August 26, 2010 TO: WSTIP Board of Directors FROM: Jerry Spears, Deputy Director SUBJECT: Loss Ratio Analysis Background: At the direction of the WSTIP Executive Committee and the WSTIP Executive Director, staff prepared a loss ratio analysis of all members. The following factors were applied to the analysis: We used 2007, 2008 and 2009 first party and third party loss data. We used 2007, 2008 and 2009 actual mileage from the members We applied the loss data and actual mileage (proportionally based) to member premiums. We excluded Pierce Transit from consideration because they were not a first dollar member until 2010. We limited losses to the self insured retention for each year We calculated individual loss ratios and then split the members up by large, medium and small. The analysis is below: Incurred Losses Year Member 2007 2008 2009 Asotin Co PTBA 6,740 0 11,982 2007 2008 2009 18,722 0.20% 0.00% 0.29% 0.17% 602,238 1,932,420 254,624 2,789,282 18.21% 38.52% 6.24% 20.99% 56,104 189,484 191,692 437,280 1.70% 3.78% 4.70% 3.39% Columbia County 117,295 45,005 0 162,300 3.55% 0.90% 0.00% 1.48% Community Transit 593,323 456,824 2,097,457 3,147,605 17.94% 9.11% 51.43% 26.16% 0 18,287 1,434 19,720 0.00% 0.36% 0.04% 0.13% 164,277 401,532 119,459 685,267 4.97% 8.00% 2.93% 5.30% 4,945 13,382 1,928 20,256 0.15% 0.27% 0.05% 0.15% 97,290 25,138 13,626 136,054 2.94% 0.50% 0.33% 1.26% 218,387 551,651 277,513 1,047,551 6.60% 11.00% 6.81% 8.13% 64,387 60,318 81,599 206,303 1.95% 1.20% 2.00% 1.72% 4,750 117,127 23,492 145,368 0.14% 2.33% 0.58% 1.02% Kitsap Transit 430,933 227,547 271,133 929,613 13.03% 4.54% 6.65% 8.07% Link Transit 167,886 19,470 25,718 213,074 5.08% 0.39% 0.63% 2.03% Mason County Transit 177,059 73,767 135,644 386,471 5.35% 1.47% 3.33% 3.38% Ben Franklin Transit Clallam Transit Cowlitz Transit Authority Everett Transit Grant Transit Grays Harbor Transit Intercity Transit Island Transit Jefferson Transit Pacific Transit Pullman Transit Grand Total Average 0 550 0 550 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 939 34,720 19,502 55,161 0.03% 0.69% 0.48% 0.40% Skagit Transit 7,964 22,679 84,719 115,362 0.24% 0.45% 2.08% 0.92% 345,673 689,266 316,215 1,351,153 10.45% 13.74% 7.75% 10.65% Twin Transit 77,121 10,951 29,031 117,103 2.33% 0.22% 0.71% 1.09% Valley Transit 12,923 43,478 6,207 62,609 0.39% 0.87% 0.15% 0.47% 127,846 70,185 47,415 245,446 3.87% 1.40% 1.16% 2.14% Spokane Transit Whatcom Transit Yakima Transit Grand Total Actual Mileage 29,518 12,620 67,586 109,724 0.89% 0.25% 1.66% 0.93% 3,307,598 5,016,400 4,077,974 12,401,972 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 2007 2008 2009 Average Year Member Exposure 2007 2008 2009 75,452 200,560 273,910 549,922 Small 0.11% 0.26% 0.35% 0.24% Ben Franklin Transit 8,575,096 9,711,211 10,193,880 28,480,187 Large 12.21% 12.73% 13.09% 12.68% Clallam Transit 2,168,939 2,157,965 2,249,696 6,576,600 3.09% 2.83% 2.89% 2.94% Asotin Co PTBA Columbia County Grand Total Category Medium 277,000 324,900 376,000 977,900 Small 0.39% 0.43% 0.48% 0.43% 16,201,285 17,978,385 18,350,388 52,530,058 Large 23.06% 23.57% 23.57% 23.40% 218,027 219,083 217,942 655,052 Small 0.31% 0.29% 0.28% 0.29% Everett Transit 2,161,079 2,188,764 2,319,392 6,669,235 Medium 3.08% 2.87% 2.98% 2.97% Grant Transit 1,115,601 1,508,219 1,478,673 4,102,493 Small 1.59% 1.98% 1.90% 1.82% Grays Harbor Transit 1,918,162 2,010,255 2,026,428 5,954,845 Medium 2.73% 2.64% 2.60% 2.66% Intercity Transit 5,904,153 7,004,893 7,359,724 20,268,770 Large 8.40% 9.18% 9.45% 9.01% Island Transit 3,171,447 3,099,971 3,832,253 10,103,671 Large 4.51% 4.06% 4.92% 4.50% 896,230 876,430 933,254 2,705,914 Small 1.28% 1.15% 1.20% 1.21% Kitsap Transit 7,057,990 6,772,043 5,945,236 19,775,269 Large 10.05% 8.88% 7.64% 8.85% Link Transit 2,205,821 2,337,714 2,360,840 6,904,375 Medium 3.14% 3.06% 3.03% 3.08% Mason County Transit 993,462 1,248,167 1,209,187 3,450,816 Small 1.41% 1.64% 1.55% 1.53% Pacific Transit 440,632 452,196 461,229 1,354,057 Small 0.63% 0.59% 0.59% 0.60% Pullman Transit 372,993 397,504 412,955 1,183,452 Small 0.53% 0.52% 0.53% 0.53% Skagit Transit 1,774,369 1,894,448 2,111,980 5,780,797 Medium 2.53% 2.48% 2.71% 2.57% Spokane Transit 8,659,432 9,172,054 9,147,132 26,978,618 Large 12.33% 12.02% 11.75% 12.03% Twin Transit 409,328 456,091 373,040 1,238,459 Small 0.58% 0.60% 0.48% 0.55% Valley Transit 476,542 505,068 526,889 1,508,499 Small 0.68% 0.66% 0.68% 0.67% Whatcom Transit 3,488,976 3,759,651 3,878,870 11,127,497 Large 4.97% 4.93% 4.98% 4.96% Yakima Transit 1,691,423 2,010,869 1,815,742 5,518,034 Medium 2.41% 2.64% 2.33% 2.46% 70,253,439 76,286,441 77,854,640 224,394,520 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% Community Transit Cowlitz Transit Authority Jefferson Transit Grand Total Member Premiums Jan - Dec 07 Jan - Dec 08 Jan - Dec 09 10,000 20,000 26,305 501-01 · Ben Franklin 626,988 686,905 1,011,038 501-02 · Clallam 198,475 214,115 230,550 501-25 · Asotin County 501-21 · Columbia County 22,601 26,482 35,334 1,838,803 1,817,681 1,898,866 25,574 25,149 25,766 501-23 · Everett Transit 199,717 220,440 281,733 501-14 · Grant Transit Authority 108,856 150,611 130,317 501-04 · Grays Harbor 178,873 185,556 205,843 501-05 · Intercity 585,163 674,408 721,610 501-06 · Island 216,496 284,627 330,245 95,899 84,798 89,105 501-08 · Kitsap 667,356 724,747 656,182 501-09 · Link 218,950 232,273 251,446 501-11 · Mason 127,623 125,412 120,694 501-10 · Pacific 48,885 48,623 49,448 501-16 · Pullman Transit 37,324 38,608 38,407 501-12 · Skagit 168,684 209,159 234,939 501-19 · Spokane Transit 501-03 · Community 501-22 · Cubs 501-07 · Jefferson 714,445 999,412 924,315 501-15 · Twin Transit 44,412 45,185 48,001 501-20 · Valley Transit 55,523 78,786 79,562 501-13 · Whatcom 389,622 443,527 363,211 501-24 · Yakima Transit 123,051 146,909 187,987 6,703,319.46 7,483,413.12 7,940,903.99 Total 501 · MEMBER CONTRIBUTIONS 610 · INSURANCE SERVICES 626 · Captive - $2M xs $2M 0.00 0.00 357,500.00 611 · Primary - $1M xs $1M 446,929.96 606,861.96 431,983.33 Reinsurance - $8M xs $4M 1,002,924.00 631,443.96 429,459.30 612 · Excess - Above $12M 160,544.04 144,760.07 145,525.07 622 · Property 219,419.82 266,908.04 267,856.29 Blanket Pollution 65,171.04 65,171.04 50,711.10 Underground Storage Tank Cov 32,002.00 32,751.88 36,739.68 624 · Crime and Fidelity 14,806.96 14,838.01 14,218.39 1,941,797.82 1,762,734.96 1,733,993.16 Total 610 · INSURANCE SERVICES Underwriting Loss Ratio Asotin Co PTBA Ben Franklin Transit Clallam Transit Columbia County Community Transit Cowlitz Transit Authority Everett Transit Grant Transit 2007 2008 2009 Average Category 85.16% 0.00% 59.30% 48.15% Small 154.43% 417.81% 32.48% 201.57% Large 40.50% 115.36% 106.23% 87.37% 784.86% 237.19% 0.00% 340.68% Small 42.65% 32.58% 140.75% 72.00% Large 0.00% 91.04% 6.86% 32.63% Small 117.35% 236.38% 51.92% 135.22% Medium Medium 6.34% 11.56% 1.98% 6.63% Grays Harbor Transit 77.30% 18.07% 8.48% 34.62% Medium Intercity Transit 51.75% 107.63% 49.76% 69.71% Large Island Transit 49.98% 28.32% 33.32% 37.20% Large 6.68% 181.46% 34.38% 74.17% Small 91.25% 40.04% 51.77% 61.02% Large Link Transit 106.27% 10.92% 12.93% 43.37% Medium Mason County Transit 176.77% 76.39% 144.67% 132.61% Small Jefferson Transit Kitsap Transit Small Pacific Transit 0.00% 1.44% 0.00% 0.48% Small Pullman Transit 3.48% 118.00% 66.76% 62.75% Small Skagit Transit 6.66% 13.71% 45.09% 21.82% Medium 72.76% 87.53% 43.88% 68.06% Large 233.01% 31.61% 73.14% 112.58% Small Valley Transit 30.51% 64.78% 9.15% 34.82% Small Whatcom Transit 43.61% 19.68% 17.13% 26.80% Large Yakima Transit 38.69% 12.56% 45.81% 32.35% Medium Spokane Transit Twin Transit Large 2007 2008 2009 Ben Franklin Transit 154.43% 417.81% 32.48% Community Transit 42.65% 32.58% 140.75% Intercity Transit 51.75% 107.63% 49.76% Island Transit 49.98% 28.32% 33.32% Kitsap Transit 91.25% 40.04% 51.77% Spokane Transit 72.76% 87.53% 43.88% Whatcom Transit 43.61% 19.68% 17.13% Average 72.35% 104.80% 52.73% Medium 2007 2008 2009 Clallam Transit 40.50% 115.36% 106.23% Everett Transit 117.35% 236.38% 51.92% Grays Harbor Transit 77.30% 18.07% 8.48% 106.27% 10.92% 12.93% Skagit Transit 6.66% 13.71% 45.09% Yakima Transit 38.69% 12.56% 45.81% Average 64.46% 67.84% 45.08% 2007 2008 2009 Asotin Co PTBA 85.16% 0.00% 59.30% Columbia County 784.86% 237.19% 0.00% Cowlitz Transit Authority 0.00% 91.04% 6.86% Grant Transit 6.34% 11.56% 1.98% Jefferson Transit 6.68% 181.46% 34.38% 176.77% 76.39% 144.67% Pacific Transit 0.00% 1.44% 0.00% Pullman Transit 3.48% 118.00% 66.76% 233.01% 31.61% 73.14% 30.51% 64.78% 9.15% 132.68% 81.35% 39.62% Link Transit Small Mason County Transit Twin Transit Valley Transit Average