Task One:
You need to be able to explain population trends and patterns in births (crude birth rate), natural increase
and mortality (crude death rate, infant and child mortality rates), fertility and life expectancy in contrasting
regions of the world.
Define: trends , patterns , regions
For each: Plot the data on your worksheet, describe the trends, describe the patterns, try to explain the
trends and then try and explain the patterns.
Crude Birth Rate - Births per 1000 population - Estimates
19501955
19601965
19701975
19801985
19901995
20002005
2005-2010
World
37
35
31
28
24
21
20
Europe
21
19
16
14
12
10
11
Africa
48
47
46
44
40
37
36
Asia
42
39
35
29
25
20
19
Northern America
25
22
16
15
15
14
14
Latin America +
Caribbean
43
41
35
31
25
21
19
Oceania
27
26
24
20
20
18
18
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, CDROM Edition.
Crude Birth Rate - Births per 1000 population - Estimates
1950-1955
19601965
19701975
19801985
19901995
20002005
2005-2010
World
37
35
31
28
24
21
20
Europe
21
19
16
14
12
10
11
Africa
48
47
46
44
40
37
36
Asia
42
39
35
29
25
20
19
Northern America
25
22
16
15
15
14
14
Latin America +
Caribbean
43
41
35
31
25
21
19
Oceania
27
26
24
20
20
18
18
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, CD-ROM
Edition.
Crude Death Rate - Death per 1000 population - Estimates
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1990-1995 2000-2005 2005-2010
World
19
16
12
10
9
9
8
Europe
11
10
10
11
11
12
11
Africa
26
22
19
16
15
13
12
Asia
22
19
12
9
8
8
7
Northern America
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
Latin America +
Caribbean
16
12
10
8
7
6
6
Oceania
12
11
10
8
8
7
7
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011). World
Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, CD-ROM Edition.
Infant Mortality Rate (both sexes combined) - infant deaths per 1000 live births - Estimates
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1990-1995 2000-2005 2005-2010
World
133
114
86
71
60
51
46
Europe
73
37
25
18
13
9
7
Africa
180
154
131
111
102
87
79
Asia
145
127
87
72
57
46
41
Northern America
31
26
18
11
9
7
7
Latin America +
Caribbean
127
101
81
57
38
26
22
Oceania
60
49
41
33
28
25
22
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011). World
Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, CD-ROM Edition.
Under-five Mortality Rate (both sexes combined) - deaths under age 5 per 1000 live births - Estimates
1980-1985
1990-1995
2000-2005
2005-2010
World
105
88
73
66
Europe
22
15
10
9
Africa
181
166
141
125
Asia
103
79
62
54
Northern America
14
10
8
8
Latin America + Caribbean
74
50
32
28
Oceania
44
38
33
28
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011). World
Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, CD-ROM Edition.
Total fertility - children per woman - Estimates
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1990-1995 2000-2005 2005-2010
World
4.95
4.91
4.45
3.59
3.04
2.62
2.52
Europe
2.65
2.56
2.17
1.89
1.57
1.43
1.53
Africa
6.60
6.71
6.67
6.39
5.62
4.94
4.64
Asia
5.82
5.59
5.00
3.69
2.97
2.41
2.28
Northern America
3.33
3.36
2.05
1.79
1.96
1.99
2.03
Latin America +
Caribbean
5.86
5.96
5.02
3.93
3.02
2.53
2.30
Oceania
3.81
4.00
3.30
2.58
2.49
2.41
2.49
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011). World
Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, CD-ROM Edition.
Life Expectancy at Birth (both sexes combined) - Estimates
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1990-1995 2000-2005
20052010
World
47.66
51.19
58.50
62.06
64.38
66.42
67.88
Europe
65.58
69.63
70.79
71.73
72.58
73.79
75.36
Africa
38.17
42.39
46.56
50.13
51.18
52.90
55.16
Asia
42.94
46.36
56.99
61.59
64.95
67.60
68.98
Northern America
68.65
70.24
71.47
74.46
75.85
77.44
78.22
Latin America +
Caribbean
51.28
56.77
60.86
65.16
68.88
72.11
73.41
Oceania
60.50
64.06
66.62
70.12
72.48
75.19
76.65
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011). World
Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, CD-ROM Edition.
Natural increase can be calculated by subtracting the death rate from the birth rate. Calculate it, plot
the data on your worksheet, describe the trends, describe the patterns, try to explain the trends and
then try and explain the patterns.
Crude Birth Rate - Births per 1000 population - Estimates
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1990-1995 2000-2005 2005-2010
World
37
35
31
28
24
21
20
Europe
21
19
16
14
12
10
11
Africa
48
47
46
44
40
37
36
Asia
42
39
35
29
25
20
19
Northern America
25
22
16
15
15
14
14
Latin America +
Caribbean
43
41
35
31
25
21
19
Oceania
27
26
24
20
20
18
18
Crude Death Rate - Death per 1000 population - Estimates
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1980-1985 1990-1995 2000-2005 2005-2010
World
19
16
12
10
9
9
8
Europe
11
10
10
11
11
12
11
Africa
26
22
19
16
15
13
12
Asia
22
19
12
9
8
8
7
Northern America
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
Latin America +
Caribbean
16
12
10
8
7
6
6
Oceania
12
11
10
8
8
7
7
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011). World
Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, CD-ROM Edition.