75 years, with a BMI less than 40, a preserved ejection fraction, normal renal function, normal bleeding indices (INR, Hb, platelets), more than 14 days postacute MI, and adequacy of social support post discharge Peri-procedure factors: 6. No target vessels occluded, no dissection, side branch occlusion, angiographic thrombus and perforation, Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) 3 flow in all vessels, no vein graft/left main/triple vessel involvement, procedure duration, 3 hours, reasonable contrast use, no need for vasopressors or pacing, no concerns over sedation Post-procedure factors: 7. Stable blood pressure without ongoing treatment, afebrile, no symptoms e.g. chest pain, no access site issues (haematoma, aneurysm, bleeding, limb ischemia), need for blood transfusion, ambulatory within day stay unit, discharge before 10 pm, Targeting these patients in interventional centres across New Zealand may be an effective strategy to decrease the overall cost associated with coronary revascularisation. Early extubation and discharge of low risk patients for CABG The NHC executive where informed at the first CWG meeting of Canterbury DHB’s early extubation (at 2 hours) and early discharge of "low risk" patients undergoing CABG. The cases that are likely to be low risk (as per euroscore6 and anaesthetic assessment) are done in the morning. The system reportedly reduces intensive care unit stay to less than one day and hospital stay from 6-7 days to 3 days. District nurse community support facilitates early discharge. 6 A method of calculating predicted operative mortality for patients undergoing cardiac surgery. 10 Limitations The number of people we have included in our analyses from Health Tracker is lower than that estimated by the New Zealand Health Survey. As outlined in the methodology (Appendix 2) the majority of people included in our definition have had a health system diagnosis, so there may be a bias towards higher needs. There is, however, also a chance we may have captured patients who do not have IHD but were prescribed one of the pharmaceuticals for another condition or that a patient had been given a comorbid diagnosis of IHD in a hospital without a full investigation. The IHD costs from ED attendances may be overestimated since many IHD patients have other co-morbidities which could have brought them to ED. There are other costs associated with IHD some diagnostics, and aged care that have not been accounted for due to lack of available data. Because our patient cohorts are defined by their service utilisation, they should not be viewed as clinically grouped cohorts but rather service-use cohorts. Given the breadth of IHD technologies available the Horizon-scan presented in Appendix 3 is not exhaustive and it is possible that some important technologies have been excluded. This risk has been mitigated somewhat through our survey of stakeholder options for improving the IHD pathway of care. In summary while the figures provided in this report are not a fully comprehensive picture of IHD they do provide an indicative basis for understanding the burden associated with the IHD pathway of care. Appendix 1: Cost Tables Total NZ Disease Count Percent Total Cost ($) Average Cost ($) Non-hospitalised IHD Hospitalised IHD Death Total 144,667 14,716 12,019 171,402 84.4 8.6 7.0 100.0 79,664,300 185,094,300 22,320,000 287,078,600 550 12,580 1,860 1,670 Count 13,429 1,507 1,084 16,020 Percent 83.8 9.4 6.8 100.0 Total Cost ($) 8,910,600 19,819,900 2,579,800 31,310,200 Average Cost ($) 660 13,150 2,380 1,950 Count Percent Total Cost ($) Average Cost ($) 131,238 13,209 10,935 155,382 84.5 8.5 7.0 100.0 70,753,700 165,274,500 19,740,200 255,768,400 540 12,510 1,810 1,650 Disease Count Percent Total Cost ($) Average Cost ($) Non-hospitalised IHD Hospitalised IHD Death Total 29,433 3,070 2,521 35,024 84.0 8.8 7.2 100.0 18,453,700 41,000,300 5,091,100 64,545,000 630 13,360 2,020 1,840 Count Percent Total Cost ($) Average Cost ($) 91,927 9,378 7,807 109,112 84.3 8.6 7.2 100.0 50,397,800 116,981,600 14,066,000 181,445,400 550 12,470 1,800 1,660 Total Māori Disease Non-hospitalised IHD Hospitalised IHD Death Total Total Non-Māori Disease Non-hospitalised IHD Hospitalised IHD Death Total Deprivation High-deprivation Moderate-deprivation Disease Non-hospitalised IHD Hospitalised IHD Death Total Low-deprivation Disease Count Percent Total Cost ($) Average Cost ($) Non-hospitalised IHD Hospitalised IHD Death Total 23,307 2,268 1,691 27,266 85.5 8.3 6.2 100.0 10,812,800 27,112,500 3,162,900 41,088,200 460 11,950 1,870 1,510 Count Percent Total Cost ($) Average Cost ($) 6,267 686 553 7,506 83.5 9.1 7.4 100.0 4,429,800 9,431,500 1,280,900 15,142,200 710 13,750 2,320 2,020 Count Percent Total Cost ($) Average Cost ($) 6,429 736 487 7,652 84.0 9.6 6.4 100.0 4,087,900 9,357,000 1,234,900 14,679,800 640 12,710 2,540 1,920 Count Percent Total Cost ($) Average Cost ($) 733 85 44 862 85.0 9.9 5.1 100.0 392,900 1,031,300 64,000 1,488,200 540 12,130 1,460 1,730 Disease Count Percent Total Cost ($) Average Cost ($) Non-hospitalised IHD Hospitalised IHD Death Total 23,166 2,384 1,968 27,518 84.2 8.7 7.2 100.0 14,023,900 31,568,800 3,810,200 49,402,800 610 13,240 1,940 1,800 Ethnicity and Deprivation High-deprivation Māori Disease Non-hospitalised IHD Hospitalised IHD Death Total Moderate-deprivation Māori Disease Non-hospitalised IHD Hospitalised IHD Death Total Low-deprivation Māori Disease Non-hospitalised IHD Hospitalised IHD Death Total High-deprivation Non-Māori Moderate-deprivation Non-Māori Disease Non-hospitalised IHD Hospitalised IHD Death Total Count Percent Total Cost ($) Average Cost ($) 85,498 8,642 7,320 101,460 84.3 8.5 7.2 100.0 46,309,800 107,624,600 12,831,200 166,765,600 540 12,450 1,750 1,640 Low-deprivation Non-Māori Disease Count Percent Total Cost ($) Average Cost ($) Non-hospitalised IHD Hospitalised IHD Death Total 22,574 2,183 1,647 26,404 85.5 8.3 6.2 100.0 10,420,000 26,081,100 3,098,800 39,599,900 460 11,950 1,880 1,500 Appendix 2: Full Methodology This appendix outlines the full methodology used to inform the contents of this report: pathway of care, prevalence, costs and patient stratification. IHD pathway volume and cost measurement methodology Prevalence The New Zealand Health Tracker (NZHT) is a health census of resident New Zealanders created through the linkage of data in the Ministry of Health’s national collections and other data sources. It was established and is maintained by the Ministry of Health’s Health and Disability Intelligence (HDI) unit and is currently up-to-date to 2011/12. To be included as a prevalent case, a person had to be alive on 30 June 2011 and must have been enrolled in a primary health organisation (PHO) at that time, or had a contact event in a PHO in 2011/12 or a recorded event in the NMDS. This method excludes most people who have emigrated. A case had to meet the relevant diagnostic criteria outlined below. The definition for a prevalent IHD case used here is the same as that used in the New Zealand Burden of Diseases, Injuries and Risk Factors Study, 2006–2016 (NZBDS)(31) aside from the age limitation which was amended retrospectively to 25 years in the NZBDS. The hospital records for this analysis go back to 1988. The IHD definition used here is outlined in Table 2. Table 2, Definition criteria for New Zealand Health Tracker IHD indicator Any one of these Description Definition Ischaemic heart disease ICD-9: 410–414 Description diagnoses or Definition ICD-10: I20–I25 procedures when aged 25 years or over: Presence of aortocoronary ICD-9: V45.81 bypass graft ICD-10: Z95.1 Presence of coronary angioplasty ICD-9: V45.82 implant and graft ICD-10: Z95.5 Percutaneous angioplasty or stent ICD-9: 36.01–36.07 intervention ICD-10: 3530400, 3530500, 3531000, 3531001, 3531002 Coronary Artery Bypass Graft, ICD-9: 36.10–36.16 including reconstruction ICD-10: 3849700–3849707, 3850000–3850004, 3850300–3850304, 3863700, 9020100–9020103 Aged 25 years or Nitrate Glyceryl trinitrate over and had any Isosorbide Dinitrate two dispensings of any of these Isosorbide mononitrate pharmaceuticals in Nicorandil the previous 12 months Calcium Channel Blockers Perhexilin maleate Source: 2011/12 New Zealand Health Tracker Of the 171,402 people identified as prevalent cases of IHD, the majority (94.8 percent), were identified through a record of a relevant diagnosis or procedure code. This leaves 5.2 percent who were diagnosed via their pharmaceutical history alone. It should be noted that there are limitations to using the pharmaceutical data for a prevalence measure. There are some reasons why some people may be dispensed these pharmaceuticals in one year and not a subsequent year for example an indication such as end-stage liver disease, or for a therapeutic trial(32). It is also acknowledged that the use of medications to identify cases of IHD is less specific than use of hospitalisation codes. Upon assessing the IHD population from 2010/11 to 2011/12 it was found that approximately 235 people (0.1 percent of the IHD prevalent population) were ‘prevalent’ in 2010/11 and still alive, but no longer ‘prevalent’ in 2011/12. Costs Hospital events Hospitalisation event (inpatient and day patient) data from the National Minimum Data Set for 2011/12 were used with filtering to exclude non-publically funded and/or non-casemix purchased events. The diagnosis code used was either the primary diagnosis or the secondary diagnosis if the primary diagnosis was a ‘Z’ code (Factors influencing health status and contact with health services). The ICD-10-AM codes I20 to I25 were used to define IHD-related hospital events. Price has been used as a proxy for cost as it is more readily available and is correlated with the cost of the services being summarised. Each (filtered) hospitalisation event has a resourcebased volume measure of the relative resources used in the delivery of inpatient heath care based on the diagnosis code (derived using Weighted Inline Equivalent Separation methodology). For this analysis the WIESNZ10 caseweight has been multiplied by the national unit price for 2011/12 ($4567.49). Pharmaceuticals The Pharmaceutical Collection was used to identify the IHD-relevant pharmaceuticals listed in Table 3. Identified drugs are not necessarily only indicated for the management of IHD but in the presence of IHD would be an appropriate part of clinical management. New Zealand’s Pharmaceutical Management Agency (PHARMAC) receives rebates from some pharmaceutical companies for some of the pharmaceuticals it purchases. To account for these rebates the pharmaceutical ‘cost’ has been calculated based on the average price for each chemical and formulation for August 2013. The reimbursement cost of the pharmaceuticals is included, and is the cost from the supplier, the mark-up and the dispensing fee minus the patient contribution. Goods and Services Tax (GST, 15 percent) was removed from the reimbursement cost. Table 3, IHD-related pharmaceuticals included in cost-estimates Description 1 Statins Description 2 Lipid Modifying agents Chemical name Acipimox Atorvastatin Bezafibrate Cholesterol Description 1 Description 2 Beta-blockers Beta Adrenoceptor Blockers Antiplatelet/anticoagulant agents Antithrombotic agents Angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors or Angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB) Agents affecting the reninangiotensin system Diuretics Diuretics, Beta-adrenoceptor blockers with diuretics, ACE inhibitors with Diuretics Chemical name Cholestyramine with aspartame Clofibrate Colestipol hydrochloride Ezetimibe Ezetimibe with simvastatin Fluvastatin Gemfibrozil Nicotinic acid Omega 3 Fish Oil Pravastatin Probucol Simvastatin Acebutolol Acebutolol with hydrochlorothiazide Alprenolol Atenolol Atenolol with chlorthalidone Bisoprolol fumarate Carvedilol Celiprolol Labetalol Metoprolol succinate Metoprolol tartrate Nadolol Oxprenolol Pindolol Pindolol with clopamide Propranolol Sotalol Timolol (tablet form only) Timolol maleate (tablet form only) Anagrelide Aspirin Clopidogrel Dipyridamole Prasugrel Tinzaparin sodium Benazepril Candesartan Captopril Captopril with hydrochlorothiazide Cilazapril Cilazapril with hydrochlorothiazide Enalapril Enalapril with hydrochlorothiazide Lisinopril Lisinopril with hydrochlorothiazide Losartan Losartan with hydrochlorothiazide Perindopril Quinapril Quinapril with hydrochlorothiazide Trandolapril Acebutolol with hydrochlorothiazide Amiloride Amiloride with frusemide Amiloride with hydrochlorothiazide Atenolol with chlorthalidone Description 1 Description 2 Nitrates Nitrates Antiarrhythmics Antiarrhythmics Calcium Channel Blockers Dihydropyridine Calcium Channel Blockers (DHP CCBs) Other Calcium Channel Blockers Vasodilators Vasodilators Chemical name Bendrofluazide Bumetanide Captopril with hydrochlorothiazide Chlorothiazide Chlorthalidone Cilazapril with hydrochlorothiazide Cyclopenthiazide Enalapril with hydrochlorothiazide Furosemide Indapamide Lisinopril with hydrochlorothiazide Methyclothiazide Pindolol with clopamide Quinapril with hydrochlorothiazide Spironolactone Triamterene with hydrochlorothiazide Glyceryl trinitrate Isosorbide dinitrate Isosorbide mononitrate Nicorandil Amiodarone hydrochloride Digoxin Disopyramide phosphate Flecainide acetate Lignocaine hydrochloride Mexiletine hydrochloride Procainamide hydrochloride Propafenone hydrochloride Amlodipine Felodipine Isradipine Nifedipine Diltiazem hydrochloride Perhexiline maleate Verapamil Hydrochloride Hydralazine Minoxidil Nicorandil Source: 2012 Pharmaceutical Collection General Practitioner (GP) visits Regression analysis was carried out on the 2011/12 New Zealand Health Survey to estimate the mean number of GP visits an IHD patient would have had. The model was run on those in the survey who were 25 years or older and had IHD. Gender, age group, ethnicity and deprivation were all included in the original model, however the only significant predictor (using an alpha of 0.05) was deprivation quintile. The weighted mean from the survey was 5.92 visits, compared to a predicted mean of 5.97 from the 2011/12 IHD NZ Health Tracker population. Table 4 provides the predicted mean no. of visits by deprivation quintile. Table 4, Predicted average number of GP visits for patients with IHD by NZDep2006 quintile, 2011/12 Deprivation quintile Mean no. of GP visits by IHD patients Mean no. of GP visits by IHD patients attributed to IHD 1 (least deprived) 4.62 1.41 2 5.10 1.56 3 5.58 1.70 4 7.10 2.17 5 (most deprived) 6.74 2.06 Source: 2014 HDI analysis of 2011/12 NZ Health Survey and 2014 NHC analysis of NZ Health Tracker Analysis of the 2011/12 NZ Health Survey also showed that IHD patients had 1.44 times the number of GP visits in the previous twelve months as those who did not have IHD. For the purposes of our analysis we adjusted the predicted mean number of GP visits related to IHD accordingly (Table 4). It is assumed that the excess GP visits in those with IHD compared to those with no IHD are attributable to the presence of IHD. GP visits are funded by a combination of government capitation-based (per capita) payments and (private) patient fees. The government funding is based on the age, sex, ethnicity and deprivation level of patients enrolled with a primary health organisation7. The Burden of Disease Epidemiology, Equity and cost-Effectiveness Programme (BODE3) have analysed the government capitation funding formulae to produce some figures on the average government cost per GP visit for each of the relevant age groups(33) (Table 5). These are the ‘costs’ we have included for each GP visit. Table 5, Average total cost per GP visit for enrolled patients by age (excluding GST) Age group Average total government cost per visit ($) 25 to 44 years 36.92 45 to 64 years 35.43 65 years and over 32.96 7 See http://www.health.govt.nz/our-work/primary-health-care/primary-health-care-services-and-projects/capitationfunding for further information on capitation funding. Source: Protocol for Direct Costing of Health Sector Interventions for Economic Modelling (Including Event Pathways): Burden of Disease Epidemiology, Equity and cost-Effectiveness Programme (BODE3)(33) There are four main limitations to the method we have used to allocate the likely annual costs of a patient’s GP visits. We have only included the average capitation ‘costs’ for visits made by a patient enrolled at a primary health organisation attending the practice they are enrolled with. Survey data is self-reported and relies on people remembering back over a 12 month period. Most GP visits may not be so eventful that they are particularly memorable. However, the NZ Health Survey is a population based survey and the self-report effect is unlikely to differ substantially by different population groups. The regression model used is fairly simple only taking into account key demographics, further analysis may be able to add other variables into the model at a later stage. It has been assumed the ‘excess’ number of GP visits solely relates to the presence of IHD, however the difference in visits between IHD and non-IHD patients does not take into account comorbidities. It may be for example, that a significant proportion of IHD patients are suffering from chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and much of the excess ‘cost’ is therefore not due to their IHD, but their COPD. The clinical reality is that patients’ attendance may be related to multiple clinical issues, that may be inter-related, and it is not feasible to definitively allocate consultation time to a specific condition. Outpatient and Emergency Department visits The National Non-Admitted Patient Collection (NNPAC) includes data on outpatient and emergency department (ED) visits. ED visits that result in an admission are priced as part of the hospital admission using the WIESNZ10 caseweight described in Section 0 above. The Nationwide Service Framework Library Purchase Unit Data Dictionary Version 18, 2012/13 was reviewed for IHD-relevant purchase unit codes, including ED visits and palliative care. These are outlined in Table 6. For two services (palliative care M80005, and cardiac education and management M10004), these costs were counted once per patient per year as they contain a yearly purchase unit price as opposed to one applied per visit. Analysis of the 2010 Mortality Collection (the most recent available) showed that of IHD patients who died, approximately 40 percent IHD designated as the cause of death. As palliative care could be provided for comorbid conditions, only 40 percent of the palliative care costs (COPL0001, M80004, M80005) were included in this analysis. It is important to note that not all the purchase unit codes are mandatory for DHBs to report (Table 6). This means that for some purchase units which we have data for, the data may not be complete as only some DHBs may have reported on these purchase units. Each of the DHBs has a Production Plan (previously known as a Price Volume Schedule) which shows the planned price and volume for each purchase unit code for the coming year. These prices were mapped to each of the NNPAC events by DHB. Where no price was available from the production plan for a DHB the price used was as follows: the national price the modal planned price of DHBs which had that purchase unit where there was no national price the average planned price of DHBs which had that purchase unit the bulk price divided by the number of patients recorded as accessing the service. Table 6, IHD-relevant purchase unit codes, national prices and number of IHD patients, 2011/12 Purchase Descriptiona Definitiona a unit code ED02001 Mand atory Emergency Dept Emergency service in small hospital - Level 2 with designated assessment and Price ($) b No. of c visits No. of IHD to patient report sc Yes 265.66 533^ 722 Yes 260.41 1140^ 2280 treatment areas. Minor injuries and ailments can be treated. Resuscitation and limited stabilisation capacity. Nursing staff available to cover emergency presentations. Visiting medical officer is on call. May be local trauma service. ED03001 Emergency Dept As for level 2 plus: designated nursing - Level 3 staff available on 24-hour basis. Has unit manager. Some registered nurses have completed or are undertaking relevant post-basic studies. 24-hour access to medical officers on site or available within 10 minutes. Specialists in general surgery, anaesthetics, paediatrics and medicine available for consultation. Full resuscitation Purchase Descriptiona Definitiona a unit code Mand atory Price ($) b No. of c visits No. of IHD to patient report sc facilities in separate area. Access to allied health professionals and liaison psychiatry. ED04001 Emergency Dept As for level 3 plus: can manage most - Level 4 emergencies. Purpose-designed area. Yes 260.41 5543^ 7508 Yes 349.18 1331^ 2061 Yes 326.45 3484^ 5275 Yes 122.89 10248 4392 Full-time director, experienced medical officer(s) and nursing staff on site 24 hours. Experienced nursing staff on site 24 hours. Specialists in general surgery, paediatrics, orthopaedics, anaesthetics and medicine on call 24 hours. May send nursing and medical teams to disaster site. Participation in regional adult retrieval system is desirable. May be an area trauma service. ED05001 Emergency Dept As for level 4 plus: can manage all - Level 5 emergencies and provide definitive care for most. Access to specialist clinical nurse is desirable. Has undergraduate teaching and undertakes research. Has designated registrar. May have neurology service. ED06001 Emergency Dept As for level 5 plus: has neurosurgery - Level 6 and cardiothoracic surgery on site. Sub-specialists available on rosters. Has registrar on site 24 hours. May be a Regional Trauma Service. AH01001 Dietetics Dietician services provided in an outpatient or domiciliary setting. Purchase Descriptiona Definitiona a unit code Mand atory COPL000 Palliative Initial assessment to determine the 1 Assessment & need for or level of Palliative Care a Care client requires. Price ($) b No. of c visits No. of IHD to patient report sc No 116.01 64.8* 56 Yes 277.5 7805 5839 Yes 351.39# 546 309 Yes 448.75 7787 7420 Yes 288.96 31541 20960 Yes 254.9 6415 6415 Yes 413.92 351 130 Yes 400+ 438 137 coordination CS04001 Community Cardiology tests referred by a general referred tests - practitioner or private specialist. eg cardiology ECG, stress tests, echocardiograph. Includes interpretation and reporting of the test. Excludes tests referred by DHB staff. CS04009 Community Regular pacemaker maintenance referred tests - checks for clients that have had a Pacemaker pacemaker implanted. physiology tests M10002 Cardiology - 1st First attendance to cardiologist or attendance medical officer at registrar level or above or nurse practitioner for specialist assessment. M10003 M10004 Cardiology - Follow-up attendances to cardiologist Subsequent or medical officer at registrar level or attendance above or nurse practitioner. Cardiac Cardiac education and case Education and management by multi-disciplinary Management teams in hospital or community-based setting. M10008 Cardiac CHF project to provide support to Outreach Service prevent readmission and lower length of stay. There is a Service Spec & reporting requirements, Integration project. M10009 Cardio-vascular Integration Project - General Practice models of care teams, providing in the community, services for patients with Chronic Cardio-Vascular Disease Purchase Descriptiona Definitiona a unit code M10012 Mand atory Pacemaker Pacemaker maintainence checks for Checks clients that have had a pacemaker Price ($) b No. of c visits No. of IHD to patient report sc No 245.31 8469 3832 Yes 444.67 514 511 Yes 357.43 1194 1030 No 411.69 66 57 Yes 172.15 46* 74 Yes 1198.71 94.4* 236 impanted. S15002 Cardiothoracic - First attendance to general surgeon or 1st attendance medical officer at registrar level or above or nurse practitioner for specialist assessment. S15003 Cardiothoracic - Follow-up attendances to Subsequent cardiothoracic surgeon or medical attendance officer at registrar level or above or nurse practitioner. S25008 Multifaceted Multi-faceted specialist clinics for first Specialist Clinics and follow up assessments for complex cardiac or respiratory clients where client can be seen at a number of outpatient units in one visit. M80004 Palliative Care - First attendance to palliative care Outpatient medicine specialist or medical officer Services at registrar level or above or nurse practitioner for specialist assessment. M80005 Palliative Care - Programme of community-based care Community for people assessed as requiring Services specialist palliative care. Source: a) The Nationwide Service Framework Library Purchase Unit Data Dictionary Version 16.3, 2011/12 b) National/Modal/Average price as defined in Section 0 c) 2013 NHC analysis of 2011/12 National Non-admitted Patient Collection Notes: * Two-fifths of the visits have been apportioned to the patients’ IHD ^ Half of the visits have been apportioned to the patients’ IHD # This is the 2012/13 national price + Preliminary estimated price A limitation of the non-admitted ED data is that there is no description of diagnosis associated with it. This means that IHD-specific non-admitted ED visits cannot be measured. However, IHD patients are significantly more likely to have had a non-admitted ED visit than people not in the IHD-prevalent population (odds ratio = 2.0, 1.97–2.03) ( Figure 8). For the purposes of this analysis 50 percent of the ‘cost’ of all non-admitted ED visits have been included as attributable to IHD (the proportion of ED visits above a comparable, nonIHD population). Figure 8: Number of non-admitted emergency department visits for IHD and Non-IHD-prevalent populations, 2011/12 Percent 100 Non-IHD patients 90 IHD patients 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 1 2 3+ Number of visits Source: 2013 NHC analysis of 2010/11 NZ Health Tracker and NNPAC data Troponin A key diagnostic tool for IHD is a laboratory test for troponin, the average estimated cost of a troponin test in 2011/12 is $12.14. The Laboratory Claims collection was used to find whether and how many troponin tests a person had had. There are limitations with the Laboratory Claims collection not being comprehensive and the prices involved being estimates. Angiography Coronary angiography is another IHD diagnostic tool, carried out in a hospital setting. While many of these were captured and included in the hospital costs, we also included coronary angiographies where the primary diagnosis was not IHD, but one of the secondary diagnoses was IHD. We assessed the casemix price of a standard day-stay angiography to be $1941.63. Total patient costs Each patient’s pharmaceutical (total = $51.7M), GP ($23.9M), outpatient, ED (outpatient & nonadmitted ED = $23.6M), hospital ($186.7M), palliative ($48,400), angiographic ($953,300), and troponin test ($171,000) ‘costs’ have been summed to create a cost-per-patient. Where a cost was associated with a bulk contract, and there is no direct record of the particular IHD patients who received the treatment (eg, health promotion, physical activity, cardiovascular screening) then this has not been included here. There are other costs to the health system that are attributed to the patient identified with IHD. These are costs that may not all directly result from IHD. The presence of co-morbidities alongside the IHD have an impact on the need for services, such as needing community services such as home help, physiotherapy or occupational therapy, and outcomes such as length of stay. To provide an indication of the IHD cost data in a timely manner, only the costs mentioned above (pharmaceutical, GP, ED and the outpatient costs listed in Table 6) have been included. While these are not comprehensive, they are IHD focused and provide enough information to assess the IHD pathway in terms of the interventions that should be assessed to improve health outcomes for New Zealanders. Private patient fees It is important to note that private patient fees are not included in our cost analyses, GP patient fees, fees for collecting prescriptions, and any medical treatment paid for directly by the patient, or the patient’s insurer are not included. The prescription and GP fees can be a barrier to patients accessing public health services, with 8% of adults not collecting a prescription and one in seven (14%) not going to a GP because of the cost in 2011/12. This was even more of a barrier to Māori and more deprived patients(34). While these fees have not been included in our cost analysis they should be considered in any pathway of care as patients not taking pharmaceuticals they have been prescribed, or not seeing a GP when they need to can have flow on effects in terms of a patient attending ED, which has no patient fee. Barriers to patients not managing their condition in the best way leads to a poorer quality of life, or increased risk of a myocardial infarction, and earlier death than if they had accessed the care needed. Patient Stratification Patients have been included in mutually exclusive groups based on whether they had a hospitalisation with an IHD-related ICD primary diagnosis code in 2011/12. Anyone in the IHD prevalent population who died in 2011/12 has been included in the 'death' category regardless of whether their death was IHD-related or not. All three categories are part of the identified total prevalent IHD population. New cases New cases of IHD were identified by assessing which patients were newly identified from 2010/11 to 2011/12 using New Zealand Health Tracker. These patients will overlap with the patient stratification mentioned above. The at-risk population There is a health target, before 1 January 2012 this was “90 percent of the eligible adult population would have had their CVD risk assessed in the last five years” (35). This target is to be achieved in stages with 60 percent to have been done by July 2012. To assess if someone should have had their risk assessed we have applied the age, gender and ethnic group criteria of asymptomatic people(36). These people may be at risk, however it should be noted that without other risk factors (diabetes, smokers, obesity, high blood pressure, family history of premature IHD, previous other cardiovascular disease, genetic lipid disorders) then the risk is likely to be mild (less than 10 percent)(36). We have also included people who have been dispensed a statin and an antiplatelet or anticoagulant as well as a pharmaceutical from one of the other cardiovascular pharmaceuticals: beta blockers, ACE or ARBs, diuretics, nitrates, calcium blockers, or vasodilators. People who are taking one of these combinations of three pharmaceuticals are likely to be taking them to prevent IHD in the longterm. People in the ‘prevention’ section of the pathway of care (Figure 5) were identified as anyone being in the ‘at-risk’ group as defined by the age, gender and ethnic group criteria for CVD screening, or who are not in this group, but are taking a combination of the three pharmaceuticals outlined above (N = 5415) who have not already been diagnosed with IHD according to the NZ Tracker definition. This group will include patients with non-IHDcardiovascular disease, for which drug therapy will be appropriate for secondary prevention of CVD. Some individuals identified at higher risk may not receive all the preventative drug types. The cost we have associated with this group is an estimate of the cost to screen this population. In essence this is the cost of a GP appointment (as outlined in Table 5 above), the average price of a lipids test ($7.64) and an HBA1C test ($10.18), these were summed and divided by five, as the screen is carried out once every five years. As well as this we have included the cost of any related pharmaceuticals if the patient is taking a combination of the three pharmaceuticals outlined above. This is a rough estimate that provides some context around the IHD cost of the non-prevalent population. Diagnostics Cardiology first referral visits, cardiology community referred tests, angiography, and troponin tests are all used to diagnose IHD and are measurable. This is not a comprehensive list, however other items eg, risk factor assessment or echocardiograms are difficult to quantify from the data available. Not everyone who has these things will have IHD, but presenting information on the overall costs for these provides some information on who receives them and some of the cost involved. Events A patient was identified as having had a coronary artery bypass in 2011/12 if during that period they had any ICD-10 procedure code in any of these ranges: 3849700–3849707, 3850000– 3850004, 3850300–3850304, 3850500, 3863700, 9020100–9020103. Note this includes reconstruction. A patient was identified as having had angioplasty in 2011/12 if during that period they had any ICD-10 procedure code in any of these ranges: 3530306–3530307, 3530400–3530401, 3530500–3530501, 3530906–3531005, 3533500, 3533800–3533801, 3534100, 3534400– 3534401, 3830000–3830001, 3830300–3830301, 3830600–3830605, 3830900, 3831200– 3831201, 3831500, 3831800–3831801. This includes both open and percutaneous angioplasty and excludes peripheral angioplasty. A patient who has had a primary diagnosis in 2011/12 of I21 has been identified as having had an acute myocardial infarction. The 2010 Mortality Collection has been used to quantify IHD and of those, acute myocardial infarction deaths. Note that this data is older than the majority of the other data presented. Rates Age-standardised rates have been standardised to the 2011/12 NZ Health Tracker population. Note the denominator population (who the rate is out of) is different for different measures, some of the populations used are the New Zealand population, the IHD prevalent population and the population of people discharged with a myocardial infarction. Comorbidities As mentioned above if a person is hospitalised with a condition it may be the presence of another condition that results in an extended length of stay, or higher costs. To provide some insight into the comorbidities of people with IHD we appraised the list of conditions with the highest disability-adjusted life years and years lived with disability in New Zealand(31) alongside available data and clinical advice. From this a list of potential comorbidities was selected to investigate among IHD patients for 2010/118: 8 lung cancer colorectal cancer 2010/11 has been used due to the availability of New Zealand Cancer Registry data, this is a year older than the majority 2011/12 data analysed and presented in this report. (female) breast cancer prostate cancer other cancer/s chronic obstructive pulmonary disease asthma ever-hospitalised stroke anxiety and/or depression (past 12 months) dementia gout diabetes heart failure. The methods and limitations of how each of these diseases have been measured are outlined below. Cancer “The New Zealand Cancer Registry (NZCR) is a population-based register of all primary malignant diseases diagnosed in New Zealand, excluding squamous and basal cell skin cancers.”(37) NZCR data (including preliminary 2011 data) have been used to provide 2010/11 measures with an effective cure time of five years9. The ICD-10 codes used for colorectal cancer were C18 to C21, lung cancer were C33 and C34, breast cancer was C50 and was limited to females and prostate cancer was C61 and limited to males. Other cancer/s was made up of the residual C-codes. Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease This New Zealand Health Tracker indicator is still in development. COPD is defined as any person aged 35 years or older who has any history (from 2001 to 2011) of being prescribed ipratropium bromide, salbutamol with ipratropium bromide or tiotropium bromide; or any history of being prescribed theophylline or aminophylline and has no prior (since 1988) admission diagnosis of asthma; or has a history of any admission with any diagnosis of COPD (Table 7). Table 7, Diagnoses codes used to define COPD ICD-9 codes 9 ICD-10 codes This is a parsimonious approach and does not necessarily reflect the actual cure time of all cancers. ICD-9 codes ICD-10 codes 490 Bronchitis, not specified as acute or chronic J40 Bronchitis, not specified as acute or chronic 4910 Simple chronic bronchitis J410 Simple chronic bronchitis 4911 Mucopurulent chronic bronchitis J411 Mucopurulent chronic bronchitis 49120 Obstructive chronic bronchitis without mention of acute exacerbation J418 Mixed simple and mucopurulent chronic bronchitis 49121 Obstructive chronic bronchitis with acute exacerbation J42 Unspecified chronic bronchitis J430 MacLeod's syndrome 4918 Other chronic bronchitis J431 Panlobular emphysema 4919 Unspecified chronic bronchitis J432 Centrilobular emphysema 4920 Emphysematous bleb J438 Other emphysema 4928 Other emphysema J439 Emphysema, unspecified 496 Chronic airway obstruction, not elsewhere classified J440 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease with acute lower respiratory infection J441 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease with acute exacerbation, unspecied J448 Other specified chronic obstructive pulmonary disease J449 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, unspecified Ever-hospitalised Stroke Ever-hospitalised stroke includes anyone who has had one of the diagnoses outlined in Table 8 since 1988. Table 8, Diagnoses codes used to define ever-hospitalised stroke ICD-9 codes ICD-10 codes 430 Subarachnoid hemorrhage G45 Transient cerebral ischaemic attacks and related syndromes 431 Intracerebral hemorrhage 432 Other and unspecified intracranial hemorrhage G46 Vascular syndromes of brain in cerebrovascular diseases I60 Subarachnoid haemorrhage 433 Occlusion and stenosis of precerebral arteries I61 Intracerebral haemorrhage 434 Occlusion of cerebral arteries I62 Other nontraumatic intracranial haemorrhage 435 Transient cerebral ischemia I63 Cerebral infarction 436 Acute but ill-defined cerebrovascular disease I64 Stroke, not specified as haemorrhage or infarction 437 Other and ill-defined cerebrovascular disease I65 Occlusion and stenosis of precerebral arteries, not resulting in cerebral infarction 438 Late effects of cerebrovascular disease I66 Occlusion and stenosis of cerebral arteries, not resulting in cerebral infarction I67 Other cerebrovascular diseases I68 Cerebrovascular disorders in diseases classified elsewhere I69 Sequelae of cerebrovascular disease Source: World Health Organization ICD-10 Version: 2010 http://apps.who.int/classifications/icd10/browse/2010/en; http://www.icd9data.com/ Heart Failure This is a New Zealand Health Tracker indicator. To meet the definition for heart failure a person has to have had a diagnosis of heart failure (ICD-10: I50, ICD-9: 428) since 1988. Diabetes This is a robust New Zealand Health Tracker indicator. This includes people who have either type 1 or type 2 diabetes as well as a small number of people with diagnoses where diabetes is coded to unspecified or other specified diabetes (not type 1, 2, or gestational). A person is counted as having showed an indication of diabetes type 1 or 2 if they meet at least one of the conditions specified below (from any data collection): 1) IC9-CMA diagnosis codes: 250, 6480; ICD-10-AM diagnosis codes: E10, E11, E13, E14, O240, 0241, O242, O243, O249 2) One or more outpatient attendances for services with the following purchase unit codes: M20006 (Diabetes education and management), M20007 (Diabetes – Fundus Screening), M20010 (High risk type I diabetes support), M20015 (High risk type I diabetes support for up to 18 year olds). 3) More than one dispensing of: insulin oral hypoglycaemics metformin where the person is not a female aged between 12 to 45 years. 4) Where the person is female and aged 12–45 years: more than one dispensing of metformin and one of the following outpatient attendances: M20004 (Diabetes 1st attendance), M20005 (Diabetes subsequent attendance), MAOR0106 (Diabetes management - Māori). 5) Laboratory claims: Four or more Hba1c tests undertaken for an individual during a two year period from 1 July 1996 to present, and one or more Albumin Creatinine Ratio tests during the same two year period. 6) National Needs Assessment and Service Coordination Information System (Socrates): One or more diagnoses of insulin or non-insulin dependent diabetes (2801) A person is not counted as having type 1 or type 2 diabetes as at a particular point in time if one of the above criteria is first present in an episode of documented gestational diabetes events, though diabetes type 2 can occur after a documented episode of gestational diabetes. If someone has one or two type I diagnoses and none for type II, no oral hypoglycaemic / metformin dispensings, and no insulin dispensings then they are specifically excluded (because there isn't evidence of insulin treatment for someone with a type I diagnosis - possible coding error). Asthma This is a New Zealand health Tracker indicator that is still in development. A person is counted as having shown an indication of asthma if they have one of the diagnosis codes specified below or two or more dispensings from the Pharmaceutical Collection for asthma preventer within three years (as the condition is reversible). People identified as having COPD (see above) are excluded from this indicator. ICD 8 & 9 codes: 493 (Asthma); ICD9CMA codes: 49300 (Extrinsic asthma without mention of status asthmaticus), 49301 (Extrinsic asthma with status asthmaticus), 49310 (Intrinsic asthma without mention of status asthmaticus), 49311 (Intrinsic asthma with status asthmaticus), 49320 (Chronic obstructive asthma, without mention of status asthmaticus), 49321 (Chronic obstructive asthma, with status asthmaticus), 49390 (Asthma, unspecified, without mention of status asthmaticus), 49391 (Asthma, unspecified, with status asthmaticus). ICD 10 codes: J450 (Predominantly allergic asthma), J451 (Nonallergic asthma), J458 (Mixed asthma), J459 (Asthma, unspecified), J46 (Status asthmaticus). Pharmaceuticals: Beclomethasone Diproprionate (excluding allergy prophylactics); Budesonide (excluding antidiarrhoeals and allergy prophylactics); Fluticasone; Budesonide w/ Eformoterol; Eformoterol Fumarate; Salmeterol; Fluticasone w/ Salmeterol. Gout This is a robust New Zealand Health Tracker indicator. A person is counted as having shown an indication of gout if they have had a diagnosis of ICD-10 code M10 or ICD-9 code 274, or they have been dispensed colchicine, or allopurinol. Dispensing of Allopurinol alone is only taken as an indication of gout if there is no diagnosis of malignant neoplasms of lymphoid, haematopoietic and related tissues (ICD-10 codes C81-C96) recorded in either the NZCR or NMDS in the 24 months before the period end date. Anxiety or Mood disorder This is a New Zealand Health Tracker indicator which is classified as ‘partial capture’. There are likely to be people with an anxiety or mood disorder who are untreated, or treated via nonpharmaceutical methods privately. A person is counted as having shown an indication of a mood disorder if they have one of the codes specified below from the NMDS, Programme for the Integration of Mental Health Data (PRIMHD), Socrates, or Pharmaceutical collections, or three of the tests specified for Laboratory Claims within the past twelve months: ICD-10_AM diagnosis codes: F30-F39 Mood (affective) disorders ICD 9 CM(A) diagnosis codes: 296 Affective psychoses; 3004 Neurotic depression; 30113 Cyclothymic disorder; 311 Depressive disorder, not elsewhere classified DSMIV diagnosis codes: 296 Mood disorders; 3004 Dysthymic Disorder; 30113 Cyclothymic Disorder; 311 Depressive Disorder NOS Pharmaceuticals: amoxapine, dothiepin hydrochloride, doxepin hydrochloride, lithium carbonate, mianserin hydrochloride, mirtazapine, nefazodone, phenelzine sulphate, tranylcypromine sulphate, trimipramine maleate. Laboratory Claims Collection: Three or more tests for Lithium in the 12 month period. Socrates (Disability): Tier 2 diagnosis code: 1303 Bipolar disorder (manic depression); 1304 Depression. Other diagnosis free text: BIPOLAR', 'DEPRESSION', 'MOOD DISORDER'. The free text diagnosis was not used if the field also contained 'POSSIBLE', 'QUERY', 'SOME', 'SYMPTOMS'. A person is counted as having shown an indication of an anxiety disorder if they have one of the codes specified below (from any data collection) within the past 12 months: ICD-10-AM diagnosis codes: F400 - F48; ICD 9 CM-A diagnosis codes: 30000 - 30015, 30020 3003, 3005 - 3009, 3060 - 30650, 30652 - 3069, 30780, 30789, 3080 - 3091, 30922 - 30982, 30989, 3099; ICD 9 diagnosis codes: 3000-3003, 3005-3009, 306,3078, 3080-3094,3099. DSMIV diagnosis codes: 30000-30015, 30021 - 3003, 3006 - 3009, 30780, 30789, 3083, 3090, 30924 - 3099. Pharmaceuticals: bromazepam, buspirone hydrochloride, meprobamate. Socrates (Disability): Tier 2 diagnosis code: 1302 Anxiety disorder. Other diagnosis free text: ANXIETY DISORDER', 'PTSD', 'OCD', 'OBSESSIVE COMPULSIVE', 'POST TRAUMATIC STRESS', 'PHOBIA'. The free text diagnosis was not used if the field also contained 'POSSIBLE', 'QUERY', 'SOME', 'SYMPTOMS'. A person was included as having an indication of a mood or anxiety disorder if they fitted either the mood or anxiety disorder definitions given above, or if they had been dispensed one of the following pharmaceuticals in the past twelve months: Alprazolam, citalopram hydrobromide, escitalopram, maprotiline hydrochloride, moclobemide, sertraline, sertraline Hydrochloride, venlafaxine. If the person had shown an indication of dementia during the same period, a dispensing of citalopram alone was not taken as an indication of mood / anxiety disorder (though note the person may still be picked up through any of the other inclusion criteria for mood / anxiety disorder). Dementia This New Zealand Health Tracker indicator is ‘in development’, previous work has found that this counts approximately one-third of the estimated cases. While this is limited it was decided that this indicator should still be included due to the burden it is having upon our ageing population. A person is counted as having shown an indication of dementia if they have one of the codes specified below (from any data collection): ICD10 diagnosis codes: F000 - F03, G30; ICD 9 CM diagnosis codes: 2900 - 2909, 2941, 3310; ICD 9 diagnosis codes: 290, 2941, 3310. DSMIV diagnosis codes: 2900 - 29043, 2941, 2948. Pharmaceutical Collection: Donepezil hydrochloride, rivastigmine. Socrates (Disability): Tier 2 diagnosis code: 1405 Vascular dementia, 1499 Other dementia. Other diagnosis free text: ‘DEMENTIA’. The free text diagnosis was not used if the field also contained 'POSSIBLE', 'QUERY', 'SOME', 'SYMPTOMS'. Appendix 3: IHD Horizon Scan Reading the table from left to right: Population describes the population for which the technology is suggested Efficacy / effectiveness - a quick assessment of whether an intervention is efficacious/effective, ineffective, or of questionable effectiveness. This is a quick judgment based on the literature referenced, and is subject to change based on proper assessment. Volume is the number of patients the intervention may be used for. We have conducted quick queries using the national minimum data set to give rough numbers of patients for some common procedures. Mostly, however, it is difficult to define volume with any degree of certainty and hence estimates are not provided for most technologies. Our rough cost estimates either come from international literature (converted to New Zealand dollars) or from Ministry of Health datasets. CEA is cost-effectiveness analysis; we have not conducted any CEA ourselves. Instead we present a count of CEA studies from the Centre for Reviews and Dissemination NHS EED database. Growth figures are rough estimates derived from Ministry of Health data sets, or international literature. Evidence: Low = No RCT in CENTRAL database (or otherwise evident), Moderate = at least 1 RCT in CENTRAL (or known by other means), High = at least one Cochrane Systematic Review. Other reviews such as DARE systematic reviews or NICE reviews will be listed as such. Diagnostic Evidence: Low = No randomised trial in CENTRAL (or otherwise evident), Moderate = at least 1 Randomised trial in CENTRAL (or known by other means), High = at least 2 randomised trials in CENTRAL. Value of assessment - a subjective valuation accounting for the materiality (cost and health impact) of the option, feasibility of assessment (is there sufficient evidence to evaluate), and whether others were already working on it. Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment $NZ Intervention Service Smoking cessation(38-43) Multiple interventions – multiple interventions. Reccomended throughout pathway of care. Smokers Effective High Multi-pronged approach in New Zealand Moderate Risk assessment(38) Risk assessment for most asymptomatic men is recommended from the age of General pop Effective NZGG Optimality current practice unclear Moderate 45 (or from the age of 35 if they have risk factors). Risk assessment for most of Cochrane review underway (44) asymptomatic women is recommended from the age of 55 (or from the age of 45 if they have risk factors). • Mäori should be assessed for cardiovascular risk 10 years earlier than non-Mäori. There is an urgent need to focus intervention programmes on Mäori, who bear the greatest burden of cardiovascular disease in New Zealand. The ‘outcome gap’ between Mäori and non-Mäori is widening. Multiple risk factor interventions for primary prevention of coronary heart disease(45) Increased consumption of fruit and vegetables for the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases(46) Multiple risk factor interventions using counselling and educational methods assumed to be efficacious and costeffective in reducing coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality and morbidity and that they should be expanded. General population Interventions using counselling and education aimed at behaviour change do not reduce total or CHD mortality or clinical events in general populations but may be effective in reducing mortality in high-risk hypertensive and diabetic populations. Evidence suggests that health promotion interventions have limited use in general populations. High Multiple programmes Moderate General population There are very few studies to date examining provision of, or advice to increase the consumption of, fruit and vegetables in the absence of additional dietary interventions or other lifestyle interventions for the primary prevention of CVD. The limited evidence suggests advice to increase fruit and vegetables as a single intervention has favourable effects on CVD risk factors but more trials are needed to confirm this. High Multiple programmes Low Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment $NZ Intervention Service Reduced or modified dietary fat for preventing cardiovascular disease(47) Reduction and modification of dietary fats have differing effects on cardiovascular risk factors (such as serum cholesterol), but their effects on important health outcomes are less clear. General population There is a small but potentially important reduction in cardiovascular risk on modification of dietary fat, but not reduction of total fat, in long term trials. High Low glycaemic index diets for coronary heart disease.(48) The glycaemic index (GI) is a physiological measure of the ability of a carbohydrate to affect blood glucose. Interest is growing in the low GI carbohydrate concept for the clinical management of people at risk of, or with established coronary heart disease. People at risk of IHD (primary prevention) and with IHD (secondary prevention There is no evidence from RCTs to show an effect of low GI diets on coronary heart disease. The combined evidence from the studies suggests that any beneficial effect of low glycaemic index diets on CHD and its risk factors is small. High Wholegrain cereals for coronary heart disease(49) There is increasing evidence from observational studies that wholegrains can have a beneficial effect on risk factors for coronary heart disease (CHD). General population There is a need for welldesigned, adequately powered, longer term randomised controlled studies in this area. High Low Dietary advice given by a dietitian versus other health professional or self-help resources to reduce blood cholesterol(50) The average level of blood cholesterol is an important determinant of the risk of coronary heart disease. Blood cholesterol can be reduced by dietary means. Although dietitians are trained to provide dietary advice, for practical reasons it may be given by other health professionals or using self-help resources. People at risk of IHD Dietitians were better than doctors at lowering blood cholesterol in the short to medium term, but there was no evidence that they were better than self-help resources. There was no evidence that dietitians provided better outcomes than nurses. High Low MRA(51) Do not use magnetic resonance (MR) coronary angiography for diagnosing stable angina. Patients angina Ineffective for patient group Ultrafast single-photon emission computer tomography (SPECT)(52) Multiple technologies employing more sophisticated ultrafast cameras and software to produce better resolution of the heart more quickly with a lower dose of tracer Patients with IHD with stable Reportedly safe and effective In patients: 49 people 2010-12 (10 of whom had be diagnosed with IHD) 4 subsequently diagnosed with IHD 18 studies in NHS EED 19962013 – appear to be assessing older SPECT technologies. Cardiovascular magnetic Resonance imaging found to be more costeffective in diagnosing CHD New Low Unclear (NICE) Optimality current practice unclear Unclear – many non-randomised studies Unclear Low of High High Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment One DARE systematic review Unlikely to be in use High $NZ Intervention Service than SPECT (53) Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance (CMR)(54) For the diagnosis of coronary heart disease (CHD) as an alternative to other imaging modalities such as non‐ invasive single‐photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) and invasive X‐ray angiography. Patients suspected of IHD Reportedly effective $1.5-2.5 million per CMR machine 1 hit in NHS EED. CEA Ontario Canada: SPECT dominated CMR with lower costs and more QALYs. And Stress echocardiography dominates both SPECT and CMR for stable chest pain, but only CMR is dominated for acute chest pain. Japanese CEA found the costeffectiveness of SPECT and CMR similar. CT angiography(55) The accuracy of diagnosing coronary artery stenosis was the highest in CTCA, followed by myocardial SPECT and stress ECG. CEA between CTCA and myocardial SPECT indicated that CTCA was the cost-effective test Delayed enhancement MRI(56, 57) Delayed enhancement magnetic resonance imaging (DE-MRI) aims to assess cardiac viability in patients who have experienced an acute myocardial infarction. Patients with MI DE-MRI correlates and agrees well with both PET and SPECT in the detection of scar tissue and cardiac viability Transmyocardial laser revascularisation(58, 59) Transmyocardial laser revascularisation (TMLR) for refractory angina pectoris should not be used IHD patients Ineffective for patient group Point of care Ultrasonography (60) Vscan - Miniaturisation of current ultrasound technology, use at bedside. Heart failure, acute coronary syndrome? Unknown Implantable monitor for MI(60) Telemedicine - An implantable cardiac device intended to detect rapid ST segment changes through EKG to alert patients through a series of vibration, Patients with MI Unknown 10 chest Korean study: Patients pain cardiac detecting with Korean study: CT coronary angiography for the diagnosis of Ischaemic heart disease in patients with chest pain Low Moderate Unknown High (NICE) Not used in New Zealand according to NMDS Low New Low Can purchase in New Zealand Moderate New Low Unlikely to be in use Low DE-MRI can be conducted on a conventional MRI scanner $5,00010 Price as advertised on anunico, March 2014: http://www.anunico.co.nz/search/cat-0/ge+vscan+ultrasound+scanner+for+sell+price+5+000 High Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment No hits in NHS EED New Moderate Not in use Low New Low Unlikely to be in use Low Moderate Unknown Moderate $NZ Intervention Service sounds and visual warnings. Point of care genetic testing to determine antiplatelet regimen after PCI(61, 62) Patients who carry a loss-of-function allele CYP2C19*2 are at increased risk of major adverse CVD events if treated with clopidogral (Plavix). Where this is the case patients should be treated with Prasugrel instead. Patients undergoing PCI who will be placed on dual antiplatelet therapy Effective NZ CEA: ICER $9,000 per QALY(62) The Spartan RX CYP2C19 test may identify such patients in less than an hour without need for laboratory tests. U.S. CEA: cost saving for patients with Acute coronary syndrome undergoing PCI, compared with empiric approaches to treatment(63) The frequency of the *2 allele varies by ethnicity and the Māoris, Asians and Pacific Islanders of New Zealand have a relatively high incidence(62). Over 15 months, total costs were $18 lower with a gain of 0.004 QALY in the genotype-guided strategy compared with empiric clopidogrel, and $899 lower with a gain of 0.0005 QALY compared with empiric prasugrel. KIF6 p.Trp719Arg genetic testing for IHD(64) Genetic screening for familial hypercholesterolaemia(65, 66) The current body of evidence shows imprecise, and in some cases, conflicting results Familial hypercholesterolaemia one of the most common genetic disorders, affecting 1 in 500 individuals worldwide. Genetic screening of FH is achieved by the molecular identification of mutations within the LDLR or apoB gene. People suspected of Familial hypercholesterolaemia FH appears to be efficacious in increasing the proportion of FH patients receiving adequate medical treatment. But the ability of current genetic testing techniques to identify mutations within the LDLR gene is somewhat of a concern (20% to 80% mutation detection rate in clinically diagnosed FH patients), especially if they are utilised to identify index UK costs: regular screening FH using the clinical criteria ranged from $260 (cascade screening) to 19,000(universal screening). genetic confirmation ranged from $3,700 (cascade screening) to $140,000(universal Dutch / USA ICER: $11,000 – $50,000 per QALY compared with conventional clinical diagnosis Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment Non-Cochrane Meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials. Was offered privately through Medtel NZ Ltd in 2008 High $NZ Intervention cases. Microvolt t-wave alternans (MTWA) test (67) A prognostic tool used to risk stratify patients who are suitable for implantation with an ICD, and in whom the defibrillator will be required to discharge. Patients suggested for ICD Service screening) A meta-analysis and a number of large prospective studies have demonstrated the effectiveness of MTWA testing in predicting future arrhythmic events across a variety of patient populations. $40,000 $50,000 HearTwave® II Cardiac Diagnostic System in NZ in 2009 $400 per test $55,000 net PA NHS EED 2 hits. Potentially cost saving in terms of reducing ICD use. USA CEA: Risk stratification of patients for suitability of ICD implant improve ICD ICER from 110,000 per QALY to 60,000 per QALY. The MTWA test measures small beatto-beat fluctuations in the t-wave not detectable through routine ECG and therefore requires specialised sensors combined with computer algorithms to evaluate results. A Canadian CEA found only marginal improvements in ICD costeffectiveness using the test Autologous progenitor cell treatment for IHD(68) Progenitor cell treatment is a promising therapy with the potential to benefit a large population of patients with Ischaemic heart disease Patients with IHD Cochrane review found high degree of heterogeneity amoung RCTs but moderate improvement in global heart function is significant and sustained long-term. (68). But there is no evidence of reduced mortality. New High Unknown but unlikely Moderate Combination intracardiac echocardiography and ultrasound system (ICE)(52) ICE uses a miniaturized transducer mounted on a wire, or catheter that is advanced inside the heart during a catheter ablation procedure. The system provides clear pictures of the cardiac anatomy and of the effects of ablation treatment in real-time Patients undergoing cardiac ablation ? Reportedly efficacious New Low Unlikely to be in use Low Ultrasound cardiac output monitor for patients requiring haemodynamic monitoring(69) The USCOM device is a non-invasive, ultrasound cardiac output monitor designed to measure and record changes in the haemodynamic status of critically ill patients transcutaneously. The USCOM utilises continuous-wave Doppler ultrasound and can measure both left and right cardiac output. Patients requiring haemodynamic monitoring USCOM device appears to be safe and efficacious for the measurement of cardiac output in critically ill patients. New Low Unknown Moderate safe and $40-45,000 There are no recurring costs, such as disposable consumables, apart from standard ultrasound Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Low Optimality current practice unclear Value of assessment $NZ Intervention Service conducting gel. Echocardiograms(70) Avoid using stress echocardiograms on asymptomatic patients who meet “low risk” scoring criteria for coronary disease Patients at low risk of coronary disease Ineffective for patient group ablation A minimally invasive radiofrequency ablation technology that isolates a target section of the epicardium employing a vacuum-assisted stabilization system. Patients arrhythmias with Reportedly efficacious Elective ablation(71) cardiac Identified in the UK as an effective intervention that should be considered only after cost-effective alternative alternatives have been tried. Patients arrhythmias with Not cost-effective in patient group Use of Myocardial Perfusion Imaging in the Diagnosis of Acute Coronary Syndrome Myocardial Perfusion Imaging is used in the diagnosis of IHD. Here the technology is used in a more acute setting. Patients presenting with acute symptoms, without ECG changes of MI, and at intermediate risk of IHD Similar sensitivity to Troponin, less specificity. Reduced hospital admissions? Use of nuclear imaging techniques for diagnosis of heart failure Radionuclide ventriculography myocardial perfusion scintigraphy Diagnosis of heart failure with nondiagnostic echocardiogram Not first line investigation(74, Elecsys® proBNP Immunoassay: For the diagnosis of congestive heart failure(76). Tests for the diagnosis of congestive heart failure. Patients suspected to have heart failure Unclear effectiveness Point of care testing for ACS-troponin T, heart failure pro-BNP (77, 78) Delivery of trop T and pro BNP at patient side and access to faster result – miniaturised tests Risk of IHD and Heart failure Systematic review of early POC moderate PPV/NPV for ACS including multi-test (79) and H FABP(80) Varied reduction in time attending ED and limited impact on inpatient resources(81, 82) POC for IHD(84) Moderate Low Unlikely to be in use Moderate Low Optimality current practice unclear of Moderate Choosing Wisely: American Society of Echocardiography Epicardial system(52) and of safe New and (Corydon List repeated in London Health Observatory “Save to Invest”) Patients at risk of IHD $1200 75) There is insufficient evidence to support that POC cholesterol testing can replace conventional laboratory testing for diagnosis of CHD, monitoring response to therapy, or that it will result in overall comparable clinical effectiveness. 12 Hospital labs NZ (out of hours/back up) for Troponin (83) Cost per assay $40 4 studies in NHS EED Moderate (72, 73) In use – scope change proposed Moderate 1 study in NHS EED Sourced guidelines In use Low Moderate Unclear Moderate Moderate Restricted use Moderate Restricted use Moderate 4 studies in NHS EED Stable 200711. Current usage for out of hours. Systematic review – not Cochrane Systematic review in DARE Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment new Low epidemiological studies Not in use for this role Moderate $NZ Biomarkers to improve CVD risk prediction(85, 86) (87) Addition of CRP/ troponin T , BNP to traditional risk factors for CVD risk assessment Selected population for CVD risk assessment IHD risk prediction Nil Intervention Service CRP-$6 Not more than currently as would be additional tests to current procedure BNP $80 Troponin $12 Cystatin $80 Cardiovascular risk assessment in primary care (88). Risk factors considered Included: Ankle-brachial index, C-reactive protein, Carotid intima media thickness, Electron beam computed tomography, Fasting glucose, Homocysteine, Lipoprotein(a), Periodontal disease, White blood cell count. CVD testing health target C General population Analysis indicates that Creactive protein measurement could play an important role in improving the prediction of CHD risk in a large segment of the US male population with 10– 20%10-year risk of first CHD events. U.S. Preventive Services Task Force systematic review of epidemiological studies NZ CVD risk assessment tool developed in 2003. Guideline recommended against the use of CRP for screening Moderate Evidence to 2009 Screening exercise electrocardiogram testing in individuals who are asymptomatic and at low risk for coronary heart disease (89) Do not obtain screening exercise electrocardiogram testing in individuals who are asymptomatic and at low risk for coronary heart disease General Population Ineffective for patient group Choosing Wisely recommendation from the American College of Physicians Optimality current practice unclear of Moderate Chest x-ray for acute coronary syndrome(90) In emergency patients suspected of acute coronary syndrome but without other symptoms, signs or pathology, chest x-ray gave low yield of unexpected pathology and its need is questionable in this group. ED patients suspected of acute coronary syndrome but without other symptoms, signs or pathology Ineffective for patient group Low Optimality current practice unclear of Moderate Exercise Resting and exercise ECGs are of limited incremental value, more effective risk assessment is needed in ambulatory suspected angina patients Patients ECG undergoing Ineffective for patient group Low Optimality current practice unclear of Moderate Exercise tolerance testing can provide risk information but its usefulness for asymptomatic patients is unclear(92). Asymptomatic patients with suspected angina Ineffective for patient group Systematic review for the technical support for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force Optimality current practice unclear of Moderate Do not use exercise electrocardiogram (ECG) to diagnose or exclude stable angina for people without known coronary artery disease Patients angina Ineffective for patient group (NICE) Optimality current practice unclear of Moderate electrocardiogram (ECG) for Angina ECG(51) (51, 91) with stable Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment $NZ Intervention Troponin testing for elevation of heart attack / heart injury Introduction of a Troponin Testing Algorithm in Canada improved care by reducing patients stay and costs without adversely affecting patient outcomes(93). Service Patients suspected of MI Ineffective for patient group Low Optimality current practice unclear Patients subject Troponin testing Moving from routine troponin to high sensitivity troponin tests has the advantage of earlier diagnosis, but has the disadvantage of increased uncertainty as to whether raised troponin levels are due to MI or other conditions. Low In use Ineffective for patient group Low Optimality current practice unclear of High Optimality current practice unclear of High Optimality current practice unclear of High Optimality current practice unclear of Moderate Optimality current practice of High of High Troponin I provides little additional benefit to ECG in identifying patients with syncope due to AMI in the ED. Troponin I should not be used to rule out AMI in patients presenting with syncope(94). High sensitivity troponin testing(95) Stress testing(96) Do not perform routine annual stress testing after artery revascularization to Patients who have undergone revascularisation High Choosing Wisely: Society of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Stress Cardiac Imaging or advanced non-invasive imaging(97) Do not perform stress cardiac imaging or advanced non-invasive imaging in the initial evaluation of patients without cardiac symptoms unless high-risk makers are present General population Do not perform annual stress cardiac imaging or advanced non-invasive imaging as part of routine follow-up in asymptomatic patients. General population Ineffective for patient group Low Choosing Wisely: American College of Cardiology Ineffective for patient group Low Choosing Wisely: American College of Cardiology Diagnostic tests (98) Computed Tomography Non-invasive diagnostic tests for patients with a pre-test probability of coronary disease that is above 90% or below 10% should be discontinued as they add little or nothing to diagnostic precision General population Don’t use coronary artery calcium scoring for patients with known coronary artery disease (including Patients with IHD Ineffective for patient group Low BMJ opinion Ineffective for patient group Low Expert Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment $NZ Intervention Service stents and bypass grafts). New Generation Computed Tomography(99, 100) unclear Don’t order coronary artery calcium scoring for screening purposes on low risk asymptomatic individuals except for those with a family history of premature coronary artery disease. Low risk IHD patients Don’t routinely order coronary computed tomography angiography for screening asymptomatic individuals. General population Don’t use coronary computed tomography angiography in high risk emergency department patients presenting with acute chest pain. Patients with chest pain Multiple CT technologies - using Discovery CT750 HD (GE Healthcare), Brilliance iCT (Philips Healthcare), Somatom Definition Flash (Siemens Healthcare) or Aquilion ONE (Toshiba Medical Systems) Patients with IHD Choosing Wisely: Society of Cardiovascular Computed Tomography acute NGCCT may be sufficiently accurate to diagnose clinically significant IHD in some or all difficult-to-image patient groups. 64 slice CT scanners with cardiac capabilities cost about $1.5 million(100) May be cost saving for patients with known CAD subject to invasive coronary angiography compared with invasive coronary angiography alone. DARE Systematic Review Unknown High Low Unclear Low High 2004 review of Cardiac rehab found a need improve referral High For radiation exposure only, the ICER for NGCCT compared with 64-slice CT in congenital heart disease ranged from £521,000 for the youngest patients to £90,000 for adults. WHITE BLOOD CELL COUNT TESTING TO PREDICT CORONARY ARTERY DISEASE(101) Cardiac (102-104) rehabilitation Compared with usual care, in medium to longer-term follow-up (12 or more months) exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation was found to be effective in reducing overall and cardiovascular People at risk of IHD Unclear: A number of studies reported a correlation between WBC and coronary artery inflammation, however there are many markers currently available and in use for the prediction of coronary artery disease. Patients with IHD Effective About $20 per test 2001: $80.45 per purchase unit, national spend $1.34 million. Wide 3 Hits NHS EED Irish Study - Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment $NZ Intervention Service variation(105) mortality in patients with CHD, and appeared to reduce the risk of hospital admissions in the shorter term (<12 months follow-up). ICER: $12,500 per life year gained (106). processes, promotion, provision, delivery and monitoring of cardiac rehabilitation services (108). UK Study – ICER: $4,000 per life year gained (107) . Heart Foundation sponsoring research into cardiac rehabilitation in New Zealand currently. NHC executive in contact with researcher Home versus centrebased cardiac rehabilitation (109, 110) Home- and centre-based cardiac rehabilitation appear to be equally effective in improving the clinical and health-related quality of life outcomes in acute MI and revascularisation patients. Patients with IHD Effective High High Psychological interventions for coronary heart disease (111) Psychological treatments appear effective in treating psychological symptoms of CHD patients. Patients with IHD Effective High Optimality current practice unclear of Moderate Psychological interventions for symptomatic management of nonspecific chest pain in patients (112)with normal coronary anatomy Recurrent chest pain in the absence of coronary artery disease is a common problem that sometimes leads to excess use of medical care. Patients with nonspecific chest pain A modest to moderate benefit for psychological interventions, particularly those using a cognitivebehavioural framework, which was largely restricted to the first three months after the intervention High Optimality current practice unclear of Moderate Service organisation for the secondary prevention of ischaemic heart disease in primary care(113) While the benefits of individual medical and lifestyle interventions is established, the effectiveness of interventions which seek to improve the way secondary preventive care is delivered in primary care or community settings is less so. Patients with IHD There is weak evidence that regular planned recall of patients for appointments, structured monitoring of risk factors and prescribing, and education for patients can be effective in increasing the proportions of patients within target levels for cholesterol control and blood pressure. High Various Yoga for secondary prevention of coronary heart disease(114) Yoga has been regarded as a kind of physical activity as well as stress management strategy. Growing evidence suggests the beneficial Patients with IHD The effectiveness of yoga for secondary prevention in CHD remains uncertain. Large RCTs of high quality High High Low Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence New Various trials NZ Status Value of assessment $NZ Intervention effects of yoga on various ailments. Service are needed. New Stents(52) New drug-eluting, bioresorbable, selfapposing, self-expanding stents Patients with coronary occlusion Unknown Stents(115, 116) There is no evidence to suggest that primary stenting reduces mortality when compared to balloon angioplasty Patients with coronary occlusion Ineffective for patient group High Optimality current practice unclear of Low Stents(97) Do not perform stenting of non-culprit lesions during percutaneous coronary intervention for uncomplicated haemodynamically stable ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. Patients with coronary occlusion Ineffective for patient group Low Optimality current practice unclear of Low Drug-eluting stents(117) There is no evidence of significant effect for drug eluting stents, versus bare metal stents, on rates of death MI or thrombosis Patients with coronary occlusion Ineffective for patient group High Optimality current practice unclear of Low Angioplasty versus stenting for subclavian artery stenosis(118) There is currently insufficient evidence to determine whether stenting is more effective than angioplasty alone for stenosis of the subclavian artery. Patients subclavian stenosis Ineffective for patient group High Optimality current practice unclear of Low Percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty with stents versus coronary artery bypass grafting for people with stable angina or acute coronary syndromes(119) CABG is associated with reduced rates of major adverse cardiac events compared with PCI, mostly driven by reduced repeat revascularisation. Patients with stable angina or acute coronary syndromes CABG appears to be more effective than PCI for people with stable angina or acute coronary syndromes High Optimality current practice unclear. of Moderate Patients undergoing angioplasty Reportedly efficacious compared with plain balloons in reducing mortality but no significant difference compared with drug eluting stents (121) Moderate Unlikely to be used Low - Drug eluting balloons in angioplasty(120) Low clinical Choosing Wisely: American College of Cardiology with artery With a DARE systematic review Early invasive versus conservative strategies for unstable angina and non-ST elevation myocardial infarction in the stent era. (122) Available data suggest that an invasive strategy (early stent or CABG) may be particularly useful in those at high risk for recurrent events. Patients with coronary occlusion and non-ST elevation myocardial infarction Effective High Optimality current practice unclear of Low Coronary revascularisation (123) Coronary revascularisation should not be routinely considered in patients with heart failure due to systolic left ventricular impairment, unless they have refractory angina Patients with heart failure due to systolic left ventricular impairment, Ineffective for patient group NICE Optimality current practice unclear of High Robotic assisted totally endoscopic coronary artery bypass The da Vinci telemanipulation robotic system enables totally endoscopic Patients with IHD Appears safe and efficacious Low Unlikely $2 million $550K costs annual Low Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment High Undertaken in New Zealand High Low Unknown – limited use in Australia Moderate $NZ Intervention surgery(124) CABG Bariatric surgery(38) To be used when all other measures have failed Microbial sealant to reduce surgical site infections following coronary artery bypass graft(125) Obese people Effective Patients CABG Reportedly safe and possibly efficacious , but unclear if significant reductions in infections undergoing Service $35 per application (25cm *25cm) Fast-track interventions (low-dose opioid based general anaesthesia and early tracheal extubation) are safe in adults undergoing cardiac surgery(126) Fast-track interventions reduced the time to extubation and shortened the length of stay in the intensive care unit, but did not reduce the length of stay in the hospital. Patients undergoing cardiac surgery Effective High Optimality current practice unclear of Moderate Cardiopulmonary bypass during CABG(127, 128) Cardiopulmonary bypass found not to improve a 12 month primary composite measure compared with a beating heart (off-pump) technique. The composite outcome included death, myocardial infarction, stroke, or new renal failure requiring dialysis Patients undergoing heart surgery Ineffective for patient group Moderate Optimality current practice unclear of High Minimally invasive cardiopulmonary bypass system (mini-CPB system)(129) An alternative to off-pump and conventional cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) (where blood flow and oxygen circulation are maintained while the heart is stopped for a period of time), using a minimally invasive cardiopulmonary bypass system to avoid complications of CPB. Mini-CPB systems include: a closed circuit, centrifugal pump, hollow-fibre oxygenator, biocompatible surfaces, reduced membrane surface area, separation of the pericardial shed blood suction and reduced priming volume Patients undergoing heart surgery mini-CPB appears to present a viable alternative to conventional CPB Moderate Unknown Fractional flow reserveguided stenting(52) FFR is a physiological index that determines the severity of blood flow blockages in the coronary arteries and is measured using a Pressure Wire technology. The pressure wire is placed over the lesion of interest inducing a state of maximal blood flow, to enable the physician to determine if the narrowing is tight enough to cause ischemia. FFR measurement may help better identify which specific lesion or lesions are responsible for a patient’s ischemia. Patients with coronary occlusion Reportedly efficacious Moderate Optimality current practice unclear 2 studies in NHS EED (older technologies) More recent study Identified outside EED (130) – PCI guided by FFR compared with optimal medical therapy with stable angina – ICER $45,000 per New and existing Moderate of Moderate Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment New Low Not in use as of 2012(131) Low New Low Unlikely to be in use Low High Optimality current practice unclear High New Low Unlikely to be in use Moderate Unclear Low Unknown Moderate High Unknown Moderate Unknown Moderate $NZ Intervention Service QALY Guided medical positioning system(52) MediGuide – a guided medical positioning system enabling clear navigation for intra-cardiac devices Patients requiring cardiac catheterisation and interventional cardiology procedures Unkown Robotic assisted coronary angioplasty(52) Robotic angioplasty allows physicians to work away from the patient, protecting them from radiation during angioplasty Patients with coronary occlusion Unknown Carotid endarterectomy for carotid stenosis in patients selected for coronary artery bypass graft surgery (133) Cochrane review found no evidence from RCTs by which to assess the benefits and risks of prophylactic carotid surgery before CABG surgery Patients undergoing prophylactic carotid surgery before CABG surgery Ineffective for patient group Extracorporeal shockwave myocardial revascularisation (ESMR)(52) Cardiospec – a non-invasive technology using a shock wave generator designed to deliver lowintensity, focused shock waves to preselected locations in the patient heart. The shock waves are reported to increase local blood flow reducing angina symptoms not treatable by conventional revascularization methods. Patients with Angina Early evidence suggests safe and efficacious but small studies(134) TherOx® AO System(135) The TherOx® AO System is a form of hyberbaric oxygen therapy. The System controls Cartridge operation, wherein SSO2 solution is created and mixed with the patient’s blood to create SuperOxygenated blood for delivery to the coronary arteries. The SSO2 Therapy procedure is a one-time, 90minute infusion that is initiated in the cardiac catheterization lab Patients after MI May be safe and efficacious for subgroup of patients after MI Hypothermia for neuroprotection in adults after cardiopulmonary resuscitation(136). Good neurologic outcome after cardiac arrest is hard to achieve. Interventions during the resuscitation phase and treatment within the first hours after the event are critical. Experimental evidence suggests that therapeutic hypothermia is beneficial Patients who have had a cardiac arrest Conventional cooling methods to induce mild therapeutic hypothermia seem to improve survival and neurologic outcome after cardiac arrest. Hypothermia to reduce neurological damage following coronary artery Coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG) may be life-saving, but known side effects include neurological damage and cognitive impairment. The Patients CABG There is insufficient data to date to draw any conclusions about the use of mild undergoing Price specifics are unavailable but similar robotic platforms, such as remote catheter navigation, cost upwards of $2 million.(132) $42,500 $2,500 disposable per patient of Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment $NZ Intervention Service bypass surgery(137) temperature used during cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) may be important with regard to these adverse outcomes, where hypothermia is used as a means of neuroprotection Hyperbaric oxygen therapy for acute coronary syndrome(138) Acute coronary syndrome (ACS), includes acute myocardial infarction and unstable angina, is common and may prove fatal.. After Hyperbaric oxygen therapy (HBOT) may improve oxygen supply to the threatened heart and may reduce the volume of heart muscle that perishes. The addition of HBOT to standard treatment may reduce death rate and other major adverse outcomes Patients with Acute coronary syndrome There is some evidence from small trials to suggest that HBOT is associated with a reduction in the risk of death, the volume of damaged muscle, the risk of MACE and time to relief from ischaemic pain. However, as evidence base is limited The routine application of HBOT to these patients cannot be justified. High Unknown Moderate Oxygen therapy for acute myocardial infarction(139) Oxygen is widely used in people with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) although it has been suggested it may do more harm than good. Patients having had a an acute myocardial infarction There is no conclusive evidence from randomised controlled trials to support the routine use of inhaled oxygen in people with AMI. High Unknown High Primary angioplasty versus intravenous thrombolysis for acute myocardial infarction(140) Intravenous thrombolytic therapy is the standard care for patients with acute myocardial infarction, based upon its widespread availability and ability to reduce patient mortality well demonstrated in randomised trials. Despite its proven efficacy, thrombolytic therapy has limitations. Many patients are ineligible for treatment with thrombolytics. Of those given thrombolytic therapy, 10 to 15 percent have persistent occlusion or reocclusion of the infarct-related artery. Consequently, primary angioplasty (primary PTCA) has been advocated as a better treatment of myocardial infarction Patients having had a an acute myocardial infarction Angioplasty provides a shortterm clinical advantage over thrombolysis which may not be sustained. Primary angioplasty when available promptly at experienced centres, may be considered the preferred strategy for myocardial reperfusion. In most situations, however, optimal thrombolytic therapy should still be regarded as an excellent reperfusion strategy. High Unknown High Intra-aortic balloon pump counterpulsation (IABP) for myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock(141) Intra-aortic balloon pump counterpulsation (IABP) is currently the most commonly used mechanical assist device for patients with cardiogenic shock due to acute myocardial infarction. Although there is only limited evidence by randomised controlled trials, the current guidelines of the American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology and the European Society of Cardiology strongly recommend the use of the intra-aortic balloon counterpulsation in patients with infarction-related cardiogenic shock on the basis of pathophysiological considerations as also non-randomised trials and registry data Patients with patients with cardiogenic shock due to acute myocardial infarction Available evidence suggests that IABP may have a beneficial effect on the haemodynamics, however there is no convincing randomised data to support the use of IABP in infarct related cardiogenic shock. High Unknown Moderate hypothermia. Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment TMLR appears not to be used in New Zealand, but cannot know for certain Low High Unknown Moderate new Moderate with Cochrane review in progress Been trailed in NZ Moderate No growth Moderate No certified hospital in New Zealand. One in Sydney Low No growth over past decade. Potential for growth with technological advance Moderate Very limited volumes over past 10 years Moderate $NZ Intervention Transmyocardial laser revascularization versus medical therapy for refractory angina (142). Transmyocardial laser revascularization (TMLR) has been proposed to improve the clinical situation of these patients. TMR uses a laser beam to improve blood flow to heart muscle. Patients with IHD There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the clinical benefits of TMLR outweigh the potential risks. The procedure is associated with a significant early mortality. Percutaneous transluminal rotational atherectomy for coronary artery disease(143) Percutaneous transluminal coronary rotational atherectomy (PTCRA) debulks atherosclerotic plaque from coronary arteries using an abrasive burr. On rotation, the burr selectively removes hard tissue. PTCRA has been used both as an alternative to and in conjunction with balloon angioplasty to open up blocked coronary arteries. Patients with IHD When adjunctive percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty is feasible, PTCRA appears to confer no additional benefits. There is limited published evidence and no long-term data to support the routine use of PTCRA in in-stent restenosis. Compared to angioplasty alone, PTCRA/PTCA did not result in a higher incidence of major adverse cardiac events, but patients were more likely to experience vascular spasm, perforation and transient vessel occlusion Patients suspected of heart failure Reportedly efficacious BNP test for diagnosis of heart failure (144) Total Artificial Heart (52, SynCardia’s temporary 145) End Stage Failure Heart Reportedly efficacious as a bridging device to heart transplant 2005 HealthPACT estimate less than 7 patients in Australia – so unlikely to be a feasible services in NZ End Stage Failure Heart May be efficacious for some high risk surgical candidates 2 (2012/13) artificial heart (TAH) is the only device that replaces both ventricles. SynCardia’s TAH has been used as a bridge to transplant since 2004 in the United States (146). Ventricular assist devices (52, 147, 148) Service BNP $80 10 hits NHS EED per test Australia CEA: cost saving compared with no BNP through reduced hospitalisations for home based nursing care $114,000 $143,000 - $187,000 35% 65% $700,000 5 hits in NHS EED Continuous-flow VADs ICER = Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment New Low Unlikely to be in use NZ Moderate New Low Unlikely to be in use Low Reportedly cost saving from a US Medicare perspective compared with IV diuretic therapy New Moderate Unknown use in NZ – limited use in Australia Moderate 7 hits in NHS EED 4.9% pa 2003/042012/13 High Standard treatment Moderate Low Not in use Low Moderate Standard treatment Moderate Moderate Pharmac longer term $NZ Intervention Service $NZ200,000 (DLA Piper) Optimizer III(60, 149, 150) A device implant intended to treat patients with refractory HF not eligible for cardiac resynchronisation. Unlike pacemakers and ICD’s it is intended to increase the strength of the heart beat through Cardiac Contractility Modulation (60). Patients with refractory heart failure Unknown Catheter-based ventricular restoration implant (60) A percutaneous device for the left ventricle partitioning the damaged portion of the heart from the functional heart segment with a view to improving geometry and function of the heart. Patients with Ischaemic heart failure Unknown Ultrafiltration(151) The Aquadex FlexFlow system uses a simplified approach to ultrafiltration for the removal of salt and water in patients with fluid overload. The device is smaller and more portable than conventional ultrafiltration technologies. The system consists of a console, disposable circuit and disposable venous catheter that can be placed in either a central or peripheral location. Heart failure patients Appears efficacious in some patients, but results require confirmation by larger RCTs (underway) Patients with arrhythmias or heart failure Effective Pacemakers(52, 152) . Hardware = $30,000 per device. Disposable UF circuit and haematocrit sensor = $1,500 per patient 1754 (2012/13) 37% 63% $3,500 $6,000 $13.2 million in CUBE for implantation or replacement 2012/13 4.5% pa 2007/082012/13 Wireless stimulator(52) Implantable cardiac A wireless pacemaker employing pulses of ultrasound to regulate the heart Patients with arrhythmias or heart failure Phase 1 underway Arrhythmias Effective and 2 trials Cardioverter Defibrillator(52) 508 (2012/13) 66% 34% $22,000 $11,000 $14.4 million in the CUBE for implantation or replacement 2012/13 6 hits in NHS EED 14.2% pa 2003/042012/13 European study: ICER = $70,000/QALY gained compared with the no ICD 14.5% pa 2007/082012/13 (153) Subcutaneous implantable defibrillator(52, 150) ICS Arrhythmias Patients who do not also require a pacemaker or $60,000 EFFORTLESS study underway – primary completion date New Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment $NZ Intervention Service January 201411 pacing therapy IHD and arrhythmias comorbid Wearable vest (52) Reportedly efficacious more than 23,000 patients have worn the wearable defibrillator. New Low Patients with AV and HF Effective New Moderate Patients arrhythmias Some applications may be efficacious New Moderate Multiple technologies. New technology – unlikely to be in use but may have been trialled in New Zealand High defibrillator A vest with a portable battery and control system for monitoring the heart and delivering shock treatment for lifethreatening arrhythmias Bridge to implantation Biventricular (BiV) pacingfor atrioventricular (AV) 12 (60, 154) Biventricular pacing (also called CRT pacing) using cardiac resynchronization therapy-pacemakers and –defibrillators for atrioventricular block and heart failure approved by FDA. Next generation balloon ablation technologies(52) Multiple balloon ablation technologies for the treatment of arrhythmias employing cryoenergy(intense cold energy) or high intensity focused ultrasound (HIFU), or laser-based ablation therapy. ICD with Cryoablation = $6000 Vs radiofrequency ablation = (155) $4000 Average cost per successfully treated patient was $6,600 with cryoablation vs $4,300 with radiofrequency ablation(155) Unlikely to be in use Moderate Moderate 1 study in NHS EED on surgical (not percutaneous) HIFU Balloon pumps: Extraaortic balloon counterpulsation heart assist device for heart failure(60) C-Pulse device – A electronically controlled balloon device that wraps around the outside of the aorta to increase blood flow to the arteries. Inserted using minimally invasive surgery. Patients with refractory heart failure Unknown New Low Have been undertaken in Auckland hospital(156) High Vagus nerve stimulation for treatment of heart failure – CardioFit (60) Percutaneous device, similar to a pace packer, that stimulates the parasympathetic nervous system, with a view to rebalancing activity between the sympathetic and parasympathetic nervous system in order to lower heart rate, reduce workload, and reduce HF symptoms. Patients failure with heart Unknown New Low Unlikely to be in use Low Autologous bone marrow cell transplantation(157) An alternative to heart transplantation for patients with heart failure. Autologous bone marrow cell transplantation is designed to improve cardiac function and inhibit cardiac Patients failure with heart As of 2007, long term safety and effectiveness unclear New Low Unlikely to be in use Moderate 11 See the Cameron Health Post Market S-ICD Registry (EFFORTLESS), NCT01085435: http://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01085435?term=EFFORTLESS&rank=1 12 Medtronic press release: http://newsroom.medtronic.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=251324&p=irol-newsArticle&id=1862765 Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment $NZ Intervention Service remodelling by replacing the fibrous scar tissue (created by myocardial infarction) with viable myocardium. Early warning system to reduce hospital readmission for Heart Failure(60) Healthy Recovery Solutions – an integrated e-health system for keeping HF patients out of hospital. Patients provided with evidence based behavioural prompts loaded on tablets. Patient data readily available to clinicians through electronic medical record. Web monitoring and smart phone applications to reinforce healthy lifestyles. Patients failure with heart Reportedly efficacious New Low Various initiatives underway on adhoc basis Moderate Wireless monitoring system for management of heart failure (Champion system by CardioMEMS)(60) A percutaneously delivered paper clip sized device in the pulmonary artery that monitors left atrial pressure. An external hand held electronic sensor collects pressure data using radiofrequency energy. Patients failure with heart Reportedly efficacious New Moderate Unlikely to be in use Moderate BodyGuardian Remote Monitoring system The BodyGuardian® Remote Monitoring System employing a discreet body-worn sensor that adheres to the patient’s skin. The bandage-like patch carries a small battery operated monitor sensor, so the patient has complete mobility, allowing patients to go about their normal life without restrictions. Real time patient data is delivered by smartphone to a cloud based platform to health professionals to monitor alerts at any time via the web. Patients with pacemakers, ICDs and cardiac resynchronisation therapy Unknown New Low Unlikely to be in use Moderate ICD, pace-marker and cardiac resynchronization therapy devices have extensive diagnostic abilities in addition to being therapeutic devices. Remote monitoring (RM) allows patients to transmit clinical data from their devices to clinicians at home, and potentially avoid hospitalisation and reduce the need for patient follow up. A number of RM systems have been studied including the ‘Care Link Network’, ‘Home Monitoring’, and ‘Home Call 11’. Patients with IHD New Moderate Unknown – survey of ehealth underway. If in use, unlikely to be mainstream High for patients with pacemakers, ICDs and cardiac resynchronisation therapy(52) Internet-based deviceassisted remote monitoring of cardiovascular Implantable electronic devices(158) Costs depends on the model of care but may be divided into physician costs, hospital or clinic costs, and network or data system costs. Data support system costs may be covered by industry. NHS EED results appear to be focused on broader telemetering systems for cardiac patients. OHTAC analysis in Ontario Canada found ICD and CRT device remote monitoring could be cost saving from reduced physician visits. With an incremental annual saving of $115 per patient.(158) Intervention / Model of Care Description Population Efficacy / effectiveness Volume Cost $NZ Total Cost CEA Growth Evidence NZ Status Value of assessment New Low May be isolated cases of innovation. Survey of ehealth application currently underway Low New Moderate Unlikely Moderate New Low Unclear if competing integrated models of care in New Zealand High $NZ Intervention Service But analysis included only physician related costs. enabled Remote monitoring, including blood pressure, ECG monitoring, and vital signs employing smartphone technology Patients with IHD Unknown Health Buddy – telemonitoring device(160) An electronic interactive device for monitoring patients health (weight blood pressure, diet, other vital signs) data may be linked to clinicians via the web. Educational feedback provided. Used for chronic conditions management and has been assessed in relation to heart failure and following CABG Patients with heart failure or following CABG Reportedly efficacious The Regional Approach to Cardiovascular Emergencies (RACE) project13(60) The RACE project (North Carolina) is a system for providing rapid coordinated care of cardiovascular emergencies. 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National Health Committee (NHC) and Executive The National Health Committee (NHC) is an independent statutory body which provides advice to the New Zealand Minister of Health. It was reformed in 2011 to establish evaluation systems that would provide the New Zealand people and health sector with greater value for the money invested in health. The NHC Executive is the secretariat that supports the Committee. The NHC Executive’s primary objective is to provide the Committee with sufficient information for them to make recommendations regarding prioritisation and reprioritisation of interventions. They do this through a range of evidencebased reports tailored to the nature of the decision required and time-frame within which decisions need to be made. Citation: National Health Committee.2014. Ischaemic Heart Disease (IHD): A Pathway to Prioritisation Wellington: National Health Committee. Published in March 2014 by the National Health Committee PO Box 5013, Wellington, New Zealand ISBN: 978-0-9922623-1-0 HP 5851 This document is available on the National Health Committee’s website: http://www.nhc.health.govt.nz/ Disclaimer The information provided in this report is intended to provide general information to clinicians, health and disability service providers and the public, and is not intended to address specific circumstances of any particular individual or entity. All reasonable measures have been taken to ensure the quality and accuracy of the information provided. If you find any information that you believe may be inaccurate, please email to NHC_Info@nhc.govt.nz. The National Health Committee is an independent committee established by the Minister of Health. The information in this report is the work of the National Health Committee and does not necessarily represent the views of the Ministry of Health. 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