Descriptive Epidemiology Project-Rabies Dr. Carol Hoban Applied Epidemiology MPH 510 Cari M. Cooper February 3,2013 Over 55,000 people die annually of rabies, although mostly in Asia and Africa rabies occurs in more than 150 countries and territories. More than 15 million people worldwide receive a rabies vaccine annually. An annual vaccine is estimated to prevent thousands of deaths every year. Even with this data, according to the CDC, it is difficult to estimate the global impact of rabies by using only human mortality data. Rabies vaccinations have been around for more than a 100 years but because rabies mostly occurs in countries with inadequate public health resources, few diagnostic facilities and almost no rabies surveillance, it is really hard to define an absolute significance of rabies worldwide. Underreporting is a problem with almost every infectious disease in developing counties but rabies faces a unique problem. Since rabies in the natural sense is not a disease of humans, we also need to focus our efforts on to what extent the animal population is affected. We also need to focus most of our attention and expense on preventing transmission of rabies from animals to humans. Although we have found great success in animal vaccination and elimination of stray dogs, rabid dogs is still the cause of over 90% of human exposure to rabies which makes up 99% of human deaths from rabies worldwide. In the United States, rates of rabies have drastically changed in the last 100 years. Unlike the rates of rabies worldwide in the United States, more than 90% of rabies cases occur in wildlife, mostly bats and wild carnivores. Prior to 1960, the majority of cases were from domestic animals but due to education and vaccination rates have declined to about 100 annually around the turn of the century to 1 or 2 annually presently. Although rates of rabies are now a rarity in the United States, this does not come with out a cost. Public heath efforts which include vaccination of companion animals, control programs; maintenance of rabies laboratories, and medical costs, such as those incurred for rabies post exposure prophylaxis (PEP) cost the United States 300 million dollars annually. Rabies is a zoonotic disease (a virus or disease that is transmitted from humans to animals) that causes a deadly viral infection that is usually spread by infected animals to humans. The rabies virus belongs to the order Mononegavirales, a virus that is nonsegmented with negative stranded RNA genomes. This virus has a unique bullet shape and is classified as a animal virus in the Rhabdoviridae family. The structure of Rhabdoviruses are approximately 180 nm long and 75 nn wide. Included in the rabies genome are five proteins: nucleoprotein, phosphoprotein, matrix protein, glycoprotein and polymerase. All rhabdoviruses have two major structural components: a helical ribonucleoprotein core and a surrounding envelope. Once within a muscle or nerve cell, the virus undergoes replication. From the point of entry, the virus is neurotropic traveling quickly along the neural pathways into the central nervous system and then to other organs. The salivary glands receive high concentrations of the virus, thus allowing further transmission. The initial symptoms of rabies can cause a lot of discomfort and can range from flu like symptoms such as weakness, fever and headache but along with these symptoms there is usually pain or and unusually tingling pricking or burning sensation around the wound site. These initial symptoms may last for days. After this, the person infected with rabies will likely experience cerebral dysfunction, anxiety, confusion and agitation. If left untreated, the person may experience delirium, abnormal behavior, insomnia and hallucinations. The acute period of disease typically ends after 2 to 10 days. Once clinical signs of rabies appear, the disease is nearly always fatal. To date less than 10 documented cases of human survival from clinical rabies have been reported. The incubation period for rabies is typically 1–3 months, but I have found in my research in rare cases can range from 9 days to several years. Transmission for the rabies virus usually occurs when an infected animal bites a human. The infected salvia is passed to the man. Although rare rabies can be transmitted via other routes such as contamination of mucous membranes, aerosol transmission and ordeal and organ transplantations. Ingestion of raw meat or other tissues from animals infected with rabies is not a source of human infection. All mammals are susceptible to the rabies virus, however, in the United States and Canada bats are the source of most human rabies deaths. Raccoons, skunks, foxes, and coyotes are other species to watch out for when it comes to the rabies virus. Rabies can be diagnosed in animals fairly easy but not as easy in the human population. In animals, rabies can be diagnosed by using a direct fluorescent antibody test. This test looks for the presence of the rabies virus antigens in the animal’s brain tissue. No tests are available to diagnose rabies infection in humans before the onset of clinical disease, and unless the rabies-specific signs of hydrophobia or aerophobia are present, the clinical diagnosis may be difficult. Diagnosis in humans can be detected post mortem by finding the viral antigens in the dead humans brain and skin. Since the disease cannot be diagnosed in humans, it is imperative to find and test the animal that potentially infected the human host. Post-exposure prophylaxis or (PEP) is the most effective treatment after the suspected exposure to the rabies virus. PEP can prevent the onset of symptoms and prevent death. Post-exposure prophylaxis consists of: local treatment of the wound, a course of potent vaccine that is approved by the WHO and administration of rabies immunoglobulin in needed. It is also suggested to immediately use recommended first aid procedures if any unknown animal bites a human. Recommended first aids proceeded include immediate flushing and washing of the wound for a minimum of 15 minutes with soap and water, detergent or providone that kills the rabies virus. The best way to prevent rabies is through animal vaccination. Those with pets, especially dogs, cats and indoor ferrets are recommended to visit their veterinarian regularly to keep vaccination updated. Keeping direct supervision of dogs and keeping cats in ferrets inside is suggested to reduce the chance of having your pets infected with rabies. Having your pets spayed or neutered to help reduce unwanted pets is suggested as well as to call animal control if you notice any stray animals roaming though your neighborhood. Pre-exposure immunization is recommended for travelers who spend a lot of time outdoors is suggested along with those who work in an occupation that has a high risk of potential exposure with the rabies virus. Children are more at risk; about 40% of those bitten by a suspect infected animal are children under the age of 15. It may be a consideration to have them immunized as well, especially if they live or will be vacationing in a rural setting where potential infected animals live. It is estimated that 55.000 people die annually from rabies, however, morbidity and morbidity for rabies worldwide is hard to estimate, as there is major underreporting of the virus in underdeveloped countries where the majority of cases are found. Therefore, there is no confirmed estimate of cases but since rabies can be found in any mammal and therefore spread to humans, we must keep and eye on this virus and use preventive measures to reduce the risk worldwide. In the United States, the surveillance of human rabies is fairly well documented. In this century the mortality rates have gone from approximately 100 to and average presently of 2 or 3 annually. Rabies does not care about its host characteristics. Since the viruses are mostly transmitted through animal bites, it is can occur in any age, sex, marital status or ethnic group. Because children are more likely to play with stray animals, in general rabies has its highest rates in children. Nearly half the population of those bitten by an infected animal are children under the age of 15. Worldwide rabies is found more in specific geographical regions. Areas that have the highest rabies rates are documented in the would map below. The highest rates and risk areas are found in Central America, the upper portion of South America, Africa all of Asia and the eastern portion of Europe. Intermediate risk and rates of the rabies virus are Greenland, the lower portion of South America and a small portion of the Middle East. The lowest rabies risk areas can be found in the United States, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and Western Europe. Although my project is on human rabies, it is impossible to study human rabies when not looking at the rates of rabies in animals. I have included these maps on animals in the United States. There are no rabies cases found in Hawaii. Rabies, in general, is found in countries with lower socioeconomic profiles. These countries have fewer resources for both prevention and treatment. As stated earlier, the Untied States spends about 300 million dollars to keep rabies rates low. Many countries cannot afford this, therefore, higher rates are inevitable in countries with lower socioeconomics. Inadequate housing in areas with lower socioeconomic that are open to the elements, can of course, increase the rate of an infected animal getting inside and infecting people. Occupations where people are outdoors most of the time increases the risk of getting bit by an infected animal and increasing the change of the person getting rabies. Education, in itself, has no barring on if a person will get infected with rabies. Weather can affect the rate of rabies. According to and article published last year, United States outbreaks are linked to drought and warm weather. Cities that are located in drought stricken areas are said to be experiencing more dramatic spikes in rabies outbreaks in animals. This is due to the warm weather forcing infected animals to seek food and water in more urban areas. While the number of reported rabid animals declined nationwide in 2010, according to the most recent federal data, states such as South Dakota, Kansas and Texas have recently seen a jump in the number of skunks testing positive. In drought-stricken Texas, more than 1,000 animals last year were exposed to rabid skunks, double the number in 2010. As global warming continues, this rabies can become more of a threat. Overall rabies is an interesting virus, one of few who can easily be passed from an infected animal to a human host. Rabies is especially interesting because it can be treated and controlled through vaccination as we have found success in doing so in the United States. Like other infectious diseases, it is sad that underdeveloped countries do not have the same resources for prevention and treatment. Because of this, it is unlikely that rabies will ever be completely eliminated but it is unlikely that it will ever be large scale epidemic since the infected animal, for the most part, has to bit the human host and the human host is not contagious to spread the virus to other humans. References: American Human Association, (Feb, 2013), Rabies Facts & Prevention Tips Centers of Disease Control and Prevention, (Feb, 2013),Rabies around the world. Retrieved by http://www.cdc.gov/rabies/location/world/index.html Centers of Disease Control and Prevention, (Feb, 2013). The rabies virus. Retrieved by http:www.cdc.gov/rabies/transmission/virus.html Thinkprogress, (April, 2012), U.S. Rabies Outbreaks Linked to Drought, Warm Weather. Retrieved by http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/04/06/459614/usrabies-outbreaks-linked-to-drought-warm-weather/?mobile=nc World Heath Organization, Feb, 2013), Rabies, Retrieved by http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs099/en/