1 A real-time examination of context effects on alcohol cognitions 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Rebecca L. Monk and Derek Heim of Edge Hill University, UK Author Note 11 Rebecca Louise Monk and Derek Heim, Department of Psychology, Edge Hill 12 University, St. Helens Road, Ormskirk, Lancashire, L39 4QP, UK. Email: 13 monkre@edgehill.ac.uk; derek.heim@edgehill.ac.uk 14 15 Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to Rebecca Monk, 16 Department of Psychology, Edge Hill University, St. Helens Road, Ormskirk, 17 Lancashire, L39 4QP, UK. Email: monkre@edgehill.ac.uk. Tel: +44 (0)1695 65 0940 18 Word count: 3695 19 Running Head: Context effects on alcohol-related expectancies 20 21 1 22 “A real-time examination of context effects on alcohol cognitions” 23 24 Background: This research used context aware experiential sampling to investigate 25 the effect of contexts on in vivo alcohol-related outcome expectancies. Method: A 26 time-stratified random sampling strategy was adopted in order to assess 72 students 27 and young professionals at 5-daily intervals over the course of a week using a 28 specifically designed smart-phone application. This application recorded 29 respondents' present situational and social contexts, alcohol consumption and 30 alcohol-related cognitions in real-time. Results: In-vivo social and environmental 31 contexts and current alcohol consumption accounted for a significant proportion of 32 variance in outcome expectancies. For instance, prompts which occurred whilst 33 participants were situated in a pub, bar or club and in a social group of friends were 34 associated with heightened outcome expectancies in comparison with other settings. 35 Conclusion: Alcohol-related expectancies do not appear to be static but instead 36 demonstrate variation across social and environmental contexts. Modern technology 37 can be usefully employed to provide a more ecologically valid means of measuring 38 such beliefs. Key Words: Alcohol, Social cognition, Social cognition models, Context, Expectancies, Smartphone technology, Real-time sampling 39 40 41 2 42 Despite longstanding awareness that people's immediate environments mediate 43 behaviour (Bourdieu, 1977; Nyaronga, Greenfield, & McDaniel, 2009; Lott, 1996; 44 Rosnow & Rosenthal, 1989), most psychological theories of behaviour and cognitions 45 are formulated upon data which are obtained without sufficient consideration of 46 contextual influences (Biglan & Hayes, 1996; Biglan, 2001; Hayes, 2004). When 47 using social cognition models to explain alcohol consumption this negligence might 48 constitute a critical oversight in view of long-documented contextual influences on 49 alcohol behaviours (MacAndrew & Edgerton, 1969). 50 51 Research indicates that alcohol-related beliefs predict consumption and, resultantly, 52 interventions have been designed to target these beliefs to reduce drinking (c.f. Jones 53 et al., 2001). Specifically, outcome expectancies – people’s beliefs about the likely 54 consequences of drinking have been found to impact both the quantity and frequency 55 of alcohol consumption (c.f. Ham & Hope, 2003; Oei & Morawska, 2004; Reich, 56 Below, & Goldman, 2010). Specifically, high positive outcome expectancies appear 57 to be associated with recurrent drinking in greater quantities (c.f. for example 58 Andersson et al., 2012), whilst higher negative expectancies seem to be associated 59 with reduced consumption (c.f. for example Stacy, Widaman, & Marlatt, 1990). While 60 it has also been noted for some time that outcome expectancies may vary across 61 different contexts (Wall, Mckee, & Hinson, 2000), this body of research has tended 62 to rely on single occasion testing and on retrospective self-reports obtained within 63 laboratory settings or non-alcohol-related environments (e.g. lecture theatres) without 64 adequate consideration of possible contextual influences (Monk & Heim 2013a; in 65 press). Accordingly, studies have begun to address these limitations by utilising more 66 ecologically aware testing environments such as simulated bars (e.g., Larsen, Engels, 3 67 Wiers, Granic, & Spijkerman, 2012) or wine tasting events (e.g., Kuendig & 68 Kuntsche, 2012), and recent findings suggest that social contexts and alcohol-related 69 environments are associated with increases in positive expectancies (Monk & Heim, 70 2013b; 2013c). While pointing to the importance of social and environmental contexts 71 in shaping alcohol-related beliefs, these studies have tended to test participants in 72 environments which, to a greater or lesser extent, are removed from real world 73 drinking contexts. The current study addresses this by using an experience sampling 74 method. 75 76 The increasing accessibility of advanced mobile devices (Katz & Aakus, 2002) has 77 facilitated the regular, day-to-day assessment of individuals in naturally diverging 78 contexts and has opened the field for Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) or 79 Experience Sampling (Collins, Lapp, Emmons, & Isaac, 1990; Collins et al., 1998; 80 Courvoisier, Eid, Lischetzke, & Schreiber, 2010; Killingsworth & Gilbert, 2010; 81 Kuntsche & Robert, 2009). The present research used smartphone technology to 82 enable participants to provide real-time in vivo reports with a particular focus on 83 alcohol-related expectancies. In line with previous research (Monk & Heim, 2013a; 84 2013b; Wall et al., 2000; 2001; Wiers et al., 2003), it was predicted that there would 85 be an increase in alcohol-related expectancies when assessment occurred within 86 alcohol-related environments and in the presence of a social group (in comparison 87 with assessments that take place in alcohol neutral environments and in solitary 88 contexts). 4 89 Method 90 Design 91 A within participant design was utilised to investigate the effect of environmental and 92 social contexts on participant real-time responses to alcohol expectancy questions. 93 94 Participants 95 72 participants comprising students (n = 43) and young professionals (n = 29) who 96 were aged 18-34 years (M = 21.73, S.D = 3.64) were recruited for this study from 97 universities and businesses in the UK (North West). The majority of the sample were 98 White British (88.9%) and 69% of this sample were female. Baseline average AUDIT 99 scores were 9.02 (2.07) in the student sample and 8.72 (1.28) in the business sample. 100 101 Measures 102 Demographic information and reports regarding personal alcohol consumption 103 (AUDIT-C) were recorded at participants’ initial briefings. These were anonymously 104 combined with participants’ individual responses using a unique numeric identifier. 105 The 106 work/lecture, bar/pub/club, restaurant, sporting event, party or other) and social 107 contexts (alone, with one friend, with two or more fiends, with family, work 108 colleagues or other), whether they were drinking or had had a drink (yes or no), and if 109 so what they had been drinking (quantity). Furthermore, all participants answered a 110 random selection of items taken from the 34-item Alcohol Outcomes Expectancy 111 Questionnaire (Leigh & Stacy, 1993) which covers a range of outcomes, including 112 social, sexual and emotional outcomes. However, pilot studies (n = 42) which trialled 113 the administration of full and abridged versions of this questionnaire revealed that smart-phone application ascertained participants’ environment (home, 5 114 participants were less likely to respond when all items were included. Furthermore, if 115 all of the 34 items had been available for random allocation, analyses would be 116 limited as any variation observed between contexts may have been the result of 117 variation in the expectancy measure presented (e.g. social vs. sexual expectancy 118 items). Resultantly, it was only the six social items that were part of the question pool 119 (three positive and three negative). In each response session, two positive and two 120 negative expectancy items were randomly selected from the question pool and 121 separate average scores for positive and negative expectancies were subsequently 122 calculated, giving a standardised maximum and minimum score of 1-6. 123 124 Equipment 125 A web based smart-phone application designed specifically for this research enabled 126 participants to respond to questioning via the use of their own mobile phone – when 127 prompted by automated SMS messages. The application was a website built using 128 HTML and JavaScript (JavaScript's jQuery mobile library) and answers were tracked 129 and stored using Google Analytics. The survey was designed to work on mobile 130 phones and native mobile browsers and was web-standards compliant. Each response 131 session was individually tracked and involved a personally interactive user experience 132 using tree based logic. For example, only those who responded that they consumed 133 alcohol were asked about what they had consumed. Participants’ response 134 mechanisms were also interactive, determined by the users’ smart-phone - for 135 example, Iphone or Android users could indicate their response by pressing or 136 ‘dragging’ the onscreen response items whilst those without touch screen technology 137 responded in a fashion compatible with their phone (e.g., ‘scroll and click’). The 138 questions were randomly selected from the database of questions using a computer- 6 139 generated randomisation code. The application was designed to make the user 140 interface as 141 recommendations (c.f. Palmblad & Tiplady, 2004), there no default answers set.. intuitive/user friendly as possible and, in accordance with 142 143 Procedure 144 Following ethical approval, participants were recruited and given a demonstration of 145 the response mechanism on their personal mobile phone. In accordance with similar 146 EMA procedures (Csikszentmihalyi & Larson, 1992; Wichers et al., 2007) and 147 recommendations by Larson and Delespaul (1992), a time-stratified random sampling 148 strategy was adopted (c.f. Moberly & Watkins, 2008). Pilot questionnaire data 149 examining perceptions of online vs. real-time assessments (Response N = 108) 150 indicated that respondents preferred SMS reminders and that five daily prompts were 151 deemed the most acceptable number of daily participation requests. Therefore, the 152 volunteers received five randomly allocated SMS participation prompts every day for 153 one week. No two prompts could occur within 15 minutes (ibid) or outside 0800 - 154 2300 hours. Each day of participation was divided into five equal three hour periods 155 and one prompt was randomly sent within each period (e.g., once between 0800 and 156 1100, once between 11 and 1400 and so on). The exact time a participant was 157 prompted at was determined using a random number generator - each 3 hour section 158 was split into 15 minute blocks and the generator selected the time that the prompt 159 would be sent, making response sessions unpredictable Upon receiving the prompts, 160 participants activated the Application by clicking on a link provided in the SMS. The 161 questions provided were randomly selected from the question database in order to 162 prevent the order effects (Csikszentmihalyi & Larson, 1992). 7 163 Average completion time was recorded at 2 minutes 27 seconds and the overall study 164 retention rate was 84.7%. Only relatively few participants completely stopped 165 responding and dropped out (n = 8). Furthermore, respondents were removed from 166 the sample (n = 3) where the response rate was below 40 percent, based on previous 167 research which indicates that low response rates on substance-use-related assessments 168 have low reliability (Shiffman, 2009). 169 Over the course of the week, there was the potential for participants to respond to 35 170 prompted sessions (5 per day for a week). There was no substantial increase in the 171 number of missed response sessions as interaction with the application increased, 172 suggesting that order effects were limited by the use of this technology. The average 173 percentage of failed responses (sessions which were not completed following a 174 prompt) was 20% per participant, with the 0800-1100 time-slot eliciting the highest 175 number of late or failed responses. The average percentage of late responses (> 15 176 minutes post prompt) was 5% per participant and these late responses were excluded 177 from subsequent analyses in order to ensure that the results could reasonably be 178 asserted to be a representative account of the specific time as opposed to a 179 retrospective report (Delespaul, 1995). The study therefore had an average overall 180 valid response rate of 75% per participant (26 out of a total possible 35 prompts 181 responded to). 182 Analytic Strategy 183 Multilevel modelling (MLM) is a method of statistical analyses which is capable of 184 advanced portioning of variance (Tabachnick & Fidell, 2001). MLM was used as this 185 technique can incorporate the natural complex (and related) nature of the data (Heck, 186 Thomas, & Tabata, 2010) and look for explained and unexplained variance both 187 between and within groups (see Goldstein, 2011). MLM is also able to deal with 8 188 missing data which are to be expected in experiential sampling (Tabachnick & Fidell, 189 2001). In the present study variances in outcome expectancies (the dependent 190 variable) were modelled at a number of levels: Prompts were nested within days 191 which were nested within participants. However, given that data were not recorded at 192 the day level (e.g. day, weather etc), it was decided that this level did not warrant 193 inclusion within the statistical modelling. Indeed, the day of the week in which 194 participants began the research was not consistent in this study (participants chose 195 their most personally convenient starting point). This meant that no specific predictors 196 required modelling at this level and the lack of information at this level may have 197 unduly reduced the overall explanatory power of the model. A series of 2 level 198 random intercept multilevel models (prompts within participants) were therefore fitted 199 – one for each of the alcohol-related cognitions (positive and negative outcome 200 expectancies). MLM therefore allowed analysis of variance at the prompt level 201 (context factors) and the person level (individual differences). The resultant 202 hierarchical random intercept multilevel model was fitted with predictor variables 203 which were justified by correlational analyses (see Table 1). Preliminary analyses 204 revealed no evidence of multicollinearity, residuals were normally distributed and 205 scatterplots indicated that the assumption of linearity and homoscedasticity were met. 206 The MLM was designed to portion variance in outcome expectancies and the 207 predicted variance from the null and fitted models were compared in each case. Table 208 1 outlines the correlational analyses and the findings of these analyses were used to 209 inform the subsequent MLMs. Any variable which significantly correlated with at 210 least one of the dependent variables was included. 9 211 Results 212 Full random intercept MLMs were calculated, one with positive expectancies as the 213 dependent variable and another for negative expectancies. Predictor variables were 214 imputed at both levels (as specified in Table 1): Prompt level variables (j social 215 context, environmental context, alcohol consumption - yes or no, and number of 216 drinks), and individual level predictors (ij age, gender, ethnicity, student/professional 217 status and raw (as opposed to therapeutic categories) AUDIT scores were used for 218 analyses. In all analyses, binary variables (Gender, 1 = female; Student/Professional 219 status, 1 = student ; Ethnicity, 1 = white British; Alcohol Consumption, 1 = yes) were 220 dummy coded (for a more easily interpretable outcome), the two categorical 221 predictors (environmental and social context) were dummy coded using Home and 222 Alone conditions as the respective reference categories (k-1), and the remaining 223 variable were left as continuous variables (Positive expectancies, Negative 224 expectancies, Age, AUDIT, Number of drinks). 225 INSERT TABLE 1 HERE 226 How much variance in positive and negative outcome expectancies is found and can 227 be subsequently explained at the individual level (variance between participants) and 228 the group level (prompt level, variance between prompts/within participants)? 229 Empty models (also known as the variance component models - models without 230 imputed predictor variables) indicated that there was a significant proportion of 231 variance (ICC = 95.55%) to be explained at the prompt (μ0j = 3.68, p < .001) and the 232 individual level (ICC = 4.41%, μ0ij = .17, p < .01). The same was also true of 233 negative expectancies, with 46.36% (μ0j = .61, p < .001) and 19.74% (μ0ij = .15, p < 234 .01) of unexplained variability being identified at the prompt and the individual levels 235 respectively. 2* log likelihood statistics (using chi square) and ICC calculations 10 236 revealed that the full positive expectancy model resulted in a significant reduction of 237 unexplained variance (χ² (30, n = 61) = 978.06, p < .001), explaining 36.7%.and 238 35.3% of the identified variability in positive expectancies at the prompt and 239 individual levels respectively. The negative expectancy model also produced 240 significant reduction in the amount of unexplained variance (χ² = (9, n = 61) = 575.88, 241 p < .001), with 22.95% and 15.38% of variance in negative expectancies being 242 explained at the prompt and individual levels respectively. 243 Which predictors are significant predictors of variance in expectancies? 244 No single individual level predictor was significant within the MLM model of 245 negative expectancies. However, for positive expectancies, the only individual level 246 predictor that was significant was student/professional status (β0ij = -.23, p < .01), 247 such that being a young professional was associated with reduced positive 248 expectancies to a significant degree, whilst being a university student was associated 249 with an increase in positive expectancies. At the prompt level, having consumed 250 alcohol within the last hour of prompting was a significant predictor of both increased 251 positive (β0j = -.82, p < .001) and negative expectancies (β0j = -.51, p < .001) whilst 252 number of drinks was not a significant predictor of positive expectancies but it did 253 negatively predict variance in negative expectancies (β0j = -.09, p < .001). This 254 suggests that any level of alcohol consumption may increase both positive and 255 negative expectancies. Nonetheless,, whilst the number of drinks did not appear to 256 alter positive beliefs (they remained heightened during consumption), negative beliefs 257 began to decrease as alcohol consumption increased. 258 Both prompt level categorical predictor variables (social and environmental context) 259 were also significant predictors of positive and negative outcome expectancies. 11 260 Specifically, responses whilst situated within alcohol-related contexts including bars 261 (β0j = -.52, p < .05), parties (β0j = -.91, p < .01) and sporting events (β0j = - .79, p < 262 .05) were associated with increased positive expectancies. Similarly, negative 263 expectancies were significantly predicted by being in a bar/pub/club (β0j = -.25, p < 264 .01), although sporting and party venues did not account for significant variance. 265 Being at a friend or family member’s house was also a significant predictor of 266 increased positive (β0j = -1.10, p < .001) and negative expectancies (β0j = -.67, p < 267 .001). Being at work was also a significant predictor of positive (β0j = .61, p < .01) 268 and negative expectancies (β0j = -.28, p < .05). Here, being outside of work was 269 associated with an increase in positive expectancies, and a decrease in negative 270 expectancies. Being at home during responses was the reference category for both 271 expectancy types and this context also appeared to be associated with decreased 272 positive and negative expectancies.. 273 The social context sub-categories also varied to a statistically significant degree. 274 Prompts that occurred whilst participants were with 1 friend (β0j = -1.78, p < .001: 275 β0j = -.74, p < .001), 2 or more friends (β0j = -1.75, p < .001: β0j = -.84, p < .001) or 276 family members (β0j = -1.10, p < .001: β0j = -.79, p < .001) were significant 277 predictors associated with increases in positive and negative expectancies 278 respectively. However, being with work colleagues predicted significant decreases in 279 positive expectancies (β0j = .72, p < .05) and increases in negative expectancies (β0j 280 = -.43, p < .001). Being alone during responses was the reference category for both 281 expectancies categories, meaning that this context also appears to be associated with 282 decreased expectancies. The ‘other’ response for social context was also a significant 283 predictor of positive expectancies (β0j = 2.44, p < .01) but the large standard error 284 here (.92) suggests a high degree of variability in participants’ responses in this 12 285 category, perhaps due to the diversity of contexts captured by this response. Any 286 attempt to interpret this finding without any further contextual information would 287 therefore be unwise. 288 Discussion 289 With the aim of conducting an ecologically valid assessment of the impact social and 290 environmental contexts have on outcome expectancies, this study used smart-phone 291 technology to conduct context aware experiential sampling. Social and environmental 292 contexts, specifically, being in a pub, bar or club, were significant predictors of both 293 increased positive and negative outcome expectancies. The same pattern was observed 294 for social contexts including being with a friend, with two or more friends and with 295 family members. Being at work or at home, and being with work colleagues or alone 296 was associated with a reverse pattern of results, whereby these contexts were 297 associated with decreased expectancies. In accordance with previous lab (e.g., Wall et 298 al., 2000; 2001) and field research (e.g., LaBrie et al., 2011), these findings provide 299 real-time support for the assertion that alcohol-related environmental contexts are 300 associated with changes in cognition – specifically, changes in the anticipated 301 consequences of alcohol consumption. It was particularly interesting to note that, 302 against expectations, negative as well as positive expectancies increased in alcohol- 303 related environments and in social group contexts. In studies of problem and non- 304 problem drinkers, alcohol-related cues (their favourite alcoholic drink) have been 305 shown to create both positive and negative expectations and physiological arousal 306 (Cooney, Gillespie, Baker, & Kaplan, 1987). These results suggest that in vivo 307 contextual cues can trigger both positive and negative beliefs (c.f. Wall et al., 2000; 308 Wiers et al., 2003) and underline the current findings that both positive and negative 309 expectancies increased when participants were in social groups and alcohol-related 13 310 environments. The importance of the relationship between social and environmental 311 contexts and the decision to drink or exercise restraint is also affirmed by the current 312 findings (Andersson et al., 2013; Lau-Barraco & Linden, 2014). It has been suggested 313 that interventions need to be able to target the context-dependent nature of substance 314 use and associated beliefs in order to be successful (Biglan & Hayes, 1996; Davies, 315 1997). The current research may therefore offer insights towards the improvement of 316 therapeutic practice, by increasing our ability to target the contextual-varying beliefs 317 which are associated with alcohol consumption. Any level of alcohol consumption 318 alcohol within the last hour was also associated with increases in both positive and 319 negative expectancies respectively. However, number of drinks was only a significant 320 predicator of decreased negative expectancies. Therefore, whilst positive expectancies 321 appear to remain heightened regardless of the level of alcohol consumed, greater 322 levels of consumption may be associated with subsequent decreases in negative 323 beliefs. This suggests that real-time alcohol consumption is associated with a 324 reduction of the invivo cognitions which are related to restraint (c.f. Baldwin, Oei, & 325 Young, 1993). Conversely, consumption appears to increase the positive beliefs which 326 are associated with drinking (c.f. Reich et al., 2010). 327 Whilst AUDIT scores did correlate with positive expectancies, being a university 328 student was the only demographic variable which, on its own, was a significant 329 predictor of increased positive outcome expectancies. Therefore, whilst the majority 330 of expectancy research relies on student samples, using a non-student sample with a 331 comparable age may produce different results (lower average expectancy scores). 332 Indeed, age was a not a significant predictor in the study which may suggest that there 333 are aspects of the student experience which create deviations in expectancies in 334 comparison to those of the same age who are not students. This pattern of results is in 14 335 line with suggestions that there is a ‘culture of drinking’ at University which 336 moderates students’’ expectancies (Borsari & Carey, 2001). Future research may 337 therefore benefit from greater inclusion of non-student participants. 338 339 As responses that did not occur within 15 minutes of the participation prompt were 340 discarded, the current findings can be reasonably believed to be representative of real- 341 time cognitions. This removes the problems noted in previous EMA research (c.f. 342 Kuntesche & Labhart, 2012) where a lack of signal or power may delay prompts, thus 343 increasing the reliance on the participant’s memory and potentially limiting response 344 reliability. Nevertheless, it remains possible that a lack of signal or power of 345 respondents’ mobiles may have resulted in some data loss in the current research, 346 although the high response rate for this study suggests that this is likely to have been 347 minimal. It must also be noted that whilst the participation window of 0800-2300 was 348 selected in order to maximise responses, future research may be improved by 349 exploring the feasibility of responses beyond 2300. This would allow assessments of 350 late night/early morning drinking practices and may further elucidate complex 351 cognitive processes. Furthermore, it should be noted that participants’ intoxication 352 levels may have impaired/hindered responses (cf. Fromme, Katz, & D’Amico, 1997; 353 Hindmarch, Kerr, & Sherwood, 1991 LaBrie et al., 2011). While such effects may 354 mirror real-life situations, a degree of caution is nonetheless advised when 355 considering the current findings. 356 357 In conclusion the present research confirms concerns about the abundant previous 358 research which is conducted with participants who are assessed alone, in non alcohol- 359 related environments and are sober during the completion of their questionnaires. In 15 360 particular, the results of the current investigation indicate that responses which were 361 recorded in solitary contexts and when in alcohol-neutral environments (such as at 362 work or at home) were associated with lower expectancies. As specified, alcohol 363 consumption was also associated with changes in responses. These results therefore 364 suggest that previous research in this field may have captured responses which do not 365 necessarily equate to cognitions in real-life situations. Here, the use of smart-phone 366 technology to conduct real-time, context aware experiential sampling appears to offer 367 a viable solution to this issue. Findings from this research may also provide a 368 promising avenue to pursue for the development of context-sensitive interventions. 369 16 370 References 371 Andersson, C., Sundh, V., Waern, M., Jakobsson, A., Lissner, L., & Spak, F. (2012). 372 Drinking context and problematic alcohol consumption in young Swedish 373 women. 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Positive Expect. 2. Negative Expect. 3. Environmental Context 4. Social Context 5. Student/ Young Professional (YP = 0) 6.Ethnic (Non White British =0) 7.Gender (Male = 0) 8. Age 9. AUDIT 10.Consumed Alcohol (No= 0) 11. Number drinks consumed 1 .71** .67** 2 3 4 5 .48** - .59** -.09** .50** -.10** .02 .59** .09** .17* - -.04* .04* .05* .10** - .09** -.04 .00 .50** .04 .08** .04* .26** .01 .05* .05* .66** .01 .14** -.02 .31** -.07** .70** .00 .09 .50** .28** .63** .63** .30** 501 ** p < .01 * p < .05 502 503 504 505 ^ 6 7 8 9 10 .49** .27** .12** .37** -.22** -.04 .22** -.23** .06** .01 - .07** .04 .03 .04 .04 It may be noted that a number of these correlations are significant but are not sufficient to be deemed strong (r = .07). However, these weak effects may be an issue of sample size, whereby the ability to detect effects is only improved when sample sizes are increased (Cohen, 1992). 506 507 508 509 23 11 -