OPRE504 Chaodong Han OPRE504 Chapter Study Guide - Chapter 3 Surveys and Sampling Page 1 of 5 I. Simple Random Sample (SRS) ◦ Sampling Methods Every individual has an equal chance of selection within a sampling frame Stratified Sampling (controlled random) ◦ Assign different weight of representation for each stratum ◦ Common characteristics within each stratum but differ across strata ◦ SRS in each stratum (gender, race, age, education level, etc.) Cluster Sampling (controlled random) ◦ Split the population into similar parts or clusters and SRS across clusters ◦ The composition of each cluster is equally representative of the population Multistage Sampling ◦ Use combination of stratified and cluster sampling as well as simple random samples ◦ Professional polling organizations and marketing research firms Systematic Samples (simplified random) ◦ Pick a sample according to a systematic order (e.g., every 6th person exiting the poll) II. Voluntary response bias ◦ When individuals choose on their own whether to participate in the sample; ◦ People with strong opinions tend to participate Convenience sample bias ◦ Sample is easy for the researchers to obtain but may not be representative Undercoverage bias ◦ Sampling Biases When some portion of the population is not sampled at all or has a smaller representation in the sample than it has in the population Nonresponse bias ◦ A large fraction of those sampled fails to respond ◦ Those who respond differ from those who don’t Response bias ◦ Respondents tailor answers to please the interviewer ◦ Survey questions are loaded with strong suggestions or preferences Chaodong Han OPRE504 Page 2 of 5 III. An Example of Problematic Sampling Design Background Researchers wanted to know what fraction of the U.S. adults considers drinking and driving was a serious problem. They waited outside a bar they had randomly selected from a list of such establishments. They stopped every 9th adult who came out of the bar and asked whether he or she thought drinking and driving was a serious problem. What is the population? All bars All adults All adults in the bar What is the population parameter of interest? The proportion of adults who drink and drive The proportion of adults who think drinking and driving is a serious problem The number of adults who came out of the bar What is the sampling frame used in this study? Bar patrons All adults who drink All adults All bars What is the sample for this study? All adults leaving the bar All adults who think drinking and driving is a problem Every 9th adult leaving the bar All adults What sampling method was used? Voluntary sampling Convenience sampling Systematic sampling Stratified sampling Cluster sampling Chaodong Han OPRE504 Page 3 of 5 What type of bias is evident in this sample? Voluntary response bias Undercoverage and nonresponse bias Undercoverage and response bias Response bias What problems might occur in generalizing the current sample to the population of interest ? Some people drink more than others Since those interviewed had just left a bar, they probably think drinking and driving is less of a problem than do adults in general None IV An Example of Various Sampling Designs In a public school system with 48 elementary schools, the school board is considering installation of cameras in school public areas in order to deter bully and vandalism. The PTA wants to find out whether parents agree with this proposal. List below are some of the ideas for gathering data. Assume the schools are homogenous but differ from each other. 1. List the names of all the students alphabetically and contact the parents of every 25th student. • 2. – Cluster sampling – Systematic sampling – Convenience sampling – Census What kind of bias (if any) is most likely to occur? – Response bias since the PTA wants parents to agree – No evident bias if the sampling strategy is followed as described – Undercoverage bias since the parents in the sample may not be representative of all parents – Voluntary response bias since only parents who feel strongly about the issue will respond Put a big ad in the newspaper asking people to log their opinions on the board web site. – Convenience sampling – Simple random sample – Voluntary response sample – Stratified sampling Chaodong Han OPRE504 Page 4 of 5 What bias if any is most likely to occur? – Bias could result only if the strategy is not followed as described – Undercoverage since only active parents involved with the PTA will be sampled – Response bias since the PTA wants the parents to agree – Voluntary response bias since only parents who feel strongly about the issue will respond 3. Randomly select one of the grade levels and contact the parents of every student for the grade. • – Cluster sampling – Stratified sampling – Voluntary response sample – Simple random sample What bias if any could occur? – Undercoverage bias since only parents involved with the PTA will be sampled – Undercoverage bias since the parents in the sample may not be representative of all parents – Response bias since the PTA wants parents to agree – Bias could result only if the sampling strategy is not followed as described 4. Mail a survey to the home of every student, and ask parents to fill it out and return it within a week. – Cluster sampling – Voluntary response sample – Attempt at a census – Stratified sampling What kind of bias (if any) could occur? – Undercoverage bias since the parents in the sample may not be representative – Response bias since the PTA wants parents to agree – Nonresponse bias since not all parents will respond – Bias could result only if the sampling strategy is not followed as described Chaodong Han OPRE504 Page 5 of 5