AARHUS SCHOOL OF BUSINESS Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective Master Thesis: Msc. EU Business and Law By Michele Nielsen 01-03-2011 Supervisors: Micheal Steinicke Associated Professor, Department of Business Law & Valdemar Smidt Associated Professor, Department of Economics Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective Table of Contents Abbreviations .................................................................................................................................................... 0 Part 1: Introduction ............................................................................................................................................ 1 1. Introduction ................................................................................................................................................... 1 2. Method and Materials .................................................................................................................................... 1 3. Limitation ...................................................................................................................................................... 5 4. Structure ........................................................................................................................................................ 5 Part 2: Economic analysis of collusion.............................................................................................................. 6 1. Difference in law and economics .................................................................................................................. 7 1.1 What are the motives behind? ................................................................................................................. 8 1.2 The difference between explicit and tacit collusion ................................................................................ 9 2. Which factors facilitate collusion? .............................................................................................................. 10 2.1 The main ingredients of collusion ......................................................................................................... 10 2.2 Facilitating factors ................................................................................................................................. 17 2.2.1 Structural factors............................................................................................................................. 18 2.2.2 Market transparency and exchange of information ........................................................................ 22 3. Which factors affect cartel stability ............................................................................................................. 26 3.1 factors in the market structure ............................................................................................................... 26 3.2 Internal factors ....................................................................................................................................... 29 3.3 Leniency programmes ........................................................................................................................... 33 4. Welfare consequences from collusion ......................................................................................................... 34 4.1 Effects of Cartels ................................................................................................................................... 38 4.2 Efficiency savings from horizontal cooperation .................................................................................... 38 5 Conclusion .................................................................................................................................................... 39 Part 3: Legal analysis of cartels ....................................................................................................................... 40 1. Introduction ................................................................................................................................................. 41 2 Analysis of the legal component .................................................................................................................. 44 2.1 The concept of an agreement ................................................................................................................. 44 2.2 The concept of concerted practice ......................................................................................................... 49 2.2.1 Exchange of information ................................................................................................................ 54 2.3 The requirement of evidence ................................................................................................................. 55 3 Analysis of the economic component ........................................................................................................... 57 4 Enforcement ................................................................................................................................................. 61 4.1 Fining policy.......................................................................................................................................... 61 Side 1 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective 4.2 Leniency policy ..................................................................................................................................... 63 5 Conclusion .................................................................................................................................................... 65 Part 4: Concluding remarks ............................................................................................................................. 66 Part 5: Bibliography ........................................................................................................................................ 67 5.1 Legal Texts ............................................................................................................................................ 67 5.2 Cases ...................................................................................................................................................... 67 5.3 Books & Articles ................................................................................................................................... 68 Side 2 af 69 Abbreviations CJ Court of Justice CC Cartel coordinator DWL Deadweight loss GC General Court SCI Single and continuous infringement SRI Single repeated infringement TFEU Treaty of the functioning of the European Union Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective Part 1: Introduction Present part of the thesis will provide an introduction, describing why present thesis is relevant, the method and materials which will be used, the limitation of it and the structure of present thesis. 1. Introduction Competition is a basic mechanism of the market economy and is considered a crucial factor for the creation of proper conditions for economic growth and prosperity. It encourages companies to provide the preferred products to consumers and it encourages innovation and non-monopoly prices. The role of modern competition policy is therefore to ensure that competition is indeed effective; as a result competition law is one of the areas of law in which economics has achieved greatest influence, as competition is both an economic and legal issue. In modern competition policy, economic theory influences what conduct ought to be prohibited by competition rules in general and economic theory is increasingly taken into account in the assessment of concrete competition cases. Secret cartels agreements can be seen as a direct assault on the principles of competition law and are therefore universally recognized as the most harmful of all types of anticompetitive conduct. Over the years the crusade on cartels has become more and more intense. Anti-trust authorities around the world have intensified their battle against cartels. However, the secrecy of cartels poses for the competition authorities an onerous obstacle. In Europe there has been a dramatic change in policy towards hardcore cartels since the 1990s and cartel enforcement is now a top priority for the European competition authority. Since cartel enforcement has become a top priority for the European competition authority it is very important to investigate whether the legal approach is consistent with the economic theory. Present thesis, therefore, takes its aim at investigating the economic theory of collusion and at investigating the legal framework for cartel conviction in the European Union, in order to assess whether there is consistency between the economic theory and the legal assessment. 2. Method and Materials Present thesis applies a cross disciplinary method, looking at cartels from both an economic and a legal perspective. The method applied to the economic part consists of analysing relevant literature and theoretical models on collusion and the impact of specific factors on collusion. In terms of factors facilitating collusion and affecting cartel stability in general, there seems to be certain level Side 1 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective of consensus in the literature. In more contested areas, the dissenting opinions are discussed objectively, and both sides are accounted for. From the legal perspective, a traditional dogmatic method of analysing case law, legal texts and doctrine is applied. Furthermore throughout present thesis the different elements and empirical findings will be illustrated through a Case study. The reason for using a Case study to illustrate and support different elements and empirical findings is that it reflects the practical application. The material used consists mainly of a substantial number of scientific articles, books, primary and secondary legislation and relevant cases. The material for the case study consists of the Commission’s Decision in Case COMP/39406 – marine hoses. The background for choosing this Decision is that from a legal perspective the marine hoses cartel is a relatively new Decision, which means that it reflects current legislation, besides it contains elements which are novel to some extent. From an economic perspective the marine hoses cartel contains many elements and interfaces which underpin the economic theory. A description of the Decision follows bellow. The marine hoses cartel scheme was applied on a world-wide scale. The scheme therefore restricted competition in the whole common market as well as the territory covered by the EEA Agreement 1 The marine hoses cartel revolved around a scheme to allocate tenders issued by their customers among them. Under the scheme the participant who obtained a customer inquiry reported it to the cartel coordinator (CC), who would in turn allocate the customer to a “champion.” In order to make it function, the cartel participants adopted a reference price list and agreed on the prices that each of them should quote to ensure that all bids would be above the price quoted by the champion. Furthermore they agreed to several measures to facilitate this process/scheme. They agreed to reference prices, quotas and sales conditions. A system of penalties was put in place; to compensate a participant in case the tender was won by another participant. Beside the scheme to allocating tenders, the scheme also involved agreements to fixing prices, fixing quotas, fixing sales conditions, sharing markets geographically exchanging sensitive information on prices, sales volumes and procurement tender. The cartel can be dated back to the 1970s, but the Commission only found solid evidence from 1986 until 2007. The Commission´s evidence on the scheme was clear, as it comprised of a series of written agreements on the scheme.2 1 The connection between the Treaty and the EEA Agreement will not further be commented on. Side 2 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective Product: Marine hoses are used to load sweet or processed crude oil and other products from offshore facilities onto vessels and to offload them back to offshore or onshore facilities. They are mainly used to transport oil from remote places of exploitation, which are not linked to major oil consuming countries by pipelines. Marine hoses are used offshore, that is they are near or in the water, opposed to onshore or industrial hoses which are used on land. Marine hoses invariably comply with the 1991 industry standard.3 Other market players: When the cartel was formed, two other marine hoses producer existed, one of them was taken over by one of the cartel participants in mid-1980´, and the other exited the industry in 1995. In the 1990s, two Brazilian companies entered the market; however they were only present in their home market and did not market marine hoses international until recently. In 2006/2007 a new company entered the market, but is only present on the Italian market and on a small scale.4 Demand: Marine hoses are used by petroleum companies, buoy manufactures, port terminals and by governments. They are used for new projects or for replacement purposes. Regarding new products, oil terminals or other end users usually engage an engineering company as contractor; the contactor purchases the entire marine hoses installation for a new project from a marine hoses producer. Thus for new projects the marine hoses producer don’t have any contact with the end user. Regarding replacement once a marine hose is installed, individual parts needs to be replaced. The Decision does not reveal how often, but informs that replacement sales account for a greater proportion of sales, than sales of new products. The purchases of replacements parts are often carried out directly by end users, however in some cases the purchases of replacements parts are outsourced to subsidiaries or external companies.5 The industry demand largely depends on the development of the oil sector, in particular oil exploitation in areas remote from the place of consumption (as areas close to the place of consumption will normally install a pipeline). The demand is cyclical and to some extent linked to the development of oil prices. Demand started to become significant in the late 1960s and rose in the early 1970s, in particular from oil producing regions in the Persian Gulf, the North Sea and 2 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 19 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 6 4 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 14 5 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 15 3 Side 3 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective North Africa. The 1980s saw an increase in demand from South America´s developing national oil companies. In the late 1990s, demand moved towards West Africa.6 Supply: Marine hoses are manufactured by undertakings best known as tyre and rubber manufactures or their spin-offs. They are produced on demand according to the specific needs of the customers. Because demand for marine hoses is widely dispersed geographically, most marine hoses producers engage a significant number of agents which oversee a specific market, where they provide general marketing service and offer their products in the course of purchase tenders published in the those areas.7 The geographic scope of the marine hoses industry: Marine hoses are traded worldwide and most producers are active at a worldwide level. The regulatory requirements do not fundamentally differ from one country to another. Technical requirements differ according to the specific environment and the condition of use; however this is not seen as an obstacle to selling marine hoses throughout the world.8 Table 1 provides an overview of the cartel participants. The combined market share of the cartel participants is more the 90%. The individual market share of the participants has not been provided for in the Decision. However, the Decision reveals that Manuli had a market share below 10 % and a quota which never exceeded 10%.9 Table 1: Cartel participants Name10/headquarter Marine hose product Turnover in million11 Years in industry Bridgestone/Japan Manufacture and markets 2006: EUR 20484 1972 went worldwide Yokohama/Japan Manufacture and markets 2007: EUR 3200 ? Dom/England,Wales Manufacture and markets 2006: EUR 14887 Since the begiging of the cartel: 1986 Trelleborg/Sweden/later Manufacture and markets 2006: EUR 2900 Since 1980 Parker ITR/Italy Manufacture and markets 2006: EUR 741012 1966 Manuli/Italy Manufacture and markets ? 1973 Cartel coordinator/UK Consultancy services France 6 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 15 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 15 8 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 15 9 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 110 10 Many of the participant have had a change of ownership, during the cartel duration, present case study does 11 Turnover cover all products sold and not just marine hoses, therefore it does not reveal the real picture 12 Business year ending on 30 June. 7 Side 4 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective 3. Limitation The limitations in present thesis can be divided in two groups. The first group concerns the limitations in regard to the economic theory on collusion; the second group concerns the limitations in regard to the analysis of the legal framework. Limitations to the first part: due to the limitation of present paper not all factors which may facilitate collusion are accounted for. This also applies to those factors which may have an effect on cartel stability. Limitation to the second part: Article 101 covers both horizontal and vertical agreement. The present paper will only deal with horizontal agreements, since horizontal agreements are what is traditional understood as cartels13, however it should be mentioned that vertical agreements under some laws are considered cartels as well. For instance, resale price maintenance is regarded as cartels in Austria. Furthermore only horizontal agreements that are within the Commission´s definition of cartels will be discussed and to some extent exchange of information agreements. The jurisdictional component has been left out, as it is not considered relevant for present thesis. Furthermore the term undertaking will not be elaborated on further Reservations are made to the answer of whether there is consistency between the economic theory and the legal framework cartel conviction in the European Union, as the answer is only based on findings in preset thesis and therefore may not reveal the entire picture. 4. Structure Present thesis is divided into three parts. The overall aim with this thesis is to examine cartels from an economic perspective as well as examine them from a legal perspective. Furthermore present thesis aims at examining whether there is consistency between the two. As defined above, the research approach for present thesis is twofold. It constitutes both an economic analysis (Part 2) and a legal analysis (Part 3) of cartels. Based upon the finding in these separate analyses, I will conclude on the objectives set out to investigate in present thesis (part 4). After each part a conclusion of the main findings is provided. 13 Vertical agreements between competitors are dealt with, regarding possible collusion affects, in the guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 to horizontal agreements. Side 5 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective Part 2 will analyse the economic theory of collusion. First it will provide some general insights into collusion, second it will examine the main ingredients necessary to achieve and sustain collusion and further it analyse which factors are likely to facilitate collusion, third it will analyse which factors effect cartel stability and last it will examine the welfare consequences from collusion. Part 3 will analyse the legal framework for convicting cartels. First it will provide a general introduction of the legal framework, second it will analyse the legal component, third it will analyse the economic component and last the different initiatives to improve the enforcement will be examined Part 4 will provide the concluding remarks on whether there is consistency between the economic theory and the legal framework for cartel conviction in the European Union Part 2: Economic analysis of collusion As set forth above, present part of the thesis will analyze the economic theory of cartels, more specifically the economic theory of collusion from the point of view from industrial economics, although insight from general economic theory will be taken into consideration. Present part is divided into four sections. The first section contains an introduction, which will provide some general insights into collusion, describing the difference between the legal and economic concepts of collusion. Furthermore the motives behind collusion will be examined to understand why firms wish to join a cartel. And last the different forms of collusion will be elaborated on. The second section will analyze which factors are likely to facilitate collusion. The purpose is to examine in which circumstances collusion is likely to occur. Before discussing the factors that facilitates collusion the main ingredients necessary to achieve and sustain collusion will be analysed. The purpose is to get an understanding of the ingredients which are necessary to achieve and sustain a collusive outcome. To understand these ingredients two economic models illustrating the problems of coordination and an economic model of cartel behaviour based on assumption of joint profit maximization will be examined. The third section will examine the factors that can have an effect on cartel stability. The different factors will be divided in two groups. The first group contains those factors which are related to the market structure. The second group contains those factors which are related to the cartels internal Side 6 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective situation. Furthermore the leniency programmes effect on cartel stability will be examined. The effect will be illustrated through game theory. The fourth section will examine the economic consequences from collusion to get an understanding of why collusion can have a deleterious effect on welfare. Furthermore the actual harm from cartels and the efficiency savings from horizontal cooperation will be examined. 1. Difference in law and economics As present thesis analyse collusion from both a legal perspective and an economic perspective, it is necessary to examine the difference that exists between the legal and the economic concept of collusion, thus the difference will be defined before continuing with the economic analysis. In economics, collusion is usually referred to as a situation where the prices charged by undertakings on a specific market are higher than a certain competitive benchmark.14 This benchmark is usually determined as the equilibrium price that would occur if competitors only met once in the marketplace, i.e. the sellers only met once, so there was no possibility for co-ordination between them. One could also define collusion as a situation where undertakings set prices which are close enough to monopoly prices.15 In other words, from economic perspective collusion coincides with an outcome (high enough price), and not with the specific form through which that outcome is attained. Thus there is no need to establish actual co-ordination between competitors in order for collusion to exist, as long as the outcome on the market appears collusive in its effect. However, this is not the case when collusion is considered from a legal perspective. From a legal perspective a distinction is made between per se and rule of reason. Furthermore the legal concept of collusion requires co-ordination between undertakings in the form of an agreement or concerted practice, together with the object or effect of distortion, prevention or restriction of competition. Thus the legal definition of collusion naturally focuses mostly on more observable behaviour than on the outcome. Even though collusion from an economic perspective coincides with an outcome, it can occur both when firms act through an organized cartel (explicit collusion), and when they act in a purely non-cooperative way (tacit collusion).16 Understanding the difference between the legal and economic concept of collusion and their interactions, it is necessary to briefly examine some of Massimo Motta, ”Competition policy: Theory and Practice”, 2004 p. 138 Massimo Motta, “Competition policy: Theory and Practice”, 2004 p. 138 16 Massimo Motta, “Cartels in the European Union: Economics, Law, Practice”, 2007 p. 2 14 15 Side 7 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective the most common motives behind collusion, to get an understanding of why firms are willing to join a cartel. Here it must also be emphasized that collusion entails several risks on the participants. 1.1 What are the motives behind? The most common and most obvious motive behind collusion is the increased profit resulting from charging near monopoly prices. Increased profit is however not the only motive behind collusion. The other factors besides increased profit which are considered common motives behind collusion are reduced risk and enhanced security, exchange of information, and unsatisfactory financial performance.17 Reduced risk and enhanced security: Running a company always involves certain risk. These risks can stem from changes in consumer tastes or from competition between producers. Collusion is one way to reduce these risks,18 especially when firms are operating in highly uncertain markets, or were large investments are needed, or in situations where there are large cycles in business conditions.19 Exchange of information: Exchange of information can also be a motive for collusion, because exchange of information can to some extent reduce the concern of uncertainty. O´Brian and Swan developed a theory of information exchange which assumed that all firms required information before decisions could be made. How important information is for a firm depends on the degree of interdependence of the firm or how vulnerable the firm is to damaging actions taken by rivals. Firms are most vulnerable in a situation where they have made long-term and heavy investments, especially in situations where there are big sunk costs involved in the investment. Unsatisfactory financial performance: Unsatisfactory performance is another motive for collusion. Years of poor-performance can lead a firm to try collusion as a last resort. According to Erickson “Certain economic conditions – depressions, recessions, or downward movements in industry demand – provide both a favourable climate and a powerful incentive for conspiracy.”20 As can be seen increased profit is not the only motive behind firms entering into collusion. Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 180 Another way to reduce these risk, is by developing market power, this can be done through vertical integration, product innovation or product differentiation. 19 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p 180 20 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p.183 17 18 Side 8 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective 1.2 The difference between explicit and tacit collusion As already mentioned; collusion can occur both when firms act through an organized cartel (explicit collusion), and when they act in a purely non-cooperative way (tacit collusion). Below the difference between these two forms will be examined. Explicit collusion, more commonly referred to as a “cartel”, occurs where two or more firms collectively agree on exploiting their economic power and improving their profitability, by raising prices, restricting output, sharing markets or rigging bids. By explicitly and collectively coordination prices, output and markets they can achieve a market outcome close to that of monopoly (further elaborated on below). Thereby raising joint profit for all the firms engaged in the collusion, while maintaining the participants´ respective positions on the market and achieving price stability or an increase in prices.21 Tacit collusion on the other hand occurs where two or more firms align their behaviour “as if” they were engaged in explicit collusion. But rather than resting on an agreement between firms, the supra-competitive prices are a result of a rational response to market circumstances.22 Because firms realize that if they compete less vigorously, they will be able to earn higher profit, whereas cutting prices will only lead to lower profit, because rivals will follow any price reduction.23 For instance, tacit collusion could occur is a situation where each firm limits itself to selling in one particular geographic market. This situation can of course be a result of an explicit market-sharing agreement where firms have agreed to sell on a specific geographic market, e.g. only on their domestic market. However, the situation can also be the result of tacit collusion: each firm chooses to limit its sales to the domestic market, as they are satisfied with their domestic monopoly and are afraid to lose this position from retaliation, if they choose to sell abroad.24 Furthermore tacit collusion is only likely to occur on oligopolistic markets (markets with few producers or sellers), where competitors recognize their interdependence and align their conduct, without any communication, and with the right market conditions are able to achieve close to the same result as in explicit collusion. In the following, it is however important to note that the term collusion will be used in its economic context, thus including both tacit and explicit collusion. The reason is that in theory the outcome or effects of tacit collusion are considered by economist to be similar to explicit collusion. Therefore A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 872 A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 872 23 A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 872 24 Massimo Motta, “Cartels in the European Union: Economics, Law, Practice”, 2007 p. 21 21 22 Side 9 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective for firms to be conducive to tacit collusion, the market must possess features as with explicit collusion, which make tacit collusion feasible or likely.25 However, the theory recognizes the fact that explicit collusion has an advantage over tacit collusion, as communication enables the firms to reach and adjust their agreement, and better the enforcement of the agreement.26 The problem of tacit collusion is that when firms cannot communicate, they might make mistakes e.g. by selecting a price which is not optimal for the firms. The firms have to use the market to signal their intentions, which can be very costly. Imagine a situation where one firm believes that the “right” price for the industry is higher and therefore increases its price to signal this to the other firms, the firm will lose market share until the other firms follow the price increase. Opposite to this situation is where one firm believes that the “right” price is lower and therefore decreases its price, this move might be understood as a deviation and might a trigger a costly price war.27 So from an economic perspective collusion coincides with an outcome. The motive behind collusion varies, but increased profit is the paramount motive. Furthermore both forms of collusion is consider to have the same deleterious effect on society, however it must be emphasised that tacit collusion is harder to achieve and sustain, due to lack of communication. 2. Which factors facilitate collusion? Present section will examine the factors which are likely to facilitate collusion. But before discussing the factors which facilitate collusion the main ingredients necessary to achieve and sustain collusion will be analysed. The purpose is to get an understanding of the ingredients which are necessary to achieve and sustain a collusive outcome. To understand these ingredients two economic models illustrating the problems with coordination and an economic model of cartel behaviour based on the assumption of joint profit maximization will be examined. 2.1 The main ingredients of collusion There are some main ingredients which are necessary to achieve and sustain collusion. In theory it may sound easy to collude, but in reality a collusive outcome is always difficult to attain. Therefore antitrust laws should not be seen as the only stumbling block to successful collusion. The ingredients which are necessary for collusion to occur can be divided in two groups. First there are the ingredients necessary to overcome the problems to achieve collusion. Second there are the A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 872 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 35 27 Massimo Motta, “Cartels in the European Union: Economics, Law, Practice”, 2007 p. 4 25 26 Side 10 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective ingredients necessary to overcome the problems to sustain collusion. In the following these two will be examined. The problems that arise in connection with achieving a collusive output revolve around the problems of coordination, i.e. the difficulties in agreeing on a common price or agreeing on a fair distribution of output or market shares. Thus the problem with coordination is that participants must be able to agree on an equilibrium. There are often multiple equilibria which all increase prices and allocate reduced output among the participants. The agreed equilibrium must be able to increase profits to the cartel as a group and must be able to distribute the profit “fairly” to the participants. 28 In the following an economic model will illustrate the difficulties in agreeing on a common price. Figure 2.1 (Source F.M Scherer & D. Ross p. 238) In Figure 2.1 an industry consisting of two firms and selling identical products is assumed. Furthermore the two firms have identical market shares and identical prices. Initially it is assumed that both firms have the same marginal cost function MC1. In this situation each firm will set marginal cost equal to marginal revenue, thereby producing q1 at the price of P1, thus no conflict arises over a common price, unless the firms attempt to change their market shares. But what will happen in a situation where the firms have different cost functions? A situation where firms have different cost functions is also illustrated in Figure 2.1. From the figure it can be seen that in a situation where Firm 1 has a marginal cost function of MC1 it will produce q1 at the price of P1. Firm 2 has a marginal cost function of MC2 and will produce q2 at the price of P2. In this situation a 28 Levenstein and Suslow, ” What determines cartel success”, 2006 p. 45 Side 11 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective conflict will arise between the two firm’s preferences in price and output. Should the common price be P1 or P2? One approach to resolve this conflict is that the firm with the lowest price tries to induce it on the other producers. The firm that prefers the lowest price will have an advantage over the firm that prefers the higher price, because costumers will prefer the low price firm.29 And in case the higher price firm denies lowering its price, it will suffer low sales and pay with lost market shares. However, if the firm that prefers the higher price can afford to lose market share, the firm that prefers the lower price will eventually produce more output than the amount which maximizes its profit. Thus a conflict can easily escalate into an uncontrolled price war.30 Figure 2.2 (Source F.M Scherer & D. Ross p. 239) Similar problems will also arise in a situation where firms have disparate market shares. This situation is illustrated in Figure 2.2. The Figure illustrates an industry with two firms which have identical marginal cost functions. Firm 1 normally sells 60 percent of the duopoly´s output illustrated by demand curve D1 and marginal revenue function MR1. Firm 2 sells the remaining 40 percent illustrated by demand curve D2 and marginal revenue function MR2. Thus Firm 1 will prefer to produce q1 at the price of P1 while Firm 2 will prefer to produce q2 at the price of P2. So again there is a conflict between the firms´ preferences.31 29 NB the consumers will only be aware of the lower price, if there is consumer transparency on the market. F.M Scherer and D. Ross, ”Industrial market structure and economic performance”, 1990 p. 238 31 F.M Scherer and D. Ross, ”Industrial market structure and economic performance”, 1990 p. 239 30 Side 12 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective The two figures illustrate the coordination problem that arises when forming a cartel. Furthermore they illustrate how easy conflicts can arise between only two firms; imagine the difficulties in resolving a conflict if there were three firms or more. The ultimate solution to resolve the price preference conflicts is by making a rationalization cartel,32 whereby the cartel members agree on a common price, the total market output at the agreed price, on the allocation of output and profits between the member firms. The coordination problems just discussed are, however, not the only problems cartel members face. They also face the problems that arise in connection with sustaining collusion. The problems that arise in connection with sustaining collusion are three fold. The first problem in sustaining collusion is that firms will always have the temptation to unilaterally deviate from a collusive action, as by doing so will lead to an increase in profits.33 This would even be the case in a situation where firms are free to agree on the prices they set. To illustrate why firms always have the temptation to deviate, an economic model of cartel behaviour based on assumption of joint profit maximization is examined. Figure 2.3 Diagram A Diagram B Diagram C (Source Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson p. 174) A more thorough examination can be found in F.M. Scherer & David Ross, “Industrial market structure and economic performance”, pp 240-244 33 Massimo Motta, ”Competition policy: Theory and Practice”, 2004 p. 138 32 Side 13 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective In the joint profit-maximizing model in Figure 2.3 the case of an industry with two groups of firms is examined. One group forms a cartel and the other group consist of those outside the cartel. In the model following assumptions are made: large number of firms in each group all firms produce identical products all firms have identical cost there are no entry non-cartel firms are price-takers Diagram C in Figure 2.3 shows the non-cartel firms´ collective marginal cost function; this can also be interpreted as their supply function, because there are price-takers. Diagram B in Figure 2.3 on the other hand shows the collective marginal cost function and the residual demand curve for cartel firms. The residual demand curve is obtained by subtracting the non-cartel firms´ total supply at each price from the industry demand curve (DTotal). To maximize joint profit, cartel firms must choose the level of output where residual marginal revenue (MRCartel) equals the cartel firms´ collective marginal cost (∑MC i) in Q1 with the price P1. Thereby charting a monopoly price, because the price exceeds marginal cost.34 Projected to diagram C this means that with the price P1 non-cartel firms will produce Q2, thereby the total output in the industry will be Q1 + Q2. Diagram A compares the output and profit of a non-cartel firms and a cartel firm. As can be seen in the diagram each cartel firm produces q1 = Q1/K at the price of P1, and each non-cartel firm produces q2 = Q2/(N-K) at the price of P1. Furthermore non-cartel firms produce where price equals marginal cost. This means that the non-cartel firm actually produces more output than the cartel and at the same price, meaning that non-cartel firms have a higher profit. The comparison between the profits in diagram A illustrates why firms always have an incentive to deviate, because each cartel member knows that if it decides to deviate and increase their output, it can increase its profit. Furthermore the comparison makes one wonder why a firm should agree to be in the cartel in the first place, when it can earn a higher profit outside, without the risk of getting caught, and without all the cost and risk associated with forming a cartel? Being outside is of course 34 It must be remembered that a normal profit is included in marginal cost. Side 14 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective the optimal solution, however, if all potential cartel members think this way, the cartel will never be formed, and then no one would earn a higher profit.35 So that higher profit can be obtained from a collusive agreement have a destabilizing effect as it provides firms the incentive to deviate. Furthermore it must be emphasized that the firms incentive to deviate is not the only result from the prospect of higher profit, it also attract entry.36 The incentive to deviate will always exist, but there are some methods to reduce the incentive and thereby prevent cheating. The most efficient method is according to Stigler (1964), to collude on fixing market share or allocating customers, because contrary to price fixing it deprives cartel members the opportunity to obtain profit from secret price cutting. Stigler was not the only one to acknowledge market share allocation as a way to prevent cheating, Motta also acknowledge this, as market sharing allocation have the advantage of allowing prices to adjust to the new demand or the new cost conditions without triggering a price war.37 When we look at prosecuted cartels in the European Union, we see that many cartels use these methods. In fact O´des´ study38 found that 64.2 percent of the cartels contained market sharing agreements. Furthermore the study revealed that many cartels consisted of two or more agreements. (examined below). The acknowledgement that any collusive situation, by its nature, brings with it the incentive to deviate and therefore to break collusion leads to the second problem in sustaining collusion. The problem that arises is that the participants must be able to detect that a deviation (a firm charging a lower price or producing at a higher output level than agreed upon) has occurred. 39 Thus the participants must be able to monitor the rival firms´ behaviour. Monitoring becomes easier the more transparent the market is, because market transparency provides the participants the possibility to monitor each other’s price levels, production output and market targeting. Whereas a market with less transparency, with many actors, and low product homogeneity will make it difficult for the participants to detect a deviation. For instance imagine a market with imperfect information. In this situation firms may not be able to distinguish between cheating or adverse market conditions. So in order to sustain collusion cartel members must be able to monitor the rival firm´s behaviour. However, successful monitoring of deviation is of low significance if there is no mechanism for Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 174 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 34 37 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 36 38 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 51 39 Massimo Motta, “Cartels in the European Union: Economics, Law, Practice”, 2007 p. 3 35 36 Side 15 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective punishing the deviation of the collusive agreement. This leads to the third problem in sustaining collusion. Proper punishment mechanisms must be in place, because a firm is only likely to refrain from deviation if it knows that a deviation will be spotted and that it will be punished. Unfortunately the above mentioned circumstances are not the only constraints cartel members face. According to Porter they face an additional constraint -antitrust investigation. This means that the cartel not only have to enforce their agreement properly; it also has to make sure that it does not become visible to competition authorities or to their consumers/competitors outside the cartel.40 However, not everyone acknowledges antitrust investigation as being so important. According to Stigler the ability of the cartel to sustain an agreement depend crucially on firms ability to prevent entry, detect deviation and punish deviators41 The problems identified above can also be illustrated through a bargaining model developed by Williamson.42 The model views collusion primarily as a problem of contracting. In his view collusive agreements may or may not be lawful, but even in the event of an legal agreement it can’t always be relied on in court, therefore colluding firms must develop their own armoury to ensure compliance and develop mechanisms to punish non-compliant behaviour. Therefore to achieve and sustain collusion depend on a number of factors. The factors are (i) the ability to specify contractual relation correctly, (ii) the extent to which agreement can be reached over joint gains, (iii) uncertainty, (iv) monitoring, and (iiv) penalties. As can be seen the factors Williamson build his model on are almost identical with the former examination.43 An interesting observation of Williamson´s contracting approach is that it underlines the difference between the problems of a monopolist and the problems faced by a group of independent oligopolists. It is interesting because several theorists view oligopolistic collusion as an attempt to achieve a monopolistic outcome, and therefore treat successful cartels as effective monopolies. However, even though it is possible for some cartels to increase profit close to that of a monopolist, the reality is that many successful cartels do not increase their profit close to that of a monopolist and further the problems/challenges faced by a group of independent oligopolists is very different from that of a monopolist.44 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 36 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 34 42 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 pp 178-180 43 Due to the limitations of this thesis, these factors will not be further examined. For a more thorough analysis see Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 pp 178-180 44 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 pp 178-178 40 41 Side 16 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective 2.2 Facilitating factors As can be seen from the discussion above, certain markets are more prone to collusion than others, as coordination, monitoring and punishment becomes easier when certain factors are at hand. The purpose is therefore to examine which factors make collusion easier and therefore more likely to occur. Furthermore in modern industrial economics the analysis of collusion is based on the socalled incentive constraint. This means that each firm will compare the immediate gain it makes from a deviation, with the profit it will lose in the future (due to detection and punishment). Only in a situation where the former is lower that the latter will a firm chose the collusive strategy. 45 Therefore those factors which relax the incentive constraint facilitate collusion; the factors which make the incentive constraint more binding hinder collusion. The study of facilitating factors is important, because it enables the competition authorities to identify the practices that facilitate collusion, and therefore make it possible for them to intervene and eliminate them when possible. Here it is important to mention that the European Commission is responsible for many of the convictions being the “watch dog” of European competition policy. However, it must be remembered that even though the different factors can give an indication of where cartels are likely to occur, the fact is that we really don’t know for sure. In fact many cartels are presumed to remain secret and undetected. In principle, collusive behavior can occur in almost any market, and from evidence they appear in many different industries and contain different products. According to cartel prosecution from the Commission the list of industries with frequent cartel activities is long and diverse. So which factors make collusion easier and therefore more likely? Several factors facilitate collusion and can give an indication in which industries cartels are likely to occur. Some of the most important factors are examined below.46 The factors include the degree of seller concentration and the number of firms in the industry, barriers to entry, the degree of similarity in the firms cost structures, characteristics of their products and market shares, market transparency and exchange of information. As factors facilitating collusion, market transparency and information exchange is of particular interest to this thesis, as they are more easily regulated by the competition authority. Therefore market transparency and exchange of information will be elaborated on to a further extent, as opposed to the other structural factors. Massimo Motta, “Cartels in the European Union: Economics, Law, Practice”, 2007 p. 5 Other structural factors that might facilitate collusion could be multi-market contracts, cross-ownership and other links among competitors. 45 46 Side 17 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective 2.2.1 Structural factors Seller concentration and the number of firms: That firms find it easier to collude in industries with small number of firms, or high levels of concentration is a common hypothesis, which stems from group and coalition behaviour theories. The theories stipulate that an increase in numbers make the unanimity of goal diminish, thereby increasing the cost of forming/maintaining a cartel in form of heavier bargaining cost to agree on a common goal and by higher monitoring and enforcements cost.47 Scherer and Ross48 provided a theory suggesting three reasons for why collusion becomes harder with more firms. First, total output has to be divided between the participating firms, thus more firms means less output per firm, which make firms more likely to ignore their interdependence. Second, when the number of firms increase, the risk of detection becomes lower. Third, as stated above coordination becomes more difficult as the number of the firms increase due to that the unanimity in goals diminishes. That industries with small numbers are more prone to collusion is clearly indicated from the illustrations of the coordination’s conflicts discussed above. Empirical evidence also acknowledges the importance of concentration as can be seen in various studies. For instance Hay and Kelly49 made a study of 50 cases, where they found that in 38 of the cases the four-firm concentration ratio (CR4) was above 50 per cent. The study of cartels convictions in the European Union showed that the mean in 93 cases were 6.44.50 Furthermore the study revealed that the number of firms in a cartel actually change over time, therefore the mean on 6.44 may not reveal the true picture.51 Another reason why high seller concentration make it more likely for a cartel to occur, is that it helps to ensure that the output piece produced by non-cartel firms is relatively small and is likely to be tolerated by the cartel, opposed to a situation where the number of non-cartel firm is high.52 This is illustrated in Figure 2.3 above. Even though high seller concentration may lead to collusion it isn’t always the case. Many successful cartels have occurred in industries with fairly low concentration.53 However, in most cases the cartels have relied on trade associations, therefore the frequency of these cartels should be less in the European Union opposed to countries where there are no restrictions and monitoring of the trade associations´ behaviour. Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 184 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 184 49 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 184 50 Oindrila De ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 49 51 Oindrila De ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 49 52 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 184 53 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 185 47 48 Side 18 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective Asch and Seneca found no significant association between the degree of collusion and the number of firms. One explanation for this contradiction could be that very high concentration should lead to tacit collusion, but when the concentration becomes lower, a more explicit form of collusion is required as the numbers increase. For example in a industry with only three or four firms it is likely that coordination can occur informally, but as new firms enter, informal coordination might not be sufficient and the firms would have to make a more formal agreement.54 In the marine hose industry seller concentration can be assumed to relative high, as the cartel covers 90% of the market, furthermore Manuli had a market share below 10%, which indicate that over 80% was cover by five participants. As discussed above high seller concentration facilitate collusion. Furthermore economic studies suggest that high concentration help ensure that the output part produced by other market players is relatively small and are therefore likely to be tolerated. The marine hose industry contains a relative small number of firms, which makes it prone to collusion. Besides the six cartel participants only a few other firms was present. This gives an indication that the industry was prone to collusion because, as discussed previously, a small number of firms can facilitate collusion. Barriers to entry: High barriers to entry is also a factor which facilitates collusion, because the emergence of new entrants will in nearly all cases, have a negative impact on the cartel for two reasons.55 Imagine two different scenarios: in the first scenario the new entrant decides not to join the cartel and instead chooses to challenge the cartel by undercutting their price levels. In this case the cartel will have to undercut its price levels in order to compete with the new entrant, thereby breaking the cartel equilibrium. As will be explained further below this threat will decrease in the case of low consumer transparency. In the other scenario the new entrant instead decides to join the cartel. This case will result in a less concentrated market, which, according to the discussion above, will make it harder to sustain the cartel. In the marine hose industry, the other players, besides the cartel participants were rather insignificant, therefore it can be assumed that the cartel or the industry in itself had high entry barriers. This also facilitates collusion, as new entrants often involve a negative impact, as discussed previously. 54 55 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 185 Massimo Motta, “Competition policy: Theory and Practice”, 2004 p. 147 Side 19 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective Symmetry in cost structures, products and market shares: Symmetries in cost structures, products and market shares are all factors that are conducive to successful collusion, symmetries in other areas can also be conducive, such as similar patterns of firm evolution, technologies, capacities and number of varieties in the product portfolio.56 Cost structure: Symmetry in cost structure can make it easier for firms to collude for several reasons. First of all, firms where the average cost curve decreases as the output increases may be reluctant to collude in the first place. Second, if one firm is smaller than the others it may find it difficult to restrict output as this will take away its ambition for further growth. Symmetry in cost and capacity are the only structural characteristics where consistent results have been found.57 In the marine hose industry, even though the Decision dont reveal any information about cost structure in the marine hose industry, it can be assumed that the firms in the industry have similar cost structure, since the standard regulation in the industry is almost identical worldwide. However, if we look at the annual turnover in Table 158, it is fair to assume that some, especially Bridgestone can have some economic of scale advantages and therefore if we only look at the cartel participants, they are not considered to have cost symmetry. Products: Symmetry in products can make it easier for firms to collude, empirical evidence reported by Hay and Kelly supports this finding, because when firms produce homogeneous or nearly homogeneous products, the cartel members only have to focus on a narrow range of price decisions, which make it easier for them to reach a common agreement. Furthermore the members only have to monitor one price, contrary to a situation where members have to monitor and agree on a price for each product.59 Further evidence to support this finding is given by the European Courts, since many cartel convictions in the EU have involved highly homogenous products, such as cement, vitamins, steel tubes, sugar and soda ash.60 Another problem avoided with homogeneous products is the question of punishment. How shall members punish the deviating firm? Should all the nondeviating firms punish or just the one with the closest substituting products? However, product differentiation can have a positive effect on the cartel stability in a situation where the cartel Massimo Motta, “Competition policy: Theory and Practice”, 2004 p. 147 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 35 58 However, it must be remembered that the turnover includes all their product and not only Marine hoses, therefore it can be misleading, but some of their methods for producing might overlap. 59 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 187 60 A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 863 56 57 Side 20 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective members has substantial brand loyalty, in this situation the temptation to deviate is decreasing, as the deviation firms will find it hard to win over consumers.61 The marine hose industry contains homogenous products, as all firms have to live up to the same standard regulations. That the products are homogeny make the industry more prone to collusion. Product homogeneity facilitates collusion as the cartel participants easier overcome the coordination problems, when they only have to focus on a narrow range of price decisions, furthermore it facilitate monitoring and punishment. Market shares: Symmetry in market shares make it easier for firms to collude. A reason for market shares to be similar could be that the large firms have already eliminated the smaller firms through competition. Asymmetric market shares on the other hand can have a negative effect on successful collusion, because divergence of views is likely to occur between the small and large firms. E.g. the small firms may be reluctant to restrict output based on existing market shares, because this can deprive them the opportunity to grow, while the large firm wishes to collude to enhance their dominance through collusion. Compte et al. study a situation where the firms were similar, but had different capacity. In this situation firms that had spare capacity were tempted to deviate, contrary to a firm that had limited capacity, because the firm with limited capacity was not able to provide threats in the event that the other firms increased their output.62 Even though symmetry in market shares often enhance successful collusion, it has been argued that unequal market shares in a situation where some firms act as leaders while others as followers, actually created a degree of stability and order.63 However the study of European cartels revealed that asymmetry in cartels market share increased the hazard of cartel breakup, which confirms the theoretical prediction, that in a situation where the firms market shares are too asymmetric it becomes extremely difficult to continue the collusive agreement.64 In the marine hose industry the market shares of the individual producers is not revealed, except for Manuli. Manuli had a market share of less than 10%. Because of spare information, it is difficult to conclude with any certainty whether symmetry in market shares was present in the industry, which could facilitate collusion. However, if we look at each participant annual turnover in Table 1, even Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 37 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 186 63 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 187 64 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 57 61 62 Side 21 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective though it includes all products, it does provide an indication of asymmetry in market shares between participants. Furthermore the cartel covered over 90% of the market, which means that producers outside the cartel had small market shares. Therefore it must be assumed that the industry was characterised by asymmetric market shares. Even though asymmetric market shares do not facilitate collusion it may affect stability. As discussed above, asymmetry in market shares can have a negative effect on collusion, as it may deprive small undertakings the opportunity to grow. Manuli exist65 could be an indication for this. However economic studies also reveal that unequal market shares in a situation where some firms act as leaders can create a degree of stability and order. An indication for this effect could be that Bridgestone and Parker ITR for a long period were coordinators.66 Besides the structural factors described above, which are all exogenous to the firms, in what follows attention will be on those facilitating factors which the firms have some control over, meaning the firms have the possibility to increase transparency by the exchange of information. 2.2.2 Market transparency and exchange of information As can be seen from the above discussion the detection of deviators is a main ingredient for achieving and sustaining collusion. Therefore the observability of firms´ actions become a crucial factor to sustain collusion, which means that those factors which help firms improve the observability of firms´ actions must facilitate collusion.67 Market transparency is best described as a measurement of the availability of information on the market. The more information available on a market, the higher the level of transparency is in that market. Transparency gains can come from any of the structural factors examined above. For instance, high symmetry can lead to increased information of competitors´ structures and capacities, product homogeneity can lead to increased information between competitors of their products. But even though these structural factors enhance transparency between competitors, the main key to increased transparency is through direct/indirect communication and exchange of information between competitors. The question is whether transparency has the effect of making collusion easier or harder to sustain? The answer is slightly ambiguous, as was the case with close to all the structural factors examined 65 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 55 67 Massimo Motta, “Cartels in the European Union: Economics, Law, Practice”, 2007 p. 6 66 Side 22 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective above. Furthermore to examine the effect of transparency an important distinction has to be made between producer transparency and consumer transparency. Producer transparency: Green and Porter have shown that lack of information about competitor prices make collusion harder to sustain.68 The reason is that when the market lacks producer transparency, the cartel cannot monitor the participants and therefore they will not know whether a sudden decrease in sales is because of a deviation by one of the participants or due to a negative shock in demand. Lack of transparency can therefore lead to a costly “price war”, when the punishment mechanisms are triggered unnecessarily i.e. when the decrease in sales was due to a negative shock in demand. Increased producer transparency, on the other hand, will facilitate collusion,69 as it increases the observalility between participants, rendering detection lags of deviations and the decision-making more efficient and reliable, as it ensures that only real deviators are punished. From a legal perspective, high producer transparency is somewhat ambiguous. On the one hand it can make it harder to prove the existence of a cartel, as conduct on a market which appears to be cartel behaviour, may be explained by firms acting intelligently to the existing and anticipated conduct of their competitors. On the other hand high producer transparency can make it easier for the anti-trust authorities to disclose anomalies in a market and therefore detect cartels. Consumer transparency: low consumer transparency facilitates collusion, as it provides an efficient barrier to entry, because the consumer will not be aware of the new firms, even in a situation where the new firms have lower prices and higher quality. High consumer transparency can have an adverse effect on collusion. On one hand it makes it easier for consumers to react to price cuts, thereby tempting participants to deviate from the collusion, furthermore this could also affect the forms decision to participate in the collusion in the first place, on the other hand high consumer transparency can facilitate collusion as earnings after a deviation or a breakdown will be lower, as it increases competition in the industry, which will refrain participants from deviation.70 In the Marine hoses industry is can be assumed that the symmetry in cost and products have lead to increased information of competitors structure and of their products, It is difficult to make any assumptions on the degree of transparency in the marine hose industry, as the Decision reveals little information. However, as indicated above the presence of seller concentration, relative few numbers of firms and symmetry in cost and products, must have provided some degree of producer Massimo Motta, “Cartels in the European Union: Economics, Law, Practice”, 2007 p. 6-7 Konkurrenceredegørelse, ”markedsgennemsigtighed”, 2004 p. 6 70 Konkurrenceredegørelse, ”markedsgennemsigtighed”, 2004 p. 6 68 69 Side 23 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective transparency. Regarding consumer transparency, marine hoses for new products are usually purchased through a contractor. A tradition among most contractors in the industry was to request sealed bids from several suppliers of marine hose71. Sealed bids give an indication of some degree of consumer transparency, as information concerning prices is easily compared. The transparency in the Marine hose industry is therefore relatively low, except for some degree of producer transparency, which to some degree facilitates collusion. Information exchange: As already mentioned transparency is increased by the exchange of information whether it is direct or indirect. Direct exchange of information can take the form of communication between firms or between firms and customers. Indirect exchange of information can take the form of competitors action, structural factors or market characteristics. The impact on collusion of the particular information exchange depends largely on the type of information exchanged. Based on an article by Møllgaard and Overgaard72, which to a large extent draw on the work by Kühn on the subject of information exchange, the collusive outcome of the particular information exchange is dependent on a number of relatively distinguishable factors. The first distinction that can be made is between type of information is whether the information is (i) about planned future behaviour and conduct or (ii) about past and present behaviour and conduct. The first type is referred to as soft and non-verifiable information about intentions, and relates to information on planned future prices, planned production, launch of new products or services, planned capacity changes etc. The second type is referred to as hard and verifiable information, and relates to past and present prices, content of order books, investments made, input prices in contracts made with suppliers and information about individual or groups of customers. For both main types of information, a distinction that can be made between whether the information exchanged is private (information is exclusive to the firms) or publicly (information is transmitted to potential customers and entrants) available. This distinction is noteworthy because information between competitors, which is not transmitted to potential customers and entrants, facilitates collusion. In particular, when the information about planned future behaviour and conduct is held in a private forum, as it has the potential to solve problems of strategic uncertainty. Furthermore it helps to overcome the coordination problems discussed previously. 71 72 John C. Beyer, ”Are Global Cartels More Effective Than “National” Cartels?”, 2010 p. 6 Overgaard, møllgaard, ”Information exchange, Market transparency and Dynamic oligopoly”, 2005 pp. 16-17 Side 24 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective If we look at information about past and present conduct a further distinction can be made between whether the information exchanged is aggregated (information about a sufficient number of market participants so that recognition of individual data is impossible) or individualized (information about a specific market participant). Exchange of highly disaggregated data aid collusion while aggregated information has a limited effect, except in situations with a limited number of firms, as not much will be concealed in this situation. Møllgard and Overgaard provided some recommendations for the competition authorities regarding which information should be considered illegal.73 According to their recommendations private communication between firms about future prices and production plans should be illegal, however if this communication that place in public and if it commits firms vis a vis potential customers to a significant extent, it should not be illegal. The exchange of individualized information about past and present prices and quantities is highly suspect; therefore an “efficiency defence” is suggested. The exchange of individualized past and present cost and demand data should be handled with care. Therefore a “rule of reason” treatment with the presumption that the exchange is benign is suggested. The exchange of aggregated data seem largely innocent, however the effective extent must be checked. In the marine hose industry the presence of several facilitating factors such as high seller concentration and a relative small number of firms, entry barriers, symmetry in cost structure and product homogeneity, together with some degree of producer transparency all support the economic theory. Furthermore the factors indicate that the cartel could have been anticipated by the Commission. In the examination of which structural factors facilitates collusion, the answers on many factors were slightly ambiguous, however they due provide an indication of where collusion is likely to occur and can be used by the competition authorities to estimate in which industries collusion is likely to occur. Furthermore it is important to emphasise that the factors which facilitates collusion also have an effect on cartel stability, therefore these factors will also be taking into consideration in the next section. 73 Overgaard, møllgaard, ”Information exchange, Market transparency and Dynamic oligopoly”, 2005 p. 17 Side 25 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective 3. Which factors affect cartel stability Present section examines the factors that can have an effect on the stability of a cartel. The different factors can be divided in two groups. The first group contains those factors which are related to market structure. The second group contains those factors which are related to the cartels´ internal situation. Furthermore the leniency programs effect on cartel stability will be examined. Before continuing with the examination, some general remarks about the stability within the marine hoses cartel must be commented on. The marine hoses cartel contained three different periods. The first period from 1986-1997 can be characterised as stable. The second period from 1997-2000 can be characterised as instable and the period from 2000 until detection can again be characterised as stable. 3.1 factors in the market structure Cartel stability is contingent on a number of factors. Some of these factors – such as seller concentration, buyer concentration, fluctuation in demand – are inherent in the market structure, thus they cannot be influenced by the cartel Seller concentration and number of firms: High seller concentration and number of firms are factors conducive to the formation of a cartel. However, these factors can also have an impact on the stability after the cartel has been formed. Small number of firms makes it easier to monitor and achieve effective communication. According to Dolbear “the number of firms in the market had a significant effect upon average profit and price under both information states [incomplete and complete information]….finally stability increased as the number of firms decreased”.74 The early studies on the effect of the number of firms have always found a positive relationship between number of firms and cartel stability; however recent studies suggest the opposite and reveal a negative relationship between number of firms and stability.75 Ceteris paribus the number of firms must have some positive effect on stability, as a small number makes it easier to overcome the problems, discussed previously, to sustain and achieve a collusive outcome. The Marine hoses cartel only involved six participants. That it only involved six participants indicate stability, as coordination, monitoring and detection became easier. 74 75 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 189 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 42 Side 26 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective Buyer concentration: Similarly to seller concentration, buyer concentration can also have a negative or positive effect on stability.76 Buyer concentration can have a positive effect, because it is plausible that it enhances the stability of a cartel, if there is a situation where buyer concentration is low and buyers have little market power. As opposed to a negative effect: in a situation where buyers have large market power and buyer concentration is high. The latter will cause instability in the cartel due to the bargaining power of the buyer, here the buyer can threaten agreed priced by threaten to switch to alternative suppliers etc. The real effect of buyer concentration has been debated. Erickson77 examined this factor in two cases without finding evidence for powerful buyers affecting the stability. In contrast other examinations support the effect on stability and reach the conclusion that large buyers encourage suppliers to deviate from cartel agreements. A situation where buyer concentrations defiantly have a negative effect on stability is when an industry supplies a small number of larger buyers, in this situation orders are often large and infrequent, which tempt the participants to defect by offering secret price reductions. This negative effect also stems from the fact that cartels in an industry with infrequent orders are more vulnerable.78 Fluctuations in demand: Changes in market demand have an impact on cartel stability. When demand grows it increases the cartel participants´ possibility of harsher punishment, because retaliation on a bigger share has a higher impact on the deviating firm. 79 However, the introduction of leniency provides the participants a possibility to escape this, by reporting the infringement to the competition authority.80 When on the other hand the demand decrease, firms are tempted to undercut the cartel price in a bid to protect their sales volumes. Moreover, fluctuating demand may increase the uncertainty in the market, which can lead to cartel breakdown in cases where the cartel is not well equipped to deal with uncertain situations.81 The marine hose industry is characterised by fluctuations as it largely depends on development in the oil sector. Furthermore demand is cyclical and to some extent linked to the development in oil prices. As discussed earlier, fluctuations in demand can have an adverse effect on stability. The marine hose cartel has experienced several increases in demand during the years of existence. These Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 194 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 194 78 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 195 79 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 55 80 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 55 81 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 55 76 77 Side 27 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective increases can have had a positive effect, as it has increase the possibilities of harsher punishments. However, the introduction of leniency provides the participants a possibility to escape these. Even though increase in demand may have a positive effect, they can also have had the adverse effect, as fluctuations in demand can cause uncertainty in the market. Instability in the marine hose cartel was seen in the second period. Within this period prices dropped considerably and certain documents suggest a regular “price war”.82 The instability may have been coursed by fluctuations in demand. As for the future demand, the continuing search for oil reserves is leading exploration into deeper and harsher offshore environments, which means that demand for marine hoses will continue. Entry: Easy entry undermines the stability and profitability of collusion in the long run for two reasons. First the non-cartel firm may wish to set a price below the cartel price, thereby encroaching on the profits from the cartel participants, which will threat the stability of the cartel.83 Second the entrant may wish to join the cartel, which means that coordination and monitoring becomes more difficult. However entry is not always a problem. In O´de´s study of European cartels, 35 cases revealed that firms had entered the cartel when the cartel was already in operation.84 Furthermore the study revealed that in a situation where firms entered into the cartel late it did have a destabilizing effect. Whereas the situation where some of the cartel participants chose an early exit, appeared to have a stabilizing effect.85 One possible explanation is that entry by a firm increases the number of participants in the cartel, which destabilizes the agreement, whereas exit from a cartel does not have any significant effect. Non-price competition: Non-price competition is likely to have a negative effect on cartel stability, because the main purpose of collusion is to avoid competition. Therefore little purpose is served by agreeing to fix prices or restrict output if the cartel members start to compete in other areas. Nonprice competition can take the form of expensive advertising campaigns or by simultaneous launch of new and competing brands. Symeonies provides evidence to establish this in the form of a negative relationship between the level of advertising and the degree of collusion.86 Market transparency: Market transparency can have a major influence on cartel stability. Consumer transparency makes the cartel unstable, because it makes it easier for the participants to defect, 82 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 43 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 196 84 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 46 85 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 57 86 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 192 83 Side 28 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective because the consumers are able to recognise that one firm charges a lower price. If there was no consumer transparency the consumer would not necessarily buy at the low price. Producer transparency on the other hand makes the cartel more stable because the participation firms are able to monitor and detect a deviation. It has been established that several structural factors can have an impact on cartel stability; however, structural factors are not the only factors which may affect stability. Below the internal factors which may have an effect on stability will be examined. 3.2 Internal factors The internal factors which may affect the stability are different goals among members, monitoring and detection of cheating, punishment and some non-economic factors. Different goals among members: Different goals among members will always have a negative impact on the stability of the cartel. For instance, if two firms seek stable long-run policies and the other two firms seek short-run policies it is hardly unlikely that the cartel will ever become stable.87 Difference between goals can be coursed by different motives for joining the collusion. If for instance one firm is motivated by diminishing uncertainties, increasing prices may not be on the agenda, which will make it unlikely that they will ever agree with a firm whose motivation is purely higher profit. Monitoring and detection of cheating: The effect of monitoring and detection of cheating on cartel stability have been questioned in the economic literature. According to Stigler monitoring and detection of cheating is essential for a cartel to become stable, and in his view the mere threat of detection is a sufficient deterrent.88 It is questionable, whether the mere threat of detection is a sufficient deterrent, as discussed previously, as the cartel participants will chose to defect when the incentive constraint is violated, i.e. when the profit from deviation is higher than detection and punishment. The study of European cartels found that the modern cartels in Europe are well aware of the importance of proper monitoring and punishments mechanisms. They adopted various methods to monitor their agreements. One method they used was to make additional agreements as a monitoring devise. Although some of the cartels concluded only market sharing or price fixing 87 88 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 190 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 192 Side 29 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective agreements, but the majority of them used additional agreements. The additional agreements used consisted of limiting output, investment, capacity agreement, formal information exchange, collective exclusive dealing and other exclusionary practices.89 Another monitoring devise often used in the European cartel cases was the use of trade associations or the appointment of market leader(s). The leaders are in some cases price leaders in the markets, while in others they only help to organize the cartel. In the marine hose cartel monitoring was very easy, as the main key to increased transparency is through direct/indirect communication and exchange of information between competitors. Therefore it can be assumed that transparency within the cartel is very high, as the cartel participants regularly communicated directly and indirectly. Communication occurred through meetings, fax and by telephone. Furthermore the cartel participants regularly exchanged information, which provided them with a nearly complete picture of the current and expected sales.90 The high transparency made monitoring easy. Furthermore the cartel consisted of several agreements, which also makes it easier to monitor. However, that a cartel consists of several agreements is not necessarily positive, O´de´s study actually revealed that when numbers of agreements exceed three, it actually had a negative effect on stability.91 The marine hose cartel consisted of six agreements, which indicate that it may have had a negative on stability. Punishment: Efficient punishment mechanisms are essential to gain stability, as pointed out above. Punishments can take various forms, but often cartels use retaliation to punish. The study of European cartels shows that when cheating occurred, the cartels used both retaliatory price war as well as a compensation mechanism, as punishment strategies.92 Punishment mechanisms were present in the marine hose cartel. The instability in the second period, which caused a “price war”, could have been a punishment of Manuli. Furthermore the cartel provided for compensations mechanisms in the case where a champion lost a tender; this transfer mechanism reduces the incentive to cheat. Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 51 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 62 91 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 55 92 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 54 89 90 Side 30 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective Non economic factors: Besides the economic factors examined above there are also some non economic factors which can have an effect on cartel stability.93 Non economic factors such as, leadership, trust and the social background of the cartel members may therefore also be relevant. -Leadership is a very important factor, because forming a cartel requires that someone is willing to take the lead and organize discussions and negotiations.94 Without a leader to take control, the cartel will suffer from instability, not only in the initial phase when the cartel is forming, but throughout the cartel´s lifetime, as the cartel will always face externalities in different forms, which requires new discussions and negotiations. -Trust between cartel members is also a very important factor as trust makes a successful collusion more likely.95 Imagine a cartel where there is no trust among the cartel members, how should they overcome the problems that arise in achieving and sustaining collusion? It would be almost impossible; therefore trust is necessary if the cartel wants to be successful. -Social homogeneity is also a non economic factor that might influence cartel stability. In a situation where cartel members share the same social background, it will enhance the group stability, because when people share the same social background they often feel a close connection to one another. The feeling of belonging will diminish the possibility for deviation, as deviation will result in social exclusion and not only economic retaliation.96 -Group homogeneity is also likely to enhance stability, as a group with a common goal will develop a sense of mutual belonging. If a cartel faces external threats the common goal could be survival. The greater the external threat, the greater the cohesiveness of the group which will mean a decreased chance of defection.97 It is difficult to comment on the non-economic factors in the marine hose cartel, as the Decision only reveal little information, but leadership can be assumed to be present in the cartel. The indication of leadership stem from Bridgestone and DOM as coordinators in the early period.98 After the second period Parker ITR took over the leading role and when the cartel had regained Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 198 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 198 95 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 199 96 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 200 97 Lipczynski; Goddard and Wilson, “Industrial Organization”, 2005 p. 200 98 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 55 93 94 Side 31 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective stability, CC became coordinator.99 Furthermore an indication for lack of trust, which may have a negative effect on stability is found in a fax from 2000, which reads “a slow process until both sides have got full confidence in each other”, however this could also be explained by Manuli deviation or the long period of instability.100 To establish whether the marine hose cartel would have dissolved or continued without the interference from the Commission, further elements needs to be taken into consideration. In June 2006 instability reoccurred when Yokohama substantially chose to undercut the cartel prices for a tender issued by Shell Asia.101 Yokohama deviated and existed the cartel, exist does not have an effect on stability, but the fact that Yokohama left may have coursed instability as it continued in the market and therefore removed a large output piece from the cartel. However, an email found at CC house after the exit of Yokohama, in were CC complained that his "biggest problem at this point is confidence in the arrangements" and claimed that "given the current system (…) we must have some procedure or ability in place to punish cheaters", and also stated that "communication is a problem" because "if we (…) cannot communicate with the players when we need to, confidence is lost and prices must drop in an attempt to ensure an award".102 The email indicates that trust is still lacking and furthermore it indicates that proper information and punishment mechanisms were not in place. Proper punishment mechanisms and obervability, as discussed previously, are essential for sustainability and stability within a cartel. Whether the cartel would have dissolved or continued is difficult to say. On one hand several elements in the cartel indicate stability and therefore suggest that the cartel would have been able to continue. On the other hand several elements indicate instability and therefore suggest that the cartel would have dissolved on its own. Especially the email indicates the latter. Irrespective of whether the cartel would have dissolved or continued, the fact is that Yokohama applied for leniency at the time it chose to exit the cartel. 99 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 56 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 31 101 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 52 102 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 53 100 Side 32 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective 3.3 Leniency programmes The Commission’s introduction of the leniency program can have different effect on cartel formation. First of all it have the effect to make cartels unstable and maybe even restrain some forms from forming a cartel in the first place, however it can also amount to a situation where firms enter into a cartel and use the leniency as a strategic move, then we will have a situation where every firm is just waiting for the right time to confess. The benefit from immunity can be substantial given the Commission power to impose a fine of up to 10 percent of the firms turnover According to game theory103, collusion makes sense because it enables profit maximation to the firms. The same logic is used in leniency programmes, as it suggest to firms that it is in their interest to confess. Table 2 illustrate the prisoners´ dilemma created by leniency programs. Table 2 Firm 2 Confess Confess Do not confess Fines reduced for both Firms 1 gets reduced firms, but not as much as fine if only on firms confess Firm 1 Do not confess Firm 2 gets reduced Neither fine firms get reduced fines (Source: Giorgio Monti p. 333) In the table firm 1 and firm 2 are the only cartel participants and the Commission has accused them of collusion. The two firms face two choices: to confess that the cartel existed or to stay quiet. The use of leniency programmes means that the choice one firm takes has an effect on the other firm. In Table 3 the four possibilities that arise are shown. If both firms confess, they will both avoid the full weight of a fine. If only one confess it will get a reduced fine. If both firms refuse to confess they can still earn the profit from collusion, unless the Commission reveal other proof of collusion. The firms see the probability that the Commission will uncover the infringement as relatively high and therefore they will have an incentive to confess. Thus even though not confessing is profitable, these profits will decrease with the probability of being caught and paying a fine. As the firm first to 103 Giorgio Monti, ”EC Competition Law”, 2007 pp. 333-334 Side 33 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective confess “wins” the greatest reduction, with a strong possibility of immunity the leniency programme can lead to a “race” to confess.104 The use of the prisoners´ dilemma model to illustrate the leniency programmes effect on stability might not reveal the real picture, as leniency programmes differs from an ideal prisoners´ dilemma situation in two aspects. Firstly the Commission often lack enough evidence to convict cartel participants, since it often is difficult to investigate and even to detect cartels without the cooperation of the cartel participants.105 Secondly in the case of leniency certainty might be missing regarding whether the applicant firm is eligible for immunity or fines reduction. As a result the firms dominant strategy is not automatically confession as in the case of the basic prisoners´ dilemma situation, which means that in reality leniency programmes might not have a destabilizing effect on cartel.106 However, cartel stability is contingent on a number of factors, as discussed above, which indicate that cartels tend to be rather unstable. This instability provide an incentive to defect, by minimizing the cost of defection and therefore the dominant strategy for cartel participants is to confess. Thus the leniency notice will only have a negative effect on cartel stability in cases where the cartels are already facing instability. The marine hose cartel illustrates a situation where leniency was used as a strategic move. Yokohama defected from the agreement and immediately after he applied for leniency. 4. Welfare consequences from collusion Present section will examine the economic consequences from collusion to get an understanding of why collusion can have a deleterious effect on welfare. Furthermore the actual harm from cartels and the efficiency savings from horizontal cooperation will be examined. The problem with collusion is that it allows firms to exert market power they would not otherwise have; they artificially restrict competition and increase prices, thereby reducing welfare. To understand why collusion has a negative effect on welfare, the welfare consequences of market power and the economic effects hereof will be examined. So why can collusion have a deleterious effect on society? To answer this question we need to understand the economic effects of market power, as collusion allows firms to exert market power. Giorgio Monti, ”EC Competition Law”, 2007 pp. 333-334 Guidelines on the method of setting fines imposed pursuant to Article 23(2)(a) of Regulation No1/2003 (2006/C 210/02), para. 3 106 Leslie, Christopher R, ”Antitrust Amnesty, Game theory, and cartel stability”, 2006 p. 457 104 105 Side 34 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective The economic effects of market power are to misallocate resources, to redistribute income from consumers to producers, and to reduce aggregate economic welfare. These effects are illustrated in Figure 4.1 where a comparison is made of competition and monopoly. Figure 4.1 (Source: Stephen Martin p. 28 In Figure 4.1 we can see that if an industry is competitive, quantity demanded will be Qc at the price of Pc (were price is equal marginal cost), A monopolist on the other hand will equate marginal revenue and marginal cost, thereby restricting output from Qc to Q m at the price Pm, which means that the monopoly price is higher by ∆P = Pm – Pc . The cost to society – the opportunity cost – of a unit of output in this industry is c. Output under monopoly is restricted by ∆Q = Qc –Qm units. The consequence of this restriction is that some consumers withdraw from the market and spend their income on other products. They withdraw from the market even though they are willing to pay at least the cost of production, because they are unwilling to pay the monopoly price. Under competition consumers´ surplus is the area P cAE, but under monopoly the area of consumers´ surplus is only P mAB. The loss in consumers´ surplus is therefore the area PcPmBE. This loss can be divided in two parts. The first part is the area PcPmBG ∆PQm. This area represents an income transfer from the consumers to the producers. The second part of the loss is the triangle GBE – (1/2)∆P∆Q. This area represents the remaining loss of consumers´ surplus and is not balanced by the income transfer to the monopolist. Therefore this Side 35 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective area is referred to as the deadweight loss (DWL) on society from market power. It measures the aggregate welfare loss to producer and consumers which occur due to the monopolistic output restriction.107 Thus the cost of monopoly is considered to be the social value of the output the monopolist does not produce. However, using the DWL to measure the cost of market power means that the income transfer from consumers to producers is not regarded as a loss. The question whether the income transfer should be considered a welfare cost of monopoly has and is still a subject of lively controversy. There is no correct answer to the question, since the answer depends on a political judgment. In some societies the transfer of income from consumers to producers is considered as socially acceptable, while in others they are not. According to George and Jacquemin108 (1990) the goal in EC competition policy seems to be to maximize consumers´ surplus rather than the sum of consumers and producers, therefore the income transfer from consumers to producers seems undesirable. Whether or not the transfer of income is considered as socially acceptable, there is another problem with using DWL to measure the cost of market power. The problem is that DWL disregard the cost of obtaining the status of a monopolist. When a firm wish to obtain a monopoly status or wish to maintain a monopoly position, they must allocate resources for that goal. Resources allocated to the establishment of monopoly power can include; - persuasive advertising, needed to convince consumers that alternative brand are inferior. – Resources needed to pre-empt potential entrants from entering the industry. Also, excessive production or investment in capital for the purpose of making entry unprofitable for potential competitors. – lobbying cost, needed to convince the legislators that a particular monopoly is not harmful.109 The cost of such strategies reduce social welfare and are not included in the DWL. Stephen Martin, “Industrial economics – economic analysis and public policy”, 1994 p. 29 Stephen Martin, “Industrial economics – economic analysis and public policy”, 1994 p. 30 109 Oz Shy, “Industrial organisation: Theory and application”, 1995 p, 74 107 108 Side 36 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective The cost of market power can be measured. The first attempt was made by Harberger (1954), where he estimated the DWL for 73 U.S manufacturing industries using the model in Figure 4.2 Figure 4.2 model for estimating DWL ∆𝑄 𝐷𝑊𝐿 = ½∆𝑃∆𝑄 = ½(∆𝑃)2 ( ) ∆𝑃 𝑃𝑚−𝐶 2 𝑃𝑚 ∆𝑄 = ½[ ] 𝑃 𝑄 𝑃𝑚 𝑄𝑚 ∆𝑃 𝑚 𝑚 = ½[ 𝑃𝑚 𝑄𝑚 −𝐶𝑄𝑚 2 𝑃𝑚 𝑄𝑚 ] 𝑃𝑚 𝑄𝑚 𝜀𝑄𝑃 = ½𝑟 2 𝑃𝑚 𝑄𝑚 𝜀𝑄𝑃. Harberger´s method had some shortcomings and is best regarded as a lower bound estimate. Cowling and Mueller (1978) made some changes to Harberger´s methodology in an attempt to make an upper bound estimate. The changes involved the way elasticity of demand was estimated, the estimate used for normal rate of return on capital, the use of firm rather than industry data, and the cost of monopolization.110 Table 3 compare results from the two different methods for estimating DWL. As can be seen from Table 2 the results are very different, the Cowling-Muller estimates are significant higher than Harberger type of estimates. Furthermore the table indicate the importance of monopolizations cost. Table 3 Alternative estimates of the welfare cost of market power DWL General Motors AT&T All firms As a percentage of DWL + Monopolization Har C&M 123.4 1060.5 0 448.2 0.40 0 4527.1 3.96 Har C&M 770.2 1,780.3 781.1 1,025.0 8440.1 14,997.6 7.39 13.14 corporate output (Source: Stephen Martin p. 36) Stephen Martin, “Industrial economics – economic analysis and public policy”, 1994 p. 33 110 Side 37 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective 4.1 Effects of Cartels Above it was established that collusion could have a deleterious effect on welfare, the question then is whether all colluding firms are able to raise prices and profit relative to the situation absent the cartel? Apparently the effect a cartel has on prices depends on the specific cartel, some cartels have succeeded in raising prices and profits and some haven’t. Some cross-section studies found that some did and Ecklos study111 of fifty-one cartels showed that in nineteen cases the cartels were able to raise prices 200 percent above the unit cost of production and distributing. An interesting observation in both Griffin (1989) and Eckbo (1976) studies112 is that cartels are more successful at increasing prices, when some of the structural factors, discussed above, which facilitate collusion, such as seller concentration, small number of firms, homogeneity in cost and size is present. Thus there is an indication that factors facilitating collusion also have a positive effect on the ability of the cartel to increase prices. Other cross-section study also confirms that cartels are likely to increase prices.113 It is difficult to estimate the effect of the marine hose cartel, but if we assume that the indication above is true, the marine hose cartel would have been successful at raising prices. Furthermore the cartel participants also indicate this in the Decision.114 4.2 Efficiency savings from horizontal cooperation As suggested by many economist, horizontal cooperation can be motivated by goals other than joint profit maximation which aim is to restrict competition, these other motivations goals are beneficial to societal welfare, thus it is necessary that competition law take these efficiencies into account, rather than focusing solely on the anti-competitive effects of cooperation.115 The efficiency goals that can derive from horizontal cooperation can take the form of economies of scale and scope, advantages in marketing and distribution, and in research and development. Economic of scale refers to decrease in the firms average cost per unit, as the scale of output increases. Economic of scope refers to lowering average cost for a firm when producing two or more products. Advantages in marketing and distribution refer to the pooling and streamlining, the Levenstein and Suslow, ” What determines cartel success”, 2006 p. 80 Levenstein and Suslow, ” What determines cartel success”, 2006 p. 80 113 Levenstein and Suslow, ” What determines cartel success”, 2006 p. 81 114 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 53 115 Roger J. Van den Berg and Peter D. Camesasca ”European competition law and economics – a comparative perspective” 2001 p. 182 111 112 Side 38 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective ability to offer distributors a broader product line and the sharing of advertising cost. Research and development refers to substantial cost savings through knowledge-transfer and innovation.116 As can be seen from above several efficiencies can be derived from cooperation and the competition law needs to take these into consideration. 5 Conclusion In present chapter the economic theory of collusion has been discussed in detail. It has been established that coordination, monitoring and punishment are necessary ingredients in achieving and sustaining collusion. That certain ingredients is necessary makes certain markets more prone to collusion than others, as coordination, monitoring and punishment becomes easier with certain factors at hand. The factors which facilitate collusion are seller concentration; number of firms; barriers to entry; symmetries in cost structure, products and market shares. Producer transparency has been found to be of extreme importance, as it enables firms to monitor the other´s behaviour, which is considered necessary to sustain collusion. Exchange of information is the main key to increase transparency, and is therefore considered extremely important. Cartel stability is contingent on a number of factors. There seems to be consensus in the literature about which factors affect stability albeit there seems to be a dispute on the effect of some of the factors. Leniency programs were found to have a destabilizing effect in cases where cartels were already facing instability. The theory on market power established why collusion can have a deleterious effect on welfare and that deadweight loss is not the only cost stemming from it. The cost of monopolizations must also be taken into consideration. The economic studies of cartels´ ability to increase prices established that many cartels did increase prices, however not all, which supports the fact that profit is not the only motive behind collusion. In contrast it was established that horizontal cooperation can also lead to efficiency gains. Roger J. Van den Berg and Peter D. Camesasca ”European competition law and economics – a comparative perspective” 2001 pp. 182-191 116 Side 39 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective Part 3: Legal analysis of cartels In the previous part cartels were discussed from an economic perspective. First some general insights on collusion were provided, second the factors which are likely to facilitate collusion were explored, third the factors which influence cartel stability were examined and finally the economic consequences from cartels were examined. Present part will analyse cartels from a legal perspective. The overall aim is to examine the legal framework for cartel conviction. The aim is furthermore to examine whether there is consistency between the economic theory discussed above and the legal assessment of cartels in the European Union. Present part contains four sections. The first section will provide a general introduction of the legal framework that prohibits cartels in the European Union, describing the legal rules which prohibit cartels, the different possibilities to be exempted from it and the sanctions. The second section will analyse the legal component, which must be present before collusive behaviour can be considered illegal under Article 101(1). The purpose of analysing the legal component is first of all to analyse the concepts “agreement” and “concerted practice” to examine which collusive behaviour is caught by the prohibition and to investigate whether the legal framework is broad enough to capture the different collusive arrangements. The purpose is further to analyse where the lower limit is for designating collusion as a concerted practice, to examine whether the concept is broad enough to catch tacit collusion. As discussed above both explicit and tacit collusion is considered to have a deleterious effect on the overall society. The third section will analyse the economic component which must be present before collusion can be considered illegal under Article 101. The purpose of analysing the economic component is to examine to what extent Article 101 provides for a legal platform where both that the anti-competitive and the efficiencies of horizontal cooperation are taken into consideration, because even though cooperation can have deleterious effects, they may create efficiencies, which benefit the overall society. There is a close connection with this and the former section, because on one hand we need the law to capture all agreements, despite their form and on the other hand we need to take into account the efficiencies they may contribute. The fourth section will examine the Commission’s enforcement of Article 101 towards cartels, especially the initiatives taken by the Commission to deterrer and detect cartels. The purpose is to examine whether the initiatives have improved the Commissions endeavours fight against cartels. Side 40 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective As previously discussed in part two, the legal concept of collusion differs from the economic concept of collusion, as the legal concept requires co-ordination between undertakings in the form of an agreement or a concerted practice, together with the object or effect the restriction of competition. Cartel behaviour is considered to be the most serious infringements of competition rules, however Article 101 does not provide for a definition of the concept “cartel” since “cartel” is not a legal concept. The Commission however offers a definition in its Leniency Notice.117 In paragraph 1 of the Notice it states that cartels are “agreements and/or concerted practices between two or more competitors aimed at coordination their competitive behaviour on the market and/or influencing the relevant parameters of competition through practices such as the fixing of purchase or selling prices or other trading conditions, the allocation of production or sales quotas, the sharing of markets including bid-rigging, restrictions of imports or exports and/or anti-competitive actions against other competitors.” In recent years the “concept” of a cartel seems to have appeared more often in the legal literature. An indication of this can be found in the new Guidelines on the application of Article 101.118 In the Guidelines cartels are referred to several times, the Commission does however refrain from giving any guidance to what does and what does not constitute a cartel.119 1. Introduction The legal rule prohibiting cartels are found mainly in Article 101(1) in the Treaty of the functioning of the European Union, which stipulates that: “The following shall be prohibited as incompatible with the common market: all agreements between undertakings, decisions by associations of undertakings and concerted practices which may affect trade between Member States and which have as their object or effect the prevention, restriction or distortion of competition within the common market, in particular the direct or indirect fixing of purchase or selling prices or any other trading conditions, the limitation and 117 Guidelines on the method of setting fines imposed pursuant to Article 23(2)(a) of Regulation No1/2003 (2006/C 210/02) 118 Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements 119 Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements, para 9 Side 41 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective control of production, markets, technical development, or investment and the allocation of markets or sources of supply are prohibited.120 In order for collusive behaviour to be considered illegal under Article 101(1) three distinct components must be present: (i) a legal component; (ii) an economic component; (iii) a jurisdictional component.121122 The necessary present of a legal component means that some form (agreement or concerted practice) of cooperation must be entered into between undertakings. 123 The necessary present of an economic component means that there must be a restraint of competition (prevention, restriction or distortion of competition). The necessary present of a jurisdictional component means that agreement must be capable of affecting trade between Member States. Even though an agreement or concerted practice might fall under the scope of Article 101(1) it still has the possibility to be cleared by the exemptions. The exemptions fall into three categories, Article 101(3), agreements of minor importance and block exemptions. The first category is Article 101(3). Article 101 (3) creates an exemption where the agreement is beneficial to consumers. In order to satisfy the criteria and obtain an exemption four conditions must be fulfilled; the conditions are cumulative, meaning that all conditions must be satisfied before obtaining an exemption. To give some guidance the Commission has issued a comprehensive notice on the application of Article 101(3).124 The first two conditions that have to be fulfilled are positive meaning that they must be present and the last two conditions are negative, meaning that they must not be present. First of all, the agreement must lead to an improvement in the production or distribution of goods or the promotion of technical or economic progress. Secondly, it must allow consumers a fair share of the resulting benefit. Third, the agreement may not contain any indispensable restraints and finally, the agreement may not eliminate competition in respect of a substantial part of the products in question.125 120 Article 101(1) Treaty of the function of the European Union The jurisdictional component will not be further elaborated on. 122 Iversen, Bent et al. “Regulating competition in the EU”, 2008 p. 29 123 Article 101(1) does not define the term undertaking and instead it has been developed through a number of cases before the ECJ. In Höfner and Elser v. Macotron, the ECJ established that “the concept of an undertaking, encompasses every entity engaged in an economic activity, regardless of the legal status of the entity or the way in which it is financed.” See Case C-41/90, Höfner and Elser v. Macotron GmbH, para 21. The term will not be further elaborated on 124 Guidelines on the application of Article 81(3) of the Treaty 125 Iversen, Bent et al. “Regulating competition in the EU”, 2008 p. 58-62 121 Side 42 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective All agreements may, in theory, meet the conditions in Article 101(3). In practice however, the Commission and the European Courts have made it clear that prices, outputs or market fixing agreements will rarely benefit from the exceptions, as they are considered restrictive of competition by their object (as explained below). Thus cartels are “almost” per se prohibited,126 however some exceptions have been made over time to this general view. For instance, the Commission has granted exemptions from competition rules for so-called Crisis cartels. Prior to 1 May 2004, when the new notification system127 was introduced, an exemption under Article 101(3) was only possible after notification to the Commission and the Commission’s approval. Regulation No 1/2003 abandoned the old notification system, the consequence of the abolishment of the old notification system (Regulation No 17) is that the restrictive practices which are prohibited by Article 101(1) but meet the trade-off contained in Article 101(3) is lawful without the need for any prior decision, therefore undertakings must themselves assess whether they are covered by the prohibition, and if so, assess whether they fulfil the conditions for exemption.128 The second category is agreements of minor importance. The Commission has agreed to exempt 'Agreements of minor importance'129 from Article 101 in cases where the deleterious effects on competition are found to be insignificant. The requirement that there was to be an appreciable restriction was first accepted by the CJ in Völk.130 According to the above mentioned Notice131 agreements between competitors do not appreciably restrict competition, where the aggregate market share held by the participants does not exceed 10 percent. However, this threshold do not apply to agreements which have as their object to fix prices, limit output or sales, or allocate markets or customers.132 The third category is the block exemptions. The Commission has also introduced a collection of block exemptions for different types of contracts. These include a list of contract terms which will be permitted and a list of those which are banned from these exemptions. For instance Regulation 2658/2000, which applies to specialisations agreement and Regulation 2659/2000, which applies to Research and Developments agreements. Massimo Motta, “Cartels in the European Union: Economics, Law, Practice”, 2007 p. 14 Council Regulation (EC) No 1/2003 of 16 December 2002 on the implementation of the rules on competition laid down in Articles 81 and 82 of the Treaty 128 Iversen, Bent et al. “Regulating competition in the EU”, 2008 p. 57 129 Commission Notice on agreement of minor importance (2001) OJ C368/13 130 Case 5/69, Völk v. Vervaecke 131 Commission Notice on agreement of minor importance (2001) OJ C368/13, para 7 132 Commission Notice on agreement of minor importance (2001) OJ C368/13, para 11 126 127 Side 43 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective Severe consequences may result for the members of a cartel agreement. The immediate consequence of the agreement is that the agreement or concerted practice is according to Article 101 (2), declared void. In other words, it has no legal effect. 133However the sanction of invalidity would not be much of a threat to cartel members as they are unlikely to be concerned about their inability to enforce the agreement in court.134 Because, as discussed previously, one of the factors to the operation of a successful cartel is that a proper punishments mechanisms is put in place within the cartel. The cartel members´ concern is instead on the risk of investigation by the Commission and the likelihood of a huge fine if breach is detected. From this general introduction it can be seen that the Commission has a strict view on price, output and market fixing agreements, as they are excluded from all three categories of exemptions. 2 Analysis of the legal component Present section will analyse the legal component which must be present before collusive behaviour can be considered illegal under Article 101(1). The purpose of analysing the legal component is first of all to analyse the concepts “agreement” and “concerted practice” to examine which collusive behaviour is caught by the prohibition and to investigate whether the legal framework is broad enough to capture the different collusive arrangements. The purpose is further to analyse where the lower limit is for designating collusive behaviour as a concerted practice, to examine whether the concept is broad enough to catch tacit collusion. As discussed above both explicit and tacit collusion is considered to have deleterious effect on the overall society. Article 101(1) refers to agreements, decisions by associations of undertakings and concerted practices; however the distinction between the different kinds of agreements has more theoretical than practical legal significance and has no special legal consequence at all. The courts do not distinguish between the three concepts, but evidentially there are different problems with the different concepts.135 At present only the concepts of agreement and concerted practices are relevant. 2.1 The concept of an agreement The concept of what constitutes an agreement under Article 101 differs from the traditional legal meaning of the word, as it encompasses a much broader scope of phenomena. In the following Iversen, Bent et al. “Regulating competition in the EU”, 2008 p. 63 p. 63 A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 125 135 Iversen, Bent et al. “Regulating competition in the EU”, 2008 p. 30 133 134 Side 44 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective different elements will be analyzed to examine when collusive behaviour can be designated as an agreement. The different elements will be analyzed through different case law. Concurrence of will: In Bayer AG v. Commission, the GC (previously Court of First Instance) sets out what has now become the classic definition of the concept, holding that proof of an agreement must be founded upon “the existence of the subjective element that characterizes the very concept of the agreement, that is to say a concurrence of wills between economic operators on the implementation of a policy, the pursuit of an objective, or the adaptation of a given line of conduct on the market”.136 So the first element which must be present is that the undertakings have expressed a concurrence of will. Further case law shows that in order to establish the existence of an agreement, it is sufficient to show that the undertakings in question have expressed their joint intention to conduct themselves on the market in a specific way.137 So a concurrence of will does not have to be establish in itself, just the intention of it. Therefore proof of an agreement must be founded upon the direct or indirect finding of a concurrence of will between the economic operators.138Focus thus centers around the existence of a concurrence of will between at least two parties, rather than on form. The concept catches agreements no matter whether or not they are intended to be legally binding, whether or not they amount to a contract under national rules, whether or not sanctions are provided and whether or not they are written or oral139 The reach of the concept has been developed through case law. There from it can be seen that practically all types of agreements are caught. 140 The concept covers standard conditions of sale141, trade association rules.142 (which are treated as an agreement between the members to abide the rules), dispute settlements agreements and “gentlemen´s agreements.” 143 Furthermore an agreement 136 Case T-41/96, Bayer AG v. Commission Case 41/69 ACF Chemiefarma v Commission, para. 112; Joined Cases 209/78 to 215/78 and 218/78 Van Landewyck and Others v Commission, para. 86; Case T-7/89, Hercules Chemicals v Commission, para. 256 138 A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 149 139 A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 140 140 Article 101 does not apply to collective agreements between workers and employers which are intended to improve working conditions , nor does it apply in a situation where undertakings have been imposed to adopt certain conduct by their Member State. An example thereof could be price regulations, were the Member State has laid down certain minimum prices. However if the price regulation laid down allows for competition, the undertakings must make use of it. In cases were legislation requires or promotes a conduct that restricts competition the question arises whether the Member State itself is contravening Article 101. 141 Case C-277/87, Sandoz Prodotti Farmaceutici Spa v. Commission 142 Joined cases 209-15 and 218/78, Van Landewyck v. Commission 143 Case 41/69, ACF Chemiefarma NV v. Commission. para. 106 137 Side 45 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective exists where the parties has agreed on “good neighbour rules” or “establish practice and ethics” or “certain rules of the game which it is in the interest of us all to follow”144 The infringement of Article 101 will normally end at the same time as the termination of the agreement. However, in the situation were the parties continue their illegal conduct after the termination of the agreement, the fact that is has been terminated has no relevance. What is relevant is the economic effect of the agreement and not the legal form.145 This has been reaffirmed in Case 243/83 SA Binon. The fact that European Courts take the economic effect into consideration, instead of form is very important, as it prevent cartel participants from escaping a heavier fine. At least two undertakings: A further element that must be present is that an agreement must be entered into by at least two undertakings. This means that unilateral conduct of an undertaking cannot be condemd illegal under Article 101, but must instead be assed under Article 102. There is however cases where an agreement on the outset may seem unilateral, and still constitute an agreement, because the unilateral conduct has been tacitly accepted by at least one other undertaking.146 For example the CJ has held in one case that a situation where an undertaking on its invoices prohibit its customers to export the goods sold, constituted an agreement. Even though the terms printed on the invoice was not part of the contract. The CJ still viewed that the costumers had given their tacit acceptance. The evidence found for tacit acceptance was, among other things that the customers kept placing orders on the same terms. This indicates that the CJ requires relatively little evidence to consider unilateral measures as agreements, in cases where trade between undertakings is longstanding and well-established. However, some evidence is required to establish tacit acceptance. In Bayer AG v. Commission147 the Commission went too far in claiming that because the wholesalers had not interrupted their business relations with Bayer, they had agreed to its policy. The GC dismissed the Commission’s findings,148 stipulating that proof of an agreement had to be based on the finding (direct or indirect) of a meeting of mind between the parties.149 Later the GC´s judgement was upheld by the CJ. The CJ stressed that is was not open for the Commission to assume that the expression of a unilateral policy by one of the parties automatically established A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 149 Iversen, Bent et al. “Regulating competition in the EU”, 2008 p. 31 146 Iversen, Bent et al. “Regulating competition in the EU”, 2008 p. 30 147 Case T-41/96, Bayer AG v. Commission 148 Case T-41/96, Bayer AG v. Commission 149 A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 165 144 145 Side 46 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective an agreement.150 Even though an agreement must be entered into by at least two undertakings, it is not a requirement that both adopt some specific commercial conduct. Thus a one-sided obligation between two undertakings is enough to establish the existence of an agreement.151 Voluntarily: The last element that must be present is that the agreement must be voluntarily. Since in order for there to be a concurrence of wills, the agreement, by definition, has to be entered into voluntarily. For an agreement not to be found voluntary it is not enough that an undertaking, which tries to escape this condition, claims that they were forced into an agreement, because they were afraid of various sanction from other undertakings such as refusal to supply etc. Nor is it enough to claim that the parties to the agreement never intended to implement or adhere to the agreed terms, since this could easily be used as a defence to escape the prohibition. This was established in Atochem v. Commission152 in where the GC stated that any party which have participated on a regular basis in meetings, at which an anti-competitive agreement is concluded will always be proof of participation in the agreement, unless the party can establish that they did not have any anticompetitive intentions and that the other participants were aware of this. Furthermore the argument put forward by the applicant, that the sole purpose of attending the meetings was to obtain information on foreseeable market trends, proved the anti-competitive intention, even if the other participants had been aware of this.153 Furthermore it cannot be considered a defence that the participant did not put the initiatives into effect, even in cases where evidence of prices or other behaviours do not reflect those disused at the meetings. This would not be sufficient to prove that the party had not participated in the scheme.154 Complex arrangements: One problem which may arise in connection with proving the existence of an agreement between cartel participants is finding out who participated in which arrangements and for how long, furthermore whether all the arrangements constituted an agreement or did some of them constitute a concerted practice?155 The reason why this problem may arise is that an agreement can consist of a whole complex of arrangements spread over a long period of time. In practice the Commission has observed both forms of explicit collusion in long-running cartels. The problem A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 165 Iversen, Bent et al. “Regulating competition in the EU “, 2008 p. 34 152 Case T-3/89, Atochem v. Commission, para. 52-3 153 Case T-3/89, Atochem v. Commission, para. 54 154 Case T-3/89, Atochem v. Commission, para. 100 155 A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 154 150 151 Side 47 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective was addressed in Polypropylene.156The case concerned a long lasting cartel in the petrochemical industry, which was operated by fifteen firms; the question was whether all fifteen firms had participated in all aspects of the arrangements, as some firms clamed only to have participated in some parts. The Commission reached the conclusion that all fifteen firms had participated in a framework agreement to fix prices and sales volumes,157 and therefore the cartel was based on a common and detailed plan, which constituted a single continuous agreement for the purpose of Article 101 (1). The possibility for the Commission in these cases to apply the single and continuous infringement (“SCI”) doctrine, which can characterise a complex collusive scheme as a single continuous infringement, facilitates the Commission´s investigation is two ways.158 First, absent this possibility the Commission would be forced to take separate action against the firms in each round of collusion, which would be very time consuming and difficult for the Commission. Second, it allow the Commission to hold each firm responsible for the whole agreement, even in cases where the firms only participated in some parts of the agreement. Furthermore in connection to complex arrangements the Commission have recently applied a “single repeated infringement” (“SRI”) doctrine.159 The doctrine establish that even if there is a break “of a longer duration” from the alleged cartel activities, the Commission will still consider is as a single infringement, if the participants returns to the same cartel and a single fine will be applied for the entire duration, excluding the period of the break. Regarding the problem whether all the arrangements constitute an agreement or if some of them constitute a concerted practice, the Commission will often refrain from deciding. Instead it will merely state that there is an agreement and/or a concerted practice. The CJ has accepted this practice.160 The marine hose cartel is a classic example of a whole complex of arrangements spread over a long period of time, as it consisted of allocation of tenders, fixing prices, fixing quotas, fixing sales conditions, geographic market sharing and exchanging sensitive information on prices, sales volumes and procurement tenders.161 In its Decision the Commission also applied the “SCI” doctrine and classified the scheme as a single and continuous infringement, even as contested by 156 Polopropylene, (1986) OJ L230/1 However the fact that an undertaking has not taken part in all aspects of the agreement or only played a minor role can have some influence on the consideration of the gravity of the infringement and in the determination on the fine see. Case C-49/92 P, Commission v. Anic, para 90 158 Giorgio Monti, ”EC Competition Law”, 2007 p. 326 159 R. Allendesalazar and P.M. Lage, ”Evidence gathered through leniency: From the prisoner´s dilemma to a race to the bottum”, 2009 p. 11 160 Case C-49/92 P, Commission v. Anic, para 132 161 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 18 157 Side 48 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective Trellborg, the cartel was inactive for a period of two years.162 Furthermore the Commission applied the “SRI” doctrine, which meant that even though Manuli left the cartel in a period of four years, it had still committed a single repeated infringement.163 Furthermore the Decision is an example of the Commission refraining from deciding whether the arrangement constituted agreements or whether some of them constituted concerted practice. So collusive behaviour can be designated as an agreement if a concurrence of will can be establish, is between at least two undertakings and is voluntary, however not all collusive behaviour is caught under the concept of an agreement. The legal approach to designate collusive behaviour is consistent with economic theory, regarding explicit collusion. Regarding the problem with complex agreements, the Commissions method to employ the SCI doctrine is consistent with economic studies, which suggest that instability occur within a cartel because of different factors and therefore different level of coordination might be a reflection of restoring stability. 164 2.2 The concept of concerted practice As can be seen from the above examination of agreements, Article 101(1) is aimed at explicit collusion whatever form it takes: whether it is a formal agreement between undertakings to coordinate their behaviour and thereby reduce competition between them or a more informal agreement, for instance a “gentleman agreement”. The concept concerted practice is thus designed to provide for a safety-net catching looser forms of collusion. It aims at preventing undertakings from getting around the competition rules by implementing a less formal cooperation, which could restrict competition without being an agreement.165The concept is deliberately vague and is therefore able to capture very different situations and institutional arrangements, including situations where firms have not explicitly agreed on or even discussed different prices, quotas or market-sharing.166 As with agreements, the law does not provide for a definition of the concept, but a classic description of the concept has been provide by the CJ in ICI v. Commission (Dyestuff).167In Dyestuff 162 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 69 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 99 164 Giorgio Monti, ”EC Competition Law”, 2007 p. 326 165 Iversen, Bent et al. “Regulating competition in the EU “, 2008 p. 36 166 Massimo Motta, “Cartels in the European Union: Economics, Law, Practice”, 2007 p. 13 167 Case 48/69 ICI v. Commission, para. 64 163 Side 49 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective the CJ held that the purpose of the concept was to preclude “co-ordination between undertakings, which, without having been taken to the stage where an agreement properly so-called has been concluded, knowingly substitutes practical cooperation between them for the risk of competition”. In other words a concerted practice does not have all the elements of an agreement, but may inter alia arise out of co-ordination, which becomes apparent from the behaviour of the participants.168 Furthermore in Suiker Unie 169 the CJ confirmed that for a concerted practice to exist “the working out of an actual plan” is not required. Therein it was also confirmed, that the concept by no means deprives economic operators the right to adapt themselves intelligently to existing and anticipated conduct of their competitors, but it does “preclude any direct or indirect contact between such operators, the object or effect whereof is either to influence the conduct on the market of an actual or potential competitor or to disclose to such a competitor the course of conduct which they themselves have decided to adopt or contemplate adopting on the market.”170 So even though the concept does not require an actual plan, it does seem to require reciprocal cooperation, through direct or indirect contract between the parties, which is aimed at influencing the conduct in the market. One important difference between the concept of an agreement and the concept of concerted practice is, that the concept of concerted practice requires concertation to be practiced or implemented on the market, as opposed to an agreement which infringes Article 101 even in cases where the agreement is informal, have not been successful or has not been acted upon. 171 The CJ confirmed this in Hüls v. Commission,172 where it accepted that the concept of concerted practice did both require the undertakings´ concertation with each other, the subsequent conduct on the market, and a relationship of cause and effect between the two aforementioned elements. Furthermore, it held that once the Commission had provided evidence of concertation, it was for the undertakings to prove that the concertation had not been followed by conduct on the market. 173 A concerted practice is caught even in the absence of anti-competitive effect, if the object of the concerted practice is anti-competitive.174 Thus to establish the existence of a concerted practice not only concertation, but also subsequent conduct must be established. In practice, however 168 Case 48/69 ICI v. Commission, para. 65 Cases 40-8,50,54-6,111, and 113-4/73 ” Suiker Unie” UA v. Commission para. 173 170 Cases 40-8,50,54-6,111, and 113-4/73 ” Suiker Unie” UA v. Commission para. 174 171 A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 174 172 Case C-199/92 P, Hüls v. Commission, para. 161 173 Case C-199/92 P, Hüls v. Commission, para. 162 174 Case C-199/92 P, Hüls v. Commission, para. 163 169 Side 50 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective subsequent conduct is not difficult to establish, because the presumption is that concertation has been followed by conduct and further it is for the undertakings to prove, that their conduct was not influenced by the acquired information.175 A problem which may arise in connection to concerted practice is to prove which undertakings is actually part of the concerted practice. In the case of an agreement this seldom causes a problem, but in the case of a concerted practice, it can be difficult to prove which undertakings have been sufficiently involved to designate them to have participated in a concerted practice.176 Furthermore, as with agreements the Commission has developed a practice where each individual undertaking is held liable for the cartel as a whole, even if it only participated in a small part of it. 177This practice has made it easier for the Commission to prove that a concerted practice exists, because it does not have to be proven that an undertaking has attended all meetings and supported all aspects of a concerted practice. Accordingly in order to establish that a concerted practice have taken place or is in force, it must be shown that the undertakings involved have the intention of coordinating their commercial conduct. So how does the competition authority prove that the undertakings involved had the intention of coordinating their commercial conduct? No single element can be decisive for when collusive behaviour can be designated as a concerted practice, since a concerted practice becomes apparent from the behaviour of the participants and therefore lack formal evidence. Therefore the establishment of a concerted practice rests on proving, that the conduct of the firms was intended. In the following different types of conducts, which might prove that the undertakings have engaged in a concerted practice, will be examined. Special interest is dedicated to examine whether parallel behaviour can be considered prove of a concerted practice, as parallel behaviour is considered a prototypical case of tacit collusion.178 Direct or indirect contact: As already mentioned the concept of concerted practice does not require a plan, but precludes direct or indirect contact between competitors the object or effect of which is to influence the conduct on the market or to disclose to such a competitor the course of conduct which they themselves will or may carry out on the market. 179 Therefore there is a presumption of A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 176 Iversen, Bent et al. “Regulating competition in the EU “, 2008 p. 38 177 Joined cases T-305/94 and others, Limburgse Vinyl Maatschappij, paragraph 773-774 178 Massimo Motta, “Cartels in the European Union: Economics, Law, Practice”, 2007 p. 13 179 Cases 40-8,50,54-6,111, and 113-4/73 ” Suiker Unie” UA v. Commission para. 174 175 176 Side 51 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective concerted practice in cases where the undertakings through direct or indirect contact agree to inform their competitors about their anticipated future conduct on the market.180In Suiker Unie, documents established that there had been contact between the participants, which removed any uncertainty about future conduct. This conduct established the intention of the participants to coordinate their commercial conduct. Parallel conduct: As discussed above the designation of a concerted practice requires that the undertakings involved have the intention of coordination their commercial conduct. Therefore the question arise whether a situation where the undertakings have a parallel behaviour in the market, such as similar price increase, can be considered prove of a concerted practice, because parallel behaviour can occur for many other reasons: e.g. in a situation where an undertaking is operating on a oligopolistic market it is natural that one undertaking acts as a price leader and the other undertakings follows the same commercial policy. In other words parallel behaviour can be a result of tacit collusion. Therefore if parallel behaviour is considered prove of a concerted practice, the concept will be broad enough to catch tacit collusion. The issue of when parallel behaviour on prices can be prove of a concerted practice was addressed in the Wood Pulp181 case. In 1984 the Commission found that forty wood pulp producers and three of their trade associations had infringed Article 101 (then article 85) by concerting on prices. The case raised several issues, but for present paper only the issues on parallel behaviour is relevant. In the Wood Pulp case parallel behaviour consisted of: (i) a system of quarterly price announcements; (ii) the simultaneity or quasi-simultaneity of the announcements; (iii) the fact that the announced prices were identical. The Commission decision was based on assumptions and not on direct evidence, which indicates that the Commission considered tacit collusion in the form of parallel behaviour to be an infringement of Article 101, even though as will be argued below tacit collusion should not be regarded as an infringement of Article 101, unless it is the only plausible explanation. However the CJ seems to be of a different opinion and in order to determine whether the parallel conduct in the Wood Pulp case was proof of collusion or could be explained otherwise than by A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 177 Joined Cases C-89/85, C-104/85, C-114/85, C-116/85, C-117/85 and C-125/85–C-129/85 A. Ahlström Osakeyhtiö and Others v Commission 180 181 Side 52 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective concentration, the CJ requested two experts to examine the characteristics of the market.182 Below the difference of opinion between the Commission and the experts is briefly summarised. (i) According to the Commission the system of quarterly price announcements was expressly adopted by the wood pulp producers to increase market transparency. The experts´ investigation however, revealed that the quarterly price announcements were actually demanded by the purchasers. (ii) Regarding simultaneity of the announcements the Commission reached the conclusion, that this could only be explained by a concerted practice. However, again the experts where of a different opinion, as they found that this could be explained by several market features, among others the existence of common agents, who worked for several producers, which made it possible for information on announced prices to spread very quickly. (iii) Regarding the fact that announced prices were identical, was according to the Commission proof of concerted practice, due to the fact, that the wood pulp producers involved had different production costs, different rates of capacity utilization and had different transportation costs, yet prices were artificially high in some years, while their depression in two particular years corresponded to a punishment phase. However, according to the experts there could be an alternative explanation. The conclusions of the two expert´s reports indicated, that the parallel conduct could well have been the result of normal oligopolistic interdependence among competitors.183 The CJ therefore issued a judgment that annulled most of the Commission’s decision. The CJ argued: “In determining the probative value of those different factors, it must be noted that parallel conduct cannot be regarded as furnishing proof of concertation unless concertation constitutes the only plausible explanation for such conduct. It is necessary to bear in mind that, although Article 85 [now 101] of the Treaty prohibits any form of collusion which distorts competition, it does not deprive economic operators of the right to adapt themselves intelligently to the existing and anticipated conduct of their competitors.”184 The CJ reaffirmed this view on several occasion and emphasized, that before a parallel behaviour can be considered a concerted practice; it must be shown that this is the only plausible explanation for it. An assumption about concerted practice can therefore arise, if the undertakings show parallel behaviour, but such an assumption much be 182 Joined Cases C-89/85, C-104/85, C-114/85, C-116/85, C-117/85 and C-125/85–C-129/85 A. Ahlström Osakeyhtiö and Others v Commission, Para. 74 183 Massimo Motta, “Cartels in the European Union: Economics, Law, Practice”, 2007 p. 19 184 Joined Cases C-89/85, C-104/85, C-114/85, C-116/85, C-117/85 and C-125/85–C-129/85 A. Ahlström Osakeyhtiö and Others v Commission, para. 71 Side 53 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective supported with some kind of evidence.185 The CJ seems to have developed an “oligopolistic” defence opportunity, which means that undertakings operating on oligopolistic markets will have the possibility to blame their behaviour on market structure. Natural their behaviour could be result of market structures, but it could also be a result of a concerted practice or a tacit collusion. Despite the CJ judgement, the Commission has later indicated that tacit collusion is an infringement Article 101. This was seen in the Soda-Ash186case. The Soda-Ash case concerned an alleged concerted practice of market-allocation. The case involved ICI, a British company, and Solvay, a Belgian company, which were the main producers in the industry of Soda-Ash.187 The two firms had a long history of explicit market sharing from the time were cartels were not illegal. The socalled “page 1000” agreement, divided Europe and some other markets between the firms. The agreement was terminated in 1972, when the UK became a member of EU. Even after the termination the firms still refrained from entering the other´s home market, however this was not part of a concerted practice, but simple because they feared retaliation if it they had done so. The question is whether they intended to divide the market or if the collusive outcome made sense from a business view and therefore could be viewed as an intelligent adaption to existing and anticipated conduct. The Commission did not acknowledge the latter and argued that “The Commission fully accepts that there is no direct evidence of an express agreement between Solvay and ICI to continue to respect the 'Page 1000` cartel in practice. However, there is no need for an express agreement in order for article 85 to apply. A tacit agreement would also fall under Community competition law.”188 Later the GC annulled the Decision189, but on procedural ground and the Commission later re-adopted the Decision190, however it was recently annulled again by the GC191, which indicated that at least in the view of the European Courts, tacit collusion is not considered illegal as evidence is required. 2.2.1 Exchange of information As can be seen from the discussion above, exchange of information often plays a key role in the establishment of a concerted practice and as can be seen from the discussion in the economic part, exchange of information is essential for successful collusion. The Commission seems to have Iversen, Bent et al. “Regulating competition in the EU “, 2008 p. 37 Case C 297/91, Commission v. Solvay and ICI 187 Soda-Ash is a commodity used as raw material in the production of glass. 188 Case C 297/91, Commission v. Solvay and ICI, para. 55 189 Case T-30/91 Solvay SA v Commission 190 Commission Decision 2003/51/EC 191 Case T-58/01 Solvay v Commission 185 186 Side 54 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective acknowledged the importance of exchange of information in successful collusion. However, there are some indications which point at the Commission has taken too strict a view. In the new Guidelines192the Commission, for the first time,193 offers some general guidelines on the legality of the exchange of information. It is difficult to assess whether the new Guidelines follows the recommendations from the economists, discussed previously, as the Guidelines has a different composition, however some elements can be elaborated on. Møllgaard and Overgaard194 recommended that private communication about future prices and productions plans should be illegal. The Commission has followed this recommendation and regards communication about future prices and quantities as a restriction of competition by object.195 (quantities can also include future sales, market shares, territories and sale to particular groups of customers). Regarding information about past and present data, the Commission does not make a distinction between the kind of data which is exchanged, although recommended, as different data has different effect. This give an indication that the Commission might have taken too strict a view on exchange of these information’s. So regarding past and present data there seems to be inconsistency between the Commissions approach and economic theory. Regarding aggregated196data and communication in public197 the Commission seems to follow the recommendations. 2.3 The requirement of evidence As discussed above the European Courts requires evidence to prove an agreement or a concerted practice. The discussion above establishes that an agreement may be founded on a “direct or indirect finding” of the existence of a concurrence of wills. Thus both direct and indirect evidence may be relied upon. Direct evidence will often be lacking due to the secrecy of cartels, however the Commissions broad investigations powers may uncover direct evidence, furthermore the leniency programme encourage participants to come forward with direct evidence. 192 Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements (2011/C 11/01) 193 Sector-specific guidance for information exchange concerning liner shipping can already be found in the Martime Guidelines 194 Overgaard, møllgaard, ”Information exchange, Market transparency and Dynamic oligopoly”, 2005 pp. 16-17 195 Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements (2011/C 11/01), para. 74 196 Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements (2011/C 11/01), para 89 197 Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements (2011/C 11/01), para. 92 Side 55 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective For a concerted practice direct or indirect reciprocal contact is considered evidence. Furthermore, as can be seen from the above discussion the CJ requires evidence other than market outcome to prove a concerted practice, the fact that evidence is required exclude tacit collusion from the ambit of Article 101, because as mentioned above tacit collusion occur without any prior communication. Is this practice consistent with economic theory? Or should the European Courts consider market outcome as evidence for collusive behaviour? Previously it was established that the effect of tacit collusion is the same as the effect of explicit collusion, does this mean that tacit collusion should be included in the ambit of Article 101? And that the European Courts should only consider market data as evidence for convicting cartels or should they only convict when hard evidence is available? In industrial economics a collusive outcome is described as a situation where prices are “high enough” –does this mean that the European Courts should verify the existence of collusion on the basis of price data in a given industry and infer if the industry prices are above some threshold level, which are considered collusive? In practice it would be very difficult to establish an infringement of Article 101 by looking solely on market outcomes for several reasons198. First of all, price data might not be available in many circumstances and if they are, they often refer to list prices rather than effective prices, due to the fact that actual prices in some industries are negotiated between seller and buyer, in other industries list prices might differ due to discounts. Second even in cases where reliable data existed, problems would arise about determining what the monopoly prices of an industry should be. The sellers of the industry might not have the same view on what the prices should be, an outside observer might have a third view. Third even if a monopoly price was agreed on another problem would be to determine: how close to the agreed monopoly price should sales prices be for them to be judged “too high” and therefore collusive? A fourth problem with convicting on the basis of too high prices is the possibility that firms might be convicted just because they are more successful at finding consumers willing to pay a high price for their products. Due to all the different problems that would arise if the levels of prices were used as the basis on which a firms where to be convicted, this method is not preferable for a legal approach. The question then is whether it would be preferable to look at the evolution of industry over time to infer the existence of collusion. The European Courts has on some occasions been tempted to use the 198 Massimo Motta, ”Competition policy: Theory and Practice”, 2004 p. 186 Side 56 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective evolution of industry prices as an indication for illegal collusive behaviour e.g in situations where sellers has charged similar prices overtime, the so-called “price parallelism”, but here the European courts must be very careful, because the observation that prices moves in a similar way should not be considered as evidence of collusion, due to the fact that other explanations exist for similar prices. An increase in input prices of all the suppliers, or an increase in property prices, or an increase in inflation are all common externalities that can lead all the sellers to increase their prices proportionally, without the existence of any collusion. Furthermore as previously discussed, it was shown that a collusive outcome might be reached without any agreement or communication to coordinate their behaviour e.g. in a situation where one firm act as a price leader and one day increase their prices by 10 percent –the day after the other firms in the industry follow suit. Should this case of price parallelism be enough evidence to convict firms? Of cause not, if it were the European Courts would be able to prove an infringement of Article 101 by second-guessing the firms´ intentions and their motivations. Of cause it is possible that the firms have communicated and agreed on increasing prices, but without evidence they should not be convicted. Based on the view of Motta discussed above, the European Courts requirement of evidence seems to be sensible. Furthermore 3 Analysis of the economic component Present section will analyse the economic component which must be present before collusive behaviour can be considered illegal under Article 101. The purpose of analysing the economic component is to examine to what extent Article 101 provides for a legal platform where both the anti-competitiveness and the efficiencies of horizontal cooperation are taken into consideration. Because even though cooperation can have deleterious effects, it may create efficiencies, which benefits the overall society. Furthermore cartel studies have shown that not all cartels are able to charge near monopoly prices and as previously discussed monopoly prices may not be the motive behind. Below follows a more general description of the legal approach in the assessment of the economic component and afterwards the effect this approach has on collusive agreements will be examined. First of all it should be mentioned that when a set of one or more agreements are entered into between companies operating at the same level(s) in the market e.g. at the same level of the production or distribution chain, both actual and potential harm to competition are taken into Side 57 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective consideration.199 A firm is treated as an actual competitor if it operates in the same relevant market or is able to switch production to the relevant market in relatively short term without incurring significant additional cost. A firm is treated as a potential competitor where “absent the agreement, this firm could or would be likely to undertake the necessary additional investment or other necessary switching costs so that is could enter the relevant market in response to a small and permanent increase in relative prices.”200 In the assessment of whether the agreement or concerted practice is cable of restricting competition the Commission draw an important distinction to at the outset between two principal categories of horizontal agreements. (i) The first category contains those agreements that have restriction of competition as their object. (ii) The second category contains those agreements the effect of which may have anti-competitive consequences. The distinction between the categories is important, because once it has been established that an agreement has as its object the restriction of competition, an examination of the actual effect of the agreement is not necessary. 201 In the following it will be examined which forms of agreements fit into which category. (i) The first category which contains agreements that has as their object the restriction of competition. This refers to those agreements which by their very nature are considered to have the potential of restricting competition. Their high potential of a negative effect on competition makes it unnecessary to demonstrate any actual effect on the market. The presumption that an agreement has as its object to restrict competition is, according to the guidelines 202, based on the serious nature of the restriction and on the experiences which have shown that these are likely to produce negative effects. In the case of horizontal agreements restriction of competition by object include price fixing, output limitation and sharing of markets and customers.203 (ii) The second category contains those agreements the effect of which may have anti-competitive consequences and fortunately most cooperation between competitors does not have as its object the restriction of competition. In these cases the applicability of Article 101(1) needs to be established by an analysis of the agreements effect on competition. So for Article 101(1) to apply the agreement 199 Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements (2011/C 11/01), para. 10 200 Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements (2011/C 11/01), para. 10 201 Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements (2011/C 11/01), para. 24 202 Guidelines on the application of Article 81(3) of the Treaty (2004/C 101/08) para 21 203 Guidelines on the application of Article 81(3) of the Treaty (2004/C 101/08) para 23 Side 58 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective must be able to limit competition between the parties involved and must be likely to affect competition in the market to such an extent that negative markets effects can be expected regarding prices, output, innovation or the variety or quality of goods and services.204 According to the Commission´s horizontal guidelines this analysis should be based on the economic context of the agreement, taking into account both (1) the nature and structure of the agreement and (2) the parties´ combined market power which – together with other structural factors determines the capability of the cooperation to affect the overall competition.205 The economic analysis required by the Commission is basically a two-tier test: first the characteristics of the cooperation must be analyzed and, second, it must be established how large market share the parties hold in their competitive surroundings.206 The nature of the agreement: In the assessment of the nature of the agreement, the area and objective of the cooperation are to be considers, together with the competitive relationship between the parties and the extent to which they intend to integrate their activities.207 In the Commissions guidelines no single element is found decisive for inferring whether, overall, their coordination will be likely to raise competitive concerns, but an indication therefore is the parties commonality in total cost; in the analysis of whether a significant commonality in total cost exist, two different components is examined.208 First the area of cooperation e.g. production or purchasing, has to account for a high proportion of the total cost in a given market. Second the parties need to combine their activities in that area of cooperation to a significant extent This first step in assessing the agreements effect on competition, exclude from further examination those agreements which does not rise any competitive concerns, if however, the assessment of the nature of the agreements points towards competitive concerns, then an assessment of the second 204 Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements (2011/C 11/01), para. 27 205 Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements (2011/C 11/01), para. 28 206 Roger J. Van den Berg and Peter D. Camesasca ”European competition law and economics – a comparative perspective” 2001 p. 196 207 Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements (2011/C 11/01), para. 32 208 Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements (2011/C 11/01), para. 36 Side 59 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective component in the test will come into play to deliberate whether the effect of the cooperation is likely to restrict competition. This test will assess the market power of the parties involved.209 Market power and market structure: The starting point for the second test is the position of the parties in the markets affected by the cooperation. Thereto the market share of the firm is considered determinative to determine whether or not the cooperation is likely to main, gain or increase market power to establish if the cooperation has the ability to cause negative market effect as to prices, output, innovation or the variety or quality of goods and services.210 The analysis of the parties’ market share must be based on the Commission´s Market Definition Notice.211In case the parties have a low combined market share, the agreement is unlikely to give rise to restrictive effects on competition.212 The discussion above implies that once a cartel or a concerted practice has been identified it is not necessary to investigate whether it has had any anti-competitive effect, thus it is completely irrelevant whether or not the undertaking has be successful.213The fact that it is unnecessary to demonstrate any actual effect of agreements having the object to restrict competition is inconsistent with the economic analysis, which stresses the need to examine the real life consequences of both explicit and tacit collusion214, because even though the object of an agreement may be to restrict competition, market evidence might reveal that prices in fact where not substantially above the competitive level, in which case the interference from the competition authority is unnecessary. There is a close connection with this and the former section, because on one hand we need the law to capture all agreements, despite their form and on the other hand we need to take into account the efficiencies they may contribute. Unfortunately the efficiencies of cartels are not considered by the European Courts, despite that cartel studies have shown that not all cartels are able to charge near monopoly prices. However the approach may be justified if the cost of making a full market analysis is taken into consideration, as a more sophisticated rule, which avoids error may not be Roger J. Van den Berg and Peter D. Camesasca ”European competition law and economics – a comparative perspective” 2001 p. 198 210 Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements (2011/C 11/01), para. 40 211 Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements (2011/C 11/01), para. 43 212 Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements (2011/C 11/01), para. 44 213 MassimoMotta, Cartels in the European Union: Economics, Law, Practice, 2004 p. 13 214 Roger J. Van den Berg and Peter D. Camesasca ”European competition law and economics – a comparative perspective” 2001 p. 193 209 Side 60 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective worthwhile if the cost of deploying the rule is greater than the benefits gained from avoiding the risk of error.215 4 Enforcement Present section will examine the Commission’s enforcement of Article 101 towards cartels, especially the initiatives taken by the Commission to deter and detect cartels. The purpose is to examine whether the initiatives have improved the Commissions endeavours fight against cartels. As indicated previously the Commission is the main enforcer of the law against cartels in the European Union. Due to the difficulties in detecting cartels the Commission has extensive investigatory power. The investigatory power of the Commission was first established in Regulation 17/1962 and later replaced by Regulation 1/3000. The latter introduced an expanded power, because in the old Regulation the Commission only had the possibility to conduct a inspection on the firm’s premises, but in the new Regulation it was also allowed to conduct inspections at the homes of the firms´ managers and employees. The extended investigatory powers where given because experiences from former cartel cases had shown that the compromising documents in these cases were often kept in private homes.216 The marine hose cartel is a perfect illustration of this. In the marine hose cartel the extended investigatory power to carry out an inspection at a private home were used for the first time. The Commission made a surprise inspection at the private home of CC.217 Crucial evidence for the case where found in CC private home.218 4.1 Fining policy Under EU competition law, fines can only be imposed on firms and not on the firm´s managers, as is the case under some national laws. Regulation 1/2003 gives the Commission the power to fine undertakings with up to 10 percent of its total turnover in the preceding business year. 219The Commission methodology for setting fines can be found in the Guidelines.220 According to the Guidelines setting fines involves two steps.221 (i) In the first step a basis amount is to be determined Giorgio Monti, ”EC Competition Law”, 2004 p. 88 Massimo Motta, “Cartels in the European Union: Economics, Law, Practice”, 2007 p. 15 217 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 16 218 Case COMP/39406, Marine Hoses, 2008 p. 6 219 Council Regulation (EC) No 1/2003 of 16 December 2002 on the implementation of the rules on competition laid down in Articles 81 and 82 of the Treaty article 23(2) 220 Guidelines on the method of setting fines imposed pursuant to Article 23(2)(a) of Regulation No1/2003 (2006/C 210/02) 221 Guidelines on the method of setting fines imposed pursuant to Article 23(2)(a) of Regulation No1/2003 (2006/C 210/02) 215 216 Side 61 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective and (ii) in the second step a possibility is given for adjusting the basis amount found under the first step. (i)The basis amount in the first step222 is determined by the value of sales, therefore a calculation of the value of sales is necessary. In the calculation of the value of sales the Commission use the value of the undertaking´s sales, which relates directly or indirectly to the infringement in the relevant geographic area e.g. in the case of a price fixing cartel, the price of the product will serve as a basis for the price of lower or higher quality products. Normally the sales made during the last full business year will be used in the calculation excluding VAT and other taxes directly related to the sales. Further the value of sales is based in the best available figure from the undertakings, where the figure is incomplete or not reliable; the Commission will use other relevant figures or information. After the calculation of the value of sales, the basis amount of the fine will be determined, the amount will be related to a proportion of the value of sales, depending on the degree of gravity, multiplied with the number of years of the infringement, however the Guidelines do not provide any specific level on the proportion, it only provide an indication that a general rule is up to 30 percent of the value of sales, but whether the actual proportion should be higher or lower that 30 percent is decided on a case-by-case basis and depends on a number of factors, such as the nature of the infringement and whether or not the infringement has been implemented, however in the case of horizontal price-fixing, market-sharing and output-limitation agreements the proportion will generally be set at the higher end of the scale, further a sum between 15 and 25 percent of the value of sales will be included in the basis amount in order to deter undertakings from entering them. (ii) In the second step223 the commission make an overall assessment in which all relevant circumstances is taken into account, this assessment may result in an increase or decrease in the basis amount found in the first step. Aggravating circumstances can take the form of recidivism (a firm might receive 100% increase in the fine for each instance of earlier infringements), obstruction of investigations (for instance, refusing inspection by the Commission), leader or instigator of the cartel. Mitigating circumstances can take the form of evidence of termination of the infringement as soon as the Commission intervened, evidence of negligence, substantially limited role in the cartel, 222 Guidelines on the method of setting fines imposed pursuant to Article 23(2)(a) of Regulation No1/2003 (2006/C 210/02), para. 12-26 223 Guidelines on the method of setting fines imposed pursuant to Article 23(2)(a) of Regulation No1/2003 (2006/C 210/02), para. 27-29 Side 62 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective effectively and voluntary cooperation with the Commission and in the form of anti-competitive conduct, which has been authorized or encouraged by public authorities or by legislation. Besides the mitigating and aggravating circumstances the Commission may increase the fine to ensure that fines have a sufficiently deterrent effect. Furthermore the Commission may, in certain cases impose a symbolic fine. As can be seen above the Commission issues heavier fines in the case where cartel participants are repeated offenders, this however has no effect on the survival probabilities for the European cartels according to O.De study on convicted cartels in Europe.224 The Commission fines in the marine hose cartel amounted to € 131,5m imposed on the five participants; surprisingly the fine did not include the cartel coordinator. This could indicate a change of direction given the Commission´s previous strong language about targeting cartel coordination and the GC´s judgement in AC Treuhand, where the GC confirmed the legitimacy of the Commission´s decision in that case to impose a symbolic fine on the coordinator225 It is difficult to make a direct comparison between the Commission method for calculating fines and the economic measurement for DWL, discussed above, as the exact method for calculating the value of sales are not specified. However, judging from the method in Guidelines, there seems to be inconsistency. The Commissions method is not based on any exact calculations of the actual harm on welfare. The only calculation the Commission use is the value of sales i.e. the value of the undertaking´s sales in the relevant geographic area. The final fine will be related to a proportion of the value of sales, depending on the degree of gravity, multiplied with the number of years of the infringement, indicating that the Commission or the European Court should be able to predict the actual harm coursed by the cartel. 4.2 Leniency policy Besides the extensive investigatory powers and the large fines to extensify the fight against cartels the Commission took another initiative to detect secret cartels. In 1996 the Commission issued its first Leniency Notice. The Notice made it possible for cartel participants to get a reduction in the Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 p. 54 ”Marine hose cartel saga: €131m fines after private home raided, co-ordinator spared” Competition newsletter 2009 224 225 Side 63 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective fine, or even on some occasions received no fine at all, if they provided information to the Commission about cartel activities and cooperated with them.226 In 2006 the Commission issued a new and reversed Leniency Notice. 227 To be granted immunity from fines the undertakings have to fulfil several requirements. The undertaking must be the first to submit information and evidence, which enables the Commission to carry out an inspection in connection with the alleged cartel or find an infringement in connection with the alleged cartel. 228 The immunity will not be granted if the Commission already have sufficient evidence to adopt a decision, make an inspection or an inspection has already been carried out, at the time of submission.229A further requirement is that the undertaking cooperates genuinely throughout the Commission´s administrative procedure.230 Immunity from fines can even be granted in a situation where the undertaking has taken steps to coerce other undertakings to join or to remain in the cartel.231Once the Commission has received the information and evidence and has verified that it meet the requirements described above, it will grant the undertaking conditional immunity from fines in writing.232 Besides immunity from fines, the Leniency Notice also provides a possibility for reduction of a fine.233To qualify for a reduction the undertaking must meet several requirements. First the evidence must provide significant added value to the evidence already obtained. “added value” refers to the ability of the evidence to strengthen, by its very nature or its level of detail, the Commission´s ability to prove the alleged cartel.234The level of reduction is. For the: first undertaking a reduction between 30-50%, second undertaking a reduction between 20-30%, subsequent undertakings a reduction of up to 20%.235 However the Leniency Notice has some short 226 The concept of leniency was not new to the commission e.g. in Cartonboard in 1994 one of the participants admitted the infringement and provided the Commission with detailed evidence, in return its fine was reduced by two-thirds, which meant that the total fine represented 3 percent of its turnover, compared with 9 percent for the other participants. A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 1240 227 Commission Notice on Immunity from fines and reduction of fines in cartel cases (2006/C 298/11) 228 Commission Notice on Immunity from fines and reduction of fines in cartel cases (2006/C 298/11), para. 8 229 Commission Notice on Immunity from fines and reduction of fines in cartel cases (2006/C 298/11), para 10 230 Commission Notice on Immunity from fines and reduction of fines in cartel cases (2006/C 298/11), para 12 231 Commission Notice on Immunity from fines and reduction of fines in cartel cases (2006/C 298/11), para 13 232 Commission Notice on Immunity from fines and reduction of fines in cartel cases (2006/C 298/11), para 18 233 Commission Notice on Immunity from fines and reduction of fines in cartel cases (2006/C 298/11), para 23 234 Commission Notice on Immunity from fines and reduction of fines in cartel cases (2006/C 298/11), para 25 235 Commission Notice on Immunity from fines and reduction of fines in cartel cases (2006/C 298/11), para 26 Side 64 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective comings as does not provide immunity from the civil law consequences of its participation in an illegal agreement.236 The leniency programmes has been very successful tool in the Commissions fight against cartels, and since its introduction the Commission has uncovered many secret cartels. However taken into consideration that leniency only destabilize cartels when they are already facing instability, is properly not the expected outcome. An interesting observation, when looking at the statistics of cartels,237 is that fines seems to have increased over the years, a part of this increase stem from heavier fines, but some of the increase could be assumed to stem from the leniency programmes, which provide extended evidence. 5 Conclusion In present part the legal framework prohibiting cartels in the European Union has be discussed in detail. It has been established that the concept of agreement is very broad in its application and collusive behaviour is caught where a concurrence of will can be established, is between two undertakings and is voluntary. The concept of concerted practice is deliberately vague and is therefore able to capture very different situations and institutional arrangements, including situations where firms have not explicitly agreed on or even discussed different prices, quotas or market-sharing. To establish that a concerted practice has taken place or is in force, it must be shown that the undertakings involved have the intention of coordinating their commercial conduct. No single element can be decisive for when collusive behaviour can be designated as a concerted practice, but direct or indirect contact, parallel conduct and exchange of information gives a presumption of concerted practice. It is difficult to elaborate on where the lower limit is for designating collusive behaviour as a concerted practice is, as the scope/reach of the concept is not yet clarified. However, the European Courts seems to draw a line in connection with parallel behaviour, which means that tacit collusion is within the ambit of Article 101. The question is whether this line is consistent with the economic theory? The analysis of the economic component established that Article 101 does not provide for a legal platform where both the anti-competitive effect and the efficiencies of horizontal cooperation are taken into consideration. However, the approach used may be justified if the cost of making a full 236 237 A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, 2008 p. 879 Available at: http://ec.europa.eu/competition/cartels/statistics/statistics.pdf Side 65 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective market analysis is taken into consideration. As a more sophisticated rule, which avoids error, may not be worthwhile if the cost of deploying the rule is greater than the benefits gained from avoiding the risk of error. The initiatives taken by the Commission have improved its ability to deter and detect cartels. However, there are some indications of inconsistency in the Commissions methodology for setting fines and furthermore the Leniency Notice may not be as effective as expected. Part 4: Concluding remarks In consistence with the objectives of present thesis the economic theory of collusion and the legal framework for cartel conviction in the European Union has been analysed In the assessment of whether there is consistency between the economic theory and the legal assessment, the answer seems to be slightly ambiguous. The analysis of the legal component in general showed consistency and the Commission´s use of single and continuous infringement, shows that the Commission takes economic theory into account. However, the fact that tacit collusion is excluded from the ambit of Article 101 is not consistent with economic theory, which establishes that tacit collusion also have a deleterious effect on welfare. However, by solely looking on market outcomes to establish an infringement is not preferable as legal approach, as it will mean that the European Courts could prove an infringement by second-guessing. Regarding the new Guidelines there seems to be some inconsistency as the Commission disregards the efficiencies that past and present data might confer. The analysis of the economic component shows inconsistency, since the fact that it is unnecessary to demonstrate any actual effect of agreements having the object of restricting competition is inconsistent with the economic analysis, which stresses the need to examine the real life consequences of both explicit and tacit collusion. Because even though the object of an agreement may be to restrict competition, market evidence might reveal that prices in fact where not substantially above the competitive level, in which case the interference from the competition authority is unnecessary. The analysis of the Commission’s enforcement found inconsistency as the Commission´s methodology for settings fines are not based on actual harm on overall welfare. Side 66 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective Part 5: Bibliography 5.1 Legal Texts Commission Notice on Immunity from fines and reduction of fines in cartel cases (2006/C 298/11) Commission Notice on agreement of minor importance (2001) OJ C368/13. Council Regulation (EC) No 1/2003 of 16 December 2002 on the implementation of the rules on competition laid down in Articles 81 and 82 of the Treaty Communication from the Commission, Guidelines on the application of Article 81(3) of the Treaty (2004/C 101/08) Communication from the Commission, Guidelines on the applicability of Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union to horizontal co-operation agreements (2011/C 11/01) 5.2 Cases Case 5/69, Völk v. Vervaecke Case 41/69, ACF Chemiefarma v Commission Cases 40-8,50,54-6,111, and 113-4/73 ” Suiker Unie” UA v. Commission Joined Cases 209/78 to 215/78 and 218/78, Van Landewyck and Others v Commission Joined Cases C-89/85, C-104/85, C-114/85, C-116/85, C-117/85 and C-125/85–C-129/85 A. Ahlström Osakeyhtiö and Others v Commission Polopropylene, (1986) OJ L230/1 Case C-277/87, Sandoz Prodotti Farmaceutici Spa v. Commission Case C-41/90, Höfner and Elser v. Macotron GmbH Case C 297/91, Commission v. Solvay and ICI Case C-49/92 P, Commission v. Anic Case C-199/92 P, Hüls v. Commission Case T-7/89, Hercules Chemicals v Commission Case T-3/89, Atochem v. Commission Case T-30/91, Solvay SA v Commission Joined cases T-305/94 and others, Limburgse Vinyl Maatschappij Case T-41/96, Bayer AG v. Commission Case T-58/01 Solvay v Commission Side 67 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective 5.3 Books & Articles A. Jones and B. Sufrin, ”EC Competition law: Text, Cases, and Materials”, Third edition, Oxford University Press 2008 F.M. Scherer & David Ross, “Industrial market structure and economic performance”, Third edition, Houghton Mifflin company 1990, pp. 235-241 Giorgio Monti, ”EC Competition Law”, Cambridge University Press 2007 Iversen, Bent et al. “Regulating competition in the EU”, 2008 DJØF Publishing Copenhagen John C. Beyer, Are Global Cartels More Effective Than “National” Cartels?”, 2010, available at: http://ec.europa.eu/competition/antitrust/actionsdamages/beyer.pdf Konkurrenceredegørelse, ”markedsgennemsigtighed”, 2004 cap. 7, available at: http://www.konkurrencestyrelsen.dk/index.php?id=22314 Levenstein and Suslow,” What determines cartel success”, 2006 in: Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 44, issue:1, March 2006, pp. 43-95 Lipczynski, John; Goddard, John and Wilson, John O.S.: “Industrial Organization”, Second edition, Prentice Hall 2009 ”Marine hose cartel saga: €131m fines after private home raided, co-ordinator spared” Competition newsletter, March 2009, available at: http://www.ashurst.com/publicationitem.aspx?id_Content=4290 Massimo Motta, “Cartels in the European Union: Economics, Law, Practice”, European University Institute, Florence and Universitá di Bologna, 17 sep. 2007 Massimo Motta, Competition policy: Theory and Practice”, Cambridge University Press 2004 Oindrila De, ”Analysis of cartel duration: Evidence from EC prosecuted cartels”, 2010 in: Int. J. Of the Economics of Business, Vol. 17, No.1, February 2010, pp. 33-65 Oz Shy, “Industrial organisation: Theory and application”, MIT Press Cambridge Massachusetts London, England 1995 Overgaard, møllgaard, ”Information exchange, Market transparency and Dynamic oligopoly”, Working paper 13-2005, Department of Economics , Copenhagen Business School, 2005 pp. 16-17 R. Allendesalazar and P.M. Lage, ”Evidence gathered through leniency: From the prisoner´s dilemma to a race to the bottum”, in Claus-Dieter Ehlermann and Mel Marquis, eds.,European Competition Law Annual 2009: Evaluation of evidence and its judicial review in competition cases, Hart Publishing Side 68 af 69 Cartels in the EU from a legal and economic perspective Roger J. Van den Berg and Peter D. Camesasca ”European competition law and economics – a comparative perspective” Erasmus University Rotterdam 2001 Stephen Martin, “Industrial economics – economic analysis and public policy”, Second edition, Prentice hall 1994 pp. 27-36 Side 69 af 69