One-day workshop on 27 November 2015 NUI Offices, 49 Merrion Square, Dublin 2 EVENT SPONSORS This one-day workshop is concluding a larger research project kindly financed by the Irish Research Council Starter Grant, entitled ‘The role of the European Commission in multi-level financial management in the European Union: a step closer to governmentalizing and further integration?’ The power of the purse being at the heart of political power and influence, this project looks at the Commission’s increasing involvement in economic policy coordination, fiscal monitoring and financial assistance. It analyses whether the institution has become the leading core executive in the European Union since the launch of the second phase of the Economic and Monetary Union. We are also grateful to the Strategic Research Fund of University College Cork for contributing to financing this workshop. 2 SNAPSHOT OF YOUR TIME IN DUBLIN Thursday 26 November Arrival at your leisure From 15.00 onwards : possibility to check into Hotel Alexander, 41-47 Fenian Street 19.30 : dinner at Dunne & Crescenzi, 16 South Frederick Street Friday 27 November 9.45 – 10.00 : arrival at the workshop in NUI offices, 49 Merrion Square 10.00 : start of the workshop and welcome by Emmanuelle Schön-Quinlivan 10.05 – 12.10 : first panel of the workshop 12.10 – 13.00 : lunch provided at the workshop 13.00 – 14.30 : second panel of the workshop 14.30 – 15.00 : discussion on future avenues for research and publication 15.00 : end of the workshop 15.00 – 16.00 : taxis arranged to bring guest speakers back to Dublin airport NB: if you need to contact Emmanuelle once you have arrived in Dublin, her mobile number is 00353 85 77 46971. 3 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Workshop theme.………….…………………………………….…. p. 5 2. Workshop schedule. ………..……………………………………. p. 6 3. Guest speakers and abstracts.………………………………… p. 7 4. Practical details…………………………………………..………….. p. 11 5. Contact details…………………………………………….…………. p. 14 4 WORKSHOP THEME Since 2009, many articles and books have been written on the causes to the Eurozone crisis, the potential solutions as well as their consequences for European economic integration. Most of the literature has taken a liberal intergovernmentalist approach or even ‘new intergovermentalist’ stance which focuses on the prevalence of the Member States’ role in the handling of the crisis and the consequential relegation of the European Commission as an unwilling agent in manoeuvring to gain more powers. In a multi-level economic governance context which has seen the reshuffling of the power cards between the various stakeholders, this workshop has selected contributions addressing issues of power, supranational entrepreneurship and integration. The first panel looks at the Commission’s role in a new political and institutional environment which has seen an increase in public skepticism on the European Union action (Bauer). It debates the view that the Commission is the great loser in terms of power and influence as a consequence of the new European economic architecture and analyses how the Commission’s empowerment came about in the case of the its role in the Stability and Growth Pact (Scipioni). Carrying on with the concept of supranational entrepreneurship, Spendzharova examines the role of the institution regarding reforming EU rules on banking structure. Finally Schön-Quinlivan considers the consequences of the institutional changes in the EMU for the debate about politicisation, not only on sectorial scale but more in general for the EU project as a whole. In the afternoon, the papers take a principal-agent framework to examine the politics of asymmetric information and elucidate the relationships between member states and institutions regarding credible data collection for the Excessive Deficit Procedure and the Macro-Economic Imbalance Procedure (Savage). Following the same theoretical lines, Gren’s paper looks at the distribution of functions between EU institutions and national competition authorities, two sets of non-majoritarian bodies in the context of European economic governance. The findings of these two papers are likely to shed new light on the key issue of whether and to what extent changes in EMU governance led to more integration in both banking and economic supervision. Finally, with a diametrically opposed assessment on the EMU changes, Hodson reflects on the link between this round of reforms and the broader trends in EU integration in the last decades leading to questions about legitimacy deficit in the EU. 5 WORKSHOP SCHEDULE ‘Reflections on the new architecture of European economic governance’ Guest speakers: 10.00 to 10.05 10.05 to 11.30 Michael W. Bauer, University of Speyer Dermot Hodson, Birkbeck College Jakub Gren, University of Luxembourg James Savage, University of Virginia Emmanuelle Schön-Quinlivan, University College Cork Marco Scipioni, London School of Economics Aneta Spendzharova, University of Maastricht Welcome by Emmanuelle Schön-Quinlivan Marco Scipioni (and E. Schön-Quinlivan), ‘Policy Chaired by TBC entrepreneurship, windows of opportunity and supranational delegation: a comparative analysis of the 2005 and 2010 reform of the Stability and Growth Pact’ Aneta Spendzharova, ‘Balancing Harmonisation and Diversity of National Economic Models: The Role of the European Commission in Reforming Banking Structures in the EU’ Michael W. Bauer (and Stefan Becker, Sara Connolly and Hussein Kassim), ‘Mapping the European Commission in the ‘new’ political and institutional architecture of the European Union: Constraints, functions, capacities’ 11.30 to 12.10 12.10 to 13.00 13.00 to 14.00 Emmanuelle Schön-Quinlivan, ‘Increasing authority and politicisation of the European Commission: a systemic ‘normalization’ of the core executive in European economic governance?’ Questions and answers Lunch Jakub Gren (and David Howarth), A tale of agents with Chaired by two hats: national supervision of less significant banks Aidan Regan under supranational oversight in the Single Supervisory UCD Mechanism. James D. Savage, ‘Enforcing the European Semester: The Politics of Asymmetric Information in the Excessive Deficit and Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedures.’ 14.00 to 14.30 14.30 to 15.00 Dermot Hodson, ‘EU Economic Governance Before and After the Euro Crisis’ Questions and answers Discussion on future research perspectives and publication opportunities 6 Michael W. Bauer (and Stefan Becker, Sara Connolly and Hussein Kassim) ‘The Commission: Boxed In and Constrained, Still an Engine of Integration?’ While the formal mandate of the European Commission has not been changed for decades, the political and institutional developments of the last years have altered the EU’s primary executive in significant ways. Boxed in by the ever more active European Council, the empowered European Parliament and a skeptical public, the Commission is undergoing a subtle but profound transformation. Based on the study of recent Commission activity and data from two large-scale surveys of executive officials and with focus on the Commission's role in post-crisis financial and economic governance, this paper demonstrates that the Commission is increasingly occupied with managing an ever more complex Union. This functional change correlates with a shift in capacities towards more managerial authority. The Commission will undoubtedly remain a crucial actor in the ‘new’ political and institutional architecture of the EU. It will continue to act as an engine of integration. The Commission will most likely become a different engine, i.e. one that primarily works under the surface of high-profile policy-making and focuses on policy management instead of policy expansion. Jakub Gren (and David Howarth) ‘A tale of agents with two hats: national supervision of less significant banks under supranational oversight in the Single Supervisory Mechanism’ Our paper explores the institutional design of the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM) which is a new vehicle for carrying out supervisory tasks in Banking Union (BU) and, in doing so, contributes to the broader discussion of renewed post-crisis EU/EA economic governance. In the SSM, significant institutions (SIs) are directly supervised by the European Central Bank (ECB) whereas national supervisors (NCAs) continue to supervise less significant institutions (LSIs), but under the ECB oversight. We concentrate on the second issue. We examine the relations governing the supervision of less significant banks through the lens of Principal-Agent theory and seek to answer whether the institutional design of the SSM provides a solid foundation to reduce country-specific variations in the supervision of less significant banks across the SSM. Of wider interest to the study of EU Economic Governance, we also consider the insights that can be drawn from applying P-A theory to explore the relationships between non-majoritarian / non-elected bodies, which is of relevance to a range of EU policy areas. We also examine a two-level Principal-Agent relationship in the supervision of less significant banks in the SSM. 7 In line with Principal-Agent theory, we identify a range of the Principal’s control mechanisms which are at the disposal of the ECB and national governments. We see the NCAs as wearing two hats — supranational and national — and acting as the Agents of two Principals with conflicting long-term preferences. We conclude that the ECB has more powerful control mechanisms, but when it comes to their full activation the central bank ultimately remains dependent on policy choices ultimately made at national level. Dermot Hodson ‘EU Economic Governance Before and After the Euro Crisis’ This paper explores changes to European Union (EU) economic governance in view of the euro crisis. It considers two broad questions from a new intergovernmentalist perspective, and drawing on the literatures on legalization and hyper-legalization. Can we conceptualise changes to EU economic governance as European integration? What, if any link, is there between recent reforms and the traditional drivers of European integration? Do changes to euro area governance address or aggravate concerns over the EU’s perceived legitimacy deficit. James D. Savage ‘Enforcing the European Semester: The Politics of Asymmetric Information in the Excessive Deficit and Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedures’ The European Semester was created in the wake of the Greek and Euro crises to strengthen and deepen the fiscal and economic coordination of the European Union. At the center of the Semester is an information-driven surveillance process that relies heavily upon data collected from the member states and analyzed by the European Commission. This is true for both the Stability and Growth Pack/Excessive Deficit Procedure (EDP) and the Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure (MIP). Where the EDP relies on deficit and debt data to determine member state compliance, the MIP is based on eleven "headline" indicators and eighteen "auxiliary" indicators as part of the EU's economic alert mechanism, all of which require credible data to function. According to the Six Pack, "The availability of fiscal data is crucial to the proper functioning of the budgetary surveillance framework of the Union." As the Commission states, "Statistics are the backbone of EU economic governance." This paper examines through a Principal-Agency framework the 8 politics of how data collection and verification differ between the EDP and MIP, with implications for the integrative processes of Europeanization and institutionalization. In particular, this paper explores how the statistical requirements of Six Pack have been enforced by the Commission and ECOFIN to strengthen the EDP and require member state compliance, while, at the same time, the statistical integrity of the MIP has received less protection. Emmanuelle Schön-Quinlivan ‘Increasing authority and politicisation of the European Commission: a systemic ‘normalization’ of the core executive in European economic governance?’ This paper looks at whether the authority transfers to the European Commission in the domain of European economic governance have led to the systemic politicisation of the institution. Rather than taking an internal approach to the politicisation of the institution focusing on its politicoadministrative dimensions (Wille, 2013), the key research question is grounded in a systemtheoretical view of politics which asks whether the content of the European Commission’s decisions and the process followed to reach them have both become politicized. In order to assess the impact of the European Commission’s increasing authority in economic matters on the level of politicisation of the institution in the EU political system, this paper will use the model of politicisation developed by De Wilde and Zürn (2012) and look at how political opportunity structures mediate this relationship between international authority and politicisation. The Commission would therefore be more than a ‘strategic manager’ (Bauer and Becker, 2015) but not ‘yet’ a European economic government. Marco Scipioni (and Emmanuelle Schön-Quinlivan) ‘Policy entrepreneurship, windows of opportunity and supranational delegation: a comparative analysis of the 2005 and 2010 reform of the Stability and Growth Pact’ In the midst of an area which has traditionally been dominated by loose coordination methods, the Stability and Growth Pact stands out for two reasons: it is the only set of legally binding rules in existence in the Economic and Monetary Union and its two reforms in 2005 and 2011 were triggered by a crisis of implementation which went in opposite directions regarding the allocation of power to the European Commission. Opening the blackbox of European economic policymaking through careful process-tracing, this article argues that the coupling of a high problem load with a high level of systemic ambiguity and an individual logic of political manipulation are 9 necessary for policy entrepreneurs, such as DG ECFIN, to successfully open windows of opportunity leading to ‘against the grain’ supranational delegation. Aneta Spendzharova ‘Balancing Harmonisation and Diversity of National Economic Models: The Role of the European Commission in Reforming Banking Structures in the EU’ In the aftermath of the 2008 global financial crisis, policy-makers in the European Union (EU) singled out three areas of policy reform as particularly important in order to tackle the risks created by financial institutions that are “too big to fail”: (1) capital requirements, (2) bank resolution regimes and (3) rules on banking structure. Progress towards a coherent supranational framework and the degree of supranationalisation vary across the three areas, ranging from extensive supranationalisation in the realm of capital adequacy standards to very limited supranationalisation in banking structural reforms. This paper examines the dynamics of composite policy reforms, focusing on the EU rules on banking structures. In particular, what has been the role of the European Commission in the process of policy reform? The paper explores how the Commission has balanced the ambitious European harmonisation agenda with member state concerns about preserving the diversity of national banking, and economic, models. 10 PRACTICAL DETAILS 1. The hotel You will be staying in the Alexander Hotel where a room on a Bed and Breakfast basis has been booked under your individual name. The hotel offers free Wifi. The hotel is situated at 41-47 Fenian Street, Dublin 2. 00353 1 607 3700 2. From Dublin airport The hotel is located 15kms from Dublin International Airport or approximately 20 minutes by taxi travelling at off peak times. Via Aircoach (up to 50 minutes) The Aircoach offers transfers to Kildare Street. Allow up to 50 minutes transfer time. Click to view the Aircoach timetable. Via Taxi: (20 – 45 minutes depending on time of day) 11 Taxis are available from the forecourts directly outside Terminal 1 and Terminal 2. Passengers should follow Taxi signage to the designated taxi ranks. A taxi dispatcher is available at either taxi rank if you require any further information or assistance. A taxi service is available to and from the hotel. You can travel via the main routes of via the toll bridge. 3. Dinner on 26 November 2015 in Dunne & Crescenzi There is a workshop dinner organised for all guest speakers on 26 November at 19.30 in Dunne & Crescenzi on 16, South Frederick Street. 12 4. The workshop The workshop will start at 10.00 in the National University of Ireland offices at 49 Merrion Square, Dublin 2. It will take place in the Boardroom. It is a 5 minute walk from the Alexander Hotel. 5. Leaving the workshop Most participants will be leaving Dublin on 27 November right after the workshop. We will book taxis to get you to Dublin airport. Please let Emmanuelle know early on Friday 27 November whether you will require a taxi. 13 CONTACT DETAILS Michael W. Bauer German Research Institute for Public Administration University of Speyer michael.bauer@uni-speyer.de Dermot Hodson Department of Politics Birkbeck College, UCL d.hodson@bbk.ac.uk Jakub Gren Faculté des Lettres, des Sciences Humaines, des Arts et des Sciences de l'Education Université de Luxembourg jakub.gren@uni.lu James D. Savage Department of Politics University of Virginia jds2y@virginia.edu Emmanuelle Schön-Quinlivan -- 00353 857746971 Department of Government University College Cork e.schon@ucc.ie Marco Scipioni Fellow in Migration and EU Politics London School of Economics m.scipioni@lse.ac.uk Aneta B. Spendzharova Political Science Department Maastricht University, The Netherlands a.spendzharova@maastrichtuniversity.nl THANK YOU VERY MUCH FOR YOUR PARTICIPATION 14