Technology Note Renal Denervation April 2013 Introduction Consequent to the 2011 National Health Committee (NHC) referral round, this Technology Note considers the case for investing in renal denervation (the application of radio frequency energy via a catheter to block renal nerves) to lower blood pressure in patients with resistant hypertension (high blood pressure that is resistant to pharmaceutical treatment). The paper gives a high level overview of the procedure, the prevalence and incidence of resistant hypertension, alternative treatments, and the current evidence regarding the procedure’s safety, clinical effectiveness, cost effectiveness and affordability. The Procedure Renal Denervation (RDN) (also known as renal nerve ablation or percutaneous transluminal radiofrequency sympathetic denervation of the renal artery) is a percutaneous intervention for the treatment of uncontrolled / resistant hypertension. The procedure does not involve an implant. A catheter, with an electrode at its tip, is inserted through the femoral artery and guided using fluoroscopy to the renal artery. The catheter is connected to a low-power radiofrequency (RF) generator. Once inside the renal artery the electrode delivers RF energy to ablate (burn) the renal sympathetic nerves at approximately five locations.1 Hyper-activation of the sympathetic nervous system can cause hypertension [1-3]. Deactivation of the renal sympathetic nerves blocks nervous-system signals from the kidneys to the brain that would otherwise raise blood pressure. The procedure time is usually less than an hour and can be performed under local anaesthetic. 1 Alternatively methods such as ultrasound may be used for the ablation process Renal Denervation 1 Prevalence and Incidence of Resistant Hypertension The American Heart Association (AHA) defines resistant hypertension as office blood pressure2 greater than 140/90 mm Hg or 130/80 mm Hg in patients with diabetes or chronic kidney disease, and patients prescribed three or more antihypertensive medications at optimal doses, including, if possible, a diuretic; or normal office blood pressure but patients require four or more antihypertensive medications [4]. No study has been conducted on the prevalence of resistant hypertension in New Zealand. Overseas estimates suggest that between 5% and 30% of individuals may be resistant to antihypertensive treatment [4-6]. International estimates of prevalence The United States Joint National Committee on the Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of high Blood Pressure [hence forth the US Joint National Committee] note that prevalence of truly resistant hypertension is small [7]. Guidance issued by the American Heart Association suggests that 20% to 30% of hypertensive individuals may be resistant to antihypertensive treatment [4]. More recent research suggests a much lower prevalence of resistant hypertension among US adults. Presell’s analysis of data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey between 2003-2008, which included a broadly representative population of 15 968 non-pregnant adult participants, estimated population prevalence of 8.9% [6]. Participants in the study were classified as having resistant hypertension if their blood pressure was ≥140/90 mm Hg (either systolic or diastolic) and they reported using antihypertensive medications from 3 different drug classes in the past month or they reported using drugs from ≥ 4 antihypertensive drug classes in the past month regardless of blood pressure. It is unlikely that medication was optimal for all patients in the study; in particular 14% of the study population were not on a diuretic - diuretics can improve the effectiveness of antihypertensive medicines [8]. This suggests the prevalence of truly resistant hypertension may be less than 8.9%. A recent retrospective French study that followed hypertensive patients (n=144) in a specialised hypertension unit found the frequency of resistant hypertension (failure to respond to triple therapy plus a dietetic) was 5% [5]. 2 Blood pressure measured in a clinic rather than at home. Renal Denervation 2 Estimating New Zealand‘s prevalence and incidence The New Zealand Adult Nutrition Survey 2008/09 found 30% of adults, or 971,400 people aged 15 years or over, were currently taking medication for hypertension or had blood pressure ≥140/90 mm Hg.3 Assuming 5-9% of these adults have resistant hypertension, this equates to 48,570 – 87,426 individuals with resistant hypertension or between 111 and 200 per 10,000 individuals. There is no published data on the incidence of hypertension in New Zealand. Nevertheless, in 2010/11 18,479 people were admitted to public hospitals in New Zealand and: received a diagnosis of hypertension and; had not previously had a diagnosis of hypertension in the secondary care setting (public hospital discharge Jan 1988 - June 2010). 18,479 may serve as a rough indication of annual hypertension incidence (accepting it is likely to undercount less severe cases of hypertension). Assuming resistant hypertension incidence represents about 5-9% of hypertension cases, then this equates to 924 to 1663 cases annually. Literature review methodology The NHC undertook a systematic literature search to review available safety, efficacy, effectiveness and cost-effectiveness evidence for RDN. The search strategy was adapted from an early search strategy developed by the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE)[9] (Appendix 1). MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane databases were searched from January 1 2005 to 20 March 2013. Coupled with this was a search of available literature from international health technology assessment agency websites using the keywords “renal denervation”, “catheter ablation”, and “renal nerve ablation”. Abstracts and articles were screened according to a pre-specified PICO research question and inclusion / exclusion criteria (Table 1). Studies that met the inclusion criteria were retrieved and reviewed for use in the analysis. Table One: PICO question and inclusion and exclusion criteria Question Inclusion Criteria Exclusion Criteria Population Patients with resistant hypertension Non-human/animal trials Intervention Renal denervation Outcome Safety, efficacy, effectiveness, cost-effectiveness Other outcomes Study type HTAs, systematic reviews and meta-analyses, RCTs, and observational studies Case reports, single centre studies, opinion pieces (other than editorials to studies), abstracts only. In line with recent literature reviews of renal denervation only one randomised control trial (RCT) was identified along with an extended investigation of that trial [10-13]. The RCT, Renal 3 Source: Analysis conducted for the NHC from the 2008/09 Adult Nutrition Survey (n=4407). Blood pressure was not measured in pregnant woman because pregnancy alters a woman’s blood pressure. Renal Denervation 3 Denervation in Patients With Uncontrolled Hypertension (Symplicity HTN-2), was for the Symplicity™ Renal Denervation System. No other renal denervation system has published data from a RCT; accordingly, the safety and efficacy evidence for RDN was limited to the Symplicity™ system. The phase I4 feasibility study was also included for the Symplicity™ system. One systematic review, four health technology assessments, and two cost-effectiveness analyses were included in the analysis. Of these works, one health technology assessment was provided to the NHC through HealthPACT [14]. Alternative Treatments Hypertension is an important risk factor for heart disease, as well as stroke and renal failure. Modifiable risk factors for high blood pressure include physical activity, salt intake, obesity and alcohol intake (Fisher and Williams 2005). First line treatment for hypertension is lifestyle change, while antihypertensive medication may be used in concert if required. New Zealand guidelines recommend antihypertensive medication if blood pressure is ≥170/100 [15]. NICE recommends that if hypertension proves resistant to regular treatment further diuretics, alpha or beta-blockers should be considered (see appendix 2) [16]. The US Joint National Committee found resistant hypertension almost always treatable provided the cause is correctly identified (Appendix 3) [7]. As a major developed world health condition, there is no lack of private incentive for companies to develop new technologies to address refractory hypertension. As such, irrespective of any effect RDN may have, it should be expected that new medicines and alternative technologies, including means of improving medication compliance5, will reduce the pool of patients defined as having refractory hypertension over-time. An alternative to RDN is Baroreflex activation therapy (BAT), where an implanted device electrically stimulates the carotid sinus to reduce blood pressure. The procedure was shown to be efficacious in a double-blinded RCT but appears less efficacious than RDN (disused below) [17]. Currently BAT is costly relative to health outcomes with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, relative to medical therapy, estimated at $US64,400 (NZ$77,600) per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) for a 50 year old US cohort without a history of cardiovascular events [18]. An overview of percutaneous renal denervation devices by the Cardiovascular Centre Frankfurt notes more than 60 companies are working on new devices for renal denervation[19]. However, most of these procedures appear to be in the preclinical stages of development with little published data available. The U.S. National Institute of Health’s clinical trials registry, Clinicaltrials.gov, lists 57 current or planed clinical trials for renal denervation (Appendix 4). Mercy Angiography Unit in 4 A Phase I trial tests the safety and feasibility of an intervention. 5 Technically if a patient has uncontrolled hypertension due to failure to comply with optimal medical therapy, then they cannot be said to have resistant hypertension. But as the wide range of prevalence estimates demonstrate, it is difficult to disentangle truly resistant hypertension from lack of compliance. Renal Denervation 4 Auckland is a registered trial site for a multicentre international phase two trial of the OneShot™ RDN device (NCT01520506). They have previously trialled the Symplicity device. The trial is a small (n=40) safety/efficacy observational study over 13 locations. Twelve RDN procedures which have undergone, or are in the process of clinical trials, are identified in Table Two. Table 1 Competing RDN devices Device and Developer Medtronic Symplicity™ Renal Denervation System THERMOCOOL Irrigated Tip Catheter and Integrated Ablation System Mechanism of Action Radiofrequency ablation of renal sympathetic nerves Status CE Marking, WAND notification, and TGA approval Phase III trial underway Radiofrequency ablation of renal sympathetic nerves Nonrandomised / non-controlled Phase I and II trial underway Radiofrequency ablation of renal sympathetic nerves CE Marking, WAND notification, and TGA approval Johnson & Johnson St. Jude Medical EnligHTN™ System Feasibility (observational) trial underway Kona Medical Externally Focused (non-invasive) Ultrasound Therapy Feasibility (observational) trial underway Ultra-sound ablation of renal sympathetic nerves Animal and first-in-human Mercator MedSystems Chemical Ablation Animal trials Cricket and Bullfrog Systems Allows drug delivery to renal sympathetic nerve sheath Vessix Radiofrequency ablation of renal sympathetic nerves CE Marking Radiofrequency ablation of renal sympathetic nerves CE Marking Ultra-sound ablation of renal sympathetic nerves CE Marking Radiofrequency ablation of renal sympathetic nerves FIH completed and recruiting for prospective, non-randomised open label feasibility study Surround SoundTM system CardioSonic TIVUS system V2™ Renal Denervation System Covidien OneShot™ System Recor Paradise™ System. Medtronic Multi-Electrode Radiofrequency (RF) – Next generation simplicity system Renal Denervation Post market approval clinical surveillance study Phase II study Currently underway Phase I trial 5 Device and Developer Medtronic MDT-2211 Sound Intervention Mechanism of Action Status Delivers radiofrequency (RF) energy through the luminal surface of the renal artery. Recruiting for RCT Unfocused Ultrasound Completed FIH trial Renal Denervation System Regulatory status Under current New Zealand legislation there is no pre-market scrutiny of devices and no approval is required before a device can be supplied. However, for medical devices to be legally supplied in New Zealand they must be notified to MedSafe’s Web Assisted Notification of Devices (WAND) Database.6 The Symplicity™device was notified to the WAND database on 4 July 2012, and the EnligHTN™ device was notified on 20 April 2012. Both devices have also been approved by the Australian Therapeutic Goods Administration (TGA). No RDN device has received FDA approval, though we are aware of five percutaneous RDN systems with CE marking7. These include Medtronic’s Symplicity™ Renal Denervation System, St. Jude Medical’s EnligHTN™ System, Vessix's V2™ Renal Denervation System, Covidien’s OneShot™ System, and Recor’s Paradise™ System. Of these only Medtronic’s Symplicity device has been subjected to a RCT. Safety and Effectiveness The primary literature on the safety and effectiveness of RDN has come from two clinical trials for Medtronic’s Symplicity™ Renal Denervation System. These are the Symplicity HTN-1 phase one (observational) trial with 153 patients, and the Symplicity HTN-2 phase two RCT (106 patients). Safety Available evidence suggests the procedure is associated with a low incidence of adverse events, but long-run evidence on the procedure’s safety is still in its formative stage. The Symplicity HTN1 observational study of 153 patients found the procedure was without complications in 97% of patients (149 of 153 patients)[20]. All four patients who experienced complications were treated without subsequent problems. Three patients developed a pseudoaneurysm/hematoma (internal 6 Devices must be notified to the WAND database within 30 calendar days of a person or organisation becoming the sponsor of the device. A sponsor is a person or organisation that imports or exports a device or that manufactures or arranges the manufacture of a device in New Zealand. 7 The CE mark indicates a product's compliance with EU legislation and enables the free movement of products within the European market: http://www.bvmed.de/stepone/data/downloads/9c/bc/00/CE%20Flyer%20english%202008.pdf Renal Denervation 6 bleed) in the femoral access site, and one patient experienced renal artery dissection on placement of the treatment catheter before delivery of RF energy. Initial results from the Symplicity HTN-2 randomised controlled trial reported no serious complications related to the device or the procedure [21]. However, the following serious events requiring hospital admission were reported for patients who underwent RDN: one patient had nausea and oedema possibly related to underlying hypertension one patient had a hypertensive crisis after abrupt stopping of clonidine one patient had a transient ischaemic attack one patient had a hypotensive episode resulting in a reduction of antihypertensive drug use one patient received a coronary stent for angina An extended investigation of the trial involving 46 patients to investigate the effect of RDN on cardiorespiratory response to exercise found RDN and cardiopulmonary exercise testing were performed without any serious adverse events in all patients [22]. Efficaciousness The results from the Symplicity HTN-2 RCT reported an average reduction in office based blood pressure of 32/12 mm Hg (p<0.0001) at six months for the 52 patients that underwent RDN, whereas there was no change for the control group (n=54) [21]. The Symplicity HTN-1 observational study (n=153) reported an average reduction in office based blood pressure compared to baseline of 25/11 mm Hg at six months (n=86), 23/11 mm Hg at 12 months (n=64), and 32/14 mm Hg at 24 months (n=18) [20]. Medtronic have marketed two year follow-up data for the HTN-2 study and three year follow-up data for the HTN-1 studies, but these data are yet to be published in peer reviewed journals. Figure two summarises the potential biases and limitations of the HTN-1 and HTN-2 studies. Of note, both studies were sponsored by the manufacturer and the number of patients studied is still relatively small. Published data does not extend beyond two years, so we cannot be confident of the long term safety, efficacy or effectiveness of the procedure. Renal Denervation 7 Figure 1 Appraisal of HTN-1 and HTN-2 studies Appraisal of HTN-1 and HTN-2 The U.S. Preventive Services Task Force grades the quality of the overall evidence for a service or intervention on a 3-point scale (good, fair, poor): Good: Evidence includes consistent results from well-designed, well-conducted studies in representative populations that directly assess effects on health outcomes. Fair: Evidence is sufficient to determine effects on health outcomes, but the strength of the evidence is limited by the number, quality, or consistency of the individual studies, generalizability to routine practice, or indirect nature of the evidence on health outcomes. Poor: Evidence is insufficient to assess the effects on health outcomes because of limited number or power of studies, important flaws in their design or conduct, gaps in the chain of evidence, or lack of information on important health outcomes. The HTN-1 study is fair quality with the following potential biases and limitations: The device’s manufacturer, Atrian (now Medtronic), funded the trial and had input into the design, analysis and publication of the study. There was confounding in terms of the suite of medications that the participants took during the trial. No separate analysis was done to assess if RDN was more or less safe versus various types/combinations of antihypertensive medications. 31% of patients changed their medical therapy during the trial. There appears to have been little effect when patients receiving increased medication were excluded from the analysis, but changes in the use of diuretics may have influenced results. Follow-up rates were low - 64 patients (42%) at 12 months and just 18 patients (12%) at 24 months. The HTN-2 study is fair quality with the following potential biases and limitations: The Symplicity HTN-2 RCT was not blinded, and the control group did not undergo sham procedures. No placebo treatment was used. Having a placebo RDN treatment may not have been feasible for ethical reasons during this study but could have limited the chance of the Hawthorne Effect affecting the results. The control group was not checked for optimal medical therapy. The enrolment criteria required patients to have an elevated office systolic BP (≥160 mm Hg) despite taking ≥ 3 antihypertensive drug classes, 1 of which was a diuretic, at target or maximal tolerated dose. But 5 percent of patients at baseline were not using a diuretic. 35 percent of the control group had a reduction in systolic blood pressure of 10mm Hg or more at 6 months, the corresponding figure was 84% for the RDN group (p<0.0001). That is, a third of the studies population may not be considered to have truly resistant hypertension, and the marginal benefit of the procedure may be substantially less than the raw improvement figure (↓84% BP) suggests. The exposed group (RDN) and the control group were not necessarily comparable as there seemed to be differences in the risk factors between the groups. Notably, the RDN group had a higher proportion of patients with coronary artery disease, eGFR of 45-60 mL/min per 1.73 m2, and taking beta and alpha-1 blockers. The study claimed that there were no significant differences between the groups; however, it did not publish any significance tests to back up that claim. Patients were asked to monitor their own blood pressure at home. This could have encouraged user error and affected the readings. This problem though, was mitigated through a combination of taking the average of three readings as well as recording blood pressure over a 24 hour period using an automated device. 67% of the centres in this study were considered hypertension centres of excellence according to the European Society of Hypertension, so these results may not carry over to centres with less experience dealing with hypertension. No subgroup analysis by centre was reported. Renal Denervation 8 Reviews of RDN A systematic review concluded that ‘data from short-term studies suggest that RDN is a safe and effective therapeutic option’, though there remain ‘unanswered questions about patient selection’, and a need for ‘long-term studies with large patient populations….to study whether this benefit is sustained with a demonstrable difference in cardiovascular disease’[10]. The Ludwig Boltzmann Institute, an Austrian think-tank, recommended against the adoption of the technology in Austria given the current lack of evidence regarding mortality, longterm efficacy, and quality of life [11]. The Queensland Policy and Advisory Committee on New Technology (QPACT) published a due diligence report on renal denervation in October 2011[13]. They found that preliminary cost-effectiveness analysis supports the adoption of RDN, where it was expected the device and procedure could easily integrate into existing hospital infrastructure. QPACT have subsequently approved funding for renal denervation at the Princess Alexandra Hospital under the New Technology Funding and Evaluation Program [23]. They aim to study short and long-run outcome indicators (including central aortic pressure, aortic stiffness, left ventricular mass, and quality of life, reduction in adverse cardiovascular outcomes and cardiac arrhythmic risk), and collect primary costeffectiveness data. NICE issued guidance on RDN in January 2012. NICE found inadequate evidence of long-run safety and efficacy, hence it only supports the procedure’s use with “special arrangements for clinical governance, consent, and audit or research” [12]. DLA Piper reviewed RDN for the Australian-New Zealand health technology advisory body HealthPACT, concluding that RDN was likely to become main-stream in the next decade. However, they noted that trials with larger numbers of patients and longer follow-up were required before the therapy becomes widespread [14]. In the absence of this evidence, the review noted that RDN ‘should be reserved for selected patients with resistant hypertension and accessed through health care facilities that are collecting long-term data using rigorous methods.’ Cost-effectiveness Two cost-effectiveness analyses (CEA) were identified; one based in the United States, the other in Germany. The U.S. CEA estimates RDN has an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $ NZ 3,624 per QALY when compared with medical therapy for a population (43% female) with a mean age of 58 [24]. The German CEA estimates RDN has an ICER of $NZ4,095 per QALY and $3,600 per QALY compared with medical therapy for men and woman aged 60, respectively[25]. Costs and QALYs were discounted at 3% in both studies, and both took the healthcare payer perspective; that is they didn’t account for wider societal costs and benefits outside the health system. Whilst deriving similar ICERs the U.S. CEA assumes a much greater upfront material and Renal Denervation 9 procedural cost than the German CEA ($NZ14, 806 vs $NZ 6,855), larger net lifetime savings ($NZ 12,423 vs $NZ 2,842 -$NZ 3,687), a greater reduction in systolic blood pressure (SBP) (32mm Hg vs 20 mm Hg) and attributes fewer incremental QALYS (0.66 vs 0.88-0.98) to RDN (Table 3). Table 3 Key Parameters and outputs of two CEAs Parameters / Outputs U.S. Study German Study Sex 43 % female M F Age 58 (45-70) 60 Base case reduction in systolic blood pressure 32mm Hg 20 mm Hg Procedure cost (not including lifetime costs and savings) $NZ14,806 $NZ 6,891 Incremental Cost $NZ 2,385 $NZ 4,013 $NZ 3,168 Implied net lifetime discounted savings $NZ 12,423 $NZ 2,878 $NZ 3,723 Implied savings as a % of procedural cost 84% 42% 54% Incremental QALY 0.66 QALY 0.98 QALY 0.88 QALY ICER $NZ 3,624 $NZ 4,095 $NZ 3,600 Implied ICER assuming no savings $NZ 22,433 $NZ 6,995 $NZ 7,790 Currency conversions are based on following exchange rates: $1USD =$NZ1.18, 1EURO = $NZ1.55. Source: [24, 25] Implied savings and ICERs excluding savings were calculated from reported data in these studies. The German study shows cost-effectiveness decreases with age due to the shorter postintervention survival time. That is, downstream cost savings/QALY gains attributed to reduced hypertension-related adverse events and death decline with increasing age (table 4). Table 4 Estimated ICERs for RDN by age in Germany Age Men Woman 50 $2,344 $2,418 60 $4,095 $3,601 70 $6,653 $6,603 80 $18,017 $20,460 85 $29,433 $40,706 90 $96,746 $196,281 Source:[25] Renal Denervation 10 The results of both studies are most sensitive to the assumed reduction in SBP, the cost of RDN, and the discount rate. The German study also found the non-response rate an important variable. Using a willingness to pay threshold of about $NZ 38,000, and employing probabilistic sensitivity analysis8, both studies report a 95% probability that RDN is cost-effective. In the U.S. study, RDN ranged from being cost saving to costing NZ$37,000 per QALY when compared to medical management. In the German study the credibility interval never shows cost savings, but shows the RDN is cost-effective for men and woman aged up to 76 and 75, respectively. Critical review of CEA studies While the reported cost-effectiveness results look promising there are significant issues with the analysis in both studies. Issues include, but are not limited to the following: Limited clinical trials data In absence of long-run data both studies had to estimate long run reductions in morbidity and mortality from the Symplicity trials above. As such the validity of the results is limited by the limitations outlined for those studies. In particular, the clinical data is short-term and from a small population sample. Absence of real world data The effectiveness of the procedure is yet to be reported in a large registry trial, so we do not know how the procedure will perform outside strict trial protocols in the general population. Estimated savings are large and speculative As shown in table three, the U.S. CEA indicates that 84% of the procedure’s cost will be recouped from net lifetime savings. In the German study the net savings are between 42-54% of the original cost of the procedure. Savings are attributed to estimated improvements in long-term morbidity and mortality which have yet to be proven in real world conditions (i.e. reduced or delayed treatment costs). Estimated QALYs are speculative As with savings, QALYs are attributed to estimated improvements in long-term morbidity and mortality which have no real hard evidence from clinical trials of RDN. Of note the German study derives a third to a half more QALYs from a baseline reduction in SBP which is two-thirds lower than the U.S. study (table 3). It is not clear from published data why this is the case other than the studies using different risk estimation for cardiovascular disease (CVD) events. 8 PSA sensitivity analysis differs from regular sensitivity analysis in that it is based on randomly drawn values from known or estimated distributions for all input parameters - rather than selective variation by researchers of one or two parameters at a time. Renal Denervation 11 Inaccurate comparator The German study reports the ICER relative to ‘best medical therapy’, but the Symplicity trials did not adequately check for compliance to optimal therapy. For example, fourth-line treatment using an aldosterone antagonist combined with other diuretics has recently been shown to control blood pressure in about 60% of patients with resistant hypertension [26]. An independent randomised open label trial is currently underway to determine if renal denervation can do better on-top of optimal treatment (Clinical trials number: NCT01570777). The Cost of RDN is uncertain The German study reports a procedural cost of $NZ 6,891 including further costs for periprocedural bleeding complications. The cost is based on a diagnostic related group (DRG)9 code for similar percutaneous interventional procedures. The U.S. estimate is substantially higher at $NZ14,806 for material and procedure costs, which is in-line with a recent Australian estimate [14]. There is little detail on either cost estimate. Potential industry bias Authors of the German study received funding from Medtronic. The relationship of the company with the authors of the U.S. study is unclear. The studies are not immediately applicable to New Zealand Using New Zealand data the procedure is likely to be less cost-effective than indicated as the price of antihypertensive medication is likely to be lower in New Zealand due to Pharmac. Given the current paucity of published clinical data, the benefit of producing a New Zealand specific costeffectiveness model is limited. Both cost-effectiveness studies used a 3% percent discount rate. The discount rate used by Pharmac and NICE is 3.5% - roughly the long run government cost of debt (real 10 year government bond rate), representing the opportunity cost of government spending. Since costs are paid up front, but savings and QALYs predominate in later years, a greater discount rate will reduce the present value / cost-effectiveness of the procedure. Remodelled the U.S. CEA using a 3.5% discount rate reduces incremental QALYs from 0.66 to 0.60, and increases the ICER from $ NZ 3,624 to $4,930 per QALY. These results do not indicate a material difference. In deriving the estimate we fitted the distribution of future savings and QALYs to a Poisson distribution, as the actual distribution was not evident in the U.S CEA report. Comparative QALYs and ICERs at different discount rates are presented below (table 5). 9 DRGs are a system of classifying patients for the purpose of reimbursement. Renal Denervation 12 Table 5: Incremental QALYs and ICERs for under various discount rates Discount Rate 0% 3% 5% 3.5% IQALY – U.S 1.09 0.66 0.48 NA IQALY remodelled 1.09 0.66 0.473 0.604 $NZ 3,624 $NZ 9,499 NA ICER – U.S -$ NZ 2,081 (incremental cost only) ICER remodelled -$NZ 2,081 (incremental cost only) $NZ 3,626 $NZ 9,668 $NZ 4,930 ICER – remodelled without savings NA $NZ 22,433 $NZ 31,302 $NZ 24,513 Source:[24] with remodelling by the NHC Given the limitations outlined, the most defensible estimate of cost-effectiveness may be derived from the U.S. study, given its more conservative procedural cost and incremental QALY estimates, excluding its significant down-stream savings estimates. This gives an ICER of about $24,513 (table 5). The NHCs affordability model is subject to change: however, our current estimate is that the technology could cost the health sector an additional (in excess of standard treatment) $7-16 million over five years. The developing evidence base Appendix 4 shows that there are a large number of studies (n=57) planned or underway which should help clarify the safety, effectiveness and cost effectiveness of the procedure over the next few years. The largest of these is Medtronic’s global registry which aims to collect data on 5,000 patients between 2012 and 2021. The company is recording outcomes for patients with various health conditions including heart failure, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, and obstructive sleep apnea. Expansion of RDNs treatment scope is also being trialled in patients with arterial fibrillation, ventricular tachycardia, and metabolic syndrome. Medtronic’s other major trial is called Symplicity HTN-3 – a multi-centre, single-blind (patients) RCT with an enrolment of 530 patients. Two studies are assessing the cost-effectiveness of RDN [NCT01570777 (n=120), NCT01673516 (n=60)] where both appear to be government funded. There is a series of RCTs planned or underway, including several single and double blinded studies that do not appear to be industry sponsored. Renal Denervation 13 Conclusion The available evidence for RDN suggests it may significantly reduce hypertension with relatively little risk of adverse events. The evidence base for the long term safety and effectiveness of the procedure is however, still in its formative stages. Recent cost effectiveness analyses claim the procedure has an ICER of about $NZ 5,000 per QALY. Whilst indicating the procedure may be highly cost-effective, the analyses assume large down-stream savings and health benefits for which we currently have insufficient evidence. At a minimum the savings component of the ICER should be regarded as speculative. With no savings assumed the ICER is roughly $24,500 per QALY. The potential budgetary impact of the procedure is not predictable with any degree of certainty but estimated to be between $7- 16 million over five years. Renal Denervation 14 Appendix 1: Search Strategy The following search strategy was used to find literature on the safety, efficacy, effectiveness, and cost-effectiveness of RDN: Database searched 1 January 2005 to 20 March 2013: Ovid MEDLINE(R) In-Process & Other Non-Indexed Citations and Ovid MEDLINE(R), adapted for Cochrane Library, Embase.Search Strategy: 1hypertension/ (182440) 31 economics/ (26426) 55 randomized controlled trial/ (343710) 2 exp hypertension renal/ (17931) 32 "costs and cost analysis"/ (40245) 56 random allocation/ (76613) 3 (hypertension or hypertensive).tw. (293377) 33 cost allocation/ (1920) 57 double blind method/ (118545) 4 ((high or raise*) adj3 blood adj3 pressure).tw. (12945) 34 cost-benefit analysis/ (55706) 58 single blind method/ (17181) 5 1 or 2 or 3 or 4 (347570) 35 cost control/ (19546) 59 clinical trial/ (475196) 6 exp sympathectomy/ (9179) 36 cost savings/ (7989) 60 clinical trial, phase i.pt. (12811) 7 *sympathetic nervous system/ (21502) 37 cost of illness/ (15827) 61 clinical trial, phase ii.pt. (20560) 8 denervation/ (12816) 38 cost of sharing/ (0) 62 clinical trial, phase iii.pt. (7651) 9 catheter ablation/ (18880) 39 value of life/ (5271) 63 clinical trial, phase iv.pt. (777) 10 6 or 7 or 8 or 9 (60230) 40 cost effective*.tw. (68435) 64 randomized controlled trial.pt. (343710) 11 exp kidney/ (286454) 41 cost utility.tw. (2156) 65 multicenter study.pt. (152917) 12 renal artery/ (14880) 42 cost minimi*.tw. (837) 66 clinical trial.pt. (475196) 13 (kidney or renal).tw. (589285) 43 quality-adjusted life years/ (6033) 67 exp clinical trials as topic/ (262606) 14 11 or 12 or 13 (688451) 44 cost minimi*.tw. (837) 68 epidemiologic studies/ (5585) 15 10 and 14 (4519) 45 quality-adjusted life years/ (6033) 69 exp case control studies/ (589584) 16 5 and 15 (1147) 46 (qaly or daly or icer or haly).tw. (4965) 70 exp cohort studies/ (1234345) 17 rsd.tw. (10142) 47 decision analy*.tw. (4694) 71 case control.tw. (68056) 18 ((renal or kidney) adj3 sympathe* adj3 (denervat* or ablation* or activ*)).tw. (1843) 48 models, economic/ (5486) 72 (cohort adj (study or studies)).tw. (71440) 19 symplicity.tw. (22) 49 (cost or costs or economic*).tw. (390451) 73 cohort analy*.tw. (3146) 20 (catheter* adj3 (renal or kidney) adj3 (denervat* or ablation*)).tw. (87) 50 meta-analysis as topic/ (12504) 74 (follow up adj (study or studies)).tw. (35074) 21 enlightn*.tw. (2) 51 meta analy*.tw. (49231) 75 (observational adj (study or studies)).tw. (37195) 22 vessix v2*.tw. (0) 52 metaanaly*.tw. (1213) 76 longitudinal.tw. (124918) 23 oneshot*.tw. (7) 53 (systematic adj (review*1 or overview*1)).tw. (41418) 77 retrospective.tw. (241669) 24 paradise system*.tw. (0) 54 randomized controlled trials as topic/ (83877) 78 cross sectional.tw. (144394) 25 bullfrog microinfusion.tw. (0) 55 randomized controlled trial/ (343710) 79 cross-sectional studies/ (152704) 26 kona.mp. and externally applied focussed ultrasound.tw. [mp=title, abstract, 56 random allocation/ (76613) 80 or/31-79 (2833017) Renal Denervation 15 31 economics/ (26426) 55 randomized controlled trial/ (343710) 27 tivus.tw. (0) 57 double blind method/ (118545) 81 30 and 80 (121) 28 17 or 18 or 19 or 20 or 21 or 22 or 23 or 24 or 25 or 26 or 27 (12025) 58 single blind method/ (17181) 82 limit 81 to (humans and yr="2005 Current") (63) 29 5 and 28 (613) 59 clinical trial/ (475196) 30 16 or 29 (1412) 60 clinical trial, phase i.pt. (12811) 1hypertension/ (182440) original title, name of substance word, subject heading word, keyword heading word, protocol supplementary concept, rare disease supplementary concept, unique identifier] (0) HTA agencies searched for available literature: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, AHTA - Adelaide Health Technology Assessment, Australia and New Zealand Horizon Scanning Network - Technologies Assessed, MSAC, CADTH, DACEHTA - Danish Centre for Evaluation and Health Technology Assessment, HSAC (New Zealand), Belgian Health Care Knowledge Centre, Institute of Health Economics (Canada), Ontario Health Technology Advisory Committee (Canada), NCCHTA - National Coordinating Centre for Health Technology Assessment, Quality Improvement Scotland, NHSC (relationship to Euroscan) (University of Birmingham), VA Technology Assessment, California Technology Assessment Forum, Health Technology Assessment – Washington, Ludwig Boltzmann Institut für Health Technology Assessment, Haute Authorité de Santé (primarily French, but some English content), Norwegian Knowledge Centre for the Health Services, Swedish Council on Technology Assessment in Health Care, Catalan Agency for Health Technology Assessment and Research, Blue Cross Technology Evaluation Center, AETMIS, Ontario Health Technology Advisory Committee, McGill Technology Assessment Unit, and the Monash – Center for Clinical Effectiveness, NICE Renal Denervation 16 Appendix 2: NICE guidance for antihypertensive drug treatment Renal Denervation 17 Appendix 3: Causes of Resistant hypertension [7] Improper BP measurement Volume overload Excess sodium intake Volume retention from kidney disease Inadequate diuretic therapy Drug-induced or other causes Nonadherence Inadequate doses Inappropriate combinations Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs; cyclooxygenase 2 inhibitors Cocaine, amphetamines, other illicit drugs Sympathomimetics (decongestants, anorectics) Oral contraceptive hormones Adrenal steroid hormones Cyclosporine and tacrolimus Erythropoietin Licorice (including some chewing tobacco) Selected over-the-counter dietary supplements and medicines (eg, ephedra, ma haung, bitter orange) Associated conditions Obesity Excess alcohol intake Identifiable causes of hypertension Chronic kidney disease Coarctation of the aorta Cushing syndrome and other glucocorticoid excess states including chronic steroid therapy Obstructive uropathy Pheochromocytoma Primary aldosteronism and other mineralocorticoid excess states Renal Denervation 18 Appendix 4: Current and planned RDN clinical trials (Results current to 19 May 2013) Condition Sponsor Phase Enrolment Design Start Finish NCT01534299 RH HF D CKD OSA Medtronic Vascular 4 5000 NR SB 01/02/12 01/07/21 BP NCT01417221 EH Other 1,2 800 NR OL 01/08/11 01/08/16 CCE NCT01733901 CHD Other _ 600 R SB 01/11/12 01/07/15 RSD4CHD2PRE BP M NCT01418261 RH Medtronic Vascular 3 530 R SB 01/09/11 _ SYMPLICITY HTN-3 BP AE NCT01705080 RH St. Jude M edical _ 500 OP 01/01/13 01/06/18 EnligHTN II BP AE NCT01628198 RH Other _ 500 NR OL 01/05/12 01/12/19 SAVE BP NCT01635998 RH AF Other _ 300 R SB 01/09/12 01/07/17 H-FIB BP AF QOL NCT01790906 HF Other _ 200 R SB 01/01/13 01/04/17 RSD4CHF BP M NCT01747837 VT Other _ 200 R SB 01/10/12 01/10/15 RESCUE-VT OM NCT01417247 MS Other 1,2 200 NR OL 01/08/11 01/08/16 CCE NCT01402726 HF Other 1,2 200 NR OL 01/07/11 01/04/17 CCE NCT01418560 CKD Other 1,2 200 NR OL 01/08/11 01/08/16 O NCT01560312 RH Other 3 150 R OL 01/10/11 _ PRAGUE-15 BP AE NCT01541865 RH CKD Vessix Vas cular, Inc _ 150 NR OL 01/02/12 01/12/14 REDUCE-HTN BP O NCT01570777 RH Other 4 120 R OL 01/04/12 01/07/14 DENER-HTN BP AE CE NCT01588795 D Other 4 120 R OL 01/04/12 01/04/13 DERENEDIAB O NCT01522430 RH Other 3 120 R DB 01/01/12 01/12/16 DEPART BP O NCT00888433 RH Medtronic Vascular 2 106 R OL 01/06/09 01/12/15 Symplicity HTN-2 BP AE NCT01814111 RH AF Other _ 100 R SB 01/07/12 01/06/15 RSDforPAF AF BP NCT01628172 RH Biosense Webster, In c. _ 100 R SB 01/01/11 01/01/15 RELIEF BP NCT01737138 CKD Other _ 100 R SB 01/11/12 01/04/18 RSD4CKD BP M O NCT01644604 RH Medtronic Vascular 3 100 R OL 01/07/12 01/12/17 HTN-J BP AE NCT01686542 AF Other 1,2 100 R OL 01/06/12 01/12/16 NCT01713270 RH AF Other _ 100 R SB 01/07/12 01/07/15 RSDforAF BP AF NCT01639378 HF Other 3 100 R DB 01/08/12 _ REACH S NCT01442883 RH CKD Other _ 100 OP 01/11/10 01/12/13 BP NCT01390831 RH Other 1,2 100 NR OL 01/11/11 01/06/15 BP NCT01505010 RH Other 2 84 R SB 01/11/12 01/11/15 NCT00483808 RH Medtronic Vascular 1 73 NR OL 01/06/07 01/05/13 BP AE NCT01656096 RH Other 4 70 R SB 01/07/12 01/07/14 BP NCT01762488 RH Other 3 70 R DB 01/01/13 _ Renal Denervation Acronym Main outcome measures NCT Number O INSPiRED ReSET-2 19 BP BP Enrolment Design Start Finish Acronym Main outcome measures 70 R DB 01/09/11 01/05/13 ReSET BP 2,3 60 R OL 01/04/12 _ DIASTOLE BP AE Other 2 60 R OL 01/07/11 01/12/13 RH Other 2 60 R OL 01/08/12 01/10/13 OsloRDN BP CE NCT01785732 IS RH Other 60 R OL 01/01/13 01/01/16 RENSYMPIS BP IS NCT01630928 RH Other 50 NR OL 01/03/13 01/12/15 NCT01789918 RH ReCor Med ical, Inc. _ 50 NR OL 01/02/13 01/02/15 NCT01699529 RH Medtronic Vascular _ 50 NR OL 01/09/12 01/08/16 BP AE NCT01704170 RH Kona Medi cal Inc. _ 50 NR OL 01/11/12 01/06/14 BP AE NCT01520506 RH Maya Medi cal, Covidien, Meditrial E urope LTD 2 50 NR OL 01/05/12 01/03/15 RAPID BP AE NCT01438229 RH St. Jude M edical _ 47 NR OL 01/10/11 01/03/14 EnligHTN I BP AE NCT01632943 RH Medtronic Vascular 3 45 NR OL 01/05/13 01/01/14 HTN-India BP AE NCT00664638 RH Medtronic Vascular _ 45 NR OL 01/04/08 01/05/13 HTN-1 BP AE NCT01392196 HF Medtronic Vascular 4 40 NR OL 01/10/11 01/01/17 SymplicityHF AE NCT01617551 EH Other _ 30 R DB 01/03/12 01/06/14 RENO O NCT01427049 RH Other _ 30 OP 01/08/11 01/08/13 BP O NCT01499810 RH Other 3 30 NR SB 01/03/10 01/01/13 BP AE NCT01756300 RH Biosense Webster, In c. 1 30 NR OL 01/12/12 01/03/18 BP NCT01465724 IS RH Other 3 30 NR OL 01/11/11 01/05/14 DREAMS BP IS NCT01355055 RH Other _ 26 OP 01/03/11 _ ReD _ NCT01689415 RH S Other _ 25 OP 01/09/12 _ _ NCT01747382 RH Other 2 20 NR OL 01/04/12 01/09/14 BP O NCT01529372 RH ReCor Med ical, Inc _ 20 NR OL 01/05/12 01/07/14 NCT01638195 RH Kona Medi cal Inc. 1 20 NR OL 01/06/12 01/09/13 BP NCT01538992 HF Other 3 20 NR OL 01/04/13 01/04/14 AE NCT01631370 IS RH Other 8 NR OL 01/06/12 01/06/14 IS NCT Number Condition Sponsor NCT01459900 RH Other NCT01583881 RH HF Other NCT01366625 RH OSA NCT01673516 Phase BP OSA O BP QOL ACHIEVE REALISE Source: ClinicalTrials.gov KEY: Condition: RH = resistant hypertension; EH = essential hypertension; HF = heart failure; AF = atrial fibrillation; D= diabetes; CKD= chronic kidney disease; OSA = obstructive sleep apnea; S= Stroke; IS = insulin resistance; VT = ventricular tachycardia; MS= Renal Denervation 20 BP AE BP AE metabolic syndrome. Sponsor: specified, or other = university, institute, hospital. Design: R= randomised; NR= not randomised; SB= single blind; DB= double blind; OL= open label; OP = observational prospective; Outcomes: BP = blood pressure, usually SBP; AE = adverse events, CE = cost effectiveness, QOL = quality of life; M= all-cause mortality; CCE = composite cardiovascular even; IS = insulin resistance; OSA = obstructive sleep apnea; AF = atrial fibrillation; O= other Renal Denervation 21 References 1. Wang, Z.V. and P.E. Scherer, Adiponectin, cardiovascular function, and hypertension. Hypertension, 2008. 51(1): p. 8-14. 2. Schlaich, M.P., et al., Renal Denervation as a Therapeutic Approach for Hypertension. Hypertension, 2009. 54(6): p. 1195-1201. 3. Katholi, R.E. and K.J. Rocha-Singh, The Role of Renal Sympathetic Nerves in Hypertension: Has Percutaneous Renal Denervation Refocused Attention on Their Clinical Significance? Progress in cardiovascular diseases, 2009. 52(3): p. 243-248. 4. Calhoun, D.A., et al., Resistant hypertension: diagnosis, evaluation, and treatment. A scientific statement from the American Heart Association Professional Education Committee of the Council for High Blood Pressure Research. Hypertension, 2008. 51(6): p. 1403-19. 5. Rosenbaum, D., et al. Frequency of hypertension resistant to treatment and indication for renal denervation. in Annales de cardiologie et d'angeiologie. 2012: Elsevier. 6. Persell, S.D., Prevalence of resistant hypertension in the United States, 2003–2008. Hypertension, 2011. 57(6): p. 1076-1080. 7. Chobanian, A.V., et al., Seventh report of the joint national committee on prevention, detection, evaluation, and treatment of high blood pressure. Hypertension, 2003. 42(6): p. 1206-1252. 8. Frohlich, E.D., Renal Denervation Using an Irrigated Radiofrequency Ablation Catheter for Management of Drug-Resistant Hypertension: A Demonstrated Value? JACC: Cardiovascular Interventions, 2012. 5(7): p. 766-768. 9. NICE, NICE Interventional Procedures Programme: Interventional procedure overview of percutaneous transluminal radiofrequency sympathetic denervation of renal artery for resistant hypertension, NICE, Editor. 2012. 10. Gosain, P., et al., Renal Sympathetic Denervation for Treatment of Resistant Hypertension: A Systematic Review. The Journal of Clinical Hypertension, 2013. 15(1): p. 75-84. 11. Wegman, M., S. Thomas., and H. Deuber, Renal denervation in patients with essential hypertonia. Decsion Support Document 45., L.B. Institute, Editor. 2011. 12. NICE. Percutaneous transluminal radiofrequency sympathetic denervation of the renal artery for resistant hypertension. 2012; Available from: http://www.nice.org.uk/nicemedia/live/13340/57923/57923.pdf. 13. QPACT, Due Diligence on Catheter-based radiofrequency sympathetic renal denervation for resistant hypertension, Q.P.a.A.C.f.N. Technology, Editor. 2011. 14. DLA-Piper, New and Emerging Cardiac Technologies in Austrlian and New Zealand Public Health Services Over the next Decade. 2013. 15. MoH, New Zealand Primary Care Handbook 2012. 2012. 16. NICE. Hypertension - Clinical management of primary hypertension in adults. 2011; Available from: http://www.nice.org.uk/nicemedia/live/13561/56008/56008.pdf. Renal Denervation 22 17. Bisognano, J.D., et al., Baroreflex activation therapy lowers blood pressure in patients with resistant hypertension: results from the double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled rheos pivotal trial. Journal of the American College of Cardiology, 2011. 58(7): p. 765-73. 18. Young, K.C., et al., Cost‐Effectiveness of Treating Resistant Hypertension With an Implantable Carotid Body Stimulator. The Journal of Clinical Hypertension, 2009. 11(10): p. 555-563. 19. Horst, S., H. IIona, and V. Laura. Catheter-Based Technology Alternatives for Renal Denervation. 2012; Available from: http://www.tctmd.com/txshow.aspx?tid=208&id=113839&trid=198. 20. Krum, H., et al., Catheter-based renal sympathetic denervation for resistant hypertension: durability of blood pressure reduction out to 24 months. Hypertension, 2011. 57: p. 911-917. 21. Esler, M.D., et al., Renal sympathetic denervation in patients with treatment-resistant hypertension (The Symplicity HTN-2 Trial): a randomised controlled trial. Lance, 2010. 376(9756): p. 1903-1909. 22. Ukena, C., et al., Cardiorespiratory response to exercise after renal sympathetic denervation in patients with resistant hypertension. Journal of the American College of Cardiology, 2011. 58(11): p. 1176. 23. CHI, Newsletter - Access Improvement Service, C.f.H. Improvement, Editor. 2012. 24. Geisler, B.P., et al., Cost-Effectiveness and Clinical Effectiveness of Catheter-Based Renal Denervation for Resistant Hypertension. Journal of the American College of Cardiology, 2012. 25. Dorenkamp, M., et al., Potential lifetime cost-effectiveness of catheter-based renal sympathetic denervation in patients with resistant hypertension. European heart journal, 2013. 34(6): p. 451-461. 26. Bobrie, G., et al., Sequential nephron blockade versus sequential renin–angiotensin system blockade in resistant hypertension: a prospective, randomized, open blinded endpoint study. Journal of hypertension, 2012. 30(8): p. 1656-1664. Renal Denervation 23 National Health Committee (NHC) and Executive The National Health Committee (NHC) is an independent statutory body which provides advice to the New Zealand Minister of Health. It was reformed in 2011 to establish evaluation systems that would provide the New Zealand people and health sector with greater value for the money invested in health. The NHC Executive are the secretariat that supports the Committee. The NHC Executive’s primary objective is to provide the Committee with sufficient information for them to prioritise interventions and make investment and disinvestment decisions. They do this through a variety of products including Prioritising Summaries, Technology Notes, EpiNotes, CostNotes, Rapid Reviews, and Health Technology Assessments which are chosen according to the nature of the decision required and time-frame within which decisions need to be made. Citation: National Health Committee 2012 Renal Denervation. Wellington: National Health Committee. Published in October 2012 by the National Health Committee PO Box 5013, Wellington, New Zealand This document is available on the National Health Committee’s website: http://www.nhc.health.govt.nz/ Disclaimer The information provided in this report is intended to provide general information to clinicians, health and disability service providers and the public, and is not intended to address specific circumstances of any particular individual or entity. All reasonable measures have been taken to ensure the quality and accuracy of the information provided. If you find any information that you believe may be inaccurate, please email to NHC_Info@nhc.govt.nz. The National Health Committee is an independent committee established by the Minister of Health. The information in this report is the work of the National Health Committee and does not necessarily represent the views of the Ministry of Health. The National Health Committee make no warranty, express or implied, nor assumes any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, correctness, completeness or use of any information provided. Nothing contained in this report shall be relied on as a promise or representation by the New Zealand government or the National Health Committee. The contents of this report should not be construed as legal or professional advice and specific advice from qualified professional people should be sought before undertaking any action following information in this report. Any reference to any specific commercial product, process, or service by trade name, trademark, manufacture, or otherwise does not constitute an endorsement or recommendation by the New Zealand government or the National Health Committee. Renal Denervation 24