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Can a policy of careful clinical examination and preference towards upper arm fistulae in high risk
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patients improve maturation rates of native arteriovenous fistulae?
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S. Verest, P. Logghe, K. Claes*, D. Kuypers*, I. Fourneau
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Department of Vascular Surgery, University Hospitals Leuven, Belgium.
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* Department of Nephrology, University Hospitals Leuven, Belgium.
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Introduction: Maximal use of native arteriovenous fistulas (AVFs) for patients on hemodialysis therapy
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remains a clinical challenge. Primary failure rates remain high with risk factors such as female gender,
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diabetes mellitus, lower arm AVF and higher age. We wondered if a strategy of careful clinical examination
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prior to AVF creation and a preference towards an upper arm AVF in case of doubt about the quality of the
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vein in patients with any of the above mentioned risk factors, would lead to better maturation rates.
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Methods: The records of all patients who received an AVF between January 2005 and December 2009 at
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our University Hospitals Leuven were studied retrospectively. Demographic data, comorbidity, fistula
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characteristics, fistula maturation and fistula complications were recorded and analyzed.
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Results: Of 344 patients enrolled, 156 (45.3%) received a lower arm AVF and 188 (54.7%) an upper arm
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AVF. Two hundred and seventy-six (80.2%) fistulas had a normal maturation. Lower arm AVF was a
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significant risk factor for non-maturation in this series (73.1% versus 86.2%; p= 0,0024). Female gender,
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diabetes and high age were not, but female gender showed a significant difference in distribution in upper
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arm versus lower arm fistulas (62.40% versus 37.6%; p=0,0218).
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Conclusion: Careful clinical examination prior to upper or lower arm AVF creation together with the
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integration of risk assessment in the planning of AVF is worthwhile. A preference towards upper arm
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fistulas if major risk factors are present can improve overall maturation rates and lead to the same
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maturation rates as in the overall dialysis population. Therefore, the presence of risk factors for non-
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maturation should not lead to the underuse of native AVFs.
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Introduction
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The article by Brescia and Cimino in 1966 constituted a revolution in the creation of dialysis vascular
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access(1). Studies over several decades have demonstrated that native arteriovenous fistulas (AVF) have
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better patency rates and require fewer interventions compared to arteriovenous grafts (AVG)(2-6).
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Construction of an AVF in end stage renal disease (ESRD) patients is therefore recommended by the Fistula
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First and Kidney Dialysis Outcome Quality Initiative. Unfortunately, despite exhaustive experience and
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much research, AVF primary failure rates of 30 to 50% have been reported in the past
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factors have been isolated (8; 10; 13-15). Lower arm fistula, female gender and high age have been found to be
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dominant predictors of primary failure. For a high-risk patient, it is still unclear what the best vascular
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access is.
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In this article, we describe the experience with AVFs in our tertiary center. The specific aim of this study
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was to document if our strategy of careful clinical examination, prior to AVF creation and a preference
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towards upper arm AVFs in case of doubt about the quality of the vein in patients with risk factors, led to
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better maturation rates in these high-risk patients compared to findings found in the literature.
(7-12).
Multiple risk
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Methods
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Patient data
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All AVFs constructed between January 2005 and December 2009 were retrospectively reviewed by
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consulting a prospectively maintained database at the University HospitalsLeuven (Belgium). All patients
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were either treated in our hospital for ESRD or referred to our center for the creation of a fistula only. Fistula
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placement was decided based on patient’s medical history and clinical examination of the upper limbs.
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Phlebography was performed only in cases where the clinical examination was inconclusive.
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To make sure that patients at high risk for failure were not primarily refused for AVF creation, we also
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studied the patient characteristics of our overall hemodialysis population anno 2009. Over this period of
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time, 167 patients were dialyzed at our center.
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Data extraction
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We recorded demographic data (gender, age at fistula creation, need for dialysis at assessment of
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maturation), comorbidities (smoking, alcohol use, previous heart surgery, pacemaker, diabetes mellitus,
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obesity, peripheral vascular disease, hypertension), fistula characteristics (anatomical position,
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maturation) and fistula complications (infection, thrombosis, stenosis and ligation).
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Comorbidities were defined as follows: smoking as current smoking or a history of smoking, alcohol as
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current abuse or treated alcoholism, cardiac surgery as patients who underwent a coronary artery bypass
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graft or percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty, pacemaker, diabetes with both insulin and non-
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insulin dependent patients, peripheral vascular disease as an investigation for claudication intermittens or
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a history of vascular surgery and hypertension or medically controlled hypertension.
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Primary failure, primary patency and secondary patency were defined as follows:
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*Primary failure was defined as abandonment of an AVF that never came to maturation or a thrombotic
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event without successful salvage attempt, in an interval from AVF creation up to 12 weeks thereafter.
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Normal maturation was considered to have occurred if the fistula was able to support dialysis 12 weeks
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after construction or if a hemodialysis access nurse considered the AV-fistula as feasible for use in patients
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that were still not hemodialysis dependent.
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*Primary patency was defined as the length of time between access placement and either permanent failure
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or a first intervention to restore or maintain patency. An intervention was defined as either a
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thrombectomy, angioplasty, thrombolysis or placement of an interposition graft.
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*Secondary patency was defined as the length of time between access placement and failure after a previous
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successful intervention. Access failure was considered to have occurred when a new vascular access was
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created or if an AVF thrill had disappeared in patients not yet in need of dialysis. The 1-year primary and
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secondary patency rate was defined as the number of functioning AVFs at 1 year, following the definition
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above, divided by the total number of AVFs created.
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Accesses were censored if the patient had a transplant, died or reached the end of the study with a patent
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access (September 30, 2010).
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Statistical analysis
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Statistical analysis was performed using Statistica, version 8.0.
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Comparisons between patients with and without primary fistula failure were made. Primary fistula failure
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was considered as the dependent variable. Also a comparison of the fistula site was conducted. Continuous
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data were compared using the unpaired student’s t- test. The chi-square test was used to compare the
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categorical data. A p-value of < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Kaplan-Meier survival curves
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were used to determine overall patency rates. Patency rates for gender, age, fistula site and the presence of
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diabetes were calculated independently. Means are expressed ± their Standard Deviation (SD).
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Results
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Retrospective review of our database revealed a total of 425 native AVFs created for ESRD at the institution
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between January 2005 and December 2009. For 17 patients no records were available and they were
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excluded from this series. Sixty-four patients received a second fistula during this period of time. For
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statistical reasons, only first fistulas were analyzed in this series. We were left with 344 native AVFs created
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in 344 different patients (figure 1). The mean follow-up time was 1055 days ranging from 64 to 2046 days
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after assessment of maturation. Relevant demographic data and comorbidities were registered and
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summarized as shown in table I. Odds ratios, p-values, relative risks and confidence intervals were analyzed
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accordingly (table II). Ninety-two patients (26,7%) died during follow-up (average time = 783 days) and 55
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(16%) patients received a kidney transplant (average time = 780 days). Two-hundred sixty-six (77,3%)
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were in need of dialysis 3 months after creation of their native arteriovenous fistula.
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Of the 344 fistulas included, 68 (19,8%) suffered from primary failure and 276 (80,2%) met the definition
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of maturation. The overall 1-year primary and secondary patency was 64% and 77% respectively and
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showed large differences between upper and lower arm fistula as shown in figure 2. Analysis of
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demographic data and comorbidities showed that patients younger than 65 years of age (p=0,0035) and
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lower arm fistula (p=0,0024) were significant predictors of fistula failure (Table II). Female gender (p=
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0,3024), need for dialysis at assessment of maturation (p= 0,1531), peripheral vascular disease (p= 0,3023)
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and hypertension (p= 0,0795) showed a tendency towards failure, but no levels of significance were met.
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Difference in primary patency rate for risk factors like gender, age and diabetes were calculated as shown
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in figure 3-5. The same demographics data and comorbidities were documented according to the anatomical
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position of the fistula to see whether differences in distribution could be found between upper and lower
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arm fistulas (see table III). One hundred fifty-six (45,3%) of the fistulas were lower arm fistulas compared
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to 188 (54,7%) upper arm fistulas. Differences in distribution could be found in every documented risk
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factor, but significant more upper arm fistulas were found in females (p= ,0218).
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As it was impossible to retrieve the risk profile of the overall hemodialysis patient population in the same
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period retrospectively and as we wanted to check if patients with a risk profile were refused for the creation
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of a fistula, we analyzed the risk profile of the overall patient population on hemodialysis at our unit anno
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2009 as a control group. Of these 167 patients, 111 patients (66,5%) were dialyzed through an AVF, while
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56 (33,5%) were dialyzed through a catheter. The distribution of women, diabetics and mean age over both
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groups is shown in table IV. In the catheter group, 20 patients had received a fistula that suffered failure, 19
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were dialyzed because of acute kidney failure and received a fistula later or died before one could be
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constructed. Only 17 patients were refused for the creation of a native fistula. Eight were refused for a
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cardiac reason, 2 refused creation of a fistula themselves and 4 were technically unable after a
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phlebography. In 3 patients we were unable to state the reason. The distribution of females, diabetics and
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mean age differed only slightly in the catheter group compared to the fistula group suggesting that patients
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with a high risk profile were not excluded for the creation of a native AVF.
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Discussion
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For a vascular access, one can choose for an AVF, an AVG or a central vein catheter (CVC). Catheters have
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excellent patency rates, but are associated with higher rates of infection which could compromise the
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adequacy of hemodialysis patients.
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Although reporting methods concerning patency rates and failure differ dramatically in the literature, most
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studies confirm that AVFs have longer patency rates, a smaller risk of infection and thrombosis, better blood
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flow and a lower risk of morbidity and mortality compared to AVGs and CVCs (2-6; 16; 17).
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Because of the reasons mentioned above and the fact that AVG and catheter complications cause a huge
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economic cost and morbidity, a native AVF is considered the first choice for a vascular access in
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hemodialysis patients with AVF use in up to 66% of the cases for 2009 (2; 18-20). The current hemodialysis
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population however is older, more frequently diabetic, has a higher percentage of females and more
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comorbidities. Whereas studies from 20 to 25 years ago observed a primary fistula failure rate of about
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10%, more recent investigations report a 20 to 50% primary failure rate (11; 14; 21; 22). Some authors state that
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these high failure rates are caused by the creation of AVFs in patients that have a high risk profile and
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therefore miss the desired results.
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Today, many reviews are written about the creation of a vascular access, techniques, native fistula options
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and their possible complications (21; 23-26). Biological and physical explanations of why fistulas could fail to
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mature are offered and guidelines on how to intervene if fistulas fail are summarized in these papers
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28).
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hemodialysis dependence, stroke or transient ischemic attack, quality/diameter of the vessels, access type,
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experience of the surgeon, presence of cardiovascular diseases (peripheral vascular disease, coronary
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artery diseases and heart failure), older age, gender, diabetes and race have all been described as possible
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risk factors to predict fistula failure (8; 10; 13-15). Of these factors female gender, older age and site of fistula
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creation are considered dominant risk factors
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showed a lower incidence of AVF use if patients had any of these characteristics (12; 29; 30). A valid and reliable
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diagnostic test for predicting fistula failure has not been developed yet, although a recent study of 2006
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performed by Lok et al. created a clinical prediction algorithm for fistula failure based on age, coronary
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artery disease, peripheral vascular disease and race (14).
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At our institution, we believe that the construction of a native fistula has to be considered even in patients
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prone to failure. We performed this study to see if our strategy of careful clinical examination prior to AVF
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creation and a preference towards upper arm AVFs in patients with any of these risk factors led to better
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maturation rates.
(23; 27;
Nevertheless, studies have tried to isolate risk factors responsible for AVF failure. Risk factors like
(10; 15).
Large studies in 28,712 adult hemodialysis patients
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In our study population, we found that only the site of fistula placement (p = 0,0024) and younger age (p=
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,0035) were prone to primary failure. Surprisingly, older age turned out to be a protective factor in our
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series, whereas it is found to be a risk factor in the literature (10). This can be explained by our preference to
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construct upper arm fistula in high age groups. These upper arm AVFs have a higher success rate, mostly
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due to a bigger vein diameter, but have more complications like steal and hypertrophy (26).
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Female gender and diabetes have also been described as major risk factors, but were not significant in our
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series. A possible explanation for the higher failure rate in women could lie in the smaller size of their
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vessels and in postmenopausal states, conditions that may produce a form of accelerated atherosclerosis (9).
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An explanation for the higher failure rate in diabetics could possibly be found in the existence of the vascular
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disease, media calcinosis and therefore the lack of substantial arterial dilatation after fistula creation (15).
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As we prefer to construct upper arm fistulas in patients at risk, we compared the distribution of risk factors
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in upper and lower arm fistulas. The distribution of risk factors in upper and lower arm fistulas was
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different for every factor. Although only gender distribution had a p-value <0.05 these findings confirm the
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assumption that upper arm fistula were preferred in presence of risk factors for primary failure. Only
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current or past nicotine abuse did not follow this pattern. As we compared patency rates between females
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and males, diabetics and non-diabetics and elderly and young patients, similar patency rates were found as
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shown in the figures 3-5. These results suggest that good maturation rates can be achieved even in patients
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at risk for failure with a good choice of the anatomical position of the AVF.
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As we believe that the construction of a native fistula has to be considered even in patients prone to failure,
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we wanted to know how many ESRD patients were refused for the construction of an AVF. Our current
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dialysis population anno 2009 was therefore analyzed and showed that only a minority was denied a native
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fistula and no significant differences in distribution of risk factors were found between the catheter group
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and the overall AVF group. These results suggest that no negative selection has occurred prior to the
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creation of AVFs in patients at risk.
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With a primary failure rate of 19,8% and comparable patency rates to those found in the literature, we
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believe that risk assessment through careful review of a patient’s medical background and clinical
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examination prior to fistula creation leads to better maturation rates. We therefore suggest that patients
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with major and minor risk factors cannot be excluded from an AV fistula, but a preference towards upper
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arm fistulas has to exist in patients with risk factors present or in case of doubt about the quality of the vein.
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If major risk factors (female gender, high age, diabetes) or multiple minor risk factors are present, we
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recommend the construction of an upper arm fistula. If only minor factors are present, one could still choose
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for a lower arm fistula. These suggestions have also been proposed by others in the past (31; 32).
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Further research is needed by means of prospective randomized controlled trails to verify these new
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findings. Consistent definitions for primary failure, primary and secondary patency are necessary to
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uniformily study these important questions and to draw the right conclusions. The literature states that
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after creation, the fistula ideally should be left to mature for at least 14 days before the first cannulation (33).
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We used a 12 week period as endpoint for our definition of maturation because blood flow reaches a
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maximum in the fistula within 4–12 weeks after creation (23).
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Generally, preoperative vascular mapping is being advised before the construction of AVFs to decrease the
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surgeon’s likelihood to utilize marginal forearm veins in preference of an upper arm AVF (2; 16). Diameter of
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the vessels is in some studies the major predictor for fistula failure
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this preoperative mapping show conflicting results, with some studies finding clear advantages
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others could not find increasing maturation results
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plethysmography has also been suggested (36). Because of these conflicting results, our center decides the
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site of fistula creation solely based on thorough clinical examination. As maturation rates up to 80% were
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found in this study, we do not feel that pre-operative mapping has to occur vigorously before fistula
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creation.
(7; 35).
(8).
However, studies on the impact of
(34),
while
Venous distensibility measured by
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Conclusion
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Native AVFs are considered the vascular access of choice. We believe that the construction of a native
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fistula has to be considered even in patients prone to failure, and conducted this study to see whether
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carefulclinical examination in combination with a preference towards upper arm fistulae in case of major
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risk factors for non-maturation could help to improve maturation rates. Our results identify location of an
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AV fistula and age as the major predictors of primary failure, but analysis showed that the distribution of
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risk factors was different in upper and lower arm fistulas with a preference towards proximal fistulas if
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risk factors were present. With a maturation rate of 80,2%, similar patency rates for females, diabetics
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and elderly and a comparable distribution of risk factors in our fistula group and catheter group anno
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2009, our results suggest that creation of a functional native AVF is possible even with major risk factors
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present. We suggest that a preference towards upper arm fistulas in women, high age groups and patients
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with a combination of other risk factors may lead to better maturation rates in these patients prone to
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failure. A distal site should not be excluded if minor risk factors are present.
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Acknowledgements
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Special thanks to Mr. Op De Beeck for providing the data out of the database concerning the patients
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included in this series.
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List of figures
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Figure 1: Selection flowchart.
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Figure 2: Overall primary and secondary patency rates for the AVFs constructed at our center according to the anatomical
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location.
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Figure 3: Difference in primary patency rate for males and females.
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Figure 4: Difference in primary patency rate for diabetics and non diabetics.
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Figure 5: Difference in primary patency rate for years of age.
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Table I: General distribution of demographic and clinical characteristics.
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Table II: Analysis of demographic and clinical characteristics in relation to occurrence of primary failure.
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Comorbidities are defined as described in the section Methods. OR: Odds Ratio, RR: Relative Risk, CI: Confidence Interval
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Table III: Analysis of risk factors in relation to the fistula site.
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OR: Odds Ratio, RR: Relative Risk, CI: Confidence Interval
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383
384
385
386
387
388
389
390
391
392
393
394
395
396
Table IV: Distribution of female gender, diabetes and age in our current dialysis group anno 2009 in relation to the access type.
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