1 APPENDIX S1 2 Figure S1. Examples of glide polars, Vbg (best glide speed) and Vopt (the optimal 3 “speed-to-fly” speed). The glide polars of White stork (WS), Lesser spotted eagle (LSE), 4 Booted eagle (BE) and European bee-eater (EBE). Blue close circles represent species 5 Vbg. Close and open red circles represent species Vopt when climbing rate while soaring is 6 1 m s-1 (Vc1, close black circle) or 2 m s-1 (Vc2, open black circle), respectively. 7 8 Figure S2. The four nested grids of the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System 9 (RAMS) application used for the tracking radar’s locality near Idan in the northern 10 Arava, Israel. The black squares in panels A, B, and C represent the nested grid 11 domains. (A) 992 km × 992 km grid, with grid element size of 16 km × 16 km. (B) 248 12 km × 248 km grid, with grid element size of 4 km × 4 km. (C) 62 km × 62 km grid, with 13 grid element size of 1 km × 1 km. (D) 19.5 km × 19.5 km grid, with grid element size of 14 250 m × 250 m. 15 16 Figure S3. Convergence of gliding airspeed and intra-specific morphological 17 variation. Gliding airspeed (Va) converged to a narrow range of 2.7 ms-1 (white 18 background) within the much larger theorized range spanning 13.7 ms-1. For each species, 19 the mean Va (actual gliding airspeed) is depicted by a black dot within a bar that indicates 20 the range between Vbg (best glide speed) and Vopt (the optimal “speed-to-fly” speed); left 21 and right tips, respectively). Species abbreviations are given at the right of the figure (see 22 Table 1). This figure is identical to Figure 3 of the main text, with the addition of mean 23 Va calculated by bootstrapping the Risk Aversion Flight Index (RAFI; red open circles), 24 incorporating realistic estimates of intraspecific variation of bird biometric attributes 25 (Table S8). The bootstrap estimates also converged to a very similar small zone (marked 26 by dashed red lines), illustrating the robustness of this result to variation among 27 individuals. 28 29 Figure S4. The relationships between four species-specific morphological variables 30 and the Risk Aversion Flight Index (RAFI). The lines represent linear best fit of pairs 31 of variables. Species abbreviations are given following Table 1. 32 33 34 Table S1. Standard deviation (STD) of biometric attributes implemented in 35 bootstrapped estimation of the Risk Aversion Flight Index (RAFI), compared to 36 RAFI estimated from the mean value of each parameter. Species Body mass Wing span Wing area Mean bootstrapped Mean RAFI STD STD STD RAFI (from Table (kg) (m) (m2) (2.5%-97.5%) 1) Ciconia nigra 0.510 0.130 0.070 0.992 (0.958-1.014) 0.999 Ciconia ciconia 0.612 0.151 0.091 0.940 (0.924-0.958) 0.946 Pernis apivorus 0.136 0.089 0.036 0.285 (0.265-0.302) 0.290 Milvus migrans* 0.121 0.044 0.022 0.420 (0.401-0.439) 0.429 Circus aeruginosus 0.111 0.093 0.032 0.447 (0.433-0.458) 0.450 Circus pygargus 0.051 0.079 0.020 0.002 (-0.022-0.019) 0.004 Accipiter brevipes 0.037 0.049 0.010 0.243 (0.221-0.268) 0.258 Buteo buteo vulpinus* 0.069 0.047 0.022 0.101 (0.090-0.118) 0.109 Aquila pomarina 0.343 0.126 0.072 0.395 (0.378-0.407) 0.397 Aquila nipalensis* 0.467 0.144 0.030 0.812 (0.790-0.838) 0.820 Hieraaetus pennatus 0.101 0.081 0.028 0.377 (0.355-0.411) 0.406 Merops apiaster** 0.004 0.010 0.002 0.049 (0.022-0.062) 0.049 37 Notes: Results of 1000 runs randomly assigning value for each biometric parameter from 38 a normal distribution with the mean from Table 1 and standard deviation from this Table. 39 For species marked with an asterisk (*), STD was estimated based on species-specific 40 data in Mendelsohn et al. (1989). For Bee-eaters (**), STD was estimated from data in 41 Table S10. For all other species, STD was calculated from the mean using the following 42 conservative (90th percentile) estimates of the coefficient of variation based on data from 43 38 diurnal raptor species for body mass and wing area and 31 species for wing span 44 (Mendelsohn et al. 1989): 17% for body mass, 14% for wing area, and 7% for wing span. 45 46 Table S2. Risk Aversion Flight Index (RAFI) explained by species-specific 47 morphological traits using phylogenetically controlled regression. Morphological trait Linear model Logarithmic model best fit equation AICc best fit equation AICc Body mass y = 0.08 + 0.27x 382.95 y= 0.45 + 0.22log(x) 385.35 Wing span y= −0.44 + 0.61x 386.18 y= 0.24 + 0.57log(x) 388.25 Wing area y= − 0.09 + 1.70x 393.81 y= 0.78 + 0.27log(x) 390.98 Wing loading y= −0.45 + 0.24x 369.01 y= −0.71 + 0.93log(x) 352.77 Aspect ratio - - - - 48 Notes: Results of regressions between species-specific morphological traits (independent 49 factor; averaged for each species, see Table 1) and RAFI (dependent factor; averaged for 50 each species) using linear (y = a x + b) and logarithmic (y = a log x + b) models. The 51 regressions were computed with the phylogenetically controlled generalized least squares 52 method developed by Garland and Ives (2000) to minimize the effects of phylogenetic 53 bias. Phylogenetic data were taken from Griffiths et al. (2007) and Hackett et al. (2008). 54 The best model was selected based on the lowest Akaike Information Criterion value, 55 modified for small sample sizes (AICc; Burnham & Anderson 2002). Phylogenetic 56 regressions with aspect ratio as the independent variable resulted in negative R2 values 57 for both linear and logarithmic models, indicating that the model is unsuitable in these 58 cases. 59 Table S3. Risk Aversion Flight Index (RAFI) explained by species-specific 60 morphological traits. Morphological trait Linear model Logarithmic model best fit equation AICc best fit equation AICc Body mass y = 0.11 + 0.25x −39.94 y= 0.49 + 0.23log(x) −33.10 Wing span y = −0.32 + 0.54x −32.54 y= 0.29 + 0.57log(x) −28.33 Wing area y = 1.45x −33.44 y= 0.84 + 0.27log(x) −28.01 Wing loading y = −0.37 + 0.22x −45.66 y= −0.62 + 0.86log(x) −46.36 Aspect ratio y = 0.70 − 0.04x −18.50 y= 0.89 − 0.23log(x) −18.47 61 Notes: The results of simple, phylogenetically uncorrected, regression between species- 62 specific morphological traits (independent factor; averaged for each species, see Table 1) 63 and RAFI (dependent factor; averaged for each species). This analysis is similar to that 64 reported in Table S1, but was conducted using simple linear regressions without 65 controlling for phylogenetic effects. 66 67 Table S4. Circling radius in thermals explained by species-specific morphological 68 traits. Morphological trait Linear model Logarithmic model best fit equation AICc best fit equation AICc Body mass y = 10.02 + 0.72x −5.73 y = 11.16 + 0.72log(x) −4.70 Wing span y = 8.64 + 1.69x −3.94 y= 10.51 + 1.88log(x) −2.16 Wing area y= 9.68 + 4.29x −2.56 y= 12.30 + 0.90log(x) −1.50 Wing loading y= 8.60 + 0.65x −8.30 y= 7.99 + 2.43log(x) −5.93 Aspect ratio y= 11.20 − 0.03x 9.26 y = 11.57 − 0.31log(x) 9.26 69 Notes: The results of simple regressions between species-specific morphological traits 70 (independent factor; averaged for each species, see Table 1) and circling radius in 71 thermals (dependent factor; averaged for each species). 72 73 Table S5. Pearson’s r of the correlation between the five morphological traits 74 examined in radar tracked soaring migrants. 75 76 Body mass Wingspan Wing area Wing loading Aspect ratio Mass 1.00 0.92 0.96 0.96 -0.05 Wingspan - 1.00 0.97 0.86 -0.06 Wing area - - 1.00 0.88 -0.17 Wing loading - - - 1.00 -0.06 - - - - 1.00 Aspect ratio 77 Notes: The morphological attributes were given in Bruderer et al. (2010), except for the 78 steppe eagle, provided in Bruderer & Boldt (2001). 79 80 Table S6. Intra-specific variation in climb rate explained by Turbulence Kinetic 81 Energy (TKE). Source DF MS F P Species 11 0.35 0.75 0.69 TKE 1 9.33 9.33 <0.001 Species * TKE 11 0.43 0.43 0.51 Error 1322 0.47 82 Notes: The results of ANCOVA examining whether intra-specific variation in climb rate 83 during circling is affected by TKE (Turbulence kinetic energy). TKE (independent 84 covariate), and species (independent categorical variable) are explanatory variables in a 85 model that includes climb rates calculated from tracks of individual birds (dependent 86 variable). 87 88 Table S7. Intra-specific variation in Risk Aversion Flight Index (RAFI) explained 89 by soaring conditions. Source DF MS F P Species 11 7.81 21.01 <0.001 TKE 1 28.04 75.41 <0.001 Species * TKE 11 0.41 1.09 0.36 Error 0.37 1322 90 Notes: The results of ANCOVA examining whether intra-specific variation in RAFI is 91 affected by soaring conditions. Turbulence kinetic energy (TKE, independent covariate), 92 and species (independent categorical variable) are explanatory variables in a model that 93 includes RAFI values calculated from tracks of individual birds (dependent variable). 94 High values of TKE indicate good soaring conditions. 95 96 Table S8. Intra-specific variation in Risk Aversion Flight Index (RAFI) explained by 97 bird altitude at the start of the gliding phase. Source DF MS F Species 11 8.85 24.24 <0.001 Gliding altitude 1 35.44 97.03 <0.001 Species * Gliding altitude 11 Error 0.52 1.41 P 0.16 1322 0.37 98 Notes: The results of ANCOVA examining whether intra-specific variation in RAFI is 99 affected by bird altitude at the start of the gliding phase. Initial gliding height 100 (independent covariate), and species (independent categorical variable) are explanatory 101 variables in a model that includes RAFI values calculated from tracks of individual birds 102 (dependent variable). 103 104 Table S9. The effect of migration season on Risk Aversion Flight Index (RAFI) and 105 gliding airspeed (Va). RAFI Va Source DF MS F P DF MS F P Species 11 8.59 21.85 <0.001 11 36.93 2.83 <0.001 Season 1 0.48 1.23 0.27 1 24.44 1.87 0.17 Error 1335 0.39 1335 13.06 106 Notes: The results of ANOVA examining whether RAFI and gliding airspeed vary 107 between spring and autumn. Migration season and species are explanatory variables in a 108 model that includes RAFI values calculated from tracks of individual birds (dependent 109 variable). 110 111 Table S10. European bee-eaters (Meops apiaster) biometric data. Bird ID 112 113 Body mass Wing span (ring number) (kg) (m) CC29987 0.0544 0.442 CC30702 0.0488 0.442 CC30813 0.0643 0.441 CC30837 0.0552 0.415 CC30881 0.0526 0.441 CC30885 0.0535 0.442 CC30896 0.0512 0.443 C48417 0.0573 0.444 C48912 0.0531 0.439 CC30955 0.0543 0.449 CC30969 0.0542 Notes: Data were collected in Southern Israel at the springs of 2005 and 2006. 114 APPENDIX S1 REFERENCES 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 1. Bruderer B. & Boldt A. (2001). Flight characteristics of birds: I. radar measurements of speeds. Ibis, 143, 178-204. 144 145 2. Bruderer B., Peter D., Boldt A. & Liechti F. (2010). Wing‐beat characteristics of birds recorded with tracking radar and cine camera. Ibis, 152, 272-291. 3. Burnham K.P. & Anderson D.R. (2002). Model selection and multi-model inference: a practical information-theoretic approach. Springer. 4. Garland T. & Ives A.R. (2000). Using the past to predict the present: confidence intervals for regression equations in phylogenetic comparative methods. Am Nat, 155, 346-364. 5. Griffiths C.S., Barrowclough G.F., Groth J.G. & Mertz L.A. (2007). Phylogeny, diversity, and classification of the Accipitridae based on DNA sequences of the RAG‐1 exon. J Avian Biol, 38, 587-602. 6. Hackett S.J., Kimball R.T., Reddy S., Bowie R.C.K., Braun E.L., Braun M.J., Chojnowski J.L., Cox W.A., Han K.L. & Harshman J. (2008). A phylogenomic study of birds reveals their evolutionary history. Science, 320, 1763-1768. 7. Mendelsohn J.M., Kemp A.C., Biggs H.C., Biggs R. & Brown C.J. (1989). Wing areas, wing loadings and wing spans of 66 species of African raptors. Ostrich, 60, 35-42.