Whole Essex Community Budgets Programme Families with Complex Needs (FCN) Business Case (February 2013 Revision) FINAL Version 4.1 Version 4.1 This business case sets out the plans for and benefits of adopting a new multi-agency way of working with disadvantaged families. This approach requires significant cultural change in the way in which all agencies and professionals engage with and work with families and each other. It is important to note that many of the aspects surrounding the partnership and operational implementation of the Family Teams are to be fully developed and are therefore documented as proposals within this business case and may be subject to change. Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case Table of Contents 1. Executive Summary ................................................................................................................ 4 1.1 Summary of key changes and progress to date ............................................................................ 4 1.2 Proposition .................................................................................................................................... 5 1.3 Background ................................................................................................................................... 5 1.4 Scope ............................................................................................................................................. 6 1.5 Cost / Benefit summary ................................................................................................................ 7 1.6 High Level Timetable ..................................................................................................................... 8 1.7 Asks of Partner Organisations/Government ................................................................................. 9 1.8 Recommendations ...................................................................................................................... 10 2. Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 11 3. Strategic Case....................................................................................................................... 12 3.1 Objective ..................................................................................................................................... 12 3.2 ‘As Is’ situation ............................................................................................................................ 12 3.3 ‘As Is’ Description ........................................................................................................................ 13 3.4 ‘As Is’ – Financial ......................................................................................................................... 15 3.5 ‘To Be’ proposal .......................................................................................................................... 16 3.5.1. The key elements of the New Delivery Model ................................................................... 16 3.5.2. Evidence that the approach works ..................................................................................... 21 3.5.3. To Be – Financial ................................................................................................................. 23 3.5.4. Affordability ........................................................................................................................ 24 3.6 Policy Context ............................................................................................................................. 25 3.7 Strategic Fit ................................................................................................................................. 25 3.8 Dependencies, Risks, Constraints and Asks ................................................................................ 26 3.8.1. Dependencies ..................................................................................................................... 26 3.8.2. Risk Management ............................................................................................................... 27 3.8.3. Constraints .......................................................................................................................... 28 3.9 Asks of Partner Organisations/ Government .............................................................................. 28 3.9.1. Staff and Culture Change .................................................................................................... 29 3.9.2. Changes in Governance / political accountability .............................................................. 30 3.10 Impact on infrastructure ........................................................................................................... 30 3.10.1. Services ............................................................................................................................. 30 3.10.2. Buildings............................................................................................................................ 30 3.11 Procurement and contracts ...................................................................................................... 30 3.11.1. Procurement ..................................................................................................................... 30 3.11.2. Contracts........................................................................................................................... 31 4. Cost / Investment / Funding...................................................................................................... 31 4.1 Overview ..................................................................................................................................... 31 4.2 As Is Model .................................................................................................................................. 33 4.3 To Be Model ................................................................................................................................ 33 4.4 Investment appraisal (Outcome Matrix)..................................................................................... 35 4.5 Savings......................................................................................................................................... 35 4.6 Benefits profile ............................................................................................................................ 37 5. Implementation Plan ............................................................................................................ 37 5.1 Phased delivery/change plan ...................................................................................................... 37 5.2 Detailed resource plan ................................................................................................................ 39 5.3 Stakeholder Engagement Plan .................................................................................................... 40 5.4 Benefits Realisation plan and method ........................................................................................ 41 5.5 Critical Success Factors ............................................................................................................... 41 6. Recommendations ............................................................................................................... 42 7. Appendices .......................................................................................................................... 43 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case 1. Executive Summary Update February 2013 The programme, bringing together Essex ‘troubled families’ and Community Budgets ‘Families with Complex Needs’ is now called Family Solutions. 1.1 Summary of key changes and progress to date From January 2013 the Government’s Troubled Families initiative, called Family Solutions in Essex, merged with the Community Budgets Families with Complex Needs programme to ensure the sustainability of Family Solutions in Essex and with a broader remit to support families with multiple disadvantage. The whole merged programme is now known as ‘Family Solutions’ (FS). Four Family Solutions teams are already established in each quadrant, and the programme is on track to establish a further four (two per quadrant) by October 2013. The teams will be multi-disciplinary with staff from a range of backgrounds including Education, drugs and alcohol, adult mental health, youth work, CAMHS and social work. By summer 2013 there will be an information, advice and guidance hub. The hub will offer information, advice and guidance to all partners, replacing CAFPoint and MAAGS referrals. The hub will also be the central point of referral of any child into the Family Solutions Teams across Essex. The hub and the teams will enable schools and other partners to reduce the numbers of CAFs and lead professional roles that they undertake. The financial model has been adjusted following discussions with partners. A realistic assessment has been made of the funds available and the financial model has been reviewed and revised accordingly. (See spreadsheet attached.) Schools Forum is being asked to agree their contribution for the next two years on February 13th. In the original Business Case there was a plan to develop a further four teams by 2015. This ambition has been revised and there is currently no commitment to establish any further teams. The impact and success of the initial eight teams will be assessed first before any decision is taken to expand the programme further. The specification for the Volunteering programme has been reduced in size reflecting the revised financial commitment. The specification will be for 2 years January 2014 to December 2015 with an initial maximum of 250 volunteers. The programme will be closely monitored during this time to: Ensure there is sufficient finance available to support the programme Test the model’s impact and effectiveness before expanding Detailed discussions have taken place and are continuing with partners to agree their contribution to the programme. Generally resources in kind are being offered by District and Borough Councils, primarily a staff member or shared staff member and the possibility of premises in their localities for the teams to use, rather than a direct financial contribution. Due to the reorganisation of NHS commissioning, discussions are still in progress particularly with the Clinical Commissioning Groups regarding staff and other contributions. These are written into the development of the Integrated Health and Social Care commissioning plans. Final version 4 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case The ‘asks’ of partners have been tailored to a more realistic estimation of resources available and the programme adjusted accordingly. This is reflected in the revised financial plan attached. 1.2 Proposition The proposition is to establish a new approach across Essex to working holistically with disadvantaged families with multiple difficulties to enable them to make significant changes and improvements to their lives and thus reduce their dependence on high cost public services. This new approach requires significant cultural change by and within all agencies and professionals working with children and families, in working practices, in roles and responsibilities, in multi-agency co-operation and in the way in which we all engage with families. The new approach will: Establish eight multi-disciplinary family teams across Essex from October 2013. Each team will initially work intensively with up to 180 families from disadvantaged backgrounds and with multiple difficulties for up to a year. Provide an evidence-based multiagency/disciplinary family-centred approach to support and enable families to identify what they want to change, build resilience, improve their lives long-term and become active participants in their local communities. Teams will be multi-disciplinary and where possible multi-agency with staff and resources from children’s services, district council services, health and others. Teams will be located in accessible premises in the areas that they serve. Establish a single advice, information and referral point for families and professionals. Establish a well understood model of working with children and families across all levels of need in Essex. (‘Effective Support for children and families in Essex’) Establish a single data system for shared family assessments and for recording the details of families on the programme, work undertaken and outcomes used by all team members. Establish a peer mentoring volunteer programme to offer longer term support to families by local volunteers/peer mentors and the opportunity to become volunteers themselves when they have been through the programme. This approach will secure medium and long term cost savings to the public purse by reducing the need of families for expensive reactive and specialist services, and by reducing duplication within the system. The programme will be voluntary for the families concerned and the methods of working will allow families to identify what changes they want to make to improve their lives and what solutions they wish to achieve. The family (key) worker will build a strong relationship with the family, based on respect and positive regard. FS will design and deliver a new effective service model which by enabling families to break free from inter-generational dependency will achieve wider system savings through increased employment, good health, learning and attainment and community participation, and through reduced crime, family/community conflict and social care involvement. 1.3 Background Essex is a county with complex public sector structures that are not always co-terminus with its own or partner organisational geographical boundaries. There are 2 neighbouring unitary authorities, 12 District /Borough Councils, two mental health foundation trusts, five Clinical Commissioning Groups Final version 5 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case and in excess of 550 schools. This makes navigation of and access to services difficult for families and professionals. This complexity has led to difficulty in developing agreed and shared models across all partners of delivering early intervention and targeted service to children and families in an effective way that helps them make changes to their lives. This puts pressure on all services including health, social care, housing, benefits, police, probation and education, and results in reactive and costly responses that are driven by organisational and professional boundaries and often involve duplication of effort. This situation demands change. It is exacerbated and made more urgent by the impacts of the changing landscape of current education, benefits, police and health and social care reforms. 1.4 Scope The Families The Families Solutions (FS) programme will work with families whose needs cannot be met sufficiently by universal services nor by services working together to meet families’ additional needs (see ‘Effective support’ windscreen). The programme will not be for families requiring specialist intervention for example where children are suffering significant harm or where family members need tier 3 and 4 mental health services. FS is for those families whose needs are at level 3 of the Essex Effective Support Windscreen (see page 17) who agree to participate to support them to make lasting changes. The FS criteria incorporate the DCLG ‘Troubled Families’ categories and also includes local priorities: Families with no member in work* Families with significant non-school attendance (for whatever reason)* Families with members involved in crime or anti-social behaviour* Families affected by domestic violence Families living with drug and alcohol misuse Families where children are in need and open to social care Families where children exhibit significant behavioural difficulties Families facing eviction or with significant rent arrears or neighbour disputes Families with one or more member of the household with (tier 2) mental health needs *Troubled families criteria Agencies Essex County Council (ECC) will provide funding for a range of staff to each Family team such as: Team manager, practice supervisor, family support/early intervention workers, CAMHS tier 2 worker, youth worker, social worker, drug & alcohol worker, worker with education background and business support District Councils are asked to provide or arrange with their housing provider a housing or benefits worker to each team (shared where a team covers more than one district) Community health commissioners/providers are asked to provide a health visitor to each team Mental Health providers/ Partnership Trusts are asked to provide an adult mental health practitioner to each team All the above staff will be core family team members and should be as close to full-time as possible, though job share arrangement can be considered Neighbourhood Police, Children’s centre providers, Job Centre plus, Adult Learning, Public Health and Probation are asked to provide a consistent link/liaison worker to each team Final version 6 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case Funding will be sought from partners to establish an Essex-wide family referral hub (linked to an existing service), additional staff and two data/practice research posts to support the teams 1.5 Cost / Benefit summary Community Budgets provide the platform on which public bodies can collaborate in a significant way to drive the cultural changes required to improve outcomes for families with multiple needs and reduce their dependence on public services in the longer term. Other benefits aligned to the programme include: Financial Resources The programme’s financial objective is to provide a sustainable model, ensuring that unnecessary expenditure is avoided and that available resources are used most efficiently for the long-term benefit of the community. Achieving sustainable change is likely to take time and it will be essential to balance affordability and service provision appropriately across the county over the next 5 years whilst reducing public spend and contributing to the financial savings set out in the respective medium term financial strategy of partnering agencies. The business case enables stakeholders, decision makers and those involved in the delivery of the programme to ascertain that it: is supported by a robust case for change that is strategically focused; optimises value for money; is financially affordable; is achievable; and is sustainable The total programme costs and benefits of establishing the FCN Programme are currently estimated at £27.9m and £41.2m respectively, giving rise to an estimated net financial benefit of £13.3m following a 5 year investment programme. Troubled Families – co-ordinator, attachment fee and payment by results grant of £2.9m has been reflected in this business case. After taking account of the combination of (1)associated Partnership opportunity costs (to be agreed with partners) and (2)Troubled Families attachment fee, the total investment requirement reduces by £16.0m resulting in a revised operating costs of £11.9m and the net operational programme benefit increases to £29.3m. Long term steady state sustainable net cashable savings are estimated to be circa £5.9m per annum. This position (details outlined in section 3.3.3) includes prudent figures in respect of cost reductions that can be achieved, should the targeted improvements be achieved and also assumptions around the scale of longer term post intervention economic benefits that could be delivered by the programme. If these figures improve, then greater cashable benefits for partner organisations will be realised. The partnership opportunity costs consist of direct employee costs for current posts in partner organisations which will be seconded or deployed to the programme. Should the opportunity costs be aligned as anticipated, the total upfront capital and revenue operational costs of £626k to cover the financial years 2012-15 will be required. The tables below identify the Actual Cost Benefit Analysis together with the contributions required from each partner in respect of new investment. It should be noted that the Schools Forum have agreed to redirect £757k of current base budget allocation for 2013/14 and 2014/15 to the new Final version 7 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case Family Solutions service on the basis they receive regular reports on the effectiveness and efficiency of the programme. FCN - Actual Cost Benefit Analysis - Summary Income / Expenditure Summary Description 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 Total £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 Cashable Benefit Revised Operating Investment 0 117 0 1,583 (2,627) 1,552 (7,636) 1,850 (8,723) 2,739 (8,792) 2,744 (8,696) 1,372 (4,479) 0 (254) 0 (33) 0 (41,240) 11,958 Programme New Investment & Net Cashable Benefit 117 1,583 (1,074) (5,786) (5,984) (6,048) (7,324) (4,479) (254) (33) (29,282) Total Opportunity Costs (56) (1,856) (3,757) (3,589) (2,705) (2,705) (1,353) 0 0 0 (16,022) Beneficiary Year 0 2012/13 Year 1 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 Total £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 Total New Investment Year 2 Total Accrued Programme Benefit 117 1,583 1,552 1,850 2,739 2,744 1,372 - - - 11,958 - All Partners Essex County Council Health Police Schools The Probation Service District, Borough and City Councils 117 - 244 189 757 4 390 223 202 786 4 339 157 258 990 5 439 291 375 1,437 7 629 238 382 1,465 8 651 95 194 744 4 334 - - - Total 117 1,583 1,552 1,850 2,739 2,744 1,372 - - - 1,365 1,600 6,179 32 2,782 11,958 Partnership Social Benefits FS seeks to increase community cohesion and the wellbeing of individuals and families by working actively with the most disadvantaged families in each community of Essex. This will enable all family members to take advantage of education, health, leisure/sport, and employment opportunities, as well as improve relationships between family members and decrease isolation within the local community. This will result in improved educational achievement, health, employment and emotional wellbeing and in a reduction in crime, anti-social behaviour, domestic violence, addiction and in the high level reactive (failure) costs associated with these. 1.6 High Level Timetable Below is the high level timetable with the key milestones of the projects. Final version 8 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case 1.7 Asks of Partner Organisations/Government Partner Agencies Partner agencies are asked to contribute staff and resources to ensure that the family teams are genuinely multi-agency and the approach to each family is a holistic one based on a family (key) worker who has the expertise to help the family address any issue be it health, housing, school, employment or community related. We will seek commitment from partners to this model of working and we will ask partners to allow workers in FS teams the authority to act on behalf of families to address all of the social issues a family present. Government We ask Central Government to support this proposal to develop multi-agency family teams to work in new ways with disadvantaged families. We ask government to develop a payment by results mechanism and a national formula to return a proportion of national public sector savings from FS (such as reduction in criminal justice costs, welfare benefits and longer term NHS costs) to the local public sector economy from April 2015 onwards. We ask government to clarify how partner responsibilities for Early Help and common assessment fits with Section 17 (10) of the Children Act 1989 so that it is clear that all relevant partner agencies are responsible for meeting the needs of children and families below the statutory social care threshold. The revised version of ‘Working Together’ provides an opportunity to do this. We do not at this stage have a specific data sharing ask of government. The Troubled Families programme is working with DWP to find effective ways of sharing data and the FS programme will build upon the solutions found. However, as the FS programme develops, we may need to come back to government to undo data sharing blockages that impede effective multi-agency working with families. Final version 9 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case 1.8 Recommendations The partners involved in the preparation of this business case have agreed the content in principle and confirmed their continued commitment to support, endorse and work together to deliver the proposals set out in the business case, as well as to support the wider promotion of the case and its proposition to further partners who will be affected and involved in the future. In particular partners are asked to agree the following as part of the sign-off of the business case: 1. Essex County Council, District and Borough Councils, Mental Health Partnership trusts and commissioners/providers of community health services, Neighbourhood Police, Children’s centre providers, Job Centre plus, Adult Learning, Public Health and Probation are asked to agree in principle the scope of the proposal. 2. Essex County Council, District and Borough Councils, Mental Health Partnership trusts and commissioners/providers of community health services, Neighbourhood Police, Children’s centre providers, Job Centre plus, Adult Learning, Public Health and Probation are asked to commit to this family focused key worker model of working with families with complex needs and to work collaboratively with the team in relation to any family they are concerned about who is in the programme. 3. Essex County Council, District and Borough Councils, Mental Health Partnership trusts and commissioners/providers of community health services, Neighbourhood Police, Children’s centre providers, Job Centre plus, Adult Learning, Public Health and Probation are asked to contribute staff and resources to ensure that the Family teams are genuinely multi-agency and the approach to each family is a holistic one based on one family (key) worker coordinating the work and building a strong relationship with each family. 4. Essex County Council, District and Borough Councils, Mental Health Partnership trusts, Police and Schools are asked in principle to provide financial support and or support in kind from April 2013 onwards in order to implement the business case. The share of the funding requirements from next financial year onwards will need to be agreed at a later stage. 5. Essex County Council, District and Borough Councils, Police and Community Health Providers are asked to facilitate the finding of local premises for teams from the whole public sector local estate. 6. We will ask central government to develop a payment by results mechanism and a national formula to return a proportion of national public sector savings from FS (such as reduction in criminal justice costs, welfare benefits and longer term NHS costs) to the local public sector economy from April 2015 onwards. 7. We will ask Government (DfE) to clarify how partner responsibilities for Early Help and common assessment fits with Section 17 (10) of the Children Act 1989 so that it is clear that all relevant partner agencies are responsible for meeting the needs of children and families below the statutory social care threshold. Final version 10 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case 2. Introduction Partners across Essex have been working together since January 2011 to bring about sustained system-change in the county’s public services and to recast their collective activity around the needs of local communities and citizens. As one of 16 Community budgets pilots announced in October 2010 spending review, Essex partners have developed a shared vision is that every individual, family and community in Essex has the opportunity to exercise choice and control over their lives, supported where necessary by agile and responsive public services. To achieve this, we have begun the journey to remodel services through the Whole Essex Community Budget (WECB) programme. Final version 11 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case 3. Strategic Case 3.1 Objective The Whole Essex Community Budget - Family Solutions (FS)) programme will provide radically different intensive family centred interventions to help families stay together, build resilience and be more integrated within their local community, in such a way that there is a long term reduction in the total cost of public services to that family and to the local community. Disadvantaged families in Essex and nationally have been poorly served by traditional single agency and single issue assessments of them, often not listening to them or offering the help or understanding that they need. This way of working has led to reactive high cost interventions, often driven by professional anxiety, that exacerbate rather than ameliorate family difficulties. Multiagency Family Teams, working to a clear intensive family intervention methodology (see Evidence that works section below) and a strengths-based approach, represent a new and different model for driving forward sustainable change. The FS programme will deliver whole system change that: Puts families at the centre, enables them to identify what they want to change and helps them find sustainable solutions to improve their lives Offers intensive relationship-based support to those families Builds family resilience and breaks the cycle of intergenerational deprivation Uses a strengths-based approach that supports access to universal services and prevents the need for more formal and costly interventions Is underpinned by an agreed ‘Effective Support’ conceptual model (see Appendix 2 and 3) so that all agencies understand levels of need and deliver services to children and families at the right level when they are needed Builds upon community resources and resilience by extending the opportunities for volunteering and peer support We will use the FS programme as the fulcrum for transformational reduction in demand for acute/specialist and more expensive services, not just in individuals and families, but across whole systems. Through this approach, we can reduce dependency, unemployment, crime and drug and alcohol misuse and increase skills, health, educational attainment and wellbeing. 3.2 ‘As Is’ situation Essex has embraced each evolutionary shift in working with children and families in the last 15 years: Sure Start Children’s Centres; multi-agency working; Teams around the School, Child and Community (TASCC); CAF; Family Intervention Projects; and so on. Whilst each change has brought benefits, improvements have been more piecemeal than we would have wished. Each has been laid on top of the existing arrangements, often not addressing underlying problems in the way things work. On reflection there was not sufficient understanding and engagement from partner agencies in these initiatives. This has prevented families in difficulty accessing help when they need and receiving a co-ordinated multi-disciplinary response to their needs. This puts pressure on all services including health, social care, police, probation and education and results in reactive and costly responses that are driven by organisational and professional boundaries, often with duplication of effort. This complexity is systemic within Essex, with service delivery evolving from add-on “improvements” rather than Final version 12 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case fundamental system change and so historic structures, processes, organisational culture and behaviours have become barriers to effective help for disadvantaged families. 3.3 ‘As Is’ Description Guidance: The Essex Threshold of Need Guidance (January 2011) was intended to support partners understand which services to access when needed. However, it lacks clarity, particularly at tiers two or three where children and families need more support. While schools and others work hard to meet children’s additional needs, when these require a multi-agency and co-ordinated response, there is no understanding and agreement about how that should be provided and who should organise it. The needs of disadvantaged families are multi-faceted, but the current guidance is not clear about how partner agencies working together will ensure that families get the co-ordinated help they need. Tools: The Common Assessment Framework (CAF) was first introduced in Essex in 2007. There is still confusion about whether CAF is a referral tool or an assessment tool, and it is not often used as an active inter-agency plan for helping a family in need. In general agencies have not adopted CAF within their own organisation, using it only when they need to access ECC services. This means that disadvantaged families experience multiple assessments that are not joined up and do not provide a holistic or co-ordinated planned response. (see partners views of CAF appendix 1). Processes: The Multi-Agency Allocation Groups (MAAGs) were introduced in Essex in 2009. They are funded by ECC and professionals meet on a regular basis to discuss referrals, to problem solve and to allocate resource to meet the needs of the child/young person referred. The process does not focus on the family in the round, but on individual children. Whilst MAAGs have had some impact, the process has not brought about the genuine integrated delivery desired, in the main because many agencies are not willing to engage especially in acting as Lead Professional. The numbers of referrals to MAAGs remain low, representing less than 3% of the contacts made to children’s social care. In addition, the changing financial and service delivery landscape has had an impact within MAAGs reducing the resources of partners available. This has led to MAAGs being less effective and therefore children and families not receiving the coordinated help they need. Access Routes to services: There are various access routes to services to and between partner agencies. The Initial Response Team (IRT) is the one front door into Children’s Social Care, providing information, advice and screening. In North and South Essex there are Child and Mental Adolescent Health single gateways providing similar functions. Health, Housing, Police and others have their own different access systems designed for their own functions. MAAGs provide a referral point in each part of the County. However in 2011/12 MAAGs received 1,771 referrals of which 1,025 (58%) were appropriate requests for multi-agency support. This contrasts with 65,000 contacts to IRT in the same period of which 20% - 13000 - went on to become social care assessments. There is no single information, advice and screening point for professionals to refer families who need planned and coordinated multi-disciplinary help. Support: The role of the Lead Professional was introduced in Essex at the same time as the CAF. The original intention for the role of the Lead Professional was that of a person best suited to the family to take on the role of co-ordinating the support that would help them. However, most organisations have not empowered and supported their staff to take on of the role of the Lead Professional. It often falls to the referring agency to take on that role (sometimes reluctantly) and they are often not in a position to provide sustained multi-disciplinary help that the family need. As a result families rarely receive the co-ordinated support that they need. In 2012 there has been a “Review of Assessment, Referral and Access Routes to Services” which has involved widespread consultation across Essex with agencies, schools and professional, and with Final version 13 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case parents, children and young people. The findings of the consultation are in Appendix 1 and raised similar concerns about the current system. EssexFamily: The EssexFamily programme was established in 2011 as phase one of Community Budgets. Funding was given by ECC to develop innovative prototypes and new ways of working with families in District Council areas. These EssexFamily prototypes have developed slowly but learning from them has informed and will continue to inform the FCN programme. The five prototypes are: Harlow – A co-located, multi-disciplinary Family Support Co-ordination Service has been developed, consisting of Key Workers who broker and deliver a one stop shop early intervention, integrated, holistic, assertive outreach provision to identified families with multiple needs. Enabling families to take control is a major feature of the approach, and 33 families ‘bubbling under the threshold’ have been worked with to date. Colchester – ‘Participle’ have been engaged to lead a multi-agency team of secondees building on their work in Swindon – the ‘LIFE’ programme. The team will work with 20 families for up to two years. Tendring – Much work has been completed on data sharing issues and a voluntary sector led approach to a virtual multi-disciplinary team of key workers is being developed to engage intensively with 20 families in two wards in Harwich and Clacton. Castle Point/ Rochford - have been prototyping a family-led, whole family assessment process, which could be utilised by practitioners from a wide range of agencies to establish trust with families and capture the family’s story (both their capabilities and their needs) as the springboard to agreeing a joint action plan. They are developing an approach to a ‘family budget’. Basildon - are developing the idea of a ‘neighbourhood agreement’, an approach designed to bring community and public services together, harnessing the assets of both to improve outcomes for families. Volunteers: Essex has a history of recognising the value of volunteers and the role they have to play in an integrated children and family system, through its own service delivery such as youth work or notably, through the Youth Offending Service (YOS). The YOS in Essex currently has over 70 trained members of the local community who take the lead in challenging young offenders to take responsibility for their actions and change their behavior whilst acting as mentors, as well as those who act as ‘appropriate adults’ to young people aged under 17 who are arrested. Both youth mentors and appropriate adult volunteers receive specific training and supervision. Essex also has a strong voluntary and community sector that provides a range of support for families, including that provided by volunteers. ECC commissions services that provide volunteers to work alongside families, however these volunteers are usually not linked into the other professionals working with the same families. The Review of Assessment, Referral and Access Routes to Services findings have informed us that children, young people and their families want to be: Treated with dignity and not judged or stigmatised Listened to and their opinions respected Given choices and involved in making decisions Whatever operational and delivery models are implemented in the future, there is a clear demand for a more integrated, flexible and family centred approach with clear access routes to support and agreed ways of working together as agencies, professionals and families. Final version 14 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case 3.4 ‘As Is’ – Financial Analysing how public money is currently spent by the various agencies in providing assessment, support and intervention for families is complex, as this is currently a somewhat fragmented landscape. Services within the scope of the programme are delivered by a mix of in-house and commissioned models and under existing arrangements, the key services supporting FCN were delivered in 2011/12 at a gross expenditure of £224.0m with staffing levels associated within the services, in excess of 1,423 full-time equivalents. The 2012/13 and forecasted 2013/14 gross expenditure is circa £212.2m and £201.9m respectively. Key Delivery Partners - High Level As Is Snapshot - Financial Summary 2011-12 Expenditure Category Indicative FCN Gross Expenditure Fte Indicative Interventions / Individuals Supported 2012-13 2013-14 Indicative FCN Gross Expenditure Forecasted FCN Gross Expenditure £000 57,528 245 39,100 £000 57,694 £000 57,225 Education and Employment 38,731 483 66,540 39,341 39,341 Community and Family Resilience 39,802 183 51,884 40,263 39,155 108 1,184 1,184 Health & Development Housing Protection Total Partners 1,184 - 86,950 512 53,508 73,687 64,965 224,195 1,423 211,140 212,169 201,870 Primary Care Trust (PCT) 18,000 - 7,128 18,000 18,000 Schools 15,062 296 1,916 17,058 17,058 Department of Work & Pensions (DWP) 18,655 - - 18,655 18,655 Police 16,769 - 35,590 16,769 16,769 1,707 - 1,274 - - 10,085 - 3,593 10,085 10,085 Probation Ministry of Justice (MOJ) District Council's (DC) 1,859 - 25,248 1,859 1,859 Essex County Council 142,060 1,127 136,391 129,745 119,445 224,195 1,423 211,140 212,169 201,870 Total The decreasing expenditure trend is in the main attributed to reductions in public funding and other innovative approaches / programmes which are reducing the number of Families in Essex where children are in need or in care and open to social care. The services and cost associated in determining the mean cost of a FCN covered a scale of functions across the Essex ‘Effective Support Model’ and illustrated the complexity and disproportionate cost of current services for FCN. This presents significant opportunities for end-to-end service re-design and associated benefit realisation. The average cost of supporting FCN varies locally and nationally, partially because the definition of FCN is very variable and costs are not directly observable or easy to estimate. 2007 - Social Exclusion Task Force (SETF) - £250,000 - £330,000 per annum, based on costing up interventions across services; and 2011 - DCLG - 120,000 Troubled Families, £75,000 per annum - spent on protecting the children in these families and responding to the crime and anti-social behaviour. Final version 15 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case Essex County Council undertook a detailed cost analysis to calculate what portion of the expenditure incurred in the table above can be apportioned to an average FCN. Analysing a range of anonymous case studies, unit costs interventions (estimated on a service by service basis) and professional expertise the mean cost of an Essex FCN is currently estimated at £78,000 per family per annum (for Essex Family 18 months ago a figure of £139,000 per family was assumed but this was based on a very small sample of families with high level 4 needs). The refreshed analysis indicated that the average costs of families with complex needs on the cupse of specialist provision to be £24,000, however following the incorporation of a range of specialist provisions e.g. Custody, Child in Care etc this could increase to as much as £122,000. We consider that due to the number of variables in complexity of need and range of costs outlined above, the average cost of £78,000 does not provide a conclusive position that can be used in the application of actual cashable savings at an operational level and therefore a unit costs, outcomes based alternative approach has been used within this programme. A number of transformational projects are currently underway which will have an overlap with the services in scope for this project, namely All Age Commissioning, Strategic Commissioning Hub, Multi-Systemic Therapy and other Community Budgets programmes such as Health and Well Being integrated Commissioning and Community Safety. The figure above has been determined after taking account of known costs and proportional activity. As these projects develop the position will need to be revised to ensure that ‘double counting’ of these costs and/or a future benefits does not occur. A financial baseline is provided at section 3.3.3. This demonstrates how the headline figures above have been revised; initial information captured, enhanced where necessary by further service input, and a more granular analysis of financial and activity data formulated to provide a cluster-wide baseline unit costs for the programme. 3.5 ‘To Be’ proposal 3.5.1. The key elements of the New Delivery Model Use of pan-public sector shared ‘front-door’ for individual and family referrals – developing a single ‘Family Support’ gateway Focussed use and re-design of family well-being model - Effective support for children and families in Essex - and family-led Shared Family Assessment (SFA - formerly CAF) as an agreed way of working for al partner agencies Clear expectations on all universal services to work together to meet children and families additional needs Family teams in each area under a single management structure, located in an accessible community setting, will work with families who meet three or more criteria and have needs that require a multi-disciplinary response at Level 3 – ‘Intensive’, delivering an integrated, holistic, assertive outreach provision to identified families Teams members will act as key workers/lead professionals and work intensively with families, building a strong relationship, for up to a year Families will enter the FS programme on a voluntary basis The key worker will establish a relationship of trust with the family and stay as the central point of support for the family throughout the period of intervention Team members will be family workers, but will also provide their specific professionals expertise to assist all team members, including support to access help from their own agency and discipline. There will be two tiers of intervention – short-term problem solving (up to three months) and long-term intensive (up to a year) Final version 16 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case Families will be in the programme for up to a year by which time they should be able to take full control and responsibility for themselves both in their everyday family functioning in the home and in the wider community The key worker and family relationship involves a degree of challenge, but it is for the family to identify and agree what they want to change and the plan to achieve this. There will be a volunteering/peer mentoring programme with families offered a matched volunteer to stay with them when they exit the programme. As the family feels more capable/confident, they are encouraged and trained to take on roles as volunteers/peer mentors for other families either directly or through community groups Appropriate incentives will be developed to support and encourage families to achieve targets which have been negotiated and agreed with the key worker. The methodologies used will be solution-focused, systemic and evidence based. A rigorous framework to evaluate impact and to learn and modify over time, based on strong customer feedback, including setting a baseline at the start to measure progress and impact. Effective Support for Children and Families in Essex ECC and its partners are developing a framework and guidance called ‘Effective Support for Children and Families in Essex’ (appendix 2) which clarifies levels of need and responsibilities for responding to needs at each level. This will ensure that services provide effective support to help families make changes and find solutions at an early stage when needs first become apparent, thus avoiding the need for costly long term or specialist interventions. In this guidance we have identified four levels of need: Universal; Additional; Intensive and Specialist as indicated on the ‘Effective Support Windscreen’ below. Essex Effective Support Windscreen Universal services such as schools and primary health care, children’s centres and youth work, remain responsible for organising and co-ordinating services for children and families with Level 2 additional needs. Final version 17 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case The FCN programme is aimed at children and families whose needs are at level 3 – requiring intensive and multi-disciplinary co-ordinated intervention. Sustained help for disadvantaged families There are disadvantaged families with complex needs in every part of Essex, every town and in most villages, but we know that there are concentrations of such families in particular areas especially Harlow, Braintree, Basildon, Colchester and Tendring. There is sometimes a history of intergenerational deprivation and families are likely to have experienced difficulties over a long period of time. Criteria for the FS programme Our definition of families with complex needs incorporates the ‘troubled families’ categories but also includes some pressing local priorities: Families with no member in work Families with significant non-school attendance (for whatever reason) Families with members involved in crime or anti-social behaviour Families affected by domestic violence Families living with drug and alcohol misuse Families where children are in need and open to social care Families where children exhibit significant behavioural difficulties Families facing eviction or with significant rent arrears or neighbour disputes Families with one or more member of the household with (tier 2) mental health needs Families will usually meet two or more criteria to enter the programme, but this will be flexible. All families worked with will have a child or children aged under 18. All families will engage in the programme on a voluntary basis by consent. We will establish a single information, advice and referral point for professionals and families themselves to direct families to the right sources of support and to be a point of entry to those who meet the programme criteria. Partnership Structure and Arrangements Final version 18 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case The development and implementation of the FS programme will be the responsibility of Essex County Council but a partnership advisory board will be established to provide strategic advice and guidance to the programme. The partnership advisory board will comprise senior officers from ECC, district councils, Health, Police and Voluntary Sector (one of each). The Essex Health and Wellbeing board will be the strategic accountable body for the FCN programme. The FS programme will be hosted by Essex County Council and line management of the programme will be provided by the Schools, Children and Families Directorate. The programme will remain a multi-agency service with a distinct identity operating across Essex and delivering services to families with complex needs. In year 1 the service will be delivered by 8 multi-disciplinary family teams. The FS programme will have staff compliment of 120 staff and aspirations to deploy a cohort of 90 volunteers by the end of the first year. Accountability The family teams will be accountable within the ECC SCF management structure and to the families they work with. The strategic accountability will lie with the Health and Well Being board. Family Teams The establishment of family teams requires a radical shift by all partners and professionals concerned and this will involve new professional identities being built and a new family centred culture adopted by all agencies and a shared commitment to counting ‘success’ differently. Building on the learning from previous initiatives, from the Essex Family prototypes and the Troubled Families programme, the proposal is to establish by October 2013 eight multi-disciplinary family teams covering the whole of Essex. Teams will be based in accessible and family friendly locations in areas of deprivation. The teams are likely to be located in Harlow, Braintree, Colchester, Clacton, Basildon, Chelmsford, Epping/Brentwood and Castle Point/Rochford. Family teams will be multi-disciplinary and consist of a mix of professionals from the following roles: Team Manager (from any relevant qualified professional background) Practice Supervisor (social work qualified) 2 family support/early intervention workers CAMHS tier 2 worker Youth worker Social worker Drug & alcohol worker Worker with education background Health Visitor District Council worker e.g. housing officer or benefits advisor Adult Mental Health practitioner Business support In addition to the above professional roles a Programme Manager will be appointed and have overall responsibility for the organisation and delivery of the programme. Final version 19 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case Each team will have a consistent liaison link to Neighbourhood Policing; Job Centre Plus, Children’s Centre Providers, Adult and Community Learning, Public Health and Probation. Each team is expected to work with 180 families a year and families will be on the programme for up to a year. There will be two tiers of entry to the programme – short-term problem-solving and longer term intensive. Families can switch between tiers. The key worker will link families to community resources and tailored support from any appropriate service, including access to evidence based parenting programmes. It is important that, beside the one-to-one casework, the Family teams have ready access to a range of community and public health resources that can directly benefit families, such as exercise programmes, smoking cessation, road safety awareness and local community volunteering opportunities. The skills set within the family team will need to reflect the anticipated level of family complexity the model assumes. A training programme for all team members based on a standard operating evidence based model will be in place before teams start. Team members will need to be able to adopt a highly persistent and resilient approach to engaging with families. Team members will be key workers and will work with up to ten families at any one time. Team members will be allocated families based on their knowledge, skills and experience and the family’s specific needs. Team members will use their own specialist/professional knowledge to the team offering advice, consultation and negotiating access to services. Initially the teams will be line managed by Essex County Council, Schools, Children and Families directorate within a strong management structure. Once the model has been fully established and refined from 2014 we will explore alternative delivery mechanisms. The programme will establish a single Essex wide information advice and referral point for entry into the FS programme. This will also replace the current CAF point and will be a reception point for shared family assessments and a source of information about resources to all professionals and the public. The single referral point will act as the gateway to the FS programme allowing self-referral as well as agency or professional referral. The single referral point might be connected to other existing referral points such as Essex Customer Service Centre. Once families have entered the programme it is our expectation that partner agencies will deal with most issues concerning the families through liaison with the key worker and working collaboratively with the family and the team to achieve the optimum solution. We will also learn from families about broad public sector service effectiveness and gaps and feed this back to all relevant public agencies. ICT is a crucial part of the supporting infrastructure for the partnership and a key enabler of business change and improvement. We will agree and set up a single data system to record information about families entering the programme, work undertaken and outcomes achieved. This will be used by all team members. The data system will fit with existing ECC systems and will also be the system for recording shared family assessments. Data sharing protocols will be developed to allow multi-agency use of the system. Families will need to give consent to sharing information about them within the team upon entry to the programme. This approach will secure medium and long term cost savings to the public purse by reducing the need of families for expensive reactive and specialist services. Volunteers In conjunction with the community and voluntary sector, we will establish a peer mentoring volunteer programme to support families. Support will be offered to families by local Final version 20 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case volunteers/peer mentors during the programme and will continue when they leave the programme. Families will have the opportunity to become volunteers themselves when they have successfully been through the programme. To support the programme we anticipate the need to recruit and train up to 250 volunteers in years 1 and 2 (from January 2014) years to work with families. Volunteers will be recruited, trained and supported to work with a family and build a strong supportive relationship with them. It is recognised that the relationships between and respective roles of the professional members of the family teams and the volunteers will need to be delineated and differentiated so that they are clear to the families, the staff and the volunteers. Outcomes The FS programme will seek to bring about change in the families in the programme to deliver the following achievement measures: Health • Reduction in substance misuse • Improvement in mental health and well-being Education and employment • Increase in school attendance and attainment • Reduction in young people not in education, employment or training • Increase take up of adult learning opportunities • Reduction in unemployment (TF) Community and Family Resilience • Reduce the number of domestic abuse incidences • Increased family independence and resilience** • Reduction in neighbour disputes • Reduction in crime by family members (TF) • Participation in volunteering / community activities** Housing • Increased stability of tenancies • Reduced homelessness in families and family members • Reduced use of emergency housing placements • Reduction of debt Protection • Reduction in number of Children in Care • Reduction in number of Children in Need • Reduction in crime against family members **A number of the measures above have important social benefits but have been excluded from the financial model as they are non-cashable. 3.5.2. Evidence that the approach works This approach is strongly rooted in the evidence that intensive interventions taking a systemic approach with the wholly family are more effective that traditional single agency/ single issue interventions. Intensive interventions are those that deliver high frequency key worker led face to face sessions with families. A mutually agreed plan of action is put in place with clear actions with anticipated goals articulated in language that all can understand. These goals are reviewed very regularly with the emphasis very much on family based solutions rather than externalised support Final version 21 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case (such as taking young people out of the family home for leisure sessions) although these can be part of the agreed change programme. Increasingly, evidence is suggesting that there are common themes associated with successful family based interventions. In a comprehensive literature review undertaken in Australia by the NSW Department of Community Services (2009) “Effective strategies and interventions for adolescents in a child protection context” Schimed and Tully looked at internationally recognised interventions such as Functional Family Therapy, Multi Systemic Therapy and Multi-Dimensional Family Therapy and found that these models were consistently assessed as better at reducing key factors such as conduct disorders and other behavioural problems of teenagers. The underlying principles for all forms of intensive family therapy were found to be broadly the same. These were: Enhancing positive family relationships by improving communications and conflict resolution Tackling problems within the family Increasing the level of support provided from parent to child. Shifting the focus of the problem from something from within an individual to something in the family system. The evaluation also found that the following areas should be considered in the development, implementation and evaluation of interventions: Develop interventions that shift the focus from individual young people and their families to incorporate community and neighbourhood approaches Utilise a strengths based approach. Strengths based approaches provide a way of identifying and fostering resilience in family members, focusing on what is important and not what is urgent. Strengths based perspectives developed as a way to value children and young people and their parents as “experts in their own lives and experience, able to find solutions to life challenges” – Trotter (cited in the referenced study above) notes “people learn more and progress better if workers resist focusing on pathology instead focusing on what clients do well and on their achievements. It is an approach based on a belief that even people with the most entrenched problems and adversities have inner resources that can help them develop.” Where there has been significant investment in worker skills and on-going training, manageable case loads and a positive perception of organisational leadership outcomes are generally good. Effective multi agency working is identified as a critical success factor in sustainable outcomes. In March 2011, C4EO published its detailed findings of what works in three strands of work relating to Families, Parents and Carers work: Improving children's outcomes by supporting parental physical and mental health Improving children’s outcomes by supporting couple relationships, reducing family conflict and addressing domestic violence The impact of parenting and family support strategies on children and young people’s outcomes. Across this comprehensive review they identified three key themes: “Multi-agency, flexible and coordinated services, with an underpinning ‘think family’ ethos, are most effective in improving outcomes. This includes staff in adults’ services being able to Final version 22 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case identify children’s needs, and staff in children’s services being able to recognise adults’ needs. Such services are viewed positively by families and professionals alike. Early intervention prevents problems becoming entrenched; the practical help, advice and emotional support which many parents value can often be given without referral to specialist services. Children and young people also prefer an informal approach. In order to access services, parents must feel reassured that they are not being judged or stigmatised, and be helped to overcome their fears of having their children removed. The Local Authority Research Consortium (LARC4) study into the added value of the Common Assessment Framework in supporting families with additional needs found that the costs of working and intervening in the manner envisaged by FCN are usually repaid many times over by the avoidance of greater costs later in the life of a child or family. Other studies that evidence the effectiveness in social and financial terms of intensive family support include ‘Intensive Family Support’ – Action for Children 2011 and ‘Evaluation of Intensive Family Support Projects in Scotland’ – The Scottish Government 2009. ‘Health Related Work in Family Intervention Projects’ Institute of Education 2012, identifies the health benefits to families engaged in FIPs including the added value of seconded health professionals in such multi-disciplinary teams. 3.5.3. To Be – Financial To ensure sustainability and avoid hidden subsides the investment model has been undertaken on a full cost basis to identify the full cost of delivering the services, including the use of the facilities that may belong to partnering organisation. The analysis undertaken for this business case indicates that investment totalling £150k capital and £27.9m revenue will be required over a 5 year period. The investment will facilitate the following: Initial capital and revenue set up cost (Incl ICT) Facilities and associated running costs Family Teams / Staffing establishment Volunteer programme, recruitment, training & support Family support fund The business case calculates that the potential accrued financial benefits over a 7 year period (taken account of intervention savings which accrue for a period up to 28 months post intervention) across partnering agencies is £41.2m. This results in a net operational programme benefit of £13.2m It is anticipated that contributions equating to £1.035m will be available from partnering agencies for 2013/14 and £2.1m 2014/15 (cash in kind contribution/ opportunity costs aligned to secondments etc). It is proposed that partners create a earmarked fund to facilitate short term staffing difficulties in existing teams (backfill), during early workforce transition and establishing of benefits. The net result of the above is a forecasted net operational programme benefit of £29.2m prior to discounting. We will continue to work with partners to evidence the financial and non-financial benefits over the coming months and realign / pool additional resources accordingly to support the residual investment requirement for the programme. The high level summary is outlined below and key financial assumptions underpinning the costs and benefits are as follows: Final version 23 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 Total £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 0 173 173 150 3,290 3,440 0 5,310 5,310 0 5,439 5,439 0 5,444 5,444 0 5,449 5,449 0 2,725 2,725 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 27,830 27,980 0 0 (2,627) (7,636) (8,723) (8,792) (8,696) (4,479) (254) (33) (41,240) 173 3,440 2,683 (2,197) (3,279) (3,343) (5,971) (4,479) (254) (33) (13,260) ECC Schools Health District /Borough /City Central overheads 5% (48) 0 0 0 (8) (467) (31) (193) (344) (157) (953) (93) (386) (688) (253) (1,247) (125) (386) (688) (259) (1,247) (125) (386) (688) (259) (1,247) (125) (386) (688) (259) (624) (62) (193) (344) (130) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (5,834) (560) (1,928) (3,442) (1,325) Government Funding - Troubled Families (attachment fee, co-ordinator & PBR) Total Opportunity Costs 0 (56) (664) (1,856) (1,384) (3,757) (884) (3,589) 0 (2,705) 0 (2,705) 0 (1,353) 0 0 0 0 0 0 (16,022) 117 1,583 (1,074) (5,786) (5,984) (6,048) (7,324) (4,479) (254) (33) (29,282) Income & Expenditure Summary Description Total Capital Investment Requirement (Excl Financing) Total Revenue Investment Requirement Total Programme Investment Total Cashable Benefits Total Programme Net Cashable Benefit Total Revise Programme Net Operational Cost / Benefit 150 (2,932) Key Financial Assumptions Capital Investment - one Off ICT Software enhancements (licences & maintenance costs incorporated in revenue investment); Revenue Investment – based on 8 teams 2013-14, includes one off implementation and operational costs; the model would need to be refreshed should the need for additional teams in areas of high need be identified; Base Unit Costs - adjusted 2011/12 service outturn Families – total number of families in the programme (including Troubled Families cohort) commencing engagement / interventions with 720 families (2013-14), increasing to 1,440 (2015-16) per annum Cashable Benefit - accrued benefit reflecting; service unit costs, families in the programme, level of programme success, average length of intervention and optimism bias; Opportunity Costs and Backfill – contribution of partnering agencies of primarily staff and resources identified as existing and recommended short term earmarked backfill provision; and Troubled Families - co-ordinator and attachment fee, based on the agreed number of families within the Troubled Families cohort. Troubled Families payment by results are included in this business case. 3.5.4. Affordability Careful consideration has been given to how the investment will enable the programme to deliver the cultural and transformational change required. In particular, we are aware of the need to ensure that the preferred delivery solution remains affordable on a sustainable and on-going basis. All funding assumptions used have been reviewed and in principle agreed by partners, including programme phasing. The intention is to manage the development of the programme within the capital and revenue earmarked funding available for investment and the longer term benefits of 4% of current gross budget at this conceptual stage remains indicative and subject to revision as the project develops. Final version 24 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case 3.6 Policy Context At a national level there have been several initiatives over the last eight years to develop more holistic multi-disciplinary ways of working with children and families. The Children Act 2004, Section 10, gives a duty of partners to co-operate to promote the welfare of children and allows for the pooling of budgets (see appendix 3). The Children’s Act 2004 led to the Common Assessment Framework (CAF) and other initiatives such as ‘Think Family’ and the family intervention projects. The DCLG Troubled Families programme is the latest national attempt to find new ways of responding to disadvantaged families. There are two major drivers: improved family and community wellbeing and the reduction of high level reactive costs to the public sector purse. These issues are as relevant across Essex as they are nationally. The Munro review of child protection (DfE 2011) reinforced the importance of all partners’ responsibilities for delivering an ‘Early Help’ offer to children and families before problems escalate to require social care intervention. The Local Safeguarding Children Board has a responsibility to hold partners to account in their delivery of Early Help. A new version of Working Together is currently being consulted on by the DfE. This includes the responsibilities of all partners to contribute to a ‘Common and Shared Assessment’. Public service partners in Essex have signed up to the Community Budget programme as a long term plan to develop new and innovative ways of working that are more streamlined, cross organisational boundaries, and will deliver significant public sector savings over time. The Families with Complex Needs programme at strategic level will: consider our relationships with children and families differently challenge the way the we operate across organisational boundaries challenge the purpose of organisations as they are currently configured and consider new organisational constructs 3.7 Strategic Fit Our objective will support the overarching strategic priorities in Essex, including the Public Health Outcomes Framework, the Essex Children and Young People’s Outcomes Framework and Essex Health and Wellbeing priorities agreed to date: Every child has the best start in life Individuals and communities make better lifestyle choices and take greater responsibility and control of their health and wellbeing Individuals and families within the communities of Essex that are least likely to take advantage of services enjoy improved health and wellbeing The key outcomes outlined above also fit with specific Essex County Council priorities: To enable every individual to achieve their ambitions by supporting a world-class education and skills offer in the county To improve public health and wellbeing To protect and safeguard vulnerable people To give people a greater say and a greater role in building safer and stronger communities Final version 25 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case 3.8 Dependencies, Risks, Constraints and Asks 3.8.1. Dependencies Strategic / operational leadership: Strategic leadership and commitment from partners and strong effective operational leadership will be required to implement the strategy and deliver the programme Local community delivery options: It will be necessary to work with our partners to identify suitable premises in local areas, close to where families live, across the collective Essex Public sector estate to accommodate family teams in line with the phased implementation plan. Operational intelligence: A robust data sharing and information capturing system will be required to record family details and work undertaken , evaluate the outcomes and generate timely, relevant information to support operational decisions. It is proposed that this would only be accessed by workers within the family team, with a possible interface to other agency systems to enable key worker contact to be identified. The data sharing system will also be used to record the outcomes from the programme and to evaluate its success, feeding into the calculations of benefits and savings. Key project financial assumptions: The programme seeks to build on existing service delivery models to transform the family experience of public services and put the families at the heart of service delivery. The actual associated costs of delivering the current range of services to the identified families and potential cashable benefits needs to be understood and agreed across the cluster of partners. Whilst initial estimates have been incorporated in this Business Case, the data set will need to be updated as more detail emerges from the programme. Liability assessment: A high level assessment of the Council’s risks and liabilities has been undertaken in developing this business case, however as the programme develops a more comprehensive assessment will need to be undertaken across all partners to determine any additional HR, property or residual contract issues. Interdependencies: There are a number of interdependencies between this programme and others Whole Essex Community Budgets. There is a link to the Single Estate Strategy, Community Safety Domestic Abuse and Strengthening Communities workstreams. Interdependencies have been managed at project board level and actions identified to ensure that interdependencies will not adversely impact upon the likelihood of achieving the objectives and benefits of the programme. Legal: Review and research of the current statutory position for Essex County Council and other stakeholders is currently in progress to identify the following: Statutory obligations affected by the proposals. Examination of the current legal and statutory provisions which may assist or prevent the proposals Any resulting asks of government to assist and facilitate the proposals Stakeholder governance arrangements required to be able to take decisions on the chosen model and implement the proposals Funding and Investment options The Localism Act and the general power of competence afforded by the Act is the starting point for the legal investigations and review. Final version 26 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case 3.8.2. Risk Management To properly manage the risks associated with this project the Council has developed a Project Risk Register which identifies all the foreseeable partnering and operational risks and potential consequences. This includes a strategy for mitigating those risks and a named risk owner. The Project Risk Register is a “live” document and the owner of the register is responsible for updating it as the project evolves. Risk: Partners and other stakeholders are not aligned with the FCN aims, or do not respond as anticipated to the proposal under consideration. Mitigation Strategy: We will continue to engage with potential partners and provide further opportunity for input into the project as it evolves. The Programme Office will ensure clear communication of the project’s strategic objectives which will enable stakeholders to understand the Council’s aims and their role within the project. Substantial stakeholder engagement is planned for October and November 2012. Risk: A poorly designed or structured programme fails to hit its objectives due to one or more of the following: a lack of a clear strategic direction, inappropriate monitoring arrangements or weak or inappropriate operational arrangements. Mitigation Strategy: The programme has a clear implementation plan that will be effectively communicated with partners. Qualified and competent professionals as well as legal resource will work to develop a memorandum of understanding and robust and appropriate partnering agreement to strengthen the long term solution. Risk: The programme does not deliver the cultural and behavioural change needed in the workforce in order that public bodies can work together to successfully deliver the objectives. Mitigation Strategy: Ensure all partners understand the need to change, how the processes work and what type of benefits each process can bring to their own individual services and the local community as a whole. There will be a comprehensive multi-agency training programme for all team members. The impact of the service changes will be assessed over time, providing evidence to all partners of the delivered milestones as we work towards the wider benefits which will take 2 or 3 years to fully materialise. Risks: The programme does not deliver the behavioural changes in families needed to reduce dependency, deliver sustainable resilience and reduce public spending. Mitigation Strategy: Understanding and working with the families to identify and remove individuallevel barriers to change, ensuring that we have sufficient, skilled, trained staff and volunteers to deliver a range of interventions at individual and local level Risk: Central government changes, such as future government savings targets or funding reductions, or changes to legislation adversely affect the programme’s ability to deliver its benefits. Mitigation Strategy: The programme professional lead and assigned legal resource will monitor legislative changes on an on-going basis. The Council’s Finance Professional Services will do the same for savings targets and funding reductions. Changes will be notified to the Partnership board and assessed for their impact. Significant impacts will be reported to the Partnership Board in the first instance. The Board will decide whether or not to recommend a change to the programme costs / benefit profile or that the programme be stopped. Final version 27 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case These risks will be assessed and managed in accordance with the Council’s project management methodology and the Project team and Programme Board will continue to provide appropriate escalation routes. 3.8.3. Constraints The main constraints at this stage of the project are outlined below. It should be noted that, in most instances, there are actions which can mitigate any risk of these factors having a negative impact on the success of the project. Operational: An inability to attract and retain sufficient high-calibre employees could become a barrier to the continued success and growth of the programme Cost: The public sector is working under increasing pressure to reduce budgets. The programme will therefore have to work within a constrained budget. Time: Medium Term Financial Strategies set out the financial benefits which partners are seeking to make. This project will contribute to those savings and will therefore need to work within the timescales required to deliver these financial benefits. Authority: To proceed at any given stage rests with senior management and, as appropriate, Cabinet/Board Members across partnering agencies. The programme will have to operate within the officer decision making process, as well as the democratic process. This may constrain the ability to progress at the desired speed. 3.9 Asks of Partner Organisations/ Government Partners 4. Partners are asked to commit to this family focused key worker model of working with families with complex needs and to work collaboratively with the team in relation to any family they are concerned about who is in the programme. 5. Partner agencies – District Councils, Mental Health Partnership Trusts, Essex County Council, commissioners/providers of community health services are asked to contribute staff and resources to ensure that the Family teams are genuinely multi-agency and the approach to each family is a holistic one based on one family (key) worker co-ordinating the work and building a strong relationship with each family. 6. Partners are asked to facilitate the finding of local premises for teams from the whole public sector local estate. 7. Partners are asked to collaborate in the development of one data sharing and recording system used by all agencies within a team. Government 1. Central Government are asked to support this proposal to develop multi-agency family teams to work in new ways with disadvantaged families. 2. Central government is asked to build on the Troubled Families work and develop a payment by results mechanism and a national formula to return a proportion of national public sector savings from FCN (such as reduction in criminal justice costs, welfare benefits and longer term NHS costs) to the local public sector economy from April 2015 onwards. Families with multiple needs are a long-standing, intergenerational problem. We are convinced that our family-based approach, with evidence-based interventions comprising Final version 28 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case effectively sequenced and integrated public services, tailored to specific families’ needs will make significant inroads to the flow of the most challenging families. Along with the other Community Budget areas, we want central government to help us put our work with these families on a more sustainable basis, and help this Family Solutions and the related Troubled Families programme have a real and long-lasting legacy. We support the national toolkit being developed by LGA and DCLG to help LAs pool resources and investment, but in the longer term, government will want to take steps to help LAs and partners develop the social finance market so it can be applied to the more complicated issues that these families face. Cabinet Office could help develop the market through a brokering function between investors and local authorities, backed by standard agreement tools. However, central government also benefits from the savings that come from turning these families lives around. Therefore, if there is good evidence of the effectiveness of the Outcomes Fund approach during the relatively small-scale pilot phase (around £20m), we believe this approach should be rolled out quickly through the next Spending Review period, funded by a range of Government departments that currently control spending decisions from Whitehall. 3. We ask Government - DfE to clarify how partner responsibilities for Early Help and common assessment fits with Section 17 (10) of the Children Act 1989 so that it is clear that all relevant partner agencies are responsible for meeting the needs of children and families below the statutory social care threshold. The revised version of ‘Working Together’ provides an opportunity to do this. There is an apparent contradiction between Section 17 (10) of the Children Act 1989 which places the responsibility for support to children in need with social services authorities and Section 10 of the Children Act 2004 which makes all partners who work with children and their families responsible for co-operating to improve the welfare of children (see appendix 4). This apparent contradiction is at the heart of the limited success in developing effective Early Help partnerships around the country and the relatively low use and impact nationally and in Essex of the common assessment (CAF). The lack of clear guidance from Government in relation to this has proved a barrier to getting agencies to engage in cross-agency working to deliver joined up services for families with complex needs. Given Government's clear steer through both Community Budgets and Troubled Families that complex problems need a collaborative approach, we consider that Government could valuably provide clarity in the forthcoming version of ‘Working Together’ to clarify the shared partnership responsibilities for meeting the needs of all children. We do not at this stage have a specific data sharing ask of government. The Troubled Families programme is working with DWP to find effective ways of sharing data and the FS programme will build upon the solutions found. However, as the FS programme develops, we may need to come back to government to undo data sharing blockages that impede effective multi-agency working with families. 3.9.1. Staff and Culture Change In creating the family teams the programme proposes to employ approximately 120 staff from which circa 50% will originate from the Family Solutions (Troubled Families) Teams, requiring planned transition from Family Solutions posts to FCN posts. It is anticipated that the new teams will be formulated based on a ratio of 80:20 qualified/non-qualified. Final version 29 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case The model is based on family workers irrespective of professional background. All team members will become family workers, working intensively on a key worker basis with up to 10 families at one time, whilst bringing their specialist professional knowledge to the team as a whole. Family Team members will be subject to interview and selection process and will receive a substantial staff training programme to prepare them for this new way of working. Current service resource will reduce in recognition of the benefits to be delivered by this programme. Agreed consultation processes will be followed with employees and trade unions. Partner agencies may choose to second staff into the Family teams, but because these are new public sector roles requiring a different attitude and approach to families, all staff will need to go through an interview and selection process, whether redeployed, new recruits or secondees. 3.9.2. Changes in Governance / political accountability The FS programme will be strategically accountable to the Essex Health and Wellbeing Board. All partners’ contributions and involvement in FS programme will remain subject to their own political and executive governance arrangements. 3.10 Impact on infrastructure 3.10.1. Services As the new Family Teams will carry out interventions with families, albeit in a new way, this will reduce the workloads commensurately in individual service areas, so in most cases the overall net impact on existing services should be minimal. However the new model will challenge traditional culture and professional boundaries. The detail of impact in each service area will need to be worked through in coming months. 3.10.2. Buildings Local community buildings as bases for the family teams will be sought from partners in areas where most families in need live. 3.11 Procurement and contracts 3.11.1. Procurement The implementation plan is based upon the delivery of an in house model utilising the expertise of ECC SCF managers and adopts a phased approach to provide a cost effective medium term provision with clear qualitative aspects such as seamless transition and deliverability to known standards. In removing the transparent barriers between partnering services across the county and providing the short term investment required, we will be able to use available resources in very different more efficient ways and reduce costs. We will also be able to test out the effectiveness of the model and adapt it from learning through an iterative process, to refine and hone it. There is however a balance to be struck between relatively short to medium term phased implementation plan, current financial constraints and longer term costs and benefits. We recognise that this is a long-term challenging issue which requires a long-term sustainable solution and some functions within the Model create opportunities to explore possible alternative. Consideration could be given to areas that: Final version 30 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case • have proven outsourcing potential, through existing experience or the experience of comparable organisations; • are clearly definable in terms of service specification; and • provide clear benefits in terms of revenue savings and risk management We will develop robust evidenced based outcomes matrix to facilitate an effective payment by results / profit sharing mechanism and continue to explore a range of structures and investment models that will deliver financing mechanisms over the long term and deliver the optimum VfM solution for all partners across Essex Services to be procured We will seek to procure one or more volunteer programmes to start in January 2014 involving those with national and local expertise to deliver such intensive volunteering schemes. It may be that different local procurement solutions are needed for different localities in Essex. A stand-alone procurement strategy is to be devised for the programme, in tandem with the broader programme documents that will set out key requirements, strategic considerations, and the likely sequencing of activities. The costs associated with the procurement are incorporated within the investment model. The delivery of a new programme and partnership structure may require the acquisition of services in programme and project management; design; transition; and operational service delivery. These services may be provided by existing public sector resources or though procurement from commercial specialists 3.11.2. Contracts Under current arrangements, partners are separate legal entities, have separate assets and liabilities together with the ability to enter into contracts independently. Further work is required to ascertain the details of the existing contractual environment, including consideration of the following: Property - leases/licences – We will seek premises in four new locations to begin in September 2013. The four Troubled Families teams will have already established four bases for themselves and FS will continue to utilise these. We will work with our public sector partners to make best use of the public sector estate in identifying premises. Property costs are in the budget. Staffing – It is not envisaged that there will be any TUPE arrangements. Staff from partner agencies outside ECC are likely to be seconded to the family teams on their current terms and conditions. 4. Cost / Investment / Funding 4.1 Overview The following table shows the modelled Investment and accrued benefit aligned to the programme and for up to 1,440 families per year. It is anticipated that the programme will achieve a positive cash-flow after 2 full years of operation, break even in 2015-16 with net present value benefits ranging of £10.2m and £24.6m over the life of the programme dependant on the treatment of opportunity costs. Within the Actual Cost Benefit Analysis the average annual net benefit when all teams are operating to capacity is £5.9m (which represents 4% of the indicative 2013/14 gross budget (£201.9m). It must however be noted that only a cautious allowance of 5% (total circa £2.0m pa) has been built into the benefit programme for on-going resilience of the families, overall long term reduction in families Final version 31 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case with complex needs, sustainable reduction in future years unit costs the wider impact on outcomes and benefits being realised in areas external to the partnership. This indicates that greater long term opportunities are available should this programme be progressed long term service delivery approach. The Total and Actual Cost benefit analysis is outlined in the table below: FCN - Total Cost Benefit Analysis - Summary (Including Opportunity Costs) Income & Expenditure Summary Description Investment: Capital Investment Requirement (Excl Financing) Revenue Costs: Implementation Costs (incl volunteer procurement) Implementation Costs (Prog Manager & Startup) Partnership Board Direct Employee Costs (Hub) Direct Employee Costs Teams Volunteers Premises Costs Operational running costs ICT incl (capital financing) Central overheads 5% Total Revenue Investment Requirement Total Capital & Revenue Investment Total Cashable Benefits Total Programme Net cashable Benefits Discount Rate Net Present Value (NPV) Year Principal Returned 2012-13 Year 0 2013-14 Year 1 2014-15 Year 2 2015-16 Year 3 2016-17 Year 4 2017-18 Year 5 2018-19 Year 6 2019-20 Year 7 2020-21 Year 8 2021-22 Year 9 Total £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 0 150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 150 117 400 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 517 48 138 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 186 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 255 1,968 90 112 130 40 0 340 3,936 240 224 267 50 0 340 3,936 360 224 270 50 0 340 3,936 365 224 270 50 0 340 3,936 370 224 270 50 0 170 1,968 185 112 135 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,785 19,680 1,610 1,120 1,342 265 8.3 173 157 3,290 253 5,310 259 5,439 259 5,444 259 5,449 130 2,725 0 0 0 1,325 27,830 173 3,440 5,310 5,439 5,444 5,449 2,725 0 0 0 0 0 (2,627) (7,636) (8,723) (8,792) (8,696) (4,479) (254) (33) 173 3,440 2,683 (2,197) (3,279) (3,343) (5,971) (4,479) (254) (33) (13,260) 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 Total £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 3.50% (10,248) 2018-19 FCN - Actual Cost Benefit Analysis - Summary (Excluding Opportunity Costs) 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 Income / Expenditure Summary Description £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 Revised schedule Total Capital & Revenue Investment 27,980 0 (41,240) 0 173 3,440 5,310 5,439 5,444 5,449 2,725 0 0 0 27,980 (48) 0 0 0 (8) (467) (31) (193) (344) (157) (953) (93) (386) (688) (253) (1,247) (125) (386) (688) (259) (1,247) (125) (386) (688) (259) (1,247) (125) (386) (688) (259) (624) (62) (193) (344) (130) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (5,834) (560) (1,928) (3,442) (1,325) 0 (664) (1,384) (884) 0 0 0 0 0 0 (2,932) 117 1,583 1,552 1,850 2,739 2,744 1,372 0 0 0 11,958 0 0 (2,627) (7,636) (8,723) (8,792) (8,696) (4,479) (254) (33) (41,240) 117 1,583 (1,074) (5,786) (5,984) (6,048) (7,324) (4,479) (254) (33) (29,282) Less: ECC Schools Health District/Borough/City Central overheads 5% Government Funding - Troubled Families (attachment fee, co-ordinator & PBR) Revised Operating Investment Cashable Benefit Programme Net Cashable Benefit Discount Rate 3.50% Net Present Value (NPV) (24,577) Year Principal Returned 2015-16 Assumptions contained in the model are as follows: A fixed profiled number of families are worked with each year Family teams will work with each family for up to a 12 month period Final version 32 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case No benefit is recognised in the 12 months of intervention The overall success rate of 40% remains consistent throughout the 5 year programme 4.2 As Is Model The programme seeks to provide a revised model reconfiguring a range of service that will genuinely put the family at the heart of service delivery. In order to determine the appropriate base line and unit costs we have sought to identify the services which operate within the intensive level of need or those which are likely to interrelate specifically with the families within the FS programme. For each service the project established the current service gross expenditure, associated functions undertaken, staffing and other activity levels, and apportionment for FS. Whilst initial estimates have been incorporated in this Business Case, based on Internal and external financial and performance data and service manager expertise, the data set will evolve as more detail emerges from partnering organisations. Establishing service unit cost In order to facilitate the calculation of the costs of the services, the As Is model has used 2011/12 outturn data and performance levels to determine appropriate unit costs Reduced service unit costs by 10% (5% 2012/13 and 2013/14 respectively) of service costs has also been deducted from the indicative unit costs in order to factor in efficiencies which may have already been achieved / planned across partnering agencies post 2011/12 2012/13 indicative gross budgets are based on the latest budget (thus may vary significantly from actual 2011/12 outturn) apportioned to reflect the level of budget supporting FCN Known efficiencies / (budget savings) and growth planned for 2013/14 and the medium term have been taken into account in determining the 2013/14 available resource and for simplicity apportioned to reflect FCN support 2013/14 indicative gross expenditure budget No secondary recharge assumptions have been added to the gross expenditure figures. These calculations provide revised 2013/14 unit costs for each service, and this has then been used as a baseline against which further opportunities for cost reductions and improved income generation have been made. Details are attached at appendix 5. The confidence level in the unit costs data is approx. 85% with details regarding some aspects of partners existing unit costs at a local level still evolving. This confidence level is reflected in the optimism bias applied within the Outcome Matrix, both of which will be adjusted as the model develops further. 4.3 To Be Model The programme shows a positive net present value and indicates that 3 years of investment totalling £626k will be needed for the partnership to become sustainable. Investment The investment model has been undertaken on a full cost basis to identify the full cost of delivering the programme. The total costs over the first five years are estimated to be £28.0m (detailed in Final version 33 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case appendix 5). These include those one off costs directly associated with implementing the programme, managing the transitional arrangements and the on-going running costs. Key assumptions: Capital ICT – earmarked capital fund to enable the operational system enhancements to be undertaken (full costs will be know when a more detailed specification is developed) Implementation Costs - contains the necessary provision to commission the relevant professional support (internal and / or external) to the partnership; in addition a 2% (£15k) risk contingency is incorporated Direct employee costs equate to £21.46m over the life of the programme and include opportunity costs aligned to all partners of £16.2m; the opportunity cost consist of current posts in partner organisations which will be seconded or deployed to the programme. Volunteers – the investment model assumes an average of 86 volunteers after the first 12 months of the programme, incrementally increasing to 250 by September 2015. The earmarked fund will provide, co-ordination recruitment and retention Central overheads -5% central overheads have been assumed within the model (generally this would be circa be 8% however accommodation costs are accounted for within the premises line in the model) Programme cessation costs - whilst the defined period for this programme is 5 years; it is designed to be a sustainable delivery model and as such no redundancy costs or programme closure / winding down costs are incorporated within the investment appraisal. Funding As outlined above the objective of the Total Costs Benefit Analysis is to provide an indication of the sustainability of the project after accounting for the true costs and benefits. In view of this, opportunity and one off grant funding has been excluded. The grant is however highly probable and as thus been included in the Actual Costs Benefit Analysis. Further detail of the Troubled Families attachment grant outlined below: Troubled Families - Essex County Council has committed to working with the 1,850 families, of these 1,542 are eligible for funding under the Troubled Families programme. The financial framework for the programme allows for 80%, 60% and 40% of the payment to be payable in year 1, 2 & 3 respectively as an attachment fee. The opportunity funding incorporated in the analysis assumes that a portion of year 2 and total year 3 fees of £2.9m are aligned to this programme. Investment of £1.7m will be required to support the programme for the initial 3 years of operation. Partnership investment and profit sharing arrangements will be scoped in detail as the programme develops; however for illustrative purposes only were this required investment to be apportioned on the basis of the indicative partner’s high level programme benefits the position summarised below would apply: Final version 34 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case Partnership - Indicative Investment Profile 2012-13 2013-14 Schools Essex County Council District, Borough and City Councils Police Health The Probation Service Total 2014-15 £0 £117,000 £0 £0 £0 £0 £756,514 £243,884 £389,853 £189,091 £0 £3,766 £0 £0 £0 £0 £0 £0 £117,000 £1,583,109 £0 Total £756,514 £360,884 £389,853 £189,091 £0 £3,766 £1,700,109 Other options are available and will all be explored in depth with associated partners as outlined within the implementation plan and an equitable position agreed. 4.4 Investment appraisal (Outcome Matrix) The FCN programme is complex in nature in that it proposes 9 entry criteria and 14 financial outcome criteria, with the potential for multiple presentation issues and opportunity for success. Attached at appendix 6 is the FCN outcome matrix which utilises both local and national data to captures the anticipated programme inputs and outcomes, which can be aligned to national and local priorities with an assigned value. Due to the complexity of the model it has been developed in the following 4 tranches: Ascertain a relevant unit costs to be aligned to each of the services within scope Determined the family composition, entry level issues on which families are likely to present and predicted programme success factor National and Local outcome measures; and data source on which the effectiveness of the intervention can be measured Calculate the average period of intervention and cashable benefits which could be attributed per Cohort The model is based on a single cohort of 180 families with outcome and benefits extrapolated to reflect the total programme and indicate where programme investment will generate benefits or alternatively the need for greater investment. The matrix remains a working document which is anticipated to evolve with the programme and provide the necessary tool to measure performance and evaluate the financial effectiveness of the programme. 4.5 Savings The indicative savings for this programme based on the output from the Total Cost Benefit Analysis and Actual Cost Benefit Analysis is £13.2m and £29.3m respectively. These figures reduce to £10.2m and £24.5m respectively following the application of 3.5 % discount factor to ascertain the Net Present Value of the cost / benefit). From an annual budgeting perspective, the focus will be on the actual Cost Benefit Analysis. Accrued benefits would peak at £5.9m in 2016-17 financial year, when the teams are fully established, operating to capacity and a steady state is achieved. This represents 4% of the indicative 2013/14 budget for families with complex needs. For the purposes of this appraisal, it has been assumed that where savings are identified these will not be determined as cost avoidance but cashable. Where capacity issues are evident in key operational areas and service reductions via staff numbers cannot be achieved it is consider that efficiencies can be generated via improved business process or overall staffing mix Final version 35 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case Overlaps are evident in a number of project work streams and community budget which present a risk to the programme; however we are confident that the local level service / intervention approach adopted within this model should ensure that savings are only attributed to budget areas aligned to the activity. Whilst we acknowledge the availability of wider correlating benefits e.g. Education attainment / unemployment the benefits within the model is only aligned to one specific area of outcome. We will continue to monitor this area at both Programme Board and FCN Programme level. Engagement will continue with potential partners and provide further opportunity for input into the programme to validate assumptions as it evolves. Sensitivity Analysis Whilst optimism bias has been explicitly allowed for within the estimates, it is also prudent to test the impact of varying assumptions re efficiencies and costs. To further ascertain whether the programme can be delivered successfully in a sustainable manner and how possible variations in the key assumptions will affect the financial outcome of the programme. The following scenarios have been modelled and compared to the total cost benefit analysis (including opportunity costs): 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Unit costs variations + / - 5% Number of families +/- 20 Success factor + / - 5% Intervention + / - 3 months Total Investment + / - 5% Combination of 1, 2, 3 & 5 ( + / - ) As can be seen in appendix 7 the most sensitive of the key assumptions is the intervention period. When the intervention period reduces on average by 3 months the programme demonstrates a negative NPV of £16.183m. The analysis indicates that current assumptions can only vary by up to 1.6 months to retain a neutral NPV. The combined impact (sensitivity 6, worst case scenario of decreased unit costs, reduced number of families within the cohort, decrease success and increased investment) also indicates a negative NPV of £155k and does not return a positive cash-flow until 2016 – 17. All other key sensitivities retained a positive position in each individual scenario. The overall results indicate that the average period of current intervention must be a key focus as the model develops. Optimism Bias Optimism bias is the tendency within project / programme development for the costs to be underestimated and benefits overstated in the early stages of development, An ability to adjust for optimism bias ranging between 0 – 40 % has been applied within the model. For the purposes of this appraisal, a substantial optimism bias adjustment of 40% has been allowed. This is initially set at the highest level taking a more pessimistic approach allowing for the level of bias to reduce and be adjusted as the programme progresses and later cohorts when the evidence is fully established. We consider this to be sufficiently prudent and as a result no further risk contingency has been allowed for in the programme. Final version 36 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case 4.6 Benefits profile Evaluation of benefits The benefits realisation matrix is attached as Appendix 8 and sets out the outcomes and timings for the financial and non-financial benefits outlined in this business case. The total programme cashable benefit is £41.2m. Benefit categorisation and profile are detailed within appendix 8. The timing of the delivery of benefits will be dependent on two main factors: 1) Implementing structural change; the scale and speed of service transition, availability of investment, management of risk, and business continuity. 2) accrued benefit – benefits are realised one year in arrears and can be applied across financial years where the average intervention period exceeds 12 months. Benefits aligned to the ongoing resilience / sustainability factor are accounted for in the year following benefit realisation. This benefit profile provides the ability to evidence the effectiveness of the intervention and apply a outcomes based approach. As a result the timeframe of 5 to 7 years is characterised by recurring benefits and the cumulative effect of each cohort. The profile by partner following full implementation of 12 teams is anticipated to be as follows: Year 2 Beneficiary Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Total Accrued Programme Benefit 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 Total £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 External Department for Work and Pensions Ministry of Justice 798,441 100,556 2,235,583 402,746 2,505,093 564,470 2,515,076 498,546 2,515,076 498,546 1,317,421 228,409 59,883 32,160 14,338 11,946,571 2,339,771 432,112 23,540 152,997 627,743 3,047 488,334 1,369,814 65,911 428,381 1,757,641 8,532 1,367,305 1,588,292 73,856 480,025 1,969,533 9,561 1,532,140 1,697,042 74,151 481,938 1,977,382 9,599 1,538,245 1,601,042 74,151 481,938 1,977,382 9,599 1,538,245 795,445 38,841 252,443 1,035,771 5,028 805,747 64,894 1,765 11,475 47,081 229 36,625 18,920 - 7,567,561 352,215 2,289,196 9,392,534 45,594 7,306,641 2,626,771 7,635,913 8,722,969 8,791,977 8,695,977 4,479,106 254,111 33,258 41,240,083 Partnership Essex County Council Health Police Schools The Probation Service District, Borough and City Councils Total Benefits The profile presents a reasonable view of the likely timing of efficiency, and can be adjusted during the detailed implementation phase should a key assumption underpinning the model e.g. the number of family teams, change. 5. Implementation Plan This high level implementation plan is intended to be an iterative document setting out the proposed approach to establishing and successfully delivering the Families with Complex Needs programme. 5.1 Phased delivery/change plan 1. Although not part of the Family Solutions business case the DCLG Troubled Families programme in Essex (called Family Solutions) will begin operation in October 2012 with four teams covering the whole county (not Southend and Thurrock). 2. Learning from the five Essex Family prototypes and the development of Family Solutions in Essex will inform the development of Families with Complex Needs programme over the next 12 months. Final version 37 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case 3. We will examine the options for a data base which can be used for all families entering the programme and which can be accessed by team members from whichever agency. This data base will also be used for monitoring and recording shared family assessments by all agencies/partners working with children and families in Essex. The intention is to explore IT data and recording systems and identify solutions for procurement/development by March 2013. The agreed system will be in place by October 2013 with Data Sharing Agreements between all partners in relation to how the shared family assessment/family teams data system is accessed and by whom. 4. A new family-centred shared family assessment format and process will be established and agreed by partners by March 2013, alongside a new Family Well Being Model, called ‘Effective Support for Children and Families in Essex’, which will be ratified by the Essex Safeguarding Children Board and by all relevant partner agencies. 5. The detailed specification for the volunteer/mentoring programme will be completed by March 2013, in order to complete a commissioning process with independent, community and voluntary sector by December 2013. 6. By March 2013 the role descriptions and any necessary job evaluations will be completed for new posts within the Family Teams. This will be done taking into account the learning and effectiveness of posts within the Family Solutions one year programme. Between April and July 2013, a workforce plan, incorporating the Family Solutions teams and the posts which will make up the new Family Teams will be developed. This plan will be used to inform the process of establishing the eight Family Teams by October 2013. 7. Recruitment to the four new Family Team Manager posts will occur earlier, and be complete by July 2013, so that these managers can develop the systems and processes and further recruitment for their teams. This recruitment will include the phasing of the four Family Solutions team managers into the new FCN programme. 8. The new teams will form in September 2013 for a programme of workforce development and training prior to becoming operational in October 2013. 9. A programme of workforce planning and training for all Family Team members, building on the learning from Essex Family and Family Solutions, will be developed by June 2013 with a clear plan for team members training in September 2013. 10. A new shared family assessment/family referral point offering advice, information and guidance to all those working with children at levels 2 and 3 of the ‘Effective support’ windscreen, and open to families themselves to self-refer or seek advice, will be established by July 2013. This will be linked to wider systems referral and assessment functions to ensure economies of scale. Between July and October 2013 this service will begin to identify and contact families who might be interested in entering the FS programme from October. 11. By September 2013 the ways of evaluating outcomes for families will have been established in detail including base line evaluation at the point of entry into the programme, mid-point review, exit from the programme review and 6 months post programme evaluation. 12. 4 teams have already been established under the Troubled Families programme. Identification of suitable premises for remaining for teams in local areas by June 2013. Lease/occupancy agreements and funding arrangements between partners for premises and Final version 38 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case infrastructure in place by July 2013. It is anticipated that premises will come from the collective Essex Public Sector Estate. 5.2 Detailed resource plan Essex has substantial experience of delivering programmes of work and is committed to ensuring the FCN programme has the capacity and capability to deliver the challenging objectives. To provide strategic direction to the programme we already have in place a sponsors group, led by Dave Hill, Director of Children’s Services, with key stakeholder representation from district council representative, Community Foundation, DWP and Health Commissioning. This ensures countywide support for the programme and enables the programme to be taken forward swiftly. Operational implementation of the FS programme will require the investment of resources. Specific considerations are the creation of a project team led by a service manager and including the use of Legal, HR, Finance and range of Partner officers. The estimated resource requirement to October 2013 (operational) is £401k. Details are outlined in the tables below; the associated costs have been incorporated within the Cost Benefit Analysis and will need to be updated at appropriate points during the process. People resource Ref Skills needed Assum ed Grade Skills level 1 Operational Senior Manager Interim Expert 2 Programme Office Band 6 Intermediate 3 HR Interim Expert 3 ICT Interim Expert 4 Finance Band 7 Intermediate 5 Communication Band 6 Intermediate 6 Legal Band 7hourly rates Intermediate 7 Property Band 7 Intermediate 8 Other (please specify) Activity Operational Lead for the project and control the development and implementation of the programme Monitor the plan and support worksteams in their planning and reporting People implications incl. managing change protocol ICT System Design & Data sharing agreements Financial due diligence, analysis, monitoring and reporting Publicity, communication & consultation Developing partnership agreements and reviewing contractual arrangements Property negotiations and arrangements Chargeable Productive Days New Increm ental ECC Cost £ 01/10/2013 190.0 104,500 01/11/2012 01/10/2013 190.0 26,315 1.0 01/11/2012 30/06/2013 226.0 113,000 340 0.5 01/11/2012 30/06/2013 137.0 23,290 336 0.3 01/11/2012 01/10/2013 190.0 19,152 277 0.3 01/11/2012 01/10/2013 190.0 15,789 560 0.3 01/11/2012 01/10/2013 190.0 31,920 336 0.5 01/11/2012 01/10/2013 190.0 31,920 Day Rate Fte Start date End date 550 1.0 01/11/2012 277 0.5 500 Total Final version 365,886 39 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case Physical Resource & Start Up Date (s) needed Estim ated Cost £ Ref Resource needed Activity 9 Meeting room with computer connected to projector Workforce development Mth to Mth 50,000 10 Meeting room with computer connected to projector Consultative / Informative Workshop Mth to Mth 5,000 11 General Supplies Mth to Mth 10,000 Mth to Mth 15,000 12 Publicity, marketing materials etc Programme Contingency Total 80,000 Further resources will be deployed as necessary on an ad hoc basis from other service areas, for example Essex property facilities, procurement and subject matter experts to provide additional support at key stages in the project. 5.3 Stakeholder Engagement Plan The key communications and engagement issues are: Progress and development relies on the support and participation of many organisations with varying objectives, cultures, and ways of working The complexity of the task and the link to the Troubled Families programme of work requires good communications to support common understanding and collaboration Although many agree intuitively with the vision of Family teams from multi agencies, implementation is likely to encounter obstacles and differences The FS programme requires effective engagement that promotes multi-agency conversations and helps to secure shared objectives. As far as possible, our communications and engagement plan should include ways of taking all audiences with the programme, so that they are able to follow its findings and implications as they emerge. The following points highlight the work that needs to take place in the next few months. 1. August to September 2012 - Discussion with strategic partners directly asked to contribute to the FS programme in terms of staffing and resources 2. Between September and November 2012 consultation with all partners working with children and families about the findings of the review of assessment, referral and routes into services, including the new ‘Effective support for children and families in Essex’ model and the new shared family assessment format. This will include discussion about the FCN programme and where the FCN programme fits into the ‘Effective support for children and families’ model. 3. In April – June 2013, there will further widespread partner engagement in relation to the developed systems and processes in relation to the shared family assessment (SFA), the family teams and the advice, information and referral point for SFA and FCN. Final version 40 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case 5.4 Benefits Realisation plan and method Performance monitoring, evaluation of benefits and profit sharing The business case sets out the success measures and indicative financial and non-financial benefits to the wider Essex community. A performance framework will be developed to evaluate and monitor the benefits. The baseline position of families entering the service will be captured to ensure that progress against the success measures can be accurately evidenced and reported through the agreed performance framework. The benefits directly attributable to the establishment of the Family Teams will be monitored against the benefits matrix and cashable savings will be apportioned in line with the partnership profit sharing arrangements. 5.5 Critical Success Factors The aims of the FS programme are to provide a strong relationship-based support to disadvantaged families in need in such a way that they are enabled to face the difficulties they identify and make changes in their lives. By making these changes, family members will be in a better position to access and make full use of a wide range of universal services, such as school, further education, adult learning, training, employment opportunities and appropriate access to primary health, housing and other Public Services. As a result, the use of high cost, high end reactive services such as child protection, criminal justice system, housing eviction, tier 3 health provision will be substantially reduced with appropriate savings to the public purse. 1. The model is based on the family worker who, whatever their professional background, acts as a key worker for the family, co-ordinating all the support, information and advice they require and helping them access appropriate services quickly. The family worker will also provide their professional expertise to the team as a whole to help families to access services in their service area. 2. It is critical for the success of the model that team members selected have the right skills and attitudes and preparation. They must be allowed by their employers and professional bodies to operate in this generic family worker role whilst retaining their professional expertise. Arrangements will be in place for clinical/professional supervision, but each family worker will be managed and accountable to the family team manager. 3. The transition of services from Essex Family and Troubled Families will be critical to the success of the establishment of the eight family teams in October 2013. The learning from these will inform the development and training programme. 4. Disadvantaged families must be willing and have sufficient incentive to engage with the programme. Building on evidence from research, we will learn what works best. We need to ensure that the Family Team offer is radically different so that families who have often been poorly served, or have felt antagonistic towards the existing way of doing things are going to enthusiastically embrace the new approach. 5. Partner agencies and professionals must sign up to a shared understanding of effective support for children and families in Essex, including agreement about the four levels of need and how family needs and services map against the four levels. This will have to be ratified by partners and the Essex Safeguarding Children Board. Final version 41 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case 6. There needs to be an agreed and procured data system for both shared family assessments and for the work undertaken within family teams. One pre requisite of entering into the FS programme for families will be consent to information sharing within the bounds of the family teams. Agencies need to agree that their staff within the family teams are able to record their work in the established new data system. 7. The establishment of a single central point for information, advice, referral and screening for both shared family assessments and for the families with complex needs programme needs to be in place prior to the start of Family Teams so that there are clear and understood pathways and processes for professionals and families. 8. An agreed methodology for working with families based upon strong relationships and evidence from research needs to applied consistently in all Family Teams within Essex. 9. An agreed format and process to measure success, outcomes and benefits, beginning with baseline information upon entry to the programme need to be in place at the outset, used by all families and team members. 6. Recommendations 1. That this business case to establish multi-agency family teams to work in new ways with disadvantaged families across Essex be agreed 2. That the costs and estimated benefits accruing over a seven year period are accepted as a basis for financial modelling and agreeing partner investment and benefits shares 3. That the stakeholder engagement and implementation plan as set out in section 5 above is agreed as a basis of undertaking detailed implementation work over the next year Final version 42 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case 7. Appendices 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. Outcome of consultation on assessment, referrals and routes into services Effective Support for Children and Families Essex Effective Support Windscreen The Children Act 1989 and The Children Act 2004 As Is Model Outcome Matrix and Data Source (2 schedules) Sensitivity Analysis Benefits realisation matrix Memorandum of Understanding Programme Risk Register Programme Implementation Plan Equality Impact Assessment Appendix 1 - Outcomes of consultation on assessment, referrals and routes into services. Final report on consultation with CYP parents profs Aug 2012.pdf Appendix 2 - Effective Support for Children and Families. Effective Support in Essex 20120907.doc Appendix 3 - Essex Effective Support Windscreen. Essex windscreen v0 3 20120907.pdf Appendix 4 - The Children Act 1989 and the Children Act 2004 The Children Act_1989_2004.docx Appendix 5 - As-is Model. Appendix 6 - Outcome Matrix and Data Source (2 schedules) Appendix 7 - Sensitivity Analysis 11th Feb Sensitivity.xls Appendix 8 - Benefits realisation matrix Final version 43 Whole Essex Community Budgets Business Case Appendix 9 - Legal Advice Note 20 9 12 Legal advice - families with complex needs (final).doc Appendix 10 - Programme Risk Register. FCN risks.pdf Appendix 11 - Programme Implementation Plan FCN Implementation plan.mpp Appendix 12 - Equality Impact Assessment EqIA WECB-FCN Sect 1 20120920 v0.2.doc Final version 44