Electronic Supplementary Material Enhanced Precipitation Variability Effects on Water Losses and Ecosystem Functioning: Differential Response of Arid and Mesic Regions Osvaldo E. Sala1,2,3,*, Laureano A. Gherardi1,3, Debra P.C. Peters3,4 1 School of Life Sciences, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, 85287-4501, USA 2 School of Sustainability, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, 85287-4501, USA 3 Jornada Basin Long Term Ecological Research Program, New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, NM, 88003, USA 4 USDA-ARS, Jornada Experimental Range, Las Cruces, NM 88003, USA * Corresponding author: Osvaldo Sala, Ph 480-965-4120, Fax 480-727-7584 Email address Osvaldo.Sala@ASU.edu 1 S1 Relationship between annual ambient precipitation and the precipitation for all the sites and all the treatments for the experimental 100-year period. Most of the points fall on or close to the 1:1 line indicating that the experimental modification of variability did not modify the mean. 2 S2 Effects of precipitation variability and its scale on plant transpiration, soil evaporation, deep percolation and soil water availability for 35 locations along a gradient of mean annual precipitation. a-c plant transpiration (cm yr-1), d-f soil evaporation (cm yr-1), g-i deep percolation(cm yr-1) and j-l soil water availability (number of days per year when average soil water potential was greater than -1 MPa). a,d,g,j show results of changes in inter-annual variability enhanced precipitation at the 1-year scale; b,e,h k show results of enhanced precipitation at the 9-year scale and c,f,i,l show results at the 12-year scale. Each data point represents one of the 35 locations for each treatment and lines regression lines per treatment. Control (black dots and line), enhanced precipitation variability by 25% (green), 50% (blue) and 75% (red). Slope of each model is indicated as b and R squared values correspond to overall ANCOVA R squared for each variable at each variability scale. Different letters associated with the slopes indicate significant (p <0.05) differences versus control. 3 4 Table S2a Results for statistical analyses of mean transpiration and evaporation as a function of mean annual precipitation across increased variability treatments. Transpiration Evaporation Intra-annual variability Slope SE t-value P Slope SE t-value P Model Intercept -2.523 1.63 -1.55 0.124 19.616 1.37 14.27 < 0.001 Control 0.434 0.03 13.75 < 0.001 -0.144 0.03 -5.39 < 0.001 25% -0.002 0.05 -0.05 0.959 0.003 0.04 0.08 0.935 50% -0.008 0.05 -0.19 0.852 0.013 0.04 0.35 0.725 75% -0.007 0.05 -0.15 0.885 0.03 0.04 0.79 0.43 Contrasts of treatments to control Model: R2 = 0.85, F(7,132) = 106.4, P < 0.001. Model: R2 = 0.43, F(7,132) = 14.42, P < 0.001. Model Intercept -2.523 1.59 -1.58 0.116 19.616 1.26 15.55 < 0.001 Control 0.434 0.03 14.05 < 0.001 -0.144 0.02 -5.87 < 0.001 25% -0.029 0.04 -0.67 0.504 0.005 0.04 0.16 0.875 50% -0.104 0.04 -2.39 0.018 0.017 0.04 0.49 0.628 75% -0.176 0.04 -4.03 < 0.001 0.023 0.04 0.67 0.502 1-year inter-annual variability Contrasts of treatments to control Model: R2 = 0.81, F(7,132) = 79.03, P < 0.001. 5 Model: R2 = 0.52, F(7,132) = 20.29, P < 0.001. 3-year inter-annual variability Model Intercept -2.523 1.61 -1.57 0.118 19.616 1.29 15.21 < 0.001 Control 0.434 0.03 13.95 < 0.001 -0.144 0.03 -5.75 < 0.001 25% -0.036 0.04 -0.81 0.418 0.004 0.04 0.11 0.912 50% -0.126 0.04 -2.85 0.005 0.013 0.04 0.38 0.705 75% -0.203 0.04 -4.61 < 0.001 0.019 0.04 0.53 0.595 Contrasts of treatments to control Model: R2 = 0.80, F(7,132) = 73.76, P < 0.001. Model: R2 = 0.51, F(7,132) = 19.58, P < 0.001. Model Intercept -2.523 1.63 -1.55 0.123 19.616 1.31 14.94 < 0.001 Control 0.434 0.03 13.78 < 0.001 -0.144 0.03 -5.65 < 0.001 25% -0.036 0.05 -0.82 0.416 0.003 0.04 0.08 0.935 50% -0.129 0.05 -2.89 0.004 0.01 0.04 0.27 0.789 75% -0.207 0.05 -4.64 < 0.001 0.014 0.04 0.39 0.696 6-year inter-annual variability Contrasts of treatments to control Model: R2 = 0.79, F(7,132) = 71.36, P < 0.001. 6 Model: R2 = 0.50, F(7,132) = 18.92, P < 0.001. 9-year inter-annual variability Model Intercept Control Contrasts to control 25% 50% 75% 12-year inter-annual variability Model Intercept Control Contrasts to control 25% 50% 75% Slope -2.523 0.434 Transpiration SE t-value 1.66 -1.52 0.03 13.46 P 0.132 < 0.001 -0.034 0.05 -0.75 0.452 -0.124 0.05 -2.72 0.007 -0.201 0.05 -4.41 < 0.001 Model: R2 = 0.79, F(7,132) = 68.86, P < 0.001. -2.523 0.434 1.62 0.03 -1.56 13.80 0.122 < 0.001 -0.036 0.04 -0.81 0.418 -0.131 0.04 -2.94 0.004 -0.212 0.04 -4.76 < 0.001 Model: R2 = 0.79, F(7,132) = 71.38, P < 0.001. 7 Slope 19.616 -0.144 Evaporation SE t-value 1.33 14.80 0.03 -5.59 P < 0.001 < 0.001 0.001 0.04 0.03 0.973 0.007 0.04 0.19 0.853 0.011 0.04 0.30 0.764 2 Model: R = 0.50, F(7,132) = 18.62, P < 0.001. 19.616 -0.144 1.31 0.03 14.94 -5.65 < 0.001 < 0.001 0.003 0.04 0.07 0.944 0.009 0.04 0.26 0.798 0.014 0.04 0.40 0.693 Model: R2 = 0.50, F(7,132) = 18.86, P < 0.001. Table S2b Results of statistical analyses of deep percolation and soil water content as a function of mean annual precipitation across increased variability treatments. Percolation Wet-soil days Intra-annual variability Slope SE t-value P Slope SE t-value P Model Intercept -3.670 1.07 -3.43 0.001 -14.308 12.74 -1.12 0.264 Control 0.150 0.02 7.22 < 0.001 3.435 0.25 13.91 < 0.001 25% 0.004 0.03 0.13 0.898 -0.039 0.35 -0.11 0.912 50% 0.019 0.03 0.65 0.518 -0.162 0.35 -0.46 0.644 75% 0.054 0.03 1.84 0.069 -0.310 0.35 -0.89 0.377 Contrasts of treatments to control Model: R2 = 0.67, F(7,132) = 39.04, P < 0.001. Model: R2 = 0.84, F(7,132) = 103.02, P < 0.001. Model Intercept -3.670 1.24 -2.97 0.004 -14.308 10.77 -1.33 0.186 Control 0.150 0.02 6.25 < 0.001 3.435 0.21 16.45 < 0.001 25% 0.031 0.03 0.91 0.365 -0.248 0.30 -0.84 0.402 50% 0.117 0.03 3.46 0.001 -0.977 0.30 -3.31 0.001 75% 0.238 0.03 7.03 < 0.001 -1.592 0.30 -5.39 < 0.001 1-year inter-annual variability Contrasts of treatments to control Model: R2 = 0.81, F(7,132) = 79.2, P < 0.001. 8 Model: R2 = 0.85, F(7,132) = 104.19, P < 0.001. 3-year inter-annual variability Model Intercept -3.670 1.30 -2.82 0.006 -14.308 10.41 -1.37 0.172 Control 0.150 0.03 5.93 < 0.001 3.435 0.20 17.02 < 0.001 25% 0.038 0.04 1.06 0.291 -0.235 0.29 -0.82 0.413 50% 0.139 0.04 3.91 < 0.001 -0.997 0.29 -3.49 0.001 75% 0.266 0.04 7.44 < 0.001 -1.703 0.29 -5.97 < 0.001 Contrasts of treatments to control Model: R2 = 0.82, F(7,132) = 83.87, P < 0.001. Model: R2 = 0.86, F(7,132) = 111.43, P < 0.001. Model Intercept -3.670 1.38 -2.66 0.009 -14.308 10.27 -1.39 0.166 Control 0.150 0.03 5.59 < 0.001 3.435 0.20 17.25 < 0.001 25% 0.048 0.04 1.26 0.21 -0.265 0.28 -0.94 0.349 50% 0.162 0.04 4.29 < 0.001 -1.084 0.28 -3.85 < 0.001 75% 0.297 0.04 7.85 < 0.001 -1.718 0.28 -6.10 < 0.001 6-year inter-annual variability Contrasts of treatments to control Model: R2 = 0.82, F(7,132) = 86.71, P < 0.001. 9 Model: R2 = 0.86, F(7,132) = 111.86, P < 0.001. Percolation Wet-soil days 9-year inter-annual variability Slope SE t-value P Slope SE t-value P Model Intercept -3.670 1.41 -2.60 0.01 -14.308 10.36 -1.38 0.169 Control 0.150 0.03 5.47 < 0.001 3.435 0.20 17.11 < 0.001 25% 0.053 0.04 1.38 0.171 -0.263 0.28 -0.93 0.357 50% 0.172 0.04 4.45 < 0.001 -1.011 0.28 -3.56 0.001 75% 0.311 0.04 8.02 < 0.001 -1.655 0.28 -5.83 < 0.001 Contrasts of treatments to control Model: R2 = 0.82, F(7,132) = 88.25, P < 0.001. Model: R2 = 0.86, F(7,132) = 111.45, P < 0.001. Model Intercept -3.670 1.38 -2.65 0.009 -14.308 10.25 -1.40 0.165 Control 0.150 0.03 5.59 0 3.435 0.20 17.29 0 25% 0.040 0.04 1.05 0.294 -0.223 0.28 -0.79 0.429 50% 0.149 0.04 3.93 0 -1.048 0.28 -3.73 0 75% 0.278 0.04 7.34 0 -1.737 0.28 -6.18 0 12-year inter-annual variability Contrasts of treatments to control Model: R2 = 0.81, F(7,132) = 80.39, P < 0.001. 10 Model: R2 = 0.86, F(7,132) = 114.1, P < 0.001.