Crimson Elliott March 7, 2013 Biology 1615-022 Article Summary Introduction Genetics and Demography in Biological Conservation, and article by Russell Lande, is an article that discusses the idea of controlling wild life population through the ability to predict when a population will con extinct, based solely on the populations’ genetics. This is an issue that is being brought to light and addressed because of the destruction of natural areas, which include habitats for many species and how this is effecting some species and wiping out their whole populations. So while realizing there will be populations that continue to be abolished through the destruction of their natural habitats, the article wanted to look and see how a certain populations genetics play with the demographic location and how that all effects the rate at which that population could go extinct. Within the article Lande discusses the two main genetic factors that they are using in their research, and four demographic effects that they are considering the most important. And how those six things combined lead to the conclusion that Lande was able to reach on how genetics and demographics can effect the extinction of populations and whether or not through a mathematical equation, is it possible to predict when that will happen. Materials & Methods As discussed, when Lande first set out to test his hypothesis, he picked six ideas or criteria is wanted to focus on, two of them being genetic and four of them demographic. The genetic components he picks that were important to him where those of inbreeding depression and genetic variation within populations. Those on the demographic side things were Allee Effect, Stochastic demography, Edge effects, and local extinction and colonization. To test the genetic side of things, Lande look at Drosphilia, as condition that comes through inbreeding. The condition only occurs in small numbers within the population, though numbers will continue to grow as inbreeding continues and can eventually prove lethal in some cases. Then while studying the same condition and looked at genetic variation, in populations and how the some condition can arise and not be fatal to some species and fatal to others. There were very unique reasons as to why Lande chose the four demographic criterion that he did and we will discuss each quickly. The Allee effect is when a population starts loosing the ability to breed, for non-genetic reasons. Stochiastic demography is when looking at each individual and what their vital rate is, which is in essence what is their ability to survive and reproduce compared to others of their population and what are average vital rates compared to a population in one area versus another. When Lande discusses the Edge effect, he is actually discussing two different types; the first of which is the way a habitat deteriorates within a clear boundary and the second is how a population is dispersed within a boundary. Then finally when talking about local extinction and colonization, Lande is looking at how some populations thrive in certain environments, where they might go extinct in others. Results The conclusion that Lande comes to, is basing, or predicting population, completely on population genetics was a point that was highly unrealistic. It’s unrealistic because the information, the theory was going to be used to control wild populations, which is unrealistic because populations are know for being adaptable and creating a management based on genetics alone wouldn’t work for this reason and reasons as such. Lande cam to this conclusion after going through all the results, the problem that Lande found with a numerical equation, that could predict whether or not a species were to go extinct of when it was to go extinct where the multiple factors that are involved. He realized that there were to many factors to be able to build a realistic model to predict extinction at all. This research has lead many conservation biologists to start predicting a species perseverance factor on one factor, rather then just predicting when a population will actually go extinct. Discussion & Conclusion when Lande set out, he was looking to see if there was a way to gauge whether or not it was possible to predict or even calculate when a population would go extinct. After looking at six factors, two of those genetic and four of them demographic Lande came to the conclusion that there were to many variables to be able to accurately predict when a population would actually be able to come extinct. He also realized through his research that it would be difficult to use this information to control wild populations through genetics and demographics. That these variable and the ability to adapt can greatly change what their initial predictions are about a populations rate of extinction is, so that it was not possible, with much accuracy, based on the criterion that he chose to conduct his research.