Page 1 OTEC AFF Epigraph “I owe all to the ocean; it produces electricity, and electricity gives heat, light, motion, and, in a word, life to the Nautilus.” –Jules Verne, 20,000 Leagues Under the Sea Page 2 FYI: What is OTEC? FYI: README: This is how OTEC works: Marti et al., 2010 (Jose, president, Offshore Infrastructure Assoc., Manuel A.J. Laboy, VP and Dir. of Offshore Infrastructure Assoc., and Orlando Ruiz, Asst. Prof @ U of Puerto Rico, Commercial Implementation Of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion, “Commercial Implementation Of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” Sea Technology Magazine, p. http://www.sea-technology.com/features/2010/0410/thermal_energy_conversion.html) Basic Principles OTEC plants are heat engines that convert heat into work by exploiting the energy gradient between a “source” and a “sink.” This is similar to a steam engine, although in the case of OTEC, the temperature gradient is much smaller. This makes OTEC plants larger than steam plants of comparable capacities. ¶ OTEC has three basic modalities: closed, open and hybrid cycles. In the closed cycle, the temperature difference is used to vaporize (and condense) a working fluid (e.g., ammonia) to drive a turbine generator to produce electricity. In the open cycle, warm surface water is introduced into a vacuum chamber where it is flashvaporized. This water vapor drives a turbine generator to produce electricity. The remaining water vapor (essentially distilled water) is condensed using cold sea water, and this condensed water can either return to the ocean or be collected as potable water. The hybrid cycle combines characteristics of the closed and open cycles and has great potential for applications requiring higher efficiencies for the coproduction of energy and potable water. In all three cycles, cold ocean water, normally available at depths of 1,000 meters, where the water temperature remains constant at around 4° C, is required to condense the working fluid. FYI this is how OTEC works (Science Rules!) Friedman 14 (Becca, Harvard Ocean Energy Council member, “examining the future of ocean thermal energy conversion” http://www.oceanenergycouncil.com/examining-future-ocean-thermal-energy-conversion/) French physicist George Claude first explored the science of OTEC in the early twentieth century, and he built an experimental design in 1929. Unfortunately for Claude, the high maintenance needed for an OTEC plant, especially given the frequency of storms in tropical ocean climates, caused him to abandon the project. his work demonstrated that the difference in temperature between the surface layer and the depths of the ocean was enough to generate power, using the warmer water as the heat source and the cooler water as a heat sink. OTEC takes warm water and pressurizes it so that it becomes steam, then uses the steam to power a turbine which creates power, and completes the cycle by using the cold water to return the steam to its liquid state. Nevertheless, Page 3 1AC Page 4 Observation 1: Inherency First, OTEC could cut fossil fuel consumption but a lack of government support and capital investment have stalled efforts. Friedman, 2012 (Becca, Harvard Political Review, “Examining the Future of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” Ocean Energy Council, March 20, http://www.oceanenergycouncil.com/examining-future-ocean-thermal-energy-conversion/) Although it may seem like an environmentalist’s fantasy, experts in oceanic energy contend that the technology to provide a truly infinite source of power to the United States already exists in the form of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC). Despite enthusiastic projections and promising prototypes, however, a lack of governmental support and the need for risky capital investment have stalled OTEC in its research and development phase.¶ Regardless, oceanic energy experts have high hopes. Dr. Joseph Huang, Senior Scientist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and former leader of a Department of Energy team on oceanic energy, told the HPR, “If we can use one percent of the energy [generated by OTEC] for electricity and other things, the potential is so big. It is more than 100 to 1000 times more than the current consumption of worldwide energy. The potential is huge. There is not any other renewable energy that can compare with OTEC.”¶ The Science of OTEC¶ French physicist George Claude first explored the science of OTEC in the early twentieth century, and he built an experimental design in 1929. Unfortunately for Claude, the high maintenance needed for an OTEC plant, especially given the frequency of storms in tropical ocean climates, caused him to abandon the project. Nevertheless, his work demonstrated that the difference in temperature between the surface layer and the depths of the ocean was enough to generate power, using the warmer water as the heat source and the cooler water as a heat sink. OTEC takes warm water and pressurizes it so that it becomes steam, then uses the steam to power a turbine which creates power, and completes the cycle by using the cold water to return the steam to its liquid state.¶ Huge Capital, Huge Risks¶ Despite the sound science, a fully functioning OTEC prototype has yet to be developed. The high costs of building even a model pose the main barrier. Although piecemeal experiments have proven the effectiveness of the individual components, a large-scale plant has never been built. Luis Vega of the Pacific International Center for High Technology Research estimated in an OTEC summary presentation that a commercial-size five-megawatt OTEC plant could cost from 80 to 100 million dollars over five years. According to Terry Penney, the Technology Manager at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, the combination of cost and risk is OTEC’s main liability. “We’ve talked to inventors and other constituents over the years, and it’s still a matter of huge capital investment and a huge risk, and there are many [alternate forms of energy] that are less risky that could produce power with the same certainty,” Penney told the HPR.¶ Moreover, OTEC is highly vulnerable to the elements in the marine environment. Big storms or a hurricane like Katrina could completely disrupt energy production by mangling the OTEC plants. Were a country completely dependent on oceanic energy, severe weather could be debilitating. In addition, there is a risk that the salt water surrounding an OTEC plant would cause the machinery to “rust or corrode” or “fill up with seaweed or mud,” according to a National Renewable Energy Laboratory spokesman.¶ Even environmentalists have impeded OTEC’s development. According to Penney, people do not want to see OTEC plants when they look at the ocean. When they see a disruption of the pristine marine landscape, they think pollution.¶ Given the risks, costs, and uncertain popularity of OTEC, it seems unlikely that federal support for OTEC is forthcoming. Jim Anderson, co-founder of Sea Solar Power Inc., a company specializing in OTEC technology, told the HPR, “Years ago in the ’80s, there was a small [governmental] program for OTEC and it was abandoned…That philosophy has carried forth to this day. There are a few people in the Department of Energy who have blocked government funding for this. It’s not the Democrats, not the Republicans. It’s a bureaucratic issue.”¶ OTEC is not completely off the government’s radar, however. This past year, for the first time in a decade, Congress debated reviving the oceanic energy program in the energy bill, although the proposal was ultimately defeated. OTEC even enjoys some support on a state level. Hawaii ’s National Energy Laboratory, for example, conducts OTEC research around the islands. For now, though, American interests in OTEC promise to remain largely academic. The Naval Research Academy and Oregon State University are conducting research programs off the coasts of Oahu and Oregon , respectively. Page 5 Plan: The United States federal government should substantially increase it’s non-military development of the Earth’s oceans by streamlining the regulatory framework applicable to Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion by returning all regulatory oversight to the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration. Funding and enforcement through normal means. We reserve the right to clarify. Page 6 Observation 2: A New Hope First, congressional action that makes NOAA a “one stop shop” for regulatory power would spur development—it reduces costs and encourages deployment of OTEC in the Earth’s oceans. Griset, 2011 (Todd J., associate at Preti Flaherty’s Energy and Telecommunications group, where he represents renewable energy firms, “Harnessing the Ocean’s Power: Opportunities in Renewable Ocean Energy Resources,” Ocean and Coastal Law Journal 16 [2011]: 395, l/n) ¶ Regulatory regimes applicable to renewable ocean energy continue to¶ evolve as well. For example, the decision of the Massachusetts DPU to¶ approve Cape Wind’s power purchase agreement with National Grid, and¶ the FERC order approving the concept of a multi-tiered avoided cost rate¶ structure under which states may establish a higher avoided cost rate for¶ mandated renewable power, both represent an evolution in the traditional¶ regulation of public utilities. In both cases, regulatory policy has shifted¶ to favor renewable energy production even though it may initially bear a¶ higher cost than production from fossil fuel-based resources. These¶ shifts may continue to bring renewable ocean energy closer to cost competitiveness¶ or cost-parity with traditional resources. Time will tell¶ whether the trend toward greater ocean energy development will rise and¶ fall like the tides, as has the trends responsible for the initial enactment¶ of the OTEC Act, subsequent removal of NOAA’s regulations, and the¶ current resurgence of interest in OTEC, or whether these shifts represent¶ definite progress toward a new form of energy production.¶ Furthermore, clarification and simplification of the patchwork of¶ regulatory regimes governing renewable ocean energy projects will bring¶ about additional reductions in the cost of energy from the sea. As a¶ general principle, uncertainty or inconsistency of regulation tends to¶ deter development and investment.227 Unknown or shifting regulatory¶ regimes add risk to the development of any given project.228 Indeed, in¶ the context of ocean energy, regulatory uncertainty has been called ““the¶ most significant non-technical obstacle to deployment of this new¶ technology.””229 Consistent government commitment and the¶ simplification of licensing and permitting procedures, rank among the¶ ¶ ¶ hallmarks of a well-planned system for developing ocean renewable¶ energy.230¶ Arguably, such a system has not yet been fully realized. Some¶ observers believe that the MOU between MMS and FERC has ““resolved¶ the uncertainty”” over the jurisdictional question, and by extension, over¶ the question of which set of regulations a developer of a project on the¶ OCS must follow.231 On the other hand, the dual process created by the¶ MOU under which MMS/BOEMRE must first approve a site and issue a¶ lease, after which FERC may issue a license or exemption, may lead to¶ delays in the development of hydrokinetic energy resources on the¶ OCS.232 Nevertheless, the agencies have committed themselves to¶ cooperate and have issued guidance suggesting that where possible, the¶ agencies will combine their National Environmental Policy Act¶ processes.233¶ At the same time, technologies such as OTEC remain under the¶ jurisdiction of NOAA. As noted above, a host of other federal agencies¶ retain authority to regulate various aspects of renewable ocean energy¶ projects. The nation’s regulatory program for ocean energy projects thus¶ lacks a single ““one-stop shop”” approach for project licensure, site¶ leasing, and other required permitting. Project developers must not only¶ obtain permits from a variety of federal and state entities, but moreover¶ face uncertainty as to which permits may be required. The net impact of¶ this regulatory patchwork is to place a chilling effect on the¶ comprehensive development of the nation’’s renewable ocean energy¶ resources.¶ Moreover, few renewable ocean energy projects have been fully¶ permitted. Indeed, the Cape Wind project represents the first¶ commercial-scale offshore wind project to complete its permitting and¶ licensing path.234 Although each future project’’s details and regulatory¶ ¶ path may be unique, the success of the first United States offshore wind¶ project to go through the public regulatory process provides subsequent¶ developers with valuable insight into challenges, procedures, and¶ provides an understanding of how to apportion permitting and¶ development costs with greater certainty.235 However, because that path¶ took nine years to navigate, and because many of the regulatory shifts¶ described herein occurred during that time, project developers today will¶ face a different regulatory structure than that faced by Cape Wind.¶ Moreover, depending on the technology involved, site-specific issues,¶ and the regulatory environment of each state, each project must in¶ essence forge its own path forward toward complete regulatory approval.¶ Congressional action could further streamline the regulatory framework applicable to renewable ocean energy projects. Providing a stable structure for the development of the oceans' renewable energy potential would reduce the capital cost required to develop a given project. By providing a clear and consistent legal path for project developers to follow, such legislation would enable the best ocean energy projects to become more cost-competitive. This in turn could provide benefits along the lines of those cited by the Massachusetts Department of Public Utilities in approving the Cape Wind power purchase agreement: economic Page 7 development, a diversified energy policy, greater energy independence, and reduced carbon emissions. The states' role in such a regulatory framework should be respected. While renewable power benefits the region, the nation, and the world at large, most of the negative impacts of a given project are felt locally. Establishing a clear regulatory framework including appropriate federal agencies as well as state authority could empower greater development of ocean energy resources without sacrificing values such as navigational rights, fisheries and wildlife, aesthetic considerations, and states' rights. Our oceans hold vast promise. The opportunity to transform that potential into usable energy is significant. Whether developing that potential into commercial-scale energy production is a reasonable choice remains to be seen. If renewable ocean energy resources are to be developed, promoting regulatory certainty would do much to promote their cost-effective development. Second, OTEC is technically feasible—the U.S. has led technological R&D since video killed the radio stars. Marti et al., 2010 (Jose, president, Offshore Infrastructure Assoc., Manuel A.J. Laboy, VP and Dir. of Offshore Infrastructure Assoc., and Orlando Ruiz, Asst. Prof @ U of Puerto Rico, Commercial Implementation Of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion, “Commercial Implementation Of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” Sea Technology Magazine, p. http://www.sea-technology.com/features/2010/0410/thermal_energy_conversion.html) The nearly 80 years of studies and designs since Claude’s first attempt to demonstrate OTEC technology in Cuba in 1930 and the investment of more than $500 million in R&D and engineering during the mid-1970s to the early 1990s—in the United States alone—have provided sufficient data to build commercial-scale OTEC plants at the present time, given the proper economic conditions and the right markets. ¶ In 1980, a report prepared by the RAND Corp. (Santa Monica, California) for the U.S. Department of Energy found that power systems and platforms required for OTEC plants were within the state of the art. Subsequent work, such as designs developed by APL in 1980 and GE in 1983, addressed other issues like the cold-water pipe and the cable used to transport electricity to shore.¶ Substantial additional progress has occurred since then. For example, submarine cables capable of serving the needs of OTEC plants have been developed and are in use for other applications. Techniques for fabricating and installing large-diameter pipes and immersed tubes developed for other applications, such as offshore oil, ocean outfalls and channel crossings, are adaptable to OTEC. ¶ The APL and GE designs, as well as the one developed in 1994 by the Tokyo Electric Power Services Co. for its 10-megawatt-electrical closed-cycle plant to serve the Republic of Nauru, are all based on the use of commercially available components and techniques. ¶ Offshore Infrastructure Associates Inc. (OIA) has developed configurations for commercial-scale OTEC plants based on available technologies in widespread use for other applications. In addition to general design, work has centered on process optimization and system integration, with the dual objectives of minimizing parasitic power consumption and reducing overall capital cost. Suppliers for plant components have been identified. In summary, OIA has verified conclusions reached by previous investigators: Commercial OTEC plants are technically feasible today. Third, we have terminal solvency—like Bruce Willis, OTEC averts the Armageddon. Potomac 10 (Paul, NASA engineer, “American Energy Policy V -- Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion” 12/15/2010 at 08:17:01 oped news. http://www.opednews.com/articles/2/American-Energy-Policy-V--by-Paul-from-Potomac-101214-315.html) (OTEC) is by far the most balanced means to face the challenge of global warming. It is also the It is a most intriguing answer that can save us from Armageddon. The Applied Physics Laboratory at Johns Hopkins University was one of its earliest proponents, whose one that requires the greatest investment to meet its potential. team was led by Gordon Dugger (see photo below). Given modern materials and design techniques, we should be able to build grazing OTEC plants that may become economical with just a few production units, based upon anhydrous ammonia as the hydrogen carrier. The grazing OTEC plants would produce anhydrous ammonia while surfing the oceans for hot spots to curry heat for their power plants. (BTW there are ammonia pipelines in Indiana and other midwest states today for fertilizer distribution). Ammonia is the second-most predominant chemical manufactured in the world. Since the volumetric energy density of ammonia is three times that of liquid hydrogen, and ammonia combustion can be exceptionally efficient (about the same as burning diesel fuel in turbodiesels), it may be true that a hydrogen economy based upon OTEC and ammonia may be close at hand. The overall Page 8 replacement of transportable carbon fuels by OTEC-based ammonia is estimated at 100 million barrels of oil per day equivalent over about 40 years if we move to a hydrogen economy. Along with other technologies, carbon fuels could be replaced in roughly 80% of all applications. OTEC is a true triple threat against global warming. It is the only technology that acts to directly reduce the temperature of the ocean (it was estimated one degree Fahrenheit reduction every twenty years for 10,000 250 MWe plants in '77), eliminates carbon emissions, and increases carbon dioxide absorption (cooler water absorbs more CO2) at the same time. It generates fuel that is portable and efficient, electricity for coastal areas if it is moored, and possibly food from the nutrients brought up from the ocean floor. It creates jobs, perhaps millions of them, if it is the serious contender for the future multi-trillion-dollar energy economy. In concert with wind and solar power, OTEC will complete the conversion of the human race to a balance with Nature. We need only choose life over convenience. Some folks know that I've been a proponent of ocean power since the late '70s. Rummaging through old stuff on the internet, I found this ancient photo of me in Miami in 1977, on a panel discussing OTEC. This may have been the first time that OTEC was discussed in public in terms of global warming. Oddly enough, the concern was that we might cause an Ice Age! Here is the document, which describes the technology quite well at that point in time, more than 30 years ago: otec_liaison_1_613.pdf We should be more worried about global warming upsetting the ocean currents by overheating the ocean, which is now happening at an alarming rate. The latest guess is +5C (9F) by 2100! This technology may be deployed as a means to bring the ocean back into balance, not to upset it. Page 9 Advantage 1: The Day After Tomorrow First, demand for energy is growing—new renewable resources are key. Glickman 2013 (Robert L., Maurice C. Shapiro Prof. of Env. Law @ GWU Law School, “Balancing Increased Access to Nontraditional Power Sources with Environmental Protection Policies,” 34 Pub. Land & Resources L. Rev. 1, l/n) As Professor Alexandra Klass has noted, "there is a general consensus that more transmission is needed in the United States to maintain grid reliability, meet growing demand, and integrate more renewable energy into the grid." n48 Demand for electricity in the U.S. is rising, having increased by 25 percent from 1990 to the early 2010s. During the same time, however, construction of transmission facilities fell by thirty percent. According to Professor Klass, "this deficit of transmission capacity combined with the aging infrastructure is leading to [*14] an increase in blackouts and brownouts, costing the U.S. economy $ 150 billion annually." n49 Demand for renewable energy is also being driven by state renewable portfolio standards (RPS) that require electricity providers to supply at least a specified minimum percentage of their output from renewable resources, whose production and consumption produces lower levels of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions than fossil fuels. Second, this demand increases fossil fuel consumption. Cusick 2013 (Daniel, E&E Reporter, Global demand for fossil fuels continues to rise, E&E News, October 25, http://www.eenews.net/stories/1059989393) Despite concerted global efforts to reduce carbon emissions through the expansion of clean and renewable energy resources, fossil fuels continued to dominate the global energy sector in 2012, according to new figures released yesterday by the Worldwatch Institute.¶ Coal, natural gas and oil accounted for 87 percent of the world's primary energy consumption last year, the group reported in a new "Vital Signs Online" report.¶ "The relative weight of these energy sources keeps shifting, although only slightly," states the report by researchers Milena Gonzalez and Matt Lucky, members of the Worldwatch Institute's climate and energy team.¶ While the U.S. boom in shale gas helped push the fossil fuel's share of total global energy consumption from 23.8 to 23.9 percent, coal also increased its share, from 29.7 to 29.9 percent, as demand for coal-fired electricity remained strong across much of the developing world, including China and India, and parts of Europe.¶ As such, coal is expected to surpass oil as the most consumed primary energy source in the world, the report said. In 2012, China alone accounted for more than half the world's total coal consumption, mostly for electric power generation. Third, the plan is a game changer—causes a shift away from fossil fuels. Friedman, 2012 (Becca, Harvard Political Review, “Examining the Future of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” Ocean Energy Council, March 20, http://www.oceanenergycouncil.com/examining-future-ocean-thermal-energy-conversion/, nr) Were its vast potential harnessed, OTEC could change the face of energy consumption by causing a shift away from fossil fuels. Environmentally, such a transition would greatly reduce g reen h ouse g as emissions and decrease the rate of global warming . Geopolitically, having an alternative energy source could free the United States , and other countries, from foreign oil dependency. As Huang said, “We just cannot ignore oceanic energy, especially OTEC, because the ocean is so huge and the potential is so big… No matter who assesses, if you rely on fossil energy for the future, the future isn’t very bright…For the future, we have to look into renewable energy, look for the big resources, and the future is in the ocean.” • Page 10 Fourth, that’s good—OTEC’s produces zero-emission energy that dissipates warming. That could halt climate change. Baird, 2013 (Jim, engineer, inventor, and consultant at Lockheed-Martin, “OTEC can be a big Climate Influence, The Green Energy Collective, September 3 http://theenergycollective.com/jim-baird/267576/otec-can-be-big-global-climate-influence) OTEC uses the temperature difference between cooler deep and warmer surface ocean waters to run a heat engine and produce useful work, usually in the form of electricity.¶ It too can have a big influence on global climate because it converts part of the accumulating ocean heat to work and about twenty times more heat is moved to the depths in a similar fashion to how Trenberth suggests the globalwarming hiatus has come about.¶ The more energy produced by OTEC – done properly the potential is 30 terawatts - the more the entire ocean will be cooled and that heat converted to work will not return as will be the case when the oceans stop soaking up global-warming’s excess.¶ Kevin Trenberth estimates the oceans will eat global warming for the next 20 years.¶ Asked if the oceans will come to our climate rescue he said, “That’s a good question, and the answer is maybe partly yes, but maybe partly no.” The oceans can at times soak up a lot of heat. Some goes into the deep oceans where it can stay for centuries. But heat absorbed closer to the surface can easily flow back into the air. That happened in 1998, which made it one of the hottest years on record. Since then, the ocean has mostly been back in one of its soaking-up modes.¶ “They probably can’t go for much longer than maybe 20 years, and what happens at the end of these hiatus periods, is suddenly there’s a big jump [in global-warming needs to be put on a permanent hiatus and the world needs more zero emissions energy.¶ OTEC provides both. temperature] up to a whole new level and you never go back to that previous level again,” Trenberth says. ¶ The bottom line is Fifth, we have to reverse the trend now. Runaway warming will destroy all life on earth. Ahmed 2010 (Nafeez, Prof. of IR @ Brunel University and the University of Sussex, “Globalizing Insecurity: The Convergence of Interdependent Ecological, Energy, and Economic Crises,” Spotlight on Security, Volume 5, Issue 2 Spring/Summer 2010) Perhaps the most notorious indicator is anthropogenic global warming. The landmark 2007 Fourth Assessment Report of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) – which warned that at then-current rates of increase of fossil fuel emissions, the earth’s global average temperature would likely rise by 6°C by the end of the 21st century creating a largely uninhabitable planet – was a wake-up call to the international community.[v] Despite the pretensions of ‘climate sceptics,’ the peer-reviewed scientific literature has continued to produce evidence that the IPCC’s original scenarios were wrong – not because they were too alarmist, but on the contrary, because they were far too conservative. According to a paper in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, current CO2 emissions are worse than all six scenarios contemplated by the IPCC. This implies that the IPCC’s worst-case six-degree scenario severely underestimates the most probable climate trajectory under current rates of emissions.[vi] It is often presumed that a 2°C rise in global average temperatures under an atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gasses at 400 parts per million (ppm) constitutes a safe upper limit – beyond which further global warming could trigger rapid and abrupt climate changes that, in turn, could tip the whole earth climate system into a process of irreversible, runaway warming .[vii] Unfortunately, we are already well past this limit, with the level of greenhouse gasses as of mid-2005 constituting 445 ppm.[viii] Worse still, cuttingedge scientific data suggests that the safe upper limit is in fact far lower. James Hansen, director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, argues that the absolute upper limit for CO2 emissions is 350 ppm: “If the present overshoot of this target CO2 is not brief, there is a possibility of seeding irreversible catastrophic effects.”[ix] A wealth of scientific studies has attempted to explore the role of positive-feedback mechanisms between different climate sub-systems, the operation of which could intensify the warming process. Emissions beyond 350 ppm over decades are likely to lead to the total loss of Arctic sea-ice in the summer triggering magnified absorption of sun radiation, accelerating warming; the melting of Arctic permafrost triggering massive methane injections into the atmosphere, accelerating warming; the loss of half the Amazon rainforest triggering the momentous release of billions of tonnes of stored carbon, accelerating warming; and increased microbial activity in the earth’s soil leading to further huge releases of stored carbon, accelerating warming; to name just a few. Each of these feedback sub-systems alone is sufficient by itself to lead to irreversible, catastrophic effects that could tip the whole earth climate system over the edge.[x] Recent studies now estimate that the continuation of business-as-usual would lead to global warming of three to four Page 11 degrees Celsius before 2060 with multiple irreversible, by the end of the century – a situation endangering catastrophic impacts; and six, even as high as eight, degrees the survival of all life on earth.[xi] Page 12 Advantage 2: Water World First, water demand is increasing—will skyrocket by 2050 Ingham & Lucas 2014 (RICHARD INGHAM, ANTHONY LUCAS, AGENCE FRANCE PRESSE)“The World's Water Scarcity Problem Is Bad And Getting Worse” http://www.businessinsider.com/map-the-worlds-water-scarcity-problem-is-bad-and-gettingworse-2014-5#ixzz37UtjMJcy MAY 13, 2014 Already today, around 768 million people do not have access to a safe, reliable source of water and 2.5 billion do not have decent sanitation. Around a fifth of the world's aquifers are depleted. Jump forward in your imagination to mid-century, when the world's population of about 7.2 billion is expected to swell to around 9.6 billion. By then, global demand for water is likely to increase by a whopping 55 percent, according to the United Nations' newly published World Water Development Report. More than 40 percent of the planet's population will be living in areas of "severe" water stress, many of them in the broad swathe of land that runs along north Africa, the Middle East and western South Asia. Second, the energy industry is the culprit—growth in the energy sector has caused water consumption to skyrocket. Fracking for shale oil is a primary culprit. Chilcoat 2014 (Colin, MA, Energy Politics in Eurasia, “Climate Assessment touches on grid modernization and oil production,” Penn Energy, http://www.pennenergy.com/articles/pennenergy/2014/05/energy-news-climate-assessment-effects-gridmodernization-and-oil-production.html) Water remains the driving force behind nearly every significant economic sector as well as life on Earth for that matter. Increasing pressure on supply looks to become a world-defining problem with or without extreme climate change impacts. Nationally, per capita water use has actually declined since 1980 thanks to efficiency measures and appropriate pricing strategies. However, socioeconomic conditions as well as regional climate changes over the next half-century will impact demand tremendously; the NCA projects a rise in demand of up to 50% over 2005 levels in the Southwest and Great Plains. The U.S. Drought Monitor has already classified these regions as in severe to exceptional droughts – classifications that connote long-term impacts on agricultural lands and hydrological systems. Moreover, decreased soil The energy sector dominates water use in the U.S; unlike municipal use, water consumption for energy production has been increasing. Upstream, onshore oil production requires approximately eight barrels of water for every barrel of oil brought to the surface. Further from the source, energy, in all its forms, is responsible for 27% of total water consumption outside the agricultural sector. Water use is often highlighted when discussing the shale gas revolution and the now widespread moisture, groundwater levels, snowpack, and precipitation pose significant threats to the way we use water. ¶ use of hydraulic fracturing, but often unfairly so or out of context. Hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, actually uses less water than most conventional energy sources. Shale gas production consumes between 0.6 and 1.8 gallons per MMBtu compared with 1-8 gal/MMBtu for coal and 1-62 gal/MMBtu for onshore oil production. Biofuels like corn-based ethanol consume on average a staggering 1,000 gal/MMBtu. Fracking is not entirely guilt-free however, and still presents unique The water-use profile for fracking tends to differ from more conventional wells; fracking jobs require large volumes of water upfront and for each subsequent fracking treatment, instead of spread out over the life span of the well. This places incredible pressure on local water systems, many of which are already thinly stretched between municipal and agricultural uses. Where fracking actually occurs only compounds matters. In fact, in water and land use problems.¶ the US and Canada more than 55 percent of fracked wells in 2011-2013 were completed in drought stricken areas. Moreover, 36 percent of wells were drilled in areas with significant groundwater depletion. The water stress is greatest in Texas, California, and Colorado – where a majority of the nation’s fracking occurs. With fracking-related water use expected to double in some regions water sourcing and management becomes an even more critical issue not only for oil and gas companies, but also municipalities and even individuals.¶ Mitigating climate change impacts will not be cheap; clean energy infrastructure, smart grids, and an increased share of renewables in the energy mix will require significant upfront capital costs – costs consumers have been unwilling to bear in the past. Simply put, money today is worth more Page 13 than money tomorrow. The equation becomes more difficult when dealing with abstract potential savings, both monetary and environmental. The recent climate assessment attacks this prevailing idea and attempts to move climate change issues to the present, where they realistically belong. The fact is onshore wind and solar photovoltaics are competitive now, without incentives. A great deal of positive work has already been accomplished and greenhouse gas emissions are at a 20-year low. The Obama administration has pledged greater federal leadership, but compliance and trendsetting begins with oil and gas producers and utilities providers. As such, the energy industry is in a privileged position to lead by example. Third, Water scarcity breeds conflict Velasquez-Manoff, 2009 (Moises, Staff Writer, Christian Science Monitor, “Could water scarcity cause international conflict?,” Christian Science Monitor, October 26, http://www.csmonitor.com/Environment/Bright-Green/2009/1026/could-waterscarcity-cause-international-conflict) In reporting a recent story on a fight over water between residents of a small Colorado town and Nestlé Waters North America, a bottled water company, I learned much about water scarcity around the world, and the sense — also growing — that shortages of water could spark much future conflict.¶ In recent years, there's been a proliferation of books on the world's present and future water woes, from Maude Barlow's Blue Covenant to Robert Glennon's Unquenchable.¶ Many, including the authors mentioned above, argue that water must be viewed as a human right, not solely as a market commodity.¶ That's been the United Nations' position for years – not least because a lack of access to clean water constitutes a huge health problem in much of the developing world. About 1 billion people don't have potable water.¶ Another reason: water scarcity's potentially destabilizing effects. Many view the conflict in Darfur, for example, as partly motivated by a growing population and a shrinking supply of water.¶ It's not as though conflicts over water are an entirely new phenomenon. The Pacific Institute keeps a running list of water conflicts [PDF] that stretches back 5,000 years. The first human-on-human conflict over water occurred around 2500 BC in Mesopotamia, according to the list.¶ A Mesopotamian city state, Lagash, diverted water from its neighbor, Umma. The most recent water conflict: In 2008, the Taliban threatened to blow up Pakistan's Warsak Dam. (The list hasn't been updated for a year.)¶ Some see evidence of increased risk of conflict in a warming world where some regions are drying.¶ A report titled “Rising Temperatures, Rising Tensions: Climate change and the risk of violent conflict in the Middle East,” which was released earlier this year by the International Institute for Sustainable Development, found that after the 2007-'08 drought in Syria, residents abandoned 160 villages.¶ Rainfall in the area has diminished markedly in the past 50 years, probably due to global warming. In Syria alone, some 300,000 farmers and herders abandoned their homes, families in tow, for urban camps because of the drought. Around 800,000 lost their livelihoods entirely¶ Fourth, OTEC could eradicate this problem—it provides continuous energy supplies and produces potable water. Websdale, 2014 (Emma, environmental journalist and senior communication specialist at Ocean Thermal Energy Corporation, “5 Reasons Why Hundreds of People Think OTEC Is a Smart Investment,” Empower the Ocean, January 27, http://empowertheocean.com/otec-a-smart-investment/) By using the temperature differential between warm ocean surface water and cold deep water as a renewable energy source, OTEC can generate two of humanity’s most fundamental needs—clean drinking water and renewable baseload (24/7) energy. Each OTEC plant is capable of producing voluminous amounts of drinkable water (a 10-MW OTEC plant can produce as much as 75 million liters of fresh drinking water a day). Thus, the technology can directly relieve serious water shortage issues globally by meeting domestic and agricultural freshwater demands both now and sustainably in the future.¶ OTEC’s unique symbiosis between clean baseload renewable energy and potable water production is a natural fit. The combination addresses existing global factors that could precipitate a humanitarian crisis: the growing global need for potable water as the world’s population grows exponentially, the lack of available freshwater sources, the increased concentration of populations in coastal regions, and rising energy prices. Fifth, water conflicts lead to war Ingham & Lucas 2014 (RICHARD INGHAM, ANTHONY LUCAS, AGENCE FRANCE PRESSE)“The World's Water Scarcity Problem Is Bad And Getting Worse” http://www.businessinsider.com/map-the-worlds-water-scarcity-problem-is-bad-and-gettingworse-2014-5#ixzz37UtjMJcy MAY 13, 2014 Page 14 Citing a 2012 assessment by US intelligence agencies, the US State Department says: "Water is not just a human health issue, not just an economic development or environmental issue, but a peace and security issue." Rows over water between nations tend to be resolved without bloodshed, often using international fora, says Richard Connor, who headed the UN water report. However, " you can talk about conflict in which water is the root cause, albeit usually hidden," he told AFP. "It can lead to fluctuations in energy and food prices, which can in turn lead to civil unrest. In such cases, the 'conflict' may be over energy or food prices, but these are themselves related to water availability and allocation." Sixth, these water wars cause nuclear conflict—terminal impact is extinction NASCA 04 (“Water shortages – only a matter of time,” National Association for Scientific and Cultural Appreciation, http://www.nasca.org.uk/Strange_relics_/water/water.html) Water is one of the prime essentials for life as we know it. The plain fact is - no water, no life! This becomes all the more worrying when we realise that the¶ worlds supply of drinkable water will soon diminish quite rapidly. In fact a recent report commissioned by the United Nations has emphasised that by the year¶ 2025 at least 66% of the worlds population will be without an adequate water supply. As a disaster in the making water shortage ranks in the top category.¶ Without water we are finished, and it is thus imperative that we protect the mechanism through which we derive our supply of this life¶ giving fluid. Unfortunately the exact opposite is the case. We are doing incalculable damage to the planets capacity to generate water and this will have far ranging consequences for the¶ not too distant future. The United Nations has warned that burning of fossil fuels is the prime cause of water shortage. While there may be other reasons such as increased solar activity it is¶ clear that this is a situation over which we can exert a great deal of control. If not then the future will be very bleak indeed! Already the warning signs are there. The last year has seen¶ devastating heatwaves in many parts of the world including the USA where the state of Texas experienced its worst drought on record. Elsewhere in the United States forest fires raged out of¶ control, while other regions of the globe experienced drought conditions that were even more severe. Parts of Iran, Afgahnistan, China and other neighbouring countries experienced their worst¶ droughts on record. These conditions also extended throughout many parts of Africa and it is clear that if circumstances remain unchanged we are facing a disaster of epic proportions.¶ Moreover it will be one for which there is no easy answer. The spectre of a world water shortage evokes a truly frightening scenario. In fact the United Nations¶ warns that disputes over water will become the prime source of conflict in the not too distant future. Where these shortages become ever¶ more acute it could forseeably lead to the brink of nuclear conflict. On a lesser scale water, and the price of it, will acquire an importance somewhat like the current¶ value placed on oil. The difference of course is that while oil is not vital for life, water most certainly is! It seems clear then that in future years countries rich in water will¶ enjoy an importance that perhaps they do not have today. In these circumstances power shifts are inevitable, and this will undoubtedly¶ create its own strife and tension. In the long term the implications do not look encouraging. It is a two edged sword. First the shortage of water, and then the increased stresses this ¶ will impose upon an already stressed world of politics. It means that answers need to be found immediately . Answers that will both ameliorate the damage to the¶ environment, and also find new sources of water for future consumption. If not, and the problem is left unresolved there will eventually come¶ the day when we shall find ourselves with a nightmare situation for which there will be no obvious answer. Page 15 Advantage 3: Get off the Rock First, the threat of a cataclysmic asteroid impact is imminent. We need to get off the rock. Tyson 12(Neil deGrasse, Astrophysicist, Frederick P. Rose Director of the Hayden Planetariuml. Space Chronicles: Facing the Ultimate Frontier. W.W. Norton and Company, New York: 2012. p. 45-46) The chances that your tombstone will read “KILLED BY ASTEROID” are about the same as they’d be for “KILLED IN AIRPLANE CRASH.” Only about two dozen people have been killed by falling asteroids in the past four hundred years, while thousands have died in crashes during the relatively brief history of passenger air travel. So how can this comparative statistic be true? Simple. The impact record shows that by the end of ten million years, when the sum of all airplane crashes has killed a billion people (assuming a death-by-airplane rate of a hundred per year), an asteroid large enough to kill the same number of people will have hit Earth. The difference is that while airplanes are continually killing people a few at a time, that asteroid might not kill anybody for millions of years. But when it does hit, it will take out a billion people: some instantaneously, and the rest in the wake of global climatic upheaval. The combined impact rate for asteroids and comets in the early solar system was frighteningly high. Theories of planet formation show that chemically rich gas cooled and condensed to form molecules, then particles of dust, then rocks and ice. Thereafter, it was a shooting gallery. Collisions served as a means for chemical and gravitational forces to bind smaller objects into larger ones. Those objects that, by chance, had accreted slightly more mass than average had slightly higher gravity, attracting other objects even more. As accretion continued, gravity eventually shaped blobs into spheres, and planets were born. The most massive planets had sufficient gravity to retain the gaseous envelope we call an atmosphere. Second, OTEC is a miracle technology—it will feed the world’s entire population, enable space colonization, and ensure human survival. The Millineal Project, 2010 (“Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” The Millenial Project 2.0, http://tmp2.wikia.com/wiki/OTEC) Savage also realized that there are many other side-benefits of OTEC that also require a marine colony to host their facilities. In operation, OTECs function like miniature upwelling zones bringing up nutrient-rich deep seawater and discharging it after its use as a heat-sink is complete, much like natural upwelling zones which are responsible for many of the world’s greatest coastal fisheries. In fact, this actually gives OTECs great potential as a carbon sequestration method because salps (an algaevore that excretes carbon at great depths) and algae growth would both be much increased at the outer perimeter of this upwelling plume –a phenomenon already being exploited for this purpose using solarpowered floating seawater pump stations. By using this huge volume of discharge water as the source nutrient supply of a poly-species network of mariculture founded on algeaculture, extremely vast industrial mariculture systems could be developed producing vast quantities of food with no overhead in feed stock and minimal environmental impact. Proportional to the scale of OTEC power production, such mariculture facilities could easily become a major source of food on the global scale –which, of course, needs shipping facilities to distribute it just as the packaged energy does. Given full-scale deployment over the Aquarius phase, such marine colony food production could easily become one of the single-greatest food sources on the entire planet, thus this, in combination with the encouraged conversion of global energy reliance to renewable energy, has become a key factor in Savage’s original plan for using the Aquarius phase as a means of ameliorating much of the socioeconomic strife world-wide, creating a global sociopolitical climate more amenable to human progress and the advance to concerted space development.¶ Thus we can see how OTEC has the potential to be one of the most significant technologies in the entire 21st century. A world-transforming technology if appropriately and fully implemented in concert with marine colonization. For centuries people have fantasized about living on the sea but there has never truly be an entirely practical reason for that. But with OTEC we have reasons so practical –so vital– they may determine the very survival of human civilization and its ability to expand into space. Page 16 Third, there is no time—we must begin a movement to space Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 18-19) For better or worse, Life has evolved Homo sapiens as the active agent of her purpose. We are the sentient tool-users. Perhaps Life should have bet on the dolphins. But, she put her money on us, and there is no time left for second guesses. Life has endowed us with the power to conquer the galaxy, and our destiny awaits us there, among the powdery star-fields of deep space. Now we must spring from our home planet and carry the living flame into the sterile wastes. It is time to return the gift of Prometheus to the heavens. ¶ To fulfill our cosmic destiny and carry Life to the stars, we must act quickly. The same unleashed powers that enable us to enliven the universe are now, ironically, causing us to destroy the Earth. The longer we delay, the further we may slip into a pit of our own digging. If we wait too long, we will be swept into a world so poisoned by pollution, so overrun by masses of starving people, so stripped of surplus resources, that there will be no chance to ever leave this planet. Thus far, we have failed to use our new powers for the ends they were intended. The result is an accelerating slide toward disaster. ¶ The litany of eco-crisis is numbingly familiar—like a Gregorian chant of doom: the ozone hole, the greenhouse effect, deforestation, desertification, overpopulation. Woe, lamentation, and gnashing of teeth. If you are still aware of the emergency, you must already live on Mars. ¶ The crisis is driven by the exponential explosion of human numbers. A hundred million new people enter the world each year. A new population the size of Iran every five months. Where will all of these new people live? What Will they eat? What prospect for the future do they have? There is no way, short of nuclear war, plague, or famine, to prevent human numbers from doubling. The parents of tomorrow have already been born, and when they bear children of their own, the global population will surge. ¶ Our situation is analogous to yeast in a bottle. The yeast cells will double their number every day until the bottle is full—then they will all die. If the yeast die on the 30th day, then on what day is the bottle half full? The 29th day. We are in the 29th day of our history on Earth. We must do something now, or face extinction. ¶ The obvious answer is to blow the lid off this bottle! We need to rupture the barriers that confine us to the land mass of a single planet. By breaking out, we can assure our survival and the continuation of Life. Fourth, space colonization prevents every future extinction scenario. Huang 5 (Michael Huang, editor of Spaceflight or Extinction, April 11, 2005, “The top three reasons for humans in space,” online:http://www.thespacereview.com/article/352/1) Humankind made it through the 20th century relatively well, but there were close calls: the Cuban Missile Crisis almost began a total war between nuclear-armed superpowers. The 21st century has presented its own distinct challenges. Nuclear and biological weapon technologies are spreading to many nations and groups. Progress in science and technology, while advancing humankind, will also lead to the development of more destructive weapons and possibly other unintended consequences. In addition to these manmade threats, natural threats such as epidemics and impacts from space will continue to be with us. The most valuable part of the universe is life: not only because life is important, but because life appears to be extremely rare. The old saying, “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket”, advises that valuable things should be kept in separate places, in case something bad happens at one of the places. This advice is more familiar to investors in the guise of “diversify area declines disastrously. your portfolio” and “spread your risk”: one should invest in many different areas in case one The same principle applies to the big picture. The most valuable part of the universe is life : not only because life is important, but because life appears to be extremely rare. Life and humankind are presently confined to the Earth (although we have built habitats in Earth orbit and ventured as far as the moon). If we were throughout the solar system, at multiple locations, a disaster at one location would not end everything. If we had the technologies to live in the extreme environments beyond Earth, we would be able to live through the extreme environments of disaster areas and other regions of hardship. Page 17 Advantage 4: Fracking First, fracking is on the rise now—new technologies make it increasingly popular New American, 2014 (Thanks to Fracking, U.S. Will Pass Saudi Arabia In Oil Production, March 12, http://www.thenewamerican.com/tech/energy/item/17834-thanks-to-fracking-u-s-will-pass-saudi-arabia-in-oil-production) Thanks to the success of U.S. oil companies engaged in hydraulic fracturing, or “fracking” — a process used to extract oil trapped in shale formations — the United States will soon pass Saudi Arabia as the world’s largest oil producer. Both Saudi Arabia and the United States passed Russia for the top spot in recent years.¶ The Economist reported on February 15 that U.S. oil production reached a peak of 9.6 million barrels per day (bpd) in 1970, then declined to less than five million bpd in 2008. About that time, independent oil producers began adapting the new technologies of hydraulic fracturing (“fracking”) and horizontal drilling (which had previously been used to tap natural gas found in shale) to reach shale oil. ¶ Since fracking was introduced, U.S. oil production has risen to 7.4 million bpd and the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) predicts that U.S. production will return to 1970 levels by 2019. ¶ The International Energy Agency has issued projections that the United States will displace Saudi Arabia as the world’s largest oil producer by 2015. By 2020, notes a report in Investing Daily, the United States will produce 11.6 million barrels a day. During the same period, Saudi Arabia’s output is expected to fall from 11.7 million bpd to 10.6 million bpd.¶ In “America’s Energy Edge,” an essay in the March/April issue of Foreign Affairs (the journal of the Council on Foreign Relations), Robert D. Blackwiil and Meghan L. O’Sullivan noted that during the past five years U.S. energy producers have taken advantage of two new technologies: “horizontal drilling, which allows wells to penetrate bands of shale deep underground, and hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, which uses the injection of high-pressure fluid to release gas and oil from rock formations.” Second, the plan trades off with hydraulic fracturing—removes financial incentives. Frome Standard, 2013 (“Business case for fracking is hardly worth the energy,” The Frome Standard (UK), August 29, http://www.fromestandard.co.uk/Business-case-fracking-hardly-worth-energy/story-19723468-detail/story.html) the current media hype, especially the broadcasting media about fracking, all lambasting the protesters, glibly ignoring the reasons why there is this government's mad panic dash for a finite fossil fuel and 19th and 20th-century technology.¶ ¶ It being we are all in this last-minute panic to stop the lights going out, to use a well-worn media phase, because of lack of foresight of previous governments with the standard short-term planning, and not funding research and development into such renewables as "Osmosis" Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion or "Vortex" among other systems from the waves, plus wind and solar – 21st-century technology.¶ ¶ If they had we would be way ahead now and be independent of being held to ransom by overseas suppliers and having to go to war to gain access to finite fossil fuels or future damaging our environment, the Europeans are getting on with it.¶ ¶ The public who aren't familiar with the technology and history of such energy producing systems are being led further astray by the pro-fracking media, with claims that in the US fracking is bringing the prices of energy down and preventing the more polluting coal burning systems being used. ¶ For example Third, that’s good—fracking causes species loss Center for Biological Biodiversity 2014 (“Fracking threatens America’s Air, Water, and Climate”) http://www.biologicaldiversity.org/campaigns/fracking/index.html Fracking comes with intense industrial development, including multi-well pads and massive truck traffic. That’s because, unlike a pool of oil that can be accessed by a single well, shale formations are typically fractured in many places to extract fossil fuels. This requires multiple routes for trucks, adding more pollution to the air and more disturbance of wildlife habitat. Fish die when fracking fluid contaminates streams and rivers. Birds are poisoned by chemicals in wastewater ponds. And Page 18 the intense industrial development that accompanies fracking pushes imperiled animals out of the wild areas they need to survive. In California, for example, more than 100 endangered and threatened species, including the San Joaquin kit fox and California condor, live in the counties where fracking is set to expand Fourth, species loss causes extinction. Diner, 94 (David, Ph.D., Planetary Science and Geology, "The Army and the Endangered Species Act: Who's Endangering Whom?," Military Law Review, 143 Mil. L. Rev. 161) To accept that the snail darter, harelip sucker, or Dismal Swamp southeastern shrew 74 could save [hu]mankind may be difficult for some. Many, if not most, species are useless to[hu]man[s] in a direct utilitarian sense. Nonetheless, they may be critical in an indirect role, because their extirpations could affect a directly useful species negatively . In a closely interconnected ecosystem, the loss of a species affects other species dependent on it. 75 Moreover, as the number of species decline, the effect of each new extinction on the remaining species increases dramatically. 4. Biological Diversity. -- The main premise of species preservation is that diversity is better than simplicity. 77 As the current mass extinction has progressed, the world's biological diversity generally has decreased. This trend occurs within ecosystems by reducing the number of species, and within species by reducing the number of individuals. Both trends carry serious future implications. 78 [*173] Biologically diverse ecosystems are characterized by a large number of specialist species, filling narrow ecological niches. These ecosystems inherently are more stable than less diverse systems. "The more complex the ecosystem, the more successfully it can resist a stress. . . . [l]ike a net, in which each knot is connected to others by several strands, such a fabric can resist collapse better than a simple, unbranched circle of threads -- which if cut anywhere breaks down as a whole." 79 By causing widespread extinctions, humans have artificially simplified many ecosystems. As biologic simplicity increases, so does the risk of ecosystem failure. The spreading Sahara Desert in Africa, and the dustbowl conditions of the 1930s in the United States are relatively mild examples of what might be expected if this trend continues. Theoretically, each new animal or plant extinction, with all its dimly perceived and intertwined affects, could cause total ecosystem collapse and human extinction . Each new extinction increases the risk of disaster. Like a mechanic removing, one by one, the rivets from an aircraft's wings, 80 [hu]mankind may be edging closer to the abyss. Page 19 Extensions Page 20 Ob 1: Inherency Page 21 Energy Demand is Growing Demand for ocean renewables is growing Griset, 2011 (Todd J., associate at Preti Flaherty’s Energy and Telecommunications group, where he represents renewable energy firms, “Harnessing the Ocean’s Power: Opportunities in Renewable Ocean Energy Resources,” Ocean and Coastal Law Journal 16 [2011]: 395, l/n) Oil and natural gas are not the only energy resources held by our oceans; the Earth's oceans contain vast stores of energy, much of which can be harnessed to create usable power in the form of electricity. Beyond these hydrocarbon mineral resources, the ocean offers great potential for the extraction of renewable energy. Analyses of the renewable energy generation potential of the oceans suggest harnessable energy far in excess of global electricity demands. Moreover, it is estimated that more than half of the population of the United States lives near or on the coast. n3 This fact of geography and demography points to the great potential for using ocean energy resources to provide useful power to society. As the United States moves toward an increased reliance on lower-carbon fuels and the production of renewable energy, demand for renewable ocean energy resources is growing. These resources include the generation of electricity from offshore wind, tides, currents and waves, as well as capturing usable power from ocean thermal energy gradients. Page 22 Fossil Fuels Now Despite an abundance of ocean energy resources, the US remains locked into fossil fuels Griset, 2011 (Todd J., associate at Preti Flaherty’s Energy and Telecommunications group, where he represents renewable energy firms, “Harnessing the Ocean’s Power: Opportunities in Renewable Ocean Energy Resources,” Ocean and Coastal Law Journal 16 [2011]: 395, l/n) Energy is a major industry in the United States, with over one third of total energy consumption taking the form of electric power. n4 The United States generates a significant amount of electricity. n5 In 2009, net generation totaled 3,950 million megawatt-hours (MWh). n6 Currently, the United States electric power industry generates the majority of its electricity from fuels. n7 In 2009, 44.5 percent of the United States' electric power industry's net generation came from coal, with another 23.3 percent coming from natural gas. n8 Nuclear power provided 20.2 percent of 2009's net generation. n9¶ [*398] By contrast, renewable generation made up just 10.6 percent of net United States power generation in 2009. n10 This thermal power plants relying on fossil fraction was composed primarily of riverine hydroelectric generation (accounting for 6.9 percent of net United States power generation), land-based wind (1.9 percent), and biomass (0.9 percent). n11 The renewable component of electricity generation has risen significantly in recent years, particularly from new sources other than hydroelectricity; since 1998, the share of generation coming from non-hydro renewables has increased 86.6 percent. n12 Thanks to the value of renewable generation, policies favoring the diversification of energy sources as well as state legislative mandates to reduce emissions of carbon dioxide and other combustion byproducts from the electric power industry, this growth of the renewable power sector is predicted to continue; for example, looking at terrestrial wind alone, an additional 11,560 megawatts of nameplate capacity is reported as being planned for the period 2010-2014. n13¶ Distilled to their essence, all ocean energy resources represent systems from which humans have identified extractable energy. In all cases, this energy is stored within one or more of the oceans' dynamic systems such as marine winds, currents, tides, and temperature gradients. Yet looking deeper, ocean energy resources are not monolithic in nature. The array of physical and natural systems that comprise the Earth's oceans contains harnessable energy in a variety of formats. These include mechanical energy stored in moving air (ocean wind) and moving water (marine hydrokinetic), as well as thermal energy stored in the waters as heat. For winds, some currents, and temperature gradients, the ultimate source of this energy is the Sun; for tidal power, the Moon's gravitational pull provides the energy input. n14 Each of these resource types is treated below in turn. Page 23 Legal Regs Stop OTEC Now Patchwork legal regulations make offshore renewables expensive, prevent development Griset, 2011 (Todd J., associate at Preti Flaherty’s Energy and Telecommunications group, where he represents renewable energy firms, “Harnessing the Ocean’s Power: Opportunities in Renewable Ocean Energy Resources,” Ocean and Coastal Law Journal 16 [2011]: 395, l/n) A developer of an offshore renewable energy project faces a relatively complex patchwork of legal regimes. Although this regulatory structure has recently been partially clarified and streamlined, the determination of which substantive and procedural regulations apply remains dependent on where the project will be located. Even after this regulatory reform, the complexity of the regulatory regimes applicable to renewable energy projects may not prove optimal for the cost-effective development of such resources. 3 barriers to OTEC: up-front capital, regulatory uncertainty, technological risk Griset, 2011 (Todd J., associate at Preti Flaherty’s Energy and Telecommunications group, where he represents renewable energy firms, “Harnessing the Ocean’s Power: Opportunities in Renewable Ocean Energy Resources,” Ocean and Coastal Law Journal 16 [2011]: 395, l/n) Interest in OTEC in the late 1970s resulted in the enactment on August 3, 1980, of the Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion Act of 1980 (OTEC Act). n184 Shortly after the enactment of the OTEC Act, NOAA promulgated proposed regulations to implement the OTEC Act, n185 and published final regulations in July 1981. n186 While these regulations were designed to attract investment in and development of OTEC projects, OTEC's technological and financial challenges resulted in minimal activity under NOAA's regulations. Indeed, fifteen years after their publication, NOAA had not received any applications for licenses of commercial OTEC facilities or plantships. n187 NOAA characterized its activity under the OTEC Act as merely "a low level" n188 and "limited to responding to occasional requests for OTEC related technical and regulatory information." n189 To explain this unexpected lack of interest in developing our OTEC resources, NOAA pointed to "the availability and relatively low price of fossil fuels, coupled with the risks to potential investors" as having "limited the interest in the commercial development of OTEC projects." n190 Following President Clinton's March 1995 Regulatory Reform Initiative, which directed all agencies to undertake an [*427] exhaustive review of their regulations and to eliminate those which were obsolete or otherwise in need of reform, NOAA withdrew its Part 981 regulations altogether. n191 While NOAA's Office of Ocean and Coastal Resource Management remains responsible for licensing OTEC projects pursuant to the OTEC Act, NOAA intends to rebuild its OTEC licensing capacity when commercial interest in the technology returns as oil prices increase again. n192¶ Because OTEC projects are highly capital-intensive, the economics of commercial OTEC projects has been called the "main question" associated with the commercialization of OTEC technologies. n193 In 1985, capital cost estimates for even small OTEC plants, sized between 10 megawatts and 200 megawatts, ranged from $ 150 million to as high as $ 1 billion (in 1985 dollars), far higher than conventional resources on a cost per unit power basis. n194 Compounding the financial challenges of an OTEC project is the fact that OTEC is still considered a risky technology when compared to more established electricity generation technologies such as natural gas combined cycle projects or coal gasification, both in terms of technological capabilities and regulatory regimes. n195 Regulatory certainty is viewed as essential for projects to secure financing; to lend or invest capital, bankers must have some degree of certainty that their investment will be secure against production interruptions due to legal interference. n196 While the OTEC Act did clarify that NOAA-licensed project developers have certain rights, including the right not to have adjacent projects interfere with their power production, the fact remains that commercial-scale OTEC has not yet gained the widespread confidence of investors. Current regulations create uncertainty, chilling ocean renewable projects Griset, 2011 (Todd J., associate at Preti Flaherty’s Energy and Telecommunications group, where he represents renewable energy firms, “Harnessing the Ocean’s Power: Opportunities in Renewable Ocean Energy Resources,” Ocean and Coastal Law Journal 16 [2011]: 395, l/n) Page 24 The history of federal regulation of ocean renewable power projects has involved regulation and assertions of jurisdiction by a wide variety of federal agencies. Depending on the technologies involved in a given project, as well as the proposed location of the project, project developers have been required to seek out a variety of permits from numerous federal agencies. Indeed, federal law governing which agencies may issue permits for ocean renewable energy projects has been variable and inconsistent over time. This has led to regulatory uncertainty, which in turn has imposed increased costs, a decreased ability of project developers to secure project financing, and an overall chilling effect on the development of the nation's marine renewable power resources. While the current regulatory status quo is more favorable to project development than previous regimes were, federal regulation of renewable ocean energy production continues to lack a holistic regulatory scheme. Despite regulatory reforms, OTEC lisences have stalled. Griset, 2011 (Todd J., associate at Preti Flaherty’s Energy and Telecommunications group, where he represents renewable energy firms, “Harnessing the Ocean’s Power: Opportunities in Renewable Ocean Energy Resources,” Ocean and Coastal Law Journal 16 [2011]: 395, l/n) These regulatory reforms did little to affect OTEC, which remains subject to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) licensure pursuant to the Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion Act of 1980 (OTEC Act). n113 The OTEC Act was enacted both to "establish a legal regime which will permit and encourage the development of ocean thermal energy conversion as a commercial energy technology" n114 and to:¶ [A]uthorize and regulate the construction, location, ownership, and operation of ocean thermal energy conversion facilities connected to the United States by pipeline or cable, or located in whole or in part between the highwater mark and the seaward boundary of the territorial sea of the United States consistent with the Convention on the High Seas, and general principles of international law. n115¶ [*414] Under the OTEC Act, the NOAA Administrator is authorized to issue licenses to United States citizens for the ownership, construction, and operation of an ocean thermal energy conversion facility or plantship. n116 The OTEC Act designates NOAA as a one-stop shop for OTEC licensure:¶ An application filed with the Administrator shall constitute an application for all Federal authorizations required for ownership, construction, and operation of an ocean thermal energy conversion facility or plantship, except for authorizations required by documentation, inspection, certification, construction, and manning laws and regulations administered by the Secretary of the department in which the Coast Guard is operating. n117¶ Procedurally, license issuance, transfers, or renewals may only be granted by the NOAA Administrator after public notice, opportunity for comment, and public hearings both in the District of Columbia and in any adjacent coastal state to which a facility is proposed to be directly connected. n118 To reduce regulatory costs and ensure a timely review of applications, the OTEC Act provides that "[a]ll public hearings on applications with respect to ocean thermal energy conversion plantships shall be concluded no later than 240 days after notice of the application has been published." n119¶ Following the OTEC Act, NOAA attempted to create a friendly regulatory environment for project proposals. NOAA promulgated proposed regulations to implement the OTEC Act, and published final regulations in July 1981. n120 A lack of applications or other regulatory activity under NOAA's regulations led to the agency's ultimate withdrawal of the regulatory provisions, as is discussed further herein. Page 25 Now k/ time Now is the key time for OTEC—gas prices, climate change, and water scarcity have created conditions ripe for tech development Marti et al., 2010 (Jose, president, Offshore Infrastructure Assoc., Manuel A.J. Laboy, VP and Dir. of Offshore Infrastructure Assoc., and Orlando Ruiz, Asst. Prof @ U of Puerto Rico, Commercial Implementation Of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion, “Commercial Implementation Of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” Sea Technology Magazine, p. http://www.sea-technology.com/features/2010/0410/thermal_energy_conversion.html) What Happened?¶ At one point, the U.S. federal government contemplated building several 40megawatt-electrical OTEC plants as commercial demonstration units. Proposals were submitted, but, despite this extensive work, OTEC was not implemented. A major reason was that government funding for the larger plants never materialized. During the 1980s, federal energy funding tended to favor nuclear energy and shifted away from renewable energy. However, there was a general loss of interest in OTEC in other countries as well, largely due to the fact that after the energy crisis of the 1970s, oil supplies stabilized. Eventually a production glut caused prices to drop to unprecedented lows, with the average cost per barrel of imported oil reaching $11.18 in 1998. ¶ In addition, during this period there was a general lack of awareness about the potential effects of fossil fuel combustion on climate at a global level. These events conspired to make renewable energy in general, and OTEC in particular, become less attractive. ¶ Why Now?¶ Recent world events have created a new interest in OTEC. price of oil has increased vertiginously, reaching as high as $148 per barrel in 2008. There are also serious concerns about the stability of oil production in conflictive areas such as the Middle East First of all, the and the possibility of world oil production peaking, which some commentators believe began in the period between 2000 and 2010. History shows that increases in the cost of oil invariably result in increases in demand for and cost of other fuels such as coal and natural gas. ¶ More importantly, there is now a general awareness about the potential contribution to global warming caused by greenhouse gas emissions from combustion of fuels (from renewable or nonrenewable sources). Both the United States and the European Union have seriously discussed the imposition of taxes on greenhouse gas emissions. ¶ Another significant issue is the “energy-water nexus” created by conventional power facilities like coal and nuclear: To produce energy, large quantities of water are required, and to produce and distribute water, large quantities of energy are required. OTEC is the only technology for baseload power generation that not only does not consume water, but can also be used to produce potable water. ¶ All of these factors have revived interest in OTEC. For the first time, the high cost of oil and its volatility and fluctuations in the world market, together with concern about the environmental effects of fossil fuels, have created conditions that can make OTEC plants commercially viable without the need for government subsidies. As we run low on petroleum it would be a good idea to switch to OTEC Vega 12, (Luis A. Hawaii Natural Energy Institute, School of Ocean And Earth Science And Technology, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, USA)"Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion." N.p., Aug. 2012. Web. 14 July 2014. http://hinmrec.hnei.hawaii.edu/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/OTEC-Summary-Aug-2012.pdf) At first, OTEC plantships providing electricity, via submarine power cables, to shore stations could be implemented. This would be followed, in 20 to 30 years, with OTEC factories deployed along equatorial waters producing energyintensive products, like ammonia and hydrogen as the fuels that would support the post– fossil fuel era [2]. Apparently, there are sufficient petroleum resources (≈1400 billion barrels) to meet worldwide current demand (>30 billion barrels/year) for almost 50 years. Production, however, is peaking and humanity will face a steadily diminishing petroleum supply and higher demand due to emerging economies like China, India, and Brazil. Coal and natural gas resources 7296 O Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion could meet current worldwide demand for 100 to 120 years, respectively. It seems sensible toconsider OTEC as one of the renewable energy technologies of the future. Page 26 Page 27 No OTEC Now No support for OTEC now Friedman 14 (Becca, Harvard Ocean Energy Council member, “examining the future of ocean thermal energy conversion” http://www.oceanenergycouncil.com/examining-future-ocean-thermal-energy-conversion/) experts in oceanic energy contend that the technology to provide a truly infinite source of power to the United States already exists in the form of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC). Despite enthusiastic projections and promising prototypes, however, a lack of governmental support and the need for risky capital investment have stalled OTEC in its research and development phase. Although it may seem like an environmentalist’s fantasy, OTEC has been on the radar since the 80s but no support Friedman 14 (Becca, Harvard Ocean Energy Council member, “examining the future of ocean thermal energy conversion” http://www.oceanenergycouncil.com/examining-future-ocean-thermal-energy-conversion/) Despite the sound science, a fully functioning OTEC prototype has yet to be developed. The high costs of building even a model pose the main barrier. Although piecemeal experiments have proven the effectiveness of the individual components, a large-scale plant has never been built. Luis Vega of the Pacific International Center for High Technology Research estimated in an OTEC summary presentation that a commercial-size five-megawatt OTEC plant could cost from According to Terry Penney, the Technology Manager at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, the combination of cost and risk is OTEC’s main liability. “We’ve talked to inventors and other constituents over the years, and it’s still a matter of huge capital investment and a huge risk, and there are many [alternate forms of energy] that are less risky 80 to 100 million dollars over five years. that could produce power with the same certainty,” Penney told the HPR. Moreover, OTEC is highly vulnerable to the elements in the marine environment. Big storms or a hurricane like Katrina could completely disrupt energy production by mangling the OTEC plants. Were a country completely dependent on oceanic energy, severe weather could be debilitating. In addition, there is a risk that the salt water surrounding an OTEC plant would cause the machinery to “rust or corrode” or “fill up with seaweed or mud,” according to a National Renewable Energy Laboratory spokesman. Even environmentalists have impeded OTEC’s development. According to Penney, people do not want to see OTEC plants when they look at the ocean. When they see a disruption of the Given the risks, costs, and uncertain popularity of OTEC, it seems unlikely that federal support for OTEC is forthcoming. Jim Anderson, co-founder of Sea Solar Power Inc., a company specializing in OTEC technology, told the HPR, “Years ago in the ’80s, there was a small [governmental] program for OTEC and it was abandoned…That philosophy has carried forth to this day. There are a few people in the Department of Energy who have blocked government funding for this. It’s not the Democrats, not the Republicans. It’s a bureaucratic issue.” OTEC is not completely off the government’s radar, however. This past year, for the first time in a decade, Congress debated reviving the oceanic energy program in the energy bill, although the pristine marine landscape, they think pollution. proposal was ultimately defeated. OTEC even enjoys some support on a state level. Hawaii ’s National Energy Laboratory, for example, conducts OTEC research around the islands. For now, though, American interests in OTEC promise to remain largely academic. The Naval Research Academy and Oregon State University are conducting research programs off the coasts of Oahu and Oregon , respectively. Page 28 No Gov Funding Now Lack of government funding has stalled OTEC development Friedman 2014 (Becca, Ocean Energy Council, “EXAMINING THE FUTURE OF OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION”, March) http://www.oceanenergycouncil.com/examining-future-ocean-thermal-energy-conversion/ Although it may seem like an environmentalist’s fantasy, experts in oceanic energy contend that the technology to provide a truly infinite source of power to the United States already exists in the form of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC). Despite enthusiastic projections and promising prototypes, however, a lack of governmental support and the need for risky capital investment have stalled OTEC in its research and development phase.¶ Regardless, oceanic energy experts have high hopes. Dr. Joseph Huang, Senior Scientist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and former leader of a Department of Energy team on oceanic energy, told the HPR, “If we can use one percent of the energy [generated by OTEC] for electricity and other things, the potential is so big. It is more than 100 to 1000 times more than the current consumption of worldwide energy. The potential is huge. There is not any other renewable energy that can compare with OTEC.” Page 29 Ob 2: Solvency Page 30 OTEC Solves Energy Demand OTEC will provide power for 3 billion people—hundreds of perspective sites Websdale, 2014 (Emma, environmental journalist and senior communication specialist at Ocean Thermal Energy Corporation, “5 Reasons Why Hundreds of People Think OTEC Is a Smart Investment,” Empower the Ocean, January 27, http://empowertheocean.com/otec-a-smart-investment/) Globally, over a hundred countries and territories in the tropics and subtropics have been identified as having conditions favorable for potential OTEC facilities. With many of these areas offering multiple locations to install OTEC plants, there are hundreds of prospective OTEC sites in the tropics and sub-tropics, where approximately 3 billion people live. OTEC’s global capacity is reflected by data from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) of the United States Department of Energy (DOE), which lists at least 68 countries and 29 territories as potential candidates for OTEC plants. Furthermore, a study performed by Dunbar identified 98 territories with access to the OTEC thermal resource (a temperature differential between warm surface water and deep cold ocean water of at least 20°C), making both floating and land-based plants possible in vast areas of the globe. OTEC solves energy dependence, small scale generators prove Hawkes 2011 (Head Researcher at NOC, National Oceanography Centre, “Science At Sea, Improving the World; PollutionFree Power Multiple Benefits”) https://noc.ac.uk/people/jah1g09 The seas are ripe for power generation when the water at the surface is at least 36 degrees warmer than the icy depths. Scientists have known this about ocean water for at least 100 years and given the process a name: ocean thermal energy conversion, or OTEC.¶ Although small-scale ocean thermal generators have shown that the concept works, the world has yet to see a commercially viable plant. Feakins is out to change that. ¶ Feakins, 57, has rounded up investors who believe the prospect of higher oil prices and a growing demand for clean energy is finally making OTEC financially feasible. They founded Ocean Thermal Energy Corporation, bought a controlling interest in a Honolulu-based engineering company developing OTEC technology and landed an order to build a plant on a Caribbean island, the name of which Feakins declined to disclose. A $100 million financial package is in place, and Feakins expects the contract to be inked in coming weeks. ¶ "They want to wean themselves off fossil fuels," he said of the island's power utility. "As the Minister of Energy said to me, 'I want to release my nation from the tyranny of oil.'"¶ If Feakins has made the right call and OTE Corp., headquartered at 800 S. Queen St., achieves the growth he is projecting, then landlocked Lancaster might someday become synonymous with ocean thermal energy conversion, proof positive that some things are beyond prediction. The plan is better than other renewables—consistent OTEC baseloads are better than intermittent renewables Websdale, 2014 (Emma, environmental journalist and senior communication specialist at Ocean Thermal Energy Corporation, “5 Reasons Why Hundreds of People Think OTEC Is a Smart Investment,” Empower the Ocean, January 27, http://empowertheocean.com/otec-a-smart-investment/) Due to the unlimited availability of the ocean’s thermal resource –the fuel that powers OTEC – this technology is built to produce clean energy 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. For as long as the sun heats our oceans surface waters every day, OTEC will generate baseload (24/7) clean energy providing a great advantage over intermittent (albeit important) renewable technologies such as solar and wind.OTEC also can shrug off the storage problems that are often associated with clean energy. Due to its ability to produce a range of secondary services, the surplus energy generated by an OTEC plant can be diverted to power desalination plants (removing salt and other minerals to produce drinking water). This flexibility ensures that OTEC-produced energy never goes to waste. It also makes OTEC more dependable as an investment and means greater financial returns for investors, as OTEC’s clean energy and fresh water are in constant supply. Page 31 OTEC could satisfy the worldwide demand for energy Dworksy, 2006 (Rick, environmental conservationalist, and government advisor, “A Warm Bath of Energy: Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” Energy Bulletin, June 5, p. http://www.resilience.org/stories/2006-06-05/warm-bath-energy-ocean-thermalenergy-conversion) Indeed, the Earth has an enormous natural solar collector - the tropical oceans. "On an average day, 60 million square kilometers (23 million square miles) of tropical seas absorb an amount of solar radiation equal in heat content to about 250 billion barrels of oil." [1] Energy "equivalent to at least 4000 times the amount presently consumed by humans." [2] If we can tap into this renewable source, considering thermodynamics and entropy, approximately 1% of it could provide the entire current worldwide demand for energy. More than enough energy is available, we only need a way to get it - in a practical, costeffective, ecologically safe and sustainable way.¶ Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) is a technology that can extract useful work from solar energy stored in the sea. Since the sea IS the energy storage medium, OTEC offers 'always on' baseline supply -- during bright clear days and dark nights, in still air and ferocious wind storms -- without the expense and complications of artificial energy storage systems.¶ In 1881, eleven years after Verne -- 125 years ago -- Jacques Arsene d'Arsonval, a French physicist, conceived OTEC. It operates on the temperature differences between warm surface and cold deep waters - using a heat engine built for the purpose. Wherever a 20 degree Centigrade (36 degree Fahrenheit) difference or greater is readily obtainable between warm surface and cold deep waters, the process can be put to work. In 'Open Cycle' systems, lowering the pressure above warm water turns it into a vapor, effectively 'steam', which runs a turbine before it is recondensed by cold water. In 'Closed Cycle' systems and hybrids, the water heats and cools - vaporizes and recondenses - an intermediary fluid/gas that powers a turbine within a closed sub-system, which enables much larger energy outputs. Basic heat engine physics. The concept, at least, for OTEC had arrived. But the idea preceded the materials technology and manufacturing methods required to make it, and further, make it competitive with fossil fuels.¶ In 1930 Georges Claude, d'Arsonval's student, built the first experimental OTEC system in Cuba. It produced a gross output of 22 kilowatts (kW) of electricity. Five years later he built a floating OTEC generator in Brazil. Both of these pioneering efforts were destroyed by weather and high seas. High capital investment costs and cheap fossil fuels prevented the further development of OTEC until fairly recently. In 1979, off the coast of Hawai'i, a tiny OTEC generator produced, for the first time, a net output - of 18 kW. A system efficient enough to meet the power requirements of its pumping systems and provide additional useable energy had been created. A plant which continuously produced more than 50 kW soon followed. Marine hydropower is abundant—increases U.S. power output by 50% Griset, 2011 (Todd J., associate at Preti Flaherty’s Energy and Telecommunications group, where he represents renewable energy firms, “Harnessing the Ocean’s Power: Opportunities in Renewable Ocean Energy Resources,” Ocean and Coastal Law Journal 16 [2011]: 395, l/n) While offshore wind projects capture energy from winds located over the ocean's waters, marine hydrokinetic technologies capture energy from moving water itself. United States offshore hydrokinetic energy resources have the potential to provide a significant amount of power. These resources include the harnessable power of ocean currents, tides, and waves.¶ Tidal and marine current power projects use the mechanical energy of moving water to generate electricity. n35 Because water is approximately 835 times denser than air, a given flow of water contains a great deal more energy than the same volume of air flowing at the same speed. Humans have long recognized the power of tides to perform useful work; as early as AD 1066, tidal energy was used mechanically to power grist mills in England. n36 This technology crossed the Atlantic shortly after European colonists; by 1640, Captain William Traske had developed a "tyde mill" near the mouth of the North River in Salem, Massachusetts to grind corn. n37 These historical tidal projects generally incorporated moving gates that allowed water to flow in during high tides; after the tide dropped, the impounded water was allowed to flow [*402] out through a water wheel or similar device to convert the power to usable mechanical energy. n38¶ Similar to conventional hydroelectric dams, modern barrage-based tidal projects rely on an improved version of the ancient tide mill technology, impounding water at high tide behind a barrage or dam and allowing it to flow through turbines to generate electricity. n39 For example, the Rance Tidal Power Plant was constructed in France in 1966 and has a generating capacity of 240 megawatts. n40 In North America, the Annapolis Royal Generating Station--built by then-Crown corporation Nova Scotia Power Corporation in the Bay of Fundy in the Province of Nova Scotia, Canada, in 1984--has 20 megawatts of installed capacity. Despite the proven success of such technologies, barrage-based tidal projects have not been widely developed, partly because barrages affect other uses of coastal areas such as navigation, fisheries, and habitat for wildlife.¶ Other tidal energy projects do not use dams, but instead use other technology to convert the mechanical energy of moving water into electrical energy. n41 Tidal in-stream energy conversion devices generate power without impoundments, generally with blades similar to windmills or revolving doors. n42 A preliminary evaluation of the potential tidal in-stream generation capacity in only part of the nation's coastlines suggests an average annual power potential of at least 1,600 Page 32 megawatts. n43 In-stream tidal energy conversion has great potential, but is not widely deployed in the United States; indeed, commercial-scale projects do not exist. In 2010, Maine-based Ocean Renewable Power Company installed a 60 kilowatt tidal turbine in Cobscook Bay to provide power for a United States Coast Guard search and rescue boat. n44 As of February 2011, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) had issued [*403] twenty-six preliminary permits for tidal hydrokinetic projects with a total projected capacity of approximately 2,292 megawatts. n45¶ Marine currents similarly contain harnessable power. Through technology akin to tidal in-stream energy conversion, the kinetic energy of water flowing in a current can be used to generate electricity. The total worldwide power embodied in ocean currents is estimated to be about 5,000 gigawatts, n46 with perhaps 70 gigawatts of potential capacity in the United States. n47¶ In addition to the energy embodied in water flowing due to tides and currents, power can be extracted from moving water in the form of waves . Looking strictly at coastal regions with a mean wave power density greater than 10 kilowatts per meter, the United States may have a total wave power flux of 2,100 terawatt-hours per year. n48 This figure is more than half of the entire United States electric power industry's recent annual generation. n49 Unfortunately, practical considerations significantly limit the ability to extract usable power from wave energy. For example, more than half of this estimated total wave power flux falls on the southern coast of Alaska and the Aleutian island chain, areas generally remote from significant load centers. n50 Given current electricity transmission technology and cost, the remoteness of this portion of the nation's wave energy resource makes its commercial-scale development unlikely. Furthermore, wave power devices fall short of 100 percent efficiency. n51 However, extracting just 15 percent of this total flux and converting the power to electricity with an efficiency of 80 percent would yield 252 terawatt-hours per year, about 6 percent of the nation's current electricity consumption. n52 As of February 2011, FERC had issued ten preliminary permits for marine wave hydrokinetic projects [*404] with a total projected capacity of 3,446 megawatts. n53 Although wave energy is an immature technology, the sheer magnitude of energy embodied in waves nevertheless offers great potential as a future electricity resource. OTEC will provide the US with 20X its needed energy Renewable energy institute 14 (“Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion” EcoGeneration Solutions, LLC. http://www.cogeneration.net/ocean_thermal_energy_conversion.htm) oceans cover a little more than 70 percent of the Earth's surface. This makes them [are] the world's largest solar energy collector and energy storage system. On an average day, 60 million square kilometers (23 million square miles) of tropical seas absorb an amount of solar radiation equal in heat content to about 250 billion barrels of oil. If less than one-tenth of one percent of this stored solar energy could be converted into electric power, it would supply more than 20 times the total amount of electricity consumed in the United States on any given day. Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion, or "OTEC," is an energy technology that converts solar radiation to electric power. OTEC systems use the ocean's natural thermal gradient—the fact that the ocean's layers of water have different temperatures—to drive a The power-producing cycle. As long as the temperature between the warm surface water and the cold deep water differs by about 20°C (36°F), an OTEC system can produce a significant amount of power. The oceans are thus a vast renewable resource, with the potential to help us produce billions of watts of electric power. This potential is estimated to be about 1013 watts of baseload power generation, according to some experts. The cold, deep seawater used in the OTEC process is also rich in nutrients, and it can be used to culture both marine organisms and plant life near the shore or on land. OTEC alone can meet the world’s energy demand Hossain 13 (Hossain, A et. Al. “Ocean thermal energy conversion: The promise of a clean future” Inst. of Technol., Univ. Teknol. Malaysia (UTM) http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpls/icp.jsp?arnumber=6775593) it is obvious that in this 21 st century the conventional resources of energy such as oil, coal and uranium become unreliable. The obvious alternative energy sources such as wind, solar and geothermal power are considerable solutions to this problem. However in comparison to all these alternatives, ocean thermal energy is highly abundant, very stable and easily applicable in many industrial fields. Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) is a marine renewable energy technology utilizing the temperature difference between deep cold ocean water and warm ocean surface water and generates electricity. Fig. 1 illustrates the global primary sources of energy in perspectives [1]. It is clear from Fig. 1, OTEC alone can Considering the growing world population and environmental problems, Page 33 meet the world energy demand, as observed from the world energy used in the year 2010. According to L.A. Vega (2003), the amount of solar energy absorbed by the oceans in a year is equivalent to at least 4000 times the amount currently consumed on earth. For an OTEC efficiency of 3 %, in converting ocean thermal energy to electricity, we would need less than 1 % of this. OTEC is key to solving energy dependence Kubota 2011 (reporter for The Honolulu Star-Adviser, “State seeks input on wind energy plan” http://www.staradvertiser.com/news/20110131_State_seeks_input_on_wind_energy_plan.html?id=114919504 Jan. 31--State and federal officials are holding public meetings starting tomorrow on an environmental study of the proposed The project could cost $1 billion, officials environmental group Life of the Land said government officials should be looking instead at generating electricity through ocean thermal energy conversion. ¶ "OTEC would transmission of wind energy from Maui County to Oahu by undersea cable. estimate.¶ But the cost less ," said Henry Curtis, executive director of Life of the Land.¶ The study, funded with up to $2.9 million in federal stimulus money, is intended to help the state meet its 2030 goal of providing 40 percent of its net electricity sales through locally generated renewable energy.¶ The plan is to have wind energy provide up to 400 megawatts of electricity via undersea cable.¶ State official Allen Kam said wind energy transmitted by undersea cable is one of a variety of options using alternative energy technologies to meet the state's renewable-energy goal.¶ He said preliminary studies show Maui County has "world-class winds."¶ "The wind is strong, steady ... and pretty much always on," said Kam, a manager with the Hawaii Interisland Renewable Energy Program, part of the state Department of Business, Economic Development and Tourism.¶ OTEC tops wind and solar.¶ OTEC uses the temperature differential between cold, deep seawater with warm surface water to generate power through the transfer of heat. In the 1980s and 1990s, an experimental plant at Keahole Point on the Big Island accessed Curtis, however, said that in terms of reliability, deep water just offshore through a pipe, but the project was dropped because it was too costly compared to cheap oil. OTEC is the world’s new energy Nikkei, 11/06/2010 (The Nikkei Weekly, “Ocean thermal energy conversion”) http://www.xenesys.com/english/press_release/2010.html OTEC technology exploits the difference in temperature between shallow and deep ocean waters to generate electricity. ¶ During the oil crisis years of the 1970s OTEC was the subject of much research in Japan and the West, but interest waned from the 1990s. One place where research continued was Saga University, and a pivotal event occurred in 1994 when former Prof. Haruo Uehara developed what came to be known as the Uehara Cycle using ammonia steam. That set the stage for Saga University today to operate an actual pilot plant. ¶ The energy of the ocean can be tapped in other ways to generate electricity. Examples include wave power, tidal power generation using the temperature differences of ocean water is the nearest to practical application. Research in this field is also being carried out in the West, and now India and other countries of Asia also have begun technology development. power and differences in ocean salinity. But OTEC is extremely efficient and also continuous Kempenar & Neumann ’14 (Ruud, postdoctoral research fellow in the Belfer Center's Energy Research, Development, Demonstration & Deployment, Frank, IMIEU Director Institute for Infrastructure, Environment and Innovation, June 2014, “OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY BRIEF”, http://www.irena.org/DocumentDownloads/Publications/Ocean_Thermal_Energy_V4_web.pdf) This small temperature difference is converted into usable electrical power through heat exchangers and turbines. First, through a heat exchanger or a flash evaporator (in the case of an open cycle turbine) warm seawater is used to create a vapour pressure as a working fluid. The vapour subsequently drives a turbine-generator producing electricity. At the outlet of the turbine, the working fluid vapour is cooled and condensed back into liquid by colder ocean water brought up from the depth. Again, a heat exchanger is used for this process. The temperature difference, before and after the turbine, is needed to create a difference in vapour pressure in the turbine. The cold seawater used for condensation cooling is pumped up from below and can also be used for air-conditioning purposes or to produce fresh drinking water (through condensation). The auxiliary power required for the pumps is provided by the gross power output of the OTEC power generating system. The advantages of OTEC include being Page 34 able to provide electricity on a continuous (non-intermittent) basis, while also providing cooling without electricity consumption. The capacity factor of OTEC plants is around 90%95%, one of the highest for all power generation technologies. Although the efficiency of the Carnot cycle is very low (maximum 7%), this does not impact on the feasibility of OTEC as the fuel is ‘free’. The energy losses due to pumping are around 20%-30%. The mechanics of OTEC allow it to produce an abundance of energy Mero & Rafferty 14 John Lawrence John P. , July, 12, 20 (John Lawrence Mero is the president of Ocean Resources Inc.,La Jolla, California and also is the author of The Mineral Resources of the Sea. John P. Rafferty is the associate editor for Earth and Life Sciences- he received his PhD In geography from the University of Illinois and also holds an M.S. in environmental science and policy from the University of Wisconsin and B.S. in environmental science from St. Norbert College. He served previously as a professor in the biology department of Lewis University, where he taught courses in organismal biology, environmental science, ecology, and earth science. He has also held teaching positions at Roosevelt University and the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.) Britannica Academic Edition; http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/424415/ocean-thermal-energy-conversion-OTEC/ ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC), form of energy conversion that makes use of the temperature differential between the warm surface waters of the oceans, heated by solar radiation, and the deeper cold waters to generate power in a conventional heat engine. The difference in temperature between the surface and the lower water layer can be as large as 50 °C (90 °F) over vertical distances of as little as 90 metres (about 300 feet) in some ocean areas. To be economically practical, the temperature differential should be at least 20 °C (36 °F) in the first 1,000 metres (about 3,300 feet) below the surface. In the first decade of the 21st century, the The OTEC concept was first proposed in the early 1880s by the French engineer Jacques-Arsène d’Arsonval. His idea called for a closed-cycle system, a design that has been adapted for most present-day OTEC pilot plants. Such a system employs a secondary working fluid (a refrigerant) such as ammonia. Heat transferred from the warm surface ocean water causes the working fluid to vaporize through a heat exchanger. The vapour then expands under moderate pressures, turning a turbine connected to a generator and thereby producing electricity . Cold seawater pumped up from the ocean depths to a second heat exchanger provides a surface cool enough to cause the vapour to condense. The working fluid remains within the closed system, vaporizing and reliquefying continuously. Some researchers have centred their attention on an open-cycle OTEC system that employs water vapour as the working fluid and dispenses with the use of a refrigerant. In this kind of system, warm surface seawater is partially vaporized as it is injected into a near vacuum. The resultant steam is expanded through a low-pressure steam technology was still considered to be experimental, and thus far no commercial OTEC plants have been constructed. turbogenerator to produce electric power . Cold seawater is used to condense the steam, and a vacuum pump maintains the proper system pressure. Hybrid systems , which combine elements of closed-cycle and open-cycle systems, also exist . In these systems, steam produced by warm water passing through a vacuum chamber is used to vaporize a secondary working fluid that drives a turbine. During the 1970s and ’80s the United States, Japan, and several other countries began experimenting with OTEC systems in an effort to develop a viable source of renewable energy. In 1979 American researchers put into operation the first OTEC plant able to generate usable amounts of electric power—about 15 kilowatts of net power. This unit, called Mini-OTEC, was a closed-cycle system mounted on a U.S. Navy barge a few kilometres off the coast of Hawaii. In 1981–82 Japanese companies tested another experimental closed-cycle OTEC plant. Located in the Pacific island republic of Nauru, this facility produced 35 kilowatts of net power. Since that time researchers have continued developmental work to improve heat exchangers and to devise ways of reducing corrosion of system hardware by seawater. By 1999 the Natural Energy Laboratory of Hawaii Authority (NELHA) had created and tested a 250-kilowatt plant. The prospects for commercial application of OTEC technology seem bright, particularly on islands and in developing countries in the tropical regions where conditions are most favourable for OTEC plant operation. It has been estimated that the tropical ocean waters absorb solar radiation equivalent in heat content to that of about 250 billion barrels of oil each day. Removal of this much heat from the ocean would not significantly alter its temperature, but it would permit the generation of tens of millions of megawatts of electricity on a continuous basis. Beyond the production of clean power, the OTEC process also provides several useful by-products. The delivery of cool water to the surface has been used in air-conditioning systems and in chilled-soil agriculture (which allows for the Page 35 cultivation of temperate-zone plants in tropical environments). Open-cycle and hybrid processes have been used in seawater desalination, and OTEC infrastructure allows access to trace elements present in deep-ocean seawater. In addition, hydrogen can be extracted from water through electrolysis for use in fuel cells. OTEC is a relatively expensive technology, since the construction of costly OTEC plants and infrastructure is necessary before power can be generated. However, once facilities are made operational, it may be possible to generate relatively inexpensive electricity . OTEC creates net energy. Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 33) Most power generating facilities conform to the zero-sum rules. They consume more energy than they produce. A typical nuclear power plant consumes 3000 calories of energy for every 1000 it produces. This is not unlike the thermodynamics of a cow show consumes three pounds of grain for every pound of milk she produces. Unlike conventional power plants, OTECs are net energy producers. An OTEC consumes only 700 calories of energy for every 1000 it produces. ¶ This is a characteristic that OTECs share with most solar powered devices, including green plants. The OTEC consumes no fuel, so the only energy the system requires is that needed to construct and operate it. By virtue of its ability to absorb solar energy, and to use that energy to impose higher states of order on the materials in its environment, the OTEC, like a living plant, is able to operate in defiance of the second law of thermodynamics. Of course, the law is not violated in the broader universe, since the sun is providing the energy, and it is running down, just as the law demands. But it will be a long time before we have to include the fusion engine of the sun in our calculations of local entropy. For the time being, we can consider sunlight as a free good, outside the limits of our earthbound system of energy accounting. Harnessing of OTEC key to solving US energy dependence Hamiltion, 04/19/2010 (Tyler, energy and environmental columnist, “Harnessing the energy in oceans and lakes Oceans a deep well of thermal energy”) http://www.thestar.com/business/tech_news/2010/04/19/hamilton_harnessing_the_energy_in _oceans_and_lakes.html We can harness mechanical energy from moving water, be it the flow of a river or ocean tide, the drop from Niagara Falls, or the up and down motion of ocean waves. It's well understood that oceans, lakes and rivers hold tremendous potential as a renewable energy source. But in addition to mechanical energy, there is also a tremendous amount of thermal energy in our oceans. In fact, when light from the sun hits the Earth, about 80 per cent of this solar energy ends up getting stored in our oceans particularly in the upper layers around the tropics. The idea of tapping into that heat to produce electricity has been around for more than a century. Serbian-American engineer Nikola Tesla proposed the concept in an essay published in 1931, though he wasn't convinced at the time that so-called ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) could ever be practical. Technology and time, however, have a way of surprising us. For the past several decades, researchers have been making incremental improvements to the process. Among them are scientists at advanced technology and defence company Lockheed Martin, who in the 1970s built a small OTEC system that ran for several months and generated enough electricity to power 20 homes. Page 36 OTEC Solves Energy Crisis OTEC is effective and solves energy crisis Fujitaa et. el. ’12 (Rod, Alexander C. Markhama, Julio E. Diaz Diazb, Julia Rosa Martinez Garciab, Courtney Scarboroughc, and Stacy E. Aguileraf, “Revisiting ocean thermal energy conversion,” Marine Policy, Volume 36, Issue 2, March 2012, Pages 463– 465, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2011.05.008)-mikee Ocean waves, currents, and offshore winds tend to provide power more continuously than wind over land; unsteady supply and storage issues continue to constrain wind farms [2]. Steadier still is Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC), which conceptually can provide base-load power almost continuously [4] and [5]. OTEC converts the difference in temperature between the surface and deep layers of the ocean into electrical power. Warm surface water is used to vaporize a working fluid with a low boiling point, such as ammonia, and then the vapor is used to drive a turbine and generator. Cold water pumped from the deep ocean is then used to re-condense the working fluid [6] and [7]. The temperature differential must be greater than approximately 20 °C for net power generation [8]. Such differentials exist between latitudes 20° and 24° north and south of the equator (e.g. tropical zones of the Caribbean and the Pacific) [8]. The global distribution of temperature gradients between these latitudes is shown in Fig. 1. The actual distribution of feasible sites for OTEC will depend on other factors as well, such as proximity to shore and the potential to increase the temperature gradient by other means (e.g., by applying waste heat from other industrial facilities). OTEC may have numerous other advantages in addition to stability of power supply. OTEC power production potential should be the highest during the summer months in warm latitudes, when demand is typically also at a maximum in the tropics due to air conditioning [9]. At the pilot scale, OTEC plants have produced significant amounts of freshwater (through condensation on the cold water pipes) with very little power consumption and without producing brine or other pollution [6]. OTEC has also provided refrigeration and air conditioning without much additional power consumption, replacing much more energy-intensive air conditioning and refrigeration systems [10]. Moreover, several kinds of valuable aquaculture crops including lobsters, abalone, and microalgae for the production of nutritional supplements have been produced in the effluent of pilot OTEC plants, potentially improving OTEC's economic feasibility [11]. While OTEC sounds like a panacea, clearly it is not – there may be serious environmental risks associated with OTEC, and there are certainly significant technical and economic obstacles that stand in the way of further progress. However, increasing fossil fuel prices, increasing demand for clean and renewable energy, and the potential for OTEC to help alleviate increasingly urgent food and water security issues suggests that the time may be right to revisit OTEC. Much has changed since 1881, when this technology was first conceived of by French physicist Jacques-Arsène d'Arsonva, and later advanced by George Claude during the 1930s [6]. Claude attempted to construct an OTEC plant in Cuba in the 1930s, but abandoned the effort due to technology and infrastructure constraints [6]. In the late 1970s, joint ventures between the United States Department of Energy (DOE), the Natural Energy Laboratory of Hawaii, and various private companies resulted in a “mini-OTEC” barge deployed off Hawaii and also a land-based OTEC plant on Hawaii. These produced net power of 18 and 103 kW, respectively [6]. Also notable are the joint ventures by private Japanese companies and the Tokyo Electric Power Company, which resulted in an OTEC plant on the Pacific island of Nauru, generating 120 kW of gross power [12] and 30 kW of net power. This plant was used to power a school and other buildings on Nauru [13]. The majority of these projects have been considered successful because they generated significant amounts of net power. Although these plants can be considered “proofs of concept”, they did not generate enough operational data to enable a scale up to a commercial plant [6]. Efforts to scale up OTEC stalled in the 1970s in large part because the cost competitiveness of OTEC relative to fossil fuel combustion was low due to the relatively low prices of oil and other fuels and the large capital costs of OTEC. Several technological and deployment failures also impeded progress [6] and [14]. However, recent increases in fossil fuel costs and technological improvements to OTEC that promise to reduce costs and increase efficiency may be changing the economics of energy production in favor of OTEC. OTEC has the potential to supply world energy. The Toronto Star, 2010 (“Harnessing the energy in oceans and lakes Oceans a deep well of thermal energy.” The Toronto Star. 19 Apr. L/N) But in addition to mechanical energy, there is also a tremendous amount of thermal energy in our oceans. In fact, when light from the sun hits the Earth, about 80 per cent of this solar energy ends up getting stored in our oceans - particularly in the upper layers around the tropics. The idea of tapping into that heat to produce Page 37 electricity has been around for more than a century. Serbian-American engineer Nikola Tesla proposed the concept in an essay published in 1931, though he wasn't convinced at the time that so-called ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) could ever be practical. Technology and time, however, have a way of surprising us. For the past several decades, researchers have been making incremental improvements to the process. Among them are scientists at advanced technology and defence company Lockheed Martin, who in the 1970s built a small OTEC system that ran for several months and generated enough electricity an OTEC pilot plant off the coast of Hawaii that will be capable of generating 10 megawatts of clean baseload electricity. The company hopes to have that pilot plant in operation in 2013, possibly earlier. By 2015 it figures it can build commercial-sized plants, about 100 megawatts or greater. "I dream of thousands of floating OTEC ships roaming the seas of the world providing an inexhaustible supply of clean energy and fuel and water for all people of the world," says Ted Johnson, director of alternative energy development at Lockheed. to power 20 homes. More recently, Lockheed is thinking big. It is in the final design stage for construction of OTEC is effective and solves energy crisis Fujitaa et. el. ’12 (Rod, Alexander C. Markhama, Julio E. Diaz Diazb, Julia Rosa Martinez Garciab, Courtney Scarboroughc, and Stacy E. Aguileraf, “Revisiting ocean thermal energy conversion,” Marine Policy, Volume 36, Issue 2, March 2012, Pages 463– 465, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2011.05.008)-mikee Ocean waves, currents, and offshore winds tend to provide power more continuously than wind over land; unsteady supply and storage issues continue to constrain wind farms [2]. Steadier still is Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC), which conceptually can provide base-load power almost continuously [4] and [5]. OTEC converts the difference in temperature between the surface and deep layers of the ocean into electrical power. Warm surface water is used to vaporize a working fluid with a low boiling point, such as ammonia, and then the vapor is used to drive a turbine and generator. Cold water pumped from the deep ocean is then used to re-condense the working fluid [6] and [7]. The temperature differential must be greater than approximately 20 °C for net power generation [8]. Such differentials exist between latitudes 20° and 24° north and south of the equator (e.g. tropical zones of the Caribbean and the Pacific) [8]. The global distribution of temperature gradients between these latitudes is shown in Fig. 1. The actual distribution of feasible sites for OTEC will depend on other factors as well, such as proximity to shore and the potential to increase the temperature gradient by other means (e.g., by applying waste heat from other industrial facilities). OTEC may have numerous other advantages in addition to stability of power supply. OTEC power production potential should be the highest during the summer months in warm latitudes, when demand is typically also at a maximum in the tropics due to air conditioning [9]. At the pilot scale, OTEC plants have produced significant amounts of freshwater (through condensation on the cold water pipes) with very little power consumption and without producing brine or other pollution [6]. OTEC has also provided refrigeration and air conditioning without much additional power consumption, replacing much more energy-intensive air conditioning and refrigeration systems [10]. Moreover, several kinds of valuable aquaculture crops including lobsters, abalone, and microalgae for the production of nutritional supplements have been produced in the effluent of pilot OTEC plants, potentially improving OTEC's economic feasibility [11]. While OTEC sounds like a panacea, clearly it is not – there may be serious environmental risks associated with OTEC, and there are certainly significant technical and economic obstacles that stand in the way of further progress. However, increasing fossil fuel prices, increasing demand for clean and renewable energy, and the potential for OTEC to help alleviate increasingly urgent food and water security issues suggests that the time may be right to revisit OTEC. Much has changed since 1881, when this technology was first conceived of by French physicist Jacques-Arsène d'Arsonva, and later advanced by George Claude during the 1930s [6]. Claude attempted to construct an OTEC plant in Cuba in the 1930s, but abandoned the effort due to technology and infrastructure constraints [6]. In the late 1970s, joint ventures between the United States Department of Energy (DOE), the Natural Energy Laboratory of Hawaii, and various private companies resulted in a “mini-OTEC” barge deployed off Hawaii and also a land-based OTEC plant on Hawaii. These produced net power of 18 and 103 kW, respectively [6]. Also notable are the joint ventures by private Japanese companies and the Tokyo Electric Power Company, which resulted in an OTEC plant on the Pacific island of Nauru, generating 120 kW of gross power [12] and 30 kW of net power. This plant was used to power a school and other buildings on Nauru [13]. The majority of these projects have been considered successful because they generated significant amounts of net power. Although these plants can be considered “proofs of concept”, they did not generate enough operational data to enable a scale up to a commercial plant [6]. Efforts to scale up OTEC stalled in the 1970s in large part because the cost competitiveness of OTEC relative to fossil fuel combustion was low due to the relatively low prices of oil and other fuels and the large capital costs of OTEC. Several technological and deployment failures also impeded progress [6] and [14]. However, recent increases in fossil fuel costs and Page 38 technological improvements to OTEC that promise to reduce costs and increase efficiency may be changing the economics of energy production in favor of OTEC. OTEC solves energy crisis-Hawaii proves Glinow 13 (Kiki Von, Huffington Post Reporter, “Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion Could Power All of Hawaii’s Big Island.” The Huffington Post. 16 Sept 2013. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/09/16/ocean-thermal-energy-conversionhawaii_n_3937367.html ) With an energy crisis looming on Hawaii's Big Island -- gas prices and electricity costs are among the highest in the United States -- the solution may lie in the ocean. The vast difference in the ocean's temperatures, from the warmer surface to the very cold deep waters, has the potential to create energy through what is called ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC). Hawaii has long been the most desired face of OTEC because of the vast water temperature disparities in the region -- "the Hawaiian islands could produce 15 percent more energy than traditional OTEC plants," according to Inhabitat. So how exactly do two extreme water temperatures meet to create energy? Tubes of ammonia are warmed in the surface water to produce steam, which drives a land planted turbine and creates electricity. The gas is then passed through cold water that is pumped up from the depths of the ocean to turn it back into a useable liquid. Makai Ocean Engineering's current plant is 100 kilowatts and hopes to install its turbine next spring. The ultimate goal is to create a 100 megawatt plant, which could provide enough power for the entirety of the Big Island. The 100 megawatt plant would live on an offshore platform and could cost upwards of $1 billion. Page 39 OTEC Increase Capacity In the Status Quo there only smaller, 1MW plants, but we can already build up to 10MW plants exponentially increasing capabilities Kempenar & Neumann ’14 (Ruud, postdoctoral research fellow in the Belfer Center's Energy Research, Development, Demonstration & Deployment, Frank, IMIEU Director Institute for Infrastructure, Environment and Innovation, June 2014, “OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY BRIEF”, http://www.irena.org/DocumentDownloads/Publications/Ocean_Thermal_Energy_V4_web.pdf) Other components of the OTEC plant consists of the platform (which can be land-based, moored to the sea floor, or floating), the electricity cables to transfer electricity back to shore, and the water ducting systems. There is considerable experience with all these system components in the offshore industry. The technical challenge is the size of the water ducting systems that need to be deployed in large scale OTEC plants. In particular, a 100 megawatt (MW) OTEC plant requires cold water pipes of 10 metres diameter or more and a length of 1000 meters, which need to be securely connected to the platforms. So far, only OTEC plants up to 1 MW have been built. Although it is technically feasible to build 10 MW plants using current design, manufacturing, deployment techniques and materials, actual operating experiences are still lacking. It is therefore important to learn and share the experience from the 10 MW plants under construction to ensure continuous and accelerated deployment. OTEC’s release of DSW can generate large amounts of electricity. A.Hossain, 2013 (Hossain is a scientist for the Malaysia Japan International Institute of Technology, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia; “ Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion: The Promise of a Clean Future” ; 2013 IEEE Conference on Clean Energy and Technology; http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/stamp/stamp.jsp?tp=&arnumber=6775593) OTEC makes it possible not only to produce electricity but allows the release of massive amount of Deep Sea Water (DSW) which is rich in minerals and is highly applicable in several industries including pharmaceuticals, aquaculture (mariculture), cosmetics and mineral water production . The obvious alternative energy sources such as wind, solar and geothermal power are considerable solutions to this problem. However in comparison to all these alternatives, ocean thermal energy is highly abundant, very stable and easily applicable in many industrial fields . Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) is a marine renewable energy technology utilizing the temperature difference between deep cold ocean water and warm ocean surface water and generates electricity. The main components are evaporator, condenser, turbine, power generator and pump. These components are connected via pipes that contain working fluids, typically ammonia. The liquid working fluid is sent to the evaporator with a pump which is heated by the hot surface water of 25 to 30°C, and evaporated to vapour. The vapour then turns the turbine and activates the power generator, thereby generating electricity. The used vapour leaving the turbine is then condensed to liquid by the cold deep seawater of 4 to 10°C inside the condenser, and then recycled back into the evaporator. The process is thus repeated in order to maintain continuous electricity production. This is basically how a typical closed-cycle OTEC system works. 2013 IEEE Conference on Clean Energy and Technology (CEAT) 978-1In an open-cycle OTEC system, the warm seawater is used as the working fluid. The warm seawater Page 40 is flash evaporated in a vacuum chamber and steam is produced. The steam expands through a low-pressure turbine that is coupled to a generator to produce electricity. The steam leaving the turbine is then condensed by cold deep seawater through a cold water pipe. If a surface condenser is used in the system, the condensed steam remains separated from the cold seawater and provides a supply of desalinated water. DSW is referred to ocean water from a depth of 200 meters or below sea level and accounts for 95% of all seawater. It has cold temperature, is abundant in minerals and is pathogen free and stable. DSW is referred to ocean water from a depth of 200 meters or below sea level and accounts for 95% of all seawater. It has cold temperature, is abundant in minerals and is pathogen free and stable. Page 41 OTEC Solves—Secondary Benefits OTEC provides other benefits other than power gen. Magesh ’10 (Associate with Coastal Energen Pvt. Lmt. Indian power supply company, Proceedings of the World Congress on Engineering 2010 Vol II WCE 2010, 7/2) Apart from power generation, an OTEC ¶ plant can also be used to pump up the cold deep sea water for ¶ air conditioning and refrigeration, if it is brought back to ¶ shore. In addition, the enclosed sea water surrounding the ¶ plant can be used for aquaculture. Hydrogen produced by ¶ subjecting the steam to electrolysis during the OTEC process ¶ can fuel hybrid automobiles, provided hydrogen can be ¶ transported economically to sea shore. Another undeveloped ¶ opportunity is the potential to mine ocean water for its 57 ¶ elements contained in salts and other forms and dissolved in ¶ solution. The initial capital cost of OTEC power station would ¶ look high, but an OTEC plant would not involve the waste-treatment or atronomical decommissioning costs of a nuclear facility. Also, it would offset its expense through the sale of desalinated water. OTEC has secondary services that are net beneficial to other renewables— SWAC, desal, irrigation, and aquaculture Websdale, 2014 (Emma, environmental journalist and senior communication specialist at Ocean Thermal Energy Corporation, “5 Reasons Why Hundreds of People Think OTEC Is a Smart Investment,” Empower the Ocean, January 27, http://empowertheocean.com/otec-a-smart-investment/) Another major competitive benefit of OTEC is its range of secondary services. Besides producing electricity and fresh drinking water, OTEC can support agriculture and aquaculture industries, reducing local demand on water supplies. OTEC can also slash electricity consumption and associated energy costs of air conditioning in many tropical and sub-tropical regions by using a portion of the cold deep ocean water for Sea Water Air-Conditioning (SWAC). These environmentally friendly air-conditioning systems decrease electricity usage by an amazing 80-90%, offering enormous reductions in carbon emissions. 3 advantages of OTEC: baseload power, no fuel, no pollution—makes it a commercially viable energy source. Marti et al., 2010 (Jose, president, Offshore Infrastructure Assoc., Manuel A.J. Laboy, VP and Dir. of Offshore Infrastructure Assoc., and Orlando Ruiz, Asst. Prof @ U of Puerto Rico, Commercial Implementation Of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion, “Commercial Implementation Of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” Sea Technology Magazine, p. http://www.sea-technology.com/features/2010/0410/thermal_energy_conversion.html) When OTEC is compared to other energy technologies, three basic aspects must be considered. One is capacity factor. OTEC generates power continuously, with an estimated capacity factor of 85 percent or more, comparable only to combustibles and nuclear power. Capacity factors of other renewable technologies are typically in the 25 to 40 percent range. Even conventional hydropower seldom has capacity factors of more than 60 percent, due to flow variations. ¶ The second important aspect is that OTEC does not require any fuel. Energy is generated from purely local sources. This makes it attractive to locations that depend on imported fuels, which are highly vulnerable to volatility in prices and to events affecting world energy markets. ¶ The third important aspect is environmental. OTEC does not generate emissions of conventional air pollutants, uses no nuclear materials, does not generate solid or toxic wastes and produces effluents similar to the water it receives. The environmental impacts of OTEC are much lower than those of most technologies capable of baseload power generation. ¶ The overall impact of these aspects is that OTEC is a realistic option for many locations that presently rely on fossil fuels for their energy needs. Still, for the technology to be commercially viable, plant output must be sold at prices that will cover costs and provide a reasonable return to investors. Economic viability is the key to OTEC commercialization. Page 42 OTEC is commercially viable—reduces the cost of energy and provides a stable supply Marti et al., 2010 (Jose, president, Offshore Infrastructure Assoc., Manuel A.J. Laboy, VP and Dir. of Offshore Infrastructure Assoc., and Orlando Ruiz, Asst. Prof @ U of Puerto Rico, Commercial Implementation Of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion, “Commercial Implementation Of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” Sea Technology Magazine, p. http://www.sea-technology.com/features/2010/0410/thermal_energy_conversion.html) OIA estimates that power from an OTEC plant can be sold to consumers at $0.18 per kilowatt-hour or less. More importantly, the price will be stable. ¶ For comparison purposes, the average price of electricity in Hawaii in October 2009 was $0.2357 per kilowatt-hour, and it had reached levels as high as $0.3228 per kilowatt-hour the previous October due to record high oil prices in the preceding months. ¶ In locations such as smaller Caribbean or Pacific islands that presently use small diesel plants for power—and that rely on desalination for potable water production—the economics of OTEC are even more attractive. If renewable energy credits or other incentives are available, the economics of OTEC could be even more favorable in these areas and perhaps beyond. In addition, there would be significant benefits to the environment, since the air pollutants and greenhouse gases resulting from fuel combustion would not occur. OTEC benefits; laundry list Renewable energy institute 14 (“Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion” EcoGeneration Solutions, LLC. http://www.cogeneration.net/ocean_thermal_energy_conversion.htm) OTEC's economic benefits include these: Helps produce fuels such as hydrogen, ammonia, and methanol Produces baseload electrical energy Produces desalinated water for industrial, agricultural, and residential uses Is a resource for on-shore and near-shore mariculture operations Provides air-conditioning for buildings Provides moderate-temperature refrigeration Has significant potential to provide clean, cost-effective electricity for the future. OTEC's noneconomic benefits, which help us achieve global environmental goals, include these: Promotes competitiveness and international trade Enhances energy independence and energy security Promotes international sociopolitical stability Has potential to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions resulting from burning fossil fuels In small island nations, the benefits of OTEC include self-sufficiency, minimal environmental impacts, and improved sanitation and nutrition, which result from the greater availability of desalinated water and mariculture products. OTEC has laundry list of benefits Yoshino 11/15/2010 (Mayumi, staff writer “Clean, green power from ocean water temperature differentials”) http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/tech/ocean-energy A new technology for a renewable, clean and cheap power source is nearing the practical stage of development. The concept behind the technology, known as ocean thermal energy conversion, is not exactly new. The waters of the ocean are warmer at the surface than they are at depth, and this temperature difference can be exploited to generate electricity. ¶ The oceans cover roughly 70% of the surface of Earth, and tapping ocean energy this way is an extremely environmentfriendly way to generate power. Moreover, the deep water that is brought up for the OTEC process brings with it many useful materials, including nutrients that can help revitalize fishing grounds, and lithium, which can be recovered and used for batteries. Page 43 OTEC Solves—Revenue Long-term profits outweigh short-term expenses—OTEC will generate revenue from energy, hydrogen, ethanol, fisheries, and water. Friedman, 2012 (Becca, Harvard Political Review, “Examining the Future of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” Ocean Energy Council, March 20, http://www.oceanenergycouncil.com/examining-future-ocean-thermal-energy-conversion/) Oceanic energy advocates insist that the long-term benefits of OTEC more than justify the short-term expense. Huang said that the changes in the economic climate over the past few decades have increased OTEC’s viability. According to Huang, current economic conditions are more favorable to OTEC. At $65-70 per barrel, oil is roughly six times more expensive than in the 1980s, when initial OTEC cost projections were made. Moreover, a lower interest rate makes capital investment more attractive.¶ OTEC plants may also generate revenue from non-energy products. Anderson described several additional revenue streams, including natural by-products such as hydrogen, ethanol, and desalinated fresh water. OTEC can also serve as a form of aquaculture. “You are effectively fertilizing the upper photic zone…The fishing around the sea solar power plants will be among the best fishing holes in the world naturally,” Anderson said. And, he added, these benefits are not limited to the United States . “Look at Africa , look at South America , look at the Far East . It is a gigantic pot of wealth for everybody… People are crying for power.” OTEC is a giant pot of wealth for everyone (long-term economic benefits) Friedman 14 (Becca, Harvard Ocean Energy Council member, “examining the future of ocean thermal energy conversion” http://www.oceanenergycouncil.com/examining-future-ocean-thermal-energy-conversion/) Oceanic energy advocates insist that the long-term benefits of OTEC more than justify the short-term expense. Huang said that the changes in the economic climate over the past few decades have increased OTEC’s viability. According to Huang, current economic conditions are more favorable to OTEC. At $65-70 per barrel, oil is roughly six times more expensive than in the 1980s, when initial OTEC cost projections were made. Moreover, a lower interest rate makes capital investment more attractive. OTEC plants may also generate revenue from nonenergy products. Anderson described several additional revenue streams, including natural byproducts such as hydrogen, ethanol, and desalinated fresh water. OTEC can also serve as a form of aquaculture. “You are effectively fertilizing the upper photic zone…The fishing around the sea solar power plants will be among the best fishing holes in the world naturally,” Anderson said. And, he added, these benefits are not limited to the United States . “Look at Africa , look at South America , look at the Far East . It is a gigantic pot of wealth for everybody… People are crying for power.” In fact, as the U.S. government is dragging its feet, other countries are moving forward with their own designs and may well beat American industry to a fully-functioning plant. OTEC is cost effective—it generates power on a continuous baseload, requires no fuel, and has minimal environmental impact Marti et al., 2010 (Jose, president, Offshore Infrastructure Assoc., Manuel A.J. Laboy, VP and Dir. of Offshore Infrastructure Assoc., and Orlando Ruiz, Asst. Prof @ U of Puerto Rico, Commercial Implementation Of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion, “Commercial Implementation Of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” Sea Technology Magazine, p. http://www.sea-technology.com/features/2010/0410/thermal_energy_conversion.html) Ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) is a renewable energy technology applicable to tropical and subtropical areas that works by recovering solar energy absorbed by the ocean. As opposed to other renewable technologies, such as solar and wind, OTEC generates power on a continuous (baseload) basis. In addition, if desired, Page 44 OTEC can coproduce potable water through desalination—up to two million liters per day can be produced for each megawatt of electricity generated. ¶ OTEC requires no fuel; thus, the cost of producing electricity and water is not susceptible to the volatility that affects other energy sources like petroleum, coal and natural gas. It generates energy from purely local sources at a cost that is essentially fixed and predictable. Furthermore, since no fuels or radioactive materials are used, the environmental impacts (including greenhouse gas generation) are much less than those of conventional methods of power generation. OTEC invites investments respond to a global market and generates global self empowerment Websdale, 2014 (Emma, environmental journalist and senior communication specialist at Ocean Thermal Energy Corporation, “5 Reasons Why Hundreds of People Think OTEC Is a Smart Investment,” Empower the Ocean, January 27, http://empowertheocean.com/otec-a-smart-investment/) Global commercialization of SWAC systems and OTEC plants will provide hundreds of communities with the self-empowerment tools they need to shape a sustainable future. As countries develop clean energy, they can step away from volatile and expensive fossil fuels and move closer to long-term energy independence.¶ By sustainably providing abundant supplies of humanity’s most basic necessities -fresh water and plentiful clean energy for economic development -OTEC can meet these global core markets, and thereby offer enormous business investment opportunities as well as a vision of community independence around the globe. OTEC is a game changer—becomes cost competitive in 5 years. Griset, 2011 (Todd J., associate at Preti Flaherty’s Energy and Telecommunications group, where he represents renewable energy firms, “Harnessing the Ocean’s Power: Opportunities in Renewable Ocean Energy Resources,” Ocean and Coastal Law Journal 16 [2011]: 395, l/n) Recent developments may be changing the game for OTEC. Due to factors including an increase in the price of oil, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory now predicts that OTEC may become costcompetitive within five-to-ten years in markets including the small island nations in the South Pacific and the island of Molokai in Hawaii, Guam and American Samoa, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico, the Gulf of Mexico, and the Pacific, Atlantic, and Indian Oceans. n203 In 2006, a project developer announced plans to construct a 1.2 megawatt OTEC plant at the Natural Energy Laboratory of Hawaii Authority in Kona, as well as a subsequent 13 megawatt plant "to be built at an undisclosed ocean location for U.S. military forces." n204 The project developer predicted net power production from the Kona facility of 800 kilowatts, at a cost of $ 10 million to $ 15 million, and commercial operations by 2008. n205 Nevertheless, five years later, this project remains undeveloped.¶ In 2008, Hawaii Governor Linda Lingle announced "a 10-megawatt ocean thermal energy conversion pilot plant, through a partnership between the Taiwan Industrial Technology Research Institute and Lockheed Martin Corp." n206 Also that year, Lockheed Martin won a $ 1.2 million contract from the United States Department of Energy to [*429] demonstrate OTEC technologies in Hawaii, n207 followed by an award of $ 8.12 million in 2009 from the United States Navy to develop critical OTEC system components and pilot project designs. n208 OTEC may thus be experiencing a renaissance, as technological improvements drive renewed interest in developing OTEC projects. Indeed, recent interest has led NOAA's Ocean and Coastal Resource Management office to begin rebuilding its OTEC licensing capacity. n209 Nevertheless, OTEC projects must be cost-competitive or otherwise mandated by law to succeed on a commercial scale in the United States. Page 45 OTEC Solves—Island Econs OTEC increases SIDS GDP Magesh ’10 (Associate with Coastal Energen Pvt. Lmt. Indian power supply company, Proceedings of the World Congress on Engineering 2010 Vol II WCE 2010, 7/2) The economies and social structure of the vast majority of ¶ what is now considered Small Island Developing States (SIDS)¶ were developed under colonial rule. When the majority of ¶ these countries became independent nations in the later half of ¶ the twentieth century, they inherited economies that were ¶ based principally on providing commodities to the former ¶ ruling nations. This relationship remained in place until the ¶ advent of the World Trading Organization (WTO) in 1994. ¶ Under the WTO global rules for “fair” trade, there would no ¶ longer be continuation of preferential markets for the ¶ commodities from these former colonies beyond an agreed ¶ period of time. After that period, between 5 to 10 years in most cases, these former small colonies had to compete with other ¶ international producers. As a result of the coming into force of ¶ WTO rules, Less Developed Countries and SIDS have ¶ experienced loss of preferential access for their exports to ¶ developed country’s markets. The increase in the cost of ¶ conventional fuel makes it difficult to run their power plants ¶ thereby leading to heavy power deficit. Ever increasing Power ¶ deficit severely affects the growth of the Industrial and ¶ Agriculture sectors in these nations resulting in the Decline of Domestic Food production and Increasing Imports. Inability to ¶ compete with the international challenge leads to Loss of ¶ Market and Declining Value of Traditional Exports in SIDS. ¶ Geographical isolation and lack of basic facilities in SIDS has made it Difficult for them to attract Foreign Direct Investment ¶ (FDI). ¶ The GDP Real Growth rate (%) in vast majority of these ¶ countries has seen a decline in the past three years (2007-¶ 2009), due to lack of electric power and fresh water for ¶ industrial and irrigation purpose. OTEC of 5 MW capacity ¶ would be a better option to be installed in the SIDS and other ¶ less developed countries having Ocean thermal resources in ¶ their Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) for fulfilling the power ¶ and fresh water demands. Table II shows the less developed ¶ Countries with adequate Ocean Thermal Resources 25 ¶ Kilometers or less from the shore Page 46 OTEC Solves Environment OTEC solves for environment Binger 13(Alfred, Science and Policy Advisor at the Caribbean Community Climate Change Centre. He is member of the Technical Group of the UN Secretary-General’s High-Level Group on Sustainable Energy for All and has been Senior Advisor at the Alliance of Small Island States. Binger is a research scientist with almost 30 years experience in diverse scientific areas, including chemical engineering, biophysics, agronomy, renewable energy and climate change. From 1997-2005, he was Professor and Director for the University of the West Indies Centre for Environment and Development.,“Sustainable Energy for All is maybe the only thing that can save the younger generation.” MakingIt Magazine. 17 June 2013, http://www.makingitmagazine.net/?p=6748) Ocean thermal energy conversion is probably the oldest of renewable technologies. Of course, people also had windmills long ago. In 1881, I believe, a French scientist by the name of Jacques Arsene d’Arsonval published the first paper on ocean thermal energy conversion. Interestingly it started in the decade of the 1880s where the industrial revolution started with the first thermal plant. So OTEC is not a rocket-science technology. When you look at it, it is a really simple technology, more like refrigeration than anything else. In your air condition unit you use electricity, create cold and discharge heat. OTEC just reverses that cycle. The OTEC plant is a piping system from the ocean with a warm-water pipe, a cold-water pipe and a returning pipe. It takes the warm part of the ocean to vaporize the ammonia, or whatever it is from liquid to gas, which increases its volume tremendously because of the transition into a gaseous state. So, it has the ability to work. It runs a turbine, which in turn runs a generator and we have electricity. The exhaust from the turbine is then cooled in the depths of the ocean at about 1,000 metres, with water temperatures around 4 to 6 degrees Celsius, which condense back the ammonia and close the cycle. It changes nothing in the environment, except from removing heat from the ocean, which is something we really want to get rid of anyway. The thing we like about OTEC is that it has a number of other options and renewable energy sources. One, it provides you with desalinated water. As you are dealing with warm surface water with lots of dissolved gases, you need to remove them because they make heat exchange inefficient. For that you use the same technology as to concentrate orange juice: flash evaporation – putting it under vacuum. When you put things under vacuum, they boil at a much lower temperature. So you pull off the oxygen, nitrogen and a lot of water vapour. Then, with some of the cold water, you can condense the water vapour and get desalinated water. OTEC is the cheapest method of desalination. Desalination, usually by membrane separation, is very energy-intensive. Only OTEC gives us freshwater as a product. For many islands, fresh water is one of the biggest problems. Most of us, particularly Pacific islands, depend on a very thin lens of fresh water and two things are happening to that lens. One, sea level is rising, so the hydraulic head is changing and salt is intruding. Second, rainfall is not as abundant as it used to be and therefore the lens is under pressure. We need to augment the water. Third, the cold water that we bring up is nutrient-rich. So, we can produce a lot of fish. Because the ocean temperature is getting warmer, fish are moving away from the shore, which is a problem because it is there there they usually breed and our little canoes cannot go that far out to catch the fish. Therefore fisher folk are having a terrible time in most island economies. With OTEC, we can do a lot of mariculture and produce very expensive things like abalone (large edible sea snails), lobsters and oysters, because we have the water at the right temperature continuously. There a lots of industries that can use this cold water. Page 47 Economic Viability OTEC Economically Viable- Quick 2013 (Darren, Director at Hawk Security & Surveillance System) “World’s largest OTEC power plant planned for China” http://www.gizmag.com/otec-plant-lockheed-martin-reignwood-china/27164/ 4/18/2013 Lockheed Martin and Reignwood will begin concept design of the sea-based prototype plant this year with construction due to begin next year. Once it is up and running, the two companies plan to use the knowledge and experience gained over the course of the project to improve the design of additional commercial-scale plants. The companies claim each 100 MW OTEC facility could produce the same amount of energy in a year as 1.3 million barrels of oil and decrease carbon emissions by half a million tons. Assuming oil trading at near US$100 a barrel, they estimate fuel savings from one plant could exceed $130 million a year. Page 48 Empirical Solvency OTEC creates plentiful energy, demonstration plant proves India Energy News 2011 (“OTEC International LLC Chosen for Hawai’I OTECH Demonstration”) http://www.oteci.com/press-releases/otec-international-llc-chosen-for-hawai‘i-otec-demonstration OTEC uses vast solar energy stored in the upper ocean to vaporize ammonia, producing electricity via a turbine and generator. Deep water cools the ammonia to liquid to be heated again in a 24/7 cycle, making it baseload or firm power. The demonstration plant is slated for the NELHA's Hawai'i Ocean Science and Technology (HOST) Park, in Kailua-Kona, Hawai'i Island. The demonstration will integrate the complete power system on a smaller scale to reduce risk for its first full-scale commercial project. Barry Cole, OTI's executive VP, is director of technology development Page 49 Regulations Solve OTEC Effluent Regulated Cole 2012 ( Barry, Executive Vice President OTEC International, LLC) “Draft Environmental Assessment OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION FACILITY KE‘AHOLE, NORTH KONA, HAWAI`I” 7/11/2012 http://www.oteci.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA-071012_reduced.pdf uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA-071012_reduced.pdf In general, regulatory limits relevant to OTEC disposal at the HOST Park are imposed in reference to Water Quality Standards (WQS) established under §11-54-6(d) HAR. Coastal waters in the region surrounding most of the Big Island are designated Class AA and extend to the limit of “open coastal waters”, which are defined in HAR §11-54-6(b)(1) as, “marine waters bounded by the 183-meter or 600-foot (100-fathom) depth contour and the shoreline.” The region offshore of Keahole Point is more narrowly defined in §11-54-6(d)(1) to include “all areas from the shoreline at mean lower low water to a distance 1000 m seaward.” Thus, the absolute distance from the shoreline, rather than the 100-fathom depth contour determines the extent of Class AA waters off of the HOST Park. According to DOH Water Quality Standards: “It is the objective of class AA waters that these waters remain in their natural pristine state as nearly as possible with an absolute minimum of pollution or alteration of water quality from any human-caused source or actions” (HAR§11-54- 03(c)(1)). Section 11-54-6(d)(1)(i) establishes water quality criteria for waters having a salinity greater than 32.00 parts per thousand (ppt), including a table of geometric mean criteria values that define the acceptable concentrations of regulated parameters (Total Dissolved Nitrogen, Ammonia Nitrogen, Nitrate + Nitrite, Total Dissolved Phosphorus, Phosphate, Chlorophyll a, and Turbidity. Limits are defined for each parameter as acceptable geometric mean concentrations or units. Page 50 Self-Sufficiency OTEC plants are self-sufficient. Michaelis and Chadwick 08(Dominic and Alex, Trevor Copper-, Dominic Michaelis is an architect and engineer. He and his architect son Alex are developing the energy island concept with Trevor Cooper-Chadwick of Southampton University, “Could Sea Power Solve the Energy Crisis.” The Telegraph. 8 Jan 2008, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/sciencenews/3320901/Could-sea-power-solve-the-energy-crisis.html) In fact, there is no need to stop at OTEC as the sole technology. If you are going to build an offshore platform, it makes sense to harness its space to create an "energy island" - a facility that uses a variety of alternative energies, such as wind, wave and solar, to generate enough power to pump the huge quantities of water from the sea and run the vacuum pumps of the OTEC plant. Not only would these "islands" be self-sufficient, but several could be linked to generate energy outputs of around 1,000MW, rivalling the output of a typical nuclear plant. The cost, according to our models, would be roughly double that of a nuclear power station. This might seem expensive, but an OTEC plant would not involve the waste-treatment or astronomical decommissioning costs of a nuclear facility. Also, it would offset its expense through the sale of the desalinated water. There is a laundry list of things that OTEC can solve for including energy selfsuffiency OTEC Foundation 12 January 16 2012 Retrieved from http://www.otecfoundation.org/otec/benefits on July 12th th 2014 The OTEC foundation is a non-profit organization with the purpose to educate the public about Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion, raise global awareness and to accelerate OTEC development and implementation. Officially founded in 2011, the OTEC foundation is a collaborative effort and aims to team up with OTEC initiatives around the world. OTEC has the potential to contribute to the future energy mix offering a sustainable electricity production method. Unlike many other renewable energy technologies that are intermittent, OTEC has the potential to provide baseload electricity, which means day and night (24/7) and year-round. This is a big advantage for instance tropical islands that typically has a small electricity network, not capable of handling a lot of intermittent power. Next to producing electricity, OTEC also offers the possibility of co-generating other beneficial products, like fresh water, nutrients for enhanced fish farming and seawater cooled greenhouses enabling food production in arid regions. Last but not least, the cold water can be used in building air-conditioning systems. Energy savings of up to 90% can be realized. The vast baseload OTEC resource could help many tropical and subtropical (remote) regions to become more energy self-sufficient. Page 51 OTEC solves baseload OTEC uniquely creates baseload renewable energy that can mitigate global warming Rapier 08 Robert Rapier February 28 2008, Energy Trends Insider Retrieved from th http://www.energytrendsinsider.com/2008/08/22/ocean-thermal-energy-conversion/ on July 12th 2014 Energy plays a critical role in all of our lives, and yet people are frequently uninformed or misinformed about the world’s energy systems and realities. As the name suggests, the mission of Energy Trends Insider is to explore trends and market drivers affecting the industry. Along with our sister publications and consulting group, we provide timely, impartial, and relevant information and analysis on current and emerging technology, investment, and policy trends across the energy spectrum. We aim to address and correct misconceptions, and to actively engage readers and exchange ideas. We try to emphasize the various trade-offs that are made in exchange for our various energy supplies so that hopefully informed decisions can be made about how to best meet our complex and changing demand for energy. Unlike most renewable energy options, ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) technology is a “baseload” (continuous) renewable energy source that potentially can provide a substantial portion of global energy needs. As such, it is worthy of ample national attention and R&D funding. Yet today, OTEC technology is largely unknown to the public and has become an “orphan technology” that is being widely overlooked and left out of the public discussion on energy. Renewable energy technologies are often lumped together and dismissed as serving only nîche or boutique markets. However, OTEC technology is likely to be an exception, assuming that baseload OTEC electricity—harvested aboard factory “plantships” grazing on the high seas—can be converted at sea to viable energy carriers that can economically and competitively deliver those products to markets ashore. Promising candidates for OTEC energy carriers include hydrogen or, more likely, ammonia (as a hydrogen carrier, fuel for combustion or use in fuel cells, or for end-uses like fertilizer). By employing such energy carriers or energy-intensive products as an “energy bridge” to shore, OTEC has the potential to become a major global source of renewable energy. From the standpoint of national security and energy security, achieving the goal of importing substantial amounts of renewable ocean thermal energy—harvested in international waters by a fleet of domesticallyowned OTEC plantships—would be in marked contrast to importing oil from foreign, often hostile, sources. At the same time, OTEC can become an attractive means for mitigating global warming Page 52 US k/ OTEC US key to OTEC—we have the design and material systems to produce a viable platform. It’s already used aboard US naval vessels Dworksy, 2006 (Rick, environmental conservationalist, and government advisor, “A Warm Bath of Energy: Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” Energy Bulletin, June 5, p. http://www.resilience.org/stories/2006-06-05/warm-bath-energy-ocean-thermalenergy-conversion) Design and material advances have now reduced the capital investment costs of OTEC to a competitive position in suitable locations, given the expected price of oil over a minimum 25 year life cycle. OTEC facilities can probably be maintained - sustained - far longer than that, perhaps 'forever' - if we reserve enough surplus bio-mass to replace ingredients currently made from petroleum, such as fiberglass resins (synergy with OTEC would return better ERoEI than burning). Currently the Indian Ocean, Caribbean, South Pacific and Hawaiian regions present cost-effective scenarios for landed OTEC facilities. If a major OTEC industry develops, costs are expected to fall low enough to justify implementation world wide - at least wherever the process will work - an ocean belt spanning approximately 20 degrees to the north and south of the equator. Land-based plants are contracted or under construction in the Cayman Islands and Mauritius. A Japanese company built a 1 megawatt plant in India. Hawai'i has a leading edge OTEC laboratory where working models have been proven, a deep cold water pipe is already in place - better funding could be put to good use.¶ Large floating OTEC platforms have been designed which would drift and 'graze' warm tropical seas, harvesting the energy, using it to extract hydrogen from sea water, to be picked up by transport vessels and delivered where it is needed. Ammonia, methanol and other compounds could also be produced. At the moment however, only terrestrial and undersea cable transmission of electricity is cost effective - limiting OTEC to land and near shore installations close to waters with sufficient temperature differences.¶ In no case would critical working parts need to be exposed directly to the ravages of the sea - high and dry on land or safe above sea level on floating platforms larger than super tankers, only the tubes to draw in water would need to endure the difficult ocean environment. The United States has already completed design, production and testing of the required durable cold water intake tubes and their attachment to vessels. The U.S. Navy has proven the use of OTEC generators shipboard. US is best location for OTEC Shikina 08/8/2010 (Rob, UH professor, “Findins are useful for future power projects”) http://www.staradvertiser.com/news/20100808_For_oceans_energy_look_leeward.html?id=1002 14959 Nihous, who has been studying OTEC since the 1980s, said cost has been a factor in the lack of new facilities, but that an investment must be made for future generations before resources run out. He believes Hawaii is the best place for the technology in the U.S.¶ "We have all the ingredients here. We have the temperature, we have the steep submarine slopes, we also have an isolated power grid," he said.¶ OTEC technology dates back more than a half-century.¶ In 1974, Hawaii lawmakers created the Natural Energy Laboratory of Hawaii to support research on OTEC technologies. In 1979, its cost, OTEC remains an attractive renewable energy source because it can be sustained continuously, unlike other renewable energy sources that are limited by the availability of sun, wind, or waves. Lockheed Martin is working on a pilot OTEC project that could be running in a few years in Hawaii, Nihous said.¶ OTEC captures energy through a floating engine turbine that is turned by a fluid changing from a liquid to a vapor and back to a liquid, like most power plants. NELH ran the world's first energy-producing OTEC system, based at the Big Island's Keahole Point.¶ Despite Page 53 US Government Interest for OTEC is high. Blanchard 11(Whitney, Energy Specialist Contractor with NOAA, “Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion Contribution to Energy”. StakerForum. 2011.http://www.stakeholderforum.org/fileadmin/files/EnergyOTEC%20Contribution%20to%20Energy.pdf) Where there is not a commercial facility in the world, there have been OTEC developments in the U.S. since the 1970s. The U.S. OTEC research and development includes two offshore demonstrations in 1978 and 1980 and an onshore test facility in the 1990s at Natural Energy Laboratory of Hawaii Authority. There has been a recent wave of OTEC interest from the U.S. Federal Government. The U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy has designated nation marine renewable energy centers to facilitate research and development for ocean energy technologies. The Hawaii National Marine Renewable Energy Center at the University of Hawaii and the Southeast National Marine Renewable Energy Center at Florida Atlantic University have OTEC within their energy portfolio. Page 54 Ad 1 CC Extensions Page 55 Climate Change Now Extreme Climates ComingIngham & Lucas 2014 (RICHARD INGHAM, ANTHONY LUCAS, AGENCE FRANCE PRESSE)“The World's Water Scarcity Problem Is Bad And Getting Worse” http://www.businessinsider.com/map-the-worlds-water-scarcity-problem-is-bad-and-gettingworse-2014-5#ixzz37UtjMJcy MAY 13, 2014 As a very general rule, wet countries will get wetter and dry countries will get drier , accentuating risk of flood or drought, climate scientists warn. But whether people will heed their alarm call is a good question. "When seismologists talk about an area at risk from an earthquake, people generally accept what they say and refrain from building their home there," says French climatologist Herve Le Treut. "But when it comes to drought or flood, people tend to pay less attention when the warning comes from meteorologists." Water squabbles in the hot, arid sub-tropics have a long history. In recent years, the Tigris, Euphrates and Nile have all been the grounds for verbal sparring over who has the right to build dams, withhold or extract "blue gold" to the possible detriment of people downstream. "There will clearly be less water available in sub-tropical countries, both as surface water and aquifer water, and this will sharpen competition for water resources," says Blanca Jimenez-Cisneros, who headed the chapter on water for the big IPCC report. Warming is real and its anthropogenic Baird, 2013 (Jim, engineer, inventor, and consultant at Lockheed-Martin, “OTEC can be a big Climate Influence, The Green Energy Collective, September 3 http://theenergycollective.com/jim-baird/267576/otec-can-be-big-global-climate-influence, nr) According to the forthcoming U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report, the measured rate of warming during the past 15 years was about 0.09°F per decade, which is a decline of over 40 percent from the 1901-2012 average which saw the planet warm by 1.6°F or .145°F per decade.¶ Since carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere have increased from 370 ppm to 400 ppm during the same period, the so called global warming hiatus has been seized on by climate change skeptics as evidence the climate system is less sensitive to increasing amounts of greenhouse gases than previously was thought.¶ Xie said in the LiveScience piece, "In our model, we were able to show two forces: anthropogenic forces to raise global average temperature, and equatorial Pacific cooling, which tries to pull the temperature curve down, almost like in equilibrium,"¶ The effect is similar to the El Niño and La Niña cycles, which are parts of a natural oscillation in the ocean-atmosphere system that occur every three to four years, and can impact global weather and climate conditions, Xie explained.¶ El Niño is characterized by warmer-than-average temperatures in the waters of the equatorial Pacific Ocean, while La Niña typically features colder-than-average waters.¶ While global surface temperatures have not warmed significantly since 1998, other studies have shown that Earth's climate system continues to warm, with emerging evidence indicating that the deep oceans may be taking up much of the extra heat. Page 56 OTEC Solves Fossil Fuel OTEC is a game changer—causes a shift away from fossil fuels. Friedman, 2012 (Becca, Harvard Political Review, “Examining the Future of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” Ocean Energy Council, March 20, http://www.oceanenergycouncil.com/examining-future-ocean-thermal-energy-conversion/, nr) Were its vast potential harnessed, OTEC could change the face of energy consumption by causing a shift away from fossil fuels. Environmentally, such a transition would greatly reduce g reen h ouse g as emissions and decrease the rate of global warming . Geopolitically, having an alternative energy source could free the United States , and other countries, from foreign oil dependency. As Huang said, “We just cannot ignore oceanic energy, especially OTEC, because the ocean is so huge and the potential is so big… No matter who assesses, if you rely on fossil energy for the future, the future isn’t very bright…For the future, we have to look into renewable energy, look for the big resources, and the future is in the ocean.” • OTEC is the ONLY Viable Way to get Rid of Fossil Fuels Cole 2012 ( Barry, Executive Vice President OTEC International, LLC) “Draft Environmental Assessment OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION FACILITY KE‘AHOLE, NORTH KONA, HAWAI`I” 7/11/2012 Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) offers a sustainable alternative to fossil fuel-based technologies presently driving Hawai‘i’s energy economy. Unlike most of the renewable energy systems constructed and contemplated for deployment in Hawai‘i, OTEC is a base load, or firm power technology, producing electricity 24 hours a day, every day. Each megawatt of distributed OTEC power completely displaces equivalent power generated by fossil fuels, thereby precluding the need to import oil and coal that are both economically and environmentally costly. By contrast, non-firm power renewable technologies such as wind and solar photovoltaic do not eliminate the need to maintain fossil-fueled spinning reserve capacity for those times when wind and solar energy sources are absent or reduced. OTEC power facilities may be located in close proximity to major coastal cities with access to deep water. Unlike geothermal power in Hawai‘i, whose resources are restricted to certain areas of the Big Island, OTEC facilities would not require expensive inter-island cable systems to transmit power to load centers. OTEC could be used for our post fossil fuels future Vega 12, Luis A. (Hawaii Natural Energy Institute, School of Ocean And Earth Science And Technology, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, USA)"Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion." N.p., Aug. 2012. Web. 14 July 2014. http://hinmrec.hnei.hawaii.edu/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/OTEC-Summary-Aug-2012.pdf) The following Development Schedule (Table 10) can be used as an outline of the activities required to implement ocean thermal resources as a major source of energy for our post-fossil-fuels future. A pre-commercial plant would be implemented with government funding. The plant would be operational (supplying electricity to the distribution grid) within 5 years and would be operated for a few years to gather technical, as well as environmental impact information. Some of the valid questions regarding potential environmental impacts to the marine environment can only be answered by operating plants that are large enough to represent the commercial-size plants of the future. The design of the first commercial plant sized at 50–100 MW would be completed and optimized after the first year of operations with the pre-commercial plant. This would be followed, for example, with the installation of numerous plants in Hawai’i and US Insular Territories for a cumulative total of about 2,000 MW over 15-years. As indicated in Table 10, the design of the grazing factory plantships that would produce the fuels of the future (e.g., hydrogen and ammonia) could be initiated as early as 15-years after the development program is implemented. Page 57 Page 58 OTEC Solves Global Warming GW: The plan saves the environment—removes 80k tons of CO2 and provides power for 10k people Websdale, 2014 (Emma, environmental journalist and senior communication specialist at Ocean Thermal Energy Corporation, “5 Reasons Why Hundreds of People Think OTEC Is a Smart Investment,” Empower the Ocean, January 27, http://empowertheocean.com/otec-a-smart-investment/) More than 70% of the earth’s surface is covered by water, and over 80% of the sun’s energy is stored and replenished every day within surface waters -the equivalent of 4,000 times the energy used in the world per day. In just one 24-hour period, tropical ocean waters absorb solar radiation equal to the energy produced by 250 billion barrels of oil.¶ OTEC’s ability to help reduce our dependence on fossil fuels –one of the largest humaninduced contributors to climate change – is enormous . Just one 10-MW OTEC plant has been estimated to provide reliable clean energy for approximately 10,000 people and to replace the burning of 50,000 barrels of oil and release of 80,000 tons of carbon dioxide (CO2) per year into the atmosphere. When the collective benefits of numerous OTEC plants worldwide are calculated, this technology will clearly play a huge role in helping the global community fight pollution-related climate change. OTEC could halt global warming Baird, 2013 (Jim, engineer, inventor, and consultant at Lockheed-Martin, “OTEC can be a big Climate Influence, The Green Energy Collective, September 3 http://theenergycollective.com/jim-baird/267576/otec-can-be-big-global-climate-influence) Professor James Moum, physical oceanography, Oregon State University, commenting in LiveScience on the recently published study in the journal Nature Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling by Yu Kosaka & Shang-Ping Xie said, “Scientists have known that the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean takes in a significant amount of heat from the atmosphere, but this new study suggests this small portion of the world's oceans could have a big influence on global climate.”¶ As shown in the following diagram, this is the same area, which covers only about 8 percent of the globe's surface, with the greatest difference between surface water temperatures and those at a depth of 1000 meters and accordingly it is the best area for producing power by the process of ocean thermal energy conversion or (OTEC), which could replicate the surface cooling effect identified in the study that has caused the so called global warming hiatus of the past 15 years. GW: OTEC can offset warming—moves surface heat to deep water Baird, 2013 (Jim, engineer, inventor, and consultant at Lockheed-Martin, “OTEC can be a big Climate Influence, The Green Energy Collective, September 3 http://theenergycollective.com/jim-baird/267576/otec-can-be-big-global-climate-influence) The study estimates the 0 – 2000 meter layer of the World Oceans have warmed 0.09 C and if all of that heat was instantly transferred to the lower 10 km of the global atmosphere it would result in a volume mean warming of 36 C.¶ Conversely a significant amount of surface heat can be moved to the deeper ocean with OTEC without causing an undue increase in the temperature of the deep water.¶ Kevin Trenberth and colleagues at the National Center for Atmospheric Research reanalyzed ocean temperature records between 1958 and 2009 and found that about 30 percent of the extra heat has been absorbed by the oceans and mixed by winds and currents to a depth below about 2,300 feet.¶ Oceans are well-known to absorb more than 90 percent of the excess heat attributed to climate change, but its presence in the deep ocean "is fairly new, it is not there throughout the record," Trenberth said during a teleconference with NBC reporters in April. OTEC solves global warming, 2 mechanisms: zero energy emissions, ocean heat dissipation Baird, 2013 (Jim, engineer, inventor, and consultant at Lockheed-Martin, “OTEC can be a big Climate Influence, The Green Energy Collective, September 3 http://theenergycollective.com/jim-baird/267576/otec-can-be-big-global-climate-influence) Page 59 OTEC uses the temperature difference between cooler deep and warmer surface ocean waters to run a heat engine and produce useful work, usually in the form of electricity.¶ It too can have a big influence on global climate because it converts part of the accumulating ocean heat to work and about twenty times more heat is moved to the depths in a similar fashion to how Trenberth suggests the globalwarming hiatus has come about.¶ The more energy produced by OTEC – done properly the potential is 30 terawatts - the more the entire ocean will be cooled and that heat converted to work will not return as will be the case when the oceans stop soaking up global-warming’s excess.¶ Kevin Trenberth estimates the oceans will eat global warming for the next 20 years.¶ Asked if the oceans will come to our climate rescue he said, “That’s a good question, and the answer is maybe partly yes, but maybe partly no.” The oceans can at times soak up a lot of heat. Some goes into the deep oceans where it can stay for centuries. But heat absorbed closer to the surface can easily flow back into the air. That happened in 1998, which made it one of the hottest years on record. Since then, the ocean has mostly been back in one of its soaking-up modes.¶ “They probably can’t go for much longer than maybe 20 years, and what happens at the end of these hiatus periods, is suddenly there’s a big jump [in global-warming needs to be put on a permanent hiatus and the world needs more zero emissions energy.¶ OTEC provides both. temperature] up to a whole new level and you never go back to that previous level again,” Trenberth says. ¶ The bottom line is OTEC solves Global Warming and Drought Magesh ’10 (Associate with Coastal Energen Pvt. Lmt. Indian power supply company, Proceedings of the World Congress on Engineering 2010 Vol II WCE 2010, 7/2) Scientists all over the world are making ¶ predictions about the ill effects of Global warming and its ¶ consequences on the mankind. Conventional Fuel Fired Electric ¶ Power Stations contribute nearly 21.3% of the Global Green ¶ House Gas emission annually. Hence, an alternative for such ¶ Power Stations is a must to prevent global warming. One fine ¶ alternative that comes to the rescue is the Ocean thermal energy ¶ conversion (OTEC) Power Plant, the complete Renewable Energy ¶ Power Station for obtaining Cleaner and Greener Power. Even ¶ though the concept is simple and old, recently it has gained ¶ momentum due to worldwide search for clean continuous energy ¶ sources to replace the fossil fuels. The design of a 5 Megawatt ¶ OTEC Pre-commercial plant is clearly portrayed to brief the ¶ OTEC technical feasibility along with economic consideration ¶ studies for installing OTEC across the world. OTEC plant can be ¶ seen as a combined Power Plant and Desalination plant. ¶ Practically, for every Megawatt of power generated by hybrid ¶ OTEC plant, nearly 2.28 million litres of desalinated water is ¶ obtained every day. Its value is thus increased because many ¶ parts of the globe are facing absolute water scarcity. OTEC could ¶ produce enough drinking water to ease the crisis drought-stricken ¶ areas. The water can be used for local agriculture and industry, ¶ any excess water being given or sold to neighboring communities. OTEC solves warming-cools oceans Baird 13 (Jim Owner Global Warming Mitigation Method Company “OTEC Can Be a Big Global Climate Influence” 2013 Energy Collective http://theenergycollective.com/jim-baird/267576/otec-can-be-big-global-climate-influence) Professor James Moum, physical oceanography, Oregon State University, commenting in LiveScienceon the recently published study in the journal Nature Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling by Yu Kosaka & Shang-Ping Xie said, “Scientists have known that the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean takes in a significant amount of heat from the atmosphere, but this new study suggests this small portion of the world's oceans could have a big influence on global climate.” As shown in the following diagram, this is the same area, which covers only about 8 percent of the globe's surface, with the greatest difference between surface water temperatures and those at a depth of 1000 meters and accordingly it is the best area for producing power by (OTEC), which could replicate the surface cooling effect identified in the study that has caused the so called global warming hiatus of the past 15 years. According to the forthcoming U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report, the measured rate of warming the process of ocean thermal energy conversion or during the past 15 years was about 0.09°F per decade, which is a decline of over 40 percent from the 1901-2012 average which saw the planet warm by 1.6°F or .145°F per decade. Since carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere have increased from 370 ppm to 400 ppm during the same period, the so called global warming hiatus has been seized on by climate change skeptics as evidence the climate system is less sensitive to increasing amounts of greenhouse gases than previously was thought. Xie said in the LiveScience piece, "In our model, we were able to show two forces: anthropogenic forces to raise global average temperature, and The effect is similar to the El Niño and La Niña cycles, which are parts of a natural oscillation in the oceanatmosphere system that occur every three to four years, and can impact global weather and climate conditions, Xie explained. El Niño is characterized by warmer-than-average temperatures in the waters of the equatorial Pacific cooling, which tries to pull the temperature curve down, almost like in equilibrium," Page 60 equatorial Pacific Ocean, while La Niña typically features colder-than-average waters. While global surface temperatures have not warmed significantly since 1998, other studies have shown that Earth's climate system continues to warm, with emerging evidence indicating that the deep oceans may be taking up much of the extra heat. The following diagrams is from a paper World ocean heat content and thermosteric sea level change (0 – 2000 m), 1955 – 2010 by S. Levitus et al. The study estimates the 0 – 2000 meter layer of the World Oceans have warmed 0.09 C and if all of that heat was instantly transferred to the lower 10 km of the global atmosphere it would result in a volume mean warming of 36 C. Conversely a significant amount of surface heat can be moved to the deeper ocean with OTEC without causing an undue increase in the temperature of the deep water. Kevin Trenberth and colleagues at the National Center for Atmospheric Research reanalyzed ocean temperature records between 1958 and 2009 and found that about 30 percent of the extra heat has been absorbed by the oceans and mixed by winds and currents to a depth below about 2,300 feet. Oceans are well-known to absorb more than 90 percent of the excess heat attributed to climate change, but its presence in the deep ocean "is fairly new, it is not there throughout the record," Trenberth said during a teleconference with NBC reporters in April. To find out why, Trenberth’s team used a model that accounts for variables including ocean temperature, surface evaporation, salinity, winds and currents, and "It turns out there is a spectacular change in the surface winds which then get reflected in changing ocean currents that help to carry some of the warmer water down to this greater depth," Trenberth said. "This is especially true in the tropical tweaked the variables to determine what causes the warming at depth. Pacific Ocean and subtropics." The change in winds and currents, he added, appears related to a pattern of climate variability called the Pacific Decadal Oscillation which in turn is related to the frequency and intensity of the El Niño/La Niña phenomenon, which impacts weather patterns around the world. The oscillation shifted from a positive stage to a negative stage at the end of the extraordinarily large El Niño in 1997 and 1998. The negative stage of the oscillation is associated more with La Niñas, which is when the tropical Pacific Ocean is cooler and absorbs heat more readily, Trenberth explained. "So, some of this heat may come back in the next El Niño event … but some of it is probably contributing to the warming of the overall planet, the warming of the oceans. … It means that the planet is really warming up faster than we might have otherwise expected," he said. Even with this slowed rate of warming, the first decade of the 21st century was still the warmest decade since instrumental records began in 1850. Susan Solomon, a climate scientist at MIT, commenting on the Kosaka/Xie study said with respect to the prospect of less future warming due to lower climate sensitivity to greenhouse gases, “this is the least consistent prospect with observations, not just of the past OTEC uses the temperature difference between cooler deep and warmer surface ocean waters to run a heat engine and produce useful work, usually in the form of electricity. It too can have a big influence on global climate because it converts part of the accumulating ocean heat to work and about twenty times more heat is moved to the depths in a similar fashion to how Trenberth suggests the global-warming hiatus has come about. The more energy produced by OTEC – done properly the potential is 30 terawatts - the more the entire ocean will be cooled and that heat converted to work will not return as will be the case when the oceans stop soaking up global-warming’s excess. Kevin Trenberth estimates the oceans will eat global decade, but the previous 40 years." warming for the next 20 years. Asked if the oceans will come to our climate rescue he said, “That’s a good question, and the answer is maybe partly yes, but maybe partly no.” The oceans can at times soak up a lot of heat. Some goes into the deep oceans where it can stay for centuries. But heat absorbed closer to the surface can easily flow back into the air. That happened in 1998, which made it one of the hottest years on record. Since then, the ocean has mostly been back in one of its soaking-up modes. “They probably can’t go for much longer than maybe 20 years, and what happens at the end of these hiatus periods, is suddenly there’s a big jump [in temperature] up to a whole new level and you never go back to that previous level again,” Trenberth says. The bottom line is global-warming needs to be put on a permanent hiatus and the world needs more zero emissions energy. OTEC provides both. OTEC can help solve global warming. Baird 13(Jim, Patented Subductive Waste Disposal Method claimed by some the state-of-the-art and most viable solution to the problem of nuclear waste, “OTEC can be a Big Global Climate Influence.” TheEnergyCollective. 3 Sept 2013, http://theenergycollective.com/jim-baird/267576/otec-can-be-big-global-climate-influence) While global surface temperatures have not warmed significantly since 1998, other studies have shown that Earth's climate system continues to warm, with emerging evidence indicating that the deep oceans may be taking up much of the extra heat. The following diagrams is from a paper World ocean heat content and thermosteric sea level change (0 – 2000 m), 1955 – 2010 by S. Levitus et al. The study estimates the 0 – 2000 meter layer of the World Oceans have warmed 0.09 C and if all of that heat was instantly transferred to the lower 10 km of the global atmosphere it would result in a volume mean warming of 36 C. Conversely a significant amount of surface heat can be moved to the Page 61 deeper ocean with OTEC without causing an undue increase in the temperature of the deep water. Kevin Trenberth and colleagues at the National Center for Atmospheric Research reanalyzed ocean temperature records between 1958 and 2009 and found that about 30 percent of the extra heat has been absorbed by the oceans and mixed by winds and currents to a depth below about 2,300 feet. Oceans are well-known to absorb more than 90 percent of the excess heat attributed to climate change, but its presence in the deep ocean "is fairly new, it is not there throughout the record," Trenberth said during a teleconference with NBC reporters in April. To find out why, Trenberth’s team used a model that accounts for variables including ocean temperature, surface evaporation, salinity, winds and currents, and tweaked the variables to determine what causes the warming at depth. OTEC solves for warming and renewables. Baird 13(Jim, Patented Subductive Waste Disposal Method claimed by some the state-of-the-art and most viable solution to the problem of nuclear waste, “OTEC can be a Big Global Climate Influence.” TheEnergyCollective. 3 Sept 2013, http://theenergycollective.com/jim-baird/267576/otec-can-be-big-global-climate-influence) Kevin Trenberth estimates the oceans will eat global warming for the next 20 years. Asked if the oceans will come to our climate rescue he said, “That’s a good question, and the answer is maybe partly yes, but maybe partly no.” The oceans can at times soak up a lot of heat. Some goes into the deep oceans where it can stay for centuries. But heat absorbed closer to the surface can easily flow back into the air. That happened in 1998, which made it one of the hottest years on record. Since then, the ocean has mostly been back in one of its soaking-up modes. “They probably can’t go for much longer than maybe 20 years, and what happens at the end of these hiatus periods, is suddenly there’s a big jump [in temperature] up to a whole new level and you never go back to that previous level again,” Trenberth says. The bottom line is global-warming needs to be put on a permanent hiatus and the world needs more zero emissions energy. OTEC provides both. OTEC solves energy and climate change. Baird 13(Jim, Patented Subductive Waste Disposal Method claimed by some the state-of-the-art and most viable solution to the problem of nuclear waste, “OTEC and Energy Innovation: The Willie Sutton Approach” TheEnergyCollective. 15 May 2013, http://theenergycollective.com/jim-baird/221801/energy-willie-suttonwill-rogers-approach) Richard Smalley, Nobel Laureate in Chemistry, estimated a population of 10 billion by the year 2050 will require as much as 60 terawatts to meet its needs, including massive desalination. To produce this 60 terawatts with either fission or fusion an additional 120 terawatts of waste heat would be produced, most of which would end up in the ocean, exacerbating thermal expansion and accelerating the collapse of the West Antarctic ice sheet. Solar panels, wind and hydro do not produce waste heat but neither do they remedy sea level rise, thermal runaway or our dying oceans. Only one energy source, Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) converts accumulating ocean heat to energy, produces renewable energy 24/7, eliminates carbon emissions, and increases carbon dioxide absorption (cooler water absorbs more CO2). Page 62 OTEC decreases CO2 OTEC Turns CO2 to FuelCole 2012 (Barry, Executive Vice President OTEC International, LLC) “Draft Environmental Assessment OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION FACILITY KE‘AHOLE, NORTH KONA, HAWAI`I” 7/11/2012 http://www.oteci.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA-071012_reduced.pdf MELE has a Cooperative Research and Development Agreement (CRADA) with the Naval Research Laboratory (NRL) to work on a Synthetic Fuel Process System. The synthetic fuel process system is comprised of two major units (each with a number of components). The first unit is a carbon capture skid that is designed to extract CO2 gas from seawater and generate hydrogen gas. The H2 and CO2 are used in the second unit (synthetic fuel processing) which consists of two significant closed components (chemical process reactors) in series. By 2014 the proponent hopes to have scaled-up a seawater CO2 extraction skid for co-location on site with the one (1) MW OTI OTEC process. The skid will be about 5’ high x 10’ wide x 10’ deep and it will use about 150,000 gallons per day of seawater, about 15,000 gallon/day freshwater, and 25 kilowatts hours per day of electricity. The freshwater will be created from seawater by an evaporative process or through condensation. About 10 gallons of synthetic fuel will be produced per day. To produce this amount of fuel 230m3/day of H2 and about 75m3/day of CO2 is needed. If temporary storage of CO2 and H2 gases is needed, the gases will separately be compressed slightly and stored in gas tanks until used in the fuel conversion process. The processed fuel will be temporarily stored in an above ground 500 gallon tank. The fuel will be trucked to another site for use or the fuel will be used to run auxiliary equipment. OTEC aids in energy savings, and reduce carbon footprint SBI, 2009 (Ocean Energy Technologies World Wide “Ocean energy technologies & component worldwide”; June 1,2009; http://www.sbireports.com/ocean-energytechnologies-1928480/) Researchers at NELHA propose that the cold seawater collected from deep ocean depths be used as the chiller fluid in air conditioning systems. Because the deep ocean water does not need to be cooled by the system, there is ample opportunity for energy savings and carbon footprint reduction. One estimate from the NELHA suggests that it would require only 360kW of pumping power to cool 5800 average sized rooms with cold ocean water. A conventional AC system would use 5000kW. Given the energy costs in Hawaii, such an AC system would offer substantial savings and a relatively quick return on investment of perhaps just 3 to 5 years. OTEC can solve for CO2. Barry 08(Christopher B., a naval architect and co-chair of the Society of Naval Architects and Marine Engineers ad hoc panel on ocean renewable energy, Works for the Coast Guard. “Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion and CO2 Sequestration.” Renewable Energy World .Com. 1 July 2008. http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2008/07/ocean-thermalenergy-conversion-and-co2-sequestration-52762) However, deep cold water is laden with nutrients. In the tropics, the warm surface waters are lighter than the cold water and act as a cap to keep the nutrients in the deeps. This is why there is much less life in the tropical ocean than in coastal waters or near the poles. The tropical ocean is only fertile where there is an upwelling of cold water. One such upwelling is off the coast of Peru, where the Peru (or Humboldt) Current brings up nutrient laden waters. In this area, with lots of solar energy and nutrients, ocean fertility is about 1800 grams of carbon uptake per square meter per year, compared to only 100 grams typically. This creates a rich fishery, but most of the carbon eventually sinks to the deeps in the form of waste products and dead microorganisms. This process is nothing new; worldwide marine microorganisms currently sequester about forty billion metric tonnes of carbon per year. They are the major long term sink for carbon dioxide. In a recent issue of Nature, Lovelock and Rapley suggested using wave-powered pumps to bring up water from the deeps to sequester Page 63 carbon. But OTEC also brings up prodigious amounts of deep water and can do the same thing. In one design, a thousand cubic meters of water per second are required to produce 70 MW of net output power. We can make estimates of fertility enhancement and sequestration, but a guess is that an OTEC plant designed to optimize nutrification might produce 10,000 metric tonnes of carbon dioxide sequestration per year per MW. The recent challenge by billionaire Sir Richard Branson is to sequester one billion tonnes of carbon dioxide per year in order to halt global warming, so an aggressive OTEC program, hundreds of several hundred MW plants might meet this. In economic terms, optimistic guesses at OTEC plant costs are in the range of a million dollars per MW. Since a kilowatt-hour (kWh) of electricity generated by coal produces about a kilogram of carbon dioxide, a carbon tax of one to two cents per kWh might cover the capital costs of an OTEC plant in carbon credits alone. The equivalent in gasoline tax would be ten to twenty cents per gallon. With gasoline above three dollars per gallon and electricity above ten cents per kilowatt, these are not entirely unreasonable charges. Page 64 OTEC reduces GHGs OTEC could minimize greenhouse gas emissions Vega 12, Luis A. (Hawaii Natural Energy Institute, School of Ocean And Earth Science And Technology, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, USA)"Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion." N.p., Aug. 2012. Web. 14 July 2014. http://hinmrec.hnei.hawaii.edu/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/OTEC-Summary-Aug-2012.pdf) The vast size of the ocean thermal resource and the baseload capability of OTEC systems remain very promising aspects of the technology for many island and coastal communities across tropical latitudes. For example, OTEC plants could supply all the electricity and potable water consumed in the State of Hawaii throughout the year and at all times of the day. This is an indigenous renewable energy resource that can pro- vide a high degree of energy security and minimize green house gas emissions . This statement is also applicable to all US Insular Territories (e.g., American Samoa, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico). With the development of electric vehicles, OTEC could also supply all electricity required to support land transportation. The resource is plentiful enough to meet additional electricity demand equivalent to several times present consumption. Please see section “Site Selection Criteria for OTEC Plants” for further information. Page 65 OTEC Solves Diesel OTEC could be a great alternative to diesel imports Kempenar & Neumann ’14 (Ruud, postdoctoral research fellow in the Belfer Center's Energy Research, Development, Demonstration & Deployment, Frank, IMIEU Director Institute for Infrastructure, Environment and Innovation, June 2014, “OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY BRIEF”, http://www.irena.org/DocumentDownloads/Publications/Ocean_Thermal_Energy_V4_web.pdf) The economic potential for OTEC is not only determined by the quality of the OTEC resources, but also on the needs from the different countries. Many island states are dependent on diesel imports for electricity generation, which has an important impact on their economies and results in electricity generation prices of more than USD 0.30/kWh. For these countries, OTEC makes for an attractive alternative especially if it can be combined with freshwater production. At the same time, many island states are isolated and have limited logistical access to the rest of the world. Shipping of components and construction personnel might increase costs and result in construction delays. For industrialized countries and for countries with rapidly increasing electricity demand, the scaling of OTEC plants become an important parameter. Feasibility studies suggest that there are considerable economies of scale, however building OTEC plants beyond 10 MW has yet to be tried. Page 66 Ad 2 Water War Extensions Page 67 Now k/ time We are at the brink of collapse for food and energy. Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 25-26) The primary commodities that support mankind are food and energy. So far, we have always obtained these staples at the expense of the environment. Originally, we got food by hunting animals and gathering plants directly from the food chain. This was so destructive of resources, however, that we could sustain ourselves only through nomadic wandering. Our numbers eventually grew so large that we could no longer wander freely enough to allow nature time to heal. We settled in fixed places and used agriculture to increase food production enough to keep pace with our expanding population. But agriculture demanded that we bend the environment to our will. We cleared forests and put grasslands to the plow. We appropriated the grazing for our hers and we exterminated the predators that preyed on them. We dammed rivers, flooded valleys, and ran irrigation networks across the landscape. In so doing, we changed utterly and forever the face of the earth. ¶ Energy is much like food. We have always supplied most of our growing needs for energy by burning organic fuels. (Renewable hydro-power and nuclear energy have made contributions in the past, but in the future these will be relatively small, and not without cost to the environment. Hydro dams dramatically alter the landscape, and nuclear power produces poisons of such lethality and longevity that they will still be deadly 20,000 years from now.) Wood is a historic mainstay of human energy consumption, but the effect of strip-mining this resource beyond its sustainable yield is fatal. The biggest problem, of course, is with fossil fuels. The industrial exhalations of acids and carbon dioxide produced by burning these fuels have already done substantial harm to the world’s environment. Acid rain is increasingly killing the forests of the North, and accumulating CO2 may be pushing us into an uncharted realm of higher global temperatures. If we try to supply the energy needs of 10 billion people—all desiring comfort, mobility, and sustenance—by burning the remaining stocks of fossil fuels, we surely face an environmental catastrophe. The planet simply can’t stand 10 billion people all burning coal and gasoline like Americans. ¶ We are perilously close to toppling the delicate balance of life already. If we destroy what little remains of the natural biosphere to support ourselves, we will surely push this planed over the brink. If we continue to rip resources from the Earth at the expense of the biosphere—essentially tearing them out of Mother Earth’s hide—then the rise in our numbers and living standards will inevitably destroy the planet’s viability as a human habitat. We Must Make Changes In Our H20 Use Ingham & Lucas 2014 (RICHARD INGHAM, ANTHONY LUCAS, AGENCE FRANCE PRESSE)“The World's Water Scarcity Problem Is Bad And Getting Worse” http://www.businessinsider.com/map-the-worlds-water-scarcity-problem-is-bad-and-gettingworse-2014-5#ixzz37UtjMJcy MAY 13, 2014 Failing a slowdown in population growth or a swift solution to global warming, the main answers for addressing the water crunch lie in efficiency.In some countries of the Middle East, between 15 and 60 percent of water disappears through leaks or evaporation even before the consumer turns the tap. Building desalination plants on coasts in dry regions may sound tempting, "but their water can cost up to 30 times more than ordinary water," notes Jimenez-Cisneros. Efficiency options include smarter irrigation, crops that are less thirsty or drought-resilient, power stations that do not extract vast amounts of water for cooling, and consumer participation, such as flushing toilets with "grey" water, meaning used bath or shower water. Above all, the message will be: don't waste even a single drop. Page 68 UQ: Water Scarcity Water Scarcity NowIngham & Lucas 2014 (RICHARD INGHAM, ANTHONY LUCAS, AGENCE FRANCE PRESSE)“The World's Water Scarcity Problem Is Bad And Getting Worse” http://www.businessinsider.com/map-the-worlds-water-scarcity-problem-is-bad-and-gettingworse-2014-5#ixzz37UtjMJcy MAY 13, 2014 By the end of this century, billions are likely to be gripped by water stress and the stuff of life could be an unseen driver of conflict. So say hydrologists who forecast that on present trends, freshwater faces a double crunch -- from a population explosion, which will drive up demand for food and energy, and the impact of climate change. "Approximately 80 percent of the world's population already suffers serious threats to its water security, as measured by indicators including water availability, water demand and pollution," the Nobel-winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) warned in a landmark report in March. Water Demand Will Soar By Mid-CenturyIngham & Lucas 2014 (RICHARD INGHAM, ANTHONY LUCAS, AGENCE FRANCE PRESSE)“The World's Water Scarcity Problem Is Bad And Getting Worse” http://www.businessinsider.com/map-the-worlds-water-scarcity-problem-is-bad-and-gettingworse-2014-5#ixzz37UtjMJcy MAY 13, 2014 Already today, around 768 million people do not have access to a safe, reliable source of water and 2.5 billion do not have decent sanitation. Around a fifth of the world's aquifers are depleted. Jump forward in your imagination to mid-century, when the world's population of about 7.2 billion is expected to swell to around 9.6 billion. By then, global demand for water is likely to increase by a whopping 55 percent, according to the United Nations' newly published World Water Development Report. More than 40 percent of the planet's population will be living in areas of "severe" water stress, many of them in the broad swathe of land that runs along north Africa, the Middle East and western South Asia. Water Scarcity NowIngham & Lucas 2014 (RICHARD INGHAM, ANTHONY LUCAS, AGENCE FRANCE PRESSE)“The World's Water Scarcity Problem Is Bad And Getting Worse” http://www.businessinsider.com/map-the-worlds-water-scarcity-problem-is-bad-and-gettingworse-2014-5#ixzz37UtjMJcy MAY 13, 2014 By the end of this century, billions are likely to be gripped by water stress and the stuff of life could be an unseen driver of conflict. So say hydrologists who forecast that on present trends, freshwater faces a double crunch -- from a population explosion, which will drive up demand for food and energy, and the impact of climate change. "Approximately 80 percent of the world's population already suffers serious threats to its water security, as measured by indicators including water availability, water demand and pollution," the Nobel-winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) warned in a landmark report in March. Water Disappearing Faster than Waldo Pickens ‘10 T. Boone Newsweek cover American business magnate and financier. Pickens chairs the hedge fund BP Capital Management. He was a well-known takeover operator and corporate raider during the 1980s. http://www.fewresources.org/waterscarcity-issues-were-running-out-of-water.html. Page 69 By 2025, 1.8 billion people will experience absolute water scarcity, and 2/3 of the world will be living under water-stressed conditions . Scarcity can take two forms: there is an important distinction drawn in this discussion between Physical Water Scarcity and Economic Water Scarcity By 2030, almost half the world will live under conditions of high water stress. One of the more frequently cited statistics in discussions of water availability is the fact that only around 2.5% of the Earth's water is freshwater . The overwhelming amount of water is saline or salt water, mostly found in the oceans. non-ocean life, Of the 2.5% of freshwater available for the support of human life, agriculture, and most forms of 30.1% is groundwater . Groundwater is the water stored deep beneath the Earth's surface in underground aquifers. Another 68.6% freshwater on Earth is in of all freshwater is stored in glaciers and polar caps . That leaves only 1.3% surface water sources such as of the total lakes, rivers, and streams . But it is surface water humans and other species rely upon for their biological needs. Even the bulk of surface water on Earth is found in snow and ice - approximately 73.1%. Surface water found in lakes, rivers and streams accounts for just over another 20%. And yet, when we (humans) think about our needs for water we spend most of our time thinking about the surface water found in lakes and rivers and the vast watersheds within which they and their tributaries are found. It is on the basis of a consideration of such a narrow set of all freshwater resources that we plan the location of our cities, derive most of our drinking water, build waterways for transporting people and goods, pipe vast quantities very long distances for agricultural purposes (e.g., from Lake Mead to the California Central Valley), and worry most focally about whenever we do pause to worry about water pollution and water-related environmental degradation. Groundwater is the hidden resource behind what is visible in any ordinary landscape. Groundwater located in shallow and deep aquifers feeds the lakes and streams. Rainwater infiltrates the subsoil and replenishes groundwater supplies. Just how much replenishment of aquifers within the normal operation of the hydrologic cycle depends on a number of variables. Some precipitation evaporates, especially under arid and hot conditions. Some water flows into streams and rivers but does not infiltrate deeply. It becomes runoff that moves directly into the ocean, taking a greater part of the available water from the hydrologic cycle that might have remained within the stock of available freshwater . Two major sources of disruption of the hydrological cycle are warming produced by climate change and features of the "built environment" that induce more runoff. When climate change results in hotter, more arid surface conditions it prevents both infiltration needed for replenishment of deep reserves and reduces the surface water available for immediate uses such as agriculture or filling reservoirs for drinking water. Changes in the built environment, such as the creation of mass concentrations of "hardscape" - asphalt and concrete - as well as the destruction of watershed timberlands, marshes, and wetlands, ease the path for more rapid runoff such that more rainfall end up going straight to the sea. Things are changing globally. On the one hand, there is good news. As the discusion below on the 7th Millenium Goal indicates, fewer people globally lack access to potable water than they did 30 years ago. Indeed, the percentage was cut in half. On the other hand, long term trends are not encouraging. The most recent WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme for Water Supply and Sanitation (JMP) biennial report on the progress towards the drinking-water and sanitation target under Millennium Development Goal 7 - halving the proportion of the population without sustainable access to safe drinking water and basic sanitation between 1990 and 2015 - . was met in 2010, five years ahead of schedule. However, estimated 780 million [people] still an lacked safe drinking water in 2010 , and the world is unlikely to meet the MDG sanitation target. The consensus is that there will be more or less the same aggregate available water resources in 2050 as there was in 2007, but there will be far more people on the planet. As the maps projecting through 2025 indicate, the reduced availability of freshwater for all uses will not be distributed equally across the globe. The main areas to face greater losses are the Equatorial regions, which are already among the most water stressed areas. These areas tend to be the parts of the world most dependent on rainfall rather than irrigation as the basis for agriculture. Rain dependent agricultural areas are at much greater risk of crop failure. They are among the least productive farmlands in the world. According to the FAO, irrigation increases yields of most crops by 100 to 400 percent, and irrigated agriculture currently contributes to 40 percent of the world's food production. The hottest, driest regions of the world, then, are already at a significant disadvantage in the efforts to meet their own food needs, but even as early as 2020, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts yields from rain-dependent agriculture could be down by 50 percent. Discussions of water scarcity, water stress, or other ways of accounting for future challenges are not as straightforward as they might appear. The distinction between economic and physical scarcity is one important factor to keep in mind. Here are some other important observations by Frank R. Rijsberman of the International Water Management Institute:"What is water scarcity? When an individual does not have access to safe and affordable water to satisfy her or his needs for drinking, washing or their livelihoods we call that person water insecure. When a large number of people in an area are water insecure for a significant period of time, then we can call that area water scarce. It is important to note, however, that there is no commonly accepted definition of water scarcity. Whether an area qualifies as “water scarce” depends on, for instance: a) how people’s needs are defined – and whether the needs of the environment, the water for nature, are taken into account in that definition; b) what fraction of the resource is made available, or could be made available, to satisfy these needs; c) the temporal and spatial scales used Page 70 to define scarcity."You can read his intriguing and illuminating paper, "Water Scarcity: Fact or Fiction?" from the website of the 4th International Crop Science Congress. " Water scarcity is among the main problems to be faced by many societies and the World in the 21st century. Water use has been growing at more than twice the rate of population increase in the last century, increasing number of regions are chronically short of water." and, although there is no global water scarcity as such, an Water scarcity is both a natural and a human- made phenomenon. There is enough freshwater on the planet for six billion people but it is distributed unevenly and too much of it is wasted, polluted and unsustainably managed ." A 2012 study of global groundwater depletion published in Nature demonstrates how some of the planet's largest underground aquifers are now being depleted by irrigation and other uses faster than they can be replenished by rainwater. The Abstract of the paper, "Water balance of global aquifers revealed by groundwater footprint," summarizes the key finding: "Most assessments of global water resources have focused on surface water, but unsustainable depletion of groundwater has recently been documented on both regional and global scales . It remains unclear how the rate of global groundwater depletion compares to the rate of natural renewal and the supply needed to support ecosystems. Here we define the groundwater footprint (the area required to sustain groundwater use and groundwater-dependent ecosystem services) and show that humans are overexploiting groundwater in many large aquifers that are critical to agriculture, especially in Asia and North America. We estimate that the size of the global groundwater footprint is currently about 3.5 times the actual area of aquifers and that about 1.7 billion people live in areas where groundwater resources and/or groundwater-dependent ecosystems are under threat. That said, 80 per cent of aquifers have a groundwater footprint that is less than their area, meaning that the net global value is driven by a few heavily overexploited aquifers." Our modern industrial system of agriculture poses still further challenges both because of its impact on our ability to meet our needs for freshwater and because it is in itself an increasingly carbon-intensive enterprise. The use of fertilizers and pesticides that has been largely responsible for the massive increase in yield per acre since WWII, but it requires far more water per acre than traditional forms of agriculture. The FAO estimates that 70% of the world's water is used for agricultural purposes . The graphic on the right shows that it takes approximately 15,000 litres of water to produce one kilogram of meat. That compares to approximately 1,500 litres to produce a kilogram of wheat. Approximately 3,000 litres per day are needed to satisfy a person's daily nutritional needs - that estimate, of course, depends on the foods that are used to meet those needs. One recent study suggests that in some places energy production may be overtaking agriculture as the primary user of water . Burning Our Rivers: The Water Footprint of Electricity, a 2012 report by River Network attempts to summarize what is known about the water footprint of various modes of electrical power production. Here are some of their findings in the US setting. One striking conclusion is that in the US "electricity production by coal, nuclear and natural gas power plants is the fastest-growing use of freshwater in the U.S., accounting for more than about ½ of all fresh, surface water withdrawals from rivers and lakes . This is more than any other economic sector, including agriculture." Page 71 Link: OTEC solves Water Wars OTEC provides potable water for billions—and it’s cost effective Websdale, 2014 (Emma, environmental journalist and senior communication specialist at Ocean Thermal Energy Corporation, “5 Reasons Why Hundreds of People Think OTEC Is a Smart Investment,” Empower the Ocean, January 27, http://empowertheocean.com/otec-a-smart-investment/) Over the last two decades, OTEC’s electricity pricing has become increasingly competitive, particularly imported fossil fuels have raised the price of electricity to the range of $0.30-$0.60/kWh. OTEC’s capacity for producing enormous quantities of potable water as another revenue stream substantially improves the economic attractiveness of this technology. in tropical island countries where OTEC is a boon—creates potable water, sustains aquaculture, nourishes ag lands, and could generate enormous amounts of energy Griset, 2011 (Todd J., associate at Preti Flaherty’s Energy and Telecommunications group, where he represents renewable energy firms, “Harnessing the Ocean’s Power: Opportunities in Renewable Ocean Energy Resources,” Ocean and Coastal Law Journal 16 [2011]: 395, l/n) Unlike the previous technologies which capture kinetic energy embodied in a moving fluid, ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) uses temperature gradients within ocean waters to generate usable power . In essence, OTEC harnesses the solar energy stored in the ocean's waters by using the temperature difference between warm surface water and cold deep water to spin a turbine and generator. n54 OTEC systems can be divided into two categories: open systems and closed systems. In a closed OTEC system, warm surface water is used to boil a working fluid within a closed loop of pipes. n55 Because the working fluid must have a low boiling point, project designs typically use ammonia as the working fluid. n56 The vapor produced is used to generate electricity by spinning a turbine connected to a generator. n57 After the vaporized working fluid passes through the turbine, it flows into a condenser cooled by cold water from deeper in the water column. n58 The re-condensed working fluid can then be reused by sending it back to the warmer surface waters.¶ In an open OTEC system, sea water itself is used as the working fluid. n59 Warm surface water is sent into a series of evaporators, where it is turned into steam. n60 As in a closed OTEC system, the steam is used to produce electricity by spinning a turbine and generator, after which the steam is condensed by contact with cold, deeper water. n61 The re-condensed water can either be recycled in the system, or can be diverted to other uses. n62 Because the evaporation process leaves salts and other [*405] solutes behind, open OTEC systems can operate as desalination plants; the re-condensed water can be used for irrigation, potable water supply, or other freshwater uses such as aquaculture, n63 providing an additional useful product from open OTEC systems beyond electricity. For example, the Natural Energy Laboratory of Hawaii Authority (NELHA) operates a 210 kilowatt (gross) capacity open OTEC system between 1992 and 1998 by at Keahole Point in Hawaii. After deducting the power needed to pump cold, deep seawater ashore, NELHA's system produced a maximum net power of 103 kilowatts, as well as approximately six gallons per minute of desalinated water. n64 OTEC systems can also be used to provide space cooling; for example, although Keahole Point does not currently have an operating OTEC plant, its OTEC system provides about fifty tons of air conditioning by pumping cold seawater ashore, offsetting approximately 200 kilowatts of peak electrical demand. n65 OTEC solves potable water crisis Celestopea 99 (Celestopea, “Ocean Thermal Energy Converter” 2014 http://www.celestopea.com/OTEC.htm) OTEC's will also be used to desalinate sea water, to produce completely pure drinking water. OTEC's set up off the coast of Africa, Australia and the Middle East can provide copious amounts of fresh water. Not only will this allow deserts to blossom as roses, but it will also remove scarce water supplies as a thorn of contention among nations. A 2 megawatt (net) OTEC will produce 4300 cubic meters of desalinated water each day by condensing the spent steam created in the electrical generation process on the cold sea water intake pipes. OTEC creates water—and the US is a leader in the field SBI, 2009 (Ocean Energy Technologies World Wide “Ocean energy technologies & component worldwide,” Available online in PDF). Page 72 Both the open and hybrid OTEC cycles can be used to produce ample amounts of pure, potable water. Island communities and nations would benefit the most from OTEC desalination by cutting down on the cost of accessing, transporting or desalinating potable water. The U.S. Navy is actively pursuing the benefits of OTEC desalination at the Navy Support Facility Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean. They estimate that a 7 MW OTEC plant will produce 1.25 million gallons of potable water per day. OTEC technology desalinates water, creating drinking water for communities SBI, 2009 (Ocean Energy Technologies World Wide “Ocean energy technologies & component worldwide” June 1,2009; http://www.sbireports.com/ocean-energy-technologies1928480/) Both the open and hybrid OTEC cycles can be used to produce ample amounts of pure, potable water. Island communities and nations would benefit the most from OTEC desalination by cutting down on the cost of accessing, transporting or desalinating potable water. The U.S. Navy is actively pursuing the benefits of OTEC desalination at the Navy Support Facility Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean. They estimate that a 7 MW OTEC plant will produce 1.25 million gallons of potable water per day. OTEC solves hunger and water crises Thomas 13 (G.P., Editor-in-Chief of AZoM and AZoMining. Graduated from the University of Manchester with a first-class honours degree in Geochemistry and a Masters in Earth Sciences. “Ocean Thermal Energy: An Untapped Resource.” The A to Z of Clean Technology. 12 Dec 2013. http://www.azocleantech.com/article.aspx?ArticleID=252) There are several great advantages to ocean thermal energy. Perhaps the most important of these is that it produces fresh water as a by-product. In an open-cycle system, when the surface water is vaporised, it precipitates out all of its salt, so once the vapour is condensed again it is drinkable. This could potentially solve many water shortage crises in communities across the planet. The cold water pipes can also be beneficial to agriculture, as the temperature difference between warm plant leaves and cool roots produced by the cold pipe passing through the soil leads to temperate plants thriving in the subtropics. Aquaculture is yet another important byproduct. As nutrient-rich deep water is brought to the surface, it fertilises the ocean via artificial upwelling. This can lead to a thriving ecosystem around the conversion plant, and farmable fish can also be introduced into areas that they would not have previously survived in. Air conditioning can also be produced from the system, as the cold water taken from depth can be directly input into an air conditioning unit. Furthermore, it is a renewable energy, and one that never stops producing energy, unlike wind for example. Not only is OTEC great for energy efficiency, but can solve for hunger and global warming through carbon sequestration. Christopher Barry, 2008. (Christopher Barry is a naval architect and co-chair of the Society of Naval Architects and Marine Engineers ad hoc panel on ocean renewable energy.; “Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion and CO2 Sequestration,”; renewenergy.wordpress.com/2008/07/01/ocean-thermal-energy-conversion-and-co2-sequestration/.) Page 73 Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) extracts solar energy through a heat engine operating across the temperature difference between warm surface water and cold deep water. In the tropics, surface waters are above 80°F, but at ocean depths of about 1,000 meters, water temperatures are just above freezing everywhere in the ocean. This provides a 45 to 50°F temperature differential that can be used to extract energy from the surface waters. Of course, with such a low differential, the Carnot efficiencies of such a scheme are very low; for a system operating between 85°F and 35°F the maximum theoretical efficiency is only 9.2% and real efficiencies will be less. Regardless , OTEC has been demonstrated as a technically feasible method of generating energy. There are a number of different concepts for the heat engine including low temperature difference Stirling cycle engines and direct use of water vapor derived from the surface waters that is condensed with the cold water, but most concepts have a Rankine cycle using a fluid with a low boiling point. It works like this: Warm water is used to heat a fluid such as ammonia to vapor. The vapor then runs through a turbine to generate power and the cold water is used to condense it. Let’s use ammonia as an example. Ammonia boils at 85°F and 166 psi and condenses at 35°F and 66 psi. This gives us 100 psi to run a turbine. However the big advantage is that OTEC is a solar power system with no collector — the ocean itself is the collector. This means it also is available constantly. However, deep cold water is laden with nutrients. In the tropics, the warm surface waters are lighter than the cold water and act as a cap to keep the nutrients in the deeps. This is why there is much less life in the tropical ocean than in coastal waters or near the poles. The tropical ocean is only fertile where there is an upwelling of cold water. We can make estimates of fertility enhancement and sequestration, but a guess is that an OTEC plant designed to optimize nutrification might produce 10,000 metric tonnes of carbon dioxide sequestration per year per MW. The recent challenge by billionaire Sir Richard Branson is to sequester one billion tonnes of carbon dioxide per year in order to halt global warming, so an aggressive OTEC program, hundreds of several hundred MW plants might meet this. There might be an additional benefit: Another saying is “ we aren’t trying to solve world hunger,” but we may have. Increased ocean fertility may enhance fisheries substantially. In addition, by using OTEC energy to make nitrogen fertilizers, we can improve agriculture in the developing world. OTEC fertilizer could be sold to developing countries at a subsidy in exchange for using the tropic oceans. If we can solve the challenges of OTEC, especially carbon sequestration, it would seem that the Branson Challenge is met, and we have saved the earth, plus solving world hunger. OTEC creates both power and drinking water. Michaelis and Chadwick 08(Dominic and Alex, Trevor Copper-, Dominic Michaelis is an architect and engineer. He and his architect son Alex are developing the energy island concept with Trevor Cooper-Chadwick of Southampton University, “Could Sea Power Solve the Energy Crisis.” The Telegraph. 8 Jan 2008, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/sciencenews/3320901/Could-sea-power-solve-the-energy-crisis.html) The "open cycle" version offers the added benefit of producing drinking water as a by-product. Warm seawater is introduced into a vacuum chamber, in which it will boil more easily, leaving behind salt and generating steam to turn a turbine. Once it has left the turbine, the steam enters a condensing chamber cooled by water from the depths, in which large quantities of desalinated water are produced - 1.2 million litres for every megawatt of energy. A 250MW plant (a sixth of the capacity of the new coal-fired power station that has just won planning permission in Kent) could produce 300 million litres of drinking water a day, enough to fill a supertanker. Using electrolysis, it would also be possible to produce hydrogen fuel. Page 74 OTEC key to lithium extraction and water conversion Sugimori (Jun, staff writer, “Power from the sea a step closer”) http://www.arcadis.nl/pers/Large_scale_generation_of_tidal_energy_in_China_edges_closer_wit h_ARCADIS_help.aspx Technology developed in Japan is now able to generate electricity and produce fresh water from seawater more efficiently and at a lower cost than before, edging the technology closer to practical use.¶ Ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC)--although currently cost-ineffective--is expected to be not only a source of renewable energy, but a way to collect lithium from the sea. ¶ Former Saga University President Haruo Uehara, a pioneer in the OTEC field, has created the Uehara cycle, a technological discovery that may have opened the door to practical use of OTEC. ¶ The Uehara cycle generates energy by making use of the difference in temperature between deep and shallow seawater. Warm, surface seawater about 25 C is used to vaporize a fluid with a low boiling point, often ammonia, which turns a turbine to generate electricity. Then, cold seawater-about 5 C--from 800 meters below the surface is used to condense the vapor back into a liquid. ¶ The system was conceived more than 130 years ago by a French scientist. Since then, a Japanese electricity company has succeeded in generating power using OTEC on a small scale, but has found it difficult to commercialize due to inefficiency. ¶ Uehara, 70, has researched OTEC since 1973.¶ "There're places in the world with no water or electricity. I wanted to do something good for other people," Uehara said. Page 75 Impact: Water Wars Water Scarcity Causes War Eckstein ’09 (Gabriel, Professor of Law, the George W. McCleskey Chair in Water Law, and Director of the Center for Water Law & Policy at the Texas Tech University School of Law, “WATER SCARCITY, CONFLICT, AND SECURITY IN A CLIMATE CHANGE WORLD: CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR INTERNATIONAL LAW AND POLICY,” 2009.http://www.lexisnexis.com/hottopics/lnacademic/) Although based more on his personal experience rather than historical analysis, Ismail Serageldin, former vice president "If the wars of this century were fought over oil, the wars of the next century will be fought over water." Philip of The World bank and first chair of the Global Water Partnership, bluntly declared in 1995 that Hirsch, Governing Water as a Common Good in the Mekong River Basin: Issues of Scale, Transforming Cultures eJournal 104 (2006), http://epress.lib.uts.edu.au/journals/index.php/TfC/article/vie w/256/254; see also Michel, supra note 73, at 76 (quoting former UN Secretary General Boutros Boutros-Ghali when he was yet Egypt's Minister of State for Foreign Affairs as stating that "the next war in the Middle East will be fought over water, not politics" ).In that same address, during a UN Security Council debate on the impact of climate change on peace and security, the Secretary General also offered "alarming, though not alarmist" examples in which climate change could have implications for peace and security and risk possible conflict: Water Scarcity results in social unrest and conflict Hernandez 12 (Nelson E. Hernandez, Colonel of the El Salvador Air Force, Chief Planner of Multinational Force in Iraq 2005, and Action officer in the combined planning roup (CCJ5/CPG), “Water security conflicts: a regional perspective” Small Wars Journal, September 28, 2012, http://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/water-security-conflicts-a-regional-perspective) CONCLUSIONS Water scarcity disputes and tensions, if left unaddressed or unsuccessfully resolved, may lead to increased levels of violence and armed conflict that undermine intrastate, interstate, regional, and international peace and security. The successful management of water scarcity is a leadership problem of strategic import and, as such, demands that civilian and military senior leaders include water management as a key component of a country’s national security and military strategies. This explicit recognition of the importance of water scarcity should be followed by the adoption of appropriate policies, plans, and programs enabling a country to responsibly manage its own water resources as well as its relations regarding water scarcity issues with other countries. When not appropriately managed by national leaders , water shortages can be expected to result in increased food and water prices, diminished access to affordable food and water by indigenous populations, and increased anti-government sentiments. These events may trigger political and social unrest and increase economic imbalances that escalate into armed conflict at the local, regional, national, regional, and global levels. It is not axiomatic that water shortages and resulting high food prices, in and of themselves, may be the cause of intrastate and/or interstate armed conflict but rather whether, and how competently, governments manage their water scarcity challenges. In fact, governments have demonstrated that their interventions in domestic water production and consumption patterns, along with diplomatic moves to generate economic alliances that ensure access to water and food for the people, may diffuse underlying tensions that otherwise would lead to violence and in many instances armed conflict. It is unfortunate that some governments may attempt to use a water scarcity crisis for their parochial political purposes. Leaders of such governments may view such a crisis as an opportunity to lay blame on the political opposition. Political opposition leaders themselves may attempt to exploit such a crisis to underscore their long-standing political, economic, and social grievances to exacerbate unrest and provoke anti-government protests, rebellions, and other anti-government behavior. Water scarcity turns armed conflicts into full on war Solomon ’98 (Hussein, Research Manager at the African Centre for the Constructive Resolution of Disputes, “From the Cold War to Water Wars: Some reflections of the changing global security agenda- A view from the South,” http://www.wcainfonet.org/servlet/BinaryDownloaderServlet?filename=1070020014294_WAR. pdf&refID=125884 ) The changes in the theoretical discourse, of course, reflected the tectonic shifts in the post-Cold War global security landscape. Freed from the straitjacket of global bipolarity, international politics is following a more turbulent trajectory. Nowhere is the saliency of this observation more One such potential conflict area is scarce fresh water resources. That this is so is hardly surprising. Within the context of the developing world, water availability determines the sustainability clearly reflected than in the area of resource-based conflict. of economic development. According to Anthony Turton even in countries where the industrial sector is weak, water consumption in the water security does not simply translate into economic development but also food security and the very survival of states and their citizens. Under these circumstances, it is hardly surprising that the World Commission on the Environment and Development agricultural sector can be as much as 80 percent. Thus within the context of the South, Page 76 such resource conflicts “… are likely to increase as the resources become scarcer and competition over them increases”. It has been estimated that over 1.7 billion people spread over eighty countries are suffering water shortages. Available evidence also suggest that such water shortages, and conflicts over water, will intensify over the coming years. Various reasons account for this. Firstly, greater levels of pollution of our existing fresh water resources as a result of (WCED) has concluded that the intensification of industrialisation in the South where environmental standards tend to be weak or not implemented. Second, as a result of population growth with its concomitant increase in demand for more water. Consider the following in this regard: The world’s population stood at 5,3 billion in 1990, is expected to pass the 6,2 billion mark this year and reach 8,5 billion by the year 2025. The twist in the tale lies in the fact that those population growth levels are fundamentally uneven. Little of the projected population growth will take place in the North. The developed industrialised states’ share of the world’s population is decreasing dramatically. In 1950 it was 22 percent, 15 percent in 1985, and is projected to be a minuscule 5 percent by the year 2085. Conversely, much of the projected population growth will take place in the countries of the South. For instance, Ethiopia’s population is expected to increase from 47 million in 1990 to 112 million by 2025; Nigeria’s from 113 million to 301 million; Bangladesh’s from 116 million to 235 million; and India’s from 853 million to 1,446 million4. The ramification of this is the further escalation of conflict potential over scarce water resources in the developing world. A third and relatively recent factor contributing to water scarcity is the impact of the El Nino/ Southern Oscillation weather phenomenon that causes dry conditions, particularly in SubSaharan Africa5. Under these circumstances, it is hardly surprising that a report of the African Development Bank concluded as follows: “Current calculations are that by 2000, South Africa will suffer water stress, Malawi will have moved into absolute water scarcity and Kenya will be facing the prospect of living beyond the present water barrier. By 2025, Mozambique, Tanzania and Zimbabwe will suffer water stress, Lesotho and South Africa will have moved into absolute water scarcity, and Malawi will have joined Kenya living beyond the present water barrier … Competition for scarce water resources will intensify”. This competition for scarce water resources takes on ominous proportions if one considers that of the 200 first-order river systems, 150 are shared by 2 nations; and 50 by 10 nations all in all supporting conflicts over scarce fresh waters have already occurred. Consider here those conflicts between: • Turkey, Syria and Iraq around the waters of the Euphrates river; • The dispute between Egypt and Ethiopia over the waters of the Nile; • The tensions concerning the sharing of the waters of the Colorado river between the United States and Mexico; and • The dispute between Botswana and Namibia over the waters of the Okavango Delta. The above, of course, should not lead one to the erroneous conclusion that water scarcity equals armed conflict as if nothing can be done about the situation. Various measures can be implemented at various levels to ameliorate tensions arising from water scarcity. approximately 40 percent of the world’s population, two-thirds of whom are located in developing countries. Indeed, Water Conflicts Lead to War Ingham & Lucas 2014 (RICHARD INGHAM, ANTHONY LUCAS, AGENCE FRANCE PRESSE)“The World's Water Scarcity Problem Is Bad And Getting Worse” http://www.businessinsider.com/map-the-worlds-water-scarcity-problem-is-bad-and-gettingworse-2014-5#ixzz37UtjMJcy MAY 13, 2014 Citing a 2012 assessment by US intelligence agencies, the US State Department says: " Water is not just a human health issue, not just an economic development or environmental issue, but a peace and security issue." Rows over water between nations tend to be resolved without bloodshed, often using international fora, says Richard Connor, who headed the UN water report. However, " you can talk about conflict in which water is the root cause, albeit usually hidden," he told AFP. "It can lead to fluctuations in energy and food prices, which can in turn lead to civil unrest. In such cases, the 'conflict' may be over energy or food prices, but these are themselves related to water availability and allocation." Page 77 Advantage 3: Space Colonization Page 78 Link: OTECH K/ Space The road to the galaxy involves the sea. Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 20-21) The message of this book is a simple one: the stars are within our reach. We now have the capacity, economically and technically, to leave this planet and begin the infinite task of enlivening the universe. We can accomplish our ends in eight easy steps: First, we will lay the Foundation, uniting ourselves around the green banner of Cosmic destiny. Then we will grow a crystalline city, floating on the waves of the sea. With power from the ocean, we will launch ourselves into space, propelled aloft by a rainbow-hued array of lasers. In orbit above the Earth, we will inflate gleaming golden bubbles to shelter our new generation of space dwelling people. On the face of the Moon, we will cap the craters wit glistening domes, each sheltering a green oasis of life. Mars will be transformed into a glorious gem of blue oceans and swirling white clouds, vibrant and alive as Gaia herself. Among the asteroids we will strew a spreading ring-cloud of billions of billions of bubbles of life, shimmering like a galaxy of golden sparks. Finally, in the latter half of the millennium, space arks will carry human colonists across the interstellar gulfs to inseminate new worlds with the chartreuse elixir of Life. By millennium’s end the night sky will twinkle with a handful emerald stars— the initial scattering of our celestial seeds. From this first planting will spring a growing forest of living solar systems. Life will explode through the star clouds like beryllian fire through flash powder. Within a thousand millennia, the whole majestic pinwheel of the Milky Way, will be saturated with the lush aquamarine light of a hundred billion living suns. We will have created a living galaxy—seed of a living universe. Then animate flame will leap the firebreak between galaxies and ignite new blazes among the great star clusters in the outer universe. The process will continue, unremitting, for the eternal lifetime of the Cosmos. (But of this I do not speculate. I am just a simple home-boy, and take no great interest in anything much beyond the Magellanic Clouds.) The ocean is the best place to begin colonization. Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 23-24) It is our destiny to colonize space. Eventually we will spread our civilization among the stars, but our first step is to build space colonies on Earth. ¶ At first glance the Earth may seem a little over-crowded for colonization. But really, three-quarters of this planet’s surface—the oceans—are virtually uninhabited. Colonizing the oceans will be like discovering three new planets the size of Earth. ¶ Our first space colonies will be floating islands, grown organically from the lambent waters of the tropical seas. There are four principal reasons why our first step toward space should take us to sea: ¶1. If we are going to colonize space, it is best to colonize the easiest space first. The most accommodating space in this universe is right here on Earth. The tropical oceans are womb-like: warm, hospitable, nourishing, and wet. We will never find a better place to gestate our embryonic pan-galactic empire than right here on the mellow seas of Earth. ¶ 2. Living in colonies at sea will teach us many crucial lessons about life in space. The isolation, self-sufficiency, and political autonomy of sea colonies are the same as those of space colonies. Both types will impose many of the same requirements on their inhabitants. While the external environments of sea and space colonies are as different as tropical islands from lunar craters, the internal social and personal environments are identical. Space colonization’s hardware problems—questions of tool design—are easy to solve; the software problems—questions of social and individual evolution—are much tougher. We need to learn to live together in a colony environment long before we need to worry about how to live in the space environment. The Moon is a harsh mistress; we would be wise to learn these early lessons while still in Earth’s gentle lap. ¶3. Before we go gallivanting off to populate the galaxy, we had better save the planet we’re already on. The sea colonies can go for toward rescuing the Earth, producing enough food and energy to meet the needs of billions, without damaging the Page 79 planetary ecosphere. The sea colonies can even repair some of the damage already done. ¶4. Getting into space requires enormous power; both physical power that flares out of a rocket, and financial power that flares out of a bank account. The sea colonies will produce both kinds in abundance: enough raw electrical power to blast us into space, and enough raw financial power to pay the fare. Page 80 Link: Marine Colonies Good We need to solve all Earth’s problems before colonization and the ocean is where they’re solved. Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 24-25) Our direst problems face us right here on Earth; and it is here we must solve them. Our future lies in space, but Earth is the womb of life, and it will be a long time before we can cut our umbilical cord. The new worlds we wish to create can survive their infancy only if the Mother of Life (Gaia) is here to nourish them. If we are to fulfill our Cosmic destiny as the harbingers of Life, we must first insure survival of the home planet. ¶ The world’s immediate problem is that there are too many demands on too few resources. There is simply not enough “stuff” to go around. This creates many attendant problems: Subsistence farmers, in quest of land, slash and burn tropical forests, ravaging the lungs of the world. The poor, in search of jobs, flood urban areas, engorging these already bloated tumors. The rich, in pursuit of ‘the good life,’ suck up the last vestiges of vanishing resources, spewing out mountains of garbage and rivers of toxins in exchange. Our rapacious demands are overtaxing the ability of Gaia to regenerate herself. The result is a dying planet. ¶ We must find a way to avert this catastrophe. From Gaia’s perspective, the answer to this disaster is a species-specific plague to wipe us out—AIDS perhaps, or maybe something even worse. While this might save the Earth, it is hardly an agreeable solution from our point of view. A viable answer must meet the needs of both the planet and the people: it must reduce or halt the destruction of Gaia’s ecological tissues; it must decrease or eliminate the production of pollutants; it must be implemented without depleting scarce resources; and, at the same time, it must satisfy the food and energy needs of ten billion hungry humans. A solution which can fulfill all these requirements might seem impossible, but the answer is at hand—Aquarius, and her thousand sister sea colonies. Marine Colonies have the potential to solve. Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 28) Every marine colony will annually generate commodities which would otherwise require 50 million barrels of oil to produce. The world presently consumes the energy equivalent of 60 billion barrels of oil per year. Twelve hundred marine colonies could produce an equivalent flow of energy in the forms of electricity, hydrogen, distilled water, and food. ¶A single marine colony will produce 300 million lbs. of protein annually, saving vast amounts of fossil energy. To supply the same protein from feedlot beef would require 28 million barrels of oil. If the same protein were extracted from the sea in the form of commercially netted fish, it would require 82 million barrels of oil. If this protein were produced by Zebu cattle, the only other protein producers which approach phytoplankton in energy efficiency, it would require 440 million acres of African grazing land—an area three times the size of Kenya. If the protein is produced by a Millennial colony floating in the open ocean, instead of by vast herds of cattle on the African plains, 700,000 square miles of Earth’s surface can be spared the ravages of overgazing. When a thousand marine colonies are operating, they will produce as much protein as could be gleaned from 240 million square miles of prime range land—an area four times the land surface of the Earth. A protein supply of this magnitude could relieve many of the terrible burdens man places on the land. Marine colonies, especially with OTEC technology, are key to stopping catastrophe. Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 29) Page 81 Mankind uses a lot of energy; the equivalent of around 166 million barrels of oil per day. A barrel of oil is the energy equivalent of 700 kilowatt hours of electricity. A single sea colony will produce 3.6 terawatt hours of net electrical power annually—equivalent to five million barrels of oil. To replace all the oil burned in the world today would require 4300 marine colonies; replacing all coal would require 3000; replacing natural gas would require 2100 more. With 9400 sea colonies we could completely replace fossil fuels. Ten thousand colonies would produce the direct energy equivalent of 50 billion barrels of oil annually. This level of energy production is well within the world’s ultimate projected ocean thermal energy capacity of 65 billion barrels. There is ample room on the tropical seas for ten thousand marine colonies. If we built that many, each would be surrounded by seven thousand square miles of open ocean. ¶ If the sea colonies are to replace coal and oil, we must convert electricity into some form of fuel. Hydrogen is the perfect fuel; abundant as sea water and clean as sunlight. It can be extracted from water, and when burned exhausts only steam. When liquefied, hydrogen can be transported long distances economically. Every day, each colony could produce 67 million ft3 of liquid hydrogen. ¶ Numerous collateral benefits would include acid rain reduction, fewer oil spills, lower Middle Eastern induced world tensions, and reduced pollutants like ozone, methane, and carbon monoxide. With enough marine colonies, we can tip the ecological balance from catastrophe to sustainability. At little or no cost to the planet’s base metabolism, the marine colonies can provide the critical margin of survival. By reducing pollution we can reverse the forces now pushing the planet over the brink. The marine colonies may be the straw (bale perhaps) which saves the camel’s back. They will, at the very least, delay the planet’s decline long enough for us to get a permanent toe-hold in space. ¶ A thousand sea colonies will, of course, have some environmental impact. There is no way to do anything inside a closed ecosphere—even one as large as the Earth—without impacting its environment. The sea colonies will inevitably change their local environments. With thousands of them in operation they may change the global environment. Compared to burning coal or splitting atoms, however, the OTECs of Aquarius are benign—even beneficial. Marine colonies solve CO2 crisis. Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 31) Marine colonies may offer one of the only practical ways to absorb carbon dioxide. It is often suggested that excess carbon dioxide could be absorbed by planting more trees. Unfortunately, appealing as this idea is, it won’t work. The problem is that trees, being terrestrial plants, must eventually decay, and when they do they release their carbon back to the atmosphere. To remove CO2 from the atmosphere permanently, the carbon sink must be outside the active bio-cycle. Allowing the marine colony’s algae crop to sink unharvested is really just a means to augment the process Gaia uses to maintain the atmosphere’s carbon balance. OTEC fuels plant growth for marine colonies. Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 42) Another prominent upwelling zone occurs in the waters around Antarctica. The cold waters around the Southern Continent do not ‘upwell’ so much as ‘outcrop’. The oceans are stratified in layers by temperature, just like layers of sedimentary rock. These layers of water are most numerous and thickest a the equator, where there is a wide variation between temperatures at the surface and at depth. Near the poles, however, there is no such difference. The surface waters are almost as cold and almost as rich in nutrients as the deep waters. This happy circumstance leads to one of the richest concentrations of life on the planet: vast shoals of Antarctic krill, and the flocks of penguins and pods of whales who feed on them. ¶ The OTECs of Aquarius will create an artificial upwelling zone by bringing a river of nutrient-rich cold water to the surface. When the nutrient-rich broth of deep sea water (see Appendix 1.7) is exposed to sunlight, there will be an explosion of plant growth comparable to that obtained when fertilizers are sprayed on land crops. Since the growth of phytoplankton is almost always limited by the availability of one or more vital nutrients, bringing up deep water to the surface will provide the raw material for algal growth. The addition of nitrogen to the surface waters will enhance primary productivity by 160 times. Page 82 Internal Link: Marine Colonies K/ Space Marine colonies key to launching colonization spacecraft. Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 99) The ultimate purpose of this Project is to spark a human migration into space. Aquarius will buy us enough time and resources to make this possible. To actually get mankind off the planet, we will need to build a highway to heaven that is simple, reliable, and cheap. ¶ We will build our own version of the mythic Bifrost Bridge. The Bridge’s design is extremely simple: A launch capsule is accelerated to high speed inside a vacuum tube by means of electromagnetic levitation. When the capsule emerges from the end of the launch tube, atop a high equatorial mountain, it is propelled on into orbit by an array of lasers. The Bridge will be built with revenues and powered with electricity from Aquarius and her sister colonies. Once constructed, The Bifrost Bridge will provide a path into space broad and smooth enough to make large-scale colonization feasible. Page 83 Impact: Space Good Space colonization key to survival, Stephen Hawking proves. Kazan 09 (Casey, editor@dailygalaxy.com, “Planet's Experts on Space Colonization -Our Future or Fantasy?”Daily Galaxy. 16 April 2009, http://www.dailygalaxy.com/my_weblog/2009/04/space-colonizat.html) Humans have always been fascinated by the idea of space travel. Some even believe that colonizing new planets our best hope for the future. The popular idea is that we’ll eventually need some fresh, unexploited new worlds to inhabit. In a recent Galaxy post we wrote that Stephen Hawking, world-celebrated expert on the cosmological theories of gravity and black holes who holds Issac Newton's Lucasian Chair at Cambridge University, believes that traveling into space is the only way humans will be able to survive in the long-term. "Life on Earth," Hawking has said, "is at the ever-increasing risk of being wiped out by a disaster such as sudden global warming, nuclear war, a genetically engineered virus or other dangers ... I think the human race has no future if it doesn't go into space." Another of his famous quotes reiterates his position that we need to get off the planet relatively soon. "I don't think the human race will survive the next 1,000 years unless we spread into space." The problems with Hawking’s solution is that while it may save a “seed” of human life- a few lucky specimens- it won’t save Earth’s inhabitants. The majority of Earthlings would surely be left behind on a planet increasingly unfit for life. Colonization saves humanity and doesn’t affect toehrs Globus 13(Dr. Ruth, Ph.D. in endocrinology UCSF, Co-Director of the Bone and Signaling Lab at NASA. “Space Settlement Basics,” NASA. 23 April 2013, http://settlement.arc.nasa.gov/Basics/wwwwh.html) Survival Someday the Earth will become uninhabitable. Before then humanity must move off the planet or become extinct. One potential near term disaster is collision with a large comet or asteroid. Such a collision could kill billions of people. Large collisions have occurred in the past, destroying many species. Future collisions are inevitable, although we don't know when. Note that in July 1994, the comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 (1993e) hit Jupiter If there were a major collision today, not only would billions of people die, but recovery would be difficult since everyone would be affected. If major space settlements are built before the next collision, the unaffected space settlements can provide aid, much as we offer help when disaster strikes another part of the world. Building space settlements will require a great deal of material. If NEOs are used, then any asteroids heading for Earth can simply be torn apart to supply materials for building colonies and saving Earth at the same time. Power and Wealth Those that colonize space will control vast lands, enormous amounts of electrical power, and nearly unlimited material resources. The societies that develop these resources will create wealth beyond our wildest imagination and wield power -- hopefully for good rather than for ill. In the past, societies which have grown by colonization have gained wealth and power at the expense of those who were subjugated. Unlike previous colonization programs, space colonization will build new land, not steal it from the natives. Thus, the power and wealth born of space colonization will not come at the expense of others, but rather represent the fruits of great labors. We need to colonize space or we will go extinct. Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 17-18) Now is the watershed of Cosmic history. We stand at the threshold of the New Millennium. Behind us yawn the chasms of the primordial past, when this universe was a dead and silent place; before us rise the broad sunlit uplands of a living cosmos. In next few galactic seconds, the fate of the universe will be decided. Life—the ultimate experiment—will either explode into space and engulf the star-clouds in a fire storm of the Page 84 children, trees, and butterfly wings; or Life will fail, fizzle, and gutter out, leaving the universe shrouded forever in impenetrable blankness, devoid of hope. ¶Teetering here on the fulcrum of destiny stands our own bemused species. The future of the universe hinges on what we do next. If we take up the sacred fire, and stride forth into space as the torchbearers of Life, this universe will be aborning. If we carry the green fire-brand from star to star, and ignite around each conflagration of vitality, we can trigger a Universal metamorphosis. Because of us, the barren dusts of a million billion worlds will coil up into the pulsing magic forms of animate matter. Because of us, landscapes of radiation blasted waste, will be miraculously transmuted: Slag will become soil, grass will sprout, flower will bloom, and forests will spring up in once sterile places. Ice, Hard as iron will melt and trickle into pools where starfish, anemones, and seashells dwell—a whole frozen universe will thaw and transmogrify, from howling desolation to blossoming paradise. Dust into Life; the very alchemy of God. ¶If we deny our awesome challenge; turn our backs on the living universe, and forsake our cosmic destiny, we will commit a crime of unutterable magnitude. Mankind alone has the power to carry out this fundamental change in the universe. Our failure would lead to consequences unthinkable. This is perhaps the first and only chance the universe will ever have to awaken from its long night and live. We are the caretakers of this delicate spark of Life. To let it flicker and die through ignorance, neglect, or sheer lack of imagination is a horror to great to contemplate. Space colonization must be a first priority to save humankind. Falconi 81 (Oscar, BS degree in Physics from M.I.T. and a physicist and consultant in the computer and electro-optical fields, http://www.oscarfalconi.com/space/) OP As the years pass, it has become more and more apparent that intelligent life on this earth has very little time remaining, and that we're about to experience a terrifying, unpreventable holocaust! No, this conclusion isn't reached by religious Armageddon-type considerations. Not at all. All life on earth is threatened by political and environmental problems that are quickly coming to a climax: World War III, nuclear wastes, atmospheric pollution, and many more, each by itself able to put an end to man. This book frankly examines these many causes of our destruction and gives incisive and logical arguments that will convince the reader that the colonization of space must be our generation's very first priority and must be undertaken immediately in order to save our fine civilization and to preserve our culture. The fact that the colonization of space is the only way to save our civilization is an important concept. In this book it is shown that mankind is very possibly alone in the universe. We therefore have an enormous responsibility to prevent our destruction. This can only be done by colonizing space with self-sufficient backup civilizations, a task we are presently quite capable of accomplishing, both technically and financially, within the next 55 years. Space colonization solves environmental problems. Engdahl 2008 (Sylvia Engdahl has written many non-fiction books on space exploration and development. November 5, 2008. http://www.sylviaengdahl.com/space/survival.htm) hss The emerging nations’ need for power must be balanced against potential environmental damage from such dangers as fossil fuel emissions (if there were enough fuel available), which could be greater than nuclear energy risks. Currently, the United States annually consumes approximately 3 trillion Kwh’s of electrical energy and, if this rate grows at only 2% per year, by 2050 United States power requirements will be around 9 trillion Kwh’s per year. Total world needs, assuming a very low use by developing nations (not a conservative estimate) easily exceeds an estimated 20 trillion Kwh’s by 2050. Even with an attendant tripling of non-nuclear systems, such as hydroelectric to avoid fossil fuel depletion, nuclear power system generation would have to increase by a factor of 6 to meet requirements. This increase in nuclear energy production flies in the face of a rising discontent with adverse environmental effects of nuclear waste disposal, where some plants are being converted to utilize fossil fuels. A clean renewable source of energy must be found and implemented. Space Colonization can lead to solutions to this problem. Page 85 Colonization of Space would become self-sustaining and result in the eventual colonization of the galaxy North American AstroPhysical Observatory 2006 (NAAPO) Last modified: May 13, 2006. http://www.bigear.org/CSMO/PDF/CS08/cs08p10.pdf The next step would be in the future, with the development of small self-supporting colonies in space. This seems highly speculative now, but much technological progress can be expected on a 1,000 year time scale, which is short compared to the scope of this essay. In space, solar energy would be readily available, and sufficient sources of raw materials would probably be found in asteroids and planetary satellites. The development of this type of economy would be significant, since if it was successful in being self-sustaining, then it could eventually result in units leaving the solar system under thermonuclear power, and slowly moving out to colonize the galaxy, over a period of 1 million years or so. There are about 100 billion stars in the galaxy, and there are probably planetary systems near a large fraction of them that are a source of raw materials, with the star available for energy, so in this sense the long term limits to growth would be pushed back far beyond the present ones. The percentage annual growth rate of the total human population even with space colonization is never likely to be as large as the current rate of about 2 percent (unless almost all of the human population is wiped out and the growth starts from a low base level again). The reason is that according to the laws of physics it would be impossible for a wave of colonizing spacecraft to move out through the galaxy faster than the speed of light.* (*Assuming colonies produced a uniform population density in the galaxy, the fractional increase per unit time of volume of space populated by a wave of colonizers moving at the speed of light (c) is equal to 4πr 2 c/(4/3)or 3 = 3c/r where r is the radius of the volume colonized. Thus, the fractional rate would be 2 percent per year when r equals 150 light-years, but less than 2 percent if r is greater. Furthermore, actual velocities would be well below the speed of light reducing the rate even more. Thus, it seems that the current human population increase rate is unlikely to be ever again attained. At 1 percent of the speed of light, a few million years would suffice to complete the colonization.) Of course, it is quite possible that humans would not be the only intelligent species colonizing the galaxy in this way. In that case growth of a different sort — intellectual growth above that developed by just being in space — would very likely result from the meeting of the two cultures — even if the population and economic growth were thereby limited. Thus, the effort to establish habitations in space should be encouraged. Even though the cost of putting man in space is significant, so was the cost to the European courts of the 15th and 16th centuries of sending Columbus (and others) out to explore the western Atlantic. We cannot expect to predict the most important benefits that would accrue from a prolonged effort in establishing man in space. Some less important ones would be a great advance in understanding the nature of the universe, of which the phenomena on earth are only an insignificant part; the tapping of new energy sources, possibly including the production and controlled feeding of miniature black holes; and a new realization of the vast range of capabilities of human beings to live satisfying lives in unconventional environments. While we would not expect the colonization of space to have an immediate effect on the pressure of population against resources back on earth, in the long term it probably would be beneficial as new technology developed in space was applied back on earth. This sort of transfer between colonies and parent societies has been a pattern during the last million years. Surely we owe to future generations this opportunity for future growth and development of the human species. Page 86 Moon Colonization key to protecting and sustaining life. Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 223) Above all else, the lunar craters will be ecological preserves, providing refuges for Life. In a multitude of special biomes, we can preserve the precious storehouse of Life’s genetic diversity. On the Moon, Life will be safe from possible calamities which threaten the Earth—environmental, nuclear, or meteoric. Unlike the vulnerable Earth, there are few conceivable disasters which could wipe out all the lunar ecospheres. Even a giant comet crashing into the moon would destroy only a few lunar biomes. The same disaster could utterly annihilate Life on Earth. As for man-made threats, it would be a very bad idea to attack the Moon. Positioned on the high-ground, and armed with electromagnetic launchers and the powerful lasers of Excalibur, the Lunatics will be virtually unassailable.¶ The Moon will be the ultimate safe-deposit vault, securing and protecting the genetic wealth of the universe. The lunar ecospheres will act as living seed banks. Withdrawals could be made if needed for the rehabilitation of a damaged Earth, for the terraformation of Mars, or for the eventual dissemination of Life among the stars. Space travel utilizes a laser propulsion system. Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 108) Unlike a conventional rocket, which can be extremely complicated (see Appendix 2.1), a laser propelled rocket is the soul of simplicity: a beam of light and a block of ice. The ice, when heated by the laser, serves as the propellant. The laser strikes the ice block, and the water— super-heated to 10,000˚C.—flashes to steam. The superheated steam expands at 10,000 meters per second, propelling the space capsule with a specific impulse of 1000 seconds. The beauty of this system, in addition to producing a high specific impulse, is that it has no moving parts. ¶ Lasers, among their many other miraculous properties, enable us to beam energy across space. With a laser propelled rocket we can leave the fuel and engines on the ground where they belong. Space colonization helps the economy. Engdahl 2008 (Sylvia Engdahl has written many non-fiction books on space exploration and development. November 5, 2008. http://www.sylviaengdahl.com/space/survival.htm) hss There are also many sociological benefits of Space Colonization. We must remember that such an endeavor cannot be implemented by one any agency or single government. A world policy would be needed. In the United States, the combined efforts of NASA, DOE, DOI, DOT, DOC, and others would be focused in addition to our broad industrial base and the commercial world. It should be noted that the eventual space tourism market (tapping in to the world annual $3,400 billion market or the United States $120 billion per year “adventure travel” market) (Reichert, 1999) will not be based on the work of isolated government agencies but, rather, evolve from a synergistic combination of government , travel industry, hotel chains, civil engineering, and, yes, a modified version of industry as we know it today. The change in emphasis from our present single-objective missions to a broadband Space Colonization infrastructure will create employment here on Earth and in space for millions of people and will profoundly change our daily life on Earth. This venue, initiated by short suborbital followed by short orbital and then orbital hotel stays (Collins, 2000) has already begun with brief visits to the ISS. Once systems evolve that can reduce the cost of a “space ticket” to some $10,000 to $50,000 US, the market will grow. Page 87 Govt Axn K/ Government action key to space exploration. Wagstaff 12(Keith, Writer at the Time’s Techland. “Neil deGrasse Tyson on the Future of U.S. Space Exploration After Curiosity,” Time. 1 Aug 2012, http://techland.time.com/2012/08/01/neil-degrasse-tyson-on-the-future-of-u-s-spaceexploration-after-curiosity/) The people who say that all we need is private space travel are simply delusional. My book on space, Space Chronicles: Facing the Ultimate Frontier, was originally titled Failure to Launch: The Dreams and Delusions of Space Enthusiasts. Space enthusiasts are the most susceptible demographic to delusion that I have ever seen. Private enterprise can never lead a space frontier. It’s not possible because a space frontier is expensive, it has unknown risks and it has unquantified risks. Historically, governments have done this. They have drawn the maps, they have found where the trade winds are, they have invented the new tools to go where no one has gone before. Then, when the routines are set up, you cede that to private enterprise. That’s why I don’t know what they’re thinking. The first colony on Mars is not going to be built by a private company. How are you going to make money? You’re not. Look what’s going on now. Private enterprise is giving us access to low-Earth orbit for less than what NASA was providing. That should have been happening decades ago. Why is that happening now? Because low-Earth orbit is no longer the frontier. NASA has been going in and out of low-Earth orbit since 1962. I see private enterprise as a fundamental part of creating a space industry, but there will always be the frontier. Page 88 Advantage 4: Fracking Page 89 Fracking Bad: Laundry List Fracking has a laundry list of impacts Center for Biological Biodiversity 2014 (“Fracking threatens America’s Air, Water, and Climate”) http://www.biologicaldiversity.org/campaigns/fracking/index.html About 25 percent of fracking chemicals could cause cancer, scientists say. Others harm the skin or reproductive system. Evidence is mounting throughout the country that these chemicals — as well as methane released by fracking — are making their way into aquifers and drinking water.¶ Fracking can release dangerous petroleum hydrocarbons, including benzene and xylene. It also increases ground-level ozone levels, raising people’s risk of asthma and other respiratory illnesses.¶ Wildlife is also in danger. Fish die when fracking fluid contaminates streams and rivers. Birds are poisoned by chemicals in wastewater ponds. And the intense industrial development accompanying fracking pushes imperiled animals out of wild areas they need to survive. In California, for example, more than 100 endangered and threatened species live in the counties where fracking is set to expand. Dangers of Fracking Murdoch ’11 Sierra Crane February 21, 2011 Investigative Reporting Fellow at the University of California, Berkeley http://www.dangersoffracking.com/ Each gas well requires an average of 400 tanker trucks to carry water and supplies to and from the site. It takes 1-8 million gallons of water to complete each fracturing job. The water brought in is mixed with sand and chemicals to create fracking fluid . Approximately 40,000 gallons of chemicals are used per fracturing. Up to 600 chemicals are used in fracking fluid, including known carcinogens and toxins such as radium , methanol, hydrochloric acid, formaldehyde, lead, uranium, mercury, gallons of chemicals needed to run our current gas wells. and ethylene glycol. 72 trillion gallons of water and 360 billion During this process, methane gas and toxic chemicals leach out from the system and contaminate nearby groundwater. Methane concentrations are 17x higher in drinking-water wells near fracturing sites than in normal wells . Contaminated well water is used for drinking water for nearby cities and towns. There have been over 1,000 documented cases of water contamination next to areas of gas drilling as well as cases of sensory, respiratory, and neurological damage due to ingested contaminated water . Only 30-50% of the fracturing fluid is recovered, the rest of the toxic fluid is left in the ground and is not biodegradable. The waste fluid is left in open air pits to evaporate, releasing harmful VOC’s (volatile organic compounds ) into the atmosphere, creating contaminated air, acid rain, and ground level ozone. Numerous detrimental impacts to fracking By SUSAN L. BRANTLEY and ANNA MEYENDORFF Published: March 13, 2013 Susan Brantley is distinguished professor of geosciences and director of the Earth and Environmental Systems Institute at Pennsylvania State University, and a member of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences. Anna Meyendorff is a faculty associate at the International Policy Center of the Ford School of Public Policy at the University of Michigan, and a manager at Analysis Group. OPPOSITION to fracking has been considerable, if not unanimous, in the global green community, and in Europe in particular. France and Bulgaria, countries with the largest shale-gas reserves in Page 90 Europe, have already banned fracking. Protesters are blocking potential drilling sites in Poland and England. Opposition to fracking has entered popular culture with the release of “The Promised Land,” starring Matt Damon. Even the Rolling Stones have weighed in with a reference to fracking in their new single, “Doom and Gloom.” Related There is no doubt that natural gas extraction does sometimes have negative consequences for the local environment in which it takes place, as does all fossil fuel extraction. And because fracking allows us to put a previously inaccessible reservoir of carbon from beneath our feet into the atmosphere, it also contributes to global climate change. But as we assess the pros and cons, decisions should be based on existing empirical evidence and fracking should be evaluated relative to other available energy sources. What exactly is fracking, or more formally hydraulic fracturing? Many sandstones, limestones and shales far below ground contain natural gas, which was formed as dead organisms in the rock decomposed. This gas is released, and can be captured at the surface for our use, when the rocks in which it is trapped are drilled. To increase the flow of released gas, the rocks can be broken apart, or fractured. Early drillers sometimes detonated small explosions in the wells to increase flow. Starting in the 1940s, oil and gas drilling companies began fracking rock by pumping pressurized water into it. Approximately one million American wells have been fracked since the 1940s. Most of these are vertical wells that tap into porous sandstone or limestone. Since the 1990s, however, gas companies have been able to harvest the gas still stuck in the original shale source. Fracking shale is accomplished by drilling horizontal wells that extend from their vertical well shafts along thin, horizontal shale layers. This horizontal drilling has enabled engineers to inject millions of gallons of high-pressure water directly into layers of shale to create the fractures that release the gas. Chemicals added to the water dissolve minerals, kill bacteria that might plug up the well, and insert sand to prop open the fractures. Most opponents of fracking focus on potential local environmental consequences. Some of these are specific to the new fracking technology, while others apply more generally to natural gas extraction. The fracking cocktail includes acids, detergents and poisons that are not regulated by federal laws but can be problematic if they seep into drinking water. Fracking since the 1990s has used greater volumes of cocktail-laden water, injected at higher pressures. Methane gas can escape into the environment out of any gas well, creating the real though remote possibility of dangerous explosions. Water from all gas wells often returns to the surface containing extremely low but measurable concentrations of radioactive elements and huge concentrations of salt. This brine can be detrimental if not disposed of properly. Injection of brine into deep wells for disposal has in rare cases triggered small earthquakes. In addition to these local effects, natural gas extraction has global environmental consequences, because the methane gas that is accessed through extraction and the carbon dioxide released during methane burning are both greenhouse gases that contribute to global climate change. New fracking technologies allow for the extraction of more gas, thus contributing more to climate change than previous natural gas extraction. As politicians in Europe and the United States consider whether, and under what conditions, fracking should be allowed, the experience of Pennsylvania is instructive. Pennsylvania has seen rapid development of the Marcellus shale, a geological formation that could contain nearly 500 trillion cubic feet of gas — enough to power all American homes for 50 years at recent rates of residential use. Some of the local effects of drilling and fracking have gotten a lot of press but caused few problems, while others are more serious. For example, of the tens of thousands of deep injection wells in use by the energy industry across the United States, only about eight locations have experienced injection-induced earthquakes, most too weak to feel and none causing significant damage. The Pennsylvania experience with water contamination is also instructive. In Pennsylvania, shale gas is accessed at depths of thousands of feet while drinking water is extracted from depths of only hundreds of feet. Nowhere in the state have fracking compounds injected at depth been shown to contaminate drinking water. In one study of 200 private water wells in the fracking regions of Pennsylvania, water quality was the same before and soon after drilling in all wells except one. The only surprise from that study was that many of the wells failed drinking water regulations before drilling started. But trucking and storage accidents have spilled fracking fluids and brines, leading to contamination of water and soils that had to be cleaned up. The fact that gas companies do not always disclose the composition of all fracking and drilling compounds makes it difficult to monitor for injected chemicals in streams and groundwater. Pennsylvania has also seen instances of methane leaking into aquifers in regions where shale-gas drilling is ongoing. Page 91 Fracking Bad: Climate Change Fracking creates drastic climate change Center for Biological Biodiversity 2014 (“Fracking threatens America’s Air, Water, and Climate”) http://www.biologicaldiversity.org/campaigns/fracking/index.html Fracking releases large amounts of methane, a dangerously potent greenhouse gas. Fracked shale gas wells, for example, may have methane leakage rates as high as 7.9 percent, which would make such natural gas worse for the climate than coal. But fracking also threatens our climate in another way.¶ To prevent catastrophic climate change, we must leave about 80 percent of proven fossil fuel reserves in the ground. Fracking takes us in the opposite direction, opening up vast new deposits of fossil fuels.¶ If the fracking boom continues, oil and gas companies will light the fuse on a carbon bomb that will shatter efforts to avert climate chaos. Page 92 Fracking = Ecocide Fracking causes oppression in the short-term and in the long run leads to ecocide Brighton ’13 (Nikki, Writer for River Walks, River Walks, “Fracking is Ecocide,” 09/18/13). Pandora Long will be with us in spirit as we walk the Lion’s River. She is very distressed by the threat of mining and fracking and wrote the following: For me fracking is akin to raping the earth – it is going to take more than just saying No. Those that are proposing to frack SA, both politicians and oil company directors, need to have criminal charges laid against them in terms of NEMA (you are not allowed to harm the environment) and our constitution (everyone has the right to a healthy environment) We need to look at fracking ‘at a local level’ and gather stories that break the veneer of ‘respectability’ around what is being proposed and reveal fracking for what it truly is, ‘an onslaught and enslavement of people and place’ in the short term, and ecocide in the long term. How would you feel if an oil company came onto your beloved land to start fracking? What if your homestead was barely 100m from where the well was to be sunk and that it was your land, but you had no say in stopping them. Maybe they choose a site only 20m from where you know the otters’ burrow is. What if one day you have to watch while the bulldozers come in through virgin land to create new roads and start erecting the well-head? And the heavy tracks cut through the little seeps and springs that you know trickle in spring and after only a few days, the compressed earth cracks, no longer able to act as a sponge. r stream How will you feel when the first mechanical activity of arriving machines starts to cut through the peace and tranquillity of your beloved place and continue incessantly day after day as they gauge the earth and send the drill deeper and deeper beneath its surface? Who will be there to console you as the first tankers of arsenic and toxic chemicals start to arrive? Can you imagine your little river when they start taking millions and millions of litres of water out of the catchment, every day, and no-one wants to listen as you tell them that all the aquatic life below the extraction point no longer have pools of water to sustain them and that the river is dying. What about that first day that they pressurise the earth with millions of litres of toxic water and you feel the earth tremble beneath your feet? How do you feel when the shout goes up and thousands of litres of toxic water streams back up the well to lie spent in muddy pools and puddles around the base of the drilling rig? Do you cry when it starts to rain and the once clean river turns yellow with slime? How do you feel when your favourite stream is smothered in fines and the river bed can no longer breathe oxygen and it starts to stifle and stagnate and life cannot continue? What do you do when you know that there are chemicals in the water but no-one can test for them? When, no longer able to contain itself, the slimes dams slips and bursts through the drainage line and into the stream? What do you do when no-one can drink from the stream anymore? r laila drinking The above scenario is not entirely out of my imagination. In the case of the quarry that was established on the Mpushini river - the land belonged to the NPA, replace the toxic chemicals with diesel and dynamite, the millions of litres was thousands (maybe millions!) held back in a farm dam, substitute fracking with blasting, the surge of water is dust and fly rock, the muddy pools and puddles, yellow river, slimes dams - is all true and when you add sewage from Lynnfield park and chemical contamination from Rainbow chickens and other industrial activities higher upstream, this is the life story of this little river. And this little river fares better than many!! We cannot possibly let pristine Berg streams become contaminated and the earth beneath them shattered. r streams in forest Alistair McIntosh is a Scottish academic and activist who went up against a huge international quarrying consortium that wanted to decimate a local area – and won. In this interview he is talking about Climate Change http://www.dolectures.com/speakers/alastairmcintosh/ – in it he explains how one can take action ‘without action’ in the face of something that seems impossible to accomplish and that somehow everything conspires to assist in achieving that goal. I think we need to ask him to come and help us. Page 93 Fracking = Species Loss Fracking hurts animals resulting in still births and a decrease in population EcoWatch January 30, 2014 (“How fracking hurts animals”) http://ecowatch.com/2014/01/30/5-ways-fracking-hurts-animals/ A study by two Cornell University researchers indicates the process of hydraulic fracturing deep shale to release natural gas may be linked to shortened lifespan and reduced or mutated reproduction in cattle—and maybe humans.¶ Without knowing exactly what chemicals are being used, and in what quantities, it is difficult to perform laboratory-style experiments on, say lab rats. But farm animals are captive, when fracking wastewater is spilled across their pasture and into their drinking water, and they start dying and birthing dead calves, one can become suspicious that there is a connection.¶ Which is what the Cornell researchers found during a yearsurrounded by electric and barbed wire fences.¶ And long study of farm animals, based primarily on interviews with animal owners and veterinarians in six states: Colorado, “Animals can nevertheless serve as sentinels for human health impacts,” the report, Impacts of Gas Drilling on Human and Animal Health, notes. “Animals, particularly livestock, remain in a confined area and, in some cases, are continually exposed to an environmental threat.” Louisiana, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Texas.¶ Fracking irreparably destroys the environment Franco & Feodoroff ’13 (Jennifer, member of the College of Humanities and Development (COHD) at the China Agricultural University, Timothé, BA in International Studies from the University of Montreal, “Old Story, New Threat: Fracking and the global land grab”). With demand still growing for land-based resources, including from the energy sector, what is now referred to as the global land grab continues to have momentum. Land and watergrabbing involves the capturing of control of land and other associated resources like water and underground material, and most significantly, of the power to decide how they will be used, for what purposes and who will reap the benefits. Powered by transnational capital and its desire for profit, a wave of enclosures has been undermining peoples’ democratic control of their environment in many parts of the world. Now this trend is expanding its reach further, this time, through unconventional gas development. One form of this new threat is called fracking, the common term for hydraulic fracturing, a fast spreading technology for extracting unconventional, hard-to-access natural gas. Fracking is increasingly portrayed as a not-to-be-missed innovative opportunity to achieve national energy security. But the ‘fracking revolution’ represents a profoundly harmful new step in the old story of the corporate takeover of natural resources because of what it targets: extraction of hard-to-reach unconventional gas deposits. While fracking allegedly produces cheaper natural gas, it entails irreparable environmental destruction and the loss of community control of land and especially water resources to major companies in the oil and gas industry, especially through water diversion, depletion and contamination. Today’s boom in fracking is therefore undermining the power of citizens and communities to determine how land and water is to be used and how the environment is to be managed. Fracking kills animals instantly EcoWatch January 30, 2014 (“How fracking hurts animals”) http://ecowatch.com/2014/01/30/5-ways-fracking-hurts-animals/ In one case, an accidental release of fracking fluids into a pasture adjacent to a drilling operation resulted in 17 cows dead within an hour . Exposure to fracking fluids running onto pastures or into streams or wells also reportedly led to pregnant cows producing stillborn calves, goats exhibiting reproductive problems and other farm animals displaying similar problems. Farmers reported effects within one to three days of animals consuming errant fracking wastewater.¶ “Of the seven cattle farms studied in the most detail, 50 percent of the herd, on average, was affected by death and failure of survivors to breed,” the researchers noted.¶ Other examples seem to confirm animal health problems after exposure to fracking wastewater. Animals exposed to it have the problems; animals separated from it—most of them, anyway, do not.¶ The report points out a major difference Page 94 between company and non-company observers. Area residents and conservation groups look at the existing evidence and try to err on the side of “let’s be careful, here.” Fracking liquids spread to aquatic species , wiping out entire populations EcoWatch January 30, 2014 (“How fracking hurts animals”) http://ecowatch.com/2014/01/30/5-ways-fracking-hurts-animals/ State and federal scientists found that the toxic fracking waste ”killed virtually all aquatic wildlife in a significant portion of the fork.” The dead and distressed fish had developed gill lesions and suffered liver and spleen damage.¶ The lead USGS scientist in the investigation stated: “Our study is a precautionary tale of how entire populations could be put at risk even with smallscale fluid spills.”¶ One of the things that bothers Mall the most about this case is that the scientists had been alerted to the fish kill “by a local resident.” All spills are supposed to be reported—by the oil and gas company—to the National Response Center.¶ You know how companies have been telling the public for years that frack fluid is mostly water and safe ingredients that are found in your home? Many people have been saying for years that, even diluted, the frack fluid ingredients can be very harmful to health, and this case is just additional evidence. Thanks to the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service for enforcing the law and levying the largest fine ever for a violation of the ESA in Kentucky. While the fine was only $50,000, it is larger than many other fines paid by the oil and gas industry. Regulators should be imposing the highest penalties allowed under the law to start to create an incentive for the oil and gas industry to stop violating regulations Fracking is killing livestock, aquatic animals, and possibly humyns Cohen et al ’14 (Steven, executive director of Columbia University’s Earth Institute, Sandra Steingraber, Ph.D., recipient of the Rachel Carson Leadership Award, Mary Anne Hitt, director of the Sierra Club’s Beyond Coal Campaign, “How Fracking Hurts Animals”). Many people know the issues with fracking when it comes to water and air pollution, but animals are also at risk. Two studies in the last two years, show how farm animals and aquatic life are impacted by fracking. Farm Animals A study by two Cornell University researchers indicates the process of hydraulic fracturing deep shale to release natural gas may be linked to shortened lifespan and reduced or mutated reproduction in cattle—and maybe humans. Without knowing exactly what chemicals are being used, and in what quantities, it is difficult to perform laboratory-style experiments on, say lab rats. But farm animals are captive, surrounded by electric and barbed wire fences. And when fracking wastewater is spilled across their pasture and into their drinking water, and they start dying and birthing dead calves, one can become suspicious that there is a connection. Which is what the Cornell researchers found during a year-long study of farm animals, based primarily on interviews with animal owners and veterinarians in six states: Colorado, Louisiana, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Texas. “Animals can nevertheless serve as sentinels for human health impacts,” the report, Impacts of Gas Drilling on Human and Animal Health, notes. “Animals, particularly livestock, remain in a confined area and, in some cases, are continually exposed to an environmental threat.” The report has been produced by Robert E. Oswald, a biochemist and Professor of Molecular Medicine at Cornell University, and Michelle Bamberger, a veterinarian with a master’s degree in pharmacology. In one case, an accidental release of fracking fluids into a pasture adjacent to a drilling operation resulted in 17 cows dead within an hour. Exposure to fracking fluids running onto pastures or into streams or wells also reportedly led to pregnant cows producing stillborn calves, goats exhibiting reproductive problems and other farm animals displaying similar problems. Farmers reported effects within one to three days of animals consuming errant fracking wastewater. “Of the seven cattle farms studied in the most detail, 50 percent of the herd, on average, was affected by death and failure of survivors to breed,” the researchers noted. Other examples seem to confirm animal health problems after exposure to fracking wastewater. Animals exposed to it have the problems; animals separated from it—most of them, anyway, do not. The report points out a major difference between company and non-company observers. Area residents and conservation groups look at the existing evidence and try to err on the side of “let’s be careful, here.” Aquatic Life According to Natural Resources Defense Council’s Amy Mall, scientists from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service published a peer-reviewed journal article that discusses the results of the investigation into a 2007 fracking wastewater spill in Kentucky. Fracking wastewater that was being stored in open air pits overflowed into Kentucky’s Acorn Fork Creek and left an orange-red substance, contaminating the creek with hydrochloric acid, dissolved minerals and metals, and other contaminants. Prior to this pollution, the creek was so clean that it was designated an Outstanding State Resource Water. The Creek provides excellent habitat for the Blackside dace, a small colorful minnow protected by the Endangered Species Act (ESA) because it is a threatened species. State and federal scientists found that the toxic fracking waste ”killed virtually all aquatic wildlife in a significant portion of the fork.” The Page 95 dead and distressed fish had developed gill lesions and suffered liver and spleen damage. The lead USGS scientist in the investigation stated: “Our study is a precautionary tale of how entire populations could be put at risk even with small-scale fluid spills.” One of the things that bothers Mall the most about this case is that the scientists had been alerted to the fish kill “by a local resident.” All spills are supposed to be reported—by the oil and gas company—to the National Response Center. You know how companies have been telling the public for years that frack fluid is mostly water and safe ingredients that are found in your home? Many people have been saying for years that, even diluted, the frack fluid ingredients can be very harmful to health, and this case is just additional evidence. Thanks to the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service for enforcing the law and levying the largest fine ever for a violation of the ESA in Kentucky. While the fine was only $50,000, it is larger than many other fines paid by the oil and gas industry. Regulators should be imposing the highest penalties allowed under the law to start to create an incentive for the oil and gas industry to stop violating regulations. Fracking will hurt the environment and the economy Gallay 2012(Paul, New York State’s Attorney General and Department of Environmental Conservation, “Fracking—A Bad Bet for the Environment and Economy”, 1/6/12, EcoWatch) http://ecowatch.com/2012/01/06/fracking-a-bad-bet-for-the-environment-and-economy/ As New York considers new hydrofracking regulations that would allow companies to drill an estimated 48,000 gas wells across the rural countryside, many see the pitched battle over the state’s fracking plan as a tug-of-war between the environment and the economy. In reality, both will suffer if the frackers get their way.¶ Riverkeeper, the organization I lead, is devoted to protecting the Hudson River and the drinking water supply for nine million New Yorkers. We originally engaged with this issue to protect New York City’s drinking water, but the risks go far beyond one watershed, even one so important it serves the nation’s largest city.¶ The risks posed by hydrofracking are dead serious. Those YouTube clips that show people lighting their drinking water on fire? They’re not isolated cases: Duke University recently proved that drinking water wells near hydrofracking sites have 17 times more methane than wells not located near fracking. Fracking operations have generated billions of gallons of radiation-laced toxic wastewater that we can’t manage properly and forced families to abandon their homes because of dangerous levels of arsenic, benzene and toluene in their blood. Fracking’s caused earthquakes in Ohio and Oklahoma, ozone in Wyoming that out-smogs L.A. and a 200 percent increase in childhood asthma in parts of Texas. A top federal scientist admits we just don’t know enough about all the different ways fracking can make us sick.¶ Given this parade of horribles, it’s no surprise that environmentalists aren’t alone in warning against New York’s rush to frack—dozens of counties and towns in the Empire State have imposed moratoriums or bans on fracking. It’s also no surprise that only 13 percent of New Yorkers polled by Quinnipiac College believe that fracking is safe for the environment. Yet, the frackers are still icing champagne, in anticipation of a thumbs-up later this year. They know that a whopping 30 percent of all New Yorkers are so worried about the economy they want fracking to happen whether or not it’s safe for the environment.¶ You’ve got to wonder what those folks would say if they knew that fracking has so many drawbacks it would leave New York in worse economic shape, not better.¶ Road maintenance alone will cost communities up to $375 million, according to a draft report by the state Department of Transportation, since each well generates about 4,000 extra heavy truck trips. Many local officials and businesspeople warn that fracking will erode New York’s all-important tourism sector, by “creating an industrial landscape that far outlives the profitability of gas extraction.” Studies show that drill-friendly communities do worse than others in personal income, employment growth, economic diversity, educational attainment and ability to attract investment. Then there are the risks to private property and real estate. Several major national lenders refuse to grant mortgages to homeowners with gas leases; fracking puts as much as $670 billion in secondary mortgage debt at risk.¶ What’s truly scary is that state officials have ignored all this evidence about hydrofracking’s potential to ruin our economy. The state did prepare an Economic Assessment Report on fracking, with the help of a consultant. But, it appears that the consultant was asked Page 96 to study only the economic benefits of fracking, as the report spends a scant seven pages dismissing concerns about fracking’s negative economic impact, in terms so superficial they’d make a booster blush, while devoting 250 pages to fracking’s supposed benefits.¶ New York is one of the few states yet to give in to the frackers. That could change within months—unless Gov. Andrew Cuomo pays heed to the tens of thousands of his constituents who have already spoken out against fracking, and the tens of thousands more who are expected to do so before the public comment period closes Jan. 11.¶ If Gov. Cuomo does give fracking the green light, watch out. The drillers are going to have one hell of a party, and we New Yorkers will end up with the hangover. However, if our famously rational governor thinks this one through, he can avoid disaster. The facts show that hydrofracking doesn’t just destroy air and water quality, undermine community character and make people sick. Fracking would also do serious harm to New York’s economy. Net-net, fracking is simply a bad bet.¶ No question that America needs a sustainable energy plan, but fracking is neither safe nor sustainable nor good for the economy. Those who say it is are selling snake oil, not natural gas. Page 97 Fracking = Bad for Econ Economic disparity is the cherry on the cake for problems with fracking Stop Drilling Go Clean, NO DATE http://stopdrillinggoclean.org/economics/ The industry itself has been shown to be subject to a boom-bust economy of fossil fuel extraction, according to a study by Cornell University. Currently the costs of natural gas have dropped from approximately $15.00 per unit to $4.00 per unit due to the new technology in answer to horizontal drilling for natural gas. This reduction in price has dramatically affected the advancement of renewable energy sources in New York State. The lower return is also causing companies to cut corners in the production of gas in Pennsylvania. Real Estate values have dropped where drilling has taken place and buyers are unable to secure bank mortgages in many drilled regions. New York attorneys are warning land owners about the danger to their property values by signing gas drilling leases.¶ Our nation and our future generations are at serious risk due to lobbyists, political contributions, and massive propaganda by fossil fuel giants such as Exxon Mobil. Hydrofracking and horizontal drilling drives out many other productive industries, destroys the economic quality of life, and turn areas into industrial zones. According to a study by Cornell University, the economies of drilled areas are subject to boom-bust economy of fossil fuels. Urban areas are vulnerable to the negative health impacts of hydrofracking, which is why many cities have banned hydrofracking and why DEC has prohibited hydrofracking in Syracuse and New York City’s watersheds. All of New York State needs protection from this harmful practice. Fracking will hurt the environment and the economy Gallay 2012(Paul, New York State’s Attorney General and Department of Environmental Conservation, “Fracking—A Bad Bet for the Environment and Economy”, 1/6/12, EcoWatch) http://ecowatch.com/2012/01/06/fracking-a-bad-bet-for-the-environment-and-economy/ As New York considers new hydrofracking regulations that would allow companies to drill an estimated 48,000 gas wells across the rural countryside, many see the pitched battle over the state’s fracking plan as a tug-of-war between the environment and the economy. In reality, both will suffer if the frackers get their way.¶ Riverkeeper, the organization I lead, is devoted to protecting the Hudson River and the drinking water supply for nine million New Yorkers. We originally engaged with this issue to protect New York City’s drinking water, but the risks go far beyond one watershed, even one so important it serves the nation’s largest city.¶ The risks posed by hydrofracking are dead serious. Those YouTube clips that show people lighting their drinking water on fire? They’re not isolated cases: Duke University recently proved that drinking water wells near hydrofracking sites have 17 times more methane than wells not located near fracking. Fracking operations have generated billions of gallons of radiation-laced toxic wastewater that we can’t manage properly and forced families to abandon their homes because of dangerous levels of arsenic, benzene and toluene in their blood. Fracking’s caused earthquakes in Ohio and Oklahoma, ozone in Wyoming that out-smogs L.A. and a 200 percent increase in childhood asthma in parts of Texas. A top federal scientist admits we just don’t know enough about all the different ways fracking can make us sick.¶ Given this parade of horribles, it’s no surprise that environmentalists aren’t alone in warning against New York’s rush to frack—dozens of counties and towns in the Empire State have imposed moratoriums or bans Page 98 on fracking. It’s also no surprise that only 13 percent of New Yorkers polled by Quinnipiac College believe that fracking is safe for the environment. Yet, the frackers are still icing champagne, in anticipation of a thumbs-up later this year. They know that a whopping 30 percent of all New Yorkers are so worried about the economy they want fracking to happen whether or not it’s safe for the environment.¶ You’ve got to wonder what those folks would say if they knew that fracking has so many drawbacks it would leave New York in worse economic shape, not better.¶ Road maintenance alone will cost communities up to $375 million, according to a draft report by the state Department of Transportation, since each well generates about 4,000 extra heavy truck trips. Many local officials and businesspeople warn that fracking will erode New York’s all-important tourism sector, by “creating an industrial landscape that far outlives the profitability of gas extraction.” Studies show that drill-friendly communities do worse than others in personal income, employment growth, economic diversity, educational attainment and ability to attract investment. Then there are the risks to private property and real estate. Several major national lenders refuse to grant mortgages to homeowners with gas leases; fracking puts as much as $670 billion in secondary mortgage debt at risk.¶ What’s truly scary is that state officials have ignored all this evidence about hydrofracking’s potential to ruin our economy. The state did prepare an Economic Assessment Report on fracking, with the help of a consultant. But, it appears that the consultant was asked to study only the economic benefits of fracking, as the report spends a scant seven pages dismissing concerns about fracking’s negative economic impact, in terms so superficial they’d make a booster blush, while devoting 250 pages to fracking’s supposed benefits.¶ New York is one of the few states yet to give in to the frackers. That could change within months—unless Gov. Andrew Cuomo pays heed to the tens of thousands of his constituents who have already spoken out against fracking, and the tens of thousands more who are expected to do so before the public comment period closes Jan. 11.¶ If Gov. Cuomo does give fracking the green light, watch out. The drillers are going to have one hell of a party, and we New Yorkers will end up with the hangover. However, if our famously rational governor thinks this one through, he can avoid disaster. The facts show that hydrofracking doesn’t just destroy air and water quality, undermine community character and make people sick. Fracking would also do serious harm to New York’s economy. Net-net, fracking is simply a bad bet.¶ No question that America needs a sustainable energy plan, but fracking is neither safe nor sustainable nor good for the economy. Those who say it is are selling snake oil, not natural gas. Economic disparity is the cherry on the cake for problems with fracking Stop Drilling Go Clean, NO DATE http://stopdrillinggoclean.org/economics/ The industry itself has been shown to be subject to a boom-bust economy of fossil fuel extraction, according to a study by Cornell University. Currently the costs of natural gas have dropped from approximately $15.00 per unit to $4.00 per unit due to the new technology in answer to horizontal drilling for natural gas. This reduction in price has dramatically affected the advancement of renewable energy sources in New York State. The lower return is also causing companies to cut corners in the production of gas in Pennsylvania. Real Estate values have dropped where drilling has taken place and buyers are unable to secure bank mortgages in many drilled regions. New York attorneys are warning land owners about the danger to their Page 99 property values by signing gas drilling leases.¶ Our nation and our future generations are at serious risk due to lobbyists, political contributions, and massive propaganda by fossil fuel giants such as Exxon Mobil. Hydrofracking and horizontal drilling drives out many other productive industries, destroys the economic quality of life, and turn areas into industrial zones. According to a study by Cornell University, the economies of drilled areas are subject to boom-bust economy of fossil fuels. Urban areas are vulnerable to the negative health impacts of hydrofracking, which is why many cities have banned hydrofracking and why DEC has prohibited hydrofracking in Syracuse and New York City’s watersheds. All of New York State needs protection from this harmful practice. Fracking—A Bad Bet for the Environment and Economy Gallay ‘12 Paul January 6, 2012 http://ecowatch.com/2012/01/06/fracking-a-bad-bet-for-the-environment-and-economy/ New York’s Department of Environmental Conservation, Riverkeeper’s President, graduate of Williams College and Columbia Law School and has held a number of teaching positions, including a Visiting Professorship in Environmental Studies at Williams. As New York considers new hydrofracking regulations that would allow companies to drill an estimated 48,000 gas wells across the rural countryside, many see the pitched battle over the state’s fracking plan as a tug-of-war between the environment and the economy. In reality, both will suffer if the frackers get their way. Riverkeeper, the organization I lead, is devoted to protecting the Hudson River and the drinking water supply for nine million New Yorkers. We originally engaged with this issue to protect New York City’s drinking water, but the risks go far beyond one watershed, even one so important it serves the nation’s largest city. The risks posed by hydrofracking are dead serious . Those YouTube clips that show people lighting their drinking water on fire? They’re not isolated cases: Duke University recently proved that drinking water wells near hydrofracking sites have 17 times more methane than wells not located near fracking . Fracking operations have generated billions of gallons of radiation-laced toxic wastewater that we can’t manage properly benzene and toluene in their blood. and forced families to abandon their homes because of dangerous levels of arsenic, Fracking’s caused earthquakes in Ohio and Oklahoma, ozone in Wyoming that out-smogs L.A. and a 200 percent increase in childhood asthma in parts of Texas. A top federal scientist admits we just don’t know enough about all the different ways fracking can make us sick . Given this parade of horribles, it’s no surprise that environmentalists aren’t alone in warning against New York’s rush to frack— dozens of counties and towns in the Empire State have imposed moratoriums or bans on fracking . It’s also no surprise that only 13 percent of New Yorkers Quinnipiac College polled by believe that fracking is safe for the environment . Yet, the frackers are still icing champagne, in anticipation of a thumbs-up later this year. They know that a whopping 30 percent of all New Yorkers are so worried about the economy they want fracking to happen whether or not it’s safe for the environment. You’ve got to wonder what those folks would say if they knew that fracking has so many drawbacks it would leave New York in worse economic shape, not better. Road maintenance alone will cost communities up to $375 million , according to a draft report by the state Department of Transportation , since each well generates about 4,000 extra heavy truck trips . Many local officials and businesspeople warn that fracking will erode New York’s all-important tourism sector, by “creating an industrial landscape that far outlives the profitability of gas extraction.” Studies show that drill-friendly communities do worse than others in personal income, employment growth, economic diversity, educational attainment and ability to attract investment . Then there are the risks to private property and real estate. Several major national lenders refuse to grant mortgages to homeowners with gas leases; Page 100 fracking puts as much as $670 billion in secondary mortgage debt at risk. What’s truly scary is that state officials have ignored all this evidence about hydrofracking’s potential to ruin our economy . The state did prepare an Economic Assessment Report on fracking, with the help of a consultant. But, it appears that the consultant was asked to study only the economic benefits of fracking , as the report spends a scant seven pages dismissing concerns about fracking’s negative economic impact, in terms so superficial they’d make a booster blush, while devoting 250 pages to fracking’s supposed benefits. New York is one of the few states yet to give in to the frackers. That could change within months—unless Gov. Andrew Cuomo pays heed to the tens of thousands of his constituents who have already spoken out against fracking, and the tens of thousands more who are expected to do so before the public comment period closes Jan. 11. If Gov. Cuomo does give fracking the green light, watch out. The drillers are going to have one hell of a party, and we New Yorkers will end up with the hangover. However, if our famously rational governor thinks this one through, he can avoid disaster. The facts show that hydrofracking doesn’t just destroy air and water quality, undermine community character and make people sick. net , fracking is simply a bad bet. Fracking would also do serious harm to New York’s economy. Net- No question that America needs a sustainable energy plan, but fracking is neither safe nor sustainable nor good for the economy. Those who say it is are selling snake oil, not natural gas. Page 101 Fracking = Quakes Fracking causes seismic swarms that have increased earthquakes in Oklahoma by over 2000% Lepisto 7/8/14 (Christina, Writer, “Oklahoma has more earthquakes than California, and a few bad fracking reinjection wells may be to blame,” http://www.treehugger.com/corporateresponsibility/oklahoma-has-more-earthquakes-california-and-few-bad-fracking-reinjectionwells-may-be-blame.html) Oklahoma experienced just two earthquakes of magnitude 3 or greater from 1978 through 2008. In 2013, it was 109. There have been 145 through May 2 of this year already. Almost half (45%) of the earthquakes of magnitude 3 or greater in the central and eastern U.S. occurred in the frack-happy state of Oklahoma. The suspicion that fracking may be behind a sudden increase of earthquakes in Oklahoma is not new. But a study just released in Science magazine by University of Cornell researchers enhances the evidence that reinjection can cause seismic swarms. There is good news: the earthquakes appear to be related to a small minority of reinjection wells. During hydraulic facturing, known as fracking, large volumes of fluid are pumped underground to pressurize and break rock, thereby releasing trapped natural gas. This "fracking water" becomes contaminated during the process and cannot be released back into surface waters, so it is reinjected, often at high pressures and volumes. Dr. Katie Keranen, of Cornell University, notes that Four of the highest-volume disposal wells in Oklahoma (~0.04% of wells) are capable of triggering ~20% of recent central US earthquakes in a swarm covering nearly 2000 square kilometers. Only 4 out of 10,000 of wells causing half of the problems. This could explain why industry representatives continue to protest that fracking and reinjection has been proven safe. More importantly, the the bad actors can be identified and shut down, hopefully significantly minimizing the negative impacts of man-made earthquakes on residents of areas where fracking growth has been embraced for creating jobs and energy independence. Once the earthquake problem is solved, we can go back to worrying about the potential risk for groundwater pollution. A separate study at Cornell University recently identified yet another mechanism increasing the risk of carrying contaminants from the path of the fracking fluids into clean groundwater reservoirs: the same properties that make the fluids effective at fracking help fracking fluids dissolve contaminants like heavy metals that up until now have clung safely to soils in the form of colloids. This first principle of risk management requires us to understand the risks so we can maximize the benefits while reducing negative impacts. Fast growing new technologies like fracking often outpace the science needed to ensure safe implementation of the technology. The fracking backers should support this good science more than the TreeHuggers do; it is their best hope to fend off the next NIMBY (not in my back yard) revolution. Page 102 Add-on Advantages Page 103 Aquaculture Add-on OTEC Key to aquaculture Environmental Defense Fund 13 (Environmental Defense Fund “OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY AND ITS POSSIBILITES” June 13 http://earthtechling.com/2013/06/ocean-thermal-energy-conversion-technology-and-itspossibilites/) Because the deep ocean water pumped up to the OTEC facility is rich in nutrients and free of pathogens, it can be used to raise fish or to grow marine organisms like, microalgae for nutritional supplements. Doing this could actually reduce the environmental impact of OTEC, since the cold water is allowed to warm up and the nutrients and carbon dioxide can be removed by the farmed organisms. OTEC solves hunger and BioD loss Celestopea 99 (Celestopea, “Ocean Thermal Energy Converter” 2014 http://www.celestopea.com/OTEC.htm) Inexhaustibly renewable, pollution free energy is merely the beginning of the benefits of Celestopean OTEC's. Tropical oceans are nearly devoid of life. Because growing conditions are so ideal, the algae's which are the base of the food chain, bloom in explosive growths that quickly consume all nutrients. They then die and fall to the ocean depths leaving the surface fairly empty of life. The cold, nitrogen and nutrient-rich water pulled up from the ocean depths will seed a bloom of new life in the tropical ocean deserts. The resulting micro algae and phytoplankton growth will nourish a tremendous increase in many types of fish and higher forms of marine life. The algae will also be farmed both on the open sea and in large shallow containment ponds. The combination of tropical sun, perfect water temperature and nitrogen, nutrient laden water, will produce millions of tons of high quality protein each year. As additional Celestopean cities and OTEC's begin to be created in the worlds oceans, the protein produced from our sea farms will make a significant dent in the worldwide problem of hunger and malnutrition. According to the United Nations Food and Agricultural Organization, an adult person should receive a minimum of 35 grams of Each day, each 100 megawatt OTEC will pump up 6 billion gallons of deep ocean water rich in nitrogen, the food of phytoplankton. A gallon of seawater contains 1.7 to 1.8 milligrams of nitrogen. Phytoplankton, one of the most highly efficient organisms, will convert 78-80% of the nitrogen into protein. The nitrogen in the daily pumped water of a single OTEC, will be converted by the phytoplankton into over 8 tons of protein each day, of which 65% will be high quality protein. If this high quality protein were harvested and manufactured into a pleasant consumable form, it would be enough to feed almost 150,000 people each day. The 40 degree deep ocean water can be mixed protein every day. with warm surface water in any proportion to produce greenhouse and sea farm environments in temperature ranges between 45 - This allows mini ecosystems to be created that can grow virtually all fruits and vegetables from any continental climate. In addition to tropical fish, the sea farms will also raise many types of cold water fish and shellfish such as salmon, lobster, abalone, trout, oysters and clams, that 90 degrees. would normally not survive in warm tropical waters. Page 104 Biodiversity OTEC solves hunger and BioD loss Celestopea 99 (Celestopea, “Ocean Thermal Energy Converter” 2014 http://www.celestopea.com/OTEC.htm) Inexhaustibly renewable, pollution free energy is merely the beginning of the benefits of Celestopean OTEC's. Tropical oceans are nearly devoid of life. Because growing conditions are so ideal, the algae's which are the base of the food chain, bloom in explosive growths that quickly consume all nutrients. They then die and fall to the ocean depths leaving the surface fairly empty of life. The cold, nitrogen and nutrient-rich water pulled up from the ocean depths will seed a bloom of new life in the tropical ocean deserts. The resulting micro algae and phytoplankton growth will nourish a tremendous increase in many types of fish and higher forms of marine life. The algae will also be farmed both on the open sea and in large shallow containment ponds. The combination of tropical sun, perfect water temperature and nitrogen, nutrient laden water, will produce millions of tons of high quality protein each year. As additional Celestopean cities and OTEC's begin to be created in the worlds oceans, the protein produced from our sea farms will make a significant dent in the worldwide problem of hunger and malnutrition. According to the United Nations Food and Agricultural Organization, an adult person should receive a minimum of 35 grams of Each day, each 100 megawatt OTEC will pump up 6 billion gallons of deep ocean water rich in nitrogen, the food of phytoplankton. A gallon of seawater contains 1.7 to 1.8 milligrams of nitrogen. Phytoplankton, one of the most highly efficient organisms, will convert 78-80% of the nitrogen into protein. The nitrogen in the daily pumped water of a single OTEC, will be converted by the phytoplankton into over 8 tons of protein each day, of which 65% will be high quality protein. If this high quality protein were harvested and manufactured into a pleasant consumable form, it would be enough to feed almost 150,000 people each day. The 40 degree deep ocean water can be mixed protein every day. with warm surface water in any proportion to produce greenhouse and sea farm environments in temperature ranges between 45 - This allows mini ecosystems to be created that can grow virtually all fruits and vegetables from any continental climate. In addition to tropical fish, the sea farms will also raise many types of cold water fish and shellfish such as salmon, lobster, abalone, trout, oysters and clams, that 90 degrees. would normally not survive in warm tropical waters. Page 105 Rare Earth Metals OTEC key to rare earth elements Celestopea 99 (Celestopea, “Ocean Thermal Energy Converter” 2014 http://www.celestopea.com/OTEC.htm) Many minerals and chemicals can also be derived as byproducts of OTEC operation from the 57 elements dissolved in solution in seawater. Besides the fuels hydrogen, oxygen and methanol, other byproducts include ammonia, salt, chlorine and eventually gold, platinum and other rare and precious elements. Past corporate analysis has always shown such ventures to be unprofitable because of the cost of pumping the large volume of water necessary to extract significant amounts of minerals. This main stumbling block is overcome as The necessary mining technology is leaping forward as well. The Japanese have recently been experimenting with extraction of uranium from seawater and found pending technology in material sciences is making mining minerals from seawater feasible. the OTEC's will already be pumping vast quantities of water for other purposes. Page 106 Jobs Add-On OTEC has the potential to cover US electricity supply and create jobs. Blanchard 11(Whitney, Energy Specialist Contractor with NOAA, “Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion Contribution to Energy”. StakerForum. 2011. http://www.stakeholderforum.org/fileadmin/files/EnergyOTEC%20Contribution%20to%20Energy.pdf) Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) is a marine renewable energy technology that harnesses the solar energy absorbed by the oceans. OTEC is an attractive technology with the potential to provide baseload electricity unlike other ocean renewable that are intermittent (e.g., wind, wave, and tidal energy). The technology uses the temperature differences between the deep cold and relatively warmer surface waters of the ocean to generate electricity and it is potentially viable in over eighty countries, primarily in equatorial areas where the year-round temperature differential is at least 20 degrees Celsius. A preliminary global OTEC power resource assessment is estimated to be 5 terawatts (i.e., one million megawatts)(Nihous 2007). In comparison, the United States generating capacity in 2010 was less than 1.13 terawatts (EIA 2011) and in 2006, the global electricity generating capacity was just over 4 terawatts (2008). Most electricity production is generated from fossil fuels (e.g., petroleum and coal) or nuclear power. OTEC has the potential to contribute to the future energy mix offering more sustainable electricity production. An OTEC industry would require a new supply chain creating employment. Each commercial-scale OTEC facility is anticipated to create approximately 4,000 new jobs spanning one to four years (Lockheed 2011). OTEC has the potential to cover US electricity supply and create jobs. Blanchard 11(Whitney, Energy Specialist Contractor with NOAA, “Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion Contribution to Energy”. StakerForum. 2011. http://www.stakeholderforum.org/fileadmin/files/EnergyOTEC%20Contribution%20to%20Energy.pdf) Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) is a marine renewable energy technology that harnesses the solar energy absorbed by the oceans. OTEC is an attractive technology with the potential to provide baseload electricity unlike other ocean renewable that are intermittent (e.g., wind, wave, and tidal energy). The technology uses the temperature differences between the deep cold and relatively warmer surface waters of the ocean to generate electricity and it is potentially viable in over eighty countries, primarily in equatorial areas where the year-round temperature differential is at least 20 degrees Celsius. A preliminary global OTEC power resource assessment is estimated to be 5 terawatts (i.e., one million megawatts)(Nihous 2007). In comparison, the United States generating capacity in 2010 was less than 1.13 terawatts (EIA 2011) and in 2006, the global electricity generating capacity was just over 4 terawatts (2008). Most electricity production is generated from fossil fuels (e.g., petroleum and coal) or nuclear power. OTEC has the potential to contribute to the future energy mix offering more sustainable electricity production. An OTEC industry would require a new supply chain creating employment. Each commercial-scale OTEC facility is anticipated to create approximately 4,000 new jobs spanning one to four years (Lockheed 2011). Page 107 World Hunger OTEC helps solve world hunger. Barry 08(Christopher B., a naval architect and co-chair of the Society of Naval Architects and Marine Engineers ad hoc panel on ocean renewable energy, Works for the Coast Guard. “Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion and CO2 Sequestration.” Renewable Energy World .Com. 1 July 2008. http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2008/07/ocean-thermalenergy-conversion-and-co2-sequestration-52762) There might be an additional benefit: Another saying is "we aren't trying to solve world hunger," but we may have. Increased ocean fertility may enhance fisheries substantially. In addition, by using OTEC energy to make nitrogen fertilizers, we can improve agriculture in the developing world. OTEC fertilizer could be sold to developing countries at a subsidy in exchange for using the tropic oceans. If we can solve the challenges of OTEC, especially carbon sequestration, it would seem that the Branson Challenge is met, and we have saved the earth, plus solving world hunger. Since President Jimmy Carter originally started OTEC research in the '70's, he deserves the credit. I'm sure he will find a good use for Sir Richard's check. OTEC can help produce food for the world. Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 34) In the process of producing power, the OTECs pump vast quantities of cold water up from the depths. This deep water is saturated with nitrogen and other nutrients. When this nutrient-rich water hits the warm sunlit surface, algae populations explode. The algae are cultivated in broad shallow containment ponds that spread out around the central island of Aquarius like the leaves of a water lily. The algae soak in the tropical sun, absorbing the rich nutrient broth from the depths and producing millions of tons of bacteria ¶ Aquarius will be the first of the new cybergenic life forms, but by no means the last. Once we have grown ten thousand of these colonial super-organisms, we will culture and harvest enough proteinrich algae to feed every hungry human on Earth. We will generate enough electrical power— converted into clean-burning hydrogen—to completely replace all fossil fuels. We will build enough living space to house hundreds of millions of people in self-sufficient, pollution-free, comfort. We will learn the harsh lessons of space colonization in the mellow school of a tropical paradise. And, we will unleash a torrential cash flow—large enough to underwrite any adventures in space we care to imagine. OTEC SOLVES WORLD HUNGER Barry 08’, Christopher D. "Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion and CO2 Sequestration." Renewable Energy World. N.p., 1 July 2008. Web. 12 July 2014. <http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2008/07/ocean-thermal-energyconversion-and-co2-sequestration-52762>. An OTEC plant optimized for ocean fertility will also probably be different than one optimized to generate power, so any OTEC-based carbon scheme has to include transfer payments of some sort — it won't come for free. Finally, who owns the ocean thermal resource? Most plants will be in international waters, though these waters tend to be off the coasts of the developing world. Saving the World There might be an additional benefit: Another saying is "we aren't trying to solve world hunger," but we may have. Increased ocean fertility may enhance fisheries substantially. In addition, by using OTEC energy to make nitrogen fertilizers, we can improve agriculture in the developing world. OTEC fertilizer could be sold to developing countries at a subsidy in exchange for using the tropic Page 108 oceans. If we can solve the challenges of OTEC, especially carbon sequestration, it would seem that the Branson Challenge is met, and we have saved the earth, plus solving world hunger. Since President Jimmy Carter originally started OTEC research in the '70's, he deserves the credit. I'm sure he will find a good use for Sir Richard's check. The sea solves both hunger and energy crises. Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 26-27) There is a source from which we can get both the food and the energy we need to survive, without devouring or poisoning the planet. It is no coincidence that the original source of all life should in the end be our salvation. Just as she gave us birth in the beginning, now she will save us in the end. She is our original mother and our ultimate savior—the sea. ¶ The global ocean can provide enough energy and nutrients for us to survive detonation of the population bomb. The warm surface waters of the sea hold and inexhaustible charge of solar energy. The oceans of the world function as gigantic solar collectors. The sun transmits to earth 18,000 times as much energy as mankind uses. An enormous amount of this radiant flux is stored in the surface of the oceans. Each ton of sea water contains as much energy as two pounds of gasoline. The energy contained in the world’s sea water is equivalent to filling the ocean basins twenty feet deep in high-octane fuel. Altogether, the world’s oceans contain 5 X 1021 BTU of potential energy—an amount equal to a million billion barrels of oil. There is enough latent energy in the oceans to supply the entire world power demand for 25,000 years. And it is renewable. ¶ The world’s oceans contain 550 billion metric tons of nitrates. This is 36 times more nitrogen than is held in the planet’s entire biomass. In 1986 the U.S. used 20 million tons of fertilizers; the nitrogen in the oceans could supply this demand for 27,000 years. These reserves of oceanic nutrients are the yolk of our planetary egg. To survive this embryonic phase of our species’ development we need only tap the oceanic yolk sac. ¶ Healing Gaia¶ The resources we need can be produced at virtually no cost to the Earth’s failing ecosystem. The sea colonies can help solve the world’s energy and food crises without exacerbating its environmental crisis. The sea colonies can double the world’s supply of energy, and do it without increasing carbon dioxide or acid rain, without disturbing an acre of ground, and without depleting any limited resources. Marine colonies, will, like all space colonies, make use of space which is now ecologically barren. The open oceans are largely lifeless due to a lack of nutrients. The marine colonies will therefore displace no pre-existing ecosystems. OTEC SOLVES WORLD HUNGER Barry 08’, Christopher D. "Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion and CO2 Sequestration." Renewable Energy World. N.p., 1 July 2008. Web. 12 July 2014. <http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2008/07/ocean-thermal-energyconversion-and-co2-sequestration-52762>. An OTEC plant optimized for ocean fertility will also probably be different than one optimized to generate power, so any OTEC-based carbon scheme has to include transfer payments of some sort — it won't come for free. Finally, who owns the ocean thermal resource? Most plants will be in international waters, though these waters tend to be off the coasts of the developing world. Saving the World There might be an additional benefit: Another saying is "we aren't trying to solve world hunger," but we may have. Increased ocean fertility may enhance fisheries substantially. In addition, by using OTEC energy to make nitrogen fertilizers, we can improve agriculture in the developing world. OTEC fertilizer could be sold to developing countries at a subsidy in exchange for using the tropic oceans. If we can solve the challenges of OTEC, especially carbon sequestration, it would Page 109 seem that the Branson Challenge is met, and we have saved the earth, plus solving world hunger. Since President Jimmy Carter originally started OTEC research in the '70's, he deserves the credit. I'm sure he will find a good use for Sir Richard's check Page 110 Fisheries Add-on The renewable energy produced by OTEC processes can support marine fisheries Golemen 05 Lars G. , 20 (Lars Golemen is a scientist for the Norwegian Institute for Water Research; World Renewable Energy Congress (WREC 2005); “Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion and the Next Generation Fisheries” ; http://www.rundecentre.no/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Article-OTEC-NGF-WREC-conference-2005.pdf) The world’s fisheries are in decline and so are also the reservoirs of fossil fuels. OTEC (Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion) is a process that can harness vast amounts of renewable thermal energy from the ocean and convert it to electricity. OTEC prototypes of the order of 1 MW have been tested, and GW-size floating plants have been designed. Work is now in progress in the USA, Japan and Norway to design OTEC plants that are combined with large-scale fish farming. Nutrientrich deep ocean water used by the OTEC process would be applied to produce phytoplankton which, in turn, would be consumed by zooplankton and thus provide feed for fish . The Next Generation Fisheries (NGF) design as presented here is different, and will have minimal or no negative environmental impact. Additionally, excess renewable energy that is produced that can be converted into useful products, or exported to the onshore power grid. OTEC produces electricity from a heat engine driven by the temperature difference between warm surface ocean water and cold deep ocean water (Avery and Wu, 1994). The most favourable conditions are found in the tropical and sub-tropical regions, and usually the concept is envisioned as a floating plant in ocean waves and tides, OTEC is a base load renewable, available 24 hours a day due to the large heat resource available in the ocean. The 1973 ‘oil shock’ fostered intense interest in renewables as an alternative to fossil fuels. Most OTEC plants are based on the Rankine cycle or its variants, i.e., they operate by heating and evaporating a working fluid in a boiler/evaporator, then expanding the vapour produced through a turbine before condensing the low-pressure vapour in a condenser. Heat is extracted from the deep water, but it can also be installed on land, near-shore. Unlike other renewable energy systems utilizing nonsteady sources like wind, solar PV, warm surface water and rejected into cold sea water brought up from depths below the thermocline. A minimum temperature difference of about 20°C is needed in order to Closed cycle OTEC (CC-OTEC) utilizes pressurized working fluids with low boiling points such as ammonia, refrigerants, and some hydrocarbons. The small operating temperature range, which is generate net power. established by the temperature difference between the surface and deep sea water, complicates heat transfer in the evaporator and condenser and generally requires large reducing the cost and improving the performance of heat exchangers remain the primary focus of CC-OTEC development. Still, industry claims that present available technology can be applied to the heat transfer surface areas. As a result, construction of modular Closed Cycle OTEC plants with generating capacity of hundreds of MW (Gautier et al., 2001). Open cycle OTEC (OC-OTEC) uses seawater as the working fluid. The system is operated under partial vacuum to allow flash evaporation of the warm sea water. While direct contact heat exchangers can be employed in the OC-OTEC process, which represent a major cost savings over CC-OTEC, this cycle has its distinct technical challenges such as maintaining vacuum and eliminating non-condensable gases . One advantage of OCOTEC that has been routinely touted is that it can be configured directly to produce potable water as a by-product. On this basis, there is capacity for sustainable energy production of about 12 TW, which is about twice the current global demand for primary energy. In the short-to-medium term, floating OTEC plants of a few hundreds of MW capacity could supply a significant amount of electricity in subtropical areas with direct access to the deep cold water resource. OTEC systems could also be configured to produce energy carriers, such as ammonia or hydrogen (Gauthier et al., 2001) or other marketable byproducts such as potable water. Figure 1 shows a number of commodities that could be generated by a multi-product OTEC system. Recent studies by a number of organizations, including the Food and that evolve from the sea water at low pressure. Furthermore, the low density steam requires very large turbines to produce any significant levels of power Agriculture Organization of the United Nations and the Pew Ocean Commission, have concluded that the world’s commercial marine fisheries are currently fully exploited, overexploited, or depleted . While traditional fish farming can, up to a point, fulfill the demand, it relies heavily on feed made from fish and other marine species. This serves to contribute to the decimation of the natural marine protein.. From a feeding perspective, fish farming can be very efficient . To circumvent this barrier without applying additional pressure to increasingly vulnerable marine environment, an alternative approach has been proposed to enhance natural fish stocks locally. The key factor for feed production in NGF is the utilisation of nutrient rich Deep Ocean Water (DOW) that has been pumped to the surface for use as a Page 111 thermal sink in OTEC. After passing through the OTEC system, the DOW will be warmed by 5-10°C. Typically, this still cold water is mixed with the effluent warm surface water before being discharged below the surface to minimize thermal pollution. Since the effluent DOW has high nutrient content (nitrates, phosphates and silicates) compared to surface waters, it has great potential for enhanced production of biomass by photosynthesis. DOW fertilization is the same mechanism that drives new production following natural, winddriven ocean upwelling that occurs along the continental margins, which enhances primary production that sustains fisheries (e.g., offshore Chile). In fact, DOW from OTEC is expected to have higher nutrient levels than the naturally upwelled water that originates from shallower depths corresponding to the thermocline. The rationale of integrating OTEC and mariculture is that the OTEC cycle can provide the power required to bring up large volumes of DOW with a net surplus of electricity which can, in turn, be sold or used for other fisheries operations or to produce marketable by-products. Zooplankton will feed on the algae, and in turn become feed for herbivorous fish downstream in the plant. Herbivorous fish (like tilapia) can feed directly on the algae. Alternatively, the algae biomass can be converted by biodegradation to useful products like methane. The NGF concept has been studied for some time, and designs have been proposed (Takahashi 2004). In October, 2004, the Japanese Ministry of fisheries hosted a meeting on NGF between representatives from Japan, USA and Norway, with the aim to boost development of the NGF concept, preferrably in several countries. The meeting set up the priorities for further development, where the Pacific International Center for High Technology Research (PICHTR) in Hawaii may become the coordinator. Priority number one is to secure funding for a joint, multilateral project involving the present Page 112 2AC Answers Page 113 AT: Case Args Page 114 AT: Case Turns (Generic) No negative effects from OTEC Dept. Energy Efficiency and Renewables 2013 (“Ocean Thermal Energy conversion Basics”) http://energy.gov/eere/energybasics/articles/ocean-thermal-energy-conversion-basics In general, careful site selection is key to keeping the environmental effects of OTEC minimal. OTEC experts believe that appropriate spacing of plants throughout tropical oceans can nearly eliminate any potential negative effects on ocean temperatures and marine life.¶ OTEC power plants require substantial capital investment upfront. OTEC researchers believe private sector firms probably will be unwilling to make the enormous initial investment required to build largescale plants until the price of fossil fuels increases dramatically or national governments provide financial incentives. Another factor hindering the commercialization of OTEC is that there are only a few hundred land-based sites in the tropics where deep-ocean water is close enough to shore to make OTEC plants feasible. The problems involved with OTEC are easily overcome Kempenar & Neumann ’14 (Ruud, postdoctoral research fellow in the Belfer Center's Energy Research, Development, Demonstration & Deployment, Frank, IMIEU Director Institute for Infrastructure, Environment and Innovation, June 2014, “OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY BRIEF”, http://www.irena.org/DocumentDownloads/Publications/Ocean_Thermal_Energy_V4_web.pdf) Another environmental aspect to be considered is fish entrapment although, this could be resolved by fencing. Some of the problems can be solved by locating the larger installations farther off the coast. The US Department of Energy (DOE) has recently brought out a more detailed study regarding the ecological aspects of OTEC (DOE, 2012). This study, which is based on computational models, suggests that OTEC plants with discharge at 70 meters of depth or more have no effect on the upper 40 meters of the ocean’s surface, and that the effect on picoplankton in the 70-110 meter depth layer is well within naturally occurring variability. The third challenge is from a financial/planning perspective. Large scale OTEC plants require high up-front capital costs, and the current prices per kWh are not competitive with other mainland energy generation technologies. A new development is that some companies are now offering bankable turnkey projects (Brochard, 2013; Johnson, 2013). Land planning issues may also create a problem. On the positive side, however, OTEC could be used as flexible base-load in a system with a large amount of intermittent renewables. A combination of different renewables in hybrid technologies can have positive impacts on the investment prospects. Page 115 AT: Feasibility (Tech/Timeframe) OTEC is market ready—offshore oil and marine engineering tech platforms already exist. It’s only a question of funding Cohen 2012 (Robert, OTEC consultant and advisor to Lockheed-Martin, “OTEC could soon be used: the technology in the midst of the international,” Marine Energy Times. October 2012. Page http://www.marineenergytimes.com/could-otec-soon-beused-partii-in-the-midst-of-international-competition.html) RC : Ocean thermal is the only remaining vast, untapped source of renewable energy, and is now ripe for commercialization. The near market-readiness of this technology is largely attributable to the remarkable ocean-engineering innovations and successful experience of the offshore oil industry during the past thirty years in developing, investing in, and introducing mammoth floating platforms. That achievement has inadvertently satisfied ocean thermal’s key operational requirement, for a large, stable, reliable ocean platform capable of operating in storms, hurricanes and typhoons.¶ ¶ Consequently, adaptations of those offshoreocean-platform designs can be spun-off to supply the proven ocean-engineering framework on which to mount the specialized ocean thermal plant and plantship heat exchangers, turbomachinery, cold water pipe (CWP) system, and other components and subsystems. Those offshore engineering achievements have greatly reduced the real and perceived risks of investing in ocean thermal plants.¶ ¶ Most of the required ocean thermal sub-systems and components are now marketready, having reached technological maturity and availability. However, one technological challenge unique to offshore ocean thermal power systems remains:¶ The development of technically and economically viable offshore technology needed to design, deploy, and operate survivable large-diameter, commercial-scale CWPs (cold water pipe approx. length 1000 meters; approx. diameter 10 meters) Now is the key time—we already have the tech to begin an OTEC platform Cohen 2012 (Robert, OTEC consultant and advisor to Lockheed-Martin, “OTEC could soon be used: the technology in the midst of the international,” Marine Energy Times. October 2012. Page http://www.marineenergytimes.com/could-otec-soon-beused-partii-in-the-midst-of-international-competition.html) RC : The Lockheed Martin (LM) company began rebuilding its ocean thermal engineerring team in 2007. That year the team began developing CWP technology for commercial ocean thermal plants , and during the next four years has made considerable progress toward that goal. LM’s impressive 2011 report to DOE on that progress, entitled “OTEC Advanced Composite Cold Water Pipe: Final Technical Report”, can be downloaded from a DOE Web site. Completion of engineering development of commercial-size CWP technology can be conducted in parallel with successful demonstration of an offshore, utility-scale, multi-megawatt ocean thermal pilot plant.¶ ¶ Thus the time is ripe for addressing and surmounting an initial two-step technical, economic, and financing hurdle:¶ ¶ Step 1) Obtaining data from the successful operation of a multi-megawatt, utility-scale demonstration ocean thermal power plant, in parallel with additional CWP development, which can be completed by year 2016; ¶ ¶ Step 2) Using those data as a basis for designing and operating the first-of-a-kind commercial plant (ca. 100 MWe) by year 2020, whose electricity is expected to be cost-competitive with oil-derived electricity at many island locations.¶ ¶ With production-economies, innovation, and experience from subsequent commercial power plants, there will be continuing decreases in plant capital cost. Neg: Renewable energy CP: Wave/Tidal/Current power will create the tech needed to make OTEC feasible—the CP is a prerequisite. Prefer our reluctant testimony—it’s from an OTEC advocate. Cohen 2012 (Robert, OTEC consultant and advisor to Lockheed-Martin, “OTEC could soon be used: the technology in the midst of the international,” Marine Energy Times. October 2012. Page http://www.marineenergytimes.com/could-otec-soon-beused-partii-in-the-midst-of-international-competition.html) RC : The fact that ocean thermal’s three sister ocean energy technologies¶ (to harness waves, currents, and tides) are already progressing toward becoming significant commercial energy sources is , I believe, helping pave the way for ocean thermal technology to enter the commercial arena. That is because Page 116 all four of these ocean energy technologies share certain technical requirements , especially their need to convey their “stranded” electrical power from the ocean to the people, either via cable, or through storage in some other form prior to shipment of the product.¶ ¶ Likely sea-to-shore transfer techniques include submarine electric cables, pipelines, and ocean tankers. Besides electricity, candidate ocean energy products for on-board manufacture include energy-carriers/fuels (such as hydrogen and ammonia),¶ energy-intensive products (such as ammonia for fertilizer), and fresh water. Ocean thermal designs and development will benefit in these areas from some of the prior technology and experience resulting from the commercial development of the other three ocean energy technologies. OTEC works despite low efficiency. Savage, 1992 (Marshall T., n/c, The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps. Boston: Little, Brown and Company. p. 35) In the tropical seas, surface waters, bathed in the intense light of the equatorial sun, are heated to 80˚+ F. (26.6˚ C.); deep waters, condemned to centuries in utter darkness, are cooled to 40˚F (4.44˚C.). This difference in temperature is enough to run a thermal engine, albeit at low efficiency. (The greater the difference in temperature, the more efficient the engine.)¶ A typical fossil fuel plant will convert 40% of the energy available in the fuel to electricity. An OTEC, will convert only 2.5% of the available energy to electricity. Usually, this would seem a ridiculously low level of efficiency not warranting any consideration as a realistic source of energy—but there is nothing usual about the sea. At sea, even very low levels of thermal efficiency are rendered practical by the sheer size of the available resource. OTEC is technologically feasible, support now SBI, 2009 (Ocean Energy Technologies World Wide “Ocean energy technologies & component worldwide”; June 1,2009; http://www.sbireports.com/ocean-energytechnologies-1928480/) terminator devices can be built with existing breakwater technology. The most common terminator device used is an oscillating water column (OWC) used in an onshore or near-shore structure. These devices use a combination of pneumatic energy and Similar to attenuators, mechanical energy to generate power. As water enters the water column through a subsurface opening, it exerts pressure on the air above it. The subsequent wave motion then acts as a piston, . Energetech has been testing a full-scale, at Port Kembla, Australia and is developing another OWC project for Rhode Island. moving the air up into a turbine that rotates and generates electricity 500kW OWC OTEC used now to solve for energy dependence McClatchy July 16, 2011 (Tribune Buisness News, “OTEC remains a promising option”) http://www.staradvertiser.com/editorials/20110716_OTEC_remains_a_promising_option.html?id=125678823 July 16--OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION -- the technology known better as OTEC that more than 30 years ago was viewed as the great hope for this oil-dependent state -- gradually lost some of the cachet it had among funders of research. Now it's beginning to make a comeback, and that ought to be applauded by anyone concerned about Hawaii's energy future. ¶ Although OTEC last week a demonstration project using the technology was launched on a barge off Hawaii's Kona Coast, at the Natural Energy Laboratory of Hawaii.¶ Its sponsors at Makai Ocean Engineering say the project's roughly $6 million in federal funds underwrite a search for ways to make a commercial project more viable. The primary cost hurdles are the heat exchanger that enables electrical generation and the system of pipes that circulate the seawater.¶ Hawaii is suited to OTEC because it has both warm and cold seawater within fairly easy reach. The heat from the surface water is used to generate steam from a fluid with a low boiling point, ammonia in this case. The steam drives the turbine and the cold, deep water is used to chill and re-liquefy the ammonia for reuse. is a long way from becoming a commercial power source, Page 117 Page 118 AT: Security OTEC enhances global security Websdale, 2014 (Emma, environmental journalist and senior communication specialist at Ocean Thermal Energy Corporation, “5 Reasons Why Hundreds of People Think OTEC Is a Smart Investment,” Empower the Ocean, January 27, http://empowertheocean.com/otec-a-smart-investment/) Investments of over US$260m (£168m) into research and development funds (R&D) for Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) have made harvesting this renewable energy immediately achievable. OTEC’s ability to simultaneously produce voluminous quantities of fresh drinking water and baseload renewable energy will be a substantial factor in reducing global waterstress conflict and safeguarding international security. OTEC Key to Energy SecurityCole 2012 (Barry, Executive Vice President OTEC International, LLC) “Draft Environmental Assessment OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION FACILITY KE‘AHOLE, NORTH KONA, HAWAI`I” 7/11/2012 http://www.oteci.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA-071012_reduced.pdf Following stabilization, OTI will continue to produce electricity, running the plant constantly to emulate a floating OTEC platform supplying electricity to a utility grid. OTI will moderate power output to mimic peak load, nominal load and off-peak (minimum) load. The load bank assures that the plant can continue to operate even if the HELCO grid fails. Because the load bank is water-cooled, electrical energy is converted to heat and put back into the water being discharged from the plant. A sub-stream of DSW leaving the power block could be be routed to the load banks cooling pool and then discharged to the injection wells. In the instance of water- cooled load banks, the volume of water to be used is unknown, but only a small fraction of the total discharge stream, Mixing the load bank water discharge with the total discharge stream would mask temperature differences at the injection well head. Air-cooled load banks are being considered and an economical alternative to water-cooled system. Page 119 AT: Weather Interruptions Your hurricane claims are laughable. 25 years of Hawaiian OTEC proves that storms and hurricanes don’t interrupt facilities. Websdale, 2014 (Emma, environmental journalist and senior communication specialist at Ocean Thermal Energy Corporation, “5 Reasons Why Hundreds of People Think OTEC Is a Smart Investment,” Empower the Ocean, January 27, http://empowertheocean.com/otec-a-smart-investment/) The OTEC demonstration plant, built in Hawaii in the 1990s, bears witness to OTEC’s reliability against tropical storms and hurricanes. With twenty uninterrupted years of cold deep ocean water flowing through its pipes, the facility proves that climate-driven weather events pose minimal threat to OTEC’s functional components. This makes OTEC technology one of the most stable foundations on which to build a future of clean global energy. Page 120 AT: Reliability OTEC is a dependable energy source, Sri Lanka proves Sri Lankan Newspaper 11/14/2012 (The Island website, “Sri Lanka mulls ocean thermal conversion for renewable energy”) http://www.lankabusinessonline.com/news/sri-lanka-mullsocean-thermal-energy-option/878753267 Sri Lanka is considering OTEC, or ocean thermal energy conversion, in the eastern deep-water harbour of Trincomalee as part of a renewable energy drive, Minister of Power and Energy Champika Ranawaka said. ¶ "We're trying to promote renewable energy," he told a forum of exporters organized by the National Chamber of Exporters to discuss the island's future power plans. "Trincomalee is one of the best places for OTEC and we're now exploring its possibilities," Ranawaka said.¶ OTEC is an energy technology that converts solar radiation to electric power using the ocean's natural "thermal gradient" - temperature differences between different layers of water in the sea - to generate power.¶ Tropical waters close to the equator with narrow continental shelves and steep offshore slopes and relatively smooth sea floors are considered good locations for OTEC.¶ Trincomalee, a natural harbour with a deep trench, has long been considered a potential site for OTEC but the island's 30-year ethnic war which ended last year had held up plans to exploit its potential. OTEC operates a higher percentage of the time than other ocean renewables. Blanchard 11(Whitney, Energy Specialist Contractor with NOAA, “Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion Contribution to Energy”. StakerForum. 2011.http://www.stakeholderforum.org/fileadmin/files/EnergyOTEC%20Contribution%20to%20Energy.pdf) A unique feature of an OTEC facility is the cold water pipe which must be constructed to withstand ocean conditions. In order to obtain the temperature differential required for a 100 megawatt facility, a 10 m diameter pipe must be able to withdraw water at a 1000 m depth. Most offshore OTEC development is designed as a closedcycle facility where warm and cold seawater pass through heat exchangers in contact with a working fluid with a low boiling point (i.e., ammonia). Once the seawater has passed through the heat exchanger, it is discharged back into the ocean. The working fluid goes through cycles of vaporization (heat transferred from the warm water) and condensation (heat transferred to the cold water) which drives a turbine generator to produce electricity. OTEC facilities are projected to operate 85-95% of the time (Avery and Wu 1994) which is a greater capacity factor than intermittent ocean renewable technologies. An OTEC facility continuously requires large volumes of both warm and cold water to generate electricity and for every net megawatt of electricity produced, approximately 3 m3/s of cold water is needed (Nibhous 2010). A 100 megawatt facility would require at least 600 m3/s of combined warm and cold seawater which is greater than any existing industry that uses cooling water (e.g., costal nuclear power plants). The environmental impacts from OTEC operations, including from the water intakes and discharge, are not well studied or understood. Page 121 AT: Timeframe After passing the plan we could have OTEC in as little as five years Vega 12, Luis A. (Hawaii Natural Energy Institute, School of Ocean And Earth Science And Technology, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, USA)"Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion." N.p., Aug. 2012. Web. 14 July 2014. http://hinmrec.hnei.hawaii.edu/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/OTEC-Summary-Aug-2012.pdf) In discussing OTEC’s potential, it is important to remember that implementation of the first plant would take about 5-years after order is placed . This is illustrated with the baseline schedule shown in Table 9. Completion of the engineering design with specifications and shop drawings would take 1-year. Presently, it is estimated that the licensing and permitting process through NOAA (in accordance with the OTEC Act) would take at least 1 year for commercial plants with the provision of exemptions from the licensing process for plants considered to be test plants because of the limited duration of the operational phase. Page 122 AT: OTEC Hurts Environment No environment effects—OTEC has built-in safety measures Dworksy, 2006 (Rick, environmental conservationalist, and government advisor, “A Warm Bath of Energy: Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” Energy Bulletin, June 5, p. http://www.resilience.org/stories/2006-06-05/warm-bath-energy-ocean-thermalenergy-conversion) OTEC can be built with non-exotic materials which do not require expensive secure disposal. While some designs (Uehara Cycle) require titanium, it has also been shown in other designs that the heat exchangers can be made of common aluminum without excessive corrosion problems.¶ At this time OTEC appears to offer an environmentally neutral energy source. The intermittent injection of minimal amounts of chlorine to prevent bio-fouling of the warm water intakes, and the leaching of metal particles and other materials via erosion/corrosion would probably be environmentally insignificant. Large storage tanks for chlorine would not be necessary - small amounts could be generated 'live' as required to manage the danger to personnel. No bio-fouling within the cold water intake tube has occurred. Although a 100% kill rate for small organisms such as phytoplankton that get drawn into the warm water intakes is probably inevitable, it is believed that this can be mitigated by the pumped 'upwelling' of cold deep fertile waters and the outfall effluent. Only extensive monitoring of an installed mid-size test facility can enable a comprehensive environmental assessment, and find the balance point between bloom and bust. Adjustments of the outfall depth may be necessary, according to local conditions. It may well be the case that OTEC can target some of the energy that causes damaging and catastrophic storms and redirect it into useful work, if large mobile floating platforms become a reality. We should carefully consider when a location can host the process and remain within its normal temperature gradient range, this would be similar to concerns about the energy absorption effects of solar panels and windmills. OTEC appears to be a vast, renewable, sustainable, safe, 'always on' energy source that does not emit CO2 or nuclear waste. OTEC is Resistant to Corrosion Cole 2012 ( Barry, Executive Vice President OTEC International, LLC) “Draft Environmental Assessment OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION FACILITY KE‘AHOLE, NORTH KONA, HAWAI`I” 7/11/2012 http://www.oteci.com/wp- content/uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA-071012_reduced.pdf uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA071012_reduced.pdf OTEC evaporators transfer solar thermal energy stored in warm surface ocean waters to liquid ammonia causing it to boil, producing a working, pressurized vapor sufficient to power a turbine- generator. At the condenser side of the OTEC cycle, residual thermal energy in the ammonia vapor transfers to cold deep-sea water, and the working fluid returns to its liquid phase, ready to re-enter the power cycle. Large volumes of both warm surface and cold deep-sea water must be supplied continuously to provide the needed energy source and sink for the OTEC process. NELHA installed the 55-inch pumping station in 2001 for the purpose of actualizing the installation of a 1MW OTEC demonstration plant at the research and development facility. OTI will not exceed a maximum draw of 40,500 gpm of SSW and 27,000 gpm of DSW. OTI will be able to draw up to 45,000 gpm of SSW and 30,000 gpm provided they submit for review to NELHA documentation from the pipe manufacturer that the pipe will not fail at these levels and obtain prior written approval from NELHA to increase the volumes.¶ The pipeline design capacities were estimated to be the required flow for a 1MW (gross electrical output) OTEC plant which was to be built by KAD Partners to support its development of an aquarium, lobster farm and visitor center. The pumping capacity and the 1MWe OTEC facility were assessed in the Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement, Development of Land Exchange Parcel, State of Hawai‘i, Natural Energy Laboratory of Hawai‘i Authority, September 1992 (GK & Assoc., 1992). These facilities were never developed due to financial constraints. Demand from the 55-inch pumping station is considerably less than the existing capacity. The current demand for DSW and SSW from existing HOST Park tenants is approximately 14,000gpm (J. War, pers. comm.).¶ OTI proposes to utilize the 55-inch pumping station at its design capacity less the requirements of existing tenants and has developed a resource utilization plan that is responsive to all stakeholders. Specifically, OTI proposes to acquire and install new mixed flow wet pit discharge pumps: one 27,000gpm DSW pump and one 40,500gpm SSW pump. The existing pumps are not made of corrosion resistant materials, operate on only 480VA and have less than ten years of service life. The pumps that OTI will supply, at no cost to NELHA, will be made of corrosion resistant materials wherever there is a seawater interface, will operate on 4160VA, and will have a design service life of 25 years or more. The pumps will be installed with Variable Frequency Drives (VFD) so that as demand fluctuates, flows can be controlled accordingly. Page 123 OTEC Will Be Outfitted With Biofiltration Systems Cole 2012 (Barry, Executive Vice President OTEC International, LLC) “Draft Environmental Assessment OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION FACILITY KE‘AHOLE, NORTH KONA, HAWAI`I” 7/11/2012 http://www.oteci.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA-071012_reduced.pdf The temperature exiting the OTEC evaporators will be nearly the ideal temperature for growing abalone without the delicate and deliberate task of mixing DSW and SSW to obtain the correct temperature. DSW and SSW from the OTEC plant will be returned to the NLEHA-owned distribution system for use by Big Island Abalone and future tenants in the HOST Park. The post -OTEC distribution system will be established with a chemistry monitoring and alarm and activation system connected to diverter valves each side of the OTEC plant. OTI’s resource utilization plan provides for diversion of 6,000gpm of SSW from the input stream to the OTEC process in the event of an ammonia leak resulting in an ammonia concentration above 70 ppb. Of the remaining 34,800gpm that flows through the OTEC evaporator, a substantial portion is likely to be provided to the kelp and algae farming component of the abalone company, as the possible traces of ammonia will be a welcome addition to the plant culture medium. OTI has met with principals of the abalone farm and the NELHA staff to plan the downstream use of effluent OTEC water to the maximum benefit of other tenants and the future expansion of the HOST Park Plant Discharge SafeCole 2012 ( Barry, Executive Vice President OTEC International, LLC) “Draft Environmental Assessment OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION FACILITY KE‘AHOLE, NORTH KONA, HAWAI`I” 7/11/2012 http://www.oteci.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA-071012_reduced.pdf uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA-071012_reduced.pdf The discharge from the process will consist of processed seawater and a portion of the freshwater totaling 110 gallons per minute. The discharge will have a pH of 7 and salinity slightly higher than seawater. The discharge will be mixed with the much larger volume OTEC seawater discharge of 20,000 gallons per minute, so immediate dilution and mixing will take place prior to disposal in the injection wells. No chemicals are expected to be discharged with the effluent. The CO2 processing system will not generate significant amounts of air pollutants, but the precise quantity and characteristics of air emissions are not known at this time. All appropriate Clean Air Act, and other permits will be completed prior to construction and installation of the R&D equipment. Effluent Poses NO Risk to the EnvironmentCole 2012 (Barry, Executive Vice President OTEC International, LLC) “Draft Environmental Assessment OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION FACILITY KE‘AHOLE, NORTH KONA, HAWAI`I” 7/11/2012 http://www.oteci.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA-071012_reduced.pdf The transects established and monitored by Dollar offer clear evidence of both groundwater input adjacent to an undeveloped region and rapid natural mixing and dispersion of introduced physical and chemical signals within a short distance from the shoreline. Additional studies (Dollar and Atkinson, 1992) have demonstrated the influence of coastal morphology on nutrient flux and ecosystem response, leading to an understanding of the greater mixing and dispersion potential of open coastal as opposed to embayment systems. Dollar’s data indicate that mixing and dispersion effectively resolve perturbations of seawater components due to high-nutrient groundwater input at the shoreline, and virtually all of the parameters are in equilibrium with prevailing oceanic levels by a distance of 50m offshore. Although there was some variability between transects, the prevailing trends held consistently for those parameters most closely associated with groundwater. Analyses of samples along identical transects collected during 19911992 gave comparable results (Dollar, 2008), indicating an absence of any long-term changes in natural coastal water quality. Page 124 Animal Life Won’t DieCole 2012 (Barry, Executive Vice President OTEC International, LLC) “Draft Environmental Assessment OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION FACILITY KE‘AHOLE, NORTH KONA, HAWAI`I” 7/11/2012 http://www.oteci.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA-071012_reduced.pdf The deep water pipeline and intake was designed and installed by NELHA in 1995 and has operated successfully since that period. Marine organisms may be impinged on screens or entrained in the seawater flowing through the heat exchangers. At full operational Animals large enough to be impinged on the screen plates, including larger fish, sea turtles or monk seals routinely inhabit regions with current regimes well in excess of this speed and are capable of much higher swimming speeds. Thus, impingement of large marine animals at the warm water intake is not expected to be a concern. Occasionally fish or other nekton are expected to appear in the pump vaults. These can be easily removed and returned using nets. pumping, flow rates of SSW at the surface of the intake screens are calculated to be just under 1 fps, or about 0.6 knots. Phytoplankton Impact MinimalCole 2012 (Barry, Executive Vice President OTEC International, LLC) “Draft Environmental Assessment OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION FACILITY KE‘AHOLE, NORTH KONA, HAWAI`I” 7/11/2012 http://www.oteci.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA-071012_reduced.pdf The mortality rate for phytoplankton ranges from 7 to 10%. For microzooplankton the range is from 3 to 10% (Heinbokel, 1978), and for macrozooplankton, the figures are 1 to 7% (Kremer and Nixon, 1978). Thus, plankton biomass losses due to seawater withdrawal and processing through the OTI OTEC facility represent a very small increase over rates of natural mortality. Such a loss would not be detectable, because the water withdrawn by NELHA is continuously replenished by surrounding unperturbed water. As part of the RD&D activities OTI will sponsor research into plankton avoidance, and mortalities resulting from physical trauma, temperature shock and pressure changes within various stages of the plant. Data from this work will be used to model potential biological impacts associated with larger commercial plants as well as multiple OTEC facilities that may be co-located at some time in the future. Effluent Is Thermo-Chemically Similar to H20 Around Discharge Site Cole 2012 (Barry, Executive Vice President OTEC International, LLC) “Draft Environmental Assessment OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION FACILITY KE‘AHOLE, NORTH KONA, HAWAI`I” 7/11/2012 http://www.oteci.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA-071012_reduced.pdf The facility will then return seawater that is substantially unchanged to a layer of the ocean which is thermally similar to its characteristics upon exiting the plant. This seawater is expected to be chemically unchanged on its path through the plant. The high volume flow of deep seawater from the proposed action poses a potential threat to ecosystem stability of shallow, productive surface waters, due to the elevated concentrations of dissolved nutrients and depressed temperatures in DSW (Table 8). The principal goals for a successful seawater return design must be to protect the pristine quality of the coastal ocean environment by avoiding thermal or nutrient contamination of ocean water resources on which NELHA depends for its research and commercial operations. The NELHA Seawater Return System Management Recommendations emphasize these goals explicitly: It is critically important to offshore ecosystems and facilities uses that discharge from tenant operations not degrade the quality of coastal waters. To avoid degradation of the receiving waters, a successful seawater return system must be engineered to: 1) discharge the effluent into rapidly mixing and transiting ocean water masses in order to spread the effluent over as wide an area as possible, which ensures a high initial dilution at the point of effluent entry into the receiving waters, and; 2) avoid impacts to sensitive systems such as intertidal nearshore waters and anchialine ponds. Page 125 Effluent So Diluted There’s No Ecological ImpactCole 2012 (Barry, Executive Vice President OTEC International, LLC) “Draft Environmental Assessment OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION FACILITY KE‘AHOLE, NORTH KONA, HAWAI`I” 7/11/2012 http://www.oteci.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA-071012_reduced.pdf Based on previously accepted modeling results and physical data, the OTI seawater return system is designed to: 1) discharge the effluent into rapidly mixing and, transiting ocean water masses, spreading the effluent over as wide an area as possible, which ensures a high initial dilution at the point of effluent entry into the receiving waters, and;¶ 2) avoid impacts to sensitive systems such as nearshore waters and anchialine ponds.¶ NELHA’s previous analysis of various methods of seawater return identified deep injection wells as the method involving the least environmental impact (MCM Planning, 1987). In their section summarizing alternatives the EIS states: As proposed, the deep injection wells would provide the greatest residence time for discharged waters, about three months, and would create seepage ¶ 65Draft EA OTI RD&D Facility¶ through the bottom between -300 and -400 feet depths. OTEC has laundry list of benefits OTEC Foundation 2012 http://www.otecfoundation.org/otec/resource OTEC has the potential to contribute to the future energy mix offering a sustainable electricity production method. Unlike many other renewable energy technologies that are intermittent, OTEC has the potential to provide baseload electricity, which means day and night (24/7) and year-round. This is a big advantage for instance tropical islands that typically has a small electricity network, not capable of handling a lot of intermittent power.¶ Next to producing electricity, OTEC also offers the possibility of co-generating other beneficial products, like fresh water, nutrients for enhanced fish farming and seawater cooled greenhouses enabling food production in arid regions. Last but not least, the cold water can be used in building airconditioning systems. Energy savings of up to 90% can be realized.¶ The vast baseload OTEC resource could help many tropical and subtropical (remote) regions to become more energy self-sufficient. Page 126 AT: Hurts Currents Not only is OTEC by far the best ocean energy potential, but it would also have little to no impact on the ocean’s thermal structure Kempenar & Neumann ’14 (Ruud, postdoctoral research fellow in the Belfer Center's Energy Research, Development, Demonstration & Deployment, Frank, IMIEU Director Institute for Infrastructure, Environment and Innovation, June 2014, “OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY BRIEF”, http://www.irena.org/DocumentDownloads/Publications/Ocean_Thermal_Energy_V4_web.pdf) With an estimated 300 exajoules (EJ) per year or 90% of the global ocean energy potential, OTEC has the largest potential of the different ocean energy technologies (Lewis, et al., 2011). Extracting this energy would have no impact on the ocean’s thermal structure. The total estimated available resource for OTEC could be up to 30 terawatt (TW) and deployments up to 7 TW would have little effect on the oceanic temperature fields (Rajagopalan and Nihous, 2013). Resources are widespread. At least 98 nations and territories have been identified with access to OTEC thermal resources within their 200 nautical mile exclusive economic zone. The African and Indian coast, the tropical west and south-eastern coasts of the Americas, and many Caribbean and Pacific islands have sea surface temperature of 25°C to 30°C (Vega 2012). More spe- cifically, most Caribbean and Pacific countries have the required temperature degrees between 1-10 kilometres of their coast-line. Similarly, many African countries have viable OTEC resources within less than 25 kilometres of their coast-line (NREL 2004) and a potential study identified high potential for OTEC. recent Page 127 Off-Case Args Page 128 AT: Hege/Leadership The plan will gain the U.S. diplomatic prestige—and financial gain Cohen 2012 (Robert, OTEC consultant and advisor to Lockheed-Martin, “OTEC could soon be used: the technology in the midst of the international,” Marine Energy Times. October 2012. Page http://www.marineenergytimes.com/could-otec-soon-beused-partii-in-the-midst-of-international-competition.html) RC : There is a large early market eagerly awaiting such plants; namely, at island locations around the world where electricity generated by even the first-of-a-kind commercial ocean thermal plants will likely be costcompetitive with oil-derived electricity. That early global market to displace oil can probably quickly absorb an initial ocean thermal capacity of 2,000 MWe or more just in Hawaii and Puerto Rico , amounting to a total investment of around $20 B in U.S. plants alone.¶ The commercial prize awaiting the first industrial nation to lead in achieving the above will be to favorably position it to launch mammoth new ocean and power industries. In addition, that nation will gain considerable diplomatic prestige , because it will be able to provide commercial ocean thermal technology to about 80 countries -- most of which are developing nations – that have good ocean thermal resources adjacent to their shores and who want to reduce their dependence on oil imports. US Navy supports OTEC Pipkin 08/12/2010 (Whitney, Free lance writer covering environment, “Janicki lands contract with Lockheed Martin”) http://www.goskagit.com/news/janicki-lands-contract-with-lockheedmartin/article_d7d5c897-ce24-5ed3-ad6c-bc51828ea511.html Aug. 12--Janicki Industries has landed a contract with Lockheed Martin to help fabricate cold water pipes for a process that can generate electricity in the middle of the ocean, the Sedro-Woolley company announced today. ¶ The U.S. Navy awarded Lockheed Martin $8 million in 2009 to further develop technology for its Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion Program (OTEC). The OTEC process generates electricity by using the temperature difference between warm surface water and deep cold water.¶ The only fully functioning energy unit of this type is located in Hawaii, Janicki spokeswoman Kathleen Olson said in an e-mail. She said the task of creating a pipe robust enough to do the job -- the piece of the project on which Janicki will focus -- has stumped engineers for years.¶ The cold water pipes are used to transport water from more than a half mile below to the floating OTEC plant on the surface. Janicki currently is fabricating several major components of the unit, which will be tested at Lockheed Martin's facility in Sunnyvale, Calif. Page 129 AT: Renewables CP OTEC most potent renewable Friedman 14 (Becca, Harvard Ocean Energy Council member, “examining the future of ocean thermal energy conversion” http://www.oceanenergycouncil.com/examining-future-ocean-thermal-energy-conversion/) Dr. Joseph Huang, Senior Scientist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and former leader of a Department of Energy team on oceanic energy, told the HPR, “If we can use one percent of the energy [generated by OTEC] for electricity and other things, the potential is so big. It is more than 100 to 1000 times more than the current consumption of worldwide energy. The potential is huge. There is not any other renewable energy that can compare with OTEC.” Regardless, oceanic energy experts have high hopes. OTEC more efficient than wind and solar energy Potomac 10 (Paul, NASA engineer, “American Energy Policy V – Oc OTEC is better than other forms of alterative energy Curto ’10 (Dr. Paul, former NASA Chief Technologist, “American Energy Policy V -- Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” 12/15/2010, http://www.opednews.com/articles/AmericanEnergy-Policy-V--by-Paul-from-Potomac-101214-315.html)-mikee Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) is by far the most balanced means to face the challenge of global warming. It is also the one that requires the greatest investment to meet its potential. It is a most intriguing answer that can save us from Armageddon. The Applied Physics Laboratory at Johns Hopkins University was one of its earliest proponents, whose team was led by Gordon Dugger (see photo below). Given modern materials and design techniques, we should be able to build grazing OTEC plants that may become economical with just a few production units, based upon anhydrous ammonia as the hydrogen carrier. The grazing OTEC plants would produce anhydrous ammonia while surfing the oceans for hot spots to curry heat for their power plants. (BTW there are ammonia pipelines in Indiana and other midwest states today for fertilizer distribution). Ammonia is the second-most predominant chemical manufactured in the world. Since the volumetric energy density of ammonia is three times that of liquid hydrogen, and ammonia combustion can be exceptionally efficient (about the same as burning diesel fuel in turbodiesels), it may be true that a hydrogen economy based upon OTEC and ammonia may be close at hand. The overall replacement of transportable carbon fuels by OTEC-based ammonia is estimated at 100 million barrels of oil per day equivalent over about 40 years if we move to a hydrogen economy. Along with other technologies, carbon fuels could be replaced in roughly 80% of all applications. OTEC has the best potential of any ocean energy technology Kempenar & Neumann ’14 (Ruud, postdoctoral research fellow in the Belfer Center's Energy Research, Development, Demonstration & Deployment, Frank, IMIEU Director Institute for Infrastructure, Environment and Innovation, June 2014, “OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY BRIEF”, http://www.irena.org/DocumentDownloads/Publications/Ocean_Thermal_Energy_V4_web.pdf) OTEC has the highest potential when comparing all ocean energy technologies, and as many as 98 nations and territories have been identified that have viable OTEC resources in their exclusive economic zones. Recent studies suggest that total worldwide power generation capacity could be supplied by OTEC, and that this would have no impact on the ocean’s Page 130 temperature profiles. Furthermore, a large number of island states in the Caribbean and Pacific Ocean have OTEC resources within 10 kilometres (km) of their shores. OTEC seems especially suitable and economically viable for remote islands in tropical seas where generation can be combined with other functions e.g., air-conditioning and fresh water production. The existing barriers are high up-front capital costs, and the lack of experience building OTEC plants at scale. Most funding still comes from governments and technology developers, but for large scale deployment suitable finance options need to be developed to cover the upfront costs. From an environmental perspective, OTEC plants at scale will require large pipes to transport the volumes of water required to produce electricity, which might have an impact on marine life, as well as the infrastructures to transfer the water (for land-based systems) or electricity (for off-shore systems) to and from the coast line. Also because it is not a tried and tested technology at large scale, there are unknown risks to marine life at depth and on the seabed where there is large scale upward transfer of cold water with high nutrient content. From a technical perspective, the large-scale pipes, bio-fouling of the pipes and the heat exchangers, the corrosive environment, and discharge of seawater are still being researched. ean Thermal Energy Conversion” 12/15/2010 at 08:17:01 oped news. http://www.opednews.com/articles/2/American-EnergyPolicy-V--by-Paul-from-Potomac-101214-315.html) OTEC ships have features that are quite innovative and cost effective. Estimates range The capacity factor should be close to 100%, especially with the modular designs for the power modules. This means that OTEC annual power production will average three times that of solar and wind per unit of power capacity. Gulf plants may be moored in deep water and connected directly to the grid, bypassing the ammonia step. Tropical ships may graze from site to site and perform stationkeeping to stay in place when it's advantageous to do so. One design called for neutrally buoyant hulls to allow for submerging the ship in the event of any major storm to levels below the wave action zone. The major expenses he designs for these from $3000 to $6000 per kWe installed in 2010 dollars, depending on the configuration and proximity to shore. are for the heat exchangers (titanium alloys or aluminum), cold water pipe, and ammonia production/electrical generation and transmission facilities. OTEC is better than other forms of alterative energy Curto ’10 (Dr. Paul, former NASA Chief Technologist, “American Energy Policy V -- Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” 12/15/2010, http://www.opednews.com/articles/AmericanEnergy-Policy-V--by-Paul-from-Potomac-101214-315.html)-mikee Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) is by far the most balanced means to face the challenge of global warming. It is also the one that requires the greatest investment to meet its potential. It is a most intriguing answer that can save us from Armageddon. The Applied Physics Laboratory at Johns Hopkins University was one of its earliest proponents, whose team was led by Gordon Dugger (see photo below). Given modern materials and design techniques, we should be able to build grazing OTEC plants that may become economical with just a few production units, based upon anhydrous ammonia as the hydrogen carrier. The grazing OTEC plants would produce anhydrous ammonia while surfing the oceans for hot spots to curry heat for their power plants. (BTW there are ammonia pipelines in Indiana and other midwest states today for fertilizer distribution). Ammonia is the second-most predominant chemical manufactured in the world. Since the volumetric energy density of ammonia is three times that of liquid hydrogen, and ammonia combustion can be exceptionally efficient (about the same as burning diesel fuel in turbodiesels), it may be true that a hydrogen economy based upon OTEC and ammonia may be close at hand. The overall replacement of transportable carbon fuels by OTEC-based ammonia is estimated at 100 million barrels of oil per day equivalent over about 40 years if we move to a hydrogen economy. Along with other technologies, carbon fuels could be replaced in roughly 80% of all applications. OTEC would be able to compete with other forms of energy Vega 12, Luis A. (Hawaii Natural Energy Institute, School of Ocean And Earth Science And Technology, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, USA)"Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion." N.p., Aug. 2012. Web. 14 July 2014. http://hinmrec.hnei.hawaii.edu/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/OTEC-Summary-Aug-2012.pdf) An analytical model is available to assess scenarios under which OTEC might be competitive with conventional technologies [12]. First, the capital cost for OTEC plants, expressed in $/kW-net, is estimated. Subsequently, the relative cost of producing electricity ($/kWh) with OTEC, offset by the desalinated water production revenue, is equated to the fuel cost of electricity produced with Page 131 conventional techniques to determine the scenarios (i.e., fuel cost and cost of fresh-water production) under which OTEC could be competitive. For each scenario, the cost of desalinated water produced from seawater via reverse osmosis (RO) is estimated to set the upper limit of the OTEC water production credit. No attempt is made at speculating about the future cost of fossil fuels. It is simply stated that if a location is represented by one of the scenarios, OTEC could be competitive. OTEC is The Best Form of Renewable EnergyCole 2012 (Barry, Executive Vice President OTEC International, LLC) “Draft Environmental Assessment OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION FACILITY KE‘AHOLE, NORTH KONA, HAWAI`I” 7/11/2012 http://www.oteci.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA-071012_reduced.pdf uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA-071012_reduced.pdf The Abell Foundation, Inc. (Abell) of Baltimore Maryland is the principal member and sponsor of OTI. Abell originally established Sea Solar Power International LLC, the precursor of OTI, in 2001 with a goal of bringing pioneering OTEC research by J. Hilbert Anderson and his son, James Anderson to technological and commercial maturity. To Abell’s knowledge, no other private organization has devoted more capital and human resources to the objective of commercializing OTEC technology than Abell and OTI, and no other alternative energy has as great a near term promise for solving the base load energy needs of coastal countries and communities of the world in tropical and semi-tropical zones.¶ Abell and OTI’s approach to OTEC leverages the more than 40 years of research and engineering by the Andersons on optimizing the OTEC cycle and its key components. Abell also is the exclusive worldwide licensee of the Andersons’ work with OTEC, and the Abell portfolio of OTEC innovation includes substantial know-how, four patents issued and seven pending patents filed within the last two years.’ Page 132 AT: Consult CP AT: Consult CP: they will say no—there’s simply too much international competition to produce the first OTEC platform Cohen 2012 (Robert, OTEC consultant and advisor to Lockheed-Martin, “OTEC could soon be used: the technology in the midst of the international,” Marine Energy Times. October 2012. Page http://www.marineenergytimes.com/could-otec-soon-beused-partii-in-the-midst-of-international-competition.html) There have been discussions between governments about international coöperation on ocean thermal such as between Japan and the United States. Although some bilateral agreements have been reached, I am unaware of any significant ocean thermal development that has so far resulted from international coöperation .¶ ¶ From 1990 to 2003 there was, however, a significant effort to promote international coöperation, thanks to RC : development, the establishment by Taiwan's Industrial Technology Research Institute (ITRI) of the International OTEC/DOWA Association (IOA). The acronym “DOWA” stands for “Deep Ocean Water Applications”. IOA’s efforts have been strongly supported by Michel Gauthier of the French oceanic research organization IFREMER. M. Gauthier is a pioneering advocate of ocean thermal who was Acting Chairman of IOA from its inception until it was disbanded in 2003. [Taiwan has long been actively interested in utilizing the good ocean thermal resources along its east coast. However, those resources are in a seismic area, hence those locations could pose a mooring problem.]¶ ¶ The IOA was a transnational, apolitical organization of professionals dedicated to the full utilization of the renewable and non-polluting ocean thermal and deep ocean water resources. During IOA’s active years, its activities were chronicled in a valuable, comprehensive series of 78 newsletters, which are still available, thanks to M. Gauthier, on a French Web site belonging to the Club There is currently the possibility of a competition among industrial nations (especially France, to be the first to successfully demonstrate the viablity of generating electricity from ocean thermal energy aboard a utility-scale, multi-megawatt pilot plant. However, it is likely that any such des Argonautes.¶ ¶ China, Japan, and the USA) competition will be between private investors rather than between governments. Once such an ocean thermal pilot plant is deployed and successfully generates net power, operational data from that plant can be quickly incorporated into the design of an initial tranche of commercial plants, probably sized at around 100 MWe. We Already Consult a Variety of Agencies on OTEC- Look to Bottom Cole 2012 (Barry, Executive Vice President OTEC International, LLC) “Draft Environmental Assessment OCEAN THERMAL ENERGY CONVERSION TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION FACILITY KE‘AHOLE, NORTH KONA, HAWAI`I” 7/11/2012 http://www.oteci.com/wpcontent/uploads/2012/07/Draft_EA-071012_reduced.pdf Throughout the project design and development process, OTI has relied heavily on the prior experience and expertise of NELHA During the development of the DEA the proponent consulted a wide range of agencies, officials and interested parties to assess their concerns regarding the environmental and economic impacts of the proposed action. These agencies, organizations and individuals and others were consulted for scoping the assessment, and will be provided copies of the Draft Environmental Assessment for review and comment: 1.3.1 Federal Agencies¶ Department of Commerce, National Oceanic operations staff to help identify logistic and management concerns arising from implementation of the OTEC facility. and Atmospheric Administration Department of the Interior, Fish and Wildlife Service Department of Transportation, Federal Aviation Administration Environmental Protection Agency, Region IX¶ U.S. Navy SUBPAC Committee¶ 1.3.2 State Agencies¶ Tim O’Connell, USDA/ Rural Development Andrea Gill, HI DBEDT, Energy Office NELHA Board of Directors Gary Gill, State Dept. of Health¶ Richard Lim, DBEDT Mark Glick, DBEDT Energy Office Maria Tome, DBEDT Energy Office Chris Pointis, DOH Clean Water Branch Staff Engineer, DOH Safe Drinking Water Branch Cameron Black. DBEDT Energy Office Sam Lemmo, DLNR Office of Conservation and Coastal Lands John Nakagawa, Office of Planning CZM Section David Hind, Kona International Airport¶ 1.3.3 Public Officials¶ Lt. Governor Brian Schatz, State of Hawai‘i Delbert Nishimoto, US Senator Daniel Inouye’s Office Gilbert Kahele, HI State Senator Denny Coffman, HI State Representative Mike Gabbard, HI State Senator¶ 1.3.4 County of Hawai‘i¶ June Horike, County of Hawai‘i Dept. of Research and Development Vivian Landrum, Kona Kohala Chamber of Commerce Dominic Yagong, Hawai‘i County Council Donald Ikeda, Hawai‘i County Council¶ J Yoshimoto, Hawai‘i County Council Dennis Onishi, Hawai‘i County Council¶ Page 133 AT: States CP The patchwork regulatory environment among the states chills ocean renewable projects Griset, 2011 (Todd J., associate at Preti Flaherty’s Energy and Telecommunications group, where he represents renewable energy firms, “Harnessing the Ocean’s Power: Opportunities in Renewable Ocean Energy Resources,” Ocean and Coastal Law Journal 16 [2011]: 395, l/n) In addition to this complex web of federal regulation, states retain considerable authority regarding offshore renewable energy projects in their adjacent waters. Each state has broad discretion to regulate such projects; the resulting lack of uniformity of state regulation adds yet another layer of regulatory risk to projects.¶ Reflecting federalism-- the balance between states' rights and federal rights-- the federal Coastal Zone Management Act (CZMA) n124 requires applicants for federal licenses or permits affecting a state's costal zone to obtain a state certification that a proposed project is consistent with that state's coastal zone management program. n125 If a state refuses to issue such a consistency certification, the Secretary of Commerce may overrule the state and authorize the issuance of a permit only if the Secretary concludes after a notice and comment period that the proposed activities are either consistent with the objectives of the [*416] CZMA, or are "otherwise necessary in the interest of national security." n126 Thus, the CMZA provides states with a powerful tool in deciding whether to allow the development of offshore renewable energy projects.¶ Furthermore, electricity generated by an offshore project--even one sited in federal waters-must generally be transmitted to shore for distribution and consumption. In practical terms, this requires crossing state-jurisdictional coastal zones. n127 This creates a significant role for states in reviewing and permitting the transmission cables needed to carry the power produced at sea to consumers on land, both in leasing subsurface rights for laying cable and in reviewing the utility aspects of the proposed transmission infrastructure. Even where a state's authority is limited to reviewing the onshore transmission development associated with an offshore energy project, in practice, states' evaluations of these transmission aspects are often informed by the understanding that the transmission and generation components are each integral to the fate of the project. n128¶ States may also affect the fate of projects through their regulation of utility activities. Through the exercise of their rights to regulate utilities and establish utility retail rates, states generally have jurisdiction to approve power purchase agreements between offshore energy project developers and utilities. Securing approval of such power purchase agreements is a critical step in any project's successful development, as developers are generally reluctant to incur the major capital costs required to develop an offshore project without the certainty of an offtake agreement for the power to be produced. n129 While such state review is generally conducted by public utilities commissions or their analogues, experience has shown that issues beyond utility ratemaking, such as aesthetics or environmental considerations, often end up being raised in these utility forums. For example, the Massachusetts Department of Public Utilities heard extensive testimony on such issues in the context of its review of the proposed power purchase agreement between the utility provider National Grid and Cape Wind. n130 Because of [*417] the power reserved to states, such issues may play a large role in the ultimate success of renewable ocean energy projects. This state regulatory role rests on top of the multiple layers of federal regulation described above, adding another layer of regulatory complexity. Page 134 AT: International Agent CP Japan, India, and the Phillipines have already begun work on OTEC—makes them a better actor. Friedman, 2012 (Becca, Harvard Political Review, “Examining the Future of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion,” Ocean Energy Council, March 20, http://www.oceanenergycouncil.com/examining-future-ocean-thermal-energy-conversion/) In fact, as the U.S. government is dragging its feet, other countries are moving forward with their own designs and may well beat American industry to a fully-functioning plant. In India , there has been significant academic interest in OTEC, although the National Institute of Ocean Technology project has stalled due to a lack of funding. Japan , too, has run into capital cost issues, but Saga University ’s Institute of Ocean Energy has recently won prizes for advances in refinement of the OTEC cycle. Taiwan and various European nations have also explored OTEC as part of their longterm energy strategy. Perhaps the most interest is in the Philippines , where the Philippine Department of Energy has worked with Japanese experts to select 16 potential OTEC sites. Page 135 OTEC Neg Neg: Inh Ocean tech is already a government priority SBI, 2009 Ocean Energy Technologies World Wide “Ocean energy technologies & component worldwide” President Barack Obama has pledged to invest $150 billion in alternative energy technology over the next ten years. While some of this investment may go toward clean-coal and solar technology, ocean energy technology figures in his alternative energy plans as well.¶ Obama’s appointment of the Nobel laureate Steven Chu as the nation’s energy secretary indicates a new approach to guiding the nation’s energy department. Chu is not an industry executive, but a scientist who specializes in global warming and alternative energy technology. While Chu’s work has focused on biofuels and solar energy, by December 2008, Chu and President Obama had already met with a consortium of companies and institutions interested promoting the benefits of ocean energy technology. Ocean energy is far more consistent versus traditional renewable energy power SBI, 2009 (Ocean Energy Technologies World Wide “Ocean energy technologies & component worldwide” ; June 1,2009; http://www.sbireports.com/ocean-energytechnologies-1928480/) the United States is second only to China in renewable energy production, renewable energy accounts for only 7% of U.S. energy production. The majority of the U.S. renewable energy is from hydroelectric power, which accounts for 36% of the renewable energy, and wind energy, which is just Though above 5% of the renewable energy used. Wind generated electricity increased by 21% from 2006 to 2007 due to new construction; however, during that same period hydroelectric power decreased by 14%, primarily due to environmental factors reducing the amount of snow and rainfall in watersheds.¶ Both wind and hydroelectric power are susceptible to environmental conditions that can reduce their available energy. Ocean energy, however, is far more predictable the wind power and far less environmentally damaging than conventional hydroelectric power, nevertheless, ocean energy technology has been slow to develop in the United States, and the country now finds itself lagging behind the UK (namely Scotland), Japan and New Zealand in the development of commercially viable ocean energy power plants. Despite popular claims, the oceans are not warming MacRae, 01/14/2012 (Paul, BA in Sociology from the University of Toronto in 1970 and an MA in English from the University of Victoria in 2005) “Oceans no warming, despite climate claims” http://www.lexisnexis.com/en-us/globalwarming The oceans aren't warming at the moment. The British Meteorological Office issued a press release in August 2011 that noted: "The upper 700 metres of the global ocean has seen a rise in temperature since reliable records began in the late 1960s. However, there has been a pause in this warming during the period from 2003 to 2010."¶ In other words, the oceans have not warmed for most of the past decade - the opposite of what promoters of global warming fears have been telling the public.¶ Second, Baird offers no details on how much ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) will cost, and how this cost would compare to the currently used fossil fuels.¶ My guess: otec will be considerably more expensive than natural gas and oil, as are all the other "sustainable" energy sources (wind, solar, etc.).¶ Eventually, OTEC and other forms of alternative energy may be able to compete in price with fossil fuels. Until then, if we want to keep driving our cars, heating our homes, and running our businesses, we will need the Northern Gateway pipeline. Page 136 OTEC is too expensive and timely McClatchy July 16, 2011 (Tribune Buisness News, “OTEC remains a promising option”) http://www.staradvertiser.com/editorials/20110716_OTEC_remains_a_promising_option.html?id=125678823 Progress is being made already toward an improved model, one that resists corrosion and replaces costly titanium components with other metals. But with no other OTEC plants in operation, it could be years before investors are convinced the financial risks have been managed and are willing to underwrite development.¶ This is why the state must pursue the more mature technologies -- primarily wind, solar and geothermal -- that can deliver commercial power from a "green" source and help Hawaii meet its goals of reducing reliance on fossil fuels. The Clean Energy Initiative, which former Gov. Linda Lingle signed with the U.S. Department of Energy, aims to improve Hawaii's clean-energy picture by 2030, reducing energy use by 30 percent and increasing to 40 percent the share of the portfolio coming from locally generated renewable sources. To reach those ambitious benchmarks, the state can't afford to wait until OTEC comes up to speed.¶ But that doesn't mean this alternative should be shelved. Everyone agrees that, despite the cyclical changes in the oil market, the long-range trend is not coming down. And that suggests that Hawaii will need a full menu of renewable options, each one shifting in relative importance as technological advances make one system or another more advantageous. Nothing can solve the current energy crisis. Tverberg 13 (Gail, Gail Tverberg is a casualty actuary whose prior work involved forecasting and modeling in the insurance industry. Besides writing on her own blog, Our Finite World, she is also an editor at The Oil Drum, “Two Views of Our Current Economic and Energy Crisis,” TheEnergyCollective. 17 Oct 2013. http://theenergycollective.com/gail-tverberg/289341/two-views-our-current-economicand-energy-crisis) The Predominant View appears to fall very wide of the mark. Limits on oil and on other resources are a signal that Nature is really in charge, not humans. We can’t escape these limits. If we try to mitigate climate change by using more renewables, we hit a different kind of limit–high-priced electricity, and the problems it brings. Potential collapse seems to be directly in front of us. The Republican solution of more oil drilling will lead us in the direction of collapse, just as will the Democratic solution of increased debt and more emphasis on low-carbon fuels, particularly for electricity. The limits are just on different axes of the production function. Whether or not we humans would like to be in charge, Nature is in fact in charge. Nature determines timeframes. The timeframe could be very close. It is even possible that the current government shutdown/debt ceiling problems will ultimately lead to US collapse, and perhaps even world collapse. The current Predominant View of our situation is one that puts humans, and in particular current governmental officials, in charge. Historically, governments have had close ties with religion, using religion to further their own purposes. Now, government and religion have almost been fused into one. Perhaps this close tie is the reason why it is so difficult to get a well-reasoned story about our current predicament from those in charge, and why so many people are willing to believe the story we are being told. One thing that the Predominant View misses is the fact that we live in a finite world. This means that growth must at some point slow, and ultimately be reversed. The world operates in cycles; we can’t really change this. Nothing is permanent. The species that are dominant change, perhaps even humans. The climate changes, although perhaps not as fast as it is currently. Another thing that the Predominant View misses is the fact that energy of the right kinds is absolutely essential for the functioning of the economy. The view that there will be a substitute is more “faith-based” than it is based on objective facts. The Predominant View also misses the point that the substitute needs to be cheap; high-priced energy is terribly bad for the economy–it can easily push the economy into Stage 3 of the production function. The fact that high-priced oil is likely to lead to a debt unwind is likely to make the situation worse than it otherwise would be. Page 137 We cannot slowly transition to renewables. Tverberg 13 (Gail, Gail Tverberg is a casualty actuary whose prior work involved forecasting and modeling in the insurance industry. Besides writing on her own blog, Our Finite World, she is also an editor at The Oil Drum, “Two Views of Our Current Economic and Energy Crisis,” TheEnergyCollective. 17 Oct 2013. http://theenergycollective.com/gail-tverberg/289341/two-views-our-current-economicand-energy-crisis) We can think that the growth of human systems, including the economy, will go on forever, but we are almost certainly kidding ourselves. At some point, when Nature decides, new species will dominate–perhaps plants that can use more CO2. The transition will be the transition Nature dictates. We are kidding ourselves if we think that we can decide to slowly reduce oil and fossil fuel usage over the next 40 or more years. If oil prices drop to, say, $30 barrel because of debt defaults, oil production will drop very quickly–not based on some slow decline curve. Natural gas and coal prices will drop dramatically too, essentially putting an end to their production. Jobs will disappear with the lack of fossil fuels. Eighty or ninety percent of us will again need to work in manual food production without fossil fuels. Education, government, and services of all kinds will shrink rapidly. Nature is deciding for us right now what is ahead. We likely will have little choice in the matter. If we do have a choice at all, it is likely to be in the direction of serious back-pedaling, in terms of population, and in terms of learning to live essentially without fossil fuels. The future is likely to be very different from the past. Renewable Energy doesn’t solve warming or energy Tverberg 13 (Gail, Gail Tverberg is a casualty actuary whose prior work involved forecasting and modeling in the insurance industry. Besides writing on her own blog, Our Finite World, she is also an editor at The Oil Drum, “Two Views of Our Current Economic and Energy Crisis,” TheEnergyCollective. 17 Oct 2013. http://theenergycollective.com/gail-tverberg/289341/two-views-our-current-economicand-energy-crisis) The shift toward renewables has several difficulties: Renewables are an order of magnitude less efficient in producing electricity than the fossil fuels they replaced, when the energy cost of mitigating intermittency in included in the calculation (Weissbach et al. 2013). EROI comparisons are distorted, because they do not reflect this cost. Renewables tend to use fossil fuels heavily at the beginning of their life cycle, so do not really reduce fossil fuel use unless at some point in the future, we greatly reduce the amount of renewables we produce (and perhaps not even then, if the intermittency cost is as high as indicated in Item 1). The shift toward renewables in electricity production acts very much like the push toward high-priced oil, in terms of pushing the economy toward Stage 3 of the production function (in Figure 1), only on a different axis than oil. The view that the economy is hurtling toward climate change is based on the view that the economy will in fact continue to grow and will continue to extract fossil fuels for the foreseeable future. If oil and debt are limits that we are hitting right now, we may very well encounter economic collapse in the near future. Such a collapse will likely cut fossil fuel use of all kinds very quickly, because of low prices and disruption to systems. If, in fact, we do hit collapse, renewables will not operate the electric grid without fossil fuels, because we need fossil fuels to keep transmission lines repaired, to create and transport replacement parts, and to allow customers to have jobs to pay for the electricity. Thus, without fossil fuels in the future, our investment in renewables is of no long-term value. (And EROI estimates are vastly overstated.) OTEC still needs to be proven on the large scale. Blanchard 11(Whitney, Energy Specialist Contractor with NOAA, “Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion Contribution to Energy”. StakerForum. 2011.http://www.stakeholderforum.org/fileadmin/files/EnergyOTEC%20Contribution%20to%20Energy.pdf) Page 138 Despite ongoing efforts, OTEC has not yet been demonstrated at a commercial scale worldwide. The Ocean Renewable Energy Coalition released a “U.S. Marine and Hydrokinetic Technology Roadmap” (OREC 2011) describing the issues for the industry and the path to commercialization by 2030. While OTEC is not specifically mentioned as a marine and hydrokinetic energy, the key factors to commercialization are the same: 1. Technology research and development 2. Policy Issues 3. Sitting and permitting 4. Environmental Research 5. Market development 6. Economic and financial issues 7. Grid Integration 8. Education and workforce training. The roadmap suggests a phased approach to commercialization beginning with demonstration and pilot projects which are pre-commercial and grid connected moving towards commercialization. OTEC has remained in the demonstration phase. The onshore experimental in the 1990s produced 215 kilowatts of net electricity (Vega 2002/2003); however, commercial-scale facilities are designed at 100 megawatts (i.e. 100,000 kilowatts). There is a need of a pilot project to validate OTEC technology developments. OTEC technology is feasible at this scale (e.g., less than 10 megawatts) using current designs, materials, manufacturing, and development techniques; however, there is a need for further research, development, testing and evaluation for the commercial-scale OTEC facility (CRRC 2009). OTEC designers, future customers, financiers, and regulators need validation of the economic models, technical performance, and environmental performance from a pilot plant prior to commercial scale development (Bedard R. 2010). The cost is what remains a challenge; for example, the Lockheed Martin 10 megawatt pilot plant is estimated to cost $230-$250 million (Lockheed 2011) OTEC has ocean temperature requirements. Estioko, 2013 (Ovric P., BS in Biology at the University of the Philipines Los Banos, “OCEAN ENERGY AS AN ALTERNATIVE SOURCE OF ENERGY:A SOLUTION TO THE ENERGY CRISIS IN MINDANAO.” University of the Philippines. Feb 23.,2013 http://www.academia.edu/2915019/Ocean_Energy_as_an_Alternative_Source_of_Energy_A_S olution_to_the_Energy_Crisis_in_Mindanao_A_Library_Research_Paper_ ) The thermal energy from the ocean can be generated to electricity by means of the Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC). OTEC produces electricity from the thermal energy of the ocean by means of driving a turbine by created steam from the heat that is stored in the warm surface of the water. Cold, deep water is pumped to the surface during the process to bring back the steam through condensation. The use of OTEC is only viable to countries in the tropical areas wherein there is at least 22 ⁰ C thermal gradient between the surface of the ocean and the ocean depth of about 1000 m (Pelc & Fujita, 2002). Basing on the figure about Ocean Temperature Differences between Surface and 1,000 Meters deep by Etemadi, Emdadi, AsefAfshar andEmami (2011), the Philippines is suitable for the use of the OTEC since the ocean that surroundsthe Philippines has a temperature difference of 22 ⁰ C to 24 ⁰ C, which meets the requirement of theOTEC usage. OTEC WON’T Work in the US- Quick 2013 (Darren, Director at Hawk Security & Surveillance System) “World’s largest OTEC power plant planned for China” http://www.gizmag.com/otec-plant-lockheed-martin-reignwood-china/27164/ 4/18/2013 Tropical regions are considered the only viable locations for OTEC plants due to the greater temperature differential between the shallow and deep water. Unlike wind and solar power, OTEC can produce electricity around the clock, 365 days a year to supply base load power. OTEC plants also produce cold water as a by-product that can be used for air conditioning and refrigeration at locations near the plant. Despite such advantages, and even though demonstration plants were constructed as far back as the 1880s, there are still no large-scale commercial OTEC plants in operation. This is largely due to the costs associated with locating and maintaining the facility off shore and drawing the cold water from the ocean depths. Colonization of Mars will happen within the next century. Fallows 13 (James, National Correspondent for The Atlantic, “The Coming of Age of Space Colonization,” The Atlantic. 20 Mar 2013, http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2013/03/the-coming-age-of-spacecolonization/273818/) Page 139 In the next generation or two—say the next 30 to 60 years—there will be an irreversible human migration to a permanent space colony. Some people will tell you that this new colony will be on the moon, or an asteroid—in my opinion asteroids are a great place to go, but mostly for mining. I think the location is likely to be Mars. This Mars colony will start off with a few thousand people, and then it may grow over 100 years to a few million people, but it will be there permanently. That should be really exciting, to be alive during that stage of humanity's history. JF: I have to ask—really? This will really happen? EA: I really do believe it will. First of all, the key to making it happen is to reduce the cost of transportation into space. My colleague Elon Musk is aiming to get the cost of a flight to Mars down to half a million dollars a person. I think that even if it costs maybe a few million dollars a person to launch to Mars, a colony could be feasible. To me the question is, does it happen in the next 30 years, or does it happen in the next 60 to 70 years? There's no question it's going to happen in this century, and that's a pretty exciting thing. Fracking Isn’t All That Bad Y’all BRANTLEY ‘13 SUSAN L. and ANNA MEYENDORFF March 13, 2013 Susan Brantley is distinguished professor of geosciences and director of the Earth and Environmental Systems Institute at Pennsylvania State University, and a member of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences. Anna Meyendorff is a faculty associate at the International Policy Center of the Ford School of Public Policy at the University of Michigan, and a manager at Analysis Group. http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/14/opinion/global/the-facts-onfracking.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0 As politicians in Europe and the United States consider whether, and under what conditions, fracking should be allowed, the experience of Pennsylvania is instructive. Pennsylvania has seen rapid development of the Marcellus shale, a geological formation that could contain nearly 500 trillion cubic feet of gas — enough to power all American homes for 50 years at recent rates of residential use. Some of the local effects of drilling and fracking have gotten a lot of press but caused few problems, while others are more serious. For example, of the tens of thousands of deep injection wells in use by the energy industry across the United States, only about eight locations have experienced injectioninduced earthquakes, most too weak to feel and none causing significant damage. Pennsylvania experience with water contamination is also instructive. In Pennsylvania , The shale gas is accessed at depths of thousands of feet while drinking water is extracted from depths of only hundreds of feet. Nowhere in the state have fracking compounds injected at depth been shown to contaminate drinking water . In one study of 200 private water wells in the fracking regions of Pennsylvania , water quality was the same before and soon after drilling in all wells except one. The only surprise from that study was that many of the wells failed drinking water regulations before drilling started . But trucking and storage accidents have spilled fracking fluids and brines, leading to contamination of water and soils that had to be cleaned up. The fact that gas companies do not always disclose the composition of all fracking and drilling compounds makes it difficult to monitor for injected chemicals in streams and groundwater. Pennsylvania has also seen instances of methane leaking into aquifers in regions where shale-gas drilling is ongoing. Some of this gas is “drift gas” that forms naturally in deposits left behind by the last glaciation. But sometimes methane leaks out of gas wells because, in 1 to 2 percent of the wells, casings are not structurally sound. The casings can be fixed to address these minor leaks, and the risk of such methane leaks could further decrease if casings were designed specifically for each geological location. The disposal of shale gas brine was initially addressed in Pennsylvania by allowing the industry to use municipal water treatment plants that were not equipped to handle the unhealthy components. Since new regulations in 2011 , however, Pennsylvania companies now recycle 90 percent of this briny water by using it to frack more shale. In sum, the experience of fracking in Pennsylvania has led to industry practices that mitigate the effect of drilling and fracking on the local environment. And while the natural gas produced by fracking does add greenhouse gases to the atmosphere through leakage during gas extraction and carbon dioxide release during burning, it in fact holds a significant environmental advantage over coal mining . Shale gas emits half the carbon dioxide per unit of energy as does coal, and coal burning also emits metals such as mercury Page 140 into the atmosphere that eventually settle back into our soils and waters . Europe is currently increasing its reliance on coal while discouraging or banning fracking. If we are going to get our energy from hydrocarbons, blocking fracking while relying on coal looks like a bad trade-off for the environment. So, should the United States and Europe encourage fracking or ban it? Short-run economic interests support fracking . In the experience of Pennsylvania, natural gas prices fall and jobs are created both directly in the gas industry and indirectly as regional and national economies benefit from lower energy costs . Europe can benefit from lessons learned in Pennsylvania, minimizing damage to the local environment. The geopolitical shift that would result from decreasing reliance on oil, and more specifically on Russian oil and gas, is one that European politicians might not want to ignore. And if natural gas displaces coal, then fracking is good not only for the economy but also for the global environment . But if fracked gas merely displaces efforts to develop cleaner, non-carbon, energy sources without decreasing reliance on coal, the doom and gloom of more rapid global climate change will be realized. Fracking no risk to drinking water Levant 14 (Ezra, Journalist. “Not one drop of poisoned water” May 2014 National Post http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2014/05/13/ezra-levant-not-one-drop-of-poisoned-water/) The Ground Water Protection Council, a non-profit organization whose membership consists of state-level groundwater regulators and whose very purpose is to "promote the protection and conservation of ground water resources for all beneficial uses, recognizing ground water as a critical component of the ecosystem," issued a report in 2011 that reviewed fracking in Texas and Ohio. The study covered 16 years of activity, during which more than 16,000 horizontal hydraulic-fracking shalegas wells were completed in Texas alone. In neither state did regulators identify "a single groundwater contamination incident resulting from site preparation, drilling, well construction, completion, hydraulic fracturing stimulation or production operations at any of these horizontal shale gas wells." Not only have regulatory investigations everywhere across the United States found not a single drop of drinking water contaminated by fracking, but it isn't actually physically possible for something like that to happen. Why? Because in not one single case does a hydraulic fracture even come near the water table. See, all of this fracturing is happening at nearly a mile, or deeper, below the Earth - that's where the shale gas is. Water wells don't go nearly that deep. Typically a well goes down several dozen feet, or maybe even a couple of hundred feet if the water table is exceptionally deep. America's biggest hand-dug well, the Big Well in Greensburg, Kansas, dug in 1887, goes down 109 feet; the Well of Joseph in Cairo's Citadel, in the Egyptian desert, goes down 280 feet. Those are deep wells, because they're built over deep watertables. Water aquifers are often deeper: - they average around 500 feet below the ground. But fracking? That happens thousands of feet below the surface - typically between 6,000 and 10,000 feet underground. For the gas or the fracking fluid to get into the water table, or even an aquifer, from that kind of depth, they would have to pass upward through millions of tons of rock - like passing through a mountain. In the Barnett Shale, for instance, even the shallowest fractures are roughly a mile below the surface thousands of feet below any aquifer or water table. These facts have been on the record far longer than the media and activists had even heard of the term "fracking." In 1995, the EPA under the Clinton administration - who were no slouches, either, when it came "there is no evidence that the hydraulic fracturing ... has resulted in any contamination or endangerment of underground sources of drinking water (USDW)." The EPA had been studying fracking in Alabama as far back as 1989. "Moreover, given the horizontal and vertical distance between the drinking water well and the closest methane gas production wells, the possibility to environmental restrictions - declared that of contamination or endangerment of USDWs in the area is extremely remote." That was Carol Browner writing, the environmentalist lawyer who served as EPA administrator under Bill Clinton and later became the director of the White House Office of Energy and Climate Change Policy under the Obama administration. The New York Times recently featured a letter from Yoko Ono, representing her group Artists Against Fracking, in which she repeated the lie: "Industry documents show that 6% of the wells leak immediately and that 60% leak over time, poisoning drinking water and putting the powerful greenhouse gas methane into our atmosphere," she wrote. "We need to develop truly clean energy, not dirty water created by fracking." Industry documents show no such thing. Statistics from environmental regulators show no such thing. Nowhere, anywhere, does any credible scientific evidence exist that fracking has made a single drinking water source "dirty." On the contrary, a review of tens of thousands of wells, in state after state, and by the most rigorous Page 141 federal environmental regulators, has turned up a complete blank on any fracking-related drinking-water contamination. It is no overstatement to say that fracking has proven 100% safe for drinking water in the United States - making fracking probably one of the few resourcebased industries on Earth that can actually boast such a statistic. How galling it is, then, that so much of the anti-frackingmovement relies on spreading the opposite of that fact - on spreading an outright lie.