BSAD 6314 Section 001 Multivariate Statistics Spring 2015 Professor Wendy J. Casper, Ph. D. Office: Business Building 233 E-mail: wjcasper@uta.edu Phone: (817) 272-1133 Office Hours: By appointment Course Time & Location: BSAD 6314 Section 001; Tuesdays, 2:00 pm – 4:50 pm; COBA 139 Course Website: Materials posted on Blackboard Course Description: This course is designed to help you to effectively apply, interpret, and evaluate different multivariate statistical techniques. Throughout the course there will be an emphasis on both conceptual understanding and the development of practical "how-to" skills. Topics covered in the sequence are organized in terms of complexity, beginning with a broad overview, moving into regression, and ending with structural equation modeling. Business scholars have made use of a broad range of methods and analytical strategies to address questions of interest. Because each approach to answering research questions involves trade-offs, researchers have often found it necessary to employ a combination of analytical techniques to reach any firm conclusions. A major goal of this course is to facilitate decision making within these constraints. We will discuss a variety of advanced statistical techniques. Throughout the semester, you will gain hands-on experience through projects and learn how to draw statistical and substantive conclusions from results of analyses. You will be asked to prepare written summaries of results using either Academy of Management style or style guidelines for other journals in your field. If you use style guidelines other than those of the Academy of Management or the American Psychological Association, please provide a copy of these guidelines to me along with your first project so I can refer to them as I evaluate your projects. Learning Objectives: By the end of this course students will be able to: 1. Choose the appropriate multivariate technique to answer specific research questions 2. Describe the pros and cons of using various techniques to control for missing data 3. Describe the assumptions required to use various multivariate techniques including regression, canonical correlation, logistic regression, discriminant analysis, MAVOVA, and factor analysis. 1 4. Use SPSS to run statistical analysis in regression, logistic regression, discriminant analysis, and factor analysis. 5. Interpret the results of data analysis by examining SPSS output from regression, canonical correlation, logistic regression, discriminant function analysis, MANOVA, and factor analysis. Required Text: Hair, J. F., Black, W.C., Babin, B. J., Anderson, R.E., Tatham, R. L. 2006. Multivariate Data Analysis (6th Edition) Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall. Recommended Supplemental Materials: (1) Style guidelines for your discipline Examples: Academy of Management Journal Style Guide. http://aom.pace.edu/amjnew/style_guide.html American Psychological Association Style Guide. http://www.apastyle.org/ (2) SPSS and SPSS Statistical Procedures Companion book. In this class we will use the statistics software program SPSS and I will ask you to hand in your output and syntax from SPSS with your projects. You should have version 22 or some other recent version. It is strongly recommended that you purchase SPSS and install it on your own computer, or it is possible to rent SPSS as well (http://www.onthehub.com/spss/). You will need to get the "Statistics Base Gradpack." Please do not buy the “Student version” of SPSS because it limits the number of variables and cases and does not allow the use of syntax so it will not meet our needs for this class. If you are a behavioral student, you should definitely buy SPSS as this is the most widely used statistical software in the behavioral area and you will continue to use it in your research and dissertation. If STATA, SAS, or another statistics package is more widely used in your area, you may want to rent SPSS just for this semester. Course Requirements: Course requirements include: (1) three project assignments and brief write-ups of results in appropriate format; (2) a midterm exam; (3) a final exam; and (4) a final project. 2 Final Paper: The final paper should examine research questions using a set of data. You must use at least two multivariate techniques that we cover in class. Results must be written in the style guidelines in your discipline. Students are encouraged to submit their papers to a national conference in their discipline. In order to ensure you are on track with the paper early in the semester, you will be required to hand in an outline of what you plan to do one month into the semester. The outline should address the following: 1. What data set will you use? How did you obtain access to this data? (Please ensure approvals to use data have been obtained prior to handing in your outline) What is your sample size? What variables are included in this data set? 2. What are the hypotheses or research questions you plan to answer? (Have at least 3 hypotheses or questions). 3. What multivariate statisical techniques will you use to test each hypothesis/answer each question? (You will need to ensure you meet assumptions of each technique). If you do not already have datasets to use from your own research projects or collaborations with another professor, I you should talk with your faculty members about possible datasets that you might use for your project. You can also look at websites ehere data are publically provided and use a data set in the public domain. For example, see https://www.icpsr.umich.edu/icpsrweb/landing.jsp for data available to UTA faculty and students. If you use a data set provided to you by another professor or colleague, it is a good idea to discuss expectations regarding ongoing research up front with whoever provides the data to you. For example, if any presentations or publications emerge from your project in my class, whoever provided you the data is typically a coauthor. Class Policies Due Dates. Projects and the final paper must be handed in by the beginning of class on the day they are due. Anything that is late will receive 50% of the possible points if handed in within a day. No points will be given for any work that is handed in more than one day late. Collaborative Work. You are encouraged to work together to conduct data analysis for projects and prepare for exams. However, each student must independently write up data analysis results for projects. Students should complete exams and the final paper without assistance from other students. Make ups. Please do not miss exams. Make-up exams will not be allowed except under conditions of documented severve illness or emergency. Attendance: At the University of Texas at Arlington, taking attendance is not required. Rather, each faculty member is free to develop his or her own methods of evaluating students’ academic performance, which includes establishing course-specific policies on attendance. As the instructor of this class, I will not take attendance. However, as PhD students, you are expected to be highly committed to you learning, and thus, I expect attendance problems will not be a problem. If a specific problem or another commitment arises that prevents you from attending class, please discuss this with me. You will be 3 responsible for all material covered in class and for knowledge of any announcements or changes to the schedule made in class, even if you are unable to attend class. Course Grades: 30% 20% 20% 30% Evaluation of the assigned projects (10% each) Midterm exam Final exam Final project Final grades: A (90%); B (80%); C (70%); D (60%); F (below 60%) Drop Policy: Students may drop or swap (adding and dropping a class concurrently) classes through self-service in MyMav from the beginning of the registration period through the late registration period. After the late registration period, students must see their academic advisor to drop a class or withdraw. Undeclared students must see an advisor in the University Advising Center. Drops can continue through a point two-thirds of the way through the term or session. It is the student's responsibility to officially withdraw if they do not plan to attend after registering. 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For hours, information about the writing workshops we offer, scheduling a classroom visit, and descriptions of the services we offer undergraduates, graduate students, and faculty members, please visit our website at www.uta.edu/owl/. 6 CLASS SCHEDULE This course is a dynamic process, subject to change. You are responsible for maintaining awareness of changes in class scheduling if you have missed class. Date Topic Jan 20 Overview of Multivariate Statistics Hair, Chapter 1 Bobko, P. 1990. Multivariate Correlational Analysis. In Dunnette, M. D. & Hough, L. M. (Eds.) Handbook of Industrial/Organizational Psychology (2nd Edition), Volume 1, pp. 637-686. Palo Alto, CA: Consulting Psychologists Press. Jan 27 Data Cleaning and Multivariate Techniques Hair, Chapter 2 Orr, J. M., Sackett, P. R., & Dubois, C. L. Z. 1991. Outlier detection and treatment in I/O psychology: A survey of researcher beliefs and an empirical illustration. Personnel Psychology, 44: 473-486. Roth, P.L., & Switzer, F.S. 1995. A monte carlo analysis of missing data techniques in a HRM setting. Journal of Management, 21: 1003-1023. Myers, T. A. (2011). Goodbye, Listwise Deletion: Presenting Hot Deck Imputation as an Easy and Effective Tool for Handling Missing Data. Communication Methods and Measures, 5:4, 297-310, DOI: 10.1080/19312458.2011.624490 Griggs et al. Example of Use of mean substitution Feb 3 Multiple Regression Hair, Chapter 4 St. John, C. H. & Roth, P. L. 1999. The impact of cross-validation adjustments on estimates of effect size in business policy and strategy research. Organizational Research Methods, 2: 157-174. Feb 10 Regression: Mediation & Moderation Aiken, L. S., & West, S. G. 1991. Multiple regression: Testing and interpreting interactions (Ch. 2-4, pp. 9-61; Ch. 7, pp. 116-138). Newbury Park, CA: Sage. 7 Baron, R. M., & Kenny, D. A. 1986. The moderator-mediator variable distinction in social psychological research: Conceptual, strategic, and statistical considerations. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 51: 1173-1182. Edwards, J. R., & Lambert, L. S. (2007). Methods for integrating moderation and mediation: A general analytical framework using moderated path analysis. Psychological Methods, 12, 1-22. Zhao, X. Lynch, J. G. & Chen, Q. (2010). Reconsidering Baron and Kenny: Myths and Truths about Mediation Analysis. Journal of Consumer Research, 37, 197206. Useful aid for graphing interactions: http://www.jeremydawson.co.uk/slopes.htm Feb 17 Canonical Correlation Hair, Chapter 8 from 5th edition (see Blackboard list of readings) Feb 24 Logistic Regression: Dichotomous Dependent Variables DUE Outline of Final Paper. Include data set choosen, hypotheses to test and techniques to use to test them Hair, pp. 269-275; 366-382 Green, G. H., Boze, B. V., Choundhury, A. H., & Power, S. 1998. Using logistic regression in classification. Marketing Research, 5-31. Peng, C. J., Lee, K. L., Ingersoll, G. M. (2002). An introduction to logistic regression analysis and reporting. The Jorunal of Educational Research, 96, 3-14. Mar 3 Discriminant Analysis Hair, pp. 276-355 Betz, N. E. 1987. Use of discriminant analysis in counseling psychology research. Journal of Counseling Psychology, 34: 393-403. March 10 SPRING BREAK March 17 Review for Exam I March 24 Exam I Hair, Chapter 6 8 Haase, R. F., & Ellis, M. V. 1987. Multivariate analysis of variance. Journal of Counseling Psychology, 34: 393-403. March 31 MANOVA April 7 and 14 Factor Analysis Hair, Chapter 3 Conway J. M., & Huffcutt A.I. 2003. A review and evaluation of exploratory factor analysis practices in organizational research. Organizational Research Methods, 6: 147-168. Ford, J. K., MacCallum, R. C., & Tait, M. 1986. The application of exploratory factor analysis in applied psychology: A critical review and analysis. Personnel Psychology, 39: 291-314. April 21 Structural Equation Modeling Hair, Chapter 10 and 11 Anderson, J. C., & Gerbing, D. W. 1988. Structural equation modeling in practice: A review and recommended two-step approach. Psychological Bulletin, 103, 411-423. Mulaik, S. A., James, L. R., Van Alstine, J., Bennett, N., Lind, S., & Stilwell, C. D. 1989. Evaluation of goodness-of-fit indices for structural equation models. Psychological Bulletin, 105: 430-445. April 28 and May 5 Special Topics in Data Analysis, Review Exam II Atinc, G., Simmering, M. J., Kroll, M. J. (2012). Control variable use and reporting in macro- and micro-management research. Organizational Research Methods, 15, 57-74. Carlson, K. D. & Wu, D. (2011). The illusion of statistical control: Control variable practice in management research. Organizational Research Methods, 15, 413435. Zyphur, M. J. (2009). When mindsets collide: Switching analytical mindsets to advance organizational science. Academy of Management Review, 34, 677-688. Bedeian, A. G., Taylor, S. G., & Miller, A. N. (2010). Management science on the credibility bubble: Cardinal sins and various misdemeanors. Academy of Management Learning & Education, 9(4), 715-725. 9 May 9 Exam II; DUE Final Paper 10