Annual Project Report Establishment of National Registry System for Domestic Emissions Trading Scheme and Voluntary Carbon Emission Reduction Project (ETS) [February 11, 2014] Basic Project Information Project Title: UNDP Award ID UNDP Project ID CRIS Contract Number Project Duration Reporting Period Total Approved Project Budget Participating UN agencies Implementing Partners/ National collaborating agencies International collaborating agencies Cost-sharing third parties UNDP Contact officer Project website 1. Executive Summary 00063571 00080582 a/n 3 year (2011-2014) January 1, 2013 - December 31, 2013 NOK 35,460,700 UNDP China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), The Norwegian Environment Agency (NEA) NEA Norway Wu Peng Knowledge sharing mechanism between China and Norway/EU was established at both national and sub-national level with sound balance between policy support and capacity building. Effective mechanism was established for knowledge sharing and knowledge application for the ETS development in China with reference made to ETS development in Norway, German and EU through workshops, study tour and cooperation among NDRC, NEA, Tsinghua, SinoCarbon and other relevant shareholders. Effective Public and Private Partnership was established for registry system development for ETS VER with NDRC focusing on policy and relevant institutional building, Tsinghua focusing on technical issues and SinoCarbon working on business model. Synchronized software and hardware development mechanism to ensure proper balance between performance requirement and security requirement, which is the foundation of the success. The design of the voluntary emission reduction project registry and national ETS registry was completed with inputs from both domestic and international partners. Software development plan was completed with completion of bidding and start of the software development/testing. Network construction plan is formulated including security construction and date storage/backup with technical reviews conducted. Preparation of relevant manuals/guidelines and training started with relevant surveys completed for capacity building once the system is in place. Mid-term evaluation was also conducted with very positive conclusions with regard to the project contribution to the ETS development in China. In conclusion, the project has in general succeeded in the technical development stage with laid a solid foundation for the next year work of management/operation model feasibility development which will need more intensive cooperation between all stakeholders to work together at international, national and sub-national level. This annual report covers the reporting period of January 2013 – December 2013. 1 Annual Project Progress Report United Nations Development Programme 联合国开发计划署 2. Context China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), has played a key role in coordinating climate change efforts since 1998 (which has broad administrative and planning control over the Chinese economy), decided in 2011 to pilot carbon trading in seven regions, as illustrated in Figure 1, with a total population of 240 million and a collective GDP of some $2 trillion. The purpose is to gain experience in carbon related market mechanisms ahead of launching a national CO2 market by the 13th FYP. Figure 1: Approved Pilot Carbon Trading Schemes in China China issued tentative ETS regulations in June 2012, following which NDRC launched ETS pilot programs in the cities of Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, Chongqing and Shenzhen, as well as the provinces of Guangdong and Hubei. The pilots are part of the key endeavors in China's 12th Five-Year Plan (2011-2015) and it is hoped to roll out the carbon market to other regions and eventually across the nation from 2015. In order to encourage social wide participation in GHG (Greenhouse Gas) reduction activities and create a climate-friendly society featured by government guidance, the Chinese government has made valuable efforts to build a policy environment toward emissions trading scheme recently, such as The Tentative Management Method for China’s Voluntary GHG Reduction Trading Activities released by NDRC. Based on this, the Norwegian-supported ETS project is aimed to support these policies by designing and building technical measures to regulate and supervise the voluntary market. The Goal of the Project is to contribute to the development of measures aimed at reducing the carbon intensity in the Chinese economy as set in China’s 12th Five-Year Plan. The objectives of the ETS project include: 1) Establishing national voluntary emission reduction project registry system to maintain a common voluntary market with centralized information disclosure and standardized trading commodities; 2) Establishing a national registry for regional and nationwide emissions trading schemes to materialize the national objective to build carbon market gradually; and 2 Annual Project Progress Report United Nations Development Programme 联合国开发计划署 3) Capacity building by carrying out education and training activities to build and enhance the capacities of stakeholders in the voluntary project market, and regional and national emissions trading market 3. NEA Key results The general progress of the Norwegian-supported ETS project has had a positive development during the reporting period and achieved satisfying progress. The ETS project is in line with and useful to China’s priorities in climate change and emission reduction, which also fall into Norwegian key priority areas for cooperation with China. Thanks to the implementation of the ETS project, China’s preparedness has been enhanced for being able to embark on a nationwide ETS trading by 2015, following the launch of the ETS pilots in 2012; and the Norwegian ETS expertise, which has been contributive to the EU ETS, has been tapped into in designing China’s own ETS system through the exchanges among the Chinese and NEA experts. As of end 2013, the other key results of the ETS project include, but not limited to: The Norwegian project team has had a project workshop/meeting in January with Tsinghua and Sino Carbon related to activity 1.1 and 1.2; review and design of the technical framework of a registry system in China. (Output 1 and 2). The agenda items included information on the EU ETS registry system, especially the latest development of the common EU wide registry. The Norwegian team (Carina Heimdal and Katja Ekroll Jahren from NEA) gave a presentation on the transition from the old Norwegian national registry to the common EU-wide Union Registry. The different types of accounts, rules for transfers and account opening were discussed in detail. The Norwegian team answered a lot of questions raised by the Chinese project teams, both from Tsinghua University and SinoCarbon. These discussions informed the work both under output 1 (Overall Plan of National Voluntary Emission Reduction Project Registry System and National Registry System for ETS) and output 2 (National Voluntary Emission Reduction Project Registry System and National Registry System for ETS). The Norwegian team also had a brief meeting in January with NCSC regarding the output 3 – capacity building and user interface. This part was still only on its first stages, due to the fact that it relies on the design of the registry. In April, Norway submitted a report on security issues related to the IT design of the Chinese national registry (activity 1.6). The report provides an overview of best practices in this area. The feedback from SinoCarbon was that the input provided was very useful and this was used in designing the IT architecture of the Chinese ETS registry (output 2). The Norwegian project team participated on the International seminar arranged by NDRC on ETS on 25 April, where the national registry was presented. A senior EU registry expert participated in the seminar, presenting key lessons learnt on registry systems in phase 2 of the EU ETS. This contributed to progress towards completing activity 1.3 (making the overall plan of the voluntary emission reduction project registry system and national registry system for ETS in China). The Norwegian registry administrator (Carina Heimdal) participated in the Chinese delegation's visit to the German registry administrator, Mr. Thomas Schütz, in Berlin in late June 2013. The German registry administrator works in the German Emissions Trading Authority (Deutsche Emissionshandelsstelle, DEHSt), which is part of the Federal Environment Agency. It was very valuable for the Chinese participants to hear the experience of a large European country (and the largest in the ETS) with the ETS registry, and this further improved the knowledge and understanding of different registry systems (activity 1.1.1). The German registry administrator held a presentation on 3 Annual Project Progress Report United Nations Development Programme 联合国开发计划署 the transition from the German national registry to the EU-wide Union Registry, and also shared knowledge on the fraud incidents in phase 2 of the EU ETS. The Head of the section for allocation also held a presentation, discussing the allocation methodologies and challenges with the allocation decisions. This provided further knowledge on issues covered by output 1 and 2. Norway (Elin Økstad and Carina Heimdal from NEA) assisted in the preparation of the meeting with the EU Commission in July 2013.This was part of a study tour to Europe as a part of this project. Both EU officials working with the ETS in general and registry experts gave presentations to the Chinese delegations. The meeting lasted for an entire day, leaving ample time for detailed discussions and questions from the Chinese delegation. The presentations and discussions mainly covered output 1 and 2. Output 3 was also briefly covered, as the user manual and training of users was also discussed. In October, the Norwegian team (Carina Heimdal and Finn Jostein Gjelten) receive a demonstration of the web user interface of the registry system by Sino Carbon. The demo showed the two levels of administrator access (national and provincial), creation of different account types (compliance, general, trading), creation and allocation of allowances, reversal of transactions, as well as plans for a pilot run and testing. Issues for further cooperation were identified, such as experience on testing and bug tracking, training procedures and analysis of the market behaviour. The meeting confirmed the important progress made regarding output 2 of the project. It also provided a good base for discussing areas for further cooperation. A revised project plan has been developed in order to expand the project activities with supplementary activities on: a) The implementation of the amended functionalities for provincial level. b) The implementation of the amended functionalities of surrendering China Certified Emission Reductions (CCER) to perform compliance in pilot areas. c) The development of a market behaviour analysis system. 3. NDRC Progress Report of the ETS in 2013 The expected key results of the ETS project include: Output 1: National Voluntary Emission Reduction Project Registration and Management System; Output 2: National Registry System for Emissions Trading Scheme; Output 3: Capacity building; and Output 4: Project execution report Output 1 : National Voluntary Emission Reduction Project Registration and Management System Activity 1.3 Finalize the design of the voluntary emission reduction project registry and national ETS registry 1. Draft the design of the two registries. This has been done after the second round of discussion on design plan of National Registry System. 2. Gather comments and suggestions from relevant authorities, experts and potential users of the registries through consultations. Several seminars in the team have been held. One workshop with experts from EU was held on January 23rd, 2013. Workshops with governors in charge and other experts were held on March 19th, 2013 and April 9th, 2013. 3. Improve and finalize the design of the two registries. 4 Annual Project Progress Report United Nations Development Programme 联合国开发计划署 Several seminars in the team have been held. A series of workshops with EU experts during the visit to Germany and the European Commission from June 25th to July 4th in 2013. Workshop with governors in charge and other experts was held on Aug 6th, 2013 The design of the two registries has been finished after the process of consultation. Activity 1.4 International workshops One international workshop was held in Beijing on April 25th, 2013. Activity 1.5 Complete project executive report of National Voluntary Emission Reduction Project Registry System and National Registry System for ETS (Chinese and English version) This should be finished after the above activities. A first version of study report of National Voluntary Emission Reduction Project Registry System and National Registry System for ETS in Chinese version has been finished. The English version is being finished. Output 2:National Registry System for Emissions Trading Scheme Activity 2.1 According to the overall design, research on the application situation of similar domestic and international softwares.By comparison, analyse their function design and security design.Finish the software developing plan of the national voluntary emission reduction project registry system and national ETS registry system. Activity 2.1.4 Finish the software developing plan of the national voluntary emission reduction project registry system and national ETS registry system. 1. The Analysis of Requirements After the final determination of the requirements of the national registry system on April 19th 2013, the team from SinoCarbon performed a thorough analysis on the system requirements proposed by the team from Tsinghua University. By the analysis process, proper understandings of the system requirements for the national registry system have been achieved. Based on the result of requirement analysis, a requirement specification has been composed by the team from SinoCarbon. The document provides specific description on each function of the national registry system with detailed flow charts. In the proposed requirement specification, intrinsic uncertainties in the operation procedure of the national registry system has also been considered and tackled. During the requirement analysis process, the business framework of the national registry system designed by the team from Tsinghua University was thoroughly studied in the first step. Based on the business framework, the whole workflow of the system was resolved to specific functionalities for the national registry system. For each one of the functionality of the national registry system, multiple specific workflows were further designated, in consideration of the uncertainty of the requirements on the practical operations of the national registry system. The requirement of providing configuration options for selecting the active workflow for certain functionality was also specified consequently. Due to the importance of the security of the national registry system, the security requirement of the national registry system was also rigorously studied, in terms of the security threats and benefits of stakeholders. In considerations of the security requirements and the experiences from the registry of EU ETS, functionality requirements for ensuring the security of the national registry system were further identified. Additionally the requirements of privileges and roles of the system were also determined, in consideration of the security requirements of the national registry system. In order for achieving the performance requirements of the national registry system, the potential quantity of the access to the national registry system and the potential quantity of the data generated by the national registry system were analyzed based on the estimation of the business quantity of the national registry 5 Annual Project Progress Report United Nations Development Programme 联合国开发计划署 system. The requirement specification of the system contains all the results of the requirement analysis. 2. The Development of a Demo In order to transfer the requirements for conducting the business processes of the registry system into a form that can be utilized directly for the software development, a static web page based demo of the national registry system has been developed by the team from SinoCarbon. The focus of the demo is on the perspective of UI design of the national registry system. By establishing the demo, the requirements for conducting the business processes of the registry system has been further clarified in the perspective of software design. The demo of the national registry system was developed in three stages. In the first stage a prototype of the demo was developed according to the requirement specification. The prototype contains the UI of the main framework of the national registry system, including the both the UIs for the management organizations and the UIs for other users of the national registry system. The UIs for the management organizations were further separated into the UIs for the national level management organizations and the UIs for the provincial level management organizations. In all the UIs for the management organizations, the management operations are arranged according to the management accounts. Similar to the online banking system, the UIs for the management organizations, the entrance provided by the UIs for other users are arranged according to the accounts, of which the logged in user is an account representative. A user can perform operations in each account that the user can operate with certain representative privileges. In the second stage of the demo development process, the UIs designed in the first stage were thoroughly refined in the perspectives of style and the specific display names of each component of the UI. Additionally some of the arrangements of the functionalities were also modified in this stage according to the issues identified in the prototype of the demo. In the third stage of the demo development process, the demo was presented to the members of the team from Tsinghua University. According to the feedbacks proposed by the members if the team from Tsinghua University, the demo was further modified. 3. The Design of a Sketch of the Software Architecture In addition to the establishment of the demo of national registry system, a sketch of the software architecture of the national registry system has also been proposed by the team from SinoCarbon. The focus of the proposed software architecture is on the issues that can significantly influence the security and the performance of the national registry system. The design of the sketch of the software architecture includes the architecture of the communication scheme between the web server and the app server. In addition, the design has also addressed the core execution mechanism of the app server. In order for ensuring the security of the system, several schemes of encryption and database access privilege separation are proposed in the design. Additionally an authentication scheme for the communication between the national registry system and the trading platform is presented in the design. A database design is also included in the design. The software architecture was designed in consideration of the performance requirements and the security. In order to ensure the performance requirements of the national registry system, several architecture designs for the system were compared and evaluated, in terms of multiple perspectives such as communication efficiency, request process efficiency, scalability in functionality, scalability in performance, and the risk and cost of development. By achieving a balance of all the perspectives, a proper design of the software architecture was identified. Additionally the security schemes utilized by the inner-operation of the software for ensuring the fulfilment of the security requirements of the national registry system were also thoroughly identified and presented in the proposed software architecture design. The database design of the national registry system was performed in considerations of the functionality requirements, performance requirements and the security requirements of the system. In order to ensure the fulfilment of the functionality requirements of the national registry system, the tables of the database of national registry system were designated to store the information essential to the functionalities of the national registry system, such as the information of accounts, the information of account holders, the information of account positions, the information 6 Annual Project Progress Report United Nations Development Programme 联合国开发计划署 of roles, the information of privileges, the information of trust list and the information of audit. Additionally proper divisions of the tables were further performed, in order to decrease the redundancies of the stored information. In the table division process, the balance between the redundancy level of the stored information and the performance of the database operation were further considered and achieved. Activity 2.1.5 Organize experts to review the software developing plan, and modify the design according to their suggestions. 1. Technical Workshop A technical workshop attended by experts of software design and development has been held on 20th June. In the workshop, the design of the software architecture was thoroughly discussed. 2. Technical Issues to be solved Several technical issues obtained by the discussion of the workshop listed below have been studied and resolved. The clustering strategy of the database servers of the system. The data distribution scheme of the system. The data cashing mechanism of the system. The selection of specific development technology for the system, in consideration of the cost and reliability of the system. The balance of the budget and the system performance requirement of the system. 3. Formal Review Meeting On August 6th, a meeting for reviewing the construction plan of the national registry system was held by the team from Sino-Carbon. Relevant officials from NDRC, and experts in IT system design and ETS framework design attended the meeting. In the meeting the team from Sino-Carbon and experts in IT system design discussed the software developing plan. The focus of the discussion is on the security issues of the software design of the national registry system. Activity 2.2 Finish the software developing of the Registry System. Activity 2.2.1 Finish the software developing of the national voluntary emission reduction project registry system. 1. Tender Document The documents for the tender procedure of the software development of the national registry system have been completed. The tender document contains specific instructions on the requirements of the business framework and the technical standards of the national registry system, including the requirements on the security and performance of the system. Additionally the standards for assessing the feasibility of the participants of the tender competition were also specifically determined in the tender document. 2. Tender Procedure for Software Development The tender procedure began in late November based on the tender document. Several software developing companies expressed interest in participating in the tender competition. In the assessment meeting of the render competition, three companies formally participated in the competition. After standardized and legal assessment procedure, one company was chosen to perform the development of the registry system. 3. Management of the Software Development After the software development began, the team from SinoCarbon has started to manage the software development process of the national registry system. Within two weeks, a development meeting attended by the project manager of the software developing company, relevant developers and representatives of the team from SinoCarbon will be held. In the meeting, the problems on technical 7 Annual Project Progress Report United Nations Development Programme 联合国开发计划署 issues and requirement issues that occur during the development process will be discussed and solved. Additionally the team of SinoCarbon is also in charge of responding and solving such problems in real time through e-mails and phone calls. To some crucial technical issues, representatives of the team from SinoCarbon will participate in the development process in person. At the completion of one regression stage of the software developing, the team from SinoCarbon will assess the result and provide further modification requirements and recommendations to the software developing team. Activity 2.2.2 Finish the software developing of the national ETS registry system. According to the business framework design of the national registry system, the functionalities of the national ETS registry system and the national voluntary emission reduction project registry system should be contained in the national registry system. Therefore the project outcomes for this activity are the same as the outcomes in Activity 2.2.1. Activity 2.3 Test the Registry System Software base on function design, modify the function and improve performance of the software. Activity 2.3.1 Test and modify the software of national voluntary emission reduction project registry system Currently the team from SinoCarbon has begun the preparation for designing the test cases for the test process of the national registry system. Activity 2.3.2 Test and modify the software of the national ETS registry system According to the business framework design of the national registry system, the functionalities of the national ETS registry system and the national voluntary emission reduction project registry system should be contained in the national registry system. Therefore the project outcomes for this activity are the same as the outcomes in Activity 2.2.1. Activity 2.4 According to the overall design, and considering the requirements of software running, propose integrated construction plan for the whole system. Activity 2.4.1 Draft the network construction plan A design of hardware architecture has been presented by the team from SinoCarbon. The focus of the proposed hardware design is on the security of the system. The design contains the hardware devices that should be used by the system and the structure of the hardware system of the national registry system. In addition the performance requirements of the hardware devices have also been presented in the design of the hardware architecture. The main considerations for designing the hardware architecture are the security requirements and the performance requirements of the national registry system. In order for fulfilling the security requirements of the national registry system, the network of the system is divided into several zones with different security levels. Servers of each security level are deployed in the corresponding zone. The access of each zone is protected by a series of network security devices. Additionally the communication between two zones is also controlled by multiple security devices. In order to determine the proper network security design, multiple designs were studied and compared. As a result of balancing the cost and security level of the network, the types of the network security devices that should be utilized by the network of the national registry system and the deployment arrangements of the network were determined. By analyzing the performance requirements of the national registry system, the performance requirements for the hardware of the servers were also identified. Based on the performance requirements of the servers of the national registry system, the models of each type of servers for the national registry system were determined. In consideration of the performance requirements and the security requirements of the national registry system, the proper types of storage devices including the storage devices for system backups are also presented in the hardware architecture design. 8 Annual Project Progress Report United Nations Development Programme 联合国开发计划署 Activity 2.4.2 Draft the security construction plan. The security construction plan has been included in the hardware architecture design and the software architecture design of the national registry system. Activity 2.4.3 Draft the data storage and backup plan The data storage and backup plan has been included in the hardware architecture design of the national registry system. Activity 2.4.4 Organize relevant experts to review the whole system construction plan, and adjust the plan according to reviewers' comment 1. Technical Workshop A technical workshop attended by experts of hardware architecture design and development has been held on 21th July. In the workshop, the design of the hardware architecture was thoroughly discussed. 2. Technical Issues to be solved Several technical issues obtained by the discussion of the workshop listed below have been studied and resolved. The servers for the connections between the national registry system and the servers of trading platforms should be deployed in a separate zone. The strategy for scanning security holes should be refined. Activity 2.5 Finish the whole registry system construction. Activity 2.5.1 Finish the network construction The document for the tender procedure of the hardware procurement has been prepared based on the proposed hardware architecture of the national registry system. The document contains specific requirements to the hardware for the national registry, such as servers, network and security devices, middleware and database. Additionally the document also provides requirements on the services for hardware installation and maintenance that should be provided by the procurement service provider. The tender document has been released to public on 30th December 2013. Activity 2.5.2 Finish the security system construction The construction of the security system has been included in the network construction. Activity 2.5.3 Finish the data storage and backup system construction The construction of the data storage and backup system has been included in the network construction. Output3:Capacity building Activity 3.1 Draw up the instruction manual and guide for Chinese Voluntary Emission Reduction Trading Register System. Activity 3.1 has been completed except the sub-activities related to survey of the user manual of EU registry (the user manual of EU Union Registry is still unachievable). The technical characteristics and function of EU registry and other relevant registries have been surveyed and analysed. The user manual and guide of relevant registries have been surveyed except the user manual of EU registry. The user manual of Chinese Voluntary Emission Reduction Trading Registry and Carbon Emission Trading Registry is close to be finished. 9 Annual Project Progress Report United Nations Development Programme 联合国开发计划署 Activity 3.2 Training the Relevant Staff of Chinese Voluntary Emission Reduction Trading Register System and Carbon Emission Trading Register System, including Government Officers, System Users, Staff of Exchanges, Participants of Emission Reduction Projects and Certification Institutions; Draw Up the Teaching Materials for the Training. Activity 3.2 includes three sub-activities, among which sub-activities 3.2.1 (Survey the training requirement of the users and management staff for Chinese Voluntary Emission Reduction Trading Register System and Carbon Emission Trading Register System training.) and 3.2.2 (Draw up the teaching materials for the training of Chinese Voluntary Emission Reduction Trading Register System according to the requirement of System users and the technical requirement of the System. ) have been started since the second half of 2012 and are close to be finished and sub-activity 3.2.3(Training government officers, system users, staff of exchanges, participants of emission reduction) is still in progress. A questionnaire survey has been carried out to collect the training requirement of the users and management staff for Chinese Voluntary Emission Reduction Trading Registry and Carbon Emission Trading Registry training. The training materials for Chinese Voluntary Emission Reduction Trading Registry and Carbon Emission Trading Registry training according to the requirement of the system users and technical requirement of the system have been developed. Activity 3.3 Summarize the Training Results and Improve the Chinese Voluntary Emission Reduction Trading Register System and Carbon Emission Trading Register System come from Relevant Institutions. Two sub-activities 3.3.1(Summarize and analyze the problems and suggestions which occurred during the System training.) and 3.3.2 (Improvement suggestions for Chinese Voluntary Emission Reduction Trading Register System and Carbon Emission Trading Register System.) are still in progress Innovation in 2013 In 2013, the project created a very innovative model for knowledge sharing and application by matching the knowledge according to different scales at sub-national, national and regional level with comprehensive perspectives from both public and private sector. This innovation is even more important for the work in 2014 when the technical stage is completed and testing/business model feasibility will be the key focus. More innovation will be needed for how public and private sector interact for ETS development for the project in 2014 and how to draw lessons and good practices from Norway and other developed country as well as EU for ETS development in China. 4. Project Management and Oversight Implementation status Progress to date has been satisfactory during the reporting period and the main targets of technical development stage have been achieved. As the main focus will include more institutional building and business model development testing in 2014, communication will need to be further enhanced to better share the good and practical experience in Norway and EU in order to enhance ETS development in China. The quality of project management structure for implementation is good. All project activities have been largely delivered on time. Monitoring and Evaluation 10 Annual Project Progress Report United Nations Development Programme 联合国开发计划署 The monitoring and evaluation management during the reporting period is adequate. Several rounds of meeting among NDRC, UNDP, and the Embassy were held and one assembly working level meeting with all key partners involved was held on regular basis. Midterm evaluation is completed with very positive conclusion of the project results achieved. The conclusions are as followed: The Projects are proceeding at a satisfactory rate but with some uncertainty on the desired outcomes and the extent of work required to deliver a functional and robust ETS system; The ETS Project has made satisfactory progress in building a strong foundation for a national ETS registry system. Moreover, the Project has taken pragmatic approaches that include the consolidation of the voluntary and national ETS systems in the country into one ETS system. An issue for consideration by the Project Managers, however, is the necessity of having a specific targeted final outcome of the activities that would include the intended state of the ETS system to be handed over to NDRC when all Project expenditures are exhausted; The benefits of NEA participation on these Projects are significant including their inputs and validation of NDRC’s approach to the design of enterprise-GHG guidelines, GHG inventories and ETS designs and operations. Human Resource Management Human resources were effectively managed and adequate to support progress. Risk management No significant risk was identified during the reporting period. The main risk will be the uncertainty of when the policy to endorse ETS development in China will be launched which may need more flexible technical upgrade. To manage the risk, the project needs to balance between building technical/institutional capacity and flexibility for new technology upgrade. Project will also strengthen the requests for the relevant procurements. Communication and advocacy Working seminars were held periodically to discuss the project progress. Communication among the Chinese project partners of this project (Tsinghua University, NCSC and Sino Carbon), NEA, PMO, UNDP, the Embassy is further strengthened through midterm evaluation. The next step work will be more focus on the business model, practical solutions and institutional /individual capacity building for ETS development, more close and intensive communication will be needed for better project implementation. 11 Annual Project Progress Report United Nations Development Programme 联合国开发计划署 5. Financial Management The ETS project is being delivered according to the planned budget with details as follows (amounts are all in US$): Source of Fund Expenditure Vs. Approved project budget by source of funding UNDP Government Cost Sharing Third Party Cost-sharing Other (please specify) Total Funds Received 2013 Budget 2013 Expenditure 2013 - - - 1,308,448.50 1,768,895 1,475,237.77 1,308,448.50 1,768,895 1,475,237.77 Table 1: Expenditure Vs. Approved project budget by source of funding Table 2: 2013 Financial Report It should be noted that 2 payments have been made by the Embassy during the year 2013 and the second payment was provided to cover the full project cost for newly proposed activities. The delivery rate is 83.4% against the planned budget as of December 31, 2013. The financial report includes the expenditures (NDRC and NEA) throughout the year of 2013. Part of the reason for increasing delivery is due to the overcharge of UNDP GMS cost in 2013, which will be recalculated by the end of the project. USD3,887,430.47 (NOK23,175,762.00) were received in project account and USD1,625,208.87 spent until December 31, 2012. Therefore, USD2,262,221.60 will be carried over to 2013. USD1,308,448.50 (NOK7,807,890.00) was received in 2013 and USD1,475,237.77 spent until Dec 31, 2013. Therefore, USD2,095,432.03 will be the total budget for 2014 for ETS project. 12 Annual Project Progress Report United Nations Development Programme 联合国开发计划署 Nevertheless, it shows clearly that NEA’s involvement is more limited than what was originally planned. Future possibilities to strengthen NEAs role in the project implementation could include 1) more participation in relevant workshops or smaller groups discussions with Chinese counterparts; 2) facilitating more international consultants from NEA to take part in the technical meetings/tel/video conference with national consultants to ensure NEA’s more contribution/input to the project; 3) besides the Norwegian experience, NEA’s experts can also share European and other countries’ smart solutions. 6. Management recommendations The following are recommendations from the mid-term evaluation and it should be further discussed and implemented based upon the agreement of Norway Embassy, NEA, NDRC and UNDP. Recommendation 1: Consider addressing the lack of specific desired outcomes and outputs of the ETS Project in the 2014 Work Plan. While the Evaluators understand that this may have been intentional, the use of SMART indicators to describe the desired outcomes (or objectives) and outputs of the ETS Project will provide a clearer picture of the expected results of the Project at its conclusion. More importantly, it can improve the ability for project managers to monitor their effectiveness in utilizing remaining resources for the remaining period of the Project. If there is a realization that targets or outcomes cannot be achieved during the course of the Project, project managers can reset these targets and outcomes through adaptive management and implementing changes to attain new targets and outcomes: The work plan can improve its definition on the duration and extent of the ETS registry testing phase that would include debugging software errors, introducing new functionalities, and changing software versions. The benefit to having a “measure” of the work remaining in the ETS system is to provide a target for project managers to manage remaining resources (e.g. how many times the system will be debugged or how many functionalities would be introduced). The lack of such measures may lead to difficulties in optimizing the use of remaining resources to needed actions to achieve targets, and in measuring the effectiveness of Norwegian technical assistance in subsequent project evaluations; Similar to providing measures of the ETS registry testing phase, the work plan can improve its definition of work required to strengthen ETS registry operational issues. This should include various approaches for dealing with fraud detection and prevention, stress testing for transaction volume spikes, and a control plan to maintain system integrity. Examples of measures for improving the operational aspects of the ETS may include: a quantity of fraud detection measures made during the remaining period of time; or a definition of stress tests on the ETS system that may include a certain volume of transactions over a one-day period (which has the potential to occur according to EU experience where enterprises could delay acting on trades until a deadline day for compliance such as April 30, a target date of EU compliance to ETS permits for a year); Setting of targets needs to be discussed and set with the relevant experts to ensure that the targets can be attained within the remaining budget and an appropriate time period. With the current terminal date of both GHG and ETS Projects being June 30, 2014, there will be new activities planned to meet new targets for the ETS Project that will provide justification for an extension of the terminal date beyond June 30, 2014; 13 Annual Project Progress Report United Nations Development Programme 联合国开发计划署 The work plans should make provisions for the ETS Project to target specialized assistance in the area of fraud prevention and system security. While there is good experience within China of such protection within the financial sector and government websites, the benefits of sourcing the best global expertise in this area are significant, especially in consideration of the potential value of a Chinese carbon market and the fiscal consequences of fraudulent transactions or security breaches into the system. Analogous to constant efforts in eradicating malaria, a solution to prevent all fraud and security breaches against an ETS is also a long-term effort as past human behaviour indicates that there will always be an evolution of new ideas and approaches for breaching the system1; Sufficient resources should be availed for NEA assistance to prepare an ETS user manual based on NEA experience in managing ETS systems in Norway and the EU. The provision of this assistance is significant with the understanding that there will not be any access to existing user manuals from other ETSs; The ETS work plan should acknowledge the uncertainty of when the State Council will authorize operationalization of the ETS system, and adjust their expectations of capacity building activities that would secure “corporate memory” of the ETS knowledge provided from these activities. Two actions are proposed: Formation of an “ETS Management Cell” housing all personnel with ETS operational knowledge. In comparison with other countries, the risk of loosing Chinese Government personnel in specific positions is lower; hence, provisions could be made to retain and secure personnel with ETS corporate memory until 2016 or later when the ETS is operational; Proceed with the current procurement process for ETS hardware as efficiently as possible considering the need of testing with a real system but with a provision that the system can be upgraded at a later date (this is related to Recommendation 3). This will allow future ETS operations personnel to be trained in 2014. A postponement of the procurement process of the ETS system will cause substantial delays to the ETS operation start-up date, increase the time delay between capacity building activities, and reduce the effectiveness of capacity building activities; While the experience of the Evaluators is not sufficient to provide specific recommendations on the allocation of remaining resources to the GHG and ETS Projects, they do recommend serious consideration for the extension of the GHG and ETS Projects from the end of June 2014 to the end of December 2014 or later. As such, a 2014 work plan with specific targets for the ETS testing phase and the strengthening of the ETS operational issues can provide the basis for an extension of the ETS project to the end of December 2014 or later. The additional time for an extension can be justified on the amount of time, effort and fiscal resources required to achieve newly defined outcomes, notably on security issues with the ETS Project, which could only be resolved once the testing phase is completed in April 2014 (or later if deemed appropriate); Recommendation 2: Other complementary ETS assistance to NDRC including the “Partnership for Market Readiness” Project of the World Bank should be documented in NEA progress reports. This will provide confidence to MFA and external reviewers of a minimization of overlap 1 Examples of ETS system security issues includes preferred persons with access to ETS transaction folders, filtering of certain e-mail addresses, double or triple approval of documents, and criminal checks of trading participants. 14 Annual Project Progress Report United Nations Development Programme 联合国开发计划署 between NEA technical assistance and ETS development with other donors 2 , and that the effectiveness of MFA resources is being maximized; Recommendation 3: If possible and for reasons of cost-effectiveness, NDRC should consider flexibility clauses in their current procurement process for ETS hardware to ensure that the best possible equipment is available when the State approves operationalization of the ETS system. The Evaluation team was informed that NDRC procurement of the ETS hardware is underway, and that any recommendation of delaying or halting of the process is not feasible. With an expected delay in ETS operationalization until 2016 or later pending State Council approval, there is a risk that the 2014 technology may be superseded by 2016 hardware improvements. By introducing flexibility in the procurement process of ETS hardware, NDRC can implement one of the following actions: a) proceed with procurement as currently scheduled considering the need of testing with a real system with the provision that the system can be suitably upgraded when the system is operational and at a reasonable cost; or b) proceed with procurement with a delayed delivery date to enable procurement of “next-generation” hardware in 2015 or later. The advantage of a system that can be upgraded is that the hardware can be setup at an early date allowing the training of operations personnel for the ETS system to commence at an earlier date. Regardless, the impact of implementing one of these actions will allow NDRC to maintain the desired momentum in its current procurement process (which may take until late 2014 or later to complete) and to procure the best hardware technologies available on the market; 6.1 Regular communication among the project partners is needed for effective implementation of the project. Communication is crucial to effective implementation of the projects. Communication should be increased and set for on a regular basis among all the partners while UNDP will take a lead in this. On the f project working meetings among the parties in November, a better system for communication between project management for information sharing, particularly on project progress, and possible delays, was put on the agenda. 6.2 Consider involving NEA beyond the planned activities. “Given the extensive experience and expertise in designing and implementing ETS in Norway, additional value of involving NEA (Norwegian) experts in the process of implementing the ETS project should be explored. Future possibilities for NEA to be more active in project implementation could include 1) more participation in relevant workshops or smaller groups discussions with Chinese counterparts; 2) facilitating more international consultants from NEA to take part in the technical meetings/tel/video conference with national consultants to ensure NEA’s more contribution/input to the project; 3) besides the Norwegian experience, NEA’s experts can also share European and other countries’ smart solutions. 6.3 Advanced notice is needed for involving NEA experts. 2 The Evaluation team is aware from NDRC of possible future contributions from GIZ and the EU for capacity building in the area of GHG and ETS development. 15 Annual Project Progress Report United Nations Development Programme 联合国开发计划署 Given NEA’s inputs are needed for jointly conducting training workshops and other activities, notices have to made to NEA earlier enough for them to set their schedules and apply for their visas, rather than giving only a 3-week leeway. Main activities, which need to involve NEA, will be discussed at the beginning of the year during the work plan preparation stage. During the implementation stage, if adjustment is needed NEA will be informed with sufficient time for the corresponding change needed. 7. Gender The ETS project is not meant to be a gender oriented project, however, women do take a considerable percentage among the 3 Chinese and NEA experts and the participants of the project-organized workshops, along the fact that the senior management and the PMO staff are all women on the Chinese side. 8. Anti-Corruption The anti-corruption measures have been put in place with annual auditing conducted on both the Chinese and NEA sides respectively. 9. Conclusion The general progress of ETS project has had a positive development during the report period and achieved satisfying progress. It is very encouraging to note that the two projects are in line with and useful to China’s priorities in climate change and emission reduction, which also fall into the Norwegian key priority area for bilateral cooperation with China. NDRC is confident about the cooperation in the future and impactful outputs are expected from the projects. For improved communication among the project management units, the domestic and international project partners, and the donor, a regular teleconference via phone/Skype plus emails, or workshops has been put in place and has been proven effective. In 2013, the project created a very innovative model for knowledge sharing and application by matching the knowledge according to different scales at sub-national, national and regional level with comprehensive perspectives from both public and private sector. This innovation is even more important for the work in 2014 when the technical stage is completed and testing/business model feasibility will be the key focus. More innovation will be needed for how public and private sector interact for ETS development for the project in 2014 and how to draw lessons and good practices from Norway and other developed country as well as EU for ETS development in China. 16