Impact of the Systematic Introduction of Low-cost Bubble Nasal CPAP in a Developing Country: a prospective pre- and postintervention study Rossano Rezzonico1,4, M Letizia Caccamo2, Valeria Manfredini1, Massimo Cartabia4, Nieves Sanchez3, Zoraida Paredes3, Patrizia Froesch5, Franco Cavalli5, and Maurizio Bonati4 Correspondence to Maurizio Bonati; maurizio.bonati@marionegri.it 1 ABSTRACT Objective: to test the impact of using a bubble NCPAP (bNCPAP) device as the first intervention on in-hospital newborn mortality. Design: Prospective pre-intervention and post-intervention study. Setting: The largest Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) in Nicaragua. Participants: In all, 230 (2006) and 385 (2008) patients were included. Intervention: Starting from May 2006, a strategy was introduced to promote the systematic use of a bNCPAP to avoid intubation and mechanical ventilation (MV) in newborns requiring ventilatory assistance (VA). Data regarding gestation, delivery, postnatal course, mortality, length of hospitalisation and nursing workload (hours) were collected for infants assisted between May and December 2006, before the project began, and between May and December 2008, two years afterwards. Primary and secondary outcome measures: Primary end point was the pre- vs post-intervention proportion of newborns died in-hospital. Secondary endpoints included rate of intubation, and duration of NICU stay. Results: Significant differences were found in the rate of intubation (72 vs 39%; p=0·0001) and the proportion of patients exclusively treated with bNCPAP (27% vs 60·8%; p=<0·0001). Mortality rate was significantly reduced (40·4 vs 22·7%; p=0·0001) according to lower gestational age (p<0·0001), intubation and MV (p<0·0001). Conclusions: This is the first extensive survey performed in a large NICU from a LMIC, proving the efficacy of the systematic use of a bNCPAP device in reducing newborn mortality, as well as in providing qualitative changes in nursing workload. These findings are an incentive for considering bNCPAP as an elective strategy to treat preterm newborns with respiratory distress syndrome in LMCIs. 2 ARTICLE SUMMARY Article focus In Lower-Middle Income Countries (LMICs), a majority of the under-5 mortality rate is due to neonatal deaths. Evidence lists the Nasal Continuous Positive Airway Pressure ventilation (NCPAP) as an effective, low-cost, and easy-to-use intervention for enhancing newborn survival. The objective of this study was to evaluate the effects of using a bubble NCPAP (bNCPAP) device as the first intervention on mortality of newborns in the largest Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) in Nicaragua. Key messages The early use of bNCPAP as the primary respiratory assistance strategy halved the mortality of newborns in NICU, and positive changes in medical assistance and nursing workload were notable. Strengths and limitations of this study This is the first wide scale study demonstrating the efficacy of the systematic use of a lowcost bNCPAP device in a large NICU from one of less human developed countries. Strengths were that the study was conducted in a natural setting where the clinical research or audit studies are not part of the activities, thus the study was also an active educational initiative. The main limitations were that no risk index to state the level of severity of newborns could be applied and there was a lack of both data regarding maternal socio-economic characteristics and a thorough analysis of the medical costs. 3 INTRODUCTION A worldwide decrease in child mortality has been achieved in the last few years, following the global attempt to pursue Millennium Development Goal 4 (MDG4), adopted at the UN Millennium Summit in 2000 and targeting a 2/3 reduction in under-5 mortality by 2015. In the last decade, however, the neonatal death rate seems to have increased from the 37% observed in 2000 to 42% of the overall estimated child mortality recorded in 2010.1 Preterm birth and related complications are important leading causes of neonatal mortality. In Lower-Middle Income Countries (LMICs), newborn deaths are dramatically prevalent, and lack of human and economical resources makes accomplishing the MDG4 challenging.2 Among the interventions for reducing the newborn mortality rate, Nasal Continuous Positive Airway Pressure Ventilation (NCPAP) is of proven efficacy3. The bubble NCPAP (bNCPAP), is the simplest, lowcost respiratory support, showing theoretically and experimentally advantages and the same or greater clinical efficacy, compared to other, more sophisticated methods to deliver NCPAP (variable flow and ventilator NCPAP).4–6,23,36,37 After positive experiences from Scandinavian countries,8 data published by the Neonatology Committee for the Developmental Epidemiology Network in 2000 have shown a significant inverse relation between incidence of Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia (BPD) and use of NCPAP, as compared with MV, in very low birth weight (VLBW) newborns.9 This was the starting point of same important trials: SUPPORT, COIN, VON, CURPAP, Colombian Network and Neocosur Network on early use of NCPAP, also in association with surfactant. As reviewed by W. Carlo, this “gentle ventilation”, started soon after birth, appear to reduce the need for MV, the BDP/death and is alternative to the prophylactic or early surfactant approach in low, very low, and extremely low birth weight infants (ELBW).7,8,10–13, 36,37 The use of NCPAP has begun to increase and is progressively replacing conventional MV, becoming the cornerstone treatment for newborn Respiratory Distress Syndrome (RDS). 4 The, few studies addressing NCPAP use in LMICs are interesting, and are burdened by the loss of power due to their small numbers, but all agree that NCPAP, particularly bNCPAP, for efficacy, cost effectiveness, and ease of use, should be the primary assistance technique employed in newborns with RDS.3,14–16,25,26,33,37 Nicaragua is the second poorest country in Central America and in 2009 the under-5 child mortality was 27/1000 newborns (8/1000 in the USA), with a maternal mortality of 100/100,000 live births. Among all causes of under-5 mortality, in 2008, 45% was due to neonatal causes, of which 22% were related to prematurity, 13% to congenital anomalies, 8% to asphyxia, and 2% to sepsis.18,19 The Bertha Calderon Hospital (BCH) is the biggest maternity hospital in Nicaragua, accounting for more than 10.000 deliveries and 600 admissions in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) per year. AMCA (Aiuto Medico Centro America) is a Swiss non-governmental organisation operating since 198521 in Central America, particularly Nicaragua and El Salvador. From 2005 to 2007 it set up, with the local NICU staff, a progressive programme, starting with the newborn resuscitation training courses, based on international guidelines,22 pain and O2 therapy-related risks control, reduction number of newborns on MV through the use of the bNCPAP device,. METHODS AIM OF THE STUDY A prospective study was thus performed to determine the impact of the early use of low cost bNCPAP to reduce intubation and MV and to determine its effects on mortality rate and duration of NICU stay, in the largest NICU in Nicaragua, The study obtained authorisation by the BCH director.( credo che questa parte vada ampliata ) 5 Study Population and Data Collection Data on all newborns admitted to the BCH NICU with a history of ventilation assistance (VA) and without (NAV) between May 1 and December 31, 2006 (before the project began), and from May 1 to December 31, 2008 (two years after the project began), were anonymously collected from the medical records by a doctor kept blind to the study purposes. VA patients, the study population, were divided into groups: 1) those receiving only MV; 2) only bNCPAP; 3) bNCPAP first, than MV (bNCPAP-MV); and 4) MV first, than bNCPAP (MVbNCPAP). The groups of patients requiring MV alone or with bNCPAP (MV, bNCPAP-MV, MVbNCPAP) were categorised into an additional group called endotracheal tube (ETT). (Figure 1) Exclusion criteria were: birth malformations, transfer to another hospital, suboptimal patient assistance due to lack of devices, parents consent to ventilation, data on hospitalisation, ventilation mode or outcome. All patient information was collected and included delivery mode (vaginal=VAG or caesarean section=CS), gender (M/F), gestational age (GA) and birth weight (BW), main diagnosis at recovery, mean duration of NICU stay, recovery outcome, prenatal steroids, APGAR index, resuscitation measures, surfactant use, and age at start, and duration of respiratory assistance (hours). Resuscitation measures and ventilation assistance choice During both 2006 and 2008, delivery room local medical staff provided resuscitation and ventilation assistance. Newborn resuscitation was classified as non-advanced (naRES) when it only included airway clearance, tactile stimulations, free-flow oxygen delivery, and/or bag and mask positive 6 pressure ventilation. Advanced resuscitation (aRES) included all naRES manoeuvres plus chest compressions, intubation, or drug administration.22 No protocols or severity score (eg. CRIB II) were defined during the study period due to lack of medical devices such as pulse oxymeters, blood gases analyser, and radiographic equipment in the delivery room.24 The decision to start or to continue ventilation assistance with MV or bNCPAP was based on clinical and anamnestic criteria. No substantial changes in delivery room assistance, medical or nursing staff were made during the study period. INTERVENTION NCPAP Device bNCPAP ranks as a highly sophisticated, fluid-dynamic system in which the bubbles produced by the expiratory water valve improve lung mechanical characteristics and minimise the respiratory system impedance.10,23,35 bNCPAP kits were provided to the NICU and included a humidifier and re-sterilisable breathing circuits (Fisher & Paykel, New Zealand) and to minimise infection risks, disposable nasal cannula (Hudson, USA). To further reduce costs, , a dual Air/Oxygen flowmeter (Harol, Italy) were chosen as the blender, because much less expensive than automatic blenders, with no influence on quality In 2007, AMCA experts provided BCH staff with an extensive course on bNCPAP use, that were repeated thereafter by locally particularly trained staff. 7 Statistical analysis Microsoft Office and SAS system software, release 8·02, were used for analysis. BW and GA of the newborns included were compared between the two years considering three populations: NICU admitted patients, VA patients who survived, and VA patients who died. The comparison was first made using the normality of distributions through the indices of asymmetry and kurtosis. The Student's t-test was then used to define the equality of means with an α-level of 0·05. In cases in which the preliminary F-test led to the rejection of the null hypothesis of equality of variances, the Satterwaite method was used for the comparison of averages. Quantitative variables were grouped into classes and transformed into qualitative variables in order to compare the groups of patients from 2006 and 2008 and to define the significance of the differences observed through the chi-square test, using an α-level of 0·05. Finally, a logistic regression model was built to evaluate the death-risk determinants in VA patients. Through a stepwise selection method, it was possible to include in the model only those variables that were significant at an α-level of 0·1. RESULTS During the periods analysed, 850 newborns were admitted to the NICU (341 in 2006 and 509 in 2008). In all, 33 cases (9·7%) from 2006 and 38 (7·4%) from 2008 (p 0·253) did not fit inclusion criteria. leaving 779 cases (308 and 471, respectively).. Of these, 613 were the the VA newborns (2006 n=230, 74·7%; 2008 n=383, 81·1%) and belong to the ventilation group as reported in Figure 2. 8 VA newborn characteristics The patient characteristics, described in Table 1, were all comparable except for a greater proportion of CS deliveries and of VLBW patients during 2008 (p=0·0001 and 0·0371, respectively). No patients received surfactant treatment. The 1st and 5th minute APGAR indices were comparable in naRES and aRES newborns from both groups Furthermore, a higher proportion of patients required any level of birth resuscitation in 2006 (p=0·0006), and, among these, a higher proportion required aRES (p=0·013). No differences were observed in rate of steroid prophylaxis (66·4% in 2006 and 68·4% in 2008). NICU admission diagnoses, despite aforementioned limitations, were comparable in 2006 and 2008. (Appendix Table 1a) Ventilation assistance mode In 2006 the MV patients prevalence were 50% and decreased to 10% in 2008 (p=0·0001). During the two periods, no differences were found in the proportion of MV-bNCPAP patients (p=0·5467), while a significant increasing from 15.2% to 23% (p=0·02) in the bNCPAP-MV group, The rate of ETT patients was 72% in 2006 and decreased to 39% in 2008 (p=0·0001). The introduction of bNCPAP led to an increase newborns, treated with this device, from 27·8% in 2006 to 60·8% in 2008 (p <0·0001), consistent with the decrease in ETT patients. (Figure 2) In 2008, 61·8% of the bNCPAP newborns started treatment at birth, 85% within the 1 st, and 97% within the 2nd, hour of life. Mortality In 2008 the number of VA patients admitted to the NICU increased to 63%, but mortality decreased significantly from 40·4% (n=93) in 2006 to 22·7% (n=87) (p<0·0001). In ETT newborns, mortality rate remained unchanged, from 50·3% to 53·33% (p=ns). (Figure 3) If only the MV patient group is 9 considered, however, mortality increased from 52·8% in 2006 to 90% in 2008 (p<0·0001).(Appendix Table 2a) In the bNCPAP group deaths decreased from 7·8% in 2006 to 3·0% in 2008, but the small number of cases does not permit statistical analyses. In VA newborns who died in 2008, however, significant lower mean GA (30·7 vs 32·5 weeks) and BW (1,383 g vs 1,633 g) were observed compared to 2006. (Appendix Table 2a) Finally, during the two periods analysed, the logistical regression model applied to the mortalityrelated risk factors revealed two important inverse relations: probability of death and GA (p<0·0001), and probability of death and ETT (p<0·0001). (Table 2) NICU duration of stay and ventilation mode distribution Overall NICU length of admission remained unchanged between 2006 and 2008. An increase was observed, however, in VA patients: 14·7 days in 2006 and 17·5 days in 2008 (p=0·048). In MV patients, NICU stay decreased from 14·4 days in 2006 to 5·7 in 2008 (p=0·0017), although the limited population size of this group had no positive influence on overall duration of NICU stay of VA patients. (Table 3) In all VA groups, the means hours of the two types of assistance (MV and bNCPAP) were calculated separately, including those receiving bNCPAP-MV and MV-bNCPAP,. As shows in Table 3 values , were all comparable during the two periods. . The overall number hours MV and bNCPAP were calculated in the two study periods, showing a 209,6 % increase in the overall bNCPAP hours in 2008 compared to 2006, due to the increase in bNCPAP newborns. (Table 3) 10 DISCUSSION In this study the interventions proposed resulted in a decrease in the rate of intubation and mechanically ventilated newborns (72 vs 39%; p=0·0001) and a proportional number of patients exclusively treated with bNCPAP (27% vs 60·8%; p=<0·0001). Mortality rate was significantly reduced (40·4 vs 22·7%; p=0·0001) according to lower gestational age (p<0·0001) and MV (p<0·0001) in the two periods analysed. The mean of length of NICU stay increase in VA patients in 2008 of a mean of 2,9 days. A great increase of overall hours of hours in bNCPAP (209%) result in 2008 compared to 2006. Characteristics of the VA newborns During the two periods, the characteristics of all VA patients were similar. The BCH is the national referral centre for pathologic pregnancies. The higher 2008 CS rate may be explained by a more general prudent attitude towards term and preterm delivery during recent years27,28 rather than by greater severity of cases in 2008. The relatively increase of CS percentage is also likely due to the hospital characterises Conversely, the decreased rate of newborns requiring resuscitation (53·7% in 2006 to 39·1% in 2008) may be related to the greater number of CS in 2008. It was not possible to apply a risk index,24 however, no differences emerged between 2006 and 2008 in Apgar indexes in resuscitated newborns, supporting comparable clinical conditions in the two groups. Consistent with this hypothesis the multivariate analysis showed no influence of delivery mode and newborn resuscitation on mortality. Steroid prophylaxis against RDS was the only available prenatal care index and was comparable in the two periods. The lack of data on other prenatal care and maternal socio-economic characteristics (instruction, wealth, parity, age, income, etc.) may be a limit of this study. A change in prenatal care and maternal socio-economic conditions, however, is unlikely given the short study period. During the study, GA and MV emerged as the most relevant factors in determining the outcome of all VA newborns. Despite the fact that no differences were found between 2006 and 2008 in terms of mean 11 GA, a greater number of VLBW was observed in 2008, which may have resulted, at least, in a more vulnerable population. Ventilation mode and mortality In this study was not possible to evaluate the MV-related lung damages, such as BPD,7,9,10 but only intubation and MV impact on mortality rate. Multivariate analysis for the most influential death-related risk factors shows MV as one of the two only relevant variables In the ETT group of patients, mortality rate remained unchanged (53%), but the in the ETT group, patients decreased from 72% in 2006 to 39% during 2008, leading to a consistent reduction in the overall mortality. (Figure 3) In the MV patient group, the death rate increased from 59% to 90%, with no impact on the overall mortality, due to the concurrent reduction of newborns in this group (from 50% to 10·4%). The more compromised newborns received MV more frequently, and this supports the higher mortality rate observed within this subgroup in 2008. In the groups of MV-bNCPAP patient, bNCPAP was applied after MV to stabilise patients and to avoid re-intubation,4 and remained very small (6% of all VA newborns) during the examined periods, with no influence on mortality. Patients failing to respond to the bNCPAP, during both periods, have been switched to MV (bNCPAP-MV group). Since the use of bNCPAP was systematically encouraged during 2008, a consistent increase in failure incidence (15,2 vs 23,0 % p=0.02) in this group was conceivable, however, the bNCPAP failure rate, in the bNCPAP-MV group, was limited and comparable with literature data. 29,38. As shown in Appendix Table 4a the mortality rate in this group didn’t change in the two periods. This is a clinically relevant point, since an inappropriate delay in MV is known to compromise its efficacy and the patient’s clinical outcome. 12 These all considerations seem to support an appropriate application of both ventilation methodologies, during 2008. The high success of the non-invasive respiratory support was also related to its early application,10,30 as 62% of the patients started at birth and 97% within the first two hours of life. Moreover, the mean age at death among newborns during 2008 was two gestational weeks inferior to that observed in 2006, further supporting the improvement in assistance quality level. Duration of NICU admission and distribution of ventilation Mean duration of NICU stay increased by 2·9 days during 2008 in newborns from the VA group. (Table 3) Non-respiratory impairment, infectious complications, nutritional factors, and preterm birth-related complications concur in the complexity of the assistance and length of NICU stay. In 2008 compared to 2006 the total hours of MV for the ETT group increase only of 7,6% , because, despite the increase of number of VA newborns in 2008, the ETT group decrease from 72% to 39% in 2008, resulting in nearly the same number of newborn. (Table 3). Recent data have shown that the rate of serious adverse events related to MV (accidental disconnection from the respiratory circuit, unintentional removal or obstruction of the tracheal tube) is proportional to the nursing workload.31 It was hypothesized that, without the systematic introduction of the bNCPAP, and with the same rate of ETT newborns as in 2006 (72%), in 2008, 276 newborns would have received invasive ventilation and required approximately 31960 hours of mechanical ventilation, which is 85% more than those actually provided. Assistance shifted to the bNCPAP patients, accounting for a 209% increase in the overall amount of bNCPAP hours of assistance compared to 2006. In view of the increased overall admissions in 2008, a reduction in nursing workload was improbable, however, compared with ETT cases, the need for assistance was inferior for bNCPAP patients32 and it is indubitable that, with no reduction in ETT proportion, the potentially adverse 13 events related to MV would be increased and in particularly the nursing workload in 2008 would have been unaffordable . NCPAP in LMICs Few studies evaluating NCPAP use in LMICs exist. Urs and colleagues in a prospective observational study obtained an 80% success rate using bNCPAP in 50 Indian preterm infants (2837 weeks GA), supporting the primary use of the bNCPAP in poorer countries.33 In a retrospective descriptive analysis, from Zimbabwe, 234 newborns (1,730 g mean BW), with a death rate incidence of 46·4%, were analysed to compare MV with NCPAP respiratory support. MV resulted as the only variable associated with a significant increase in death risk, when compared to NCPAP.15 In extreme conditions, the lack of resources leads to restrictive criteria for access to NICUs. In South Africa, Piepier and colleagues found that, in 21 VLBW newborns who were not admitted to the NICU, the introduction of NCPAP support led to a significant reduction in mortality rate, without severe complications, and that, given the simplicity of the method, it could be provided by trained nurses even in VLBW infants.14 The safety and efficacy of bNCPAP, applied by trained nurses for reducing MV, was confirmed by Koyamaibole.26 A recent RCT Indian study comparing bNCPAP vs ventilator NCPAP, has an higher success in managing preterm neonates with early onset respiratory distress , with comparable safety.36 Despite the fact that surfactant was listed as an essential drug by the World Health Organisation, its use in resource limited settings is a matter of debate34 Its cost is unaffordable for the health economy of most developing countries, including Nicaragua and bNCPAP might is an affordable and determinant strategy for reducing MV and the need for surfactant therapy. Al these studies , even are burdened by the loss of statistical power due to their small numbers, but all agree that early administration of NCPAP, particularly bNCPAP, for efficacy, cost effectiveness, 14 and ease of use, should be the primary assistance technique employed in newborns with RDS in LMICs. 3,14–16,25,26,33,34,36,37 CONCLUSIONS This is the first study in a large NICU from a developing country demonstrating an association between the systematic use of a low-cost bNCPAP device and the reduced mortality and strongly supports the early use of bNCPAP as the primary respiratory assistance strategy. The proportion of bNCPAP newborns reached 60·8% and mortality decreased to 22·1% in 2008, with no significant differences in the analysed populations. Furthermore, the positive changes in medical assistance and nursing workload were notable. Economic data were missing, although, as do other LMICs with restricted health resources and high neonatal mortality rate, Nicaragua has limited NICU facilities and adequate strategies are needed to avoid invasive procedures in order to contain the need for sophisticated technologies and qualified medical staff and to reduce economic pressure. Author affiliations 1 NICU Rho Az. Ospedaliera “G. Salvini” Garbagnate Milanese, Italy 2 Az. Ospedaliera Universitaria L. Meyer, Florence, Italy 3 UCIN Hospital Bertha Calderon Managua, Nicaragua 4 Department of Public Health, Laboratory for Mother and Child Health, IRCCS – Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri, Milan, Italy 5 AMCA, Aiuto Medico Centro America, Giubiasco, Switzerland Acknowledgements The authors acknowledge the Bertha Calderon NICU nurse and medical staffs for the incredible daily clinical work in “not easy” conditions. We thank Nicolette Gianella and 15 Manuela Cattaneo for coordinating the project in Nicaragua and in Switzerland. Chiara Pandolfini, Rita Campi, Filomena Fortinguerra, Antonio Clavenna from the Department of Public Health of the Mario Negri Institute gave support to the authors. Contributors RR and LC conceived the study, wrote the study protocol and trained the medical staff in the Bertha Calderon Hospital. RR with MB wrote the first draft of the manuscript. NS supervised clinical work in Managua and SP collected data in the Bertha Calderon Hospital. MC did the statistical analyses. VM gave an important contribution to writing the paper. MB defined and supervised the analyses. PF and FC, as past president of AMCA, coordinated the contacts between Switzerland and Nicaragua. All investigators reviewed and contributed to the manuscript. Funding The study was funded by a private donation collected by AMCA a non-profit Swiss association for international cooperation and development. Competing interests None Ethics approval Institutional Review Board of the IRCCS – Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri, Milan, Italy Data sharing statement Access to the study data may be provided by the authors to other researchers upon request. 16 17 Table 1. Characteristics of the newborns with ventilatory assistance (VA) 2006 VA patients 2008 230 (74·7) p 383 (81·3) F/M 88 /142 (62) 145/238 (61) ns CS/VAG 121 /109 (111) 261 /119 (219) <·0001 Prenatal Steroids 144/73 (66·4) 257/119 (68·4) ns 216 8 73 70 63 2 34·3 [3·93] 379 18 112 135 114 0 34·4 [3·79] ns ns ns ns ns n.a. 217 14 58 87 58 1975 [792] 377 38 73 161 105 2001 [766] ns ns 0·0371 ns ns (39·1) (18·9) 117 0·0006 ns GE Χ , weeks <27 28-33 34-36 37-42 >42 BW g ELBW VLBW LBW NBW Χ RES Tot/VA aRES/naRES Apgar 1’ naRES 5’ naRES 116 /216 38 /78 6·28 [1·6 ] 8·22 [1·2 ] (53·7) (32·8) 78 78 147/376 28 /117 [1·5 6·23 8·00 [1·1 ] 117 ns 27 ns Apgar 1’ aRES 2·68 [2·0 ] 38 2·15 [1·5] 5’ aRES 4·32 [2·5 ] 38 3·89 [2·3] 3·2 [2·1] 29 2·3 [1·5] 21 Apgar 1’ Intubated 27 ns ns X mean (%); [SD] RES newborns resuscitated at birth naRES: non-advanced resuscitation (clear airways, tactile stimulations, free-flow oxygen delivery and/or bag and mask positive pressure ventilation) aRES: advanced resuscitation (including all naRES manoeuvres and/or chest compressions and/or intubation and/or drug administrations) 18 Table 2. Logistic regression model for death risk and variables considered Odds ratio Year 2008 vs 2006 BW GA CS vs VAG Gender F vs M Prenatal Steroid (yes vs no) RES (no vs yes) bNCPAP vs EET BW CS VAG GA RES 95% Confidence Interval 0·647 1·000 0·796 1·064 1·216 0·909 0·671 0·045 0·394 0·999 0·711 0·649 0·743 0·550 0·414 0·023 p-value 1,062 1·000 0·891 1·744 1·988 1·592 1·088 0·090 ns ns <0·0001 ns ns ns ns <0·0001 0,809 <0·0001 birth weight caesarean section delivery vaginal delivery gestational age newborns resuscitated at birth Con STEP WISE GA 0,757 0,708 bNCPAP vs ETT 0,041 0,021 19 0,080 <0·0001 Table 3. Distribution of NICU stay and duration of ventilation 2006 2008 p Mean [SD] N Mean [SD] n VA patients VA patients, survived 14·6 20·4 [16·2] [17·7] 218 125 17·5 20·7 [19·9] [21·1] 376 289 0·048 ns MV group 11·7 [14·8] 108 5·7 [7·4] 39 0·0017 MV-NCPAP group bNCPAP-MV group EET group 22·7 [15·1] 18·8 [ 21·4] 14·4 [16·9] 16 35 159 31·5 [25·4] 21·1 [ 23·4] 18·6 [22·3] 22 87 148 ns ns ns bNCPAP group 15·1 [14·6] 59 16·9 [18·2] 228 ns 94·4 138·1 107·0 101,6 [98·6] [113·1] [150·9] [113·6] 107 16 35 158 90·9 [139·1] 136·5 [100·4] 121·8 [103·7] 115,9 [113·9] 39 22 88 149 ns ns ns ns bNCPAP group MV-bNCPAP group bNCPAP-MV group 48·4 55·5 49·5 [52·0] [31·3] [43·9] 59 16 35 42·2 [47·4] 68·8 [75·5] 68·1 [105·3] 229 21 86 ns ns ns All bNCPAP groups, 49·8 [46·7] 110 50·5 336 Ns Total hours of MV 16051 158 17265 Days in NICU Hours of MV MV group MV-bNCPAP group bNCPAP- MV group EET group, Hours of bNCPAP % increase 2008/2006 Total Hours of bNCPAP % increase 2008/2006 [69·5] 149 7,6 5477 110 [SD] 20 16958 209,6 336 Figure 1. Flowchart showing patient distribution NICU admitted Ventilatory Assisted newborns (VA) Intubated and ventilated newborns (ETT) Mechanically Ventilated only newborns (MV) Non Ventilatory Assisted newborns (NVA) Bubble-CPAP only newborns (bNCPAP) Mechanically Ventilated newborns plus bNCPAP (MV-bNCPAP) 21 bNCPAP plus Mechanically Ventilated newborns (bNCPAP-MV) Figure 2. Ventilatory assisted newborns and ventilation type 22 Figure 3. Distribution by ventilation type and related deaths (striped) 23 24 APPENDIX Table 1a. Comparison of recovery diagnoses Diagnoses 2006 2008 2006 (%) 2008 (%) Unknown Apnea Asphyxia Seizure RDS Sepsis and Shock Polycytemia 6 8 13 2 185 15 1 10 14 19 3 311 26 0 2·6 3·5 5·7 0·9 80·4 6·7 0·4 2·6 3·7 5·0 0·8 81·1 6·8 0 Total 230 383 100·2 100 RDS includes: pulmonary bleeding, congenital pneumonia, prematurity RDS, MAS, transient neonatal tachypnoea, pulmonary emphysema 25 Table 2a. Mortality rate distribution 2006 2008 P Deaths in NICU 96/308 (31·2) 93/471 (19·8) 0·0003 3/78 (3·8) 6/88 (6·8) n.a. 93/230 (40·4) 87/383 (22·7) <0·0001 Deaths ETT 88/166 Deaths MV 60/115 Deaths MV-NCPAP 7/16 Deaths NCPAP-MV 21/35 (53·0) ( 52·2) (43·7) (60·0) 80/150 36/40 1/22 43/88 (53·3) (90·0) (4·5) (43·9) 0·950 <0·0001 n.a. 0·2647 (7·8) 7/233 (3·0) n.a. (n 87) (n 87) 30·7 [4·1] 1383[656·6] 0·0043 0·020 Deaths NVA Deaths VA Deaths NCPAP GE Χ deaths VA BW Χ deaths VA 5/64 (n 91) (n 92) 32·5 [4·2] 1633 [774·8] (%) ; [SD] 26 REFERENCES 1 Lawn YE, Gravett MG, Nunes TM, Rubens CE, Stanton C and the GAPPS Review Group. Global report on preterm birth and stillbirth (1 of 7): definitions description of burden and opportunities to improve data. BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth 2010; 10(Suppl): S1. 2 Lozano R, Wang H, Foreman KJ, Rajaratnam JK, Naghavi M, Marcus JR, Dwyer-Lindgren L, Lofgren KT, Phillips D, Atkinson C, Lopez AD, Murray C JL. 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