PSC2224: DOMESTIC ENERGY POLICY Political Science Department George Washington University Fall Semester 2013 Tuesday and Thursday, 11:10 a.m.– 12:25 p.m. Government 101 Prof. Dennis W. Johnson dwjgspm@gwu.edu Office hours: Tuesday and Thursday afternoons, 2:30-4:00 p.m., or by appointment 462 Media and Public Affairs Building This is an upper level undergraduate political science course in U.S. federal energy policy. We will focus on several key topics: (a) an overview of energy resources worldwide and in the United States; (b) the use of fossil fuels—oil and gasoline, coal, and natural gas; (c) the non-fossil sources of energy—nuclear power, hydropower; (c) renewable energy sources— solar, wind, biomass, and others; (d) energy, the environment, and climate change; (e) reducing the demand for energy through conservation and efficiencies; (f) the major federal institutions that make U.S. energy policy; (g) analysis of recent energy legislation; and finally (h) looking to the future of energy needs and U.S. policymaking. The Goals for this Course (a) Understand the interplay between science, technology, politics and public policy. Through a variety of our readings, we will learn how science and technology create both opportunities and challenges in the field of energy policy. (b) Understand the potential and actual impact of U.S. energy production, usage, and policy options dealing with oil and other forms of fossil fuel. (c) Comprehend how energy needs are met in critical areas of U.S. life, from transportation through transmission of electricity. (d) Understand the major federal legislation and policy initiatives in the area of energy. (e) Understand the political strengths and weaknesses of various elements of the energy industry, from oil, natural gas, coal, to renewables. (f) Develop the ability to navigate through energy technical studies and data bases. (g) Sharpen your research and writing skills. You will conduct serious advanced upper-level public policy research and writing. I will demand the highest level of research and analysis, and you, in turn, will be proud of the final product you turn in. How Your Grade Will be Determined There will be three ways that you will be tested: (1) a group research paper, counting 30 percent of the final grade; (2) a mid-term examination, counting as 35 percent of the final grade; and (3) a final examination, counting as 35 percent of the final grade. 2 Group Research Paper: You and two of your classmates will collaborate to write a fifteenpage (double-spaced) policy memorandum, which will be addressed to President Obama, urging that one element of energy be given favorable treatment. The president is creating a National Energy Policy, and your contribution will be vital to his thinking. In the class, there will be ten energy policy teams, each pitching a particular form of fossil or non-fossil fuel, or encouraging energy conservation. In this policy memorandum, you will (a) summarize in 5 pages (or so) the current state of the energy policy in this field; (b) advocate in 8 pages (or so) for federal policy changes that you think are desired in this field; and (c) describe in 2 pages (or so) relevant policy actors and institutions in the federal executive and legislative branches who would be most responsible for making such changes, and list and briefly describe the interest groups that would be most likely to join you in this reform. Here is what you will be advocating; your team and the others will draw lots and be assigned one of these advocacy topics: The best thing the U.S. can do is develop clean coal technology. The U.S. needs to put in massive funds for a breakthrough in automobile batteries for electric cars. The future solution is obvious: encourage as much hydraulic fracturing as possible. The best thing the U.S. can do is restart our nuclear energy program. We need a broad based car tax, with the revenue going to encouraging shifts to non-fossil fuels. Forgive us, Mr. President, but the best thing you can do is let the market place handle our energy needs; we don’t need an overarching energy policy. The best thing we can do is reduce demand for energy, but creating a bold new program for energy conservation. If we don’t radically and totally move away from dependence on fossil fuels, of all forms, we’re screwed. Be imaginative, Mr. President, and be bold. Mr. President, we need to do everything possible to encourage oil drilling in the U.S. and off our shorelines: “Drill, Baby, Drill!” Mr. President, a lot of families and industries are going to be hurt if we radically move away from fossil fuels. What we need is an economic relief plan for those individuals, those cities and states affected, and those industries. Sir, we could solve all of our energy problems by giving massive assistance to wind power and solar power. In the short run, it will be expensive, but in the long run, the best thing for us. “Renewables, Baby!” This assignment will be due one week before the Thanksgiving break and will constitute 30 percent of your course grade. All three students will receive the same grade; but each of you will also submit a grade to me on how well your classmates have performed. If for some reason, one of you has dropped the ball, and your classmates had to take up your responsibilities, then you will be given a lower grade than your teammates. Mid Semester Examination. The examination will be held on October 10, and will cover all material assigned thus far in the course. It will cover texts, supplementary readings, and lecture material. This will count as 35 percent of your course grade. Final Examination: This examination will cover the texts, supplementary readings, and lecture material for the second half of the course, and will be held during exam time in 3 December. This will count as 35 percent of your course grade. Class attendance, class participation and quizzes. There is no grade for class attendance or class participation. Everyone is supposed to attend every class, be prepared by having read the assignments before class, and ready to contribute to class discussion. The only grade will be a negative one: if you chronically miss classes or are not prepared, then I’ll factor this into your final course grade. If, for example, you are teetering between a B+ and an A- (from your group paper and two examinations), then a spotty attendance record will drag you down to a B+. You are not rewarded for attending classes and participating fully— that is the minimum expected of you. If, however, if it appears that very few students have read the required material, I may be compelled to give a quiz or two. The results from those quizzes will also have a negative impact on your grade. Readings: Daniel Botkin, Powering the Future (FT Press, 2010) Richard Lester and David Hart, Unlocking Energy Innovation (MIT Press, 2011) Daniel Yergin, The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Remaking of the Modern World (Penguin, 2011) Online readings: §Jeffery Logan and Stan Mark Kaplan, Wind Power in the United States: Technology, Economic, and Policy Issues (CRS, 2008), §Maura Allaire and Stephen P. A. Brown, U.S. Energy Subsidies: Effects on Energy Markets and Carbon Dioxide Emissions (Resources for the Future/Pew Charitable Trust, 2012), pp. 1-22. http://www.pewtrusts.org/uploadedFiles/wwwpewtrustsorg/Reports/Fiscal_and_Bud get_Policy/EnergySubsidiesFINAL.pdf §Steve Coll, Private Empire: ExxonMobil and American Power (2011), several chapters §Mark Holt, Nuclear Energy Policy (Congressional Research Service, 2012), http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/RL33558.pdf § Robert B. Jackson et al., “Research and Policy Recommendations for Hydraulic Fracturing and Shale Gas Extraction,” 2009. § Robert Meltz, Climate Change and Existing Law, CRS, 2012. http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42613.pdf §Stan Kaplan, “Electricity Power Transmission” http://fpc.state.gov/documents/organization/122949.pdf §James McCarthy, Claudia Copeland, “EPA’s Regulation of Coal-Fired Power: Is a ‘Train Wreck’ Coming?” (Congressional Research Service, 2011), www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R41914.pdf. § Nicolas Loris, “Natural Gas Policy,” Heritage Foundation, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2011/09/natural-gas-policyaccess-not-over-regulation-and-subsidies (2011) §World Energy Outlook Factsheet (2012), http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/media/weowebsite/2012/factsheets.pdf §Robert Bamberger. Energy Policy: Historical Overview (CRS: 2003), http://www.nationalaglawcenter.org/assets/crs/RL31720.pdf §White House, Blueprint for a Secure Energy Future, http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/blueprint_secure_energy_future.pdf 4 Academic Integrity: All members of the university community are expected to exhibit honesty and competence in their academic work. Students have a special responsibility to acquaint themselves with, and make use of, all proper procedures for doing research, writing papers, and taking exams. Members of the community will be presumed to be familiar with the proper academic procedures and will be held responsible for applying them. Deliberate failure to act in accordance with such procedures will be considered academic dishonesty. Academic dishonesty is defined as “cheating of any kind, including misrepresenting one’s own work, taking credit for the work of others without crediting them and without appropriate authorization, and the fabrication of information.” Acts of academic dishonesty are a legal, moral, and intellectual offense against the community and will be prosecuted through the proper university channels. The University Code of Academic Integrity can be found at http://www.gwu.edu/~ntegrity/code.html. Don’t even think about copying material or using someone else’s work as your own. If there is evidence that you plagiarized your research assignment, you will be given an “F” for the assignment and an “F” for the course. Support for Students with Disabilities: GW’s Disability Support Services (DSS) provides and coordinates accommodations and other services for students with a wide variety of disabilities, as well as those temporarily disabled by injury or illness. Accommodations are available through DSS to facilitate academic access for students with disabilities. Additional information is available at www.gwu.edu/~dss. SYLLABUS Week One: August 27 and 29 An Overview of Energy Resources Worldwide and in the United States An Overview of Public Policy Theory --Centrality of energy resources in modern life. --World and U.S. energy mix --Overview of U.S. energy policy --Theories and concepts of public policy Readings: §World Energy Outlook Factsheet (2012), http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/media/weowebsite/2012/factsheets.pdf §Robert Bamberger. Energy Policy: Historical Overview (2003), http://www.nationalaglawcenter.org/assets/crs/RL31720.pdf FOSSIL FUELS Week Two: September 3 and 5 Oil and Gasoline --Use of oil—gasoline for cars, other uses --The oil industry and its Washington muscle --Federal treatment of oil industry --OPEC and oil crisis --Are we running out of oil? 5 --Oil independence? --The search for what’s left --Legislation affecting oil industry Readings: Botkin, Powering the Future, ch. 1 Yergin, The Quest, chs. 1-8 “The New World of Oil” Research teams formed, and advocacy assignments given out. Week Three: September 10 and 12 King Coal --Coal in America --Coal in Twenty-first Century --Mining, safety, environmental concerns --Federal regulation of coal mining --Clean coal technologies Readings: Botkin, Powering the Future, ch. 3 Goodell, “After a Strong Counterattack, Big Coal Makes a Comeback,” http://e360.yale.edu/content/print.msp?id=2337 McCarthy and Copeland, “EPA’s Regulation of Coal-Fired Power: Is a ‘Train Wreck’ Coming?” (Congressional Research Service, 2011), www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R41914.pdf. Weeks Four, Five: September 17, 19, 24 September 17: This class will be devoted to conducting research on energy policy. Dr. David Ettinger, Gelman Library specialist in public policy and political science, will conduct the class session. Natural Gas and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) --The shale oil revolution and fracking --Economics of natural gas --Federal legislation Readings: Botkin, Powering the Future, ch. 2. Yergin, The Quest, ch. 16 Loris, “Natural Gas Policy.” Jackson et al., “Research and Policy Recommendations for Hydraulic Fracturing and Shale Gas Extraction,” NON-FOSSIL FUEL SOURCES OF ENERGY Weeks Five and Six: September 26 and October 1 Nuclear Power --Nuclear power generation in United States --Will we build more generators --Environmental implications of nuclear power --Learning from Fukushima --Nuclear licensing, risk insurance, and other government actions 6 --Federal legislation affecting nuclear power generation Readings: Botkin, Powering the Future, ch. 5 Yergin, The Quest, ch. 18 Mark Holt, Nuclear Energy Policy (2012), http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/RL33558.pdf The Future of Nuclear Power (MIT, 2003), http://web.mit.edu/nuclearpower/pdf/nuclearpower-full.pdf Update of the MIT Future of Nuclear Power Study (MIT, 2009) http://web.mit.edu/nuclearpower/pdf/nuclearpower-update2009.pdf Weeks Six and Seven: October 3 and 8 Hydroelectric, Solar, Wind, and other renewables --The market for renewables --Economics of renewables --Can renewables replace coal? --Federal and state incentives Readings: Botkin, Powering the Future, chs. 6, 7, 8, 9 Yergin, The Quest, chs. 27-30 Week Seven: October 10 October 10: Mid-Semester Examination, covering all material from Week 1 through Week 7. Week Eight: October 15 and 17 Electricity Reliability and Transmission --Importance of electricity in modern life --Reliability of electricity and transmission lines Readings: Yergin, The Quest, chs. 17-20 “The Electric Age” Botkin, Powering the Future, ch. 10. §Stan Kaplan, “Electricity Power Transmission” http://fpc.state.gov/documents/organization/122949.pdf CLIMATE CHANGE, CONSERVATION AND FUTURE ENERGY CHALLENGES Week Nine: October 22 and 24 Eight: Energy and Climate Change --Why is it so difficult to enact legislation? --Why isn’t the U.S. a leader in this field? --What can be done? Readings: Yergin, The Quest, chs. 21-26 Meltz, Climate Change and Existing Law. Week Ten: October 29 and 31 Reducing Demand and Promoting Efficiency Readings: 7 Botkin, Powering the Future, ch. 12. Yergin, The Quest, chs. 31-32. Week Eleven: November 5 and 7 Federal Institutions and Policymaking --Key cabinet agencies and independent regulatory agencies --Committees in Congress; key members of Congress --White House staff --Obama energy policy Week Twelve: November 12 and 14 Recent Federal legislation --Energy Policy Act of 2005 --Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 --American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 Readings: Allaire and Brown, U.S. Energy Subsidies, pp. 1-22 http://www.pewtrusts.org/uploadedFiles/wwwpewtrustsorg/Reports/ Fiscal_and_Budget_Policy/EnergySubsidiesFINAL.pdf White House, Blueprint for a Secure Energy Future Week Thirteen: November 19 and 21 The Future of Energy Policy Readings: Botkin, Powering the Future, ch. 13. Yergin, The Quest, chs. 33-35, Conclusion Research Papers are due, November 21 Week Fourteen: November 26 The Future of Energy Policy (continued) Readings: Lester and Hart, Unlocking Energy Innovation, chs. 1-4 Thanksgiving Break Week Fifteen: December 3 and 5 The Future of Energy Policy (conclusion) Readings: Lester and Hart, Unlocking Energy Innovation, chs. 5-8 Final Examination (Examination Week—to be determined) The examination covers all reading and lecture material from Weeks 8 through Week 14.