WEST SUSSEX JOINT STRATEGIC NEEDS ASSESSMENT 2014 Summary Appendix Drafted by Public Health Research Unit – September 2014 Contact jacqueline.clay@westsussex.gov.uk 1 Contents Page(s) Section 1 Population and Diversity 3 ‐ 12 Section 2 Wider Determinants of Health (Social and Place Wellbeing) 13 ‐ 26 Section 3 Lifestyles and Health Improvement 27 ‐ 36 Section 4 Health status, Life expectancy and Long Term Conditions 37 ‐ 60 Section 5 Service Utilisation 61 ‐ 66 Section 6: Views, experiences and prioritisation 67 ‐ 72 2 Section 1: Population and Diversity Overall Resident Population The latest population estimate (2013) shows that there are 821,370 people resident in West Sussex, of whom 148,400 are children (aged 0-15 years), 493,700 are people of working age (16-64 years) and 179,300 people aged 65 years or older. Over 27,700 people are aged 85 years or over. Over the last 10 years the overall population has increased by 7%, areas in the north of the county have experienced greater population growth. The resident population within the Clinical Commissioning Group (CCG) areas are approximately (these relate to 2012):Coastal West Sussex 486,000 Crawley 108,500 Horsham and Mid Sussex 223,500 The registered patient population1 (people registered with West Sussex GPs) is higher:Coastal West Sussex 490,900 Crawley 127,100 Horsham and Mid Sussex 227,200 Components of Population Change There are four components of change:-births; deaths; internal migration (from/to elsewhere in the UK) and direct international in/out migration. Overall, in West Sussex, population growth is driven by net internal migration, but this does differ across the county (Table 1.1). Table 1.1 Population Components of Change 2012 to 2013 (Figures are rounded so may not sum) Mid-2012 Population Estimate Natural Change (Births - deaths Internal Migration Net International Migration Net 61,930 70 520 151,385 -470 1,500 Chichester 114,520 -280 860 Crawley 108,300 840 -600 Horsham 132,160 -50 820 Mid Sussex 141,160 210 1,390 Worthing 105,660 -170 730 West Sussex 815,120 150 5,220 *Other changes include changes to the size of armed forces stationed in the UK Source: ONS Adur Arun -10 380 140 400 -50 0 -110 750 Other* Changes Mid-2013 Population Estimate 0 20 60 20 -10 10 0 100 62,510 152,820 115,300 108,970 132,880 142,770 106,120 821,370 1 This includes people who are registered with a West Sussex GP but live outside the county and excludes people who live in the county but are registered with a GP outside of the county. 3 Births and Deaths In 2013 there were 8,835 births in West Sussex2 and 8,672deaths3 (Figure 1.1). After a period of growth from the early to mid-2000s, the number of births has remained fairly stable over recent years,. The total period fertility rate4 (TPFR) is 1.90; not significantly different from the national rate. Figure 1.1 Number of Registered Births and Deaths West Sussex 2000 to 2013 Source: ONS Birth data shows that the average age of the mother is 30 years. Each year there are approximately 350 to 550 births to women under the age of 20. First time teenage mothers are the target group for the Family Nurse Partnership. Migration (Internal and International) The ONS estimate5 migration using a range of administrative datasets including GP registers and higher education databases. For international migration a broad range of survey data is also used including migrant worker and the Labour Force Surveys. Net Internal Migration by Age The annual net migration pattern for West Sussex (Figure 1.2a) contrasted with the annual pattern observed in Brighton and Hove (Figure 1.2b). Brighton and Hove, with two universities, sees a large influx of younger people, but does not see net inward migration in older groups. In West Sussex, we see a large movement out of the county in the late teens and early 20s, reflecting the movement of young people to higher education. While some move back in the early 20s, this does not match 2 ONS - Live births by area of usual residence of mother 3 ONS – Deaths registered during 2013. 4 The total fertility rate or total period fertility rate is the average number of children a woman would bear if she experienced current age specific fertility rates throughout her reproductive life span. This means a figure of 1.90 means on average in West Sussex women would be expected to have 1.90 children. 5 Detailed methodology provided in ‘Population estimates for local authorities across UK constituent countries: a comparison of data sources and methods’ (ONS 2012) 4 the earlier out-migration. In-migration also occurs in later age groups, with some in migration of families with children and also around retirement and very old age groups; this may reflect the location of care homes. There is a net inward migration of 1,500 people aged 60 years or over. Figure 1.2a West Sussex (2013 data shown) Net migration by individual age groups Figure 1.2b Brighton and Hove (2013 data shown) Net migration by individual age groups Source: West Sussex Public Research Unit analysis of ONS data National Insurance Number Registration Information from National Insurance registration6 by international migrants is provided below, note this is not net data, this relates to inflow only. This information provides an indication of the number, ages and origin of new international migrants to the county. Figure 1.3 National Insurance Registrations (Source: DWP) In 2013/14 there were over 5,600 National Insurance Number Registrations which listed West Sussex as their initial registration location. Of these 3,230 were from new EU Accession countries, 1,350 from EU Countries. Source: DWP 6 A National Insurance Number is generally required by any overseas nationals who are looking to work or claim benefits / tax credits in the UK, this includes the self-employed or students working part time. 5 Projected Population The West Sussex population is forecast7 to increase from 815,000 (2012) to 881,000 (2022) and 971,000 (2037) (Figure 1.4). The age structure of the population is continuing to age, with larger increases projected in the very old age groups (85+ and 90+ years). The number of people aged 90+ is expected to increase by 50% by 2022 and over 300% by 2037 (from 10,000 in 2012 to over 30,000 in 2037). Figure 1.4 Population Age Structure 2012 and 2037 The population pyramid shows the current population ((in the bars) and the projected population for 2037. This shows a clear bulge of older people. There is also a reduction in the proportion of people in working age groups. Specific Groups There are a number of specific groups within the population who have “protected characteristics” or may have different health needs. “Protected characteristics” under the Equality Act 2010 are: - Age - Sex - Pregnancy and maternity - Race - Religion and belief - Disability - Marriage and civil partnership - Sexual orientation - Gender reassignment Data relating to age, gender and pregnancy was outlined in the overall population section. 7 The ONS produces local authority level population forecasts on an annual basis. The figures provided in this summary relate to projections released in May 2014. 6 Race / Ethnic Background West Sussex is becoming more ethnically diverse. Data from the 2011 census showed that 11% of the population was from an ethnic minority, compared with 6.5% in 2001. Of the black and ethnic minority (BME) groups, “white other” accounted for 4% of the West Sussex population. Table 1.2 Ethnic Background of West Sussex Population Numbers (Figures rounded so may not sum) West Sussex 2011 Census Data White: English/Welsh/Scottish/Northern Irish/British White: Irish White: Gypsy or Irish Traveller White: Other White Mixed/multiple ethnic group: White and Black Caribbean Mixed/multiple ethnic group: White and Black African Mixed/multiple ethnic group: White and Asian Mixed/multiple ethnic group: Other Mixed Asian/Asian British: Indian Asian/Asian British: Pakistani Asian/Asian British: Bangladeshi Asian/Asian British: Chinese Asian/Asian British: Other Asian Black/African/Caribbean/Black British: African Black/African/Caribbean/Black British: Caribbean Black/African/Caribbean/Black British: Other Black Other ethnic group: Arab Other ethnic group: Any other ethnic group Source: ONS Census 2011 SOUTH EAST ENG 806,890 8,634,800 53,012,500 717,550 5,980 1,070 31,900 2,890 2,060 4,270 2,940 9,660 5,240 2,350 2,960 8,130 4,570 1,340 1,240 1,080 1,680 7,359,000 73,600 14,500 380,700 46,000 22,800 58,800 40,200 152,100 99,200 28,000 53,100 119,700 87,300 34,200 14,400 19,400 31,700 42,279,200 517,000 54,900 2,430,000 415,600 161,600 332,700 283,000 1,395,700 1,112,300 436,500 379,500 819,400 977,700 591,000 277,900 221,000 327,400 Percentage West Sussex SOUTH EAST 88.9% 0.7% 0.1% 4.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% ENG 85.2% 0.9% 0.2% 4.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.6% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 79.8% 1.0% 0.1% 4.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 2.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.7% 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% Religion Religion remains a voluntary question on the Census, approximately 62% of residents8 stated they were Christians on the last census. Table 1.3 Religion (2011 Census) Religion Christian Buddhist Hindu Jewish Muslim Sikh Other religion No religion Religion not stated Number of People (figures are rounded so may not sum) % of Total Population West Sussex South East England West Sussex South East England 498,350 3,050 7,350 1,450 12,650 1,150 4,100 216,850 61,900 5,160,150 43,950 92,500 17,750 201,650 54,950 39,650 2,388,300 635,850 31,479,900 238,650 806,200 261,300 2,660,100 420,200 227,850 13,114,250 3,804,100 61.8% 0.4% 0.9% 0.2% 1.6% 0.1% 0.5% 26.9% 7.7% 59.8% 0.5% 1.1% 0.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.5% 27.7% 7.4% 59.4% 0.5% 1.5% 0.5% 5.0% 0.8% 0.4% 24.7% 7.2% Source: ONS 8 This includes children, where the head of household provided religion. This excluded people who were residents of communal establishments. 7 Disability – Overall Figures The Government defines disability as “a physical or mental impairment that has a ‘substantial’ and ‘long-term’ negative effect on a person’s ability to do normal daily activities” (Equality Act 2010). This definition of disability focusses on the experience of the individual in terms of their interactions in society and in completing everyday tasks (e.g. self-care and mobility). The census 2011 included the following question:- Over 17% of the population said that a health problem or disability acted to limit their daily activities, with 7.5% saying their activities were limited “a lot”. Not surprisingly older people were more likely to say activities were limited, 49% of people aged 65 years or over saying a health problem or disability affected their daily lives, compared with 8% of 16 to 49 year olds. Table 1.4 Day to Day activities limited in West Sussex (2011) Day to Day Activities Number Day to Day Activities % (of the age group) (rounded to nearest 50) All Ages 0 to 15 years 16 to 49 years 50 to 64 years 65 years & over Limited a lot Limited a little Not limited Limited a lot Limited a little Not limited 60,150 1,900 10,750 11,200 36,300 78,700 3,000 15,950 16,850 42,900 668,000 140,050 312,100 128,500 87,400 7.5% 1.3% 3.2% 7.2% 21.8% 9.8% 2.1% 4.7% 10.8% 25.8% 82.8% 96.6% 92.1% 82.1% 52.5% Figure 1.5 Age standardised long-term limiting illness (2001 and 2011) People with a Limiting Long Term Illness or Disability per 100 of the Population. Data have been age standardised to take account the different age structures of local authority populations. Sources: 2001 Census (S016 - Sex and age by general health and limiting long-term illness) and 2011 Census (LC3205EW - Long-term health problems). Age standardisation used the new European Standard Population (ESP) 8 Figure 1.6 Residents with a health condition or disability limiting day-to-day activities (a little or a lot) Standardised Rate (Per 100 Population) This map shades Lower Super Output Areas (LSOAs) in West Sussex. There are over 500 LSOAs, each with approximately 1,500 households. Areas shaded dark blue on this map have higher rates of disability. Data have been age standardised to take into account the different age structure within local areas. This shows that areas along the coast and west Crawley have higher rates of people with long term limiting illness of disability. There are also shows pockets of higher rates across the county. Source: Census 2011 (Broad Age Group) Note: Excludes people living in communal establishments, broad age Groups Marriage and civil partnership Half of the population (aged 16 years or over) are married or in a civil partnership. Comparing 2011 with 2001 data, in 2011 there was a higher percentage of the population who are single and have never been married (Figure 1.7). Table 1.5 Marital Status (Census 2011) Figures relate to Census 2011 Figures are rounded so may not sum % - Population Aged 16+ Single (never married or never registered a same-sex civil partnership) 190,550 28.8% Married 335,250 50.6% 1,600 0.2% Separated (but still legally married or still legally in a same-sex civil partnership) 16,350 2.5% Divorced or formerly in a same-sex civil partnership which is now legally dissolved 64,300 9.7% Widowed or surviving partner from a same-sex civil partnership 53,950 8.2% 661,950 100.0% In a registered same-sex civil partnership Total 16+ Population (2011 Census) Source: ONS Census 2011 Table KS103EW Figure 1.7 Percentage Change in Marital Status (West Sussex 2001 to 2011) *Includes people (in 2011) in a civil partnership. **Includes civil partnership dissolution. ***includes surviving partner from a civil partnership. 9 Sexual Orientation There is no single national survey relating to sexual orientation and a question was not included in the Census 2011. Research provides a wide range of estimates (from 0.3% to 10%). The Integrated Household Survey (IHS) between April 2011 and March 2012 estimated that nationally: 93.9% of adults identified themselves as heterosexual/straight. 1.1% identified themselves as Gay or Lesbian. 0.4%identified themselves as Bisexual. 0.3% identified themselves as ‘Other’. 3.6% stated ‘Don’t know’ or refused to answer the question. 0.6% stated ‘No response’ to the question. Nationally, the Government works to an estimate9 of between 5%-7% of the population being lesbian, gay or bisexual. Gender reassignment The protected characteristic relating to gender re-assignment relates to a range of people, including people whose gender identity is different from their biological sex (at birth), a small group of people who have undergone gender re-alignment surgery but also a broader group of people whose experience of their gender is not aligned to “societal expectations or norms”. There is no single source of data identifying prevalence. In 2007 research10 identified the prevalence of people who had sought medical support being 20 per 100,000 (with 80% of people seeking care being male), and an incidence rate of approximately 3.0 per 100,000 people. Additional Groups Carers According to the Census 2011, over 84,000 people stated that they provided unpaid care. The census identified 1,500 child carers, although this is likely to be an under-estimate. 16,792 people provide 50 hours or more of unpaid care and a further 9,280 people provide 20-49 hours a week. Of the 84,400 carers, the majority of carers were aged 50 years or over and the majority (58%) were women. Of those providing unpaid care the percentage of carers caring for 20 hours or more has increased from 26% in 2001 to 31% in 2011. People who provide 50 hours of unpaid care a week have significantly poorer health than people who are not carers. Data collected as part of the West Sussex Older People Survey in 2013 showed that carers providing full time care, and living with the person they cared for were more likely to be lonely then the general over 65+ year population. 9 Source: Estimating the size and composition of the Lesbian, Gay and Bisexual population of Britain, Equality & Human Rights Commission 2009 GIRES. The Number of Gender Variant People in the UK - Update 2011. 10 10 Table 1.6 Provision of Unpaid Care (All Hours) Numbers are rounded to nearest 10 so may not sum Numbers Age Groups 16 to 24 25 to 34 290 450 Adur All Ages 6,950 0 to 15 170 Arun 16,550 260 630 Chichester 35 to 49 1,750 50 to 64 2,520 65+ 1,770 910 3,510 6,040 5,200 12,490 190 430 610 2,600 4,910 3,750 Crawley 9,900 210 630 1,150 2,790 3,370 1,740 Horsham 13,640 230 470 670 3,230 5,570 3,470 Mid Sussex 13,980 270 530 820 3,390 5,610 3,370 Worthing 10,880 170 480 810 2,700 3,920 2,810 84,400 1,490 3,470 5,440 19,970 31,920 22,100 West Sussex Source: ONS Census 2011 Young carers Data on young carers are collected via the Census, and 1,500 young people were identified as providing unpaid care in West Sussex from the 2011 Census (Table 1.6). This is likely to be an under estimation. National research has identified young carers as a group at risk of poorer health outcomes. The Longitudinal Study of Young People in England (LSYPE) found that young carers are: 1.5 times more likely to have a disability or long-term condition themselves. 1.5 times more likely to be from a black, Asian or minority ethnic group Twice as likely not to speak English as their first language Young carers are also more likely to live in workless or lower income households as well as with an adult who has a disability. These factors contribute towards increased stress and poorer mental wellbeing experienced by the carer. The Armed Forces Military Veterans. There is no single definition used by all organisations and services. The Ministry of Defence (MOD) defines a veteran “as anyone who has served in HM Armed Forces at any time, irrespective of length of service (including National Servicemen and Reservists)”. It is estimated11 that, using this broad definition, that there are approx. 66,500 military veterans in West Sussex. Of these veterans the vast majority are men (estimated at 87%) and 66% aged 65 years or over. People Currently Serving in the Armed Forces. According to the 2011 Census there are approximately 3,500 residents in West Sussex currently serving in the Armed Force, of these approximately 900 live in Chichester, on or near to the Thorney Island military base. Students There are 36,000 full time students living in West Sussex. The majority are aged between 16 and 19 years and live at home with their parents. This reflects the higher school leaving age. 11 Source of data - There is no single data source for estimating the number of military veterans. Although the decennial census includes a question on current occupation, which includes a category for people serving in the Armed Forces, there is no question on previous service history. This estimate is based on surveys conducted by the Royal British legion and ONS research. 11 Table 1.7 Full-time students (Figures rounded to nearest 100 so may not sum) Age Number 16-19 years 20-24 years 25+ years All ages Source: Census 2011 25,700 5,900 4300 35,900 Gypsies and Travellers For the first time, the 2011 Census included an ethnic background category “White: Gypsy or Irish Traveller”. Over 1,000 people self-identified with this category in West Sussex. It is likely that this is an under-estimation of Gypsies and Travellers in the county. Some people will have identified under other categories, including mixed ethnic groups. A health needs assessment undertaken in West Sussex in 2010 provided an estimate of between 3,000 and 3,500 gypsy and travellers in West Sussex. This estimate used a range of evidence include school ethnic monitoring data, caravan and pitch counts and information from local authorities. Families There are approximately 234,000 families in West Sussex; of whom about 40% of families have dependent children (Table 1.8), although this varies across West Sussex from 35% in Arun to 47% in Crawley. In relation to families with dependent children (Table 1.8), approximately 1 in 4 families are lone parent families. Table 1.8 Families with dependent Children All Families with dependent children Couple family Lone parent families Adur 6,940 5,095 3,840 1,255 1,840 200 1,645 % Lone Parent Families 26.5% Arun 15,400 11,355 8,895 2,460 4,045 420 3,625 26.3% Chichester 11,755 9,175 7,615 1,560 2,585 240 2,345 22.0% Crawley 14,020 10,160 8,155 2,010 3,860 365 3,495 27.5% Horsham 15,460 12,655 10,790 1,865 2,805 325 2,480 18.1% Mid Sussex 16,990 13,965 11,850 2,115 3,025 295 2,730 17.8% Worthing 12,095 8,855 6,980 1,875 3,240 375 2,865 26.8% Married or civil partnership Cohabiting Total Male parent Female parent 92,665 71,265 58,120 13,145 21,400 2,220 19,180 23.1% 1,041,020 6,408,565 791,970 4,571,080 643,540 3,619,145 148,430 951,935 249,050 1,837,485 28,410 201,115 220,640 1,636,370 23.9% 28.7% West Sussex South East England Total Source: ONS Census 2011 12 SECTION 2: Wider Determinants of Health (Social and Place Wellbeing) Education There is a strong link between education and health, and actions taken to improve educational attainment may also have a positive impact on health. Adults 20% of adults in West Sussex have no qualifications, compared with 22.5% nationally. However this varies across the county, in Adur 25.6% of adults have no qualifications compared with 14.8% in Mid Sussex. Data from the decennial census show that the percentage of the adult population with no qualifications has dropped 4.2% in the 10 years. 27.8% of 16-74 year olds in West Sussex achieved Level 4 qualifications or higher (degree level or above), to the England average (27.4%), but this is lower in Adur, Arun, Crawley and Worthing. Children and Young People In 2012/13 52.4% of children were assessed as having a good level of development at the end of the reception year at school, this was higher than the national percentage of 51.6%. For children eligible for a free school meal the percentages were far lower at 33.2% (West Sussex) and 36.2% (England). In 2012/13 59.9% of pupils12 attained 5 or more GCSE grades at A*-C grades in West Sussex. This was below the England percentage of 60.8%. 33% of pupils eligible for a free school meal attained this benchmark compared with 62% of children not eligible (Figures 2.1a and 2.1b); again these are below the England percentages of 38% and 64.8% respectively. Pupils attaining 5+ A*-C Grades at GCSE Figure 2.1a Children Eligible for a Free School Meal Figure 2.1b Children Not Eligible Source: DfE In 2013 4.9% of teenagers aged 16-18 were not in education, employment or training (NEET) within West Sussex, this is lower than the national rate (7.6%). 12 In state maintained schools in West Sussex. 13 Employment and Economic Activity Rate The Marmot Review13 identified that good employment acted as a protective factor for health, and that unemployment was detrimental to health. The Review found that jobs needed to be sustainable, provide opportunities for development and provide a minimum standard of living. The overall economic activity rate in West Sussex is high; during the period January to December 2013 almost 84% of people aged 16 to 64 years were economically active, far higher than the national rate and the South East (77.4% and 80% respectively). Unemployment is low. 1.3% (May 2014) of the working age claiming Job Seekers Allowance, compared with 2.6% across the country as a whole. There are however over 22,000 people on sickness benefits in West Sussex (Figure 2.2). Figure 2.2 People in Receipt of Employment Support Allowance (ESA) or Incapacity Benefit West Sussex 1999 to 2014 Source: NOMIS The percentage of 16-64 year olds on sickness benefits has remained fairly stable (4.5% of people aged 16-64 years in February 2014 were in receipt of sickness benefits in West Sussex). Although the rate in West Sussex remains below the national rate, nationally the percentage has fallen (Figure 2.3). Figure 2.3 % Resident Population (aged 16-64) in receipt of Sickness Benefits 1999 to 2014 West Sussex and GB Compared Source: NOMIS 13 'Fair Society Healthy Lives' (The Marmot Review 2010) 14 There are also large gaps between people the employment rates of all people and those in contact with secondary mental health services (65.6% gap in 2012/13) and people with a learning disability (58.3% gap in 2012). 4,730 people in West Sussex are in receipt of Carers Allowance (as of February 2014), this represents 1% of the working age population. Deprivation There are two key sources of information in relation to deprivation, the Index of Deprivation 2010 (ID2010) and the 2011 Census. Data from the Index of Deprivation Using information from ID2010, West Sussex is a relatively affluent county. County level data however masks considerable differences within areas and there are some very deprived neighbourhoods. In 2010 West Sussex ranked 130th out of 152 upper-tier authorities on the Indices of Deprivation; in 2007 West Sussex ranked 132nd. In relation to neighbouring authorities, West Sussex is relatively less deprived than East Sussex (ranked 90th) and Brighton and Hove (ranked 53rd); more deprived than Hampshire (ranked 141st) and Surrey (ranked 150th). The most deprived lower-tier authority in West Sussex is Adur (ranked 145th out of 326 local authorities); the least deprived Mid Sussex (ranked 315th). In relation to “neighbourhood level” deprivation, West Sussex has three small areas (within River and Ham wards in Littlehampton) falling in the 10% most deprived areas in England. At ward level River and Ham wards are within the most deprived 10% of ward in England, a further seven wards are within the most deprived 20% in England . Decline in coastal areas, such as Littlehampton, is in line with the wider national picture of coastal decline, for example areas such as Eastbourne and Hastings and coastal resorts in Kent becoming relatively more deprived. Data from the 2011 Census The Census provides information at output area level, an output area contains approximately 125 households and as such provides a more detailed picture than the ID2010. The census examines four dimension of deprivation:1. Employment (deprivation identified where any member of a household not a full-time student is either unemployed or long-term sick). 2. Education (deprivation identified where no person in the household has at least level 2 education, and no person aged 16-18 is a full-time student) 3. Health and disability (deprivation identified where any person in the household has general health ‘bad or very bad’ or has a long term health problem). 4. Household overcrowding (deprivation identified when the household accommodation is either overcrowded, with an occupancy rating -1 or less, or is in a shared dwelling, or has no central heating.) 15 Information is provided where households have none of the above, and where households “score” on one, two, three or score on all dimensions of deprivation (Table 2.1). Table 2.1 Deprived Households All households Household is not deprived in any dimension Deprived in 1 dimension Deprived in 2 dimensions Deprived in 3 dimensions Deprived in 4 dimensions % of deprived in 3 or 4 dimensions Coastal CCG 212,040 93,290 72,650 37,530 7,720 850 4.0% Crawley CCG 42,730 17,970 14,780 7,890 1,920 170 4.9% Horsham & Mid Sussex CCG 90,850 48,980 28,130 11,420 2,150 170 2.6% 345,610 160,240 115,560 56,840 11,790 1,190 3.8% 3,555,460 1,695,910 1,145,830 569,740 129,940 14,040 4.0% 22,063,370 9,385,650 7,204,180 4,223,980 1,133,620 115,940 5.7% West Sussex South East England Source: Census 2011 Figure 2.4 Households with 3 or 4 Measures of Deprivation Source: Census 2011 16 Child Poverty Children growing up in poverty are more likely to have lower educational, health and longer term economic outcomes. Approximately 22,000 children in West Sussex live in low income families, half of all families in poverty in West Sussex have a young child, aged 0-4 years. Rates of child poverty vary considerable across the county, with almost 19% of children (under 16 years) living in poverty in Crawley to less than 9% in Mid Sussex. Ham ward in Arun has the highest child poverty rate with 33.1%, with one neighbourhood having a child poverty rate of 43.4%. Table 2.2 Child Poverty Rates 2007 to 2011 ALL CHILDREN 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Number % Number % Number % Number % Number % Adur 2,100 17.3% 2,030 16.8% 2,215 18.2% 2,070 16.9% 2,045 16.5% Arun 4,555 16.4% 4,345 15.7% 4,625 16.5% 4,445 15.8% 4,440 15.8% Chichester 2,595 12.0% 2,625 12.1% 2,775 12.6% 2,695 12.2% 2,570 11.7% Crawley 4,145 18.1% 4,190 17.9% 4,585 19.0% 4,695 18.9% 4,675 18.4% Horsham 2,405 8.8% 2,345 8.6% 2,595 9.4% 2,505 9.1% 2,395 8.7% Mid Sussex 2,390 8.3% 2,290 7.9% 2,535 8.6% 2,420 8.2% 2,425 8.1% Worthing 3,130 15.1% 2,985 14.3% 3,315 15.7% 3,270 15.4% 3,155 14.7% 21,320 13.2% 20,815 12.8% 22,640 13.8% 22,100 13.3% 21,695 13.0% South East 264,730 14.9% 260,920 14.5% 280,755 15.4% 275,935 15.0% 270,945 14.6% ENGLAND 2,397,645 21.6% 2,341,975 20.9% 2,429,305 21.3% 2,367,335 20.6% 2,319,450 20.1% West Sussex Source: HMRC Community Safety Crime and disorder can have a serious impact on physical and mental wellbeing. Beyond actual crime the fear of crime can affect the quality of life. A range of outcomes in the Public Health Outcomes Framework relate to crime and also to older people’s perception of safety in the community. West Sussex has a low rate of violent crime, in 2012/13 the rate was 8.9 per 1,000 population compared with a national rate of 10.6. Hospital admissions for violence14 are relatively low in West Sussex, in 2010/11-2012/13 there were 37 emergency admissions for violence per 100,000 of the population compared with a national rate of 57.6 per 100,000. In 2011 re-offending rates were slightly lower than national level (24.7% of offenders re-offended in West Sussex compared with 26.9% nationally). The rate of first time entry into the criminal justice system has fallen15 in West Sussex from 1,104 per 100,000 10-17 year olds in 2010, to 458 in 2013. 14 The number of emergency hospital admissions for violence (external causes: ICD-10 codes X85 to Y09). Directly age standardised rate per 100,000 population. 15 Rates of young people receiving their first reprimand, warning or conviction per 100,000 10-17 year old population. Data extracted from PHOF Outcomes Tool. 17 18 Fear of Crime A Community Survey was undertaken in West Sussex in 2014 and included two specific questions relating to general feelings of safety:- How safe or unsafe do you feel when outside in your local area during the day? - How safe or unsafe do you feel when outside in your local area after dark? This survey found that people in West Sussex, as a whole felt safe. In relation to daytime safety over 98% of people overall, and 97% of people aged over 75 years said that they felt safe or very safe. In relation to safety after dark, 87% of people said they felt safe or very safe after dark; this was significantly lower in people aged 75 years or over. Figure 2.5 % Respondents who said The Felt Safe or Very Safe after Dark Source: West Sussex Community Survey 2014 (n= 3,917). West Sussex Public Health Research Unit Road Accidents The rate of people killed or seriously injured on West Sussex roads remains significantly above the England rate, in 2010-2012, the rate was 51.4 per 100,000, compared with the England rate of 40.5 per 100,000. At a local authority level Chichester and Horsham have higher rates (Figure 2.6). Figure 2.6 People Killed or Seriously Injured on the roads in West Sussex Rate per 100,000 of the resident population (2010-2012 pooled data) Source : DfT 19 Housing and Homelessness The relationship between housing and wider health outcomes is complex. People who are most at risk of living in poor housing will be those with existing, and sometimes multiple problems; but for some people health problems can be triggered by housing problems. For example it is estimated that 20% of homeless young people started drug use after they became homeless, in part due to greater exposure to drugs. For others having a long term condition or health problem makes them more vulnerable to becoming homeless. People who are homeless may also find it difficult to access services and sustain treatment. Information submitted to DCLG in 2012 estimated that 85 people were sleeping rough (on the street) in West Sussex (Table 2.3) Table 2.3 West Sussex Estimates 2011 and 2012 Autumn 2011 Count and Estimate Total Autumn 2012 Count and Estimate Total 0 10 15 11 2 5 7 50 0 26 26 17 2 6 8 85 Adur Arun Chichester Crawley Horsham Mid Sussex Worthing West Sussex Source: DCLG Overall West Sussex has a low rate of statutory homelessness16, in 2012/13 1.54 households per 1,000 households were accepted as homeless in West Sussex; however the figure was far higher in Crawley at 6.6 per 1,000, higher than other areas in the county and the England rate (Table 2.4). Table 2.4 Numbers Accepted as being homeless and in priority need (Rate per 1,000 Households) 2004/5 2005/6 2006/7 2007/8 2008/9 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 Adur 5.4 Arun 2.3 Chichester 1.3 Crawley 6.0 Horsham 2.5 Mid Sussex 1.6 Worthing 2.4 England 5.7 Source: DCLG P1E Data 5.9 1.7 1.7 3.9 1.8 1.1 2.8 4.5 3.8 1.6 1.7 2.1 1.4 1.2 2.2 3.5 2.7 0.9 1.1 2.6 1.1 0.8 1.6 3.0 2.6 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.5 0.5 0.7 2.5 2.7 0.8 0.9 2.0 1.7 0.6 0.4 1.9 3.3 1.2 1.0 3.0 2.3 0.9 0.4 2.0 2.2 1.5 1.0 3.5 4.3 0.7 0.3 2.3 2.9 0.8 0.6 6.6 1.3 0.7 0.4 2.4 16 people who are accepted by local housing authorities as being unintentional homeless and in priority need 20 Temporary accommodation - At any one time between 500 and 600 children and their families are placed in temporary accommodation; half of these children live in Crawley. Overall temporary accommodation may not be of poor quality but at different periods in 2013/14 a small number of families with dependent children had been placed in temporary bed and breakfast accommodation for longer than 6 weeks in West Sussex, contrary to national guidelines; these in the main were in the Horsham/Crawley area of the county (Figure 2.7). Figure 2.7 Families with children in Bed and Breakfast accommodation for more than 6 weeks, (Excluding those pending review) (Quarterly snapshots) There are over 17,000 households on social housing lists in West Sussex. In 2013 there was a net increase in affordable homes of just 580. Housing affordability (both in terms of buying a home or renting one) is becoming an increasing problem. Environment Air Quality Poor air quality is an environmental risk to health, increasing the risk of cardiovascular and respiratory disease. A measure relating to air quality is included within the Public Health Outcomes Framework. This measure estimates the percentage of deaths (of people aged 30 years or over) that can be associated with long-term exposure to anthropogenic particulate air pollution. In 2011 an estimated 4.7% of deaths of people aged 30 years or over in West Sussex were estimated to have been associated with poor quality. The National Air Quality Strategy (2000) introduced standards and objectives for eight pollutants, with specified maximum concentrations acceptable to public exposure. This strategy introduced air pollution monitoring at more local area levels through the Local Air Quality Management (LAQM) scheme. Under the LAQM scheme, local authorities monitor air pollution levels and take action if they breach the objective targets. If an area is likely to exceed maximum concentration levels, it is declared an Air Quality Management Area (AQMA). In July 2014 there were nine AQMAs in West Sussex (Figure 2.5). 21 Figure 2.8 Air Quality Management Areas in West Sussex (July 2014) In July 2014 there were no AQMAs in Arun or Crawley. Source: DEFRA Use of the Natural Environment The natural environment in West Sussex is a considerable asset, with coastal, down land, countryside and urban parks providing opportunities to enjoy the outdoors. Natural England commission an annual survey17 which measures the public use of the natural environment18. One of the questions used on the survey has been adopted as an indicator in the Public Health Outcomes Framework. In 2012/13 15.6% of adults (16+ years) in West Sussex said they used the outdoors for health or exercise purposes, compared with 15.3% in England. Noise The Government published a “Noise Policy Statement” in March 2010, with a vision of “promoting good health and a good quality of life through the effective management of noise within the context of Government policy on sustainable development”. The measure adopted within the Public Health Outcomes Framework relates to the number of complaints about noise to local authorities (as a rate per 1,000 of the population). Overall there were approximately 3,800 complaints relating to noise to local authorities in West Sussex in 2011/12. This represents 4.7 complaints per 1,000 of the population and is significantly lower than the national rate of 7.5. There are differences across the county. Compared with West Sussex, Arun, Crawley and Worthing had higher rates (Figure 2.9). 17 The Monitor of Engagement with the Natural Environment (MENE) Survey The natural environment defined as open spaces in and around towns and cities, including parks, canals and nature areas; the coast and beaches; and the countryside including farmland, woodland, hills and rivers. 18 22 Figure 2.9 Noise complaints per thousand of the population – West Sussex Districts and Borough (2011/12) Source: Chartered Institute of Environmental Health (CIEH). Social Interaction, Networks and Loneliness Social Capital In examining factors that impact health and wellbeing many risks are identified in the JSNA, but there are also protective factors, or assets, which act to promote and sustain health and wellbeing. The quality of the relationships people form with others is such an asset, including relationships within families, between neighbours and within communities. Networks, described as “social capital” are broadly grouped into:a. bonding social capital – for example within families or people of the same ethnic or religious group. b. bridging social capital – relates to more “distant” relationships within communities or between different groups in an area. c. linking social capital – relates to how people in different power structures relate to one another, for example how people are involved in formal decision making processes. Measurement of Social Capital in West Sussex To inform the JSNA, measures of social capital within West Sussex were included in a community survey undertaken in 2014. This was a door-to-door household survey of approximately 4,000 people. Measures used related the frequency of contact with friends, family and neighbours, participation in groups and clubs (bonding capital), measuring trust within a community and how well people get on together (bridging capital) to participation in decision making processes and how well feel able to influence local decisions (linking capital). a) Bonding Capital – Contact with Friends and Family Most people meet up with friends and/or family at least once a week and one in five in daily contact (Figure 2.10). 23 Figure 2.10a Figure 2.10b Source: West Sussex Community Survey 2014. Analysis by West Sussex Public Health Research Unit. The survey identified differences between areas in the county, age groups and sex. For example survey respondents in Crawley were more likely than those in all of the other districts to contact family/friends more than once a day with over a third (36%) giving this response compared with less than a quarter (25%) in all other districts. Regular (more than once a day) contact was also more common amongst females than males (23% vs. 19%). b) Bridging Capital A number of questions were asked to measure bridging capital. To the statement ‘this local area is a place where people from different backgrounds get on well together”’ almost two thirds of people said people got on well together (agreeing or strongly agreeing with the statement). This was fairly consistent across age groups and rural v urban areas. A lower percentage of people agreed with the statement in the most deprived areas (LNIA areas) in West Sussex. 62% of respondents agreed with the statement ‘people in this neighbourhood pull together to improve the neighbourhood’. Although there were significant differences, respondents in Worthing were significantly more likely to disagree with this statement than those in all of the other districts and respondents in rural areas were more likely than those in urban areas to agree that people pull together (71% vs. 61%). People were also asked to what extent they felt that other people could be trusted (Figure 2.11). Overall 63% of respondents scored this as 7-10 on the scale indicating higher levels of trust, again there were differences across the county, with significantly higher levels of trust in rural areas. 24 Figure 2.11 Level of Trust in Others Source: West Sussex Community Survey 2014, West Sussex Public Health Research Unit. c) Linking social capital A question used in the Community Survey asked respondents whether they were confident that their actions could influence decision making. 48% of respondents agreed with the statement that “When people in this area get involved in their local community, they really can change the way that their area runs”. In response to this question 48% of people in West Sussex said agreed or strongly agreed with the statement but this varied across the county, with a significantly lower percentage of people agreeing in Arun and in LNIA areas (Figure 2.12). Respondents in Chichester and Crawley were most likely to believe in the potential for local action to bring about change with 62% and 55% respectively agreeing with the statement, while those in Arun were least likely to agree (41%).Respondents in non-LNIAs were more likely than those in LNIAs to agree (50% vs.40%). Figure 2.12 % of Respondents Agreeing to Statement “When people in this area get involved in their local community, they really can change the way that their area runs” 25 Loneliness in Older Age West Sussex Older People Survey In 2013 a survey was undertaken in West Sussex of people aged 65 or over. The survey aims were to establish a baseline from which to measure community connectedness experienced by local older people and to investigate levels of social isolation and loneliness and their relationship with health and wellbeing. 24% of respondents indicated that they were moderately or severely lonely. Those living in more deprived areas were 30% more likely to be lonely as those living in other parts of the county. Loneliness was found to be highly associated with health outcomes, even after controlling for a number of factors including age, sex, exercise and medication. Lonely people were 60% more likely to be in poor health than non-lonely people and 78% more likely to have reported multiple emergency admissions to hospital. It is possible that people who have poor health find it difficult to maintain their social connections and it’s also possible that loneliness itself leads to poorer health, especially poorer mental health. Table 2.5 Loneliness by Local Authority Area Area % Respondents aged 65+ Moderately or Severely Lonely Adur 29.0% Arun 23.8% Chichester 22.3% Crawley 28.3% Horsham 19.5% Mid Sussex 20.6% Worthing 27.1% West Sussex 24.4% Source: West Sussex Public Health Research Unit Loneliness was more common in those with poor sight, poor hearing and problems with their memory It was also common in carers with high care burdens, but not if they lived independently. Contact with neighbours and participation in groups were associated with a 20% reduction in the odds of a respondent being lonely. Volunteering in West Sussex (Data source: West Sussex Community Survey 2014) In West Sussex 26% of people reported that they had volunteered in the previous year. Respondents were most likely to have supported children’s education/schools (7%), local community groups (6%), sport/exercise (6%) and youth activities (6%). Respondents in rural areas were more likely than those in urban areas to have provided support (36% vs. 25%). Those in non-LNIA’s were more likely than those in LNIA’s to have provided support (28% vs. 19%). Of those volunteering, 42% of people said they volunteered frequently (once a week). 26 Motivation for volunteering varied by age, younger respondents (18-34) were more likely than older respondents (35-64 and 65+) to volunteer because their ‘family/friends did it’ (21% vs. 13%, 8% respectively), older respondents (65+) were more likely to volunteer as a way to ‘meet people/make friends’. 27 SECTION 3: Lifestyles and Health Improvement Smoking Smoking is the single greatest cause of preventable illness and premature death in the UK and is a major cause of health inequalities. There were 4,090 deaths attributed to smoking in West Sussex in the years 2010 to 2012 It is estimated that approximately 19% of the adult population in West Sussex smoke, but this rises to almost 27% in routine and manual workers. (From national data) We know that some other groups have higher rates of smoking – including manual workers, some BME groups (including Bangladeshi men and Irish men). More men than women smoke but the gap has narrowed, and young women are now more likely to be regular smokers by the age of 15 than young men. In 2011/12 14.3% of people with long term conditions19 were smokers, this is lower than the national rate of 17.4% In terms of maternal smoking, 10% of women in West Sussex smoke at the time of delivery, this is lower than the national rate (12%). Using data collected by Health Visitors we know that approximately 20% of new born babies live in a household where someone smokes. Most of the national prevalence rates and surveys exclude children or young adults. The West Sussex Public Health Research Unit has undertaken lifestyle surveys of 14/15 year olds. The 2010 survey included questions on smoking status and whether their parents or guardians smoked. The 2010 survey found a local smoking rate for 14/15 year olds at 9.0% (CI 8.1% - 10.0%). This was slightly lower than the previous survey in 2007. The lifestyle surveys conducted in West Sussex have shown a strong correlation between parental smoking and young people becoming smokers themselves. Young people with parents who smoked were over four times as likely to smoke regularly themselves (18.9%) as those who had non-smoking parents (4.3%). Likewise, those pupils whose parents did not smoke were 50% more likely to have never tried a cigarette. This generational pattern acts to sustain long term health inequalities. Alcohol There are wide range consequences of harmful drinking on individuals, families and communities, including health problems, crime and disorder and reduced economic productivity. Public Health data published in September 2013 suggests that the rate of ‘increased and higher risk drinking’ in West Sussex (23.0%) was similar to the England rate. This information relates to adults. Local surveys20 of 14/15 year olds found that 10% of 14/15 year olds regularly drank alcohol, 55% occasionally drank and 35% rarely or never drank alcohol. To estimate the level of binge drinking, young people were asked: “How often do you drink with the intention of getting drunk?” Over 10% of pupils reported regularly drinking with the intention of getting drunk, a further 19 This includes people with coronary heart disease, stroke or TIA, hypertension, diabetes, COPD, CKD, asthma, schizophrenia, bipolar affective disorder or other psychoses. 20 Lifestyles of 14 to 15-year-olds in West Sussex 2010 (West Sussex PCT) 28 one in three reported occasional binge drinking, and around one third claimed to never or rarely binge drink. There was little difference between the habits of boys and girls. The number of specific admissions involving an alcohol-related primary diagnosis (or an alcohol-related external cause) has increased in West Sussex over the last 3 years, in 2012/13 there were 518.1 admissions per 100,000 (Figure 3.1). Figure 3.1 Admissions involving an alcohol-related primary diagnosis or an alcohol-related external cause per 100,000 of the population Source: PHE In 2010/11 there were over 16,500 hospital admissions attributed to alcohol. This varied across the county; Worthing, Arun and Adur have significantly higher admission rates than the other local authority areas. Alcohol Concern estimated wider alcohol-related health care costs in West Sussex (2010/11) to be £46.7m, which equates to £71 per adult. The West Sussex Public Health Research Unit has undertaken analysis of emergency admissions, looking at the number of admissions, rate of admission per 1,000 of the population and total cost of admissions at GP practice and CCG level. Using 2012-13 admissions data there were approximately 1,700 emergency admissions, which cost approximately £2m. In 2012 there were 107 deaths in West Sussex (under the age of 75) from liver disease. Physical Activity Figure 3.2 shows information collected via the Active People Survey; a survey commissioned by Sport England. This is the largest national survey into physical activity levels and sports participation. Two outcomes are published:-(i) the percentage of adults (16+) who are physically active – this means they have done at least 150 “equivalent” minutes of at least moderate intensity physical activity per week in bouts of 10 minutes or more. (ii) the percentage of adults (16+) who are measured as being significantly inactive – this means that they are doing less than 30 “equivalent” minutes of at least moderate intensity physical activity per week in bouts of 10 minutes or more. 29 In West Sussex 58.6% of adults are physically active, compared with 56.0% of adults nationally and 25.6% of adults are physically inactive, compared with 28.5% of adults nationally. There are considerable variations across the county, with significantly higher levels of inactivity in Adur. Figure 3.2 (i) % of Adults Physically Active Figure 3.2 (ii) % of Adults Physically Inactive Source: PHE Healthy Diet At a local level there is relatively little data on the number of people eating a “healthy diet”. At a national level (from the Health Survey for England) information is collected on the consumption of fruit and vegetables, including the number of people eating the recommended five or more portions of fruit and vegetables per day. Nationally 26.5% of adults consume met the recommended guidelines of consuming five or more portions of fruit and vegetables a day, this was higher in the South East (29.8%) Again, a social gradient can be observed in relation to the consumption of fruit and vegetables. Analysis21 of data from the 2011 Health Survey for England show that 35% of people from the highest income quintile ate the recommended levels of fruit and vegetables compared to 20% of people in the lowest income quintile. Obesity Nationally, and locally, increasing numbers of people are becoming overweight and obese22; obesity can lead to a variety of health problems including Type 2 diabetes, cardio-vascular disease and is a risk factor for some cancers. Childhood prevalence Using information collected as part of the National Child Measurement Programme (NCMP), there are significantly fewer children with excess weight and measured as obese in West Sussex when compared with 21 Roberts K, Cavill N, Hancock C, Rutter H. Social and economic inequalities in diet and physical activity. Oxford: Public Health England Obesity Knowledge and Intelligence, 2013. 22 Definition of obesity – adults with adults, obesity is commonly defined as a body mass index (BMI) of 30 or more. For children, the British 1990 growth reference charts are used to define weight status 30 England. In 2012/13 8.5% of reception class pupils (4/5 year olds) and 14.7% of Year 6 pupils (10/11 year olds) were measured as obese. The Public Health Outcomes measure relates to children measured with excess weight (including those measured as obese); in 2012/13 20.7% of reception class and 28.4% were measured as having excess weight. Children with disabilities are 35% more likely to be obese23. This risk increases with age and may worsen existing conditions and/or make them at greater risk of developing obesity-related ill health problems. Adult prevalence In relation to adults the Public Health Outcome Framework measure relates to the prevalence of adults of excess weight (overweight including obesity, BMI ≥25kg/m2). 64.4% of adults are estimated24 to have excess weight or be obese in West Sussex; this is not significantly different to England. Clustering of Unhealthy Behaviours Analysis of the 2003 and 2008 Health Survey for England by the Kings Fund25 identified the co-occurance of the four lifestyle risk factors (smoking, harmful drinking, poor diet and low physical activity rate. This report identified that the percentage of adults engaged in three or all four of the behaviours had declined. However the rate of decline was less amongst the most deprived areas and amongst people with the lower level of education; and that this would act to increase inequalities in health outcomes. factors. Screening Programmes There are a number of screening programmes which aim to identify health problems and illness at an early stage. There are three screening programmes relating to cancer; cervical, breast and bowel. Cervical - Screening is offered to women aged 25 to 64 years. Women are invited every three years until aged 49 years and then every five years. Breast - Screening is offered every three years to women aged 50-70 years. Women considered to be at higher risk are offered screening at a younger age. Bowel -Screening is offered every two years to all men and women aged 60 to 69. People over 70 are sent a screening kit on request. From April 2010 the screening age was increased to 75 years and this is being rolled out nationally. Take up rates in West Sussex are generally higher than national rates, although the rate of cervical screening has fallen in recent years (Figure 3.3). Breast screening take up rates have remained at approximately 78%. 23 Gatineau M. Obesity and disability: children and young people. Oxford: Public Health England Obesity Knowledge and Intelligence, 2014. Data relating to adult obesity are now collected via the Active People Survey (APS) and the information shown relates to number of adults with valid height and weight recorded APS6 quarters 2-4 and APS7 quarter 1 (mid-Jan 2012 to mid-Jan 2013). Information collected as part of the survey is adjusted to take account of the common over-estimation of height and under-estimation of weight. 25 Buck, D. and Frosni, F.. (2012) Clustering of Unhealthy Behaviours Over Time: Implications for Policy and Practice. 24 31 Figure 3.3 Cancer screening coverage - cervical cancer (% of women eligible who screened)26 The West Sussex rate is higher than the national rate but nationally and locally there have been significant falls in coverage rates in the last 2 years. West Sussex England Source: PHOF Outcomes (ref 2.20ii) Figure 3.4 Screening coverage – Breast screening (% of women screened)27 West Sussex England Source: PHOF Outcomes (ref 2.20i) An indicator relating to bowel screening is being developed as part of the Public Health Outcomes Framework. Flu vaccination Each year a flu jab is provided to people aged 65 and over and also to other risk groups, including adults and children with weakened immune systems, some people with long term conditions and pregnant women. Two outcomes measures are published at a county and national level, these relate to flu vaccine uptake (%) in adults aged 65 and over and take up in at risk individuals aged over 6 months to under 65 years (excluding pregnant women). In 2012/13 72% of people over 65 and 47% of at risk groups (Figure 3.5) had a flu jab, both are significantly below the national averages of 73% and 51% respectively. 26 The percentage of women in the resident population eligible for cervical screening who were screened adequately within the previous 3.5 years or 5.5 years, according to age (3.5 years for women aged 25-49 and 5.5 years for women aged 50-64) . 27 The percentage of women in the resident population eligible for breast screening who were screened adequately within the previous three years. 32 Figure 3.5 Flu vaccine uptake (%) in at risk individuals (2012/13) All Local Authorities – With West Sussex highlighted LAs with high take up rates LAs with low take up rates Source: Public Health England In West Sussex a local survey of older people identified reasons as to why older people had not made appointments to have their flu jab. The most cited reasons were “haven’t got round to it”, “had one before and it made me ill” and “don’t think it works”. Table 3.1 Reason Given for Not Booking Flu Jab by Older People in West Sussex Reasons why flu jab appointment not made Tried to, but doctor has run out of vaccine Haven't got round to it % (of people who had not made an appointment) 1.6% 26.6% Can't get to the surgery Had one before and it made me ill 1.6% 18.8% I've been told it can give you flu Don't think it works 8.2% 26.0% Doctor/nurse at surgery advised me not to 3.3% Refused to answer / no reply 20.2% Did not know about them 0.4% Source: Lifestyles of Older People in West Sussex – West Sussex Public Health Research Unit 2013 33 Childhood Vaccination Coverage Routine childhood immunisation programme (Summarised from NHS Guide to Immunisations) Age to immunise Diseases protected against Vaccine given Two months old Diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis (whooping cough), polio and Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) Pneumococcal infection DTaP/IPV/Hib and Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) Three months old Diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, polio and Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) Meningitis C (meningococcal group C) DTaP/IPV/Hib and MenC Four months old Diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, polio and Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) Meningitis C Pneumococcal infection DTaP/IPV/Hib and MenC and PCV Around 12 months old Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) Meningitis C Hib/MenC Around 13 months old Measles, mumps and rubella (German measles) Pneumococcal infection MMR and PCV Three years and four months or soon after Diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis and polio Measles, mumps and rubella DTaP/IPV or dTaP/IPV and MMR Girls aged 12 to 13 years Cervical cancer caused by human papillomavirus types 16 and 18 HPV 13 to 18 years old Tetanus, diphtheria and polio Td/IPV Non- routine immunisations for at risk babies Age Diseases protected against Vaccine given At birth (to babies who are more likely to come into contact with TB than the general population) Tuberculosis BCG At birth (to babies whose mothers have hepatitis B) Hepatitis B Hep B 34 Childhood immunisation – West Sussex Coverage Rates 2012/13 Immunisation Dtap / IPV / Hib (1 year old) Dtap / IPV / Hib (2 years old) MenC PCV Hib / MenC booster (2 years old) Hib / Men C booster (5 years) PCV booster 3MMR for one dose (2 years old) MMR for one dose (5 years old) MMR for two doses (5 years old) HPV PPV % Coverage West Sussex 95.8% 96.8% 95.1% 95.1% 94.9% 81.8% 90.9% 94.5% 93.7% 88.0% 87.0% 67.9% % Coverage England 94.7% 96.3% 93.9% 94.4% 92.7% 91.5% 92.5% 92.3% 93.9% 87.7% 86.1% 69.1% NHS Health Checks The NHS Health Check is a national programme for adults in England between the ages of 40 and 74 who do not have diabetes, stroke, and heart or kidney disease or were treated for high blood pressure or high cholesterol levels. The scheme is to help prevent the onset of these problems. Comparable data are available for 2011/12 and 2012/13 (Figure 3.6). In 2012/13 11% of the eligible population was offered a health check and of those offered 51% had one. Figure 3.6 Offer and Take Up Rates of Health Checks % Offered - % of eligible population aged 40-74 offered an NHS Health Check in the year % Take Up - % of those offered an NHS Health Check who received an NHS Health Check 35 Dental Health – Children Poor oral health in children is caused by poor diet, poor oral hygiene and lack of exposure to fluoride. Children from socially disadvantaged groups experience disproportionately high levels of oral health problems. The most recent dental survey - with national comparators - for children aged 12 was undertaken in 2011/12. A sample of children in each local authority England examined and number of decayed, missing or filled teeth (DMFT) assessed. The survey provides an indication of oral health in West Sussex. Data are provided at lower tier local authority level (Table 3.2). Table 3.2 Dental Decay % of children examined with dental decay Adur Arun Chichester Crawley Horsham Mid Sussex Worthing (sample size too small) England % D3MFT > 0 LCL UCL 19.4% 22.8% 8.4% 17.7% 8.1% 6.9% 5.8% 9.0% 1.2% 7.6% 1.3% 0.0% 33.0% 36.6% 15.6% 27.9% 14.8% 14.4% 27.9% 27.7% 28.1% Of those with decay average number of teeth per child Mean D3MFT (% LCL UCL D3MFT > 0) 4.03 1.8% 6.3% 2.86 1.2% 4.6% 3.23 1.7% 4.7% 2.36 1.2% 3.5% 1.90 1.0% 2.8% 2.00 0.0% 4.0% 3.38 3.4% 3.4% 36 Health Protection Food Hygiene Inspections Local authorities inspect a variety of food premises including caterers, restaurants, distributors, manufacturers and importers. Food Hygiene Rating System – “Scores on the Door” Premises are rated on a scale of 0 to 5, with 5 meaning that standards are very good. 5 VERY GOOD Very high standards of food safety management - Fully compliant with food safety legislation. 4 GOOD Good food safety management - High standard of compliance with food safety legislation. 3 GENERALLY SATISFACTORY Good level of legal compliance - Some more effort might be required. 2 IMPROVEMENT NECESSARY Broadly compliant with food safety legislation - More effort required to meet all legal requirements. 1 MAJOR IMPROVEMENT NECESSARY Poor level of compliance with food safety legislation – much more effort required. 0 URGENT IMPROVEMENT NECESSARY The food hygiene rating reflects the hygiene standards found on the date of inspection Hygiene Ratings - West Sussex premises 5,923 premises had rating values in West Sussex (August 2014), of these over 85% rated 4 or 5. 207 premises were rated at 0 or 1. Figure 3.6 Food Hygiene Ratings - % at each category in West Sussex (August 2014) by Districts and Boroughs Source: Food Standards Agency (FSA) 37 SECTION 4: Health status, Life expectancy and Long Term Conditions Life Expectancy Life expectancy is an important measure of the health of a population in a given time period. It is easily measurable and comparable between areas and time periods. Life expectancy at birth has risen consistently in the UK over the last 50 years but significant inequalities exist between areas. West Sussex has previously been highlighted as one of the more unequal counties in the South East in terms of small area life expectancy distribution. Life expectancy in West Sussex is significantly higher than the national average for both men and women (Figures 4.1a and 4.1b). Figure 4.1a Male Life Expectancy Figure 4.1b Female Life Expectancy Source: NCHOD Lower Tier Authority Data Male Life Expectancy - Mid Sussex and Horsham have a significantly higher life expectancy than the county average, while values are significantly lower in Adur and Worthing. Female Life Expectancy - There are no significant differences in female life expectancy between West Sussex local authorities. Table 4.1 Life expectancy (2010-2012 Pooled Years Data) Men (2010-12) CI (95%) Women (2010-12) CI (95%) Adur 80.4 (79.6 - 81.3) 83.4 (82.6 - 84.1) Arun 79.7 (79.1 - 80.2) 83.5 (83.0 – 84.0) Chichester 80.9 (80.3 - 81.6) 84.6 (84.0 - 85.2) Crawley 79.7 (79.0 - 80.4) 83.6 (82.8 - 84.3) Horsham 81.7 (81.1 - 82.3) 84.4 (83.8 – 85.0) Mid Sussex 81.9 (81.3 - 82.4) 84.2 (83.7 - 84.8) Worthing West Sussex 78.8 80.5 (78.1 - 79.4) (80.3 - 80.8) 83.1 83.9 (82.5 - 83.7) (83.7 - 84.1) Significantly lower than county LE Source: WSCC Public Health Research Unit Significantly higher than county LE Small Area Life Expectancy 38 Significant inequalities exist at a local level (Table 4.2); life expectancy in Burgess Hill Dunstall (Mid Sussex) is 15 years higher than life expectancy in River ward (Arun). Table 4.2 Wards with the Highest and Lowest Life Expectancy in West Sussex LE (2007-12) 89.3 (84.3 - 94.4) Southgate East Grinstead Imberhorne 87.5 (85.1 - 89.8) Findon 87.4 Pound Hill South and Worth 86.6 86.6 Highest Life Expectancy Burgess Hill Dunstall Harting Source: WSCC Public Health Analysis LE (2007-12) 78.0 (76.9 - 79.1) Central 76.7 (75.6 - 77.9) (85.1 - 89.7) Heene 75.2 (73.9 - 76.5) (84.4 - 88.9) Marine 74.5 (73.0 - 75.9) (84.1 - 89.1) River 74.2 (72.8 - 75.6) 95% CI Lowest Life Expectancy 95% CI Inequality in Life Expectancy Life expectancy has increased in all areas of the county, however the rate of increase has been greatest in the most affluent areas, this means inequality has increased. Analysis shows that this is particularly true for females. Figure 4.2 Life expectancy at birth in each deprivation decile in West Sussex (2001-2006 and 2007-2012 gradients compared) Source: WSCC Public Health Analysis Life Expectancy at 65 and Disability Free Life Expectancy Nationally and locally, life expectancy has increased, but disability free life expectancy has not increased at the same rate. This means people are spending more time at the end of life, living with a long term condition or disability. In older age groups people are likely to have multiple conditions. Residents of West Sussex spend a higher percentage of their lives disability -free than most other local authority areas in the country. On average men live 12.8 years with a disability, women 14.1 years. 39 Table 4.3 Life expectancy at age 65, DFLE at birth and at age 65 with national rankings 2008-2010 Males and Females in West Sussex Data for West Sussex (2008-2010) Disability free life expectancy (years) Life expectancy age 65 (years) Disability free life expectancy age 65 (years) Expected years with a disability (years) Proportion of life disability-free % Rank life expectancy (of 150 LAs) Rank life expectancy age 65 (of 150 LAs) Rank DFLE (of 150 LAs) Rank proportion of life disability free (of 150 LAs) Source: ONS Males 67.0 18.8 12.0 12.8 84.0 26 28 23 23 Females 68.1 21.3 14.1 15.4 81.5 34 44 22 21 Infant Mortality Infant mortality is used as an indicator of the general health of the population, as it reflects a range of health determinants, including socio-economic conditions and maternal health. West Sussex has a low infant mortality rate compared with England, although not significantly lower. The rate has fallen, nationally and locally over the last 10 years. In the period 2010-2012 there were 99 infant deaths. Figure 4.3 Infant Mortality in West Sussex (3 Years Pooled Data 2001-3 to 2010-2012) Source: ONS Cause of Death – West Sussex All Ages (2012) - There are approximately 8,500 deaths a year in West Sussex, the majority of deaths occur after the age of 75. Over 50% of all deaths relate to circulatory diseases or cancer, followed by deaths from respiratory diseases (Figure 4.4). 40 Figure 4.4 Cause of Death (All Ages 2012) Source: Primary Care Mortality Database Under 75s (Pooled Years 2010-12) - In any one year there are approximately 2,200 deaths of people aged 75 years or under in West Sussex. For deaths under the age of 75 years 3 years of data have been pooled (Figure 4.5). The main cause of premature death is cancer, although it should be noted that this includes a range of cancers and risk factors/causes may be very different. Figure 4.5 Cause of Death (under 75 Years only) Pooled Years Data 2010-2012 41 Potential Years of Life Lost (PYLL) Potential years of life lost (PYLL) is a summary measure of the economic and social impact of premature mortality on society. As the calculation includes age at death, deaths at younger ages carry more weight. Over the period 2010-2012 (3 years pooled), there were 25,500 deaths registered to West Sussex residents, approx. 8,500 per year. Of these, approx. 6,600 (2,200 per year, 26% of total deaths) were to those aged under 75. PYLL has been calculated as the difference in years between age at death and 80 years, for deaths over 28 days and under 74 years28. For the period 2020-2012 there were approximately 119,900 PYLL (40,000 per year), the breakdown by main disease classification is shown below (Table 4.4). Of the main causes of death, congenital and chromosomal abnormalities have a high mean PYLL; people dying from these conditions will lose an average of 35 years. External causes of morbidity and mortality, which include accidents, suicides and poisoning, also have a very high mean PYLL; people who die from these lose an average of 33 years. However the main causes are cardiovascular disease and cancers, these conditions have higher numbers of people dying but at older ages. Table 4.4 PYLL by Main Disease Classification (Data from pooled years 2010-2012) Disease group Count Sum of PYLL Mean PYLL (Years lost per death) Cancers 2,937 49,237 16 Cardiovascular disease 1,446 23,249 16 Respiratory disease 537 7,744 14 Digestive system disease 401 8,437 21 External causes of morbidity and mortality 393 13,081 33 Diseases of the nervous system 280 5940 21 Mental and behavioural disorders 107 1,898 17 Endocrine, nutritional and metabolic diseases 74 1,698 22 Diseases of the genitourinary system 67 830 12 Certain infectious and parasitic diseases 64 1,894 29 60 1,452 24 45 1,609 35 Diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue 43 863 20 Less well defined symptoms & conditions 34 1,315 38 Diseases of the skin and subcutaneous tissue 19 304 16 Certain conditions originating in the perinatal period * * * Diseases of the eye and adnexa, Diseases of the ear and mastoid process * * * 6,512 119,879 18 Diseases of the blood and blood-forming organs and certain disorders involving the immune mechanism Congenital malformations, deformations, and chromosomal abnormalities Grand total *data supressed due to small numbers Source: West Sussex PHRU Analysis of Mortality Data 28 The calculation of PYLL excludes deaths during the perinatal period of birth to 28 days. There were fewer than 100 such deaths over the 3 year period. 42 Overall Population Health and Wellbeing Data from the 2011 Census The 2011 Census included two specific questions relating to health and long term limiting illness. A question relating to general health:- A question relating to limitation to day to day activities due to a health problem or disability was also used. Data relating to this question is show on page 14. General Health Across West Sussex as a whole, almost 34,000 people stated that their health was “bad or very bad” this is 4.3% of the population, compared with 5.4% of the England and Wales population. Answers to this question were strongly age related, 18.5% of the 85+ population stated poor health compared with 5.8% of the 50-64 year olds. Figure 4.6 Self-reported Health (Good, Fair or Bad) by Age Groups (2011 Census) Source: Census 2011 Table LC3302EW Residents in Households. This excludes people living in communal establishments 43 At a small area level age standardised rates of people stating “not good health” (Figure 4.7) shows a close alignment between general health of the population and areas of deprivation. Figure 4.7 Age Standardised Rate of People in Poor Health People in Poor Health Age Standardised Rate per 100 Population Source: Census 2011 Table LC3302EW Residents in Households. This excludes people living in communal establishments Population Level Emotional and Mental Wellbeing Office for National Statistics (ONS) collects data relating to subjective well-being to complement existing socioeconomic indicators. These allow a fuller statistical picture of the nation’s wellbeing. The aim is that these measures will provide insights into the quality of life of people in the UK. Different aspects of wellbeing are measured, with data available to local authority level, with the four key questions asked: 1. Overall, how satisfied are you with your life nowadays? 2. Overall, to what extent do you feel the things you do in your life are worthwhile? 3. Overall, how happy did you feel yesterday? 4. Overall, how anxious did you feel yesterday? For the first three questions, people surveyed are asked to respond to the questions using a scale of 0 to 10, with 10 being good. For anxiousness, the more anxious a person feels the higher the score. The ONS provide information on average scores and also the distribution of scores in an area. Table 4.5 Average Scores ONS Subjective Wellbeing Measures West Sussex England Life satisfaction Worthwhile Happiness Anxiety 2011/12 7.7 7.9 7.5 3.0 2012/13 7.6 7.9 7.4 3.3 2011/12 7.4 7.7 7.3 3.2 2012/13 7.4 7.7 7.3 3.1 Source: ONS 44 West Sussex rated significantly higher than England on measures of life satisfaction, i.e. whether life was worthwhile and overall happiness but there was no significant difference in terms of anxiety (Figure 4.8). Figure 4.8 Life Satisfaction, Worthwhile and Happiness Questions Source: ONS Wellbeing Measures 2012 Long Term Conditions The number of people living with long term conditions is increasing; this reflects a growing and ageing population, and also some increases in risks relating to lifestyles. Cardio-vascular disease (CVD) Cardiovascular disease (CVD) refers to diseases of the cardiovascular system, which includes the heart and all blood vessels. Coronary heart disease (CHD) and cerebrovascular disease29, which are diseases of the blood vessels supplying the brain, are the leading types of cardiovascular diseases. The main lifestyle risk factors for CVD are smoking, physical activity, alcohol intake and diet. Approximately 30% of deaths of West Sussex residents registered in the period 2010-2012 were due to circulatory diseases; among the under 75s the percentage was 22%. Mortality rates from CVD have fallen consistently in West Sussex, both in relation to all ages and under 75s, male and female. The rates are significantly below the England rate. There are clear gender differences, locally and nationally, with the mortality rate for men remaining significantly higher than the mortality rate for women (Figure 4.9). 29 includes stroke, transient ischaemic attack (TIA), and vascular dementia. 45 Figure 4.9(i) Mortality Rates (CVD) – Males DSR Per 100,000 Population Figure 4.9(ii) Mortality Rates (CVD) - Females DSR Per 100,000 Population Source: HSCIC The emergency admission rate for CHD in West Sussex (2011/12) is 162.2 emergency admissions per 100,000 population; this is significantly lower than England (198.3 per 100,000). There are over 31,000 people on GP practice CHD registers, a prevalence of 3.7%. Modelled prevalence estimates indicate nearly 40,000 people in West Sussex have CHD, suggesting 9,000 people are undiagnosed. The observed prevalence for hypertension in West Sussex was 44% of expected prevalence, with a total of 124,100 people on GP practice registers. There is a social gradient in CVD morbidity and mortality. In 2011/12 the emergency admissions rate for CHD for people living in the most deprived areas of West Sussex was 2.1 times higher than the emergency admission rate for people living in the least deprived areas of the county. Cancer Although we use the single word “cancer”, there are many forms of cancer with varying risk factors, including lifestyle and environmental factors. Smoking remains a dominant cause of cancer, with diet, harmful alcohol use and being obese also being important risk factors. Nationally cancer survival rates have been improving but there remains a gap between survival rates in the UK and the European average30. Childhood cancer is rare, but nationally cancer is the single biggest cause of deaths for children and young people aged 1-14 years. In West Sussex, there are approximately 4,300 new diagnoses of cancer each year. In total there are over 20,500 people on West Sussex GP cancer registers; this is 2.4% of the registered patient population. Nationally the cancer incidence rate increased over the last 20 years (Figure 4.10). The numbers in West Sussex have increased but the incidence rate (taking into account population size and age structure) has shown a downward trend. However care should be taken in analysing a trend at a local level, with smaller numbers there is greater year to year variance. The directly age standardised incidence rate 30 Improving Outcomes: A Strategy for Cancer’ (DoH 2011) 46 for all types of cancers in West Sussex in 2009-11 is 343.8 per 100,000 population, this is significantly lower than the England rate of 391.0 per 100,000 (Figure 4.10). In 2012 cancer accounted for 28% of all deaths in West Sussex. In relation to people under 75, cancer is the biggest cause of death; 46% of all deaths of people under 75 were caused by cancer (2010-12 data). Lung cancer is the single biggest cause of cancer deaths, for all ages and under 75 (15% and 17% of total cancer deaths respectively) Figure 4.10 Directly age-standardised registration rates (DSR) All cancers, all ages (annual rate) per 100,000 European Standard population Source: HSCIC Diabetes Diabetes is a condition in which the body cannot control blood sugar levels and may result in a range of complications, including heart disease, stroke, blindness, amputations and premature death. Diabetes accounts for 10% of all NHS funding; in most instances diabetes is preventable. There are two main types:Type 1 – where the cells of the pancreas stop making insulin. Type 2 (insulin resistance) – where either the pancreas cells do not make enough insulin, or the body's cells do not react properly to it. 90% of people with diabetes have Type 2 diabetes. The National Diabetes Audit has identified the additional risk of diabetic complications and mortality, comparing people with diabetes to the overall population. In 2011/12 (for West Sussex as a whole) this identified that people with diabetes were 34% more likely to have a myocardial infarction and 17% more likely to have a stroke than the general population. There are approximately 40,000 people on West Sussex GP diabetes registers; that represents almost 6% of the adult registered patient population. There are an estimated 11,000 people living with diabetes but undiagnosed. 47 There is a strong association between diabetes and deprivation. With an increased level of adult obesity and ageing population the numbers of people with diabetes is projected to increase above the general increase in population. Using current figures a 14% increase in GP diagnosed diabetes is projected by 2020. As with other long term conditions there is a growing emphasis and importance being placed on self-care, supporting the individual patient, and where appropriate carer, to understand, monitor and manage diabetes and to improve general physical and mental health and wellbeing. Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) covers a number of lung diseases including chronic bronchitis, emphysema and chronic obstructive airways disease, which act to damage the airways in the lungs. The main cause of COPD is smoking but there are other causes including occupational exposure to some pollutants, and exposure to asbestos. There is a strong association between COPD and deprivation, and COPD rates are higher in men than women; this is linked in part to higher smoking rates. In West Sussex there are approximately 13,500 people on GP COPD registers, this represents 1.6% of the registered population. Comparing COPD registers with modelled prevalence it is estimated that a further 10,000 may have COPD but remain undiagnosed. Respiratory diseases are the third biggest cause of death in West Sussex. The West Sussex mortality rate is significantly below the England rate (19.8 per 100,000 compared with 25.8 per 100,000). Asthma 5.4 million people in the UK are currently receiving treatment for asthma: 1.1 million children (1 in 11) and 4.3 million adults (1 in 12). Given the number of people affected, asthma is the commonest of all long term conditions. Asthma prevalence is thought to have plateaued since the late 1990s, although the UK still has some of the highest rates in Europe and on average 3 people a day die from asthma. There were 1,167 deaths from asthma in the UK in 2011 (18 of these were children aged 14 and under). An estimated 75% of hospital admissions for asthma are avoidable and as many as 90% of the deaths from asthma are preventable. In West Sussex there are over 52,000 people on GP asthma registers. Comparing registers with modelled prevalence it is estimated this represents approximately 68% of people with asthma in the county. 48 Neurological Conditions The term neurological condition covers a wide range of conditions relating to damage to the brain caused by illness or injury to the brain, spinal column or nerves. The nature of conditions also vary; some conditions are unpredictable (e.g. early stage MS and epilepsy), some are progressive (e.g. Parkinson’s, Motor Neurone Disease ( MND), some, although lifelong, have changing needs as a person ages (e.g. cerebral palsy) and some are sudden (e.g. an acquired brain injury following injury). A neurological condition can have a serious impact on the individual and their family. It is estimated that one in five acute hospital admissions are accounted for by a long term neurological condition. Epilepsy Epilepsy is a disease which may be defined by:- At least two unprovoked seizures occurring greater than 24 hours apart; - One unprovoked seizure and a probability of further seizures similar to the unprovoked seizures, occurring over the next 10 years; - Diagnosis of a specific syndrome. As such the term epilepsy is not confined to a single condition but encompasses a range of “epilepsies” and tends to be higher in childhood, then decrease in adulthood and rise again in older age. In West Sussex there are 5,000 people on GP epilepsy registers. 79% of people on GP registers on drug treatment remained seizure free for 12 months. In 2012/13 the emergency admissions with a primary diagnosis of epilepsy was 54.25 per 100,000 population (18+), this was lower, although not significantly, than the England rate of 56.6. Motor Neurone Disease (MND) MND is a progressive neurodegenerative disease that attacks the upper and lower motor neurones. The disease leads to muscle weakness and wasting, this leads to increasing loss of mobility in the limbs, difficulties with speech, swallowing and breathing. It is most common after the age of 50, more men than women have the conditions (at an estimate of 3:2) The prevalence of MND is31 7 per 100,000 of the population. Using the 2006 MYE population of West Sussex this suggests there are 57 people living with the condition in West Sussex. The incidence of MND is 2 per 100,000 of the population. Using the 2013 MYE population of West Sussex this suggests 17 new cases of MND are diagnosed each year in West Sussex. Parkinson’s disease Parkinson’s disease is a progressive neurological disorder affecting learned voluntary movements such as walking, talking, writing and swallowing - caused by a loss of a chemical messenger (dopamine) in the brain. There are three main symptoms: tremor, rigidity and slowness of movement, not everyone will experience all three. The disease affects slightly more men than women. 2,250 people are estimated to be living with Parkinson’s disease in West Sussex32. 31 Source: Neuro numbers(The Neurological Alliance, 2003). 49 Acquired Brain Injury (ABI) The term Acquired Brain Injury refers an injury caused to the brain since birth, there are many possible causes, including a stroke, a fall, an assault, tumour or road accident. Using national prevalence estimates, 1,900 people are estimated to be living with acquired brain injury in West Sussex, with 80 to 125 new severe cases of ABI each year. Between 20-25 per cent of those aged 16-45 years remain severely or profoundly disabled six months following their injury. Men three times more likely than women to have ABI and men aged between 15-29 are five times more likely to suffer brain injury. Multiple Sclerosis (MS) Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is the most common disabling neurological condition affecting young adults. Women are almost twice as likely as men to develop MS and most people are diagnosed between the ages of 20 to 40 years. For some people, MS is characterised by periods of relapse and remission while for others it has a progressive pattern. The Multiple Sclerosis Trust estimate a prevalence rate of between 100 to 120 per 100,000 of the population. A 1995 study in Sussex33 showed a prevalence of multiple sclerosis of 111 per 100,000 (95% confidence interval (CI) 103-120). Crudely applied locally this equates to approximately 820 to 990 people with multiple sclerosis in West Sussex. Dementia Dementia is and umbrella term used to describe a collection of symptoms including a decline in memory, reasoning and communication skills, and a gradual loss of skills needed to carry out daily activities. These symptoms are caused by structural and chemical changes in the brain as a result of physical diseases such as Alzheimer’s disease. The latest evidence of prevalence in this country is the consensus exercise carried out for the ‘Dementia UK’ report (2007). Most dementia is late onset (affecting people aged 65 and over) with about 1 in 40 cases being early onset (up to the age of 64 years). Applying these data to the West Sussex Population (2014 projected) gives an estimate of around 14,000 residents living with dementia. The severity of dementia is normally classified as mild, moderate and severe. At any point in time about 55% of the population affected will have mild dementia, 32% moderate and 13% severe. 32 33 Parkinson’s UK (2009). Parkinson’s prevalence in the United Kingdom 2009. A prevalence survey of multiple sclerosis in Sussex M Rice-Oxley, ES Williams and JE Rees (1995) 50 Table 4.6 Total residents living with dementia by subtype and severity in West Sussex (2014) West Sussex 2014 All dementia 13,970 Late Onset - Mild Late Onset - Moderate Late Onset - Severe 7,570 4,430 1,750 Alzheimer’s disease Vascular dementia Mixed (AD and VD) Dementia with Lewy bodies Frontotemporal dementia Parkinson’s’ dementia 8,660 1,290 440 70 170 30 Other Source: Dementia UK 10 Receiving an early diagnosis is seen as key to slowing deterioration of symptoms, increasing quality of life and enabling patients and carers to plan for the future. In 2012/13, those on dementia registers accounted for less than 50% of the total estimated number living with the disease. These are more likely to be those with more severe or obvious symptoms. There are over 5,500 people on GP dementia registers in West Sussex. Diagnosis rates vary greatly by practice, although it is important to remember that the prevalence rates on which they are based are only an estimate and may not truly reflect the number of people within that practice’s catchment area living with dementia (Table 4.7). Table 4.7 Dementia diagnosis rates by CCG with highest and lowest practice rates shown (2012/13) March 2013 Diagnosis Rate CCG Overall Highest Practice Lowest Practice 42% 50% 50% 100% 83% 91% 16% 19% 28% Coastal CCG HMS CCG Crawley CCG Source: QOF 2012/13 Kidney Disease There are two main forms of kidney disease: Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) and Acute Kidney Injury (AKI). CKD is an age related condition. The main causes of CKD are high blood pressure and diabetes. CKD acts to reduce the functioning of the kidneys and if often diagnosed in later stages, exhibiting few symptoms in early stage, although people at all stages of CKD are at an increased risk of stroke or heart attack. The risk for CKD increases with age, there is evidence that progression is more rapid in people from black, Asian, and other minority ethnic groups and people in more deprived areas are at higher risk compared with general population. 51 There are over 30,000 people on West Sussex GP CKD registers, using national prevalence models it is estimated that there are in excess of 20,000 people in West Sussex undiagnosed. The annual cost of CKD in West Sussex is estimated at approximately £20m.34 Musculoskeletal Conditions (MSK) The term musculoskeletal condition (MSK) encompasses a wide range of disorders affecting joints, bones, muscles and soft tissue; so included under this term are knee back and hip pain, arthritis and osteoarthritis, many people affected by multiple MSK conditions. Although the prevalence of musculoskeletal conditions increases with age, the number of working age people affected has a major impact on the local economy and health services. Arthritis is the single most common condition listed on claims for Disability Living Allowance in West Sussex; 3,700 people claiming DLA listed this as their main disability35. Table 4.8 Prevalence of MSK Conditions Prevalence Estimate (note numbers are not mutually exclusive) West Sussex Rheumatoid arthritis 4,040 Childhood arthritis 50 Ankylosing spondylitis 160 Gout 2,700 SLE 140 Scleroderma 50 Polymyalgia rheumatic 1,480 Osteoarthritis 14,570 Back pain 22,830 Osteoporosis (of hip only) 36,720 Disablement (mHAQ >0.5 + pain) 53,780 SLE – systemic lupus erythematosus Source: West Sussex Public Health Research Analysis, based on prevalence estimates from: A heavy burden: the occurrence and impact of musculoskeletal conditions in the UK today (2011), The Arthritis Research Epidemiology Unit, University of Manchester Hip Fractures in West Sussex As part of the Public Health Outcomes Framework (PH OF) there are a number of measures relating to fracture of the neck of femur (hip). Hip fracture, in addition to being painful debilitating to the individual greatly increases the likelihood of a person needing longer term social care; one in three people who have a hip fracture move from living in their own home to residential care. As appropriate interventions differ according to age, the overall indicator of emergency hospital admissions for falls injuries in people aged 65, is also split into two sub groups for people aged 65-79 years and people aged 80+ years (Figure 4.11) 34 35 *includes primary care costs, outpatient clinics, and hospital activity. Relates to data provided by the DWP in May 2013. 52 Figure 4.11 Hip fractures in people aged 65 and over, 65-79 and 80+ years West Sussex Compared with England 80+ years 65-79 year olds 65+ years Source: PHE Comparing West Sussex with England in the period 2010/11 to 2012/13, there was no difference in fracture rates (rate per 100,000 of the population) in the overall 65+ population or in the 65-79 age groups. Rates between the two populations were similar in the 80+ for 2010/11 and 2011/12, but the rate increased in the West Sussex 80+ population in 2012/13, and was significantly higher than that of the equivalent England population in this time period. In 2010/11 there were 896 fractures in people aged 80+ years, there were 960 in 2012/13. The PHOF indicator uses data pooled for males and females, but nationally and locally we know that females have a higher rate of emergency hospital admission for fractured neck of femur. In 2011/12 there were 260 emergency hospital admissions with a primary diagnosis of fractured proximal femur (ICD 10 codes: S72.0, S72.1, S72.2) for males of all ages in West Sussex; for females of all ages the figure was 797. Liver Disease Liver disease is the fifth largest cause of mortality in England and Wales, after heart, cancer, stroke and respiratory disease. As people can survive with 70% liver damage, there is a substantial burden of morbidity from liver disease, a high cost to the NHS and a huge economic and human cost from liver-related ill health. Risk factors for liver disease include obesity, alcohol misuse, and infection with hepatitis viruses, alcohol consumption is the main cause. There were 246 deaths in West Sussex of liver disease in the period 20102012, 152 of these were men. It is also the only major cause of death where age-standardised mortality rates have been increasing in recent years (Figure 4.12)36. 36 British Liver Trust. 53 Figure 4.12(i) Mortality Rates (Liver disease) – Males DSR Per 100,000 Population Figure 4.12(ii) Mortality Rates (Liver disease) Females, DSR Per 100,000 Population Source: HSCIC Sensory Impairment Sight Loss - Over 80 per cent of sight loss occurs in people aged over 60 years, with an ageing population the number of people with some form of sight loss will increase. Some visual impairment is associated with social, environmental and lifestyle factors, including smoking and obesity. Adults with learning disabilities are 10 times more likely to be blind or partially sighted than the general population. Some types of visual impairment are caused by chronic health conditions. For example, diabetic retinopathy is a symptom of diabetes. Regular sight tests support detection. Population Prevalence - Adults – 310 people aged 18-64 years in West Sussex are predicted to have a serious visual impairment. – 15,650 people aged 18+ are predicted to have a moderate or serious visual impairment. – 5,500 people aged 75+ are predicted to have eye conditions that could be registered. Population Prevalence – Children Estimates on the prevalence of sight loss in children are largely based on data collected by a range of services, including health, education and social care service. This assumes that severe sight loss is likely to be detected by services at a young age. It is estimated37 that there are between 105 and 200 children (015 years) living with a severe visual impairment in West Sussex. Recorded Prevalence (Local Authority Registers) – Registration is voluntary, returns are provided to the DoH every three years. Table 4.9 Number of blind and partially-sighted people in West Sussex (March 2011). 0 to 4 5 to 17 Blind 5 50 Partially sighted 5 40 Source: NHS HSCIC & Moorfields Eye Hospital Age Groups 18 to 49 50 to 64 225 255 235 180 65 to 74 235 195 75 or over 3,415 3,025 Some sight loss is preventable if identified and treated early enough. As part of the Public Health Outcomes Framework three specific outcomes have been introduced relating to early identification of preventable sight 37 Based on summary provided by Child and Maternal Health Intelligence Network (CHIMAT) 54 loss, in relation to age related macular degeneration (AMD), glaucoma and diabetic eye disease. These measures are centred on the registration for the Certificate of Visual Impairment (CVI). An overall outcome on sight loss certification shows that in 2011/12 West Sussex had a significantly lower rate of sight loss registration compared with neighbouring authorities and England overall. Hearing Impairment As with sight loss there are a range of definitions used depending on the severity of the impairment, from moderate hearing loss, where people have difficulty following speech or quieter sounds and may or may not use a hearing aid to severe and profound hearing loss, where someone may communicate by lip reading, or use sign language. 20,000 people aged 18-64 years in West Sussex are predicted38 to have a moderate or severe hearing impairment. 180 people aged 18-64 years are predicted to have a profound hearing impairment. 76,700 people aged 65 and over are predicted to have a moderate or severe hearing impairment 2,100 people aged 65 and over are predicted to have a profound hearing impairment. Co-morbidities There are a number of treatment/care pathways identified for specific long term conditions, but in reality many people have more than one condition, and the likelihood of having a number of conditions increases with age. With an ageing population there will be an increasing need for effective co-ordination of treatments and services, across a number of conditions and illnesses. For older people multi-morbidity is the norm not the exception. Estimating the number of people with multiple conditions – Research in Scotland39 examined GP records to identify patients with a diagnosis of a long term condition or disorder40. Data related to approximately a third of the Scottish patient population. This study found that:By the age of 50 half of the population had at least one condition and from 65 years onwards most people had multiple conditions. The prevalence of multi-morbidity increased (substantially) with age (Figure 4.13). For people living in the most deprived areas the onset of multi-morbidity occurred 10-15 years earlier than people living in the least deprived areas. Mental health was not only associated with physical illness but the presence of a mental health disorder increased as the number of physical morbidities increased, this means that people with many conditions were more likely to also have a mental health problem or disorder. 38 Using the Institute of Public Care Predictive Care Needs models – PANSI and POPPI Barnett K et al. Epidemiology of multimorbidity and implications for health care, research, and medical education: A cross-sectional study. Lancet 2012 40 A total of 40 conditions and disorders were included, these includes, but were not restricted to GP specific condition registers. 39 55 Figure 4.13 Percentage of People (by age group) with a recorded condition / disorder (Study of Scottish GP Patients) Source: Epidemiology of multi-morbidity and implications for health care, research, and medical education: A crosssectional study (Lancet 2012). Sexual Health Teenage Conception Rate Note: Given low numbers, even at County level care should be taken in interpreting year on year change. The teenage conception rate in West Sussex is significantly below the England rate. In West Sussex in 2009-11 there were 27 conceptions per 1,000 15-17 year olds. The rate has fallen over the last 5-10 years, locally and nationally. In 2011 there were 1,120 conceptions to women aged 15-17 years in West Sussex. There is variation across West Sussex with higher rates in Bognor, Littlehampton, and part of Crawley and Worthing. In any one year between 50-60% of teenage conceptions end in abortion. Chlamydia Screening Public Health England recommends that local authorities should be working towards achieving a crude diagnosis rate of at least 2,300 per 100,000 of the population. In West Sussex the rate was 1,808 per 100,000 people aged 15-24 years (2013). This was significantly lower than the England rate of 1.9079. The sex specific crude rates for West Sussex (2013) were 2,361 per 1,000 15-24 females (significantly higher than England rate) and 1,283 per 100,000 males aged 15-24 years (significantly lower than England rate). Late Diagnoses of HIV A late diagnosis is defined by Public Health England as adults with a CD4 cell count of less than 350 cells/mm3 within 91 days of HIV diagnosis. People who are diagnosed at a late stage have higher rates of morbidity and mortality. In the period 2010 -12, there were 80 new HIV diagnoses in West Sussex residents with a CD4 count less than 350 cells/mm3 at time of diagnosis. This number equates to just under half (48%) of new diagnoses, this is the same proportion as for England as a whole. 56 Mental Health Prevalence of Common Mental Health Problems in West Sussex - Adults Over 100,000 people (adults) in West Sussex are estimated at any one time to have a common mental health problem, in the main this relates to anxiety and depression. Table 4.10 Estimated Prevalence of Common Mental Health Problem ALL All (%) Mixed anxiety and depressive disorder 59,740 9.0 Generalised anxiety disorder 29,210 4.4 Depressive episode 15,270 2.3 All phobias 9,290 1.4 Obsessive compulsive disorder 7,300 1.1 Panic disorder 7,300 1.1 107,540 16.2 Any Common Mental Health Problem Severe Mental Health Problems Using national prevalence assumptions41 , in West Sussex there are an estimated 2,700 people living with a psychotic disorder, 2,000 people with a borderline personality disorder and 1,500 people with an antisocial personality disorder. Recorded Prevalence GP Registers - As part of the Quality and Outcomes Framework, GPs hold three registers relating to mental health; one for depression, one for severe mental illness (schizophrenia, bipolar disorder and other psychoses) and a register for dementia. Severe Mental Illness - There are approximately 6,400 people on severe mental illness registers in West Sussex. This represents 0.8% of registered patients, slightly lower than the national rate. Depression - There are approximately 42,000 patients on practice lists (aged 18+) who have a current diagnosis of depression, a prevalence of 6.1% in this age group. This is slightly higher than the national prevalence of 5.8%. Relationship between physical health and mental health Research have identified that mental health problems are strongly associated with excess mortality, not just in relation to increased risk of suicide, but also excess mortality due to physical poor health, including cardiovascular disease and cancer. In 2011/12 the West Sussex mortality rate of people (under 75) who had been in contact with specialist mental health services was over three times higher than the rate for people who had not been in contact with services. The relationship is complex, people with mental health problems are more likely to live in deprived areas, as are people who have long term physical health conditions; there is also reduced access to and take up of resources which act to protect or promote health in these areas. A physical health problem may lead to a mental health problem, and vice versa, for example depression and stress have been identified as having a 41 Derived from the Adult Psychiatric Morbidity Survey (APMS) 57 direct effect on the cardiovascular system and studies have identified that people with diabetes are two to three times more likely to have depression. Figure 4.14 Overlap of Mental Health Problems and Long Term Conditions Long term conditions: 30% of population England (approx. 15.4 million) 30% of people with a long term condition have a mental health problem (approx. 4.6 million) Mental health conditions: 20% of population England (approx. 10.2 million) 46% of people with a mental health problem have a long term condition (approx. 4.6 million) (Reproduced from: Long-term conditions and Mental Health The cost of co-morbidities Kings Fund ref) Co-morbidity also has an impact on the treatment and management costs of long term conditions. Analysis by the Kings Fund has estimated that between 12% and 18% of expenditure on long term conditions is related to poor mental health. Suicide42 Suicide is defined as deaths given an underlying cause of intentional self-harm or injury/poisoning of undetermined intent Suicide is a significant cause of early death (under 75 years). In 2011 there were 6,045 suicides in the UK in people aged 15 years or over. This was an increase of 437 compared with 2010. Nationally: The majority of suicides are male suicides (of the 6,045 suicides in 2011 4,552 were male, 1,493 female. Highest rate observed in males aged 30-44. Nationally the suicide rate for males aged 45 to 59 increased significantly between 2007 and 2011. For women, the highest rates are observed in the 45-49 years age group. Table 4.11 Suicides West Sussex Local Authorities Local Authority 2009 2010 2011 Adur 5 5 5 Arun 11 10 15 Chichester 6 <3 8 Crawley <3 17 8 Horsham 4 7 19 Mid Sussex 5 5 6 Worthing 12 11 <3 Figures relate to people aged 15 and over, they exclude non-residents and relate to the date death registered The suicide rate in West Sussex has shown a downward trend over the last ten years although the rate of deaths has increased since 2010, this is in line with national and regional trends, although given small numbers care should be taken when interpreting trend data at county level. 42 Suicide is defined as deaths given an underlying cause of intentional self-harm or injury/poisoning of undetermined intent (ICD codesE950-E959 and E980-E989 excluding E988.8). 58 Figure 4.15 Mortality from suicide and injury undetermined43 1993-2012 (Annual trends) per 100,000 European Standard population Mental Health Needs of Children and Young People In 2004 ONS conducted a national survey44 of approx. 8,000 families in order to estimate the prevalence of mental problems and disorders in children. This initial survey was then followed up three years later to determine the persistence of mental disorder. This study remains the largest study undertaken in the UK and is widely used as the source for prevalence assumptions.. The table below shows the prevalence assumptions applied to West Sussex population of some of the most common mental health disorders as well as the prevalence of having any mental health disorder. Table 4.12 Estimate of the Number of Children (5-16 years) with a Mental Health Disorder Total (West Sussex) Population 5-16 years Any disorder Conduct disorders Emotional disorders Hyperkinetic disorders Less common disorders 107,550 10,320 6,240 3,980 1,610 1,400 Conduct Behaviour Problems It is estimated45 that 5% of children aged 5-10 display behavioural problems which are sufficiently severe, frequent and persistent that they justify diagnosis as a mental health condition (‘conduct disorder’). A further 15-20% has problems which fall below this threshold but are still serious enough to merit concern. Depending on age, problem behaviours may include: persistent disobedience, angry outbursts and tantrums, physical aggression, fighting, destruction of property, stealing, lying and bullying. For about half of the children affected, serious problems will persist into adolescence and beyond. Prevalence Estimates by service “Tier” Services in mental health are often described in terms of “tiers”, where services become more specialised the further up the tier. From emotional wellbeing services at Tier 1 to highly specialist outpatient teams and inpatient provision at Tier 4. Prevalence estimates46 for West Sussex are shown below against each of the tiers, 43 In England and Wales, it is assumed that most deaths from injury/poisoning of undetermined intent at ages 15 and over are cases where the harm was self-inflicted but there was insufficient evidence to prove that the deceased deliberately intended to kill themselves. For this reason, suicide statistics include deaths from intentional self-harm, and those from 'injury or poisoning of undetermined intent'. 44 Green H, McGinnity A, Meltzer H, Ford T, Goodman R. Mental Health of Children and Young people in Great Britain 2004. Office for National Statistics on the behalf of the Department of Health and Scottish Executive. Crown Copyright 2005. 45 From Building a Better Future : The lifetime costs of childhood behavioural problems and the benefits of early intervention (Centre for Mental Health Jan 2014) 46 Based on findings published in “Treating Children Well” (Kurtz, 1996) 59 prevalence and estimates based on population aged 17 years or under. These provide an estimate of young people who may at any one time, need a service response or support. Figure 4.16 Service Tiers Prevalence Assumption Children in West Sussex 0.075% 90 1.85% 2,220 7% 8,420 15% 18,040 People with a Learning Disability In West Sussex an estimated47 15,000 adults (18+ years) have a learning disability. Of these approximately 3,100 are estimated to have a moderate or severe learning disability. Approximately 3,100 people are recorded on West Sussex GP Learning Disability registers and at any one time approximately 2,000 people with a learning disability are in receipt of support from social services. Nationally and locally, there are problems in measuring specific health and wider wellbeing outcomes for people with learning disabilities, there is inconsistent recording of learning disability status by health providers and outcomes are difficult to track, or consistently benchmark, in relation to social care. Where learning disability status has been recorded, available data show that a higher proportion of hospital admissions are emergency admissions. In West Sussex (2008/9), for people whose LD status was recorded, over 64% of all admissions were emergency admissions; this was significantly higher than the England average. Figure 4.17 Emergency Hospital Admissions as % of total (2008/9) All Local Authorities in Descending Order Higher than national average lower than national average Source: http://www.improvinghealthandlives.org.uk/profiles/index.php 47 Adult prevalence derived from the POPPI and PANSI social care models published by the Institute of Public Care. 60 The 2008 Independent Inquiry into Access to Healthcare for People with Learning Disabilities recommended that there should be annual health checks for adults with learning disabilities, recognising that people with a learning disability may be less able access services, take up screening programmes and be less able to identify specific symptoms and health problems. In West Sussex the overall the percentage of people having a health check (of those identified as eligible) has increased (Figure 4.18), in 2012/12 69% of those eligible had a health check, although take up is variable across practices. Figure 4.18 Percentage of eligible people receiving a health check (% change in number) People with Autism Autism (sometimes referred to Autistic Spectrum Condition [ASC] or Autistic Spectrum Disorder [ASD]) can be described as a neurodevelopmental disorder. It is a spectrum disorder meaning all people diagnosed with the condition will share certain behaviours and traits to different extents. There are no evidenced biological markers to identify and diagnose autism, so the following three behavioural descriptions are used: - Social development/interaction is different or delayed - Difficulties in communication ‐ both verbal and non‐verbal modes. - Difficulties with thinking and behaviour (social imagination). There are some identified risk factors for autism; there are more men diagnosed than women, although the evidence is complex, approx. 20‐30% of people with a diagnosed learning disability are thought to have autism and there are strong associations between the prevalence of autism and epilepsy. Prevalence - Adults It is estimated that approximately 1% of the population have autism. Using this assumption it is estimated that 7,200 people aged 18 years or over living in West Sussex with Autism, the majority of these are men. Recorded Prevalence - West Sussex County Council does not operate an “autism” specific service and status is not routinely recorded on the social care system (Frameworki). An audit in 2010 by WSCC Learning Disability Team found approx. 400 adults with autism known to the service, approx. 20 of these had Asperger’s. However this audit was confined to people known to the Learning Disability Team. 61 Autism - Prevalence – Children National research48 suggests approximately 1 in 100 children have autism, in West Sussex this equates to approximately 1,800 children and young people aged 0-18 years. Of Children in Need49 in West Sussex, 626 were recorded as having a disability, and 40% of these were reported to have autism or Asperger’s. 48 Baird G, Simonoff E, Pickles A, Chandler S, Loucas T, Meldrum D, et al. Prevalence of disorders of the autism spectrum in a population cohort of children in South Thames: the Special Needs and Autism Project Lancet 2006; 368: 210-5 49 49 A child in need is one who has been referred to children's social care services, and who has been assessed, usually through an initial assessment, to be in need of social care services. 62 SECTION 5: SERVICE UTILISATION West Sussex Wellbeing Hubs The West Sussex Prevention and Wellbeing Programme includes a 'hub' function. Hubs are based in each of the West Sussex Districts and Boroughs and act to provide and coordinate services that improve the health and wellbeing in their local area. Hubs: provide information and act as a single point of onward referral for people wishing to improve their health; help to remove barriers that stop people improving their health by assisting people with access local health and wellbeing services; and provide or commission additional services to support lifestyle changes that will reduce unhealthy eating, alcohol misuse, smoking and low levels of physical activity, and help people to manage long-term conditions. The use of hubs has continued to increase in West Sussex. Monthly contact data (Figure 5.1) shows that in July 2014 over 800 people contacted or were referred to the local hub. Figure 5.1 Monthly Wellbeing Hubs Contacts – West Sussex Total May 2013 to July 2014 Source: West Sussex County Council Social Care - Children Children in Need (CIN)50 – Each year the DfE collate data from social care authorities on children in need in their area. This relates to children referred to the local authority because of their health and/or development is at risk of being impaired without additional support. (as of March 31 2013) There were 3,872 children in need in West Sussex, 626 (16%) of these children had a disability. The rate of children in need per 100,000 children was 233, lower than the England rate of 331 per 100,000. 50 A child in need is one who has been referred to children's social care services, and who has been assessed, usually through an initial assessment, to be in need of social care services. 63 Children Subject to a Child Protection Plan (CPP) (As of March 31 2013) 379 children were subject to a Child Protection Plan, this is a rate CPP rate of 22.9 per 100,000 children. This rate is lower than the national rate 37.9. The rate of children subject to a child protection plan has fallen over recent years. In 2012/13 a total of 550 children had at one time been subject to a CPP. Children Looked After (CLA) (numbers rounded) In March 2013 there were 670 children looked after (Table 5.1). 30 children were unaccompanied asylum seeking children. The number of CLA has fallen over recent years (Table 5.1), in 2010 there were 785 children looked after. Of the children who had been looked after for at least 12 months, 88% had up to date immunisation records, 85% had visited a dentist in the previous 12 months and 91% had had their annual health assessment; all service provision higher than the England average. Table 5.1 Children Looked After at 31 March West Sussex 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 745 785 745 670 670 Source: DfE In addition to children for whom West Sussex is the responsible authority, there are children who are placed within West Sussex but remain the responsibility of another local authority. Data for 31st March 2013 shows that in total over 900 children looked after had their placement in West Sussex; this included 380 children placed by external LAs. Table 5.2 Children Looked After as of 31 March (including external LA placements) Children who are the responsibility of West Sussex County Council All children looked after at 31 March 2013 Placed within LA boundary Placed outside LA boundary Area of placement unknown* Local authority of placement for children5 All children placed within LA boundary West Sussex 670 545 90 35 925 *Placement is not known or not collected (not collected where child placed for adoption). Children placed internally within LA boundary External children placed within LA boundary 545 380 Social Care - Adults Councils typically assess a person’s need for social care support in terms of:-no need; low need; moderate need; substantial need or critical need. Most councils in England are no longer directly funding social care for people with low or moderate needs, although information, advice and guidance are still available. In 2012/13, WSCC funded services for around half the number of people that it did in 2005/06 – a reduction from 23,000 to 12,000 people (Figure 5.1). All clients groups have seen falls in the number of people supported except for adults with a learning disability, where the number of people supported as a rate of the population has increased. 64 Figure 5.2 Number of Services Users (All Ages) Per 100,000 of the Population Figure 5.3 Number of Services Users (All Ages) Per 100,000 of the Population by Client Group Residential Care – Older People WSCC currently supports approximately 2,400 older people in long stay residential and nursing care. Approximately 800 people supported die each year. An analysis of new starters in 2013/14 found:- 2 out of 3 new starters were women, 1 out of 3 were aged 90 years or over. - 24% of new customers died within the financial year. - 41% of new starters were known to WSCC beforehand - 30% received a domiciliary care or direct payment type service 65 - 88 customers in 2013/14 were identified as capital depleters (i.e. they entered residential care entirely funding their own care but required assistance when their own resources were depleted). Figure 5.4 Permanent admissions to residential and nursing care homes (of people aged 65 years or over), per 100,000 population (Outcome 2A) Higher rates of admission Lower rates of admission Hospital Usage Accident and Emergency Attendance – In 2013 there were 215,500 A&E attendances of West Sussex residents (Figure 5.4). This was an increase of almost 5,000 on 2012. Locally, and nationally, attendances at A&E have increased over recent years (Figure 5.5). Figure 5.5 Attendances at Accident and Emergency (Number of Attendances by Patients Registered with a West Sussex GP) At a local authority level, A&E attendance rates are highest in relation to Arun, Adur and Worthing residents, lowest in Mid Sussex and Horsham (Table 5.3). 66 Table 5.3 Emergency Admission Rates (LA) Rate per 100,000 Population Adur Arun Chichester Crawley Horsham Mid Sussex Worthing 2006 914 1058 902 961 724 630 1032 2007 940 1078 917 1018 775 702 1027 2008 978 1099 935 1015 824 836 1056 2009 1037 1142 965 964 804 776 1094 2010 1060 1199 951 927 829 781 1127 2011 1068 1180 976 943 813 773 1110 2012 1055 1143 968 1005 826 775 1103 Emergency admissions The number of emergency admissions to hospital has increased; there were 81,000 emergency admissions in 2013. The rate of admissions (rate of emergency admissions per 100,000 of the population) has remained fairly stable over the last 3 years (Figure 5.6). Figure 5.6a Emergency Admissions to Hospital (number) Figure 5.6b Rate per 100,000 Population Mental Health Adults - In April 2014 15,405 patients of West Sussex GPs were in contact with secondary mental health services and of these 260 were inpatients in a psychiatric hospital (1.7 per cent). 70 people were subject to the Mental Health Act 1983. Over 4,500 people across West Sussex each quarter are referred to IAPT services. Children and Young People - In relation to Tier 3 provision, approximately 300-400 referrals are made every month to CAMHS (SPFT) and, at any one time, there is a caseload of approximately 3,000 children in West Sussex. Most referrals are made by GPs. Maternity Services – Place of Birth Births are fairly even distributed between four maternity units (Figure 5.7), 28% of births (2009-2013) took place in Worthing and Southlands Hospital, 24% in St Richards, with similar proportions in East Surrey and Princess Royal. 67 Figure 5.7 Place of birth Pooled Years Data 2009-2013 Source: West Sussex Birth Notification database End of Life Care As people near the end of life they may need support, and specific services, to ensure that the quality of life is maintained, pain relief is available and sufficient, and choices are supported. Most people who state a preference say they would prefer to die at home, but at a national level less than 50% of people do so. In West Sussex 48% of people die in their usual place of residence (combining deaths in at home with deaths in care homes). Figure 5.8 Place of Death (West Sussex) 68 SECTION 6: VIEWS, EXPERIENCES AND PRIORITISATION Views from the West Sussex Community Survey The West Sussex Community Survey was conducted between February and April 2014. A households “door-todoor” survey interviewed 3,917 people about their community, social networks and what at a local level contributed to a good quality of life. Generally in West Sussex health services were highly valued in terms of making a place a good place to live, followed by a low crime level. West Sussex Community Survey (2014) The top 5 most important things for making somewhere a good place to live were: Health services (47%) Crime levels (44%) Transport links (41%) Affordable housing (38%) Clean streets (37%) The top 5 things people said needed improving Facilities for young people (24%) Transport links (19%) Other (19%) – parking and roads frequently cited Shopping facilities (19%) Affordable housing (18%) Views of People in Receipt of Social Care People Using Services Funded by West Sussex County Council Nationally, the Department of Health publish data relating to the outcomes and experiences of people who use care and support, and also experience of carers. The outcomes measured are defined in the Adult Social Care Outcomes Framework (ASCOF), with much of the data being collected via survey. There are four domains in this framework, each has a number of measures and “overarching” measures:Domain 1: Enhancing quality of life for people with care and support needs Overarching measure: 1A: Social care related quality of life Domain 2: Delaying and reducing the need for care and support Overarching measure: 2A: Permanent admissions to residential and nursing care homes, per 100,000 population (data relating to this is shown in Section 5) Domain 3: Ensuring that people have a positive experience of care Overarching measure(s): 3A: Overall satisfaction of people who use services with their care and support 3B: Overall satisfaction of carers with social services Domain 4: Safeguarding adults whose circumstances make them vulnerable and protecting from avoidable harm Overarching measure: 4A: Proportion of people who use services who feel safe 69 Outcome 1A: Social care related quality of life (2013/14) This is a composite measure formed from a number of questions on the Adult Users’ Survey, the maximum score is 24. Nationally, the social care related quality of life score was 19.0, compared to 18.8 in 2012-13 and 18.7 in both 2011-12 and 2010-11. In West Sussex the score in 2013/14 was 19.1 this was not significantly higher than England. In 2010/11 the West Sussex value was 18.4, in 2011/12 and 2012/13 the value was 19.3. Due to small numbers the year on year changes in West Sussex are not significantly different. Figure 6.1 Social care-related quality of life (Score out of 24) Higher performing local authorities Lower performing local authorities 3A: Overall satisfaction of people who use services with their care and support Respondents who answered 'I am extremely satisfied' or 'I am very satisfied' or 'I am very happy with the way staff help me, it's really good' as a percentage of all respondents to the question. In 2013/14 65% of people who were in receipt of a service said they were satisfied, this is in line with 2012/13 figure of 64.7%. The England figure in 2013/14 was 64.9%. Figure 6.2 The Overall Satisfaction of People Using Services Higher % of satisfaction Lower % of satisfaction 70 3B: Overall satisfaction of carers with social services The Respondents who answered 'I am extremely satisfied' or 'I am very satisfied' as a percentage of all respondents to the question51 excluding those who answered 'We haven't received any support or services from Social Services in the last 12 months'. The Carers Survey is undertaken every 2 years not annually, the data below relates to 2012/13 In 2012/1 43% of carers (who had been in receipt of a service from WSCC) said they were satisfied, this is similar to the England percentage of 42.7. Figure 6.3 The Satisfaction of Carers with Social Services Lower % of satisfaction Higher % of satisfaction 4A: Proportion of people who use services who feel safe Respondents who answered 'I feel as safe as I want' as a percentage of all respondents to the question. In 2013/14 68.7% of service users in West Sussex said they felt safe, this was higher (although given small sample size not significantly so) than the England average of 66%. Figure 6.4 % of People Using Services “Feeling Safe” Higher % feeling safe 51 Lower % feeling safe excluding those who answered 'We haven't received any support or services from Social Services in the previous 12 months. 71 GP Patient Survey - Patient Experience of GP services, GP out-of-hours Services and NHS Dental Services The GP Patient Survey asks patients about their experience of their own GP practice and has been extended to include information on a wider range of local services including dentistry and out of hours provision. In terms of methodology, previously surveys were sent out every quarter; surveys are now being sent out twice a year (January and July). Weightings are applied to take into account the age and deprivation levels of the local community. The survey is administered by Ipsos MORI on behalf of the Department of Health (DH). Background reports and individual practice results are published and freely available online. The survey collects information for indicators in the NHS Outcomes Framework relating to the experience of GP services, GP out of hours services and NHS dental services. A summary of the 2013/14 results (of surveys undertaken between July and Sept 2013 and January to March 2014) is shown on table 72 Table 6.1 Results of GP Patient Survey 2013/14 The table shows the total number of respondents per question and the lower and upper confidence intervals. Information relates to surveys undertaken between July to September 2013 and January to March 2014. Overall experience of GP surgery England Coastal West Sussex CCG Crawley CCG Horsham and Mid Sussex CCG Respondents to question % who said very or fairly good LCI UCI 884,083 8,098 1,978 3,654 85.7% 86.1% 79.5% 88.9% 85.6% 85.3% 77.7% 87.9% 85.8% 86.8% 81.2% 89.9% Respondents to question % who were very or fairly satisfied LCI UCI 885,420 8,116 1,984 3,645 76.9% 75.7% 70.3% 75.6% 76.9% 74.8% 68.3% 74.1% 77.0% 76.6% 72.3% 76.9% Respondents to question % who said very or fairly good LCI UCI 863,894 7,858 1,938 3,513 74.6% 74.8% 67.1% 77.2% 74.5% 73.8% 65.0% 75.8% 74.7% 75.7% 69.2% 78.6% Respondents to question % who said very or fairly good LCI UCI 119,343 1,260 252 529 66.2% 63.8% 63.9% 65.0% 65.9% 61.1% 57.8% 60.9% 66.5% 66.4% 69.6% 69.0% LCI UCI 78.6% 77.6% 68.4% 82.4% 78.7% 79.4% 72.4% 84.8% Satisfaction with opening hours England Coastal West Sussex CCG Crawley CCG Horsham and Mid Sussex CCG Overall experience of making an appointment England Coastal West Sussex CCG Crawley CCG Horsham and Mid Sussex CCG Overall experience of GP out-of-hours services England Coastal West Sussex CCG Crawley CCG Horsham and Mid Sussex CCG Recommended surgery to others Respondents to question England Coastal West Sussex CCG Crawley CCG Horsham and Mid Sussex CCG 885,513 8,109 1,993 3,642 % who would definitely or probably recommend 78.7% 78.6% 70.4% 83.7% 73 The Patient Survey asked people how confident they were in managing their own health. In West Sussex a significantly lower percentage of respondents in Crawley CCG stated they were confident in managing their own health (compared with England overall and the other West Sussex CCGs). Respondents with long term conditions were asked whether, in the last 6 months, they had enough support from local services and organisations to help them manage their long term condition. 10% of respondents in Horsham and Mid Sussex, 12% in Coastal West Sussex and 13% in Crawley said they did not have enough support. NHS Dental Services The GP Patient Survey also collects information on access and experience to NHS Dentistry. Respondents who had used an NHS dentist in the last 2 years were asked about their overall experience. Respondents who hadn’t tried to obtain an NHS dentist in the previous two years were asked why they had not tried to. Given the lower number of responses to these specific questions data are published at regional and area team level. In the south of England 86% of respondents said their overall experience of NHS dental services was good or very good. Of those people who said they had not tried to visit an NHS dentist in the last 2 years, 25% said they preferred to use a private dentist, 22% said they stayed with their dentist when they changed from NHS to private, 15% said they did not need to visit a dentist and 15% said they did not think they could get an NHS dentist in their area. End of Life Care Following the national End of Life Care Strategy (DoH 2008) the ONS introduced a survey52 to assess the quality of care delivered to people in the last three months of their lives. The survey is sent to the person who had registered the death, in the main this is a relative or friend, although they were asked to forward the survey to another person if that was considered more appropriate. Given small sample sizes most data are not available at CCG or local authority level. ONS have combined information collected from the 2011 and 2012 surveys and published information to three specific aspects:(i) Overall care in the last three months of life. (ii) Overall care from the district and community nurses, GPs, doctors and nurses following admission to hospital. (iii) Support for carers at the time of death and following the death. Data relating to (i) relating to the overall quality of care is shown below (Table 6.2). 52 The survey is called the National Survey of Bereaved People (VOICES) 74 Table 6.2 End of Life Care Rated as “excellent” in the last 3 months of life. Response to the question “Overall, and taking all services into account, how would you rate his/her care in the last three months of life?” CCG Number of responses Outstanding/Excellent % LCI Coastal West Sussex 568 45.7 41.6 Crawley 72 32.9 23.0 Horsham and Mid Sussex 207 49.6 42.8 England 40,045 43.2 42.7 The options 'Good', 'Fair' and 'Poor' were not published due to small numbers Source: National Survey of Bereaved People (ONS) UCI 49.9 44.6 56.5 43.7 75 GEOGRAPHIES 1) Local Authorities 2) Clinical Commissioning groups (CCGs) 76