DISCUSSION PAPER: HIGHLIGHTS OF RECENT FLOODS IN NIGERIA By Salihu Mustafa Flood can be defined as an abnormal progressive rise in the water level of a river/stream leading to a crest and then followed by a slower recession such that, the process may result in the overflowing of the river/stream with the subsequent inundation of the banks. (Derived from Linsley , 1942and UNESCO-WMO, 1974) 1. There are predominantly four flood types observed in Nigeria Urban flooding- 41% Flash Flooding – 11% River Flooding- 43% Dam flooding -5% These are shown in Fig. 1 Dam flood 5% Flash flood 11% Urban flood 41% Dam flood Flash flood River flood Urban flood River flood 43% Fig.1 Classification of floods in Nigeria (NIHSA Flood Outlook, 2013) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Technical Workshop On: Toward a Consensus on Flood Risk Hotspots in Nigeria Under a Changing Climate, World Bank Office, Abuja, Tuesday Feb 18, 2014. 1 2. Rivers Benue and Niger constitute Major River flooding although the two rivers originate outside the boundary of Nigeria. 3. In the six geopolitical zones, the floods the percentage LGAs flooded vary from zone to zone; as high as 40% in South-South zone and only 2% in the South-East zone. The distribution is as shown in the Table below and Fig.2 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% %LGAs not under threat of flood 50% %LGAs under threat of flood 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% NE NW NC SW SE SS Fig.2 Percentage no. of LGAs under threat of flood in each of the six geopolitical zones (derived from NIHSA data on Flood Outlook in 2013) ZONE % LGAs under threat of floods % LGAs not under threat of floods Total NE 28 NW 19 NC 27 SW 11 SE 2 SS 32 72 81 73 89 98 68 100 100 100 100 100 100 Table1. Showing percentage of LGAs under threat in each of the six geopolitical zones 2 4. The number of LGAs in each zone under threat of floods as percentage of total LGAs in Nigeria is distributed as follows and shown in Fig3. % LGAs under threats of floods in the zone NE 20 NW 22 NC 21 SW 10 SE 2 SS 25 Total 100 NE 21% ss 25% NE NW NC SE 1% SW SE SW 10% NW 22% ss NC 21% Fig.3 Percentage of number of LGAs under threat of flood in each zone over total number of LGAs in Nigeria (derived from NIHSA data on Flood Outlook in 2013) 5. Flood management strategies These can be structural or non-structural Structural strategies Modifying the flood event by erecting structures such as: Levees, dykes and embankments Creating flood ways and channel improvements Spurs and revetments Reservoirs and detention ponds Catchment treatments and afforestation 3 Incorporate climate change in the design of parameters of water resources structures like dams and channels. Non-structural strategies a. Accept to adapt to floods and minimize damage that there is no complete immunity. b. Effective flood forecasting and warning c. Invest in research to improve understanding of the statistics of extreme events, reliability of flood defences and risk analysis. d. Improvement on flood forecast such that, the variation between forecast and corresponding observation is not more than a set threshold level- say 20% e. Flood proofing- providing raised platforms above flood level to give shelter to human beings and animals during floods. Also, filling lowland areas to level above flood level. f. Flood plain zoning- Prepare maps of flood plain zones, preferably, of the order 1: 15,000 with contour interval 0.3-0.5m to help to regulate land use in flood plain zones. Demarcate areas to be covered by flood of 1 in 100 year return period- Inland Waterways in Nigeria prohibits settlement or payment of compensation within this zone. Also, demarcate 1 in 1,000 year return floods. g. Establishing disaster preparedness and rapid response committee at federal, state and local government level, that would plan on how relief agencies are to be involved in evacuation, recue, food and drinks distribution, health care, erection of temporary shelters, providing clothing and financial assistance and repair and rebuilding of damaged structures. Itemize requirements in advance by communities such as Shelter to be constructed. h. Supply of boats for evacuation of flood victims and provision of food items and other relief materials that would be needed. i. Supply of Mini-water treatment plants treating about 1,000Litres/hour ( costing US$2,0003,000) j. Flood Insurance scheme- Evolve insurance scheme to cover losses to buildings, crops, livestock, fisheries, rural industries and loss of life. Government might be involved in providing reinsurance to insurance bodies. k. Monitoring - Monitoring scheme to be in place to assess previous rescue measures and likely improvements on future rescue operations l. Need to develop technology and kills to plan, design, implement and monitor strategies toward hazard risk reduction. Annex1 - President Obama proposes $1 billion investment to mitigate the impact of climate change- likely lesson for Nigeria. Conclusion River flooding and urban flooding constitute most of the floods experienced in Nigeria. River flooding is predominantly on the banks of Rivers Benue and Nigeria which both originate outside the borders of Nigeria. Thus, flood management strategies to be drawn up should involve the bordering countries and the hinterland states the rivers cross. LGAs affected by floods can be grouped into the six geopolitical zones for purposes of planning and ease of project implementation. 4 Regional flood frequency maps can be derived either for the eight hydrological units or six geopolitical zones. To combat floods investment should be made in both structural and non-structural strategies which should include capacity building mechanism. ANNEX1-Obama proposes $1 billion climate protection fund Washington (AFP) 2/14/2014 6:48:41 PM-Brendan Smialowski/AFP US President Barack Obama (2ndL) talks with Rep. Jim Costa (2ndR) while walking to Air Force One at Andrews Air Force Bast February 14, 2014 in Maryland Highlights President Barack Obama will Friday propose a $1 billion dollar fund to mitigate the impact of climate change, as he inspects farmland parched by drought in California. o o o o o o o o o He will propose the investment in his 2015 budget that will be released next month -though it is "We've always had severe storms, but instead of hundred-year storms that happen once a hundred years, we're having hundred-year storms that happen every other year or every five years." The new Climate Resilience Fund is intended to finance research into better understanding of projected impacts of climate change and how to better protect communities and infrastructure. It is also designed to help vulnerable communities plan and prepare for the impacts of climate change and to encourage local measures to reduce future risk and to fund new resilient technologies and infrastructure to combat a warming climate. Around 90 percent of California is reported to be experiencing severe to exceptional drought. The drought emergency has also sparked wildfires and prompted Governor Jerry Brown to ask Californians to cut their water use by 20 percent. Obama will pledge to implement $100 million in livestock disaster assistance for California producers contained in a recently passed agriculture bill. He will also highlight $15 million in conservation funding for extreme drought areas in California, Texas, Oklahoma, Nebraska, Colorado and New Mexico. A further $5 million will be provided for emergency watershed protection for California, among other measures which also include a mandate for federal facilities to use less water. 5