Decision Support System (DSS) Introduction: A DSS provides the Water Management Authorities with a structured, user friendly, practical and complete water resources management information system. DSS allows users to analyse hydrologic data, run hydrologic simulation models, run basin water allocation models and study the effect of potential decisions. It is designed to access or display hydrologic data, to model dynamic hydrologic conditions, and to determine the ability of the river system to meet future demand based on operational and administrative use of storage. It allows decision makers to assess the impact of potential decisions by using “What if” scenarios. Example applications of a DSS include: - - Seasonal reservoir planning Planning a new reservoir or transfer Reservoir sedimentation Drought management Combined management of reservoirs and water transfers Conjunctive use of surface and groundwater Groundwater recharge and over-exploitation Increased efficiency of water management in general including factor such as crop selection, canal seepage, reservoir operation and the competition between domestic, industrial and agricultural water demands Water quality The main components of a DSS are illustrated in Figure 1. Figure 1: Simplified components and data flows in the DSS Core Functionality: There are six components (or core functions) to the DSS: - A Hydrometeorological Information System and database Analysis and modelling Scenario management Decision support Presentation and dissemination System configuration The relationships between these components are illustrated in Figure 2. Figure 2: Functional components of a DSS Some of the modeling tools that are used for DSS include: MIKE HYDRO TA Temporal Analyst MIKE 11 MIKESHE As well DHI products other proprietary software and models developed by States (including spreadsheet based models) have been included in the DSS. Participating States and Central Agencies State Andhra Pradesh Chhattisgarh Gujarat Karnataka Kerala Madhya Pradesh Maharashtra Orissa Tamil Nadu Central Agency National Institute of Hydrology (NIH) Central Water Commission (CWC) Central Ground Water Board CGWB) Central Water and Power Research Station (CWPRS) India Meteorological Department (IMD) Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB) Examples of the issues identified by each agency in IHP-2 where a DSS can be of real value are listed below. States Issues Andhra Pradesh (Middle Godavari Basin) Chhattisgarh (Upper Mahanadi Basin) Gujarat (Mahi Basin) Karnataka (Palar Basin) Karnataka (Tungabhadra Command area) Kerala (Bharathapuza Basin) Increased efficiency of water management in general Combined operation of reservoir in dry, normal and flood conditions Improving conditions for the population in drought prone areas Reduced periods of inundation in low-sloping command areas Drought management Indentifying recharge areas Determining impacts of over exploitation of GW Fertilizer pollution of groundwater Water logging at head-end and scarcity at tailend canals Efficient management of water resources Suitable water management in dry years Potential hydropower production The impact of GW of measure to mitigate the effect of sand mining Environmental flows Maharashtra (Bhima Basin) Tank operation in dry years Conjunctive use of surface and ground water Demonstrate benefits of changes in cropping pattern Support decision on canal lining Madhya Pradesh (Wainganga Basin) Combined management of reservoir and water transfers Providing water for all sectors considering the increasing demands Balancing head-end and tail-end abstraction along irrigation canals Crop selection and corresponding water requirement Assessment of water resources availability Assess the impact on water availability from infrastructure rehabilitation Increased efficiency of water management in general Crop selection, particularly in dry years The project area is severely drought prone and GW over exploited Increasing competition between domestic and agricultural water demand Orissa Tamil Nadu (Agniyar Baisn) Tamil Nadu (Tamirparani Basin) Tamil Nadu (Vaippar Basin) CPCB Evaluating reservoir operation to minimize the effect of drought Evaluating reservoir operation to minimize the effect of flooding Assessing the water pollution on Ujjain from upstream irrigation, municipal and industrial waste Conjunctive use in irrigated area Mitigating water logging through increased GW pumping Changing cropping pattern The impact of inter-basin transfer or additional surface storage Severe water shortage and competing sectors Inter-basin transfer of water to Agniyar basin Determining impacts of over exploitation of GW Multipurpose multi reservoir operation River pollution Drought management in some area Severe water shortage and competing sectors Inter-basin transfer Conjunctive use Water quality problems Has selected Brahmani River as case study under DSS (P) as water quality is emerging in this basin and may become severe in near future. These applications are presented in the report Development of Decision Support System (Planning) for Integrated Water Resources Development and Management - DSS Application. Example DSS in action See the report Development of Decision Support System (Planning) for Integrated Water Resources Development and Management- DSS Application for a description of all applications. The Upper Bhima, Maharashtra The Upper Bhima was selected as the pilot basin for the DSS Planning Project considering the data availability, the range of water resources problems in the basin. The distribution of water in the Bhima is an on-going concern for Maharastra (e.g. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/hubli/Maharashtra-to-release-water-toBhima/articleshow/20070435.cms). The purpose of applying the DSS to the Upper Bhima basin was to consider the following issues: The project area is severely drought prone and groundwater over-exploited. Increasing competition between domestic, industrial and agricultural water demands. Evaluating integrated reservoir operation to minimize the effects of drought and flooding. Conjunctive use. Assessing the water pollution on Ujjani from upstream irrigation, municipal, and industrial waste. A river basin model (MIKE BASIN now transferred to MIKE HYDRO) was developed for the Upper Bhima. The area was divided in 30 sub-catchments for the surface water and 70 sub-catchments for groundwater modelling. A major effort was made to process the hydro-meteorological and to calibrate rainfall-runoff models, so that long time series of runoff and groundwater recharge could be generated for each sub-catchment. The rainfall-runoff model (NAM) requires rainfall data of stations in or near the catchment area, evapotranspiration data and discharge data at the outlet of catchment, either as assessed reservoir inflow or as measured discharge at a river gauging station. The calibration period was selected such that all these time series data sets are available. In cases where it was difficult to achieve a good calibration emphasis was given to ensuring a correct water balance and distribution of high and low flows, so that the generated series can be considered representative for the area. The calibrated models were applied to generate long time series (1970 to 2009) using the available rainfall and evapotranspiration data. The runoff series for each catchment was then prepared as a combination of the measured surface runoff and the NAM generated flow. Two example applications are given below. For a full explanation of all applications see the Interim Report Volume II. Drought monitoring The DSS includes a Dashboard Manager, which can generate web-sites to illustrate the water resources situations in different ways (see Figure 9-3 below). Figure 9-3 Example DSS web site that shows the current groundwater levels and rainfall The colour coding of the watersheds indicate the post-monsoon groundwater level compared to the previous five years while the colour of the rain gauges (squares) indicate the deviation of the annual rainfall from normal. The visitor to this web page can plot rainfall and groundwater levels at each station / watershed. Seasonal Groundwater Planning The Government of Maharashtra also requested a facility to predict the likely development of the groundwater levels once the post-monsoon levels have been measured. This application was tested using the BM-61 GSDA watershed. The simulated level variation, starting at the post-monsoon level, is shown for five years in comparison with the observed level (Figure 9-2). Figure 9-4 Test predictions of the groundwater level development in watershed BM61 (meter below ground level) with given assumptions concerning the water use for domestic and agricultural purposes. Artificial Recharge The potential of increasing groundwater availability through a range of artificial infiltration structures was tested for a selected watershed. In a scenario of increased water demands from groundwater, the depth to groundwater was simulated over a 40 year period to indicate the sustainability of this utilization with and without the proposed artificial recharge (see Figure 9-4) Figure 9-4 Simulated groundwater depth with and without artificial infiltration The simulations indicate that increased draft will only be sustainable with the artificial recharge in place. Note that an analysis based only on the recent, relatively wet, years would have given the false impression that increased groundwater pumping would be possible also without the artificial recharge. Links A link to a library of all DHI reports http://mikebydhi.com/ State websites