Appendix B National Pay Determination in the NHS: Resilience and Continuity Ian Kessler Reader in Employment Relations at the Saїd Business School and Fellow at Green Templeton College, University of Oxford Executive Summary Introduction The national determination of pay in British public services has been remarkably resilient. This resilience is especially noteworthy given government attempts over the years to re-structure the public sector, often accompanied by calls to introduce local wage setting machinery. Since the 2010 election, critiques of national pay determination in the public sector have re-surfaced and intensified. These critiques have been characterised by a number of overlapping shortcomings: A reluctance to explore why the national determination of pay in public services has been so resilient A failure to fully consider the different purposes associated with and the range of actors involved in public services pay determination A reluctance to interrogate alternative approaches to national pay determination, in particular their potential limitations and relative costs This paper explores the resilience of national pay determination in the public sector: how it has been sensitive to and reflected the public sector; how it has addressed diverse stakeholder interests, and how it has retained the capacity to do so, particularly relative to alternative approaches. The paper considers such issues with reference to the longstanding model of national pay determination in the NHS. 1|Page Appendix B The paper is divided into three main parts: Patterns of pay determination: What trends are apparent in the arrangements for pay determination across the British public and private sectors? National pay determination: What explains the adoption of national approaches to pay determination in general terms, and particularly in public services? NHS reorganisation and pay determination: How has pay determination in the NHS fared and how will it cope given attempts to re-structure the provision of healthcare? Pay Determination in the public and private sectors: An overview There are some important differences in wage setting machinery in the main parts of British public services. However, more striking are enduring similarities summarised as: - National: The institutions of pay determination are durable and deeply rooted in national systems and procedures. - Joint: Pay determination is a joint process, engaging a range of stakeholders in discussion and collective bargaining. - Flexible: National pay determination typically allows for local flexibility, not least to accommodate particular local and occupational labour market conditions. - Distinctive: These features of pay determination distinguish the public sector from the private sector where, over recent years, pay determination has become more decentralised and less subject to collective agreement. National Pay Determination and British Public Services The Public Service Context Critics of national pay determination in public services look at developments in the private sector and ask – if the private sector has moved to more local pay determination, why haven’t public services? This overlooks the longstanding differences in pay determination in the public and private sectors. The very longevity of a distinctive, national model of pay determination in public services suggests the need for care in drawing lessons from the private sector, and indeed point to key features which render national wage setting as the most efficient and effective means of wage setting in a public service context. 2|Page Appendix B There are certain features of public services and their workforces that lend themselves to national pay determination: - Multiple stakeholders: Public services comprise an unusually diverse set of actors. In contrast to the private sector, a range of electorally accountable policy makers are involved in public service pay determination, along with the ‘usual suspects’: employees, managers and their representatives. - Political contingency: It follows that policy makers bring to the pay determination process ideological values and beliefs, and are particularly sensitive to the presentation and political consequences of pay outcomes. - Goal dispersion: The engagement of multiple stakeholders in pay determination results in a range of diverse goals, while political contingency invests provides pay determination with a novel set of aims. Stakeholders are sensitive to the different goals and trade-offs between them, due to the signals this sends to the wider audience on both the system itself and its outcome. Most obviously, affordability is closely linked to public policy on public expenditure. - A professional workforce: The public sector workforce has distinctive characteristics. It is diverse in terms of gender, ethnicity and disability. Within the NHS, it is also a highly qualified workforce. A range of professional groups are regulated according to national requirements and standards and are expected to deliver services to the same high standards wherever in Britain they are employed. This paper argues that the resilience and continuity of national pay determination, across the public sector, and particularly in the NHS, can be related to these distinctive contextual features. A range of actors with a stake in pay determination in public services, pursue a range of diverse objectives, Given these factors, the pertinent issue is not the perceived shortcomings of a national model – but whether an alternative locally based model is more or less likely to manage pay determination in a more efficient and effective way. 3|Page Appendix B The public service context and the benefits of national pay determination The main arguments for national rather than local pay determination in the public sector are summarised as follows: - Discipline and Control - Cost Efficiency and Effectiveness - Transparency and Consistency Discipline and Control National wage setting disciplines employers in an industry or sector to provide standard terms and conditions of employment. For the employee, standardisation is critical to the fairness of a pay system. For the employer the discipline of national pay determination generates a number of benefits: - It limits employers from competing in pay terms with one another, so preventing a ‘race to the bottom’ or ‘a race to the top’, the latter, in particular, leading to ‘leapfrogging’ and inflated labour costs. - It reduces the negative externalities which arise from more disaggregated forms of pay determination. Rather than seeking a quick-fix by reneging on any responsibility to train its staff by poaching from others through higher pay rates, national pay determination forces employers to seek more sustainable solutions through investing in its employees. Commentators suggest that the discipline required by national wage setting introduces rigidities, seen as problematic in a two senses: - Weakening pay sensitivity to local or regional labour market conditions, consequently creating recruitment and retention difficulties; - Limiting the use of pay to support broader organisational change or competitiveness. In the main, critiques of national pay determination in the public sector have concentrated on the former issue, the irony being that moves towards more fragmented, single employer bargaining in the private sector have often been driven by the latter. Critiques of national pay determination in British public services have typically been predicated on the view that standard pay rates result in the ‘misallocation’ of labour. However, calls for public sector pay flexibility in response to local labour market conditions avoid consideration of what constitutes a regional or local labour market, and indeed whether such labour markets might meaningfully form the 4|Page Appendix B basis for pay determination. In particular, regions rarely equate with well-defined labour markets: it is more common to find isolated labour market ‘hot spots’ within them1. i. Cost Efficiency and Effectiveness - Pay bill costs. National, multi-employer pay determination is structurally predisposed towards generating moderate pay increases, and indeed this has been borne out over the years in the public sector. Over the last decade or so, settlements in the public sector have been broadly in line with those in the private sector. Controlling for human capital, the earnings of public services and public sector are also closely aligned. - Transaction costs. National pay determination has long been seen particularly by small and medium sized employers as a way of minimising transaction costs, delegating to a central agency or body responsibility for many of the associated activities and reaping economies of scale and expertise. - Relational costs. National wage setting removes pay as a potential source of managementemployee conflict at the workplace level. National wage setting also protects against pay increases becoming too closely tied to broader organisational change. ii. Transparency and consistency In public services, the transparency and consistency of national pay determination contributes to the promotion of employee motivation, equality and mobility. In terms of motivation, the employment of the same occupational groups by public service providers allows for ready and legitimate pay comparisons. Similarly, a shared configuration of occupational roles in different parts of public services ensures the viability of a national job evaluation scheme, which guarantees equal pay for work of equal value. Finally, a national model of pay determination allows public service professionals, in particular, to move readily between organisations, their skills and capabilities under-written by their registered and regulated status. 1 Incomes Data Services (1997) Annual review of pay and employment practices part one: a survey of 137 NHS trusts, Health Service Report 5|Page Appendix B Reviewing Wage Setting in the NHS Developments National Pay and the NHS Context Since its inception in 1948, the NHS has had a national model of pay determination based on joint regulation between the government/management and the trade unions. The adoption of such a model is related to various factors, largely shared with other parts of the public sector: - National wage setting in the NHS supports a nationwide service, delivered, in the main, by a nationally regulated workforce, and according to consistent standards of care delivery. - For some 35 years and governments of various hues, a national wage setting model based on joint regulation has closely reflected and supported public policy. - National pay determination has been seen as the most efficient and effective means of addressing the diverse pay objectives held by a variety of stakeholders. The durability of national pay determination in the early to mid 1990s was particularly striking. During this period the government actively sought to encourage local pay determination at trust level, while the resistance to this process by various actors highlighted the value of a national model in the NHS and the challenges faced in moving to Trust wage setting arrangements. Local Pay in the 1990s Government encouragement of local pay determination in the 1990s took two forms: the sanctioning of a new local healthcare assistant grade, despite an existing Whitley nurse auxiliary grade; and encouragement of local bargaining to develop pay and conditions at Trust level. Research at the time confirmed the faltering and limited progress made on these two initiatives, highlighting the following barriers to local pay determination: Mixed messages: Despite an increasingly assertive government approach to local pay determination, trusts were confronted with mixed messages from national policy on the development of local pay determination. Pay bill costs: One of the clearest illustrations of mixed messages lies with the government’s encouragement of local pay determination at a time when it was also seeking to constrain public expenditure and pay bill costs. 6|Page Appendix B Mixed arrangement: The decentralisation of pay determination proved to be a ‘messy’ process, local Trust arrangements co-existing with residual, alternative forms of wage setting. Relational costs: Moves to local pay generated considerable disquiet among employees, reflected in trade union opposition. Transaction costs: Local pay determination generated high transaction costs, inflated by doubts about local management’s capacity to deliver on such arrangements. Other priorities and means: At a time of major organisational change, with the establishment of an internal market for healthcare, trusts had more pressing concerns than those associated with local pay determination. Indeed, trusts felt that there were more efficient and effective levers for managing change, and in particular for controlling pay bill costs, than developing a local approach to pay determination. The Current Arrangements for Pay Determination The current national arrangement for pay determination based on NHS Pay Review Body recommendations and Agenda for Change ensure: - Discipline and control: The NHS Pay Review Body process allows central government some control over pay settlements. In combination with the infrastructure established by Agenda for Change, a ‘level playing field’ is set for pay conditions which prevents a ‘race to the bottom’ or indeed ‘the top’. - Cost efficiency and effectiveness: These arrangements have provided relatively modest and affordable settlements, minimising the transaction costs expended by trusts, and removing pay as a source of conflict in trusts’ relations with employees and their representatives. - Transparency and consistency: The consistency inherent in these arrangements has contributed to the perceived fairness of the pay system, crucial in stimulating employee motivation. In ensuring the pay structure is equality-proof, the arrangements have also promoted a sense of fairness, but more tangibly also ensured equal pay for work of equal value. Moreover the transparency and consistency of the arrangements have facilitated staff mobility across the NHS. However, some caution is needed in assuming that the current, national wage setting arrangements have fully met these goals and expectations, not least given the paucity of research on the agreement’s 7|Page Appendix B implementation and impact. However, available studies present a fairly consistent picture. Agenda for Change has been welcomed by stakeholders as an improvement on the previous fragmented and complex national arrangements, and is seen as providing a firm basis for taking forward important substantive issues, particularly equal pay and new ways of working. Commentators and practitioners have raised residual implementation concerns, particularly the time taken to embed the Knowledge and Skills Framework, but this does not detract from the perceived overall value of Agenda for Change. The Future of Pay Determination in the NHS While the Health and Social Care Bill applies only to England, the implications for national pay determination across the UK are significant. The future NHS in England is likely to be characterised by three features: - Accelerated fragmentation - Mixed provision - Financial constraint Fragmentation. Future reforms aspire to achieve plurality of provision of NHS services. As part of this, the powers of autonomous Foundation Trusts to set terms and conditions as well as greater discretion for planning and developing their workforces will accelerate.2 Such change has led to renewed calls for local pay determination. These calls have, however, been accompanied by a silence from the government on how the decentralisation of pay might affect its proposals for workforce development and planning. Mixed provision. The mixed provision of services is likely to be reflected not only in the delivery of healthcare by organisations from different parts of the economy – the public, private and independent sectors - but in new types of organisation, in particular, social enterprises. This mix is likely to encourage a wider distribution of providers in terms of size and complexity. The spinning off of social enterprises and the more general provision of healthcare from the private and independent sectors can also be seen as a continuation of the outsourcing of service provision over a 2 Department of Health (2010) Liberating the NHS: Developing the Healthcare Workforce, London: DH 8|Page Appendix B number of years - with familiar consequences for pay. In the context of the commissioning of healthcare services, much will depend upon whether competition goes forward on the basis of price. Financial constraint. This paper draws attention to the cost efficiency and effectiveness associated with a national system of pay determination, and by implication the high costs trusts would face both in moving to and sustaining a local wage setting model. In the current of context financial constraint, is this the right time to incur the high costs associated with moves to local pay determination? Moreover, in a labour intensive sector such as the NHS, the relational costs associated with such a move are also likely to be high. Given the current upheavals being experienced by NHS staff, how might they respond to such a fundamental change in their employment terms and how might any resultant demoralisation feed through to the quality of healthcare provision? Summary and Conclusions This paper has argued that the resilience and continuity of national pay determination in the public sector lie in its sensitivity to the sector’s contextual features and to its efficiency and effectiveness in dealing with the diverse goals held by multiple stakeholders. This has been achieved by a national wage setting model with the capacity to generate and sustain: discipline and control; cost efficiency and effectiveness; and transparency and consistency The paper has applied this line of argument to an understanding of the past and future development of national pay determination in the NHS. The resilience of national wage setting in the NHS in the face of various pressures is presented as a testament to its sensitivity to context, and to its capacity to manage diverse pay objectives. This was particularly striking in the 1990s when public policy attempts to encourage trust based bargaining made limited headway, highlighting some of the barriers to and dangers inherent in moves to local pay determination. Given new and current pressures, the paper also raises the need for careful consideration of the costs and benefits associated with national pay determination, relative to more decentralised arrangements, particularly in a period of financial constraint. Greater local pay determination might well have major transactional, relational and pay bill costs, outweighing any immediate gains arising from any such move. The paper has not sought to conceal any shortcomings of national pay determination in public services, and more particularly in the NHS, relative to a more decentralised approach. It does, however, assert that given the diverse range of objectives held by different stakeholders in a sector with distinctive 9|Page Appendix B features, national pay determination provides a firm basis for the complex of task of managing the healthcare workforce in times significant organisational change and uncertainty. As pressures on national pay determination mount, those considering local alternatives to national pay determination might usefully be guided by the adage ‘be careful what you wish for’. 10 | P a g e Appendix B National Pay Determination in the NHS: Resilience and Continuity 1 Introduction The national determination of pay in British public services has been remarkably resilient. In the civil service, national machinery was introduced in 1919 as a direct response to the Whitley Report published a few years before3 while in healthcare, national Whitley systems were set-up at the inception of the NHS in 1948,4 becoming established in local government at around the same time.5 These mechanisms have been subject to considerable substantive, procedural and institutional change over the years, but in most parts of public services national forms of wage setting have continued and remained central to the regulation of the effort-reward bargain. The resilience of national pay determination in public services is especially noteworthy given recent attempts by governments of different party political complexions to re-structure or ‘modernise’ public services. In the 1980s and early 1990s, Conservative governments introduced competitive forces into the public sector, encouraging the fragmentation of service delivery with associated attempts to devolve pay determination. The period of New Labour government was characterised by more integrative forms of service provision, underpinned by its brokerage of national agreements on pay and conditions in different parts of public services, for example the Workload Agreement 2003, in primary and secondary education, and Agenda for Change in the NHS 2004. However, there was always a tension between New Labour’s ‘joined-up’ approach to government and its pursuit of a ‘choice agenda’ rooted in the continued encouragement of quasi-independent, sometimes competing, providers such as NHS Foundation Trusts and school academies, with discretion to determine employee pay.6 Since the last election in 2010, the pressure on national pay determination has re-surfaced and intensified, as the Conservative-led Coalition government has accelerated the pursuit of user ‘choice’ and ‘voice’ through 3 Parris H (1973) Staff relations in the Civil Service: Fifty years of Whitleyism. London Seifert R (1992) Industrial relations in the NHS, London: Chapman Hall 5 Kessler I (1989) Bargaining strategies in local government in Mailly R and Dimmock S (eds) Industrial Relations in the Public Services, London: Routledge 6 Bach S and Kessler I (2011 forthcoming) The Modernisation of Employee Relations: Targeted Change, Basingstoke: Palgrave 4 11 | P a g e Appendix B a further, more extended roll-out of quasi-independent service providers – Foundation Trusts, school academies and now free schools and local social enterprises.7 These more immediate and recent pressures following on from the last election have encouraged various commentators, some policy makers and management practitioners to revive their longstanding critique of national pay determination in public services. These critiques have varied in form, ranging from generalised polemic pieces funded by (‘right leaning’) think tanks8,9 to more focused studies, modelling, on the basis of certain, perhaps questionable, assumptions and testing the relationship between national pay and certain labour market and services outcomes.10 Typically, however, these critiques have been characterised by a number of overlapping shortcomings or limitations: Critics have been reluctant to explore why the national determination of pay in public services has been so resilient. Such resilience suggests that there might well be structural and operational features of public services, which lend themselves to national wage setting as the most efficient and effective way of determining pay. The different purposes associated with and the range of actors involved in public sector pay determination has been understated. As a consequence, the complex trade-off between diverse actor goals linked to equity, social cohesion, service standards and quality, affordability, recruitment, retention and motivation, achieved by national pay determination in the sector has been overlooked. Critiques of national pay determination in public services have down-played consideration of alternative approaches and their potential shortcomings. Given the varied, sometimes competing, objectives and stakeholders involved, any approach to pay determination will have to make trade-offs, dealing with some issues more efficiently and effectively than others. In such circumstances, it is pertinent to ask whether an alternative, locally based approach to pay determination is any better able to achieve these delicate and complex trade-offs. The faults of a system in operation are often all too apparent, while future, notional approaches are just as easily, and dangerously, idealised. 7 Bach S (2011) A new era of public service employment relations? The challenges ahead, Acas future of workplace relations discussion paper series, Discussion Paper 1. London: Acas 8 Harding R (2007) Poverty Pay: How Public Sector Pay Failed Deprived Areas, London: Social Market Foundation 9 Wolf A (2011) More than we bargained for, London: Centre Forum 10 Hall E, Propper C and Van Reenen J (2008) Can Pay Regulation Kill? Panel Data evidence on the effect of labour markers on hospital performance, Journal of Political Economy, 118: 2, 222-73 12 | P a g e Appendix B In general, this paper explores the resilience of national pay determination in public services: how it has addressed diverse stakeholder interests, and, how it has retained the capacity to do so, particularly relative to alternative approaches. More specifically the paper considers such issues with reference to the longstanding model of national pay determination in the NHS. Still covering the four countries of the United Kingdom – England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales – in recent years this model of national pay determination has been subject to important changes. The remit of the NHS Pay Review Body has been gradually extended, now making recommendations on pay awards for all NHS workers with the exception of doctors, dentists and some very senior managers. These awards are underpinned by Agenda for Change, effective from 2004, with its streamlined banded pay structure, founded upon a comprehensive, national job evaluation scheme and a system of performance management – the Knowledge and Skills Framework – along with other terms and conditions, inter alia premium payments to address regional and/or occupational recruitment and retention difficulties. As suggested, this national approach to pay determination in the NHS faces renewed challenge from various sources: the permissive nature of the 2011 Health and Social Care Bill, which allows contracts between purchaser consortia and providers to depart from national pay and conditions; the assumed acquisition of Foundation status by all NHS trusts with discretion to determine pay and conditions; and the ‘right to provide’ encouraging services provision from social enterprises and other providers, potentially beyond national NHS national agreements and systems. Against such a backdrop the paper is divided into three main parts, addressing the following issues: Patterns of pay determination: What trends are apparent in the arrangements for pay determination across the British public and private sectors? This part establishes the distinctive form assumed by pay determination in public services, with an emphasis on the ongoing use of national wage setting machinery. National pay determination: What explains the adoption of national approaches to pay determination in general terms but particularly in public services? This part explores the costs and benefits of different forms of pay determination, and, especially national pay determination. NHS reorganisation and pay determination: How has national pay determination in the NHS fared and how is it likely to cope given ongoing attempts to re-structure the provision of 13 | P a g e Appendix B healthcare? This part assesses the development and performance of national pay determination in the NHS: - In the face of public policy pressure in the 1990s - In the wake of the Agenda for Change agreement - In the context of present changes in healthcare delivery 2. Pay Determination in the public and private sectors: An overview Approaches to pay determination differ within and between countries. These differences of approach are distinguishable along a number of dimensions: - Actors: Those involved in pay determination – employer and employee representatives as well as third parties such as the state or advisory bodies. - Processes: The approaches to pay decision making – through unilateral state or employer action, or on the basis of consultation, negotiation or statutory enforcement. - Levels: Where these processes are enacted – whether at national, industry and or local levels. - Coverage: The proportion or number of employers and workers who are party to and undertake to be bound by a pay agreement or arrangement. These dimensions are often related. For example, the level of pay determination has important implications for the coverage of an approach: thus, pay determination at industry level is sometimes inclusive, covering all organisations and their employees within the sector. This is particularly the case in certain continental European countries, where statutory extension clauses ensure that any agreement reached at industry level covers employers and their workforce whether or not they are a formal party to the original agreement. This can produce an apparent disconnect between union density and the coverage of collective agreements: where there is an extension clause, low union membership can often sit alongside the high coverage of collective agreements.11 Using the different dimensions of pay determination, there are some important differences in wage setting machinery in the main parts of British public services. As we have seen, in the NHS, pay increases are associated with pay review body recommendations, combined with ongoing negotiation centred on 11 European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions (2007) Industrial Relations in the Public Sector, Dublin 14 | P a g e Appendix B the pay structure underpinning Agenda for Change through the NHS Staff Council. Similarly, teachers’ pay increases are based on recommendations from a teachers’ pay review body, complemented by negotiations on workload as instituted by the Workload Agreement. In local government, pay and conditions have mainly been set by national bargaining, covering over 350 local authorities of different types, and currently codified in the Green Book or Single Status agreement. The civil service is the only part of the public sector which has a more fragmented form of national pay bargaining, the devolution of pay determination emerging with the establishment of executive agencies in the late 1990s.12 However, pay in these agencies, particularly those with a network of local outlets, for example Jobcentre Plus or the Passport Office, remains nationally determined, with a single agreement covering all such outlets.13 While acknowledging these differences in wage setting machinery in various parts of British public services, more striking are enduring similarities which can be summarised in the following terms: - National: The institutions of pay determination have been durable and deeply rooted in national systems and procedures. In short, pay determination, in the main has remained at the national level, and consequently most employees and employers have been covered by agreements and asscoiated practices. - Joint: Pay determination has been a joint process, engaging a range of stakeholders – employees, employers and their representatives, along with government and other third parties, such as pay review bodies – in discussion and collective bargaining. - Flexible: National pay determination has typically allowed for some local flexibility, not least to accommodate anomalous local and occupational labour market conditions. - Distinctive: These features of pay determination distinguish public services from the private sector where over recent years pay determination has become more decentralised and less subject to collective agreement. 12 Kessler I, Heron P and Gagnon S (2006) The fragmentation of pay determination in the British civil service: a union member perspective, Personnel Review, 35(1): 6-28 13 The UK is unusual among EU countries in having this form of fragmented bargaining. A review of industrial relations in the public sector across most EU countries, conducted by the European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions, revealed that many EU countries, including France and Germany, had centralised barging for civil servants, while a number of others including Italy and Spain used forms of pay coordination for their civil servants. 15 | P a g e Appendix B Data from Workplace Employee Relations Surveys (WERS) highlight and confirm this overview of pay determination in the public and private sectors. Table 1 below presents collective bargaining coverage by workplace and employees as revealed by four WERS surveys over a twenty year period, 1984-2004. The predominance of national pay determination in the public sector is reflected in the high coverage of bargaining over the years, the tenure of national agreements embracing most workplaces and employees. Thus, in 2004 around 80% of workplaces and employees were covered by some form of collective bargaining, clearly reflecting the tenure of national agreements. It can be seen that this is in stark contrast to the private sector where collective bargaining coverage and multi employer bargaining have collapsed over the period: in 2004 only a quarter of employees and a lower proportion of workplaces were covered by collective bargaining. Certainly there was a slight fall in employee coverage across the public sector after 1984, but this was largely accounted for by the extension PRB coverage rather than the decentralisation of bargaining. Table 1: Workplace and employees with some collective bargaining, 1984-2004 Workplaces with any collective bargaining Employees in workplaces with any collective bargaining Public 1984 1990 1998 2004 1984 1990 1998 2004 99 86 84 82 95 78 67 79 47 38 24 16 52 41 32 25 sector Private sector Source: Brown et al, 200814 Table 2 below highlights how pay determination remains a largely joint process. Pay determination based solely on methods other than collective bargaining – such as unilateral management discretion – is rare in the public sector. Again this picture is very different to that in the private sector where managerial decision making whether at higher or workplace levels, is now the sole means of pay determination in most workplaces. Indeed, for a significant proportion of public sector workplaces, close to a half (41%) in 2004, compared to under a quarter in the private sector (23%), mixed methods are used to determine pay, likely a combination of collective bargaining and pay review body recommendations. 14 Brown W, Bryson A and Forth J (2008) Competition and the Retreat from Collective Bargaining, NIESR Discussion paper No. 318, London: NIESR 16 | P a g e Appendix B Table 2: Pay Determination methods (workplaces) by sector, 1998 and 2004 % Workplaces 1998 2004 Public Sector Private sector Public sector Private sector Only multi employer 28 2 36 1 Only single employer 19 4 12 4 Only workplace level 0 1 1 1 Only set by mgt higher level 9 24 7 23 Only set by management, 1 32 1 43 0 6 0 5 - - 1 0 iii) Mixture of Methods 39 28 41 23 All methods 100 100 100 100 Any CB 79 17 77 11 Any set by mgt 21 81 28 79 Any individual negotiations 1 16 2 15 Any other methods 39 8 32 2 PRB - - 32 0 i)Single methods of collective bargaining: ii) Single other method: workplace Only set by individual negotiations Only other methods (Pay Review Bodies Source: Kersely et al, 200615 In summary, it is clear that national pay determination has continued to characterise British public services, reflected not least in the extensive coverage of collective bargaining, the importance of PRB arrangements and the continued presence of forms of multi-employer bargaining. In the next section consideration is given to the reasons for the emergence and durability of national forms of pay determination, particularly in public services, focusing especially on the relative benefits and cost of this form of wage setting. 15 Kersely B, Carmen SA, Forth J, Bryson A, Bewley H, Dix G and Oxenbridge, S (2006) Inside the Workplace: Findings from the 2004 Workplace Employment Relations Survey, London: Routledge 17 | P a g e Appendix B 3. National Pay Determination and British Public Services 3.1 The Public Service Context The nature of pay determination in British public services, with its continuing emphasis on the national, multi-employer joint regulation, in marked contrast to practices in the private sector, begs a number of questions. These relate to the distinctiveness and durability of British public services model of pay determination. Critics of this model have often looked askance at developments in the private sector, with increasingly decentralised forms of pay determination, and queried the distinctiveness of the public service approach: if the private sector has moved to more local pay determination, why haven’t public services followed a similar path? It is, however, a question which overlooks the longstanding character of private-public sector differences: as the WERS data reveal, while the sector contrast has certainly deepened over the years, it was marked from the outset of the data series. Moreover to suggest that private sector trends have lessons for public services, assumes that these trends, and their meaning, are being correctly interpreted and that they have relevance for public services. The very longevity of a distinctive, national model pay determination in public services suggests the need for care in drawing lessons from the private sector, and indeed points to national wage setting as the most efficient and effective means of wage setting in a public service context. The fit between the public service context and a national approach to pay determination reside in contextual features which distinguish it from the private sector. In general terms, a number of researchers and commentators have suggested that the public domain is distinctive from the private, being characterised by a particular set of irreducible values, principles and assumptions.16 and 17 For example, in the public domain exchange relations are not structured or assessed solely according economic and market criteria, and are subject to transparency and intense forms of accountability. In more specific, industrial relations terms Bach and Winchester have argued that there are features of public service employment which mitigate against the development of local pay determination: the political sensitivity of public services; the questionable viability of some public service organisations as potential pay bargaining units given their limited size and complexity; and the continuation of strong occupational identities and labour markets.18 Public policy choices remain, for instance, on the scale and 16 Ranson S and Stewart J (1994) Management in the public domain: Enabling the learning society, Basingstoke: Palgrave 17 Marquand D (2004) The decline of the public; The hollowing out of citizenship, Cambridge: Polity Press 18 Bach S and Winchester D (1994) Opting out of pay devolution? The prospects of local pay bargaining in UK public services, British Journal of Industrial Relations 32:2, 263-82 18 | P a g e Appendix B coverage of the public domain, and on the design of the public sector workforce and provider units. Nonetheless, there are still strong grounds for asserting that public services and their workforces retain features which lend themselves to national pay determination. These features can be summarised as follows: - Multiple stakeholders: Public services comprise an unusually diverse set of actors. As Avinash Dixit, professor of economics at Princeton University in the USA, has noted: Public sector agencies have some special features, most notably a multiplicity of dimensions- of tasks, of stakeholders and their often conflicting interests about the ends and the means, and of the tiers of management and front line workers Sometimes these special characteristics explain why these agencies are in the public sector in the first place. They also make inappropriate the naive application of magic bullet solutions like competition and performance-based incentives.19 More specifically and in contrast to the private sector, a range of electorally accountable policy makers will be interested and involved in public services pay determination, along with the ‘usual suspects’: employees, managers and their representatives. - Political contingency: It follows that pay determination in public services will be underpinned by a significant degree of political contingency.20 In other words, policy makers will bring to the process ideological values and beliefs, and will be particularly sensitive to the presentation and broader political consequences of pay outcomes. - Goal dispersion: The engagement of multiple stakeholders in the pay determination process also informs the process, with a range of diverse of goals likely to be ‘in play’. Any system of pay determination, whether in the private or public sector, at national or organisational level, seeks to address a number of objectives, often complementing one another but sometimes in tension. There will be a general public policy interest in how wage setting machinery as it operates in different industries impacts on economic outcomes: levels of inflation and (un)employment.21 But there will also be a public policy concern for its wider 19 Dixit A (2002) Incentives and Organization in the Public Sector: An Interpretive Review, Journal of Human Resources, 37: 4, 696-727 20 Ferner A (1998) Government, Managers and Industrial Relations, Oxford: Blackwell 21 Over the years there has been considerable interest in particularly within the OECD, on the relationship between the structure of collective bargaining + typically defined in terms of bargaining coverage, the use of extension 19 | P a g e Appendix B social and political consequences. The preoccupation of public policy makers with a variety of pay setting goals was recently and somewhat belatedly acknowledged by the OECD. A narrow concern with macroeconomic outcomes prompted the OECD to call for greater pay flexibility, a call stubbornly resisted by member countries seeking to pursue a wider range of aims. As the OECD noted: ‘Concerns of equity and social cohesion appear to have been an important explanation for this reluctance (to adopt pay flexibility)… Across OECD countries, high wage dispersion is associated with a higher incidence of low pay employment and greater persistence of low pay.’22 In more specific terms, pay determination in any context pursues and trades off a range of objectives. The most commonly cited aims of pay determination are to recruit, retain and motivate, but other goals associate with affordability, financial control, fairness, including equity, and flexibility, are also important. In public services, the pursuit of various aims assumes a distinctive and particularly complex form. As suggested, political contingency is likely to invest pay determination with a novel set of aims, and a marked diversity in the pay goals pursued. Moreover within public services stakeholders will devote unusual degree of attention to the emphasis placed on different pay goals and trade-offs between them, given the wider signals it sends to wider audiences on pay systems and outcomes. clauses, the degree of centralisation or co-ordination- and such macro-economic outcomes as inflation, unemployment, earnings growth and pay dispersion. It is an interest which derives from early findings which suggested that highly centralised or highly decentralised forms of pay determination were associated with more positive macro-economic outcomes than hybrid forms of pay determination. However more recent research with a longer time frame has cast doubt on such a clear link between bargaining structure and these outcomes. The most comprehensive piece of research, undertaken by the OECD, has questioned any clear and obvious link between bargaining structure and these outcomes. Categorising OECD countries, including the UK, according to whether they are high, intermediate or low in terms of bargaining centralisation, the relationship with various outcomes- unemployment/employment rates, inflation rate and earnings growth, over the last forty years has been revealed as unstable and weak. As the OECD concludes: ‘The overall impression that emerges from these comparisons is that partitioning countries according to centralisation/co-ordination, on its own, is not very informative for predicting aggregate economic performance.’ 22 OECD (2004) Employment Outlook, Paris: OECD 20 | P a g e Appendix B In addition, the nature of public service provision is likely to affect the pursuit of these pay aims. For example, the issue of affordability in pay determination is closely linked to public policy on public expenditure rather than to the profitability of the organisation. Similarly, given the need for accountability, the financial control of pay determination becomes especially important in the public sector, reflected not least in the need to provide taxpayers with a plausible rationale for pay increases awarded to public service employee. A professional workforce: The public sector workforce is responsible for delivering publicly funded national services, in the main free at the point delivery, to the most vulnerable members of the community – the sick, the young, the elderly, the deprived and the marginalised. As a consequence, this workforce has acquired distinctive characteristics. It is diverse in terms of gender, ethnicity and disability. It is also a highly qualified workforce. This is particularly reflected in the fact that almost half (44%) of the public sector workforce has at least one degree or were at NVQ level 5, compared with barely a quarter (24%) in the private sector.23 Equally striking, it is a highly professionalised: in 2009, out of a total workforce of 1.3 million there were some 140,000 doctors, around 417,000 registered nurses, midwives and health visitors, and over 150,000 qualified scientific, therapeutic and technical staff24; in primary and secondary education there were some 420,000 qualified teachers; while there were 50,000 social workers in local government. These professional groups are regulated according to national requirements and standards, and, along with other public service workers, are expected to deliver service to the same consistently high standards wherever in Britain they are employed. This paper argues that the resilience and continuity of national pay determination, across the public sector, and particularly in the NHS, can be related to these distinctive contextual features. Given the range of actors with a stake in pay determination in public services, pursuing a range of diverse objectives , the pertinent questions revolve not so much around whether there are shortcomings in how a model of national pay determination addresses particular objectives but how well such a model balances the pursuit of often competing objectives, and whether an alternative, locally based model is 23 Audit Commission (2002) Recruitment and Retention: A Public Service Workforce for the Twenty-first Century, London: Audit Commission 24 NHS Information Centre (2010). NHS Hospitals and Community Health Series, Non medical workforce census, England, September 2009, London: NHS Information Centre 21 | P a g e Appendix B likely or not to forward such a complex configuration of aims in a more efficient and effective way. In the next part of this section attention turns to the costs and benefits of national pay determination, and how in the particular context of British public services, such an approach provides a viable means of setting wages. 3.2 The public service context and the benefits of national pay determination The main arguments for national rather than local pay determination in public services are succinctly set out by Ed Sweeney, Chairman of Acas.25 Although he is referring mainly to national wage setting in local government, the arguments presented have resonance throughout public services, and are therefore worth quoting at length: If you look at those parts of the economy that have moved from national to local bargaining, which are the only real options here, over a period of time it has not worked very effectively. National bargaining pays considerable dividends to the employers and the employees and to the people who pay their taxes at local level. It produces the right result in most cases; it provides a mature system. It provides an enormous amount of discipline. It is cost effective. If you disrupt national bargaining, the chances are, in times of real strong pressure on finance, it will cost more. It will also cause significant difficulties at local level. Trade unions are opportunistic. If they find out there are differences in pay at local level between one job that compares directly to another job in another local government organisation, they are bound to seek to exploit that and the complication is that you duplicate in every local authority actual systems of management, system of organisation and systems for dealing with human relations. Much better to have it centralised, much better to have it codified, better also that people understand the process. These views are echoed by Jan Parkinson, Managing Director of Local Government Employers26 particularly noteworthy in being voiced by the leader of the employer side, and in a sub sector where there has been a history of pressure on this national model some local authorities for greater pay flexibility (see below): There are real benefits to local councils being part of a national framework where we can deal with some of the difficult issues like pay and conditions of employment and that helps us get good relationships with the national trade unions. There are many benefits to national collective 25 26 www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6IQ7A0i9oc www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6IQ7A0i9oc 22 | P a g e Appendix B bargaining. There are economies of scale for one. There is consistency which is the second one. A third one is that we always deliver lower pay deals to the opted out councils. Finally we provide a voice for the sector on workforce issues. The comments from Ed Sweeney and Jan Parkinson setting out the basic benefits of a national wage setting model, can be bundled and summarised as follows: - Discipline and Control - Cost Efficiency and Effectiveness - Transparency and Consistency Each set of benefits is considered in turn. 3.2.1 Discipline and Control By definition, national wage setting disciplines employers in an industry or sector to provide standard terms and conditions of employment. There is considerable mutual employee and employer gain from such discipline. For the employee, standardisation is critical to the fairness of a pay system. Unsurprisingly, research has consistently revealed much lower pay dispersion where bargaining is centralised rather than decentralised, with clear implications for pay (in)equalities within a given workforce.27 and 28 For the employer the discipline of national pay determination generates a number of benefits. Most obviously, national pay rates and awards limit employers from competing in pay terms with one another, so preventing a ‘race to the bottom’ or ‘a race to the top’. In a ‘race to the bottom’ employers might, where local labour market conditions permit, under-cut one another in pay terms, raising issues of employer social responsibility, in public policy terms sometimes necessitating a state subsidy of employers, whose low wages need to be topped up by benefits. In a ‘race to the top’, the absence of national pay rates might force employers into a bidding process for labour, particularly in tight labour markets, which pushes up labour costs.29 For the employers there is a danger that, as Ed Sweeney notes, unions might leverage such differential rates to argue for a higher standard rate. This is a particular 27 Blau F and Kahn L (1996) International differences in male wage inequality: institutions versus market forces, Journal of Political Economy, 104: 791-837 28 Gospel H and Drucker J (1998) The survival of national bargaining in the electrical contracting industry: a deviant case, British Journal of Industrial Relations, 36:2, 249-67 29 Traxler F (2003) Bargaining (de)centralisation, Macro economic performance and control over the employment relations, British Journal of Industrial Relations 41:1, 1-27 23 | P a g e Appendix B ‘danger’ in a national service where similar jobs are being performed nationwide. Indeed, trade unions might even push for successively higher rates, playing employers off against one another, in a ‘leapfrogging’ process. Less obvious but still a crucial employer benefit, the discipline imposed on employers by national wage setting reduces the negative externalities which arise from more disaggregated forms of pay determination. An externality is the effect of a decision made by one actor on others who are not involved in that decision and whose interests are not taken into account. Single employer pay determination provides an opportunity for organisations to buy-in rather than develop their own skills and capabilities, in effect poaching through offering higher pay rates. This has detrimental consequences for the employer who has paid for and developed the poached employee. It also has broader public policy implications as organisations become reluctant to risk investing in the training of their staff, so depleting national or industry workforce capacity. In these circumstances national pay determination can be seen as what the German sociologist Wolfgang Streeck labels as a ‘beneficial constraint’.30 Rather than seeking a quick-fix by reneging on any responsibility to train its staff by poaching from others through higher pay rates, an employer is forced to seek more sustainable solutions through investing in its employees. Streeck views the beneficial constraint of national industry bargaining as contributing to Germany’s post-war economic success, and indeed these wider public policy benefits help explain why in many continental European countries statutory extension clauses have been used. Further disciplinary benefits are derived from the inherent ability to conclude the annual pay process within an expected timeframe, rather than lengthy negotiations. Where this happens in other sectors of the economy, this can lead to awards being stretched over pay year thresholds meaning that backpay calculations are often necessary. With varying degrees of explicitness, commentators have suggested that the discipline required by national wage setting introduces rigidities, seen as problematic in a two senses: - Weakening pay sensitivity to local or regional labour market conditions, consequently creating recruitment and retention difficulties; - Limiting the use of pay to support broader organisational change or competitiveness. 30 Streeck W (1997) Beneficial constraints: On the economic limits of rational voluntarism in Hollingsworth J and Boyer R (eds) Contemporary Capitalism: The Embeddedness on Institutions, Cambridge: CUP pp197-291 24 | P a g e Appendix B In the main critiques of national pay determination in public services have concentrated on the former issue – pay and local labour markets,31, 32 and 33 the irony being that moves towards more fragmented, single employer bargaining in the private sector have often been driven by the latter – pay and organisational change.34 and 35 The relationship between pay determination and organisational needs and circumstances is dealt with below in the sub-section on cost efficiency and effectiveness. In the remainder of this sub-section attention focuses on pay and local labour markets. In general terms, critiques of national pay determination in British public services have been predicated on the view that standard pay rates in the context of a regional unevenness in the supply of labour, given differential living costs, and in the demand for labour, given variation in the industrial structure of local economies, results in the ‘misallocation’ of labour with detrimental consequences for various stakeholders. Those at the forefront of this critique have made extraordinary claims about the consequences of national pay determination, suggesting, for example that it has weakened local economies36 or that it has increased the likelihood of death from heart attacks in acute care setting.37 Given the poorly conceived and informed nature of some of this research, such claims are at best overstated and at worst an irresponsible distortion. This is not the place to catalogue in detail concerns about the arguments and the material underpinning these critiques, although it is worth noting in passing that there is a glaring absence of data which clearly establishes that national pay determination actually leads to the misallocation of labour reflected either in local vacancies rates or workforce capabilities. Rather, consideration in this section is given to some of the broader assumptions underpinning the notion that national pay determination might be insensitive to regional or local labour markets. Most striking in calls for public services pay flexibility to respond to local labour markets is an absence of clarity as to what constitutes a regional or local labour market, and indeed whether such labour markets might meaningfully form the basis for pay determination. Defining a catchment area which might be 31 Harding, R (2007) Poverty Pay: How Public Sector Pay Failed Deprived Areas, London: Social Market Foundation Hall E, Propper C and Van Reenen J (2008) Can Pay Regulation Kill? Panel Data evidence on the effect of labour markers on hospital performance, Journal of Political Economy, 118: 2, 222-73 33 Wolf A (2011) More than we bargained for, London: CentreForum 34 Katz H (1993) The decentralization of collective bargaining: A Literature Review and Comparative Analysis, Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 47:1, 3-22 35 Brown W, Bryson A and Forth J (2008) Competition and the Retreat from Collective Bargaining, NIESR Discussion paper No. 318, London: NIESR 36 Wolf A (2011), ibid 37 Hall E, Propper C and Van Reenen J (2008) ibid 32 25 | P a g e Appendix B deemed a regional or local market for pay purposes, and drawing upon such an area as the foundation for the determination of pay, is at best highly problematic. Typically regions, however defined, combine high and low cost areas, and areas with a high and a low demand for labour. There are a few areas, in particular London and the South East, where a broadly defined and identifiable regional labour market has remained consistently tight, and with high living costs. In general, however, regions do not equate with labour markets: it is more common to find isolated labour market ‘hot spots’ within them. National pay agreements in public services have usually made provision for local supplement to address such conditions, provisions regrettably understated by some critics of these agreements.38 It is a testament to the cyclical and uneven nature of local labour market pressures that those private sector organisations with a nationwide network of outlets – banks and supermarkets – typically retain a national pay system and structure.39 These organisations use flexible pay supplements rather than drawing upon some nebulous notion of region to set pay and address local labour market pressures. For the individual public service employer – a district local authority, a NHS hospital trusts, or a Jobcentre Plus office – local labour markets conditions are likely to vary within a given region or locality. In such circumstances the value of the region as the basis of pay determination becomes highly questionable. 3.2.2 Cost Efficiency and Effectiveness There are various types of costs associated with pay determination: for any organisation a primary objective is to ensure that these costs are expended with efficiency and effectiveness. Three types of cost associated with wage setting can be distinguished: - Pay bill costs: the actual costs of remunerating employees - Transaction costs: the costs related to the design, implementation and operation of a pay system - Relational cost: the less tangible costs associated with maintaining and servicing relations between those actors with a stake in pay determination Pay bill costs. National, multi-employer pay determination is structurally predisposed towards generating modest pay increases. Any agreed wage increase needs to conform to the ‘lowest common 38 Wolf A (2011) More than we bargained for, London: CentreForum Incomes Data Services (1997) Annual review of pay and employment practices part one: a survey of 137 NHS trusts, Health Service Report 39 26 | P a g e Appendix B denominator’: the pay increase affordable to the most resource-constrained employer covered by the pay arrangement. As Schnabel et al note: Centralised bargaining provides collective goods, for example, wage moderation…The terms agreed in such bargaining are often oriented towards the less profitable companies and hence protect larger, more profitable firms from higher pay claims.’ 40 This is reflected in the public sector where over the years, nationally determined pay increases have been relatively modest. Indeed, the rationale for local pay determination has often prompted higher rather than lower pay increases, employers adopting such local arrangements often encouraged to pay higher rates to ensure employee buy-in, particularly where national arrangements have continued elsewhere. In local government, for example, authorities opting out of national arrangements have been more likely to award higher pay increases than those agreed nationally.41 The 20 or so local authorities opting-out of national bargaining in the late 1980s and early 1990s were principally located in the south east of England, and keen not to reduce pay but to pay higher rates as a means of recruiting and retaining staff in a tight labour market. A broader look at the pay data over the last decade or so confirms that settlements in the public sector have been broadly in line with those in the private sector. While there has been a pattern of the respective sectors falling behind and then catching-up with one another, taken over an extended period, pay increases in the two sectors have been very similar. Dolton and Makepeace using Labour Force Survey data from 1999 to 2009, conclude that: ‘Periods of public sector pay growing faster than private sector pay roughly matched the amount of time private sector pay growth had outstripped that in the public sector. The perperiod difference in the two series is only 0.02% – negligible indeed.’42 They suggest that concerns raised in some quarters about the public sector moving ahead of the private sector might be accounted for by a marked reduction in private sector pay increases registered in March 2008 – the start of the economic crisis. Dolton and Makepeace continue by noting that these concerns: 40 Schnabel C, Zagelmeyer S, and Kohaut S (2006) Collective bargaining structure and its determinants: An empirical analysis with British and German Establishment data, European Industrial Relations Journal, 12: 165-88. 41 Bryson C, Gallagher J, Jackson M, Leopold, J, and Tuck K (1993) Decentralisation of collective bargaining: Local Authority Opt Outs, Local Government Studies, 19:4, 558-83. 42 Dolton P and Makepeace G (2011) Public and private sector labour markets in Gregg P and Wadsworth J (eds) The Labour Market in Winter: The State of Britain, Oxford: OUP 27 | P a g e Appendix B ‘Do not take into account the way the swings and roundabouts have moved over the previous years. Taken over the whole 1999-2009 period, there is no difference between public sector and private sector pay rises. By the end of 2009, there was already an indication that the private sector pay had bounced back’ (ibid). Indeed there are strong grounds for arguing that there is lag effect on public sector pay, the current pay freeze in the public sector constituting the same responses to economic crisis as felt by the private sector in March 2008. Arguments which suggest that national pay arrangements lead to higher earnings in the public sector should also be treated with some care. While average earnings among public sector workers are, on average, higher than those of private sector workers, this reflects differences in the profile of the respective workforces or in their human capital. The public sector worker is more qualified, older and more experienced that the private sector workforce: in short they have a stronger human capital base which might be expected to attract higher pay. Dolton and Makepeace highlight the distortions arising from a failure to control for human capital.43 Again using LFS data, a raw comparison suggests that the earnings of the full-time public sector worker are markedly higher than those of the private sector worker. Once human capital is taken into account a very different picture emerges. In 2009, the raw data indicated that male full-time workers in the public sector earned 11.5% more than those in the private sector: when human capital factors are controlled these workers earned 1.7% less. The raw data revealed that women in the public sector earned 21.4% more than those in the private sector, a figure which came down to 3.9% after controlling for human capital. Transactions costs. The transactions costs associated with wage setting are incurred both in relation to the determination of regular pay increases and to the ongoing maintenance of an established pay system and structure. National pay determination has long been seen by employers as a way of minimising these transaction costs, delegating to a central agency or body responsibility for many of these related activities. This has been a means of acquiring the economies of scale mentioned by Jan Parkinson and avoiding the duplication of time and effort referred to by Ed Sweeney. This is a rationale for the continuation of national agreements, even where organisations with a network of country wide 43 Dolton P and Makepeace G (2011) ibid 28 | P a g e Appendix B branches, move to single employer bargaining. As Elliot et al, summarising the IDS44 research report note: ‘The (IDS) study concludes that local, or single workplace or site level pay setting is not very common (among these private sector companies). The reason for this is that companies find that local pay setting duplicates effort and thus uses greater resources, that there is often lack of appropriate local management expertise and that it might lead to loss of control of the pay bill.’45 By implication, the scope and the need, to control such transaction costs are particularly marked in public services. In the past questions have been raised about the viability of public sector organisations sustaining the kind of sophisticated human resource function needed to service local pay determination.46 This view finds some support in WERS data which suggested that in 2004 barely a quarter of public service places (24%) had a specialist personnel manager, compared to exactly a third of workplace in the private sector.47 It might with some legitimacy be argued that it is very unlikely that any NHS trust would be without a specialist HR manager, but the costs of local pay determination even in relatively large public sector organisations with personnel expertise should not be understated. With some local authorities threatening to pull out of national pay bargaining in 2009, Graham White HR Director at Westminster City Council stated: ‘The expertise and skill isn’t there in HR (to determine pay locally), simply because they haven’t had to deal with this in their lifetime. The team at Westminster are highly skilled, but adapting (to pay negotiations) would be a challenge.’ It is a view echoed by Justine Brooksbank, Sssistant Chief Executive (HR and organisational development) at North Yorkshire Council: ‘there is something very neat and tidy about having a national system. Yes, you lose a bit of control, but you don’t end up spending months negotiating locally’.48 While the design and detailed objectives of public service organisations will differ, they will, in the main, share a similar structure and purpose, and indeed 44 Incomes Data Services (2002) Pay Differences in UK Organisations: A Research Report by IDS for the Office of Manpower Economics, London: IDS 45 Elliot R, Scott A, Skatun D, Farrar S and Napper M (2003) The Impact of local labour market factors on the organisation and delivery of health services, London: NCCSDO 46 Bach S and Winchester D (1994) Opting out of pay devolution? The prospects of local pay bargaining in UK public services, British Journal of Industrial Relations, 32:2, 263-82 47 Bach S, Givan R and Forth J (2009) The public sector in transition in Brown W, Bryson A, Forth J and Whitfield K (eds) The Evolution of the Modern Workplace, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press 48 Golding N (2009) Local council pay bargaining opt-out may cause industrial relations headache for HR Personnel Today, 7 August 2009 29 | P a g e Appendix B workforces, in terms of occupational and professional make-up. It is these similarities which ensure that pay systems and structures can be developed, serviced and monitored at a national level. Finally, it is worth noting the likely scale of transaction costs associated with a shift from a national to a local approach to pay determination. National pay agreements are enshrined in individual employment contracts, with any attempt to move from such agreement inevitably involving a major administrative exercise. As Andy Albon, director of HR at Birmingham City Council noted in 2009 ‘A move (from national bargaining) is a major step. It would almost certainly mean an amendment to around 60,000 staff contracts, and we certainly wouldn’t go into that lightly’.49 Of course, the costs associated with such a change would not solely be transactional; there would also be major cost associated relations with staff. Relational costs. National wage setting removes pay as a potential source of management-employee conflict at the workplace level. This is valuable to the employer in a number respects. First, responsibility for pay increases, particularly when low, can readily be deflected by reference national negotiators, so reducing the likelihood of pay decisions contaminating local relationships. As Schnabel et al note: Wages are largely taken out of competition by multi employer bargaining, and the shift of industrial conflict to a level above the company reduces the danger that disputes will sour the working atmosphere within the establishment.50 It is striking, for instance, that in local authorities opting out of national agreements and giving generous pay increases in ‘good times’ have had difficulty in controlling employee expectations in seeking low pay increases in ‘bad times’. National wage setting also protects against pay increases becoming tied too closely to broader organisational change. It was suggested above that organisations often move to local pay determination as a means of linking pay increases to broader organisational developments. The danger in such an approach lies in employees placing a ‘price tag’ on any organisational change. A stable national framework for pay determination avoids such a linkage, and provides a firmer basis for change. As Councillor Roger Phillip, leader of Herefordshire County Council noted: 49 Golding N (2009) ibid Schnabel C, Zagelmeyer S, and Kohaut S (2006) Collective bargaining structure and its determinants: An empirical analysis with British and German Establishment data, European Industrial Relations Journal, 12: 165-88 50 30 | P a g e Appendix B ‘People in local government can have the confidence to move towards organisational change knowing that they have a very good basis in a national pay framework. The fact we have that embedded gives people the confidence to be able to tackle these issues on a local basis and organisational change is a big issues to tackle and having a solid basis to do it is a great bonus.’ 51 3.2.3 Transparency and consistency A transparent and a consistent approach to pay determination contribute to the pursuit of a number of organisational objectives: - Motivation: Transparency and consistency are often seen by employees as essential to a fair pay system, with a considerable volume of research literature based on equity theory attesting to the positive relationship between employee perceptions of procedural as well as distributive justice and motivation (see for example, Cowherd and Levine52). This feeds into evidence which suggests, perhaps unsurprisingly, that unless an employee understands how a pay system functions, he or she is unlikely to be motivated by it.53 - Equality: Transparency and consistency are particularly important against the backdrop of a statutory framework designed to ensure that men and women receive equal pay for work of equal value. - Mobility: Transparency and consistency ensure and facilitate mobility within and between organisations: they reduce the employee uncertainties and risks associated with movement to new locations. If employees are performing the same role, clearly some guarantee that moving jobs will not be penalised is essential in supporting a national a labour market Features intrinsic to national pay determination, particularly where it is jointly regulated, might be viewed as a guarantee of transparency and consistency. This is self evidently the case with a national, multi-employer model, where a range of organisations agree to implement a common pay system and structure. In public services, the transparency and consistency of national pay determination has made, 51 www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6IQ7A0i9oc Cowherd D and Levine D (1992) Product quality and pay equity between lower level employees and top management: An investigation of distributive justice theory, Administrative Science Quarterly, 37: 302-20 53 Kessler I (1994) Performance Pay in Personnel Management in Britain, Sisson K (ed), 2nd Edition, Oxford: Blackwell 52 31 | P a g e Appendix B and continues to make, a particularly significant contribution to the achievement of employee motivation, equality and mobility. As already implied this stems from the fact that while delivered by separate and diverse providers – various local authorities, NHS Trusts – and subject to local influences and pressures, these are national services, (in the sense that they are publicly funded and delivered throughout the country) employing very similarly structured workforces. In terms of motivation, the employment of the same occupational groups by public service providers allows for ready and legitimate pay comparisons: differential pay rates for workers performing the same job, clearly is a recipe to demotivation and disillusionment. Similarly, a shared configuration of occupational roles in different parts of the public sector ensures the viability of a national job evaluation scheme, which might plausibly be used by individual employing organisations to ensure that workers received equal pay for work of equal value. Finally, a national model of pay determination allows public service professionals, in particular, to move readily between organisations, their skills and capabilities under-written by their registered and regulated status. Indeed, one of the major perceived drawbacks of the move to a fragmented agencybased form of bargaining in the civil service has been the manner in which it has constrained employee movement between agencies across the civil service. 4. Reviewing Wage Setting in the NHS In this final section of the paper, attention focuses on pay determination in the NHS over recent years and into the future. Its purpose is to return to the core themes of resilience and continuity within a healthcare context. It explores the resilience of national pay determination in the health service and argues that this can be related to the capacity of this model to address the varied interests of a diverse set of actors. More speculatively, the section addresses the continuity of national pay determination in the NHS, particularly in the context of broader NHS reforms still in progress. It suggests that an evaluation of this wage setting machinery might usefully draw not on absolute standards, but on how the present arrangements fare relative to an alternative, local model of pay determination. Some of the costs associated with moves to a local model are brought into particularly sharp relief in the part of the paper by exploring trusts responses to calls for local pay determination in the 1990s. The section is divided into three parts, dealing with: the development of national pay determination and how it has fared over the years; the emergence and the functioning of Agenda for Change; and the prospects for wage setting going forward. 32 | P a g e Appendix B 4.1 Developments 4.1.1 National Pay and the NHS Context As noted at the outset, the NHS has had a national model of pay determination based on joint regulation between the government/management and the trade unions, since its inception in 1948. The adoption of such a model can be related to various factors, largely shared with other parts of the public sector, which adopted a similar approach to pay. Firstly, a national wage setting in NHS supported a nationwide service, delivered, in the main, by a nationally regulated workforce, and according to consistent standards of care delivery. Secondly, and for some 35 years, a national wage setting model based on joint regulation reflected public policy. As a matter of principle, trade union engagement through collective bargaining was seen by governments of different party political complexions as securing industrial citizenship through the meaningful involvement of employees in the determination of their own terms and conditions.54 It was only natural therefore that the government as an employer would adopt this approach in the NHS, on the basis of Whitley arrangements. Thirdly, national pay determination was seen as the most efficient and effective means of addressing the diversity of pay objectives associated with a variety of stakeholders. Those with a stake in NHS include: - National policy makers and politicians with parliamentary accountability - Regional policy makers and managers, often with a workforce planning and development responsibility - Local policy makers and managers responsible for the delivery of primary, secondary and tertiary care services - Employees responsible for delivering services, their national and local trade union and professional association representatives - Service users/patients their carers and families reliant on the NHS for the delivery of quality care services. - 54 Citizens as taxpayers and, by implication, indirectly financiers of the NHS Fredman S, and Morris G (1998) The State as Employer: Labour Law in the Public Services, London: Mansell 33 | P a g e Appendix B The diverse range of pay objectives held these by stakeholders and informing pay determination might be seen as summarised by the current terms of the NHS Pay Review Body: - The need to recruit, retain and motivate suitably able and qualified staff - Regional/local variation in labour markets - The funds available to Health Departments - The government’s inflation target - The principle of equal pay for work of equal value in the NHS - The overall strategy that the NHS should place patient at the heart of all it does. It is a list which highlights the potential tensions and complementarities in pay determination. In terms of complementarity, the recruitment, retention and motivation of staff is crucial to placing the patient at the ‘heart of all the NHS does’: without a skilled and commitment workforce quality health services cannot be delivered. The principle of equal pay for work equal of value might also be seen to contribute to employee commitment, this form of equity often being seen as key to a ‘fair’ pay system. At the same time, affordability or the need for pay increases to reflect available funding, might well lead to pay settlements which undermine living standards: currently affordability is being presented as a justification for a public sector pay freeze in the context of public expenditure reductions. Moreover, sensitivity to regional/local labour forces does not always sit easily with internal equity, the basis for equal pay: if local labour markets generate recruitment and retention difficulties for occupations which score lower on job evaluation than for occupations where there are no such difficulties but which score higher, how do organisations respond in pay terms? Given these various goals and the search for an acceptable balance between them, it is not surprising that the model of pay determination in the NHS has been subject to change over the years. As noted, the most significant reforms have been the increasing coverage of the review body recommendations, which were extended to registered nurses and allied healthcare professionals in 1983 and more recently to most of the remaining NHS staff; and the Agenda for Change agreement in 2004, which inter alia replaced occupational fragmented Whitley arrangements with a more integrated and rationalised set of terms and conditions, coalescing around a single pay spine. It is noteworthy, however, that throughout pay has remained nationally determined. The durability of national pay determination in the early to mid 1990s was particularly striking. This was a period when the government actively sought to encourage local pay determination at trust level, the resistance to this process by various actors 34 | P a g e Appendix B highlighting the value of a national model in the sector and the challenges faced in moving to trust wage setting arrangements. 4.1.2 Local Pay in the 1990s Government encouragement of local pay determination in the 1990s took two forms: the sanctioning of a new local healthcare assistant grade, despite an extant Whitley nurse auxiliary grade; and encouragement of local bargaining to develop pay and conditions at Trust level. The NHS and Community Care Act, 1990 established a quasi-market for healthcare and NHS trusts explicitly empowered to set terms and conditions for their staff outside of Whitley arrangements. However, both the HCA and local pay initiatives made limited headway. This was reflected in government attempts to impose local bargaining on trusts, partly through enabling agreements in 1994 for non-review body staff, allowing trusts to make local payments based on organisational performance. It was also apparent in the review body report for nurses, midwives, health visitors and the allied professionals, 1995. This recommended a 1% national pay increase with an additional 0.5% to 2% to be awarded locally, a move prompting industrial conflict, only resolved on the basis of an agreement ensuring that most workers received the discretionary, local pay rises.55 Research confirmed the faltering and limited progress made on these two initiatives. In a study on the introduction of the local healthcare assistant grade, found that this grade was mainly used as a means of undercutting the pay of the Whitley nurse auxiliary grade.56 More generally a survey of 137 trusts revealed that while over three-quarters had developed local terms and conditions, only 35 had made extensive use of their freedoms to set terms which significantly differed from Whitley arrangements.57 Moreover, the slow progress was alluded to in the 14th Review Body Report for nurses, midwives and health visitors, in 1997: 55 Corby S, Millward L, White G, Druker J and Meerabeau E (2001) Innovations in Pay and Grading in NHS Trusts, London: University of Greenwich 56 Grimshaw D (1999) Changes in skill mix and pay determination amongst the nursing workforce in the UK, Working Employment and Society 13:295-320 57 Industrial Relations Services (1997) Annual review of pay and employment practices part one: a survey of 137 NHS trusts, Health Service Report, Autumn quoted in Corby S, Millward L, White G, Druker J and Meerabeau E (2001) Innovations in Pay and Grading in NHS Trusts, London: University of Greenwich 35 | P a g e Appendix B …we are disappointed with the course of local pay determination in 1996. Nursing staff appear to have been offered by way of local pay increases that which was left after other priorities had been met. The outcome for individual nurses has been uncertain and very often slow to materialise. In many cases Trust management and staff were left negotiating over small sums. This is not how we believed matters would develop when we made our recommendations. A number of studies at the time highlighted the barriers faced by trusts in developing local terms and conditions. These studies adopted a diversity of approaches, ranging from the use of case studies58 , 59, 60, 61 and 62 to surveys of key actors. 63 and 64 Nonetheless a fairly consistent picture emerged, suggesting the following barriers to local pay determination: Mixed messages: Despite an increasingly assertive government approach to local pay determination, trusts were confronted with mixed messages from national policy on the development of local pay determination. For example, in guidance produced for the public sector pay round in 1993, the Treasury noted: In practice, extremely devolved arrangements are not desirable. There are risks of workers being treated differently for no good reason. There could be dangers of leapfrogging and parts of the public sector competing against each other for the best staff.’65 More specifically, Corby and Higham point to statements from Alan Langlands, at the time Chief Executive of the NHS Management Executive, asking all trusts to have local machinery in place by 58 Lloyd C and Seifert R (1995) Restructuring in the NHS: the impact of the 1990 reforms on the management of labour. Work, Employment and Society, 9, 359-378 59 Corby S and Higham D (1996) Decentralisation of pay in the NHS: diagnosis and prognosis, Human Resource Management Journal, 6, 1, 49-62 60 Lloyd C (1997) Decentralisation in the NHS: prospects for workplace unionism, British Journal of Industrial Relations 35, 3, 427-446 61 Bach S (1998) NHS pay determination and work re-organisation, Employee Relations 20, 6, 565-576 62 Corby S, Millward L, White G, Druker J and Meerabeau E (2001) Innovations in Pay and Grading in NHS Trusts, London: University of Greenwich 63 Buchan J (1992) Flexibility or fragmentation? Trends and prospects in nurses’ pay, Briefing Paper no.13 King’s Fund Institute: London 64 Thornley C (1998) Contesting Local Pay: The Decentralisation of collective bargaining in the NHS, British Journal of Industrial Relations, 36:3, 413:34 65 Quoted in Hatchett A (2010), Paying the Price, Public Finance, 1 July 36 | P a g e Appendix B February 1995, at the same time as Ken Jarrold NHS HR Director was noting that he did not expect very trust ‘to be all singing, all dancing on pay’ by that date.66 Pay bill costs: One of the clearest illustrations of mixed messages emerged with the government’s encouragement of local pay determination at a time when it was also seeking to constrain public expenditure and pay bill costs. In response to the pay limits announced by the Chancellor in the Autumn statement 1992, the National Association of Health Authorities and Trusts stated ‘The first national pay policy for nearly twenty years – cuts across previous government statements, in particular the drive to link pay and performance and to devolve and decentralise pay decision’.67 It was a point echoed by Bach and Winchester in noting that: ‘It is clear that the 1.5 per cent limit and public sector increases in 1993 totally undermined the most innovative managers’ attempts to develop local pay and grading systems.’68 By implication, the establishment of a local pay system had high set-up and ongoing pay bill costs, not easily met at time on public expenditure constraint. Indeed, Corby found that while the financial well-being was not a sufficient requirement for establishing a trust pay system, certainly it was a necessary one. 69 Mixed arrangements. Inevitably the decentralisation of pay determination proved to be a ‘messy’ process, local trust arrangements co-existing with residual, alternative forms of wage setting: staff had a contractual right to remain on Whitley terms, while review body recommendations continued to cover a significant proportion of the workforce. The result was considerable complexity and cost in managing diverse pay systems, along with disquiet among staff prompted by movement away from established pay arrangements. As Bailey noted ‘(NHS) staff will not lightly accept any trust refusal to honour the recommendations of this review process.’ 70 Relational costs: These worker concerns hint at the relational costs associated with moves to local pay. A study by Buchan of 23 trust managers found that most preferred a co-operative route to determining the pay of their staff, believing that to break from the review body system would lead to ‘anarchy’, a 66 Corby S and Higham D (1996) Decentralisation of pay in the NHS: diagnosis and prognosis, Human Resource Management Journal 6, 1, 49-62 67 Quoted in White G (1996) Public sector pay bargaining: comparability, decentralisation and control, Public Administration 74:89-11 68 Bach S and Winchester D (1994) Opting out of pay devolution? The prospects of local pay bargaining in UK public services, British Journal of Industrial Relations 32:2, 263-82 69 Corby S (1992) Industrial relations developments in NHS trusts, Employee Relations 14:6 70 Bailey R (1994) Annual Review Article, 1993, British Public Sector Industrial Relations, British Journal of Industrial Relations 32:1, 113-36 37 | P a g e Appendix B level of conflict not outweighed by potential gains.71 Indeed such gains were seen as less attractive given that most managers felt that the existing pay agreement provided enough local flexibility. In addition, the high relational costs associated with moves to local pay were linked to the nature of pay systems introduced. Corby et al found that such systems were based on performance, noting that staff were dissatisfied with the trust’s new pay arrangements, particularly where a comprehensive but opaque system of performance related pay had been introduced.’72 Relational costs were further inflated by union opposition prompted by local pay.73 Thornley, in her survey of UNISON representatives in trusts found that almost three quarters (71%) viewed local bargaining as creating the potential for conflict, while most (82%) suggested that local bargaining would undermine employee morale and motivation.74 Transaction costs: As already implied, local pay determination was seen to generate high transaction costs, inflated by doubts about local management’s capacity to deliver on such arrangements. In Corby et al’s trust case studies, the development of local pay systems was seen as ‘less resource efficient than national pay determination as there was a need to reinvent the wheel.’ 75 Indeed, in Thornley’s study most respondents (93%) felt that local bargaining was very time consuming, with a considerable majority, exactly two thirds (66%), believing that their trust was not equipped to bargain. Other priorities and means: At a time of major organisational change, with the establishment of an internal market for healthcare, trusts had more pressing concerns than those associated with a local pay determination. Indeed, trusts felt that there were more efficient and effective levers for managing change, and in particular for controlling pay bill costs, than developing a local approach to pay determination. Bach, in particular, draws attention to the greater weight placed on work re-organisation and changes in skill to manage (pay bill) costs in his case study trust.76 As Bach stressed: 71 Buchan J (1992) Flexibility or fragmentation? Trends and prospects in nurses’ pay, Briefing Paper no.13 King’s Fund Institute: London 72 Corby S, Millward L, White G, Druker J and Meerabeau E (2001) Innovations in Pay and Grading in NHS Trusts, London: University of Greenwich 73 Lloyd C (1997) Decentralisation in the NHS: prospects for workplace unionism, British Journal of Industrial Relations 35, 3, 427-446 74 Thornley C (1998) Contesting Local Pay: The Decentralisation of collective bargaining in the NHS, British Journal of Industrial Relations 36:3, 413:34 75 Corby S, Millward L, White G, Druker J and Meerabeau E (2001) ibid 76 Bach S (1998) NHS pay determination and work re-organisation, Employee Relations 20, 6, 565-576 38 | P a g e Appendix B The director of personnel (in the case study trust)believed strongly that many Trusts were "putting the cart before the horse" in emphasising the development of elaborate local pay structures, using proprietary systems of job evaluation, based on existing working practices. Some perceived gains from local pay determination in the 1990s should not be discounted. However as Corby et al note, these gains often related to the scope they provided to harmonise pay arrangements for diverse groups given the fragmentation of the Whitley set-up at the time, and to the opportunities created to link pay to employee competencies and development.77 The value of these benefits needs to be re-considered in the wake of Agenda of Change, seeking to deal with such concerns through the renewal of a national approach to pay determination. 4.2 The Current Arrangements for Pay Determination Drawing upon the arguments presented in this paper, Figure 1 below sets out the current arrangements for pay determination in the NHS. The figure comprises a number of elements designed to illustrate: the context for pay determination in the NHS; the relationships between the broad range of actors with a stake in pay determination; the diversity of their pay objectives – affordability, equity, control, and flexibility; and how these are managed by the prevailing wage setting machinery to generate the following important outcomes: - Discipline and control: The NHS Pay Review Body operating under terms of reference set by the government and providing recommendations, has allowed central government some control over pay settlements. In combination with the infrastructure established by Agenda for Change a ‘level playing field’ is set for pay conditions which prevent a ‘race to the bottom’ or ‘the top’. The agreement makes provision for payment to address occupation and local labour market needs. - Cost efficiency and effectiveness: Closely related, these arrangements have provided relative modest and affordable settlements, minimising the transaction costs expended by trusts, and removed pay as a possible source of conflict and disorder in relations within employees. - Transparency and consistency: The consistency inherent in these arrangements has contributed to the perceived fairness of the pay system, crucial in stimulating employee motivation. In ensuring the pay structure is equality-proof, the arrangements also support 77 Corby S, Millward L, White G, Druker J and Meerabeau E (2001) Innovations in Pay and Grading in NHS Trusts, London: University of Greenwich 39 | P a g e Appendix B the sense of fairness, but more tangibly also ensure equal pay for work of equal value. Moreover the transparency and consistency of the arrangements have facilitated staff mobility, especially among the registered part of the workforce, so crucial to the functioning of a national service. Figure 1: Current Arrangements for Pay Determination in the NHS NHS structure: Stakeholder s National Regulated Accountable Funded Policy makers/Managers Employees/Representatives Patients/Carers Citizen/Taxpayer Pay objectives: Affordable Equitable Controllable Transferable Flexible National Pay Determination Pay Arrangements: Pay outcomes: NHS Pay Review Body Agenda for Change: -Pay spine/bands -Terms and conditions -Job Evaluation Scheme -Knowledge and Skills Framework -Discipline and Control -Cost Efficient and Effectiveness -Transparency and Consistency Of course, some caution is needed in assuming that the current, national wage setting arrangements fully meet these goals and expectations. For example, there has been some debate about whether Agenda for Change has delivered on its ‘promised’ contribution to increase productivity and reduce costs in the NHS. The difficulties faced by the NHS in assessing the impact of Agenda for Change on productivity and costs drew particular criticism in a recent National Audit Office report.78 At the same time this prompted a calculation from the Department of Health suggesting that pay modernisation in 78 National Audit Office(2009) NHS Pay Modernisation in England: Agenda for Change, London: The Stationery Office 40 | P a g e Appendix B England ‘had delivered at least £1.3 billion net savings over the first five years’, savings which derived from ‘increase productivity, reduced use of agency staff, a reduction in pay drift and higher quality care.’79 This care in assessing the impact of Agenda for Change relates to the paucity of research on the agreement’s implementation and impact. To date, there have been two independent studies, assessing the roll-out and consequences of Agenda for Change: A King’s Fund Study80, and a National Audit Office report.81 The picture presented by these studies is fairly consistent. It suggests that Agenda for Change has been welcomed by stakeholders as an improvement on the previous fragmented and complex national arrangements, and seen as providing a firm basis for taking forward important substantive issues, particularly equal pay and new ways of working. Commentators and practitioners have raised residual implementation concerns, particularly the time taken to embed the Knowledge and Skills Framework.82 and 83 Nonetheless, this does not detract from the perceived overall value of Agenda for Change. As has been stressed: ‘Agenda for Change does not need to be scrapped and renegotiated – just applied properly.’84 The value of Agenda for Change as a new and more accessible management tool was recently signalled at the most senior level of the NHS, by its Chief Executive David Nicholson in his evidence to the House of Common Public Accounts Committee. In pointing to Agenda for Change as a tool which helps improve productivity, he stressed that: ‘We have a pay system now which is much simpler, much more flexible, much more able to respond to the individual needs of organisations than the old Whitley system was in the past, and individual organisations can make those changes at a local level.’85 79 House of Commons Public Accounts Committee, NHS Pay Modernisation in England: Agenda for Change, 29th Report of Session 2008-9 Ev 5, London: Stationery Office 80 Buchan J and Evans D (2007) Realising the Benefits? Assessing the Implementation of Agenda for Change, London: King’s Fund 81 National Audit Office (2009) ibid 82 House of Commons Health Committee Workforce Planning: Fourth Report of Session 2006-7/ HC 171 (2006-7) London: The Stationery Office 83 National Audit Office (2009) ibid 84 Britnell M (2010) The Future of Agenda for Change, Health Service Journal, 25 February 85 House of Commons Public Accounts Committee, NHS Pay Modernisation in England: Agenda for Change, 29 th Report of Session 2008-9 Ev 5, London: Stationery Office 41 | P a g e Appendix B This view is supported by findings presented in the NAO report which states that ‘There was widespread agreement within the NHS that a new pay system was needed’, with suggestions that there were cost efficiencies to emerge from these arrangements: ‘Agenda for Change makes it easier for managers to estimate costs now that there are common staff terms and conditions. It is also simpler for budget holders, such as ward managers, to understand and monitor their budgets.’86 In a NAO census of HR Directors in 244 trusts, almost all (98%) agreed or strongly agreed that a new national contract was needed, and most (88%) agreed that the old arrangements were overly complex.87 Similarly the King’s Fund study found that ‘Most of the NHS Trust managers interviewed were in favour of Agenda for Change believing that, in part at least, it assisted in delivering improvement in patient care and staff experience that were it stated objectives’.88 Some further support for these findings can be found in the fact that only one NHS Trust has to date opted-out of Agenda for Change: Southend University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust.89 As reported in the Health Service Journal, Southend has had a long history of local pay determination, its head of HR Operations noting a ‘local package helped in recruit and retain.90 In the same article, Southend reported that it did not have a recruitment problem, the possibility of local pay increase below that awarded under Agenda for Change appearing to unsettle employees. Indeed, Trusts have seen Agenda for Change as providing sufficient flexibility to deal with local recruitment and retention issues. Responding to a question from the Public Accounts Committee on the sensitivity of Agenda for Change to regional/local labour markets conditions, David Nicholson notes: There was always (an annex91) of the agreement, which set out within the agreement what are the flexibilities that organisations have, and I think it is important that any system, particularly a national system has flexibility, so the ability to flex for regional pay, the ability to look at the 86 National Audit Office (2009) NHS Pay Modernisation in England: Agenda for Change, London: The Stationery Office 87 National Audit Office (2009) ibid 88 Buchan J and Evans D (2007) Realising the Benefits? Assessing the Implementation of Agenda for Change, London: King’s Fund 89 Berry M (2006) Southend hospital trust staff vote to ditch Agenda for Change pay system Personnel Today, 4 July 90 Moore A (2009) How long can Southend hospital remain off the NHS Agenda for Change, Health Service Journal, 21 May 91 This relates to Annex K which allows Trusts to offer alternative packages of benefits of equivalent value 42 | P a g e Appendix B total package with holidays and terms, seems to me perfectly reasonable flexibility. The point of it is that first of all it has to be within its own framework; it cannot step outside of it. Secondly it has to be agreed with local staff. It seems to me that those are positive things. 92 The capacity of national pay determination to address regional/local issues is reflected in the King’s Fund report. Most of the case study managers who expressed an opinion about local pay did not welcome it as a possibility – they saw it as costly, resource intensive and unnecessary. The authors quote a number of concerns raised by their respondents: ’A huge task would be involved in moving away from Agenda for Change’ ’There is enough flexibility in Agenda for Change’ ‘I would not want to move to local pay…you would end up paying more than the national agreement’ 93 In more substantive terms, the National Audit Office and King’s Fund studies point to Agenda for Change as supporting a number of positive developments, with two themes emerging as particularly important. The first relates to the ‘fairness’ of the new system, particularly in addressing pay equalities. As the King’s Fund study notes: Achieving equal pay for jobs of equal value was a one of the key objectives of Agenda for Change. The trust managers were generally supportive of the move to standardised working hours and job evaluation based pay as providing a more transparent and ‘fairer’ pay system…While it cannot be confirmed that Agenda for Change has guaranteed equal pay, it does appear to have been an important factor in limiting the exposure of the NHS to equal pay clams.’94 In addition, the Hartley judgement which addressed issues surrounding the fairness of Agenda for Change confirmed that it is an equal pay proofed system. The tribunal ruled that the job evaluation scheme is robust and that the pay system is fair. The second theme is associated with new ways of working and the emergence of new roles, particularly at Band 4 assistant practitioner level. Certainly the development of new approaches 92 House of Commons Public Accounts Committee, NHS Pay Modernisation in England: Agenda for Change, 29 th Report of Session 2008-9 Ev 7, London: Stationery Office 93 Buchan J and Evans D (2007) Realising the Benefits? Assessing the Implementation of Agenda for Change, London: King’s Fund 94 Buchan J and Evans D (2007) ibid 43 | P a g e Appendix B to work organisation has been uneven – both in terms of region and clinical area95 and 96 – but both the King’s Fund and the National Audit Office studies suggest Agenda for Change has facilitated this process. The King’s Fund study notes that ‘Most of the 10 trusts reported that new roles a job redesign had already occurred as a result of Agenda for Change.’ 97 This was further reflected in the National Audit Office study which notes that ‘around half of trusts reported to us that they have used Agenda for Change to improve clinical pathways by creating new roles for staff. This picture was supported by evidence at trusts we visited.’98 As Michael Griffin, Executive Director of HR at King’s College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust noted in his evidence to the House of Commons Public Accounts Committee: (Agenda for Change) has really started the process of breaking down the silo mentality which existed previously. It has enabled us to provide a common core way of evaluating jobs and to start mixing and matching skills form across traditional skills boundaries and provide a series of core composites which everybody’s job is measured against…It really is making a major contribution to start bringing about an integrated workforce to provide integrated services.’99 The benefits derived from Agenda for Change should not detract from the difficulties faced by some trusts in taking forward this model. The studies highlighted the limited progress made in implementing the Knowledge and Skills Framework and its associated performance management systems, pointing in particular to a lack of management capacity in dealing with such issues.100 These concerns do, however, need to be placed in context. In local government, a far less complex and prescriptive agreement than Agenda for Change was still not fully implemented almost ten years after it was signed.101 The Local Government Pay Commission (para 5:9) noted that while the majority of local authorities had harmonised hours under the Single Status Agreement, only 25 out of some 350 had completed the introduction of a new pay structure.102 Moreover, if questions, are being raised about NHS management 95 Spilsbury K and Studdard L (2009) Mapping the Introduction of Assistant Practitioner roles in Acute NHS Trusts in England, Journal of Nursing Management, 17(5): 615-26 96 Kessler I, Heron P and Dopson S (2010) The Nature and Consequences of Healthcare Assistants: Final Report: Southampton: SDO 97 Buchan J and Evans D (2007) Realising the Benefits? Assessing the Implementation of Agenda for Change, London: King’s Fund 98 National Audit Office (2009) NHS Pay Modernisation in England: Agenda for Change, London: The Stationery Office 99 House of Commons Public Accounts Committee, NHS Pay Modernisation in England: Agenda for Change, 29 th Report of Session 2008-9 Ev 8, London: Stationery Office 100 National Audit Office (2009) ibid 101 Bach S and Kessler I (2011 forthcoming) The Modernisation of Employee Relations: Targeted Change, Basingstoke: Palgrave 102 Local Government Pay Commission (2003) Final Report, London: LGPC 44 | P a g e Appendix B capacity within the context of a national model of pay determination, albeit one founded on the development of trust based practices, questions might legitimately be raised about the management capacity available to develop more local approaches to pay determination, especially against the current backdrop of radical organisational change and financial constraint. 4.3 The Future of Pay Determination in the NHS At the time of writing, with the Health and Social Care Bill still to be enacted, some uncertainty remains as to the future shape and functioning of the NHS. However, the broad direction of travel and the backdrop for the provision of healthcare in the immediate years is fairly clear. The future NHS is likely to be characterised by three features: - Accelerated fragmentation - Mixed provision - Financial constraint. Each of these features raises questions about the nature of pay determination in the NHS, although the most pertinent general question to consider is whether it is viable to move from a national to local model of pay determination in a period of fundamental organisational change against the backdrop of resource constraint and the need for cost savings. While the Bill relates solely to England, the implications for national pay determination in the UK are far-reaching. Fragmentation. As already implied, the future reforms of the NHS in England aspire to achieve plurality of provision of NHS services. As part of this, the powers of autonomous Foundation Trusts to set terms and conditions as well as greater discretion for planning and developing their workforces will accelerate.103 Against this backdrop, and somewhat analogous to the period in early-mid 1990s when NHS trusts first emerged, this has been accompanied by renewed calls for local pay determination. These calls have, however, been accompanied by a deafening silence by the government, particularly in Liberating the NHS: Developing the Healthcare Workforce on how the decentralisation of pay might affect its plans for workforce development and planning.104 While the emphasis has been on local responsibility, not least reflected in calls for the development of local skills networks, the government still appears to recognise a national labour market for health service professionals. As it notes, ‘To provide sustainable and improving services, healthcare providers need to operate within a functional 103 104 Department of Health (2010) Liberating the NHS: Developing the Healthcare Workforce, London: DH Department of Health (2010) ibid 45 | P a g e Appendix B local and national healthcare labour market and not in isolation’.105 As has been stressed, however, there is a tension between local pay determination which might differentially reward the same skills and the effective functioning of national labour. Moreover, it has been stressed in this paper that local pay might well discourage skills development where trusts feel they can buy in skills developed elsewhere. The government seems to recognise these tensions as it states: ‘It would be unfair if some healthcare providers bore the costs of providing skills to the local labour market while others did not.’106 Equally apparent is its reluctance to confront such tensions and they might be addressed. Mixed provision. The mixed provision of services is likely to be reflected not only in the delivery of healthcare by organisations from different parts of the economy – the public, private and independent sectors – but in new types of organisation, in particular, social enterprises. This mix is likely to encourage a wider distribution of providers in terms of size and complexity. Thus, while in some regions community services are being subsumed by local trusts to create much larger, more complex organisations, in others these services are likely to be performed by small, bespoke social enterprises. The consequences for pay determination emerge in a number of guises. Firstly, the spinning off of social enterprises and the more general provision of healthcare from the private and independent sectors might be seen as equating to the ongoing outsourcing of service provision over a number of years with familiar consequences for pay. If the Transfer of Undertakings (Protection of Employee) Regulations apply, national pay and conditions are likely to hold for staff moving over, although the withdrawal of the Code for the Two Tier Workforce leaves the door open to new staff being paid an a different basis. Secondly, and in the context of the commissioning of healthcare services, much will depend upon whether competition goes forward on the basis of price: past experience suggests that where price is part of the competitive process, this places downward pressures on labour costs as a means of winning contracts.107 and 108 Thirdly, trusts with much larger workforces might consider themselves more viable units for local pay determination. At the same, given the changes, and the organisational development work needed to establish these larger, more elaborate trusts, management might well pause before introducing new instabilities through a movement away from national pay determination. 105 Department of Health (2010) Liberating the NHS: Developing the Healthcare Workforce, London: DH Department of Health (2010) ibid 107 Bach S (1989) Too High A Price To Pay? Warwick Papers in Industrial Relations, 25. Coventry: IRRU 108 Escott K and Whitfield D (1995) The Gender Impact of CCT, Manchester: EOC 106 46 | P a g e Appendix B Financial constraint. This reflective pause for thought might be deepened given the financial constraints faced by trusts. The financial pressure facing the health service in the coming years have been well documented and are widely appreciated.109 These are pressures which have already prompted major organisational change, with its associated disruption and uncertainties for employees. Attention has been drawn above to the cost efficiency and effectiveness associated with a national system of pay determination and by implication, the high costs trusts trust would face both in moving to and sustaining a local wage setting model. Moreover, in a labour intensive sector such as the NHS, the relational costs associated with such a move are also likely to be high. Given the current upheavals being experienced by NHS staff, how might they respond to such a fundamental change in their employment terms and how might any resultant demoralisation feed through to the quality of healthcare provision? In the private sector a shrill prescriptive rhetoric encouraging new approaches to pay is accompanied by evidence to suggest that employers are often extremely reluctant to change wage setting machinery: pay is so central to the effort-reward bargain that any such change is seen as a high risk given likely employee concerns110 and 111. In highlighting the reluctance of member countries to change wage setting machinery the OECD noted: ‘National industrial relations structures and practices are deeply embedded in the economic and social fabric and not easily changed.’112 National pay determination is deeply embedded in the NHS, with high transactional, relational, and pay bill costs likely to be generated in a period of financial constraint if attempts are made to uproot it. Of course, this is not to suggest that aspects of local pay determination might not have some attractions to the employer in terms of control and immediate savings. It is, however, being argued that benefits are likely to be outweighed by the costs associated with the upheavals and uncertainties caused by any such moves. Stressing the five years it took to negotiate Agenda for Change, Mark Britnell recently noted in a Health Service Journal article that: 109 see for example www.nhsconfed.org/OurWork/latestnews/Pages/NHS-Confederation-issues-warning-on-NHSfinance-pressures.aspx 110 Kessler I (1994) Performance Pay in Personnel Management in Britain Sisson K (ed) 2nd Edition, Oxford: Blackwell 111 Kessler I (1995) Reward Choices in Human Resource Management: A Critical Text, Storey J (ed) London: Routledge 112 OECD (2004) Employment Outlook, Paris: OECD 47 | P a g e Appendix B ‘The NHS does not have the time to national re-negotiate terms and conditions and there is scant evidence that local freedoms, especially for foundation trusts have been used in any material fashion to date.’113 5. Summary and Conclusions This paper has proposed a close relationship between the nature of public service delivery and a national model of pay determination. Displaying considerable resilience over years, this model has been distinctive, with pay determination assuming a very different form in the private sector. This resilience and distinctiveness has been related to the structure and organisational dynamics of the public sector. This sector has typically employed a highly professional workforce to provide publicly funded national services to common standards to the most vulnerable members of the community. The public sector involves a complex and extensive bundle of agents or stakeholders – employees, managers, services users, employers, policy makers at different levels and citizens as taxpayers – in the provision of these services, all subject to overlapping or separate forms of accountability. These features of the sector, its services and actors, feed through to the process of pay determination, lending it a particular quality. Most significantly the participation of a diverse set of stakeholders leads to goal dispersion in the wage setting process, with pay determination in the public sector pursuing a wide range of aims, sometimes complementary, often in tension. This was illustrated by the long list of considerations informing the NHS Pay Review Body remit, which included the requirement for pay increases to address recruitment, retention, and motivation, local labour markets needs, patient concerns, affordability, and equity. This paper has argued that the resilience and continuity of national pay determination in public services lie in its sensitivity to the sector’s contextual features and to its efficiency and effectiveness in dealing with the diverse pay goals held by multiple stakeholders. It has been stressed that this has been achieved by a national wage setting model with the capacity to generate and sustain the following outcome: - Discipline and control - Cost efficiency and effectiveness - Transparency and consistency The paper has applied this line of argument to an understanding of the past and future development of national pay determination in the NHS. The resilience of national wage setting in the NHS in the face of 113 Britnell M (2010) The Future of Agenda for Change, Health Service Journal, 25 February 48 | P a g e Appendix B various pressures is presented as a testament to its sensitivity to context, and to its capacity to manage diverse pay objectives. This was particularly striking in the 1990s when public policy attempts to encourage trust based bargaining made limited headway, and highlighted some of the barriers to and dangers inherent in moves to local pay determination. Indeed, the development of the current approach to wage setting based on Agenda for Change and review body recommendations is presented as an approach which improved, and more efficiently and effectively addressed the complementary and competing needs associated with pay determination in the NHS. Given new and current pressures on this model, the paper also raises the need for careful consideration of the costs and benefits associated with national pay determination, relative to more decentralised arrangements, particularly in a period of financial constraint. Greater local pay determination might well have major transactional, relational and pay bill costs, outweighing any immediate gains arising from any such move. The paper has not sought to obscure the shortcomings of national pay determination in the public sector, and more particularly in the NHS, relative to a more decentralised approach. It has, however, been suggested that given the diverse range of objectives held by different stakeholders operating in a sector with distinctive features, national pay determination provides a firm basis for the complex of task of managing the healthcare workforce in times significant organisational change and uncertainty. Too often critics of national wage setting have concentrated on its capacity (or not) to manage particular or singular outcomes, without acknowledging its need to address and trade off various, diverse objectives. Too often critics have ignored the opportunity costs associated with alternative, more decentralised models of pay determination, understating the resources needed to manage these models and the instability caused by any shift towards them. As pressures on national pay determination mounts, those considering local alternatives to national pay determination might usefully be guided by the adage ‘be careful what you wish for’. 49 | P a g e