1.1 Types of Statistical Studies Research questions about a population: Type of Research Question Examples What is the average number of hours that Make an estimate about the population (often an community college students work each week? estimate about an average value or a proportion What proportion of all U.S. college students are with a given characteristic) enrolled at a community college? Is the average course load for a community Test a claim about the population (often a claim college student greater than 12 units? about an average value or a proportion with a given Do the majority of community college students characteristic) qualify for federal student loans? In community colleges, do female students have Compare two populations (often a comparison of a higher GPA than male students? population averages or proportions with a given Are college athletes more likely than nonathletes characteristic) to receive academic advising? Is there a relationship between the number of hours high school students spend each week on Investigate a relationship between two variables in Facebook and their GPA? the population Is academic counseling associated with quicker completion of a college degree? Cause and Effect Does cell phone usage increase the risk of developing a brain tumor? Does drinking red wine lower the risk of a heart attack? Does playing violent video games increase aggressive behavior? Does sex education lower the incidence of teen pregnancy? In these types of studies, one variable is the explanatory variable, and the other is the response variable. To establish a cause-and-effect relationship, we want to make sure the explanatory variable is the only thing that impacts the response variable. We therefor get rid of all other factors that might affect the response. Then we manipulate the explanatory variable. Our goal is to see if it really does affect the response. An experiment intentionally manipulates one variable in an attempt to cause an effect on another variable. The primary goal of an experiment is to provide evidence for a cause-and-effect relationship between two variables. But the experiment has to be well-designed to provide convincing evidence of a cause-and-effect relationship. An observational study observes individuals and measures variables of interest. The main purpose of an observational study is to describe a group of individuals or to investigate an association between two variables. Observational Study: Do the majority of college students listen to music while they study? Do the majority of college students believe that listening to music improves their learning? To investigate these questions, the statistics students conduct a survey in their other classes. They ask these two questions: Do you listen to music while you study? Do you think listening to music improves your concentration and memory? Experiment: Does listening to music improve students’ ability to quickly identify information? To investigate this question, the instructor uses word-search puzzles. She divides the class into two groups. Students on one side of the room do a word puzzle for 3 minutes while listening to music on an iPod. Students on the other side of the room do a word puzzle for 3 minutes without music. The instructor calculates the average number of words found by each group. Let’s Summarize There are four steps in a statistical investigation: o Ask a question that can be answered by collecting data. o Decide what to measure, and then collect data. o Summarize and analyze. o Draw a conclusion, and communicate the results. There are two types of statistical research questions: o Questions about a population o Questions about cause-and-effect To answer a question about a population, we select a sample and conduct an observational study. To answer a question about cause-and-effect we conduct an experiment. There are two types of statistical studies: o Observational studies: An observational study observes individuals and measures variables of interest. We conduct observational studies to investigate questions about a population or about an association between two variables. An observational study alone does not provide convincing evidence of a cause-and-effect relationship. o Experiments: An experiment intentionally manipulates one variable in an attempt to cause an effect on another variable. The primary goal of an experiment is to provide evidence for a cause-and-effect relationship between two variables. In statistics, a variable is information we gather about individuals or objects. When we investigate a relationship between two variables, we identify an explanatory variable and a response variable. To establish a cause-and-effect relationship, we want to make sure the explanatory variable is the only thing that impacts the response variable. Other factors, however, may also influence the response. These other factors are called confounding variables. The influence of confounding variables on the response variable is one of the reasons that an observational study gives weak, and potentially misleading, evidence of a cause-and-effect relationship. A well-designed experiment takes steps to eliminate the effects of confounding variables, such as random assignment of people to treatment groups, use of a placebo, and blind conditions. For this reason, a well-designed experiment provides convincing evidence of cause-and-effect.