The Impact of Delivery Hospital on the Outcomes of Premature Infants in the PostSurfactant Era: An Instrumental Variables Approach Scott A. Lorch, MD, MSCE1,2,3 Michael Baiocchi4 Corinne Fager2 Dylan S. Small4 1 Department of Pediatrics, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia and The University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA 2 Center for Outcomes Research, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA 3 Senior Fellow, Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 4 Department of Statistics, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania Word Count: 2998 Abstract Word Count: 281 Abstract Context: Even though prior work suggests that delivery at a high-level neonatal intensive care unit (HL NICU) is associated with improved outcomes, greater percentages of women deliver at hospitals without HL NICUs. Prior studies may provide biased assessments of deregionalization policies because many differences in casemix are not measured. Objective: To determine the impact of delivering at HL NICUs on mortality and common complications of premature birth after controlling for unmeasured differences in casemix using an instrumental variables approach. Design: Retrospective population-based cohort study Setting: All hospital-based deliveries in Pennsylvania, Missouri, and California between 19932005. Patients or Other Participants: Women delivering at a gestational age between 23 and 37weeks gestation (N=1,598,400) Main Outcome Measure(s): Neonatal and fetal death, 7 complications of premature birth Results: Women delivering at a HL NICU were more likely to have a preexisting comorbid condition or a complication of pregnancy. After controlling for unmeasured and measured factors, infants delivering at a HL NICU had 2.9 to 12.4 fewer deaths per 1000 deliveries, with similar rates of most complications studied except for lower BPD rates at Missouri HL NICUs and higher infection rates at HL NICUS in Pennsylvania and California. The association between delivery hospital and neonatal outcomes differ between the three states studied. Without accounting for ummeasured differences in casemix, HL NICUs would have significantly higher complication rates with similar neonatal mortality rates. Conclusions: There is continued benefit to neonatal outcomes when high-risk infants are delivered at HL NICUs in the post-surfactant time period. To obtain accurate estimates of policies where patients receive care based on severity of medical condition, such as perinatal regionalization policies, either more sophisticated methodological approaches or more detailed clinical data are needed. Introduction Regionalization of health care may help provide high quality and cost-efficient health care by directing patients to facilities with optimal capabilities for any given type of illness or injury.1, 2 For perinatal care, a regionalized model of care was developed in the 1970s to centralize the care of the very-low-birth weight (VLBW) infant at specialized hospitals with the adequate personnel and technology. However, by the 1990s, the regional model of perinatal care began to weaken in many areas of the United States,3-6 with fewer VLBW births at regional perinatal centers. Although several studies from the early 1990s suggest that delivery at a high volume, high technology hospital reduces neonatal mortality,7-10 this issue is worth further study. First, since the 1990s, there has been increased use of antenatal corticosteroids, routine use of postnatal surfactant and higher use of Cesarean sections, and there is little information about how this has affected the relationship between delivery hospital and neonatal outcomes. Also, no study has examined other outcomes, such as complication rates, or compared the effect of delivery hospital in different states. Additionally, these prior studies suffer from a common problem associated with observational studies: selection bias. Specialty hospitals manage sicker patients with a higher risk of poor outcomes. Typical methods cannot adjust for unmeasured or unrecorded factors in available data, such as the severity of an antenatal comorbid condition, lab results, or fetal heart tracing results. Failing to account for these unmeasured factors may result in a biased assessment of the impact of delivering at a high volume, high level NICU compared to other delivery hospitals. The goals of this study are to (1) obtain unbiased measurements of the impact on mortality of delivering at a high volume, high level NICU compared to other delivery hospitals using more recent data; (2) examine additional outcomes besides mortality; and (3) examine between states with different systems of regionalization. To control for unmeasured differences between high volume, high level NICU and other delivery hospitals, we will employ an instrumental variables study design. This study design is new to the perinatal literature, but has been used in other health policy settings.11-15 Methods Study Design Observational studies of perinatal regionalization need to adjust for differences in casemix between high-level NICUs and other delivery hospitals. Past studies have used regression analysis to control for those aspects of casemix that are recorded in the data set, such as the birth weight and gestational age of the infant and the co-existing medical conditions of the mother. However, the regression approach is biased if important factors are left unmeasured. An instrumental variables approach controls for both measured and unmeasured differences in casemix between these groups of hospitals. In this study design, a variable referred to as an instrument encourages patients to deliver at a particular hospital, in essentially a randomized fashion. The instrument must have three characteristics: (i) it must be independent of unmeasured confounding variables conditional on measured confounding variables; (ii) it must influence where a patient delivers (iii) it should only influence the observed outcome of the patient through its effect on where a patient delivers. A strong and valid instrument varies where a mother delivers, while equalizing other measured and unmeasured factors. To ensure that patients with higher and lower values of the instrument are comparable, we employ a matched pairs study. Here, we match patients on 59 measured covariates while maximizing the difference in the instrument, a design referred to as "near-far matching."16 This matching design parallels a matched pair randomized controlled trial of patients encouraged to deliver at a high level NICU vs. patients not encouraged to deliver at a high level NICU. This method reduces the influence of patients who typically deliver only at high-level NICUs in the final analysis, such as infants with severe congenital anomalies. By including both an instrumental variables approach and this matched pairs design, we improve the equality of the two study groups, which improves the accuracy of the study results (Technical Appendix 1).16 Data Population and Sources We obtained birth certificates from all deliveries occurring in Pennsylvania and California between 1/1/1995 and 6/30/2005 and Missouri between 1/1/1995 and 12/31/2003. Each state’s department of health linked these birth certificates to death certificates using name and date of birth, and then de-identified the records. We then matched over 98% of birth certificates to maternal and newborn hospital records using prior methods.8, 17, 18 Over 80% of the unmatched birth certificate records were missing hospital, suggesting a birth at home or a birthing center. The unmatched records had similar gestational age and racial/ethnic distributions to the matched records. The Institutional Review Boards of The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia and the departments of health in California, Missouri, and Pennsylvania study approved this study. Infants included in this study had a gestational age between 23 and 37 weeks, and a birth weight between 400 to 8000 grams. Birth records were excluded if the birth weight was more than 5 standard deviations from the mean birth weight for the recorded gestational age in the cohort, because of the high likelihood of a recording error in one or both variables.19 Initially, 1,362,782 birth records were identified for this project; 34,650 met the exclusion criteria, leaving 1,328,132 births in the final cohort. Definition of Study Outcomes The primary outcome for this study was mortality. Neonatal deaths were defined as any death during the initial birth hospitalization. We examined fetal deaths because poor resuscitation around the time of delivery could convert some neonatal deaths into fetal deaths. Fetal deaths were defined in two ways. First, we included all fetal deaths in each county with either a minimum gestational age of 23 weeks or a birth weight of 400 grams. Second, we included those fetal deaths that met a prior definition of a potentially preventable fetal death by care delivered at the hospital.8 We also examined common complications of premature birth as secondary outcome measures. The complications and identifying ICD-9CM codes are listed in Table 1. Definition of covariate variables We included specific covariate variables in our matching algorithm based on their association with one or more study outcomes. The final models included gestational age; birth weight, grouped into 250-500 gram strata; maternal sociodemographic factors, such as race, age, education, and insurance status; maternal comorbid conditions listed in the technical appendix 2; and 49 congenital anomalies grouped by affected organ system.8 Hospital Definitions Based on prior work,7, 8 a specialty hospital was defined as a level III or higher facility that delivered at least 50 VLBW infants, on average, per year. All levels of care were obtained from the American Academy of Pediatrics perinatal survey20 and validated using procedure codes from hospitalizations at each hospital. Instrument The instrument for this study is based on prior studies that suggest that women tend to deliver at hospitals near their residential zip code. For each residential zip code in this study, we calculated the difference in travel times between the nearest high-level NICU and the nearest other delivery hospital. We calculated the differential travel time between the residential zip code and the closest high level NICU vs. the residential zip code and the closest non-high level NICU delivery hospital using ArcView software from ESRI, Inc., as in our prior work.21 Women with negative differential travel times lived in residential zip codes that were closest to a high-level NICU, whereas women with positive differential travel times had to bypass a nearby hospital and travel further to deliver at a high-level NICU. To examine validity of the instrument, we measured the distribution of measured covariates across various quartiles of the instrument and across the near and far matched pairs. Ideally, a measured covariate would have the same distribution across the quartiles of the instrument before matching, which lends credibility to the assumption that the instrument is also balancing unmeasured covariates associated with the measured covariates. However, if the measured characteristic is unbalanced across quartiles, the matched pair design will balance the characteristic. The equality of the measured covariates across quartiles before matching was assessed by calculating the standardized difference of each variable, which equals the (largest pairwise difference in means across quartiles of the instrument) ÷ (standard deviation of entire group). The equality after matching was assessed by calculating (difference in means between near and far patients) ÷ (standard deviation of entire group). A value less than 0.20 is considered adequate balance.22, 23 Data Analysis Three analyses will be presented. First, we present a naïve analysis using unadjusted differences in each of the nine outcome measures between patients delivering a high-level NICU and other delivery hospitals. Next we performed a more sophisticated, though still inadequate, analysis where we controlled for measured differences in casemix with a matched-paired propensity score analysis. Finally, we performed the appropriate analysis which controls for measured and unmeasured differences using a matched-pairs instrumental variables analysis. Risk differences and relative risks are presented for each analysis. Confidence intervals for risk differences were calculated by standard inversion of a pivot-based test of the null, at an alpha error rate of 0.05,16 while confidence intervals for relative risks were calculated using bootstrap methods. All data are presented separately by state to allow for inter-state comparisons. Results Overall, women who delivered at a high level NICU were more likely to have either a preexisting comorbid condition, such as diabetes mellitus, or a complication of pregnancy, such as preterm labor or pregnancy-induced hypertension (Table 2). As a result, infants delivered at high level NICUs were smaller and had a younger gestational age. Strength of Instrument and Equality of Population after use of Instrument Results Appendix 1 shows the strength of the instrument. In Pennsylvania, 79.8% of the pregnancies in the first quartile delivered at a high-level NICU, compared to 23.9% in the fourth quartile. Similar strengths of the instrument were seen in California (79.6% versus 38.3% respectively) and Missouri (55.7% versus 10.1% respectively). In all three states, women in the middle two quartiles delivered at high-level NICUs at rates in the between the two extremes. The instrument also balances measured covariates in each state (Appendix 2). Standardized differences in clinically relevant factors such as birth weight, gestational age, singleton birth, and every maternal comorbid condition and complication of pregnancy was less than 0.2 across the four quartiles of the instrument. For some socioeconomic variables, such as race and insurance status, the combination of the instrument and the matched pair analysis balanced all measured variables between those patients encouraged to deliver at a high level NICU vs. patients not encouraged to deliver at a high level NICU (Table 3). Association of delivery hospital and mortality rates After adjusting for both measured and unmeasured casemix differences between hospital types, delivering at a high-level NICU was associated with lower mortality rates in all three states (Table 4). In Pennsylvania, there was a reduction of 7.2 neonatal deaths per 1000 deliveries (95% CI 3.7-10.7), with a relative risk (RR) of 0.27 (95% CI 0-0.59). Fetal deaths in Pennsylvania were slightly reduced at high-level NICUs. In California, neonatal deaths were only reduced by 0.7 deaths per 1000 deliveries, but fewer fetal deaths occurred at deliveries at high-level NICUs (reduction of 5.4 fetal deaths/1000 deliveries, 95% CI 3.6-6.9; reduction of 2.2 preventable fetal deaths/1000 deliveries, 95% CI 1.2-3.1). The reduction of neonatal deaths in Missouri just missed reaching statistical significance (RR 0.56, 95% CI 0.27-1.27). Without accounting for unmeasured differences in casemix, neonatal mortality rates were statistically similar in Missouri (RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.92-1.01), Pennsylvania (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.85-1.05), and California (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.93-1.01). Pregnancies ending in a preventable fetal death were lower in both California and Missouri (Results Appendix 2). Association of delivery hospital and rates of neonatal complications In unadjusted and propensity score analyses, there were higher rates of all studied complications at high-level NICUs regardless of state (Results Appendix 2). After accounting for unmeasured casemix differences, few of these differences remained. Delivering at a high-level NICU in Missouri was associated with lower rates of BPD. Rates of other complications such as NEC and ROP were similar between the high-level NICU and other delivery hospital group. Infection rates remained significantly higher in high-level NICUs compared to other delivery hospitals, although the risk difference decreased from 5-45 extra infections/1000 deliveries to 014 cases/1000 deliveries (Table 4). State Differences in Outcomes For mortality, Pennsylvania and Missouri showed a 2-fold reduction in neonatal mortality rates with delivery at a high-level NICU, while California showed such a reduction in fetal, but not neonatal mortality rates (Table 4). The risk difference for most complications such as NEC, ROP, and ROP surgery showed some variation between states (Table 4). However, Missouri showed a large reduction for BPD rates when infants were delivered at high-level NICUs (reduction 9.5 cases/1000 deliveries), whereas Pennsylvania and California showed little change in BPD rates. Discussion Determining the true impact of a policy intervention such as perinatal regionalization is critical to accurately weighing the benefits and costs of the intervention. In perinatal regionalization, specialty hospitals treat sicker patients.4 After adjusting for all differences between delivery hospitals, our study suggests that there is a continued mortality benefit to delivering premature infants at high-level NICUs. This decrease was 50% larger than in previously reported studies, such as a 4-fold reduction in neonatal mortality in Pennsylvania and a 2-fold reduction in preventable fetal mortality in California. The sizes of these reductions are comparable to the overall Black-White disparity in infant mortality seen in the United States [ref]. However, if we examined this question using only factors currently measurable in most population-based datasets, such as birth weight and maternal medical conditions, we would not have found results similar to studies conducted with older data.4-9, 24-27 Increased access to clinical information, such as those data potentially available in electronic health records, would improve casemix adjustment and decrease the need for more sophisticated methods to obtain accurate estimates of the impact of health policies. Instrumental variables approaches have been used in studies where patients with certain characteristics are more likely to receive a given treatment.11-15 In these studies, the use of the instrument gave a result that was more similar to randomized studies.12 For perinatal regionalization studies, our data found statistically significant results that were much larger than prior studies. The strongest effect of delivery hospital was seen in the continued improvement in mortality rates. The almost 100% higher mortality rates at delivery hospitals without a high-level NICU suggest that, in the current era of widespread use of antenatal corticosteroids and postnatal surfactant, the delivery, resuscitation, and initial management of a premature infant is even more important to that infant’s survival than in prior time periods. Our work also examined the association between delivery hospital and neonatal complication rates. After adjusting for unmeasured differences in casemix, rates of important complications for long-term neurocognitive development, such as BPD, NEC, and ROP,28 were statistically similar in the two hospitals. This similarity occurred even though high-level NICUs with lower mortality rates are saving infants who would otherwise die if delivered at other hospitals. One complication that remains elevated at high-level NICUs in all three states was bacterial sepsis. Studies suggest that organizational factors of the NICU, such as increased patient/nurse ratios and fewer sinks/staff are associated with higher infection rates.29, 30 Although increased volume or increased hospital level were not associated with increased infections in those studies, these units in our study may be more likely to have periods of crowding or increased occupancy. These factors have also been associated with higher infection rates in other work.31-34 Determining other additional hospital characteristics associated with worse outcomes is important for understanding the ideal health care system to care for premature infants. Finally, our study suggests that the association between delivery hospital and neonatal outcomes differs by states. While our study design may adjust for unmeasured differences between types of hospitals, systematic differences between states may still exist. One difference may be in the distribution of hospitals between states from regionalization legislation or financial incentives to hospitals.2 For example, California has stronger regionalization legislation which may reduce the number of level III hospitals. Thus, there are more level II NICUs in California than in the other states. These level II hospitals may have different structural characteristics than in other states. Also, there are no validated measures of the actual degree of regionalization and interhospital coordination. Each of these factors could contribute to the state differences in outcomes seen in this study. There are several limitations to this study. First, we used ICD-9CM codes to detect complications of pregnancy and of premature birth. Thus, there may be some heterogeneity in how different hospitals code for these conditions. We include two surgical conditions, which should be coded more accurately than medical diagnoses, and found similar patterns to the 5 medical diagnoses in all three states across the different analyses. Finally, the instrumental variables approach estimates the effect size based on patients for whom distance to the hospital affects where they deliver. Analyses of the instrument suggest that it is a strong and valid instrument in that it produced groups of women similar in measured medical complications and conditions but divergent in where they chose to delivery. However, we cannot estimate what would happen to those women who, because of pre-existing medical conditions or sociodemographic factors, would always deliver at a high-level NICU regardless of distance. For these subgroups, the effect on mortality is likely larger than we have been able to report. In conclusion, our work suggests that the mortality benefit to delivering at a high-level NICU not only persists into the post-surfactant time period, but is larger than previously reported. This survival benefit does not result in higher rates of many neonatal complications. State differences likely occur because of other previous unreported differences in the organization of perinatal services between states. To improve the assessment of perinatal regionalization and individual hospitals, improved casemix adjustment should occur with clinical variables that may be available with wider-spread use of electronic health records. Acknowledgments Authors’ Contributions: Study concept and design: Lorch, Baiocchi, Small Acquisition of the data: Lorch Analysis and interpretation of the data: Lorch, Fager, Baiocchi, Small Drafting of the manuscript: Lorch, Baiocchi, Small Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Lorch, Fager, Baiocchi, Small Statistical Analysis: Lorch, Fager, Baiocchi, Small Obtained funding: Lorch Administrative, technical, or material support: Lorch, Fager, Baiocchi, Small Study supervision: Lorch, Small Author Access to Data: Scott A. Lorch, MD, MSCE, principal investigator, had full access to all the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. Conflicts of Interests: There are no potential conflicts of interests. Funding/Support and Role of Sponsor: This study was funded by AHRQ Grant # R01 HS 015696, “Perinatal Regionalization and Quality of Care”. AHRQ was not responsible for the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; and preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript. Presentations: This work was presented in abstract form at the Pediatric Academic Societies meeting, Vancouver, BC, Canada, May 2, 2010 and at the AcademyHealth national meeting, Boston, MA, June 2010. References 1. Institute of Medicine. Emergency Medical Services at the Crossroads. Committee on the Future of Emergency Care in the United States Health System, Board on Health Care Services. Washington, DC: National Academies Press; 2007. 2. Lorch SA, Myers S, Carr B. The regionalization of pediatric health care: A state of the art review. Pediatrics. in press. 3. Meadow W, Kim M, Mendez D, et al. Which nurseries currently care for ventilated neonates in Illinois and Wisconsin? Implications for the next generation of perinatal regionalization. Am J Perinatol. 2002;19(4):197-203. 4. 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American Academy of Pediatrics [homepage on the Internet]. AAP. <http://www.aap.org/securemoc/neoperi/content/NICU.pdf>. 21. Lorch SA, Silber JH, Even-Shoshan O, et al. Use of prolonged travel to improve pediatric risk adjustment models. Health Serv Res. 2009;44(2, Part I):519-541. 22. Cochran WG. The effectiveness of an adjustment by subclassification in removing bias in observational studies. Biometrics. 1968;24(2):295-313. 23. Cochran WG, Rubin DB. Controlling bias in observa tional studies: A review. Sankhya, Ser. A. 1973;35:417-446. 24. Yeast JD, Poskin M, Stockbauer JW, et al. Changing patterns in regionalization of perinatal care and the impact on neonatal mortality. Am J Obstet Gynecol. 1998;178(1 Pt 1):131-135. 25. Shlossman PA, Manley JS, Sciscione AC, et al. An analysis of neonatal morbidity and mortality in maternal (in utero) and neonatal transports at 24-34 weeks' gestation. Am J Perinatol. 1997;14(8):449-456. 26. Rogowski JA, Horbar JD, Staiger DO, et al. Indirect vs direct hospital quality indicators for very low-birth-weight infants. JAMA. 2004;291(2):202-209. 27. Rogowski JA, Staiger DO, Horbar JD. Variations in the quality of care for very-lowbirthweight infants: Implications for policy. Health Aff. 2004;23(5):88-97. 28. Schmidt B, Asztalos EV, Roberts RS, et al. Impact of bronchopulmonary dysplasia, brain injury, and severe retinopathy on the outcome of extremely low-birth-weight infants at 18 months: Results from the trial of indomethacin prophylaxis in preterms. JAMA. 2003;289(9):1124-1129. 29. Cimiotti JP, Haas J, Saiman L, et al. Impact of staffing on bloodstream infections in the neonatal intensive care unit. Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med. 2006;160(8):832-836. 30. Parry GJ, Tucker JS, Tarnow-Mordi WO. Relationship between probable nosocomial bacteraemia and organisational and structural factors in UK neonatal intensive care units. Qual Saf Health Care. 2005;14(4):264-269. 31. Borg MA, Suda D, Scicluna E. Time-series analysis of the impact of bed occupancy rates on the incidence of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus infection in overcrowded general wards. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2008;29(6):496-502. 32. Borg MA. Bed occupancy and overcrowding as determinant factors in the incidence of MRSA infections within general ward settings. J Hosp Infect. 2003;54(4):316-318. 33. Cunningham JB, Kernohan WG, Sowney R. Bed occupancy and turnover interval as determinant factors in MRSA infections in acute settings in Northern Ireland: 1 April 2001 to 31 March 2003. J Hosp Infect. 2005;61(3):189-193. 34. Tucker J. Patient volume, staffing, and workload in relation to risk-adjusted outcomes in a random stratified sample of UK neonatal intensive care units: A prospective evaluation. Lancet. 2002;359(9301):99-107. Figure Legend Figure 1: Risk Differences for premature infants delivering at high-level and other delivery hospitals in Pennsylvania, California, and Missouri for all outcomes. The “x” for each outcome represents the risk difference unadjusted for differences in casemix. The dot represents the risk difference after using an instrumental variables approach, which controls for both measured and unmeasured differences in casemix between facility types. The bar surrounding the dot shows the 95% confidence interval. Positive risk differences indicate more events at high-level NICUs compared to other delivery hospitals, while negative risk differences indicate fewer events at high-level NICUs. Table 1: ICD-9CM codes used to identify complications of premature birth Comorbid Condition Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia Necrotizing Enterocolitis Fungal Sepsis Bacterial Sepsis Retinopathy of Prematurity Retinopathy of Prematurity Surgery ICD-9CM code 770.7 777.5 112.x, 771.7 038.x, 995.90-995.94, 041.x, 790.7 362.21 14.2x, 14.34, 14.4x, 14.5x 45.6x, 45.7x, 45.8, 45.9x, 46.0x, 46.1x, Laparotomy 46.2x, 46.3x, 46.4x, 46.5x, 46.8x, 54.1 For each code, “x” represents any number at the digit location. Table 2: Demographics of Patients delivering at high-level and other delivery hospitals, Pennsylvania, California, and Missouri 19952005 Pennsylvania High Level Other Delivery NICU Hospital 6.97 21.81 2,474 2,725 34.7 35.7 Δ/SD* -0.84 -0.34 -0.39 California High Level NICU 3.45 2,716 34.9 Other Delivery Hospital 14.52 2,936 35.4 -0.29 0.35 0.02 -0.02 59.20% 9.90% 9.40% 19.80% -0.08 0.07 0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.16 0.05 Differential Travel Time (min) Birth Weight (grams) Gestational Age (wks) Race White 64.50% 77.90% Black 22.20% 9.30% Asian 1.30% 1.10% Other 3.00% 3.40% Insurance Status FFS 19.50% 22.80% HMO 37.80% 34.60% Public 31.80% 29.70% Other 9.40% 10.50% Uninsured 1.20% 1.70% Singleton Birth 80.60% 86.50% SGA 16.90% 15.20% Maternal Comorbid Conditions and Complications of Pregnancy Comorbid Conditions Chronic HTN 2.00% 1.17% Gestational Diabetes 5.49% 4.85% Diabetes Mellitus 2.13% 1.40% Renal Disease 0.33% 0.24% Congenital Heart Disease 0.16% 0.05% Complications of Pregnancy Preterm Labor 48.65% 39.79% PIH 12.14% 8.25% PPROM 20.85% 14.86% Oligohydraminos 4.61% 3.02% Disorders of Placentation 6.57% 4.57% Δ/SD* -0.58 -0.27 -0.21 Missouri High Level NICU 14.99 2,650 34.7 Other Delivery Hospital 39.5 2,853 35.3 Δ/SD* -0.59 -0.27 -0.23 60.40% 6.30% 8.80% 23.00% -0.02 0.13 0.02 -0.08 77.90% 18.80% 2.10% 0.70% 74.70% 23.00% 1.60% 0.60% 0.08 -0.10 0.04 0.01 4.50% 46.10% 45.50% 0.90% 3.00% 87.80% 11.40% 6.70% 36.60% 51.40% 1.20% 4.10% 91.90% 8.60% -0.10 0.19 -0.12 -0.03 -0.06 -0.13 0.09 32.40% 23.80% 37.40% 2.70% 3.50% 86.20% 14.00% 30.60% 17.60% 42.90% 5.80% 2.90% 91.00% 11.10% 0.04 0.16 -0.11 -0.15 0.03 -0.16 0.09 0.07 0.03 0.05 0.02 0.03 1.17% 5.75% 1.54% 0.18% 0.06% 0.72% 4.42% 0.78% 0.14% 0.03% 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.01 0.02 1.71% 4.86% 1.66% 0.30% 0.08% 1.20% 3.91% 1.06% 0.19% 0.05% 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.18 0.13 0.16 0.08 0.09 34.06% 8.00% 12.37% 3.81% 5.08% 22.29% 5.46% 9.26% 2.21% 3.65% 0.26 0.1 0.1 0.09 0.07 37.01% 9.62% 16.26% 5.86% 5.83% 26.74% 8.05% 10.86% 3.29% 4.05% 0.22 0.06 0.16 0.13 0.09 * Δ/SD is the standardized difference between the high-level NICU and other delivery hospital groups for a specific variable, defined as (difference in means between two groups of patients) ÷ (standard deviation of entire cohort). A value less than 0.20 is concerned adequate balance between groups. Table 3: Improved balance of measured covariates between high-level NICUs and other delivery hospitals after use of instrument and matching, Pennsylvania, California, and Missouri 1995-2005 Pennsylvania High Level Other Delivery NICU Hospital Deliver at High Level NICU Δ/SD* California High Level NICU Other Delivery Hospital Δ/SD* Missouri High Level NICU Other Delivery Hospital Δ/SD* 65.7% 2,598 24.7% 2,597 0.82 0.00 2,849 2,849 0.00 31.7% 2,818 13.0% 2,817 0.42 0.00 35.2 35.2 0.00 35.2 35.2 0.00 35.2 35.2 0.00 White 85.0% 85.9% -0.02 68.4% 71.9% -0.07 91.6% 91.7% 0.00 Black 5.1% 4.7% 0.01 5.9% 5.8% 0.01 7.3% 7.3% 0.00 Asian 1.1% 0.4% 0.06 8.0% 6.8% 0.04 0.6% 0.5% 0.01 Other 2.3% 1.3% 0.05 16.5% 13.9% 0.06 0.4% 0.4% 0.00 FFS 23.9% 25.1% -0.03 3.3% 5.4% -0.09 27.8% 25.6% 0.05 HMO 37.0% 30.9% 0.13 45.7% 44.2% 0.03 21.1% 19.7% 0.03 Public 28.7% 33.4% -0.10 47.2% 45.6% 0.03 45.5% 49.1% -0.07 Other 9.1% 9.0% 0.00 0.9% 1.5% -0.06 3.3% 3.6% -0.01 Uninsured 1.0% 1.2% -0.01 3.0% 3.3% -0.02 2.3% 2.0% 0.01 Singleton Birth 84.4% 83.9% 0.01 89.7% 88.9% 0.03 90.6% 90.1% 0.02 SGA 16.0% 16.4% -0.01 10.7% 10.9% -0.01 11.9% 11.7% 0.01 Birth Weight, grams Gestational Age, weeks Race Insurance Status Maternal Comorbid Conditions and Complications of Pregnancy Comorbid Conditions Chronic HTN 1.1% 1.2% 0.00 0.9% 1.0% -0.01 1.0% 1.0% 0.00 Gestational Diabetes 4.7% 4.7% 0.00 5.2% 5.3% 0.00 3.8% 3.4% 0.02 Diabetes Mellitus 1.4% 1.8% -0.03 1.0% 1.1% 0.00 1.0% 1.1% -0.01 Renal Disease 0.2% 0.3% -0.01 0.1% 0.2% -0.01 0.2% 0.2% -0.01 Congenital Heart Disease 0.1% 0.1% 0.00 0.0% 0.1% -0.01 0.1% 0.0% 0.01 Complications of Pregnancy Preterm Labor 45.2% 45.2% 0.00 28.7% 28.4% 0.01 30.0% 29.9% 0.00 9.7% 10.4% -0.03 6.6% 7.6% -0.04 8.0% 8.3% -0.01 18.3% 17.7% 0.02 10.2% 11.4% -0.04 11.5% 11.6% 0.00 Oligohydraminos 3.3% 3.1% 0.01 3.0% 2.9% 0.00 3.8% 3.5% 0.01 Disorders of Placentation 4.2% 5.0% -0.03 3.7% 4.2% -0.03 3.2% 3.7% -0.02 PIH PPROM * Δ/SD is the standardized difference between the high-level NICU and other delivery hospital groups for a specific variable, defined as (difference in means between two groups of patients) ÷ (standard deviation of entire cohort). A value less than 0.20 is concerned adequate balance between groups. Table 4: Difference in mortality and complications of prematurity for premature infants delivering at a high-level NICU compared to other delivery hospitals, Pennsylvania, California, and Missouri 1995-2005* Outcome Neonatal Death Fetal Death Preventable Fetal Death BPD NEC Fungal Sepsis Bacterial Sepsis ROP Surgery for ROP Lapartomy Measure RD per 1000 deliveries* RR** RD per 1000 deliveries RR RD per 1000 deliveries RR RD per 1000 deliveries RR RD per 1000 deliveries RR RD per 1000 deliveries RR RD per 1000 deliveries RR RD per 1000 deliveries RR RD per 1000 deliveries RR RD per 1000 deliveries RR Pennsylvania California Missouri -7.2 (-10.7, -3.7) -0.5 (-2.0, 1.0) -8.4 (-17.5, 0.7) 0.27 (0, 0.59) 0.56 (0.27, 1.07) -0.9 (-3.0, 1.1) 0.94 (0.79, 1.07) -5.3 (-6.9, -3.6) 0.83 (0.51, 1.25) 0.70 (0.64, 0.78) 0.87 (0.37, 3.07) -0.6 (-2.0, 0.8) -2.2 (-3.1, -1.2) -4.2 (-9.1, 0.7) 0.72 (0.22, 1.46) 0.60 (0.48, 0.74) 0.32 (0, 1.30) 0 (-3.5, 3.6) 1.02 (0, 2.53) 1.6 (-0.9, 4.1) *** 4.9 (2.3, 7.6) 3.67 (1.88, 11.6) 10.1 (4.6, 15.6) 2.37 (1.50, 4.51) -0.7 (-3.2, 1.9) 0.38 (0, 6.34) -1.1 (-2.3, 0) *** -0.6 (-2.3, 1) *** 1.0 (-0.3, 2.4) 1.21 (0.96, 1.53) 1.7 (0.7, 2.6) 1.98 (1.46, 3.04) 0.7 (-0.4, 1.8) 1.28 (0.95, 1.87) 15.9 (13.4, 18.3) 1.92 (1.69, 2.05) 3.0 (1.6, 4.4) 2.52 (1.52, 3.33) 1.6 (0.9, 2.3) *** -1.3 (-2.1, -0.4) 0.16 (0, 0.70) -9.5 (-18.4, -0.7) 0.05 (0, 1.00) -4.5 (-9.8, 0.7) 0.28 (0, 1.20) 3.2 (-4.3, 10.7) 1.67 (0, 17.7) 10.6 (-4.4, 25.7) 1.29 (0.92, 2.02) 3.5 (-5.6, 12.7) 1.31 (0.60, 3.52) 1.3 (-2.8, 5.3) *** 0 (-4.6, 4.6) 1.00 (0, 11.5) -1.3 (-9.5, 6.9) * All values in parenthesis indicate 95% confidence intervals for a given statistic. All results statistically significant at a p<0.05 level are shown in bold. ** RD = Risk Difference between groups. A positive risk difference indicates a higher mortality rate at high-level NICUs compared to other delivery hospitals. A negative risk difference indicates a lower mortality rate at high-level NICUs compared to other delivery hospitals. *** RR = Relative Risk. A relative risk > 1 indicates a higher mortality rate at high-level NICUs compared to other delivery hospitals. A relative risk < 1 indicates a lower mortality rate at high-level NICUs compared to other delivery hospitals.