BSAD 6314 Section 001 Multivariate Statistics Fall 2010 Professor Contact Information Wendy J. Casper, Ph. D. Office: Business Building 233 E-mail: wjcasper@uta.edu Phone: (817) 272-1133 Office Hours: By appointment Course Time & Location: BSAD 6314 Section 001; Tuesdays, 2:00 pm – 4:50 pm; COBA 251 Course Website: http://management.uta.edu/Casper/MultiStat/bsad_6314.htm Course Description: This course is designed to help you to effectively apply, interpret, and evaluate different multivariate statistical techniques. Throughout the course there will be an emphasis on both conceptual understanding and the development of practical "how-to" skills. Topics covered in the sequence are organized in terms of complexity, beginning with a broad overview, moving into regression, and ending with structural equation modeling. Business scholars have made use of a broad range of methods and analytical strategies to address questions of interest. Because each approach to answering research questions involves trade-offs, researchers have often found it necessary to employ a combination of analytical techniques to reach any firm conclusions. A major goal of this course is to facilitate decision making within these constraints. We will discuss a variety of advanced statistical techniques. Throughout the semester, you will gain hands-on experience through projects and learn how to draw statistical and substantive conclusions from results of analyses. You will be asked to prepare written summaries of results using either Academy of Management style or style guidelines for other journals in your field. If you use style guidelines other than those of the Academy of Management or the American Psychological Association, please provide a copy of these guidelines to me along with your first project so I can refer to them as I evaluate your projects. Learning Objectives: By the end of this course students will be able to: 1. Choose the appropriate multivariate technique to answer specific research questions 2. Describe the pros and cons of using various techniques to control for missing data 3. Describe the assumptions required to use various multivariate techniques including regression, canonical correlation, logistic regression, discriminant analysis, MAVOVA, factor analysis and structural equation modeling. 1 4. Use SPSS to run statistical analysis in regression, logistic regression, discriminant analysis, and factor analysis. 5. Use LISREL to run a confirmatory factor analysis 6. Interpret the results of data analysis by examining SPSS output from regression, canonical correlation, logistic regression, discriminant function analysis, MANOVA, and factor analysis. 7. Interpret the resutls of LISREL analysis conducted to test the fit of both structural and measurement models. Required Text: Hair, J. F., Black, W.C., Babin, B. J., Anderson, R.E., Tatham, R. L. 2006. Multivariate Data Analysis (6th Edition) Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall. Recommended Supplemental Materials: Academy of Management Journal Style Guide. http://aom.pace.edu/amjnew/style_guide.html Academy of Management Review Style Guide. http://aom.pace.edu/AMR/style.htm SPSS Statistical Procedures Companion. Prentice Hall: Upper Saddle River, NJ. Version 14 or later. Course Requirements: Course requirements include: (1) four project assignments and brief write-ups of results in appropriate format; (2) Identification of articles using techniques discussed in class; (3) a midterm exam; (4) a final exam; and (5) a final paper. Grades are determined as follows: 40% Evaluation of the assigned projects (10% each) 5% Article Identification 15% Midterm exam 15% Final exam 25% Final paper Final grades: A (90%); B (80%); C (70%); D (60%); F (below 60%) Article Identification: Specific disciplines often emphasize different techniques, and your analytic choices will often be evaluated based on norms of use in your discipline. Thus, after the completion of each multivariate technique in class, you will be required to identify examples of how these techniques are used and written up in top journals in your discipline. Each week that article examples are due, you should (1) bring enough copies of articles to provide a copy of the article to myself and all class members and (2) be prepared to get up 2 in front of the class and give a brief presentation of the content of your article including (a) variables examined, (b) analyses conducted, and (c) results of analyses. Final Paper: The final paper should examine research questions or hypotheses germaine to your discipline from a set of data. You must use one or more of the multivariate techniques that we have covered in class to conduct your analysis. Results must be written in AMJ style or style guidelines in your discipline. Management students will be required to submit their final paper to the 2005 Academy of Management conference. Students in academic programs other than Management will be required to submit their papers to a national conference in their academic discipline. In order to ensure you are on track with the paper early in the semester, you will be required to hand in an outline of what you plan to do one month into the semester. The outline should address the following: 1. What data set will you use? How did you obtain access to this data? (Please ensure all approvals to use data have been obtained prior to handing in your outline) What is your sample size? What variables are included in this data set? 2. What are the hypotheses or research questions you plan to answer? (Have at least 3 hypotheses or questions). 3. What multivariate statisical techniques will you use to test each hypothesis/answer each question? (You will need to ensure you meet assumptions associated with each technique). If you do not already have datasets to use from your own research projects or collaborations with another professor, I have several datasets which could be used for this project. If you are interested in this, please see me to discuss. If you begin working on a data set that I provide you, I would expect that you and I would continue to collaborate on the paper for publication if there are interesting findings. If you use a data set provided to you by another professor or colleague, it is a good idea to discuss expectations regarding ongoing research up front with whoever provides the data to you. CARMA Webcasts: You will be required to watch several different webcasts from the Center for Advancement of Research Methods and Analysis (CARMA) as part of your course requirements. The webcasts will sometimes be offered at times other than the scheduled class time. If you can not attend when the CARMA webcasts are offered, you may access these webcasts on your own time via the web and watch on your own. However, you are responsible for the material in the webcasts and there may be questions from the webcasts on the exams. I am only asking you to attend the webcasts that deal with statitical issues regatding multivariate techniques, so all material in the webcasts should be relevant to the course. 3 Class Policies 1. Attendance. As graduate students, I expect that you all will attend class and be engaged in learning. However, if you miss class, you are responsible for class material and announcements made in class including changes to the syllabus. 2. Class Disruptions. Please come to class on time, turn off your cell phones and pagers before class, and refrain from other activities that disrupt class. 3. Due Dates. Projects, article examples and the final paper must be handed in by the beginning of class on the day they are due. Anything that is handed in late will receive 50% of the possible points if handed in within a day. No points will be given for any work that is handed in more than one day late. 4. Collaborative Work. You are encouraged to work together to conduct data analysis for projects and prepare for exams. However, each student must independently write up the results of the data analysis for projects and hand it in with printouts from analyses. Students should complete exams and the final paper without assistance from other students. 5. Make Ups. Please do not miss exams. Make-up exams will not be allowed except under conditions of documented severve illness or emergency. 8. Academic Integrity. Students are responsible for maintaining academic integrity. Cheating on exams or plagiarism of assignments or papers from other students or published sources (including the internet) is a violation of academic integrity and professional ethics. Cheating includes handing in work (either your own or others’) for this class that was completed for another class. Dishonesty in reporting results or unethical behavior in research is also a violation of academic integrity. Engaging in any behavior that violates academic integrity can result in failure of the course and/or other penalties. 4 CLASS SCHEDULE This course is a dynamic process, subject to change. You are responsible for maintaining awareness of changes in class scheduling if you have missed class. Date Topic Aug 31 Overview of Multivariate Statistics Read: Hair, Chapter 1 Bobko, P. 1990. Multivariate Correlational Analysis. In Dunnette, M. D. & Hough, L. M. (Eds.) Handbook of Industrial/Organizational Psychology (2nd Edition), Volume 1, pp. 637-686. Palo Alto, CA: Consulting Psychologists Press. Sept 7 Data Cleaning and Multivariate Techniques Read: Hair, Chapter 2 Orr, J. M., Sackett, P. R., & Dubois, C. L. Z. 1991. Outlier detection and treatment in I/O psychology: A survey of researcher beliefs and an empirical illustration. Personnel Psychology, 44: 473-486. Roth, P.L., & Switzer, F.S. 1995. A monte carlo analysis of missing data techniques in a HRM setting. Journal of Management, 21: 1003-1023. Sept 14 Multiple Regression Read: Hair, Chapter 4 St. John, C. H. & Roth, P. L. 1999. The impact of cross-validation adjustments on estimates of effect size in business policy and strategy research. Organizational Research Methods, 2: 157-174. 5 Sept 21 Regression: Mediation & Moderation DUE article using multiple regression Project 1 Assigned Read: Aiken, L. S., & West, S. G. 1991. Multiple regression: Testing and interpreting interactions (Ch. 2-4, pp. 9-61; Ch. 7, pp. 116-138). Newbury Park, CA: Sage. Baron, R. M., & Kenny, D. A. 1986. The moderator-mediator variable distinction in social psychological research: Conceptual, strategic, and statistical considerations. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 51: 1173-1182. Sept 28 Canonical Correlation DUE article using mediated regression DUE article using moderated regression DUE Project 1 Read: Hair, Chapter 8 from 5th edition (see on website of readings) Extra Sept Logistic Regression: Dichotomous Dependent Variables DUE article using canonical correlation Read: Hair, pp. 269-275; 366-382 Green, G. H., Boze, B. V., Choundhury, A. H., & Power, S. 1998. Using logistic regression in classification. Marketing Research: 5-31. Huselid, M. A., & Day, N. E. 1991. Organizational commitment, job involvement, and turnover: A substantive and methodological analysis. Journal of Applied Psychology, 76: 380-391. 6 Extra Sept Discriminant Analysis DUE article using logistic regression DUE article using disrciminant analysis Project 2 Assigned Read: Hair, pp. 276-355 Betz, N. E. 1987. Use of discriminant analysis in counseling psychology research. Journal of Counseling Psychology, 34: 393-403. Sept 30 DUE Project 2 Oct 5 Midterm Exam In Class Oct 19 MANOVA DUE Outline of Final Paper. Include data set choosen, hypotheses to test and technique to use to test them Read: Hair, Chapter 6 Haase, R. F., & Ellis, M. V. 1987. Multivariate analysis of variance. Journal of Counseling Psychology, 34: 393-403. Oct 26 Factor Analysis I Read: Hair, Chapter 3 Conway J. M., & Huffcutt A.I. 2003. A review and evaluation of exploratory factor analysis practices in organizational research. Organizational Research Methods, 6: 147-168. Ford, J. K., MacCallum, R. C., & Tait, M. 1986. The application of exploratory factor analysis in applied psychology: A critical review and analysis. Personnel Psychology, 39: 291-314. 7 Nov 2 Factor Analysis II DUE article using exploratory factor analysis Project 3 Assigned Read: Hurley, A. E., Scandura, T. A., Schriesheim, C. A., Brannick, M. T., Seers, A., Vandenberg, R. J., & Williams, L. J. 1997. Exploratory and confirmatory factor analysis: Guidelines, issues, and alterations. Journal of Organizational Behavior, 18: 667-683. Nov 9 Structural Equation Modeling Part I DUE Project 3 Read: Hair, Chapter 10 and 11 Anderson, J. C., & Gerbing, D. W. 1988. Structural equation modeling in practice : A review and recommended two-step approach. Psychological Bulletin, 103: 411-423. Mulaik, S. A., James, L. R., Van Alstine, J., Bennett, N., Lind, S., & Stilwell, C. D. 1989. Evaluation of goodness-of-fit indices for structural equation models. Psychological Bulletin, 105: 430-445. Nov 16 Structural Equation Modeling Part II DUE article using structural equation modeling Project 4 Assigned Read: Hair, Chapter 12 Nov 23 DUE Project 4 Dec 7 Final Exam in Class DUE Final Paper 8 SUPPLEMENTAL READINGS BY TOPIC AREA Data Cleaning Roth, P. L., Switzer, F. S., III, & Switzer, D. 1999. Missing data in multiple item scales: A Monte Carlo analysis of missing data techniques. Organizational Research Methods, 2: 211-232. Smith, P. C., Budzeika, K. A., Edwards, N. A., Johnson, S.M., & Bearse, L. N. 1986. Guidelines for clean data: Detection of common mistakes. Journal of Applied Psychology, 71: 457-460. Allison, P. D. 2002. Missing data. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage. Multiple Regression Cohen, J., Cohen, P., West, S. G., & Aiken, L. S. 2003. Applied multiple regression/correlation analysis for the behavioral sciences (3rd Edition). Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum. Darlington, R. B. 1968. Multiple regression in psychological research and practice. Psychological Bulletin, 69: 161-182. Mediated and Moderated Regression Aguinis, H., & Stone, E. F. 1997. Methodological artifacts in moderated multiple regression and their effects on statistical power. Journal of Applied Psychology, 82: 192206. Boal, K. B., & Bryson, J. M. 1987. Representation, testing and policy implications of planning processes. Strategic Management Journal, 8: 211-231. MacKinnon, D. P., Lockwood, C. M., Hoffman, J. M., West, S. G., & Sheets, V. 2002. A comparison of methods to test mediation and other intervening variable effects. Psychological Methods, 7: 83-104. Useful aid for graphing interactions: http://www.jeremydawson.co.uk/slopes.htm Canonical Correlation Harris, R. J. 1989. A canonical cautionary. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 24:1739. Logistic Regression Menard, S. 2002. Applied Logistic Regression Analysis. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage. 9 Discriminant Function Analysis Hsu, L. M. 1989. Discriminant analysis. A comment. Journal of Counseling Psychology, 36:244-247. O’Gorman, T. W. & Woolson, R. F. 1991. Variable selection to discriminate between two groups: Stepwise logistic regression or stepwise discriminant analysis? The American Statistician, 45: 187-193. MANOVA Huberty, C. J. & Morris, J. D. 1989. Multivariate analysis versus multiple univariate analyses. Psychological Bulletin, 105, 302-308. O’Brien, R. G., & Kaiser, M. K. 1985. MANOVA method for analyzing repeated measures designs: An extensive primer. Psychological Bulletin, 97, 316-333. Structural Equation Modeling Bagozzi, P. P. & Yi, Y. 1988. On the evaluation of structural equation models. Academy of Marketing Science, 16: 74-94. Cortina, J. M., Chen, G., & Dunlap, W. P. 2001. Testing interaction effects in LISREL: Examination and illustration of available procedures. Organizational Research Methods, 4: 324-360. Hall, R. J., Snell, A. F., & Foust, M. S. 1999. Item parceling strategies in SEM: Investigating the subtle effects of unmodeled secondary constructs. Organizational Research Methods, 2: 233-256. MacCallum, R. C., Roznowski, M., & Necowitz, L. B. 1992. Model modifications in covariance structure analysis: The problem of capitalization on chance. Psychological Bulletin, 111: 490-504. McDonald, R. P., & Ho, M. R. 2002. Principles and practice in reporting structural equation analyses. Psychological Methods, 7: 64-82. 10